Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election

Last updated

2016 United States presidential election polling
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Leading presidential 2016 candidate by electoral vote count.
States in gray have no polling data.
Polls from lightly shaded states are older than September 1, 2016.
This map only represents the most recent statewide polling data;
it is not a prediction for the 2016 election.
General election polls 2016 Clinton v Trump.svg
     Hillary Clinton 216
     Donald Trump 184*
   Margin of error between Clinton and Trump
134*
  No data
4

*No margin of error recorded for Nebraska's congressional districts. Maine and Nebraska both award 1 electoral vote per congressional district and 2 statewide electoral votes. Trump leads in Nebraska's 1st and 3rd congressional districts, while Clinton leads in Maine's 1st congressional district. Nebraska's 2nd congressional district could possibly be within the margin of error and Maine's 2nd congressional district is within the margin of error.

Contents

(270 electoral votes needed to win)
President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

Statewide polls for the 2016 United States presidential election include the following. The polls listed here provide early data on opinion polling between the Democratic candidate, the Republican candidate, the Libertarian candidate, and the Green candidate. Prior to the parties' conventions, presumptive candidates were included in the polls. State polling is not conducted in all states for the election due to various factors. More polls usually are conducted in states that are considered swing states as more attention is given to the results. For determining a statistical tie, the margin of error provided by the polling source is applied to the result for each candidate.

Most recent polling

Immediately before the election, Hillary Clinton had a vote lead among states recently polled. State polls with results outside the margin of error showed 213 potential electoral votes for Clinton and 162 potential electoral votes for Donald Trump. In 14 states and two congressional districts (150 electoral votes), results for Clinton and Trump were within the margin of error. For the two states and one district without recent polling, one state (6 electoral votes) voted for Mitt Romney in the 2012 election, while one state and district (7 electoral votes) voted for Barack Obama. Third-party candidates, such as Jill Stein and Gary Johnson, were also included in many statewide polls. They have not received support in statewide polling that surpasses the two main party nominees. Independent candidate Evan McMullin was tied with Donald Trump in the state of Utah, but he has only been included on a very limited number of statewide polls.

StateDateHillary
Clinton		Donald
Trump		Gary
Johnson		Jill
Stein		Evan
McMullin		Margin of
error		LeadClinton
potential EVs 		Trump
potential EVs		Tied
potential EVs		Result
Nationwide [a] National polling 213178134
Alabama September 27, 201632%48%2.0%16925.8
Alaska October 21–26, 201647%43%7%3%4.9%4314.7
Arizona November 4–6, 201645%47%5%2%4.9%2113.5
Arkansas October 18–25, 201636%59%4.1%23626.9
California November 4–6, 201658%35%3%2%4.9%285530.1
Colorado November 3–4, 201648%43%4%2%1%3.7%594.9
Connecticut September 2–5, 201650%35%9%4%3.0%15713.6
Delaware September 16–28, 201651%30%7%2%4.1%21311.4
Florida November 6, 201646%50%2%1%3.3%4291.2
Georgia November 6, 201645%52%2%2.8%7165.1
Idaho October 23–24, 201629%48%6%10%4.0%19431.8
Illinois October 27–30, 201653%41%2%0%4.3%122017.1
Indiana November 1–3, 201637%48%9%4.0%111118.9
Iowa November 1–4, 201639%46%6%1%3.5%769.4
Kansas November 1–3, 201634%58%5.5%24620.6
Kentucky October 25–30, 201637%54%1%1%1%4.0%17829.8
Louisiana October 19–21, 201635%50%5%4.4%15819.6
Maine October 28–30, 201646%42%12%2%3.5%4133
Maryland September 27–30, 201663%27%4%2%4.0%361026.4
Massachusetts October 23 – November 2, 201656%26%8%3%5.0%301127.2
Michigan November 6, 201647%49%3%1%2.8%2160.2
Minnesota October 22–26, 201649%39%5%2%1%3.9%10101.5
Missouri November 4–5, 201641%47%7%2%3.5%61018.6
Montana October 10–12, 201636%46%11%3.2%10320.4
Nebraska September 25–27, 201629%56%7%1%3.6%274125
Nevada November 4–6, 201646%46%5%1%4.9%Tied62.4
New Hampshire November 3–6, 201649%38%6%1%3.7%1140.4
New Jersey October 27 – November 2, 201651%40%3%1%3.8%111414.2
New Mexico November 6, 201646%44%6%1%1.8%258.2
New York November 3–4, 201651%34%5%2%4.5%172922.5
North Carolina November 4–6, 201644%44%3%3.5%Tied153.6
North Dakota September 12–17, 201632%43%8%1%4.9%11335.7
Ohio October 27 – November 5, 201639%46%7%3%3.2%7188.1
Oklahoma October 18–20, 201630%60%5%4.3%30736.4
Oregon October 24–29, 201641%34%4%2%4.4%7711
Pennsylvania November 3–6, 201646%40%7%2%2.8%6200.7
Rhode Island October 2–4, 201652%32%5%5%3.4%20418.5
South Carolina October 30–31, 201636%47%3%1%4.4%11914.7
South Dakota October 24–26, 201635%49%7%4.0%14329.8
Tennessee October 14–17, 201634%44%7%2%4.4%101126
Texas October 31 – November 1, 201635%49%5%4%3.6%14389
Utah November 3–5, 201630%40%4%25%2.7%10618.1
Vermont October 24–26, 201652%26%5%2%3.0%26326.4
Virginia November 1–6, 201648%42%3%1%2%3.6%6135.3
Washington November 4–6, 201655%39%4.9%161216.2
West Virginia September 13–17, 201628%60%5.0%32542.2
Wisconsin November 1–2, 201649%41%3%1.9%8100.8
Wyoming October 5–11, 201620%58%9%2%3.6%38346.3
No recent polling13

Alabama

9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 60%–39%
(Republican in 2012) 61%–38%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 62%–34%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
News-5/Strategy Research [1] September 27, 2016Hillary Clinton32%Donald Trump48%163,000± 2.0%

Alaska

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 59%–38%
(Republican in 2012) 55%–41%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 51%–37%

Two-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Alaska Survey Research [2] September 28 – October 2, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump46%4660± 3.8%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Green%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Carciun Research [3] October 21–26, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump43%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein3%4400± 4.9%
Lake Research Partners [4] October 11–13, 2016Hillary Clinton36%Donald Trump37%Gary JohnsonJill Stein3%1500± 4.4%
Moore Information [5] October 5–6, 2016Hillary Clinton34%Donald TrumpGary Johnson10%Jill Stein2%3500± 4%
Alaska Survey Research [2] September 28 – October 2, 2016Hillary Clinton31%Donald Trump36%Gary Johnson18%Jill Stein6%5660± 3.8%

Arizona

11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%
(Republican in 2012) 53%–44%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 48%–45%

Two-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist [6] October 30 – November 1, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump46%5719± 3.7%
CNN/ORC [7] October 27 – November 1, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump51%769± 3.5%
Ipsos/Reuters [8] October 6–18, 2016Hillary Clinton38%Donald Trump45%71,538± 2.8%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist [9] September 6–8, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump42%1649± 3.8%

Three-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Libertarian %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Data Orbital [10] October 11–12, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump42%Gary Johnson5%1550± 4.12%
Data Orbital [11] September 20–22, 2016Hillary Clinton38%Donald Trump40%Gary Johnson9%2550± 4.12%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Libertarian %Green %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Insights West [12] November 4–6, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump47%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein2%2392± 4.9%
Data Orbital [13] November 1–2, 2016Hillary Clinton39%Donald TrumpGary Johnson4%Jill Stein3%8550± 4.12%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist [6] October 30 – November 1, 2016Hillary Clinton40%Donald Trump45%Gary Johnson9%Jill Stein5719± 3.7%
CNN/ORC [7] October 27 – November 1, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump49%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein1%769± 3.5%
Saguaro Strategies [14] October 29–31, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump44%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein12,229± 3%
Emerson College [15] October 29–31, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump47%Gary Johnson2%Jill Stein2%4700± 3.6%
Data Orbital [16] October 29–30, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump45%Gary Johnson3%Jill Stein1%550± 4.12%
CBS News/YouGov [17] October 26–28, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump44%Gary Johnson4%Jill Stein2994± 4.3%
Data Orbital [18] October 26–27, 2016Hillary Clinton40%Donald Trump42%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein2%550± 4.12%
Saguaro Strategies [19] October 21–24, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump46%Gary JohnsonJill Stein1%22,385± 3%
Monmouth University [20] October 21–24, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump46%Gary Johnson4%Jill Stein1401± 4.9%
Data Orbital [21] October 17–18, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump41%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein2%Tied550± 4.12%
Ipsos/Reuters [8] October 6–18, 2016Hillary Clinton39%Donald Trump44%Gary Johnson6%Jill Stein51,538± 2.8%
Arizona Republic/Morrison/Cronkite News [22] October 10–15, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump38%Gary JohnsonJill Stein1%5713± 3.8%
Highground [23] October 14, 2016Hillary Clinton39%Donald Trump37%Gary Johnson8%Jill Stein3%2400±4.88%
Emerson College [24] October 2–4, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump42%Gary Johnson9%Jill Stein1%600±3.90%
OH Predictive Insights [25] September 28–30, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump42%Gary Johnson5%Jill SteinTied718±3.66%
Insights West [26] September 12–14, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump46%Gary Johnson9%Jill Stein5484± 4.5%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist [9] September 6–8, 2016Hillary Clinton38%Donald Trump40%Gary Johnson12%Jill Stein3%2649± 3.8%

Arkansas

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 59%–39%
(Republican in 2012) 61%–37%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 61%–34%

Two-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
University of Arkansas [27] October 18–25, 2016Hillary Clinton36%Donald Trump59%23800± 4.1%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Green%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Talk Business/Hendrix College [28] October 21, 2016Hillary Clinton33%Donald Trump56% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 2%23463± 4.6%
Talk Business/Hendrix College [29] September 15–17, 2016Hillary Clinton34%Donald Trump55%Gary Johnson3%Jill Stein1%21831± 3.4%
Emerson College [30] September 9–13, 2016Hillary Clinton29%Donald Trump57%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein3%28600± 3.9%

California

55 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–37%
(Democratic in 2012) 60%–37%

