2020 New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary

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2020 New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary
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33 delegates (24 pledged, 9 unpledged)
to the Democratic National Convention
The number of pledged delegates won is determined by the popular vote
  Bernie Sanders March 2020 (cropped).jpg Pete Buttigieg by Gage Skidmore (cropped).jpg Amy Klobuchar by Gage Skidmore (cropped).jpg
Candidate Bernie Sanders Pete Buttigieg Amy Klobuchar
Home state Vermont Indiana Minnesota
Delegate count996
Popular vote76,38472,45458,714
Percentage25.60%24.28%19.68%
  Elizabeth Warren by Gage Skidmore (cropped).jpg Joe Biden February 2020 crop.jpg
Candidate Elizabeth Warren Joe Biden
Home state Massachusetts Delaware
Delegate count00
Popular vote27,42924,944
Percentage9.19%8.36%
New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary election results by county, 2020.svg
New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary election results by town, 2020.svg
New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary election results by congressional district, 2020.svg
  Michael Bloomberg (write-in)
  Pete Buttigieg
  Amy Klobuchar
  Bernie Sanders
  Tie
  N/A

The 2020 New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary took place on February 11, 2020, as the second nominating contest in the Democratic Party primaries for the 2020 presidential election, following the Iowa caucuses the week before. The New Hampshire primary was a semi-closed primary, meaning that only Democrats and independents were allowed to vote in this primary. New Hampshire sent 33 delegates to the national convention, of which 24 were pledged delegates allocated on the basis of the results of the primary, and the other 9 were unpledged delegates preselected independently of the primary results. [1]

Contents

Senator Bernie Sanders won the primary with 25.6% of the vote, edging out former mayor Pete Buttigieg after his narrow win in Iowa, who came in second place with 24.3% of the vote. [2] Both had already led the results in Iowa. This was a decline in support for Sanders, who in 2016 had won New Hampshire with 60.14% to Hillary Clinton's 37.68%. [3] Both Sanders and Buttigieg received nine delegates, while Senator Amy Klobuchar unexpectedly finished in third place and received six delegates; her third-place finish was described as "Klomentum" or "Klobucharge" by several observers, but she was not able to make use of this in the following primaries. Senator Elizabeth Warren and former vice president Joe Biden, who had been the leading contenders nationally, both underperformed expectations, coming in fourth and fifth, respectively, and received no delegates. Entrepreneur Andrew Yang, former Massachusetts Governor Deval Patrick and Colorado Senator Michael Bennet finished eighth, tenth and eleventh respectively and all suspended their presidential campaigns after their poor results.

Voter turnout set a new record for New Hampshire primaries, with 298,377 ballots being cast, [2] breaking the previous record of 287,527 set in the 2008 primary. [4] This was the third consecutive contested Democratic primary in which New Hampshire voted for the candidate that did not receive the Democratic nomination. Despite underperforming quite drastically in this primary, Biden later went on to win the nomination and defeat incumbent president Donald Trump in the general election, including a comfortable general election victory in New Hampshire.

Procedure

The state's ballot access laws have traditionally been lenient, with prospective presidential candidates required to pay only a $1,000 fee to secure a line on the primary ballot. [5] Primary elections were held on Tuesday, February 11, 2020. The first polls opened at midnight local time (EST), [6] with the vast majority of polling places closed by 7 p.m. and a small number of cities allowed to close at 8 p.m. [1]

In the semi-closed primary, candidates had to meet a viability threshold of 15 percent at the congressional district or statewide level in order to be considered viable. The 24 pledged delegates to the 2020 Democratic National Convention were all allocated proportionally on the basis of the qualified results of the primary, in the two congressional districts and on statewide level respectively. Of these, 8 each were allocated to each of the state's 2 congressional districts and another 3 were allocated to party leaders and elected officials (PLEO delegates), in addition to 5 at-large delegates. [1] The national convention delegation meeting was to be held in Concord on April 25, to vote on the exact names of the five at-large and three pledged PLEO delegates for the Democratic National Convention. [1] The delegation also included 9 unpledged PLEO delegates (also known as superdelegates): 5 members of the Democratic National Committee and 4 members of Congress (both senators and 2 representatives). [1]

Pledged national
convention delegates [1]
TypeDel.
CD1 [lower-alpha 1] 8
CD2 [lower-alpha 2] 8
PLEO [lower-alpha 3] 3
At-large [lower-alpha 4] 5
Total pledged delegates24

Candidates on the ballot

The following candidates were on the ballot [7] and are listed in order of filing.

Running

Withdrawn

Brian Moore qualified but withdrew early enough so that he did not appear on the ballot. [7]

Forums and other events

Prospective candidates began making visits to New Hampshire in 2017. [8] Among the more notable events of the campaign was the 2019 state convention, at which 19 of the candidates give speeches. [9] The eighth Democratic primary debate took place in the state on February 7, 2020. [10] A Lesser-Known Candidates Forum was also held, featuring candidates on the New Hampshire ballot but who were not considered major candidates. [11]

