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Leading presidential candidate by state or district, based on opinion polls. This map only represents polling data, it is not a prediction for the election. | |||||||||||||||||||
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![]() 2020 U.S. presidential election | |
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Attempts to overturn | |
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This is a list of statewide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the 2020 United States presidential election. The persons named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy.
If multiple versions of polls are provided, the version among likely voters is prioritized, then registered voters, then adults.
The following graph depicts the difference between Joe Biden and Donald Trump in each swing state in the poll aggregators from March 2020 to the election, with the election results for comparison.
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 1] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | September 1 – October 13, 2020 | October 27, 2020 | 38.0% | 58.0% | 4.0% | Trump +20.0 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 37.8% | 57.4% | 4.8% | Trump +19.5 |
Average | 37.9% | 57.7% | 4.4% | Trump +19.8 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 1,808 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 62% [lower-alpha 3] | 36% | – | – | – |
Swayable Archived November 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 330 (LV) | ± 7.9% | 55% | 38% | 7% | – | – |
Data for Progress | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 1,045 (LV) | ± 3% | 58% | 38% | 3% | 1% | 0% [lower-alpha 4] |
Auburn University At Montgomery | Oct 23–28, 2020 | 853 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 58% | 39% | – | 3% | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 3,363 (LV) | – | 61% | 37% | – | – | – |
Swayable | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 266 (LV) | ± 7.8% | 56% | 37% | 7% | – | – |
Moore Information (R) [upper-alpha 1] | Oct 11–14, 2020 | 504 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 55% | 38% | – | – | – |
Auburn University at Montgomery Archived November 9, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Sep 30 – Oct 3, 2020 | 1,072 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 57% | 37% | – | 6% | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 1,354 (LV) | – | 59% | 39% | – | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 1,220 (LV) | – | 65% | 33% | – | – | 2% |
Tyson Group/Consumer Energy Alliance [upper-alpha 2] | Aug 17–19, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 48% | 44% | 0% | 0% [lower-alpha 5] | 7% |
Morning Consult | Jul 24 – Aug 2, 2020 | 609 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 58% | 36% | – | 2% [lower-alpha 6] | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 1,583 (LV) | – | 63% | 35% | – | – | 2% |
Auburn University at Montgomery Archived July 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Jul 2–9, 2020 | 567 (RV) | ± 5.1% | 55% | 41% | – | 4% | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 649 (LV) | – | 63% | 35% | – | – | 2% |
FM3 Research/Doug Jones [upper-alpha 3] | May 14–18, 2020 | 601 (LV) | ± 4% | 53% | 39% | – | – | – |
Mason-Dixon | Feb 4–6, 2020 | 625 (RV) | ± 4% | 58% | 38% | – | – | 4% |
WPA Intelligence | Jan 7–9, 2020 | 500 (LV) | – | 59% | 38% | – | – | 3% |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 7] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 6 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 43.8% | 49.4% | 6.8% | Trump +5.6 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 43.6% | 51.2% | 5.2% | Trump +7.7 |
Average | 43.7% | 50.3% | 6.0% | Trump +6.7 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 8] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 634 (LV) | ± 5% | 54% [lower-alpha 9] | 45% | – | – | – |
Gravis Marketing | Oct 26–28, 2020 | 770 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 52% | 43% | – | – | 5% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 1,147 (LV) | – | 54% | 44% | – | – | – |
Public Policy Polling/Protect Our Care [upper-alpha 4] | Oct 19–20, 2020 | 800 (V) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 45% | - | – | 5% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Oct 9–14, 2020 | 423 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 45% | 39% | 8% | 2% [lower-alpha 10] | 6% [lower-alpha 11] |
Patinkin Research Strategies | Sep 30 – Oct 4, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 49% | 46% | – | 3% [lower-alpha 12] | 2% |
Alaska Survey Research | Sep 26 – Oct 4, 2020 | 696 (LV) | – | 50% | 46% | - | - | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 563 (LV) | – | 53% | 45% | - | - | 2% |
Harstad Strategic Research/Independent Alaska [upper-alpha 5] | Sep 20–23, 2020 | 602 (LV) | ± 4% | 47% | 46% | - | - | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 472 (LV) | – | 57% | 42% | - | - | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 412 (LV) | – | 55% | 43% | - | - | 2% |
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 6] | Jul 23–24, 2020 | 885 (V) | – | 50% | 44% | - | - | 6% |
Public Policy Polling [lower-alpha 13] | Jul 7–8, 2020 | 1,081 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 45% | - | - | 6% |
Alaska Survey Research | Jun 23 – Jul 7, 2020 | 663 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 49% | 48% | - | - | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 161 (LV) | – | 52% | 46% | - | - | 2% |
Zogby Interactive/JZ Analytics | Jul 22 – Aug 9, 2019 | 321 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 45% | 40% | - | - | 15% |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 1] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 22 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 48.0% | 45.8% | 6.2% | Biden +2.2 |
Real Clear Politics | October 25 – November 1, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 47.9% | 47.0% | 5.1% | Biden +0.9 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 48.7% | 46.1% | 5.2% | Biden +2.6 |
Average | 48.2% | 46.3% | 5.5% | Biden +1.9 |
2020 polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 14] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ipsos/Reuters | Oct 27 – Nov 2 | 610 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 47% [lower-alpha 15] | 50% | 1% | 0% | 2% [lower-alpha 16] | – |
47% [lower-alpha 17] | 49% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 18] | 1% | ||||
48% [lower-alpha 19] | 50% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 20] | – | ||||
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2 | 4,278 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 46% [lower-alpha 21] | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC | Oct 29 – Nov 1 | 409 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 47% | 50% | 2% | - | – | 1% |
Marist College/NBC | Oct 29 – Nov 1 | 717 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 48% | 48% | - | - | 3% | 1% |
Swayable Archived November 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 27 – Nov 1 | 360 (LV) | ± 7.1% | 46% | 51% | 4% | - | – | – |
Data for Progress | Oct 27 – Nov 1 | 1,195 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 47% | 50% | 2% | 1% | 0% [lower-alpha 22] | – |
AtlasIntel | Oct 30–31 | 641 (LV) | ± 4% | 50.4% | 48.1% | - | - | 1.5% [lower-alpha 23] | – |
Emerson College | Oct 29–31 | 732 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 46% | 48% | - | - | 6% [lower-alpha 24] | – |
Morning Consult | Oct 22–31 | 1,059 (LV) | ± 3% | 46% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Data Orbital | Oct 28–30 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 45.3% | 45.9% | 3% | - | 6% [lower-alpha 25] | 5% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Oct 26–30 | 1,253 (LV) | ± 3% | 43% | 49% | 3% | - | 1% [lower-alpha 26] | 5% [lower-alpha 27] |
Grand Canyon Battleground Poll | Oct 25–30 | 910 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 48% | 45% | 3% | - | 4% | |
CNN/SSRS | Oct 23–30 | 892 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 50% | 3% | - | 1% [lower-alpha 28] | 1% |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports | Oct 27–29 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 45% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 29] | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Oct 26–29 | 889 (LV) | – | 46% | 50% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 2% |
Gravis Marketing | Oct 26–28 | 704 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 44% | 48% | - | - | – | 8% |
Trafalgar Group | Oct 25–28 | 1,002 (LV) | ± 3% | 49% | 46.5% | 2.1% | - | 1.7% [lower-alpha 30] | 0.7% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28 | 5,687 (LV) | – | 46% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Ipsos/Reuters | Oct 21–27 | 714 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 47% [lower-alpha 15] | 47% | 2% | 0% | 3% [lower-alpha 31] | – |
46% [lower-alpha 17] | 48% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 32] | 2% | ||||
Swayable | Oct 23–26 | 304 (LV) | ± 7.2% | 44% | 52% | 3% | - | – | – |
Justice Collaborative Project [upper-alpha 7] | Oct 22–25 | 874 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 43% | 49% | - | - | – | 5% |
OH Predictive Insights | Oct 22–25 | 716 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 49% | 3% | - | 1% [lower-alpha 33] | 1% |