Winner
(Democratic in 2016) 62%–32%

Two-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times [31] October 22–30, 2016Hillary Clinton58%Donald Trump32%261,365± 2.3%
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times [32] September 1–8, 2016Hillary ClintonDonald Trump33%254,212± 2.0%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Green%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Insights West [12] November 4–6, 2016Hillary Clinton58%Donald Trump35%Gary Johnson3%Jill Stein2%23401± 4.9%
KABC/SurveyUSA [33] October 28–31, 2016Hillary Clinton56%Donald TrumpGary Johnson4%Jill Stein1%21747± 3.6%
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times [31] October 22–30, 2016Hillary Clinton54%Donald Trump30%Gary Johnson4%Jill Stein3%261,365± 2.3%
Field Research [34] October 25–31, 2016Hillary Clinton53%Donald Trump33%Gary Johnson4%Jill Stein201,498±%
Public Policy Institute of California [35] October 14–23, 2016Hillary Clinton54%Donald Trump28%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein5%261,704± 3.4%
KABC/SurveyUSA [36] October 13–15, 2016Hillary Clinton56%Donald Trump30%Gary Johnson4%Jill Stein2%725± 3.7%
Hoover Institution/YouGov [37] October 4–14, 2016Hillary Clinton54%Donald Trump30%Gary JohnsonJill Stein3%241,250± 3.28%
Sacramento State University [38] October 7–13, 2016Hillary Clinton61%Donald Trump25%Gary JohnsonJill Stein36622± 7.0%
KABC/SurveyUSA [39] September 27–28, 2016Hillary Clinton59%Donald Trump33%Gary Johnson3%Jill Stein2%26732± 3.6%
Public Policy Institute of California [40] September 9–18, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump31%Gary Johnson10%Jill Stein5%161,055± 4.5%
Insights West [26] September 12–14, 2016Hillary Clinton62%Donald Trump34%Gary Johnson2%Jill Stein1%28515± 4.3%
Field Research [41] September 7–13, 2016Hillary Clinton50%Donald Trump33%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein6%171,426±%
SurveyUSA [42] September 8–11, 2016Hillary Clinton57%Donald Trump32%Gary Johnson3%Jill Stein1%25678± 3.8%
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times [32] September 1–8, 2016Hillary Clinton49%Donald Trump29%Gary Johnson11%Jill Stein6%204,212± 2.0%

Colorado

9 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%
(Democratic in 2012) 51%–46%

Winner
(Democratic in 2016) 48%–43%

Two-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling [43] November 3–4, 2016Hillary Clinton50%Donald Trump45%5704± 3.7%
University of Denver [44] October 29–31, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump41%1550± 4.2%
Quinnipiac University [45] October 10–16, 2016Hillary Clinton51%Donald Trump40%11685± 3.7%
Public Policy Polling [46] September 27–28, 2016Hillary Clinton51%Donald Trump44%7694± 3.7%
CNN/ORC [47] September 20–25, 2016Hillary Clinton49%Donald Trump47%2784± 3.5%
Quinnipiac University [48] September 13–21, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump47%Tied644± 3.9%
Colorado Mesa University/Rocky Mountain PBS [49] September 14–18, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump35%9540± 5.3%

Three-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Libertarian %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies [50] November 1–2, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump41%Gary Johnson6%11,863± 2.27%
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies [51] October 23–30, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump44%Gary Johnson4%952± 3.17%
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies [52] October 20–22, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump43%Gary Johnson5%21,581± 2.46%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Libertarian %Green %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Trafalgar Group [53] October 31 – November 3, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump44%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein4%11,150± 3.20%
Magellan Strategies [54] November 1–2, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump38%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein2%6500± 4.38%
University of Denver [44] October 29–31, 2016Hillary Clinton39%Donald Trump39%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein4%Tied550± 4.2%
Emerson College [15] October 28–31, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump41%Gary Johnson8%Jill Stein3750± 3.5%
Quinnipiac University [45] October 10–16, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump37%Gary Johnson10%Jill Stein3%8685± 3.7%
Monmouth University [55] September 29 – October 2, 2016Hillary Clinton49%Donald Trump38%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein11400± 4.9%
Keating Research [56] September 27–29, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump33%Gary Johnson10%Jill Stein602± 4.0%
Public Policy Polling [46] September 27–28, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump40%Gary Johnson6%Jill Stein2%6694± 3.7%
CNN/ORC [47] September 20–25, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump42%Gary Johnson13%Jill Stein3%1784± 3.5%
CBS News/YouGov [57] September 21–23, 2016Hillary Clinton40%Donald Trump39%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein2%1991± 4.4%
Quinnipiac University [48] September 13–21, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump42%Gary Johnson10%Jill Stein2644± 3.9%
Colorado Mesa University/Rocky Mountain PBS [49] September 14–18, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump34%Gary Johnson12%Jill Stein3%7540± 5.3%
Emerson College [30] September 9–13, 2016Hillary Clinton38%Donald Trump42%Gary Johnson13%Jill Stein2%4600± 3.9%

Five-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Green%Independent%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling [43] November 3–4, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump43%Gary Johnson4%Jill Stein2%Evan McMullin1%5704± 3.7%
Keating Research [58] November 2–3, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump38%Gary Johnson7%Jill SteinEvan McMullin605± 4.0%
CBS News/YouGov [59] October 26–28, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump39%Gary JohnsonJill SteinEvan McMullin3997± 4.1%

Connecticut

7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–38%
(Democratic in 2012) 58%–41%

Winner
(Democratic in 2016) 55%–41%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Libertarian %Green %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Emerson College [60] September 2–5, 2016Hillary Clinton50%Donald Trump35% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 4%151,000± 3.0%

Delaware

3 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–37%
(Democratic in 2012) 59%–40%

Winner
(Democratic in 2016) 53%-42%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Libertarian %Green %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
University of Delaware [61] September 16–28, 2016Hillary Clinton51%Donald Trump30%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein2%21762± 4.1%

District of Columbia

3 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 92%–7%
(Democratic in 2012) 91%–7%

Winner
(Democratic in 2016) 91%–4%

No polling was conducted post August 1, 2016

Florida

29 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2012) 50%–49%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 49%–48%

Georgia

16 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 52%–47%
(Republican in 2012) 53%–45%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 51%–46%

Two-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist [6] October 30 – November 1, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump47%1707±3.7%
Quinnipiac University [62] October 20–26, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump46%Tied707± 3.7%
Quinnipiac University [48] September 13–21, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump50%6638± 3.9%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist [9] September 6–8, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump46%3625± 3.9%

Three-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Libertarian %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Landmark Communications/Rosetta Stone [63] November 6, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump49%Gary Johnson3%31,200± 2.8%
Landmark Communications/Rosetta Stone [64] November 2–3, 2016Hillary ClintonDonald Trump48%Gary Johnson4%21,000± 3.1%
Opinion Survey/Fox 5 Atlanta [65] November 2–3, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump49%Gary Johnson6%4538± 4.2%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist [6] October 30 – November 1, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump45%Gary Johnson8%1707±3.7%
WXIA-TV/SurveyUSA [66] October 25–27, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump49%Gary Johnson3%7593± 4.2%
Quinnipiac University [62] October 20–26, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump44%Gary Johnson8%1707± 3.7%
Landmark Communications/Rosetta Stone [67] October 20, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump47%Gary Johnson5%4600± 4.0%
Opinion Savvy/Fox 5 Atlanta [68] October 20, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump50%Gary Johnson3%4570± 4.1%
Atlantic Journal Constitution [69] October 17–20, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump44%Gary Johnson9%2839± 4.3%
Clout Research [70] October 15–18, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump46%Gary Johnson2%3627± 3.9%
Landmark Communications/Rosetta Stone [71] October 11–12, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump48%Gary Johnson4%61,400± 2.7%
Landmark Communications/Rosetta Stone [72] September 21–22, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump47%Gary Johnson6%4600± 4.0%
JMC Analytics [73] September 20–22, 2016Hillary Clinton38%Donald Trump44%Gary Johnson5%6600± 4.0%
Quinnipiac University [48] September 13–21, 2016Hillary Clinton40%Donald Trump47%Gary Johnson9%7638± 4.9%
Monmouth University [74] September 15–18, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump45%Gary Johnson8%3401± 4.9%
Opinion Savvy/Fox 5 Atlanta [75] September 14, 2016Hillary ClintonDonald Trump46%Gary Johnson10%4568± 4.1%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist [9] September 6–8, 2016Hillary ClintonDonald Trump44%Gary Johnson2625± 3.9%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Libertarian %Green %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Trafalgar Group [76] November 6, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump52%Gary Johnson2%Jill Stein0%71,250± 2.76%
Emerson College [15] October 29–31, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump51%Gary JohnsonJill Stein3%9650± 3.8%
Emerson College [30] September 9–13, 2016Hillary Clinton39%Donald Trump45%Gary Johnson6%Jill Stein6600± 3.9%

Hawaii

4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 72%–27%
(Democratic in 2012) 71%–28%

Winner
(Democratic in 2016) 62%–30%

No polling was conducted in 2016

Idaho

4 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 61%–36%
(Republican in 2012) 64%–32%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 59%–28%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Other%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Heat Street/Rasmussen Reports [77] October 23–24, 2016Hillary Clinton29%Donald Trump48%Gary Johnson6%Evan McMullin10%19750± 4.0%
Emerson College [78] October 21–23, 2016Hillary Clinton23%Donald Trump52%Gary Johnson4%Evan McMullin291,023± 3.0%
Dan Jones & Associates [79] September 28 – October 9, 2016Hillary Clinton30%Donald Trump40%Gary Johnson10%Jill Stein3%10608± 3.97%

Illinois

20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–37%
(Democratic in 2012) 58%–41%

Winner
(Democratic in 2016) 56%–39%

Two-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Loras College [80] October 26–27, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump37%11600± 4.0%
Loras College [81] September 13–16, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump33%14600± 4.0%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Green Party%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Emerson College [82] October 27–30, 2016Hillary Clinton53%Donald Trump41%Gary Johnson2%Jill Stein0%12500± 4.3%
Loras College [80] October 26–27, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump34%Gary Johnson6%Jill Stein2%11600± 4.0%
Victory Research [83] October 16–18, 2016Hillary Clinton51%Donald Trump36%Gary JohnsonJill Stein151,200± 2.83%
Illinois Public Opinion Strategies [84] October 13, 2016Hillary Clinton50%Donald Trump32%Gary JohnsonJill Stein1%18664± 3.5%
Southern Illinois University [85] September 27 – October 2, 2016Hillary Clinton53%Donald Trump28%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein2%25865± 3.3%
Victory Research [86] September 21–24, 2016Hillary Clinton49%Donald Trump35%Gary Johnson4%Jill Stein1%141,200± 2.83%
Emerson College [87] September 19–20, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump39%Gary Johnson6%Jill Stein3%6700± 3.6%
Loras College [81] September 13–16, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump30%Gary Johnson8%Jill Stein13600± 4.0%
We Ask America [88] September 12, 2016Hillary Clinton51%Donald Trump33%Gary Johnson4%Jill Stein1%18955± 3.17%

Indiana

11 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%
(Republican in 2012) 54%–44%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 57%–38%

