2016 United States presidential election in Idaho

Last updated

2016 United States presidential election in Idaho
Flag of Idaho.svg
←  2012 November 8, 2016 2020  →
Turnout75.87% Increase2.svg [1]
  Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg Hillary Clinton by Gage Skidmore 2.jpg Evan McMullin 2016-10-21 headshot.jpg
Nominee Donald Trump Hillary Clinton Evan McMullin
Party Republican Democratic Independent
Home state New York New York Utah
Running mate Mike Pence Tim Kaine Nathan Johnson
Electoral vote400
Popular vote409,055189,76546,476
Percentage59.25%27.48%6.73%
Idaho Presidential Election Results 2016.svg
2016 United States presidential election in Idaho by congressional district.svg
ID President 2016.svg
President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

Results by county with number of votes shown by size Idaho 2016 presidential results by county.png
Results by county with number of votes shown by size
Treemap of the popular vote by county United States presidential election in Idaho, 2016.svg
Treemap of the popular vote by county

The 2016 United States presidential election in Idaho was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Idaho voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, and her running mate Virginia Senator Tim Kaine. Idaho has four electoral votes in the Electoral College. [2]

Contents

Trump was expected to win Idaho; Idaho is a Republican stronghold that has not voted for a Democratic candidate for president since Lyndon B. Johnson's national landslide in 1964, and even then it was Johnson's narrowest victory in the nation, winning by less than 2%. Trump ultimately carried the state with 59.25% of the vote, while Clinton received 27.48%. Third-party candidate Evan McMullin carried 6.75% of the popular vote, making Idaho his second-strongest state, only after neighboring Utah. [3] Trump got the lowest percentage of the vote for a Republican since 1996, and Clinton got the lowest percentage for a Democrat since 1984.

Primaries and Caucuses

Republican primary

Republican primary results by county. Ted Cruz 30-40% 40-50% 50-60% Donald Trump 30-40% 40-50% 2016 ID GOP Presidential primary.svg
Republican primary results by county.
  Ted Cruz
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  Donald Trump
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%

Thirteen candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot. The only requirement to appear on the ballot was a filing fee of $1,000. [4]

Idaho Republican primary, March 8, 2016
CandidateVotesPercentageActual delegate count
BoundUnboundTotal
Ted Cruz 100,88945.44%20020
Donald Trump 62,41328.11%12012
Marco Rubio 35,29015.90%000
John Kasich 16,5147.44%000
Ben Carson (withdrawn)3,8531.74%000
Jeb Bush (withdrawn)9390.42%000
Rand Paul (withdrawn)8340.38%000
Mike Huckabee (withdrawn)3580.16%000
Chris Christie (withdrawn)3530.16%000
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn)2420.11%000
Rick Santorum (withdrawn)2110.10%000
Lindsey Graham (withdrawn)800.04%000
Peter Messina (withdrawn)280.01%000
Unprojected delegates:000
Total:222,004100.00%32032
Source: The Green Papers

Democratic caucuses

Results of the Democratic primary by county. Bernie Sanders 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% 100% Hillary Clinton 50-60% 2016 Idaho Democratic Presidential Caucuses election by county.svg
Results of the Democratic primary by county.
  Bernie Sanders
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   100%
  Hillary Clinton
  •   50–60%
e  •  d   2016 Democratic Party's presidential nominating process in Idaho
– Summary of results –
CandidatePopular voteEstimated delegates
CountPercentagePledgedUnpledgedTotal
Bernie Sanders 18,64078.04%18220
Hillary Clinton 5,06521.21%516
Rocky De La Fuente 40.02%
Uncommitted1750.73%11
Total23,884100%23427
Source: [5] [6]

Constitution primary

The Constitution Party of Idaho held its primary on March 8.

Election results, by county, of the 2016 constitution Presidential Primary in Idaho. Scott Copeland J.R. Myers Patrick Anthony Ockander Tie No votes Idaho Constitution Party presidential primary by county, 2016.svg
Election results, by county, of the 2016 constitution Presidential Primary in Idaho.
  Scott Copeland
  J.R. Myers
  Patrick Anthony Ockander
  Tie
  No votes
Idaho Constitution Party presidential primary, 2016 [7] [8] [9]
CandidatePopular votePledged delegates
CountPercentage
America Symbol.svg Scott Copeland25051.7%8
J.R. Myers13928.7%0
Patrick Anthony Ockander9519.6%0
Total:484100%8
Key:Withdrew prior to contest

