2016 United States House of Representatives election in Wyoming

Last updated

2016 United States House of Representatives election in Wyoming's at-large district
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  Liz Cheney 15800286 (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Liz Cheney Ryan Greene
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote156,17675,466
Percentage62.03%29.97%
Wyoming House Election Results, 2016.svg
Wyoming 2016 House by Precinct.svg
Cheney:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Greene:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     50%     No data
U.S. Representative before election

Cynthia Lummis
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Liz Cheney
Republican

The 2016 United States House of Representatives election in Wyoming was held on November 8, 2016, to elect the U.S. representative from Wyoming's at-large congressional district, who would represent the state of Wyoming in the 115th United States Congress. The election coincided with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Cynthia Lummis decided to retire instead of seeking a fifth term. Liz Cheney was elected to the seat to succeed Lummis.

Contents

The filing period for candidates lasted from May 12 to 27, 2016, and the primaries were held on August 16. [1] Republican attorney Liz Cheney, daughter of former Vice President of the United States Dick Cheney, and Democratic energy executive Ryan Greene won their respective primaries. [2]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Liz Cheney

Individuals

Organizations

  • Susan B. Anthony List
Leland Christensen
Darin Smith

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Liz
Cheney		Leland
Christensen		Darin
Smith		Tim
Stubson		OtherUndecided
Pulse Research [20] July 8–15, 2016300± 5.65%21%4%3%9%–52%

Results

Results by county: .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{} Cheney 30-40% 40-50% 50-60% Christensen 30-40% 50-60% } Stubson 30-40% 2016 WY-AL Republican primary.svg
Results by county:
  Cheney
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  Christensen
  •   30–40%
  •   50–60%
    }
  Stubson
  •   30–40%
Republican primary results [21]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Liz Cheney 35,043 38.78
Republican Leland Christensen19,33021.39
Republican Tim Stubson15,52417.18
Republican Darin Smith13,38114.81
Republican Mike Konsmo1,3631.51
Republican Jason Senteney9761.08
Republican Rex Rammell8900.98
Republican Paul Paad8860.98
Republican Heath Beaudry5340.59
Republican Write-ins1550.17
Republican Undervote 1,6511.83
Republican Overvote 6250.69
Total votes90,358 100.00

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

  • Richard Grayson, Democratic nominee for this seat in 2014 [22] [24]

Endorsements

Ryan Greene

Results

Results by county: Greene 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% Hardy 50-60% 2016 WY-AL Democratic primary.svg
Results by county:
  Greene
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  Hardy
  •   50–60%
Democratic primary results [21]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Ryan Greene 10,955 53.17
Democratic Charlie Hardy7,86838.18
Democratic Write-ins1130.55
Democratic Undervote 1,6548.03
Democratic Overvote 150.07
Total votes20,605 100.00

Third party and independent primaries

Libertarian

Candidates

Declared
  • Lawrence Gerard Struempf [26]

Results

Results by county: Struempf--100% Struempf-->90% Struempf--80-90% Struempf--70-80% 2016 WY-AL Libertarian primary.svg
Results by county:
  Struempf—100%
  Struempf—>90%
  Struempf—80–90%
  Struempf—70–80%
Libertarian primary results [27]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Libertarian Lawrence Gerard Struempf 276 81.66
Libertarian Write-ins308.88
Libertarian Undervote 329.47
Total votes338 100.00

Constitution

Candidates

Declared

Results

Results by county: Cummings--100% Cummings-->90% Cummings--80-90% Cummings--70-80% Write-ins--100% No Votes 2016 WY-AL Constitution primary.svg
Results by county:
  Cummings—100%
  Cummings—>90%
  Cummings—80–90%
  Cummings—70–80%
  Write-ins—100%
  No Votes
Constitution primary results [27]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Constitution Daniel Clyde Cummings 133 82.10
Constitution Write-ins169.88
Constitution Undervote 127.41
Constitution Overvote 10.62
Total votes162 100.00

General election

Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSpentCash on Hand
Liz Cheney (R) [29] $1,462,710$920,180$542,530
Ryan Greene (D) [30] $98,541$93,550$3,126
Lawrence Struempf (L) [29] $0$0$0
Daniel Clyde Cummings (C) [31] $0$263$867

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [32] Safe RAugust 10, 2016
Daily Kos [33] Safe RAugust 17, 2016
Roll Call [34] Safe RAugust 17, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball [35] Safe RAugust 17, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report [36] Safe RJuly 14, 2016

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Liz
Cheney (R)		Ryan
Greene (D)		OtherUndecided
University of Wyoming [37] October 5–11, 2016722± 3.6%53%37%——
DFM Research [38] September 6–11, 2016402± 4.9%46%30%9%16%

Endorsements

Liz Cheney

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

Governors

Statewide officials

Individuals

Organizations

Newspapers

Ryan Greene

Individuals

Organizations

Results

Wyoming's at-large congressional district, 2016 [39]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Liz Cheney 156,176 62.03% −6.44%
Democratic Ryan Greene75,46629.97%+7.07%
Constitution Daniel Clyde Cummings10,3624.12%+0.03%
Libertarian Lawrence Gerard Struempf9,0333.59%−0.72%
n/a Write-ins7390.29%+0.05%
Total votes251,776100.0%N/A
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

