Opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election in Florida

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This page lists statewide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the 2016 United States presidential election in Florida, contested by Hillary Clinton (Democratic Party), Donald Trump (Republican Party), Gary Johnson (Libertarian Party) and Jill Stein (Green Party). The state was won by Donald Trump with 49.02% of the vote against 47.82% for Hillary Clinton.

Contents

September–November

Poll sourceDate administeredHillary ClintonDonald TrumpLead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Quinnipiac University [1] November 3–6, 201646%46%Tied884± 3.3%
CNN/ORC [2] October 27 – November 1, 201650%49%1773± 3.5%
Quinnipiac University [3] October 27 – November 1, 201647%45%2626± 3.9%
Gravis Marketing/One America News Network [4] October 31, 201651%49%21,995± 2.2%
New York Times Upshot/Siena College [5] October 25–27, 201645%48%3814± 3.4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist [6] October 25–26, 201646%46%Tied779± 3.5%
University of North Florida [7] October 20–25, 201646%44%2836± 3.4%
Bloomberg/Selzer [8] October 21–24, 201645%46%1953± 3.2%
Quinnipiac University [9] October 10–16, 201649%45%4660± 3.8%
Public Policy Polling [10] October 12–13, 201649%44%5985± 3.1%
Ipsos/Reuters [11] October 5–12, 201642%40%21,532± 2.9%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist [12] October 3–5, 201646%44%2700± 3.7%
University of North Florida [13] September 27 – October 4, 201647%40%7696± 3.8%
Quinnipiac University [14] September 27 – October 2, 201649%44%5545± 4.2%
Public Policy Polling [15] September 27–28, 201648%45%3826± 3.4%
Florida Chamber Political Institute [16] September 15–20, 201645%42%3617± 4.0%
New York Times Upshot/Siena College [17] September 10–14, 201643%43%Tied867± 3.3%
CNN/ORC [18] September 7–12, 201646%50%4788± 3.5%
Public Policy Polling [19] September 4–6, 201647%46%1744± 3.6%

Three-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredHillary ClintonDonald TrumpGary JohnsonLead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies [20] November 1–2, 201645%48%2%32,352± 2.02%
Remington Research/Axiom Strategies [21] October 23–30, 201644%48%2%4989± 3.11%
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies [22] October 20–22, 201646%46%2%Tied1,646± 2.41%
Florida Chamber Political Institute [16] September 15–20, 201643%41%8%2617± 4.0%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredHillary ClintonDonald TrumpGary JohnsonJill SteinLead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Trafalgar Group [23] November 6, 201646%50%2%1%41,100± 2.89%
Quinnipiac University [1] November 3–6, 201646%45%2%1%1884± 3.3%
CBS News/YouGov [24] November 2–4, 201645%45%4%2%Tied1,188± 3.6%
Fox 13/Fox 35/Opinion Savvy [25] November 1–2, 201649%45%3%1%4603± 4.0%
CNN/ORC [2] October 27 – November 1, 201649%47%3%1%2773± 3.5%
Quinnipiac University [3] October 27 – November 1, 201646%45%2%2%1626± 3.9%
Gravis Marketing/One America News Network [4] October 31, 201649%46%2%1%31,995± 2.2%
Trafalgar Group [26] October 27–31, 201645%49%2%1%41,150± 2.9%
TargetSmart/William & Mary [27] October 25–30, 201648%40%3%2%8718N/A
Emerson College [28] October 26–27, 201646%45%4%0%1500± 4.3%
New York Times Upshot/Siena College [5] October 25–27, 201642%46%4%2%4814± 3.4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist [6] October 25–26, 201645%44%5%2%1779± 3.5%
Saint Leo University [29] October 22–26, 201650%37%5%1%131,028± 3.0%
University of North Florida [7] October 20–25, 201643%39%6%3%4836± 3.4%
Bloomberg/Selzer [8] October 21–24, 201643%45%4%2%2953± 3.2%
SurveyUSA/Bay News 9/News 13 [30] October 20–24, 201648%45%2%1%31,251± 2.8%
Florida Atlantic University [31] October 21–23, 201646%43%3%2%3500± 4.3%
CBS News/YouGov [32] October 20–21, 201646%43%3%2%31,042± 3.6%
Opinion Savvy/Fox 13/Fox 35 [33] October 20, 201649%45%3%2%4538± 4.2%
Florida Chamber Political Institute [34] October 16–19, 201646%42%5%1%4507± 4.4%
Quinnipiac University [9] October 10–16, 201648%44%4%1%4660± 3.8%
Public Policy Polling [10] October 12–13, 201646%42%5%1%4985± 3.1%
Ipsos/Reuters [11] October 5–12, 201642%38%6%2%41,532± 2.9%
Opinion Savvy [35] October 10–11, 201647%44%5%1%3533± 4.2%
Florida Atlantic University [36] October 5–9, 201649%43%1%0%6400± 4.9%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist [12] October 3–5, 201645%42%5%3%3700± 3.7%
Emerson College [37] October 2–4, 201644%45%4%3%1600± 3.90%
University of North Florida [13] September 27 – October 4, 201641%38%6%3%3696± 3.8%
Quinnipiac University [14] September 27 – October 2, 201646%41%5%2%5545± 4.2%
Opinion Savvy/Fox 13/Fox 35 [38] September 28–29, 201647%46%4%2%1619± 4.0%
Mason-Dixon [39] September 27–29, 201646%42%7%1%4820± 3.5%
Public Policy Polling [15] September 27–28, 201645%43%3%1%2826± 3.4%
Suffolk University [40] September 19–21, 201644%45%3%1%1500± 4.4%
Monmouth University [41] September 16–19, 201646%41%6%1%5400± 4.9%
Saint Leo University [42] September 10–16, 201649%44%6%2%5502± 4.5%
New York Times Upshot/Siena College [17] September 10–14, 201641%40%9%2%1867± 3.3%
CNN/ORC [18] September 7–12, 201644%47%6%1%3788± 3.5%
CBS News/YouGov [43] September 7–9, 201644%42%5%2%21,193± 3.5%
JMC Analytics [44] September 7–8, 201642%46%3%1%4781± 3.5%
Public Policy Polling [19] September 4–6, 201643%44%5%1%1744± 3.6%

