2014 United States Senate election in New Hampshire

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2014 United States Senate election in New Hampshire
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Nominee Jeanne Shaheen Scott Brown
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote251,184235,347
Percentage51.46%48.21%
2014 United States Senate election in New Hampshire results map by county.svg
2014 United States Senate election in New Hampshire results map by municipality.svg
Shaheen:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Brown:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     >90%
No Vote:     
U.S. senator before election

Jeanne Shaheen
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Jeanne Shaheen
Democratic

The 2014 United States Senate election in New Hampshire was held on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of New Hampshire, concurrently with the election of the governor of New Hampshire, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Contents

Incumbent Democratic Senator Jeanne Shaheen ran for re-election to a second term in office. [1] Primary elections were held on September 9, 2014. [2] Shaheen was unopposed for the Democratic nomination and the Republicans nominated former U.S. Senator Scott Brown, who represented Massachusetts from 2010 to 2013. [3]

Brown sought to become only the third person in history and the first in 135 years to represent more than one state in the United States Senate. Waitman T. Willey represented Virginia from 1861 to 1863 and West Virginia from 1863 to 1871 and James Shields represented Illinois from 1849 to 1855, Minnesota from 1858 to 1859 and Missouri in 1879. [4]

Shaheen defeated Brown by 51.5% to 48.2%, making him the first man to lose two Senate races to women, as he had lost his 2012 reelection bid in Massachusetts to Elizabeth Warren. [5] Shaheen became the second Democrat from New Hampshire to be reelected to the Senate and the first since Thomas J. McIntyre in 1972.

Democratic primary

Shaheen was unopposed for the Democratic nomination.

Candidates

Declared

Endorsements

Jeanne Shaheen

Individuals

Results

Democratic primary results [10]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Jeanne Shaheen (incumbent) 74,504 100.00%

Republican primary

The Republican primary for this election was much more highly contested than the respective Democratic one, with Scott Brown beating out Jim Rubens and Bob Smith for the Republican nomination.

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

  • Karen Testerman, conservative activist and candidate for Governor in 2010 (endorsed Smith) [16] [17]

Declined

Endorsements

Scott Brown

Individuals

Bob Smith

Individuals

  • Karen Testerman, conservative activist, candidate for Governor in 2010 and former candidate for U.S. Senate [17]
Jim Rubens

Individuals

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Charles
Bass		Scott
Brown		Andy
Martin		Jim
Rubens		Bob
Smith		Karen
Testerman		OtherUndecided
New England College [36] October 7–9, 2013424± 4.56%21%47%—5%—4%—23%
Public Policy Polling [37] January 9–12, 2014528± 4.3%—42%11%8%11%7%—22%
——4%12%26%10%—47%
Gravis Marketing [38] January 29–30, 2014498± 4.3%—51%——22%——27%
Suffolk/Boston Herald [39] February 27 – March 5, 2014426± 4.8%—33.33%0.7%3.05%11.97%3.29%—47.65%
Vox Populi Polling [40] May 14–15, 2014 ?± 5.2%—38%—9%13%8%—32%
Suffolk/Boston Herald [41] June 14–18, 2014419± 4.8%—40.33%0.24%3.58%12.17%—2.88% [42] 40.81%
NBC/Marist [43] July 7–13, 20141,342± 2.7%—61%—10%16%—1%12%

Results

Results by county: .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{} Brown 30-40% 40-50% 50-60% 2014 United States Senate Republican primary election in New Hampshire results map by county.svg
Results by county:
  Brown
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
Republican primary results [44]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Scott Brown 58,775 49.86%
Republican Jim Rubens 27,08922.98%
Republican Bob Smith 26,59322.56%
Republican Walter W. Kelly1,3761.17%
Republican Bob Heghmann7840.67%
Republican Andy Martin 7340.62%
Republican Mark W. Farnham7330.62%
Republican Miroslaw "Miro" Dziedzic5080.43%
Republican Gerard Beloin4920.42%
Republican Robert D'Arcy3970.34%
Democratic Jeanne Shaheen (write-in)2200.19%
Scatter1830.16%
Total votes117,884 100.00%

General election

Debates

Fundraising

Candidate (party)ReceiptsDisbursementsCash on handDebt
Jeanne Shaheen (D)$16,506,920.00$16,466,208.00$88,652.00$10,620.00
Scott Brown (R)$9,222,677.00$9,163,652.00$59,026.00$0
Source: Federal Election Commission [45]