Univision/University of Houston/Latino Decisions/North Star Opinion Research | Oct 17–25 | 725 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 45% | 50% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 34] | 3% |
Patinkin Research Strategies/Arizona Research Consortium (D) | Oct 21–24 | 729 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 45% | 52% | - | - | 2% | 1% |
Y2 Analytics/Salt Lake Tribune | Oct 15–24 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc./Center for American Greatness [upper-alpha 8] | Oct 19–22 | 504 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46% [lower-alpha 35] | 46% | 4% | - | 2% [lower-alpha 36] | 1% |
Ipsos/Reuters | Oct 14–21 | 658 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46% [lower-alpha 15] | 50% | 1% | - | 2% [lower-alpha 37] | – |
46% [lower-alpha 17] | 49% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 32] | 2% | ||||
Morning Consult | Oct 11–20 | 1,066 (LV) | ± 3% | 48% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports | Oct 18–19 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 48% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 29] | 3% |
Change Research/CNBC | Oct 16–19 | 232 (LV) [lower-alpha 38] | – | 45% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ | Oct 14–19 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 46% [lower-alpha 15] | 47% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 29] | 5% |
44% [lower-alpha 39] | 49% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 29] | 5% | ||||
47% [lower-alpha 40] | 45% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 29] | 5% | ||||
Data Orbital | Oct 16–18 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 42% | 47% | 3% | - | 5% [lower-alpha 41] | 2% |
YouGov/CBS | Oct 13–16 | 1,074 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 45% | 49% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 42] | 3% |
Ipsos/Reuters | Oct 7–14 | 667 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 47% [lower-alpha 15] | 49% | 1% | 0% | 2% [lower-alpha 43] | – |
46% [lower-alpha 17] | 50% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 18] | 3% | ||||
Monmouth University | Oct 11–13 | 502 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 50% | 2% | - | 1% [lower-alpha 44] | 4% |
502 (LV) | 44% [lower-alpha 45] | 51% | - | - | 2% | – | |||
47% [lower-alpha 46] | 49% | - | - | 1% | – | ||||
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Oct 10–13 | 750 (LV) | – | 45% [lower-alpha 38] | 48% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
Morning Consult | Oct 2–11 | 1,144 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 46% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Oct 9–10 | 720 (LV) | – | 46% [lower-alpha 38] | 48% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
Trafalgar Group | Oct 6–8 | 1,087 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 48% | 44% | 2% | - | 2% [lower-alpha 34] | 5% |
OH Predictive Insights | Oct 4–8 | 608 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% [lower-alpha 15] | 49% | 4% | - | 0% [lower-alpha 47] | 3% |
47% [lower-alpha 48] | 50% | - | - | 0% [lower-alpha 47] | 3% | ||||
Redfield and Wilton Strategies | Oct 4–7 | 727 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 43% | 49% | 1% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 49] | 6% |
Ipsos/Reuters | Sep 29 – Oct 7 | 633 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 46% | 48% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 18] | 4% |
Latino Decisions/Democrats for Education Reform [upper-alpha 9] | Sep 28 – Oct 6 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 45% | 48% | - | - | – | 5% |
Basswood Research/American Action Forum [upper-alpha 10] | Oct 3–5 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 48% | 2% | - | – | 3% |
Data Orbital | Oct 3–5 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 43% | 48% | 3% | - | 3% [lower-alpha 50] | 4% |
HighGround Inc. | Sep 28 – Oct 5 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 46% | - | - | 4% [lower-alpha 51] | 5% |
Change Research/CNBC | Oct 2–4 | 296 (LV) | – | 45% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Oct 1–3 | 655 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 41% | 49% | 3% | – | 1% [lower-alpha 26] | 6% [lower-alpha 27] |
Patinkin Research Strategies/Arizona Research Consortium (D) | Oct 1–3 | 604 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 46% | 50% | - | - | 3% | 1% |
Targoz Market Research/PollSmart | Sep 23 – Oct 2 | 1,045 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 45% | - | - | 10% | – |
Suffolk University | Sep 26–30 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 50% | 1% | - | 1% [lower-alpha 33] | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30 | 7,100 (LV) | – | 47% | 51% | - | - | – | 2% |
Strategies 360/Smart and Safe Arizona [upper-alpha 11] | Sep 24–29 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 45% | 49% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 52] | 4% |
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc/Center for American Greatness [upper-alpha 8] | Sep 25–28 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 47% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
Data for Progress (D) | Sep 23–28 | 808 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 45% [lower-alpha 15] | 49% | 1% | 0% | – | 4% |
46% [lower-alpha 48] | 50% | - | - | – | 4% | ||||
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Sep 23–26 | 871 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 44% | 47% | 1% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 49] | 6% |
Data For Progress [upper-alpha 12] | Sep 15–22 | 481 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 45% | - | - | – | 10% |
Change Research/CNBC | Sep 18–20 | 262 (LV) | – | 43% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
ABC/Washington Post | Sep 15–20 | 579 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 49% | 48% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 53] | 1% |
Hart Research Associates/Human Rights Campaign [upper-alpha 13] | Sep 17–19 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 42% | 53% | - | - | – | – |
Data Orbital | Sep 14–17 | 550 (LV) | – | 47% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Ipsos/Reuters | Sep 11–17 | 565 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 46% | 47% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 18] | 5% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Sep 12–16 | 855 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 42% | 47% | 1% | 0% | 1% [lower-alpha 49] | 8% |
Monmouth University | Sep 11–15 | 420 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 44% | 48% | 4% | - | 1% [lower-alpha 54] | 3% |
420 (LV) | 46% [lower-alpha 55] | 48% | - | - | 3% | 3% | |||
47% [lower-alpha 56] | 47% | - | - | 3% | 3% | ||||
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Sep 10–15 | 653 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 40% | 49% | 4% | - | 1% [lower-alpha 26] | 6% [lower-alpha 27] |
Patinkin Research Strategies/Arizona Research Consortium (D) | Sep 10–13 | 679 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 46% | 49% | - | - | 4% | 2% |
Kaiser Family Foundation/Cook Political Report | Aug 29 – Sep 13 | 1,298 (RV) | ± 3% | 40% | 45% | - | - | 4% [lower-alpha 57] | 11% |
Gravis Marketing | Sep 10–11 | 684 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 48% | 50% | - | - | – | 2% |
YouGov/CBS | Sep 9–11 | 1,106 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 44% | 47% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 42] | 6% |
OH Predictive Insights | Sep 8–10 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 42% | 52% | - | - | – | 5% |
Benenson Strategy Group/GS Strategy Group/AARP | Aug 28 – Sep 8 | 1,600 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 47% | 48% | - | - | 1% [lower-alpha 58] | 4% |
Morning Consult | Aug 29 – Sep 7 | 901 (LV) | ± (2–4%) | 46% [lower-alpha 59] | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC | Sep 4–6 | 470 (LV) | – | 45% | 49% | - | - | 6% [lower-alpha 60] | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Aug 30 – Sep 4 | 830 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 43% | 48% | 0% | 1% | 0% [lower-alpha 61] | 6% |
FOX News | Aug 29 – Sep 1 | 772 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 40% | 49% | 3% | - | 1% [lower-alpha 62] | 6% |
858 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 49% | 3% | - | 3% [lower-alpha 63] | 6% | ||
Basswood Research/American Action Forum [upper-alpha 10] | Aug 29–31, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% [lower-alpha 15] | 47% | 1% [lower-alpha 64] | 2% | – | 2% |
49% [lower-alpha 48] | 48% | - | - | – | 3% | ||||
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31 | 6,456 (LV) | – | 52% | 47% | - | - | – | 2% |
Morning Consult | Aug 21–30 | 943 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC | Aug 21–23 | 344 (LV) | – | 47% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Redfield and Wilton Strategies | Aug 16–18 | 856 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 38% | 47% | 1% | 1% | 3% [lower-alpha 65] | 10% |
Morning Consult | Aug 7–16 | 947 (LV) | ± (2–4%) | 47% | 45% | - | - | – | – |
Emerson College | Aug 8–10 | 661 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 47% [lower-alpha 35] | 53% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC | Aug 7–9 | 428 (LV) | – | 44% | 45% | - | - | – | – |