January–August 2016

Poll sourceDate administeredHillary ClintonDonald TrumpLead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Quinnipiac University [45] August 27 – September 7, 201647%47%Tied761± 3.6%
Florida Chamber Political Institute [46] August 17–22, 201643%44%1608± 4.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist [47] August 4–10, 201644%39%5862± 3.3%
Public Policy Polling [48] August 5–7, 201646%43%3938± 3.2%
Quinnipiac University [49] July 30 – August 7, 201646%45%11,056± 3.0%
Suffolk University [50] August 1–3, 201648%42%6500± 4.4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist [51] July 5–11, 201644%37%7871± 3.3%
Quinnipiac University [52] June 30 – July 11, 201639%42%31,015± 3.1%
Gravis Marketing/One America News Network [53] June 27–28, 201645%49%41,619± 2.4%
OnMessage [54] June 26–28, 201645%47%2800± 3.46%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner [55] June 11–20, 201652%39%13300± 5.66%
Quinnipiac University [56] June 8–19, 201647%39%8975± 3.1%
45%39%6
Public Policy Polling [57] June 2–5, 201644%45%1737± 3.6%
46%43%3
CBS News/YouGov [58] May 16–19, 201643%42%1995± 4%
44%44%Tied
Gravis Marketing [59] May 17–18, 201646%42%42,542± 2%
Quinnipiac University [60] April 27 – May 8, 201643%42%11,051± 3.0%
44%42%2
Associated Industries of Florida [61] April 25–27, 201649%36%13604± 5%
48%39%9
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist [62] March 4–10, 201649%41%82,422± 2.0%
48%43%5
47%46%1
50%42%8
48%41%7
CNN/ORC [63] March 2–6, 201650%43%78543.5%
44%48%4
46%47%1
SurveyUSA/Bay News 9/News 13 [64] March 4–6, 201644%45%119612.3%
46%44%2
45%44%1
Public Policy Polling [65] February 24–25, 201644%46%210123.1%
47%39%8
45%43%2
44%47%3
46%39%7
44%42%2
Florida Southern College Center [66] January 30 – February 6, 201644.56%37.56%76084%
42.67%45.17%2.5
44.9%41.69%3.21
41.68%44.97%3.29
47.99%38.78%9.21
44.27%43%1.27
46.07%36.73%9.34
45.21%40.77%4.44
Florida Atlantic University [67] January 15–18, 201642%45%310083.0%
44%47%3
42%47%5
46%46%Tied
42%47%5
47%42%5
43%43%Tied

