2014 United States Senate election in Alaska

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2014 United States Senate election in Alaska
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  Senator Dan Sullivan official (cropped).jpg Mark Begich, official portrait, 112th Congress (cropped).jpg
Nominee Dan Sullivan Mark Begich
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote135,445129,431
Percentage47.96%45.83%
2014 United States Senate election in Alaska by State House District.svg
2014 United States Senate election in Alaska results map by borough and census area.svg
Sullivan:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Begich:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
U.S. senator before election

Mark Begich
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Dan Sullivan
Republican

The 2014 United States Senate election in Alaska took place on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Alaska, concurrently with the election of the governor of Alaska, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Contents

Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Mark Begich ran for re-election to a second term in office. Primary elections were held on August 19, 2014. Begich was renominated and the Republicans picked former Commissioner of the Alaska Department of Natural Resources Dan Sullivan. [1]

On November 7, Sullivan held an 8,000-vote lead, [2] which on November 11 had shrunk slightly to 7,991 votes. [3] Multiple media outlets called the race for Sullivan on November 12 [4] [5] and Begich conceded to Sullivan on November 17. [6] [7] Republican Sean Parnell simultaneously lost the gubernatorial election to independent candidate Bill Walker, marking just the fifth time in the last 50 years in which U.S. Senate and gubernatorial incumbents from different political parties were simultaneously defeated in the same state. [8] [a]

Background

Democrat Mark Begich won the 2008 election, defeating seven-term Republican incumbent Ted Stevens by just under 4,000 votes. A few days before the election, Stevens had been convicted of a felony, but the case against Stevens was later dismissed by the Justice Department after the election, when serious issues of prosecutorial misconduct emerged. In the 2012 presidential election, Mitt Romney easily won Alaska by 13 points, which made Begich a prime target during an election cycle in which Republicans needed a net gain of six seats to retake control of the Senate.

Democratic–Libertarian–Independence primary

Candidates from the Alaska Democratic Party, Alaska Libertarian Party and Alaskan Independence Party appear on the same ballot, with the highest-placed candidate from each party receiving that party's nomination.

Democratic candidates

Declared

Alaskan Independence candidates

Declared

Libertarian candidates

Declared

Declined

  • Joe Miller, former magistrate judge, Republican nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2010 and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2014 [15] [16]

Results

Democratic–Libertarian–Independence primary results [17]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Mark Begich (incumbent) 58,092 83.31%
Libertarian Thom Walker 3,167 4.54%
Independence Vic Kohring 2,557 3.67%
Democratic William Bryk 2,0242.90%
Independence Zachary Kile1,8692.68%
Libertarian Mark Fish1,2901.85%
Libertarian Scott Kohlhaas7341.05%
Total votes69,733 100.00%

Subsequent events

In an upset, the unknown Thom Walker won the Libertarian nomination despite not campaigning and raising no money. Libertarians speculated that he was a Republican "plant" designed to keep a more viable Libertarian from winning the nomination and then taking votes away from the Republican nominee in the general election. They further speculated that Walker was chosen because he shared a surname with Bill Walker (no relation), who was running as an independent candidate in the 2014 gubernatorial election, and that voters may have been confused because Bill Walker did not appear on the primary ballot and thus they may have voted for Thom Walker in error. This confusion could have extended to the general election, with voters picking Thom Walker for the Senate, thinking he was Bill Walker. [18]

Walker withdrew from the race on August 27, saying that "my work location and schedule will have me out of town, out of contact and off the campaign trail for too long." The Libertarian executive board replaced him as the nominee with Mark Fish. [19]

Alaskan Independence nominee Vic Kohring, who had changed his voter registration from Republican to Alaskan Independence just before the filing deadline, withdrew from the race on September 2 and endorsed Dan Sullivan. The Alaskan Independence Party did not name a replacement nominee before the deadline for them to do so had passed. [20]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Bumper sticker from Sullivan's campaign Sullivan (15373065277).jpg
Bumper sticker from Sullivan's campaign