Three-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Independent/

Third-party candidate

%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
WTHR/Howey Politics Indiana [89] November 1–3, 2016Hillary Clinton37%Donald Trump48%Gary Johnson9%11600± 4.0%
Gravis Marketing [90] October 30 – November 1, 2016Hillary Clinton39%Donald Trump49%Gary Johnson5%10399± 4.9%
Monmouth University [91] October 27–30, 2016Hillary ClintonDonald Trump50%Gary Johnson4%11402± 4.9%
Gravis Marketing [92] October 22–24, 2016Hillary Clinton38%Donald Trump49%Gary Johnson5%596± 2.3%
WISH-TV/Ball State University [93] October 10–16, 2016Hillary Clinton37%Donald Trump43%Gary Johnson9%6544± 4.8%
Monmouth University [94] October 11–13, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump45%Gary Johnson4402± 4.9%
WTHR/Howey Politics Indiana [95] October 3–5, 2016Hillary Clinton38%Donald Trump43%Gary Johnson11%5600± 4%
WTHR/Howey Politics Indiana [96] September 6–8, 2016Hillary Clinton36%Donald TrumpGary Johnson7600± 4%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Green%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Lucid/The Times-Picayune [97] October 7–10, 2016Hillary Clinton36%Donald Trump44%Gary Johnson10%Jill Stein3%81,313± %

Iowa

6 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–46%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 51%–42%

Two-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Simpson College/RABA Research [98] November 1–2, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump46%21,076± 3.0%
Quinnipiac University [62] October 20–26, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump47%1791± 3.5%
Loras College [99] September 20–22, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump42%Tied491± 4.4%
Quinnipiac University [48] September 13–21, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump50%6612± 4%
Simpson College/RABA Research [100] September 6–8, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump43%11,054± 3.0%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Libertarian %Green %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Des Moines Register/Selzer & Co. [101] November 1–4, 2016Hillary Clinton39%Donald Trump46%Gary Johnson6%Jill Stein1%7800± 3.5%
Emerson College [102] November 1–3, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump44%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein4%3700± 3.6%
Loras College [103] November 1–3, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump43%Gary Johnson3%Jill Stein3%1500± 4.4%
Quinnipiac University [62] October 20–26, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump44%Gary Johnson4%Jill Stein1%Tied791± 3.5%
Des Moines Register/Selzer & Co. [104] October 3–6, 2016Hillary Clinton39%Donald Trump43%Gary Johnson6%Jill Stein2%4800± 3.5%
Loras College [99] September 20–22, 2016Hillary Clinton38%Donald Trump38%Gary Johnson9%Jill Stein1%Tied491± 4.4%
Quinnipiac University [48] September 13–21, 2016Hillary Clinton37%Donald Trump44%Gary Johnson10%Jill Stein2%7612± 4%
Monmouth University [105] September 12–14, 2016Hillary ClintonDonald Trump45%Gary Johnson8%Jill Stein8404± 4.9%
Simpson College/RABA Research [100] September 6–8, 2016Hillary Clinton39%Donald Trump40%Gary Johnson10%Jill Stein3%11,054± 3.0%

Five-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Green%Independent%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Simpson College/RABA Research [98] November 1–2, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump44%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein2%Evan McMullin2%31,076± 3.0%

Kansas

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 56%–42%
(Republican in 2012) 60%–38%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 57%–36%

Two-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Fort Hays State University [106] November 1–3, 2016Hillary Clinton34%Donald Trump58%24313± 5.5%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Green%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
SurveyUSA/KSN News [107] October 26–30, 2016Hillary Clinton38%Donald Trump49%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein1%11624± 4.0%
SurveyUSA/KSN News [108] October 11–15, 2016Hillary Clinton36%Donald Trump47%Gary JohnsonJill Stein2%581± 4.1%
SurveyUSA/KSN News [109] September 6–11, 2016Hillary ClintonDonald Trump48%Gary Johnson8% Jill Stein 12595± 4.1%

Kentucky

8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 57%–41%
(Republican in 2012) 60%–38%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 63%–33%

Two-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
RunSwitch PR [110] October 26–28, 2016Hillary Clinton32%Donald Trump56%24811± 3.44%

Five-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Green%Independent%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Western Kentucky University [111] October 25–30, 2016Hillary Clinton37%Donald Trump54%Gary Johnson1%Jill Stein1%Evan McMullin1%17602± 4.0%

Louisiana

8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 59%–40%
(Republican in 2012) 58%–41%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 58%–38%

Three-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Independent/

Third-party candidate

%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Southern Media & Opinion Research [112] October 19–21, 2016Hillary Clinton35%Donald Trump50%Gary Johnson5%15500± 4.4%
Southern Media & Opinion Research [113] September 15–17, 2016Hillary Clinton33%Donald Trump49%Gary Johnson8%16500± 4.4%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Libertarian %Green %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
University of New Orleans [114] October 15–21, 2016Hillary Clinton35%Donald Trump49%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein2%14603± 4.0%
Mason-Dixon [115] October 17–19, 2016Hillary Clinton34%Donald Trump54%Gary Johnson2%Jill Stein1%20625± 4.0%
JMC Analytics [116] October 11–15, 2016Hillary Clinton38%Donald Trump45%Gary Johnson4%Jill Stein7800± 3.5%
JMC Analytics [117] September 22–24, 2016Hillary Clinton35%Donald Trump45%Gary Johnson6%Jill Stein2%10905± 3.3%

Maine

4 electoral votes (statewide vote worth 2 EVs; 1st and 2nd congressional districts worth 1 EV each)
(Democratic in 2008) 58%–40%
(Democratic in 2012) 56%–41%

Winner
(Democratic in 2016) 48%–45%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Maine People's Resource Center [118] November 2–3, 2016Hillary Clinton50%Donald Trump41%9855± 3.4%
Maine People's Resource Center [119] October 24–26, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump40%7812± 3.4%
Maine People's Resource Center [120] October 14–15, 2016Hillary Clinton49%Donald Trump39%10890± 3.3%
Maine People's Resource Center [121] October 7–9, 2016Hillary ClintonDonald Trump40%9892± 3.3%
Maine People's Resource Center [122] September 15–17, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump5835± 3.4%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Libertarian %Green %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Maine People's Resource Center [118] November 2–3, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump39%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein4%6855± 3.4%
Emerson College [82] October 28–30, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump42%Gary Johnson12%Jill Stein2%4750± 3.5%
Maine People's Resource Center [119] October 24–26, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump37%Gary Johnson9%Jill Stein4%5812± 3.4%
University of New Hampshire [123] October 20–25, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald TrumpGary Johnson5%Jill Stein3%11670± 3.8%
Maine People's Resource Center [120] October 14–15, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump36%Gary Johnson9%Jill Stein4%6890± 3.3%
Maine People's Resource Center [121] October 7–9, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald TrumpGary JohnsonJill Stein3%8892± 3.3%
University of New Hampshire [124] September 15–20, 2016Hillary Clinton40%Donald TrumpGary Johnson12%Jill Stein4513± 4.3%
Maine People's Resource Center [122] September 15–17, 2016Hillary Clinton37%Donald Trump37%Gary Johnson11%Jill Stein5%Tied835± 3.4%
Colby College/Boston Globe [125] September 4–10, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump39%Gary Johnson9%Jill Stein5%3779± 3.6%
Emerson College [60] September 2–5, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump35%Gary Johnson12%Jill Stein2%9800± 3.4%

Maryland

10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–36%
(Democratic in 2012) 62%–36%

Winner
(Democratic in 2016) 60%–34%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Libertarian %Green %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Washington Post/University of Maryland [126] September 27–30, 2016Hillary Clinton63%Donald Trump27%Gary Johnson4%Jill Stein2%36706± 4.0%
Goucher Poll [127] September 17–20, 2016Hillary Clinton58%Donald Trump25%Gary Johnson6%Jill Stein33514± 4.3%

Massachusetts

11 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–36%
(Democratic in 2012) 61%–38%

Winner
(Democratic in 2016) 60%–33%

Two-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Western New England University [128] September 24 – October 3, 2016Hillary Clinton65%Donald Trump30%35403± 5.0%
WBUR/MassINC [129] September 7–10, 2016Hillary Clinton60%Donald Trump31%29506± 4.4%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Green%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Western New England University [130] October 23 – November 2, 2016Hillary Clinton56%Donald Trump26%Gary Johnson8%Jill Stein3%30417± 5.0%
Suffolk University [131] October 24–26, 2016Hillary Clinton57%Donald Trump25%Gary Johnson4%Jill Stein32500±4.4%
WBUR/MassINC [132] October 13–16, 2016Hillary Clinton54%Donald Trump28%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein26502±4.4%
Western New England University [128] September 24 – October 3, 2016Hillary Clinton58%Donald Trump26%Gary JohnsonJill Stein4%32403± 5.0%
UMass Amherst/WBZ Poll [133] September 15–20, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump34%Gary Johnson9%Jill Stein3%13700± 4.3%
WBUR/MassINC [129] September 7–10, 2016Hillary Clinton54%Donald Trump28%Gary JohnsonJill Stein4%26500± 4.3%
Emerson College [60] September 3–5, 2016Hillary Clinton50%Donald Trump33%Gary JohnsonJill Stein2%17500± 4.3%

Michigan

16 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–41%
(Democratic in 2012) 54%–45%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 48%–47%

Two-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling [43] November 3–4, 2016Hillary Clinton50%Donald Trump44%6957± 3.2%
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll [134] November 3, 2016Hillary ClintonDonald Trump45%51,007± 3.1%
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll [135] November 2, 2016Hillary Clinton51%Donald Trump46%1,150± 2.89%
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll [136] November 1, 2016Hillary Clinton49%Donald Trump44%887± 3.29%
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll [137] October 31, 2016Hillary Clinton51%Donald Trump45%6737± 3.61%
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll [138] October 30, 2016Hillary ClintonDonald Trump42%9953± 3.17%
Michigan State University [139] September 1 – October 30, 2016Hillary Clinton52%Donald Trump32%20746± 3.6%
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll [140] October 25, 2016Hillary Clinton50%Donald Trump44%61,030± 2.78%
EPIC-MRA [141] October 22–25, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump37%8600± 4.0%
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll [142] October 23, 2016Hillary Clinton51%Donald Trump43%1,241± 2.78%
MRG [143] October 16–19, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump38%600± 4.0%
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll [144] October 18, 2016Hillary Clinton53%Donald Trump41%121,102± 2.59%
Ipsos/Reuters [145] October 6–17, 2016Hillary Clinton40%Donald Trump36%41,370± 3.0%
Detroit News [146] October 10–11, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump33%14600± 4.0%
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll [147] September 27, 2016Hillary Clinton49%Donald Trump44%51,956± 2.2%
EPIC-MRA [148] September 10–13, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump38%4600± 4.0%
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll [149] September 6–7, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump42%5940± 3.2%

