2020 U.S. presidential election | |
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Attempts to overturn | |
Democratic Party | |
Republican Party | |
Third parties | |
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This is a list of statewide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the 2020 United States presidential election. The persons named in the polls were declared candidates or received media speculation about their possible candidacy.
If multiple versions of polls are provided, the version among likely voters is prioritized, then registered voters, then adults.
The following graph depicts the difference between Joe Biden and Donald Trump in each swing state in the poll aggregators from March 2020 to the election, with the election results for comparison.
Polls by state/district |
New Hampshire |
Minnesota |
Wisconsin |
Michigan |
Nevada |
Pennsylvania |
Nebraska CD-2 |
Maine CD-2 |
Arizona |
Florida |
North Carolina |
Georgia |
Ohio |
Texas |
Iowa |
Montana |
Missouri |
Alaska |
South Carolina |
Nebraska |
Kansas |
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win [1] | September 1 – October 13, 2020 | October 27, 2020 | 38.0% | 58.0% | 4.0% | Trump +20.0 |
FiveThirtyEight [2] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 37.8% | 57.4% | 4.8% | Trump +19.5 |
Average | 37.9% | 57.7% | 4.4% | Trump +19.8 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios [3] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 1,808 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 62% [c] | 36% | – | – | – |
Swayable [4] | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 330 (LV) | ± 7.9% | 55% | 38% | 7% | – | – |
Data for Progress [5] | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 1,045 (LV) | ± 3% | 58% | 38% | 3% | 1% | 0% [d] |
Auburn University At Montgomery [6] | Oct 23–28, 2020 | 853 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 58% | 39% | – | 3% | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [3] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 3,363 (LV) | – | 61% | 37% | – | – | – |
Swayable [7] | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 266 (LV) | ± 7.8% | 56% | 37% | 7% | – | – |
Moore Information (R) [8] [A] | Oct 11–14, 2020 | 504 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 55% | 38% | – | – | – |
Auburn University at Montgomery [9] | Sep 30 – Oct 3, 2020 | 1,072 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 57% | 37% | – | 6% | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [3] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 1,354 (LV) | – | 59% | 39% | – | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [3] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 1,220 (LV) | – | 65% | 33% | – | – | 2% |
Tyson Group/Consumer Energy Alliance [10] [B] | Aug 17–19, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 48% | 44% | 0% | 0% [e] | 7% |
Morning Consult [11] | Jul 24 – Aug 2, 2020 | 609 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 58% | 36% | – | 2% [f] | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [3] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 1,583 (LV) | – | 63% | 35% | – | – | 2% |
Auburn University at Montgomery [12] | Jul 2–9, 2020 | 567 (RV) | ± 5.1% | 55% | 41% | – | 4% | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [3] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 649 (LV) | – | 63% | 35% | – | – | 2% |
FM3 Research/Doug Jones [13] [C] | May 14–18, 2020 | 601 (LV) | ± 4% | 53% | 39% | – | – | – |
Mason-Dixon [14] | Feb 4–6, 2020 | 625 (RV) | ± 4% | 58% | 38% | – | – | 4% |
WPA Intelligence [15] | Jan 7–9, 2020 | 500 (LV) | – | 59% | 38% | – | – | 3% |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [g] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win [16] | October 6 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 43.8% | 49.4% | 6.8% | Trump +5.6 |
FiveThirtyEight [17] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 43.6% | 51.2% | 5.2% | Trump +7.7 |
Average | 43.7% | 50.3% | 6.0% | Trump +6.7 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [h] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios [18] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 634 (LV) | ± 5% | 54% [i] | 45% | – | – | – |
Gravis Marketing [19] | Oct 26–28, 2020 | 770 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 52% | 43% | – | – | 5% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [18] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 1,147 (LV) | – | 54% | 44% | – | – | – |
Public Policy Polling/Protect Our Care [20] [D] | Oct 19–20, 2020 | 800 (V) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 45% | - | – | 5% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot [21] | Oct 9–14, 2020 | 423 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 45% | 39% | 8% | 2% [j] | 6% [k] |
Patinkin Research Strategies [22] | Sep 30 – Oct 4, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 49% | 46% | – | 3% [l] | 2% |
Alaska Survey Research [23] | Sep 26 – Oct 4, 2020 | 696 (LV) | – | 50% | 46% | - | - | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [18] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 563 (LV) | – | 53% | 45% | - | - | 2% |
Harstad Strategic Research/Independent Alaska [24] [E] | Sep 20–23, 2020 | 602 (LV) | ± 4% | 47% | 46% | - | - | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [18] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 472 (LV) | – | 57% | 42% | - | - | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [18] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 412 (LV) | – | 55% | 43% | - | - | 2% |
Public Policy Polling (D) [25] [F] | Jul 23–24, 2020 | 885 (V) | – | 50% | 44% | - | - | 6% |
Public Policy Polling [26] [m] | Jul 7–8, 2020 | 1,081 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 45% | - | - | 6% |
Alaska Survey Research [27] | Jun 23 – Jul 7, 2020 | 663 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 49% | 48% | - | - | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [18] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 161 (LV) | – | 52% | 46% | - | - | 2% |
Zogby Interactive/JZ Analytics [28] | Jul 22 – Aug 9, 2019 | 321 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 45% | 40% | - | - | 15% |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win [29] | October 22 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 48.0% | 45.8% | 6.2% | Biden +2.2 |
Real Clear Politics [30] | October 25 – November 1, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 47.9% | 47.0% | 5.1% | Biden +0.9 |
FiveThirtyEight [31] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 48.7% | 46.1% | 5.2% | Biden +2.6 |
Average | 48.2% | 46.3% | 5.5% | Biden +1.9 |
2020 polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [n] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ipsos/Reuters [32] | Oct 27 – Nov 2 | 610 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 47% [o] | 50% | 1% | 0% | 2% [p] | – |
47% [q] | 49% | - | - | 2% [r] | 1% | ||||
48% [s] | 50% | - | - | 2% [t] | – | ||||
SurveyMonkey/Axios [33] | Oct 20 – Nov 2 | 4,278 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 46% [u] | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC [34] | Oct 29 – Nov 1 | 409 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 47% | 50% | 2% | - | – | 1% |
Marist College/NBC [35] | Oct 29 – Nov 1 | 717 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 48% | 48% | - | - | 3% | 1% |
Swayable [36] | Oct 27 – Nov 1 | 360 (LV) | ± 7.1% | 46% | 51% | 4% | - | – | – |
Data for Progress [37] | Oct 27 – Nov 1 | 1,195 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 47% | 50% | 2% | 1% | 0% [v] | – |
AtlasIntel [38] | Oct 30–31 | 641 (LV) | ± 4% | 50.4% | 48.1% | - | - | 1.5% [w] | – |
Emerson College [39] | Oct 29–31 | 732 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 46% | 48% | - | - | 6% [x] | – |
Morning Consult [40] | Oct 22–31 | 1,059 (LV) | ± 3% | 46% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Data Orbital [41] | Oct 28–30 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 45.3% | 45.9% | 3% | - | 6% [y] | 5% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot [42] | Oct 26–30 | 1,253 (LV) | ± 3% | 43% | 49% | 3% | - | 1% [z] | 5% [aa] |
Grand Canyon Battleground Poll [43] | Oct 25–30 | 910 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 48% | 45% | 3% | - | 4% | |
CNN/SSRS [44] | Oct 23–30 | 892 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 50% | 3% | - | 1% [ab] | 1% |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports [45] | Oct 27–29 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 45% | - | - | 3% [ac] | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [46] | Oct 26–29 | 889 (LV) | – | 46% | 50% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 2% |
Gravis Marketing [47] | Oct 26–28 | 704 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 44% | 48% | - | - | – | 8% |
Trafalgar Group [48] | Oct 25–28 | 1,002 (LV) | ± 3% | 49% | 46.5% | 2.1% | - | 1.7% [ad] | 0.7% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [33] | Oct 1–28 | 5,687 (LV) | – | 46% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Ipsos/Reuters [49] | Oct 21–27 | 714 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 47% [o] | 47% | 2% | 0% | 3% [ae] | – |
46% [q] | 48% | - | - | 3% [af] | 2% | ||||
Swayable [50] | Oct 23–26 | 304 (LV) | ± 7.2% | 44% | 52% | 3% | - | – | – |
Justice Collaborative Project [51] [G] | Oct 22–25 | 874 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 43% | 49% | - | - | – | 5% |
OH Predictive Insights [52] | Oct 22–25 | 716 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 49% | 3% | - | 1% [ag] | 1% |
Univision/University of Houston/Latino Decisions/North Star Opinion Research [53] | Oct 17–25 | 725 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 45% | 50% | - | - | 2% [ah] | 3% |
Patinkin Research Strategies/Patinkin Research Strategies/Arizona Research Consortium (D) [54] | Oct 21–24 | 729 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 45% | 52% | - | - | 2% | 1% |
Y2 Analytics/Salt Lake Tribune [55] | Oct 15–24 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc./Center for American Greatness [56] [H] | Oct 19–22 | 504 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46% [ai] | 46% | 4% | - | 2% [aj] | 1% |
Ipsos/Reuters [57] | Oct 14–21 | 658 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46% [o] | 50% | 1% | - | 2% [ak] | – |
46% [q] | 49% | - | - | 3% [af] | 2% | ||||
Morning Consult [40] | Oct 11–20 | 1,066 (LV) | ± 3% | 48% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports [58] | Oct 18–19 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 48% | - | - | 3% [ac] | 3% |
Change Research/CNBC [59] | Oct 16–19 | 232 (LV) [al] | – | 45% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ [60] | Oct 14–19 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 46% [o] | 47% | - | - | 3% [ac] | 5% |
44% [am] | 49% | - | - | 3% [ac] | 5% | ||||
47% [an] | 45% | - | - | 3% [ac] | 5% | ||||
Data Orbital [61] | Oct 16–18 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 42% | 47% | 3% | - | 5% [ao] | 2% |
YouGov/CBS [62] | Oct 13–16 | 1,074 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 45% | 49% | - | - | 3% [ap] | 3% |
Ipsos/Reuters [63] | Oct 7–14 | 667 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 47% [o] | 49% | 1% | 0% | 2% [aq] | – |
46% [q] | 50% | - | - | 2% [r] | 3% | ||||
Monmouth University [64] | Oct 11–13 | 502 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 50% | 2% | - | 1% [ar] | 4% |
502 (LV) | 44% [as] | 51% | - | - | 2% | – | |||
47% [at] | 49% | - | - | 1% | – | ||||
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [65] | Oct 10–13 | 750 (LV) | – | 45% [al] | 48% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
Morning Consult [40] | Oct 2–11 | 1,144 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 46% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [65] | Oct 9–10 | 720 (LV) | – | 46% [al] | 48% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
Trafalgar Group [66] | Oct 6–8 | 1,087 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 48% | 44% | 2% | - | 2% [ah] | 5% |
OH Predictive Insights [67] | Oct 4–8 | 608 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% [o] | 49% | 4% | - | 0% [au] | 3% |
47% [av] | 50% | - | - | 0% [au] | 3% | ||||
Redfield and Wilton Strategies [68] | Oct 4–7 | 727 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 43% | 49% | 1% | 1% | 1% [aw] | 6% |
Ipsos/Reuters [69] | Sep 29 – Oct 7 | 633 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 46% | 48% | - | - | 2% [r] | 4% |
Latino Decisions/Democrats for Education Reform [70] [I] | Sep 28 – Oct 6 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 45% | 48% | - | - | – | 5% |
Basswood Research/American Action Forum [71] [J] | Oct 3–5 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 48% | 2% | - | – | 3% |
Data Orbital [72] | Oct 3–5 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 43% | 48% | 3% | - | 3% [ax] | 4% |
HighGround Inc. [73] | Sep 28 – Oct 5 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 46% | - | - | 4% [ay] | 5% |
Change Research/CNBC [74] | Oct 2–4 | 296 (LV) | – | 45% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Siena College/NYT Upshot [75] | Oct 1–3 | 655 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 41% | 49% | 3% | – | 1% [z] | 6% [aa] |
