Ōtaki (New Zealand electorate)

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Otaki electorate boundaries used since the 2014 election Otaki electorate, 2014.svg
Ōtaki electorate boundaries used since the 2014 election

Ōtaki (previously Otaki) is a New Zealand Parliamentary electorate, spanning part of the west coast of the lower North Island. The bulk of its population comes from the Horowhenua District, but it also takes in part of the northern Kapiti Coast, including the towns of Otaki and Waikanae, and part of Paraparaumu. The current MP for Ōtaki is Nathan Guy of the National Party. He has held this position since 2008 election.

Contents

History

In the 1892 electoral redistribution, population shift to the North Island required the transfer of one seat from the South Island to the north. The resulting ripple effect saw every electorate established in 1890 have its boundaries altered, and eight electorates were established for the first time, including Otaki. [1] Otaki was first contested in the 1893 election, and the first member for Otaki was James Wilson, who held the seat for one term until 1896. It was then won by Henry Augustus Field and then, after Henry's death, by his brother William Hughes Field. William Field, a Liberal-turn-independent-turn-Reform, held it for a total of 32 years, from 1900 to 1935. Field lost the electorate in 1911 to John Robertson of the Social Democratic Party (who had been nominated by the flax-workers union), but won it back in 1914.

The seat was abolished in 1972, and Allan McCready, who was the incumbent, instead stood for and won the Manawatu electorate.

Otaki was recreated ahead of the change to mixed-member proportional (MMP) voting in 1996, by combining two bellwether seats: the northern half of Kapiti with the entire Horowhenua seat. Since its recreation the boundaries have been left largely unaltered, though after the 2007 boundary review a macron was added to the name and it is now spelled Ōtaki. The first MP for Otaki since its recreation was Judy Keall, who won by less than a thousand votes in 1996 before a more decisive victory in 1999. [2] In 2002, her former electorate assistant Darren Hughes won the seat, becoming the youngest member of the House of Representatives. His 2002 majority was slashed to just 382 at the 2005 election by former Horowhenua District councillor Nathan Guy. In a 2008 rematch, Guy tipped out Hughes by 1,354 votes; Hughes returned to Parliament off the Labour Party list.

While multiple parties have held Ōtaki in the past, it is currently considered a safe seat for National. [3] Nathan Guy has won Ōtaki for National at every election since 2008; at the most recent election in 2017 Guy won 50.3% of the vote compared with the second-place Rob McCann getting 35.4%. Guy announced he would be resigning at the 2020 election, [4] and National have selected Tim Costley as its replacement candidate. [3]

Members of Parliament

Unless otherwise stated, all MPs' terms began and ended at general elections.

Key

  Independent     Liberal     Reform     Labour     Labour     National   

ElectionWinner
1893 election James Wilson
1896 election 1899 election Henry Augustus Field
1900 by-election 1902 election 1905 election William Field
1908 election
1911 election John Robertson
1914 election 1919 election 1922 election 1925 election 1928 election 1931 election William Field
1935 election 1938 election 1943 election Leonard Lowry
1946 election 1949 election 1951 election 1954 election 1957 election James Joseph Maher
1960 election 1963 election 1966 election 1969 election Allan McCready
(electorate abolished 1972–1996, see Kapiti and Manawatu)
1996 election 1999 election Judy Keall
2002 election 2005 election Darren Hughes
2008 election 2011 election 2014 election 2017 election Nathan Guy

List MPs

Members of Parliament elected from party lists in elections where that person also unsuccessfully contested the electorate. Unless otherwise stated, all MPs' terms began and ended at general elections.

ElectionWinner
1996 election Roger Sowry
1999 election
2002 election
2005 election Nathan Guy
2008 election Darren Hughes

Election results

2017 election

2017 general election: Otaki [5]
Notes:

Blue background denotes the winner of the electorate vote.
Pink background denotes a candidate elected from their party list.
Yellow background denotes an electorate win by a list member, or other incumbent.
A Green check.svgY or Red x.svgN denotes status of any incumbent, win or lose respectively.

PartyCandidateVotes%±%Party votes%±%
National Green check.svgY Nathan Guy 20,72550.31−4.4919,18746.02−2.69
Labour Rob McCann14,56935.37+0.9015,01434.94+10.29
Green Sam Ferguson2,1675.26−1.172,3585.65−3.74
NZ First Romuald Edward Rudzki1,6804.073,4218.20−1.69
Opportunities Piri-Hira Tukapua1,0512.559102.18
Independent Sam Jennings5041.22
ACT Wayne Desmond Grattan1050.251630.39+0.10
Māori  1560.37−0.07
Legalise Cannabis  790.18−0.18
Conservative  690.16−4.22
Ban 1080  440.10−0.06
United Future  250.05
People's Party  240.05
Outdoors  190.04
Mana  90.02−0.62
Democrats  70.01−0.04
Internet  30.007−0.633
Informal votes386198
Total Valid votes41,18741,686
National holdMajority6,156

2014 election

2014 general election: Ōtaki [6]
Notes:

Blue background denotes the winner of the electorate vote.
Pink background denotes a candidate elected from their party list.
Yellow background denotes an electorate win by a list member, or other incumbent.
A Green check.svgY or Red x.svgN denotes status of any incumbent, win or lose respectively.