Trafalgar Group | Aug 5–8 | 1,013 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 46% | 45% | 3% | - | 1% [lower-alpha 66] | 4% |
OH Predictive Insights | Aug 3–4 | 603 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
OnMessage Inc./Heritage Action [upper-alpha 14] | Aug 2–4 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 51% | 48% | - | - | – | 2% |
Data for Progress | Jul 24 – Aug 2 | 1,215 (LV) | – | 43% [lower-alpha 15] | 45% | 2% | 1% | – | 10% |
44% [lower-alpha 48] | 47% | - | - | – | 8% | ||||
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31 | 4,995 (LV) | – | 51% | 47% | - | - | – | 2% |
Change Research/CNBC | Jul 24–26 | 365 (LV) | – | 45% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
Morning Consult | Jul 17–26 | 908 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 42% [lower-alpha 59] | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Morning Consult | Jul 16–25 | – (LV) [lower-alpha 67] | – | 43% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
CNN/SSRS | Jul 18–24 | 873 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 45% | 49% | - | - | 4% [lower-alpha 68] | 2% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Jul 19–23 | 858 (LV) | – | 38% | 46% | 2% | 1% | 3% [lower-alpha 65] | 11% |
NBC News/Marist College | Jul 14–22 | 826 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 45% | 50% | - | - | 1% | 3% |
Public Policy Polling/AFSCME [upper-alpha 6] | Jul 17–18 | 960 (RV) | – | 45% | 49% | - | - | – | 6% |
Spry Strategies/American Principles Project [upper-alpha 15] | Jul 11–16 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 45% | 49% | - | - | – | 6% |
Morning Consult | Jul 6–15 | – (LV) [lower-alpha 67] | – | 45% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC | Jul 10–12 | 345 (LV) | – | 45% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
YouGov/CBS | Jul 7–10 | 1,087 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 46% | 46% | - | - | 4% [lower-alpha 69] | 4% |
OH Predictive Insights | Jul 6–7 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 49% | - | - | 0% [lower-alpha 47] | 7% |
Morning Consult | Jun 26 – Jul 5 | – (LV) [lower-alpha 67] | – | 42% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30 | 2,365 (LV) | – | 52% | 46% | - | - | – | 2% |
Data Orbital | Jun 27–29 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 47% | - | - | 3.3% [lower-alpha 70] | 4.2% |
Morning Consult | Jun 16–25 | – (LV) [lower-alpha 67] | – | 43% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC | Jun 26–28 | 311 (LV) [lower-alpha 38] | – | 44% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Gravis Marketing/OANN | Jun 27 | 527 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 49% | 45% | - | - | – | 7% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Jun 14–17 | 865 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 39% | 43% | 2% | 1% | 2% [lower-alpha 71] | 13% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Jun 8–16 | 650 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 41% | 48% | - | - | 4% [lower-alpha 72] | 8% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | Jun 13–15 | 1,368 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 45% | 49% | - | - | 5% [lower-alpha 73] | 1% |
Morning Consult | Jun 6–15 | – (LV) [lower-alpha 67] | – | 44% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC | Jun 12–14 | 201 (LV) [lower-alpha 38] | – | 44% | 45% | - | - | 5% [lower-alpha 74] | – |
Morning Consult | May 27 – Jun 5 | – (LV) [lower-alpha 67] | – | 47% | 45% | - | - | – | – |
FOX News | May 30 – Jun 2 | 1,002 (RV) | ± 3% | 42% | 46% | - | - | 6% [lower-alpha 75] | 5% |
Change Research/CNBC | May 29–31 | 329 (LV) [lower-alpha 38] | – | 45% | 44% | - | - | 9% | 2% |
Morning Consult | May 17–26 | 784 (LV) | – | 47% [lower-alpha 59] | 45% | - | - | – | – |
Morning Consult | May 16–25 | – (LV) [lower-alpha 67] | – | 46% | 46% | - | - | – | – |
HighGround Inc. | May 18–22 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 47% | - | - | 4% [lower-alpha 76] | 4% [lower-alpha 27] |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | May 10–14 | 946 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 41% | 45% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 77] | 10% |
OH Predictive Insights | May 9–11 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 43% | 50% | - | - | 1% [lower-alpha 33] | 6% |
Morning Consult | May 6–15 | – (LV) [lower-alpha 67] | – | 47% | 45% | - | - | – | – |
GBAO Strategies/PLUS Paid Family Leave | Apr 13–16 | 500 (LV) | – | 46% | 47% | - | - | 2% | 5% |
OH Predictive Insights | Apr 7–8 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College | Mar 10–15 | 2,523 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 46% | 47% | - | - | 1% | 5% |
Monmouth University | Mar 11–14 | 847 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 43% | 46% | - | - | 2% | 6% |
Univision | Mar 6–11 | 1,036 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 50% | - | - | – | 8% |
OH Predictive Insights | Mar 3–4 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 49% | - | - | – | 8% |
Public Policy Polling | Mar 2–3 | 666 (V) | – | 46% | 47% | - | - | – | 6% |
Climate Nexus | Feb 11–15 | 539 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 46% | 42% | - | - | – | 13% |
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Team McSally/Politico [upper-alpha 16] | Jan 22–24 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 50% | 45% | - | - | – | 6% |
Public Policy Polling | Jan 2–4 | 760 (V) | – | 46% | 46% | - | - | – | 8% |
2019 polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 14] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
OH Predictive Insights | Dec 3–4 | 628 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 46% | 44% | 0% [lower-alpha 47] | 10% |
Emerson College | Oct 25–28 | 901 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 50% | 50% | – | – |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Oct 13–23 | 652 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 49% | – | – |
Bendixen & Amandi International | Sep 9–12 | 520 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 43% | 42% | 12% | 3% |
OH Predictive Insights | Aug 13–14 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 45% | – | 12% |
Fabrizio Ward LLC | Jul 29–31 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 45% | – | 4% |
OH Predictive Insights | May 1–2 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 49% | – | 7% |
OH Predictive Insights | Feb 12–13 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 46% | – | 7% |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 1] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 17–28, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 35.0% | 60.3% | 4.7% | Trump +25.3 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 36.2% | 58.9% | 4.9% | Trump +22.8 |
Average | 35.6% | 59.6% | 4.8% | Trump +24.0 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 78] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 1,309 (LV) | ± 4% | 61% [lower-alpha 79] | 38% | - | - | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 2,239 (LV) | – | 60% | 38% | - | - | – | – |
University of Arkansas | Oct 9–21, 2020 | 591 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 65% | 32% | - | - | 3% | – |
Hendrix College/Talk Business & Politics | Oct 11–13, 2020 | 647 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 58% | 34% | 2% | 1% | 2% [lower-alpha 80] | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 771 (LV) | – | 62% | 38% | - | - | – | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 689 (LV) | – | 67% | 32% | - | - | – | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 747 (LV) | – | 66% | 32% | - | - | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 354 (LV) | – | 59% | 38% | - | - | – | 2% |
Hendrix College/Talk Business & Politics | Jun 9–10, 2020 | 869 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 47% | 45% | - | - | 5% [lower-alpha 81] | 3% |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 1] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 17–27, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 61.7% | 32.3% | 6.0% | Biden +29.4 |
Real Clear Politics | September 26 – October 21, 2020 | October 27, 2020 | 60.7% | 31.0% | 8.3% | Biden +29.7 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 61.6% | 32.4% | 6.0% | Biden +29.2 |
Average | 61.3% | 31.9% | 6.8% | Biden +29.4 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 82] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2021 | 12,370 (LV) | ± 1.5% | 36% [lower-alpha 83] | 62% | – | – | – | – |
David Binder Research | Oct 28 – Nov 1, 2020 | 800 (LV) | – | 31% | 62% | – | – | 3% | 4% |
USC Schwarzenegger Institute | Oct 27–31, 2020 | 1,155 (RV) | ± 3% | 28% | 65% | – | – | 4% [lower-alpha 84] | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Tableau | Sep 30 – Oct 28, 2020 | 22,450 (LV) | – | 37% [lower-alpha 83] | 61% | – | – | – | – |
Swayable | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 635 (LV) | ± 5.2% | 35% | 62% | 2% | 1% | – | – |
UC Berkeley/LA Times | Oct 16–21, 2020 | 5,352 (LV) | ± 2% | 29% | 65% | 1% | 0% | 0% [lower-alpha 85] [lower-alpha 86] | 3% |
Public Policy Institute of California | Oct 9–18, 2020 | 1,185 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 32% | 58% | 3% | 2% | 1% [lower-alpha 87] | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Tableau | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 20,346 (LV) | – | 35% | 63% | – | – | – | 2% |
