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Statewide polls for the 2016 United States presidential election are as follows. The polls listed here, by state, are from 2013 to December 31, 2015, and provide early data on opinion polling between a possible Republican candidate against a possible Democratic candidate.
Note some states did not conduct polling before December 31, 2015.
3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 59%–38%
(Republican in 2012) 55%–41%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [1] | September 18–21, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Jeb Bush | 44% | 5 | 880 | ± 3.3% |
Hillary Clinton | 36% | Chris Christie | 46% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 39% | Ted Cruz | 46% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 40% | Mike Huckabee | 44% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Sarah Palin | 38% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 40% | Rand Paul | 45% | 5 | ||||
Public Policy Polling [2] | July 31 – August 3, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Jeb Bush | 47% | 9 | 673 | ± 3.8% |
Hillary Clinton | 34% | Chris Christie | 45% | 11 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 39% | Mike Huckabee | 47% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Sarah Palin | 40% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 36% | Rand Paul | 50% | 14 | ||||
Public Policy Polling [3] | May 8–11, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Jeb Bush | 47% | 6 | 582 | ± 4.1% |
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Chris Christie | 44% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Mike Huckabee | 43% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Sarah Palin | 41% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 40% | Rand Paul | 46% | 6 | ||||
Public Policy Polling [4] | January 30 – February 1, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Jeb Bush | 47% | 8 | 850 | ± 3.4% |
Hillary Clinton | 39% | Chris Christie | 43% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Mike Huckabee | 45% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Sarah Palin | 43% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Rand Paul | 47% | 6 | ||||
Public Policy Polling [5] | July 25–28, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Jeb Bush | 49% | 7 | 890 | ± 3.3% |
Hillary Clinton | 38% | Chris Christie | 46% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Sarah Palin | 40% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Rand Paul | 49% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Marco Rubio | 45% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Paul Ryan | 47% | 1 | ||||
Public Policy Polling [6] | February 4–5, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Chris Christie | 43% | 1 | 1,129 | ± 2.9% |
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Sarah Palin | 37% | 16 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Marco Rubio | 43% | 1 |
11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%
(Republican in 2012) 53%–44%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Strategies 360 [7] | December 4–9, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 44% | 2 | 504 | ± 4.4% |
Hillary Clinton | 37% | Marco Rubio | 53% | 16 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 40% | Ted Cruz | 50% | 10 | ||||
Public Policy Polling [8] | May 1–3, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Jeb Bush | 41% | Tied | 600 | ± 4% |
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Ben Carson | 42% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 39% | Chris Christie | 46% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Ted Cruz | 44% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Mike Huckabee | 44% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 40% | Rand Paul | 45% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Rick Perry | 41% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Marco Rubio | 43% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Scott Walker | 44% | 1 | ||||
Lincoln Chafee | 26% | Scott Walker | 41% | 15 | ||||
Martin O'Malley | 25% | Scott Walker | 43% | 18 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 28% | Scott Walker | 43% | 15 | ||||
Jim Webb | 26% | Scott Walker | 44% | 18 | ||||
Public Policy Polling [9] | February 28 – March 2, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jan Brewer | 39% | 7 | 870 | ± 3.3% |
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Jeb Bush | 45% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Chris Christie | 41% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Mike Huckabee | 41% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Rand Paul | 43% | 3 |
6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 59%–39%
(Republican in 2012) 61%–37%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing [10] | October 21–27, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Donald Trump | 47% | 9 | 568 | ± 4.1% |
Gravis Marketing [11] | September 8–11, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Jeb Bush | 49% | 7 | 902 | ± 4% |
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Rand Paul | 48% | 6 | ||||
Public Policy Polling [12] | September 18–24, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Jeb Bush | 46% | 4 | 1453 | 2.6% |
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Chris Christie | 41% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Ted Cruz | 44% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Mike Huckabee | 53% | 12 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Rand Paul | 45% | 2 | ||||
Public Policy Polling [13] | August 1–3, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Jeb Bush | 46% | 5 | 1,066 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Chris Christie | 42% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Ted Cruz | 46% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 39% | Mike Huckabee | 55% | 16 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Rand Paul | 45% | 3 | ||||
Public Policy Polling [14] | April 25–27, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 5 | 840 | ± 3.4% |
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Chris Christie | 38% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Mike Huckabee | 47% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Rand Paul | 42% | 6 |
55 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–37%
(Democratic in 2012) 60%–37%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Field Poll [15] | April 23 – May 16, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 52% | Jeb Bush | 31% | 21 | 435 | ± 5.0% |
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Marco Rubio | 32% | 21 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 54% | Scott Walker | 30% | 24 | ||||
Emerson College [16] | April 2–8, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 53% | Jeb Bush | 47% | 6 | 881 | ± 3.2% |
Hillary Clinton | 56% | Ted Cruz | 45% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Scott Walker | 47% | 6 | ||||
Gravis Marketing [17] | July 22–24, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Rand Paul | 40% | 9 | 580 | ± 4% |
9 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%
(Democratic in 2012) 51%–46%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Quinnipiac University [18] | November 11–15, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Ben Carson | 52% | 14 | 1,262 | ± 2.8% |
Hillary Clinton | 37% | Donald Trump | 48% | 11 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 36% | Marco Rubio | 52% | 16 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 38% | Ted Cruz | 51% | 13 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 40% | Ben Carson | 52% | 12 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 44% | Donald Trump | 46% | 2 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 39% | Marco Rubio | 52% | 13 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 42% | Ted Cruz | 49% | 7 | ||||
Quinnipiac University [19] | July 9–20, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 36% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 5 | 1231 | ± 2.8% |
Hillary Clinton | 38% | Scott Walker | 47% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 38% | Marco Rubio | 46% | 8 | ||||
Joe Biden | 36% | Jeb Bush | 45% | 9 | ||||
Joe Biden | 36% | Scott Walker | 48% | 12 | ||||
Joe Biden | 35% | Marco Rubio | 49% | 14 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 37% | Jeb Bush | 43% | 6 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 36% | Scott Walker | 44% | 8 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 35% | Marco Rubio | 46% | 11 | ||||
Quinnipiac University [20] | March 29 – April 7, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Jeb Bush | 38% | 3 | 894 | ± 3.3% |
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Chris Christie | 39% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Ted Cruz | 41% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Mike Huckabee | 41% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Rand Paul | 44% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 40% | Marco Rubio | 41% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Scott Walker | 42% | 1 | ||||
Quinnipiac University [21] | February 5–15, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Jeb Bush | 36% | 8 | 1,049 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Chris Christie | 34% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Mike Huckabee | 39% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Rand Paul | 41% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Scott Walker | 40% | 2 | ||||
Public Policy Polling [22] | July 17–20, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Jeb Bush | 40% | 1 | 653 | ± 3.8% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Chris Christie | 39% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Ted Cruz | 43% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Mike Huckabee | 43% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Rand Paul | 45% | 1 | ||||
Quinnipiac University [23] | July 10–14, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Jeb Bush | 40% | 4 | 1,147 | ± 2.9% |
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Chris Christie | 40% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Mike Huckabee | 41% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Rand Paul | 46% | 3 | ||||
Quinnipiac University [24] | April 15–21, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Jeb Bush | 40% | 5 | 1,298 | ± 2.7% |
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Chris Christie | 42% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Mike Huckabee | 44% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Rand Paul | 48% | 5 | ||||
Public Policy Polling [25] | March 13–16, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Jeb Bush | 39% | 9 | 568 | ± 4.1% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Chris Christie | 38% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Ted Cruz | 40% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Mike Huckabee | 41% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rand Paul | 44% | 3 | ||||
Quinnipiac University [26] | January 29 – February 2, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Chris Christie | 42% | 1 | 1,139 | ± 2.9% |
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Ted Cruz | 43% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Rand Paul | 47% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Paul Ryan | 48% | 5 | ||||
Public Policy Polling [27] | December 3–4, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Jeb Bush | 43% | 4 | 928 | ±3.2% |
Hillary Clinton | 39% | Chris Christie | 46% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ted Cruz | 45% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Rand Paul | 47% | 2 | ||||
Quinnipiac University [28] | November 15–18, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Chris Christie | 46% | 8 | 1,206 | ± 2.8% |
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Ted Cruz | 44% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Rand Paul | 47% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Paul Ryan | 45% | 2 | ||||
Quinnipiac University [29] | August 15–21, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Chris Christie | 43% | 1 | 1,184 | ± 2.9% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ted Cruz | 42% | 3 | ||||
Joe Biden | 33% | Chris Christie | 50% | 17 | ||||
Joe Biden | 39% | Ted Cruz | 45% | 6 | ||||
Quinnipiac University [30] | June 5–10, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Chris Christie | 44% | 3 | 1,065 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Marco Rubio | 46% | 1 | ||||
Joe Biden | 32% | Chris Christie | 48% | 16 | ||||
Joe Biden | 35% | Marco Rubio | 48% | 13 | ||||
Public Policy Polling [31] | April 11–14, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Rand Paul | 45% | 3 | 500 | ±4.4% |
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Marco Rubio | 44% | 4 | ||||
John Hickenlooper | 47% | Rand Paul | 45% | 2 | ||||
John Hickenlooper | 47% | Marco Rubio | 45% | 2 |
7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–38%
(Democratic in 2012) 58%–41%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Quinnipiac University [32] | October 7–11, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Ben Carson | 42% | 2 | 1,735 | ± 2.4% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Carly Fiorina | 40% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 40% | 7 | ||||
Joe Biden | 51% | Ben Carson | 39% | 12 | ||||
Joe Biden | 53% | Carly Fiorina | 36% | 17 | ||||
Joe Biden | 55% | Donald Trump | 37% | 18 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 44% | Ben Carson | 41% | 3 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 44% | Carly Fiorina | 39% | 5 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 49% | Donald Trump | 40% | 9 | ||||
Quinnipiac University [33] | March 6–9, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 52% | Jeb Bush | 34% | 18 | 1,235 | ± 2.8% |
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Chris Christie | 34% | 18 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 55% | Ted Cruz | 30% | 25 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 56% | Mike Huckabee | 31% | 25 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 54% | Rand Paul | 32% | 22 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Marco Rubio | 34% | 19 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Scott Walker | 33% | 20 | ||||
Public Policy Polling [34] | October 2–5, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Jeb Bush | 37% | 13 | 861 | ± 3.3% |
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Chris Christie | 39% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 54% | Ted Cruz | 32% | 22 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Mike Huckabee | 34% | 19 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 54% | Rand Paul | 35% | 19 | ||||
Gravis Marketing [35] | August 4–7, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ben Carson | 36% | 9 | 440 | ± 5% |
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Rand Paul | 33% | 15 |
29 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2012) 50%–49%
16 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 52%–47%
(Republican in 2012) 53%–45%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [36] | October 2–5, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Jeb Bush | 45% | 1 | 895 | ± 3.3% |
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Herman Cain | 45% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 41% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ted Cruz | 41% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Newt Gingrich | 43% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Mike Huckabee | 45% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rand Paul | 44% | 3 | ||||
Public Policy Polling [37] | August 2–5, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Jeb Bush | 45% | Tied | 520 | ± 4.3% |
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Chris Christie | 44% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Newt Gingrich | 43% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Sarah Palin | 38% | 13 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Rand Paul | 43% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Paul Ryan | 44% | 3 | ||||
Public Policy Polling [38] | February 15–18, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Newt Gingrich | 44% | 7 | 602 | ± 4% |
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Marco Rubio | 46% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Paul Ryan | 45% | 5 |
4 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 61%–36%
(Republican in 2012) 64%–32%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [39] | October 9–12, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 33% | Jeb Bush | 50% | 17 | 522 | ± 4.3% |
Hillary Clinton | 33% | Chris Christie | 44% | 11 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 34% | Ted Cruz | 50% | 16 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 34% | Mike Huckabee | 52% | 18 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 33% | Rand Paul | 52% | 19 |
20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–37%
(Democratic in 2012) 58%–41%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [40] | July 20–21, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Jeb Bush | 39% | 9 | 931 | ± 3.2% |
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Ben Carson | 37% | 12 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Chris Christie | 35% | 14 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Ted Cruz | 35% | 16 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Carly Fiorina | 34% | 15 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Mike Huckabee | 35% | 16 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rand Paul | 37% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Marco Rubio | 37% | 12 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Donald Trump | 33% | 18 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Scott Walker | 39% | 11 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 42% | Jeb Bush | 37% | 5 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 40% | Marco Rubio | 34% | 6 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 48% | Donald Trump | 32% | 16 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 40% | Scott Walker | 36% | 4 |
