2014 Hawaii gubernatorial election

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2014 Hawaii gubernatorial election
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  Governor David Ige (cropped 2).jpg Duke Aiona.jpg Mufi Hannemann (2829422273) (cropped).jpg
Nominee David Ige Duke Aiona Mufi Hannemann
Party Democratic Republican Independent
Running mate Shan Tsutsui Elwin AhuLes Chang
Popular vote181,106135,77542,934
Percentage49.45%37.08%11.72%
2014 Hawaii gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
HI Governor 2014.svg
Ige:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     >90%
Aiona:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
     No votes
Governor before election

Neil Abercrombie
Democratic

Elected Governor

David Ige
Democratic

The 2014 Hawaii gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to elect the Governor of Hawaii, concurrently with a special election to Hawaii's Class III Senate Seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Contents

Primary elections were held on August 9, 2014. In Hawaii, candidates for governor and lieutenant governor run in separate primaries and are then elected on the same ticket. Incumbent Democratic governor Neil Abercrombie ran for re-election to a second term in office, but was defeated by State Senator David Ige in the Democratic primary, making Abercrombie the first incumbent governor to lose renomination in Hawaii history. Incumbent Democratic lieutenant governor Shan Tsutsui was renominated.

The Republicans nominated former lieutenant governor Duke Aiona and pastor and former circuit court judge Elwin Ahu. Also running as an independent was former mayor of Honolulu Mufi Hannemann and former Honolulu parks and recreation director Les Chang. Ige and Tsutsui won the election. As of 2023, this election was the only time since 1994 that the winning gubernatorial nominee won the Hawaii gubernatorial election with only a plurality of the popular vote.

Democratic primary

Governor

Candidates

Declared

Declined

  • Ed Case, former U.S. Representative and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2006 and 2012 [4]

Endorsements

David Ige

Individuals

Debates

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Neil
Abercrombie		David
Ige		OtherUndecided
Ward Research [8] July 21–29, 2014458± 4.6%36%54%—11%
Civil Beat [9] July 24–28, 2014895± 3.3%41%51%—8%
Public Policy Polling [10] July 23–24, 2014410± ?39%49%—12%
Civil Beat [11] June 7–9, 2014729± 3.6%37%48%—15%
SMS Research* [12] March 24–April 25, 20141,402± 2.6%42%28%—30%
Civil Beat [13] February 12–15, 2014643± 3.9%37%37%—26%
Ward Research [14] January 29–February 3, 2014528± 4.3%47%38%—14%
  • * Internal poll for Neil Abercrombie campaign

Results

Results by county: Map legend .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{} Ige--70-80% Ige--60-70% Ige--50-60% 2014HIgovdprimary.svg
Results by county:
Map legend
  •   Ige—70–80%
  •   Ige—60–70%
  •   Ige—50–60%
Democratic primary results [15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic David Ige 157,050 66.01
Democratic Neil Abercrombie (incumbent)73,50730.09
Democratic Van Tanabe2,6221.01
Democratic Blank vote 4,6141.94
Democratic Over vote 1240.05
Total votes237,917 100.00

Lieutenant governor

Brian Schatz won the Democratic primary for lieutenant governor in 2010 with 37% of the vote and was elected alongside Abercrombie. After the death of U.S. Senator Daniel Inouye in December 2012, Abercrombie appointed Schatz to succeed him in the Senate. Schatz resigned as lieutenant governor and was succeeded by Shan Tsutsui, the president of the Hawaii Senate. [16]

Candidates

Declared

Results

Results by county: Map legend Tsutsui--70-80% Tsutsui--50-60% 2014HIltgovdprimary.svg
Results by county:
Map legend
  •   Tsutsui—70–80%
  •   Tsutsui—50–60%
Democratic primary results [15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Shan Tsutsui (incumbent) 120,779 50.77
Democratic Clayton Hee 81,25534.15
Democratic Mary Zanakis18,1747.64
Democratic Miles Shiratori2,5931.09
Democratic Sam Puletasi2,1260.89
Democratic Blank vote 12,8505.04
Democratic Over vote 1390.06
Total votes237,916 100.00

Republican primary

Governor

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Endorsements

Duke Aiona

Results

Results by county: Map legend Aiona-->90% HIRepprimarysweep.svg
Results by county:
Map legend
  •   Aiona—>90%
Republican primary results [15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Duke Aiona 41,832 94.77
Republican Stuart Todd Gregory6401.45
Republican Charles (Trump) Collins5801.31
Republican Blank vote 1,0542.39
Republican Over vote 360.08
Total votes44,142 100.00

