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Elections in New Hampshire |
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The 2024 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary was held on January 23, 2024, [1] as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election.
22 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention were allocated on a proportional basis, as long as the candidate received at least 10% of the statewide vote. Any leftover delegates were to be added to the candidate that receives the most votes in the primary. [2] The New Hampshire primary was the second contest in the nation, held after the Iowa caucuses. The primary was won by former President Donald Trump, defeating former U.N. Ambassador and South Carolina governor Nikki Haley.
After most polls closed at 8:00 PM EST, media outlets began projecting a win for Trump. [3] [4] Trump's eleven-point lead wound up equating to an edge just under 36,000 votes. Despite calls to drop out, Haley declined to withdraw from the race after the primary. [5] Trump became the first non-incumbent Republican candidate in American history to win both the Iowa caucuses and the New Hampshire primary in the same election cycle. [6] Trump also broke the record of number of votes received for any candidate in New Hampshire primary history. [7]
Donald Trump won the 2016 New Hampshire Republican primary with 35.2% of the vote, with closest opponent John Kasich coming in second with 15.7% of the vote. Exit polling by Edison Research concluded that Trump's 2016 primary victory could be credited to support among white voters without a college degree, as well as support from moderate voters. [8]
Delegates are proportionally allocated to candidates who received at least 10% of the statewide vote. [2]
The following candidates officially filed by the end of the filing deadline on October 27, 2023: [9]
In January 2023, Trump selected outgoing New Hampshire Republican Party chair Stephen Stepanek to oversee his campaign's operations in the state. [19]
Nikki Haley's campaign purchased $10 million worth of ads to run in New Hampshire and Iowa beginning in December 2023. [20]
New Hampshire Governor Chris Sununu, who considered a presidential candidacy, established a "Live Free or Die committee", [21] though he announced on June 5 that he would not be running for the Republican nomination. [22]
Governor
U.S. Senators
State Senator
State Representative
Mayor
Notable Individual
Former federal official
Former U.S. Senator
State Senators
State Representative
Notable individual
Former U.S. Representative
Former State Representative
State legislator
State Representatives
State representatives
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Nikki Haley | Donald Trump | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 1] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win [45] | January 22–23, 2024 | January 23, 2024 | 35.7% | 56.5% | 7.8% [lower-alpha 2] | Trump +20.8 |
FiveThirtyEight [46] | Through January 22, 2024 | January 23, 2024 | 36.3% | 53.9% | 9.8% | Trump +17.6 |
RealClearPolling [47] | January 16–22, 2024 | January 23, 2024 | 36.5% | 55.8% | 7.7% | Trump +19.3 |
Average | 36.2% | 55.4% | 8.4% | Trump +19.2 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 3] | Margin of error | Doug Burgum | Chris Christie | Ron DeSantis | Nikki Haley | Asa Hutchinson | Mike Pence | Vivek Ramaswamy | Tim Scott | Donald Trump | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTS [48] | Jan 21–22, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | – | – | 38% | – | – | – | – | 60% | 1% | 1% |
Insider Advantage [49] | January 21, 2024 | 850 (LV) | ±4.32% | – | – | – | 35% | – | – | – | – | 62% | – | 3% |