Three-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Libertarian %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Target Insyght [150] September 18–24, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump41%Gary Johnson8%5600± 4%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Libertarian %Green %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Trafalgar Group [151] November 6, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump49%Gary Johnson3%Jill Stein1%21,200± 2.77%
Public Policy Polling [43] November 3–4, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump41%Gary Johnson6%Jill Stein2%5957± 3.2%
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll [134] November 3, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald TrumpGary Johnson7%Jill Stein3%1,007± 3.1%
EPIC-MRA [152] November 1–3, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump38%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein2%4600± 4.0%
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll [135] November 2, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump44%Gary Johnson4%Jill Stein3%31,150± 2.89%
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll [136] November 1, 2016Hillary ClintonDonald TrumpGary JohnsonJill Stein887± 3.29%
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll [137] October 31, 2016Hillary Clinton50%Donald Trump43%Gary JohnsonJill Stein1%7737± 3.61%
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll [138] October 30, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump41%Gary Johnson6%Jill Stein2%6953± 3.17%
Michigan State University [139] September 1 – October 30, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump28%Gary Johnson11%Jill Stein4%19746± 3.6%
Emerson College [153] October 25–26, 2016Hillary Clinton50%Donald Trump43%Gary Johnson3%Jill Stein3%7500± 4.3%
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll [140] October 25, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump42%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein1%61,030± 2.78%
EPIC-MRA [141] October 22–25, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump34%Gary Johnson9%Jill Stein3%7600± 4.0%
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll [142] October 23, 2016Hillary Clinton49%Donald Trump41%Gary Johnson3%Jill Stein1%81,241± 2.78%
MRG [143] October 16–19, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump36%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein3%5600± 4.0%
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll [144] October 18, 2016Hillary Clinton51%Donald Trump38%Gary Johnson6%Jill Stein2%131,102± 2.95%
Ipsos/Reuters [145] October 6–17, 2016Hillary Clinton40%Donald Trump36%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein2%41,370± 3.0%
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll [154] October 11, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump37%Gary JohnsonJill Stein4%101,429± 2.59%
Detroit News [146] October 10–11, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump31%Gary Johnson10%Jill Stein5%11600± 4.0%
EPIC-MRA [155] October 1–3, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump32%Gary JohnsonJill Stein3%600± 4.0%
The Detroit News/WDIV-TV [156] September 27–28, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump35%Gary Johnson9%Jill Stein3%7600± 4.0%
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll [147] September 27, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump41%Gary Johnson8%Jill Stein1%51,956± 2.2%
EPIC-MRA [148] September 10–13, 2016Hillary Clinton38%Donald Trump35%Gary Johnson10%Jill Stein4%3600± 4.0%
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll [149] September 6–7, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump39%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein1%6940± 3.2%

Minnesota

10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2012) 53%–45%

Winner
(Democratic in 2016) 46%–45%

Two-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
SurveyUSA/KSTP-TV [157] October 22–26, 2016Hillary Clinton53%Donald Trump42%11656± 3.9%
SurveyUSA/KSTP-TV [158] September 16–20, 2016Hillary Clinton49%Donald Trump43%6625± 4%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Green%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
SurveyUSA/KSTP-TV [157] October 22–26, 2016Hillary Clinton49%Donald Trump39%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein2%10656± 3.9%
SurveyUSA/KSTP-TV [158] September 16–20, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald TrumpGary Johnson6%Jill Stein7625± 4%
Star Tribune [159] September 12–14, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump38%Gary JohnsonJill Stein6625± 4%

Five-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Green%Independent%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Star Tribune/Mason-Dixon [160] October 20–22, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump39%Gary Johnson6%Jill Stein1%Evan McMullin1%8625± 4.0%

Mississippi

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 56%–43%
(Republican in 2012) 55%–44%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 58%–40%

No polling conducted post September 1, 2016

Missouri

10 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 49.4%–49.2%
(Republican in 2012) 53%–44%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 57%–38%

Two-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling [161] October 31 – November 1, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump52%111,083± 3.0%
MO Scout/BK Strategies [162] October 27–28, 2016Hillary Clinton39%Donald Trump53%141,698± 2.38%

Three-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Libertarian %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies [163] September 26–27, 2016Hillary Clinton39%Donald Trump49%Gary Johnson5%101,279± 3%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Libertarian %Green %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Emerson College [164] November 4–5, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump47%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein2%6750± 3.5%
Public Policy Polling [165] November 1–2, 2016Hillary Clinton37%Donald Trump50%Gary Johnson4%Jill Stein13871± 3.3%
Remington Research Group [166] October 31 – November 1, 2016Hillary Clinton39%Donald Trump51%Gary JohnsonJill Stein1%121,722± 2.36%
DHM Research [167] October 27 – November 1, 2016Hillary Clinton38%Donald Trump47%Gary Johnson3%Jill Stein9508± 4.4%
Emerson College [15] October 28–31, 2016Hillary Clinton37%Donald Trump52%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein2%15650± 3.8%
Monmouth University [168] October 28–31, 2016Hillary Clinton38%Donald TrumpGary Johnson4%Jill Stein14405± 4.9%
Mason-Dixon [169] October 24–26, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump47%Gary Johnson3%Jill Stein1%5625± 4%
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies [170] October 23–25, 2016Hillary Clinton39%Donald Trump50%Gary Johnson4%Jill Stein112,559± 1.94%
Emerson College [171] October 17–19, 2016Hillary ClintonDonald Trump47%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein2%8600± 3.9%
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies [172] October 9–11, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald TrumpGary Johnson4%Jill Stein1%52,171± 2.1%
Monmouth University [173] October 9–11, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump46% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 2%406± 4.9%
CBS News/YouGov [174] September 21–23, 2016Hillary Clinton37%Donald Trump Gary Johnson Jill Stein 91,087± 3.9%
Emerson College [30] September 9–13, 2016Hillary Clinton34%Donald Trump47% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 6%13600± 3.9%
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies [175] September 1–2, 2016Hillary Clinton38%Donald TrumpGary Johnson8%Jill Stein3%91,275± 3%

Montana

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 49%–47%
(Republican in 2012) 55%–42%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 56%–36%

Three-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Libertarian %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Mason-Dixon [176] October 10–12, 2016Hillary Clinton36%Donald Trump46%Gary Johnson11%101,003± 3.2%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Libertarian %Green %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Montana State University Billings [177] October 3–10, 2016Hillary Clinton27%Donald Trump43% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 2%16590± 4.0%

Nebraska

5 electoral votes (statewide vote worth 2 EVs; 1st, 2nd, and 3rd congressional districts worth 1 EV each)
(Republican in 2008) 57%–42%
(Republican in 2012) 60%–38%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 59%–34%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Libertarian %Green %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Emerson College [178] September 25–27, 2016Hillary Clinton29%Donald Trump56% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 1%27700± 3.6%

Nevada

6 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 55%–43%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–46%

Winner
(Democratic in 2016) 48%–46%

Two-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling [161] October 31 – November 1, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump45%3688± 3.7%
CNN/ORC [179] October 27 – November 1, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump51%6790± 3.5%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College [180] October 20–24, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump45%Tied707±3.7%
CNN/ORC [181] October 10–15, 2016Hillary Clinton50%Donald Trump46%4698± 3.5%
Clarity Campaign Labs [182] October 10–11, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump43%Tied1,010± 3.1%
Public Policy Polling [183] October 10–11, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump43%4986± 3.1%
Fox News [184] September 18–20, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump46%4704± 3.5%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner [185] September 10–19, 2016Hillary Clinton49%Donald Trump46%3400± 4.9%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist [9] September 6–8, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump44%1627± 3.9%
Public Policy Polling [186] September 6–7, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump42%3815± 3.4%

Three-way

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies [187] November 1–2, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump46%Gary Johnson3%11,793± 2.31%
JMC Analytics/8 News NOW [188] October 28 – November 1, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump45%Gary Johnson4%Tied600± 4.0%
CNN/ORC [179] October 27 – November 1, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump49%Gary Johnson5%6790± 3.5%
Remington Research/Axiom Strategies [189] October 23–30, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump48%Gary Johnson4%4787± 3.49%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College [180] October 20–24, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump43%Gary Johnson10%Tied707±3.7%
Las Vegas Review-Journal/Bendixen & Amandi International [190] October 20–23, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump41%Gary Johnson6%7800± 3.5%
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies [191] October 20–22, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump47%Gary Johnson4%31,332± 2.68%
KTNV/Rasmussen Reports [192] October 20–22, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump42%Gary Johnson6%4826± 3.5%
Monmouth University [193] October 14–17, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump40%Gary Johnson7%7413± 4.8%
CNN/ORC [181] October 10–15, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump44%Gary Johnson2698± 3.5%
CBS News/YouGov [194] October 12–14, 2016Hillary ClintonDonald Trump40%Gary Johnson4%6996± 4.5%
JMC Analytics/8 News NOW [195] October 10–13, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump41%Gary Johnson4%2600± 4.0%
Public Opinion Strategies [196] October 11–12, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump39%Gary Johnson10%6600± 4%
UNLV/Hart Research [197] September 27 – October 2, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump41%Gary Johnson8%3700± 3.8%
Las Vegas Review-Journal/Bendixen & Amandi International [198] September 27–29, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump44%Gary Johnson5%1800± 3.5%
Fox News [184] September 18–20, 2016Hillary Clinton40%Donald Trump43%Gary Johnson8%3704± 3.5%
KTNV/Rasmussen Reports [199] September 16–18, 2016Hillary Clinton39%Donald Trump42%Gary Johnson11%800± 4%
Insights West [26] September 12–14, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump47%Gary Johnson6%398± 4.9%
Monmouth University [200] September 11–13, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump44%Gary Johnson8%2406± 4.9%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Green%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Insights West [12] November 4–6, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump46%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein1%Tied387± 4.9%
Gravis Marketing [201] November 3–6, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump43%Gary Johnson4%Jill Stein3%21,158± 2.9%
Emerson College [164] November 4–5, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump46%Gary JohnsonJill Stein1%1600± 3.9%
Trafalgar Group [202] November 1–4, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump50%Gary Johnson3%Jill Stein51,100± 3.02%
Emerson College [203] October 26–27, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump42%Gary JohnsonJill Stein0%2550± 4.1%
Emerson College [24] October 2–4, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump43%Gary Johnson9%Jill Stein4%Tied700± 3.6%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner [185] September 10–19, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump42%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein3%Tied400± 4.9%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist [9] September 6–8, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump42%Gary Johnson8%Jill Stein1627± 3.9%

Five-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%IAPN%Unaffiliated%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Suffolk University [204] September 27–29, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump38%Gary Johnson7%Darrell Castle1%Rocky De La Fuente1%6500± 4.4%