Lieutenant governor

Candidates

Declared

  • Elwin Ahu, pastor and former circuit court judge [23]
  • Warner "Kimo" Sutton, businessman [24]

Declined

Results

Republican primary results [15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Elwin Ahu 27,678 62.07
Republican Warner "Kimo" Sutton11,51126.08
Republican Blank vote 4,92111.15
Republican Over vote 320.07
Total votes44,142 100.00

Libertarian nomination

Governor

Candidates

Declared

  • Jeff Davis, solar contractor and radio show host [26]

Results

Libertarian primary results [15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Libertarian Jeff Davis 587 82.56
Libertarian Blank vote 12417.44
Total votes711 100.00

Lieutenant governor

Candidates

Declared

  • Cynthia (Lahi) Marlin

Results

Libertarian primary results [15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Libertarian Cynthia (Lahi) Marlin 555 78.06
Libertarian Blank vote 15621.94
Total votes711 100.00

Hawaii Independent primary

Governor

Candidates

Declared

Results

Independent Party primary results [15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Independent Mufi Hannemann 2,103 88.62
Independent Blank vote 26911.34
Independent Over vote 10.04
Total votes2,373 100.00

Lieutenant governor

Candidates

Declared

  • Running mate: Les Chang, former Honolulu parks and recreation director [24]

Results

Independent Party primary results [15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Independent Les Chang 1,370 57.73
Independent Blank vote 1,00242.23
Independent Over vote 10.04
Total votes2,373 100.00

No Party primary

Hawaii has strict criteria for independent candidates seeking to participate in the general election. [28] Three of the four candidates were disqualified for not having a running mate. The other candidate also had no running mate, but had already withdrawn from the race. They all still appeared on the ballot, alongside a notice about their status. [29]

Candidates

Disqualified

  • Misty Davis [29]
  • Khis Dejean Caldwell [29]
  • Richard Morse [29]

Withdrew

Results

Independent primary results [15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Independent Misty Davis20118.03
Independent Richard Morse988.79
Independent Khis Dejean Caldwell857.62
Independent Joe Spatola403.59
Independent Blank vote 68761.61
Independent Over vote 40.36
Total votes1,115 100.00

General election

Debates

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [30] Lean DNovember 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball [31] Likely DNovember 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report [32] Lean DNovember 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics [33] Likely DNovember 3, 2014

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		David
Ige (D)		Duke
Aiona (R)		Mufi
Hannemann (I)		OtherUndecided
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [34] October 16–23, 20141,002± 6%54%22%5%0%19%
Civil Beat [35] October 16–19, 20141,221± 2.8%40%34%11%6% [36] 8%
27%26%——47%
Tarrance Group/RGA [37] October 2014800± 3.5%39%36%12%3% [36] 11%
Ward Research [38] October 11–18, 2014605± 4%47%35%12%1% [36] 6%
Global Strategy Group [39] October 3–8, 2014600± 4%45%33%10%2%10%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [40] September 20 – October 1, 20141,319± 4%41%35%6%0%18%
Civil Beat [41] September 11–14, 20141,055± 3%43%39%8%2% [36] 8%
48%45%——7%
Rasmussen Reports [42] September 9–10, 2014750± 4%40%39%14%2%6%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [43] August 18 – September 2, 2014655± 6%37%35%6%2%20%
Ward Research [8] July 21–29, 2014612± 4%34%41%15%—10%
Civil Beat [11] June 7–9, 20141,078± 3%31%31%17%—21%
Ward Research [44] January 29 – February 3, 2014642± 3.9%34%51%——15%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Neil
Abercrombie (D)		Duke
Aiona (R)		Mufi
Hannemann (I)		OtherUndecided
Ward Research [8] July 21–29, 2014612± 4%30%45%14%—11%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [45] July 5–24, 20141,083± 3%37%40%—14%7%
Civil Beat [11] June 7–9, 20141,078± 3%27%33%18%—22%
Ward Research [46] January 29 – February 3, 2014642± 3.9%40%48%——12%

Results

2014 Hawaii gubernatorial election [47]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic David Ige 181,106 49.45% −9.16%
Republican Duke Aiona 135,77537.08%−4.31%
Independent Mufi Hannemann 42,93411.72%N/A
Libertarian Jeff Davis6,3951.75%N/A
Total votes366,210 100.00% N/A
Democratic hold