Patinkin Research Strategies/Patinkin Research Strategies/Arizona Research Consortium (D) [54] | Oct 1–3 | 604 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 46% | 50% | - | - | 3% | 1% |
Targoz Market Research/PollSmart [76] | Sep 23 – Oct 2 | 1,045 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 45% | - | - | 10% | – |
Suffolk University [77] | Sep 26–30 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 50% | 1% | - | 1% [ag] | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [33] | Sep 1–30 | 7,100 (LV) | – | 47% | 51% | - | - | – | 2% |
Strategies 360/Smart and Safe Arizona [78] [K] | Sep 24–29 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 45% | 49% | - | - | 2% [az] | 4% |
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc/Center for American Greatness [79] [H] | Sep 25–28 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 47% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
Data for Progress (D) [80] | Sep 23–28 | 808 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 45% [o] | 49% | 1% | 0% | – | 4% |
46% [av] | 50% | - | - | – | 4% | ||||
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [81] | Sep 23–26 | 871 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 44% | 47% | 1% | 1% | 1% [aw] | 6% |
Data For Progress [82] [L] | Sep 15–22 | 481 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 45% | - | - | – | 10% |
Change Research/CNBC [83] | Sep 18–20 | 262 (LV) | – | 43% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
ABC/Washington Post [84] | Sep 15–20 | 579 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 49% | 48% | - | - | 2% [ba] | 1% |
Data Orbital [85] | Sep 14–17 | 550 (LV) | – | 47% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Ipsos/Reuters [86] | Sep 11–17 | 565 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 46% | 47% | - | - | 2% [r] | 5% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [87] | Sep 12–16 | 855 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 42% | 47% | 1% | 0% | 1% [aw] | 8% |
Monmouth University [88] | Sep 11–15 | 420 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 44% | 48% | 4% | - | 1% [bb] | 3% |
420 (LV) | 46% [bc] | 48% | - | - | 3% | 3% | |||
47% [bd] | 47% | - | - | 3% | 3% | ||||
Siena College/NYT Upshot [89] | Sep 10–15 | 653 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 40% | 49% | 4% | - | 1% [z] | 6% [aa] |
Patinkin Research Strategies/Patinkin Research Strategies/Arizona Research Consortium (D) [54] | Sep 10–13 | 679 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 46% | 49% | - | - | 4% | 2% |
Kaiser Family Foundation/Cook Political Report [90] | Aug 29 – Sep 13 | 1,298 (RV) | ± 3% | 40% | 45% | - | - | 4% [be] | 11% |
Gravis Marketing [91] | Sep 10–11 | 684 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 48% | 50% | - | - | – | 2% |
YouGov/CBS [92] | Sep 9–11 | 1,106 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 44% | 47% | - | - | 3% [ap] | 6% |
OH Predictive Insights [93] | Sep 8–10 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 42% | 52% | - | - | – | 5% |
Benenson Strategy Group/GS Strategy Group/AARP [94] | Aug 28 – Sep 8 | 1,600 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 47% | 48% | - | - | 1% [bf] | 4% |
Morning Consult [95] | Aug 29 – Sep 7 | 901 (LV) | ± (2–4%) | 46% [bg] | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC [96] | Sep 4–6 | 470 (LV) | – | 45% | 49% | - | - | 6% [bh] | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [97] | Aug 30 – Sep 4 | 830 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 43% | 48% | 0% | 1% | 0% [bi] | 6% |
FOX News [98] | Aug 29 – Sep 1 | 772 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 40% | 49% | 3% | - | 1% [bj] | 6% |
858 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 49% | 3% | - | 3% [bk] | 6% | ||
Basswood Research/American Action Forum [99] [J] | Aug 29–31, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% [o] | 47% | 1% [bl] | 2% | – | 2% |
49% [av] | 48% | - | - | – | 3% | ||||
SurveyMonkey/Axios [33] | Aug 1–31 | 6,456 (LV) | – | 52% | 47% | - | - | – | 2% |
Morning Consult [100] | Aug 21–30 | 943 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC [101] | Aug 21–23 | 344 (LV) | – | 47% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Redfield and Wilton Strategies [102] | Aug 16–18 | 856 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 38% | 47% | 1% | 1% | 3% [bm] | 10% |
Morning Consult [100] | Aug 7–16 | 947 (LV) | ± (2–4%) | 47% | 45% | - | - | – | – |
Emerson College [103] | Aug 8–10 | 661 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 47% [ai] | 53% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC [104] | Aug 7–9 | 428 (LV) | – | 44% | 45% | - | - | – | – |
Trafalgar Group [105] | Aug 5–8 | 1,013 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 46% | 45% | 3% | - | 1% [bn] | 4% |
OH Predictive Insights [106] | Aug 3–4 | 603 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
OnMessage Inc./Heritage Action [107] [M] | Aug 2–4 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 51% | 48% | - | - | – | 2% |
Data for Progress [108] | Jul 24 – Aug 2 | 1,215 (LV) | – | 43% [o] | 45% | 2% | 1% | – | 10% |
44% [av] | 47% | - | - | – | 8% | ||||
SurveyMonkey/Axios [33] | Jul 1–31 | 4,995 (LV) | – | 51% | 47% | - | - | – | 2% |
Change Research/CNBC [109] | Jul 24–26 | 365 (LV) | – | 45% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
Morning Consult [110] | Jul 17–26 | 908 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 42% [bg] | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Morning Consult [110] | Jul 16–25 | – (LV) [bo] | – | 43% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
CNN/SSRS [111] | Jul 18–24 | 873 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 45% | 49% | - | - | 4% [bp] | 2% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [112] | Jul 19–23 | 858 (LV) | – | 38% | 46% | 2% | 1% | 3% [bm] | 11% |
NBC News/Marist College [113] | Jul 14–22 | 826 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 45% | 50% | - | - | 1% | 3% |
Public Policy Polling/AFSCME [114] [F] | Jul 17–18 | 960 (RV) | – | 45% | 49% | - | - | – | 6% |
Spry Strategies/American Principles Project [115] [N] | Jul 11–16 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 45% | 49% | - | - | – | 6% |
Morning Consult [110] | Jul 6–15 | – (LV) [bo] | – | 45% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC [116] | Jul 10–12 | 345 (LV) | – | 45% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
YouGov/CBS [117] | Jul 7–10 | 1,087 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 46% | 46% | - | - | 4% [bq] | 4% |
OH Predictive Insights [118] | Jul 6–7 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 49% | - | - | 0% [au] | 7% |
Morning Consult [110] | Jun 26 – Jul 5 | – (LV) [bo] | – | 42% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [33] | Jun 8–30 | 2,365 (LV) | – | 52% | 46% | - | - | – | 2% |
Data Orbital [119] | Jun 27–29 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 47% | - | - | 3.3% [br] | 4.2% |
Morning Consult [110] | Jun 16–25 | – (LV) [bo] | – | 43% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC [120] | Jun 26–28 | 311 (LV) [al] | – | 44% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Gravis Marketing/OANN [121] | Jun 27 | 527 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 49% | 45% | - | - | – | 7% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [122] | Jun 14–17 | 865 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 39% | 43% | 2% | 1% | 2% [bs] | 13% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot [123] | Jun 8–16 | 650 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 41% | 48% | - | - | 4% [bt] | 8% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos [124] | Jun 13–15 | 1,368 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 45% | 49% | - | - | 5% [bu] | 1% |
Morning Consult [110] | Jun 6–15 | – (LV) [bo] | – | 44% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC [125] | Jun 12–14 | 201 (LV) [al] | – | 44% | 45% | - | - | 5% [bv] | – |
Morning Consult [110] | May 27 – Jun 5 | – (LV) [bo] | – | 47% | 45% | - | - | – | – |
FOX News [126] | May 30 – Jun 2 | 1,002 (RV) | ± 3% | 42% | 46% | - | - | 6% [bw] | 5% |
Change Research/CNBC [127] | May 29–31 | 329 (LV) [al] | – | 45% | 44% | - | - | 9% | 2% |
Morning Consult [110] | May 17–26 | 784 (LV) | – | 47% [bg] | 45% | - | - | – | – |
Morning Consult [110] | May 16–25 | – (LV) [bo] | – | 46% | 46% | - | - | – | – |
HighGround Inc. [128] | May 18–22 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 47% | - | - | 4% [bx] | 4% [aa] |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [129] | May 10–14 | 946 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 41% | 45% | - | - | 3% [by] | 10% |
OH Predictive Insights [130] | May 9–11 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 43% | 50% | - | - | 1% [ag] | 6% |
Morning Consult [110] | May 6–15 | – (LV) [bo] | – | 47% | 45% | - | - | – | – |
GBAO Strategies/PLUS Paid Family Leave [131] | Apr 13–16 | 500 (LV) | – | 46% | 47% | - | - | 2% | 5% |
OH Predictive Insights [132] | Apr 7–8 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College [133] | Mar 10–15 | 2,523 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 46% | 47% | - | - | 1% | 5% |
Monmouth University [134] | Mar 11–14 | 847 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 43% | 46% | - | - | 2% | 6% |
Univision [135] | Mar 6–11 | 1,036 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 50% | - | - | – | 8% |
OH Predictive Insights [136] | Mar 3–4 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 49% | - | - | – | 8% |
Public Policy Polling [137] | Mar 2–3 | 666 (V) | – | 46% | 47% | - | - | – | 6% |
Climate Nexus [138] | Feb 11–15 | 539 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 46% | 42% | - | - | – | 13% |
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Team McSally/Politico [139] [O] | Jan 22–24 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 50% | 45% | - | - | – | 6% |
Public Policy Polling [140] | Jan 2–4 | 760 (V) | – | 46% | 46% | - | - | – | 8% |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win [141] | October 17–28, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 35.0% | 60.3% | 4.7% | Trump +25.3 |
FiveThirtyEight [142] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 36.2% | 58.9% | 4.9% | Trump +22.8 |
Average | 35.6% | 59.6% | 4.8% | Trump +24.0 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [bz] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios [143] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 1,309 (LV) | ± 4% | 61% [ca] | 38% | - | - | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [143] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 2,239 (LV) | – | 60% | 38% | - | - | – | – |
University of Arkansas [144] | Oct 9–21, 2020 | 591 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 65% | 32% | - | - | 3% | – |
Hendrix College/Talk Business & Politics [145] | Oct 11–13, 2020 | 647 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 58% | 34% | 2% | 1% | 2% [cb] | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [143] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 771 (LV) | – | 62% | 38% | - | - | – | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [143] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 689 (LV) | – | 67% | 32% | - | - | – | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [143] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 747 (LV) | – | 66% | 32% | - | - | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [143] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 354 (LV) | – | 59% | 38% | - | - | – | 2% |
Hendrix College/Talk Business & Politics [146] | Jun 9–10, 2020 | 869 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 47% | 45% | - | - | 5% [cc] | 3% |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win [147] | October 17–27, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 61.7% | 32.3% | 6.0% | Biden +29.4 |
Real Clear Politics [148] | September 26 – October 21, 2020 | October 27, 2020 | 60.7% | 31.0% | 8.3% | Biden +29.7 |
FiveThirtyEight [149] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 61.6% | 32.4% | 6.0% | Biden +29.2 |
Average | 61.3% | 31.9% | 6.8% | Biden +29.4 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [cd] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios [150] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 12,370 (LV) | ± 1.5% | 36% [ce] | 62% | – | – | – | – |
David Binder Research [151] | Oct 28 – Nov 1, 2020 | 800 (LV) | – | 31% | 62% | – | – | 3% | 4% |
USC Schwarzenegger Institute [152] | Oct 27–31, 2020 | 1,155 (RV) | ± 3% | 28% | 65% | – | – | 4% [cf] | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Tableau [150] | Sep 30 – Oct 28, 2020 | 22,450 (LV) | – | 37% [ce] | 61% | – | – | – | – |
Swayable [153] | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 635 (LV) | ± 5.2% | 35% | 62% | 2% | 1% | – | – |
UC Berkeley/LA Times [154] | Oct 16–21, 2020 | 5,352 (LV) | ± 2% | 29% | 65% | 1% | 0% | 0% [cg] [ch] | 3% |
