Opinion polling for the 2004 Greek legislative election

In the run up to the 2004 Greek legislative election, various organizations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Greece during the term of the 11th Hellenic Parliament. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous legislative election, held on 9 April 2000, to the day the next election was held, on 7 March 2004.

Polls are listed in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" columns on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a given poll.

Voting intention estimates

Polling

The table below lists nationwide voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. Polls that show their results without disregarding those respondents who were undecided or said they would abstain from voting (either physically or by voting blank) have been re-calculated by disregarding these numbers from the totals offered through a simple rule of three in order to obtain results comparable to other polls and the official election results. When available, seat projections are displayed below the percentages in a smaller font. 151 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Hellenic Parliament. ^[1]

Color key:

  Exit poll

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	PASOK	ND	KKE	SYRIZA	DIKKI	KEP	LAOS	Lead
2004 legislative election	7 Mar 2004	40.6 117	45.4 165	5.9 12	3.3 6	1.8 0	–	2.2 0	4.8
Metron Analysis	17-23 Jan 2004	42.6	45.1	5.4	3.3	1.5	–	2.1	2.5
Opinion	16-21 Jan 2004	41.2	44.5	5.6	3.1	1.2	–	2.2	3.3
DIMEL	12-19 Jan 2004	41.7	45.3	5.9	3.0	1.5	–	1.2	3.6
Metron Analysis	10-14 Jan 2004	42.9	45.8	5.6	2.5	1.1	–	1.1	2.9
Opinion	8-14 Jan 2004	41.3	44.6	5.5	3.1	1.8	–	1.9	3.3
Alco	7-12 Jan 2004	42.0	44.7	5.6	2.8	1.8	–	1.6	2.7
Kapa Research	Dec 2003	37.5	45.9	6.1	3.5	2.4	–	2.9	8.4
Rass	Dec 2003	36.6	46.0	6.0	4.7	2.9	–	2.7	9.4
MRB	Dec 2003	35.6	45.1	5.9	4.2	2.4	–	3.1	9.5
Metron Analysis	Oct 2003	37.2	45.2	6.8	4.2	2.2	–	3.2	8.0
MRB	Oct 2003	36.1	45.1	6.9	3.9	1.9	–	2.3	9.0
VPRC	Sep 2003	36.4	45.9	5.5	3.4	2.0	–	2.8	9.5
DIMEL	Sep 2003	38.8	46.9	6.1	3.1	2.4	–	1.0	8.1
Kapa Research	Sep 2003	38.7	45.8	6.1	3.5	2.5	–	1.8	7.1
Opinion	Sep 2003	37.0	46.0	6.8	2.9	1.8	–	2.4	9.0
Metron Analysis	Sep 2003	36.9	45.1	7.3	4.4	2.2	–	2.6	8.2
Rass	Sep 2003	36.5	45.8	6.3	4.6	2.9	–	1.8	9.3
Alco	Sep 2003	37.4	45.0	6.0	3.5	2.4	–	2.3	7.6
DIMEL	Sep 2003	37.6	48.4	4.8	3.5	2.7	–	2.5	10.8
