2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas

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2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas
Flag of Arkansas.svg
  2014 November 8, 2016 (2016-11-08) 2018  

All 4 Arkansas seats to the United States House of Representatives
 Majority partyMinority partyThird party
 
Party Republican Libertarian Democratic
Last election400
Seats won400
Seat changeSteady2.svgSteady2.svgSteady2.svg
Popular vote760,415196,512111,347
Percentage71.16%18.39%10.42%
SwingIncrease2.svg 9.83%Increase2.svg 10.42%Decrease2.svg 20.22%

Arkansas Congressional Election Results 2016.svg
2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas by county.svg

The 2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas were held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, to elect the four U.S. representatives from the state of Arkansas, one from each of the state's four congressional districts. The elections coincided with the elections of other federal and state offices, including President of the United States. The primaries were held on March 1.

Contents

Overview

Although Libertarian Party presidential candidate Gary Johnson only obtained 2.6% of the vote in Arkansas during the coinciding presidential election, Libertarian candidates for the U.S. House amounted to a total of 18.4% of the popular vote, a 10.4% swing from 2014 when the total was 8%. This huge swing was attributed to several factors:

  1. the Libertarian Party was the only third party to file for ballot status in the House elections;
  2. the Democratic Party did not field any candidates for races in the 1st, 3rd, and 4th congressional districts;
  3. this in turn allowing the Libertarian candidates to obtain over 20% of the vote in these races.

The Democratic Party as a result finished 3rd in the popular vote in Arkansas, with its vote total amounting to 10.4%.

Statewide

Popular vote
Republican
71.16%
Libertarian
18.39%
Democratic
10.42%
Other
0.03%
House seats
Republican
100.0%
Democratic
0%

District

Results of the 2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas by district:

District Republican Democratic Libertarian OthersTotalResult
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1 183,86676.28%00.00%57,18123.72%00.00%241,047100.0%Republican Hold
District 2 176,47258.34%111,34736.81%14,3424.74%3030.10%302,464100.0%Republican Hold
District 3 217,19277.32%00.00%63,71522.68%00.00%280,907100.0%Republican Hold
District 4 182,88574.90%00.00%61,27425.10%00.00%244,159100.0%Republican Hold
Total760,41571.16%111,34710.42%196,51218.39%3030.03%1,068,577100.0%

District 1

2016 Arkansas's 1st congressional district election
Flag of Arkansas.svg
  2014
2018  
  Rick Crawford official photo (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Rick Crawford Mark West
Party Republican Libertarian
Popular vote183,86657,181
Percentage76.3%23.7%

2016 AR-1 Election Results.svg
Results by county
Crawford:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%

U.S. Representative before election

Rick Crawford
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Rick Crawford
Republican

Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford, who had represented the district since 2011, ran for re-election. [1] He was re-elected with 63% of the vote in 2014. The district had a PVI of R+14.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Democratic primary

There was no Democratic nominee for this election.

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

General election

Debate

2016 Arkansas's 1st congressional district debate
No.DateHostModeratorLink Republican Libertarian
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited  W  Withdrawn
Rick Crawford Mark West
1Oct. 12, 2016 Arkansas PBS Steve Barnes [3] PP

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [4] Safe RNovember 7, 2016
Daily Kos Elections [5] Safe RNovember 7, 2016
Rothenberg [6] Safe RNovember 3, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball [7] Safe RNovember 7, 2016
RCP [8] Safe ROctober 31, 2016

Results

Arkansas's 1st congressional district, 2016 [9]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Rick Crawford (incumbent) 183,866 76.3
Libertarian Mark West57,18123.7
Total votes241,047 100.0
Republican hold

District 2

2016 Arkansas's 2nd congressional district election
Flag of Arkansas.svg
  2014
2018  
  French Hill, official portrait, 114th Congress (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee French Hill Dianne Curry
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote176,472111,347
Percentage58.3%36.8%

2016 Arkansas House District 2.svg
Results by county
Hill:     60–70%     70–80%
Curry:     40-50%

U.S. Representative before election

French Hill
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

French Hill
Republican

Incumbent Republican French Hill, who had represented the district since 2015, ran for re-election. [1] He was elected with 52% of the vote in 2014. The district had a PVI of R+8.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Brock Olree

Results

Republican primary results [10]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican French Hill (incumbent) 86,474 84.5
Republican Brock Olree15,81115.5
Total votes102,285 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [4] Safe RNovember 7, 2016
Daily Kos Elections [5] Safe RNovember 7, 2016
Rothenberg [6] Safe RNovember 3, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball [7] Safe RNovember 7, 2016
RCP [8] Safe ROctober 31, 2016