Public Policy Institute of California [155] | Oct 9–18, 2020 | 1,185 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 32% | 58% | 3% | 2% | 1% [ci] | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Tableau [150] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 20,346 (LV) | – | 35% | 63% | – | – | – | 2% |
SurveyUSA [156] | Sep 26–28, 2020 | 588 (LV) | ± 5.4% | 34% | 59% | – | – | 3% [cj] | 6% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [157] | Sep 19–21, 2020 | 1,775 (LV) | – | 28% | 62% | 1% | 1% | 1% [ck] | 8% |
UC Berkeley/LA Times [158] | Sep 9–15, 2020 | 5,942 (LV) | ± 2% | 28% | 67% | 1% | 0% | 0% [cg] [ch] | 3% |
Public Policy Institute of California [159] | Sep 4–13, 2020 | 1,168 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 31% | 60% | 3% | 2% | 1% [ci] | 2% |
Spry Strategies/Women's Liberation Front [160] [cl] | Aug 29 – Sep 1, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 39% | 56% | – | – | – | 5% |
SurveyMonkey/Tableau [150] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 17,537 (LV) | – | 35% | 63% | – | – | – | 2% |
David Binder Research [161] | Aug 22–24, 2020 | 800 (LV) | – | 31% | 61% | – | – | 3% [cm] | 5% |
Redfield and Wilton Strategies [162] | Aug 9, 2020 | 1,904 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 25% | 61% | 1% | 1% | 2% [cn] | 9% |
SurveyMonkey/Tableau [150] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 19,027 (LV) | – | 35% | 63% | – | – | – | 2% |
University of California Berkeley [163] | Jul 21–27, 2020 | 6,756 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 28% | 67% | – | – | – | 5% |
SurveyMonkey/Tableau [150] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 8,412 (LV) | – | 36% | 62% | – | – | – | 2% |
Public Policy Institute of California [164] | May 19–26, 2020 | 1,048 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 33% | 57% | – | – | 6% [co] | 3% |
SurveyUSA [165] | May 18–19, 2020 | 537 (LV) | ± 5.4% | 30% | 58% | – | – | 5% | 7% |
Emerson College [166] | May 8–10, 2020 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 35% [cp] | 65% | – | – | – | – |
Public Policy Polling [167] | Mar 28–29, 2020 | 962 (RV) | – | 29% | 67% | – | – | – | 3% |
AtlasIntel [168] | Feb 24 – Mar 2, 2020 | 1,100 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 26% | 62% | – | – | 12% | – |
YouGov [169] | Feb 26–28, 2020 | 1,507 (RV) | – | 31% | 59% | – | – | 4% | 4% |
CNN/SSRS [170] | Feb 22–26, 2020 | 951 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 35% | 60% | – | – | 3% [cq] | 3% |
University of California Berkeley [171] | Feb 20–25, 2020 | 5,526 (RV) | – | 31% | 58% | – | – | – | 11% |
SurveyUSA [172] | Feb 13–16, 2020 | 1,196 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 37% | 57% | – | – | – | 6% |
YouGov/USC Price-Schwarzenegger Institute [173] | Feb 1–15, 2020 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 30% | 60% | – | – | – | 4% |
SurveyUSA [174] | Jan 14–16, 2020 | 1,967 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 35% | 59% | – | – | – | 6% |
CNN/SSRS [175] | Dec 4–8, 2019 | 1,011 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 36% | 56% | – | – | 3% [cq] | 5% |
SurveyUSA [176] | Nov 20–22, 2019 | 2,039 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 32% | 59% | – | – | – | 9% |
SurveyUSA [177] | Oct 15–16, 2019 | 1,242 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 32% | 59% | – | – | – | 9% |
Emerson College [178] | Sep 13–16, 2019 | 830 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 36% | 64% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyUSA [179] | Sep 13–15, 2019 | 1,785 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 31% | 57% | – | – | – | 11% |
SurveyUSA [180] | Aug 1–5, 2019 | 2,184 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 27% | 61% | – | – | – | 12% |
SurveyUSA [181] | Mar 22–25, 2018 | 882 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 33% | 56% | – | – | – | 11% |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win [182] | October 15 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 52.0% | 40.6% | 7.4% | Biden +11.4 |
FiveThirtyEight [183] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 53.6% | 41.1% | 5.3% | Biden +12.5 |
Average | 52.8% | 40.8% | 6.4% | Biden +12.0 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [cr] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios [184] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 2,991 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 44% [cs] | 55% | – | – | – | – |
Keating Research/Onsight Public Affairs/Colorado Sun [185] | Oct 29 – Nov 1, 2020 | 502 (LV) [ct] | ± 4.4% | 41% | 53% | – | – | – | – |
Data for Progress [186] | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 709 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 42% | 54% | 3% | 1% | 0% [cu] | – |
Swayable [187] | Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2020 | 455 (LV) | ± 6% | 41% | 55% | 3% | 1% | – | – |
Morning Consult [188] | Oct 22–31, 2020 | 727 (LV) | ± 4% | 41% | 54% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [184] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 5,925 (LV) | – | 40% | 59% | – | – | – | – |
Morning Consult [188] | Oct 11–20, 2020 | 788 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 39% | 55% | – | – | – | – |
RBI Strategies [189] | Oct 12–16, 2020 | 502 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 38% | 55% | 3% | 1% | 1% [cv] | 1% |
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ [190] | Oct 9–15, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 43% | 51% | – | – | 1% [cw] | 3% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos [191] | Oct 11–14, 2020 | 1,013 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 42% | 53% | – | – | 3% [cv] | 1% |
Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs/Melanson [192] | Oct 8–13, 2020 | 519 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 39% | 54% | – | – | 3% [cx] | 4% |
Morning Consult [188] | Oct 2–11, 2020 | 837 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 40% | 54% | – | – | – | – |
YouGov/University of Colorado [193] | Oct 5–9, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 4.64% | 38% | 47% | – | – | 3% | 11% |
SurveyUSA/9News/Colorado Politics [194] | Oct 1–6, 2020 | 1,021 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 40% | 50% | – | – | 5% [cy] | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [184] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 2,717 (LV) | – | 41% | 57% | – | – | – | 2% |
Morning Consult [195] | Aug 29 – Sep 7, 2020 | 657 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 43% [cz] | 49% | – | – | – | – |
Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates/AARP [196] | Aug 30 – Sep 5, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 40% | 50% | – | – | 2% [da] | 8% |
Global Strategy Group/Progress Colorado [197] [P] | Aug 28 – Sep 1, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 39% | 50% | 4% | 1% | 1% [db] | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [184] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 2,385 (LV) | – | 41% | 57% | – | – | – | 2% |
Morning Consult [198] [199] | Aug 21–30, 2020 | 638 (LV) | ± 4% | 41% [cz] | 51% | – | – | – | – |
Morning Consult [200] | Aug 16–25, 2020 | ~600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 51% | – | – | – | – |
Morning Consult [198] [199] | Aug 7–16, 2020 | 601 (LV) | ± 4% | 41% [dc] | 51% | – | – | – | – |
Morning Consult [200] | Aug 6–15, 2020 | ~600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 51% | – | – | – | – |
Morning Consult [200] | Jul 7 – Aug 5, 2020 | ~600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 52% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [184] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 2,337 (LV) | – | 40% | 58% | – | – | – | 2% |
Morning Consult [201] | Jul 17–26, 2020 | 616 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 39% [cz] | 52% | – | – | – | – |
Morning Consult [200] | Jul 13–22, 2020 | ~600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 51% | – | – | – | – |
Public Policy Polling/AFSCME [202] [F] | Jul 23–24, 2020 | 891 (V) | – | 41% | 54% | – | – | – | 5% |
Public Policy Polling/End Citizens United [203] | Jun 29–30, 2020 | 840 (V) | ± 3.4% | 39% | 56% | – | – | – | 5% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [184] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 1,088 (LV) | – | 42% | 57% | – | – | – | 2% |
Morning Consult [201] | May 17–26, 2020 | 572 (LV) | – | 42% | 50% | – | – | – | – |
Global Strategy Group (D) [204] | May 7–11, 2020 | 700 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 40% | 53% | – | – | – | 7% |
Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs/Melanson/Colorado Politics [205] | May 1–3, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 36% | 55% | – | – | 3% [cx] | 6% |
Montana State University Bozeman [206] | Apr 10–19, 2020 | 379 (LV) | – | 35% | 53% | – | – | 3% | 8% |
Climate Nexus [207] | Feb 11–15, 2020 | 485 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 43% | 46% | – | – | – | 11% |
Emerson College [208] | Aug 16–19, 2019 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 55% | – | – | – | – |
Fabrizio Ward/AARP [209] | Jul 29–31, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 51% | – | – | 1% [dd] | 5% |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FiveThirtyEight [210] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 58.6% | 32.4% | 9.0% | Biden +26.3 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [de] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios [211] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 2,031 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 38% [df] | 60% | - | - | – | – |
Swayable [212] [dg] | Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2020 | 367 (LV) | ± 6.2% | 33% | 64% | 2% | 1% | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [211] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 3,782 (LV) | – | 35% | 63% | - | - | – | – |
Sacred Heart University [213] [dh] | Oct 8–21, 2020 | 1,000 (A) | ± 3.02% | 26% | 51% | - | - | 2% | 20% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [211] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 1,415 (LV) | – | 37% | 61% | - | - | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [211] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 1,009 (LV) | – | 35% | 64% | - | - | – | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [211] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 1,360 (LV) | – | 39% | 59% | - | - | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [211] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 574 (LV) | – | 32% | 65% | - | - | – | 3% |
SurveyUSA [214] | May 19–24, 2020 | 808 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 33% | 52% | - | - | 7% [di] | 8% |
Quinnipiac University [215] | Apr 30 – May 4, 2020 | 945 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 33% | 56% | - | - | 3% [dj] | 7% |
Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant [216] | Mar 24 – Apr 3, 2020 | 1,000 (A) | ± 3.0% | 34% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant [217] | Feb 24 – Mar 12, 2020 | 1,000 (A) | ± 3.0% | 36% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant [218] | Dec 16, 2019 – Jan 2, 2020 | 1,000 (A) | ± 3.0% | 32% | 52% | - | - | – | 16% |
Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant [219] | Sep 17 – Oct 2, 2019 | 1,000 (A) | ± 3.2% | 33% | 52% | - | - | – | 15% |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win [220] | October 5 – November 1, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 57.5% | 35.5% | 7.0% | Biden +22.0 |
FiveThirtyEight [221] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 58.9% | 34.6% | 6.5% | Biden +24.3 |
Average | 58.2% | 35.1% | 6.8% | Biden +23.2 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [dk] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios [222] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 656 (LV) | ± 6% | 38% [dl] | 60% | - | - | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [222] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 1,323 (LV) | – | 37% | 62% | - | - | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [222] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 395 (LV) | – | 37% | 61% | - | - | 2% |
University of Delaware [223] | Sep 21–27, 2020 | 847 (LV) | – | 33% | 54% | 2% | 1% | 10% [dm] |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [222] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 348 (LV) | – | 32% | 67% | - | - | 1% |
PPP [224] | Aug 21–22, 2020 | 710 (V) | ± 3.7% | 37% | 58% | - | - | 5% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [222] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 453 (LV) | – | 31% | 67% | - | - | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [222] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 232 (LV) | – | 34% | 64% | - | - | 2% |