Polling

Polling aggregation
Source of poll aggregationDate
updated		Dates
polled		 Bernie
Sanders 		Pete
Buttigieg 		Elizabeth
Warren 		Joe
Biden 		Amy
Klobuchar 		Andrew
Yang 		Tulsi
Gabbard 		Tom
Steyer 		OtherUn-
decided [lower-alpha 5]
270 to Win [12] Feb 10, 2020Feb 4–9, 202027.3%20.9%13.1%12.3%10.3%3.0%2.7%2.1%1.9% [lower-alpha 6] 6.4%
RealClear Politics [13] Feb 10, 2020Feb 6–9, 202028.7%21.3%11.0%11.0%11.7%3.7%3.3%1.7%1.3% [lower-alpha 7] 6.3%
FiveThirtyEight [14] Feb 10, 2020until Feb 10, 2020 [lower-alpha 8] 26.0%21.6%12.5%11.7%10.3%3.0%2.9%2.6%3.5% [lower-alpha 9] 5.8%
Average27.3%21.3%12.2%11.7%10.8%3.2%3.0%2.1%2.2% [lower-alpha 10] 6.2%
New Hampshire primary results (February 11, 2020)25.6%24.3%9.2%8.4%19.7%2.8%3.3%3.6%2.7% [lower-alpha 11] –
   – Debate qualifying poll as designated by the Democratic National Committee
Polling from January 1, 2020, to February 11, 2020
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 12] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden		Pete
Buttigieg		Tulsi
Gabbard		Amy
Klobuchar		Bernie
Sanders		Tom
Steyer		Elizabeth
Warren		Andrew
Yang		OtherUndecided
New Hampshire primary (popular vote)Feb 11, 2020––8.4%24.3%3.3%19.7%25.6%3.6%9.2%2.8%2.7% [lower-alpha 13] –
AtlasIntel [15] Feb 8–10, 2020431 (LV)± 5.0%12%24%3%14%24%1%11%5%–6%
Data For Progress [16] [lower-alpha 14] Feb 7–10, 20201296 (LV)± 2.7%9%26%3%13%28%3%14%5%––
American Research Group [17] Feb 8–9, 2020400 (LV)–13%20%3%13%28%2%11%3%5% [lower-alpha 15] 2%
Emerson College/WHDH [18] Feb 8–9, 2020500 (LV)± 4.3%10%23%2%14%30%2%11%4%4% [lower-alpha 16] –
Change Research [19] Feb 8–9, 2020662 (LV)± 3.8%9%21%6%8%30%3%8%5%1% [lower-alpha 17] 9%
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBZ-TV [20] Feb 8–9, 2020500 (LV)± 4.4%12%19%3%14%27%2%12%3%3% [lower-alpha 18] 7%
Elucd [21] Feb 7–9, 2020492 (LV)± 4.4%8%20%– [lower-alpha 19] 12%26%– [lower-alpha 20] 10%– [lower-alpha 21] – [lower-alpha 22] 15%
University of New Hampshire/CNN [22] Feb 6–9, 2020365 (LV)± 5.1%11%22%5%7%29%1%10%4%1% [lower-alpha 23] 10%
Emerson College/WHDH [23] Feb 7–8, 2020500 (LV)± 4.3%11%20%3%13%30%2%12%4%4% [lower-alpha 24] –
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBZ-TV [24] Feb 7–8, 2020500 (LV)± 4.4%10%22%2%9%24%2%13%3%3% [lower-alpha 25] 12%
Boston Herald/FPU/NBC10 [25] Feb 5–8, 2020512 (LV)–14%20%0%6%23%2%16%3%3% [lower-alpha 26] 13%
YouGov/CBS News [26] Feb 5–8, 2020848 (LV)± 4.3%12%25%2%10%29%1%17%1%3% [lower-alpha 27] –
University of New Hampshire/CNN [27] Feb 5–8, 2020384 (LV)± 5.0%12%21%5%6%28%2%9%4%2% [lower-alpha 28] 11%
Emerson College/WHDH [28] Feb 6–7, 2020500 (LV)± 4.3%11%24%5%9%31%2%11%3%3% [lower-alpha 29] –
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBZ-TV [29] Feb 6–7, 2020500 (LV)± 4.4%11%25%2%6%24%2%14%3%4% [lower-alpha 30] 9%
University of Massachusetts Lowell [30] Feb 4–7, 2020440 (LV)± 6.5%14%17%4%8%25%5%15%3%5% [lower-alpha 31] 4%
University of New Hampshire/CNN [31] Feb 4–7, 2020365 (LV)± 5.1%11%21%6%5%28%3%9%3%3% [lower-alpha 32] 11%
Emerson College/WHDH [32] Feb 5–6, 2020500 (LV)± 4.3%11%23%6%9%32%2%13%2%3% [lower-alpha 33] –
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBZ-TV [33] Feb 5–6, 2020500 (LV)± 4.4%11%23%4%6%24%3%13%3%4% [lower-alpha 34] 12%
Marist/NBC News [34] Feb 4–6, 2020709 (LV)± 4.7%13%21%3%8%25%4%14%4%3% [lower-alpha 35] 5%
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBZ-TV [35] Feb 4–5, 2020500 (LV)± 4.4%12%19%5%6%25%4%11%2%1% [lower-alpha 36] 15%
Monmouth University [36] Feb 3–5, 2020503 (LV)± 4.4%17%20%4%9%24%3%13%4%2% [lower-alpha 37] 5%
17% [lower-alpha 38] 22%–13%27%–13%–3% [lower-alpha 39] 4%
19% [lower-alpha 40] 28%––28%–16%–3% [lower-alpha 41] 5%
Emerson College/WHDH [37] Feb 3–5, 2020500 (LV)± 4.3%12%21%5%11%31%1%12%4%2% [lower-alpha 42] –
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBZ-TV [38] Feb 3–4, 2020500 (LV)± 4.4%15%15%5%6%24%5%10%3%1% [lower-alpha 43] 14%