Withdrew

  • Kathleen Tonn, anti-abortion activist [25] [26]

Declined

Filed

Endorsements

Dan Sullivan

Individuals

Organizations

Mead Treadwell

Individuals

Declined to endorse

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		John
Jaramillo		Loren
Leman		Joe
Miller		Sarah
Palin		Sean
Parnell		Dan A.
Sullivan		Dan S.
Sullivan		Kathleen
Tonn		Mead
Treadwell		Other/
Undecided
Moore Information (R-S. Sullivan) [46] August 4–5, 2014500———17%———42%—25%16%
Public Policy Polling [47] July 31 – August 3, 2014337± 5.3%2%—20%———35%—29%14%
Moore Information (R-S. Sullivan) [48] July 29–31, 2014375± 5.5%——16%———35%—27%22%
Hellenthal & Assoc. [49] June 17–28, 2014————21%———35%—31%13%
Moore Information (R-S. Sullivan) [50] June 16–18, 2014500———13%———36%—27%24%
Dittman Research (R-A. Sullivan) [51] May 27–29, 2014500± 4.4%——12%———37%—35%16%
Public Policy Polling [52] May 8–11, 2014313± 5.5%3%—14%———40%—26%17%
Moore Information (R-S. Sullivan) [53] April 27–28, 2014————12%———38%—22%29%
Public Policy Polling [54] January 30 – February 1, 2014442± 4.7%2%—20%———30%4%25%19%
Ivan Moore [55] December 15–22, 2013335———19%———29%—34%18%
Public Policy Polling [56] July 25–28, 2013507± 4.4%——12%36%——15%—26%11%
——24%———25%—33%19%
——30%—————53%18%
Harper Polling [57] May 6–7, 2013379± 5.0%——14%32%————30%24%
——19%52%—————29%
Public Policy Polling [58] February 4–5, 2013537± 4.2%—16%17%—24%19%——14%11%
—20%19%——29%——23%9%
Harper Polling [59] January 29–30, 20131,157± 2.9%——12%27%32%———14%15%

Results

Results by state house district Sullivan .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{} Sullivan--40-50% Sullivan--30-40% Miller Miller--30-40% Miller--40-50% 2014AKSenGOP.svg
Results by state house district
Sullivan
  •   Sullivan—40–50%
  •   Sullivan—30–40%
Miller
  •   Miller—30–40%
  •   Miller—40–50%
Republican primary results [17]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Dan Sullivan 44,740 40.05%
Republican Joe Miller 35,90432.14%
Republican Mead Treadwell 27,80724.90%
Republican John Jaramillo3,2462.91%
Total votes111,697 100.00%

Independents

Candidates

Declared

Declined

General election

Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSpentCash on HandDebt
Mark Begich (D)$7,918,887$8,487,590$721,5050
Dan Sullivan (R)$6,093,368$7,579,632$449,506$43,000

Debates

Begich and Sullivan participated in a televised debate regarding fisheries on August 27, 2014, at the University of Alaska Anchorage. [64] Another televised debate concerning natural resources was held on October 1 in Kodiak, Alaska. [65]

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [66] TossupNovember 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball [67] Lean R (flip)November 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report [68] Tilt R (flip)November 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics [69] TossupNovember 3, 2014