6 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–46%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Poling [41] | December 10–13, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 5 | 1,426 | ± 2.6% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ben Carson | 45% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Ted Cruz | 47% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Carly Fiorina | 42% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Marco Rubio | 48% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 43% | 2 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 44% | Jeb Bush | 40% | 4 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 43% | Ben Carson | 42% | 1 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 44% | Ted Cruz | 43% | 1 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 45% | Carly Fiorina | 39% | 6 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 42% | Marco Rubio | 44% | 2 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 46% | Donald Trump | 43% | 3 | ||||
Public Policy Poling [42] | October 30 – November 1, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Jeb Bush | 40% | 5 | 1,668 | ± 2.4% |
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Ben Carson | 47% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Ted Cruz | 44% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Carly Fiorina | 43% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Mike Huckabee | 44% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | John Kasich | 36% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Marco Rubio | 45% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 44% | Tied | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 41% | Jeb Bush | 41% | Tied | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 37% | Ben Carson | 47% | 10 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 42% | Ted Cruz | 43% | 1 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 38% | Marco Rubio | 45% | 7 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 43% | Donald Trump | 44% | 1 | ||||
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist [43] | September 23–30, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Jeb Bush | 50% | 10 | 1,061 | ± 3.0% |
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 48% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 38% | Carly Fiorina | 52% | 14 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 44% | Jeb Bush | 46% | 2 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 48% | Donald Trump | 43% | 5 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 42% | Carly Fiorina | 45% | 3 | ||||
Public Policy Poling [44] | September 18–20, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 1 | 1,374 | |
Hillary Clinton | 37% | Ben Carson | 52% | 15 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Ted Cruz | 43% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 39% | Carly Fiorina | 47% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Mike Huckabee | 44% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | John Kasich | 39% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Marco Rubio | 45% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 44% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Scott Walker | 44% | 1 | ||||
Joe Biden | 44% | Jeb Bush | 40% | 4 | ||||
Joe Biden | 38% | Ben Carson | 47% | 9 | ||||
Joe Biden | 46% | Donald Trump | 44% | 2 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 42% | Jeb Bush | 40% | 2 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 34% | Ben Carson | 48% | 14 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 44% | Donald Trump | 44% | Tied | ||||
NBC News/Marist [45] | August 26 – September 2, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Jeb Bush | 50% | 11 | 998 | ± 3.1% |
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 48% | 5 | ||||
Joe Biden | 44% | Jeb Bush | 46% | 2 | ||||
Joe Biden | 49% | Donald Trump | 45% | 4 | ||||
Public Policy Poling [46] | August 7–9, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Jeb Bush | 40% | 4 | 1,500 | ± 2.5% |
Hillary Clinton | 40% | Ben Carson | 44% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Chris Christie | 39% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Ted Cruz | 42% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Carly Fiorina | 40% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Mike Huckabee | 44% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | John Kasich | 39% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Rand Paul | 40% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Marco Rubio | 43% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 40% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Scott Walker | 44% | 1 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 41% | Jeb Bush | 40% | 1 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 38% | Marco Rubio | 39% | 1 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 44% | Donald Trump | 40% | 4 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 40% | Scott Walker | 40% | Tied | ||||
Quinnipiac University [19] | July 9–20, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 36% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 6 | 1,236 | ± 2.8% |
Hillary Clinton | 37% | Scott Walker | 45% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 36% | Marco Rubio | 44% | 8 | ||||
Joe Biden | 37% | Jeb Bush | 44% | 7 | ||||
Joe Biden | 36% | Scott Walker | 47% | 11 | ||||
Joe Biden | 37% | Marco Rubio | 45% | 8 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 38% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 4 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 36% | Scott Walker | 44% | 8 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 36% | Marco Rubio | 43% | 7 | ||||
Public Policy Polling [47] | April 23–26, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 3 | 1,219 | ± 2.8% |
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ben Carson | 41% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Chris Christie | 40% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Ted Cruz | 42% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Mike Huckabee | 44% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Rand Paul | 43% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Rick Perry | 41% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Marco Rubio | 44% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Scott Walker | 41% | 7 | ||||
Lincoln Chafee | 29% | Scott Walker | 39% | 10 | ||||
Martin O'Malley | 32% | Scott Walker | 38% | 6 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 34% | Scott Walker | 39% | 5 | ||||
Jim Webb | 32% | Scott Walker | 39% | 7 | ||||
Gravis Marketing [48] | April 13, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Jeb Bush | 40% | 3 | 1,259 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ben Carson | 37% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Chris Christie | 39% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ted Cruz | 40% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Carly Fiorina | 37% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Mike Huckabee | 43% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Rand Paul | 43% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 40% | Condoleezza Rice | 43% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Marco Rubio | 42% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Scott Walker | 41% | 5 | ||||
Quinnipiac University [20] | March 29 – April 7, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Jeb Bush | 40% | 1 | 948 | ± 3.2% |
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Chris Christie | 39% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Ted Cruz | 40% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Mike Huckabee | 42% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Rand Paul | 43% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Marco Rubio | 40% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Scott Walker | 40% | 4 | ||||
Quinnipiac University [21] | February 5–15, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Jeb Bush | 35% | 10 | 1,089 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Chris Christie | 34% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Mike Huckabee | 38% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Rand Paul | 37% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Scott Walker | 35% | 10 | ||||
Gravis Marketing [49] | February 12–13, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Jeb Bush | 37% | 6 | 343 | ± 4% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Chris Christie | 35% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Mike Huckabee | 40% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Rand Paul | 39% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Scott Walker | 41% | 6 | ||||
NBC News/Marist [50] | February 3–10, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Jeb Bush | 40% | 8 | 891 | ± 3.3% |
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Scott Walker | 38% | 11 | ||||
Ipsos/Reuters [51] | October 23–29, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Jeb Bush | 36% | 8 | 1,129 | ± 3.3% |
Hillary Clinton | 40% | Chris Christie | 37% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Rand Paul | 36% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Paul Ryan | 41% | 1 | ||||
Joe Biden | 33% | Jeb Bush | 40% | 7 | ||||
Joe Biden | 30% | Chris Christie | 41% | 11 | ||||
Joe Biden | 33% | Rand Paul | 39% | 6 | ||||
Joe Biden | 32% | Paul Ryan | 45% | 13 | ||||
Andrew Cuomo | 30% | Jeb Bush | 36% | 6 | ||||
Andrew Cuomo | 24% | Chris Christie | 39% | 15 | ||||
Andrew Cuomo | 30% | Rand Paul | 37% | 7 | ||||
Andrew Cuomo | 27% | Paul Ryan | 41% | 14 | ||||
Gravis Marketing [52] | October 20–21, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 42.6% | Jeb Bush | 43.5% | 0.9 | 964 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Paul Ryan | 44% | 1 | ||||
Gravis Marketing [53] | September 29–30, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Jeb Bush | 41% | Tied | 522 | ± 4% |
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Paul Ryan | 44% | Tied | ||||
Public Policy Polling [54] | September 25–28, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Jeb Bush | 43% | Tied | 1,192 | ± 2.8% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Chris Christie | 41% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ted Cruz | 39% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Mike Huckabee | 42% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rand Paul | 42% | 5 | ||||
NBC News/Marist [55] | July 7–13, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 4 | 753 | ± 3.6% |
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Chris Christie | 43% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Ted Cruz | 37% | 12 | 832 | ± 3.4% | ||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Rand Paul | 45% | Tied | 753 | ± 3.6% | ||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Marco Rubio | 40% | 9 | 832 | ± 3.4% | ||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Scott Walker | 37% | 13 | ||||
Quinnipiac University [56] | June 12–16, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Jeb Bush | 36% | 13 | 1,277 | ± 2.7% |
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Chris Christie | 36% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Mike Huckabee | 39% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Rand Paul | 40% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Paul Ryan | 41% | 6 | ||||
Loras College [57] | June 4–5, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 48.7% | Jeb Bush | 38.2% | 5 | 600 | ± 4.0% |
Hillary Clinton | 47.5% | Chris Christie | 39% | 8.5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49.7% | Mike Huckabee | 39.8% | 9.9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Rand Paul | 37.5% | 14.5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Paul Ryan | 38.7% | 11.3 | ||||
Public Policy Polling [58] | May 15–19, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Jeb Bush | 39% | 5 | 914 | ± 3.2% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Chris Christie | 39% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ted Cruz | 40% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Mike Huckabee | 42% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Rand Paul | 42% | 4 | ||||
Quinnipiac University [59] | March 5–10, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Jeb Bush | 37% | 14 | 1,411 | ± 2.6% |
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Chris Christie | 35% | 13 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Ted Cruz | 35% | 16 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Rand Paul | 39% | 10 | ||||
Public Policy Polling [60] | February 20–23, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 4 | 869 | ± 3.3% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Mike Huckabee | 42% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rand Paul | 42% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Chris Christie | 39% | 6 | ||||
Quinnipiac University [61] | December 10–15, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Chris Christie | 45% | 5 | 1,617 | ± 2.4% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Rand Paul | 41% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Jeb Bush | 40% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ted Cruz | 41% | 7 | ||||
Harper Polling [62] | November 23–24, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 38.12% | Chris Christie | 43.35% | 5.23 | 985 | ± 3.12% |
Hillary Clinton | 46.40% | Paul Ryan | 42.57% | 3.83 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45.21% | Marco Rubio | 40.79% | 4.42 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46.82% | Rand Paul | 41.06% | 5.76 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47.37% | Ted Cruz | 40.45% | 6.92 | ||||
Quinnipiac University [63] | July 15–17, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Chris Christie | 41% | Tied | 1,256 | ± 2.8% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Scott Walker | 39% | 7 | ||||
Joe Biden | 32% | Chris Christie | 49% | 17 | ||||
Joe Biden | 39% | Scott Walker | 42% | 3 | ||||
Public Policy Polling [64] | July 5–7, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Chris Christie | 36% | 7 | 668 | ± 3.8% |
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Paul Ryan | 40% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Rand Paul | 37% | 11 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Marco Rubio | 35% | 12 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Jeb Bush | 36% | 14 | ||||
Quinnipiac University [65] | May 15–21, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Rand Paul | 42% | 4 | 1,411 | ± 2.6% |
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Marco Rubio | 37% | 11 | ||||
Joe Biden | 39% | Rand Paul | 44% | 5 | ||||
Joe Biden | 39% | Marco Rubio | 40% | 1 | ||||
Public Policy Polling [66] | January 31–February 3, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 41% | 5 | 800 | ± 3.5% |
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Jeb Bush | 43% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Paul Ryan | 44% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Marco Rubio | 41% | 8 | ||||
Joe Biden | 44% | Chris Christie | 44% | Tied | ||||
Joe Biden | 48% | Jeb Bush | 45% | 3 | ||||
Joe Biden | 49% | Paul Ryan | 45% | 4 | ||||
Joe Biden | 48% | Marco Rubio | 43% | 5 |
Three-way race
Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Independent/ Third-party candidate | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Poling [41] | December 10–13, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Ted Cruz | 33% | Donald Trump | 20% | 8 | 1,426 | ± 2.6% |
Hillary Clinton | 39% | Marco Rubio | 33% | Donald Trump | 23% | 6 | ||||
Public Policy Poling [42] | October 30 – November 1, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 40% | Jim Webb | 9% | 1 | 1,668 | ± 2.4% |
Public Policy Polling [44] | September 18–20, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Jeb Bush | 26% | Donald Trump | 27% | 11 | 1,374 | |
Public Policy Polling [46] | August 7–9, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Jeb Bush | 30% | Donald Trump | 21% | 9 | 1,500 | 2.5% |
6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 56%–42%
(Republican in 2012) 60%–38%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing [67] | October 20–21, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Jeb Bush | 49% | 11 | 1,124 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 37% | Rand Paul | 50% | 13 | ||||
Public Policy Polling [68] | October 9–12, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 37% | Jeb Bush | 48% | 11 | 1,081 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 38% | Chris Christie | 42% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Ted Cruz | 44% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Mike Huckabee | 47% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 40% | Rand Paul | 45% | 5 | ||||
Gravis Marketing [69] | September 30 – October 1, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Jeb Bush | 49% | 11 | 850 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 38% | Rand Paul | 48% | 10 | ||||
Public Policy Polling [70] | September 11–14, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Jeb Bush | 46% | 6 | 1,328 | ± 2.7% |
Hillary Clinton | 40% | Chris Christie | 42% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Ted Cruz | 41% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Mike Huckabee | 45% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Rand Paul | 43% | 2 | ||||
Public Policy Polling [71] | August 14–17, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Jeb Bush | 45% | 6 | 903 | ± 3.3% |
Hillary Clinton | 38% | Chris Christie | 42% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Ted Cruz | 43% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Mike Huckabee | 46% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Rand Paul | 45% | 4 | ||||
Public Policy Polling [72] | February 18–20, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Jeb Bush | 50% | 9 | 693 | ± 3.7% |
Hillary Clinton | 39% | Chris Christie | 46% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Mike Huckabee | 49% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Rand Paul | 48% | 7 | ||||