New Hampshire

4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–46%

Winner
(Democratic in 2016) 48%–47%

Two-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
UMass Lowell/7News [205] October 28 – November 2, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump45%1695± 4.28%
Public Policy Polling [161] October 31 – November 1, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump43%5781± 3.5%
MassInc/WBUR [206] October 29 – November 1, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump44%2500± 4.4%
NH JournalOctober 26–28, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump47%1408± 5.1%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College [180] October 20–24, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump39%8768±3.5%
MassInc/WBUR [207] October 10–12, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump41%5501± 4.4%
Public Policy Polling [208] October 7–9, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump37%11600± 4%
MassInc/WBUR [209] September 27–29, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump38%9502± 4.4%
GBA Strategies [210] September 25–27, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump40%6600± 4.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist [9] September 6–8, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump41%1737± 3.6%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Green%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
University of New Hampshire [211] November 3–6, 2016Hillary Clinton49%Donald Trump38%Gary Johnson6%Jill Stein1%11701± 3.7%
Emerson College [164] November 4–5, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump44%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein3%11,000± 3.0%
American Research Group [212] October 31 – November 2, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump48%Gary Johnson4%Jill Stein1%5600± 4.0%
Suffolk University/Boston Globe [213] October 31 – November 2, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump42%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein2%Tied500± 4.4%
UMass Lowell/7News [205] October 28 – November 2, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump44%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein695± 4.28%
MassInc/WBUR [206] October 29 – November 1, 2016Hillary Clinton39%Donald Trump40%Gary Johnson10%Jill Stein3%1500± 4.4%
University of New Hampshire/WMUR [214] October 26–30, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump39%Gary Johnson6%Jill Stein1%7641± 3.9%
Emerson College [153] October 23–25, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump43%Gary Johnson6%Jill Stein2%3600± 3.9%
Monmouth University [215] October 22–25, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump42%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein1%4401± 4.9%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College [180] October 20–24, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump36%Gary Johnson10%Jill Stein4%9768± 3.5%
UMass Amherst/WBZ Poll [216] October 17–21, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump38%Gary Johnson8%Jill Stein3%5772± 4.5%
Emerson College [171] October 17–19, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump36%Gary Johnson10%Jill Stein6%8900± 3.2%
University of New Hampshire [217] October 11–17, 2016Hillary Clinton49%Donald Trump34%Gary Johnson8%Jill Stein2%15770± 3.5%
MassInc/WBUR [207] October 10–12, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump38%Gary Johnson11%Jill Stein3%3501± 4.4%
UMass Lowell/7News [218] October 7–11, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump39%Gary Johnson9%Jill Stein2%6517± 4.9%
Suffolk University/Boston Globe [219] October 3–5, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump42%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein1%2500± 4.4%
MassInc/WBUR [209] September 27–29, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump35%Gary Johnson13%Jill Stein4%7502± 4.4%
GBA Strategies [210] September 25–27, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump37%Gary Johnson11%Jill Stein600± 4.0%
American Research Group [220] September 20–25, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump42%Gary Johnson6%Jill Stein1%4522± 4.2%
Monmouth University [221] September 17–20, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump38%Gary Johnson10%Jill Stein9400± 4.9%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist [9] September 6–8, 2016Hillary Clinton39%Donald Trump37%Gary Johnson15%Jill Stein3%2737± 3.6%
Emerson College [60] September 3–5, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald TrumpGary Johnson14%Jill Stein4%5600± 3.9%

Five-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Green%Independent%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
InsideSources/NH Journal [222] October 26–28, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump45%Gary Johnson4%Jill Stein2%Evan McMullin1%2408± 5.1%

New Jersey

14 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%
(Democratic in 2012) 58%–41%

Winner
(Democratic in 2016) 55%–41%

Two-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Fairleigh Dickinson University [223] October 12–16, 2016Hillary Clinton51%Donald Trump40%11579± 4.3%
Stockton College [224] September 22–29, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump40%6638± 3.9%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Green%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Stockton University [225] October 27 – November 2, 2016Hillary Clinton51%Donald Trump40%Gary Johnson3%Jill Stein1%11678± 3.75%
Fairleigh Dickinson University [223] October 12–16, 2016Hillary Clinton49%Donald Trump35%Gary Johnson6%Jill Stein4%14293± 5.7%
Rutgers-Eagleton [226] September 6–10, 2016Hillary Clinton50%Donald Trump29%Gary JohnsonJill Stein21735± 3.8%
Emerson College [60] September 2–5, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump43%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein2%4800± 3.4%

New Mexico

5 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%
(Democratic in 2012) 53%–43%

Winner
(Democratic in 2016) 48%–40%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Libertarian %Green %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Zia Poll [227] November 6, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump44%Gary Johnson6%Jill Stein1%28,439± 1.8%
Research & Polling Inc [228] November 1–3, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump40%Gary Johnson11%Jill Stein3%5504± 4.4%
Zia Poll [229] November 1–2, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump43%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein1%31,102± 3.0%
Zia Poll [230] October 24, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump40%Gary Johnson9%Jill Stein2%51,899± 2.25%
Zia Poll [231] October 11, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump36%Gary Johnson12%Jill Stein101,536± 2.5%
SurveyUSA [232] September 28 – October 2, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump33%Gary Johnson14%Jill Stein13594± 4.1%
Research & Polling Inc [233] September 27–29, 2016Hillary Clinton35%Donald Trump31%Gary Johnson24%Jill Stein4501± 4.4%

New York

29 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 63%–36%
(Democratic in 2012) 63%–35%

Winner
(Democratic in 2016) 59%–37%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
NBC 4 New York/Wall Street Journal/Marist [234] September 21–23, 2016Hillary Clinton57%Donald Trump33%24676± 3.8%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian
Independence 		%Green%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Siena College [235] November 3–4, 2016Hillary Clinton51%Donald Trump34%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein2%17617± 4.5%
Siena College [236] October 13–17, 2016Hillary Clinton54%Donald Trump30%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein4%24611± 4.6%
NBC 4 New York/Wall Street Journal/Marist [234] September 21–23, 2016Hillary Clinton52%Donald Trump31%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein5%21676± 3.8%
Siena College [237] September 11–15, 2016Hillary Clinton51%Donald Trump30%Gary Johnson8%Jill Stein3%600± 5.0%

North Carolina

15 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%
(Republican in 2012) 50%–48%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 50%–46%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Quinnipiac University [238] November 3–6, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump45%3870± 3.3%
Public Policy Polling [161] October 31 – November 1, 2016Hillary Clinton49%Donald Trump47%21,169± 2.9%
Quinnipiac University [239] October 27 – November 1, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump46%602± 4.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist [240] October 25–26, 2016Hillary Clinton50%Donald Trump44%6780± 3.5%
Quinnipiac University [62] October 20–26, 2016Hillary ClintonDonald Trump702± 3.7%
New York Times Upshot/Siena College [241] October 20–23, 2016Hillary Clinton49%Donald Trump41%8792± 3.5%
Public Policy Polling [242] October 21–22, 2016Hillary Clinton49%Donald Trump46%3875± 3.3%
Ipsos/Reuters [243] October 6–19, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump43%21,233± 3.2%
Time Warner Cable News/SurveyUSA [244] October 14–16, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump46%651± 3.9%
CNN/ORC [245] October 10–15, 2016Hillary Clinton50%Donald Trump48%788± 3.5%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist [246] October 10–12, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump43%5743± 3.6%
Bloomberg/Selzer [247] September 29 – October 2, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump45%1805± 3.5%
Quinnipiac University [248] September 27 – October 2, 2016Hillary Clinton49%Donald Trump46%3507± 4.4%
Public Policy Polling [46] September 27–28, 2016Hillary ClintonDonald Trump45%4861± 3.3%
Fox News [249] September 18–20, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump47%5734± 3.9%
Public Policy Polling [250] September 18–20, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump47%Tied1,024± 3.1%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner [185] September 10–19, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump45%3400± 4.9%

Three-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Independent/

Third-party candidate

%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
New York Times Upshot/Siena College [251] November 4–6, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump44%Gary Johnson3%Tied800± 3.5%
Quinnipiac University [238] November 3–6, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump45%Gary Johnson2870± 3.3%
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies [252] November 1–2, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump48%Gary Johnson32,596± 1.92%
Quinnipiac University [239] October 27 – November 1, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump44%Gary Johnson3602± 4.0%
WRAL-TV News/SurveyUSA [253] October 28–31, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump51%Gary Johnson7659±3.9%
Remington Research/Axiom Strategies [254] October 23–30, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump47%Gary Johnson2%21,176± 2.85%
Emerson College [203] October 26–27, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump45%Gary Johnson4%3650± 3.8%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist [240] October 25–26, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump41%Gary Johnson8%6780± 3.5%
Quinnipiac University [62] October 20–26, 2016Hillary ClintonDonald Trump43%Gary Johnson5%4702± 3.7%
New York Times Upshot/Siena College [241] October 20–23, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump39%Gary Johnson8%7792± 3.5%
Monmouth University [255] October 20–23, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump46%Gary Johnson4%1402± 4.9%
Public Policy Polling [242] October 21–22, 2016Hillary ClintonDonald Trump44%Gary Johnson3875± 3.3%
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies [256] October 20–22, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump47%Gary Johnson3%31,746± 2.33%
Civitas [257] October 14–17, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump42%Gary Johnson5%2600± 4.0%
Time Warner Cable News/SurveyUSA [244] October 14–16, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump44%Gary Johnson6%651± 3.9%
CNN/ORC [245] October 10–15, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump47%Gary Johnson4%1788± 3.5%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist [246] October 10–12, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump41%Gary Johnson9%4743± 3.6%
Suffolk University [258] October 10–12, 2016Hillary ClintonDonald Trump43%Gary Johnson5%2500± 4.4%
High Point University [259] October 1–6, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump42%Gary Johnson8%1479± 4.5%
WRAL-TV/SurveyUSA [260] September 29 – October 3, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump44%Gary Johnson5%2656± 3.9%
Quinnipiac University [248] September 27 – October 2, 2016Hillary ClintonDonald Trump43%Gary Johnson7%3507± 4.4%
Public Policy Polling [46] September 27–28, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump42%Gary Johnson2861± 3.3%
Meredith College [261] September 18–22, 2016Hillary Clinton38%Donald Trump35%Gary Johnson6%3487± 4.43%
High Point University [262] September 17–22, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump42%Gary Johnson10%1404± 4.9%
Fox News [249] September 18–20, 2016Hillary Clinton40%Donald Trump45%Gary Johnson6%5734± 3.5%
Public Policy Polling [250] September 18–20, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump45%Gary Johnson6%21,024± 3.1%
New York Times Upshot/Siena College [263] September 16–19, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump41%Gary Johnson11%Tied782± 3.6%
Civitas [264] September 11–12, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump42%Gary Johnson5%600± 4%
Suffolk University [265] September 5–7, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump44%Gary Johnson4%3500± 4.4%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Libertarian %Green %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Trafalgar Group [266] October 27 – November 1, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump49%Gary Johnson4%Jill Stein0%51,154± 2.88%
CBS News/YouGov [267] October 26–28, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump45%Gary Johnson3%Jill Stein3992± 4.1%
Elon University [268] October 23–27, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump41%Gary Johnson3%Jill Stein1%1710± 3.7%
Ipsos/Reuters [243] October 6–19, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump43%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein21,233± 3.2%
Emerson College [269] October 10–12, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump42%Gary JohnsonJill Stein3%4600± 3.9%
Bloomberg/Selzer [247] September 29 – October 2, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump43%Gary Johnson6%Jill Stein2%1805± 3.5%
Elon University [270] September 27–30, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump39%Gary Johnson9%Jill Stein0%6660± 3.81%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner [185] September 10–19, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump40%Gary JohnsonJill Stein3%4400± 4.9%
Elon University [271] September 12–16, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump44%Gary Johnson6%Jill Stein0%1644± 3.86%

