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![]() County results Hutchinson: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Ross: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Arkansas |
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The 2014 Arkansas gubernatorial election was held on November 4, 2014, to elect the governor of Arkansas, concurrently with the election to Arkansas's Class II U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. This was the last time the Arkansas governor's changed partisan control.
Incumbent Democratic governor Mike Beebe was ineligible to run for re-election due to term limits established by the Arkansas Constitution. Arkansas is one of eight states that limits its governors to two terms for life. [1] Democrats nominated former U.S. representative Mike Ross and Republicans nominated former DEA Administrator, former U.S. representative and 2006 Arkansas gubernatorial nominee Asa Hutchinson.
Hutchinson won the general election by the largest margin recorded for a Republican in an open-seat gubernatorial race since Reconstruction. The race was called for Hutchinson roughly half an hour after the polls closed, his victory gave Republicans complete control of state government for the first time since 1874.
National political figures
Arkansas political figures
Business leaders
Organizations
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Bill Halter | Mike Ross | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Clark Research [22] | July 23–27, 2013 | 370 | ± 5% | 26% | 40% | 34% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Mike Ross | 129,437 | 84.41 | |
Democratic | Lynette "Doc" Bryant | 23,906 | 15.59 | |
Total votes | 153,343 | 100.00 |
National politicians
Elected legislators
Local elected leaders
Organizations
Organization leaders
Federal legislators
State legislators
Local elected officials
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Curtis Coleman | Asa Hutchinson | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Talk Business/Hendrix College [53] | April 29, 2014 | 1,516 | ± 2.5% | 20% | 70% | 10% |
Public Policy Polling [54] | April 25–27, 2014 | 342 | ± 5.3% | 23% | 62% | 15% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Asa Hutchinson | 130,752 | 72.95 | |
Republican | Curtis Coleman | 48,473 | 27.05 | |
Total votes | 179,225 | 100.00 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [57] | Lean R (flip) | November 3, 2014 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [58] | Likely R (flip) | November 3, 2014 |
Inside Elections [59] | Lean R (flip) | November 3, 2014 |
Real Clear Politics [60] | Lean R (flip) | November 3, 2014 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Mike Ross (D) | Asa Hutchinson (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Opinion Research Associates [61] | October 30–November 1, 2014 | 400 | ± 5% | 43% | 39% | 5% [62] | 14% |
Public Policy Polling [63] | October 30–November 1, 2014 | 1,092 | ± 3% | 41% | 51% | 4% [64] | 4% |
44% | 53% | — | 3% | ||||
Rasmussen Reports [65] | October 27–29, 2014 | 967 | ± 3% | 43% | 50% | 3% | 4% |
Issues & Answers Network [66] | October 21–27, 2014 | 568 | ± 4.1% | 39% | 50% | — | 11% |
Opinion Research Associates [67] | October 25–26, 2014 | 401 | ± 5% | 44% | 42% | 2% [68] | 11% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [69] | October 16–23, 2014 | 1,567 | ± 4% | 38% | 47% | 0% | 15% |
NBC News/Marist [70] | October 19–23, 2014 | 621 | ± 3.9% | 44% | 47% | 4% [71] | 5% |
971 | ± 3.1% | 44% | 43% | 5% [72] | 8% | ||
Hendrix Poll [73] | October 15–16, 2014 | 2,075 | ± 2.2% | 41% | 49% | 5% | 6% |
Rasmussen Reports [65] | October 13–15, 2014 | 940 | ± 3% | 47% | 49% | 1% | 3% |
Fox News [74] | October 4–7, 2014 | 707 | ± 3.5% | 37% | 46% | 5% [75] | 12% |
Opinion Research Associates [76] | October 1–5, 2014 | 400 | ± 5% | 45% | 41% | 3% | 11% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [77] | September 20–October 1, 2014 | 1,991 | ± 2% | 38% | 49% | 1% | 12% |
Rasmussen Reports [65] | September 24–25, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | 42% | 46% | 4% | 8% |