Gonzales Research [225] | Jan 16–21, 2020 | 410 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 40% | 56% | - | - | 4% |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FiveThirtyEight [226] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 90.8% | 5.8% | 3.4% | Biden +85.0 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [dk] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios [227] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 495 (LV) | ± 6% | 5% [dn] | 94% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [227] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 969 (LV) | – | 9% | 89% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [227] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 343 (LV) | – | 12% | 86% | – | – | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [227] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 252 (LV) | – | 16% | 83% | – | – | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [227] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 290 (LV) | – | 8% | 91% | – | – | – | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [227] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 151 (LV) | – | 11% | 87% | – | – | – | 3% |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win [228] | October 24 – November 1, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 48.7% | 46.0% | 5.3% | Biden +2.7 |
Real Clear Politics [229] | October 28 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 47.9% | 47.0% | 5.1% | Biden +0.9 |
FiveThirtyEight [230] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 49.1% | 46.6% | 4.3% | Biden +2.5 |
Average | 48.6% | 46.5% | 4.9% | Biden +2.1 |
State polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [dk] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Insider Advantage/Fox 35 [231] | Nov 1–2, 2020 [al] | 400 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 47% | 2% | - | – | 3% |
Trafalgar Group [232] | Oct 31 – Nov 2, 2020 | 1,054 (LV) | ± 2.94% | 49% | 47% | 2% | - | 1% [do] | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [233] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 8,792 (LV) | ± 1.5% | 49% [dp] | 49% | - | - | – | – |
AYTM/Aspiration [234] | Oct 30 – Nov 1, 2020 | 517 (LV) | – | 43% | 45% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC [235] | Oct 29 – Nov 1, 2020 | 806 (LV) | ± 3.45% | 48% | 51% | 0% | 0% | – | 1% |
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc./Center for American Greatness [236] [H] | Oct 29 – Nov 1, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 47% | 46% | 2% | - | 2% [dq] | 3% |
Quinnipiac University [237] | Oct 28 – Nov 1, 2020 | 1,657 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 42% | 47% | - | - | 1% [do] | 9% |
Swayable [238] | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 1,261 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 53% | 1% | 1% | – | – |
Data for Progress [239] | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 1,202 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 48% | 51% | 1% | 1% | 0% [dr] | – |
Ipsos/Reuters [240] | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 670 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 46% [o] | 50% | 1% | 0% | 1% [ds] | – |
46% [dt] | 50% | - | - | 2% [r] | 2% | ||||
47% [du] | 51% | - | - | 2% [dv] | – | ||||
Frederick Polls/Compete Everywhere [241] [Q] | Oct 30–31, 2020 | 768 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports [242] | Oct 29–31, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 48% | - | - | 3% [dw] | – |
Siena College/NYT Upshot [243] | Oct 27–31, 2020 | 1,451 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 44% | 47% | 2% | 1% | 0% [dx] | 6% [dy] |
Morning Consult [244] | Oct 22–31, 2020 | 4,451 (LV) | ± 2% | 45% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
St. Pete Polls [245] | Oct 29–30, 2020 | 2,758 (LV) | ± 1.9% | 48% | 49% | 1% | - | – | 2% |
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ [246] | Oct 28–30, 2020 | 1,200 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 47% [o] | 51% | - | - | 2% [dv] | 0% |
45% [dz] | 52% | - | - | 2% [dv] | 0% | ||||
48% [ea] | 49% | - | - | 2% [dv] | 0% | ||||
Targoz Market Research/PollSmart [247] | Oct 25–30, 2020 | 1,027 (LV) | – | 47% | 51% | - | - | 2% [eb] | – |
AtlasIntel [248] | Oct 28–29, 2020 | 786 (LV) | ± 3% | 48.5% | 48.5% | - | - | – | 3% |
Public Policy Polling/Climate Power 2020 [249] [R] | Oct 28–29, 2020 | 941 (V) | – | 45% | 52% | - | - | – | 3% |
Harvard-Harris/The Hill [250] | Oct 26–29, 2020 | 1,148 (LV) | ± ≥3% | 47% | 50% | - | - | – | 3% |
ABC/Washington Post [251] | Oct 24–29, 2020 | 824 (LV) | ± 4% | 50% | 48% | 1% | 0% | 0% [ec] | 0% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [252] | Oct 27–28, 2020 | 1,587 (LV) | – | 46% | 50% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Trafalgar Group [253] | Oct 25–28, 2020 | 1,088 (LV) | ± 2.89% | 50% | 47% | 2% | - | 1% [do] | 1% |
Monmouth University [254] | Oct 24–28, 2020 | 509 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 45% | 50% | 1% | 0% | 1% [ed] | 2% |
509 (LV) | 45% [ee] | 51% | - | - | – | – | |||
46% [ef] | 50% | - | - | – | – | ||||
SurveyMonkey/Axios [233] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 14,571 (LV) | – | 50% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Marist College/NBC [255] | Oct 25–27, 2020 | 743 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 51% | - | - | 1% | 1% |
Quinnipiac University [256] | Oct 23–27, 2020 | 1,324 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 42% | 45% | - | - | 1% [do] | 11% |
Ipsos/Reuters [257] | Oct 21–27, 2020 | 704 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 47% [o] | 48% | 1% | 1% | 2% [eg] | – |
47% [dt] | 49% | - | - | 3% [eh] | 2% | ||||
Swayable [258] | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 605 (LV) | ± 5.4% | 51% | 46% | 2% | 1% | – | – |
YouGov/Institute of Politics at Florida State University [259] | Oct 16–26, 2020 | 1,200 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 46% | 48% | - | - | – | 6% |
Wick Surveys [260] | Oct 24–25, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 50% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
Florida Atlantic University [261] | Oct 24–25, 2020 | 937 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 48% | 50% | - | - | 2% [ah] | – |
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc./Center for American Greatness [262] [H] | Oct 23–25, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 49% | 44% | 2% | - | 3% [ei] | 3% |
Univision/University of Houston/Latino Decisions/North Star Opinion Research [263] | Oct 17–25, 2020 | 743 (RV) | ± 3.56% | 46% | 49% | - | - | 2% [ah] | 3% |
Ryan Tyson (R) [264] | Released Oct 24, 2020 | – (V) [ej] | – | 47% | 45% | - | - | 3% [ek] | 4% |
Gravis Marketing [265] | Oct 24, 2020 | 665 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 48% | 47% | - | - | – | 5% |
YouGov/CBS [266] | Oct 20–23, 2020 | 1,228 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 48% | 50% | - | - | 2% [el] | 0% |
St. Pete Polls/Florida Politics [267] | Oct 21–22, 2020 | 2,527 (LV) | ± 2% | 47% | 49% | - | - | 2% [em] | 2% |
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ [268] | Oct 20–22, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% [o] | 50% | - | - | 1% [en] | 1% |
46% [dz] | 52% | - | - | 1% [en] | 1% | ||||
48% [ea] | 46% | - | - | 1% [en] | 1% | ||||
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports [269] | Oct 20–21, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 46% | - | - | 3% [eo] | 3% |
Ipsos/Reuters [270] | Oct 14–21, 2020 | 662 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 46% [o] | 51% | 1% | 0% | 2% [eg] | – |
46% [dt] | 50% | - | - | 1% [ep] | 3% | ||||
Citizen Data [271] | Oct 17–20, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 50% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 4% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos [272] | Oct 17–20, 2020 | 863 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 51% | - | - | 1% [do] | 1% |
CNN/SSRS [273] | Oct 15–20, 2020 | 847 (LV) | ± 4% | 46% | 50% | 1% | 1% | 0% [eq] | 1% |
Morning Consult [244] | Oct 11–20, 2020 | 4,685 (LV) | ± 1.4% | 45% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC [274] | Oct 16–19, 2020 | 547 (LV) [al] | – | 45% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
University of North Florida [275] | Oct 12–16, 2020 | 863 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 47% | 48% | - | - | 1% [do] | 3% |
HarrisX/The Hill [276] | Oct 12–15, 2020 | 965 (LV) | – | 48% | 48% | - | - | – | 4% |
Ipsos/Reuters [277] | Oct 7–14, 2020 | 653 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% [o] | 50% | 0% | 0% | 2% [er] | – |
47% [dt] | 49% | - | - | 1% [ep] | 3% | ||||
Trafalgar Group [278] | Oct 11–13, 2020 | 1,051 (LV) | ± 2.94% | 48% | 46% | 2% | 1% | 1% [do] | 2% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [65] | Oct 10–13, 2020 | 1,519 (LV) | – | 44% [al] | 50% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
St. Pete Polls/Florida Politics [279] | Oct 11–12, 2020 | 2,215 (LV) | ± 2.1% | 47% | 49% | - | - | 1% [es] | 2% |
Emerson College [280] | Oct 10–12, 2020 | 690 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 48% [et] | 51% | - | - | 1% [do] | – |
Mason-Dixon [281] | Oct 8–12, 2020 | 625 (LV) | ± 4% | 45% | 48% | - | - | 1% [eu] | 6% |
Clearview Research [282] | Oct 7–12, 2020 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.18% | 40% [o] | 47% | - | - | 4% [ev] | 9% |
39% [ew] | 48% | - | - | 4% [ev] | 9% | ||||
41% [ex] | 46% | - | - | 4% [ev] | 9% | ||||
Morning Consult [244] | Oct 2–11, 2020 | 4,785 (LV) | ± 1.4% | 46% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [65] | Oct 9–10, 2020 | 750 (LV) | – | 42% [al] | 53% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
Florida Atlantic University [283] | Oct 9–10, 2020 | 644 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 47% | 51% | - | - | 2% [ah] | – |
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ [284] | Oct 4–8, 2020 | 800 (LV) | – | 46% [o] | 48% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 4% |
44% [dz] | 50% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 4% | ||||
47% [ea] | 46% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 4% | ||||
Insider Advantage/Insider Advantage/Hannity Exclusive (R) [285] | Oct 6–7, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 49% | 46% | 1% | - | – | 10% |
YouGov/CCES [286] | Sep 29 – Oct 7, 2020 | 3,755 (LV) | – | 47% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Ipsos/Reuters [287] | Sep 29 – Oct 7, 2020 | 678 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 45% | 49% | - | - | 1% [ep] | 5% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [288] | Oct 4–6, 2020 | 998 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 49% | 1% | 0% | 1% [aw] | 6% |
Quinnipiac University [289] | Oct 1–5, 2020 | 1,256 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 40% | 51% | - | - | 1% [do] | 7% |
Change Research/CNBC [290] | Oct 2–4, 2020 | 560 (LV) | – | 46% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Suffolk University/USA Today [291] | Oct 1–4, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45% [o] | 45% | 2% | 0% [ey] | 2% [ez] | 6% |
46% [fa] | 45% | - | - | 2% [fb] | 7% | ||||
University of North Florida [292] | Oct 1–4, 2020 | 3,134 (LV) | ± 1.8% | 45% | 51% | - | - | 1% [do] | 3% [dy] |
St. Leo University [293] | Sep 27 – Oct 2, 2020 | 489 (LV) | – | 44% | 50% | - | - | – | 5% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot [294] | Sep 30 – Oct 1, 2020 | 710 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 42% | 47% | 2% | 1% | 0% [dx] | 8% [dy] |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [233] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 12,962 (LV) | – | 47% | 51% | - | - | – | 2% |
Cherry Communications/Florida Chamber of Commerce [295] | Sep 23–29, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 44% [al] | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc./Center for American Greatness [296] [H] | Sep 23–26, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 43% | 46% | 3% | - | – | 8% [dy] |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [297] | Sep 23–25, 2020 | 1,073 (LV) | ± 2.99% | 43% | 48% | 1% | 1% | 1% [aw] | 7% |
St. Pete Polls [298] | Sep 21–22, 2020 | 2,906 (LV) | ± 1.8% | 47% | 50% | - | - | 2% [em] | 2% |
Data For Progress [299] [S] | Sep 15–22, 2020 | 620 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 43% | 46% | - | - | – | 11% |
Change Research/CNBC [300] | Sep 18–20, 2020 | 702 (LV) | – | 46% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
ABC/Washington Post [301] | Sep 15–20, 2020 | 613 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 51% | 47% | - | - | 1% [fc] | 1% |
Hart Research Associates/Human Rights Campaign [302] [T] | Sep 17–19, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
YouGov/CBS [303] | Sep 15–18, 2020 | 1,205 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 48% | - | - | 1% [fd] | 5% |
Ipsos/Reuters [304] | Sep 11–17, 2020 | 586 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 47% | 47% | - | - | 2% [r] | 4% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [305] | Sep 12–14, 2020 | 1,158 (LV) | ± 2.88% | 44% | 47% | 1% | 1% | 1% [aw] | 6% |
Monmouth University [306] | Sep 10–13, 2020 | 428 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 45% | 50% | 2% | 0% | 1% [fe] | 3% |
428 (LV) | 45% [ff] | 50% | - | - | 1% [fg] | 3% | |||
46% [fh] | 49% | - | - | 1% [fg] | 3% | ||||
Kaiser Family Foundation/Cook Political Report [307] | Aug 29 – Sep 13, 2020 | 1,009 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 43% | - | - | 4% [fi] | 11% |