PartyCandidateVotes%±%Party votes%±%
National Green check.svgY Nathan Guy 20,98054.80+3.2318,85448.71+1.92
Labour Rob McCann13,19834.47−3.019,54324.65−4.94
Green Maddy Drew2,4626.43+1.723,6359.39+0.21
Conservative Anne Lovelock9132.38+0.651,6954.38+1.19
Independent Amanda Vickers2030.53+0.53
Independent Frederick Macdonald1180.31+0.31
NZ First  3,8279.89+1.77
Internet Mana  2490.64+0.43 [lower-alpha 1]
Māori  1690.44−0.12
Legalise Cannabis  1380.36−0.07
ACT  1110.29−0.38
United Future  740.19−0.52
Ban 1080  610.16+0.16
Democrats  190.05+0.01
Independent Coalition  190.05+0.05
Civilian  120.03+0.03
Focus  60.02+0.02
Informal votes412298
Total Valid votes38,28638,710
Turnout 38,71082.49+3.23
National holdMajority7,78220.33+6.24

2011 election

2011 general election: Ōtaki [7]
Notes:

Blue background denotes the winner of the electorate vote.
Pink background denotes a candidate elected from their party list.
Yellow background denotes an electorate win by a list member, or other incumbent.
A Green check.svgY or Red x.svgN denotes status of any incumbent, win or lose respectively.

PartyCandidateVotes%±%Party votes%±%
National Green check.svgY Nathan Guy 19,15151.57+2.9017,60946.79+2.02
Labour Peter Foster13,92037.48-7.7011,13729.59-7.36
Green Michael Gilchrist1,7504.71+2.063,6129.60+3.96
NZ First David Scott1,1223.02+1.023,0578.12+2.63
Conservative John Stephen Ryersson6441.73+1.731,2023.19+3.19
Legalise Cannabis Fred MacDonald2530.68+0.681620.43+0.14
ACT Peter McCaffrey1150.31-0.232530.67-1.92
United Future Diane Brown1100.30-0.092660.71-0.31
Independent Philip Dean Taueki730.20+0.20
Māori  2100.56-0.26
Mana  800.21+0.21
Libertarianz  190.05+0.02
Democrats  150.04+0.01
Alliance  110.03-0.04
Informal votes573292
Total Valid votes37,13837,633
National holdMajority5,23114.09+10.60

Electorate (as at 26 November 2011): 47,483 [8]

2008 election

2008 general election: Ōtaki [9]
Notes:

Blue background denotes the winner of the electorate vote.
Pink background denotes a candidate elected from their party list.
Yellow background denotes an electorate win by a list member, or other incumbent.
A Green check.svgY or Red x.svgN denotes status of any incumbent, win or lose respectively.

PartyCandidateVotes%±%Party votes%±%
National Nathan Guy 18,88548.67+3.9117,53444.77+3.10
Labour Red x.svgN Darren Hughes 17,53145.18-0.5814,47236.95+4.72
Green Jim Kebbell1,0292.652,2075.641.09
NZ First David John Scott7782.012,1535.50-1.29
Progressive Josie Pagani2210.574531.16-0.43
ACT Peter McCaffrey2100.541,0142.59+1.60
United Future Diane Brown1480.38-1.253971.01-2.34
Māori  3210.82+0.08
Bill and Ben  1770.45
Kiwi  1650.42
Legalise Cannabis  1150.29+0.06
Family Party  840.21
Alliance  280.07-0.13
Libertarianz  120.03+0.01
Democrats  100.03-0.02
Pacific  90.02
Workers Party  60.02
RONZ  50.01±0.00
RAM  00.00
Informal votes186111
Total Valid votes38,80239,162
National gain from Labour Majority1,3543.49

2005 election

2005 general election: Otaki [10]
Notes:

Blue background denotes the winner of the electorate vote.
Pink background denotes a candidate elected from their party list.
Yellow background denotes an electorate win by a list member, or other incumbent.
A Green check.svgY or Red x.svgN denotes status of any incumbent, win or lose respectively.

