Trust in numbers

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Trust in Numbers: The Pursuit of Objectivity in Science and Public Life
Author Theodore Porter
LanguageEnglish
Subjects Sociology of quantification
Politics
History of Statistics
Publisher Princeton University Press
Publication date
1995
Pages328
ISBN 978-0691029085

Trust in numbers: the pursuit of objectivity in science and public life is a book by Theodore Porter, published in 1995 by Princeton University Press, [1] that proposes that quantification in public life is driven by bureaucratic necessities to obtain legitimacy through objectivity.

Contents

Synopsis

In 'Trust in Numbers: The Pursuit of Objectivity in Science and Public Life', Theodore Porter reverses the classic notion that quantification descends from the successes of natural sciences being adopted by other disciplines, to investigate instead the opposite movement, whereby quantification is driven by political, administrative and bureaucratic necessities to standardize, communicate, and obtain legitimacy through objectivity. [2]

The appeal of numbers is especially compelling to bureaucratic officials who lack the mandate of a popular election, or divine right, p. 8. [1] 

After noting how officials fear being criticized for arbitrariness and bias, he concludes:

A decision made by the numbers (or by explicit rules of some other sort) has at least the appearance of being fair and impersonal, p. 8. [1] 

Thus, "trust may sometimes be based less on the solidity of the numbers themselves than on the needs of expert and client communities". [3]

Main

Defined as the book that comes closest to establishing a common theoretical language for Sociology of quantification, [4] the work of Porter adopts a historical and sociological style of analysis that is indebted to Bruno Latour and Steven Shapin. [2] An important element of Porter's analysis concerns the meaning of objectivity and how it has arisen historically, and what role numbers have played in its construction. [2] For Porter, 'mechanical objectivity' is sought and obtained via quantitative methods that ensure a procedural forms of accountability. He calls these procedures 'technologies of distance' that ensure compliance with impersonal rules excluding bias and personal preferences. [5]

Based on a number of case studies in different countries - actuaries in the UK and US, engineers in France and in the US - Porter demonstrates that the allure of quantitative and standardized measures does not derive from their success in the natural sciences, but arise from the need of professional groups to "respond to external social and political pressures demanding accountability". [5]

The author traces the history of Cost-benefit analysis in a way that make evident the bureaucratic and political conflicts whereby actuaries and experts of different disciplines fought to maintain structures of power and privilege within national styles and contexts. In the US, tensions existed between the Bureau of Reclamation and the Army Corp of Engineers. Each institutions produced cost benefit analyses that were designed to favor the respective interests of the two institutions and their respective stakeholders. In Victorian England actuaries and the accountants fought to thwart attempts by the authorities to introduce standards of accounting, as to defend the nuanced expertise of the respective crafts. [3] In a sense, the work of Porter makes clear how objectivity is an alternative to personal trust. [6] He illustrate the point by comparing the practices and contexts of the Army Corp of Engineers in the US versus those of Les Ingénieurs des Ponts et Chaussées in France, pp. 114–190. [1]

The very last chapter of Trust In Numbers shows - following a critical path opened by Sharon Traweek, p. 222 [1] - that in the most highly developed and leading research communities, for example among high-energy physicists, numbers and quantification are not center stage - a place that is taken by a community of trust, where a “personal knowledge” is at play, that ensures the creativity and vitality of the discipline, a point made by other STS scholars. [7] [8] As noted by the author, the quantitative element of 'mechanical objectivity' is more present in academic fields like economics, sociology and psychology than they are in physics. This chapter has been suggested as the most relevant for practicing research scientists. [3]

For sociologist Trevor Pinch the most important aspect of this book is to demystify the concept that the more mathematical the science the higher its prestige, and to achieve this through a comparative investigation of how different sciences make use of mathematics in different contexts". [2]

"Trust in Numbers" has been suggested as of particular relevance to the field of Digital Humanities. [6]

Reception

In 1997, Porter was awarded the Ludwik Fleck Prize for Trust in Numbers. [5] More than 40 reviews have been written about the book, including from Michel Callon, Philip Mirowski, Sheila Jasanoff, Roy MacLeod, Mary S. Morgan, Trevor Pinch, Jerry Ravetz, Jessica Riskin, E. Roy Weintraub, and many others. [5]

Related Research Articles

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">Authority</span> Legitimate power to decide or authorize

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">Science and technology studies</span> Academic field

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">Public sociology</span>

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">Social construction of technology</span> Theory in science and technology studies

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Post-normal science (PNS) was developed in the 1990s by Silvio Funtowicz and Jerome R. Ravetz. It is a problem-solving strategy appropriate when "facts [are] uncertain, values in dispute, stakes high and decisions urgent", conditions often present in policy-relevant research. In those situations, PNS recommends suspending temporarily the traditional scientific ideal of truth, concentrating on quality as assessed by internal and extended peer communities.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Theodore Porter</span> American historian

Theodore M. Porter is a professor who specializes in the history of science in the Department of History at UCLA. He has authored several books, including The Rise of Statistical Thinking, 1820-1900; and Trust in Numbers: The Pursuit of Objectivity in Science and Public Life, the latter a vast reference for sociology of quantification. His most recent book, published by Princeton University Press in 2018, is Genetics in the Madhouse: The Unknown History of Human Heredity. He graduated from Stanford University with an A.B. in history in 1976 and earned a Ph.D. from Princeton University in 1981. In 2008, he was elected to the American Academy of Arts and Sciences. In 2023, he received the George Sarton Medal for lifetime achievement from the History of Science Society.

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Sensitivity auditing is an extension of sensitivity analysis for use in policy-relevant modelling studies. Its use is recommended - i.a. in the European Commission Impact assessment guidelines and by the European Science Academies- when a sensitivity analysis (SA) of a model-based study is meant to demonstrate the robustness of the evidence provided by the model in the context whereby the inference feeds into a policy or decision-making process.

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">Andrea Saltelli</span> Italian researcher (born 1953)

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The New Politics of Numbers: Utopia, evidence and democracy is a multi-author book edited by sociologists Andrea Mennicken and Robert Salais and published in 2022 by Palgrave Macmillan.

References

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 Porter, T. M. (1995). Trust in Numbers: The Pursuit of Objectivity in Science and Public Life, Princeton University Press.
  2. 1 2 3 4 Pinch, T. (1996). Trust in Numbers: The Pursuit of Objectivity in Science and Public Life. Theodore M. Porter. American Journal of Sociology, 101(6), 1786–1787.
  3. 1 2 3 Ravetz, J. R. (1997). In Numbers We Trust | Issues in Science and Technology. Issues in Science and Technology, 13(2). Retrieved from https://issues.org/ravetz/.
  4. Popp Berman, E., & Hirschman, D. (2018). The Sociology of Quantification: Where Are We Now? Contemporary Sociology, 47(3), 257–266.
  5. 1 2 3 4 Hagendijk, R. (1999). An Agenda for STS: Porter on Trust and Quantification in Science, Politics and Society. Social Studies of Science, 29(4), 629–637.
  6. 1 2 Koller, G. (2012, October 4). Trust in Numbers. Review for the Digital Humanities. Retrieved from https://wethink.hypotheses.org/758.
  7. Collins, H. M. (1975). The Seven Sexes: A Study in the Sociology of a Phenomenon, or the Replication of Experiments in Physics. Sociology, 9(2), 205–224.
  8. Ravetz, J. R. (1971). Scientific knowledge and its social problems, Oxford University Press.