Nationwide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election

Last updated

This page lists nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the 2016 United States presidential election. The two major party candidates were chosen at the Democratic National Convention and Republican National Convention in July 2016.

Contents

Donald Trump won the general election of Tuesday, November 8, 2016. He lost the popular vote but won the electoral college. [1] [2] Most polls correctly predicted a popular vote victory for Hillary Clinton, but overestimated the size of her lead, with the result that Trump's electoral college victory was a surprise to analysts. Retrospective analyses differ as to why the polls and commentators interpreting them were unable to correctly forecast the result of the election. [1] [2] Two daily tracking polls, the UPI/CVoter poll and the University of Southern California/Los Angeles Times poll were the only polls that often incorrectly predicted a Trump popular vote victory or showed a nearly tied election. [3]

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of November 8,2016.

RacePoll model Hillary
Clinton

Democratic
Donald
Trump

Republican
Gary
Johnson

Libertarian
Jill
Stein

Green
Leading by
(points)
Two-way 270toWin [4] 47.2%43.6%3.6
BBC [5] 48.0%44.0%4.0
HuffPost Pollster [6] 47.3%42.0%5.3
New York Times [7] 45.9%42.8%3.1
Real Clear Politics [8] 46.8%43.6%3.2
TPM Polltracker [9] 48.8%43.9%4.9
Three-way FiveThirtyEight [10] 45.7%41.8%4.8%3.9
HuffPost Pollster [6] 45.7%40.8%5.0%4.9
New York Times [7] 45.4%42.3%5.0%3.1
TPM Polltracker [9] 46.0%44.1%4.9%1.9
Four-way 270toWin [4] 45.6%42.5%4.8%2.1%3.1
Real Clear Politics [11] 45.5%42.2%4.7%1.9%3.3
CNN Poll of Polls [12] 46.0%42.0%5.0%2.0%4.0
TPM Polltracker [9] 46.6%43.8%4.6%2.7%2.8
Election results (popular vote)48.2%46.1%3.3%1.1%2.1