See also

References

  1. ↑ "2016 Wyoming Election Calendar" (PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State. Wyoming Secretary of State’s Office. Retrieved April 27, 2016.
  2. ↑ "Wyoming House Races Results". Politico . Associated Press. August 16, 2016. Retrieved August 16, 2016.
  3. ↑ "Evanston resident Heath Beaudry enters race for Congress". Casper Star Tribune. May 31, 2016. Retrieved June 21, 2016.
  4. ↑ "STATEMENT OF CANDIDACY" (PDF). Federal Elections Commission. January 29, 2016. Retrieved January 30, 2016.
  5. ↑ Brown, Trevor (January 20, 2016). "State Senator Christensen seeks U.S. House nod". Wyoming Tribune Eagle. Retrieved January 21, 2016.
  6. ↑ Naber, Matt (January 14, 2016). "NWC professor Mike Konsmo announces candidacy for U.S. House". Powell Tribune. Retrieved January 21, 2016.
  7. ↑ Brown, Trevor (February 1, 2016). "Casper resident Paul Paad seeks U.S. House seat". Wyoming Tribune Eagle. Retrieved June 21, 2016.
  8. ↑ Brown, Trevor (May 1, 2015). "Yoder resident Jason Senteney announces bid for 2016 U.S. House seat". Wyoming Tribune Eagle. Retrieved October 11, 2015.[ permanent dead link ]
  9. ↑ Mayer, Kellie (June 1, 2016). "Cheyenne Resident Darin Smith Announces Congressional Campaign". KGWN Cheyenne CBS. Archived from the original on April 5, 2016. Retrieved June 1, 2016.
  10. ↑ Fram, Alan (November 12, 2015). "Wyoming GOP congresswoman retiring, Liz Cheney considers run". Yahoo! . Retrieved November 12, 2015.
  11. 1 2 Brown, Trevor (January 16, 2016). "Former Idaho candidate runs for Wyoming House seat". Wyoming Tribune Eagle. Retrieved January 21, 2016.
  12. ↑ "Darek Farmer for Senate District 2 - Platte and Converse County Wyoming". Facebook. Retrieved June 21, 2016.
  13. ↑ Hancock, Laura (November 16, 2015). "Charlie T runs for Congress". Casper Star-Tribune. Retrieved January 21, 2016.
  14. ↑ Star-Tribune, Laura Hancock, Casper. "Rammell drops out of U.S. House race". Wyoming Tribune Eagle.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)
  15. 1 2 3 Yokley, Eli (November 13, 2015). "Liz Cheney Would Have to Overcome Hard Feelings for 2016 Run". Roll Call . Archived from the original on November 15, 2015. Retrieved November 16, 2015.
  16. 1 2 3 Hancock, Laura (November 14, 2015). "With an open U.S. House seat, 2016 will be a lively election season in Wyo". Casper Star-Tribune . Retrieved November 16, 2015.
  17. ↑ Fram, Alan (November 12, 2015). "Wyoming Rep. Cynthia Lummis will not seek reelection". Casper Star-Tribune. Associated Press. Retrieved November 12, 2015.
  18. 1 2 "Liz Cheney Endorsed by Al Simpson". Cheney for Wyoming. February 21, 2016. Archived from the original on August 28, 2016. Retrieved August 10, 2016.
  19. ↑ "Rand Paul endorses Christensen in U.S. House race". Casper Star-Tribune. August 14, 2016.
  20. ↑ Pulse Research
  21. 1 2 "2016 Official Primary Election Results". Wyoming Secretary of State. Retrieved November 14, 2016.
  22. 1 2 Hancock, Laura (February 4, 2016). "Wyoming Dems have one of their own running for US House". Casper Star-Tribune. Retrieved June 21, 2016.
  23. ↑ Hancock, Laura (May 22, 2016). "Charlie Hardy to run for Congress". Casper Star-Tribune. Retrieved June 21, 2016.
  24. ↑ Hancock, Laura (November 17, 2015). "First Democrat enters U.S. House race -- but doesn't expect to advance his name on the ballot". Casper Star-Tribune. Retrieved January 21, 2016.
  25. 1 2 3 4 "Former Gov. Freudenthal endorses Greene for Congress". Wyoming Tribune Eagle. August 10, 2016.
  26. ↑ "Candidates start filing for Wyoming political races". Casper Star Tribune. May 12, 2016. Retrieved June 21, 2016.
  27. 1 2 "Statewide Candidates Official Summary Wyoming Primary Election - August 16, 2016" (PDF). soswy.state.wy.us.
  28. ↑ "Daniel Clyde Cummings". Ballotpedia. Retrieved June 21, 2016.
  29. 1 2 "Wyoming District 01 Race". OpenSecrets.org. Retrieved August 17, 2016.
  30. ↑ "Greene, Ryan — Candidate for House". Federal Elections Commission. Retrieved August 17, 2016.
  31. ↑ "Cummings, Daniel Clyde — Candidate for House". Federal Elections Commission. Retrieved August 17, 2016.
  32. ↑ "2016 House Race Ratings for August 10, 2016". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved August 17, 2016.
  33. ↑ "Election Outlook: 2016 Race Ratings". Daily Kos. Retrieved August 17, 2016.
  34. ↑ "Roll Call's 2016 Election Guide". Roll Call. Retrieved August 17, 2016.[ permanent dead link ]
  35. ↑ "2016 House". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved August 17, 2016.
  36. ↑ "House Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved August 17, 2016.
  37. ↑ University of Wyoming
  38. ↑ DFM Research
  39. ↑ "Statewide Candidates Official Summary Wyoming General Election - November 8, 2016" (PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State. Retrieved December 3, 2016.

Official campaign websites

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