Public Policy Polling [73] | February 21–24, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Marco Rubio | 47% | 5 | 1,229 | ±2.8% |
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Paul Ryan | 50% | 7 |
8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 57%–41%
(Republican in 2012) 60%–38%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [74] | June 18–21, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Jeb Bush | 48% | 8 | 1,108 | ± 2.9% |
Hillary Clinton | 40% | Ben Carson | 49% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Ted Cruz | 48% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 40% | Carly Fiorina | 45% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 39% | Mike Huckabee | 49% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 40% | Rand Paul | 50% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Marco Rubio | 46% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 42% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Scott Walker | 46% | 5 | ||||
Lincoln Chafee | 23% | Scott Walker | 41% | 18 | ||||
Martin O'Malley | 22% | Scott Walker | 40% | 18 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 29% | Scott Walker | 42% | 13 | ||||
Jim Webb | 22% | Scott Walker | 42% | 20 | ||||
Gravis Marketing [75] | October 11–12, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Rand Paul | 48% | 3 | 1,020 | ± 3% |
Elizabeth Warren | 36% | Rand Paul | 49% | 13 | ||||
Public Policy Polling [76] | August 7–10, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Jeb Bush | 48% | 5 | 991 | ± 3.1% |
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Chris Christie | 41% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Ted Cruz | 41% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Mike Huckabee | 47% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Rand Paul | 49% | 6 | ||||
Gravis Marketing [77] | July 17–20, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Rand Paul | 50% | 6 | 1,054 | ± 3% |
Elizabeth Warren | 34% | Rand Paul | 52% | 18 | ||||
SurveyUSA [78] | May 14–16, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Rand Paul | 48% | 4 | 1,782 | ± 2.4% |
Public Policy Polling [79] | December 12–15, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Jeb Bush | 46% | 4 | 1,509 | ± 2.5% |
Hillary Clinton | 40% | Chris Christie | 44% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Ted Cruz | 41% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Rand Paul | 49% | 6 | ||||
Public Policy Polling [80] | April 5–7, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Rand Paul | 45% | Tied | 1,052 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Marco Rubio | 40% | 6 |
8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 59%–40%
(Republican in 2012) 58%–41%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WWL-TV/Clarus [81] | September 20–23, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Bobby Jindal | 42% | 3 | 800 | ± 3.46% |
Hillary Clinton | 38% | Jeb Bush | 56% | 18 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 47% | 8 | ||||
Public Policy Polling [82] | September 25–28, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Jeb Bush | 49% | 8 | 1,141 | ± 2.9% |
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Chris Christie | 42% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Ted Cruz | 47% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Mike Huckabee | 50% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Bobby Jindal | 45% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Rand Paul | 47% | 4 | ||||
Gravis Marketing [83] | September 5–9, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Jeb Bush | 48% | 5 | 426 | ± 5% |
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Rand Paul | 45% | 1 | ||||
Public Policy Polling [84] | June 26–29, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Jeb Bush | 46% | 1 | 664 | ± 3.8% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 42% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Ted Cruz | 45% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Mike Huckabee | 46% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Bobby Jindal | 44% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Rand Paul | 46% | Tied | ||||
Magellan Strategies [85] | March 24–26, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 40.4% | Bobby Jindal | 45% | 4.6 | 600 | ± 4.1% |
Public Policy Polling [86] | February 6–9, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Jeb Bush | 50% | 7 | 635 | ± 3.9% |
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Chris Christie | 44% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Mike Huckabee | 49% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Bobby Jindal | 47% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Rand Paul | 47% | 4 | ||||
Public Policy Polling [87] | August 16–19, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Jeb Bush | 44% | Tied | 721 | ± 3.7% |
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Chris Christie | 41% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Bobby Jindal | 40% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Rand Paul | 45% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Paul Ryan | 46% | 2 | ||||
Harper Polling [88] | August 14–15, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Bobby Jindal | 42% | 2 | 596 | ± 4.01% |
Public Policy Polling [89] | February 8–12, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Bobby Jindal | 45% | 3 | 603 | ± 4% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Marco Rubio | 43% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Paul Ryan | 46% | Tied |
4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 58%–40%
(Democratic in 2012) 56%–41%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [90] | November 8–11, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 55% | Jeb Bush | 32% | 23 | 964 | ±3.2% |
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Chris Christie | 39% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 57% | Ted Cruz | 30% | 27 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 57% | Rand Paul | 32% | 25 |
10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–36%
(Democratic in 2012) 62%–36%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing [91] | October 6–9, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 52% | Jeb Bush | 35% | 17 | 784 | ± 3.5% |
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Rand Paul | 34% | 17 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Paul Ryan | 36% | 15 |
11 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–36%
(Democratic in 2012) 61%–38%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Western New England University [92] | October 1–8, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 64% | Donald Trump | 27% | 37 | 425 | ± 5% |
Hillary Clinton | 58% | Jeb Bush | 31% | 27 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 61% | Carly Fiorina | 29% | 32 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 63% | Donald Trump | 28% | 35 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 57% | Jeb Bush | 30% | 27 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 59% | Carly Fiorina | 29% | 30 | ||||
Emerson College [93] | March 14–19, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 59% | Jeb Bush | 38% | 21 | 797 | ± 3.4% |
Hillary Clinton | 60% | Rand Paul | 36% | 24 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 58% | Scott Walker | 38% | 20 |
16 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–41%
(Democratic in 2012) 54%–45%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FOX 2 Detroit/Mitchell Research [94] | September 27, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Marco Rubio | 43% | 3% | 1,483 | ± 2.5% |
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 42% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Jeb Bush | 37% | 5 | ||||
FOX 2 Detroit/Mitchell Research [95] | August 10, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 40% | 1% | 1,310 | ± 2.7% |
Hillary Clinton | 40% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 1% | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 36% | Marco Rubio | 45% | 9% | ||||
Public Policy Polling [96] | June 25–28, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Jeb Bush | 38% | 9 | 1,072 | ± 3.0% |
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Ben Carson | 41% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Chris Christie | 38% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Ted Cruz | 39% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Carly Fiorina | 38% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Mike Huckabee | 42% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Rand Paul | 42% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Marco Rubio | 40% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 39% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Scott Walker | 42% | 4 | ||||
Lincoln Chafee | 31% | Scott Walker | 36% | 5 | ||||
Martin O'Malley | 32% | Scott Walker | 37% | 5 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 35% | Scott Walker | 39% | 4 | ||||
Jim Webb | 31% | Scott Walker | 38% | 7 | ||||
Public Policy Polling [97] | September 4–7, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Jeb Bush | 38% | 11 | 687 | ± 3.7% |
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Chris Christie | 36% | 12 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Ted Cruz | 37% | 14 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Mike Huckabee | 38% | 12 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Rand Paul | 39% | 10 | ||||
Public Policy Polling [98] | June 26–29, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Jeb Bush | 37% | 10 | 578 | ± 4.1% |
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Chris Christie | 35% | 13 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Ted Cruz | 34% | 16 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Mike Huckabee | 36% | 12 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rand Paul | 37% | 10 | ||||
Public Policy Polling [99] | April 3–6, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Jeb Bush | 38% | 11 | 825 | ± 3.4% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 37% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Mike Huckabee | 38% | 12 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Rand Paul | 39% | 9 | ||||
Marketing Resource Group [100] | March 24–28, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Chris Christie | 38% | 6 | 600 | ± 4.1% |
EPIC-MRA [101] | February 5–11, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Chris Christie | 39% | 4 | 600 | ± 4% |
Harper Polling [102] | January 7–8, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Chris Christie | 38% | 2 | 1,004 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Ted Cruz | 36% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Rand Paul | 40% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Paul Ryan | 41% | 3 | ||||
Public Policy Polling [103] | December 5–8, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 4 | 1,034 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Chris Christie | 40% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Ted Cruz | 38% | 11 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Rand Paul | 39% | 9 | ||||
Public Policy Polling [104] | May 30 – June 2, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Jeb Bush | 37% | 14 | 697 | ± 3.7% |
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Chris Christie | 38% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 55% | Rand Paul | 35% | 20 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Marco Rubio | 36% | 17 | ||||
Public Policy Polling [105] | March 2–4, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Marco Rubio | 37% | 14 | 702 | ± 3.7% |
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Paul Ryan | 41% | 11 |
10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2012) 53%–45%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA/KSTP-TV Minneapolis [106] | October 29 – November 2, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 45% | 3 | 516 | ± 4.4% |
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Ben Carson | 50% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Marco Rubio | 47% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Jeb Bush | 44% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Ted Cruz | 41% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Carly Fiorina | 45% | 4 | ||||
Public Policy Polling [107] | July 30 – August 2, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 2 | 1015 | ± 3.1% |
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Ben Carson | 39% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Chris Christie | 38% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Ted Cruz | 39% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Carly Fiorina | 33% | 11 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Mike Huckabee | 42% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Rand Paul | 42% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Marco Rubio | 40% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 39% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Scott Walker | 42% | 4 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 40% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 1 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 39% | Marco Rubio | 37% | 2 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 45% | Donald Trump | 37% | 8 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 41% | Scott Walker | 40% | 1 | ||||
Public Policy Polling [108] | June 12–15, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 52% | Michele Bachmann | 35% | 17 | 633 | ± 3.9% |
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Jeb Bush | 39% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Chris Christie | 37% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Ted Cruz | 35% | 16 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Mike Huckabee | 40% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Rand Paul | 38% | 11 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Tim Pawlenty | 42% | 6 | ||||
Public Policy Polling [109] | January 18–20, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Chris Christie | 38% | 6 | 1,065 | ± 3% |
Amy Klobuchar | 42% | Chris Christie | 39% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Marco Rubio | 37% | 13 | ||||
Amy Klobuchar | 48% | Marco Rubio | 36% | 12 |
Three-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Independent/ Third-party candidate | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [107] | July 30 – August 2, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Jeb Bush | 26% | Donald Trump | 25% | 15 | 1015 | 3.1% |
6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 56%–43%
(Republican in 2012) 55%–44%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [110] | July 10–13, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Jeb Bush | 47% | 5 | 691 | ± 3.7% |
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Chris Christie | 45% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Ted Cruz | 44% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Mike Huckabee | 49% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Rand Paul | 45% | 2 | ||||
Public Policy Polling [111] | November 15–17, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Jeb Bush | 50% | 8 | 502 | ± 4.4% |
Hillary Clinton | 40% | Chris Christie | 49% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ted Cruz | 47% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Rand Paul | 46% | 2 |
10 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 49.4%–49.2%
(Republican in 2012) 53%–44%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [112] | August 7–9, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Jeb Bush | 47% | 7 | 859 | 3.3 |
Hillary Clinton | 38% | Ben Carson | 52% | 14 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 37% | Chris Christie | 46% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 38% | Ted Cruz | 50% | 12 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 37% | Carly Fiorina | 47% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 38% | Mike Huckabee | 51% | 13 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 36% | John Kasich | 49% | 13 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 37% | Rand Paul | 49% | 12 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 36% | Marco Rubio | 51% | 15 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 48% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 37% | Scott Walker | 50% | 13 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 34% | Jeb Bush | 47% | 13 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 33% | Marco Rubio | 48% | 15 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 39% | Donald Trump | 48% | 9 |
Three-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Independent/ Third-party candidate | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [112] | August 7–9, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 34% | Jeb Bush | 29% | Donald Trump | 30% | 4 | 859 | 3.3 |
3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 49%–47%
(Republican in 2012) 55%–42%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Montana State University Billings [113] | November 16–23, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 30% | Donald Trump | 51.4% | 21.4 | 435 | ± 4.8% |
Hillary Clinton | 28.8% | Ben Carson | 60.5% | 31.7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 28.8% | Marco Rubio | 57.2% | 28.4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 30.6% | Ted Cruz | 55.9% | 25.3 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 40.1% | Donald Trump | 46.2% | 6.1 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 30.8% | Ben Carson | 53.7% | 22.9 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 33.3% | Marco Rubio | 47.9% | 14.6 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 35.8% | Ted Cruz | 46% | 10.2 | ||||
Gravis Marketing [114] | February 24–25, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 35.4% | Jeb Bush | 48.5% | 13.1 | 1,035 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 33.3% | Chris Christie | 49.5% | 16.2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 33% | Mike Huckabee | 50% | 17 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 38% | Rand Paul | 48% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 37% | Scott Walker | 49% | 12 | ||||
