History of United States debt ceiling

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U.S. debt ceiling at the end of each year from 1981 to 2010. Indicates which President and which political party controlled Congress by year. US Public Debt Ceiling 1981-2010.png
U.S. debt ceiling at the end of each year from 1981 to 2010. Indicates which President and which political party controlled Congress by year.

The history of United States debt ceiling deals with movements in the United States debt ceiling since it was created in 1917. Management of the United States public debt is an important part of the macroeconomics of the United States economy and finance system, and the debt ceiling is a limitation on the federal government's ability to manage the economy and finance system. The debt ceiling is also a limitation on the federal government's ability to finance government operations, and the failure of Congress to authorise an increase in the debt ceiling has resulted in crises, especially in recent years. The debt ceiling has been suspended since October 30, 2015.

The United States debt ceiling or debt limit is a legislative limit on the amount of national debt that can be incurred by the U.S. Treasury, thus limiting how much money the federal government may borrow. The debt ceiling is an aggregate figure which applies to the gross debt, which includes debt in the hands of the public and in intra-government accounts. Because expenditures are authorized by separate legislation, the debt ceiling does not directly limit government deficits. In effect, it can only restrain the Treasury from paying for expenditures and other financial obligations after the limit has been reached, but which have already been approved and appropriated.

National debt of the United States Face value of federal government securities outstanding

The national debt of the United States is the total debt, or unpaid borrowed funds, carried by the Federal Government of the United States, which is measured as the face value of the currently outstanding Treasury securities that have been issued by the Treasury and other federal government agencies. The national debt was $22.03 trillion as of April 4, 2019. The terms "national deficit" and "national surplus" usually refer to the federal government budget balance from year to year, not the cumulative amount of debt. A deficit year increases the debt, while a surplus year decreases the debt as more money is received than spent.

Macroeconomics is a branch of economics dealing with the performance, structure, behavior, and decision-making of an economy as a whole. This includes regional, national, and global economies. Macroeconomists study aggregated indicators such as GDP, unemployment rates, national income, price indices, and the interrelations among the different sectors of the economy to better understand how the whole economy functions. They also develop models that explain the relationship between such factors as national income, output, consumption, unemployment, inflation, saving, investment, international trade, and international finance.

Contents

Overview

A statutorily imposed debt ceiling has been in effect since 1917 when the US Congress passed the Second Liberty Bond Act . Before 1917 there was no debt ceiling in force, but there were parliamentary procedural limitations on the amount of debt that could be issued by the government.

Except for about a year during 1835–1836, the United States has continuously had a fluctuating public debt since the US Constitution legally went into effect on March 4, 1789. Debts incurred during the American Revolutionary War and under the Articles of Confederation led to the first yearly report on the amount of the debt ($75,463,476.52 on January 1, 1791 [1] ). Every president since Herbert Hoover has added to the national debt expressed in absolute dollars.

American Revolutionary War War between Great Britain and the Thirteen Colonies, which won independence as the United States of America

The American Revolutionary War (1775–1783), also known as the American War of Independence, was an 18th-century war between Great Britain and its Thirteen Colonies which declared independence as the United States of America.

Articles of Confederation first constitution of the United States

The Articles of Confederation and Perpetual Union was an agreement among the 13 original states of the United States of America that served as its first constitution. It was approved, after much debate, by the Second Continental Congress on November 15, 1777, and sent to the states for ratification. The Articles of Confederation came into force on March 1, 1781, after being ratified by all 13 states. A guiding principle of the Articles was to preserve the independence and sovereignty of the states. The weak central government established by the Articles received only those powers which the former colonies had recognized as belonging to king and parliament.

Herbert Hoover 31st president of the United States

Herbert Clark Hoover was an American engineer, businessman, and politician who served as the 31st president of the United States from 1929 to 1933. A member of the Republican Party, he held office during the onset of the Great Depression. Prior to serving as president, Hoover led the Commission for Relief in Belgium, served as the director of the U.S. Food Administration, and served as the 3rd U.S. Secretary of Commerce.

Early history

Prior to 1917, the United States did not have a debt ceiling, with Congress either authorizing specific loans or allowing Treasury to issue certain debt instruments and individual debt issues for specific purposes. Sometimes Congress gave Treasury discretion over what type of debt instrument would be issued. [2]

Between 1788 and 1917 Congress would authorise each bond issue by the United States Treasury by passing a legislative act that approved the issue and the amount.

In 1917, during World War I, Congress created the debt ceiling with the Second Liberty Bond Act of 1917, which allowed Treasury to issue bonds and take on other debt without specific Congressional approval, as long as the total debt fell under the statutory debt ceiling. The 1917 legislation set limits on the aggregate amount of debt that could be accumulated through individual categories of debt (such as bonds and bills).