SurveyUSA | Sep 26–28, 2020 | 588 (LV) | ± 5.4% | 34% | 59% | – | – | 3% [lower-alpha 88] | 6% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Sep 19–21, 2020 | 1,775 (LV) | – | 28% | 62% | 1% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 89] | 8% |
UC Berkeley/LA Times | Sep 9–15, 2020 | 5,942 (LV) | ± 2% | 28% | 67% | 1% | 0% | 0% [lower-alpha 85] [lower-alpha 86] | 3% |
Public Policy Institute of California | Sep 4–13, 2020 | 1,168 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 31% | 60% | 3% | 2% | 1% [lower-alpha 87] | 2% |
Spry Strategies/Women's Liberation Front [lower-alpha 90] | Aug 29 – Sep 1, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 39% | 56% | – | – | – | 5% |
SurveyMonkey/Tableau | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 17,537 (LV) | – | 35% | 63% | – | – | – | 2% |
David Binder Research | Aug 22–24, 2020 | 800 (LV) | – | 31% | 61% | – | – | 3% [lower-alpha 91] | 5% |
Redfield and Wilton Strategies | Aug 9, 2020 | 1,904 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 25% | 61% | 1% | 1% | 2% [lower-alpha 92] | 9% |
SurveyMonkey/Tableau | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 19,027 (LV) | – | 35% | 63% | – | – | – | 2% |
University of California Berkeley | Jul 21–27, 2020 | 6,756 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 28% | 67% | – | – | – | 5% |
SurveyMonkey/Tableau | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 8,412 (LV) | – | 36% | 62% | – | – | – | 2% |
Public Policy Institute of California | May 19–26, 2020 | 1,048 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 33% | 57% | – | – | 6% [lower-alpha 93] | 3% |
SurveyUSA | May 18–19, 2020 | 537 (LV) | ± 5.4% | 30% | 58% | – | – | 5% | 7% |
Emerson College | May 8–10, 2020 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 35% [lower-alpha 94] | 65% | – | – | – | – |
Public Policy Polling | Mar 28–29, 2020 | 962 (RV) | – | 29% | 67% | – | – | – | 3% |
AtlasIntel | Feb 24 – Mar 2, 2020 | 1,100 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 26% | 62% | – | – | 12% | – |
YouGov | Feb 26–28, 2020 | 1,507 (RV) | – | 31% | 59% | – | – | 4% | 4% |
CNN/SSRS | Feb 22–26, 2020 | 951 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 35% | 60% | – | – | 3% [lower-alpha 95] | 3% |
University of California Berkeley | Feb 20–25, 2020 | 5,526 (RV) | – | 31% | 58% | – | – | – | 11% |
SurveyUSA | Feb 13–16, 2020 | 1,196 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 37% | 57% | – | – | – | 6% |
YouGov/USC Price-Schwarzenegger Institute | Feb 1–15, 2020 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 30% | 60% | – | – | – | 4% |
SurveyUSA | Jan 14–16, 2020 | 1,967 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 35% | 59% | – | – | – | 6% |
CNN/SSRS | Dec 4–8, 2019 | 1,011 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 36% | 56% | – | – | 3% [lower-alpha 95] | 5% |
SurveyUSA | Nov 20–22, 2019 | 2,039 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 32% | 59% | – | – | – | 9% |
SurveyUSA | Oct 15–16, 2019 | 1,242 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 32% | 59% | – | – | – | 9% |
Emerson College | Sep 13–16, 2019 | 830 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 36% | 64% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyUSA | Sep 13–15, 2019 | 1,785 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 31% | 57% | – | – | – | 11% |
SurveyUSA | Aug 1–5, 2019 | 2,184 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 27% | 61% | – | – | – | 12% |
SurveyUSA | Mar 22–25, 2018 | 882 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 33% | 56% | – | – | – | 11% |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 1] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 15 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 52.0% | 40.6% | 7.4% | Biden +11.4 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 53.6% | 41.1% | 5.3% | Biden +12.5 |
Average | 52.8% | 40.8% | 6.4% | Biden +12.0 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 96] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 2,991 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 44% [lower-alpha 97] | 55% | – | – | – | – |
Keating Research/Onsight Public Affairs/Colorado Sun | Oct 29 – Nov 1, 2020 | 502 (LV) [lower-alpha 98] | ± 4.4% | 41% | 53% | – | – | – | – |
Data for Progress | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 709 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 42% | 54% | 3% | 1% | 0% [lower-alpha 99] | – |
Swayable Archived November 27, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2020 | 455 (LV) | ± 6% | 41% | 55% | 3% | 1% | – | – |
Morning Consult | Oct 22–31, 2020 | 727 (LV) | ± 4% | 41% | 54% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 5,925 (LV) | – | 40% | 59% | – | – | – | – |
Morning Consult | Oct 11–20, 2020 | 788 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 39% | 55% | – | – | – | – |
RBI Strategies | Oct 12–16, 2020 | 502 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 38% | 55% | 3% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 100] | 1% |
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ | Oct 9–15, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 43% | 51% | – | – | 1% [lower-alpha 101] | 3% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | Oct 11–14, 2020 | 1,013 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 42% | 53% | – | – | 3% [lower-alpha 100] | 1% |
Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs/Melanson | Oct 8–13, 2020 | 519 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 39% | 54% | – | – | 3% [lower-alpha 102] | 4% |
Morning Consult | Oct 2–11, 2020 | 837 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 40% | 54% | – | – | – | – |
YouGov/University of Colorado | Oct 5–9, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 4.64% | 38% | 47% | – | – | 3% | 11% |
SurveyUSA/9News/Colorado Politics | Oct 1–6, 2020 | 1,021 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 40% | 50% | – | – | 5% [lower-alpha 103] | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 2,717 (LV) | – | 41% | 57% | – | – | – | 2% |
Morning Consult | Aug 29 – Sep 7, 2020 | 657 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 43% [lower-alpha 104] | 49% | – | – | – | – |
Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates/AARP | Aug 30 – Sep 5, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 40% | 50% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 105] | 8% |
Global Strategy Group/Progress Colorado [upper-alpha 17] | Aug 28 – Sep 1, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 39% | 50% | 4% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 106] | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 2,385 (LV) | – | 41% | 57% | – | – | – | 2% |
Morning Consult | Aug 21–30, 2020 | 638 (LV) | ± 4% | 41% [lower-alpha 104] | 51% | – | – | – | – |
Morning Consult | Aug 16–25, 2020 | ~600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 51% | – | – | – | – |
Morning Consult | Aug 7–16, 2020 | 601 (LV) | ± 4% | 41% [lower-alpha 107] | 51% | – | – | – | – |
Morning Consult | Aug 6–15, 2020 | ~600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 51% | – | – | – | – |
Morning Consult | Jul 7 – Aug 5, 2020 | ~600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 52% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 2,337 (LV) | – | 40% | 58% | – | – | – | 2% |
Morning Consult | Jul 17–26, 2020 | 616 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 39% [lower-alpha 104] | 52% | – | – | – | – |
Morning Consult | Jul 13–22, 2020 | ~600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 51% | – | – | – | – |
Public Policy Polling/AFSCME [upper-alpha 6] | Jul 23–24, 2020 | 891 (V) | – | 41% | 54% | – | – | – | 5% |
Public Policy Polling/End Citizens United | Jun 29–30, 2020 | 840 (V) | ± 3.4% | 39% | 56% | – | – | – | 5% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 1,088 (LV) | – | 42% | 57% | – | – | – | 2% |
Morning Consult | May 17–26, 2020 | 572 (LV) | – | 42% | 50% | – | – | – | – |
Global Strategy Group (D) | May 7–11, 2020 | 700 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 40% | 53% | – | – | – | 7% |
Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs/Melanson/Colorado Politics | May 1–3, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 36% | 55% | – | – | 3% [lower-alpha 102] | 6% |
Montana State University Bozeman | Apr 10–19, 2020 | 379 (LV) | – | 35% | 53% | – | – | 3% | 8% |
Climate Nexus | Feb 11–15, 2020 | 485 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 43% | 46% | – | – | – | 11% |
Emerson College | Aug 16–19, 2019 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 55% | – | – | – | – |
Fabrizio Ward/AARP | Jul 29–31, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 51% | – | – | 1% [lower-alpha 108] | 5% |
Graphical summary
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 1] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 58.6% | 32.4% | 9.0% | Biden +26.3 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 109] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 2,031 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 38% [lower-alpha 110] | 60% | - | - | – | – |
Swayable Archived November 27, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2020 | 367 (LV) | ± 6.2% | 33% | 64% | 2% | 1% | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 3,782 (LV) | – | 35% | 63% | - | - | – | – |