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Mark
Begich (D)		Dan
Sullivan (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [70] November 1–2, 20141,052± 3.0%45%46%4% [71] 5%
46%47%—7%
Rasmussen Reports [72] October 27–30, 2014887± 4.0%42%47%—11%
Ivan Moore [73] October 24–26, 2014544—48%42%7%4%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [74] October 16–23, 2014561± 9.0%44%48%0%9%
Harstad Strategic Research [75] October 18–22, 2014700—44%44%4%7%
Hellenthal & Associates [76] October 15–21, 2014403± 4.9%49%39%7% [77] 6%
Rasmussen Reports [72] October 8–12, 2014700± 4.0%45%48%3%3%
Fox News [78] October 4–7, 2014706± 3.5%40%44%6% [79] 10%
CNN/ORC [80] October 1–6, 2014704 LV± 3.5%44%50%—5%
875 RV± 3.4%44%48%—8%
Hickman Analytics [81] September 26 – October 2, 2014400± 4.9%41%46%4% [82] 9%
CBS News/New York Times [83] September 20 – October 1, 2014593± 5.0%42%48%2%8%
Rassmussen Reports [84] September 23–24, 2014750± 4.0%43%48%5%4%
Marc Hellenthal [85] September 12–24, 2014400—42%46%7% [86] 5%
Public Policy Polling [87] September 18–21, 2014880± 3.3%41%43%5% [88] 11%
42%45%—13%
Dittman [89] September 14–17, 2014800± 3.5%43%49%—8%
Hays Research/AFL-CIO [90] September 13–14, 2014500± 4.4%41%36%23%
Harstad Strategic Research [91] September 7–10, 2014709± 4.0%45%40%7%8%
CBS News/New York Times [92] August 18 – September 2, 2014412± 6.0%38%43%6%12%
Harstad Strategic Research [91] August 24–27, 2014807± 4.0%41%40%10%8%
ccAdvertising [93] August 21–24, 20144,403—31%42%—27%
Rasmussen Reports [72] August 20–21, 2014750± 4%45%47%3%4%
Public Policy Polling [47] July 31 – August 1, 2014673± 3.8%43%37%7% [94] 12%
45%41%—14%
Harstad Strategic Research [91] July 20–24, 2014808± 4.0%44%37%10%9%
CBS News/New York Times [95] July 5–24, 2014452± 5.2%46%35%9%10%
Basswood Research [96] June 29–30, 2014500± 4.4%40%45%—15%
Moore Information (R-Sullivan) [97] June 16–18, 2014500± 4.0%43%43%—14%
Public Policy Polling [52] May 8–11, 2014582± 4.1%42%37%7% [98] 14%
Moore Information (R-Sullivan) [99] April 27–28, 2014500± 4.0%44%42%—14%
Magellan Strategies [100] April 14, 2014603± 4.0%41%46%7%6%
Rasmussen Reports [72] March 19–20, 2014750± 4.0%44%44%3%9%
Public Policy Polling [54] January 30 – February 1, 2014850± 3.4%41%37%9% [101] 13%
Harper Polling [102] January 20–22, 2014677± 3.8%41%47%—12%
Harper Polling [103] September 24–25, 2013731± 3.6%43%41%—16%
Public Policy Polling [56] July 25–28, 2013890± 3.3%46%39%—15%
Hypothetical polling

with Leman

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Mark
Begich (D)		Loren
Leman (R)		Zachary
Kile (AIP)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [58] February 4–5, 20131,129± 2.9%50%40%——10%

with Miller

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Mark
Begich (D)		Joe
Miller (R)		Zachary
Kile (AIP)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [47] July 31 – August 1, 2014673± 3.8%45%32%—12% [104] 11%
Public Policy Polling [52] May 8–11, 2014582± 4.1%43%27%4%2% [105] 23%
Rasmussen Reports [72] March 19–20, 2014750± 4%49%38%—3%10%
Public Policy Polling [54] January 30 – February 1, 2014850± 3.4%45%25%5%3%21%
Harper Polling [102] January 20–22, 2014677± 3.76%51%32%——17%
Harper Polling [103] September 24–25, 2013731± 3.62%55%28%——18%
Public Policy Polling [56] July 25–28, 2013890± 3.3%55%32%——13%
Public Policy Polling [58] February 4–5, 20131,129± 2.9%58%30%——12%
Harper Polling [106] January 29–30, 20131,157± 2.88%52%29%——19%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Mark
Begich (D)		Dan
Sullivan (R)		Joe
Miller (I)		OtherUndecided
Hays Research Group [107] February 9, 2014502± 3.3%45%33%10%——

