Nationwide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election by demographic

Last updated

This page lists nationwide public opinion polling among demographics that have been conducted relating to the 2016 United States presidential election between prospective Democratic and Republican candidates. The two major party candidates were chosen at the Democratic National Convention and Republican National Convention in July 2016. The general election occurred on Tuesday, November 8, 2016.

Contents

Two-way race

By race or ethnicity

African Americans

Poll sourceDateHillary Clinton
Democratic		Donald Trump
Republican		UndecidedLeading
by %		Sample
size		Margin
of error
Politico/Morning Consult [1] November 4–5, 201680%11%69%1,482 likely voters± 3.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal [2] November 3–5, 201686%7%79%1,282 likely voters± 2.7%
McClatchy/Marist College [3] November 1–3, 201686%7%79%940 likely voters±3.2%
American Research Group [4] October 17–20, 201688%4%6%84%1,006 likely voters±3.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal [5] October 10–13, 201686%9%77%1,000 registered voters±3.1%
Pew Research [6] September 27-October 10, 201669%15%54%4,132 respondents±2.8%
American Research Group [7] September 17–20, 201687%2%8%85%990 registered voters±3.2%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal [8] September 16–19, 201681%7%74%1,000 registered voters±3.1%
CBS News/New York Times [9] September 9–13, 201689%6%83%1,753 adults±3.0%
Morning Consult [10] September 6–8, 201673%7%66%1,961 registered voters±2.0%
YouGov/The Economist [11] September 4–6, 201682%11%5%71%1300 adults±4.4%
USA Today/Suffolk University [12] August 24–29, 201692%4%88%1,000 voters±3%
Morning Consult [13] August 24–26, 201679%5%16%74%2,007 registered voters±2%
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times [14] July 4 – August 4, 201680%14.6%65.4%
Culturintel [15] June 1 – July 1, 201652%26%22%26%
SurveyUSA [16] September 2–3, 201559%25%16%34%108 African American registered voters± 3.3%

Asian Americans

Poll sourceDateHillary Clinton
Democratic		Donald Trump
Republican		OtherUndecidedLeading
by %		Sample
size		Margin
of error
National Asian American Survey [17] August 10–September 29, 201659%16%10%16%43%2,543± 3.5%
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times [14] September 2–3, 201545.2%39.8%5.4%
SurveyUSA [16] September 2–3, 201539%41%20%2%63 registered voters± 3.3%

Hispanic Americans

Poll sourceDateHillary Clinton
Democratic		Donald Trump
Republican		UndecidedLeading
by %		Sample
size		Margin
of error
Politico/Morning Consult [1] November 4–5, 201661%27%34%1,482 likely voters± 3.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal [2] November 3–5, 201665%20%45%1,282 likely voters± 2.7%
Pew Research [6] September 27-October 10, 201656%24%32%4,132 respondents±2.8%
Wall Street Journal/NBC News/Telemundo [18] September 15–20, 201663%16%47%300 Hispanic registered voters±5.66%
YouGov/The Economist [11] September 4–6, 201663%21%16%42%1,300 adults±4.4%
Morning Consult [19] September 1–2, 201661%21%40%2,001 registered voters±2%
USA Today/Suffolk University [12] August 24–29, 201665%24%41%1,000 voters±3%
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times [14] July 4 – August 4, 201659.1%27.8%31.3%
SurveyUSA [16] September 2–3, 201550%31%19%19%171 Hispanic American registered voters± 3.3%

White Americans

Poll sourceDateHillary Clinton
Democratic		Donald Trump
Republican		UndecidedLeading
by %		Sample
size		Margin
of error
Bloomberg Politics/Selzer & Co [20] November 4–6, 201638%50%12%799 likely voters± 3.5%
ABC News/Washington Post [21] November 3–6, 201638%53%15%2,220 likely voters± 2.5%
Politico/Morning Consult [1] November 4–5, 201639%49%10%1,482 likely voters± 3.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal [2] November 3–5, 201638%53%15%1,282 likely voters± 2.7%
McClatchy/Marist College [3] November 1–3, 201637%49%12%940 likely voters± 3.2%
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation [22] October 20–23, 201642%54%3%12%779 likely voters±4.0%
American Research Group [4] October 17–20, 201642%50%3%8%1,006 likely voters±3.0%
Bloomberg Politics/Selzer & Co [23] October 14–17, 201640%49%9%1,006 likely voters±3.1%
PRRI/Brookings [24] October 12–17, 201640%43%3%692 likely voters±4.4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal [5] October 10–13, 201640%51%11%1,000 registered voters±3.1%
Pew Research [6] September 27-October 10, 201633%42%9%4,132 respondents±2.8%
American Research Group [7] September 17–20, 201639%50%5%11%990 registered voters±3.2%
McClatchy/Marist College [25] September 15–20, 201637%53%2%16%1,298 adults±2.7%
Ipsos/Reuters [26] September 15–19, 201633%42%8%9%1,098 White American registered voters±3.4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal [8] September 16–18, 201641%49%8%1,000 registered voters±3.1%
Morning Consult [10] September 6–8, 201635%44%9%1,710 likely voters±2%
ABC News/Washington Post [27] September 5–8, 201636%50%14%1,002 adults±3.5%
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation [28] September 1–4, 201634%55%21%1,001 adults±3.5%
Ipsos/Reuters [29] August 25–29, 201635%44%7%9%1,946 Americans±2.5%
SurveyUSA [16] September 2–3, 201534%51%14%17%603 White American registered voters± 3.3%