Individual polls

Two-way race

After convention nominations

Polls conducted in 2016

Polls in 2016

Polls conducted in 2015

Polls in 2015
Poll sourceDateDemocratic
candidate
 %Republican
candidate
 %Leading by %Sample
Size
Margin of error
Rasmussen Reports [408] December 22–23, 2015Hillary Clinton37%Donald Trump36%11000± 3.0%
CNN/ORC [409] December 17–21, 2015Hillary Clinton49%Donald Trump47%2927± 3.0%
Hillary Clinton46%Marco Rubio49%3
Hillary Clinton46%Ted Cruz48%2
Ipsos/Reuters [410] December 16–21, 2015Hillary Clinton39%Donald Trump27%121627± 2.8–3.7%
Emerson College Polling Society [411] December 17–20, 2015Hillary Clinton46%Jeb Bush41%5754± 3.4%
Hillary Clinton45%Marco Rubio45%Tied
Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump46%2
Hillary Clinton47%Ted Cruz45%2
Quinnipiac University [412] December 16–20, 2015Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump40%71140± 2.9%
Hillary Clinton44%Marco Rubio43%1
Hillary Clinton44%Ted Cruz44%Tied
Bernie Sanders51%Donald Trump38%13
Bernie Sanders42%Marco Rubio45%3
Bernie Sanders43%Ted Cruz44%1
Fox News [413] December 16–17, 2015Hillary Clinton49%Donald Trump38%111013± 3.0%
Hillary Clinton45%Ted Cruz45%Tied
Hillary Clinton43%Marco Rubio45%2
Hillary Clinton46%Ben Carson44%2
Public Policy Polling [414] December 16–17, 2015Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump43%31267± 2.8%
Hillary Clinton45%Ted Cruz43%2
Hillary Clinton43%Marco Rubio44%1
Hillary Clinton45%Ben Carson45%Tied
Hillary Clinton44%Jeb Bush39%5
Bernie Sanders41%Donald Trump43%2
Bernie Sanders41%Ted Cruz42%1
Bernie Sanders39%Marco Rubio42%3
Bernie Sanders41%Ben Carson41%Tied
Bernie Sanders41%Jeb Bush42%1
Morning Consult [415] December 11–15, 2015Hillary Clinton46%Jeb Bush38%84038± 2.0%
Hillary Clinton46%Chris Christie35%11
Hillary Clinton45%Ben Carson39%6
Hillary Clinton45%Marco Rubio36%9
Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump41%5
Hillary Clinton48%Ted Cruz37%9
ABC News/Washington Post [416] December 10–13, 2015Hillary Clinton50%Donald Trump44%6851± 3.5%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal [417] December 6–9, 2015Hillary Clinton50%Donald Trump40%101000± 3.4%
Hillary Clinton48%Ted Cruz45%3
Hillary Clinton46%Ben Carson47%1
Hillary Clinton45%Marco Rubio48%3
Hillary Clinton51%Jeb Bush49%2
Hillary Clinton50%Marco Rubio50%Tied
Hillary Clinton51%Rand Paul49%2
Hillary Clinton52%Ted Cruz48%4
Hillary Clinton51%Ben Carson49%2
Hillary Clinton52%Carly Fiorina48%4
Morning Consult [418] December 3–7, 2015
Hillary Clinton41%Jeb Bush41%Tied2047± 2.0%
Hillary Clinton40%Chris Christie40%Tied
Hillary Clinton40%Ben Carson45%5
Hillary Clinton40%Marco Rubio41%1
Hillary Clinton40%Donald Trump45%5
Hillary Clinton42%Ted Cruz40%2
USA Today/Suffolk University [419] December 2–6, 2015Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump44%41000± 3.0%
Hillary Clinton47%Ted Cruz45%2
Hillary Clinton45%Marco Rubio48%3
Hillary Clinton46%Ben Carson45%1
Saint Leo University Polling Institute [420] November 29 – December 3, 2015Hillary Clinton51%Ben Carson38%131007± 3.0%
Hillary Clinton48%Marco Rubio38%10
Hillary Clinton51%Donald Trump37%14
Hillary Clinton52%Ted Cruz36%16
Hillary Clinton49%Jeb Bush35%14
Hillary Clinton51%Carly Fiorina32%19
MSNBC/Telemundo/Marist [421] November 15 – December 2, 2015Hillary Clinton52%Donald Trump41%112360± 2.0%
Hillary Clinton51%Ted Cruz44%7
Hillary Clinton49%Jeb Bush45%4
Hillary Clinton48%Marco Rubio45%3
Hillary Clinton48%Ben Carson47%1
CNN/ORC [422] November 27 – December 1, 2015
Hillary Clinton49%Donald Trump46%31020± 3.0%
Hillary Clinton47%Ben Carson50%3
Hillary Clinton48%Marco Rubio49%1
Hillary Clinton50%Ted Cruz47%3
Hillary Clinton49%Jeb Bush47%2
Quinnipiac University [423] November 23–30, 2015
Hillary Clinton46%Ben Carson43%31453± 2.6%
Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump41%6
Hillary Clinton45%Marco Rubio44%1
Hillary Clinton47%Ted Cruz42%5
Bernie Sanders47%Ben Carson41%6
Bernie Sanders49%Donald Trump41%8
Bernie Sanders44%Marco Rubio43%1
Bernie Sanders49%Ted Cruz39%10
ABC News/Washington Post [424] November 16–19, 2015
Hillary Clinton46%Jeb Bush43%31004± 3.5%
Hillary Clinton50%Donald Trump42%8
Hillary Clinton49%Ben Carson40%9
Hillary Clinton47%Ted Cruz40%7
Hillary Clinton47%Marco Rubio43%4
Fox News [425] November 16–19, 2015
Bernie Sanders41%Donald Trump46%51016± 3.0%
Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump46%5
Hillary Clinton42%Ben Carson47%5
Hillary Clinton42%Marco Rubio50%8
Hillary Clinton41%Ted Cruz45%4
Hillary Clinton39%Jeb Bush45%6
Hillary Clinton42%Carly Fiorina42%Tied
Hillary Clinton43%Chris Christie46%3
Public Policy Polling [426] November 16–17, 2015Hillary Clinton43%Jeb Bush41%21360± 2.7%
Hillary Clinton46%Ben Carson45%1
Hillary Clinton46%Ted Cruz44%2
Hillary Clinton46%Carly Fiorina41%5
Hillary Clinton43%Marco Rubio45%2
Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump44%1
Bernie Sanders39%Jeb Bush42%3
Bernie Sanders39%Ben Carson46%7
Bernie Sanders39%Ted Cruz44%5
Bernie Sanders40%Carly Fiorina42%2
Bernie Sanders38%Marco Rubio44%6
Bernie Sanders41%Donald Trump44%3
McClatchy-Marist [427] October 29 – November 4, 2015Hillary Clinton56%Donald Trump41%15540± 4.2%
Hillary Clinton50%Ben Carson48%2
Hillary Clinton50%Marco Rubio45%5
Hillary Clinton52%Jeb Bush44%8
Hillary Clinton53%Ted Cruz43%10
Hillary Clinton53%Carly Fiorina43%10
Bernie Sanders53%Donald Trump41%12
Bernie Sanders45%Ben Carson47%2
Bernie Sanders48%Marco Rubio45%3