with Palin

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Mark
Begich (D)		Sarah
Palin (R)		Zachary
Kile (AIP)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [52] May 8–11, 2014582± 4.1%41%35%6%3% [108] 15%
Public Policy Polling [54] January 30 – February 1, 2014850± 3.4%44%40%4%2%11%
Hays Research Group [109] August 14–15, 2013388± 4.9%55%37%——8%
Public Policy Polling [56] July 25–28, 2013890± 3.3%52%40%——8%
Public Policy Polling [58] February 4–5, 20131,129± 2.9%54%38%——8%
Harper Polling [106] January 29–30, 20131,157± 2.88%47%40%——13%

with Parnell

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Mark
Begich (D)		Sean
Parnell (R)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling [58] February 4–5, 20131,129± 2.9%48%48%4%
Harper Polling [106] January 29–30, 20131,157± 2.88%40%46%14%

with Dan A. Sullivan

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Mark
Begich (D)		Dan A.
Sullivan (R)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling [58] February 4–5, 20131,129± 2.9%47%41%12%

with Treadwell

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Mark
Begich (D)		Mead
Treadwell (R)		Zachary
Kile (AIP)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [47] July 31 – August 1, 2014673± 3.8%42%37%—8% [110] 12%
44%41%——15%
CBS News/New York Times [95] July 5–24, 2014452± 5.8%47%45%—9%10%
Public Policy Polling [52] May 8–11, 2014582± 4.1%41%33%6%3% [108] 17%
Rasmussen Reports [72] March 19–20, 2014750± 4%43%47%—3%6%
Public Policy Polling [54] January 30 – February 1, 2014850± 3.4%43%37%5%2%13%
Harper Polling [102] January 20–22, 2014677± 3.76%41%47%——12%
Harper Polling [103] September 24–25, 2013731± 3.62%43%42%——15%
Hays Research Group [111] August 14–15, 2013388± 4.9%50.4%38.5%——11.1%
Public Policy Polling [56] July 25–28, 2013890± 3.3%44%40%——17%
Public Policy Polling [58] February 4–5, 20131,129± 2.9%47%39%——14%
Harper Polling [106] January 29–30, 20131,157± 2.88%44%34%——22%

Results

2014 United States Senate election in Alaska [112]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Dan Sullivan 135,445 47.96% +1.46%
Democratic Mark Begich (incumbent)129,43145.83%−1.94%
Libertarian Mark Fish10,5123.72%+1.94%
Independent Ted Gianoutsos5,6362.00%+1.56%
Write-in 1,3760.49%+0.15%
Total votes282,400 100.00% N/A
Republican gain from Democratic

Boroughs and Census Areas that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Boroughs and Census Areas that flipped Republican to Democratic

