2028 Democratic Party presidential primaries

Last updated

The 2028 Democratic Party presidential primaries will occur to select delegates to the 2028 Democratic National Convention to determine the party's nominee in the 2028 United States presidential election. [1]

Contents

Potential candidates

Opinion polling

Poll sourceDate(s) administeredSample size [lower-alpha 1] Margin of errorPete
Buttigieg
Kamala
Harris
Gavin
Newsom
Other/
Undecided
Echelon Insights January 16-18, 2024499 (RV)± 3.4%13%33%11%43% [lower-alpha 2]

Notes

  1. Key:
    A - all adults
    RV - registered voters
    LV - likely voters
    V - unclear
  2. Pritzker and Whitmer with 3%. Fetterman, Shapiro, and Warnock with 2%. Beshear and Moore with 1%. Someone else with 4%. Unsure with 14%.

Related Research Articles

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Politics of Pennsylvania</span> Politics of a U.S. state

Pennsylvania has been considered a swing state throughout its entire history as it only voted for the nationwide loser on only 10 occasions, meaning it has voted for the national winner 83% of the time as of 2020. Although, it generally supported Republicans between the Civil War and New Deal eras, as it voted Republican in every election between 1860 and 1932, except for 1912, when the Republican vote was split. Even then, the state's strong Republican ties meant that it backed Republican-turned-Progressive Theodore Roosevelt. The state backed a Democrat in 1936 for the first time since 1856. Pennsylvania generally leaned Democratic since the 1990s, as it backed the Democratic presidential candidate in every election since 1992 except in 2016, when it was won by Republican candidate Donald Trump with a plurality.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania</span> Class III U.S. Senate election in Pennsylvania

The 2016 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania took place on November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in numerous other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primaries were held on April 26. Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Pat Toomey was reelected to a second term in a close race, defeating Democratic nominee Katie McGinty and Libertarian Party nominee Edward Clifford. With a margin of 1.43%, this election was the second-closest race of the 2016 Senate election cycle, behind only the election in New Hampshire.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2018 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania</span> Class I U.S. Senate election in Pennsylvania

The 2018 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania took place on November 6, 2018, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Pennsylvania, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. The primary elections were held on May 15. Incumbent Democratic Senator Bob Casey Jr. ran for re-election to a third term. Casey, who faced no primary opposition, defeated the Republican nominee, Lou Barletta, Green Party nominee Neal Gale, and Libertarian Party nominee Dale Kerns. Casey was the first senator to be elected to a third term from Pennsylvania since Arlen Specter in 1992, and the first Pennsylvania Democrat to be popularly elected to three terms in the Senate.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2018 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election</span>

The 2018 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the Governor and Lieutenant Governor of Pennsylvania, concurrently with the election of Pennsylvania's Class I U.S. Senate seat, as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various local elections. Incumbent Governor Tom Wolf won re-election to a second term by a double-digit margin, defeating Republican challenger Scott Wagner and two third-party candidates from the Green Party, Paul Glover and Libertarian Party, Ken Krawchuk. The primary elections were held on May 15. This was the only Democratic-held governorship up for election in 2018 in a state Donald Trump won in the 2016 presidential election.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 United States Senate elections</span>

The 2022 United States Senate elections were held on November 8, 2022, concurrently with other midterm elections at the federal, state and local levels. Regularly scheduled elections were held for 34 of the 100 seats in the U.S. Senate, the winners of which will serve six-year terms beginning with the 118th United States Congress. Two special elections were held to complete unexpired terms. While pundits considered the Republican Party a slight favorite to gain control of the Senate, Senate Democrats outperformed expectations and expanded the majority they had held since 2021, gaining one seat for a functioning 51–49 majority.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania</span> Election of John Fetterman as US Senator

The 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania. Democratic lieutenant governor John Fetterman won his first term in office, defeating Republican surgeon Mehmet Oz. Fetterman succeeded incumbent Republican senator Pat Toomey, who did not seek re-election after two terms. This was the only U.S. Senate seat to flip parties in the 2022 midterms.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 United States Senate election in Wisconsin</span> Selection process for the states next member of Congress

The 2022 United States Senate election in Wisconsin was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate from Wisconsin. The party primaries were held on August 9, 2022. Incumbent Republican Senator Ron Johnson won re-election to a third term, defeating Democratic lieutenant governor Mandela Barnes by 26,718 votes or 1%.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania</span>

The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the 18 U.S. representatives from the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania, one from each of the state's 18 congressional districts.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States elections</span>

The 2024 United States elections are scheduled to be held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024. During this presidential election year, the president and vice president will be elected. In addition, all 435 seats in the United States House of Representatives and 34 of the 100 seats in the United States Senate will be contested to determine the membership of the 119th United States Congress. Thirteen state and territorial governorships and numerous other state and local elections will also be contested.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 United States Senate election in Georgia</span>

The 2022 United States Senate election in Georgia was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the U.S. Senate to represent the state of Georgia. Incumbent Democratic senator Raphael Warnock won his first full term in office, defeating Republican former football player Herschel Walker. Under Georgia's two-round system, Warnock was re-elected in a runoff election on December 6 after neither candidate received over 50% of the vote on November 8.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States Senate election in Indiana</span>