Non-white/Minority Americans

Poll sourceDateHillary Clinton
Democratic		Donald Trump
Republican		UndecidedLeading
by %		Sample
size		Margin
of error
Bloomberg Politics/Selzer & Co [20] November 4–6, 201663%26%37%799 likely voters± 3.5%
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation [22] October 20–23, 201672%21%51%779 likely voters±8.0%
Bloomberg Politics/Selzer & Co [23] October 14–17, 201674%21%53%1,006 likely voters±3.1%
PRRI/Brookings [24] October 12–17, 201676%17%59%692 likely voters±4.4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal [5] October 10–13, 201676%16%60%1,000 registered voters±3.1%
Ipsos/Reuters [30] September 22–26, 201667%17%6%50%345 minority American registered voters±6.0%

By education

White Americans with a college degree

Poll sourceDateHillary Clinton
Democratic		Donald Trump
Republican		Leading
by %		Sample
size		Margin
of error
Politico/Morning Consult [1] November 4–5, 201648%41%7%1,482 likely voters± 3.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal [2] November 3–5, 201651%41%10%1,282 likely voters± 2.7%
McClatchy/Marist College [3] November 1–3, 201650%40%10%940 likely voters± 3.2%
PRRI/Brookings [24] October 12–17, 201653%34%19%692 likely voters±4.4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal [8] September 16–19, 201649%43%5%1,000 registered voters±3.1%
CBS News/New York Times [9] September 9–13, 201651%40%11%1,753 adults±3.0%

White Americans without a college degree

Poll sourceDateHillary Clinton
Democratic		Donald Trump
Republican		Leading
by %		Sample
size		Margin
of error
NBC News/Wall Street Journal [2] November 3–5, 201630%60%30%1,282 likely voters± 2.7%
McClatchy/Marist College [3] November 1–3, 201627%57%30%940 likely voters± 3.2%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal [8] September 16–19, 201635%53%18%1,000 registered voters±3.1%
CBS News/New York Times [9] September 9–13, 201632%58%26%1,753 adults±3.0%

By gender

Male Americans

Male voters for Trump 2016 US presidential election polling map gender gap Trump.png
Male voters for Trump
Poll sourceDateHillary Clinton
Democratic		Donald Trump
Republican		Leading
by %		Sample
size		Margin
of error
Bloomberg Politics/Selzer & Co [20] November 4–6, 201639%50%11%799 likely voters± 3.5%
Politico/Morning Consult [1] November 4–5, 201643%44%1%1,482 likely voters± 3.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal [2] November 3–5, 201642%47%5%1,282 likely voters± 2.7%
McClatchy/Marist College [3] November 1–3, 201638%50%12%940 likely voters± 3.2%
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation [22] October 20–23, 201646%49%3%779 likely voters±5.0%
Bloomberg Politics/Selzer & Co [23] October 14–17, 201646%44%2%1,006 likely voters±3.1%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal [5] October 10–13, 201645%48%3%1,000 registered voters±3.1%
Pew Research [6] September 27-October 10, 201634%41%7%4,132 respondents±2.8%
PRRI/The Atlantic [35] October 5–9, 201637%48%11%886 likely voters
Ipsos/Reuters [30] September 22–26, 201643%40%3%562 registered voters±4.7%
American Research Group [7] September 17–20, 201638%55%17%990 registered voters±3.2%
Ipsos/Reuters [26] September 15–19, 201640%37%3%649 registered voters±4.4%
CBS News/New York Times [9] September 9–13, 201639%50%11%1,753 adults±3.0%
Quinnipiac University [36] September 8–13, 201641%50%9%960 likely voters±3.2%
YouGov/The Economist [11] September 4–6, 201643%44%1%1,300 adults±4.4%
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation [28] September 1–4, 201632%54%22%1,001 adults±3.5%
Ipsos/Reuters [29] August 25–29, 201642%40%2%1,946 Americans±2.5%
Quinnipiac University [37] August 18–24, 201642%48%6%1,498 likely voters±2.5%
ABC News/Washington Post [38] July 11–14, 201641%49%8%816 registered voters±4.0%