See also

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References

  1. ↑ State of Alaska Division of Elections. "2014 Election Dates and Hours". State of Alaska Division of Elections. Archived from the original on December 30, 2012. Retrieved April 2, 2014.
  2. ↑ "After noisy U.S. Senate campaign, both candidates go quiet with votes still uncounted". Alaska Dispatch News. November 6, 2014. Retrieved November 7, 2014.
  3. ↑ "Highs, lows for campaigns as votes are tallied in Alaska election". Alaska Dispatch News. November 11, 2014. Retrieved November 12, 2014.
  4. ↑ "Republican Dan Sullivan Beats Sen. Mark Begich to Win Alaska Race". NBC News. November 12, 2014. Retrieved November 15, 2014.
  5. ↑ "Another Senate Loss for Democrats". The Atlantic. November 12, 2014. Retrieved November 15, 2014.
  6. ↑ "Republicans Take the Senate – Debates Continue on Health Care and Immigration Reform – The Bi-College News". Archived from the original on November 29, 2014.
  7. ↑ Joseph, Cameron. Begich concedes Alaska Senate race, The Hill , November 17, 2014.
  8. ↑ Ostermeier, Eric (November 19, 2014). "Mark Begich and Sean Parnell Join Small Group in Defeat". Smart Politics.
  9. 1 2 "Stevens files candidacy for 2014 election". ADN.com. April 8, 2009. Archived from the original on October 4, 2012. Retrieved November 5, 2012.
  10. ↑ Zaz Hollander (November 21, 2013). "Brooklyn lawyer takes on Begich - without leaving home". Anchorage Daily News. Retrieved November 22, 2013.
  11. 1 2 Scott Rhode (June 3, 2014). "Ten Observations About 2014 Candidates". KENI . Retrieved June 4, 2014.
  12. 1 2 Amanda Coyne (May 14, 2014). "Alaska Libertarian Mark Fish runs for U.S. Senate seat". Amanda Coyne. Retrieved June 4, 2014.
  13. ↑ "U.S. Senate — Scott Kohlhaas". NewsMiner.com. August 18, 2014. Retrieved August 22, 2014.
  14. ↑ Alexandra Gutierrez (August 22, 2014). "Walker wins primary … for Libertarian Senate nomination". KTOO. Retrieved August 22, 2014.
  15. ↑ Joseph, Cameron (June 26, 2014). "Sen. Begich faces tough reelection challenge in GOP-friendly Alaska". Roll Call . Retrieved June 26, 2014.
  16. 1 2 Joseph, Cameron (August 15, 2014). "Joe Miller says he'll back GOP nominee against Begich in Alaska". The Hill . Retrieved August 15, 2014.
  17. 1 2 "2014 Primary Elections August 19, 2014 Official Results". State of Alaska Division of Elections. Retrieved September 8, 2014.
  18. ↑ "Walker -- no, the other Walker -- wins Libertarian US Senate nomination". Alaska Dispatch New. August 22, 2014. Retrieved September 19, 2014.
  19. ↑ "Alaska Libertarian candidate for U.S. Senate withdraws". Alaska Dispatch New. August 27, 2014. Retrieved September 19, 2014.
  20. ↑ "Independence party candidate exits US Senate race". NewsMiner.com. September 3, 2014. Retrieved September 19, 2014.
  21. ↑ Anderson, Ben (May 28, 2013). "Joe Miller takes another step toward 2014 US Senate run". Alaska Dispatch. Retrieved July 9, 2013.
  22. ↑ Burns, Alexander (May 28, 2013). "Joe Miller files papers for Senate". Politico. Retrieved May 29, 2013.
  23. ↑ Hohmann, James (September 12, 2013). "Alaska Senate race 2014: Dan Sullivan to run". Politico . Retrieved September 12, 2013.
  24. ↑ Trygstad, Kyle (June 18, 2013). "Republican Announces Begich Challenge". Roll Call. Retrieved June 18, 2013.
  25. ↑ "Begala scheduled to headline fundraiser for Democrat Begich in Alaska". Newsminer. July 16, 2013. Retrieved August 13, 2013.