Gravis Marketing [115] | November 24–25, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Jeb Bush | 50% | 12 | 836 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 39% | Ted Cruz | 52% | 13 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 37% | Nikki Haley | 45% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 37% | Rand Paul | 55% | 18 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 38% | Paul Ryan | 54% | 16 | ||||
Gravis Marketing [116] | October 23–24, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Jeb Bush | 43% | 5 | 604 | ± 4% |
Hillary Clinton | 39% | Rand Paul | 48% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 39% | Paul Ryan | 46% | 7 | ||||
Gravis Marketing [117] | September 29–30, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 36% | Jeb Bush | 45% | 9 | 535 | ± 4% |
Hillary Clinton | 38% | Rand Paul | 46% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 37% | Paul Ryan | 51% | 14 | ||||
Gravis Marketing [118] | July 20–22, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Jeb Bush | 49% | 10 | 741 | ± 4% |
Public Policy Polling [119] | November 15–17, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Jeb Bush | 49% | 11 | 952 | ± 3.2% |
Hillary Clinton | 34% | Chris Christie | 51% | 17 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 39% | Ted Cruz | 50% | 11 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 39% | Rand Paul | 52% | 13 | ||||
Brian Schweitzer | 41% | Jeb Bush | 46% | 5 | ||||
Brian Schweitzer | 39% | Chris Christie | 47% | 8 | ||||
Brian Schweitzer | 43% | Ted Cruz | 46% | 3 | ||||
Brian Schweitzer | 42% | Rand Paul | 50% | 8 | ||||
Public Policy Polling [120] | June 21–23, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Jeb Bush | 45% | Tied | 807 | ± 3.4% |
Hillary Clinton | 40% | Chris Christie | 45% | 5 | ||||
Brian Schweitzer | 48% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 7 | ||||
Brian Schweitzer | 42% | Chris Christie | 41% | 1 | ||||
Public Policy Polling [121] | February 15–17, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Marco Rubio | 50% | 8 | 1,011 | ± 3.1% |
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Paul Ryan | 51% | 7 | ||||
Brian Schweitzer | 46% | Marco Rubio | 46% | Tied | ||||
Brian Schweitzer | 45% | Paul Ryan | 49% | 4 |
6 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 55%–43%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–46%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Morning Consult [122] | November 10–16, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 44% | 3 | 628 RV | ± 4% |
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Jeb Bush | 38% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Ben Carson | 41% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Marco Rubio | 42% | Tie | ||||
Public Policy Polling [123] | July 13–14, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Marco Rubio | 43% | 5 | 677 | ± 3.8% |
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 42% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Scott Walker | 41% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Jeb Bush | 37% | 12 | ||||
Gravis Marketing [124] | March 27, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Jeb Bush | 38% | 10 | 850 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Chris Christie | 38% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Rand Paul | 42% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Scott Walker | 41% | 8 | ||||
Gravis Marketing [125] | February 21–22, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Jeb Bush | 37% | 13 | 955 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Chris Christie | 38% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Rand Paul | 42% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Brian Sandoval | 46% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Scott Walker | 43% | 6 | ||||
Harper Polling [126] | July 26–29, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 5 | 602 | ± 3.99% |
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Susana Martínez | 35% | 13 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rand Paul | 44% | 3 |
4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–46%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [127] | November 30 – December 2, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 2 | 990 | ± 3.1% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ben Carson | 43% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ted Cruz | 39% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Carly Fiorina | 44% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Marco Rubio | 43% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 41% | 6 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 47% | Jeb Bush | 38% | 9 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 46% | Ben Carson | 41% | 5 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 48% | Ted Cruz | 38% | 10 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 48% | Carly Fiorina | 40% | 8 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 45% | Marco Rubio | 41% | 4 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 49% | Donald Trump | 40% | 9 | ||||
Fox News [128] | November 15–17, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 40% | 7 | 804 | ± 3.5% |
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Ted Cruz | 41% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Chris Christie | 43% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Carly Fiorina | 43% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Ben Carson | 45% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Jeb Bush | 45% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 40% | John Kasich | 43% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 40% | Marco Rubio | 47% | 7 | ||||
Public Policy Polling [129] | October 16–18, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 4 | 880 | ± 3.3% |
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ben Carson | 42% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Chris Christie | 44% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Ted Cruz | 38% | 13 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Carly Fiorina | 42% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Mike Huckabee | 35% | 16 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | John Kasich | 44% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Marco Rubio | 42% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 41% | 6 | ||||
Joe Biden | 48% | Ben Carson | 39% | 9 | ||||
Joe Biden | 47% | Marco Rubio | 40% | 7 | ||||
Joe Biden | 51% | Donald Trump | 40% | 11 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 47% | Ben Carson | 39% | 8 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 45% | Marco Rubio | 41% | 4 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 49% | Donald Trump | 40% | 9 | ||||
NBC News/Wall Street Journal [130] | September 23–30, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Jeb Bush | 49% | 7 | 1,044 | ± 3.0% |
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 45% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Carly Fiorina | 50% | 8 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 46% | Jeb Bush | 46% | Tied | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 52% | Donald Trump | 42% | 10 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 47% | Carly Fiorina | 45% | 2 | ||||
CNN/WMUR [131] | September 17–23, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 42% | 8 | 820 | ± 3.6% |
Bernie Sanders | 57% | Donald Trump | 37% | 20 | ||||
Joe Biden | 56% | Donald Trump | 37% | 19 | ||||
NBC News/Marist [132] | August 26 – September 2, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Jeb Bush | 48% | 5 | 966 | ± 3.2% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 45% | 1 | ||||
Joe Biden | 45% | Jeb Bush | 46% | 1 | ||||
Joe Biden | 50% | Donald Trump | 41% | 9 | ||||
Public Policy Polling [133] | August 21–24, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 39% | 7 | 841 | ± 3.4% |
Bernie Sanders | 46% | Jeb Bush | 38% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ben Carson | 40% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 38% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Ted Cruz | 38% | 11 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Carly Fiorina | 42% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Mike Huckabee | 36% | 13 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | John Kasich | 43% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rand Paul | 37% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Marco Rubio | 39% | 8 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 48% | Marco Rubio | 35% | 13 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 44% | 2 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 50% | Donald Trump | 41% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Scott Walker | 39% | 8 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 47% | Scott Walker | 39% | 8 | ||||
University of New Hampshire/WMUR [134] | July 22–30, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Jeb Bush | 46% | 1 | 722 | ± 3.8% |
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Rand Paul | 45% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Scott Walker | 45% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Marco Rubio | 43% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 40% | 10 | ||||
Purple Insights [135] | May 2–6, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 2 | 952 | ± 4.4% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Rand Paul | 43% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Marco Rubio | 42% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Scott Walker | 40% | 6 | ||||
University of New Hampshire/WMUR [136] | April 24 – May 1, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Jeb Bush | 47% | 6 | 627 | ± 3.9% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Ted Cruz | 45% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Rand Paul | 47% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Marco Rubio | 47% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Scott Walker | 44% | Tied | ||||
Dartmouth College [137] | April 27–30, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 34.1% | Jeb Bush | 36.9% | 2.8 | 355 | ± 5.2% |
Hillary Clinton | 36.5% | Chris Christie | 34.4% | 2.1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 36.9% | Ted Cruz | 28.7% | 8.2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 38.1% | Mike Huckabee | 31.1% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 36.1% | Rand Paul | 33.3% | 2.8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 34.5% | Marco Rubio | 34.4% | 0.1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 34.8% | Scott Walker | 38.7% | 3.9 | ||||
Gravis Marketing [138] | April 21–22, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Jeb Bush | 42% | Tied | 1,117 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Chris Christie | 41% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ted Cruz | 44% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Rand Paul | 45% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Marco Rubio | 44% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Scott Walker | 47% | 3 | ||||
Public Policy Polling [139] | April 9–13, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Jeb Bush | 36% | 13 | 747 | ± 3.6% |
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Ben Carson | 38% | 13 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Chris Christie | 36% | 15 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Ted Cruz | 37% | 15 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Mike Huckabee | 38% | 13 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Rand Paul | 40% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Rick Perry | 38% | 13 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Marco Rubio | 38% | 12 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Scott Walker | 40% | 9 | ||||
Joe Biden | 44% | Scott Walker | 40% | 4 | ||||
Elizabeth Warren | 45% | Scott Walker | 40% | 5 | ||||
Gravis Marketing [140] | March 18–19, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Jeb Bush | 40% | 3 | ? | ± ? |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Rand Paul | 42% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Scott Walker | 43% | 3 | ||||
NBC News/Marist [141] | February 3–10, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 6 | 887 | ± 3.3% |
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Scott Walker | 42% | 7 | ||||
Purple Insights [142] | January 31 – February 5, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Jeb Bush | 36% | 14 | 503 | ± 4.4% |
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Rand Paul | 41% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Scott Walker | 37% | 13 | ||||
University of New Hampshire/WMUR [143] | January 22 – February 3, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Jeb Bush | 39% | 12 | 776 | ± 3.5% |
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Rand Paul | 40% | 10 | ||||
Purple Insights [144] | November 12–18, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Jeb Bush | 39% | 8 | 500 | ± 4.4% |
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Rand Paul | 41% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 1 | ||||
NBC News/Marist [55] | July 7–13, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 5 | 1,342 | ± 2.7% |
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Chris Christie | 42% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Ted Cruz | 38% | 13 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Rand Paul | 43% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Marco Rubio | 42% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Scott Walker | 39% | 9 | ||||
Dartmouth College [145] | April 21–25, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 42.1% | Jeb Bush | 32.2% | 9.9 | 412 | ± 4.8% |
Hillary Clinton | 36.5% | Chris Christie | 34.4% | 2.1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 38.3% | Mike Huckabee | 36.2% | 2.1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 35.8% | Rand Paul | 38.4% | 2.6 | ||||
Purple Strategies [146] | January 21–23, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 4 | 1,052 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 44% | 2 | ||||
Elizabeth Warren | 35% | Jeb Bush | 46% | 11 | ||||
Elizabeth Warren | 33% | Chris Christie | 45% | 12 | ||||
Public Policy Polling [147] | January 9–12, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Jeb Bush | 38% | 11 | 1,354 | ± 2.7% |
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Chris Christie | 39% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Ted Cruz | 32% | 19 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Rand Paul | 37% | 13 | ||||
Public Policy Polling [148] | September 13–16, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Kelly Ayotte | 42% | 8 | 1,038 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Jeb Bush | 40% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Chris Christie | 39% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Ted Cruz | 38% | 12 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Rand Paul | 41% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Paul Ryan | 41% | 9 | ||||
Dartmouth College [149] | April 22–25, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 37.1% | Chris Christie | 32.3% | 4.8 | 433 | ± 4.7% |
Hillary Clinton | 44.3% | Marco Rubio | 33.2% | 11.1 | ||||
Public Policy Polling [150] | April 19–21, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 52% | Rand Paul | 41% | 11 | 933 | ± 3.2% |
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Marco Rubio | 38% | 14 |
Three-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Independent/ Third-party candidate | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [133] | August 21–24, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Jeb Bush | 22% | Donald Trump | 28% | 15 | 957 | 3.2% |
14 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%
(Democratic in 2012) 58%–41%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Quinnipiac University [151] | April 9–14, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 53% | Jeb Bush | 33% | 20 | 1,428 | ± 2.6% |
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Chris Christie | 36% | 15 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 58% | Ted Cruz | 30% | 28 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 56% | Mike Huckabee | 30% | 26 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 54% | Rand Paul | 34% | 20 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 54% | Marco Rubio | 34% | 20 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 54% | Scott Walker | 32% | 22 | ||||
Rutgers-Eagleton [152] | February 3–10, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 58% | Jeb Bush | 32% | 26 | 694 | ± 4.2% |
Hillary Clinton | 58% | Chris Christie | 35% | 23 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 60% | Scott Walker | 29% | 31 | ||||
Quinnipiac University [153] | January 15–19, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 53% | Jeb Bush | 37% | 16 | 1,211 | ± 2.8% |
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Chris Christie | 39% | 13 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 56% | Mike Huckabee | 33% | 23 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 54% | Rand Paul | 35% | 19 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 15 | ||||
Rutgers-Eagleton [154] | December 3–10, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Chris Christie | 39% | 10 | 646 | ± 3.9% |
Quinnipiac University [155] | December 3–8, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 53% | Jeb Bush | 31% | 22 | 1,340 | ± 2.7% |
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Chris Christie | 39% | 11 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 55% | Rand Paul | 31% | 24 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 17 | ||||
Quinnipiac University [156] | September 25–29, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 53% | Jeb Bush | 32% | 21 | 1,475 | ± 2.6% |
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Chris Christie | 40% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 55% | Rand Paul | 31% | 24 | ||||
Fairleigh Dickinson University [157] | September 1–7, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Jeb Bush | 32% | 19 | 721 | ± 3.7% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Chris Christie | 42% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Rand Paul | 33% | 15 | ||||