Female Americans

Female voters for Clinton 2016 US presidential election polling map gender gap Clinton.png
Female voters for Clinton
Poll sourceDateHillary Clinton
Democratic		Donald Trump
Republican		Leading
by %		Sample
size		Margin
of error
Bloomberg Politics/Selzer & Co [20] November 4–6, 201651%36%15%799 likely voters± 3.5%
Politico/Morning Consult [1] November 4–5, 201647%41%6%1,482 likely voters± 3.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal [2] November 3–5, 201653%38%15%1,282 likely voters± 2.7%
McClatchy/Marist College [3] November 1–3, 201648%37%11%940 likely voters± 3.2%
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation [22] October 20–23, 201654%41%13%779 likely voters±5.0%
Bloomberg Politics/Selzer & Co [23] October 14–17, 201655%38%17%1,006 likely voters±3.1%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal [5] October 10–13, 201655%35%20%1,000 registered voters±3.1%
Ipsos/Reuters [30] September 22–26, 201645%32%13%849 registered voters±3.8%
Ipsos/Reuters [26] September 15–19, 201642%33%9%808 registered voters±3.9%
CBS News/New York Times [9] September 9–13, 201652%39%13%1,753 adults±3%
Quinnipiac University [36] September 8–13, 201654%36%18%960 likely voters±3.2%
Morning Consult [10] September 6–8, 201641%36%5%1,710 likely voters±2%
YouGov/The Economist [11] September 4–6, 201645%40%5%1,300 adults±4.4%
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation [28] September 1–4, 201653%38%15%1,001 adults±3.5%
Ipsos/Reuters [29] August 25–29, 201640%35%5%1,946 Americans±2.5%
USA Today/Suffolk University [12] August 24–29, 201654%38%16%1,000 voters±3%
Morning Consult [13] August 24–26, 201644%35%9%2,007 registered voters±2%
The McClatchy Company/Marist College [39] July 5–9, 201651%33%18%1,249 American adults±3.0%

Other criteria

Independent voters

Poll sourceDateHillary Clinton
Democratic		Donald Trump
Republican		Leading
by %		Sample
size		Margin
of error
Bloomberg Politics/Selzer & Co [20] November 4–6, 201638%44%6%799 likely voters± 3.5%
Bloomberg Politics/Purple Insights [40] October 28–31, 201639%35%4%601 likely voters who identify as independent± 4.0%
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation [22] October 20–23, 201643%48%5%779 likely voters±6.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal [5] October 10–13, 201636%41%5%1,000 registered voters±3.1%
Emerson College [41] September 11–13, 201636%41%5%600 likely voters±3.9%
CBS News/New York Times [9] September 9–13, 201639%42%4%1,753 adults±3.0%
Quinnipiac University [36] September 8–13, 201640%45%5%960 likely voters±3.2%
Morning Consult [10] September 6–8, 201626%35%9%1,710 likely voters±2%
ABC News/Washington Post [27] September 5–8, 201639%37%2%1,002 adults±3.5%
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation [28] September 1–4, 201629%49%20%1,001 adults±3.5%
Public Policy Polling [42] August 26–28, 201641%45%4%881 likely voters±3.3%
Monmouth University [43] August 25–28, 201637%32%5%802 registered voters±3.5%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey [44] August 22–28, 201637%33%4%24,104 adults±1.0%

LGBT Americans

Poll sourceDateHillary Clinton
Democratic		Donald Trump
Republican		Leading
by %		Sample
size		Margin
of error
Whitman Insight Strategies [45] March 29 – April 2, 201684%16%68%338 LGBT likely voters± 5.3%

Young Americans

Poll sourceDateHillary Clinton
Democratic		Donald Trump
Republican		Leading
by %		Sample
size		Margin
of error
Harvard University Institute of Politics [46] October 7–17, 201659%25%34%1,054 18 to 29 year old American likely voters±3.11%