North Dakota

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%
(Republican in 2012) 58%–39%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 63%–27%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Green Party%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
DFM Research [272] September 12–17, 2016Hillary Clinton32%Donald Trump43%Gary Johnson8%Jill Stein1%114004.9%

Ohio

18 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 51%–47%
(Democratic in 2012) 51%–48%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 52%–44%

Two-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Columbus Dispatch [273] October 27 – November 5, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump47%11,151±2.9%
Quinnipiac University [239] October 27 – November 1, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump47%3589± 4.0%
Quinnipiac University [45] October 10–16, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump48%1624± 3.9%
CNN/ORC [274] October 10–15, 2016Hillary ClintonDonald Trump50%3774± 3.5%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist [246] October 10–12, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump45%Tied724± 3.6%
Ipsos/Reuters [275] October 6–12, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump41%31,200±3.2%
Baldwin Wallace University [276] October 9–11, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump38%101,152± 3%
Public Policy Polling [277] October 5–6, 2016Hillary ClintonDonald Trump47%1872± 3.5%
TargetSmart/William and Mary [278] October 3–6, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump43%3812± %
Anzalone Liszt Grove [279] September 27 – October 2, 2016Hillary ClintonDonald Trump44%2800± 3.46%
Quinnipiac University [248] September 27 – October 2, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump49%3497± 4.4%
Target Smart/William & Mary [280] September 15–22, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump40%3652± %
Fox News [281] September 18–20, 2016Hillary Clinton40%Donald Trump45%5737± 3.5%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner [185] September 10–19, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump46%Tied400± 4.9%
Bloomberg/Selzer [282] September 9–12, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump48%5802± 3.5%
CNN/ORC [283] September 7–12, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump50%4769± 3.5%

Three-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Libertarian %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies [284] November 1–2, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump45%Gary Johnson4%12,557± 1.94%
Remington Research/Axiom Strategies [285] October 23–30, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump48%Gary Johnson3%51,187± 2.84%
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies [286] October 20–22, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump46%Gary Johnson4%41,971± 2.2%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Libertarian %Green %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Emerson College [164] November 4–5, 2016Hillary Clinton39%Donald Trump46%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein3%7900± 3.2%
CBS News/YouGov [287] November 2–4, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump46%Gary Johnson3%Jill Stein2%11,189± 4.1%
TargetSmart/William and Mary [288] October 31 – November 3, 2016Hillary Clinton40%Donald Trump43%Gary Johnson8%Jill Stein3%3844± %
Quinnipiac University [239] October 27 – November 1, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump46%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein2%5589± 4.0%
Emerson College [203] October 26–27, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump45%Gary Johnson6%Jill Stein1%Tied800± 3.4%
Trafalgar Group [289] October 24–26, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump49%Gary Johnson2%Jill Stein51150± 2.89%
Quinnipiac University [45] October 10–16, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump45%Gary Johnson6%Jill SteinTied624± 3.9%
CNN/ORC [274] October 10–15, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump48%Gary Johnson4%Jill Stein2%4774± 3.5%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist [246] October 10–12, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump42%Gary Johnson9%Jill Stein4%1724± 3.6%
Emerson College [269] October 10–12, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump43%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein2%2600± 3.9%
Ipsos/Reuters [275] October 6–12, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump39%Gary Johnson8%Jill Stein41,200± 3.2%
Baldwin Wallace University [276] October 9–11, 2016Hillary ClintonDonald Trump34%Gary Johnson10%Jill Stein3%91,152± 3%
CBS News/YouGov [290] October 5–7, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump42%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein2%4997± 3.9%
Public Policy Polling [277] October 5–6, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump43%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein1872± 3.5%
TargetSmart/William and Mary [278] October 3–6, 2016Hillary ClintonDonald Trump42%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein1%2812± %
Monmouth University [291] October 1–4, 2016Hillary ClintonDonald TrumpGary Johnson5%Jill Stein405± 4.9%
Anzalone Liszt Grove [279] September 27 – October 2, 2016Hillary ClintonDonald TrumpGary Johnson8%Jill Stein800± 3.46%
Quinnipiac University [248] September 27 – October 2, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump47%Gary Johnson6%Jill Stein5497± 4.4%
Target Smart/William & Mary [280] September 15–22, 2016Hillary Clinton40%Donald Trump37%Gary Johnson8%Jill Stein2%3652± %
Fox News [281] September 18–20, 2016Hillary Clinton37%Donald Trump42%Gary Johnson6%Jill Stein5737± 3.5%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner [185] September 10–19, 2016Hillary Clinton39%Donald Trump41%Gary Johnson11%Jill Stein4%2400± 4.9%
Bloomberg/Selzer [282] September 9–12, 2016Hillary Clinton39%Donald Trump44%Gary Johnson10%Jill Stein3%5802± 3.5%
CNN/ORC [283] September 7–12, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump46%Gary Johnson8%Jill Stein2%769± 3.5%
CBS News/YouGov [292] September 7–9, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump39%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein2%7994± 3.9%

Five-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Libertarian %Green %Independent %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Suffolk University [293] October 17–19, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump45%Gary Johnson2%Jill Stein1%Richard Duncan1%Tied500± 4.4%
Suffolk University [294] September 12–14, 2016Hillary Clinton39%Donald Trump42%Gary Johnson4%Jill SteinRichard Duncan3500± 4.4%

Oklahoma

7 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 66%–34%
(Republican in 2012) 67%–33%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 65%–29%

Three-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
SoonerPoll [295] October 18–20, 2016Hillary Clinton30%Donald Trump60% Gary Johnson 5%30530± 4.26%
SoonerPoll [296] September 13–15, 2016Hillary Clinton36%Donald Trump51% Gary Johnson 6%15515± 4.32%

Oregon

7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–40%
(Democratic in 2012) 54%–42%

Winner
(Democratic in 2016) 50%–39%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Libertarian %Green %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Fox 12/Davis, Hibbitts & Midghall, Inc. [297] October 24–29, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump34%Gary Johnson4%Jill Stein2%7504± 4.4%
Riley Research/KGW [298] October 4–14, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump36%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein5%10608± 3.97%
DHM Research [299] October 6–13, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald TrumpGary Johnson7%Jill Stein7600± 4.0%
KATU-TV/SurveyUSA [300] October 10–12, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump38%Gary Johnson6%Jill Stein4%10654± 3.9%
Hoffman Research [301] September 29 – October 1, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump33%Gary Johnson8%Jill Stein3%12605± 4%
iCitizen [302] September 2–7, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump28%Gary Johnson11%Jill Stein15610± 4.0%
DHM Research [303] September 1–6, 2016Hillary Clinton38%Donald Trump25%Gary Johnson10%Jill Stein13517± 4.3%

Pennsylvania

20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–47%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 48%–47%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Morning Call/Muhlenberg College [304] October 30 – November 4, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump42%6420± 5.5%
Public Policy Polling [161] October 31 – November 1, 2016Hillary ClintonDonald Trump44%41,050± 3.0%
CNN/ORC [305] October 27 – November 1, 2016Hillary Clinton51%Donald Trump46%5799± 3.5%
Quinnipiac University [239] October 27 – November 1, 2016Hillary Clinton50%Donald Trump44%6612± 4.0%
Gravis Marketing/One America News Network [306] October 31, 2016Hillary Clinton51%Donald Trump49%22,606± 1.9%
Morning Call/Muhlenberg College [307] October 20–26, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump41%5420± 5.5%
Ipsos/Reuters [308] October 6–17, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump39%61,467±2.9%
Quinnipiac University [45] October 10–16, 2016Hillary Clinton51%Donald Trump45%660± 3.8%
Bloomberg/Selzer [309] October 7–11, 2016Hillary ClintonDonald Trump42%9806± 3.5%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist [310] October 3–6, 2016Hillary ClintonDonald Trump39%12709± 3.7%
Quinnipiac University [248] September 27 – October 2, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump43%5535± 4.2%
Public Policy Polling [46] September 27–28, 2016Hillary Clinton49%Donald Trump44%886± 3.3%
CNN/ORC [311] September 20–25, 2016Hillary Clinton50%Donald Trump47%3771± 3.5%
Morning Call/Muhlenberg College [312] September 19–23, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump41%486± 5.0%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner [185] September 10–19, 2016Hillary Clinton51%Donald Trump42%9400± 4.9%
Morning Call/Muhlenberg College [313] September 12–16, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump38%405± 5.5%