Rutgers-Eagleton [158] | July 28 – August 5, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Chris Christie | 40% | 11 | 750 | ± 4% |
Quinnipiac University [159] | July 31 – August 4, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 54% | Jeb Bush | 34% | 20 | 1,148 | ± 2.9% |
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Chris Christie | 42% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 57% | Mike Huckabee | 34% | 23 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 55% | Rand Paul | 35% | 20 | ||||
Roanoke/Rutgers-Eagleton/Siena College [160] | February 22–28, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Chris Christie | 41% | 10 | 842 | ± 3.6% |
Hillary Clinton | 58% | Rand Paul | 29% | 29 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 58% | Paul Ryan | 33% | 25 | ||||
Rutgers-Eagleton [161] | January 22, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 55% | Chris Christie | 34% | 21 | ? | ± ? |
Monmouth University [162] | December 4–8, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Chris Christie | 46% | 3 | 698/802 | ± 3.5% |
Andrew Cuomo | 33% | Chris Christie | 52% | 19 | ||||
Quinnipiac University [163] | September 23–29, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Chris Christie | 36% | 13 | 1,497 | ± 2.5% |
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Rand Paul | 36% | 17 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 54% | Ted Cruz | 31% | 23 | ||||
Pulse Opinion Research [164] | September 19, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Chris Christie | 43% | 5 | 1,000 | ± ? |
NBC News/Marist [165] | April 28 – May 2, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 52% | Chris Christie | 41% | 11 | 1,095 | ± 3% |
Joe Biden | 40% | Chris Christie | 51% | 11 | ||||
Quinnipiac University [166] | February 13–17, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Chris Christie | 45% | 4 | 1,149 | ± 2.9% |
Andrew Cuomo | 36% | Chris Christie | 54% | 18 | ||||
Public Policy Polling [167] | November 26–28, 2012 | Hillary Clinton | 52% | Chris Christie | 40% | 12 | 600 | ± 4% |
Joe Biden | 41% | Chris Christie | 47% | 6 | ||||
Andrew Cuomo | 35% | Chris Christie | 50% | 15 |
5 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%
(Democratic in 2012) 53%–43%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing [168] | September 27 – October 1, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Jeb Bush | 36% | 14 | 727 | ± 4% |
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Rand Paul | 36% | 13 | ||||
Public Policy Polling [169] | March 20–23, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 53% | Jeb Bush | 37% | 16 | 674 | ± 3.8% |
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Chris Christie | 35% | 18 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 54% | Ted Cruz | 37% | 17 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 55% | Mike Huckabee | 34% | 21 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Susana Martinez | 39% | 14 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Rand Paul | 36% | 15 |
29 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 63%–36%
(Democratic in 2012) 63%–35%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Siena College [170] | September 14–17, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 53% | Jeb Bush | 36% | 17 | 817 | ± 4% |
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Ben Carson | 40% | 12 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 55% | Donald Trump | 36% | 19 | ||||
Joe Biden | 59% | Jeb Bush | 30% | 29 | ||||
Joe Biden | 55% | Ben Carson | 35% | 20 | ||||
Joe Biden | 60% | Donald Trump | 33% | 27 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 52% | Jeb Bush | 33% | 19 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 46% | Ben Carson | 39% | 7 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 52% | Donald Trump | 38% | 14 | ||||
Siena College [171] | March 11–16, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 55% | Jeb Bush | 32% | 23 | 785 | ± 4% |
Hillary Clinton | 54% | Chris Christie | 34% | 20 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 59% | Ted Cruz | 26% | 33 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 58% | Rand Paul | 29% | 29 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 59% | Marco Rubio | 30% | 29 | ||||
Quinnipiac University [172] | March 11–16, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 58% | Jeb Bush | 30% | 28 | 1,228 | ± 2.8% |
Hillary Clinton | 54% | Chris Christie | 34% | 20 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 60% | Ted Cruz | 27% | 33 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 58% | Mike Huckabee | 29% | 29 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 55% | George Pataki | 34% | 21 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 59% | Rand Paul | 31% | 28 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 58% | Marco Rubio | 31% | 27 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 58% | Scott Walker | 31% | 27 | ||||
Quinnipiac University [173] | August 14–17, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 60% | Jeb Bush | 29% | 31 | 1,034 | ± 3.1% |
Hillary Clinton | 54% | Chris Christie | 34% | 20 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 61% | Rand Paul | 30% | 31 | ||||
Andrew Cuomo | 53% | Jeb Bush | 30% | 23 | ||||
Andrew Cuomo | 47% | Chris Christie | 37% | 10 | ||||
Andrew Cuomo | 55% | Rand Paul | 31% | 24 | ||||
Roanoke/Rutgers-Eagleton/Siena College [174] | February 22–28, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 64% | Chris Christie | 28% | 36 | 814 | ± 3.4% |
Hillary Clinton | 67% | Rand Paul | 24% | 43 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 64% | Paul Ryan | 27% | 37 | ||||
Quinnipiac University Archived 2014-02-14 at the Wayback Machine | February 6–10, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 58% | Chris Christie | 31% | 27 | 1,488 | ± 2.5% |
Andrew Cuomo | 50% | Chris Christie | 34% | 16 | ||||
Siena College | January 12–16, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 60% | Chris Christie | 32% | 28 | 808 | ± 3.4% |
Andrew Cuomo | 55% | Chris Christie | 35% | 20 | ||||
Marist | November 18–20, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 57% | Chris Christie | 39% | 18 | 675 | ± 3.8% |
Andrew Cuomo | 51% | Chris Christie | 44% | 7 | ||||
Siena College | November 8–11, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 56% | Chris Christie | 40% | 16 | 806 | ± 3.5% |
Andrew Cuomo | 42% | Chris Christie | 47% | 5 | ||||
Quinnipiac University | March 11–17, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 59% | Chris Christie | 32% | 27 | 1,165 | ± 2.9% |
Andrew Cuomo | 46% | Chris Christie | 38% | 8 |
15 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%
(Republican in 2012) 50%–48%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | December 5–7, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Jeb Bush | 43% | Tied | 1,214 | 2.8% |
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Ben Carson | 47% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Ted Cruz | 47% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Carly Fiorina | 44% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Marco Rubio | 46% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 47% | 4 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 39% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 3 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 37% | Ben Carson | 46% | 9 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 42% | Ted Cruz | 44% | 2 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 40% | Carly Fiorina | 40% | Tied | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 39% | Marco Rubio | 44% | 5 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 44% | Donald Trump | 46% | 2 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | October 23–25, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 43% | 3 | 893 | 3.3% |
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Ben Carson | 49% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ted Cruz | 46% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Carly Fiorina | 45% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Mike Huckabee | 48% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | John Kasich | 43% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Marco Rubio | 48% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 48% | 6 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 40% | Jeb Bush | 46% | 6 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 37% | Ben Carson | 48% | 11 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 41% | Ted Cruz | 45% | 4 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 41% | Donald Trump | 48% | 7 | ||||
Public Policy Polling [175] | September 24–27, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Jeb Bush | 46% | 5 | 1,268 | 2.8% |
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Ben Carson | 51% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Ted Cruz | 46% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Carly Fiorina | 48% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Mike Huckabee | 48% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 40% | John Kasich | 44% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 40% | Marco Rubio | 50% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 47% | 5 | ||||
Joe Biden | 47% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 5 | ||||
Joe Biden | 44% | Ben Carson | 47% | 3 | ||||
Joe Biden | 44% | Carly Fiorina | 45% | 1 | ||||
Joe Biden | 45% | Donald Trump | 45% | Tied | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 39% | Jeb Bush | 45% | 6 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 35% | Ben Carson | 48% | 13 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 37% | Carly Fiorina | 46% | 9 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 43% | Donald Trump | 46% | 3 | ||||
Elon University Archived 2015-09-25 at the Wayback Machine | September 17–23, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Jeb Bush | 46% | 3 | 1,075 | 2.99% |
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Ben Carson | 52% | 11 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 40% | 7 | ||||
Public Policy Polling [176] | August 12–16, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Jeb Bush | 42% | Tied | 957 | 3.2% |
Hillary Clinton | 40% | Ben Carson | 47% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 40% | Chris Christie | 39% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Ted Cruz | 45% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Carly Fiorina | 42% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Mike Huckabee | 46% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 40% | John Kasich | 41% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Rand Paul | 40% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Marco Rubio | 45% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 45% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Scott Walker | 44% | 3 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 40% | Jeb Bush | 43% | 3 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 36% | Marco Rubio | 42% | 6 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 40% | Donald Trump | 43% | 3 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 37% | Scott Walker | 41% | 4 | ||||
Public Policy Polling [177] | July 2–6, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Jeb Bush | 43% | 2 | 529 | ± 4.3% |
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Ben Carson | 47% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 43% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ted Cruz | 46% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Carly Fiorina | 45% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Mike Huckabee | 49% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Rand Paul | 46% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Marco Rubio | 47% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 44% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Scott Walker | 47% | 4 | ||||
Lincoln Chafee | 29% | Scott Walker | 43% | 14 | ||||
Martin O'Malley | 29% | Scott Walker | 45% | 16 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 35% | Scott Walker | 43% | 8 | ||||
Jim Webb | 31% | Scott Walker | 44% | 13 | ||||
Public Policy Polling [178] | May 28–31, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Jeb Bush | 40% | 7 | 561 | ± 4.1% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Ben Carson | 44% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Chris Christie | 40% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Ted Cruz | 42% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Carly Fiorina | 40% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Mike Huckabee | 42% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Rand Paul | 44% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Marco Rubio | 44% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Scott Walker | 45% | Tied | ||||
Lincoln Chafee | 29% | Scott Walker | 42% | 13 | ||||
Martin O'Malley | 28% | Scott Walker | 44% | 16 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 33% | Scott Walker | 43% | 10 | ||||
Jim Webb | 31% | Scott Walker | 42% | 11 | ||||
SurveyUSA | April 22–27, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Jeb Bush | 43% | 2 | 1,070 | ± 3.1% |
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ted Cruz | 42% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rand Paul | 43% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Marco Rubio | 41% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Scott Walker | 39% | 9 | ||||
Elon University Archived 2015-05-05 at the Wayback Machine | April 20–24, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 47.4% | Jeb Bush | 44% | 3.4 | 677 | ± 3.77% |
Public Policy Polling | April 2–5, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Jeb Bush | 44% | 1 | 751 | ± 3.6% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ben Carson | 44% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Chris Christie | 41% | |||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ted Cruz | 45% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Mike Huckabee | 48% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Rand Paul | 45% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Rick Perry | 45% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Marco Rubio | 45% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Scott Walker | 46% | 3 | ||||
Joe Biden | 39% | Scott Walker | 48% | 9 | ||||
Elizabeth Warren | 36% | Scott Walker | 46% | 10 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | February 24–26, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 4 | 849 | 3.4% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ben Carson | 46% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Chris Christie | 42% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ted Cruz | 43% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Mike Huckabee | 40% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Rand Paul | 43% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rick Perry | 44% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Marco Rubio | 42% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Scott Walker | 43% | 2 | ||||
Joe Biden | 40% | Jeb Bush | 47% | 7 | ||||
Elizabeth Warren | 38% | Jeb Bush | 44% | 8 | ||||
Elon University Archived 2015-11-21 at the Wayback Machine | February 16–20, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 45.7% | Jeb Bush | 40.2% | 5.5 | 773 | ± 3.52% |
Public Policy Polling | January 29–31, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Jeb Bush | 44% | Tied | 845 | ± 3.4% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ben Carson | 45% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Scott Walker | 44% | 2 | ||||
Joe Biden | 41% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 7 | ||||
Elizabeth Warren | 39% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 8 | ||||
Meeting Street Research Archived 2015-02-06 at the Wayback Machine | January 21–22, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 5 | 500 | ± 4.38% |
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 5 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | December 4–7, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 46% | Tied | 823 | ± 3.4% |
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Ben Carson | 44% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Chris Christie | 42% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Mike Huckabee | 44% | 2 | ||||
Joe Biden | 42% | Jeb Bush | 47% | 5 | ||||
Joe Biden | 40% | Ben Carson | 45% | 5 | ||||
Elizabeth Warren | 39% | Jeb Bush | 46% | 7 | ||||
Elizabeth Warren | 37% | Ben Carson | 44% | 7 | ||||
Gravis Marketing | October 29–30, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Rand Paul | 47% | 2 | 1,006 | ± 3% |
Elizabeth Warren | 34% | Rand Paul | 47% | 13 | ||||
Gravis Marketing | October 16–18, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Rand Paul | 48% | 6 | 1,022 | ± 3% |
Elizabeth Warren | 32% | Rand Paul | 48% | 16 | ||||
Gravis Marketing | September 22–23, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Rand Paul | 45% | 1 | 860 | ± 3% |
Elizabeth Warren | 33% | Rand Paul | 46% | 13 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | September 11–14, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Jeb Bush | 45% | 2 | 1,266 | ± 2.8% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Chris Christie | 38% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ted Cruz | 40% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Mike Huckabee | 46% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Rand Paul | 41% | 5 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | August 14–17, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 4 | 856 | ± 3.4% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Chris Christie | 38% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ted Cruz | 41% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Mike Huckabee | 44% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rand Paul | 42% | 5 | ||||
Civitas Institute | July 28–29, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Jeb Bush | 48% | 1 | 600 | ± 4% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 47% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Rand Paul | 47% | 4 | ||||
Joe Biden | 44% | Jeb Bush | 50% | 6 | ||||