  26. ↑ Bailey, Chris (February 1, 2014). "Tonn Out of Senate Primary Race". Alaska Commons. Retrieved April 6, 2014.
  27. ↑ Mauer, Rich (February 23, 2013). "Miller Mulls a Begich Challenge". Anchorage Daily News. Retrieved February 27, 2013.
  28. ↑ Trygstad, Kyle (November 13, 2012). "Alaska: Republicans Lining Up to Take on Mark Begich". Roll Call. Retrieved February 27, 2013.
  29. ↑ Hopkins, Kyle (June 5, 2013). "McGuire files to run for lieutenant governor". Anchorage Daily News . Archived from the original on June 9, 2013. Retrieved June 10, 2013.
  30. ↑ "McGuire withdraws from lieutenant governor race just before filing deadline". Anchorage Daily News . June 2, 2014. Archived from the original on June 6, 2014. Retrieved June 4, 2014.
  31. ↑ Sarah Palin Ups Her 2014 Game, Endorses In Competitive GOP Senate Primary
  32. ↑ Forgey, Pat (May 4, 2013). "Neither Democrats nor Republicans shocked Parnell is running again". Alaska Dispatch. Retrieved May 25, 2013.[ permanent dead link ]
  33. ↑ Gonzales, Nathan L. (May 23, 2013). "Anchorage Mayor Not Running in Alaska Senate Race". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved May 25, 2013.
  34. ↑ Yardley, William; Robbins, Liz (August 10, 2010). "Former Senator Ted Stevens Killed in Plane Crash". The New York Times.
  35. ↑ "Sarah Palin endorses Joe Miller, again". August 15, 2014. Archived from the original on August 19, 2014.
  36. ↑ "Combat Veterans for Congress PAC Endorses Joe Miller for U.S. Senate". Joe Miller for Senate. December 23, 2013. Retrieved February 24, 2014.
  37. ↑ "GOA Political Victory Fund Endorses Miller for Senate". Gun Owners of America Political Victory Fund. Archived from the original on March 2, 2014. Retrieved February 24, 2014.
  38. ↑ Matheson, Ben (October 24, 2014). "Lyman Hoffman Endorses Dan Sullivan for Senate". KYUK. Archived from the original on January 21, 2015. Retrieved January 21, 2015.
  39. ↑ US Senate hopeful Sullivan out with new ad, casts self as fighter Alaska needs, therepublic.com; accessed November 6, 2014.
  40. ↑ Sweeney Updated, Tara (October 25, 2020). "Sullivan has been a champion for rural Alaska". Anchorage Daily News. Retrieved October 16, 2021.
  41. ↑ Caitlin Huey-Burns (March 12, 2014). "Club for Growth Backs Sullivan in Alaska Race". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved March 13, 2014.
  42. ↑ Buxton, Matt (September 13, 2013). "Treadwell campaigns in Fairbanks for U.S. Senate seat". Fairbanks Daily News-Miner . Retrieved February 24, 2014.
  43. ↑ Treadwell, Mead (September 13, 2013). "I am honored and humbled to have the support of Mark Hamilton". Twitter. Retrieved February 24, 2014.
  44. ↑ Trygstad, Kyle (February 20, 2014). "Olympic Snowboarder Makes Senate Endorsement". Roll Call . Retrieved February 24, 2014.
  45. ↑ Hohmann, James (November 21, 2013). "Parnell staying out of Alaska Sen. race". Politico . Retrieved February 24, 2014.
  46. ↑ Moore Information (R-S. Sullivan)
  47. 1 2 3 4 Public Policy Polling
  48. ↑ Moore Information (R-S. Sullivan)
  49. ↑ Hellenthal & Assoc.
  50. ↑ Moore Information (R-S. Sullivan)
  51. ↑ Dittman Research (R-A. Sullivan)
  52. 1 2 3 4 5 Public Policy Polling
  53. ↑ Moore Information (R-S. Sullivan)
  54. 1 2 3 4 5 Public Policy Polling
  55. ↑ Ivan Moore
  56. 1 2 3 4 5 Public Policy Polling
  57. ↑ Harper Polling
  58. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Public Policy Polling