Americans with household incomes of $100,000 or more

Poll sourceDateHillary Clinton
Democratic		Donald Trump
Republican		Leading
by %		Sample
size		Margin
of error
Bloomberg Politics/Purple Insights [47] September 16–19, 201646%42%4%600 likely voters with household incomes of $100,000 or more±4.0%

Three-way race

Independent voters

Poll sourceDateHillary Clinton
Democratic		Donald Trump
Republican		Gary Johnson
Libertarian		Sample
size		Margin
of error
Public Policy Polling [48] October 20–21, 201632%36%13%990 likely voters
Fox News [49] June, 201622%32%23%

Four-way race

By race or ethnicity

African Americans

Poll sourceDateHillary Clinton
Democratic		Donald Trump
Republican		Gary Johnson
Libertarian		Jill Stein
Green		Sample
size		Margin
of error
Pew Research [50] October 20–25, 201681%3%6%2%2,120 registered voters
ABC News [51] October 20–22, 201682%3%2%5%874 likely voters±3.5%
SurveyUSA/Boston Globe/Colby College [52] October 11–14, 201685%6%2%0%845 likely voters±3.4%
CBS News/New York Times [53] September 28-October 2, 201680%7%5%2%1,501 adults±4.0%
ABC News/Washington Post [54] September 19–22, 201689%2%2%3%1,001 adults±4.5%
YouGov/The Economist [55] September 18–19, 201679%3%2%1%1,300 adults±3.9%
YouGov/The Economist [11] September 4–6, 201678%8%3%0%1,300 adults±4.4%
Public Policy Polling [42] August 26–28, 201673%9%3%6%881 likely voters±3.3%

Hispanic Americans

Poll sourceDateHillary Clinton
Democratic		Donald Trump
Republican		Gary Johnson
Libertarian		Jill Stein
Green		Sample
size		Margin
of error
Pew Research [50] October 20–25, 201665%18%6%4%2,120 registered voters
ABC News [51] October 20–22, 201663%25%9%1%874 likely voters±3.5%
SurveyUSA/Boston Globe/Colby College [52] October 11–14, 201660%25%7%4%845 likely voters±3.4%
ABC News/Washington Post [54] September 19–22, 201668%19%8%3%1,001 adults±4.5%
YouGov/The Economist [55] September 18–19, 201654%23%9%2%1,300 adults±3.9%
YouGov/The Economist [11] September 4–6, 201656%20%1%15%1,300 adults±4.4%
Pew Research [56] August 9–16, 201650%26%9%9%

White Americans

Poll sourceDateHillary Clinton
Democratic		Donald Trump
Republican		Gary Johnson
Libertarian		Jill Stein
Green		Sample
size		Margin
of error
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation [22] October 20–23, 201639%52%4%2%779 likely voters±4.0%
ABC News [51] October 20–22, 201643%47%5%1%874 likely voters±3.5%
Quinnipiac University [57] October 5–6, 201638%51%5%2%1,064 likely voters± 3.0%
CBS News/New York Times [53] September 28-October 2, 201637%49%8%2%1,501 adults±4.0%
YouGov/The Economist [55] September 18–19, 201632%46%7%2%1,300 adults±3.9%
Ipsos/Reuters [26] September 15–19, 201631%41%10%3%1,098 White American registered voters±3.4%
YouGov/The Economist [11] September 4–6, 201632%45%9%4%1,300 adults±4.4%
Ipsos/Reuters [29] August 25–29, 201635%42%7%2%1,496 Americans±2.5%
Pew Research [56] August 9–16, 201633%45%11%4%
YouGov/The Economist [58] July 30 – August 1, 201633%42%10%4%1300 adults± 4.0%

By gender

Female Americans

Poll sourceDateHillary Clinton
Democratic		Donald Trump
Republican		Gary Johnson
Libertarian		Jill Stein
Green		Sample
size		Margin
of error
Pew Research [50] October 20–25, 201652%36%4%2%2,120 registered voters
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation [22] October 20–23, 201652%39%3%1%779 likely voters±5.0%
ABC News [51] October 20–22, 201655%35%3%2%874 likely voters±3.5%
CBS News/New York Times [53] September 28-October 2, 201651%33%8%3%1,501 adults±4.0%
ABC News/Washington Post [54] September 19–22, 201655%36%4%2%1,001 adults±4.5%
YouGov/The Economist [55] September 18–19, 201644%37%4%2%1,300 adults±3.9%
Ipsos/Reuters [26] September 15–19, 201639%31%9%5%808 registered voters±3.9%
Emerson College [41] September 11–13, 201653%34%7%1%800 likely voters±3.4%

