Tobique—Mactaquac Last updated July 10, 2025 Political geography The district includes the counties of Carleton and Victoria as well as the Parish and Village of Saint-André and the eastern part of the County of York (excluding the City of Fredericton and vicinity). The neighbouring ridings are Madawaska—Restigouche , Miramichi , Fredericton , and New Brunswick Southwest . Across the border to Maine , it neighbours the Maine District 2 of the United States House of Representatives .
The electoral district was created in 1996 from portions of the old ridings of Carleton—Charlotte , Fredericton—York—Sunbury , and Madawaska—Victoria . Its creation was very controversial, as it included areas with both large anglophone and francophone populations, while neighbouring communities were placed in other ridings. This seemingly went against the "communities of interest" criterion in drawing electoral boundaries.
Following the 2012 federal electoral distribution , this riding gained territory from Fredericton and lost a small territory to the new riding of Miramichi—Grand Lake .
Following the 2022 Canadian federal electoral redistribution , the riding gained the Parishes of Dumfries , Prince William , Manners Sutton , and Kingsclear , and the municipalities of Hanwell , and Harvey and the Indian Reserve of Kingsclear 6 from New Brunswick Southwest , while its border with Fredericton—Oromocto (replacing Fredericton ) was rerouted to follow the northern border of the City of Fredericton (2023 borders), and it lost the parishes of Drummond and Grand Falls and the municipalities of Saint-André , Grand Falls and Drummond to Madawaska—Restigouche .
Demographics Historical population Year 2001 70,105 — 2006 68,352 −2.5% 2011 68,709 +0.5% 2016 68,673 −0.1% 2021 69,344 +1.0%
According to the 2021 Canadian census ; 2023 representation [ 4] Racial groups: 91.8% White, 5.8% IndigenousLanguages: 92.8% English, 4.8% FrenchReligions: 60.1% Christian (15.5% Catholic, 13.4% Baptist, 6.4% United Church, 6.0% Anglican, 4.6% Pentecostal, 1.9% Methodist, 1.4% Presbyterian, 11.0% Other), 38.1% No religion Median income (2020): $36,800 Average income (2020): $45,280
History On two separate occasions Tobique—Mactaquac has been involved in party nomination controversies. In the 1997 election , the Liberals were alleged to have rigged their meeting to choose Pierrette Ringuette , the Member of Parliament for the defunct Madawaska—Victoria riding. The meeting was held in Grand Falls , near her hometown and at the far northern end of the riding. Because of sound problems, only her speech was carried over the loudspeakers. Ringuette-Maltais lost the election to Gilles Bernier of the Progressive Conservatives .
In the 2004 election , the Conservative Party selected Adam Richardson, who had run for the Canadian Alliance in the 2000 election , but the national head office refused to sign his nomination papers, apparently because of Richardson's demands that party leader Stephen Harper apologize for allegedly derogatory comments about Atlantic Canadians. The eventual Conservative candidate, Mike Allen , lost to Liberal incumbent Andy Savoy .
Election results Graph of election results in Tobique—Mactaquac (1996-, minor parties that never got 2% of the vote or didn't run consistently are omitted)
This riding gained territory from Fredericton and lost territory to Miramichi—Grand Lake for the 42nd Canadian federal election .
2021 Canadian federal election Party Candidate Votes % Expenditures Conservative Richard Bragdon 17,536 50.98 +0.7 $45,965.28 Liberal Cully Robinson 8,223 23.90 -1.3 $10,342.40 New Democratic Meriet Gray Miller 3,656 10.63 +2.7 $0.00 People's Daniel Joseph Waggoner 2,930 8.52 +6.0 $2,750.09 Green Anthony Martin 1,657 4.82 -9.3 $5,670.46 Independent Steven J. LaForest 398 1.15 N/A $0.00 Total valid votes/expense limit 34,400 99.2 – $107,922.33 Total rejected ballots 291 0.8 Turnout 34,691 62.0 Registered voters 55,973 Conservative hold Swing +1.0 Source: Elections Canada [ 8]