Three-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Libertarian %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies [314] November 1–2, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump45%Gary Johnson4%12,683± 1.89%
Remington Research/Axiom Strategies [315] October 30, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump43%Gary Johnson3%21,249± 2.77%
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies [316] October 20–22, 2016Hillary ClintonDonald Trump42%Gary Johnson5%31,997± 2.19%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Libertarian %Green %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Gravis Marketing [317] November 3–6, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump40%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein2%61,220± 2.8%
Trafalgar Group [318] November 3–5, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump48%Gary Johnson2%Jill Stein1%11,300± 2.68%
Morning Call/Muhlenberg College [304] October 30 – November 4, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump40%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein2%4405± 5.5%
Harper Polling [319] November 2–3, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump46%Gary Johnson2%Jill Stein1%Tied504± 4.4%
Susquehanna Polling & Research, Inc [320] October 31 – November 1, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump43%Gary JohnsonJill Stein2%2681± 3.76%
Monmouth University [321] October 29 – November 1, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump44%Gary Johnson3%Jill Stein1%4403± 4.9%
CNN/ORC [305] October 27 – November 1, 2016Hillary ClintonDonald TrumpGary Johnson5%Jill Stein3%799± 3.5%
Quinnipiac University [239] October 27 – November 1, 2016Hillary ClintonDonald Trump43%Gary Johnson3%Jill Stein5612± 4.0%
Gravis Marketing/One America News Network [306] October 31, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump46%Gary JohnsonJill Stein2%12,606± 1.9%
Franklin & Marshall College [322] October 26–30, 2016Hillary Clinton49%Donald Trump38%Gary Johnson4%Jill Stein11652± 5.1%
CBS News/YouGov [323] October 26–28, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump40%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein81,091± 3.7%
Emerson College [153] October 25–26, 2016Hillary ClintonDonald Trump43%Gary Johnson6%Jill Stein0%5550± 4.1%
Morning Call/Muhlenberg College [307] October 20–26, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump39%Gary Johnson8%Jill Stein2%6420± 5.5%
New York Times Upshot/Siena College [324] October 23–25, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald TrumpGary Johnson6%Jill Stein3%7824± 3.4%
Emerson College [171] October 17–19, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump41%Gary Johnson4%Jill Stein4%4800± 3.4%
Ipsos/Reuters [308] October 6–17, 2016Hillary ClintonDonald Trump38%Gary Johnson6%Jill Stein2%71,467± 2.9%
Quinnipiac University [45] October 10–16, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump41%Gary JohnsonJill Stein1%6660± 3.8%
Bloomberg/Selzer [309] October 7–11, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump39%Gary JohnsonJill Stein4%9806± 3.5%
Lucid/The Times-Picayune [325] October 7–10, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald TrumpGary JohnsonJill Stein2%71,747± %
Susquehanna Polling & Research, Inc [326] October 4–9, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump40%Gary Johnson4%Jill Stein4764± 3.5%
CBS News/YouGov [290] October 5–7, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald TrumpGary Johnson4%Jill Stein8997± 4.2%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist [310] October 3–6, 2016Hillary Clinton49%Donald Trump37%Gary Johnson6%Jill Stein4%12709± 3.7%
Monmouth University [327] September 30 – October 3, 2016Hillary Clinton50%Donald Trump40%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein2%10402± 4.9%
Franklin & Marshall College [328] September 28 – October 2, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump38%Gary JohnsonJill Stein0%9496± 6.1%
Quinnipiac University [248] September 27 – October 2, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump41%Gary JohnsonJill Stein2%4535± 4.2%
Public Policy Polling [46] September 27–28, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump39%Gary Johnson6%Jill Stein6886± 3.3%
CNN/ORC [311] September 20–25, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump44%Gary JohnsonJill Stein3%1771± 3.5%
Morning Call/Muhlenberg College [312] September 19–23, 2016Hillary Clinton40%Donald Trump38%Gary Johnson8%Jill Stein2486± 5.0%
Mercyhurst University [329] September 12–23, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump41%Gary Johnson4%Jill Stein1420± 4.8%
Harper Polling [330] September 21–22, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump43%Gary Johnson8%Jill Stein1%2500± 4.4%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner [185] September 10–19, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump38%Gary Johnson8%Jill Stein3%8400± 4.9%
Morning Call/Muhlenberg College [313] September 12–16, 2016Hillary Clinton40%Donald Trump32%Gary Johnson14%Jill Stein5%405± 5.5%

Rhode Island

4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 63%–35%
(Democratic in 2012) 63%–35%

Winner
(Democratic in 2016) 54%–39%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Green%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Emerson College [24] October 2–4, 2016Hillary Clinton52%Donald Trump32%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein5%20600± 3.9%
Emerson College [60] September 2–5, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump41%Gary Johnson8%Jill Stein4%3800± 3.4%

South Carolina

9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 54%–45%
(Republican in 2012) 55%–44%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 55%–41%

Three-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Libertarian %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Starboard Communications [331] September 7–9, 2016Hillary Clinton35%Donald Trump48% Gary Johnson 7%13600± 4.8%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Libertarian %Green %Independent %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Starboard Communications [332] October 30–31, 2016Hillary Clinton36%Donald Trump47%Gary Johnson3%Evan McMullin1%11600± 4.4%
Winthrop University [333] September 18–26, 2016Hillary Clinton38%Donald Trump42%Gary Johnson6%Jill Stein3%4475± 4.5%
Trafalgar Group [334] September 6–12, 2016Hillary Clinton38%Donald Trump53%Gary Johnson3%Jill Stein1%151,247± 2.77%

South Dakota

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%
(Republican in 2012) 58%–40%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 62%–32%

Three-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Mason-Dixon [335] October 18–20, 2016Hillary Clinton37%Donald Trump44%Gary Johnson7%74005.0%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Other candidate%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Nielson Brothers Polling [336] October 24–26, 2016Hillary Clinton35%Donald Trump49%Gary Johnson7%Darrell Castle1%146004%
Remington Research Group [337] October 19–21, 2016Hillary Clinton37%Donald Trump48%Gary Johnson6%Darrell Castle2%111,1152.93%

Tennessee

11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 57%–42%
(Republican in 2012) 59%–39%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 61%–35%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
MTSU [338] September 28 – October 2, 2016Hillary Clinton40%Donald Trump50%10472± 5.0%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Libertarian %Green %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
iCitizen [339] October 14–17, 2016Hillary Clinton34%Donald Trump44%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein2%10508± 4.4%
MTSU [338] September 28 – October 2, 2016Hillary Clinton38%Donald Trump50%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein1%12472± 5.0%
Vanderbilt University [340] September 19 – October 2, 2016Hillary Clinton33%Donald Trump44%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein111000± 3.4%

Texas

38 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 55%–44%
(Republican in 2012) 57%–41%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 52%–43%

Two-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist [6] October 30 – November 1, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump49%8679± 3.8%
Texas Lyceum [341] September 1–11, 2016Hillary Clinton36%Donald Trump42%6502± 4.37%

Three-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Libertarian %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Austin American-Statesman/Crosswind [342] October 22–24, 2016Hillary Clinton38%Donald Trump45%Gary Johnson7%7800± 3.5%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Libertarian %Green %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Emerson College [343] October 31 – November 1, 2016Hillary Clinton35%Donald Trump49%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein4%14700± 3.6%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist [6] October 30 – November 1, 2016Hillary Clinton40%Donald Trump49%Gary Johnson6%Jill Stein2%9679± 3.8%
KTVT-CBS 11/Dixie Strategies Poll [344] October 27–29, 2016Hillary Clinton39%Donald Trump52%Gary Johnson3%Jill Stein0%13980± 3.13%
Texas Tribune/University of Texas [345] October 14–23, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump45%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein2%3959± 3.16%
CBS News/YouGov [346] October 20–21, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump46%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein1%1,031± 4.4%
University of Houston [347] October 7–15, 2016Hillary Clinton38%Donald Trump41%Gary Johnson4%Jill Stein1,000± 3.0%
SurveyUSA/TEGNA [348] October 10–12, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump47%Gary Johnson3%Jill Stein4638± 4.0%
KTVT-CBS 11/Dixie Strategies Poll [349] September 29 – October 1, 2016Hillary Clinton38%Donald Trump45%Gary Johnson4%Jill Stein7780± 3.5%
Texas Lyceum [341] September 1–11, 2016Hillary Clinton32%Donald Trump39%Gary Johnson9%Jill Stein3%502± 4.37%
Emerson College [350] September 7–10, 2016Hillary Clinton36%Donald Trump42%Gary Johnson10%Jill Stein6%6700± 3.6%

Utah

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 62%–34%
(Republican in 2012) 73%–25%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 46%–28%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Independent%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Trafalgar Group [351] November 3–5, 2016Hillary Clinton30%Donald Trump40%Gary Johnson4%Evan McMullin25%101,352± 2.67%
Rasmussen Reports [352] October 29–31, 2016Hillary Clinton31%Donald Trump42%Gary Johnson3%Evan McMullin21%11750± 4.0%
Rasmussen Reports [353] October 23–24, 2016Hillary Clinton28%Donald Trump32%Gary Johnson4%Evan McMullin29%3750± 4.0%

Five-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Green%Independent%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Y2 Analytics [354] November 1–3, 2016Hillary Clinton24%Donald Trump33%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein3%Evan McMullin28%5500± 4.38%
Emerson College [343] November 1–2, 2016Hillary Clinton20%Donald Trump40%Gary Johnson3%Jill Stein2%Evan McMullin28%121,000± 3.0%
Monmouth University [355] October 30 – November 2, 2016Hillary Clinton31%Donald Trump37%Gary Johnson4%Jill Stein1%Evan McMullin24%6402± 4.9%
Gravis Marketing [356] October 30–31, 2016Hillary Clinton29%Donald Trump35%Gary Johnson3%Jill SteinEvan McMullin24%1,424± 2.6%
Dan Jones & Associates [357] October 20–27, 2016Hillary Clinton24%Donald Trump32%Gary Johnson4%Jill SteinEvan McMullin30%2823± 3.42%
Emerson College [171] October 17–19, 2016Hillary Clinton24%Donald Trump27%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein0% Evan McMullin 31%4700± 3.6%
Rasmussen Reports [358] October 15–16, 2016Hillary Clinton28%Donald Trump30%Gary JohnsonJill Stein1%Evan McMullin29%1750± 4.0%
CBS News/YouGov [359] October 12–14, 2016Hillary Clinton20%Donald Trump37%Gary Johnson7%Jill SteinEvan McMullin20%17951± 5.7%
Monmouth University [360] October 10–12, 2016Hillary Clinton28%Donald Trump34%Gary Johnson9%Jill SteinEvan McMullin20%6403± 4.9%
Y2 Analytics [361] [362] October 10–11, 2016Hillary Clinton26%Donald Trump26%Gary Johnson14%Jill SteinEvan McMullin22%Tied500± 4.4%
Dan Jones & Associates [363] September 12–19, 2016Hillary Clinton25%Donald Trump34%Gary Johnson13%Jill SteinEvan McMullin12%9820± 3.4%

Six-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Green%Constitution%Independent%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Dan Jones & Associates [364] October 12–18, 2016Hillary Clinton25%Donald Trump30%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein1%Darrell Castle1%Evan McMullin29%1818± 3.97%
Dan Jones & Associates [365] September 1–9, 2016Hillary Clinton24%Donald Trump39%Gary Johnson13%Jill Stein0%Darrell Castle2%Evan McMullin9%15605± 3.98%

Vermont

3 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 67%–30%
(Democratic in 2012) 67%–31%

Winner
(Democratic in 2016) 56%–30%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Green%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
RRH Elections [366] October 24–26, 2016Hillary Clinton52%Donald Trump26%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein2%261,052± 3.0%
WCAX [367] October 19–22, 2016Hillary Clinton50%Donald Trump22%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein5%28603± 3.99%
Castleton University/Vermont Public Radio [368] September 29 – October 14, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump17%Gary Johnson4%Jill Stein3%650± 3.9%
Emerson College [60] September 2–5, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump26%Gary Johnson13%Jill Stein7%21600± 3.9%

