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538 members of the Electoral College 270 electoral votes needed to win | |||||||
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2028 electoral map, based on the results of the 2020 census | |||||||
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Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in the United States on November 7, 2028, to elect the president and vice president for a term of four years. In the 2024 elections, the Republican Party retained its majority in the House of Representatives and gained control of the Senate. Then-former president Donald Trump won a non-consecutive second term; he is ineligible for a third term as per the term limits imposed by the Twenty-second Amendment to the United States Constitution.
The Republican Party returned to power in the United States in January 2025 with a government trifecta following the 2024 elections. Donald Trump, who was elected president in 2016 but lost a re-election bid in 2020 to Joe Biden, defeated Vice President Kamala Harris, who began her campaign following Biden's exit from the 2024 election. This election also saw JD Vance, a then-senator from Ohio, defeat Minnesota governor Tim Walz for the vice presidency. Trump's victory was credited to a post-pandemic surge in inflation, [a] a migrant crisis at the U.S.–Mexico border, [b] and a global anti-incumbent backlash. [7] [8] [9] In addition, Republicans secured control of the Senate, flipping four seats and earning a three-seat majority, while also retaining a House majority, though the party's majority narrowed to three seats after losing two seats. [10]
The president and vice president of the United States are elected through the Electoral College, determined by the number of senators and representatives with an additional three representatives for Washington, D.C. A majority of 270 votes is needed to win the election. Forty-eight states use a winner-take-all system, in which states award all of their electors to the winner of the popular vote. In Maine and Nebraska, two votes are allocated to the winner of the popular vote, while each of the individual congressional districts have one vote. Electoral votes are certified by state electors in December and by Congress on January 6. [11] Presidential candidates are selected in a presidential primary, conducted through primary elections run by state governments or caucuses run by state parties which bind convention delegates to candidates. [12] A brokered convention occurs when a candidate does not receive a majority of votes on the first round of voting, [13] or when a candidate withdraws. [14]
Election Day in the United States is held on the first Tuesday that falls after the first Monday in November. [15] The 2028 presidential election will occur on November 7, 2028.
The United States Constitution limits occupancy of the presidency to individuals who are at least thirty-five, who have been a resident in the United States for at least fourteen years, and who are a natural-born citizen. [16] Section three of the Fourteenth Amendment prevents current and former federal, state, and military officials from holding office—including the presidency—if they have "engaged in insurrection or rebellion" against the United States; [17] in March 2024, the Supreme Court unanimously ruled in Trump v. Anderson that former president Donald Trump could seek office after challenges to his ballot eligibility were raised by several state attorneys general. [18] A convicted felon may serve as president. [19]
Incumbent president Trump along with former presidents Bill Clinton, George W. Bush, and Barack Obama are ineligible to be elected to a third term, as the Twenty-second Amendment forbids any person from being elected president more than twice. [20]
Most U.S. states are usually not highly competitive in presidential elections, often voting consistently for the same party due to longstanding demographic and ideological differences. In the Electoral College, this results in major-party candidates primarily focusing their campaigns on swing states, which can swing between parties from election to election. These states are critical for a presidential candidate's path to victory. For 2028, the expected swing states likely include the Rust Belt states of Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan, and the Sun Belt states of Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, and North Carolina, all of which narrowly voted for Trump in 2024. [21] [22] [23] Other possible swing states include traditional Democratic strongholds that shifted toward Trump and were only narrowly won by Harris in 2024: New Jersey [24] [25] and Minnesota; [26] though 2025 polls show a reversal of pro-Trump trends. [27]
States formerly considered swing states, such as Florida, Iowa, and Ohio, voted for Trump in all three of his previous election bids, as well as for Republican candidates in other state and federal elections, with increasing margins in each election and are now seen as solidly red states. [28] [29] [30] Former red or swing states that, since 2008, have consistently voted Democratic include Colorado, New Hampshire, New Mexico, and Virginia. [31] Due to its recent record of voting Democratic even during Republican national victories, Nebraska's 2nd congressional district has been called "the Blue Dot". [32] [33]
Don Bacon has served as the representative of Nebraska's 2nd congressional district since 2017. He is considered to be one of the most moderate Republican members of Congress. After announcing his retirement ahead of the 2026 United States House of Representatives elections, he stated that he was interested in serving in an executive role, such as governor of Nebraska or president. [34] [35]
Rand Paul has served as a U.S. senator from Kentucky since 2011. His father, Ron Paul, is a former U.S. Representative from Texas who sought the presidency thrice—once in 1988 with the Libertarian Party and with the Republicans in 2008 and 2012. Rand Paul ran for president in 2016. While Paul has generally been a supporter of Donald Trump since the latter first became president, he has been a critic of Trump on different occasions concerning mass deportations, [36] foreign policy, [37] tariffs, [38] and Trump's attitude towards the constitution. [39]