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTS [50] | Jan 20–21, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | – | – | 38% | – | – | – | – | 57% | 2% | 2% |
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTS [51] | Jan 19–20, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | – | 6% | 36% | – | – | – | – | 55% | 0.6% | 2.4% |
American Research Group [52] | Jan 18–20, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ±4.0% | – | – | 6% | 44% | – | – | – | – | 46% | – | – |
Emerson College/WHDH [53] | Jan 18–20, 2024 | 673 (RV) | ±3.7% | – | – | 8% | 35% | 50% | 7% | |||||
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTS [54] | Jan 17–18, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | – | 6% | 35% | – | – | – | – | 52% | – | 4% |
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTS [55] | Jan 16–17, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | – | 6% | 36% | – | – | – | – | 50% | 1% | 4% |
Saint Anselm College [56] | January 16, 2024 | 1,398 (LV) | ± 2.6% | – | – | 6% | 38% | – | – | – | – | 52% | – | 4% |
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTS [57] | Jan 15–16, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | – | 5% | 34% | – | – | – | – | 50% | – | 11% |
American Research Group [58] | Jan 12–15, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | – | 4% | 40% | 1% | – | 4% | – | 40% | 2% | 9% |
Saint Anselm College [59] | Jan 8–9, 2024 | 1,194 (LV) | ± 2.8% | – | 9% | 6% | 31% | – | – | 6% | – | 45% | – | 3% |
University of New Hampshire Survey/CNN [60] | Jan 4–8, 2024 | 919 (LV) | ± 3.2% | – | 12% | 5% | 32% | 0% | – | 8% | – | 39% | 0% | 5% |
American Research Group [61] | December 27, 2023 – January 4, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | 10% | 5% | 33% | 1% | – | 4% | – | 37% | 1% | 9% |
American Research Group [62] | Dec 14–20, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | 13% | 6% | 29% | 1% | – | 5% | – | 33% | 1% | 12% |
Saint Anselm College [63] | Dec 18–19, 2023 | 1,072 (LV) | ± 3.0% | – | 12% | 6% | 30% | 0% | – | 5% | – | 44% | – | 3% |
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov [64] | Dec 7–18, 2023 | 450 (LV) | ± 5.4% | – | 6% | 10% | 22% | 1% | – | 4% | – | 52% | 0% [lower-alpha 4] | 5% |
CBS News/YouGov [65] | Dec 8–15, 2023 | 855 (LV) | ± 4.1% | – | 10% | 11% | 29% | 1% | – | 5% | – | 44% | – | – |
Trafalgar Group [66] | Dec 9–11, 2023 | 1,098 (LV) | ± 2.9% | – | 14% | 11% | 18% | 0% | – | 10% | – | 45% | – | 1% |
Americans for Prosperity [67] | Nov 19–21, 2023 | 800 (LV) | – | – | – | 9% | 25% | – | – | – | – | 40% | 26% | – |
University of New Hampshire Survey Center/CNN [68] | Nov 10–14, 2023 | 994 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 2% | 14% | 9% | 20% | 0% | – | 8% | – | 42% | 3% | 2% |
Washington Post/Monmouth University [69] | Nov 9–14, 2023 | 606 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 2% | 11% | 7% | 18% | 1% | – | 8% | 3% | 46% | 0% | 4% |
Emerson College/WHDH [70] | Nov 10–13, 2023 | 465 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 1.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 17.6% | 0.3% | – | 4.6% | 2.2% | 48.5% | – | 9.3% |
USA TODAY/Boston Globe/Suffolk University [71] | Sep 28 – October 2, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 1% | 6% | 10% | 19% | – | 1% | 4% | 4% | 49% | – | – |
CBS News/YouGov [72] | Sep 15–24, 2023 | 502 (LV) | ± 5.4% | 2% | 8% | 13% | 11% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 5% | 50% | 0% [lower-alpha 5] | – |
Saint Anselm College [73] | Sep 19–20, 2023 | 931 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 1% | 10% | 11% | 15% | 1% | 1% | 6% | 3% | 45% | 0% [lower-alpha 6] | 6% |
Insider Advantage [74] | September 20, 2023 | 850 (LV) | ± 3.36% | 4% | 10% | 8% | 14% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 5% | 42% | 1% [lower-alpha 7] | 9% |