Sacred Heart University Archived November 1, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 8–21, 2020 | 1,000 (A) | ± 3.02% | 26% | 51% | - | - | 2% | 20% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 1,415 (LV) | – | 37% | 61% | - | - | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 1,009 (LV) | – | 35% | 64% | - | - | – | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 1,360 (LV) | – | 39% | 59% | - | - | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 574 (LV) | – | 32% | 65% | - | - | – | 3% |
SurveyUSA | May 19–24, 2020 | 808 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 33% | 52% | - | - | 7% [lower-alpha 111] | 8% |
Quinnipiac University | Apr 30 – May 4, 2020 | 945 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 33% | 56% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 112] | 7% |
Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant | Mar 24 – Apr 3, 2020 | 1,000 (A) | ± 3.0% | 34% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant | Feb 24 – Mar 12, 2020 | 1,000 (A) | ± 3.0% | 36% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant | Dec 16, 2019 – Jan 2, 2020 | 1,000 (A) | ± 3.0% | 32% | 52% | - | - | – | 16% |
Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant | Sep 17 – Oct 2, 2019 | 1,000 (A) | ± 3.2% | 33% | 52% | - | - | – | 15% |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 1] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 5 – November 1, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 57.5% | 35.5% | 7.0% | Biden +22.0 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 58.9% | 34.6% | 6.5% | Biden +24.3 |
Average | 58.2% | 35.1% | 6.8% | Biden +23.2 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 113] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 656 (LV) | ± 6% | 38% [lower-alpha 114] | 60% | - | - | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 1,323 (LV) | – | 37% | 62% | - | - | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 395 (LV) | – | 37% | 61% | - | - | 2% |
University of Delaware | Sep 21–27, 2020 | 847 (LV) | – | 33% | 54% | 2% | 1% | 10% [lower-alpha 115] |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 348 (LV) | – | 32% | 67% | - | - | 1% |
PPP | Aug 21–22, 2020 | 710 (V) | ± 3.7% | 37% | 58% | - | - | 5% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 453 (LV) | – | 31% | 67% | - | - | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 232 (LV) | – | 34% | 64% | - | - | 2% |
Gonzales Research | Jan 16–21, 2020 | 410 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 40% | 56% | - | - | 4% |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 1] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 90.8% | 5.8% | 3.4% | Biden +85.0 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 113] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 495 (LV) | ± 6% | 5% [lower-alpha 116] | 94% | - | - | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 969 (LV) | – | 9% | 89% | - | - | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 343 (LV) | – | 12% | 86% | - | - | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 252 (LV) | – | 16% | 83% | - | - | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 290 (LV) | – | 8% | 91% | - | - | – | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 151 (LV) | – | 11% | 87% | - | - | – | 3% |
Graphical summary
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 1] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 24 – November 1, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 48.7% | 46.0% | 5.3% | Biden +2.7 |
Real Clear Politics | October 28 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 47.9% | 47.0% | 5.1% | Biden +0.9 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 49.1% | 46.6% | 4.3% | Biden +2.5 |
Average | 48.6% | 46.5% | 4.9% | Biden +2.1 |
State polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 113] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Insider Advantage/Fox 35 | Nov 1–2, 2020 [lower-alpha 38] | 400 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 47% | 2% | - | – | 3% |
Trafalgar Group | Oct 31 – Nov 2, 2020 | 1,054 (LV) | ± 2.94% | 49% | 47% | 2% | - | 1% [lower-alpha 117] | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 8,792 (LV) | ± 1.5% | 49% [lower-alpha 118] | 49% | - | - | – | – |
AYTM/Aspiration | Oct 30 – Nov 1, 2020 | 517 (LV) | – | 43% | 45% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC | Oct 29 – Nov 1, 2020 | 806 (LV) | ± 3.45% | 48% | 51% | 0% | 0% | – | 1% |
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc./Center for American Greatness [upper-alpha 8] | Oct 29 – Nov 1, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 47% | 46% | 2% | - | 2% [lower-alpha 119] | 3% |
Quinnipiac University | Oct 28 – Nov 1, 2020 | 1,657 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 42% | 47% | - | - | 1% [lower-alpha 117] | 9% |
Swayable Archived November 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 1,261 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 53% | 1% | 1% | – | – |
Data for Progress | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 1,202 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 48% | 51% | 1% | 1% | 0% [lower-alpha 120] | – |
Ipsos/Reuters | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 670 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 46% [lower-alpha 15] | 50% | 1% | 0% | 1% [lower-alpha 121] | – |
46% [lower-alpha 122] | 50% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 18] | 2% | ||||
47% [lower-alpha 123] | 51% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 124] | – | ||||
Frederick Polls/Compete Everywhere [upper-alpha 18] | Oct 30–31, 2020 | 768 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports | Oct 29–31, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 48% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 125] | – |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Oct 27–31, 2020 | 1,451 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 44% | 47% | 2% | 1% | 0% [lower-alpha 126] | 6% [lower-alpha 127] |
Morning Consult | Oct 22–31, 2020 | 4,451 (LV) | ± 2% | 45% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
St. Pete Polls | Oct 29–30, 2020 | 2,758 (LV) | ± 1.9% | 48% | 49% | 1% | - | – | 2% |
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ | Oct 28–30, 2020 | 1,200 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 47% [lower-alpha 15] | 51% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 124] | 0% |
45% [lower-alpha 128] | 52% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 124] | 0% | ||||
48% [lower-alpha 129] | 49% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 124] | 0% | ||||
Targoz Market Research/PollSmart | Oct 25–30, 2020 | 1,027 (LV) | – | 47% | 51% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 130] | – |
AtlasIntel | Oct 28–29, 2020 | 786 (LV) | ± 3% | 48.5% | 48.5% | - | - | – | 3% |
Public Policy Polling/Climate Power 2020 [upper-alpha 19] | Oct 28–29, 2020 | 941 (V) | – | 45% | 52% | - | - | – | 3% |
Harvard-Harris/The Hill | Oct 26–29, 2020 | 1,148 (LV) | ± >=3% | 47% | 50% | - | - | – | 3% |
ABC/Washington Post | Oct 24–29, 2020 | 824 (LV) | ± 4% | 50% | 48% | 1% | 0% | 0% [lower-alpha 131] | 0% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Oct 27–28, 2020 | 1,587 (LV) | – | 46% | 50% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Trafalgar Group | Oct 25–28, 2020 | 1,088 (LV) | ± 2.89% | 50% | 47% | 2% | - | 1% [lower-alpha 117] | 1% |
Monmouth University | Oct 24–28, 2020 | 509 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 45% | 50% | 1% | 0% | 1% [lower-alpha 132] | 2% |
509 (LV) | 45% [lower-alpha 133] | 51% | - | - | – | – | |||
46% [lower-alpha 134] | 50% | - | - | – | – | ||||
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 14,571 (LV) | – | 50% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Marist College/NBC | Oct 25–27, 2020 | 743 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 51% | - | - | 1% | 1% |
Quinnipiac University | Oct 23–27, 2020 | 1,324 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 42% | 45% | - | - | 1% [lower-alpha 117] | 11% |
Ipsos/Reuters | Oct 21–27, 2020 | 704 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 47% [lower-alpha 15] | 48% | 1% | 1% | 2% [lower-alpha 135] | – |
47% [lower-alpha 122] | 49% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 136] | 2% | ||||
Swayable | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 605 (LV) | ± 5.4% | 51% | 46% | 2% | 1% | – | – |
YouGov/Institute of Politics at Florida State University | Oct 16–26, 2020 | 1,200 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 46% | 48% | - | - | – | 6% |
Wick Surveys | Oct 24–25, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 50% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
Florida Atlantic University | Oct 24–25, 2020 | 937 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 48% | 50% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 34] | – |
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc./Center for American Greatness [upper-alpha 8] | Oct 23–25, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 49% | 44% | 2% | - | 3% [lower-alpha 137] | 3% |
Univision/University of Houston/Latino Decisions/North Star Opinion Research | Oct 17–25, 2020 | 743 (RV) | ± 3.56% | 46% | 49% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 34] | 3% |