Male Americans

Poll sourceDateHillary Clinton
Democratic		Donald Trump
Republican		Gary Johnson
Libertarian		Jill Stein
Green		Sample
size		Margin
of error
Pew Research [50] October 20–25, 201639%43%8%4%2,120 registered voters
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation [22] October 20–23, 201644%47%4%3%779 likely voters±5.0%
CBS News/New York Times [53] September 28-October 2, 201638%49%7%2%1,501 adults±4%
ABC News/Washington Post [54] September 19–22, 201635%54%7%1%1,001 adults±4.5%
YouGov/The Economist [55] September 18–19, 201637%39%10%3%1,300 adults±3.9%
Emerson College [41] September 11–13, 201628%52%11%3%800 likely voters±3.4%
Ipsos/Reuters [29] August 25–29, 201642%37%8%2%1,946 Americans±2.5%
Quinnipiac University [37] August 18–24, 201635%42%14%6%
Pew Research [56] August 9–16, 201633%45%10%4%
RABA Research [59] July 29, 201642%35%8%3%956 Americans± 3.2%
YouGov/The Economist [60] July 23–24, 201635%45%6%3%1300 general population respondents± 4.2%

By education

White Americans with a college degree

Poll sourceDateHillary Clinton
Democratic		Donald Trump
Republican		Gary Johnson
Libertarian		Jill Stein
Green		Sample
size		Margin
of error
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation [22] October 20–23, 201651%40%5%1%779 likely voters±5.5%
ABC News [51] October 20–22, 201652%36%7%1%874 likely voters±3.5%
CBS News/New York Times [53] September 28-October 2, 201649%37%8%3%1,501 adults±4.0%
ABC News/Washington Post [54] September 19–22, 201648%39%8%2%1,001 adults±4.5%

White Americans without a college degree

Poll sourceDateHillary Clinton
Democratic		Donald Trump
Republican		Gary Johnson
Libertarian		Jill Stein
Green		Sample
size		Margin
of error
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation [22] October 20–23, 201631%60%3%2%779 likely voters±5.5%
ABC News [51] October 20–22, 201636%55%3%2%874 likely voters±3.5%
CBS News/New York Times [53] September 28-October 2, 201630%56%8%1%1,501 adults±4.0%
ABC News/Washington Post [54] September 19–22, 201630%62%4%<1%1,001 adults±4.5%

By age

Americans aged 18–34

Poll sourceDateHillary Clinton
Democratic		Donald Trump
Republican		Gary Johnson
Libertarian		Jill Stein
Green		Sample
size		Margin
of error
USA Today/Rock the Vote [61] October 24–27, 201662%21%8%4%668 likely voters±5.5%
SurveyUSA/Boston Globe/Colby College [52] October 11–14, 201655%25%6%5%845 likely voters±3.4%
USA Today/Rock the Vote [62] October 11–13, 201668%20%8%1%400 likely voters±5.5%
Quinnipiac [63] September 8–13, 201631%26%29%15%960 likely voters±3.2%
Investor's Business Daily [64] July 29-August 4, 201630%12%35%14%851 likely voters±3.2%

Americans aged 35–49

Poll sourceDateHillary Clinton
Democratic		Donald Trump
Republican		Gary Johnson
Libertarian		Jill Stein
Green		Sample
size		Margin
of error
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation [22] October 20–23, 201648%41%4%2%779 likely voters±8.5%
Quinnipiac [63] September 8–13, 201644%31%19%2%960 likely voters±3.2%

Americans aged 50–64

Poll sourceDateHillary Clinton
Democratic		Donald Trump
Republican		Gary Johnson
Libertarian		Jill Stein
Green		Sample
size		Margin
of error
Pew Research [50] October 20–25, 201643%47%4%2%2,120 registered voters
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation [22] October 20–23, 201646%50%2%1%779 likely voters±6.0%
Quinnipiac [63] September 8–13, 201642%47%6%3%960 likely voters±3.2%

Americans aged 65+

Poll sourceDateHillary Clinton
Democratic		Donald Trump
Republican		Gary Johnson
Libertarian		Jill Stein
Green		Sample
size		Margin
of error
Pew Research [50] October 20–25, 201645%47%3%1%2,120 registered voters
ABC News/Washington Post [54] September 19–22, 201641%53%2%2%1,001 adults±4.5%
Quinnipiac [63] September 8–13, 201642%49%4%1%960 likely voters±3.2%