University of New Hampshire [75] | Sep 14–18, 2023 | 1,006 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 1% | 11% | 10% | 12% | 0% | 2% | 13% | 6% | 39% | 1% [lower-alpha 8] | 6% |
NMB Research [76] | Aug 25–31, 2023 | 800 (LV) | – | 1% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 5% | 47% | <3% [lower-alpha 9] | 4% |
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates [77] | Aug 25–28, 2023 | 500 (LV) | – | 2% | 5% | 11% | 9% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 5% | 48% | <3% [lower-alpha 10] | 9% |
Echelon Insights [78] [upper-alpha 1] | Aug 15–17, 2023 | 800 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 2% | 14% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 11% | 7% | 34% | 3% [lower-alpha 11] | 12% |
Emerson College [79] | Aug 9–11, 2023 | 498 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 4% | 9% | 8% | 4% | – | 1% | 3% | 6% | 49% | 3% [lower-alpha 12] | 13% |
co/efficient [80] | Aug 5–7, 2023 | 862 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 4% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 43% | 3% [lower-alpha 13] | 13% |
Manhattan Institute [81] | July 2023 | 603 (LV) | – | 3% | 11% | 13% | 7% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 7% | 34% | 3% [lower-alpha 14] | 8% |
National Research [82] [upper-alpha 2] | Jul 25–26, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 41% | – | 15% |
University of New Hampshire [83] | Jul 13–17, 2023 | 898 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 6% | 6% | 23% | 5% | 0% | 1% | 5% | 8% | 37% | 1% [lower-alpha 15] | 8% |
National Research [84] [upper-alpha 2] | Jul 10–12, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 3% | 7% | 15% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 39% | – | 17% |
American Pulse [85] | Jul 5–11, 2023 | 895 | ± 3.2% | 3% | 10% | 11% | 3% | – | 5% | 5% | 7% | 48% | – | 8% [lower-alpha 16] |
Saint Anselm College [86] | Jun 21–23, 2023 | 494 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 2% | 6% | 19% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 47% | 0% [lower-alpha 17] | 10% |
New Hampshire Journal/co-efficient [87] | Jun 14–16, 2023 | 904 (LV) | ± 3.3% | – | 9% | 13% | 3% | – | 5% | 3% | 3% | 47% | 5% | 10% |
– | – | 23% | – | – | – | – | – | 49% | – | 28% | ||||
National Research [88] [upper-alpha 2] | Jun 12–14, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | 7% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 44% | 18% [lower-alpha 18] | – |
National Research [89] [upper-alpha 2] | May 15–17, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | – | 18% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 39% | 32% [lower-alpha 19] | – |
University of New Hampshire [90] | Apr 13–17, 2023 | 818 (LV) | ± 3.4% | – | 1% | 22% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 42% | 20% [lower-alpha 20] | 4% |
J.L Partners [91] | Apr 2–11, 2023 | 623 (LV) | ± 3.9% | – | 2% | 18% | 4% | – | 2% | 1% | 1% | 51% | 19% [lower-alpha 21] | 6% |
– | – | 33% | – | – | – | – | – | 53% | – | 13% | ||||
Saint Anselm College [92] | Mar 28–30, 2023 | 1,320 (RV) | ± 4.0% | – | 1% | 29% | 4% | – | 1% | 3% | 1% | 42% | 19% [lower-alpha 22] | – |
Emerson College [93] | Mar 3–5, 2023 | 384 (RV) | ± 5.0% | – | – | 17% | 6% | – | 4% | – | 1% | 58% | 14% [lower-alpha 23] | – |
co/efficient [94] | Jan 25–26, 2023 | 506 (LV) | ± 4.35% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 43% | 42% | 15% |
– | – | 26% | 4% | – | 3% | – | – | 37% | 13% [lower-alpha 24] | 18% | ||||
University of New Hampshire [95] | Jan 19–23, 2023 | 349 (LV) | ± 5.2% | – | – | 42% | 8% | – | 1% | – | 0% | 30% | 16% [lower-alpha 25] | 3% |
