August 2024 Kursk Oblast incursion

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August 2024 Kursk Oblast incursion
Part of attacks in Russia during the Russian invasion of Ukraine
August 2024 Kursk Oblast incursion.svg
August 2024 Kursk Oblast incursion (Western Russia).svg
Date6 August 2024 – present
(4 days)
Location
Result Ongoing
Belligerents
Flag of Ukraine.svg  Ukraine Flag of Russia.svg  Russia
Units involved

Ensign of the Ukrainian Armed Forces.svg Armed Forces of Ukraine

Banner of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation (obverse).svg Russian Armed Forces

Flag of the Russian Federal Security Service.svg Federal Security Service [6]

Flag of National Guard of the Russian Federation.svg Rosgvardiya

PMC Wagner Center logo.png Wagner Group [9]
Strength
Russian claim:
300 soldiers (6 August 2024)
11 tanks
more than 20 AFVs [6]
1,000 soldiers [10] [11] (7 August 2024)
Unknown
Casualties and losses
Several armored vehicles [12]
1 Buk-M1 SAM system [12] [13]
Per Russia: [14]
400 casualties
1 tank
3 IFVs
4 APCs
24 Kozak armored combat vehicles
26 UAVs
2 T-62M tanks [13]
1 Ka-52 helicopter [13] [15]
1 Mi-28 helicopter [16]
40+ soldiers captured [17] [12]
Per Russia: 5 civilians killed,
31 civilians injured [12] [18] [19]
6,000+ civilians evacuated [12] [20]

On 6 August 2024, during the ongoing Russo-Ukrainian War, the Ukrainian Armed Forces (AFU) launched an incursion into Russia's Kursk Oblast. Units crossed from the territory of Ukraine and attacked the Russian military and border guards in the villages of Nikolayevo-Darino and Oleshnya. [21] [22] [23]

Contents

Background

There have been attacks in mainland Russia as a result of the Russian invasion of Ukraine, which began on 24 February 2022. The main targets have been the military, the arms industry and the oil industry. Many of the attacks have been drone strikes, firebombing, and rail sabotage. The Ukrainian intelligence services have acknowledged carrying out some of these attacks. Others have been carried out by anti-war activists in Russia. There has also been cross-border shelling, missile strikes and ground raids from Ukraine, mainly in the Belgorod, Kursk and Bryansk oblasts. Several times, Russian anti-Kremlin paramilitaries have launched incursions from Ukraine into Russia, captured border villages and battled the Russian military. While Ukraine has supported these ground incursions, it has denied direct involvement.

Raid

6 August

On 6 August 2024, Russia reportedly deployed air and artillery forces to counter a Ukrainian border incursion in Kursk Oblast. Ukrainian fighters, equipped with tanks and armored vehicles, crossed into Russian territory. The Russian Ministry of Defense responded by sending troops and aviation units to the area. According to Russia, the incursion involved around 300 Ukrainian troops, 11 tanks, and over 20 armored combat vehicles, [6] and was aimed in two directions: at Oleshnya in the direction of Sudzha, east-northeast of Sumy, and towards Nikolayevo-Darino, north-northeast of Sumy. [8] It was reported that Chechen Akhmat battalions were responding to the raids. [8]

The attack began at 08:00 MSK and, by 18:20, Russian forces claimed to have pushed the Ukrainians back across the border, supposedly inflicting significant losses through artillery, air strikes, and drones — although the claim of the incursion being completely stopped has not been verified. Moscow released videos purportedly showing Ukrainian tanks being targeted from the air. Social media footage suggested Russian warplanes operated at low altitudes over Kursk Oblast to repel the attack. Alexei Smirnov, acting governor of Kursk Oblast, reported that three people died during the events: a woman in the border incursion and two individuals in separate drone attacks. [24] Russian milbloggers also largely dismissed the supposed raids as "unsuccessful" and a "media stunt." [8]

Russian milbloggers claimed that the offensive was being performed by the Russian Volunteer Corps (RVC), while the New Voice of Ukraine citing a source in Ukraine's Main Military Intelligence reported that the RVC was not present. [8] The RVC's ally, the Freedom of Russia Legion, which accompanied the RVC in a raid earlier this year refused to comment if they were participating. [8]

7 August

1943 Ukrainian railway map shows Sudzha in quadrant A2 at km 60 on the Lgov-Gotnya-Zolochiv main line to Kharkiv Ukrainian "Southern Railway" 1943.jpg
1943 Ukrainian railway map shows Sudzha in quadrant A2 at km 60 on the Lgov-Gotnya-Zolochiv main line to Kharkiv