Emerson College/WHDH [39] Feb 2–4, 2020500 (LV)± 4.3%13%17%6%11%32%2%11%6%3% [lower-alpha 44] –
Feb 3, 2020 Iowa caucuses
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBZ-TV [40] Feb 2–3, 2020500 (LV)± 4.4%18%11%5%6%24%4%13%3%3% [lower-alpha 45] 14%
Emerson College/WHDH [41] Feb 1–3, 2020500 (LV)± 4.3%13%12%4%12%32%5%13%5%4% [lower-alpha 46] –
Emerson College/WHDH [42] Jan 31 – Feb 2, 2020500 (LV)± 4.3%14%13%7%8%29%8%12%7%2% [lower-alpha 47] –
Saint Anselm College [43] Jan 29 – Feb 2, 2020491 (LV)± 4.4%19%14%3%11%19%5%11%4%2% [lower-alpha 48] 11%
Boston Herald/FPU/NBC10 [44] Jan 29 – Feb 1, 2020454 (LV)± 4.6%24%8%3%4%31%No voters17%1%5% [lower-alpha 49] 7%
University of Massachusetts Lowell [45] Jan 28–31, 2020400 (LV)± 6.4%22%12%5%6%23%6%19%2%1% [lower-alpha 50] 4%
YouGov/UMass Amherst/WCVB [46] Jan 17–29, 2020500 (LV)± 5.3%20%12%5%5%25%5%17%4%2% [lower-alpha 51] 3%
American Research Group [47] Jan 24–27, 2020600 (LV)± 4%13%12%8%7%28%2%11%5%8% [lower-alpha 52] 6%
Boston Herald/FPU/NBC10 [44] Jan 23–26, 2020407 (LV)± 4.9%22%10%3%5%29%0%16%1%7% [lower-alpha 53] 9%
Marist/NBC News [48] Jan 20–23, 2020697 (LV)± 4.5%15%17%6%10%22%3%13%5%2% [lower-alpha 54] 7%
University of New Hampshire/CNN [49] Jan 15–23, 2020516 (LV)± 4.3%16%15%5%6%25%2%12%5%2% [lower-alpha 55] 10%
MassINC Polling Group/WBUR [50] Jan 17–21, 2020426 (LV)± 4.8%14%17%5%6%29%2%13%5%4% [lower-alpha 56] 5% [lower-alpha 57]
Suffolk University/Boston Globe [51] Jan 15–19, 2020500 (LV)± 4.4%15%12%5%5%16%3%10%6%3% [lower-alpha 58] 24%
Emerson College/WHDH [52] Jan 13–16, 2020657 (LV)± 3.8%14%18%5%10%23%4%14%6%7% [lower-alpha 59] –
Jan 13, 2020Booker withdraws from the race
Boston Herald/FPU/NBC10 [53] Jan 8–12, 2020434 (LV)–26%7%4%2%22%2%18%2%7% [lower-alpha 60] 12%
Patinkin Research Strategies/Yang 2020 [54] [lower-alpha 61] Jan 5–7, 2020600 (LV)± 4%21%17%7%6%19%6%10%5%3% [lower-alpha 62] 7%
Monmouth University [55] Jan 3–7, 2020404 (LV)± 4.9%19%20%4%6%18%4%15%3%3% [lower-alpha 63] 7%
21% [lower-alpha 64] 20%–7%21%–15%5%5% [lower-alpha 65] 8%
24% [lower-alpha 66] 23%––21%–18%–5% [lower-alpha 67] 8%
YouGov/CBS News [56] Dec 27, 2019 –
Jan 3, 2020		487 (LV)± 5.3%25%13%1%7%27%3%18%2%3% [lower-alpha 68] –
Polling before January 2020
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 12] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden		Cory
Booker		Pete
Buttigieg		Tulsi
Gabbard		Kamala
Harris		Amy
Klobuchar		Beto
O'Rourke		Deval
Patrick		Bernie
Sanders		Elizabeth
Warren		Andrew
Yang		OtherUndecided
MassINC Polling Group/WBUR [57] Dec 3–8, 2019442 (LV)± 4.7%17%1%18%5%–3%–<1%15%12%5%11% [lower-alpha 69] 12% [lower-alpha 70]
Dec 3, 2019Harris withdraws from the race
Emerson College [58] Nov 22–26, 2019549 (LV)± 4.1%14%2%22%6%4%2%–0%26%14%5%7% [lower-alpha 71] –
Boston Globe/Suffolk University [59] Nov 21–24, 2019500 (LV)–12%2%13%6%3%1%–1%16%14%4%6% [lower-alpha 72] 21%
Saint Anselm College [60] Nov 13–18, 2019255 (RV)± 6.1%15%3%25%3%1%6%–0%9%15%2%5% [lower-alpha 73] 13%
Nov 14, 2019Patrick announces his candidacy
YouGov/CBS News [61] Nov 6–13, 2019535 (RV)± 5%22%1%16%0%3%3%––20%31%1%1% [lower-alpha 74] –
Quinnipiac University [62] Nov 6–10, 20191,134 (LV)± 3.820%1%15%6%1%3%––14%16%4%5% [lower-alpha 75] 14%
Nov 1, 2019O'Rourke withdraws from the race
University of New Hampshire/CNN [63] Oct 21–27, 2019574 (LV)± 4.1%15%2%10%5%3%5%2%–21%18%5%4% [lower-alpha 76] 10%
Boston Herald/FPU [64] Oct 9–13, 2019422 (LV)± 4.8%24%2%9%1%4%2%0%–22%25%1%4% [lower-alpha 77] 7%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus [65] Oct 8–10, 2019610 (LV)± 3.7%18%2%7%– [lower-alpha 78] 2%– [lower-alpha 78] 1%–9%25%2%32%– [lower-alpha 78]
YouGov/CBS News [66] Oct 3–11, 2019506± 5.4%24%1%7%2%4%2%1%–17%32%5%5% [lower-alpha 79] –
Saint Anselm College [67] Sep 25–29, 2019423± 4.8%24%1%10%3%5%3%<1%–11%25%2%3% [lower-alpha 80] 9%