Results

Arkansas's 2nd congressional district, 2016 [9]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican French Hill (incumbent) 176,472 58.4
Democratic Dianne Curry111,34736.8
Libertarian Chris Hayes14,3424.7
Write-in 3030.1
Total votes302,464 100.0
Republican hold

District 3

2016 Arkansas's 3rd congressional district election
Flag of Arkansas.svg
  2014
2018  
  Steve Womack, Official Portrait, 112th Congress - Hi Res (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Steve Womack Steve Isaacson
Party Republican Libertarian
Popular vote217,19263,715
Percentage77.3%22.7%

2016 Arkansas House District 3 by county.svg
Results by county
Womack:     70–80%     80–90%     90–100%

U.S. Representative before election

Steve Womack
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Steve Womack
Republican

Incumbent Republican Steve Womack, who had represented the district since 2011, ran for re-election. [1] He was re-elected with 79% of the vote in 2014. The district had a PVI of R+19.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Democratic primary

There was no Democratic nominee for this election for the third consecutive time in Arkansas's third congressional district (including redistricting).

Candidates

Declined
  • Robbie Wilson, tax preparer [12]

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Steve Isaacson
Withdrawn
  • Nathan LaFrance, nominee for U.S. Senate in 2014 [2] [13]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [4] Safe RNovember 7, 2016
Daily Kos Elections [5] Safe RNovember 7, 2016
Rothenberg [6] Safe RNovember 3, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball [7] Safe RNovember 7, 2016
RCP [8] Safe ROctober 31, 2016

Results

Arkansas's 3rd congressional district, 2016 [9]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Steve Womack (incumbent) 217,192 77.3
Libertarian Steve Isaacson63,71522.7
Total votes280,907 100.0
Republican hold

District 4

2016 Arkansas's 4th congressional district election
Flag of Arkansas.svg
  2014
2018  
  Bruce Westerman, 115th official photo (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Bruce Westerman Kerry Hicks
Party Republican Libertarian
Popular vote182,88561,274
Percentage74.9%25.1%

2016 Arkansas House District 4 by county.svg
Results by county
Westerman:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%

U.S. Representative before election

Bruce Westerman
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Bruce Westerman
Republican

Incumbent Republican Bruce Westerman, who had represented the district since 2015, ran for re-election. [1] He was elected with 54% of the vote in 2014. The district had a PVI of R+15.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Democratic primary

There was no Democratic nominee for this election.

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Kerry Hicks [2]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [4] Safe RNovember 7, 2016
Daily Kos Elections [5] Safe RNovember 7, 2016
Rothenberg [6] Safe RNovember 3, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball [7] Safe RNovember 7, 2016
RCP [8] Safe ROctober 31, 2016

Results

Arkansas's 4th congressional district, 2016 [9]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Bruce Westerman (incumbent) 182,885 74.9
Libertarian Kerry Hicks61,27425.1
Total votes244,159 100.0
Republican hold

See also

References

  1. 1 2 3 4 Wickline, Michael R. (July 24, 2015). "GOP hopefuls to pay '12 fees in '16 primary". Northwest Arkansas Democrat-Gazette. Retrieved July 28, 2015.
  2. 1 2 3 4 Brawner, Steve (October 25, 2015). "Arkansas Libertarians Nominate 23, Including Full Congressional Slate". Talk Business & Politics. Retrieved October 27, 2015.
  3. YouTube
  4. 1 2 3 4 "2016 House Race Ratings for November 7, 2016". House: Race Ratings. Cook Political Report . Retrieved November 12, 2016.
  5. 1 2 3 4 "Daily Kos Elections House race ratings: Initial ratings for 2016". Daily Kos Elections . Retrieved November 7, 2016.
  6. 1 2 3 4 "2016 House Ratings (November 3, 2016)". House Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report . Retrieved November 3, 2016.
  7. 1 2 3 4 "2016 House". Sabato's Crystal Ball. November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 7, 2016.
  8. 1 2 3 4 "Battle for the House 2016". Real Clear Politics . Retrieved October 31, 2016.
  9. 1 2 3 4 "2016 General Election and Nonpartisan Runoff Election Official County Results". Arkansas Secretary of State. Retrieved December 14, 2016.
  10. "Preferential Primary and Nonpartisan General Election Official Results". Arkansas Secretary of State. Retrieved March 22, 2016.
  11. Lyon, John (August 27, 2015). "Curry Announces Bid For 2nd District Congressional Seat". Southwest Times Record . Archived from the original on August 31, 2015. Retrieved August 27, 2015.
  12. Brantley, Max (September 1, 2015). "Fort Smith Democrat exploring a 3rd District Congressional run". Arkansas Times . Retrieved September 8, 2015.
  13. "Libertarian LaFrance Announces He Will Challenge Cong. Steve Womack". Talk Business & Politics. July 8, 2015. Retrieved October 21, 2015.