  59. ↑ Harper Polling
  60. 1 2 "November 4, 2014 General Election Candidate List". Alaska Secretary of State. Archived from the original on August 20, 2014. Retrieved August 22, 2014.
  61. ↑ Andrew Wellner (June 6, 2014). "Crowded field files for state elections". Mat-Su Valley Frontiersman. Retrieved August 22, 2014.
  62. ↑ Campbell, Colin (November 4, 2014). "A Cat Mayor Just 'Announced' His Campaign For Senate In Alaska". Business Insider. Archived from the original on August 5, 2017. Retrieved July 24, 2017.
  63. ↑ Forrest A. Nabors (April 22, 2014). "She Can See This Disaster From Her House". Politico. Retrieved April 24, 2014.
  64. ↑ Herz, Nathaniel (October 1, 2014). "Tough topic, tough audience for Sullivan in debate with Begich on fisheries issues in Kodiak". Alaska Dispatch News.
  65. ↑ Herz, Nathaniel (October 23, 2014). "Begich, Sullivan spar over natural resources in US Senate debate". Alaska Dispatch News.
  66. ↑ "2014 Senate Race Ratings for November 3, 2014". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved July 20, 2018.
  67. ↑ "The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks". Sabato's Crystal Ball. November 3, 2014. Retrieved July 20, 2018.
  68. ↑ "2014 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved July 20, 2018.
  69. ↑ "2014 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2014". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved July 20, 2018.
  70. ↑ Public Policy Polling
  71. ↑ Mark Fish (L) 2%, Ted Gianoutsos (I) 2%
  72. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Rasmussen Reports
  73. ↑ Ivan Moore
  74. ↑ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  75. ↑ Harstad Strategic Research
  76. ↑ Hellenthal & Associates
  77. ↑ Mark Fish (L) 3%, Ted Gianoutsos (I) 4%
  78. ↑ Fox News
  79. ↑ Mark Fish (L) 3%, Ted Gianoutsos (I) 1%, Other 2%
  80. ↑ CNN/ORC
  81. ↑ Hickman Analytics
  82. ↑ Mark Fish (L) 4%, Ted Gianoutsos (I) 1%
  83. ↑ CBS News/New York Times
  84. ↑ Rassmussen Reports
  85. ↑ Marc Hellenthal
  86. ↑ Mark Fish (L)
  87. ↑ Public Policy Polling
  88. ↑ Mark Fish (L) 3%, Ted Gianoutsos (I) 2%
  89. ↑ Dittman
  90. ↑ Hays Research/AFL-CIO
  91. 1 2 3 Harstad Strategic Research
  92. ↑ CBS News/New York Times
  93. ↑ ccAdvertising
  94. ↑ Mark Fish (L) 4%, Vic Kohring (AI) 3%, Ted Gianoutsos (I) 0%, Sidney Hill (I) 0%
  95. 1 2 CBS News/New York Times
  96. ↑ Basswood Research
  97. ↑ Moore Information (R-Sullivan)
  98. ↑ Zachary Kile 5%, Ted Gianoutsos 1%, Sidney Hill 1%
  99. ↑ Moore Information (R-Sullivan)
  100. ↑ Magellan Strategies
  101. ↑ Zachary Kile 6%, Ted Gianoutsos 1%, Sidney Hill 2%
  102. 1 2 3 Harper Polling
  103. 1 2 3 Harper Polling
  104. ↑ Mark Fish (L) 6%, Vic Kohring (AI) 4%, Ted Gianoutsos (I) 1%, Sidney Hill (I) 1%
  105. ↑ Ted Gianoutsos 0%, Sidney Hill 2%
  106. 1 2 3 4 Harper Polling
  107. ↑ Hays Research Group
  108. 1 2 Ted Gianoutsos 1%, Sidney Hill 2%
  109. ↑ Hays Research Group
  110. ↑ Mark Fish (L) 5%, Vic Kohring (AI) 3%, Ted Gianoutsos (I) 0%, Sidney Hill (I) 0%
  111. ↑ Hays Research Group
  112. ↑ "2014 General Election November 4, 2014 Official Results" (PDF). elections.alaska.gov. November 11, 2014. Retrieved November 27, 2014.

Notes

  1. ↑ The others were 1990 in Minnesota, 1982 in Nevada, 1978 in New Hampshire, and 1978 in Massachusetts

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