2014 United States House of Representatives election in North Dakota

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2014 United States House of Representatives election in North Dakota's at-large district
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Nominee Kevin Cramer George B. Sinner Jack Seaman
Party Republican Democratic–NPL Libertarian
Popular vote138,10095,67814,531
Percentage55.5%38.5%5.8%
North Dakota House of Representatives At Large Election Results by County, 2014.svg
County results
Cramer:      40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Sinner:      40–50%     50–60%     60–70%
U.S. Representative before election

Kevin Cramer
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Kevin Cramer
Republican

The 2014 United States House of Representatives election in North Dakota was held on Tuesday, November 4, 2014, to elect the U.S. representative from North Dakota's at-large congressional district for the 114th United States Congress. [1] The election coincided with all other states' House of Representatives elections. Incumbent Republican representative Kevin Cramer, who had served in the seat since 2013, won re-election to a second two-year term in office, becoming the first Republican U.S. Representative to be re-elected in North Dakota since 1978.

Contents

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

  • DuWayne Hendrickson (did not make the ballot) [3]

Results

Republican primary results [4]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Kevin Cramer 50,188 99.70
Republican Write-in15100.30
Total votes50,339 100

Democratic-Nonpartisan League primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Results

Democratic primary results [4]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic–NPL George B. Sinner 30,102 99.83
Democratic–NPL Write-in520.17
Total votes30,154 100

Libertarian nomination

Candidates

Declared

  • Jack Seaman, businessman [8]

Results

Libertarian primary results [4]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Libertarian Robert J. "Jack" Seaman 1,548 99.55
Libertarian Write-in70.45
Total votes1,555 100

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [9] Likely RNovember 3, 2014
Rothenberg [10] Safe ROctober 24, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball [11] Likely ROctober 30, 2014
RCP Safe RNovember 2, 2014
Daily Kos Elections [12] Likely RNovember 4, 2014

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Kevin
Cramer (R)		George B.
Sinner (D-NPL)		Jack
Seaman (L)		Undecided
DFM Research [13] October 13–16, 2014430± 4.7%46%39%3%12%
Forum Communications [14] September 26–October 3, 2014505± 5%46%27%4%23%
WPA Opinion Research (R-Cramer) [15] September 29–30, 2014400± 4.9%48%38%—12%
The Mellman Group (D-Sinner) [16] September 20–22, 2014400± 4.9%38%40%5%17%

Results

North Dakota's at-large congressional district, 2014 [17]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Kevin Cramer (incumbent) 138,100 55.54% +0.67%
Democratic–NPL George B. Sinner95,67838.48%−3.24%
Libertarian Jack Seaman14,5315.84%+2.59%
n/a Write-ins3610.15%−0.01%
Total votes248,670 100.0% N/A
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

References

  1. ↑ "2014 North Dakota Election Calendar" (PDF). nd.gov. North Dakota Secretary of State. Retrieved October 24, 2013.
  2. ↑ "ND Rep. Kevin Cramer unchallenged for GOP endorsement for re-election". Daily Journal. April 5, 2014. Archived from the original on April 22, 2014. Retrieved April 22, 2014.
  3. ↑ "Cramer won't face challenge at convention". The Bismarck Tribune. April 2, 2014. Retrieved April 22, 2014.
  4. 1 2 3 "North Dakota Official Results Primary Election - June 10, 2014". North Dakota Secretary of State. Retrieved July 24, 2014.
  5. ↑ "George B. Sinner Announces Bid For Congress". Valley News Live. March 19, 2014. Archived from the original on April 22, 2014. Retrieved April 22, 2014.
  6. ↑ Smith, Nick (October 29, 2013). "Both parties confident about 2014 election". The Bismarck Tribune. Retrieved December 19, 2013.
  7. 1 2 3 Rob Port (February 13, 2014). "ND Democrats struggle with candidate recruitment". North Dakota Watchdog. Retrieved April 9, 2014.
  8. ↑ Pat Ratliff (November 1, 2013). "Jack Seaman to run for U.S. House of Representatives". Dunn County Herald. Retrieved April 9, 2014.
  9. ↑ "2014 House Race Ratings for November 3, 2014". House: Race Ratings. Cook Political Report. Retrieved November 3, 2014.
  10. ↑ "2014 House Ratings (October 24, 2014)". House Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 24, 2014.
  11. ↑ "2014 House". Sabato's Crystal Ball. April 10, 2014. Retrieved April 11, 2014.
  12. ↑ "Daily Kos Elections House race ratings: Initial ratings for 2014". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved November 4, 2014.
  13. ↑ DFM Research
  14. ↑ Forum Communications
  15. ↑ WPA Opinion Research (R-Cramer)
  16. ↑ The Mellman Group (D-Sinner)
  17. ↑ "North Dakota Secretary of State".
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