PartyCandidateVotes%±%Party votes%±%
Labour Green check.svgY Darren Hughes 17,55645.76-7.2716,13141.67
National Nathan Guy 17,17444.76+13.7915,17439.20
NZ First Chris Perry1,0432.722,6306.79
Green Nick Fisher1,0222.661,7614.55
United Future Diane Brown6111.591,2973.35
Māori Richard Orzecki3530.922860.74
Progressive Russell Franklin3030.796141.59
ACT Simon Ewing-Jarvie1630.423830.99
Alliance Margaret Jeune970.25780.20
Direct Democracy Robert Atack470.1270.02
Destiny  1540.40
Legalise Cannabis  880.23
Family Rights  540.14
Christian Heritage  370.10
Democrats  210.05
99 MP  140.04
One NZ  140.04
Libertarianz  90.02
RONZ  50.01
Informal votes242134
Total Valid votes38,36938,707
Labour holdMajority3821.00-21.07

1999 election

Refer to Candidates in the New Zealand general election 1999 by electorate#Otaki for a list of candidates.

1943 election

1943 general election: Otaki [11]
PartyCandidateVotes%±
Labour Leonard Lowry 5,151 46.56 -9.76
National Bert Cooksley 4,96044.83
Democratic Labour Robert James Barnett4544.10
People's Movement William Jonathan Crawford4133.73
Informal votes840.75+0.41
Majority1911.72-11.27
Turnout 11,06292.16-1.97
Registered electors 12,003

1938 election

1938 general election: Otaki [12]
PartyCandidateVotes%±
Labour Leonard Lowry 5,926 56.32 +6.35
National George Alexander Monk4,55943.33+12.41
Informal votes360.34
Majority1,36712.99-6.06
Turnout 10,52194.13+10.87
Registered electors 11,177

1935 election

1935 general election: Otaki [13]
PartyCandidateVotes%±
Labour Leonard Lowry 4,511 49.97
United/Reform George Alexander Monk [14] 2,79130.92
Independent Will Appleton [15] 97510.80
Democrat Robert Westley Bothamley [16] 7508.31
Majority1,72019.05+3.28
Turnout 9,02783.26-0.73
Registered electors 10,842

1931 election

1931 general election: Otaki [17]
PartyCandidateVotes%±
Reform William Hughes Field 4,848 57.89
Labour Jim Thorn 3,52742.11
Majority1,32115.77
Informal votes921.09
Turnout 8,46783.99
Registered electors 10,081

1900 by-election

1900 Otaki by-election [18]
PartyCandidateVotes%±
Liberal William Hughes Field 1,755 52.44
Conservative Charles Morison 1,59247.56+2.09
Majority1634.87-4.18
Turnout 3,34762.35-0.45
Registered electors 5,368

Table footnotes

  1. 2014 Internet Mana swing is relative to the votes for Mana in 2011; it shared a party list with Internet in the 2014 election.

Notes

  1. McRobie 1989, pp. 59f.
  2. Counsell, Gerard (31 October 2008). "Swing seats: All eyes on Otaki". One News . Retrieved 8 October 2014.
  3. 1 2 Walls, Jason (17 November 2019). "Former Air Force pilot Tim Costley has been selected to run in the National safe seat of Ōtaki". New Zealand Herald. ISSN   1170-0777 . Retrieved 25 November 2019.
  4. "National party reshuffle after Nathan Guy announces retirement from politics". Newshub. Retrieved 25 November 2019.
  5. "Official Count Results -- Otaki". Wellington: New Zealand Electoral Commission. Retrieved 21 December 2017.
  6. "Official Count Results -- Ōtaki (2014)". Electoral Commission . Retrieved 14 April 2016.
  7. 2011 election results
  8. "Enrolment statistics". Electoral Commission. 26 November 2011. Retrieved 27 November 2011.
  9. 2008 Official Count Results – Ōtaki
  10. 2005 Official Count Results – Otaki
  11. "The General Election, 1943". National Library. 1944. p. 11. Retrieved 28 March 2014.
  12. "The General Election, 1938". National Library. 1939. pp. 1–6. Retrieved 8 February 2012.
  13. "How the votes were cast". The Evening Post . CXX (130). 28 November 1935. p. 8. Retrieved 16 November 2013.
  14. "Otaki Seat". The Evening Post . CXX (55). 2 September 1935. p. 10. Retrieved 28 March 2014.
  15. "Mr. Appleton's Candidature". The Evening Post . CXX (97). 21 October 1935. p. 11. Retrieved 28 March 2014.
  16. "Election Notices". The Evening Post . CXIX (99). 29 April 1935. p. 2. Retrieved 28 March 2014.
  17. The General Election, 1931. Government Printer. 1932. p. 4. Retrieved 2 November 2014.
  18. "The Otaki Seat". The New Zealand Herald . XXXVII (11265). 8 January 1900. p. 5. Retrieved 5 February 2015.

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References