Ryan Tyson (R) | Released Oct 24, 2020 | – (V) [lower-alpha 138] | – | 47% | 45% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 139] | 4% |
Gravis Marketing | Oct 24, 2020 | 665 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 48% | 47% | - | - | – | 5% |
YouGov/CBS | Oct 20–23, 2020 | 1,228 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 48% | 50% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 140] | 0% |
St. Pete Polls/Florida Politics | Oct 21–22, 2020 | 2,527 (LV) | ± 2% | 47% | 49% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 141] | 2% |
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ | Oct 20–22, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% [lower-alpha 15] | 50% | - | - | 1% [lower-alpha 142] | 1% |
46% [lower-alpha 128] | 52% | - | - | 1% [lower-alpha 142] | 1% | ||||
48% [lower-alpha 129] | 46% | - | - | 1% [lower-alpha 142] | 1% | ||||
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports | Oct 20–21, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 46% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 143] | 3% |
Ipsos/Reuters | Oct 14–21, 2020 | 662 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 46% [lower-alpha 15] | 51% | 1% | 0% | 2% [lower-alpha 135] | – |
46% [lower-alpha 122] | 50% | - | - | 1% [lower-alpha 144] | 3% | ||||
Citizen Data | Oct 17–20, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 50% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 4% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | Oct 17–20, 2020 | 863 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 51% | - | - | 1% [lower-alpha 117] | 1% |
CNN/SSRS | Oct 15–20, 2020 | 847 (LV) | ± 4% | 46% | 50% | 1% | 1% | 0% [lower-alpha 145] | 1% |
Morning Consult | Oct 11–20, 2020 | 4,685 (LV) | ± 1.4% | 45% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC | Oct 16–19, 2020 | 547 (LV) [lower-alpha 38] | – | 45% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
University of North Florida | Oct 12–16, 2020 | 863 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 47% | 48% | - | - | 1% [lower-alpha 117] | 3% |
HarrisX/The Hill | Oct 12–15, 2020 | 965 (LV) | – | 48% | 48% | - | - | – | 4% |
Ipsos/Reuters | Oct 7–14, 2020 | 653 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% [lower-alpha 15] | 50% | 0% | 0% | 2% [lower-alpha 146] | – |
47% [lower-alpha 122] | 49% | - | - | 1% [lower-alpha 144] | 3% | ||||
Trafalgar Group | Oct 11–13, 2020 | 1,051 (LV) | ± 2.94% | 48% | 46% | 2% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 117] | 2% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Oct 10–13, 2020 | 1,519 (LV) | – | 44% [lower-alpha 38] | 50% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
St. Pete Polls/Florida Politics | Oct 11–12, 2020 | 2,215 (LV) | ± 2.1% | 47% | 49% | - | - | 1% [lower-alpha 147] | 2% |
Emerson College | Oct 10–12, 2020 | 690 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 48% [lower-alpha 148] | 51% | - | - | 1% [lower-alpha 117] | – |
Mason-Dixon | Oct 8–12, 2020 | 625 (LV) | ± 4% | 45% | 48% | - | - | 1% [lower-alpha 149] | 6% |
Clearview Research | Oct 7–12, 2020 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.18% | 40% [lower-alpha 15] | 47% | - | - | 4% [lower-alpha 150] | 9% |
39% [lower-alpha 151] | 48% | - | - | 4% [lower-alpha 150] | 9% | ||||
41% [lower-alpha 152] | 46% | - | - | 4% [lower-alpha 150] | 9% | ||||
Morning Consult | Oct 2–11, 2020 | 4,785 (LV) | ± 1.4% | 46% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Oct 9–10, 2020 | 750 (LV) | – | 42% [lower-alpha 38] | 53% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
Florida Atlantic University | Oct 9–10, 2020 | 644 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 47% | 51% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 34] | – |
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ | Oct 4–8, 2020 | 800 (LV) | – | 46% [lower-alpha 15] | 48% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 4% |
44% [lower-alpha 128] | 50% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 4% | ||||
47% [lower-alpha 129] | 46% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 4% | ||||
Insider Advantage/Hannity Exclusive (R) | Oct 6–7, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 49% | 46% | 1% | - | – | 10% |
YouGov/CCES | Sep 29 – Oct 7, 2020 | 3,755 (LV) | – | 47% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Ipsos/Reuters | Sep 29 – Oct 7, 2020 | 678 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 45% | 49% | - | - | 1% [lower-alpha 144] | 5% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Oct 4–6, 2020 | 998 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 49% | 1% | 0% | 1% [lower-alpha 49] | 6% |
Quinnipiac University | Oct 1–5, 2020 | 1,256 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 40% | 51% | - | - | 1% [lower-alpha 117] | 7% |
Change Research/CNBC | Oct 2–4, 2020 | 560 (LV) | – | 46% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Suffolk University/USA Today | Oct 1–4, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45% [lower-alpha 15] | 45% | 2% | 0% [lower-alpha 153] | 2% [lower-alpha 154] | 6% |
46% [lower-alpha 155] | 45% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 156] | 7% | ||||
University of North Florida | Oct 1–4, 2020 | 3,134 (LV) | ± 1.8% | 45% | 51% | - | - | 1% [lower-alpha 117] | 3% [lower-alpha 127] |
St. Leo University | Sep 27 – Oct 2, 2020 | 489 (LV) | – | 44% | 50% | - | - | – | 5% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Sep 30 – Oct 1, 2020 | 710 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 42% | 47% | 2% | 1% | 0% [lower-alpha 126] | 8% [lower-alpha 127] |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 12,962 (LV) | – | 47% | 51% | - | - | – | 2% |
Cherry Communications/Florida Chamber of Commerce | Sep 23–29, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 44% [lower-alpha 38] | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc./Center for American Greatness [upper-alpha 8] | Sep 23–26, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 43% | 46% | 3% | - | – | 8% [lower-alpha 127] |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Sep 23–25, 2020 | 1,073 (LV) | ± 2.99% | 43% | 48% | 1% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 49] | 7% |
St. Pete Polls | Sep 21–22, 2020 | 2,906 (LV) | ± 1.8% | 47% | 50% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 141] | 2% |
Data For Progress [upper-alpha 20] | Sep 15–22, 2020 | 620 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 43% | 46% | - | - | – | 11% |
Change Research/CNBC | Sep 18–20, 2020 | 702 (LV) | – | 46% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
ABC/Washington Post | Sep 15–20, 2020 | 613 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 51% | 47% | - | - | 1% [lower-alpha 157] | 1% |
Hart Research Associates/Human Rights Campaign [upper-alpha 21] | Sep 17–19, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
YouGov/CBS | Sep 15–18, 2020 | 1,205 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 48% | - | - | 1% [lower-alpha 158] | 5% |
Ipsos/Reuters | Sep 11–17, 2020 | 586 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 47% | 47% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 18] | 4% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Sep 12–14, 2020 | 1,158 (LV) | ± 2.88% | 44% | 47% | 1% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 49] | 6% |
Monmouth University | Sep 10–13, 2020 | 428 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 45% | 50% | 2% | 0% | 1% [lower-alpha 159] | 3% |
428 (LV) | 45% [lower-alpha 160] | 50% | - | - | 1% [lower-alpha 161] | 3% | |||
46% [lower-alpha 162] | 49% | - | - | 1% [lower-alpha 161] | 3% | ||||
Kaiser Family Foundation/Cook Political Report | Aug 29 – Sep 13, 2020 | 1,009 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 43% | - | - | 4% [lower-alpha 163] | 11% |
Florida Atlantic University | Sep 11–12, 2020 | 631 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 50% | 50% | - | - | 0% [lower-alpha 164] | – |
St. Pete Polls/Florida Politics/AARP | Sep 7–8, 2020 | 2,689 (LV) | ± 1.9% | 47% | 50% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 141] | 2% |
Benenson Strategy Group/GS Strategy Group/AARP | Aug 30 – Sep 8, 2020 | 1,600 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 46% | 48% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 165] | 4% |
Morning Consult | Aug 29 – Sep 7, 2020 | 3,914 (LV) | ± (2%-4%) | 43% [lower-alpha 59] | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC | Sep 4–6, 2020 | 1,144 (LV) | – | 46% | 49% | - | - | 4% [lower-alpha 166] | – |
Marist College/NBC | Aug 31 – Sep 5, 2020 | 760 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 48% | 48% | - | - | 1% | 2% |
Trafalgar Group | Sep 1–3, 2020 | 1,022 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 46% | 2% | - | 1% [lower-alpha 167] | 2% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Aug 30 – Sep 3, 2020 | 1,093 (LV) | ± 2.96% | 43% | 48% | 1% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 49] | 6% |
GQR Research (D) | Aug 26 – Sep 3, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Quinnipiac Archived September 3, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Aug 28 – Sep 1, 2020 | 1,235 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 45% | 48% | - | - | 1% [lower-alpha 117] | 5% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 12,286 (LV) | – | 50% | 48% | - | - | – | 2% |