Prognosis	Jul 2003	34.2	47.0	8.3	3.8	1.8	–	2.6	12.8
Metron Analysis	Jun 2003	36.4	45.9	6.8	4.4	2.4	–	2.6	9.5
Alco	Jun 2003	36.5	46.4	5.9	3.6	2.7	–	2.3	9.9
MRB	May-Jun 2003	34.9	44.6	6.2	4.6	2.9	–	2.8	9.7
Kapa Research	May-Jun 2003	37.5	46.7	6.3	3.8	1.9	–	1.9	9.2
Rass	May 2003	36.1	47.9	5.7	3.1	2.4	–	2.2	11.8
Metron Analysis	Mar 2003	37.0	44.6	6.9	4.7	2.5	–	3.2	7.6
MRB	Feb-Mar 2003	36.1	45.2	5.9	4.0	2.4	–	2.2	9.1
Alco	Feb 2003	37.2	46.3	6.0	3.7	2.2	–	1.8	9.1
Kapa Research	Dec 2002	38.2	44.6	6.2	3.5	2.3	–	3.1	6.4
MRB	Nov 2002	36.9	43.9	6.0	4.0	2.5	–	2.6	7.0
Metron Analysis	Nov 2002	37.2	45.3	6.6	4.2	2.3	–	3.0	8.1
MRB	Sep 2002	35.4	43.9	6.5	3.9	2.6	–	–	8.5
Kapa Research	Sep 2002	38.1	45.8	6.5	3.6	2.2	–	–	7.7
Metron Analysis	Jul 2002	39.1	45.8	5.6	3.2	3.7	–	–	6.7
Metron Analysis	Jun-Jul 2002	36.2	46.8	6.8	3.6	3.5	–	–	10.6
MRB	Jun 2002	34.8	46.3	6.9	3.9	2.9	–	–	11.5
Alco	Jun 2002	35.3	45.4	6.2	3.4	2.6	3.5	–	10.1
VPRC	May 2002	34.8	45.9	6.1	3.6	2.8	3.4	–	11.1
Kapa Research	Apr 2002	34.8	43.4	6.0	3.7	2.2	6.6	–	8.6
Alco	Mar-Apr 2002	34.2	43.2	6.0	3.6	2.5	5.6	–	9.0
MRB	Mar 2002	33.4	43.5	6.0	3.9	2.9	5.2	–	10.1
Metron Analysis	Feb 2002	35.8	43.1	6.1	4.5	2.0	5.9	–	7.3
Kapa Research	Dec 2001	36.8	43.1	6.0	2.9	2.0	6.5	–	6.3
MRB	Nov-Dec 2001	34.6	42.7	5.8	3.7	1.7	7.5	–	8.1
Metron Analysis	Nov 2001	36.7	42.8	6.4	3.8	2.3	5.8	–	6.1
Opinion	Oct-Nov 2001	35.4	42.6	5.4	3.9	2.3	6.8	–	7.2
Alco	Sep 2001	34.2	42.7	6.2	3.5	1.7	8.8	–	8.5
Metron Analysis	Sep 2001	36.6	44.7	6.5	4.0	2.1	6.2	–	8.1
VPRC	Sep 2001	33.5	41.2	5.9	4.2	2.6	8.4	–	7.7
Kapa Research	Sep 2001	36.2	42.6	6.6	3.7	1.8	7.4	–	6.4
VPRC	Jun-Jul 2001	28.3	41.8	5.1	3.9	2.2	15.0	–	13.5
Metron Analysis	Jun-Jul 2001	33.7	42.3	6.2	4.2	2.2	8.6	–	8.6
MRB	Jun 2001	30.9	41.4	6.7	4.0	2.3	10.0	–	10.5
Kapa Research	May 2001	31.4	40.7	7.9	3.7	1.2	12.5	–	9.3
Metron Analysis	May 2001	29.9	40.4	6.8	3.7	2.3	12.2	–	10.5
Opinion	Mar 2001	32.2	36.7	5.4	3.4	2.1	15.5	–	4.5
Kapa Research	Mar 2001	31.9	37.2	6.4	3.5	1.1	15.2	–	5.3
Metron Analysis	Mar 2001	32.2	36.3	6.4	4.2	2.0	16.2	–	4.1
VPRC	Jan 2001	31.0	36.2	6.2	3.1	1.3	18.8	–	5.2
Kapa Research	Jan 2001	35.4	35.1	5.3	3.5	–	17.8	–	0.3
Opinion	Oct 2000	39.4	42.6	6.2	4.2	2.3	–	–	3.2
VPRC	Sep 2000	39.4	42.4	7.4	3.2	1.9	–	–	3.0
2000 legislative election	9 Apr 2000	43.8 158	42.7 125	5.5 11	3.2 6	2.7 0	–	–	1.1

References

1. "Opinion polling - 2000-2003 - by chronological order". eklogesonline.com.