On 7 August, Russian forces continued attempts to push back Ukrainian forces from Kursk Oblast. A milblogger claimed that Ukrainian forces had captured 11 settlements and had advanced 14 kilometres (9 mi) deep into the oblast. [25] Government agencies were ordered by President Vladimir Putin to "provide the needed assistance to residents", and deputy prime minister Denis Manturov was sent to oversee their work. [26] Alexei Smirnov, the acting governor of Kursk Oblast, declared a state of emergency in the region, [27] [28] [29] and Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova protested about "The criminal Kiev regime" and said that "All this only reinforces the sense of impunity of Ukrainian neo-Nazis." [30] Putin met with key members of the security establishment including Valery Gerasimov, Alexander Bortnikov, Sergei Shoigu and Andrey Belousov on the Kursk incursion. [31]

Geolocated footage confirmed that Ukrainian forces had advanced at least 10 kilometres (6.2 mi) into the Russian border, having penetrated at least two Russian defensive lines and a stronghold. Russian sources indicated that Ukrainian forces are trying to advance along the 38K-030 Sudzha-Korenevo highway, and a prominent Kremlin-affiliated milblogger claimed that by 18:00 local time on 7 August, Ukrainian forces had advanced both northwest and southeast along the highway and are now fighting on the outskirts of Korenevo and Sudzha. Additionally, geolocated footage showed Ukrainian personnel capturing at least 40 Russian POWs, as well as fighting within city limits of Sudzha, with Ukrainian forces capturing a gas-station and the entry check-point. [17] Ukrainian MP Oleksiy Goncharenko reported that Ukrainian forces had captured the Sudzha gas hub which feeds the Urengoy–Pomary–Uzhhorod pipeline into the rest of Europe. Additionally, there were reports of fighting in Ivnitsa  [ ru; uk ], a village 24 km (15 mi) from the border. [32]

8 August

RIA Novosti reported that four people died as a result of 'attacks' by the AFU in the oblast [33] as fighting continued for a third day. [34] [35] Russian milbloggers claimed that "Sudzha is basically lost to us" and that Ukrainian forces were pushing towards Lgov. [36]

The attack reportedly pushed up gas prices to EUR 40 (+5%) per megawatt-hour in Europe. [37] YouTube and phone networks also experienced outages in the region. [38] [39] [40]

Ukrainian forces were in control of the western part of Sudzha and the surrounding roads; skirmishes continued in the town. [41]

According to the governor of Kursk, six Ukrainian drones and five missiles were shot down during the night and morning. [42]

Reports claimed that the combat zone had expanded to 430 square kilometers, and claimed that Ukrainian forces entered the settlement of Mirny and had taken control of the villages of Kazachya, Loknya, Bogdanovka, 1st Knyazhiy and 2nd Knyazhiy. Skirmishes took place in the village of Snagost. [43]

The transit of Russian gas through the Ukrainian gas transportation system decreased to 37.25 million m³ from the usual 42-42.4 million m³. [44]

Reactions

Russia

The Russian Ministry of Defence claimed on 6 August that the attack had been repelled. The ministry stated, "After suffering losses, the Ukrainian sabotage group retreated to its territory, while some of the fighters attempted to establish a position on the territory adjacent to the state border, where they were blocked by Russian army units." [45] [ full citation needed ] [46] President Vladimir Putin described the AFU's incursion into Kursk Oblast as a "large-scale provocation." He accused the "Kyiv regime" of "indiscriminately firing various types of weapons, including missiles, at civilian buildings, houses, and ambulances." Putin stated that he plans to meet with the heads of the security agencies, the Defense Ministry, and the Federal Security Service (FSB). [25] [12]

Former President and deputy chairman of the Security Council of Russia, Dmitry Medvedev, issued a statement that the incursion made it so "This [war] is no longer just an operation to retake our official territories and punish the Nazis. It is possible and necessary to go to the lands of the still existing Ukraine. To Odesa, to Kharkiv, to Dnipropetrovsk, to Mykolaiv. To Kyiv and beyond," and that "The current military campaign will also end in Russia's unconditional victory." [32]

Ukraine

The Ukrainian Ministry of Defence, General Staff and Main Intelligence Directorate have not yet commented on the raid. [47] [46]

The head of Ukraine's Center for Countering Disinformation, Andriy Kovalenko, refuted Russian claims that the situation at the border is under control, stating, "Russia does not control the border." [47]