Joe Biden | 42% | Chris Christie | 49% | 7 | ||||
Joe Biden | 44% | Rand Paul | 49% | 5 | ||||
Gravis Marketing | July 22–27, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Rand Paul | 43% | 2 | 1,380 | ± 3% |
Elizabeth Warren | 35% | Rand Paul | 44% | 9 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | June 12–15, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Jeb Bush | 44% | 1 | 1,076 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Chris Christie | 41% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Mike Huckabee | 43% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Rand Paul | 43% | 3 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | May 9–11, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 3 | 877 | ± 3.3% |
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Chris Christie | 40% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Mike Huckabee | 43% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Rand Paul | 44% | 1 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | April 3–6, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Jeb Bush | 44% | 1 | 740 | ± 3.6% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 44% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Mike Huckabee | 43% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rand Paul | 43% | 4 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | March 6–9, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Jeb Bush | 46% | 1 | 884 | ± 3.3% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 42% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Mike Huckabee | 42% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Rand Paul | 43% | 6 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | February 6–9, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Jeb Bush | 43% | 4 | 708 | ± 3.7% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Chris Christie | 42% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Mike Huckabee | 43% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rand Paul | 44% | 3 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | January 9–12, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 44% | 2 | 1,384 | ± 2.6% |
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Chris Christie | 43% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ted Cruz | 41% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rand Paul | 43% | 4 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | December 5–8, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 45% | 1 | 1,281 | ± 2.7% |
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Chris Christie | 45% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Ted Cruz | 41% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Rand Paul | 44% | 4 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | November 8–11, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Jeb Bush | 43% | 4 | 701 | ± 3.7% |
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Chris Christie | 46% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Ted Cruz | 39% | 12 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Rand Paul | 41% | 9 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | April 11–14, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 52% | Rand Paul | 40% | 12 | 601 | ± 4% |
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Marco Rubio | 42% | 7 |
Three-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Independent/ Third-party candidate | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | October 23–25, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 43% | Jim Webb | 8% | 2 | 893 | 3.3% |
Public Policy Polling [176] | August 12–16, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Jeb Bush | 28% | Donald Trump | 27% | 10 | 957 | 3.2% |
18 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 51%–47%
(Democratic in 2012) 51%–48%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Quinnipiac University [179] | September 25 – October 5, 2015 | Joe Biden | 46% | Jeb Bush | 37% | 9 | 1180 | 2.9% |
Joe Biden | 42% | Ben Carson | 46% | 4 | ||||
Joe Biden | 44% | Carly Fiorna | 42% | 2 | ||||
Joe Biden | 46% | Marco Rubio | 41% | 5 | ||||
Joe Biden | 49% | Donald Trump | 38% | 11 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Jeb Bush | 43% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 40% | Ben Carson | 49% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Carly Fiorna | 43% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Marco Rubio | 45% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 42% | 1 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 40% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 2 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 36% | Ben Carson | 48% | 12 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 39% | Carly Fiorna | 43% | 4 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 40% | Marco Rubio | 43% | 3 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 44% | Donald Trump | 41% | 3 | ||||
Quinnipiac University [180] | August 7–18, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 38% | 5 | 1,096 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Jeb Bush | 39% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 40% | Marco Rubio | 42% | 2 | ||||
Joe Biden | 48% | Donald Trump | 38% | 10 | ||||
Joe Biden | 42% | Jeb Bush | 39% | 3 | ||||
Joe Biden | 42% | Marco Rubio | 41% | 1 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 42% | Donald Trump | 40% | 2 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 36% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 6 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 34% | Marco Rubio | 42% | 8 | ||||
Quinnipiac University [181] | June 4–15, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 1 | 1,191 | ± 2.8% |
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Chris Christie | 39% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ted Cruz | 39% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Mike Huckabee | 41% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 40% | John Kasich | 47% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Rand Paul | 43% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Marco Rubio | 42% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Scott Walker | 40% | 4 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | June 4–7, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Jeb Bush | 43% | 2 | 859 | ± 3.3% |
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Ben Carson | 43% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Chris Christie | 41% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Ted Cruz | 43% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Mike Huckabee | 42% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 40% | John Kasich | 47% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Rand Paul | 44% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Marco Rubio | 44% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Scott Walker | 43% | 1 | ||||
Michael Bloomberg | 32% | Scott Walker | 40% | 8 | ||||
Lincoln Chafee | 24% | Scott Walker | 39% | 15 | ||||
Martin O'Malley | 26% | Scott Walker | 41% | 15 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 30% | Scott Walker | 40% | 10 | ||||
Jim Webb | 25% | Scott Walker | 41% | 16 | ||||
Quinnipiac University [182] | March 17–28, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Jeb Bush | 38% | 9 | 1,077 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Chris Christie | 39% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ted Cruz | 38% | 12 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Mike Huckabee | 39% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Rand Paul | 41% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Marco Rubio | 38% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Scott Walker | 38% | 11 | ||||
Public Policy Polling↑ | March 2–3, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Jeb Bush | 40% | 5 | 946 | ± ? |
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Scott Walker | 41% | 8 | ||||
Quinnipiac University [183] | January 22 – February 1, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Jeb Bush | 36% | 11 | 943 | ± 3.2% |
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Chris Christie | 34% | 13 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Mike Huckabee | 34% | 15 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | John Kasich | 43% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Rand Paul | 36% | 12 | ||||
Fox News | October 28–30, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Jeb Bush | 38% | 10 | 803 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 39% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | John Kasich | 43% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Rand Paul | 40% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Rick Perry | 39% | 10 | ||||
Quinnipiac | July 24–28, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Jeb Bush | 37% | 11 | 1,366 | ± 2.7% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 37% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | John Kasich | 40% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Rand Paul | 42% | 4 | ||||
Quinnipiac | May 7–12, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Jeb Bush | 39% | 9 | 1,174 | ± 2.9% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 38% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Ted Cruz | 37% | 14 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Mike Huckabee | 41% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | John Kasich | 42% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Rand Paul | 41% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Marco Rubio | 40% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Paul Ryan | 41% | 7 | ||||
Quinnipiac Archived 2014-03-04 at the Wayback Machine | February 12–17, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Jeb Bush | 36% | 15 | 1,370 | ± 2.7% |
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Chris Christie | 36% | 13 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Ted Cruz | 34% | 17 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | John Kasich | 39% | 12 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Rand Paul | 38% | 13 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Marco Rubio | 36% | 14 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Paul Ryan | 40% | 9 | ||||
Quinnipiac Archived 2014-02-21 at the Wayback Machine | November 19–24, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Jeb Bush | 37% | 13 | 1,361 | ± 2.7% |
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Chris Christie | 41% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Ted Cruz | 35% | 15 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | John Kasich | 38% | 11 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Rand Paul | 40% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Marco Rubio | 39% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Paul Ryan | 41% | 8 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | August 16–19, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Jeb Bush | 36% | 14 | 551 | ± 4.2% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Chris Christie | 36% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 53% | John Kasich | 35% | 18 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Rand Paul | 36% | 15 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Paul Ryan | 36% | 16 | ||||
Quinnipiac Archived 2014-01-22 at the Wayback Machine | June 18–23, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Chris Christie | 42% | Tied | 941 | ± 3.2% |
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rand Paul | 44% | 3 | ||||
Joe Biden | 32% | Chris Christie | 50% | 18 | ||||
Joe Biden | 40% | Rand Paul | 49% | 9 |
Three-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Independent/ Third-party candidate | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Quinnipiac University [180] | August 7–18, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 37% | Jeb Bush | 27% | Donald Trump | 23% | 10 | 1096 | 3% |
7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–40%
(Democratic in 2012) 54%–42%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [184] | May 22–27, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Jeb Bush | 36% | 15 | 956 | ± 3.2% |
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Chris Christie | 34% | 17 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Ted Cruz | 37% | 15 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Mike Huckabee | 39% | 12 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Rand Paul | 39% | 12 |
20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–47%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | October 8–11, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Jeb Bush | 40% | 5 | 1,012 | ± 3.1% |
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Ben Carson | 47% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Ted Cruz | 40% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Carly Fiorina | 43% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Mike Huckabee | 38% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | John Kasich | 39% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Marco Rubio | 45% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rick Santorum | 39% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 45% | 2 | ||||
Joe Biden | 46% | Ben Carson | 44% | 2 | ||||
Joe Biden | 46% | Carly Fiorina | 40% | 6 | ||||
Joe Biden | 45% | Marco Rubio | 41% | 4 | ||||
Joe Biden | 45% | Donald Trump | 43% | 2 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 36% | Ben Carson | 44% | 8 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 38% | Carly Fiorina | 40% | 2 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 40% | Marco Rubio | 41% | 5 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 42% | Donald Trump | 46% | 4 | ||||
Quinnipiac University [179] | September 25 – October 5, 2015 | Joe Biden | 45% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 3 | 1049 | 3% |
Joe Biden | 42% | Ben Carson | 47% | 5 | ||||
Joe Biden | 44% | Carly Fiorna | 43% | 1 | ||||
Joe Biden | 45% | Marco Rubio | 43% | 2 | ||||
Joe Biden | 50% | Donald Trump | 40% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 40% | Jeb Bush | 46% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 40% | Ben Carson | 49% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Carly Fiorna | 45% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Marco Rubio | 45% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 42% | 2 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 42% | Jeb Bush | 44% | 2 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 37% | Ben Carson | 47% | 10 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 40% | Carly Fiorna | 44% | 4 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 39% | Marco Rubio | 45% | 6 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 46% | Donald Trump | 41% | 5 | ||||
Quinnipiac University [180] | August 7–18, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 40% | 5 | 1,085 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 40% | Jeb Bush | 43% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 40% | Marco Rubio | 47% | 7 | ||||
Joe Biden | 48% | Donald Trump | 40% | 8 | ||||
Joe Biden | 42% | Jeb Bush | 43% | 1 | ||||
Joe Biden | 41% | Marco Rubio | 44% | 3 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 44% | Donald Trump | 41% | 3 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 36% | Jeb Bush | 44% | 8 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 33% | Marco Rubio | 45% | 12 | ||||
Quinnipiac University [181] | June 4–15, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 4 | 970 | ± 3.2% |
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Chris Christie | 41% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ted Cruz | 40% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Mike Huckabee | 39% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | John Kasich | 39% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Rand Paul | 45% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Marco Rubio | 44% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Scott Walker | 41% | 5 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | May 21–24, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Jeb Bush | 38% | 11 | 799 | ± 3.5% |
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ben Carson | 42% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 41% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Ted Cruz | 41% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Mike Huckabee | 42% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Rand Paul | 43% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Marco Rubio | 45% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Rick Santorum | 42% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Scott Walker | 41% | 4 | ||||
Lincoln Chafee | 27% | Scott Walker | 36% | 9 | ||||
Martin O'Malley | 30% | Scott Walker | 38% | 8 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 32% | Scott Walker | 37% | 5 | ||||
Jim Webb | 29% | Scott Walker | 36% | 8 | ||||
Quinnipiac University [182] | March 17–28, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 40% | 6 | 1,036 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Chris Christie | 40% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ted Cruz | 39% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Mike Huckabee | 41% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Rand Paul | 45% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Marco Rubio | 42% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Scott Walker | 41% | 5 | ||||
Muhlenberg College | January 28 – February 11, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Jeb Bush | 32% | 16 | 351 | ± 7% |
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Chris Christie | 31% | 19 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | ?% | Mitt Romney | ?% | ? | ||||
Quinnipiac University [183] | January 22 – February 1, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Jeb Bush | 35% | 15 | 881 | ± 3.3% |