Three-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredHillary ClintonDonald TrumpGary JohnsonLead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Florida Chamber Political Institute [46] August 17–22, 201641%44%9%3608± 4.0%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner [68] July 6–10, 201645%40%6%51,000± 4.1%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner [55] June 11–20, 201649%38%9%11300± 5.66%
Mason-Dixon [69] May 31 – June 2, 201645%42%6%3625± 4%
42%42%8%Tied
50%40%6%10

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredHillary ClintonDonald TrumpGary JohnsonJill SteinLead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Quinnipiac University [45] August 29 – September 7, 201643%43%8%2%Tied761± 3.6%
Mason-Dixon [70] August 22–24, 201644%42%6%2%2625± 4.0%
ICITIZEN [71] August 18–24, 201642%37%8%2%5600± 4.0%
Florida Atlantic University [72] August 19–22, 201641%43%8%2%21,200± 3.0%
Saint Leo University Polling Institute [73] August 14–18, 201652%38%8%2%141,380± 3.0%
Monmouth University [74] August 12–15, 201648%39%6%1%9402± 4.9%
CBS News/YouGov [75] August 10–12, 201645%40%5%2%51,194± 3.6%
Fox 13 Tampa Bay/Opinion Savvy [76] August 10, 201645%44%6%1%1622± 4.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist [47] August 4–10, 201641%36%9%4%5862± 3.3%
Quinnipiac University [49] July 30 – August 7, 201643%43%7%3%Tied1,056± 3.0%
Suffolk University [50] August 1–3, 201643%39%4%3%4500± 4.4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist [51] July 5–11, 201641%36%7%4%5871± 3.3%
Quinnipiac University [52] June 30 – July 11, 201636%41%7%4%51,015± 3.1%
JMC Analytics [77] July 9–10, 201642%47%2%1%5700± 3.7%
SurveyUSA/Bay News 9/News 13 [78] June 25–27, 201646%42%2%1%41,873± 2.4%
CBS News/YouGov [79] June 21–24, 201644%41%3%1%31,192± 3.6%
Quinnipiac University [56] June 8–19, 201642%36%7%3%6975± 3.1%
Public Policy Polling [80] June 2–5, 201640%41%4%2%1737± 3.6%
40%40%5%1%Tied