Monmouth University [68] Sep 17–21, 2019401± 4.9%25%2%10%2%3%2%1%–12%27%2%3% [lower-alpha 81] 9%
HarrisX/No Labels [69] Sep 6–11, 2019595± 4.0%22%3%5%6%5%1%1%–21%15%2%5% [lower-alpha 82] 14%
Boston Herald/FPU [70] Sep 4–10, 2019425± 4.8%21%1%5%3%6%1%2%–29%17%5%2% [lower-alpha 83] 9%
Emerson College [71] Sep 6–9, 2019483± 4.4%24%4%11%6%8%1%1%–13%21%3%7% [lower-alpha 84] –
YouGov/CBS News [72] Aug 28 – Sep 4, 2019526± 5.2%26%2%8%1%7%1%1%–25%27%1%1% [lower-alpha 85] –
Gravis Marketing [73] Aug 2–6, 2019250± 6.2%15%0%8%5%7%4%2%–21%12%4%8% [lower-alpha 86] 11%
Suffolk University [74] Aug 1–4, 2019500± 4.4%21%1%6%3%8%1%0%–17%14%1%6% [lower-alpha 87] 21%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus [75] Jul 23–25, 2019587± 3.3%21%1%8%–13%–0%–13%16%1%7%19%
YouGov/CBS News [76] Jul 9–18, 2019530± 5%27%1%7%2%12%1%2%–20%18%1%5% [lower-alpha 88] –
University of New Hampshire/CNN [77] Jul 8–15, 2019386± 5.0%24%2%10%1%9%0%2%–19%19%1%4% [lower-alpha 89] 9%
Saint Anselm College [78] Jul 10–12, 2019351± 5.2%21%1%12%1%18%3%0%–10%17%5%3% [lower-alpha 90] 11%
Change Research [79] Jul 6–9, 20191,084± 3.0%19%1%13%3%15%1%1%–20%22%1%3% [lower-alpha 91] –
Change Research [80] Jun 29 – Jul 4, 2019420–13%2%14%2%13%1%2%–26%24%2%4% [lower-alpha 92] –
Change Research [81] Jun 17–20, 2019308–24%0%14%1%3%1%4%–28%21%1%3% [lower-alpha 93] –
YouGov/CBS News [82] May 31 – Jun 12, 2019502± 4.9%33%3%10%0%7%1%4%–20%17%1%2% [lower-alpha 94] –
Tel Opinion Research [83] *May 20–22, 2019600± 4.0%33%–7%–7%–1%–12%11%––28%
Monmouth University [84] May 2–7, 2019376± 5.1%36%2%9%0%6%2%2%–18%8%1%2% [lower-alpha 95] 11%
Change Research [85] May 3–5, 2019864± 3.3%26%2%12%1%8%1%3%–30%9%2%4% [lower-alpha 96] –
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus [86] Apr 30 – May 2, 2019551± 4.0%34%1%10%–7%1%3%–16%9%––19%
Suffolk University [87] Apr 25–28, 2019429± 4.7%20%3%12%1%6%1%3%–12%8%1%4% [lower-alpha 97] 27%
Apr 25, 2019Biden announces his candidacy
University of New Hampshire [88] Apr 10–18, 2019241± 6.3%18%3%15%1%4%2%3%–30%5%2%5% [lower-alpha 98] 12%
Apr 14, 2019Buttigieg announces his candidacy
Saint Anselm College [89] Apr 3–8, 2019326± 5.4%23%4%11%1%7%2%6%–16%9%–9% [lower-alpha 99] 13%
Mar 14, 2019O'Rourke announces his candidacy
University of New Hampshire [90] Feb 18–26, 2019240± 6.3%22%3%1%1%10%4%5%–26%7%–6% [lower-alpha 100] 14%
Emerson College [91] Feb 21–22, 2019405± 4.8%25%5%1%–12%8%5%–27%9%–10% [lower-alpha 101] –
Feb 19, 2019Sanders announces his candidacy
YouGov/UMass Amherst [92] Feb 7–15, 2019337± 6.4%28%3%––14%1%6%–20%9%–9% [lower-alpha 102] 9%
Feb 10, 2019Klobuchar announces her candidacy
Feb 9, 2019Warren announces her candidacy
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus [93] Jan 31 – Feb 2, 2019518± 4.1%22%4%––13%2%2%–13%9%–0% [lower-alpha 103] 35%
Feb 1, 2019Booker announces his candidacy
Jan 21, 2019Harris announces her candidacy
Jan 11, 2019Gabbard announces her candidacy
Change Research [94] Jan 2–3, 20191,162–24%3%––4%2%9%–26%11%–22% [lower-alpha 104] –
University of New Hampshire [95] Aug 2–19, 2018198± 7.0%19%6%––3%–––30%17%–12% [lower-alpha 105] 12%
Suffolk University [96] Apr 26–30, 2018295± 5.7%20%8%––4%––4%13%26%–4% [lower-alpha 106] 18%
30%10%––6%––8%25%––6% [lower-alpha 107] 12%
University of New Hampshire [97] Apr 13–22, 2018188± 7.1%26%5%––6%1%––28%11%–9% [lower-alpha 108] 13%
University of New Hampshire [98] Jan 28 – Feb 10, 2018219± 6.6%35%3%––1%0%––24%15%–7% [lower-alpha 109] 15%
Nov 6, 2017Yang announces his candidacy
University of New Hampshire [99] Oct 3–15, 2017212± 6.7%24%6%––1%1%––31%13%–14% [lower-alpha 110] 11%
Head-to-head polls
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden		Pete
Buttigieg		Bernie
Sanders		Elizabeth
Warren		Undecided
Tel Opinion Research [83] May 20–22, 2019600± 4.0%63%21%––15%
66%–22%–13%
58%––29%13%
American Research Group [100] Mar 21–27, 2018400± 5.0%47%–45%–7%
58%––33%8%

