2016 United States presidential election in South Carolina

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2016 United States presidential election in South Carolina
Flag of South Carolina.svg
  2012 November 8, 2016 2020  
Turnout67.86% [1] Decrease2.svg
  Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg Hillary Clinton by Gage Skidmore 2.jpg
Nominee Donald Trump Hillary Clinton
Party Republican Democratic
Home state New York New York
Running mate Mike Pence Tim Kaine
Electoral vote90
Popular vote1,155,389855,373
Percentage54.94%40.67%

South Carolina Presidential Election Results 2016.svg
SC-16-pres-districts.svg
SC President 2016.svg

President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

Treemap of the popular vote by county. United States presidential election in South Carolina, 2016.svg
Treemap of the popular vote by county.

The 2016 United States presidential election was held on November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 General Election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. South Carolina voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting the Republican nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and her running mate, Virginia Senator Tim Kaine.

Contents

Out of 3.12 million registered voters, 2.10 million voted, a turnout of 67.86%. [1] Trump continued the Republican tradition in South Carolina, carrying the state with 54.9% of the vote. Clinton received 40.7% of the vote, underperforming Barack Obama's 2012 performance by about 4%. [2] Trump became the first Republican to win the White House without carrying Charleston County since Dwight Eisenhower in 1956.

As of 2024, this is the last time the Democratic candidate won Clarendon and Dillon counties.

Primary elections

On February 20 and 27, 2016, in the presidential primaries, South Carolina voters expressed their preferences for the Republican and Democratic parties' respective nominees for president. Registered members of each party could only vote in their party's primary, while voters who were unaffiliated could choose any one primary in which to vote.

Democratic primary

South Carolina Democratic primary, 2016
Flag of South Carolina.svg
  2012 February 27, 2016 (2016-02-27) 2020  
  Hillary Clinton by Gage Skidmore 2.jpg Bernie Sanders September 2015 cropped.jpg
Candidate Hillary Clinton Bernie Sanders
Home state New York Vermont
Delegate count3914
Popular vote272,37996,498
Percentage73.44%26.02%

South Carolina Democratic Presidential Primary Election Results by County, 2016.svg
South Carolina results by county
  Hillary Clinton

The 59 delegates for the Democratic National Convention from South Carolina are allocated in this way. There are 53 pledged delegates and 6 unpledged delegates. For the pledged delegates, each district gets 5 delegates that are allocated proportionally. There are then 18 at-large delegates awarded proportionally. [3]

South Carolina Democratic primary, February 27, 2016
CandidatePopular voteEstimated delegates
CountPercentagePledgedUnpledgedTotal
Hillary Clinton 272,37973.44%39544
Bernie Sanders 96,49826.02%14014
Willie Wilson 1,3140.35%
Martin O'Malley (withdrawn)7130.19%
Uncommitted011
Total votes370,904100%53659
Sources: The Green Papers , South Carolina State Election Commission

Republican primary

South Carolina Republican primary, 2016
Flag of South Carolina.svg
  2012 February 20, 2016 (2016-02-20)2020 
  Donald Trump official portrait (3x4a).jpg Marco Rubio by Gage Skidmore 8 (cropped).jpg Ted Cruz by Gage Skidmore 10 (cropped).jpg
Candidate Donald Trump Marco Rubio Ted Cruz
Home state New York Florida Texas
Delegate count5000
Popular vote240,882166,565165,417
Percentage32.51%22.48%22.33%

  Jeb Bush by Gage Skidmore 2 (cropped).jpg John Kasich (24618295175) (cropped).jpg Ben Carson by Skidmore with lighting correction (cropped).jpg
Candidate Jeb Bush John Kasich Ben Carson
Home state Florida Ohio Virginia
Delegate count000
Popular vote58,05656,41053,551
Percentage7.84%7.61%7.23%

South Carolina Republican Presidential Primary Election Results by County, 2016.svg
South Carolina results by county
  Donald Trump
  Marco Rubio

Delegates from South Carolina to the Republican National Convention are awarded in this way. 29 delegates are awarded to the candidate that wins the plurality of the vote in the South Carolina primary. The remaining 21 delegates are allocated by giving the winner of each of the seven congressional districts 3 delegates. [4]