Neighborhood Research and Media [96] | Dec 5–13, 2022 | 434 (LV) | ± 4.7% | – | – | 33% | – | – | 3% | – | – | 32% | 13% | 19% |
WPA Intelligence [97] [upper-alpha 3] | Nov 11–13, 2022 | 401 (LV) | ± 4.9% | – | – | 52% | – | – | – | – | – | 37% | – | 11% |
2022 midterm elections | ||||||||||||||
Saint Anselm College [98] | Aug 9–11, 2022 | 820 (RV) | ± 3.4% | – | – | 29% | 3% | – | 3% | – | 1% | 50% | 4% [lower-alpha 26] | 8% |
WPA Intelligence [97] [upper-alpha 3] | Aug 7–10, 2022 | 401 (LV) | ± 4.9% | – | – | 45% | – | – | – | – | – | 45% | – | 10% |
Neighborhood Research and Media [99] [upper-alpha 4] | Jul 5–8, 2022 | 475 (RV) | ± 4.5% | – | – | 22% | 1% | – | 1% | – | – | 41% | 3% [lower-alpha 27] | 32% |
University of New Hampshire [100] | Jun 16–20, 2022 | 318 (LV) | ± 5.5% | – | – | 39% | 6% | – | 9% | – | 0% | 37% | 6% [lower-alpha 28] | 3% |
University of New Hampshire [101] | Oct 14–18, 2021 | 441 (LV) | ± 4.7% | – | – | 18% | 6% | – | 4% | – | – | 43% | 14% [lower-alpha 29] | 10% |
University of New Hampshire [102] | Jul 15–19, 2021 | 770 (LV) | ± 3.5% | – | – | 19% | 6% | – | 5% | – | – | 43% | 13% [lower-alpha 30] | 10% |
Saint Anselm College [103] [upper-alpha 5] | May 7–10, 2021 | 635 (RV) | ± 3.9% | – | – | 20% | 7% | – | 4% | – | 0% | 52% | 7% [lower-alpha 31] | 10% |
Victory Insights [104] | Mar 5–11, 2021 | 400 (RV) | – | – | – | 5% | 3% | – | 6% | – | – | 52% | 14% [lower-alpha 32] | – |
– | – | 21% | 7% | – | 18% | – | – | – | 29% [lower-alpha 33] | – | ||||
Inauguration of Joe Biden | ||||||||||||||
Praecones Analytica [105] | Nov 30 – December 2, 2020 | 624 (RV) | ± 4.0% | – | – | – | 7% | – | 6% | – | 2% | 57% | 19% [lower-alpha 34] | 10% |
– | – | – | 12% | – | 25% | – | 3% | – | 46% [lower-alpha 35] | 14% |
Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Delegate count [108] |
---|---|---|---|
Donald Trump | 176,391 | 54.35% | 13 |
Nikki Haley | 140,491 | 43.28% | 9 |
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) | 2,241 | 0.69% | |
Chris Christie (withdrawn) | 1,493 | 0.46% | |
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) | 833 | 0.26% | |
Joe Biden (Write-In) (Democrat) | 497 | 0.15% | |
Mike Pence (withdrawn) | 404 | 0.12% | |
Ryan Binkley | 315 | 0.10% | |
Mary Maxwell | 287 | 0.09% | |
Robert F. Kennedy (Write-In) (Independent) | 205 | 0.06% | |
Tim Scott (withdrawn) | 196 | 0.06% | |
Doug Burgum (withdrawn) | 180 | 0.06% | |
Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn) | 108 | 0.03% | |
Rachel Swift | 105 | 0.03% | |
Scott Ayers | 80 | 0.02% | |
Dean Philips (Write-In) (Democrat) | 79 | 0.02% | |
Darius Mitchell | 74 | 0.02% | |
Glenn McPeters | 49 | 0.02% | |
"Ceasefire" (Write-In) | 34 | 0.01% | |
Perry Johnson (withdrawn) | 26 | 0.01% | |
Peter Jedick | 25 | 0.01% | |
David Stuckenberg | 25 | 0.01% | |
Donald Kjornes | 23 | 0.01% | |
Scott Merrell | 21 | 0.01% | |
John Anthony Castro | 19 | 0.01% | |
Robert Carney | 15 | <0.01% | |
Marianne Williamson (Write-In) (Democrat) | 14 | <0.01% | |
Hirsh Singh (withdrawn) | 9 | <0.01% | |
Sam Sloan | 7 | <0.01% | |
Vermin Supreme (Write-In) (Democrat) | 3 | <0.01% | |
Mark Steward Greenstein (Write-In) (Democrat) | 1 | <0.01% | |
Other write-in votes | 325 | 0.10% | |
Total: | 324,575 | 100.00% | 22 |
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Partisan clients
Presidential primaries and caucuses of the Republican Party took place within all 50 U.S. states, the District of Columbia, and five U.S. territories between January 15, 2024, and June 4, 2024, ahead of the 2024 United States presidential election. These elections selected most of the 2,429 delegates to be sent to the Republican National Convention. Former president Donald Trump was nominated for president of the United States for a third consecutive election cycle.