Results

The first results in New Hampshire were released shortly after midnight from Dixville Notch. Although not on the ballot, Michael Bloomberg received three write-in votes, enough to carry the town. [101] [102] [103] Bernie Sanders won the state by a margin of around four thousand votes over Pete Buttigieg, with Amy Klobuchar placing third. [104] [2] Sanders and Buttigieg each received nine pledged national convention delegates while Klobuchar received six. [105] [1] Sanders had previously won the state in his prior pursuit of the Democratic nomination in 2016 with some 152,000 votes (60.4% of the total) against Hillary Clinton. [106]

Voter turnout set a new record for New Hampshire primaries with 298,377 ballots being cast, [2] breaking the previous record of 287,527 set in the 2008 primary. [107] [108]

New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary election results by county (vote share), 2020.svg
Popular vote share by county
  Sanders—<30%
  Sanders—30–40%
  Buttigieg—<30%
New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary election results by congressional district (vote share), 2020.svg
Popular vote share by congressional district
  Sanders—25–30%
2020 New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary [2] [109]
CandidateVotes %Delegates [105] [1]
Bernie Sanders 76,38425.609
Pete Buttigieg 72,45424.289
Amy Klobuchar 58,71419.686
Elizabeth Warren 27,4299.19
Joe Biden 24,9448.36
Tom Steyer 10,7323.60
Tulsi Gabbard 9,7553.27
Andrew Yang 8,3122.79
Michael Bloomberg (write-in) [109] [110] 4,6751.57
Deval Patrick 1,2710.43
Michael Bennet 9520.32
Cory Booker (withdrawn)1570.05
Joe Sestak (withdrawn)1520.05
Kamala Harris (withdrawn)1290.04
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn)990.03
Julian Castro (withdrawn)830.03
John Delaney (withdrawn)830.03
Steve Bullock (withdrawn)640.02
Henry Hewes 430.01
Ben Gleib (withdrawn)310.01
Other candidates / Write-in [lower-alpha 111] 6650.22
Donald Trump (write-in Republican) [109] 1,2170.41
Bill Weld (write-in Republican) [109] 170.01
Mitt Romney (write-in Republican) [109] 100.00
Other write-in Republicans50.00
Total298,377100%24

Results by county

2020 New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary
(results per county) [2] [109]
Candidate Belknap
votes		 Carroll
votes		 Cheshire
votes		 Coös
votes		 Grafton
votes		 Hillsborough
votes		 Merrimack
votes		 Rockingham
votes		 Strafford
votes		 Sullivan
votes		State-wide
votes
Bernie Sanders 2,6702,6085,9731,5626,60621,6598,63615,3318,9192,42076,384
Pete Buttigieg 2,7982,8154,0531,0945,80520,5398,46617,9296,7672,18872,454
Amy Klobuchar 2,3232,4643,6169374,27716,7027,85313,7365,1801,62658,714
Elizabeth Warren 8399041,8163953,2957,2663,1775,9282,97183827,429
Joe Biden 1,1221,0201,2655661,6897,3752,8636,0692,25172424,944
Tom Steyer 4883226512265503,1651,3322,6591,07526410,732
Tulsi Gabbard 4444035872065613,0581,1632,1338873139,755
Andrew Yang 2482295971468732,3869051,7369542388,312
Michael Bloomberg [110] (write-in)1902862341254401,2345201,1593551324,675
Deval Patrick 3543551786393167324128231,271
Donald Trump (write-in)9939556157350148176151811,217
Michael Bennet 2931447583061821768435952
Joe Sestak (withdrawn)559106434114136152
Write-ins [lower-alpha 112] 931159382863158189
Cory Booker (withdrawn)8136413371844113157
Kamala Harris (withdrawn)6810374792811—129
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn)26795295295299
Steve Burke21956216246686
Julian Castro (withdrawn)23812307254183
John Delaney (withdrawn)1233424141516183
Tom Koos314532271310472
Steve Bullock (withdrawn)214172012114264
Michael A. Ellinger——3—35—43119
David John Thistle—154720375153
Lorenz Kraus32——14114——52
Robby Wells 11——2187123145
Henry Hewes 236—273152343
Sam Sloan 2——1114852134
Mosie Boyd2221—55132—32
Mark Stewart Greenstein——41—12266—31
Ben Gleib (withdrawn)1—4758132—31
Thomas James Torgesen114235382130
Rita Krichevsky4—11—131—2123
Jason Evritte Dunlap1—1——3124—12
Roque De La Fuente III—11—11—51111
Raymond Michael Moroz————15—2——8
Total11,34211,21819,0485,40524,39484,90135,59467,70829,8518,925298,377

Analysis

Bernie Sanders narrowly won the New Hampshire primary with 25.6% of the vote, the lowest vote share a winner of this primary has ever received, [111] with Pete Buttigieg finishing in second. [2] By contrast, Amy Klobuchar finished in an unexpectedly strong third place. Elizabeth Warren and Joe Biden finished in fourth and fifth place, respectively, both of which were considered disappointing finishes. [112] Geographically, Sanders won the largest cities in New Hampshire, including Manchester, Nashua, and Concord. Buttigieg kept the race close by performing strongly in the southeastern part of the state, [112] including in the suburbs of Boston and in the nearby, more rural Lakes Region. [113]