Paul has been mentioned by a possible contender by The Hill, with a Republican strategist in April 2025 noting him alongside Senators Tom Cotton, Ted Cruz and Josh Hawley as former Senate colleagues who could complicate JD Vance's path to the nomination. [40] In late May, CNN described Paul as a senator with "2028 ambitions", outlining his critiques of Trump's One Big Beautiful Bill Act delivered in the electorally-critical state of Iowa. [41] During an event in Shepherdsville, Kentucky, in July 2025, Paul declined to rule out a run for president, expressing a desire for someone in the Republican Party who supports international trade. [42] In September 2025, Paul expressed an interest in running for president in 2028 in multiple interviews. [43] [44]
Marco Rubio is the United States Secretary of State and served as a U.S. senator from Florida from 2011 to 2025. Rubio sought the Republican nomination for president of the United States in 2016, losing to Donald Trump. Six former secretaries of state have been elected president of the United States and Rubio has been mentioned as a potential candidate by The Hill [45] as well as CNN. [46] President Trump later mentioned Rubio as a potential successor in May 2025. [47] [48] According to The Wall Street Journal , Rubio has considered running with JD Vance as his vice president, [49] although it was later speculated in November that Vance and Rubio would likely run against each other. [50]
Eric Trump is a businessman, activist, and former reality television presenter. He is a son of U.S. President Donald Trump. In June 2025, in an interview with the Financial Times , he left open the possibility of himself or a family member running in 2028, saying "the political path" for a family dynasty "would be an easy one" and that he could do the job "very effectively". [51] [52] [53] In September 2025 in an interview with Nikkei Asia , Trump again expressed his openness to run for president. [54] [55]
Greg Abbott is a politician, attorney, and jurist serving since 2015 as the 48th governor of Texas. He served from 2002 to 2015 as the 50th attorney general of Texas and from 1996 to 2001 as a justice of the Texas Supreme Court. Abbott is the longest-serving incumbent governor in the United States. Abbott has been noted as a potential contender by Politico [56] and the Houston Chronicle. [57]
Tom Cotton has served as a U.S. senator from Arkansas since 2015. A staunch Trump ally, Cotton is considered a hardliner within the GOP who has repeatedly called for the use of force against opponents of the president and the Republican agenda. [58] [59] He has been mentioned as a potential candidate by The Hill , [40] the Associated Press, [60] and CNN. [46]
Ted Cruz has served as a U.S. senator from Texas since 2013. The runner-up to Donald Trump in the 2016 Republican Party presidential primaries, Cruz has said that he expects to seek the presidency again at some point. He was mentioned as a potential candidate by CNN, [46] Axios , [61] [62] and The Hill . [63]
Ron DeSantis has served as the governor of Florida since 2019 and previously ran for the Republican presidential nomination in 2024. He has been considered a possible candidate by The Hill , [45] Florida Politics , [64] [65] and CNN. [46]
Nikki Haley was the runner-up in the Republican presidential nomination in 2024. She previously served as the United States Ambassador to the United Nations from 2017 to 2018, during the first Trump administration, and as the governor of South Carolina from 2011 to 2017. She has been considered a potential candidate by Politico , [66] The Week , [67] CNN, [46] and YouGov. [68]
Kristi Noem is the United States Secretary of Homeland Security and previously served as the governor of South Dakota from 2019 to 2025. She considered running for the president in 2024, but decided against pursuing the nomination. She has been mentioned as a possible candidate by CNN, [46] The Hill , [45] and Axios . [61]
Sarah Huckabee Sanders has served as the governor of Arkansas since 2023 and previously served as the 31st White House Press Secretary in the first Trump administration. She is the daughter of current United States Ambassador to Israel and former Governor of Arkansas Mike Huckabee, who ran in the 2008 and 2016 Republican Party presidential primaries. She has been noted as a possible contender by Axios , [61] The Des Moines Register , [69] the Financial Times , [70] and CNN. [46]
Tim Scott has served as a U.S. senator from South Carolina since 2013 and ran for the nomination in 2024. He previously served as U.S. representative from South Carolina's 1st congressional district from 2011 to 2013. Scott has been considered as a possible candidate for president in 2028 by Axios , [61] The Week , [67] and the Courier Journal . [42]
JD Vance has served as the vice president of the United States since 2025. He previously served as a U.S. senator from Ohio from 2023 to 2025. Trump mentioned Vance as a potential successor in May 2025. [47] [48] In an interview with NBC News, Vance said he does not think he is "entitled" to a presidential run in 2028 and said there was no bad blood between him and fellow potential candidate Rubio. [71] According to some commentators, Vance would be the likely successor for Trump's presidency. [50] [72]
Glenn Youngkin has served as the governor of Virginia since 2022, and is barred by the state's constitution from seeking a second consecutive term. He has been noted as a possible candidate by The Hill , [45] The New York Times , [73] Axios , [74] and CNN. [46] On July 17, 2025, Youngkin headlined and spoke at the Iowa Republican Party's annual Lincoln Dinner, which is often described as a first step in a presidential campaign. [75] [76] [77]
The following individuals have publicly denied interest in being a candidate:
NBC News has reported that multiple DNC members are looking into changing the order of state primaries for the Democratic nomination. Chair of the Nebraska Democratic Party Jane Kleeb stated in November 2024 that "The 2024 calendar will absolutely not be the calendar for 2028." [84] The DNC chose South Carolina to be the first primary in 2024. [85] In December 2024, Ray Buckley, Chairman of the New Hampshire Democratic Party, announced his intention to work towards restoring New Hampshire's status as the first-in-the-nation Democratic presidential primary for the 2028 presidential nominating calendar. [86] Democrats in Nevada have started a bid to hold the first-in-the-nation primary in 2028. [87]
In 2023, the Democratic National Committee voted to strip Iowa of its first-in-the-nation presidential caucuses. [88] In November 2024, after the presidential election, Scott Brennan, the only Iowan on the DNC Rules and Bylaws Committee at the time, said he still plans to fight for the return of the first-in-the-nation presidential caucus spot back to Iowa. [89] In June 2025, Iowa's only seat on the DNC's Rules and Bylaws Committee, which determines the order of states in the presidential nominating process, was removed, and New Hampshire was awarded a second seat on the committee. [90]
Ken Martin, the chair of the Democratic National Committee, said in an August 2025 NewsNation interview that the Rules and Bylaws Committee would discuss the 2028 primary calendar in a Minneapolis meeting later in the month. [91]
Andy Beshear has served as the governor of Kentucky since 2019. He was previously on the shortlist to be the vice presidential nominee for the 2024 election. [92] In a May 2025 interview with WDRB, Beshear said he "would consider" running for president in 2028. [93] He also mentioned running for president in a July interview with Vanity Fair , [94] and an October interview with NPR [95] and during a visit to early primary state New Hampshire later that month. [96] [97]
Pete Buttigieg served as the United States Secretary of Transportation from 2021 to 2025. Prior to becoming Secretary of Transportation, he served as mayor of South Bend, Indiana, from 2012 to 2020. Buttigieg was thrust into the national spotlight with his 2020 presidential campaign, where he narrowly won the Iowa caucus and finished a close second in the New Hampshire primary, but ultimately dropped out after a poor performance in South Carolina. [98] Buttigieg was also a contender to be Vice President Kamala Harris' running mate after she secured the Democratic nomination for president. If nominated, Buttigieg would be the first openly LGBT individual to receive the nomination of a major party in the United States. [99] After Buttigieg's radio talk show appearances in New Hampshire and Cleveland to address infrastructure plans for the future, there had been speculation that Buttigieg might be making early campaign stops for the governor race in Michigan as well as the presidential election. NBC News reported in March that he did not intend to run for Senate, setting up a potential presidential bid. [100]
In May 2025, in an interview with Anand Giridharadas, he confirmed he is considering a 2028 presidential run, saying he will "assess what I bring to the table and how it's different than the others." [101] [102] It was later reported that Buttigieg was leading polls in New Hampshire in October 2025. [103] [104]
Rahm Emanuel most recently served as United States ambassador to Japan from 2022 to 2025. He represented Illinois in the United States House of Representatives for three terms from 2003 to 2009. He was the White House Chief of Staff from 2009 to 2010 under President Barack Obama and served as mayor of Chicago from 2011 to 2019. In May 2025, Emanuel confirmed the speculation, saying "I am in training, I don't know if I'll make it to the Olympics". [105] He has also been noted as expressing interest in The Atlantic [106] and The Wall Street Journal. [107]
Josh Green has served as the 9th governor of Hawaii since 2022, and previously served as the 15th lieutenant governor and in both houses of the Hawaii Legislature. [108] [109] [110] In an interview with NBC, Green explained that he is considering a presidential campaign, stating "Among governors, I think there are probably eight to 10 of us who are elevating in the public dialogue. I haven't made up my mind about what the future holds. I would be honored to help whomever. I might even become a potential candidate, but only if I’ve actually done a good job." [111] Green was also considered a speculative candidate by Politico. [112]
Kamala Harris served as the vice president of the United States from 2021 to 2025. She became the nominee for president in the 2024 presidential election after President Joe Biden withdrew his bid, losing to Donald Trump. [113] Following the 2024 presidential election, Harris considered running for governor of California in 2026, but in July 2025 she opted not to. [114] [115] In a Chicago stop of her 107 Days book tour, Harris expressed uncertainty about running again. [116] She later spoke with Laura Kuenssberg in an October 2025 interview on BBC News about potentially running for president again, stating "I am not done". [117]
Ro Khanna has served as the representative of California's 17th congressional district since 2017. Khanna has shown interest [118] in running to be the "president on his vision" of progressive capitalism at some point. [119] He served as the co-chair of the Bernie Sanders 2020 presidential campaign. [118] He has been described as a progressive but ideologically to the right of democratic socialists like Bernie Sanders and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. Khanna has been proposed as a potential 2028 candidate by multiple news outlets, including Politico, [120] [121] The New York Sun, [122] and New York Magazine. [123] In March 2025, in an interview with The New York Times, he did not rule out running for president in 2028. [124]