Morning Consult | Aug 21–30, 2020 | 3,790 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 47% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Opinium/The Guardian | Aug 21–26, 2020 | 684 (LV) | – | 43% | 50% | - | - | 1% | 6% |
Change Research/CNBC | Aug 21–23, 2020 | 1,262 (LV) | – | 46% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
PPP | Aug 21–22, 2020 | 671 (V) | ± 3.8% | 44% | 48% | - | - | – | 7% |
Redfield and Wilton Strategies | Aug 16, 2020 | 1,280 (LV) | – | 41% | 49% | 1% | - | 1% [lower-alpha 49] | 7% |
Morning Consult | Aug 7–16, 2020 | 3,484 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 45% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Tyson Group/Consumer Energy Alliance [upper-alpha 22] | Aug 11–15, 2020 | 750 (LV) | ± 4% | 44% | 46% | 2% | - | 1% [lower-alpha 168] | 6% |
Change Research/CNBC | Aug 7–9, 2020 | 469 (LV) | – | 44% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
OnMessage Inc./Heritage Action [upper-alpha 23] | Aug 2–4, 2020 | 400 (LV) | – | 49% | 49% | - | - | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 13,945 (LV) | – | 48% | 49% | - | - | – | 2% |
Change Research/CNBC | Jul 24–26, 2020 | 685 (LV) | – | 45% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Morning Consult | Jul 17–26, 2020 | 3,760 (LV) | ± 1.6% | 46% [lower-alpha 59] | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Morning Consult | Jul 16–25, 2020 | – (LV) [lower-alpha 138] | – | 45% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
CNN/SSRS | Jul 18–24, 2020 | 880 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 46% | 51% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 169] | 2% |
Zogby Analytics | Jul 21–23, 2020 | 811 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 43% | 43% | 3% | 2% | – | 9% |
Mason-Dixon | Jul 20–23, 2020 | 625 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 50% | - | - | – | 4% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Jul 19–21, 2020 | 1,121 (LV) | – | 41% | 48% | 1% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 49] | 8% |
Quinnipiac University | Jul 16–20, 2020 | 924 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 38% | 51% | - | - | 6% [lower-alpha 170] | 5% |
Morning Consult | Jul 6–15, 2020 | – (LV) [lower-alpha 138] | – | 45% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Florida Politics/AARP Florida/St. Pete Polls | Jul 13–14, 2020 | 3,018 (RV) | ± 1.8% | 44% | 50% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 171] | 3% |
Gravis Marketing | Jul 13, 2020 | 513 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 43% | 53% | - | - | – | 4% |
Change Research/CNBC | Jul 10–12, 2020 | 1,128 (LV) | – | 43% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
YouGov/CBS | Jul 7–10, 2020 | 1,206 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 42% | 48% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 172] | 8% |
Morning Consult | Jun 26 – Jul 5, 2020 | – (LV) [lower-alpha 138] | – | 46% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Trafalgar Group | Jun 29 – Jul 2, 2020 | 1,072 (LV) | ± 2.91% | 46% | 46% | - | - | 5% [lower-alpha 173] | 3% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 5,663 (LV) | – | 51% | 47% | - | - | – | 2% |
Change Research/CNBC | Jun 26–28, 2020 | 951 (LV) [lower-alpha 38] | – | 45% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Morning Consult | Jun 16–25, 2020 | – (LV) [lower-alpha 138] | – | 45% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Fox News | Jun 20–23, 2020 | 1,010 (RV) | ± 3% | 40% | 49% | - | - | 6% [lower-alpha 174] | 6% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Jun 8–18, 2020 | 651 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 41% | 47% | - | - | 4% [lower-alpha 175] | 7% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Jun 14–15, 2020 | 1,079 (LV) | ± 2.98% | 41% | 45% | 1% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 49] | 11% |
Morning Consult | Jun 6–15, 2020 | – (LV) [lower-alpha 138] | – | 45% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC | Jun 12–14, 2020 | 713 (LV) [lower-alpha 38] | – | 43% | 50% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 176] | – |
Gravis Marketing/OANN | Released Jun 11, 2020 | – (V) [lower-alpha 138] | – | 50% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
TIPP/American Greatness PAC Archived June 16, 2020, at the Wayback Machine [upper-alpha 8] | Jun 9–11, 2020 | 875 (LV) | – | 40% | 51% | - | - | 4% [lower-alpha 177] | 5% |
Morning Consult | May 27 – Jun 5, 2020 | – (LV) [lower-alpha 138] | – | 48% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC | May 29–31, 2020 | 1,186 (LV) [lower-alpha 38] | – | 45% | 48% | - | - | 2% | 4% |
Cygnal (R) | May 18–30, 2020 | 881 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 43.8% | 47% | - | - | 3.3% [lower-alpha 178] | 5.9% |
St. Pete Polls | May 26–27, 2020 | 4,763 (RV) | ± 1.4% | 46.7% | 47.5% | - | - | 2.7% [lower-alpha 179] | 3.1% |
Morning Consult | May 17–26, 2020 | 3,593 (LV) | – | 48% [lower-alpha 59] | 47% | - | - | – | – |
Morning Consult | May 16–25, 2020 | – (LV) [lower-alpha 138] | – | 48% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
Point Blank Political | May 14–17, 2020 | 2,149 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 45% | 1% [lower-alpha 180] | <1% [lower-alpha 181] | 2% | 8% |
Point Blank Political | May 14–17, 2020 | 2,149 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Morning Consult | May 6–15, 2020 | – (LV) [lower-alpha 138] | – | 50% | 45% | - | - | – | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | May 10–14, 2020 | 1,014 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 43% | 45% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 182] | 10% |
Florida Atlantic University | May 8–12, 2020 | 928 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 47% | 53% | - | - | – | – |
Fox News | Apr 18–21, 2020 | 1,004 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 46% | - | - | 3% | 7% |
Quinnipiac University | Apr 16–20, 2020 | 1,385 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 42% | 46% | - | - | 3% | 7% |
St. Pete Polls | Apr 16–17, 2020 | 5,659 (RV) | ± 1.3% | 48% | 48% | - | - | – | 4% |
University of North Florida | Mar 31 – Apr 4, 2020 | 3,244 (RV) | ± 1.7% | 40% | 46% | - | - | – | 8% |
AtlasIntel | Mar 14–16, 2020 | 1,100 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 45% | - | - | 10% | – |
Univision | Mar 6–12, 2020 | 1,071 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 45% | - | - | – | 7% |
Florida Atlantic University | Mar 5–7, 2020 | 1,216 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 51% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
University of North Florida | Feb, 2020 | 696 (LV) | – | 45% | 45% | - | - | – | 10% [lower-alpha 127] |
Saint Leo University | Feb 17–22, 2020 | 900 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 40% | 51% | - | - | – | 8% |
University of North Florida | Feb 10–18, 2020 | 668 (RV) | – | 48% | 49% | - | - | – | 3% |
Florida Atlantic University | Jan 9–12, 2020 | 1,285 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 49% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Cherry Communications/Florida Chamber of Commerce [upper-alpha 24] | Jan 3–12, 2020 | 608 (LV) | ± 4% | 49% | 45% | - | - | – | – |
Mason-Dixon | Dec 11–16, 2019 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 47% | - | - | – | 8% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Oct 13–26, 2019 | 650 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 46% | - | - | – | – |
University of North Florida | Oct 14–20, 2019 | 643 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 43% | 48% | - | - | 6% [lower-alpha 183] | 3% |
Florida Atlantic University | Sep 12–15, 2019 | 934 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | - | – | – |
Quinnipiac University | Jun 12–17, 2019 | 1,279 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 41% | 50% | - | - | 1% | 6% |
St. Pete Polls | Jun 15–16, 2019 | 3,095 (LV) | ± 1.8% | 47% | 47% | - | - | – | 6% |
Florida Atlantic University | May 16–19, 2019 | 1,007 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
WPA Intelligence | Apr 27–30, 2019 | 200 (LV) | ± 6.9% | 48% | 44% | - | - | – | 7% |
Graphical summary
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 1] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | Oct 29 – Nov 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 47.6% | 47.4% | 5.0% | Biden +0.2 |
Real Clear Politics | Oct 23 – Nov 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 47.2% | 48.2% | 4.6% | Trump +1.0 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 48.5% | 47.4% | 4.1% | Biden +1.2 |
Average | 47.8% | 47.7% | 4.6% | Biden +0.1 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 113] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trafalgar Group | Oct 31 – Nov 2, 2020 | 1,041 (LV) | ± 2.96% | 50% | 45% | 3% | 1% [lower-alpha 117] | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 3,962 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 48% [lower-alpha 184] | 50% | – | – | – |
Landmark Communications/WSBTV | Nov 1, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 50% | 46% | 3% | – | 1% |
Insider Advantage/Center for American Greatness [upper-alpha 8] | Nov 1, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 46% | 4% | – | 2% |
AYTM/Aspiration | Oct 30 – Nov 1, 2020 | 380 (LV) | – | 48% | 52% | – | – | – |