Florida Atlantic University [308] | Sep 11–12, 2020 | 631 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 50% | 50% | - | - | 0% [fj] | – |
St. Pete Polls/Florida Politics/AARP [309] | Sep 7–8, 2020 | 2,689 (LV) | ± 1.9% | 47% | 50% | - | - | 2% [em] | 2% |
Benenson Strategy Group/GS Strategy Group/AARP [310] | Aug 30 – Sep 8, 2020 | 1,600 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 46% | 48% | - | - | 2% [fk] | 4% |
Morning Consult [311] | Aug 29 – Sep 7, 2020 | 3,914 (LV) | ± (2%-4%) | 43% [bg] | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC [312] | Sep 4–6, 2020 | 1,144 (LV) | – | 46% | 49% | - | - | 4% [fl] | – |
Marist College/NBC [313] | Aug 31 – Sep 5, 2020 | 760 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 48% | 48% | - | - | 1% | 2% |
Trafalgar Group [314] | Sep 1–3, 2020 | 1,022 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 46% | 2% | - | 1% [fm] | 2% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [315] | Aug 30 – Sep 3, 2020 | 1,093 (LV) | ± 2.96% | 43% | 48% | 1% | 1% | 1% [aw] | 6% |
GQR Research (D) [316] | Aug 26 – Sep 3, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Quinnipiac [317] | Aug 28 – Sep 1, 2020 | 1,235 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 45% | 48% | - | - | 1% [do] | 5% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [233] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 12,286 (LV) | – | 50% | 48% | - | - | – | 2% |
Morning Consult [100] | Aug 21–30, 2020 | 3,790 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 47% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Opinium/The Guardian [318] | Aug 21–26, 2020 | 684 (LV) | – | 43% | 50% | - | - | 1% | 6% |
Change Research/CNBC [319] | Aug 21–23, 2020 | 1,262 (LV) | – | 46% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
PPP [320] | Aug 21–22, 2020 | 671 (V) | ± 3.8% | 44% | 48% | - | - | – | 7% |
Redfield and Wilton Strategies [321] | Aug 16, 2020 | 1,280 (LV) | – | 41% | 49% | 1% | - | 1% [aw] | 7% |
Morning Consult [100] | Aug 7–16, 2020 | 3,484 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 45% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Tyson Group/Consumer Energy Alliance [322] [U] | Aug 11–15, 2020 | 750 (LV) | ± 4% | 44% | 46% | 2% | - | 1% [fn] | 6% |
Change Research/CNBC [323] | Aug 7–9, 2020 | 469 (LV) | – | 44% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
OnMessage Inc./Heritage Action [324] [V] | Aug 2–4, 2020 | 400 (LV) | – | 49% | 49% | - | - | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [233] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 13,945 (LV) | – | 48% | 49% | - | - | – | 2% |
Change Research/CNBC [325] | Jul 24–26, 2020 | 685 (LV) | – | 45% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Morning Consult [326] | Jul 17–26, 2020 | 3,760 (LV) | ± 1.6% | 46% [bg] | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Morning Consult [326] | Jul 16–25, 2020 | – (LV) [ej] | – | 45% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
CNN/SSRS [327] | Jul 18–24, 2020 | 880 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 46% | 51% | - | - | 2% [fo] | 2% |
Zogby Analytics [328] | Jul 21–23, 2020 | 811 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 43% | 43% | 3% | 2% | – | 9% |
Mason-Dixon [329] | Jul 20–23, 2020 | 625 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 50% | - | - | – | 4% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [330] | Jul 19–21, 2020 | 1,121 (LV) | – | 41% | 48% | 1% | 1% | 1% [aw] | 8% |
Quinnipiac University [331] | Jul 16–20, 2020 | 924 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 38% | 51% | - | - | 6% [fp] | 5% |
Morning Consult [326] | Jul 6–15, 2020 | – (LV) [ej] | – | 45% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Florida Politics/AARP Florida/St. Pete Polls [332] | Jul 13–14, 2020 | 3,018 (RV) | ± 1.8% | 44% | 50% | - | - | 2% [fq] | 3% |
Gravis Marketing [333] | Jul 13, 2020 | 513 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 43% | 53% | - | - | – | 4% |
Change Research/CNBC [334] | Jul 10–12, 2020 | 1,128 (LV) | – | 43% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
YouGov/CBS [335] | Jul 7–10, 2020 | 1,206 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 42% | 48% | - | - | 2% [fr] | 8% |
Morning Consult [326] | Jun 26 – Jul 5, 2020 | – (LV) [ej] | – | 46% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Trafalgar Group [336] | Jun 29 – Jul 2, 2020 | 1,072 (LV) | ± 2.91% | 46% | 46% | - | - | 5% [fs] | 3% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [233] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 5,663 (LV) | – | 51% | 47% | - | - | – | 2% |
Change Research/CNBC [337] | Jun 26–28, 2020 | 951 (LV) [al] | – | 45% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Morning Consult [326] | Jun 16–25, 2020 | – (LV) [ej] | – | 45% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Fox News [338] | Jun 20–23, 2020 | 1,010 (RV) | ± 3% | 40% | 49% | - | - | 6% [ft] | 6% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot [339] | Jun 8–18, 2020 | 651 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 41% | 47% | - | - | 4% [fu] | 7% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [340] | Jun 14–15, 2020 | 1,079 (LV) | ± 2.98% | 41% | 45% | 1% | 1% | 1% [aw] | 11% |
Morning Consult [326] | Jun 6–15, 2020 | – (LV) [ej] | – | 45% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC [341] | Jun 12–14, 2020 | 713 (LV) [al] | – | 43% | 50% | - | - | 3% [fv] | – |
Gravis Marketing/OANN [342] | Released Jun 11, 2020 | – (V) [ej] | – | 50% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
TIPP/American Greatness PAC [343] [H] | Jun 9–11, 2020 | 875 (LV) | – | 40% | 51% | - | - | 4% [fw] | 5% |
Morning Consult [326] | May 27 – Jun 5, 2020 | – (LV) [ej] | – | 48% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC [344] | May 29–31, 2020 | 1,186 (LV) [al] | – | 45% | 48% | - | - | 2% | 4% |
Cygnal (R) [345] | May 18–30, 2020 | 881 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 43.8% | 47% | - | - | 3.3% [fx] | 5.9% |
St. Pete Polls [346] | May 26–27, 2020 | 4,763 (RV) | ± 1.4% | 46.7% | 47.5% | - | - | 2.7% [fy] | 3.1% |
Morning Consult [326] | May 17–26, 2020 | 3,593 (LV) | – | 48% [bg] | 47% | - | - | – | – |
Morning Consult [326] | May 16–25, 2020 | – (LV) [ej] | – | 48% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
Point Blank Political [347] | May 14–17, 2020 | 2,149 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 45% | 1% [fz] | <1% [ga] | 2% | 8% |
Point Blank Political [347] | May 14–17, 2020 | 2,149 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Morning Consult [326] | May 6–15, 2020 | – (LV) [ej] | – | 50% | 45% | - | - | – | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [348] | May 10–14, 2020 | 1,014 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 43% | 45% | - | - | 3% [gb] | 10% |
Florida Atlantic University [349] | May 8–12, 2020 | 928 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 47% | 53% | - | - | – | – |
Fox News [350] | Apr 18–21, 2020 | 1,004 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 46% | - | - | 3% | 7% |
Quinnipiac University [351] | Apr 16–20, 2020 | 1,385 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 42% | 46% | - | - | 3% | 7% |
St. Pete Polls [352] | Apr 16–17, 2020 | 5,659 (RV) | ± 1.3% | 48% | 48% | - | - | – | 4% |
University of North Florida [353] | Mar 31 – Apr 4, 2020 | 3,244 (RV) | ± 1.7% | 40% | 46% | - | - | – | 8% |
AtlasIntel [354] | Mar 14–16, 2020 | 1,100 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 45% | - | - | 10% | – |
Univision [355] | Mar 6–12, 2020 | 1,071 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 45% | - | - | – | 7% |
Florida Atlantic University [356] | Mar 5–7, 2020 | 1,216 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 51% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
University of North Florida [292] | Feb, 2020 | 696 (LV) | – | 45% | 45% | - | - | – | 10% [dy] |
Saint Leo University [357] | Feb 17–22, 2020 | 900 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 40% | 51% | - | - | – | 8% |
University of North Florida [358] | Feb 10–18, 2020 | 668 (RV) | – | 48% | 49% | - | - | – | 3% |
Florida Atlantic University [359] | Jan 9–12, 2020 | 1,285 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 49% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Cherry Communications/Florida Chamber of Commerce [360] [W] | Jan 3–12, 2020 | 608 (LV) | ± 4% | 49% | 45% | - | - | – | – |
Mason-Dixon [361] | Dec 11–16, 2019 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 47% | - | - | – | 8% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot [362] | Oct 13–26, 2019 | 650 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 46% | - | - | – | – |
University of North Florida [363] | Oct 14–20, 2019 | 643 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 43% | 48% | - | - | 6% [gc] | 3% |
Florida Atlantic University [364] | Sep 12–15, 2019 | 934 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | - | – | – |
Quinnipiac University [365] | Jun 12–17, 2019 | 1,279 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 41% | 50% | - | - | 1% | 6% |
St. Pete Polls [366] | Jun 15–16, 2019 | 3,095 (LV) | ± 1.8% | 47% | 47% | - | - | – | 6% |
Florida Atlantic University [367] | May 16–19, 2019 | 1,007 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
WPA Intelligence [368] | Apr 27–30, 2019 | 200 (LV) | ± 6.9% | 48% | 44% | - | - | – | 7% |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win [369] | Oct 29 – Nov 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 47.6% | 47.4% | 5.0% | Biden +0.2 |
Real Clear Politics [370] | Oct 23 – Nov 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 47.2% | 48.2% | 4.6% | Trump +1.0 |
FiveThirtyEight [371] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 48.5% | 47.4% | 4.1% | Biden +1.2 |
Average | 47.8% | 47.7% | 4.6% | Biden +0.1 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [dk] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trafalgar Group [372] | Oct 31 – Nov 2, 2020 | 1,041 (LV) | ± 2.96% | 50% | 45% | 3% | 1% [do] | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [373] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 3,962 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 48% [gd] | 50% | – | – | – |
Landmark Communications/WSBTV [374] | Nov 1, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 50% | 46% | 3% | – | 1% |
Insider Advantage/Center for American Greatness [375] [H] | Nov 1, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 46% | 4% | – | 2% |
AYTM/Aspiration [376] | Oct 30 – Nov 1, 2020 | 380 (LV) | – | 48% | 52% | – | – | – |
Swayable [377] | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 438 (LV) | ± 6.2% | 44% | 54% | 2% | – | – |
Data for Progress [378] | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 1,036 (LV) | ± 3% | 48% | 50% | 1% | 0% [ge] | – |
AtlasIntel [379] | Oct 30–31, 2020 | 679 (LV) | ± 4% | 48% | 46% | – | 6% | – |
Emerson College [380] | Oct 29–31, 2020 | 749 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% [ai] | 48% | – | 2% [ah] | – |
Morning Consult [381] | Oct 22–31, 2020 | 1,743 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 46% | 49% | – | – | – |
Landmark Communications/WSBTV [382] | Oct 28, 2020 | 750 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 48% | 47% | 3% | – | 3% |
Public Policy Polling [383] | Oct 27–28, 2020 | 661 (V) | – | 46% | 48% | – | 4% [gf] | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [373] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 7,019 (LV) | – | 48% | 50% | – | – | – |
Monmouth University [384] | Oct 23–27, 2020 | 504 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 50% | 2% | 1% [gg] | 2% |
504 (LV) | 46% [gh] | 50% | – | – | – | |||
48% [gi] | 50% | – | – | – | ||||
Swayable [385] | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 373 (LV) | ± 6.9% | 48% | 51% | 1% | – | – |
Civiqs/Daily Kos [386] | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 1,041 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 46% | 51% | – | 2% [ah] | 0% |
Wick Surveys [387] | Oct 24–25, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 49% | 47% | – | – | – |
YouGov/CBS [388] | Oct 20–23, 2020 | 1,090 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 49% | 49% | – | 2% [gj] | 0% |
University of Georgia/AJC [389] | Oct 14–23, 2020 | 1,145 (LV) | ± 4% | 46% | 47% | 3% | – | 4% |
Landmark Communications/WSBTV [390] | Oct 21, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 45% | – | – | 4% |
Citizen Data [391] | Oct 17–20, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3% | 44% | 48% | 1% | 2% [gk] | 5% |
Morning Consult [381] | Oct 11–20, 2020 | 1,672 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 48% | 48% | – | – | – |
Emerson College [392] | Oct 17–19, 2020 | 506 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 48% [ai] | 47% | – | 5% [gl] | – |
Siena College/NYT Upshot [393] | Oct 13–19, 2020 | 759 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 45% | 45% | 2% | 2% [gm] | 7% [aa] |
Opinion Insight/American Action Forum [394] [J] | Oct 12–15, 2020 | 801 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 46% [ai] | 49% | – | 3% [gn] | 4% [aa] |
Garin-Hart-Yang/Jon Ossoff [395] [X] | Oct 11–14, 2020 | 600 (LV) | – | 44% | 51% | – | – | – |