2013–2015

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Quinnipiac University [81] September 25 – October 5, 2015Joe Biden46%Jeb Bush42%411732.9%
Joe Biden45%Ben Carson42%3
Joe Biden49%Carly Fiorna38%11
Joe Biden46%Marco Rubio43%3
Joe Biden52%Donald Trump38%14
Hillary Clinton43%Jeb Bush44%1
Hillary Clinton45%Ben Carson43%2
Hillary Clinton44%Carly Fiorna42%2
Hillary Clinton44%Marco Rubio45%1
Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump41%5
Bernie Sanders41%Jeb Bush45%4
Bernie Sanders40%Ben Carson46%6
Bernie Sanders41%Carly Fiorna42%1
Bernie Sanders41%Marco Rubio46%5
Bernie Sanders46%Donald Trump41%5
Public Policy Polling [82] September 11–13, 2015Hillary Clinton42%Jeb Bush45%38143.4%
Hillary Clinton40%Ben Carson49%9
Hillary Clinton45%Ted Cruz43%2
Hillary Clinton41%Carly Fiorina46%5
Hillary Clinton45%Mike Huckabee43%2
Hillary Clinton41%John Kasich44%3
Hillary Clinton43%Marco Rubio48%5
Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump48%6
Hillary Clinton43%Scott Walker45%2
Bernie Sanders41%Jeb Bush45%4
Bernie Sanders33%Ben Carson48%15
Bernie Sanders37%Carly Fiorina44%7
Bernie Sanders41%Donald Trump47%6
Bernie Sanders40%Scott Walker42%2
Joe Biden42%Jeb Bush45%3
Joe Biden43%Donald Trump47%4
Quinnipiac University [83] August 7–18, 2015Hillary Clinton41% Donald Trump 43%21,093± 3%
Hillary Clinton38%Jeb Bush49%11
Hillary Clinton39%Marco Rubio51%12
Joe Biden45%Donald Trump42%3
Joe Biden38%Jeb Bush51%13
Joe Biden42%Marco Rubio48%6
Bernie Sanders41%Donald Trump45%4
Bernie Sanders35%Jeb Bush54%19
Bernie Sanders36%Marco Rubio52%16
Quinnipiac University [84] June 4–15, 2015 Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 42%41,147± 3%
Hillary Clinton46% Chris Christie 35%11
Hillary Clinton48% Ted Cruz 37%11
Hillary Clinton49% Mike Huckabee 38%11
Hillary Clinton48% John Kasich 35%13
Hillary Clinton46% Rand Paul 39%7
Hillary Clinton47% Marco Rubio 44%3
Hillary Clinton48% Scott Walker 38%10
Mason-Dixon [85] April 14–16, 2015Hillary Clinton43%Jeb Bush47%4625± 4%
Hillary Clinton43%Marco Rubio49%6
Quinnipiac University [86] March 17–28, 2015Hillary Clinton42%Jeb Bush45%31,087± 3%
Hillary Clinton44%Chris Christie39%5
Hillary Clinton48%Ted Cruz39%9
Hillary Clinton48%Mike Huckabee40%8
Hillary Clinton46%Rand Paul43%3
Hillary Clinton46%Marco Rubio44%2
Hillary Clinton46%Scott Walker40%6
Public Policy Polling [87] March 19–22, 2015Hillary Clinton47%Jeb Bush44%3923± 3.2%
Hillary Clinton49% Ben Carson 41%8
Hillary Clinton48%Chris Christie41%7
Hillary Clinton49%Ted Cruz42%7
Hillary Clinton49%Mike Huckabee44%5
Hillary Clinton46%Rand Paul42%4
Hillary Clinton50% Rick Perry 42%8
Hillary Clinton48%Marco Rubio46%2
Hillary Clinton49%Scott Walker41%8
Joe Biden 43%Scott Walker43%Tied
Elizabeth Warren 42%Scott Walker41%1
Quinnipiac University [88] January 22 – February 1, 2015Hillary Clinton44%Jeb Bush43%1936± 3.2%
Hillary Clinton51%Chris Christie33%18
Hillary Clinton51%Mike Huckabee34%17
Hillary Clinton50%Rand Paul38%12
Hillary Clinton49%Marco Rubio39%10
Gravis Marketing [89] October 22–24, 2014Hillary Clinton45%Jeb Bush46%1861± 3%
Hillary Clinton46%Marco Rubio39%7
Gravis Marketing [90] October 11–12, 2014Hillary Clinton37%Jeb Bush36%11,023± 3%
Hillary Clinton43%Marco Rubio35%8
Public Policy Polling [91] September 4–7, 2014Hillary Clinton46%Jeb Bush44%2818± 3.4%
Hillary Clinton46%Chris Christie38%8
Hillary Clinton51%Ted Cruz36%15
Hillary Clinton49%Mike Huckabee40%9
Hillary Clinton48%Rand Paul40%8
Hillary Clinton49%Marco Rubio42%7
Gravis Marketing [92] August 14–24, 2014Hillary Clinton39%Jeb Bush37%2859± 4%
Hillary Clinton44%Marco Rubio35%9
SurveyUSA [93] August 15–18, 2014Hillary Clinton48% Mitt Romney 41%7852± 3.4%
Joe Biden39%Mitt Romney47%8
SurveyUSA [94] July 31 – August 1, 2014Hillary Clinton50%Rick Perry40%10859± 3.4%
Joe Biden43%Rick Perry44%1
Quinnipiac University [95] July 17–21, 2014Hillary Clinton49%Jeb Bush42%71,251± 2.8%