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Chris Christie | 39% | 11 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 54% | Mike Huckabee | 34% | 20 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Rand Paul | 34% | 19 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 54% | Rick Santorum | 34% | 20 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | January 15–18, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Jeb Bush | 38% | 11 | 1,042 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Ben Carson | 37% | 14 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Chris Christie | 39% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Mike Huckabee | 39% | 12 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Rand Paul | 39% | 11 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Rick Santorum | 36% | 16 | ||||
Joe Biden | 41% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 2 | ||||
Elizabeth Warren | 36% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 8 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | May 30 – June 1, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Jeb Bush | 37% | 14 | 835 | ± 3.4% |
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Chris Christie | 39% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Ted Cruz | 34% | 19 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Mike Huckabee | 37% | 15 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Rand Paul | 38% | 14 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Rick Santorum | 40% | 11 | ||||
Quinnipiac | May 29 – June 2, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Jeb Bush | 35% | 16 | 1,308 | ± 2.7% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Chris Christie | 41% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Mike Huckabee | 36% | 15 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Rand Paul | 37% | 14 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Paul Ryan | 38% | 12 | ||||
Quinnipiac [ permanent dead link ] | February 19–24, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 53% | Jeb Bush | 36% | 17 | 1,405 | ± 2.6% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 41% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 54% | Ted Cruz | 34% | 20 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Rand Paul | 38% | 15 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Rick Santorum | 37% | 16 | ||||
Quinnipiac Archived 2014-02-23 at the Wayback Machine | December 11–16, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 52% | Jeb Bush | 36% | 16 | 1,061 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Chris Christie | 43% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 54% | Ted Cruz | 36% | 18 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Rand Paul | 40% | 12 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Rick Santorum | 38% | 13 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | November 22–25, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Jeb Bush | 44% | 4 | 693 | ± 3.7% |
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Chris Christie | 48% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Ted Cruz | 41% | 12 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Rand Paul | 43% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Rick Santorum | 42% | 9 | ||||
Quinnipiac Archived 2013-06-13 at the Wayback Machine | May 30 – June 4, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 52% | Rand Paul | 37% | 15 | 1,032 | ± 3.1% |
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Rick Santorum | 36% | 17 | ||||
Joe Biden | 45% | Rand Paul | 41% | 4 | ||||
Joe Biden | 46% | Rick Santorum | 39% | 7 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | March 8–10, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 52% | Marco Rubio | 37% | 15 | 504 | ± 4.4% |
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Paul Ryan | 40% | 12 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 55% | Rick Santorum | 38% | 17 | ||||
Quinnipiac Archived 2014-01-22 at the Wayback Machine | March 6–11, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Chris Christie | 42% | 5 | 1,116 | ± 2.9% |
Hillary Clinton | 54% | Marco Rubio | 36% | 18 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 55% | Paul Ryan | 38% | 17 | ||||
Joe Biden | 38% | Chris Christie | 51% | 13 | ||||
Joe Biden | 45% | Marco Rubio | 41% | 4 | ||||
Joe Biden | 44% | Paul Ryan | 47% | 13 | ||||
Andrew Cuomo | 32% | Chris Christie | 53% | 21 | ||||
Andrew Cuomo | 42% | Marco Rubio | 38% | 4 | ||||
Andrew Cuomo | 44% | Paul Ryan | 41% | 3 |
Three-way race
Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Independent/ Third-party candidate | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Quinnipiac University [180] | August 7–18, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 37% | Jeb Bush | 29% | Donald Trump | 24% | 8 | 1,085 | 3% |
9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 54%–45%
(Republican in 2012) 55%–44%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | November 7–8, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Jeb Bush | 47% | 6 | 1,290 | ± 2.7% |
Hillary Clinton | 39% | Ben Carson | 51% | 12 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Ted Cruz | 46% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Carly Fiorina | 45% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Mike Huckabee | 47% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | John Kasich | 43% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Marco Rubio | 47% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 47% | 5 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 35% | Jeb Bush | 48% | 13 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 33% | Ben Carson | 51% | 18 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 35% | Ted Cruz | 45% | 10 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 33% | Marco Rubio | 46% | 13 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 38% | Donald Trump | 48% | 10 | ||||
Public Policy Polling [185] | September 3–6, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 37% | Jeb Bush | 47% | 10 | 1,115 | |
Hillary Clinton | 36% | Ben Carson | 54% | 18 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 39% | Ted Cruz | 48% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 38% | Carly Fiorina | 48% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 39% | Lindsey Graham | 38% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 39% | Mike Huckabee | 49% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 38% | John Kasich | 42% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 40% | Marco Rubio | 46% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 50% | 11 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 39% | Scott Walker | 48% | 9 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 32% | Jeb Bush | 48% | 16 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 27% | Ben Carson | 51% | 24 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 28% | Carly Fiorina | 45% | 17 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 33% | Lindsey Graham | 39% | 6 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 35% | Donald Trump | 51% | 16 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 30% | Scott Walker | 46% | 16 | ||||
Joe Biden | 39% | Donald Trump | 51% | 12 | ||||
Public Policy Polling [186] | February 12–15, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Jeb Bush | 49% | 7 | 868 | ± 3.3% |
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Ben Carson | 48% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Chris Christie | 43% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Ted Cruz | 46% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Lindsey Graham | 45% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Mike Huckabee | 49% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Rand Paul | 45% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Rick Perry | 48% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Scott Walker | 46% | 4 | ||||
Joe Biden | 36% | Jeb Bush | 53% | 17 | ||||
Elizabeth Warren | 34% | Jeb Bush | 50% | 16 | ||||
NBC News/Marist | February 3–10, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Jeb Bush | 48% | 3 | 877 | ± 3.3% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Scott Walker | 46% | Tied | ||||
Harper Polling | October 27–28, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Chris Christie | 43% | 5 | 676 | ± 3.77% |
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Ted Cruz | 41% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 40% | Marco Rubio | 47% | 7 |
Three-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Independent/ Third-party candidate | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [185] | September 3–6, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 34% | Jeb Bush | 25% | Donald Trump | 33% | 1 | 1,115 |
38 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 55%–44%
(Republican in 2012) 57%–41%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Texas Lyceum [187] | Sept 8–21, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 37% | Donald Trump | 39% | 2 | 633 LV | ± 3.9% |
Hillary Clinton | 27% | Jeb Bush | 35% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 32% | Ted Cruz | 39% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 34% | Marco Rubio | 27% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 31% | Scott Walker | 33% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 38% | Rick Perry | 34% | 4 | ||||
The Texas Lyceum [187] | Sept 8–21, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Donald Trump | 33% | 5 | 801 RV | ± 3.35% |
Hillary Clinton | 27% | Jeb Bush | 32% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 31% | Ted Cruz | 32% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 32% | Marco Rubio | 22% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 31% | Scott Walker | 29% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 37% | Rick Perry | 31% | 6 | ||||
Public Policy Polling [188] | April 10–13, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Jeb Bush | 50% | 8 | 559 | ± 4.1% |
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Chris Christie | 44% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Ted Cruz | 50% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Mike Huckabee | 50% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 40% | Rand Paul | 50% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Rick Perry | 49% | 5 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | November 1–4, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Jeb Bush | 49% | 7 | 500 | ± 4.4% |
Hillary Clinton | 39% | Chris Christie | 44% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ted Cruz | 48% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Rand Paul | 48% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rick Perry | 45% | 2 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | June 28 – July 1, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Jeb Bush | 46% | 3 | 500 | ± 4.4% |
Hillary Clinton | 38% | Chris Christie | 47% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Ted Cruz | 49% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Rick Perry | 44% | 4 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | January 24–27, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Chris Christie | 43% | 2 | 500 | ±4.4% |
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Rick Perry | 42% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Marco Rubio | 45% | 1 |
6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 62%–34%
(Republican in 2012) 73%–25%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dan Jones & Associates | December 8–14, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 28% | Donald Trump | 33% | 5 | 622 | ± 3.93% |
Hillary Clinton | 21% | Marco Rubio | 48% | 27 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 22% | Jeb Bush | 47% | 25 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 23% | Ben Carson | 52% | 29 |
13 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 53%–46%
(Democratic in 2012) 51%–47%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Roanoke College | November 9–13, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 36% | 14 | 601 | ± 4% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 39% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Carly Fiorina | 39% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Marco Rubio | 41% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Ben Carson | 44% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ted Cruz | 39% | 8 | ||||
Christopher Newport University | September 29 – October 8, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 40% | 7 | 1,067 | ± 3.2% |
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Ben Carson | 49% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Carly Fiorina | 47% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Jeb Bush | 46% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Marco Rubio | 45% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Ted Cruz | 41% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Chris Christie | 47% | 5 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 49% | Donald Trump | 37% | 12 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 39% | Ben Carson | 49% | 10 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 39% | Carly Fiorina | 44% | 5 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 41% | Jeb Bush | 46% | 5 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 43% | Marco Rubio | 42% | 1 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 47% | Ted Cruz | 37% | 10 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 41% | Chris Christie | 44% | 3 | ||||
Joe Biden | 54% | Donald Trump | 37% | 17 | ||||
Joe Biden | 48% | Ben Carson | 44% | 4 | ||||
Joe Biden | 48% | Carly Fiorina | 42% | 6 | ||||
Joe Biden | 47% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 5 | ||||
Joe Biden | 50% | Marco Rubio | 40% | 10 | ||||
Joe Biden | 53% | Ted Cruz | 36% | 17 | ||||
Joe Biden | 48% | Chris Christie | 41% | 7 | ||||
Roanoke College | August 10–20, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 32% | 11 | 535 | ± 4.24% |
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Jeb Bush | 40% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Scott Walker | 38% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Marco Rubio | 40% | 2 | ||||
Quinnipiac University [19] | July 9–20, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 3 | 1,209 | ± 2.8% |
Hillary Clinton | 40% | Scott Walker | 43% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Marco Rubio | 43% | 2 | ||||
Joe Biden | 40% | Jeb Bush | 45% | 5 | ||||
Joe Biden | 41% | Scott Walker | 45% | 4 | ||||
Joe Biden | 41% | Marco Rubio | 45% | 4 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 36% | Jeb Bush | 46% | 10 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 36% | Scott Walker | 44% | 8 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 37% | Marco Rubio | 44% | 7 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | July 13–15, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 38% | 8 | 1,170 | ± 2.9% |
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ben Carson | 43% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Chris Christie | 39% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ted Cruz | 41% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Carly Fiorina | 39% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Jim Gilmore | 35% | 12 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Mike Huckabee | 39% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rand Paul | 42% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Marco Rubio | 43% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 39% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Scott Walker | 42% | 5 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 39% | Jeb Bush | 40% | 1 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 38% | Marco Rubio | 40% | 2 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 43% | Donald Trump | 39% | 4 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 38% | Scott Walker | 39% | 1 | ||||
Jim Webb | 40% | Scott Walker | 37% | 3 | ||||
Christopher Newport University [189] | April 13–24, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 48% | 2 | 658 | ± 4.6% |
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Chris Christie | 45% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Ted Cruz | 44% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Mike Huckabee | 46% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Rand Paul | 47% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Marco Rubio | 45% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Scott Walker | 43% | 5 | ||||
Quinnipiac University [20] | March 29–April 7, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Jeb Bush | 40% | 7 | 961 | ± 3.2% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 40% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Ted Cruz | 39% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Mike Huckabee | 40% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rand Paul | 43% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Marco Rubio | 40% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Scott Walker | 40% | 7 | ||||
Quinnipiac University [21] | February 5–15, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Jeb Bush | 42% | Tied | 1,074 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Chris Christie | 39% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Mike Huckabee | 41% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Rand Paul | 42% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Scott Walker | 40% | 5 | ||||
Christopher Newport University | January 30 – February 10, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Jeb Bush | 43% | 5 | 794 | ± 3.6% |
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Chris Christie | 42% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Mike Huckabee | 42% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Rand Paul | 42% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Marco Rubio | 42% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Paul Ryan | 42% | 10 | ||||
Roanoke College | September 13–19, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Chris Christie | 37% | 10 | 630 | ± 3.9% |
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Rand Paul | 35% | 16 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Paul Ryan | 37% | 13 | ||||
Roanoke College | July 14–19, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Chris Christie | 34% | 10 | 566 | ± 4.2% |