Bernie Sanders51%Jeb Bush41%10
Bernie Sanders51%Ted Cruz39%12
Bernie Sanders53%Carly Fiorina39%14
Quinnipiac University [428] October 29 – November 2, 2015Hillary Clinton40%Ben Carson50%101144± 2.9%
Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump43%3
Hillary Clinton41%Marco Rubio46%5
Hillary Clinton43%Ted Cruz46%3
Hillary Clinton41%Chris Christie46%5
Bernie Sanders39%Ben Carson51%12
Bernie Sanders46%Donald Trump44%2
Bernie Sanders41%Marco Rubio47%6
Bernie Sanders44%Ted Cruz45%1
Bernie Sanders42%Chris Christie45%3
Morning Consult [429] October 29 – November 1, 2015Hillary Clinton45%Jeb Bush39%62350± 2.0%
Hillary Clinton47%Rand Paul37%10
Hillary Clinton43%Ben Carson44%1
Hillary Clinton45%Marco Rubio39%6
Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump44%Tied
Hillary Clinton46%Carly Fiorina36%10
Bay News 9/News 13/SurveyUSA [430] October 28 – November 1, 2015Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump47%42712± 2.0%
Hillary Clinton44%Ben Carson47%3
Hillary Clinton46%Jeb Bush44%2
Hillary Clinton46%Marco Rubio45%1
Hillary Clinton48%Carly Fiorina42%6
Bernie Sanders41%Donald Trump50%9
Bernie Sanders40%Ben Carson48%8
Bernie Sanders44%Jeb Bush46%2
Bernie Sanders44%Marco Rubio46%2
Bernie Sanders46%Carly Fiorina43%3
NBC News/Wall Street Journal [431] October 25–29, 2015Hillary Clinton50%Donald Trump42%8847± 3.4%
Hillary Clinton47%Ben Carson47%Tied
Hillary Clinton47%Marco Rubio42%5
Hillary Clinton47%Jeb Bush43%4
Bernie Sanders50%Donald Trump41%9
Bernie Sanders46%Marco Rubio41%5
Hillary Clinton50%Jeb Bush50%Tied
Hillary Clinton50%Marco Rubio50%Tied
Hillary Clinton53%Rand Paul47%6
Hillary Clinton53%Ted Cruz47%6
Hillary Clinton49%Ben Carson51%2
Hillary Clinton52%Carly Fiorina48%4
Morning Consult [432] October 22–25, 2015Hillary Clinton41%Jeb Bush41%Tied1689± 2.0%
Hillary Clinton44%Rand Paul38%6
Hillary Clinton41%Ben Carson42%1
Hillary Clinton43%Marco Rubio38%5
Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump43%Tied
Hillary Clinton44%Carly Fiorina37%7
Saint Leo University Polling Institute [433] October 17–22, 2015Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump38%91005± 3.0%
Hillary Clinton46%Ben Carson42%4
Hillary Clinton47%Carly Fiorina36%11
Hillary Clinton46%Marco Rubio39%7
Hillary Clinton45%Jeb Bush34%11
Rasmussen Reports [434] October 18–19, 2015Hillary Clinton36%Donald Trump38%21000± 3%
Hillary Clinton40%Carly Fiorina34%6
Morning Consult [435] October 15–19, 2015Hillary Clinton46%Jeb Bush37%92017± 2.0%
Hillary Clinton48%Rand Paul35%13
Hillary Clinton43%Ben Carson41%2
Hillary Clinton47%Marco Rubio35%12
Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump41%3
Hillary Clinton45%Carly Fiorina34%11
NBC News/Wall Street Journal [436] October 15–18, 2015Hillary Clinton47%Ben Carson45%2400± 4.9%
Hillary Clinton46%Marco Rubio45%1
Hillary Clinton49%Ted Cruz41%8
Bernie Sanders44%Ben Carson43%1
Bernie Sanders45%Marco Rubio41%4
Bernie Sanders50%Ted Cruz38%12
Emerson College Polling Society [437] October 15–18, 2015Hillary Clinton43%Jeb Bush45%2783± 3.4%
Hillary Clinton45%Ben Carson48%3
Hillary Clinton45%Marco Rubio44%1
Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump46%2
Bernie Sanders42%Donald Trump46%4
Hillary Clinton45%Carly Fiorina44%1
CNN/ORC [438] October 14–17, 2015Hillary Clinton50%Donald Trump45%5956± 3%
Hillary Clinton47%Ben Carson48%1
Bernie Sanders53%Donald Trump44%9
Bernie Sanders46%Ben Carson48%2
Joe Biden53%Donald Trump43%10
Joe Biden52%Ben Carson44%8
Morning Consult [439] October 8–12, 2015Hillary Clinton41%Jeb Bush41%Tied2002± 2%
Hillary Clinton43%Rand Paul37%6
Hillary Clinton41%Ben Carson43%2
Hillary Clinton43%Marco Rubio39%4
Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump41%2
Hillary Clinton41%Carly Fiorina36%5
Fox News [440] October 10–12, 2015Hillary Clinton39%Carly Fiorina42%31004± 3%
Hillary Clinton40%Jeb Bush42%2
Hillary Clinton40%Donald Trump45%5
Hillary Clinton39%Ben Carson50%11
Joe Biden50%Donald Trump37%13
Joe Biden46%Jeb Bush41%5
Joe Biden46%Carly Fiorina42%4
Joe Biden46%Ben Carson42%4
Joe Biden44%Marco Rubio43%1
Public Policy Polling [441] October 1–4, 2015Hillary Clinton42%Jeb Bush43%11338± 2.7%
Hillary Clinton44%Ben Carson48%4
Joe Biden42%Ben Carson45%3
Bernie Sanders35%Ben Carson46%11
Hillary Clinton46%Ted Cruz42%4
Hillary Clinton44%Carly Fiorina42%1
Joe Biden46%Carly Fiorina40%6
Bernie Sanders38%Carly Fiorina44%6
Hillary Clinton46%Mike Huckabee39%7
Hillary Clinton42%John Kasich39%3
Hillary Clinton43%Marco Rubio43%Tied
Joe Biden45%Marco Rubio40%5
Bernie Sanders38%Marco Rubio42%4
Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump44%Tied
Joe Biden48%Donald Trump40%8
Bernie Sanders44%Donald Trump44%Tied
NBC News/Wall Street Journal [442] September 20–24, 2015Hillary Clinton45%Jeb Bush44%11000± 3.10%
Hillary Clinton49%Donald Trump39%10
Hillary Clinton45%Ben Carson46%1
Hillary Clinton44%Carly Fiorina45%1
Joe Biden48%Jeb Bush40%8
Joe Biden56%Donald Trump35%21
Joe Biden49%Ben Carson41%8
Joe Biden47%Carly Fiorina41%6
Bernie Sanders52%Donald Trump36%16
Quinnipiac University [443] September 17–24, 2015Hillary Clinton42%Jeb Bush44%21574± 2.5%
Hillary Clinton42%Ben Carson49%7
Hillary Clinton43%Carly Fiorina44%1
Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump43%2
Joe Biden46%Jeb Bush41%5
Joe Biden45%Ben Carson45%Tied
Joe Biden46%Carly Fiorina43%3
Joe Biden51%Donald Trump40%11
Bernie Sanders44%Jeb Bush44%Tied
Bernie Sanders39%Ben Carson49%10