Independent expenditures

Super PACSupportingAmountMediaGoal
Senate Majority PAC Jeanne Shaheen $682,558 [46] TVOppose Scott Brown
League of Conservation Voters Victory Fund Jeanne Shaheen $364,320 [46] TVOppose Scott Brown
Ending Spending Inc. Scott Brown $61,448 [47] MediaOppose Jeanne Shaheen
Ending Spending Action Fund Scott Brown $60,136 [47] MediaSupport Scott Brown
New Hampshire PAC to Save America Jim Rubens $57,866 [46] Direct MailSupport Jim Rubens
NextGen Climate Action Committee Jeanne Shaheen $37,421 [47] Digital AdvertisingOppose Scott Brown
Ocean Champions Jeanne Shaheen $25,000 [47] MediaOppose Scott Brown
Tea Party Victory Fund Bob Smith $15,000 [46] Voter Contact CallsSupport Bob Smith

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [48] TossupNovember 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball [49] Lean DNovember 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report [50] Tilt DNovember 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics [51] TossupNovember 3, 2014

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Jeanne
Shaheen (D)		Scott
Brown (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [52] April 19–21, 2013933± ?52%41%—7%
Rockefeller Center [53] April 22–25, 2013433± 4.7%44%30%—26%
New England College [54] May 2–5, 2013807± 3.27%54%35%—11%
Public Policy Polling [55] September 13–16, 20131,038± 3%48%44%—7%
American Research Group [56] December 13–16, 2013549± 4.2%48%38%—14%
Public Policy Polling [37] January 9–12, 20141,354± 2.7%46%43%—10%
Purple Strategies [57] January 21–23, 20141,052± 3%44%44%—12%
Harper Polling [58] January 22–23, 2014513± 4.33%40%35%—25%
WMUR/UNH [59] January 21–26, 2014454± 4.1%47%37%3%14%
Public Policy Polling [60] February 19–20, 2014686± 3.7%47%39%—14%
Suffolk/Boston Herald [39] February 27 – March 5, 2014800± 3.5%52%39%—9%
Rasmussen Reports [61] March 12–13, 2014750± 4%50%41%4%5%
American Research Group [56] March 13–16, 2014533± 4.2%50%38%—12%
Public Policy Polling [62] April 7–8, 20141,034± 3.1%49%41%—10%
WMUR/UNH [63] April 1–9, 2014387± 5%45%39%2%14%
Rockefeller Center [64] April 21–25, 2014412± 4.8%39%36%—25%
Hickman Analytics [65] April 24–30, 2014400± 4.9%49%43%—8%
Vox Populi Polling [40] May 14–15, 2014707± 3.6%47%35%—18%
American Research Group [56] June 14–18, 2014540± 4.2%50%38%—12%
Suffolk/Boston Herald [66] June 14–18, 2014800± 3.5%49%39%3% [67] 9%
WMUR/UNH [68] June 19 – July 1, 2014509± 4.3%52%40%1%7%
NBC News/Marist [69] July 7–13, 20141,342± 2.7%50%42%1%6%
Magellan Strategies [70] July 7–13, 20141,618± 2.43%46%41%—13%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [71] July 5–24, 20141,251± 2.9%50%40%4%6%
WMUR/UNH [72] August 7–17, 2014609± 4%46%44%1%9%
Public Policy Polling [73] August 27–28, 2014766± ?50%44%—6%
Public Opinion Strategies [74] August 27 – September 1, 2014500± 4.38%44%41%9% [67] 6%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [75] August 18 – September 2, 20141,159± 4%47%41%4%9%
Kiley & Company [76] September 2–4, 2014602± 4%50%42%—8%
Global Strategy Group [77] September 10, 20141,027± 3.1%48%41%—11%
Kiley & Company [78] September 9–11, 2014600± 4%51%43%—6%
CNN/ORC [79] September 8–11, 2014735 LV± 3.5%48%48%—4%
883 RV± 3.5%51%44%—5%
Magellan Strategies [80] September 10–11, 20142,214± 2%44%46%—10%
Rasmussen Reports [61] September 10–11, 20141,027± 3.1%48%42%5%5%
New England College [81] September 10–11, 2014630± 3.98%51%40%5%4%
American Research Group [56] September 12–15, 2014544± 4.2%50%45%—5%
Vox Populi Polling [82] September 15–16, 2014550± 4.2%43%47%—11%
Public Policy Polling [83] September 18–19, 2014652± 3.8%50%44%—5%
New England College [84] September 19–20, 20141,494± 2.54%50%43%4%3%
American Research Group [56] September 27–29, 2014600± 4%53%43%—4%
New England College [85] September 26, 20141,331± 2.69%47%47%3%3%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [86] September 20 – October 1, 20141,260± 3%48%41%1%10%
New England College [87] October 3, 20141,286± 2.73%49%46%3%2%
WMUR/UNH [88] September 29 – October 5, 2014532± 4.2%47%41%1%10%
High Point University [89] October 4–8, 2014824± 3.4%48%46%—6%
Kiley & Company [90] October 7–9, 2014600± 4%50%44%—6%
New England College [91] October 9, 20141,081± 2.98%47% 48%3%2%
UMass Amherst [92] October 10–15, 2014322 LV± 6.6%48%45%5%2%
400 RV± 6%49%41%5%5%
New England College [93] October 16, 2014921± 3.23%47% 48%3%2%
Suffolk/Boston Herald [94] October 16–19, 2014500± ?49%46%—6%
UMass Lowell [95] October 15–21, 2014643 LV± 4.5%49%46%1%4%
900 RV± 3.8%48%41%2%10%
CNN/ORC [96] October 18–21, 2014645 LV± 4%49%47%—3%
877 RV± 3.5%50%44%—5%