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rand Paul | 37% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Paul Ryan | 38% | 9 | ||||
Quinnipiac Archived 2014-04-02 at the Wayback Machine | March 19–24, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Jeb Bush | 39% | 8 | 1,288 | ± 2.7% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Chris Christie | 41% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Mike Huckabee | 41% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Rand Paul | 42% | 6 | ||||
Roanoke College Archived 2014-03-23 at the Wayback Machine | February 22–28, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Chris Christie | 40% | 8 | 707 | ± 3.9% |
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Rand Paul | 38% | 14 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Paul Ryan | 40% | 11 | ||||
Christopher Newport University | February 23–28, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Jeb Bush | 38% | 13 | 901 | ± 3.3% |
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Chris Christie | 41% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ted Cruz | 37% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Mike Huckabee | 37% | 15 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rand Paul | 40% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Marco Rubio | 40% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Paul Ryan | 37% | 15 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Scott Walker | 35% | 11 | ||||
Harper Polling | September 15–16, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Chris Christie | 41% | Tied | 779 | ± 3.51% |
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Rand Paul | 41% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Marco Rubio | 40% | 7 | ||||
Purple Strategies Archived 2016-03-04 at the Wayback Machine | September 6–10, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Chris Christie | 40% | 2 | 800 | ± 3.5% |
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Rand Paul | 41% | 7 | ||||
Quinnipiac Archived 2014-04-08 at the Wayback Machine | August 14–19, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 37% | 9 | 1,374 | ± 2.6% |
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Ted Cruz | 34% | 17 | ||||
Joe Biden | 37% | Chris Christie | 44% | 7 | ||||
Joe Biden | 47% | Ted Cruz | 37% | 10 | ||||
Quinnipiac Archived 2014-01-22 at the Wayback Machine | July 11–15, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Chris Christie | 40% | 5 | 1,030 | ±3.1% |
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Rand Paul | 37% | 14 | ||||
Joe Biden | 38% | Chris Christie | 46% | 8 | ||||
Joe Biden | 47% | Rand Paul | 40% | 7 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | July 11–14, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Chris Christie | 41% | 1 | 601 | ±4% |
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Bob McDonnell | 39% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Rand Paul | 39% | 12 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Marco Rubio | 37% | 12 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | May 24–26, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Bob McDonnell | 42% | 6 | 672 | ± 3.8% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Marco Rubio | 42% | 4 | ||||
Quinnipiac Archived 2014-01-22 at the Wayback Machine | May 8–13, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Marco Rubio | 38% | 13 | 1,286 | ±2.7% |
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Paul Ryan | 40% | 10 | ||||
Mark Warner | 51% | Marco Rubio | 33% | 18 | ||||
Mark Warner | 50% | Paul Ryan | 37% | 13 | ||||
NBC News/Marist | April 28 – May 2, 2012 | Hillary Clinton | 52% | Bob McDonnell | 41% | 11 | 1,095 | ±3% |
Joe Biden | 42% | Bob McDonnell | 49% | 7 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | April 26–29, 2012 | Mark Warner | 50% | Bob McDonnell | 37% | 13 | 680 | ±3.8% |
Three-way race
Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Independent/ Third-party candidate | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of Mary Washington [190] | November 4–9, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 36% | Jim Webb | 16% | 6 | 1,006 | ±3.5% |
Hillary Clinton | 39% | Ben Carson | 44% | Jim Webb | 12% | 5 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 33% | Donald Trump | 38% | Jim Webb | 20% | 5 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 33% | Ben Carson | 42% | Jim Webb | 17% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Jeb Bush | 24% | Donald Trump | 27% | 15 |
12 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–40%
(Democratic in 2012) 56%–41%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing [191] | May 18–19, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Jeb Bush | 37% | 8 | 1,032 | ±3% |
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rand Paul | 42% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Scott Walker | 40% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 37% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Mike Huckabee | 40% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Marco Rubio | 42% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ted Cruz | 40% | 8 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | May 14–17, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Jeb Bush | 37% | 11 | 879 | ±3.3% |
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Ben Carson | 39% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Chris Christie | 34% | 15 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Ted Cruz | 38% | 12 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Mike Huckabee | 37% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Rand Paul | 38% | 12 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Rick Perry | 37% | 13 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Marco Rubio | 39% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Scott Walker | 38% | 10 | ||||
Lincoln Chafee | 29% | Scott Walker | 35% | 6 | ||||
Martin O'Malley | 31% | Scott Walker | 34% | 3 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 35% | Scott Walker | 35% | Tied | ||||
Jim Webb | 32% | Scott Walker | 33% | 1 |
5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 56%–43%
(Republican in 2012) 62%–36%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Orion Strategies [192] | August 24–25, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 30% | Donald Trump | 53% | 23 | 406 | ±4.9% |
Public Policy Polling [193] | September 19–22, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Jeb Bush | 52% | 14 | 1,110 | ±2.9% |
Hillary Clinton | 38% | Chris Christie | 47% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Ted Cruz | 44% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 39% | Rand Paul | 49% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 38% | Paul Ryan | 50% | 12 |
10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 56%–42%
(Democratic in 2012) 53%–46%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Let America Work | November 16–18, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Marco Rubio | 47% | 5 | 900 | ± 3.3% |
Marquette University | November 12–15, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Ben Carson | 45% | 1 | 803 | ± 4.2% |
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Marco Rubio | 45% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 38% | 10 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 47% | Ben Carson | 41% | 6 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 46% | Marco Rubio | 42% | 4 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 52% | Donald Trump | 35% | 17 | ||||
Marquette University | September 24–28, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Jeb Bush | 38% | 12 | 803 | ± 4.1% |
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Marco Rubio | 40% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 36% | 14 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 49% | Jeb Bush | 39% | 10 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 49% | Marco Rubio | 36% | 13 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 53% | Donald Trump | 34% | 19 | ||||
Marquette University | August 13–16, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 5 | 802 | ± 3.5% |
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Ted Cruz | 38% | 12 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Donald Trump | 35% | 16 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Scott Walker | 42% | 10 | ||||
The Wisconsin Survey [194] | April 8–17, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Scott Walker | 42% | 2 | 600 | ± 4% |
Marquette University | April 7–10, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 48.8% | Jeb Bush | 37.9% | 10.9 | 803 | ± 3.5% |
Hillary Clinton | 52.1% | Ted Cruz | 36.4% | 15.7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Rand Paul | 41% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49.5% | Marco Rubio | 37.7% | 11.8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51.5% | Scott Walker | 39.8% | 11.7 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | March 6–8, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Jeb Bush | 39% | 10 | 1,071 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Ben Carson | 38% | 11 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Chris Christie | 39% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Ted Cruz | 39% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Mike Huckabee | 40% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Rand Paul | 42% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Rick Perry | 40% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Marco Rubio | 40% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Scott Walker | 43% | 9 | ||||
Joe Biden | 48% | Scott Walker | 45% | 3 | ||||
Elizabeth Warren | 48% | Scott Walker | 45% | 3 | ||||
Gravis Marketing | October 3–4, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Paul Ryan | 51% | 7 | 837 | ± 3% |
Gravis Marketing | September 22–23, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Paul Ryan | 46% | 1 | 908 | ± 3% |
Gravis Marketing | July 31 – August 2, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Paul Ryan | 48% | 1 | 1,346 | ± 3% |
Public Policy Polling | April 17–20, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Jeb Bush | 39% | 11 | 1,144 | ± 2.9% |
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Chris Christie | 36% | 13 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Mike Huckabee | 38% | 12 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Rand Paul | 39% | 11 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Paul Ryan | 45% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Scott Walker | 44% | 7 | ||||
Marquette University | October 21–24, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Chris Christie | 40.3% | 9.7 | 800 | ± 3.5% |
Hillary Clinton | 55.3% | Ted Cruz | 33.4% | 21.9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50.7% | Paul Ryan | 43% | 7.7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 53.3% | Scott Walker | 40.6% | 12.7 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | September 13–16, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 4 | 1,180 | ±2.9% |
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Chris Christie | 40% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ted Cruz | 37% | 11 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rand Paul | 42% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Paul Ryan | 46% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Scott Walker | 44% | 5 | ||||
Marquette University | May 6–9, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 46.5% | Chris Christie | 40% | 6.5 | 717 | ±3.7% |
Hillary Clinton | 50.8% | Rand Paul | 37.2% | 13.6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51.1% | Marco Rubio | 34.9% | 16.2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48.5% | Paul Ryan | 43.5% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50.2% | Scott Walker | 41.7% | 8.5 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | February 21–24, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 52% | Marco Rubio | 38% | 14 | 1,799 | ±2.3% |
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Paul Ryan | 43% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 54% | Scott Walker | 41% | 13 |
3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 65%–33%
(Republican in 2012) 69%–28%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [195] | July 19–21, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 31% | Jeb Bush | 58% | 27 | 1,203 | ±2.8% |
Hillary Clinton | 28% | Chris Christie | 56% | 28 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 32% | Rand Paul | 58% | 26 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 32% | Marco Rubio | 56% | 24 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 32% | Paul Ryan | 59% | 27 |
This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the Republican primaries for the 2016 United States presidential election. The persons named in the polls were either declared candidates, former candidates, or received media speculation about their possible candidacy. On May 4, 2016, Donald Trump became the sole contender and presumptive nominee.
This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the Democratic primaries for the 2016 United States presidential election. The persons named in the polls are declared candidates, are former candidates, or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy.
This article contains opinion polling by U.S. state for the 2016 Republican Party presidential primaries. The shading for each poll indicates the candidate(s) which are within one margin of error of the poll's leader.
This article contains opinion polling by U.S. state for the 2016 Democratic Party presidential primaries. For currency and accuracy, please note the specific dates for each polling as listed below. For the significance of the earliest state votes, the Iowa caucuses and the New Hampshire primary, see United States presidential primary – Iowa and New Hampshire. To know when any given state votes, see the timeline of primaries and caucuses.
Statewide polls for the 2016 United States presidential election include the following. The polls listed here provide early data on opinion polling between the Democratic candidate, the Republican candidate, the Libertarian candidate, and the Green candidate. Prior to the parties' conventions, presumptive candidates were included in the polls. State polling is not conducted in all states for the election due to various factors. More polls usually are conducted in states that are considered swing states as more attention is given to the results. For determining a statistical tie, the margin of error provided by the polling source is applied to the result for each candidate.
This page lists nationwide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the 2016 United States presidential election. The two major party candidates were chosen at the Democratic National Convention and Republican National Convention in July 2016.
The 2016 presidential campaign of Rand Paul, the junior United States senator from Kentucky, was announced on April 7, 2015, at an event at the Galt House in Louisville, Kentucky. First elected to the U.S. Senate in the 2010 election, Paul's candidacy for the Republican nomination for President of the United States in 2016 had been widely speculated since early 2013.
The 2016 Iowa Democratic presidential caucuses were held on Monday February 1 in Iowa, as usual marking the Democratic Party's first nominating contest in their series of presidential primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.
The 2016 Iowa Republican presidential caucuses took place on February 1 in the U.S. state of Iowa, traditionally marking the Republican Party's first nominating contest in their series of presidential primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.
The 2016 Florida Democratic presidential primary took place on March 15 in the U.S. state of Florida as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.
The 2016 North Carolina Democratic presidential primary took place on March 15 in the U.S. state of North Carolina as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.
The 2016 Connecticut Democratic presidential primary were held on April 26 in the U.S. state of Connecticut as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.
The 2016 New Jersey Democratic presidential primary was held on June 7 in the U.S. state of New Jersey as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.
The 2016 New York Republican presidential primary was held on April 19 in the U.S. state of New York as one of the Republican Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.
This page lists nationwide public opinion polling among demographics that have been conducted relating to the 2016 United States presidential election between prospective Democratic and Republican candidates. The two major party candidates were chosen at the Democratic National Convention and Republican National Convention in July 2016. The general election occurred on Tuesday, November 8, 2016.
The 2016 Ohio Republican presidential primary took place March 15 in the U.S. state of Ohio, as a part of the Republican Party's series of presidential primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election. The Ohio primary was held alongside Republican primary elections in Florida, Illinois, Missouri and North Carolina, along with the Democratic contest in Ohio.
Statewide polls for the 2016 United States presidential election are as follows. The polls listed here, by state, are from January 1 to August 31, 2016 and provide early data on opinion polling between a possible Republican candidate against a possible Democratic candidate.
This is a list of opinion polls taken on the Presidency of Donald Trump in 2018.
This page lists nationwide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the 2016 United States presidential election in Florida, contested by Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump, Gary Johnson and Jill Stein. The state was won by Donald Trump with 49.02% of the vote against 47.82% for Hillary Clinton.
The 49 delegates from Virginia to the Republican National Convention were allocated proportionally based on the popular vote. Donald Trump edged out a narrow plurality of pledged delegates, with Marco Rubio coming in second place and Ted Cruz placing in a distant third.
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