South Carolina Republican primary, February 20, 2016
CandidateVotesPercentageActual delegate count
BoundUnboundTotal
Donald Trump 240,88232.51%50050
Marco Rubio 166,56522.48%000
Ted Cruz 165,41722.33%000
Jeb Bush 58,0567.84%000
John Kasich 56,4107.61%000
Ben Carson 53,5517.23%000
Chris Christie (withdrawn)000
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn)000
Rand Paul (withdrawn)000
Mike Huckabee (withdrawn)000
Rick Santorum (withdrawn)000
Jim Gilmore (withdrawn)000
George Pataki (withdrawn)000
Lindsey Graham (withdrawn)000
Unprojected delegates:000
Total:740,881100.00%50050
Source: The Green Papers

Green state convention

On April 30, the Green Party of South Carolina held its state convention. The public was welcome, but only members and delegates were eligible to vote. [5]

On April 30, it was announced that William Kreml had won the primary.

South Carolina Green Party presidential convention, April 17, 2016
CandidateVotesPercentageNational delegates
William Kreml--5
Jill Stein --3
Sedinam Kinamo Christin Moyowasifza Curry---
Darryl Cherney ---
Kent Mesplay ---
Total-100.00%8

General election

Voting history

South Carolina has generally been reckoned to be a solidly red state ever since it voted for Barry Goldwater in 1964. From 1964 on, the Republican ticket has carried South Carolina in every election apart from 1976, when the state voted for Jimmy Carter, from neighboring Georgia. The state even spurned Southern Democrat Bill Clinton in both his elections, in each of which he carried several other Southern states. The state has not had a Democratic Senator since Ernest Hollings retired in 2005, and it has had a Republican majority in its Congressional delegation since the so-called "Republican Revolution" of 1994. Four years prior to the 2016 election, in 2012, Republican Mitt Romney defeated Barack Obama by 10.5%.

However, in 2016 some commentators suggested that South Carolina might become a battleground state due to polling suggesting Republican dissatisfaction with Trump, as well as the growing effects of in-migration from other states (as in formerly solidly red Virginia and North Carolina). [6] A poll released on August 10 by Public Policy Polling had Trump leading Clinton by a margin of only 2 points, [6] and an internal poll commissioned for the South Carolina Democratic Party had the race tied. [7] This led Larry Sabato's political prediction website Sabato's Crystal Ball to move the rating of the South Carolina contest from "Safe Republican" to "Likely Republican" on August 18. [8] In the end, however, Trump carried the state by a comfortable 14.3% margin.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Los Angeles Times [9] Safe RNovember 6, 2016
CNN [10] Safe RNovember 4, 2016
Cook Political Report [11] Likely RNovember 7, 2016
Electoral-vote.com [12] Lean RNovember 8, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report [13] Safe RNovember 7, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball [14] Safe RNovember 7, 2016
RealClearPolitics [15] Lean RNovember 8, 2016
NBC [16] Lean RNovember 7, 2016

^Highest rating given

Polling

Republican Donald Trump won every pre-election poll, but by varying margins. The last pre-election poll showed Donald Trump leading Clinton 47% to 36%. The average of all polls showed Trump leading 46.2% to 38%. [17]

Results

United States presidential election in South Carolina, 2016
PartyCandidateRunning mateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
Republican Donald Trump Mike Pence 1,155,38954.94%9
Democratic Hillary Clinton Tim Kaine 855,37340.67%0
Libertarian Gary Johnson Bill Weld 49,2042.34%0
Independence Evan McMullin Nathan Johnson21,0161.00%0
Green Jill Stein Ajamu Baraka 13,0340.62%0
Constitution Darrell L. Castle Scott N. Bradley 5,7650.27%0
American (South Carolina) [18] Peter Skewes Michael Lacy 3,2460.15%0
Totals2,103,027100.00%9