Gavin Newsom has served as the governor of California since 2019. Newsom has been viewed as a contender for the 2028 presidential election by The New York Times [125] and he was seen as a potential replacement for Biden after his withdrawal from the 2024 election by The New York Times. [126] According to The New York Times, Newsom was considering a bid for the presidency by September 2023. [127] After Newsom's response to the June 2025 Los Angeles protests, it was reported that his chances of being the 2028 Democratic nominee increased significantly. [128] [129] Newsom's chances reportedly rose further in August 2025, attributed to the Election Rigging Response Act and him mocking President Donald Trump on social media. [130] [131] [132] In October 2025, in a interview with CBS News Sunday Morning , Newsom stated that after the 2026 midterm elections, he would give "serious thought" to it, adding, "Yeah, I'd be lying otherwise." [133]
Cory Booker has served as a U.S. senator from New Jersey since 2013 and ran for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2020. He previously served as mayor of Newark, New Jersey from 2006 to 2013. On April 1, 2025, Booker broke the record for the longest Senate floor speech in protest against Donald Trump and Elon Musk, which GOP pollster Frank Luntz remarked positioned him as a party leader in the coming future. [134] He has been mentioned as a potential candidate by Axios [135] and The Hill. [136]
Roy Cooper served as the governor of North Carolina from 2017 to 2025. He was considered a potential contender to be the vice presidential nominee for the 2024 election, but removed himself from consideration. [137] He is a Democratic candidate in the 2026 United States Senate election in North Carolina. [138] He has been considered a potential presidential candidate by The Birmingham News [139] and NBC News. [140]
Ruben Gallego has served as a U.S. senator from Arizona since 2025. He also previously served as U.S. representative from Arizona's 3rd congressional district from 2015 until 2025. In May 2025, Gallego's participation in a town hall meeting in battleground Pennsylvania stirred speculation of a 2028 presidential bid. [141] [142] In August 2025, in an interview with The Washington Post in Iowa, Gallego stated that he had not ruled out a future presidential run. [143] [144]
Mark Kelly has served as a U.S. senator from Arizona since 2020. He was previously on the shortlist to be the vice presidential nominee for the 2024 election, and was seen as a potential replacement for President Joe Biden before he withdrew from the race. [145] He has been noted as a potential candidate by The Arizona Republic , [146] Semafor , [147] and The Hill [148] and declined to give an answer to whether he was running for president in a July 2025 interview with Jake Tapper. [149]
Chris Murphy has served as a U.S. senator from Connecticut since 2013. Murphy has been one of the most prominent opponents of Donald Trump and his agenda since the 2024 presidential election. He has focused on and expressed alarm over what he says is the erosion of American democracy and government corruption in the second Trump administration. [150] [151] Murphy is an outspoken critic of neoliberalism, and has instead advocated left-wing populism and big tent politics as an antidote to Trumpism, to win back working-class voters and build a winning coalition. [152] He has been mentioned as a potential candidate in Politico , [153] The Atlantic , [152] and The Guardian . [154]
Phil Murphy has served as the governor of New Jersey since 2018. He previously served as U.S. ambassador to Germany from 2009 to 2013 under President Barack Obama. He has been considered a potential presidential candidate by NBC News [111] and Axios . [155]
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez has served as the representative of New York's 14th congressional district since 2019. Politico noted that Ocasio-Cortez "has a prominent following from younger, diverse people". [156]
Axios noted in April 2025 that Ocasio-Cortez has been "surging in early polling of potential 2028 presidential candidates". [157] Despite this lead, it was later noted that the odds of other candidates such as Gavin Newsom were starting to widen. [132] Vanity Fair has reported that Ocasio-Cortez is reluctant to launch a presidential campaign and also noted that some have called for her to primary Chuck Schumer in the 2028 New York Senate elections. [158] In September 2025, Axios reported that Ocasio-Cortez was positioning to run for president or Senate in 2028. [159]
JB Pritzker has served as the governor of Illinois since 2019. Pritzker is one of the wealthiest elected officials in America, with an estimated net worth of $3.7 billion, [160] and has largely bankrolled his own gubernatorial campaigns, as well as national abortion-rights initiatives. [161] [162] Pritzker was considered a potential running mate to Kamala Harris in the 2024 presidential election. [163] Pritzker is a potential Democratic contender, according to WMAQ-TV [164] and The Wall Street Journal , [160] and has declined to rule out a run. [165] In 2023, Pritzker declined to speak directly with Representative Dean Phillips regarding his effort to try to convince him to enter the Democratic Party presidential primary race to oppose Biden. [166] [167] Pritzker is also seeking a third term as governor of Illinois in 2026. [168]
Chris Van Hollen has served as a U.S. senator from Maryland since 2017, and as the U.S. representative for Maryland's 8th congressional district from 2003 to 2017. In September 2025, he gave a speech at an Iowa fundraising event that led to speculation he could be a 2028 candidate. [169] [170]
Gretchen Whitmer has served as the governor of Michigan since 2019. Whitmer has been considered a potential presidential candidate by multiple media sources. [171] [172] [173] Whitmer has cast doubt on a 2028 presidential bid, but said she would not close the door on it. [171] [174]
The following individuals have publicly denied interest in being a candidate:
Joe Manchin served as a U.S. senator from West Virginia from 2010 to 2025, and previously served as the governor of West Virginia from 2005 to 2010. He considered a third-party run in the 2024 presidential election with the centrist political organization No Labels but ultimately decided against it. [186] In September 2025, in an interview with The New York Times, Manchin acknowledged that he is considering running as a third-party candidate in 2028, saying his objective is "for the middle to compete". [187] [188]
The following individuals have publicly denied interest in being a candidate:
| Aggregator | Updated | JD Vance | Ron DeSantis | Marco Rubio | Vivek Ramaswamy | Nikki Haley | Ted Cruz | Tulsi Gabbard | Glenn Youngkin | Brian Kemp | Other | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race to the WH [192] | November 17, 2025 | 44.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 30.1% [j] | Vance +37.2% |
| Real Clear Polling | September 16, 2025 | 47.0% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | – | Vance +36.7% |
| Aggregate | 45.9% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 21.1% | Vance +37.0% | |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [k] | Ted Cruz | Ron DeSantis | Nikki Haley | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. [l] | Vivek Ramaswamy | Marco Rubio | Donald Trump [m] | Donald Trump Jr. | JD Vance | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Echelon Insights | November 13–17, 2025 | 472 (LV) | 2% | 10% | 5% | 5% | 2% | 8% | — | — | 47% | 4% [n] | 12% |
| YouGov | November 6–9, 2025 | 2,172 (A) | 4% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 5% | — | 13% | 42% | 5% [o] | 17% |
| Emerson College | November 3–4, 2025 | 420 (RV) | — | 1.7% | — | — | — | 6.1% | 7.4% | — | 53.6% | 5.7% [p] | 25.4% |
| Overton Insights | October 27–29, 2025 | 1,200 (RV) | — | 12% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 7% | — | 22% | 34% | — | 8% |
| McLaughlin & Associates | October 21–27, 2025 | 458 (LV) | — | 5% | 4% | — | 2% | 7% | — | 20% | 38% | 10% [q] | 14% |
| Echelon Insights | October 16–20, 2025 | 400 (LV) | 2% | 10% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 6% | — | — | 46% | 4% [r] | 15% |
| J.L. Partners | October 14–15, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | 4% | 7% | 5% | — | 3% | 8% | — | — | 40% | 7% [s] | 20% |
| Noble Predictive Insights | October 2–6, 2025 | 1,156 (RV) | 3% | 6% | 3% | — | — | 4% | — | 25% | 38% | 6% [t] | 15% |
| Leger360 | September 26–29, 2025 | 294 (LV) | 6% | — | — | — | — | 6% | — | — | 50% | 20% [u] | 18% |
| McLaughlin & Associates | September 17–22, 2025 | 470 (LV) | — | 8% | 3% | — | 2% | 5% | — | 14% | 42% | 7% [v] | 19% |
| Echelon Insights | September 18–22, 2025 | 467 (LV) | 2% | 8% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 5% | — | — | 43% | 11% [w] | 18% |
| Atlas Intel | September 12–16, 2025 | 1,066 (A) | — | 16.3% | — | — | 5.7% | 12.2% | — | 1.2% | 54.6% | 10% [x] | — |
| YouGov | September 5–8, 2025 | 1,114 (A) | 2% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 4% | — | 10% | 44% | 6% [y] | 20% |
| Leger360 | August 29–31, 2025 | 308 (LV) | 8% | — | — | — | — | 9% | — | — | 50% | 19% [z] | 14% |
| McLauglin & Associates | August 21–26, 2025 | 457 (RV) | — | 10% | 3% | — | 2% | 4% | — | 16% | 36% | 11% [aa] | 18% |
| Emerson College | August 25–26, 2025 | 410 (RV) | 2.4% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 9.4% | — | — | 51.7% | 7.2% [ab] | 11.1% |
| Echelon Insights | August 14–18, 2025 | 441 (LV) | 2% | 9% | 4% | 9% | 2% | 6% | — | — | 43% | 10% [ac] | 15% |
| Atlas Intel | July 13–18, 2025 | 1,935 (A) | — | 13.2% | — | — | 1.8% | 9.7% | — | 4.6% | 57.9% | 12.8% [ad] | — |
| Echelon Insights | July 10–14, 2025 | 463 (LV) | 3% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 7% | — | — | 42% | 8% [ae] | 16% |
| McLaughlin & Associates | July 9–14, 2025 | 459 (LV) | — | 8% | 4% | — | 3% | 4% | — | 19% | 31% | 10% [af] | 21% |
| Overton Insights | June 23–26, 2025 | 444 (RV) | — | 11% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 9% | — | 26% | 32% | — | 9% |
| Emerson College | June 24–25, 2025 | 416 (RV) | <0.5% | 9% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 12% | — | — | 46% | 9% [ag] | 17% |
| co/efficient | June 12–16, 2025 | 1,035 (LV) | — | 10% | — | — | 6% | 5% | 24% | — | 61% | 11% [ah] | 9% |
| McLaughlin & Associates | June 10–15, 2025 | 455 (LV) | — | 6% | 4% | — | 2% | 4% | — | 14% | 36% | 10% [ai] | 24% |
| Atlas Intel | May 21–27, 2025 | 1,044 (A) | — | 8% | — | — | 5.3% | 18.7% | — | 8.8% | 37.3% | 21.8% [aj] | — |
| McLaughlin & Associates | May 21–26, 2025 | 457 (LV) | — | 5% | 4% | — | 1% | 5% | — | 19% | 34% | 10% [ak] | 22% |
| J.L. Partners | May 13–14, 2025 | 975 (RV) | 6% | 8% | 5% | — | 7% | 6% | — | — | 46% | 9% [al] | 13% |
| Echelon Insights | May 8–12, 2025 | 426 (LV) | 4% | 7% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | — | — | 44% | 9% [am] | 13% |
| McLaughlin & Associates | April 22–29, 2025 | 456 (LV) | — | 6% | 5% | — | 2% | 2% | — | 14% | 43% | 9% [an] | 19% |
| J.L. Partners [ao] | April 23–28, 2025 | 1,006 (RV) | 4% | 8% | 5% | — | 3% | 5% | — | — | 48% | 12% [ap] | 14% |
| 2% | 6% | 4% | — | 3% | 3% | 39% | — | 19% | 14% [aq] | 11% | |||
| 2% | 10% | 4% | — | 5% | 3% | — | 11% | 40% | 12% [ar] | 12% | |||
| YouGov/ The Times | April 21–23, 2025 | 1,296 (A) | 3% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 16% | 5% | 31% | 6% [as] | 20% |
| Atlas Intel | April 10–14, 2025 | 2,347 (A) | — | 9% | — | — | 1% | 9% | — | — | 60% | 16% [at] | 6% |
| Echelon Insights | April 10–14, 2025 | 1,014 (LV) | 1% | 9% | 4% | 7% | 5% | 4% | — | — | 47% | 7% [au] | 16% |
| Yale Youth Poll [ao] | April 1–3, 2025 | 1% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 56% | — | 19% | 8% [av] | — | |
| 3% | 8% | 4% | 9% | 4% | 3% | — | — | 53% | 17% [aw] | — | |||
| YouGov/Economist | March 30 – April 1, 2025 | 594 (RV) | 2% | 8% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 4% | — | 11% | 43% | 4% [ax] | 20% |
| Overton Insights | March 24–28, 2025 | 536 (RV) | – | 13% | – | – | 6% | 6% | — | 31% | 36% | 7% [ay] | – |
| Echelon Insights | March 10–13, 2025 | 450 (LV) | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 3% | 4% | — | — | 46% | 5% [az] | 16% |