Exit polls showed that Sanders benefited from his strong performance among young voters as he won about half of the under-30 vote, with this group making up about 14% of the electorate. Among those under the age of 45, he won 42% of the vote; this larger group made up about a third of the electorate. Buttigieg received only 21% of the vote among those under the age of 45 but outperformed Sanders 26–17 among voters 45 and older. Both Sanders and Buttigieg lost the 45-and-older vote to Klobuchar, who received 27% of the vote in this group. Similarly, Klobuchar convincingly won among voters aged 65 and older, receiving 32% of their votes, as compared to only 14% for Sanders and 12% for Biden. Ideologically, about 60% of voters identified as either "very liberal" or "somewhat liberal", and Sanders won this group with about 33% of the vote. By contrast, among the remaining 40% of voters who identified as "moderate" or "conservative", Buttigieg and Klobuchar approximately tied with 27 and 26% of the vote, respectively. [114]

Aftermath

Following poor showings in the New Hampshire primary, Senator Michael Bennet of Colorado, [115] entrepreneur Andrew Yang [116] and former Massachusetts governor Deval Patrick [117] withdrew from the race. With the end of these campaigns, the Democratic field numbered fewer than ten candidates for the first time since early 2019.

Notes

  1. ↑ Each 1st congressional district (CD1) delegate is pledged to support a specific presidential candidate as determined per the total qualified popular vote result of the primary held only in CD1 on February 11.
  2. ↑ Each 2nd congressional district (CD2) delegate is pledged to support a specific presidential candidate as determined per the total qualified popular vote result of the primary held only in CD2 on February 11.
  3. ↑ Each PLEO delegate is pledged to support a specific presidential candidate as determined per the statewide qualified popular vote result of the primary held on February 11, but the exact name of the PLEO delegate will only be elected among the participating PLEO delegates at the "New Hampshire national convention delegation meeting" on April 25.
  4. ↑ Each at-large delegate is pledged to support a specific presidential candidate as determined per the statewide qualified popular vote result of the primary held on February 11, but the exact name of the at-large delegate will only be elected among the participating delegates at the "New Hampshire national convention delegation meeting" on April 25.
  5. ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined
  6. ↑ Patrick with 0.8%; Bennet with 0.6%; Bloomberg with 0.5%
  7. ↑ Patrick with 1.0%; Bennet with 0.3%; Bloomberg not reported
  8. ↑ FiveThirtyEight aggregates polls with a trendline regression of polls rather than a strict average of recent polls.
  9. ↑ Bloomberg with 2.3%; Patrick with 0.7%; Bennet with 0.5%
  10. ↑ Bloomberg with 0.9%; Patrick with 0.8%; Bennet with 0.5%
  11. ↑ Patrick with 0.4%; Bennet with 0.3%; Booker with 0.1%; Boyd, Burke, Bullock, Castro, De La Fuente III, Delaney, Dunlap, Ellinger, Gleib, Greenstein, Harris, Hewes, Koos, Kraus, Krichevsky, Moroz, Sloan, Sestak, Thistle, Torgesen, Wells and Williamson with 0.0%; other (write-in candidates) with 1.5%
  12. 1 2 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  13. ↑ Patrick with 0.4%; Bennet with 0.3%; Booker with 0.1%; Boyd, Burke, Bullock, Castro, De La Fuente III, Delaney, Dunlap, Ellinger, Gleib, Greenstein, Harris, Hewes, Koos, Kraus, Krichevsky, Moroz, Sloan, Sestak, Thistle, Torgesen, Wells and Williamson; other (write-in candidates) with 1.5%
  14. ↑ By the time of this poll, Data for Progress, which has worked with both the Sanders and Warren campaigns, had endorsed Warren
  15. ↑ Bennet, Bloomberg and Patrick with 1%; other with 2%
  16. ↑ Bennet and Patrick with 1%; "someone else" with 2%
  17. ↑ Patrick with 1%; Bennet with 0%
  18. ↑ Patrick with 1%; Bennet with 0%; other with 2%; refused with 0%
  19. ↑ Not yet released
  20. ↑ Not yet released
  21. ↑ Not yet released
  22. ↑ Not yet released
  23. ↑ Bennet and Bloomberg with 0%; Patrick with no voters; other with 1%
  24. ↑ Patrick with 1%; Bennet with 0%; "someone else" with 3%
  25. ↑ Bennet and Patrick with 0%; "Other" with 3%
  26. ↑ Bennet with 1%; Patrick with no voters; other with 2%
  27. ↑ Patrick with 1%; Bennet with 0%; "someone else" with 2%
  28. ↑ Bloomberg with 1%; others with 1%
  29. ↑ Patrick and Bennet with 0%; "someone else" with 3%
  30. ↑ Bennet with 1%; Patrick with 0%; "Other" with 3%
  31. ↑ Bennet and Patrick with 1%; "another candidate" with 3%
  32. ↑ Bloomberg with 2%; Patrick and Bennet with 0%; "Other" with 1%
  33. ↑ Patrick and Bennet with 0%; "someone else" with 3%
  34. ↑ Bennet and Patrick with 1%; "Other" with 2%
  35. ↑ Patrick and Bennet with 1%; "Other" with 1%
  36. ↑ Bennet and Patrick with 0%; "Other" with 1%
  37. ↑ Bennet with 1%; Patrick with <1%; "Other" with 1%
  38. ↑ If the primary came down to the five candidates listed in this poll
  39. ↑ "None of these/won't vote" with 3%
  40. ↑ If the primary came down to the four candidates listed in this poll
  41. ↑ "None of these/won't vote" with 3%
  42. ↑ Patrick and Bennet with 0%; "someone else" with 2%
  43. ↑ Bennet and Patrick with 0%; "Other" with 1%
  44. ↑ Patrick with 1%; Bennet with 0%; "someone else" with 2%
  45. ↑ Bennet and Patrick with 1%; "Other" with 1%
  46. ↑ Bennet and Patrick with 0%; "someone else" with 4%
  47. ↑ Bennet and Patrick with 0%; "someone else" with 2%
  48. ↑ Bloomberg with 2%; Bennet and Patrick with <1%
  49. ↑ Bloomberg with 2%; Bennet with 1%; Patrick with no voters; other with 2%
  50. ↑ Patrick with 1%; Bennet and Delaney with 0%
  51. ↑ Bennet, Delaney, and Patrick with 0%; "Other" with 2%
  52. ↑ Bloomberg (explicitly as a write in) and Patrick with 2%; Bennet with 1%; "Other" with 3%; Delaney not reported
  53. ↑ Bloomberg with 3%; Bennet with 2%; Delaney and Patrick with 0%; "Other" with 2%