Other criteria

Independent voters

Poll sourceDateHillary Clinton
Democratic		Donald Trump
Republican		Gary Johnson
Libertarian		Jill Stein
Green		Sample
size		Margin
of error
Bloomberg Politics/Purple Insights [40] October 28–31, 201630%27%19%8%601 likely voters who identify as independent± 4.0%
Fox News [65] September 11–14, 201631%36%16%7%1,006 registered voters±3.0%
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation [28] September 1–4, 201629%49%16%6%1,001 adults±3.5%
Quinnipiac University [37] August 18–24, 201633%34%19%9%1,498 likely voters±2.5%
Ipsos/Reuters [66] July 25–29, 201621%19%18%6%1,788 registered voters± 2.4%

Americans with household incomes of $100,000 or more

Poll sourceDateHillary Clinton
Democratic		Donald Trump
Republican		Gary Johnson
Libertarian		Jill Stein
Green		Sample
size		Margin
of error
Bloomberg Politics/Purple Insights [47] September 16–19, 201641%37%9%2%600 likely voters±4.0%

Military

Poll sourceDateHillary Clinton
Democratic		Donald Trump
Republican		Gary Johnson
Libertarian		Jill Stein
Green		Sample
size		Margin
of error
Military Times/Syracuse University [67] September 201616.3%37.6%36.5%1.2%2,200 active-duty military±2.0%

LGBT Americans

Poll sourceDateHillary Clinton
Democratic		Donald Trump
Republican		Gary Johnson
Libertarian		Jill Stein
Green		Sample
size		Margin
of error
Pew Research [68] September 27-October 10, 201672%13%7%8%167 registered voters who identify as lesbian, gay or bisexual

See also

General election polling

Democratic primary polling

Republican primary polling

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This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the Democratic primaries for the 2016 United States presidential election. The persons named in the polls are declared candidates, are former candidates, or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 Republican Party presidential primaries</span>

This article contains opinion polling by U.S. state for the 2016 Republican Party presidential primaries. The shading for each poll indicates the candidate(s) which are within one margin of error of the poll's leader.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 Democratic Party presidential primaries</span>

This article contains opinion polling by U.S. state for the 2016 Democratic Party presidential primaries. For currency and accuracy, please note the specific dates for each polling as listed below. For the significance of the earliest state votes, the Iowa caucuses and the New Hampshire primary, see United States presidential primary – Iowa and New Hampshire. To know when any given state votes, see the timeline of primaries and caucuses.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election</span>

Statewide polls for the 2016 United States presidential election include the following. The polls listed here provide early data on opinion polling between the Democratic candidate, the Republican candidate, the Libertarian candidate, and the Green candidate. Prior to the parties' conventions, presumptive candidates were included in the polls. State polling is not conducted in all states for the election due to various factors. More polls usually are conducted in states that are considered swing states as more attention is given to the results. For determining a statistical tie, the margin of error provided by the polling source is applied to the result for each candidate.

This page lists nationwide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the 2016 United States presidential election. The two major party candidates were chosen at the Democratic National Convention and Republican National Convention in July 2016.

The Commission on Presidential Debates (CPD), a bipartisan organization formed in 1987, organized three debates among the major presidential candidates ahead of the 2016 United States presidential election. The first of these presidential debates took place on September 26, 2016, and set the record as the most-watched debate in American history, with 84 million viewers. The second debate took place on October 9, and the third took place on October 19. All CPD debates occurred from approximately 9 p.m. to 10:30 p.m. EDT. Only the Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton and the Republican nominee Donald Trump met the criteria for inclusion in the debates, and thus were the only two to appear in the debates sponsored by the Commission on Presidential Debates. The CPD-sponsored vice presidential debate took place on October 4, 2016. Only Democratic nominee Tim Kaine and Republican nominee Mike Pence appeared in it.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 Iowa Democratic presidential caucuses</span>

The 2016 Iowa Democratic presidential caucuses were held on Monday February 1 in Iowa, as usual marking the Democratic Party's first nominating contest in their series of presidential primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

Statewide polls for the 2016 United States presidential election are as follows. The polls listed here, by state, are from 2013 to December 31, 2015, and provide early data on opinion polling between a possible Republican candidate against a possible Democratic candidate.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 Florida Democratic presidential primary</span>

The 2016 Florida Democratic presidential primary took place on March 15 in the U.S. state of Florida as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 Ohio Democratic presidential primary</span>

The 2016 Ohio Democratic presidential primary took place on March 15 in the U.S. state of Ohio as one of the Democratic Party's primaries prior to the 2016 presidential election.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 New York Democratic presidential primary</span>