Hillary Clinton54%Chris Christie33%21
Hillary Clinton53%Rand Paul37%16
Hillary Clinton53%Marco Rubio39%14
Hillary Clinton51% Paul Ryan 38%13
SurveyUSA [96] July 17–21, 2014Hillary Clinton47%Jeb Bush41%6836± 3.5%
Hillary Clinton49%Chris Christie38%11
Hillary Clinton46%Rand Paul42%4
Hillary Clinton53%Marco Rubio39%14
Joe Biden38%Jeb Bush47%9
Joe Biden39%Chris Christie48%9
Joe Biden39%Rand Paul47%8
Joe Biden43%Marco Rubio46%3
SurveyUSA [97] June 30 – July 2, 2014Hillary Clinton46%Rand Paul42%4849± 3.4%
Joe Biden39%Rand Paul47%8
SurveyUSA [98] June 20–23, 2014Hillary Clinton53%Marco Rubio39%14834± 3.5%
Joe Biden43%Marco Rubio46%3
SurveyUSA [99] June 5–10, 2014Hillary Clinton47%Jeb Bush41%6850± 3.4%
Joe Biden38%Jeb Bush47%9
Public Policy Polling [100] June 6–9, 2014Hillary Clinton46%Jeb Bush45%1672± 3.8%
Hillary Clinton46%Chris Christie38%8
Hillary Clinton50%Ted Cruz39%11
Hillary Clinton48%Mike Huckabee41%7
Hillary Clinton48%Rand Paul42%6
Hillary Clinton48%Marco Rubio44%4
Saint Leo University [101] May 28 – June 4, 2014Hillary Clinton44%Jeb Bush46%2500± 5%
Hillary Clinton47%Chris Christie40%7
Hillary Clinton52%Ted Cruz36%16
Hillary Clinton50%Paul Ryan40%10
Hillary Clinton50%Rand Paul38%12
Hillary Clinton49%Marco Rubio41%8
Quinnipiac University [102] April 23–28, 2014Hillary Clinton49%Jeb Bush41%81,413± 2.6%
Hillary Clinton52%Chris Christie34%18
Hillary Clinton57%Ted Cruz31%26
Hillary Clinton53%Mike Huckabee35%18
Hillary Clinton55%Rand Paul37%18
Hillary Clinton52%Marco Rubio40%12
Hillary Clinton56%Paul Ryan36%20
Quinnipiac University [103] January 22–27, 2014Hillary Clinton49%Jeb Bush43%61,565± 2.5%
Hillary Clinton51%Chris Christie35%16
Hillary Clinton54%Ted Cruz34%20
Hillary Clinton53%Rand Paul38%15
Hillary Clinton51%Marco Rubio41%10
Hillary Clinton52%Paul Ryan39%13
Quinnipiac University [104] November 12–17, 2013Hillary Clinton47%Jeb Bush45%21,646± 2.4%
Hillary Clinton45%Chris Christie41%4
Hillary Clinton52%Ted Cruz36%16
Hillary Clinton51%Rand Paul41%10
Hillary Clinton50%Marco Rubio43%7
Hillary Clinton50%Paul Ryan42%8
Gravis Marketing [105] November 8–10, 2013Hillary Clinton49%Marco Rubio45%4932± 3%
Quinnipiac University [106] June 11–16, 2013Hillary Clinton50%Jeb Bush43%71,176± 2.9%
Hillary Clinton53%Marco Rubio41%12
Joe Biden43%Jeb Bush47%4
Joe Biden43%Marco Rubio45%2
Public Policy Polling [107] March 15–18, 2013Hillary Clinton53%Jeb Bush40%13500± 4.4%
Hillary Clinton56%Marco Rubio40%16
Hillary Clinton54%Paul Ryan41%13
Quinnipiac University [108] March 13–18, 2013Hillary Clinton51%Jeb Bush40%111,000± 3.1%
Hillary Clinton52%Marco Rubio41%11
Public Policy Polling [109] January 11–13, 2013Hillary Clinton49%Jeb Bush44%5501± 4.4%
Hillary Clinton50%Marco Rubio46%4

Three-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Independent/

Third-party candidate

%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling [82] September 11–13, 2015Hillary Clinton39%Jeb Bush29%Donald Trump27%108143.4%
Quinnipiac University [83] August 7–18, 2015Hillary Clinton37%Jeb Bush36%Donald Trump19%110933%

See also

General election polling

Democratic primary polling

Republican primary polling

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The 2024 United States presidential election in Michigan is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Michigan voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Michigan has 15 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state lost a seat. Michigan is considered to be a crucial swing state in 2024.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania</span>

The 2024 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Pennsylvania voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Pennsylvania has 19 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state lost a seat.

References

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