In 1939, Congress instituted the first limit on total accumulated debt over all kinds of instruments. [3] The debt ceiling, in which an aggregate limit is applied to nearly all federal debt, was substantially established by Public Debt Acts [4] [5] passed in 1939 and 1941 and subsequently amended. The United States Public Debt Act of 1939 eliminated separate limits on different types of debt. [6] The Public Debt Act of 1941 raised the aggregate debt limit on all obligations to $65 billion, and consolidated nearly all federal borrowing under the U.S. Treasury and eliminated the tax-exemption of interest and profit on government debt. [6]

Subsequent Public Debt Acts amended the aggregate debt limit: the 1942, 1943, 1944, and 1945 acts raised the limit to $125 billion, $210 billion, $260 billion, and $300 billion respectively. [6] In 1946, the Public Debt Act was amended to reduce the debt limit to $275 billion. [6] The limit stayed unchanged until 1954, the Korean War being financed through taxation. [7]

A feature of the Public Debt Acts, unlike the 1919 Victory Liberty Bond Act which financed American costs in the First World War, was that the new ceiling was set about 10% above the actual federal debt at the time. [7]

1970s

Prior to the Budget and Impoundment Control Act of 1974, the debt ceiling played an important role since Congress had few opportunities to hold hearings and debates on the budget. [8] James Surowiecki argued that the debt ceiling lost its usefulness after these reforms to the budget process. [9]

In 1979, noting the potential problems of hitting a default, Dick Gephardt imposed the "Gephardt Rule," a parliamentary rule that deemed the debt ceiling raised when a budget was passed. This resolved the contradiction in voting for appropriations but not voting to fund them. The rule stood until it was repealed by Congress in 1995. [10]

Number of requests for increase

Depending on who is doing the research, it is said that the US has raised its debt ceiling (in some form or other) at least 90 times in the 20th century. [11]

The debt ceiling was raised 74 times from March 1962 to May 2011, [12] including 18 times under Ronald Reagan, eight times under Bill Clinton, seven times under George W. Bush, and five times under Barack Obama. In practice, the debt ceiling has never been reduced, even though the public debt itself may have reduced.

Congress has raised the debt ceiling 14 times from 2001-2016. The debt ceiling was raised a total of 7 times (total increase of $5365bil) during Pres. Bush's eight-year term and it was raised 11 times (as of 03/2015 a total increase of $6498bil) during Pres. Obama's eight years in office.

1995 debt ceiling crisis

The 1995 request for a debt ceiling increase led to debate in Congress on reduction of the size of the federal government, which led to the non-passage of the federal budget, and the United States federal government shutdown of 1995–96. The ceiling was eventually increased and the government shutdown resolved. [13] [14]

2011 debt ceiling crisis

In 2011, Republicans in Congress used the debt ceiling as leverage for deficit reduction because of the lack of Congressional normal order for fiscal year budget votes on the chamber floors and subsequent conference reconciliations between the House and the Senate for final budgets. The credit downgrade and debt ceiling debacle contributed to the Dow Jones Industrial Average falling 2,000 points in late July and August. Following the downgrade itself, the DJIA had one of its worst days in history and fell 635 points on August 8. [15] The GAO estimated that the delay in raising the debt ceiling raised borrowing costs for the government by $1.3 billion in 2011 and noted that the delay would also raise costs in later years. The Bipartisan Policy Center extended the GAO's estimates and found that the delay raised borrowing costs by $18.9 billion over ten years. [16]

2013 debt ceiling crisis

Following the increase in the debt ceiling to $16.394 trillion in 2011, [17] the United States again reached the debt ceiling on December 31, 2012 and the Treasury began taking extraordinary measures. The fiscal cliff was resolved with the passage of the American Taxpayer Relief Act of 2012 (ATRA), but no action was taken on the debt ceiling. With the ATRA tax cuts, the government indicated that the debt ceiling needed to raise by $700 billion for it to continue financing operations for the rest of the 2013 fiscal year [18] and that extraordinary measures were expected to be exhausted by February 15. [19] Treasury has said it is not set up to prioritize payments, and it's not clear that it would be legal to do so. Given this situation, Treasury would simply delay payments if funds could not be raised through extraordinary measures and the debt ceiling had not been raised. This would put a freeze on 7% of the nation's GDP, a contraction greater than the Great Recession. The economic damage would worsen as recipients of social security benefits, government contracts, and other government payments cut back on spending in response to having the freeze in their revenue. [20]

The No Budget, No Pay Act of 2013 suspended the debt ceiling from February 4, 2013 until May 19, 2013. On May 19, the debt ceiling was formally raised to approximately $16.699 trillion to accommodate the borrowing done during the suspension period. However, after the end of the suspension, the ceiling was raised only to the actual debt at that time, and Treasury needed to activate extraordinary measures to avoid a default. With the impacts of the American Taxpayer Relief Act of 2012 tax increases on those who make $400,000 per year, the 2013 sequester, and a $60 billion payment from Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac that reached the Treasury on June 28, 2013, the extraordinary measures were predicted to last until October 17 by the Treasury, [21] but financial firms suggested funds might have lasted a little longer. Jefferies Group said extraordinary measures might have lasted until the end of October while Credit Suisse estimated mid-November. [22]

Historical debt ceiling levels

Note that this table does not go back to 1917 when the debt ceiling started.