| McLaughlin & Associates | February 11–18, 2025 | 468 (LV) | — | 6% | 3% | — | 4% | 3% | — | 17% | 37% | 10% [ba] | 22% |
| Echelon Insights | February 10–13, 2025 | 466 LV | 4% | 10% | 8% | — | 5% | 4% | — | — | 39% | 10% [bb] | 20% |
| McLaughlin & Associates | January 22–27, 2025 | 453 (LV) | — | 8% | 2% | — | 3% | 3% | — | 21% | 27% | 11% [bc] | 24% |
| Second inauguration of Donald Trump | |||||||||||||
| McLaughlin & Associates | December 11–16, 2024 | 463 (LV) | — | 9% | 4% | – | 4% | 2% | — | 21% | 25% | 9% [bd] | 24% |
| Morning Consult | December 6–8, 2024 | 994 (RV) | — | 9% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 1% | — | 30% | 30% | 19% [be] | — |
| Emerson College [ao] | November 20–22, 2024 | 420 (RV) | 1% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 23% | — | 30% | 9% [bf] [bg] | 28% |
| Echelon Insights | November 14–18, 2024 | 483 (LV) | 5% | 8% | 9% | — | 9% | 5% | — | — | 37% | 9% [bh] | 18% |
| 2024 United States presidential election held. | |||||||||||||
| Echelon Insights | July 19–21, 2024 | 456 (LV) | 4% | 14% | 9% | — | 10% | 2% | — | 25% | 16% [bi] | 21% | |
| Echelon Insights | January 16–18, 2024 | 832 (RV) | — | 27% | 19% | — | 18% | — | — | 1% | 18% [bj] | 17% | |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [k] | Ted Cruz | Ron DeSantis | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | JD Vance | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | August 4–5, 2025 | 221 (LV) | 6.4% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 39.6% | 18.8% [bk] | 16.5% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [k] | Ron DeSantis | JD Vance | Nikki Haley |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fabrizio | February 26–27, 2025 | 600 (LV) | 33% | 47% | 20% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [k] | Ron DeSantis | JD Vance | Donald Trump Jr. [bl] | Marco Rubio | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| yes. every kid. | July 22–23, 2025 | 608 (LV) | 9% | 48% | 9% | 7% | 16% [bm] | 11% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [k] | Ron DeSantis | JD Vance | Donald Trump Jr. [bn] | Nikki Haley | Tim Scott | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| yes. every kid. | July 18–21, 2025 | 406 (LV) | 6% | 46% | 8% | 12% | 5% | 14% [bo] | 9% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [k] | Ron DeSantis | Nikki Haley | Marco Rubio | JD Vance | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire | October 16–21, 2025 | 381 (LV) | 11% | 4% | 4% | 60% | 3% [bp] | 8% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [k] | Ron DeSantis | Tulsi Gabbard | Nikki Haley | Vivek Ramaswamy | Marco Rubio | JD Vance | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire | October 16–21, 2025 | 679 (LV) | 3% | 8% | 9% | 3% | 5% | 51% | 10% [bq] | 11% |
| Saint Anselm | August 26–27, 2025 | 1776 (RV) | 8% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 56% | 11% [br] | 7% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [k] | Ron DeSantis | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. [bs] | Marco Rubio | JD Vance | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | July 28–30, 2025 | 416 (LV) | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 53% | 14.4% [bt] | 14.8% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [k] | Ron DeSantis | Vivek Ramaswamy | Marco Rubio | JD Vance | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | August 18–19, 2025 | 490 (RV) | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 55.4% | 12.4% [bu] | 10.3% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [k] | Ted Cruz | Ron DeSantis | Marco Rubio | JD Vance | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | August 11–12, 2025 | 491 (RV) | 8.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 44.6% | 18% [bv] | 16.7% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [k] | Ron DeSantis | Tulsi Gabbard | Nikki Haley | Sarah Huckabee Sanders | Marco Rubio | JD Vance | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire | October 16–21, 2025 | 186 (LV) | 6% | 4% | 4% | 8% | 5% | 60% | 3% [bw] | 5% |
| Aggregator | Updated | Gavin Newsom | Kamala Harris | Pete Buttigieg | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | Josh Shapiro | Andy Beshear | JB Pritzker | Cory Booker | Other | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race to the WH [194] | November 17, 2025 | 24.1% | 20.5% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 15.3% [bx] | Newsom +3.6% |
| Real Clear Polling | September 16, 2025 | 25.5% | 20.0% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 4.8% [by] | Newsom +5.5% |
| VoteHub | November 17, 2025 | 21.4% | 22.6% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.3% | — | — | — | Harris +1.2% |
| Aggregate | 23.7% | 21.0% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 25.4% | Newsom +2.7% | |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [k] | Cory Booker | Pete Buttigieg | Kamala Harris | Gavin Newsom | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | JB Pritzker | Josh Shapiro | Tim Walz | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Echelon Insights | November 13–17, 2025 | 484 (LV) | 4% | 12% | 17% | 29% | 6% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 14% [bz] | 11% |
| YouGov | November 6–9, 2025 | 2,172 (A) | 4% | 10% | 21% | 19% | 6% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 15% [ca] | 17% |
| Emerson College | November 3–4, 2025 | 417 (RV) | 1.2% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 24.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | — | 12.9% [cb] | 34.9% |
| Overton Insights | October 27–29, 2025 | 1,200 (RV) | 5% | 7% | 35% | 23% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 8% [cc] | 6% |
| McLaughlin & Associates | October 21–27, 2025 | 437 (LV) | 3% | 6% | 25% | 22% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 2% | 13% [cd] | 17% |
| Echelon Insights | October 16–20, 2025 | 512 (LV) | 5% | 10% | 24% | 15% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 14% [ce] | 12% |
| Noble Predictive Insights | October 2–6, 2025 | 2,565 (RV) | — | 7% | 33% | 21% | 8% | 4% | 4% | — | 5% [cf] | 17% |