Quinnipiac University [396] | Oct 8–12, 2020 | 1,040 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 51% | – | 1% [do] | 4% |
SurveyUSA [397] | Oct 8–12, 2020 | 677 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 46% | 48% | – | 2% [go] | 4% |
Data for Progress [398] | Oct 8–11, 2020 | 782 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 46% | 2% | 1% [gp] | 5% |
Morning Consult [399] | Oct 2–11, 2020 | 1,837 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 49% | 47% | – | – | – |
Public Policy Polling [400] | Oct 8–9, 2020 | 528 (V) | ± 4.3% | 46% | 47% | – | 3% [cv] | 3% |
Landmark Communications [401] | Oct 7, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48.6% | 46.8% | 0.7% | – | 3.9% |
YouGov/CCES [402] | Sep 29 – Oct 7, 2020 | 1,456 (LV) | – | 47% | 48% | – | – | – |
University of Georgia/AJC [403] | Sep 27 – Oct 6, 2020 | 1,106 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 47% | 46% | 3% | – | 3% |
Landmark Communications/WSB [404] | Sep 30, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4% | 45% | 47% | 3% | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Tableau [405] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 3,468 (LV) | – | 48% | 49% | – | – | 2% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos [406] | Sep 26–29, 2020 | 969 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 50% | – | 2% [ah] | 1% |
Hart Research Associates/Human Rights Campaign [407] [Y] | Sep 24–27, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 47% | 50% | – | – | – |
Quinnipiac University [408] | Sep 23–27, 2020 | 1,125 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 47% | 50% | – | 1% [do] | 2% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [409] | Sep 23–26, 2020 | 789 (LV) | ± 3.49% | 44% | 45% | 2% | 1% [gq] | 8% |
YouGov/CBS [410] | Sep 22–25, 2020 | 1,164 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 47% | 46% | – | 2% [ah] | 5% |
Monmouth University [411] | Sep 17–21, 2020 | 402 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 47% | 46% | 2% | 0% [gr] | 4% |
402 (LV) | 48% [gh] | 46% | 2% | – | 4% | |||
50% [gi] | 45% | 1% | – | 3% | ||||
Siena College/NYT Upshot [412] | Sep 16–21, 2020 | 523 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 45% | 2% | 0% [gs] | 8% [aa] |
University of Georgia/AJC [413] | Sep 11–20, 2020 | 1,150 (LV) | ± 4% | 47% | 47% | 1% | – | 4% |
Data for Progress (D) [414] | Sep 14–19, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 45% [gt] | 45% | 1% | 0% [gu] | 8% |
46% [gv] | 46% | – | – | 8% | ||||
GBAO Strategies/Warnock for Georgia [415] [Z] | Sep 14–16, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 46% | 49% | – | – | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [416] | Sep 12–16, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 46% | 45% | 2% | 1% [gq] | 6% |
Morning Consult [417] | Aug 29 – Sep 7, 2020 | 1,486 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 48% [gw] | 46% | – | – | – |
Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates/AARP [418] | Aug 30 – Sep 5, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 47% | – | 1% [gx] | 6% |
Opinion Insight/American Action Forum [419] [J] | Aug 30 – Sep 2, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 46% [ai] | 47% | 2% | 1% [gy] | 4% |
Landmark Communications/WSB [420] | Aug 29–31, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 41% | 2% | – | 9% |
SurveyMonkey/Tableau [405] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 2,772 (LV) | – | 49% | 49% | – | – | 2% |
Morning Consult [100] | Aug 21–30, 2020 | 1,392 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 46% | 49% | – | – | – |
HarrisX/Matt Lieberman [421] [AA] | Aug 20–30, 2020 | 1,616 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 46% | 52% | – | 2% [gz] | – |
PPP/Fair Fight Action [422] [AB] | Aug 24–25, 2020 | 782 (V) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 47% | – | – | 6% |
Morning Consult [100] | Aug 7–16, 2020 | 1,265 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 47% | 46% | – | – | – |
Landmark Communications [423] | Aug 14–15, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 45% | 4% | – | 3% |
SurveyUSA [424] | Aug 6–8, 2020 | 623 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 44% | 46% | – | 4% [ha] | 6% |
YouGov/CBS [425] | Jul 28–31, 2020 | 1,109 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 45% | 46% | – | 3% [hb] | 5% |
HIT Strategies/DFER [426] [AC] | Jul 23–31, 2020 | 400 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 40% | 44% | – | 6% [hc] | 10% [aa] |
SurveyMonkey/Tableau [405] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 3,745 (LV) | – | 53% | 45% | – | – | 2% |
Monmouth University [427] | Jul 23–27, 2020 | 402 (RV) | ± 2% | 47% | 47% | 3% | – | 3% |
402 (LV) | 48% [gh] | 47% | 2% | – | 3% | |||
49% [gi] | 46% | 2% | – | 4% | ||||
Morning Consult [428] | Jul 17–26, 2020 | 1,337 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 46% | 47% | – | – | – |
Public Policy Polling/AFSCME [429] [F] | Jul 23–24, 2020 | 722 (V) | – | 45% | 46% | – | – | 9% |
Trafalgar Group [430] | Jul 15–18, 2020 | 1,023 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 43% | 2% | 2% [hd] | 2% |
Spry Strategies/American Principles Project [431] [AD] | Jul 11–16, 2020 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 49% | 46% | – | – | 5% |
Garin-Hart-Yang/Jon Ossoff [432] [X] | Jul 9–15, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 43% | 47% | – | – | 10% |
Gravis Marketing/OANN [433] | Jul 2, 2020 | 513 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 48% | 45% | - | – | 8% |
SurveyMonkey/Tableau [405] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 2,059 (LV) | – | 49% | 49% | – | – | 2% |
Public Policy Polling/End Citizens United [434] [AE] | Jun 25–26, 2020 | 734 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 45% | 49% | - | – | 6% |
Fox News [435] | Jun 20–23, 2020 | 1,013 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 47% | - | 4% [he] | 5% |
Public Policy Polling [436] | Jun 12–13, 2020 | 661 (V) | ± 3.4% | 46% | 48% | - | – | 6% |
TargetSmart [437] | May 21–27, 2020 | 321 (RV) | ± 5.5% | 44% | 40% | - | 10% [hf] | 6% |
Morning Consult [428] | May 17–26, 2020 | 1,396 (LV) | – | 49% | 47% | – | – | – |
Civiqs/Daily Kos [438] | May 16–18, 2020 | 1,339 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 47% | 48% | - | 3% [cv] | 2% |
The Progress Campaign (D) [439] | May 6–15, 2020 | 2,893 (LV) | ± 2% | 47% | 47% | - | – | 6% [hg] |
BK Strategies/Republican State Leadership Committee [440] [AF] | May 11–13, 2020 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 48% | 46% | - | – | – |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [441] | May 4–7, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.38% | 46% | 47% | - | – | 7% [hh] |
Cygnal/David Ralston [442] [AG] | Apr 25–27, 2020 | 591 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 44% | - | 7% | 5% |
Battleground Connect/Doug Collins for Senate [443] [AH] | Mar 31 – Apr 1, 2020 | 1,035 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 46% | - | – | 6% |
The Progress Campaign (D) [444] | Mar 12–21, 2020 | 3,042 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 49% | 47% | - | 4% | – |
University of Georgia [445] | Feb 24 – Mar 2, 2020 | 1,117 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 51% | 43% | - | 4% | 2% |
Mason-Dixon [446] | Dec 19–23, 2019 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 44% | - | – | 5% |
SurveyUSA [447] | Nov 15–18, 2019 | 1,303 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 43% | 47% | - | – | 10% |
Climate Nexus [448] | Nov 4–10, 2019 | 688 (LV) | – | 47% | 48% | - | – | 5% |
University of Georgia [449] | Oct 30 – Nov 8, 2019 | 1,028 (RV) | ± 3% | 43% | 51% | - | 3% | 4% [hi] |
Zogby Analytics [450] | Oct 28–30, 2019 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 44% | 46% | - | – | 11% |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win [451] | October 1–16, 2020 | November 2, 2020 | 63.5% | 30.5% | 5.9% | Biden +33.0 |
FiveThirtyEight [452] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 64.3% | 30.0% | 5.7% | Biden +34.3 |
Average | 63.8% | 30.6% | 5.6% | Biden +33.2 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [dk] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios [453] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 688 (LV) | ± 5% | 31% [hj] | 67% | - | - | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [453] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 1,263 (LV) | – | 34% | 63% | - | - | – | – |
Mason-Dixon [454] | Oct 12–14, 2020 | 625 (LV) | ± 4% | 29% | 58% | - | - | 5% | 8% |
MRG Research/Civil Beat/HNN [455] | Oct 2–7, 2020 | 988 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 28% | 61% | - | - | 4% [hk] | 7% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [453] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 474 (LV) | – | 33% | 66% | - | - | – | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [453] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 362 (LV) | – | 37% | 61% | - | - | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [453] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 356 (LV) | – | 37% | 62% | - | - | – | 2% |
MRG Research [456] | Jul 27–30, 2020 | 975 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 29% | 56% | - | - | 6% [hl] | 10% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [453] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 207 (LV) | – | 30% | 67% | - | - | – | 3% |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FiveThirtyEight [457] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 38.5% | 56.6% | 4.9% | Trump +18.1 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [dk] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios [458] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 909 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 58% [hm] | 40% | - | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [458] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 1,799 (LV) | – | 58% | 40% | - | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [458] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 761 (LV) | – | 64% | 35% | - | – | 1% |
Spry Strategies/Women's Liberation Front [459] | Aug 29 – Sep 1, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 60% | 34% | - | – | 6% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [458] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 737 (LV) | – | 58% | 40% | - | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [458] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 671 (LV) | – | 63% | 35% | - | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [458] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 266 (LV) | – | 58% | 41% | - | – | 1% |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win [460] | October 17 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 56.3% | 37.7% | 6.0% | Biden +18.6 |
FiveThirtyEight [461] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 55.0% | 39.0% | 6.0% | Biden +16.0 |
Average | 55.7% | 38.4% | 5.9% | Biden +17.3 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [dk] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios [462] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 5,643 (LV) | ± 2% | 40% [hn] | 58% | - | - | – | – |
Research Co. [463] | Oct 31 – Nov 1, 2020 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 38% | 55% | - | - | 1% [ho] | 6% |
Victory Research [464] | Oct 28 – Nov 1, 2020 | 1,208 (LV) | ± 2.82% | 38% | 54% | - | - | 4% | 4% |
Swayable [465] | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 485 (LV) | ± 6% | 44% | 55% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [462] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 8,056 (LV) | – | 41% | 57% | - | - | – | – |
Swayable [466] | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 424 (LV) | ± 6.2% | 43% | 54% | 2% | 1% | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [462] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 8,392 (LV) | – | 36% | 61% | - | - | – | 3% |
Victory Research [467] | Sep 23–26, 2020 | 1,208 (LV) | ± 2.82% | 40% | 53% | - | - | 4% | 3% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [462] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 6,773 (LV) | – | 38% | 60% | - | - | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [462] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 7,565 (LV) | – | 38% | 59% | - | - | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [462] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 3,000 (LV) | – | 39% | 59% | - | - | – | 2% |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win [468] | October 14 - November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 42.0% | 51.0% | 7.0% | Trump +9.0 |
FiveThirtyEight [469] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 42.0% | 52.9% | 5.1% | Trump +10.8 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [dk] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios [470] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 2,729 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 54% [hp] | 44% | – | – | – |
Swayable [471] | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 264 (LV) | ± 7.8% | 55% | 43% | 2% | – | – |