President Volodymyr Zelenskyy's advisor Mykhailo Podolyak issued the first statement on behalf of Ukraine that did not acknowledge any role by Kyiv but portrayed the incursion as the Russian populace rising against Vladimir Putin. Podolyak said the attacks "provide an opportunity to see how ordinary Russians relate to the current authorities in Russia" but that Russians would not "come out with flowers to greet the anti-Putin tanks" due to the public support for the war. [48]

United States

The White House said that it was seeking an understanding from Ukraine regarding the incursion, adding that it had had no advance knowledge of the attack. [49]

Analysis

The Ukrainian surprise offensive in the Russian border region of Kursk suggests an attempt to shift the momentum against Russia. This action, not officially confirmed by Ukrainian leaders, has drawn criticism from analysts who question the strategic wisdom of deploying already strained troops on Russian territory. [50]

The objective of the incursion remains uncertain. Some sources suggested it is "an audacious attack on the world's biggest nuclear power plant" which is located about 40 kilometers west of Kursk city and 110 kilometers from the border with Ukraine. [51] The National Guard of Russia had strengthened security at the plant. [52] [ failed verification ]

A significant challenge for Ukraine has been responding to Russia's strategy of expanding the front line, particularly with intensified fighting around Kharkiv. According to Rob Lee, a senior fellow in the Foreign Policy Research Institute's Eurasia program, this offensive has further stretched Ukraine's forces, reducing their reserves to counter Russian advances towards Pokrovsk, Chasiv Yar, and Toretsk. [50]

Matthew Savill, director of military sciences at the Royal United Services Institute (RUSI), stated in regards to the incursion that "It's not the first incursion into Russia, but I think it's the first on this scale with conventional forces, rather than proxies [or] 'resistance' groups." [32] Savill also assessed that earlier raids into Kursk and Belgorod were designed to probe for Russian weak spots, and that the overall goal of the raid is to dismantle Russia's ability to funnel more troops into the Kharkiv front and that "It's unlikely that the plan is to seriously take Kursk itself, or to try and hold vast swathes of Russian territory." [32]

Nico Lange, former chief of staff at Germany's Defense Ministry, stated that the incursion was likely "to establish a negotiating position and provide relief on other front lines" and that it is unlikely that Ukrainian forces would hold territory in Kursk for long periods of time. [32]

Retired Polish General and former commander of special forces, Roman Polko, stated that "It's good that Ukraine is taking actions that surprise the Russians," and that "Ukraine is in a defensive position and is unable to conduct an operation to push Russia from the occupied regions, but Ukraine is defending itself in an active way," and that "One can't allow the Russians to comfortably prepare new attacks." [32]

Casualties

Russia claimed that six Ukrainian tanks and ten armored vehicles were lost in the initial engagement on 6 August. [6] [53] [54] Acting governor of Kursk Oblast, Alexei Smirnov, claimed that 26 Ukrainian UAVs were shot down in the area. [55] Russia later claimed on 6 August that Ukraine had losses of 260 soldiers, [56] six tanks, and 15 other armoured vehicles. [53] Ukraine claimed their forces had shot down a Ka-52 [15] and a Mi-28 helicopters. [16]

The Russian state broadcaster Rossiya-24 announced that one of its reporters, Yevgeny Poddubny, was injured in a drone attack on his vehicle while reporting on the fighting in the affected areas on 7 August. [57] Russian authorities said that at least five civilians had been killed since the start of the incursion, while at least 31 others, including six children, were injured. [49]

See also

Related Research Articles

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">Sudzhansky District</span> District in Kursk Oblast, Russia

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">2023 Belgorod Oblast incursions</span> Incident on the Russia-Ukraine border

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On 12 March 2024, Ukrainian-backed armed groups entered the territory of Belgorod and Kursk Oblasts in Russia from the territory of Ukraine. At least three groups, namely the Freedom of Russia Legion, Russian Volunteer Corps and Sibir Battalion participated in the incursion. They claimed control of four settlements in Kursk and Belgorod Oblasts, and multiple other areas remained under contested control. The Russian defence ministry denied this, repeatedly claiming it had beaten back the attackers and forced them to retreat, despite continued fighting in the region.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 Kharkiv offensive</span> Ongoing battle in the Russian invasion of Ukraine

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This timeline of the Russian invasion of Ukraine covers the period from 1 August 2024 to the present day.

Nikolayevo-Darino is a village in western Russia, in Sudzansky District of Kursk Oblast.

Oleshnya is a rural settlement (khutor) in western Russia, in Sudzansky District of Kursk Oblast.

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