Public Policy Polling [97] October 20–21, 2014764± ?49%45%—5%
American Research Group [56] October 19–22, 2014600± 4%49%48%—3%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [86] October 16–23, 20141,042± 4%46%41%1%12%
New England College [98] October 24, 20141,132± 2.91%47% 48%3%2%
WMUR/UNH [99] October 22–26, 2014555± 4.2%50%42%—8%
Vox Populi Polling [100] October 27–28, 2014638± 3.9%49%45%—6%
American Research Group [56] October 27–29, 2014600± 4%49%49%—2%
Rasmussen Reports [61] October 29–30, 2014940± 3%52%45%1%2%
Public Policy Polling [101] October 30–31, 2014679± ?49%47%—4%
New England College [102] October 31 – November 1, 20141,526± 2.51%48%49%1%2%
WMUR/UNH [103] October 29 – November 2, 2014757± 3.6%47%45%3%6%
Public Policy Polling [104] November 1–3, 20141,690± 2.4%50%48%—3%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Jeanne
Shaheen (D)		Charles
Bass (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [55] September 13–16, 20131,038± 3%51%41%—8%
New England College [36] October 7–9, 20131,063± 3%51%32%—17%
WMUR/UNH [105] October 7–16, 2013663± 3.8%51%34%2%13%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Jeanne
Shaheen (D)		Jeb
Bradley (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [52] April 19–21, 2013933± ?54%39%—7%
Rockefeller Center [53] April 22–25, 2013433± 4.7%48%25%—27%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Jeanne
Shaheen (D)		Ted
Gatsas (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [52] April 19–21, 2013933± ?53%34%—14%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Jeanne
Shaheen (D)		Frank
Guinta (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [52] April 19–21, 2013933± ?55%37%—8%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Jeanne
Shaheen (D)		Dan
Innis (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [55] September 13–16, 20131,038± 3%52%30%—18%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Jeanne
Shaheen (D)		Andy
Martin (R)		OtherUndecided
Suffolk/Boston Herald [39] February 27 – March 5, 2014800± 3.5%52%27%—21%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Jeanne
Shaheen (D)		Jim
Rubens (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [55] September 13–16, 20131,038± 3%50%33%—17%
WMUR/UNH [105] October 7–16, 2013516± 3.8%53%28%1%18%
Public Policy Polling [37] January 9–12, 20141,354± 3.7%49%33%—19%
WMUR/UNH [59] January 21–26, 2014461± 4.1%46%32%1%20%
Suffolk/Boston Herald [39] February 27 – March 5, 2014800± 3.5%52%29%—19%
WMUR/UNH [63] April 1–9, 2014387± 5%48%27%1%23%
Rockefeller Center [64] April 21–25, 2014412± 4.8%38%19%—42%
WMUR/UNH [68] June 19 – July 1, 2014509± 4.3%56%30%1%13%
WMUR/UNH [72] August 7–17, 2014609± 4%49%35%1%15%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Jeanne
Shaheen (D)		Bob
Smith (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [55] September 13–16, 20131,038± 3%51%35%—14%
American Research Group [56] December 13–16, 2013549± 4.2%50%32%—18%
Public Policy Polling [37] January 9–12, 20141,354± 3.7%48%34%—18%
WMUR/UNH [59] January 21–26, 2014460± 4.1%47%36%2%15%
Suffolk/Boston Herald [39] February 27 – March 5, 2014800± 3.5%53%32%—15%
WMUR/UNH [63] April 1–9, 2014387± 5%48%34%1%17%
Rockefeller Center [64] April 21–25, 2014412± 4.8%38%32%—29%
Vox Populi Polling [40] May 14–15, 2014707± 3.6%45%34%—21%
Suffolk/Boston Herald [106] June 14–18, 2014800± 3.5%51%31%4% [67] 14%
WMUR/UNH [68] June 19 – July 1, 2014509± 4.3%57%34%1%8%
WMUR/UNH [72] August 7–17, 2014609± 4%50%36%2%13%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Jeanne
Shaheen (D)		Chris
Sununu (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [52] April 19–21, 2013933± ?53%39%—9%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Jeanne
Shaheen (D)		John
Sununu (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [107] November 14–15, 20121,018± 3.1%53%42%—5%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Jeanne
Shaheen (D)		Karen
Testerman (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [55] September 13–16, 20131,038± 3%50%31%—19%
Public Policy Polling [37] January 9–12, 20141,354± 3.7%47%30%—22%
WMUR/UNH [59] January 21–26, 2014461± 4.1%48%29%2%21%
Suffolk/Boston Herald [39] February 27 – March 5, 2014800± 3.5%52%29%—19%
WMUR/UNH [63] April 1–9, 2014387± 5%48%25%2%25%
Rockefeller Center [64] April 21–25, 2014412± 4.8%39%18%—43%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Jeanne
Shaheen (D)		Generic
Republican		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [107] August 9–12, 20121,055± 3%51%42%—7%
Public Policy Polling [108] October 17–19, 20121,036± 3%48%42%—10%
Public Policy Polling [108] November 3–4, 20121,550± 2.5%49%39%—12%