Morning Consult [472] | Oct 22–31, 2020 | 1,147 (LV) | ± 3% | 53% | 42% | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [470] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 4,734 (LV) | – | 55% | 43% | – | – | – |
Swayable [473] | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 301 (LV) | ± 7.4% | 53% | 42% | 5% | – | – |
Ragnar Research (R) [474] | Oct 18–21, 2020 | 529 (LV) | ± 4% | 48% | 40% | 5% | – | 7% |
SurveyUSA/Election Twitter [475] | Oct 10–13, 2020 | 527 (LV) | ± 5.2% | 49% | 42% | – | 3% | 6% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [470] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 2,367 (LV) | – | 53% | 45% | – | – | – |
Change Research/IndyPolitics [476] | Sep 3–7, 2020 | 1,033 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 53% | 39% | 5% | – | 3% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [470] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 1,672 (LV) | – | 55% | 43% | – | – | – |
Morning Consult [477] | Jul 24 – Aug 2, 2020 [hq] | 900 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 55% | 38% | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [470] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 2,175 (LV) | – | 56% | 43% | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [470] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 929 (LV) | – | 57% | 40% | – | – | – |
Victoria Research/Tallian for Attorney General [478] [AI] | May 21–23, 2020 | 894 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 49% | 39% | – | – | – |
Indy Politics/Change Research [479] | Apr 10–13, 2020 | 1,021 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 52% | 39% | – | 5% | 3% |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win [480] | October 31 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 46.2% | 47.8% | 6.0% | Trump +1.6 |
Real Clear Politics [481] | October 23 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 45.6% | 47.6% | 6.8% | Trump +2.0 |
FiveThirtyEight [482] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 46.3% | 47.6% | 6.1% | Trump +1.3 |
Average | 46.0% | 47.7% | 6.3% | Trump +1.5 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [dk] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [483] | Nov 1–2, 2020 | 871 (V) | – | 48% | 49% | – | – | 2% [ah] | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [484] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 1,489 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 51% [hr] | 48% | – | – | – | – |
Change Research [485] | Oct 29 – Nov 1, 2020 | 1,084 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 47% | 47% | 3% | 0% | 2% [hs] | 1% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos [486] | Oct 29 – Nov 1, 2020 | 853 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 48% | 49% | – | – | 3% [ht] | 0% |
Data for Progress [487] | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 951 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 49% | 47% | 3% | 1% | 1% [hu] | – |
Emerson College [488] | Oct 29–31, 2020 | 604 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 49% [ai] | 47% | – | – | 4% | 0% |
InsiderAdvantage/Center for American Greatness [489] [H] | October 30, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 48% | 46% | 1% | – | – | 6% |
Selzer & Co./Des Moines Register [490] | Oct 26–29, 2020 | 814 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 48% | 41% | – | – | 8% [hv] | 2% [hw] |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [484] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 3,005 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 50% | 49% | – | – | – | 2% |
Quinnipiac University [491] | Oct 23–27, 2020 | 1,225 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 47% | 46% | – | – | 1% [hx] | 6% |
RABA Research/WHO13 News [492] | Oct 21–24, 2020 | 693 (LV) | ± 4% | 46% | 50% | – | – | 2% [ah] | 1% |
Emerson College [493] | Oct 19–21, 2020 | 435 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 48% [ai] | 48% | – | – | 4% [ev] | 0% |
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ [494] | Oct 15–21, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% [o] | 47% | – | – | 2% [ah] | 4% |
45% [hy] | 49% | – | – | 2% [ah] | 4% | ||||
49% [hz] | 48% | – | – | 2% [ah] | 4% | ||||
Siena College/NYT Upshot [495] | Oct 18–20, 2020 | 753 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 43% | 46% | 2% | 1% | 1% [z] | 7% [ia] |
Insider Advantage/Center for American Greatness [496] [H] | Oct 18–19, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 45% | 2% | – | – | 8% |
Monmouth University [497] | Oct 15–19, 2020 | 501 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 47% | 1% | 0% [ib] | 2% [ic] | 2% |
501 (LV) [gh] | 47% | 50% | – | – | – | – | |||
501 (LV) [gi] | 46% | 51% | – | – | – | – | |||
David Binder Research/Focus on Rural America [498] | Oct 10–13, 2020 | 200 (LV) | – | 50% | 44% | – | – | – | – |
Data for Progress (D) [499] | Oct 8–11, 2020 | 822 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 48% | 47% | 2% | 0% | – | 3% |
YouGov/CBS [500] | Oct 6–9, 2020 | 1,035 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 49% | – | – | 2% [id] | 0% |
Opinion Insight/American Action Forum [501] [J] | Oct 5–8, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 46% [ai] | 47% | – | – | 3% [ie] | 4% [ia] |
Civiqs/Daily Kos [502] | Oct 3–6, 2020 | 756 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 47% | 48% | – | – | 4% [ev] | 1% |
Quinnipiac University [503] | Oct 1–5, 2020 | 1,205 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 45% | 50% | – | – | 2% [ah] | 3% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [484] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 1,276 (LV) | – | 52% | 46% | – | – | – | 2% |
Data for Progress (D) [504] | Sep 23–28, 2020 | 743 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 47% [o] | 44% | 1% | 1% | – | 6% |
50% [if] | 45% | – | – | – | 5% | ||||
Hart Research Associates/Human Rights Campaign [505] [AJ] | Sep 24–27, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 49% | 47% | – | – | – | – |
RABA Research/WHO13 News [506] | Sep 23–26, 2020 | 780 (LV) | ± 4% | 46% | 48% | – | – | 2% [ig] | 4% |
Monmouth University [507] | Sep 18–22, 2020 | 402 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 50% | 44% | 2% | 0% | 1% [ih] | 2% |
402 (LV) | 49% [gh] | 46% | 2% | – | 2% [ii] | 2% | |||
49% [gi] | 46% | 2% | – | 2% [ii] | 2% | ||||
Siena College/NYT Upshot [508] | Sep 16–22, 2020 | 501 (LV) | ± 4.99% | 42% | 45% | 2% | 0% | 1% [z] | 10% [ia] |
Selzer & Co./Des Moines Register [509] | Sep 14–17, 2020 | 658 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 47% | 47% | – | – | 4% [ev] | 3% |
Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates/AARP [510] | Aug 30 – Sep 5, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 45% | – | – | 1% [ij] | 6% |
Opinion Insight/American Action Forum [511] [J] | Aug 30 – Sep 2, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 51% [ai] | 43% | 3% | 1% | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [484] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 983 (LV) | – | 53% | 46% | – | – | – | 2% |
Monmouth University [512] | Jul 30 – Aug 3, 2020 | 401 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 48% | 45% | 3% | – | <1% [ik] | 3% |
401 (LV) | 48% [gh] | 46% | 2% | <1% [il] | 3% | ||||
47% [gi] | 47% | 2% | 0% [im] | 3% | |||||
Data for Progress [513] | Jul 24 – Aug 2, 2020 | 1,101 (LV) | – | 44% [o] | 42% | 3% | 1% | – | 10% |
46% [if] | 45% | – | – | – | 9% | ||||
David Binder Research/Focus on Rural America [514] | Jul 30–31, 2020 | 200 (LV) | – | 43% | 49% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [484] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 1,095 (LV) | – | 54% | 45% | – | – | – | 1% |
RMG Research [515] | Jul 27–30, 2020 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 41% | 40% | – | – | 7% | 13% |
Public Policy Polling/AFSCME [516] [F] | Jul 23–24, 2020 | 1,118 (V) | – | 48% | 47% | – | – | – | 6% |
Spry Strategies/American Principles Project [517] [AK] | Jul 11–16, 2020 | 701 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 48% | – | – | – | 7% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [484] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 455 (LV) | – | 50% | 48% | – | – | – | 2% |
Selzer/Des Moines Register [518] | Jun 7–10, 2020 | 674 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 44% | 43% | – | – | 10% [in] | 3% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos [519] | Jun 6–8, 2020 | 865 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 46% | 46% | – | – | 7% [io] | 1% |
Public Policy Polling/Emily's List [520] [AL] | Jun 3–4, 2020 | 963 (V) | – | 48% | 47% | – | – | – | 5% |
Public Policy Polling [521] | Apr 30 – May 1, 2020 | 1,222 (V) | ± 2.8% | 48% | 46% | – | – | – | 6% |
GBAO Strategies/PLUS Paid Family Leave [522] | Apr 13–16, 2020 | 500 (LV) | – | 48% | 45% | – | – | 1% | 6% |
Selzer/Des Moines Register [523] | Mar 2–5, 2020 | 667 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 51% | 41% | – | – | – | – |
The New York Times/Siena College [524] | Jan 20–23, 2020 | 1,689 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 46% | 44% | – | – | 5% [ip] | 6% |
Public Policy Polling [525] | Dec 29–31, 2019 | 964 (V) | – | 49% | 46% | – | – | – | 5% |
Emerson College [526] | Dec 7–10, 2019 | 1,043 (RV) | ± 3% | 49% | 45% | – | – | – | 6% |
NYT Upshot/Siena College [527] | Oct 25–30, 2019 | 1,435 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 44% | – | – | 3% | 5% |
Emerson College [528] | Oct 13–16, 2019 | 888 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 51% | 49% | – | – | – | – |
WPA Intelligence (R) [529] | Apr 27–30, 2019 | 200 (LV) | ± 6.9% | 49% | 44% | – | – | – | 5% |
Emerson College [530] | Mar 21–24, 2019 | 707 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 47% | 53% | – | – | – | – |
Emerson College [531] | Jan 30 – Feb 2, 2019 | 831 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 49% | 51% | – | – | – | – |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win [532] | October 17–22, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 43.0% | 51.7% | 5.3% | Trump +8.7 |
FiveThirtyEight [533] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 41.0% | 53.9% | 5.1% | Trump +12.9 |
Average | 42.0% | 52.8% | 5.2% | Trump +10.8 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [dk] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios [534] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 2,321 (LV) | ± 3% | 55% [iq] | 44% | – | – | – |
Data For Progress [535] | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 1,121 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 55% | 41% | 3% | 2% [ir] | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [534] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 3,442 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 51% | 47% | – | – | – |
PPP/Protect Our Care [536] [AM] | Oct 19–20, 2020 | 897 (V) | ± 3.3% | 54% | 42% | – | – | 4% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot [537] | Oct 18–20, 2020 | 755 (LV) | ± 4% | 48% | 41% | 4% | 2% [is] | 6% [it] |
co/efficient/Keep Kansas Great PAC [538] [AN] | Oct 18–20, 2020 | 2,453 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 56% | 39% | 2% | – | 3% |
Fort Hays State University [539] | Sep 21 – Oct 1, 2020 | 306 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 52% | 38% | – | 11% [iu] | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [534] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 1,135 (LV) | – | 52% | 47% | – | – | 1% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos [540] | Sep 26–29, 2020 | 677 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 52% | 42% | – | 4% [iv] | 1% |
Data For Progress (D) [541] | Sep 14–19, 2020 | 883 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 48% [iw] | 42% | 3% | 1% [ix] | 7% |
49% [iy] | 45% | – | – | 6% | ||||
co/efficient/Keep Kansas Great PAC [542] [AN] | Sep 15–16, 2020 | 794 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 53% | 41% | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [534] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 922 (LV) | – | 54% | 45% | – | – | 1% |
SurveyUSA [543] | Aug 5–9, 2020 | 1,202 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 48% | 41% | – | 5% [iz] | 6% |
Public Policy Polling [544] [AO] | Aug 5–6, 2020 | 864 (V) | ± 3.3% | 50% | 43% | – | – | 7% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [534] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 1,295 (LV) | – | 51% | 47% | – | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [534] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 466 (LV) | – | 53% | 45% | – | – | 2% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos [545] | May 30 – Jun 1, 2020 | 699 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 52% | 40% | – | 6% [ja] | 2% |
The Progress Campaign (D) [546] | Apr 15–22, 2020 | 1,632 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 51% | 41% | – | – | 8% |
Public Policy Polling [547] | Mar 10–11, 2020 | 1,567 (V) | – | 52% | 40% | – | – | 8% |
DFM Research [548] | Jan 30 – Feb 6, 2020 | 600 (A) | ±4% | 51% | 43% | – | 3% [cv] | 3% |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win [549] | October 17–20, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 40.0% | 57.0% | 3.0% | Trump +17.0 |