The 2016 New York Democratic presidential primary was held on April 19 in the U.S. state of New York as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election. Hillary Clinton, who had previously represented New York in the United States Senate from 2001 to 2009, won a comfortable majority in both the popular vote and delegate count over Bernie Sanders, who was born in Brooklyn.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 Pennsylvania Democratic presidential primary</span>

The 2016 Pennsylvania Democratic presidential primary was held on April 26 in the U.S. state of Pennsylvania as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 New York Republican presidential primary</span>

The 2016 New York Republican presidential primary was held on April 19 in the U.S. state of New York as one of the Republican Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

Statewide polls for the 2016 United States presidential election are as follows. The polls listed here, by state, are from January 1 to August 31, 2016, and provide early data on opinion polling between a possible Republican candidate against a possible Democratic candidate.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States presidential election in Ohio</span>

The 2020 United States presidential election in Ohio was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Ohio voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee—incumbent President Donald Trump and his running mate, Vice President Mike Pence—against the Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden and his running mate, California Senator Kamala Harris. Ohio had 18 electoral votes in the Electoral College.

This page lists statewide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the 2016 United States presidential election in Florida, contested by Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump, Gary Johnson and Jill Stein. The state was won by Donald Trump with 49.02% of the vote against 47.82% for Hillary Clinton.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in Michigan</span>

The 2024 United States presidential election in Michigan is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Michigan voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Michigan has 15 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state lost a seat. Michigan is considered to be a crucial swing state in 2024.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania</span>

The 2024 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Pennsylvania voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Pennsylvania has 19 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state lost a seat.

