2016 Delaware gubernatorial election

Last updated

2016 Delaware gubernatorial election
Flag of Delaware.svg
  2012 November 8, 2016 2020  
  John C. Carney Jr. 2017.jpg Colin Bonini 2 (cropped).jpg
Nominee John Carney Colin Bonini
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote248,404166,852
Percentage58.34%39.18%

2016 Delaware gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
DE Governor 2016.svg
Carney:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Bonini:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
     No votes

Governor before election

Jack Markell
Democratic

Elected Governor

John Carney
Democratic

The 2016 Delaware gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2016, to elect the governor of Delaware, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Contents

Incumbent Democratic governor Jack Markell was term-limited and could not run for re-election to a third term in office. Democratic congressman John Carney defeated Republican state senator Colin Bonini in a landslide. Despite his loss, Bonini flipped Sussex County back to the Republicans for the first time in a gubernatorial election since 2004.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Deceased

Withdrew

  • Kevin Tinsley [3]

Declined

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Carney
OtherUndecided
Fairleigh Dickinson/Delaware News Journal [9] July 20–24, 2016344± 5.3%67%9%23%

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Lacey Lafferty, retired state trooper [10]

Declined

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Colin
Bonini
Lacey
Lafferty
OtherUndecided
Fairleigh Dickinson/Delaware News Journal [9] July 20–24, 2016224± 6.6%29%22%3%42%

Results

Results by county:
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Bonini--70-80%
Bonini--60-70% Delaware Governor Republican primary, 2016.svg
Results by county:
  Bonini—70–80%
  Bonini—60–70%
Republican primary results [13]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Colin Bonini 21,150 69.88
Republican Lacey Lafferty9,11530.12
Total votes30,265 100.00

Libertarian Party

Candidates

Declared

  • Sean Louis Goward [14]

General election

Debates

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [15] Safe DAugust 12, 2016
Daily Kos [16] Safe DNovember 8, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report [17] Safe DNovember 3, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball [18] Safe DNovember 7, 2016
Real Clear Politics [19] Safe DNovember 1, 2016
Governing [20] Safe DOctober 27, 2016

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Carney (D)
Colin
Bonini (R)
OtherUndecided
SurveyMonkey [21] November 1–7, 2016367± 4.6%56%40%4%
SurveyMonkey [22] October 31–November 6, 2016383± 4.6%54%42%4%
SurveyMonkey [23] October 28–November 3, 2016405± 4.6%56%40%4%
SurveyMonkey [24] October 27–November 2, 2016397± 4.6%56%39%5%
SurveyMonkey [25] October 26–November 1, 2016413± 4.6%58%37%5%
SurveyMonkey [26] October 25–31, 2016458± 4.6%60%36%4%
University of Delaware [27] September 16–28, 2016900± 3.8%57%25%7%11%

Results

Delaware gubernatorial election, 2016 [28]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic John Carney 248,404 58.34% −10.99%
Republican Colin Bonini 166,85239.18%+10.59%
Green Andrew Groff5,9511.39%+0.24%
Libertarian Sean Louis Goward4,5771.09%+0.17%
Total votes425,784 100.00% N/A
Democratic hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

References

  1. Bruggeman, Karyn; Railey, Kimberly (September 16, 2015). "Rep. John Carney to Run for Governor of Delaware". National Journal . Retrieved September 16, 2015.
  2. "Beau Biden says he plans to run for governor in Delaware". CNN. April 17, 2014. Archived from the original on January 18, 2016. Retrieved April 17, 2014.
  3. Bittle, Matt (July 23, 2016). "Can Carney be topped in Delaware governor race?". Delaware State News. Retrieved August 14, 2016.
  4. 1 2 3 4 "Delaware's 2016 speculation all about Biden". Delaware Online. November 8, 2014. Retrieved November 9, 2014.
  5. Jonathan Starkey (April 21, 2014). "Denn enters AG's race; primary still possible". DelawareOnline. Retrieved March 3, 2013.
  6. Matt Bittle (February 21, 2015). "Levy Court's Eaby pursuing a run for lieutenant governor". DelawareNewszap. Archived from the original on February 24, 2015. Retrieved February 24, 2015.
  7. 1 2 3 "Bonini declares for governor's race". Delaware Online. November 6, 2014. Retrieved November 9, 2014.
  8. 1 2 3 4 Dawson, James (November 6, 2014). "Talk of 2016 rears its head at Return Day". WDDE . Archived from the original on February 25, 2015. Retrieved February 24, 2015.
  9. 1 2 Fairleigh Dickinson/Delaware News Journal
  10. 1 2 Starkey, Jonathan (February 23, 2015). "Sen. Lavelle opts out of 2016 governor race". The News Journal . Retrieved February 24, 2015.
  11. McPike, Erin (September 11, 2012). "Is Beau Biden Democrats' Next Emerging Star?". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved March 3, 2013.
  12. "GOP may eye Simpler for governor in 2016". Delaware Online. November 6, 2014. Retrieved November 9, 2014.
  13. "Delaware Election Results 2016: Governor Live Map by County, Real-Time Voting Updates". Politico. Retrieved September 14, 2016.
  14. Shannon, Josh (July 14, 2016). "Candidate slate set for fall election". Newark Post. Retrieved September 2, 2016.
  15. "2016 Governor Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 15, 2018.
  16. "Elections 2015-16". Daily Kos. Retrieved October 15, 2018.[ permanent dead link ]
  17. "Gubernatorial Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 15, 2018.
  18. "Our Final 2016 picks". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Archived from the original on October 15, 2018. Retrieved October 15, 2018.
  19. "2016 Election Maps - 2016 Governor Races". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved October 15, 2018.
  20. "2016 Governors Races Ratings & News". Governing Magazine. Archived from the original on October 27, 2016. Retrieved October 28, 2016.
  21. SurveyMonkey
  22. SurveyMonkey
  23. SurveyMonkey
  24. SurveyMonkey
  25. SurveyMonkey
  26. SurveyMonkey
  27. University of Delaware
  28. "State of Delaware General Election (Official Results)". State of Delaware Election Commissioner. Archived from the original on October 28, 2018. Retrieved November 16, 2016.

Official campaign websites (Archived)