Results

The race was close throughout the night. However, with 57% of the vote in MSNBC was comfortable enough with Shaheen's lead to declare her the victor. Brown called Shaheen to concede at 11:32 P.M. EST. Shaheen won with a 3.3% margin of victory over Brown, securing a majority of the votes cast by over 1%.

United States Senate election in New Hampshire, 2014 [109]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic Jeanne Shaheen (incumbent) 251,184 51.46% −0.16%
Republican Scott Brown 235,34748.21%+2.93%
Write-in 1,6280.33%N/A
Total votes488,159 100.0% N/A
Democratic hold

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Results by congressional district

Shaheen won 1 of the 2 congressional districts. [110]

DistrictShaheenBrownRepresentative
1st 49.34%50.66% Frank Guinta
2nd 53.94%46.06% Ann McLane Kuster

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire</span>

The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire were held on November 8, 2022, to elect the two U.S. representatives from the state of New Hampshire, one from each of the state's two congressional districts.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 New Hampshire gubernatorial election</span>

The 2022 New Hampshire gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of New Hampshire. Incumbent Republican governor Chris Sununu won re-election to a fourth term, defeating Democratic nominee Tom Sherman.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Mayoral elections in Manchester, New Hampshire, in the 21st century</span>

Beginning shortly after the city's incorporation as a city in 1846, elections have been held in the mayor of Manchester, New Hampshire. The following article provides information on the elections for mayor in the city during the 21st century.

References

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  2. ↑ "FOR ALL CANDIDATES FILING DECLARATIONS OF CANDIDACY". New Hampshire Secretary of State. July 25, 2014. Retrieved July 25, 2014.
  3. ↑ "Scott Brown wins New Hampshire Senate primary". Politico.com. September 9, 2014. Retrieved September 10, 2014.
  4. ↑ "Sorry, Scott: Choosing A New State After You Get The Boot Never Works". Talking Points Memo. March 14, 2014. Retrieved September 21, 2014.
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  40. 1 2 3 Vox Populi Polling
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  42. ↑ Miro Dziedzic 0.72%, Bob Heghmann 0.72%, Walter Kelly 0.72%, Mark Farnham 0.48%, Robert D'Arcy 0.24%
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  53. 1 2 Rockefeller Center
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  55. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Public Policy Polling
  56. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 American Research Group
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  92. ↑ UMass Amherst
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  95. ↑ UMass Lowell
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