General election

Polling

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Los Angeles Times [10] Safe RNovember 6, 2016
CNN [11] Safe RNovember 4, 2016
Cook Political Report [12] Safe RNovember 7, 2016
Electoral-vote.com [13] Safe RNovember 8, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report [14] Safe RNovember 7, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball [15] Safe RNovember 7, 2016
RealClearPolitics [16] Safe RNovember 8, 2016
Fox News [17] Safe RNovember 7, 2016

Results

2016 United States presidential election in Idaho
PartyCandidatePopular votePercentage
Republican Donald Trump 409,05559.25%
Democratic Hillary Clinton 189,76527.48%
Independent Evan McMullin 46,4766.73%
Libertarian Gary Johnson 28,3314.10%
Green Jill Stein 8,4961.23%
National Constitution Darrell L. Castle 4,4030.64%
Constitution Scott Copeland 2,3560.34%
Reform Roque De La Fuente 1,3730.20%
Other/Write-in1780.03%
Total690,433100.00%
Source: Idaho Secretary of State Election Division New York Times

By county

CountyDonald Trump
Republican		Hillary Clinton
Democratic		Evan McMullin
Independent		Various candidates
Other parties		MarginTotal
#%#%#%#%#%
Ada 93,75247.91%75,67738.68%11,2265.74%15,0147.67%18,0759.23%195,669
Adams 1,55671.28%41519.01%803.66%1326.05%1,14152.27%2,183
Bannock 17,18051.41%10,34230.95%3,44910.32%2,4457.32%6,83820.46%33,416
Bear Lake 2,20375.24%2558.71%36612.50%1043.55%1,83762.74%2,928
Benewah 3,10374.15%77018.40%611.46%2515.99%2,33355.75%4,185
Bingham 10,90765.61%2,92417.59%2,00212.04%7924.76%7,98348.02%16,625
Blaine 3,34031.15%6,41659.83%2892.69%6796.33%-3,076-28.68%10,724
Boise 2,67370.08%77720.37%1122.94%2526.61%1,89649.71%3,814
Bonner 13,34363.71%5,81927.78%3721.78%1,4096.73%7,52435.93%20,943
Bonneville 26,69960.38%8,93020.19%6,02213.62%2,5705.81%17,76940.19%44,221
Boundary 3,78973.39%93318.07%1302.52%3116.02%2,85655.32%5,163
Butte 91474.31%16013.01%1149.27%423.41%75461.30%1,230
Camas 41069.49%11018.64%335.59%376.28%30050.85%590
Canyon 47,22264.88%16,88323.20%4,2165.79%4,4646.13%30,33941.68%72,785
Caribou 2,27574.96%2718.93%37212.26%1173.85%1,90362.70%3,052
Cassia 5,94972.74%1,03612.67%85310.43%3404.16%4,91360.07%8,178
Clark 20371.73%4415.55%238.13%134.59%15956.18%283
Clearwater 2,85275.03%70418.52%721.89%1734.56%2,14856.51%3,801
Custer 1,77773.61%42717.69%823.40%1285.30%1,35055.92%2,414
Elmore 5,81668.25%1,81421.29%3764.41%5166.05%4,00246.96%8,522
Franklin 3,90170.94%3857.00%91216.58%3015.48%2,98954.36%5,499
Fremont 4,09071.57%65111.39%75113.14%2233.90%3,33958.43%5,715
Gem 5,98075.18%1,22915.45%3574.49%3884.88%4,75159.73%7,954
Gooding 3,74372.11%93017.92%2935.64%2254.33%2,81354.19%5,191
Idaho 6,44178.23%1,19614.53%1652.00%4315.24%5,24563.70%8,233
Jefferson 8,43673.52%9768.51%1,56013.59%5034.38%6,87659.93%11,475
Jerome 4,64468.79%1,32919.69%4196.21%3595.31%3,31549.10%6,751
Kootenai 44,44967.03%16,26424.53%1,5572.35%4,0406.09%28,18542.50%66,310
Latah 7,26539.98%8,09344.53%6963.83%2,11911.66%-828-4.55%18,173
Lemhi 3,01173.51%73317.90%1393.39%2135.20%2,27855.61%4,096
Lewis 1,20275.60%27016.98%171.07%1016.35%93258.62%1,590
Lincoln 1,18467.73%36020.59%1025.84%1025.84%82447.14%1,748
Madison 8,94156.99%1,2017.66%4,66929.76%8775.59%4,27227.23%15,688
Minidoka 4,88771.13%1,16716.98%4636.74%3545.15%3,72054.15%6,871
Nez Perce 10,69962.20%4,82828.07%3522.05%1,3227.68%5,87134.13%17,201
Oneida 1,53174.03%1848.90%27113.10%823.97%1,26060.93%2,068
Owyhee 3,05277.76%59115.06%1082.75%1744.43%2,46162.70%3,925
Payette 6,48974.55%1,50717.31%3143.61%3944.53%4,98257.24%8,704
Power 1,66660.41%69925.34%2338.45%1605.80%96735.07%2,758
Shoshone 3,29764.39%1,38427.03%871.70%3526.88%1,91337.36%5,120
Teton 2,16743.55%2,15943.39%3276.57%3236.49%80.16%4,976
Twin Falls 19,82866.37%6,23320.86%2,0656.91%3,8135.86%13,59545.51%29,874
Valley 2,90654.33%1,91335.76%1943.63%3266.28%99318.57%5,349
Washington 3,28373.69%77617.42%1753.93%2214.96%2,50756.27%4,455
Totals409,05559.25%189,76527.48%46,4766.73%45,1376.54%219,29031.77%690,433
Swing by county Legend Democratic -- +>15% Democratic -- +10-12.5% Democratic -- +7.5-10% Democratic -- +5-7.5% Democratic -- +2.5-5% Democratic -- +0-2.5% Republican -- +0-2.5% Republican -- +2.5-5% Republican -- +5-7.5% Republican -- +7.5-10% Republican -- +10-12.5% Republican -- +12.5-15% Republican -- +>15% Idaho County Swing 2016.svg
Swing by county
Legend
  •   Democratic — +>15%
  •   Democratic — +10-12.5%
  •   Democratic — +7.5-10%
  •   Democratic — +5-7.5%
  •   Democratic — +2.5-5%
  •   Democratic — +0-2.5%
  •   Republican — +0-2.5%
  •   Republican — +2.5-5%
  •   Republican — +5-7.5%
  •   Republican — +7.5-10%
  •   Republican — +10-12.5%
  •   Republican — +12.5-15%
  •   Republican — +>15%