  54. ↑ Bennet and Patrick with 1%; Delaney with <1%
  55. ↑ Bloomberg and Delaney with 1%; Bennet and Patrick with 0%
  56. ↑ Bloomberg and Patrick with 1%; Bennet with <1%; Delaney with 0%; some other candidate with 2%; would not vote with <1%
  57. ↑ Listed as "Don't know/refused"
  58. ↑ Bennet and Patrick with 1%; Delaney with 0%
  59. ↑ Delaney with 1%; Bennet and Patrick with no voters; "someone else" with 6%
  60. ↑ Bloomberg with 4%; Bennet, Delaney, Patrick and Williamson with no voters; other with 1%
  61. ↑ Sponsored by a presidential candidate's campaign
  62. ↑ Booker with 2%; "someone else" with 1%
  63. ↑ Bennet with 2%; Booker with 1%; Delaney and Williamson with 0%; Patrick and "Someone else" with 0%
  64. ↑ If the primary came down to the seven candidates listed in this poll
  65. ↑ "None of these" with 3%; Booker with 2%
  66. ↑ If the primary came down to the four candidates listed in this poll
  67. ↑ "None of these" with 5%
  68. ↑ Booker with 2%; Patrick with 1%; Bennet, Castro, Delaney, and Williamson with 0%; "Someone else" with 0%
  69. ↑ Steyer with 3%; Bloomberg with 2%; Williamson with 1%; Bennet with <1%; Castro and Delaney with 0%; someone else with 2%; would not vote with 3%
  70. ↑ Includes "refused"
  71. ↑ Steyer with 3%; Bloomberg and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro and Delaney and Sestak and with 0%; someone else with 2%
  72. ↑ Steyer with 2%; Bullock, Castro and Delaney with 1%; Bennet, Sestak and Williamson with 0%; others with 2%; refused with 1%
  73. ↑ Steyer with 5%; Delaney and Williamson with 0%
  74. ↑ Steyer with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Messam, Sestak, Williamson with 0%, "Someone else" with 2%
  75. ↑ Steyer with 3%; Bennet and Castro, with 1%, Bullock, Delaney, Messam, Sestak, Williamson with 0%
  76. ↑ Steyer with 3%; Sestak with 1%; Bennet, Castro, Delaney and other with 0%
  77. ↑ Steyer with 1%; Castro with 0% and Williamson with 0%; other with 3%
  78. 1 2 3 The poll did not announce this result separately; it is listed as part of 'Other'.
  79. ↑ Steyer with 4%; Ryan with 1%, Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Messam, Sestak, and Williamson with 0%; "someone else" with 0%
  80. ↑ Steyer with 2%; "Other" with 1%; Castro with 0%; Delaney, Bullock, Bennet and Williamson with less than 1%
  81. ↑ Steyer with 2%; Williamson with 1%; Castro, Delaney and Ryan with <1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Bullock, Messam and Sestak with 0%; "no one" with 1%;
  82. ↑ Steyer with 2%; de Blasio, Delaney, and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Messam, Ryan and Sestak with 0%
  83. ↑ Castro with 1%; others with 2%
  84. ↑ Delaney with 3%; Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, de Blasio, Messam, Ryan, and Sestak with 0%; someone else with 3%
  85. ↑ Steyer with 1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Messam, Ryan, Sestak, and Williamson with 0%
  86. ↑ Steyer with 4%; Castro with 2%; Gillibrand and Inslee with 1%
  87. ↑ Bennet with 2%; Delaney, Gillibrand, Williamson, and Steyer with 1%; others with 0%
  88. ↑ Castro, Delaney, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, and Steyer with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, de Blasio, Gravel, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Sestak, and Williamson with 0%
  89. ↑ Bennet, Delaney, Gillibrand, and Williamson with 1%; de Blasio, Inslee, Moulton, Ryan, and Steyer with 0%
  90. ↑ Williamson with 2%; Gillibrand with 1%; Inslee with 0%
  91. ↑ Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Castro, Delaney, Inslee, Moulton, Ryan, and Swalwell with 0%
  92. ↑ Gillibrand, Gravel, Inslee, and Moulton with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Hickenlooper, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%
  93. ↑ Delaney, Gravel, and Inslee with 1%; Bullock, Castro, de Blasio, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%
  94. ↑ Gillibrand and Hickenlooper with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, de Blasio, Delaney, Gravel, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%; others with 1%
  95. ↑ Hickenlooper and Ryan with 1%; Bullock, Delaney, Gillibrand, and Williamson with <1%; Bennet, Castro, de Blasio, Gravel, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, and Swalwell with 0%
  96. ↑ Delaney with 2%; Moulton, and Ryan with 1%; Abrams, Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%
  97. ↑ Delaney with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, de Blasio, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%; others with 0%
  98. ↑ Ryan with 2%; Gillibrand, Messam, and Swalwell with 1%; Castro, Delaney, Hickenlooper, Inslee, and Williamson with 0%; others with 0%
  99. ↑ Delaney, Gillibrand, and Hickenlooper with 1%; Inslee with 0%; others with 6%
  100. ↑ Bloomberg, Brown, and Gillibrand with 1%; Delaney and Hickenlooper with 0%; others with 3%
  101. ↑ Bloomberg with 2%; Brown, Delaney, and Gillibrand with 1%; Castro with 0%; others with 5%
  102. ↑ Gillibrand with 3%; Bloomberg with 2%; Castro with 1%; others with 3%
  103. ↑ Gillibrand with 0%
  104. ↑ Kennedy with 9%; Clinton with 3%; Bloomberg, Kerry, and Klobuchar with 2%; Brown, Bullock, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Ojeda, and Steyer with 1%; Castro, Cuomo, Delaney, Holder, Inslee, McAuliffe, Schultz, and Swalwell with 0%
  105. ↑ Kennedy with 7%; Holder with 2%; O'Malley with 1%; Delaney, Gillibrand, and Hickenlooper with 0%; others with 2%
  106. ↑ Gillibrand and McAuliffe with 2%
  107. ↑ Gillibrand with 3%; McAuliffe with 2%; others with 1%
  108. ↑ Kennedy with 3%; O'Malley with 2%; Gillibrand and Hickenlooper with 1%; Ryan with 0%; others with 2%
  109. ↑ Gillibrand with 2%; O'Malley with 1%; others with 4%
  110. ↑ O'Malley with 3%; Hickenlooper and Zuckerberg with 2%; Gillibrand, and Ryan with 1%; Delaney with 0%; others with 5%
  111. ↑ Including 157 write-in votes
  112. ↑ excluding Bloomberg and Trump