Swayable Archived November 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 438 (LV) | ± 6.2% | 44% | 54% | 2% | – | – |
Data for Progress | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 1,036 (LV) | ± 3% | 48% | 50% | 1% | 0% [lower-alpha 185] | – |
AtlasIntel | Oct 30–31, 2020 | 679 (LV) | ± 4% | 48% | 46% | – | 6% | – |
Emerson College | Oct 29–31, 2020 | 749 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% [lower-alpha 35] | 48% | – | 2% [lower-alpha 34] | – |
Morning Consult | Oct 22–31, 2020 | 1,743 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 46% | 49% | – | – | – |
Landmark Communications/WSBTV | Oct 28, 2020 | 750 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 48% | 47% | 3% | – | 3% |
Public Policy Polling | Oct 27–28, 2020 | 661 (V) | – | 46% | 48% | – | 4% [lower-alpha 186] | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 7,019 (LV) | – | 48% | 50% | – | – | – |
Monmouth University | Oct 23–27, 2020 | 504 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 50% | 2% | 1% [lower-alpha 187] | 2% |
504 (LV) | 46% [lower-alpha 188] | 50% | – | – | – | |||
48% [lower-alpha 189] | 50% | – | – | – | ||||
Swayable | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 373 (LV) | ± 6.9% | 48% | 51% | 1% | – | – |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 1,041 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 46% | 51% | – | 2% [lower-alpha 34] | 0% |
Wick Surveys | Oct 24–25, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 49% | 47% | – | – | – |
YouGov/CBS | Oct 20–23, 2020 | 1,090 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 49% | 49% | – | 2% [lower-alpha 190] | 0% |
University of Georgia/AJC | Oct 14–23, 2020 | 1,145 (LV) | ± 4% | 46% | 47% | 3% | – | 4% |
Landmark Communications/WSBTV | Oct 21, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 45% | – | – | 4% |
Citizen Data | Oct 17–20, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3% | 44% | 48% | 1% | 2% [lower-alpha 191] | 5% |
Morning Consult | Oct 11–20, 2020 | 1,672 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 48% | 48% | – | – | – |
Emerson College | Oct 17–19, 2020 | 506 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 48% [lower-alpha 35] | 47% | – | 5% [lower-alpha 192] | – |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Oct 13–19, 2020 | 759 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 45% | 45% | 2% | 2% [lower-alpha 193] | 7% [lower-alpha 27] |
Opinion Insight/American Action Forum [upper-alpha 10] | Oct 12–15, 2020 | 801 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 46% [lower-alpha 35] | 49% | – | 3% [lower-alpha 194] | 4% [lower-alpha 27] |
Garin-Hart-Yang/Jon Ossoff [upper-alpha 25] | Oct 11–14, 2020 | 600 (LV) | – | 44% | 51% | – | – | – |
Quinnipiac University | Oct 8–12, 2020 | 1,040 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 51% | – | 1% [lower-alpha 117] | 4% |
SurveyUSA | Oct 8–12, 2020 | 677 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 46% | 48% | – | 2% [lower-alpha 195] | 4% |
Data for Progress | Oct 8–11, 2020 | 782 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 46% | 2% | 1% [lower-alpha 196] | 5% |
Morning Consult | Oct 2–11, 2020 | 1,837 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 49% | 47% | – | – | – |
Public Policy Polling | Oct 8–9, 2020 | 528 (V) | ± 4.3% | 46% | 47% | – | 3% [lower-alpha 100] | 3% |
Landmark Communications | Oct 7, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48.6% | 46.8% | 0.7% | – | 3.9% |
YouGov/CCES Archived November 1, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Sep 29 – Oct 7, 2020 | 1,456 (LV) | – | 47% | 48% | – | – | – |
University of Georgia/AJC | Sep 27 – Oct 6, 2020 | 1,106 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 47% | 46% | 3% | – | 3% |
Landmark Communications/WSB | Sep 30, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4% | 45% | 47% | 3% | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Tableau | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 3,468 (LV) | – | 48% | 49% | – | – | 2% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | Sep 26–29, 2020 | 969 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 50% | – | 2% [lower-alpha 34] | 1% |
Hart Research Associates/Human Rights Campaign [upper-alpha 26] | Sep 24–27, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 47% | 50% | – | – | – |
Quinnipiac University | Sep 23–27, 2020 | 1,125 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 47% | 50% | – | 1% [lower-alpha 117] | 2% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Sep 23–26, 2020 | 789 (LV) | ± 3.49% | 44% | 45% | 2% | 1% [lower-alpha 197] | 8% |
YouGov/CBS | Sep 22–25, 2020 | 1,164 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 47% | 46% | – | 2% [lower-alpha 34] | 5% |
Monmouth University | Sep 17–21, 2020 | 402 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 47% | 46% | 2% | 0% [lower-alpha 198] | 4% |
402 (LV) | 48% [lower-alpha 188] | 46% | 2% | – | 4% | |||
50% [lower-alpha 189] | 45% | 1% | – | 3% | ||||
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Sep 16–21, 2020 | 523 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 45% | 2% | 0% [lower-alpha 199] | 8% [lower-alpha 27] |
University of Georgia/AJC | Sep 11–20, 2020 | 1,150 (LV) | ± 4% | 47% | 47% | 1% | – | 4% |
Data for Progress (D) | Sep 14–19, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 45% [lower-alpha 200] | 45% | 1% | 0% [lower-alpha 201] | 8% |
46% [lower-alpha 202] | 46% | – | – | 8% | ||||
GBAO Strategies/Warnock for Georgia [upper-alpha 27] | Sep 14–16, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 46% | 49% | – | – | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Sep 12–16, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 46% | 45% | 2% | 1% [lower-alpha 197] | 6% |
Morning Consult | Aug 29 – Sep 7, 2020 | 1,486 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 48% [lower-alpha 203] | 46% | – | – | – |
Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates/AARP | Aug 30 – Sep 5, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 47% | – | 1% [lower-alpha 204] | 6% |
Opinion Insight/American Action Forum [upper-alpha 10] | Aug 30 – Sep 2, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 46% [lower-alpha 35] | 47% | 2% | 1% [lower-alpha 205] | 4% |
Landmark Communications/WSB | Aug 29–31, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 41% | 2% | – | 9% |
SurveyMonkey/Tableau | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 2,772 (LV) | – | 49% | 49% | – | – | 2% |
Morning Consult | Aug 21–30, 2020 | 1,392 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 46% | 49% | – | – | – |
HarrisX/Matt Lieberman [upper-alpha 28] | Aug 20–30, 2020 | 1,616 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 46% | 52% | – | 2% [lower-alpha 206] | – |
PPP/Fair Fight Action [upper-alpha 29] | Aug 24–25, 2020 | 782 (V) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 47% | – | – | 6% |
Morning Consult | Aug 7–16, 2020 | 1,265 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 47% | 46% | – | – | – |
Landmark Communications | Aug 14–15, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 45% | 4% | – | 3% |
SurveyUSA | Aug 6–8, 2020 | 623 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 44% | 46% | – | 4% [lower-alpha 207] | 6% |
YouGov/CBS | Jul 28–31, 2020 | 1,109 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 45% | 46% | – | 3% [lower-alpha 208] | 5% |
HIT Strategies/DFER [upper-alpha 30] | Jul 23–31, 2020 | 400 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 40% | 44% | – | 6% [lower-alpha 209] | 10% [lower-alpha 27] |
SurveyMonkey/Tableau | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 3,745 (LV) | – | 53% | 45% | – | – | 2% |
Monmouth University | Jul 23–27, 2020 | 402 (RV) | ± 2% | 47% | 47% | 3% | – | 3% |
402 (LV) | 48% [lower-alpha 188] | 47% | 2% | – | 3% | |||
49% [lower-alpha 189] | 46% | 2% | – | 4% | ||||
Morning Consult | Jul 17–26, 2020 | 1,337 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 46% | 47% | – | – | – |
Public Policy Polling/AFSCME [upper-alpha 6] | Jul 23–24, 2020 | 722 (V) | – | 45% | 46% | – | – | 9% |
Trafalgar Group | Jul 15–18, 2020 | 1,023 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 43% | 2% | 2% [lower-alpha 210] | 2% |
Spry Strategies/American Principles Project [upper-alpha 31] | Jul 11–16, 2020 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 49% | 46% | – | – | 5% |
Garin-Hart-Yang/Jon Ossoff [upper-alpha 25] | Jul 9–15, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 43% | 47% | – | – | 10% |
Gravis Marketing/OANN | Jul 2, 2020 | 513 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 48% | 45% | - | – | 8% |
SurveyMonkey/Tableau | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 2,059 (LV) | – | 49% | 49% | – | – | 2% |
Public Policy Polling/End Citizens United [upper-alpha 32] | Jun 25–26, 2020 | 734 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 45% | 49% | - | – | 6% |
Fox News | Jun 20–23, 2020 | 1,013 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 47% | - | 4% [lower-alpha 211] | 5% |
Public Policy Polling | Jun 12–13, 2020 | 661 (V) | ± 3.4% | 46% | 48% | - | – | 6% |
TargetSmart | May 21–27, 2020 | 321 (RV) | ± 5.5% | 44% | 40% | - | 10% [lower-alpha 212] | 6% |
Morning Consult | May 17–26, 2020 | 1,396 (LV) | – | 49% | 47% | – | – | – |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | May 16–18, 2020 | 1,339 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 47% | 48% | - | 3% |