Bernie Sanders43%Carly Fiorina44%1
Bernie Sanders47%Donald Trump42%5
Fox News [444] September 20–22, 2015Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump42%41013± 3%
MSNBC/Telemundo/Marist [445] August 26 – September 9, 2015Hillary Clinton50%Marco Rubio44%61115± 2.9%
Hillary Clinton53%Donald Trump40%13
Hillary Clinton49%Jeb Bush45%4
Hillary Clinton52%Ted Cruz41%11
Joe Biden50%Marco Rubio42%8
Joe Biden56%Donald Trump38%18
Joe Biden50%Jeb Bush42%8
Joe Biden54%Ted Cruz41%13
ABC News/Washington Post [446] September 7–10, 2015Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump43%31003± 4%
CNN/ORC [447] September 4–8, 2015Hillary Clinton47%Jeb Bush49%21012± 3%
Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump48%Tied
Hillary Clinton46%Ben Carson51%5
Joe Biden52%Jeb Bush44%8
Joe Biden54%Donald Trump44%10
Joe Biden47%Ben Carson50%3
SurveyUSA [448] September 2–3, 2015Hillary Clinton40%Donald Trump45%51000± 3.3%
Bernie Sanders 40%Donald Trump44%4
Joe Biden42%Donald Trump44%2
Al Gore 41%Donald Trump44%3
Public Policy Polling [449] August 28–30, 2015Hillary Clinton44%Ben Carson44%Tied1254± 2.8%
Hillary Clinton45%Carly Fiorina43%2
Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump44%2
Hillary Clinton46%Jeb Bush42%4
Bernie Sanders39%Carly Fiorina38%1
Bernie Sanders42%Donald Trump43%1
Bernie Sanders36%Ben Carson42%6
Bernie Sanders40%Jeb Bush41%1
Joe Biden47%Donald Trump41%6
Joe Biden44%Jeb Bush41%3
Fox News [450] August 11–13, 2015Hillary Clinton47%Carly Fiorina40%71008± 3.0%
Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump42%5
Hillary Clinton44%Marco Rubio46%2
Hillary Clinton42%Jeb Bush44%2
Morning Consult [451] August 7–9, 2015Hillary Clinton44%Jeb Bush41%32029± 2.0%
Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump41%6
Hillary Clinton48%Scott Walker35%13
Hillary Clinton46%Rand Paul39%7
Hillary Clinton46%Marco Rubio39%7
Gravis Marketing [452] August 5, 2015Hillary Clinton50%Donald Trump50%Tied15352.5%
Hillary Clinton49%Jeb Bush51%2
Hillary Clinton50%Scott Walker50%Tied
Hillary Clinton52%Marco Rubio48%4
Hillary Clinton53%Rand Paul47%6
Hillary Clinton53%Ted Cruz47%6
Hillary Clinton52%Ben Carson48%4
Hillary Clinton52%Rick Perry48%4
Hillary Clinton54%Carly Fiorina46%8
McClatchy-Marist [453] July 22–28, 2015Hillary Clinton49%Jeb Bush43%6964± 2.8%
Hillary Clinton49%Ben Carson39%10
Hillary Clinton50%Chris Christie40%10
Hillary Clinton49%Ted Cruz40%9
Hillary Clinton53% Carly Fiorina 35%18
Hillary Clinton53% Jim Gilmore 32%21
Hillary Clinton52% Lindsey Graham 35%17
Hillary Clinton50%Mike Huckabee41%9
Hillary Clinton52% Bobby Jindal 36%16
Hillary Clinton49%John Kasich39%10
Hillary Clinton50% George Pataki 37%13
Hillary Clinton48%Rand Paul43%5
Hillary Clinton47% Rick Perry 40%7
Hillary Clinton47%Marco Rubio42%5
Hillary Clinton51% Rick Santorum 39%12
Hillary Clinton54%Donald Trump38%16
Hillary Clinton48%Scott Walker41%7
Quinnipiac University [454] July 23–28, 2015Joe Biden43%Jeb Bush42%11,644± 2.4%
Joe Biden49%Donald Trump37%12
Joe Biden43%Scott Walker43%Tied
Hillary Clinton41%Jeb Bush42%1
Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump36%12
Hillary Clinton44%Scott Walker43%1
Bernie Sanders39%Jeb Bush44%5
Bernie Sanders45%Donald Trump37%8
Bernie Sanders37%Scott Walker42%5
CNN/ORC [455] July 22–25, 2015Hillary Clinton51%Jeb Bush46%5898± 3.5%
Hillary Clinton56%Donald Trump40%16
Hillary Clinton53%Scott Walker44%9
Bernie Sanders47%Jeb Bush48%1
Bernie Sanders59%Donald Trump38%21
Bernie Sanders48%Scott Walker43%5
Public Policy Polling [456] July 20–21, 2015Hillary Clinton46%Jeb Bush41%51,087± 3.0%
Hillary Clinton47%Ben Carson39%8
Hillary Clinton46%Chris Christie38%8
Hillary Clinton48%Ted Cruz40%8
Hillary Clinton47%Carly Fiorina37%10
Hillary Clinton46%Mike Huckabee40%6
Hillary Clinton45%Rand Paul42%5
Hillary Clinton46%Marco Rubio41%5
Hillary Clinton50%Donald Trump37%13
Hillary Clinton46%Scott Walker41%5
Bernie Sanders37%Jeb Bush44%7
Bernie Sanders36%Marco Rubio41%5
Bernie Sanders47%Donald Trump37%10
Bernie Sanders39%Scott Walker40%1
ABC News/Washington Post [457] July 16–19, 2015Hillary Clinton50%Jeb Bush44%6815± 4.0%
CNN/ORC [458] June 26–28, 2015Hillary Clinton54%Jeb Bush41%131,017± 3.0%
Hillary Clinton55%Chris Christie39%16
Hillary Clinton56%Marco Rubio40%16
Hillary Clinton59%Donald Trump35%24
Hillary Clinton57%Scott Walker40%17
Zogby Analytics [459] June 23–25, 2015Hillary Clinton42%Jeb Bush33%91,341± ?
Hillary Clinton44%Rand Paul33%9
Hillary Clinton43%Marco Rubio32%11
Hillary Clinton43%Scott Walker33%10
Fox News [460] June 21–23, 2015Hillary Clinton44% Michael Bloomberg 38%61,005± 3.0%
Hillary Clinton43%Jeb Bush43%Tied
Hillary Clinton46%Ben Carson41%5
Hillary Clinton48%Ted Cruz42%6
Hillary Clinton45%Carly Fiorina39%6
Hillary Clinton46%Rand Paul42%4
Hillary Clinton48% Mitt Romney 42%6
Hillary Clinton45%Marco Rubio44%1
Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump42%6
Hillary Clinton47%Scott Walker41%6
NBC News/Wall Street Journal [461] June 14–18, 2015Hillary Clinton48%Jeb Bush40%81,000± 3.1%
Hillary Clinton50%Marco Rubio40%10
Hillary Clinton51%Scott Walker37%14
Public Policy Polling [462] June 11–14, 2015Hillary Clinton45%Jeb Bush41%41,129± 2.9%
Hillary Clinton46%Ben Carson43%3
Hillary Clinton45%Chris Christie41%4
Hillary Clinton48%Ted Cruz42%6
Hillary Clinton46%Carly Fiorina40%6
Hillary Clinton47%Mike Huckabee42%5
Hillary Clinton47%Rand Paul40%7
Hillary Clinton46%Marco Rubio43%3
Hillary Clinton46%Scott Walker42%4