See also

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  92. ↑ YouGov/UMass Amherst
  93. ↑ Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus
  94. ↑ Change Research
  95. ↑ University of New Hampshire
  96. ↑ Suffolk University
  97. ↑ University of New Hampshire
  98. ↑ University of New Hampshire
  99. ↑ University of New Hampshire
  100. ↑ American Research Group
  101. ↑ de Silva, Chantal (February 11, 2020). "Klobuchar Leads New Hampshire Midnight Vote; Bloomberg wins support despite not being on ballot". Newsweek. Retrieved February 11, 2020.
  102. ↑ Baker, Billy (February 11, 2020). "Dixville Notch Goes for Bloomberg". Boston Globe. Retrieved February 11, 2020.
  103. ↑ "Small New Hampshire town votes for Bloomberg in primary". Politico. Associated Press. February 11, 2020. Retrieved February 12, 2020.
  104. ↑ "Live New Hampshire primary 2020 results". NBC News. February 11, 2020. Retrieved February 11, 2020. Bernie Sanders has won the New Hampshire Democratic primary by a margin of about 4,000 votes, or less than 2 percentage points, over Pete Buttigieg, according to an NBC News projection.
  105. 1 2 "Live Results: New Hampshire Primary" . The New York Times. February 11, 2020. Archived from the original on February 14, 2020. Retrieved February 12, 2020.
  106. ↑ William A. Galston & Elaine Kamarck (February 11, 2020). "What do the results of the 2020 New Hampshire primary mean?". Brookings Institution. Retrieved February 12, 2020.
  107. ↑ Adam K. Raymond (February 12, 2020). "New Hampshire Democratic Primary Turnout Sets New Record". New York . Retrieved February 12, 2020.
  108. ↑ Lee, Jasmine C.; Lieberman, Rebecca; Aufrichtig, Aliza; Bloch, Matthew (February 11, 2020). "New Hampshire 2020 Primary: Live Results". The New York Times. Retrieved February 13, 2020.
  109. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "2020 Presidential Primary - Democratic Write-Ins". New Hampshire Secretary of State . March 23, 2020. Retrieved March 29, 2022.
  110. 1 2 Marc Fortier (February 13, 2020). "Bloomberg Beat 2 Well-Known Democrats in the NH Primary. He Wasn't Even on the Ballot". NBC Boston (WBTS-CD) . Retrieved February 13, 2020.
  111. ↑ Martin, Jonathan; Burns, Alexander (February 11, 2020). "Bernie Sanders Scores Narrow Victory in New Hampshire Primary". The New York Times. Retrieved February 13, 2020.
  112. 1 2 King, Ledyard (February 12, 2020). "Bernie Sanders wins New Hampshire, while Buttigieg, Klobuchar finishes are keeping the field muddled". USA Today. Retrieved February 13, 2020.
  113. ↑ Rakich, Nathaniel (February 12, 2020). "How Sanders Held Off Buttigieg And Klobuchar In New Hampshire". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved February 13, 2020.
  114. ↑ Shepard, Steven (February 11, 2020). "What New Hampshire's exit polls tell us about the primary". Politico. Retrieved February 13, 2020.
  115. ↑ Julie Turkewitz, Maggie Astor (February 11, 2020). "Michael Bennet Drops Out of the 2020 Presidential Race". The New York Times.
  116. ↑ Stevens, Matt (February 11, 2020). "Andrew Yang Drops Out: 'It Is Clear Tonight From the Numbers That We Are Not Going to Win'". New York Times.
  117. ↑ Morin, Rebecca (February 12, 2020). "Deval Patrick drops out of Democratic presidential race". USA Today.
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