Suffolk [78] | September 20–23, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 41% | 43% | 5% [79] | 11% |
Public Policy Polling [80] | September 18–21, 2014 | 1,453 | ± 2.6% | 38% | 44% | 5% [79] | 13% |
40% | 46% | — | 14% | ||||
Gravis Marketing [81] | September 8–11, 2014 | 902 | ± 4% | 42% | 46% | 2% [82] | 10% |
Answers Unlimited [83] | September 7–9, 2014 | 600 | ± 3.5% | 44% | 44% | 4% [64] | 8% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [84] | August 18–September 2, 2014 | 1,572 | ± 3% | 38% | 45% | 1% | 15% |
NBC News/Marist [85] | September 2–4, 2014 | 639 LV | ± 3.9% | 39% | 48% | 6% [86] | 7% |
1,068 RV | ± 3% | 39% | 46% | 7% [87] | 8% | ||
Rasmussen Reports [65] | August 25–26, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | 46% | 44% | 3% | 7% |
Opinion Research Associates [88] | August 6–14, 2014 | 414 | ± 4.9% | 44% | 44% | 3% [89] | 9% |
Public Policy Polling [90] | August 1–3, 2014 | 1,066 | ± 3% | 38% | 43% | 7% [91] | 12% |
40% | 46% | — | 14% | ||||
Talk Business/Hendrix College [92] | July 22–25, 2014 | 1,780 | ± 2.3% | 41% | 46% | 6% [93] | 7.5% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [94] | July 5–24, 2014 | 1,616 | ± 3.5% | 45% | 48% | 2% | 4% |
Gravis Marketing [95] | July 7–8, 2014 | 987 | ± 3% | 46% | 49% | 5% [82] | — |
Public Opinion Strategies [96] | May 27–29, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.39% | 42% | 48% | — | 10% |
Rasmussen Reports [65] | May 27–28, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | 41% | 48% | 4% | 6% |
NBC News/Marist [97] | April 30–May 4, 2014 | 876 | ± 3.3% | 42% | 49% | 2% | 7% |
Public Policy Polling [54] | April 25–27, 2014 | 840 | ± 3.4% | 38% | 46% | — | 16% |
New York Times/Kaiser Family [98] | April 8–15, 2014 | 857 | ± ? | 40% | 41% | 4% | 16% |
Opinion Research Associates [99] | April 1–8, 2014 | 400 | ± 5% | 45% | 39% | — | 17% |
Talk Business/Hendrix College [100] | April 3–4, 2014 | 1,068 | ± 3% | 44% | 43% | 5% [79] | 8% |
Impact Management Group [101] | February 10, 2014 | 1,202 | ± 2.83% | 42% | 42% | — | 17% |
Rasmussen Reports [65] | February 4–5, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 44% | 41% | 3% | 12% |
Public Policy Polling [102] | December 13–15, 2013 | 1,004 | ± 3.1% | 43% | 44% | — | 14% |
Impact Management Group [103] | October 24, 2013 | 911 | ± 3.2% | 37% | 40% | — | 23% |
University of Arkansas [104] | October 10–17, 2013 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 30% | 32% | — | 38% |
Talk Business/Hendrix College [105] | October 8, 2013 | 603 | ± 4.% | 37% | 41% | — | 22% |
Harper Polling [106] | August 4–5, 2013 | 587 | ± 4.04% | 38% | 46% | — | 16% |
Talk Business/Hendrix College [107] | February 20, 2013 | 675 | ± 3.8% | 38% | 43% | — | 19% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Lynette Bryant (D) | Asa Hutchinson (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Talk Business/Hendrix College [100] | April 3–4, 2014 | 1,068 | ± 3% | 27.5% | 48% | 8% [108] | 17% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Bill Halter (D) | Asa Hutchinson (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Talk Business/Hendrix College [107] | February 20, 2013 | 675 | ± 3.8% | 31% | 47% | — | 22% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Dustin McDaniel (D) | Asa Hutchinson (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [109] | January 10–13, 2013 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 33% | 46% | — | 22% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Mike Ross (D) | Curtis Coleman (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [54] | April 25–27, 2014 | 840 | ± 3.4% | 43% | 33% | — | 24% |
Talk Business/Hendrix College [100] | April 3–4, 2014 | 1,068 | ± 3% | 48% | 30% | 7% [110] | 15% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Asa Hutchinson | 470,429 | 55.44% | +21.81% | |
Democratic | Mike Ross | 352,115 | 41.49% | −22.93% | |
Libertarian | Frank Gilbert | 16,319 | 1.92% | N/A | |
Green | Josh Drake | 9,729 | 1.15% | −0.71% | |
Total votes | 848,592 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
Republican gain from Democratic |
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