Virginia

13 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 53%–46%
(Democratic in 2012) 51%–47%

Winner
(Democratic in 2016) 50%–44%

Two-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling [43] November 3–4, 2016Hillary Clinton51%Donald Trump45%61,238± 2.8%
Roanoke College [369] October 29 – November 1, 2016Hillary Clinton49%Donald Trump40%9654± 3.8%
Washington Post/Schar School [370] October 27–30, 2016Hillary Clinton51%Donald Trump45%61,024± 3.5%
Hampton University [371] October 26–30, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump44%3802± 4.57%
Winthrop University [372] October 23–30, 2016Hillary Clinton49%Donald Trump43%6712± 3.6%
Quinnipiac University [62] October 20–26, 2016Hillary Clinton53%Donald Trump40%13749± 3.6%
Hampton University [373] September 28 – October 2, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump34%12800± 4.4%
Public Policy Polling [46] September 27–28, 2016Hillary Clinton49%Donald Trump43%6811± 3.4%
Christopher Newport University [374] September 15–23, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump38%101,003± 3.9%
Quinnipiac University [48] September 13–21, 2016Hillary Clinton50%Donald Trump43%7659± 3.8%
Roanoke College [375] September 11–20, 2016Hillary Clinton51%Donald Trump40%11841± 3.4%
University of Mary Washington [376] September 6–12, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump41%5685± 4.4%
Public Policy Polling [377] September 9–11, 2016Hillary Clinton50%Donald Trump42%8878± 3.3%

Three-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Independent/

Third-party candidate

%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies [378] November 1–2, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump44%Gary Johnson4%23,076± 1.77%
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies [379] October 23–30, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump43%Gary Johnson3%51,106± 2.94%
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies [380] October 20–22, 2016Hillary ClintonDonald TrumpGary Johnson1,787± 2.31%
Emerson College [269] October 10–12, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald TrumpGary Johnson6%3600± 3.9%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Libertarian %Green %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Emerson College [82] October 28–30, 2016Hillary Clinton49%Donald Trump45%Gary Johnson3%Jill Stein1%4800± 3.4%
Washington Post/Schar School [370] October 27–30, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump42%Gary Johnson6%Jill Stein2%61,024± 3.5%
Quinnipiac University [62] October 20–26, 2016Hillary Clinton50%Donald Trump38%Gary Johnson4%Jill Stein12749± 3.6%
Public Policy Polling [46] September 27–28, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump40%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein1%6811± 3.4%
CBS News/YouGov [381] September 21–23, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump37%Gary JohnsonJill Stein81,237± 3.3%
Quinnipiac University [48] September 13–21, 2016Hillary ClintonDonald Trump39%Gary Johnson8%Jill Stein6659± 3.8%
Roanoke College [375] September 11–20, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump37%Gary JohnsonJill Stein7841± 3.4%
Public Policy Polling [377] September 9–11, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump39%Gary Johnson6%Jill Stein2%6878± 3.3%

Five-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Libertarian %Green %Independent %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Christopher Newport University [382] November 1–6, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump42%Gary Johnson3%Jill Stein<1%Evan McMullin2%61,193± 3.6%
Public Policy Polling [43] November 3–4, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump43%Gary Johnson4%Jill Stein1%Evan McMullin1%51,238± 2.8%
Roanoke College [369] October 29 – November 1, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump38%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein2%Evan McMullin1%7654± 3.8%
Winthrop University [372] October 23–30, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump39%Gary Johnson5%Jill SteinEvan McMullin2%5712± 3.6%
Christopher Newport University [383] October 23–26, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald TrumpGary Johnson5%Jill Stein1%Evan McMullin1%7814± 4.2%
Christopher Newport University [384] October 16–19, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump33%Gary Johnson8%Jill SteinEvan McMullin3%12834± 3.9%
Tarrance Group [385] October 12–15, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump38%Gary Johnson3%Jill SteinEvan McMullin2%9500± 4.1%
Christopher Newport University [386] October 11–14, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump29%Gary Johnson11%Jill Stein2%Evan McMullin3%15809± 3.6%
Roanoke College [387] October 2–6, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump36%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein1%Evan McMullin1%9814± 3.4%
Christopher Newport University [388] September 27–30, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump35%Gary Johnson12%Jill SteinEvan McMullin2%7892± 3.7%
Christopher Newport University [374] September 15–23, 2016Hillary Clinton39%Donald Trump33%Gary Johnson15%Jill Stein3%Evan McMullin3%61,003± 3.9%
University of Mary Washington [376] September 6–12, 2016Hillary Clinton40%Donald Trump37%Gary Johnson8%Jill Stein1%Evan McMullin3685± 4.4%

Washington

12 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–40%
(Democratic in 2012) 56%–41%

Winner
(Democratic in 2016) 54%–38%

Two-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Insights West [12] November 4–6, 2016Hillary Clinton55%Donald Trump39%16402± 4.9%
KCTS 9/YouGov [389] October 6–13, 2016Hillary Clinton53%Donald Trump14750± 4.4%
Strategies 360 [390] September 29 – October 3, 2016Hillary Clinton50%Donald Trump33%17500± 4.4%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Libertarian %Green %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
SurveyUSA [391] October 31 – November 2, 2016Hillary Clinton50%Donald Trump38%Gary Johnson4%Jill Stein2%12681± 3.8%
Elway Poll [392] October 20–22, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump31%Gary Johnson1%Jill Stein1%17502± 4.5%
Strategies 360 [390] September 29 – October 3, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald TrumpGary Johnson10%Jill Stein4%16500± 4.4%
Emerson College [178] September 25–26, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump38%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein5%6700± 3.6%
Insights West [26] September 12–14, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump32%Gary Johnson16%Jill Stein6%12505± 4.4%

West Virginia

5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 56%–43%
(Republican in 2012) 62%–36%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 69%–26%

Two-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Garin-Hart-Yang [393] September 13–17, 2016Hillary Clinton28%Donald Trump60%32500± 5.0%

Three-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Independent/

Third-party candidate

%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Just Win Strategies [394] September 8–10, 2016Hillary Clinton30%Donald Trump57%Gary Johnson4%27600± 4%

Wisconsin

10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 56%–42%
(Democratic in 2012) 53%–46%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 47%–46%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling [161] October 31 – November 1, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump41%7891± 3.3%
Loras College [395] October 31 – November 1, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump42%2500± 4.4%
Public Policy Polling [396] October 18–19, 2016Hillary Clinton50%Donald Trump38%12804± 3.9%
Marquette University [397] October 6–9, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump42%4878± 3.9%
Marquette University [398] September 15–18, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump2677± 4.8%

Three-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Libertarian %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies [399] November 1–2, 2016Hillary Clinton49%Donald Trump41%Gary Johnson3%82,720± 1.88%
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies [400] October 23–30, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump42%Gary Johnson4%41,172± 2.86%
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies [401] October 20–22, 2016Hillary ClintonDonald Trump41%Gary Johnson5%51,795± 2.31%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Libertarian %Green %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Loras College [395] October 31 – November 1, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump38%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein2%6500± 4.4%
Marquette University [402] October 26–31, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump40%Gary Johnson4%Jill Stein3%1,190± 3.5%
Emerson College [203] October 27–28, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump42%Gary Johnson9%Jill Stein1%5400± 4.9%
McLaughlin & Associates [403] October 18–20, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump43%Gary Johnson4%Jill Stein600± 4.0%
Monmouth University [404] October 15–18, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump40%Gary Johnson6%Jill Stein7403± 4.9%
St Norbert College [405] October 13–16, 2016Hillary ClintonDonald Trump39%Gary Johnson1%Jill Stein3%8664± 3.8%
Marquette University [397] October 6–9, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump37%Gary Johnson9%Jill Stein7878± 3.9%
Loras College [406] October 5–8, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump35%Gary Johnson8%Jill Stein2%8500± 4.4%
CBS News/YouGov [290] October 5–7, 2016Hillary ClintonDonald Trump39%Gary Johnson4%Jill Stein1%4993± 4.3%
Emerson College [87] September 19–20, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump38%Gary Johnson11%Jill Stein2%7700± 3.6%
Marquette University [398] September 15–18, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald TrumpGary JohnsonJill Stein3677± 4.8%

Wyoming

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 65%–33%
(Republican in 2012) 69%–28%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 67%–22%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Green Party%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Wyoming Survey and Analysis Center [407] October 5–11, 2016Hillary Clinton20%Donald Trump58%Gary Johnson9%Jill Stein2%38722± 3.6%
DFM Research [408] September 6–11, 2016Hillary Clinton19%Donald Trump54%Gary Johnson10%Jill Stein35402± 4.9%

See also

General election polling

Democratic primary polling

Republican primary polling

Older polling

Notes

    1. ↑ These results reflect only polls done on or after September 1, 2016.

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    The 2024 United States presidential election in California was held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. California voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. California has 54 electoral votes in the Electoral College, the most in the country.

    <span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in Colorado</span>

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    <span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in Florida</span>

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    <span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in Iowa</span>

    The 2024 United States presidential election in Iowa was held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Iowa voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Iowa has six electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.

    <span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in Michigan</span>

    The 2024 United States presidential election in Michigan took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, and as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Michigan voters chose electors for Donald Trump and JD Vance to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Michigan has 15 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state lost a seat. Michigan was considered to be a crucial swing state in 2024.

    <span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in Nevada</span>

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    <span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in North Carolina</span>

    The 2024 United States presidential election in North Carolina took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. North Carolina voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of North Carolina has 16 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained a seat.

    <span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania</span>

    The 2024 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Pennsylvania voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Pennsylvania has 19 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state lost a seat.

    <span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in Texas</span>

    The 2024 United States presidential election in Texas was held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Texas voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Texas has 40 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained two seats.

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    386. ↑ "Clinton expands lead over Trump to 15 points, 44-29, after 'Access Hollywood' tape release and 2nd debate" (PDF). The Judy Ford Wason Center for Public Policy. Christopher Newport University. October 16, 2016. Archived from the original (PDF) on October 16, 2016. Retrieved October 16, 2016.
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    389. ↑ "New Poll Finds Washington State Often Divided by Region and Political Parties on Many Key Issues". YouGov. KCTS. October 27, 2016. Archived from the original on October 27, 2016. Retrieved October 28, 2016.
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    394. ↑ "GOP poll shows tight gubernatorial race, much closer than MetroNews West Virginia Poll". Just Win Strategies. WV MetroNews. September 19, 2016. Retrieved September 19, 2016.
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