2019 Canadian federal election Party Candidate Votes % Expenditures Conservative Richard Bragdon 19,229 50.34 +13.32 $31,254.86 Liberal Kelsey MacDonald 9,631 25.21 -21.40 $12,723.90 Green Rowan P. Miller 5,398 14.13 +9.03 $11,462.77 New Democratic Megan Aiken 3,007 7.87 -3.41 $0.00 People's Dominic Guay 936 2.45 - $402.50 Total valid votes/expense limit 38,201 100.00 Total rejected ballots 376 0.97 +0.33 Turnout 38,577 70.01 -0.78 Eligible voters 55,104 Conservative gain from Liberal Swing +17.36 Source: Elections Canada [ 9] [ 10]
2015 Canadian federal election Party Candidate Votes % Expenditures Liberal T. J. Harvey 17,909 46.61 +30.38 $67,600.14 Conservative Richard Bragdon 14,225 37.02 -25.12 $57,487.20 New Democratic Robert Kitchen 4,334 11.28 -7.86 $6,199.56 Green Terry Wishart 1,959 5.10 +2.62 $3,275.40 Total valid votes/expense limit 38,427 100.00 $204,512.49 Total rejected ballots 248 0.64 – Turnout 38,675 71.79 – Eligible voters 53,870 Liberal gain from Conservative Swing +27.75 Source: Elections Canada [ 11] [ 12]
2011 Canadian federal election Party Candidate Votes % Expenditures Conservative Mike Allen 21,108 62.70 +5.21 $44,047.06 New Democratic Pierre Cyr 6,388 18.98 +3.61 $4,796.14 Liberal Charles Chiasson 5,337 15.85 -5.70 $29,831.59 Green Rish McGlynn 831 2.47 -3.29 $5.82 Total valid votes/expense limit 33,664 100.0 $84,385.35 Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots 256 0.75 -0.33 Turnout 33,920 63.91 +4.18 Eligible voters 53,073 Conservative hold Swing +0.80 Sources: [ 14] [ 15]
2008 Canadian federal election Party Candidate Votes % Expenditures Conservative Mike Allen 18,071 57.49 +13.70 $61,678.30 Liberal Sally McGrath 6,773 21.55 -21.32 $26,392.40 New Democratic Alice Finnamore 4,830 15.37 +3.87 $8,535.56 Green Mark Glass 1,810 5.76 +3.89 $1,492.00 Total valid votes/expense limit 31,433 100.0 $81,901 Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots 343 1.08 +0.04 Turnout 31,776 59.73 -8.02 Eligible voters 53,203 Conservative hold Swing +17.51
2006 Canadian federal election Party Candidate Votes % Expenditures Conservative Mike Allen 15,894 43.79 +4.20 $66,976.92 Liberal Andy Savoy 15,558 42.87 -5.36 $70,900.54 New Democratic Alice Finnamore 4,172 11.50 +3.00 $9,442.17 Green Robert Bérubé Jr. 679 1.87 -1.81 none listed Total valid votes/expense limit 36,292 100.0 $76,462 Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots 383 1.04 Turnout 36,675 67.75 +3.75 Eligible voters 54,135 Conservative gain from Liberal Swing +4.78
2004 Canadian federal election Party Candidate Votes % Expenditures Liberal Andy Savoy 16,787 48.23 +15.82 $74,481.32 Conservative Mike Allen 13,779 39.59 -24.32 $60,455.56 New Democratic Jason Mapplebeck 2,957 8.50 +4.82 $1,645.00 Green Scott Jones 1,282 3.68 – $882.20 Total valid votes/expense limit 34,805 100.0 $74,648 Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots 349 1.0 Turnout 35,154 64.00 -2.29 Eligible voters 54,931 Liberal notional gain from Progressive Conservative Swing +20.07 Changes from 2000 are based on redistributed results. Conservative Party change is based on the combination of Canadian Alliance and Progressive Conservative Party totals.
References Notes ↑ Statistics Canada : 2011 ↑ "Canada Gazette, Part I, Volume 159, Number 6" . Government of Canada. April 22, 2025. Retrieved April 27, 2025 . ↑ Statistics Canada : 2011 ↑ "Census Profile, 2021 Census of Population" . August 2, 2024. ↑ "Voter information service" . Elections Canada . Retrieved May 5, 2025 . ↑ "Election Night Results - Electoral Districts" . Elections Canada. Retrieved May 27, 2025 . ↑ "Transposition of Votes from the 44th General Election to the 2023 Representation Orders" . Elections Canada . Retrieved April 9, 2024 . ↑ "Confirmed candidates — Tobique—Mactaquac" . Elections Canada . Retrieved September 20, 2021 . ↑ "List of confirmed candidates" . Elections Canada . Retrieved October 3, 2019 . ↑ "Election Night Results" . Elections Canada. Retrieved November 13, 2019 . ↑ Elections Canada – Confirmed candidates for Tobique—Mactaquac, 30 September 2015 ↑ Elections Canada – Preliminary Election Expenses Limits for Candidates ↑ Pundits' Guide to Canadian Elections ↑ Elections Canada – Official voting results, Forty-first general election, 2011 ↑ Elections Canada – Candidate's electoral campaign return, 41st general election This page is based on this
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