References

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  2. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 "Final NBC/WSJ Poll: Clinton Holds a Four-Point National Lead Over Trump". NBC News. 6 November 2016. Retrieved 6 November 2016.
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  13. 1 2 "Trump Gains Ground on Clinton; Black Voters Still Wary". 28 August 2016. Retrieved 29 August 2016.
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  16. 1 2 3 4 "Labor Day Look at the 2016 General Election For President: Every Democrat Trails Trump, Though Narrowly". 4 September 2015. Retrieved 7 May 2016.
  17. ↑ Asian American Voices in the 2016 Election. (PDF). 5 October 2016.
  18. ↑ Meckler, Laura (22 September 2016). "Hillary Clinton Retains Lead Over Donald Trump With Hispanic Voters". Wall Street Journal. Retrieved 22 September 2016.
  19. ↑ "Trump's Immigration Stance Isn't Hurting Him". 4 September 2016. Retrieved 5 September 2016.
  20. 1 2 3 4 5 "Bloomberg Politics National Poll". Bloomberg Politics. 7 November 2016. Retrieved 7 November 2016.
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  27. 1 2 "Clinton holds lead over Trump in new poll, but warning signs emerge". The Washington Post . 10 September 2016. Retrieved 11 September 2016.[ dead link ]
  28. 1 2 3 4 5 "Poll: Nine weeks out, a near even race". CNN . 6 September 2016. Retrieved 6 September 2016.
  29. 1 2 3 4 5 "Core Political Data (Expansion)". 1 September 2016. Retrieved 2 September 2016.
  30. 1 2 3 "Core Political Data (Expansion)". 29 September 2016. Retrieved 29 September 2016.
  31. 1 2 "Election Update: Women Are Defeating Donald Trump". FiveThirtyEight. 2016-10-11. Retrieved 2016-11-06.
  32. 1 2 "Genders divided in the US - if only men voted, Donald Trump would win by a landslide". The Telegraph. Retrieved 2016-11-06.
  33. 1 2 "Presidential Polling Data - Presidential Gender Watch". Presidential Gender Watch. Retrieved 2016-11-06.
  34. 1 2 Becker, Kyle (2016-10-13). "This Elections Map Shows What Would Happen If Only Women Voted. If Only Men Voted...Much Different Picture". Independent Journal Review. Retrieved 2016-11-06.
  35. ↑ "Hillary Clinton opens up a commanding 11-point lead over Donald Trump". October 11, 2016.
  36. 1 2 3 "Trump Cuts Clinton Lead In Half, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds, Most Americans Are Voting Against, Not For, A Candidate". 14 September 2016. Retrieved 14 September 2016.
  37. 1 2 3 "Clinton tops 50 percent, leads Trump by 10 points, Quinnipiac University National Poll finds" (PDF). 25 August 2016. Archived from the original (PDF) on 27 August 2016. Retrieved 29 August 2016.
  38. ↑ "Clinton holds narrow lead over Trump on eve of conventions". The Washington Post . 17 July 2016. Retrieved 17 July 2016.[ dead link ]
  39. ↑ "Clinton's lead over Trump shrinks dramatically". 13 July 2016. Retrieved 13 July 2016.
  40. 1 2 "Bloomberg Politics Purple Slice Poll Independent Voters". Bloomberg Politics. November 2, 2016.
  41. 1 2 3 "Trump Leads Clinton Nationally and in Four States Polled, 3 of 4 Senate Incumbents Look Safe, Pneumonia News Hurting Clinton" (PDF). 15 September 2016.
  42. 1 2 "Clinton National Lead Steady at 5 Points; Both Candidates Becoming More Unpopular" (PDF). 30 August 2016. Retrieved 30 August 2016.
  43. ↑ "Clinton Holds Lead Amid Record High Dislike of Both Nominees". 29 August 2016. Retrieved 30 August 2016.
  44. ↑ "Poll: Donald Trump Chips Away at Hillary Clinton's National Lead". NBC News . 30 August 2016. Retrieved 30 August 2016.
  45. ↑ "Recent Survey Findings Among LGBT Likely Voters" (PDF). 4 May 2016. Retrieved 7 May 2016.
  46. ↑ "Survey of Young Americans' Attitudes toward Politics and Public Service" (PDF). Retrieved 26 October 2016.
  47. 1 2 "Bloomberg Politics/Purple Slice Poll Voters with HH Incomes of 100K Dollars Plus". 21 September 2016. Retrieved 21 September 2016.
  48. ↑ "National Survey Results" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. Retrieved 26 October 2016.
  49. ↑ "Hillary sinks to third place among independent voters: Poll". 12 June 2016.
  50. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "Factors underlying voter preferences, positive and negative voting". 27 October 2016. Retrieved 27 October 2016.
  51. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "Clinton Vaults to a Double-Digit Lead, Boosted by Broad Disapproval of Trump" (PDF). 23 October 2016. Retrieved 23 October 2016.
  52. 1 2 3 "On Eve of Final Debate, Clinton 10 Atop Trump Nationwide in Take-No-Prisoners Campaign - She Leads by 44 Points Among Urban Women - He Leads by 9 Points Among Rural Women". 18 October 2016. Retrieved 19 October 2016.
  53. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "Hillary Clinton edges ahead of Donald Trump after first debate - CBS News poll". CBS News . 3 October 2016. Retrieved 4 October 2016.
  54. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 "Clinton-Trump Race Narrows on the Doorstep of the Debates (POLL)". ABC News . 25 September 2016. Retrieved 25 September 2016.
  55. 1 2 3 4 5 "The Economist/YouGov Poll" (PDF). Retrieved 21 September 2016.
  56. 1 2 3 "U.S. Voters' 2016 general election preferences". 18 August 2016.
  57. ↑ "Women, Non-Whites Give Clinton 5-Point Lead Over Trump, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds Independent Voters In Big Shift To Clinton". 7 October 2016. Archived from the original on 7 October 2016. Retrieved 7 October 2016.
  58. ↑ "The Economist/YouGov Poll" (PDF).
  59. ↑ "National Survey Results" (PDF). Retrieved 30 July 2016.
  60. ↑ "Convention impact limited as Clinton still leads Trump" . Retrieved July 31, 2016.
  61. ↑ Shedrofsky, Susan Page and Karina. "Clinton's massive lead over Trump narrows a bit among Millennials in new poll". USA TODAY.
  62. ↑ Shedrofsky, Susan Page and Karina. "Will Millennials vote? Poll finds record support for Clinton, but enthusiasm ebbing". USA TODAY.
  63. 1 2 3 4 "Quinnipiac" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on 2016-09-16. Retrieved 2016-09-17.
  64. ↑ "Investor's Business Daily" (PDF).
  65. ↑ "Fox News Poll: Clinton and Trump in a one-point race among likely voters". Fox News . September 15, 2016. Retrieved September 16, 2016.
  66. ↑ "Core Political Data". Archived from the original on August 4, 2016. Retrieved July 31, 2016.
  67. ↑ Shane, Leo III; Altman, George R. (September 21, 2016). "This poll of the U.S. military has Gary Johnson tied with Donald Trump in the race for president". Military Times . Retrieved September 21, 2016.
  68. ↑ "Lesbian, gay and bisexual voters remain a solidly Democratic bloc". Pew Research. October 25, 2016. Retrieved October 26, 2016.
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