By congressional district

Trump won both congressional districts. [18]

DistrictTrumpClintonRepresentative
1st 63.7%25.4% Raúl Labrador
2nd 54.5%29.8% Mike Simpson

See also

References

  1. ↑ Secretary of State: Lawerence Denney. "Nov 08, 2016 General Election Results". www.sos.idaho.gov. Retrieved May 16, 2020.
  2. ↑ "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration . Retrieved November 25, 2020.
  3. ↑ "2016 Presidential Election Statistics". Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. Retrieved March 5, 2018.
  4. ↑ "Idaho Republican Party State Rules" (PDF). June 2015. Archived from the original (PDF) on April 30, 2016. Retrieved January 7, 2024.
  5. ↑ The Green Papers
  6. ↑ Idaho Democratic Party - Official Delegation for Pledged Delegates
  7. ↑ "Mar 08, 2016 Presidential Primary Election Results United States - by County". sos.idaho.gov. Idaho Secretary Of State. Retrieved November 25, 2016.
  8. ↑ Gr, The; Inquirer (March 10, 2016). "Scott Copeland wins Idaho Constitution Party primary". The Grand Inquirer. Archived from the original on November 26, 2016. Retrieved November 26, 2016.
  9. ↑ Gr, The; Inquirer (March 2, 2016). "Patrick Ockander drops out of Constitution Party presidential race, endorses J.R. Myers and Ted Cruz". The Grand Inquirer. Archived from the original on November 26, 2016. Retrieved November 26, 2016.
  10. ↑ "Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours". Los Angeles Times . November 6, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
  11. ↑ Chalian, David (November 4, 2016). "Road to 270: CNN's new election map". CNN . Retrieved March 3, 2019.
  12. ↑ "2016 Electoral Scorecard". The Cook Political Report . November 7, 2016. Archived from the original on February 16, 2017. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
  13. ↑ "2016 Electoral Map Prediction". Electoral-vote.com . November 8, 2016. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
  14. ↑ "Presidential Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved August 16, 2021.
  15. ↑ Sabato, Larry J. (November 7, 2016). "2016 President". University of Virginia Center for Politics . Retrieved March 3, 2019.
  16. ↑ "2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
  17. ↑ "Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge". Fox News. November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
  18. ↑ "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts". Daily Kos. Retrieved August 11, 2020.
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