| Leger360 | September 26–29, 2025 | 341 (LV) | — | 9% | 24% | 19% | 9% | 6% | 8% | — | 8% [cg] | 17% |
| McLaughlin & Associates | September 17–22, 2025 | 429 (LV) | 4% | 7% | 21% | 22% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 11% [ch] | 20% |
| Echelon Insights | September 18–22, 2025 | 500 (LV) | 6% | 7% | 23% | 17% | 7% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 19% [ci] | 12% |
| Atlas Intel | September 12–16, 2025 | 1,066 (A) | 2.9% | 12.1% | 20.5% | 37.4% | 10.8% | — | 2.1% | 3.6% | 10.4% [cj] | — |
| YouGov | September 5–8, 2025 | 1,114 (A) | 1% | 6% | 19% | 23% | 8% | 4% | — | 5% | 18% [ck] | 16% |
| YouGov/Yahoo | August 29 – September 2, 2025 | 1,690 (A) | — | 10% | 19% | 21% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 2% [cl] | — |
| Leger360 | August 29–31, 2025 | 328 (LV) | — | 8% | 30% | 24% | 10% | 4% | 2% | — | 5% [cm] | 18% |
| McLaughlin & Associates | August 21–26, 2025 | 434 (RV) | 3% | 9% | 27% | 18% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 12% [cn] | 20% |
| Emerson College | August 25–26, 2025 | 387 (RV) | 2.3% | 16% | 11.4% | 25.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 13.6% [co] | 15.9% |
| Morning Consult | August 22–24, 2025 | — | 9% | 29% | 19% | 6% | — | — | — | 22% [cp] | 15% | |
| Echelon Insights | August 14–18, 2025 | 552 (LV) | 5% | 11% | 26% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 15% [cq] | 16% |
| Atlas Intel | July 13–18, 2025 | 1,935 (A) | 4.1% | 26.7% | 14.5% | 15.8% | 18.5% | — | 3.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% [cs] | — |
| Echelon Insights | July 10–14, 2025 | 505 (LV) | 7% | 11% | 26% | 10% | 6% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 18% [ct] | 13% |
| 8% | 12% | — | 12% | 9% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 25% [cu] | 19% | |||
| McLaughlin & Associates | July 9–14, 2025 | 444 (LV) | 4% | 8% | 25% | 9% | 9% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 13% [cv] | 22% |
| Rasmussen Reports | June 25–26, and 29, 2025 | 1,229 (LV) | 6% | 8% | 22% | 12% | 6% | — | 12% | 5% | 15% [cw] | 15% |
| Overton Insights | June 23–26, 2025 | 396 (RV) | 4% | 11% | 38% | 10% | 7% | — | 7% | 7% | 9% [cx] | 6% |
| 7% | 15% | — | 15% | 11% | — | 8% | 15% | 15% [cy] | 16% | |||
| — | — | 67% | — | 20% | — | — | — | 6% [cz] | 8% | |||
| Emerson College | June 24–25, 2025 | 404 (RV) | 3% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 7% | 2% | 7% | — | 16% [da] | 23% |
| co/efficient | June 12–16, 2025 | 1,035 (LV) | — | 11% | 26% | 21% | 14% | — | 3% | 10% | 33% [db] | 11% |
| McLaughlin & Associates | June 10–15, 2025 | 434 (LV) | 7% | 10% | 30% | 8% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 13% [dc] | 21% |
| Morning Consult | June 13–15, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | 3% | 7% | 34% | 11% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 24% [dd] | 16% |
| Atlas Intel | May 21–27, 2025 | 930 (A) | 10.4% | 31.5% | 16.6% | 7.1% | 19.4% | 0.1% | 4.8% | — | 10.1% [de] | — |
| McLaughlin & Associates | May 21–26, 2025 | 439 (LV) | 7% | 10% | 29% | 4% | 9% | 2% | 6% | 3% | 11% [df] | 19% |
| Echelon Insights | May 8–12, 2025 | 471 (LV) | 6% | 10% | 32% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 14% [dg] | 13% |
| McLaughlin & Associates | April 22–29, 2025 | 442 (LV) | 7% | 6% | 30% | 8% | 8% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 9% [dh] | 21% |
| YouGov/The Times | April 21–23, 2025 | 1,296 (A) | 7% | 9% | 28% | 7% | 7% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 10% [di] | 22% |
| Quantus Insights | April 21–23, 2025 | 1,000(RV) | 13% | 13% | 30% | 7% | 14% | — | 5% | 5% | 6% [dj] | 5% |
| Atlas Intel | April 10–14, 2025 | 2,347 (A) | 9% | 28% | 24% | 7% | 16% | — | — | — | 15% [dk] | 2% |
| Data For Progress | April 9–14, 2025 | 745 (LV) | 14% | 17% | — | 10% | 14% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 15% [dl] | 9% |
| Data For Progress | April 9–14, 2025 | 745 (LV) | 12% | 14% | 18% | 8% | 12% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 16% [dm] | 7% |
| Echelon Insights | April 10–14, 2025 | 1,014 (V) | 11% | 7% | 28% | 4% | 7% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 17% [dn] | 12% |
| Yale Youth Poll | April 1–3, 2025 | — | 14% | 28% | 6% | 21% | 3% | 5% | — | 23% [do] | — | |
| YouGov/Economist | March 30 – April 1, 2025 | 650 (RV) | 1% | 10% | 25% | 7% | 8% | — | — | 4% | 20% [dp] | 25% |
| Morning Consult | March 14–16, 2025 | 3% | 10% | 36% | 5% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 21% [dq] | 13% | |
| Echelon Insights | March 10–13, 2025 | 457 (LV) | 2% | 10% | 33% | 7% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 19% [dr] | 15% |
| SurveyUSA | February 13–16, 2025 | 835 (RV) | — | 11% | 37% | 9% | 7% | — | 6% | 0% | 20% [ds] | — |
| McLaughlin & Associates | February 11–18, 2025 | 418 (LV) | — | 8% | 36% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 18% [dt] | 23% |
| Echelon Insights | February 10–13, 2025 | 447 (LV) | 2% | 10% | 36% | 6% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 9% | 19% [du] | 10% |
| McLaughlin & Associates | January 22–27, 2025 | 414 (LV) | 2% | 9% | 33% | 7% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 22% [dv] | 22% |
| January 20, 2025 | Second inauguration of Donald Trump | |||||||||||
| McLaughlin & Associates | December 11–16, 2024 | 428 (LV) | 2% | 12% | 35% | 7% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 15% [dw] | 19% |
| Emerson College | November 20–22, 2024 | 400 (RV) | 4% | 37% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 15% [dx] | 35% | |
| Echelon Insights | November 14–18, 2024 | 457 (LV) | 2% | 6% | 41% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 7% | 6% | 10% [dy] | 16% |
| Morning Consult | November 15–17, 2024 | 1,012 (V) | 2% | 9% | 43% | 8% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 22% [dz] | — |
| 2024 United States presidential election held. | ||||||||||||
| Morning Consult/Politico | May 28–29, 2024 | 3,997 (RV) | — | 10% | 21% | 10% | — | — | 3% | — | 12% [ea] | 41% |