Lincoln Chafee 27%Scott Walker39%12
Martin O'Malley 31%Scott Walker39%8
Bernie Sanders 32%Scott Walker40%8
Jim Webb 28%Scott Walker39%11
CNN/ORC [463] May 29–31, 2015Hillary Clinton51%Jeb Bush43%81,025± 3.0%
Hillary Clinton52%Ted Cruz43%9
Hillary Clinton48%Rand Paul47%1
Hillary Clinton49%Marco Rubio46%3
Hillary Clinton49%Scott Walker46%3
ABC News/Washington Post [464] May 28–31, 2015Hillary Clinton47%Jeb Bush44%3836± 4.0%
Quinnipiac University [465] May 19–26, 2015Hillary Clinton47%Jeb Bush37%101,711± 2.4%
Hillary Clinton46%Chris Christie37%9
Hillary Clinton48%Ted Cruz37%11
Hillary Clinton47%Mike Huckabee40%7
Hillary Clinton46%Rand Paul42%4
Hillary Clinton45%Marco Rubio41%4
Hillary Clinton50%Donald Trump32%18
Hillary Clinton46%Scott Walker38%8
Fox News [466] May 9–12, 2015Hillary Clinton44%Jeb Bush45%11,006± 3%
Hillary Clinton48%Ben Carson42%6
Hillary Clinton48%Ted Cruz43%5
Hillary Clinton49%Carly Fiorina37%12
Hillary Clinton47%Mike Huckabee44%3
Hillary Clinton48%John Kasich40%8
Hillary Clinton47%Marco Rubio43%4
Hillary Clinton48%Scott Walker42%6
NBC News/Wall Street Journal [467] April 26–30, 2015Hillary Clinton49%Jeb Bush43%61,000± 3.1%
Hillary Clinton47%Rand Paul44%3
Hillary Clinton49%Marco Rubio43%6
Hillary Clinton50%Scott Walker40%10
Joe Biden40%Jeb Bush48%8
The Economist/YouGov [468] April 25–27, 2015Hillary Clinton46%Jeb Bush34%12854± ?
Hillary Clinton46%Chris Christie34%12
Hillary Clinton48%Mike Huckabee34%14
Fox News [469] April 19–21, 2015Hillary Clinton45%Jeb Bush41%41,012± 3%
Hillary Clinton47%Ted Cruz42%5
Hillary Clinton46%Rand Paul43%3
Hillary Clinton46%Marco Rubio42%4
Hillary Clinton46%Scott Walker40%6
Quinnipiac University [470] April 16–21, 2015Hillary Clinton46%Jeb Bush39%71,353± 2.7%
Hillary Clinton45%Chris Christie40%5
Hillary Clinton48%Ted Cruz41%7
Hillary Clinton47%Mike Huckabee42%5
Hillary Clinton46%Rand Paul42%4
Hillary Clinton45%Marco Rubio43%2
Hillary Clinton46%Scott Walker41%5
CNN/ORC [471] April 16–19, 2015Hillary Clinton56%Jeb Bush39%171,018± 3%
Hillary Clinton60%Ben Carson36%24
Hillary Clinton58%Chris Christie39%19
Hillary Clinton60%Ted Cruz36%24
Hillary Clinton58%Mike Huckabee37%21
Hillary Clinton58%Rand Paul39%19
Hillary Clinton55%Marco Rubio41%14
Hillary Clinton59%Scott Walker37%22
Rasmussen Reports [472] April 9 & 12, 2015Hillary Clinton47%Ted Cruz38%91,000± 3%
Hillary Clinton47%Rand Paul37%10
Fox News [473] March 29–31, 2015Hillary Clinton45%Jeb Bush45%Tied1,025± 3%
Hillary Clinton48%Ted Cruz42%6
Hillary Clinton47%Rand Paul45%2
Hillary Clinton47%Marco Rubio43%4
Hillary Clinton48%Scott Walker42%6
Public Policy Polling [474] March 26–31, 2015Hillary Clinton46%Jeb Bush40%6989± 3.1%
Hillary Clinton47%Ben Carson42%5
Hillary Clinton46%Chris Christie37%9
Hillary Clinton49%Ted Cruz43%6
Hillary Clinton48%Mike Huckabee41%7
Hillary Clinton46%Rand Paul42%4
Hillary Clinton48%Rick Perry39%9
Hillary Clinton46%Marco Rubio43%3
Hillary Clinton46%Scott Walker42%4
Joe Biden40%Scott Walker46%6
Elizabeth Warren 39%Scott Walker43%4
ABC News/Washington Post [475] March 26–29, 2015Hillary Clinton53%Jeb Bush41%12 ?± 4%
Hillary Clinton56%Ted Cruz39%17
Hillary Clinton54%Marco Rubio39%15
Hillary Clinton54%Scott Walker40%14
CNN/ORC [476] March 13–15, 2015Hillary Clinton55%Jeb Bush40%151,009± 3%
Hillary Clinton56%Ben Carson40%16
Hillary Clinton55%Chris Christie40%15
Hillary Clinton55%Mike Huckabee41%14
Hillary Clinton54%Rand Paul43%11
Hillary Clinton55%Marco Rubio42%13
Hillary Clinton55%Scott Walker40%15
McClatchy-Marist [477] March 1–4, 2015Hillary Clinton49%Jeb Bush42%71,036± 3%
Hillary Clinton53%Ted Cruz39%14
Hillary Clinton51%Rand Paul40%11
Hillary Clinton51%Rick Perry42%9
Hillary Clinton49%Marco Rubio42%7
Hillary Clinton48%Scott Walker44%4
Quinnipiac University [478] February 26 – March 2, 2015Hillary Clinton45%Jeb Bush42%31,286± 2.7%
Hillary Clinton46%Chris Christie39%7
Hillary Clinton48%Ted Cruz38%10
Hillary Clinton47%Mike Huckabee40%7
Hillary Clinton47%Rand Paul41%6
Hillary Clinton46%Marco Rubio41%5
Hillary Clinton48%Scott Walker39%9
Rasmussen Reports [479] February 28 – March 1, 2015Hillary Clinton45%Jeb Bush36%91,000± 3%
Hillary Clinton47%Ben Carson36%11
Hillary Clinton46%Scott Walker41%5
Public Policy Polling [480] February 20–22, 2015Hillary Clinton50%Jeb Bush40%10691± 3.7%
Hillary Clinton48%Ben Carson40%8
Hillary Clinton48%Chris Christie40%8
Hillary Clinton50%Ted Cruz40%10
Hillary Clinton50%Mike Huckabee41%9
Hillary Clinton47%Rand Paul40%7
Hillary Clinton48%Rick Perry41%7
Hillary Clinton48%Marco Rubio41%7
Hillary Clinton48%Scott Walker40%8
Joe Biden39%Jeb Bush45%6
Elizabeth Warren41%Jeb Bush43%2
Fox News [481] January 25–27, 2015Hillary Clinton48%Jeb Bush43%51,009± 3%
Hillary Clinton48%Chris Christie42%6
Hillary Clinton47%Rand Paul44%3
Hillary Clinton46%Mitt Romney46%Tied
Public Policy Polling [482] January 20–21, 2015Hillary Clinton45%Jeb Bush41%4861± ?
Hillary Clinton45%Chris Christie40%5
Hillary Clinton46%Rand Paul39%7
Hillary Clinton47%Mitt Romney43%4
Hillary Clinton45%Scott Walker42%3
ABC News/Washington Post [483] January 12–15, 2015Hillary Clinton54%Jeb Bush41%13843± 4%
Hillary Clinton53%Chris Christie40%13
Hillary Clinton56%Mike Huckabee39%17
Hillary Clinton54%Rand Paul41%13
Hillary Clinton55%Mitt Romney40%15
The Economist/YouGov [484] January 10–12, 2015Hillary Clinton43%Jeb Bush32%111,000± 4.8%
Greenberg Quinlan Roser Research [485] January 5–11, 2015Hillary Clinton52%Jeb Bush40%12950± 3.2%
Hillary Clinton49%Mitt Romney43%6