The 2024 United States Senate election in Indiana will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Indiana. Primary elections will take place on May 7, 2024. Incumbent one-term Republican Senator Mike Braun has declined to run for a second term in office, opting instead to run for governor. This will be the first election for this seat in which there is no incumbent running since 1958.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election</span> Election of Josh Shapiro as Pennsylvania Governor

The 2022 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Pennsylvania and lieutenant governor of Pennsylvania. State Attorney General Josh Shapiro defeated State Senator Doug Mastriano by 14.8 percentage points to succeed term-limited incumbent governor Tom Wolf (D). Primaries were held on May 17, 2022. Shapiro won the Democratic nomination after running unopposed and Mastriano won the Republican nomination with 44% of the vote. Mastriano's nomination drew attention due to his far-right political views.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020–21 United States Senate special election in Georgia</span>

The 2020–21 United States Senate special election in Georgia was held on November 3, 2020, and on January 5, 2021, to elect the Class III member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Georgia. Democrat Raphael Warnock defeated appointed incumbent Republican Kelly Loeffler. The first round of the election was held on November 3, 2020; however, no candidate received a majority of the vote, so the top two candidates—Warnock and Loeffler—advanced to a runoff on January 5, 2021, which Warnock won narrowly.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania</span>

The 2024 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Pennsylvania. Primary elections will take place on April 23, 2024. Incumbent three-term Democratic Senator Bob Casey Jr. announced his intention to run for a fourth term on April 10, 2023.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 Michigan gubernatorial election</span> Re-election of Gretchen Whitmer as Governor of Michigan

The 2022 Michigan gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Michigan. Incumbent Democratic Governor Gretchen Whitmer ran for re-election to a second term and faced former political commentator Tudor Dixon in the general election. Whitmer defeated Dixon by a margin of 10.6 percentage points, a wider margin than polls indicated as well as a wider margin than Whitmer's first victory four years prior. According to Ron Brownstein of CNN in 2023, Whitmer won independent voters by double-digit margins, which contributed to Dixon's defeat.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania</span>

The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania were held on November 8, 2022, to elect representatives for the seventeen seats in Pennsylvania.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2023 Kentucky gubernatorial election</span>

The 2023 Kentucky gubernatorial election was held on November 7, 2023, to elect the governor and lieutenant governor of Kentucky. Incumbent Democratic governor Andy Beshear won re-election to a second term, defeating Republican state attorney general Daniel Cameron.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States House of Representatives elections in New York</span>

The 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in New York will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect the 26 U.S. representatives from the State of New York, one from all 26 of the state's congressional districts. The elections will coincide with the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The primary elections are scheduled for June 25, 2024.

Presidential primaries and caucuses will be held in 2028, to select delegates to the 2028 Republican National Convention that determine the party's nominee for president in the 2028 United States presidential election. The Republican primaries and caucuses will take place in all 50 U.S. states, the District of Columbia, and five U.S. territories. The 2028 Republican National Convention is scheduled to be held at the Toyota Center in Houston, Texas.

References

  1. 1 2 McCarthy, Mia (February 7, 2024). "What the 2024 State of State addresses tell us about the 2028 presidential race". Politico . Retrieved February 25, 2024.
  2. Gans, Jared (November 8, 2023). "Beshear's star rises after Kentucky victory". The Hill.
  3. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Scher, Bill (December 26, 2023). "Which 2028 Presidential Wannabe Had the Best Year?". Politico.
  4. 1 2 3 4 5 McCaskill, Nolan D. (October 25, 2022). "Who will lead progressives after Bernie Sanders?". Los Angeles Times.
  5. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Dovere, Edward-Isaac (December 3, 2023). "These Democrats could be contenders for their party's nomination in 2028. But first, they must boost Biden in 2024". CNN.
  6. Dorman, John L. "James Carville dismisses concerns that Democrats don't have a strong presidential bench for 2028: 'So many people, it's breathtaking'". Business Insider. Retrieved 2024-02-18.
  7. 1 2 3 Geraghty, Jim (December 27, 2023). "If You Want to Be a Party's 2028 Nominee, Work Hard Now". National Review.
  8. Scher, Bill (December 26, 2023). "Which 2028 Presidential Wannabe Had the Best Year?". Politico.
  9. Wong, Scott; Santaliz, Kate (March 2, 2023). "Maryland Gov. Wes Moore generates buzz — and his own selfie line — rallying House Democrats". NBC News.
  10. O'Dowd, Niall (October 13, 2023). "Could Senator Chris Murphy be the next Irish American president after Biden?". Irish Central. Retrieved January 22, 2024.
  11. Stanage, Niall (July 29, 2022). "The Memo: No, really — What if Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez runs for president?". The Hill.
  12. Wierson, Arick (October 29, 2023). "Opinion: There may be more to Dean Phillips' 'moon shot' presidential bid than meets the eye". CNN.
  13. 1 2 Barkan, Ross (July 13, 2022). "Who Comes After Bernie?". Intelligencer.
  14. Chakraborty, Barnini (December 9, 2022). "Raphael Warnock eyed as early contender for 2028 presidential race following runoff win". Washington Examiner.