| Echelon Insights | January 16–18, 2024 | 499 (RV) | — | 13% | 33% | 11% | — | 3% | 2% | — | 9% [eb] | 29% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [k] | Andy Beshear | Pete Buttigieg | Kamala Harris | Gavin Newsom | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | JB Pritzker | Josh Shapiro | Tim Walz | Gretchen Whitmer | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaska Survey Research | October 10–15, 2025 | 315 (RV) | 3% | 20% | 19% | 23% | 17% | 6% | 2% | 7% | 5% | — | — |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [k] | Cory Booker | Pete Buttigieg | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | Kamala Harris | Amy Klobuchar | Gavin Newsom | Josh Shapiro | Gretchen Whitmer | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Citrin POLITICO | July 28 – August 12, 2025 | 1,445 (RV) | 4% | 13% | 10% | 19% | 2% | 25% | 3% | 3% | 21% [ec] | — |
| Emerson College | August 4–5, 2025 | 444 (LV) | 2.7% | 17.4% | 9% | 11% | 1.2% | 23.1% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 15.7% [ed] | 13.9% |
| Capitol Weekly | May 21–30, 2025 | 1,122 (LV) | — | 7.7% | 9.9% | 15.3% | — | 17.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5% [ee] | 33.1% |
| Capitol Weekly | February 3–7, 2025 | 681 V | 5% | 15% | — | 15% | 6% | 27% | 6% | 6% | 20% [ef] | — |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [k] | Pete Buttigieg | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | Cory Booker | Gavin Newsom | Andy Beshear | Josh Shapiro | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victory Insights | June 7–10, 2025 | 600 LV | 23% | 14% | 12% | 12% | 5% | 3% | 31% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [k] | Cory Booker | Pete Buttigieg | Kamala Harris | Gavin Newsom | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | JB Pritzker | Bernie Sanders | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire | October 16–21, 2025 | 470 (LV) | 7% | 14% | 9% | 16% | 15% | 8% | 7% | 14% [eg] | 10% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [k] | Cory Booker | Pete Buttigieg | Kamala Harris | Gavin Newsom | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | JB Pritzker | Bernie Sanders | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire | October 16–21, 2025 | 602 (LV) | 2% | 19% | 11% | 15% | 14% | 6% | 8% | 15% [eh] | 10% |
| Saint Anselm | August 26–27, 2025 | 1776 (RV) | 5% | 23% | 6% | 23% | 7% | 9% | 4% | 15% [ei] | 12% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [k] | Cory Booker | Pete Buttigieg | Kamala Harris | Gavin Newsom | Bernie Sanders | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | July 28–30, 2025 | 445 (LV) | 5.2% | 16.8% | 12% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 25% [ej] | 23.9% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [k] | Pete Buttigieg | Kamala Harris | Gavin Newsom | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | Bernie Sanders | Tim Walz | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | August 18–19, 2025 | 383 (RV) | 15.3% | 6.8% | 20% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 18.8% [ek] | 17.4% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [k] | Pete Buttigieg | Kamala Harris | Gavin Newsom | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | Bernie Sanders | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | August 11–12, 2025 | 370 (RV) | 21.6% | 16.8% | 19.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 16.9% [el] | 14.2% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [k] | Cory Booker | Pete Buttigieg | Kamala Harris | Gavin Newsom | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | JB Pritzker | Bernie Sanders | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire | October 16–21, 2025 | 476 (LV) | 3% | 16% | 6% | 17% | 17% | 4% | 14% | 9% [em] | 14% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [k] | Donald Trump (R) [m] | JD Vance (R) | Marco Rubio (R) | Kamala Harris (D) | Gavin Newsom (D) | Barack Obama (D) [m] | Josh Shapiro (D) | Gretchen Whitmer (D) | Pete Buttigieg (D) | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D) | Stephen A. Smith (D) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overton Insights | October 27–29, 2025 | 1,200 (RV) | 43% | 46% | 11% | |||||||||
| YouGov | October 16–20, 2025 | 1,000 (A) | 32% | 36% | 32% | |||||||||
| 34% | 34% | 32% | ||||||||||||
| Echelon Insights | October 16–20, 2025 | 1,010 (LV) | 46% | 47% | 7% | |||||||||
| Emerson College | October 13–14, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | 45.5% | 44.9% | 9.6% | |||||||||
| Leger360 | August 29–31, 2025 | 849 (A) | 44% | 48% | 8% | |||||||||
| 837 (A) | 46% | 47% | 7% | |||||||||||
| 796 (A) | 44% | 49% | 7% | |||||||||||
| YouGov/Yahoo | August 29 – September 2, 2025 | 1,690 (A) | 41% | 49% | 10% | |||||||||
| 41% | 49% | 10% | ||||||||||||
| Emerson College | August 25–26, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | 44.4% | 43.5% | 12.1% | |||||||||
| On Point/SoCal Strategies | August 18, 2025 | 700 (A) | 37% | 41% | 21% | |||||||||
| 37% | 39% | 23% | ||||||||||||
| 37% | 35% | 28% | ||||||||||||
| Emerson College | July 21–22, 2025 | 1,400 (RV) | 43.9% | 43.1% | 13.0% | |||||||||
| 44.4% | 41.0% | 14.6% | ||||||||||||
| 45.3% | 42.1% | 12.6% | ||||||||||||
| Overton Insights | June 23–26, 2025 | 1,200 (RV) | 42% | 45% | 12% | |||||||||
| 46% | 43% | 11% | ||||||||||||
| Change Research [ao] | March 10, 2025 | 42% | 49% | 9% | ||||||||||
| Second inauguration of Donald Trump | ||||||||||||||
| On Point/SoCal Strategies | December 23, 2024 | 656 (A) | 41% | 43% | 16% | |||||||||
| 37% | 34% | 29% | ||||||||||||
| 37% | 34% | 29% | ||||||||||||
| 40% | 33% | 26% | ||||||||||||
| American Pulse Research & Polling | December 17–20, 2024 | 661 (LV) | 46% | 47% | 7% | |||||||||
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)When asked whether he saw himself running for any political office in the future, Phillips responded "I never say never, but I really don't intend to and aspire to."
When asked whether he was taking the possibility of running for president off the table, Polis responded that it "wasn't even on the table."