Polls conducted in 2014

Polls in 2014
Poll sourceDateDemocratic
candidate
 %Republican
candidate
 %Leading by %Sample
Size
Margin of error
CNN/ORC [486] December 18–21Hillary Clinton54%Jeb Bush41%131,011± 3%
Hillary Clinton56%Ben Carson35%21
Hillary Clinton56%Chris Christie39%17
Hillary Clinton60%Ted Cruz35%25
Hillary Clinton59%Mike Huckabee38%21
Hillary Clinton58%Rand Paul38%20
Hillary Clinton56% Paul Ryan 41%15
Fox News [487] December 7–9Hillary Clinton49%Jeb Bush42%71,043± 3%
Hillary Clinton52%Chris Christie40%12
Hillary Clinton53%John Kasich37%16
Hillary Clinton51%Rand Paul40%11
McClatchy-Marist [488] December 3–9Hillary Clinton53%Jeb Bush40%13923± 3.2%
Hillary Clinton53%Chris Christie41%12
Hillary Clinton54%Rand Paul40%14
Hillary Clinton53%Mitt Romney41%12
Bloomberg Politics/Selzer & Co. [489] December 3–5Hillary Clinton43%Jeb Bush37%6753± 3.6%
Hillary Clinton42%Chris Christie36%6
Hillary Clinton46%Ted Cruz33%13
Hillary Clinton45%Rand Paul37%8
Hillary Clinton45%Mitt Romney39%6
Quinnipiac University [490] November 18–23Hillary Clinton46%Jeb Bush41%51,623± 2.4%
Hillary Clinton43%Chris Christie42%1
Hillary Clinton48%Ted Cruz37%11
Hillary Clinton46%Mike Huckabee41%5
Hillary Clinton46%Rand Paul41%5
Hillary Clinton44%Mitt Romney45%1
Hillary Clinton46%Paul Ryan42%4
McClatchy-Marist [491] September 24–29Hillary Clinton53%Jeb Bush42%11884± 3.3%
Hillary Clinton51%Chris Christie42%11
Hillary Clinton52%Rand Paul43%9
McClatchy-Marist [492] August 4–7Hillary Clinton48%Jeb Bush41%7806± 3.5%
Hillary Clinton47%Chris Christie41%6
Hillary Clinton48%Rand Paul42%6
Fox News [493] July 20–22Hillary Clinton52%Jeb Bush39%131,057± 3%
Hillary Clinton50%Chris Christie40%10
Hillary Clinton54%John Kasich35%19
Hillary Clinton52%Rand Paul41%11
CNN/ORC [494] July 18–20Hillary Clinton55%Mitt Romney42%13899± 3%
Quinnipiac University [495] June 24–30Hillary Clinton48%Jeb Bush41%71,446± 2.6%
Hillary Clinton47%Chris Christie38%9
Hillary Clinton49%Mike Huckabee40%9
Hillary Clinton49%Rand Paul40%9
Hillary Clinton48%Paul Ryan41%7
Rasmussen [496] June 14–17 & 20–21Hillary Clinton45%Ben Carson38%71,000± 3%
Hillary Clinton47%Chris Christie33%14
Hillary Clinton50%Ted Cruz37%13
Hillary Clinton46%Rand Paul39%7
Hillary Clinton50%Rick Perry36%14
Hillary Clinton47%Marco Rubio36%11
Bloomberg Politics/Selzer & Co. [497] June 6–9Hillary Clinton47%Jeb Bush38%9723
Hillary Clinton45%Chris Christie38%7
Hillary Clinton47%Rand Paul38%9
Hillary Clinton47%Marco Rubio36%11
Saint Leo University [498] May 28 – June 4Hillary Clinton53%Jeb Bush35%18802± 3.5%
Hillary Clinton52%Chris Christie34%18
Hillary Clinton54%Ted Cruz30%24
Hillary Clinton55%Rand Paul34%21
Hillary Clinton54%Paul Ryan33%21
Hillary Clinton53%Marco Rubio31%22
ABC News/Washington Post [499] May 29 – June 1Hillary Clinton53%Rand Paul43%101,002± 3.5%
Public Policy Polling [500] June 2Hillary Clinton49%Marco Rubio42%7735± 3.6%
ABC News/Washington Post [501] April 24–27Hillary Clinton53%Jeb Bush41%12855± 3.5%
Fairleigh Dickinson University [502] April 21–27Hillary Clinton49%Jeb Bush33%161,051± 3%
Hillary Clinton46%Chris Christie36%10
Hillary Clinton49%Mike Huckabee36%13
Hillary Clinton48%Rand Paul37%11
Hillary Clinton46%Paul Ryan38%8
Fox News [503] April 13–15Hillary Clinton51%Jeb Bush42%91,012± 3%
Hillary Clinton50%Chris Christie42%8
Hillary Clinton51%Rand Paul42%9
McClatchy-Marist [504] April 7–10Hillary Clinton55%Jeb Bush39%161,036± 3%
Hillary Clinton53%Chris Christie42%11
Hillary Clinton54%Ted Cruz39%15
Hillary Clinton53%Mike Huckabee40%13
Hillary Clinton54%Rand Paul40%14
Hillary Clinton54%Marco Rubio38%16
Hillary Clinton51%Paul Ryan43%8
Public Policy Polling [505] March 6–9Hillary Clinton47%Jeb Bush44%31,152± 2.9%
Hillary Clinton46%Chris Christie42%4
Hillary Clinton51%Ted Cruz40%11
Hillary Clinton49%Mike Huckabee42%7
Hillary Clinton47%Rand Paul42%5
Hillary Clinton48%Mitt Romney43%5
Hillary Clinton48%Marco Rubio40%8
Hillary Clinton48%Paul Ryan43%5
Joe Biden41%Mike Huckabee46%5
Elizabeth Warren33%Mike Huckabee44%11
Bloomberg Politics/Selzer & Co. [506] March 7–10Hillary Clinton52%Chris Christie39%13678± >3.1%
Rasmussen [507] March 4–5Hillary Clinton47%Jeb Bush33%141,000± 3%
Fox News [508] March 2–4Hillary Clinton51%Jeb Bush38%131,002± 3%
Hillary Clinton49%Chris Christie38%11
Hillary Clinton52%Ted Cruz36%16
McClatchy-Marist [509] February 4–9Hillary Clinton58%Jeb Bush38%20970± 3.1%
Hillary Clinton58%Chris Christie37%21
Hillary Clinton56%Ted Cruz39%17
Hillary Clinton55%Mike Huckabee41%14
Hillary Clinton62% Sarah Palin 35%27
Hillary Clinton58%Rand Paul38%20
Hillary Clinton53%Mitt Romney44%9
Hillary Clinton58%Marco Rubio37%21
Hillary Clinton52%Paul Ryan44%8
CNN/ORC [510] January 31 – February 2Hillary Clinton57%Jeb Bush37%20900± 3.5%
Hillary Clinton55%Chris Christie39%16
Hillary Clinton56%Mike Huckabee39%16
Hillary Clinton57%Rand Paul39%18
Hillary Clinton55%Paul Ryan40%15
Public Policy Polling [511] January 23–26Hillary Clinton45%Jeb Bush43%2845± 3.4%
Hillary Clinton45%Chris Christie43%2
Hillary Clinton47%Ted Cruz41%6
Hillary Clinton46%Mike Huckabee43%3
Hillary Clinton46%Rand Paul43%3
Hillary Clinton46%Paul Ryan44%2
Joe Biden35%Chris Christie46%11
Elizabeth Warren34%Chris Christie43%9
ABC News/Washington Post [512] January 20–23Hillary Clinton53%Chris Christie41%12873± 3.5%
Quinnipiac University [513] January 15–19Hillary Clinton49%Jeb Bush38%111,933± 2.2%
Hillary Clinton46%Chris Christie38%8
Hillary Clinton50%Ted Cruz35%15
Hillary Clinton49%Rand Paul39%10
NBC News/Marist Poll [514] January 12–14Hillary Clinton50%Chris Christie37%131,039± 3%