References

  1. ↑ "Hawaii Gov. Neil Abercrombie says he will seek second term". April 29, 2013. Retrieved May 2, 2013.
  2. ↑ "Hawaii Gov. Abercrombie gets a primary challenger". The Washington Post. July 9, 2013. Retrieved July 10, 2013.
  3. ↑ "Candidate Q&A — Governor of Hawaii: Van Tanabe". Civil Beat. July 9, 2014. Retrieved August 1, 2014.
  4. ↑ "Case To Join Outrigger, Says Political Career Likely Over". Honolulu Civil Beat. July 12, 2013. Archived from the original on August 20, 2013. Retrieved July 16, 2013.
  5. ↑ "President endorses Abercrombie for re-election". Honolulu Star-Advertiser. December 20, 2013. Retrieved January 18, 2014.
  6. 1 2 3 "IBEW backs Governor Abercrombie for Re-Election". Hawaii News Now. June 7, 2013. Retrieved December 11, 2013.
  7. 1 2 Kerr, Keoki (November 18, 2013). "Cayetano drops support for Abercrombie, backs Ige". Hawaii News Now . Retrieved December 11, 2013.
  8. 1 2 3 Ward Research
  9. ↑ Civil Beat
  10. ↑ Public Policy Polling
  11. 1 2 3 Civil Beat
  12. ↑ SMS Research*
  13. ↑ Civil Beat
  14. ↑ Ward Research Archived February 24, 2014, at the Wayback Machine
  15. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 "Primary Election 2014 -State of Hawaii – Statewide" (PDF). Hawaii Office of Elections. Retrieved October 24, 2014.
  16. ↑ Tran, Cam (December 27, 2012). "Tsutsui's promotion causes ripple effect: Senate to vote on new president on opening day". KITV . Archived from the original on January 27, 2013.
  17. ↑ "Hee Candidacy Shakes Up Gov and Lt. Gov Races, and Hawaii Senate". Honolulu Civil Beat. May 11, 2014. Retrieved May 13, 2014.
  18. ↑ "Lt. Governor Shan Tsutsui Will Run in 2014". Hawaii Reporter. May 31, 2013. Retrieved May 13, 2014.
  19. ↑ "Republican Duke Aiona officially enters Hawaii race for governor; race has echoes of 2010". The Republic. May 19, 2014. Archived from the original on May 21, 2014. Retrieved May 20, 2014.
  20. ↑ Ian Scheuring (March 21, 2014). "State GOP chair confirms Djou congressional run". Hawaii News Now.
  21. ↑ Derrick DePledge (January 17, 2014). "'In discussions ...'". Governing. Archived from the original on February 1, 2014. Retrieved January 27, 2014.
  22. ↑ "Boxer Manny Pacquiao endorses Duke Aiona for governor". KITV4. October 14, 2014. Archived from the original on December 9, 2014. Retrieved October 26, 2014.
  23. ↑ "Pastor to seek Republican nomination for lieutenant gov". Honolulu Star Advertiser. February 27, 2014. Retrieved May 13, 2014.
  24. 1 2 DePledge, Derrick (June 3, 2014). "Hannemann picks ex-parks chief as gubernatorial running mate". Honolulu Star-Advertiser. Retrieved June 30, 2014.
  25. ↑ "Pastor seeks GOP nomination for lieutenant governor". Find Law. Retrieved May 13, 2014.
  26. ↑ "Jeff 'The Solar Guy' Davis Running for Hawaii Governor". January 9, 2014. Archived from the original on February 22, 2014. Retrieved February 8, 2014.
  27. ↑ "Mufi Hannemann announces candidacy for Hawaii governor's race". Hawaii News Now. April 25, 2014. Retrieved April 25, 2014.
  28. ↑ "No Independent Candidate Polls Enough Votes in Hawaii Primary to Advance to General Election Ballot". Ballot Access News. August 10, 2014. Retrieved October 27, 2014.
  29. 1 2 3 4 5 "Nonpartisans in Hawaii governor race disqualified". West Hawaii Today. June 25, 2014. Archived from the original on October 28, 2014. Retrieved October 27, 2014.
  30. ↑ "2014 Governor Race Ratings for November 3, 2014". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
  31. ↑ "The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
  32. ↑ "2014 Gubernatorial Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
  33. ↑ "2014 Elections Map - 2014 Governors Races". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
  34. ↑ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  35. ↑ Civil Beat
  36. 1 2 3 4 Jeff Davis (L)
  37. ↑ Tarrance Group/RGA
  38. ↑ Ward Research
  39. ↑ Global Strategy Group
  40. ↑ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  41. ↑ Civil Beat
  42. ↑ Rasmussen Reports
  43. ↑ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  44. ↑ Ward Research Archived February 24, 2014, at the Wayback Machine
  45. ↑ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  46. ↑ Ward Research Archived February 24, 2014, at the Wayback Machine
  47. ↑ "2014 General election results" (PDF).

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