Table of historical debt ceiling levels [23]
DateDebt Ceiling
(billions of dollars)
Change in Debt Ceiling
(billions of dollars)
Statute
June 25, 194049 [24]
February 19, 194165+16
March 28, 1942125+60
April 11, 1943210+85
June 9, 1944260+50
April 3, 1945300+40
June 26, 1946275−25
August 28, 1954281+6
July 9, 1956275−6
February 26, 1958280+5
September 2, 1958288+8
June 30, 1959295+7
June 30, 1960293−2
June 30, 1961298 [25] +5
July 1, 1962308+10
March 31, 1963305−3
June 25, 1963300−5
June 30, 1963307+7
August 31, 1963309+2
November 26, 1963315+6
June 29, 1964324+9
June 24, 1965328+4
June 24, 1966330+2
March 2, 1967336+6
June 30, 1967358+22
June 1, 1968365+7
April 7, 1969377+12
June 30, 1970395+18
March 17, 1971430+35
March 15, 1972450 [26] +20
October 27, 1972465+15
June 30, 1974495+30
February 19, 1975577+82
November 14, 1975595+18
March 15, 1976627+32
June 30, 1976636+9
September 30, 1976682+46
April 1, 1977700+18
October 4, 1977752+52
August 3, 1978798+46
April 2, 1979830+32
September 29, 1979879 [27] +49
June 28, 1980925+46
December 19, 1980935+10
February 7, 1981985+50
September 30, 19811,079+94
June 28, 19821,143+64
September 30, 19821,290+147
May 26, 19831,389+99 Pub.L.   98–34
November 21, 19831,490+101 Pub.L.   98–161
May 25, 19841,520+30
June 6, 19841,573+53 Pub.L.   98–342
October 13, 19841,823+250 Pub.L.   98–475
November 14, 19851,904+81
December 12, 19852,079+175 Pub.L.   99–177
August 21, 19862,111+32 Pub.L.   99–384
October 21, 19862,300+189
May 15, 19872,320 [28] +20
August 10, 19872,352+32
September 29, 19872,800+448 Pub.L.   100–119
August 7, 19892,870+70
November 8, 19893,123+253 Pub.L.   101–140
August 9, 19903,195+72
October 28, 19903,230+35
November 5, 19904,145+915 Pub.L.   101–508
April 6, 19934,370+225
August 10, 19934,900+530 Pub.L.   103–66
March 29, 19965,500+600 Pub.L.   104–121
August 5, 19975,950+450 Pub.L.   105–33
June 11, 20026,400 [29] +450 Pub.L.   107–199
May 27, 20037,384+984 Pub.L.   108–24
November 16, 20048,184 [29] +800 Pub.L.   108–415
March 20, 20068,965 [30] +781 Pub.L.   109–182
September 29, 20079,815+850 Pub.L.   110–91
June 5, 200810,615+800 Pub.L.   110–289
October 3, 200811,315 [31] +700 Pub.L.   110–343
February 17, 200912,104 [32] +789 Pub.L.   111–5
December 24, 200912,394+290 Pub.L.   111–123
February 12, 201014,294+1,900 Pub.L.   111–139
January 30, 201216,394+2,100 Pub.L.   112–25
February 4, 2013Suspended
May 19, 201316,699+305 Pub.L.   113–3
October 17, 2013Suspended
February 7, 201417,212
and auto-adjust
+213 Pub.L.   113–83
March 15, 201518,113
End of auto adjust
+901 Pub.L.   113–83
October 30, 2015Suspended [33] Pub.L.   114–74
March 15, 201719,847 (de facto)+1,734 [n 1]
September 30, 2017Suspended [n 2] Pub.L.   115–56
March 1, 201922,030 (de facto)+2,183 [34]

Reference for values between 1993 and 2015: [35]

Note that:

1. The figures are unadjusted for the time value of money, such as interest and inflation and the size of the economy that generated a debt.

2. The debt ceiling is an aggregate of gross debt, which includes debt in hands of public and in Intragovernment accounts.

3. The debt ceiling does not necessarily reflect the level of actual debt.

4. From March 15 to October 30, 2015 there was a de facto debt limit of $18.153 trillion, [36] due to use of Extraordinary measures. This is how a crisis was avoided.

Notes

  1. No official ceiling published. The debt on March 15, 2017 was $19.846 trillion after reaching an all time high of $19.977 trillion on December 30, 2016. See the US government database on the debt
  2. The debt rose to over $20.1 trillion on September 8, 2017, when the bill to continue the debt limit suspension for fiscal 2018 was passed. The fiscal year started at over $20.3 trillion of debt. US government database on the debt

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Sources