Polls conducted in 2013

Polls in 2013
Poll sourceDateDemocratic
candidate
 %Republican
candidate
 %Leading by %Sample
Size
Margin of error
CNN/ORC [515] December 16–19Hillary Clinton58%Jeb Bush37%21950± 3%
Hillary Clinton46%Chris Christie48%2
Hillary Clinton57%Ted Cruz39%19
Hillary Clinton55%Mike Huckabee40%15
Hillary Clinton54%Rand Paul41%13
Hillary Clinton56%Rick Perry39%17
Hillary Clinton56%Marco Rubio37%19
Hillary Clinton52%Paul Ryan44%8
Hillary Clinton57% Rick Santorum 38%19
Public Policy Polling [516] December 12–15Hillary Clinton48%Jeb Bush43%51,316± 2.7%
Hillary Clinton42%Chris Christie45%3
Hillary Clinton49%Ted Cruz41%8
Hillary Clinton48%Mike Huckabee42%6
Hillary Clinton48%Rand Paul43%5
Joe Biden35%Chris Christie49%14
Howard Dean 29%Chris Christie51%22
John Kerry 35%Chris Christie46%11
Elizabeth Warren33%Chris Christie49%16
Quinnipiac University [517] December 3–9Hillary Clinton48%Jeb Bush39%92,692± 1.9%
Hillary Clinton41%Chris Christie42%1
Hillary Clinton50%Ted Cruz37%13
Hillary Clinton48%Rand Paul41%7
McClatchy-Marist [518] December 3–5Hillary Clinton53%Jeb Bush41%121,173± 2.9%
Hillary Clinton48%Chris Christie45%3
Hillary Clinton57%Ted Cruz35%22
Hillary Clinton59%Sarah Palin36%23
Hillary Clinton55%Rand Paul40%15
Hillary Clinton58%Rick Perry37%21
Hillary Clinton52%Marco Rubio42%10
Hillary Clinton56%Paul Ryan40%16
Quinnipiac University [519] November 6–11Hillary Clinton42%Chris Christie43%12,545± 1.9%
Hillary Clinton51%Ted Cruz36%15
Hillary Clinton49%Rand Paul40%9
Hillary Clinton49%Paul Ryan40%9
NBC News [520] November 7–10Hillary Clinton44%Chris Christie34%101,003± 3.6%
Rasmussen [521] November 7–8Hillary Clinton43%Chris Christie41%21,000± 3%
Public Policy Polling [522] October 29–31Hillary Clinton48%Jeb Bush39%9649± 3.8%
Hillary Clinton44%Chris Christie39%5
Hillary Clinton50%Ted Cruz33%17
Hillary Clinton49%Rand Paul37%12
Joe Biden42%Jeb Bush43%1
Joe Biden38%Chris Christie45%7
Joe Biden46%Ted Cruz36%10
Joe Biden45%Rand Paul38%7
Quinnipiac University [523] September 23–29Hillary Clinton49%Chris Christie36%131,497± 2.5%
Hillary Clinton54%Ted Cruz31%23
Hillary Clinton53%Rand Paul36%17
Rasmussen [524] September 16–17Joe Biden35%Chris Christie39%41,000± 3%
Monmouth University [525] July 25–30Hillary Clinton47%Jeb Bush37%10850± 3.4%
Hillary Clinton43%Chris Christie39%4
Hillary Clinton48%Ted Cruz32%16
Hillary Clinton47%Marco Rubio36%11
Public Policy Polling [526] July 19–21Hillary Clinton44%Jeb Bush41%3800± 3.5%
Hillary Clinton43%Chris Christie42%1
Hillary Clinton47%Rand Paul39%8
Hillary Clinton45%Marco Rubio40%5
Hillary Clinton46%Paul Ryan44%2
Joe Biden41%Jeb Bush45%4
Joe Biden39%Chris Christie45%6
Joe Biden43%Rand Paul43%Tied
Joe Biden42%Marco Rubio42%Tied
Joe Biden43%Paul Ryan46%3
McClatchy-Marist [527] July 15–18Hillary Clinton48%Jeb Bush40%8491± 4.4%
Hillary Clinton47%Chris Christie41%6
Hillary Clinton50%Rand Paul38%12
Hillary Clinton52%Rick Perry36%16
Hillary Clinton50%Marco Rubio38%12
Hillary Clinton53%Paul Ryan37%16
Quinnipiac University [528] June 28 – July 8Hillary Clinton46%Chris Christie40%62,014± 2.2%
Hillary Clinton50%Rand Paul38%12
Joe Biden35%Chris Christie46%11
Joe Biden42%Rand Paul42%Tied
Quinnipiac University [529] May 22–28Hillary Clinton48%Jeb Bush40%81,419± 2.6%
Hillary Clinton49%Rand Paul41%8
Joe Biden38%Jeb Bush44%6
Joe Biden39%Rand Paul43%4
Public Policy Polling [530] May 6–9Hillary Clinton47%Chris Christie44%31,099± 3%
Hillary Clinton51%Rand Paul41%10
Hillary Clinton51%Marco Rubio41%10
Joe Biden40%Chris Christie49%9
Joe Biden46%Rand Paul44%2
Joe Biden46%Marco Rubio45%1
Public Policy Polling [531] March 27–30Hillary Clinton46%Chris Christie42%41,247± 2.8%
Hillary Clinton49%Rand Paul43%6
Hillary Clinton49%Marco Rubio42%7
Hillary Clinton50%Paul Ryan43%7
Joe Biden40%Chris Christie49%9
Joe Biden47%Rand Paul43%4
Joe Biden46%Marco Rubio44%2
Joe Biden48%Paul Ryan45%3
McClatchy-Marist [532] March 25–27Hillary Clinton54%Jeb Bush38%16519± 4.3%
Hillary Clinton46%Chris Christie43%3
Hillary Clinton52%Rand Paul41%11
Hillary Clinton52%Marco Rubio40%12
Joe Biden49%Jeb Bush41%8
Joe Biden43%Chris Christie46%3
Joe Biden50%Rand Paul41%9
Joe Biden53%Marco Rubio39%14
Quinnipiac University [533] February 27 – March 4Hillary Clinton45%Chris Christie37%81,944± 2.2%
Hillary Clinton50%Marco Rubio34%16
Hillary Clinton50%Paul Ryan38%12
Joe Biden40%Chris Christie43%3
Joe Biden45%Marco Rubio38%7
Joe Biden45%Paul Ryan42%3
Andrew Cuomo 28%Chris Christie45%17
Andrew Cuomo37%Marco Rubio37%Tie
Andrew Cuomo37%Paul Ryan42%5
Public Policy Polling [534] January 31 – February 3Hillary Clinton49%Jeb Bush43%6800± 3.5%
Hillary Clinton46%Chris Christie41%5
Hillary Clinton49%Marco Rubio41%8
Hillary Clinton50%Paul Ryan44%6
Joe Biden48%Jeb Bush45%3
Joe Biden44%Chris Christie44%Tie
Joe Biden48%Marco Rubio43%5
Joe Biden49%Paul Ryan45%4
Purple Strategies [535] December 8–10, 2012Hillary Clinton53%Paul Ryan36%171,000± 3.1%