This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the Republican primaries for the 2024 United States presidential election. The persons named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy. The polls included are among Republicans or Republicans and Republican-leaning independents. If multiple versions of polls are provided, the version among likely voters is prioritized, then registered voters, then adults.
This is a list of statewide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the Republican primaries for the 2024 United States presidential election. The persons named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy.
The 2024 Arizona Republican presidential primary was held on March 19, 2024, as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 43 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention were allocated on a winner-take-all basis. The contest was held alongside primaries in Florida, Illinois, Kansas, and Ohio.
The 2024 Ohio Republican presidential primary was held on March 19, 2024, as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 79 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention were allocated on a winner-take-all basis. The contest was held alongside primaries in Arizona, Florida, Illinois, and Kansas.
The 2024 Texas Republican presidential primary was held on March 5, 2024, as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 161 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention were allocated on a winner-take-most basis. The contest was held on Super Tuesday alongside primaries in 14 other states. Trump ultimately won all 161 delegates, while winning every county in the state except for Kent County.
The 2024 California Republican presidential primary was held on March 5, 2024, as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 169 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention will be allocated on a winner-take-most basis. The contest was held on Super Tuesday alongside primaries in 14 other states.
The 2024 New York Republican presidential primary was held on April 2, 2024, as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 91 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention were allocated on a winner-take-most basis. The contest was held alongside the primaries in Connecticut, Rhode Island, and Wisconsin.
The 2024 Pennsylvania Republican presidential primary was held on April 23, 2024, as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 67 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention were allocated.
The 2024 Virginia Republican presidential primary was held on March 5, 2024, as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 48 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention will be allocated on a proportional basis. The contest was held on Super Tuesday alongside primaries in 14 other states. Appearing on the ballot are Donald Trump, Nikki Haley, Ryan Binkley, Ron DeSantis, Chris Christie, and Vivek Ramaswamy.
The 2024 Georgia Republican presidential primary election was held on March 12, 2024, as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 59 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention will be allocated on a winner-take-all basis. The contest was held alongside primaries in Hawaii, Mississippi, and Washington.
The 2024 Wisconsin Republican presidential primary was held on April 2, 2024, as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 41 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention were allocated on a winner-take-all basis.
The 2024 Michigan Republican presidential primary and caucuses were held on February 27 and on March 2, 2024, respectively, as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 55 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention were allocated on a proportional and winner-take-most basis. The primary took place concurrently with its Democratic counterpart, and saw Trump defeat Haley in a 42-point landslide.
The 2024 South Carolina Republican presidential primary was held on February 24, 2024, as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 50 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention were allocated on a selection basis.
The 2024 Iowa Republican presidential caucuses were held on January 15, 2024, as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 40 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention will be allocated on a proportional basis. As in past primary cycles, the Iowa caucuses were the first-in-the-nation Republican presidential nominating contest.
The 2024 North Carolina Republican presidential primary was held on March 5, 2024, as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 74 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention were allocated on a proportional basis. The contest was held on Super Tuesday alongside primaries in 14 other states.
The 2024 Oklahoma Republican presidential primary was held on March 5, 2024, as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. Forty-three delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention were allocated on a winner-take-most basis. The contest was held on Super Tuesday alongside primaries in 14 other states.
The 2024 Tennessee Republican presidential primary was held on March 5, 2024, as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 58 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention were allocated on a winner-take-most basis. The contest was held on Super Tuesday alongside primaries in 14 other states.
The 2024 New Jersey Republican presidential primary was held on June 4, 2024, as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. Nine delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention were allocated on a winner-take-all basis. The contest was among the last in the Republican primary cycle, held alongside primaries in Montana, New Mexico, and South Dakota.