By county

CountyDonald Trump
Republican
Hillary Clinton
Democratic
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal
#%#%#%#%
Abbeville 6,76362.77%3,74134.72%2712.51%3,02228.05%10,775
Aiken 46,02561.49%25,45534.01%3,3714.50%20,57027.48%74,851
Allendale 78921.97%2,73576.14%681.89%-1,946-54.17%3,592
Anderson 56,23269.87%21,09726.21%3,1543.92%35,13543.66%80,483
Bamberg 2,20435.47%3,89862.73%1121.80%-1,694-27.76%6,214
Barnwell 4,88951.54%4,40046.39%1962.07%4895.15%9,485
Beaufort 42,92254.66%32,13840.93%3,4644.41%10,78413.73%78,524
Berkeley 44,58756.07%30,70538.61%4,2255.32%13,88217.46%79,517
Calhoun 3,78750.17%3,57347.33%1892.50%2142.84%7,549
Charleston 75,44342.78%89,29950.64%11,6036.58%-13,856-7.86%176,345
Cherokee 15,16769.70%6,09228.00%5002.30%9,07541.70%21,759
Chester 7,26551.19%6,57946.36%3482.45%6864.83%14,192
Chesterfield 9,31256.16%6,85841.36%4112.48%2,45414.80%16,581
Clarendon 7,38647.98%7,73250.22%2771.80%-346-2.24%15,395
Colleton 9,09152.70%7,62744.21%5333.09%1,4648.49%17,251
Darlington 14,98950.51%13,88846.80%7972.69%1,1013.71%29,674
Dillon 5,63748.19%5,83449.87%2271.94%-197-1.68%11,698
Dorchester 34,98755.92%24,05538.45%3,5255.63%10,93217.47%62,567
Edgefield 6,84258.76%4,49138.57%3112.67%2,35120.19%11,644
Fairfield 4,02735.74%6,94561.64%2952.62%-2,918-25.90%11,267
Florence 29,57351.05%26,71046.11%1,6482.84%2,8634.94%57,931
Georgetown 17,38954.93%13,31042.04%9583.03%4,07912.89%31,657
Greenville 127,83259.41%74,48334.62%12,8505.97%53,34924.79%215,165
Greenwood 16,96158.97%10,71137.24%1,0913.69%6,25022.63%28,763
Hampton 3,48839.61%5,17058.71%1481.68%-1,682-19.10%8,806
Horry 89,28867.17%39,41029.65%4,2223.18%49,87837.52%132,920
Jasper 5,18745.39%5,95652.12%2842.49%-769-6.73%11,427
Kershaw 17,54260.50%10,33035.63%1,1233.87%7,21224.87%28,995
Lancaster 23,71960.91%13,81235.47%1,4073.62%9,90725.44%38,938
Laurens 16,81663.30%8,88933.46%8613.24%7,92729.84%26,566
Lee 2,80334.37%5,19963.74%1541.89%-2,396-29.37%8,156
Lexington 80,02665.55%35,23028.86%6,8375.59%44,79636.69%122,093
Marion 5,44438.13%8,56960.02%2631.85%-3,125-21.88%14,276
Marlboro 4,26741.07%5,95457.31%1681.62%-1,687-16.24%10,389
McCormick 2,65250.84%2,47947.53%851.63%1733.31%5,216
Newberry 10,01759.60%6,21736.99%5733.41%3,80022.61%16,807
Oconee 24,17871.88%7,99823.78%1,4594.34%16,18048.10%33,635
Orangeburg 11,93130.66%26,31867.64%6611.70%-14,387-36.98%38,910
Pickens 36,23673.88%10,35421.11%2,4595.01%25,88252.77%49,049
Richland 52,46931.10%108,00064.01%8,2534.89%-55,531-32.91%168,722
Saluda 5,52664.53%2,81332.85%2252.62%2,71331.68%8,564
Spartanburg 76,27762.99%39,99733.03%4,8163.98%36,28029.96%121,090
Sumter 18,74542.52%24,04754.55%1,2942.93%-5,302-12.03%44,086
Union 7,06158.39%4,72939.11%3022.50%2,33219.28%12,092
Williamsburg 4,86432.31%9,95366.12%2371.57%-5,089-33.81%15,054
York 66,75458.37%41,59336.37%1,5331.53%25,16122.00%114,357
Totals1,155,38954.94%855,37340.67%92,2654.39%300,01614.27%2,103,027
County Flips:
Democratic
Hold
Republican
Hold
Gain from Democratic South Carolina County Flips 2016.svg
County Flips:
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Trump won 6 of 7 congressional districts.

DistrictTrumpClintonRepresentative
1st 53%41% Mark Sanford
2nd 57%38% Joe Wilson
3rd 67%29% Jeff Duncan
4th 60%34% Trey Gowdy
5th 57%39% Mick Mulvaney
6th 30%67% Jim Clyburn
7th 58%39% Tom Rice

Electors

Technically the voters of South Carolina cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. South Carolina is allocated 9 electors because it has 7 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 9 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 9 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.

The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 19, 2016, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All 9 were pledged for Trump/Pence.

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