Three-way race

Polls up to August 2, when three-way polls paused

Four-way race

Five-way race

Poll sourceDateHillary Clinton
Democratic
Donald Trump
Republican
Gary Johnson
Libertarian
Jill Stein
Green
Evan McMullin
Independent
Leading by
(points)
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Saint Leo University [578] October 22–26, 201642%31%6%1%5%111,050
Public Policy Polling [149] September 27–28, 201644%40%6%1%2%4933±3.2%
Echelon Insights [151] September 26–27, 201644%39%6%2%1%51,833
Public Policy Polling [214] August 26–28, 201642%37%6%4%1%5881±3.3%

Post-election analysis

BBC News discussed whether polling should be abandoned due to its perceived failure. [1] Forbes magazine contributor astrophysicist Ethan Siegel performed a scientific analysis and raised whether the statistical population sampled for the polling was inaccurate, and cited the cautionary adage "Garbage in, garbage out". [2] He concluded there may have been sampling bias on the part of the pollsters. [2] Siegel compared the 2016 election to the failure of prognosticator Arthur Henning in the "Dewey Defeats Truman" incident from the 1948 presidential election. [2] Despite all this, however, nationwide polling was not far off from the actual popular vote result, and in fact very few states had results that deviated from the margin of error in the polling average. In a FiveThirtyEight article, Nate Silver defended the performance of the polls in 2016 as historically average, and argued that "Media organizations need to do a better job of informing their readers about the uncertainties associated with polling". [638]

A particular case was the USC/Los Angeles Times Daybreak tracking poll, which was different from other polls as it had Donald Trump in the lead more often than not. [639] The poll's findings caused skepticism, especially from other pollsters and media outlets, who have denounced it and often criticized the LA Times for running it. [640] Before the election, Nate Silver deemed as positive the fact that the poll allowed people to assign themselves a probability of voting for either candidate instead of saying they're 100 percent sure, saying if people are "going to browbeat a pollster, [let's] do it to a pollster who is doing things cheaply—some of the robopolls qualify—and not one that’s trying to move the ball forward, like the LA Times poll." [641] The LA Times concluded after the preliminary results of the election were published: "That doesn't necessarily mean that a poll conducted online, the way the Daybreak poll is, necessarily will be more accurate than polls conducted by phone. But it is yet another indication that polling needs more, diverse ways to look at public opinion, not fewer." [642]

See also

General election polling

Democratic primary polling

Republican primary polling

After the election

Related Research Articles

Scientific, nationwide public opinion polls conducted relating to the 2008 United States presidential election include:

Nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the 2012 United States presidential election are as follows. The election was between Democratic Incumbent President Barack Obama, Republican Mitt Romney, as well as other third-party and independent challengers.

This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the Republican primaries for the 2016 United States presidential election. The persons named in the polls were either declared candidates, former candidates, or received media speculation about their possible candidacy. On May 4, 2016, Donald Trump became the sole contender and presumptive nominee.

This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the Democratic primaries for the 2016 United States presidential election. The persons named in the polls are declared candidates, are former candidates, or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 Republican Party presidential primaries</span>

This article contains opinion polling by U.S. state for the 2016 Republican Party presidential primaries. The shading for each poll indicates the candidate(s) which are within one margin of error of the poll's leader.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 Democratic Party presidential primaries</span>

This article contains opinion polling by U.S. state for the 2016 Democratic Party presidential primaries. For currency and accuracy, please note the specific dates for each polling as listed below. For the significance of the earliest state votes, the Iowa caucuses and the New Hampshire primary, see United States presidential primary – Iowa and New Hampshire. To know when any given state votes, see the timeline of primaries and caucuses.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election</span>

Statewide polls for the 2016 United States presidential election include the following. The polls listed here provide early data on opinion polling between the Democratic candidate, the Republican candidate, the Libertarian candidate, and the Green candidate. Prior to the parties' conventions, presumptive candidates were included in the polls. State polling is not conducted in all states for the election due to various factors. More polls usually are conducted in states that are considered swing states as more attention is given to the results. For determining a statistical tie, the margin of error provided by the polling source is applied to the result for each candidate.

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The 2016 United States presidential debates were a series of debates held during the 2016 presidential election.

Statewide polls for the 2016 United States presidential election are as follows. The polls listed here, by state, are from 2013 to December 31, 2015, and provide early data on opinion polling between a possible Republican candidate against a possible Democratic candidate.

This page lists nationwide public opinion polling among demographics that have been conducted relating to the 2016 United States presidential election between prospective Democratic and Republican candidates. The two major party candidates were chosen at the Democratic National Convention and Republican National Convention in July 2016. The general election occurred on Tuesday, November 8, 2016.

Statewide polls for the 2016 United States presidential election are as follows. The polls listed here, by state, are from January 1 to August 31, 2016, and provide early data on opinion polling between a possible Republican candidate against a possible Democratic candidate.

This is a list of opinion polls taken on the Presidency of Donald Trump in 2018.

This is a list of opinion polls taken on the presidency of Donald Trump in 2019. Polls throughout the year showed that more disapproved of Trump than approved of him, generally by a margin of between five and fifteen percentage points. The polls also showed that the margin may have been stronger or weaker in some states, when compared with the national polls.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States presidential election in Florida</span>

The 2020 United States presidential election in Florida was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election, in which all 50 states and the District of Columbia participated. Florida voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent president Donald Trump, and his running mate, Vice President Mike Pence, against Democratic Party nominee, former vice president Joe Biden, and his running mate, United States senator Kamala Harris, of California. Florida had 29 electoral votes in the Electoral College.

This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the general election for the 2020 United States presidential election. If multiple versions of polls are provided, the version among likely voters (LV) is prioritized, then registered voters (RV), then adults (A). Polling in the 2020 election was considerably less accurate than in the 2016 election, and possibly more inaccurate than in any election since 1996.

This page lists statewide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the 2016 United States presidential election in Florida, contested by Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump, Gary Johnson and Jill Stein. The state was won by Donald Trump with 49.02% of the vote against 47.82% for Hillary Clinton.

This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the general election for the 2020 United States presidential election. The persons named in the polls were declared candidates or received media speculation about their possible candidacy. If multiple versions of polls are provided, the version among likely voters (LV) is prioritized, then registered voters (RV), then adults (A).

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