FiveThirtyEight [550] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 39.9% | 55.6% | 4.5% | Trump +15.7 |
Average | 40.0% | 56.3% | 3.7% | Trump +16.4 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [dk] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios [551] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 2,009 (LV) | ± 3% | 59% [jb] | 40% | - | – | – |
Swayable [552] | Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2020 | 383 (LV) | ± 7.4% | 55% | 42% | 4% | – | – |
Bluegrass Community & Technical College [553] | Oct 12–28, 2020 | 250 (RV) | – | 52% | 39% | – | – | 9% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [551] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 3,621 (LV) | – | 56% | 42% | – | – | – |
Mason-Dixon [554] | Oct 12–15, 2020 | 625 (LV) | ± 4% | 56% | 39% | - | 1% | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [551] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 1,479 (LV) | – | 59% | 39% | - | – | 1% |
Data for Progress (D) [555] | Sep 14–19, 2020 | 807 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 55% [jc] | 35% | 1% | 1% [jd] | 8% |
56% [je] | 38% | - | – | 6% | ||||
Quinnipiac University [556] | Sep 10–14, 2020 | 1,164 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 58% | 38% | - | 1% [jf] | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [551] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 1,231 (LV) | – | 60% | 38% | - | – | 2% |
Quinnipiac University [557] | Jul 30 – Aug 3, 2020 | 909 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 50% | 41% | - | 4% [jg] | 5% |
Morning Consult [558] | Jul 24 – Aug 2, 2020 | 793 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 59% | 35% | - | 2% [jh] | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [551] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 1,709 (LV) | – | 62% | 37% | - | – | 1% |
Bluegrass Data/Ditch Mitch Fund [559] [AP] | Jul 25–29, 2020 | 3,020 (RV) | ± 2.0% | 52% | 45% | - | – | – |
Spry Strategies/American Principles Project [560] [AQ] | Jul 11–16, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 60% | 34% | - | – | 6% |
Garin-Hart-Yang/Amy McGrath [561] [AR] | Jul 7–12, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 53% | 41% | - | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [551] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 596 (LV) | – | 60% | 38% | - | – | 2% |
Garin-Hart-Yang/Amy McGrath [561] [AR] | Jun 2020 | – (V) [bo] | – | 54% | 39% | - | – | – |
Civiqs/Data for Progress [562] | Jun 13–15, 2020 | 898 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 57% | 37% | - | 5% [ji] | 1% |
Garin-Hart-Yang/Amy McGrath [561] [AR] | May 2020 | – (V) [bo] | – | 57% | 36% | - | – | – |
RMG Research/U.S. Term Limits [563] [AS] | May 21–24, 2020 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 53% | 36% | - | 6% [jj] | 5% |
Public Policy Polling [564] | May 14–15, 2020 | 1,104 (V) | – | 55% | 39% | - | 5% [ji] | 2% |
Bluegrass Data/Ditch Mitch Fund [559] [AT] | Apr 7–12, 2020 [jk] | 4,000 (RV) | – | 55% | 34% | - | – | – |
Fabrizio Ward/AARP [565] | Jul 29–31, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 53% | 41% | - | – | 4% |
Gravis Marketing [566] | Jun 11–12, 2019 | 741 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 57% | 37% | - | – | 6% |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win [567] | October 14–27, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 36.0% | 56.5% | 7.5% | Trump +20.5 |
FiveThirtyEight [568] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 37.1% | 57.6% | 5.3% | Trump +20.6 |
Average | 36.6% | 57.1% | 6.4% | Trump +20.5 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [dk] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios [569] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 1,556 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 62% [jl] | 36% | – | – | – | – |
Swayable [570] | Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2020 | 378 (LV) | ± 6.7% | 57% | 39% | 4% | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [569] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 2,633 (LV) | – | 60% | 38% | – | – | – | – |
University of New Orleans [571] | Oct 22, 2020 | 755 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 59% | 36% | – | – | 4% | 1% |
Trafalgar Group [572] | Oct 4–6, 2020 | 1,048 (LV) | ± 2.95% | 54% | 36% | 3% | – | 1% [jm] | 6% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [569] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 2,475 (LV) | – | 60% | 38% | – | – | – | 2% |
Tyson Group/Consumer Energy Alliance [573] [AU] | Sep 2–5, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 48% | 42% | 2% | – | No voters [jn] | 7% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [569] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 2,587 (LV) | – | 59% | 38% | – | – | – | 2% |
Trafalgar Group [574] | Aug 13–17, 2020 | 1,002 (LV) | ± 2.99% | 54% | 38% | 3% | – | 1% [jm] | 4% |
ALG Research/Perkins for LA [575] Archived November 1, 2020, at the Wayback Machine [AV] | Aug 6–12, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 43% | – | – | – | 7% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [569] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 2,998 (LV) | – | 60% | 39% | – | – | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [569] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 1,134 (LV) | – | 60% | 37% | – | – | – | 3% |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win [576] | October 6 – November 1, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 51.8% | 40.2% | 8.0% | Biden +11.6 |
FiveThirtyEight [577] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 53.3% | 40.3% | 6.4% | Biden +13.0 |
Average | 53.1% | 40.3% | 7.2% | Biden +12.3 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [dk] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research [578] | Oct 29 – Nov 2, 2020 | 1,024 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 40% | 52% | 4% | 2% | 1% [jo] | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [579] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 1,274 (LV) | ± 4% | 42% [jp] | 56% | – | – | – | – |
Emerson College [580] | Oct 29–31, 2020 | 611 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 43% [jq] | 54% | – | – | 2% [jr] | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [579] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 1,995 (LV) | – | 43% | 56% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyUSA/FairVote [581] | Oct 23–27, 2020 | 1,007 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 40% [o] | 53% | 2% | 2% | 1% [js] | 2% |
42% [jt] | 55% | – | – | 1% [ju] | 2% | ||||
Colby College [582] | Oct 21–25, 2020 | 879 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 38% | 51% | – | – | 4% [jv] | 8% |
Pan Atlantic Research [583] | Oct 2–6, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 40% | 50% | – | – | 6% [jw] | 4% |
Critical Insights/Digital Research/Bangor Daily News [584] | Sep 25 – Oct 4, 2020 | 466 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 40% [o] | 51% | 3% | 1% | 2% [jx] | 3% |
40% [jy] | 52% | – | – | 5% [jz] | 3% | ||||
SurveyMonkey/Axios [579] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 729 (LV) | – | 38% | 60% | – | – | – | 2% |
Data for Progress (D) [585] | Sep 23–28, 2020 | 718 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 39% [o] | 53% | 2% | 1% | – | 5% |
41% [ka] | 55% | – | – | – | 4% | ||||
Colby College [586] | Sep 17–23, 2020 | 847 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 39% | 50% | – | – | 4% [kb] | 6% |
Suffolk University/Boston Globe [587] | Sep 17–20, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 39% [o] | 51% | 1% | 0% | 1% [kc] | 7% |
39% [jt] | 51% | – | – | 2% [kd] | 8% | ||||
Siena College/NYT Upshot [588] | Sep 11–16, 2020 | 663 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 38% [ke] | 55% | 0% | 0% | 1% [kf] | 6% [kg] |
Quinnipiac University [589] | Sep 10–14, 2020 | 1,183 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 38% | 59% | – | – | 0% [kh] | 3% |
Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates/AARP [590] | Aug 30 – Sep 5, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 40% | 54% | – | – | 1% [ki] | 5% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [579] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 502 (LV) | – | 37% | 61% | – | – | – | 1% |
Critical Insights/Digital Research/Bangor Daily News [591] | Jul 28 – Aug 9, 2020 | 453 (LV) | – | 38% | 45% | – | – | 11% [kj] | 6% |
Quinnipiac University [592] | Jul 30 – Aug 3, 2020 | 805 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 37% | 52% | – | – | 6% [kk] | 4% |
RMG Research [593] | Jul 27 – Aug 2, 2020 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 39% | 50% | – | – | 7% [kl] | 4% |
Data for Progress [594] | Jul 24 – Aug 2, 2020 | 866 (LV) | – | 42% [o] | 49% | 1% | 1% | – | 7% |
43% [km] | 53% | – | – | – | 4% | ||||
SurveyMonkey/Axios [579] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 733 (LV) | – | 41% | 57% | – | – | – | 1% |
Public Policy Polling/AFSCME [595] [F] | Jul 23–24, 2020 | 962 (V) | – | 42% | 53% | – | – | – | 5% |
Colby College/SocialSphere [596] | Jul 18–24, 2020 | 888 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 38% | 50% | – | – | 5% [kn] | 7% |
Public Policy Polling [597] | Jul 2–3, 2020 | 1,022 (V) | ± 3.1% | 42% | 53% | – | – | – | 5% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [579] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 202 (LV) | – | 46% | 51% | – | – | – | 3% |
Public Policy Polling [598] | Mar 2–3, 2020 | 872 (V) | ± 3.3% | 42% | 52% | – | – | – | 6% |
Public Policy Polling [599] | Oct 11–13, 2019 | 939 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 42% | 54% | – | – | – | 4% |
Fabrizio Ward/AARP [600] | Jul 29–31, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 50% | – | – | – | 5% |
Gravis Marketing [601] | Jun 24, 2019 | 767 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 54% | – | – | – | – |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win [602] | October 7–26, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 60.0% | 31.7% | 8.3% | Biden +28.3 |
Real Clear Politics [603] | September 4 – October 24, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 60.3% | 31.0% | 8.7% | Biden +29.3 |
FiveThirtyEight [604] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 63.1% | 31.6% | 5.3% | Biden +31.4 |
Average | 61.1% | 31.4% | 7.4% | Biden +29.7 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [dk] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios [605] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 3,216 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 31% [ko] | 66% | – | – | – | – |
Swayable [606] | Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2020 | 503 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 31% | 67% | 2% | 0% | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [605] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 5,820 (LV) | – | 32% | 66% | – | – | – | – |
Gonzalez Maryland Poll [607] | Oct 19–24, 2020 | 820 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 33% | 58% | – | – | 3% [cv] | 6% |
Goucher College [608] | Sep 30 – Oct 4, 2020 | 776 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 30% | 61% | 2% | 2% | 3% [kp] | 2% |
Change Research/Our Voice Maryland [609] | Sep 29 – Oct 1, 2020 | 650 (V) | ± 4.55% | 32% | 61% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [605] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 2,364 (LV) | – | 31% | 67% | – | – | – | 2% |
OpinionWorks [610] | Sep 4–11, 2020 | 753 (LV) | – | 30% | 62% | – | – | 3% [cv] | 5% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [605] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 1,813 (LV) | – | 31% | 66% | – | – | – | 3% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [605] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 1,911 (LV) | – | 32% | 66% | – | – | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [605] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 1,175 (LV) | – | 34% | 64% | – | – | – | 2% |
Gonzalez Maryland Poll [611] | May 19–23, 2020 | 810 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 31% | 59% | – | – | – | 6% |
Goucher College [612] | Feb 13–19, 2020 | 718 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 35% | 60% | – | – | 1% [kq] | 4% [kr] |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win [613] | October 17 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 65.0% | 28.7% | 6.3% | Biden +36.3 |
RealClearPolitics [614] | July 31 – August 27, 2020 | September 15, 2020 | 64.0% | 28.3% | 7.7% | Biden +35.7 |
FiveThirtyEight [615] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 64.6% | 28.9% | 6.5% | Biden +35.8 |
Average | 64.5% | 28.6% | 6.8% | Biden +35.9 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [dk] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MassInc [616] | Oct 23–30, 2020 | 929 (LV) | – | 28% | 62% | - | - | 8% [ks] | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [617] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 5,848 (LV) | – | 28% | 70% | - | - | – | – |
YouGov/UMass Amherst [618] | Oct 14–21, 2020 | 713 (LV) | – | 29% | 64% | - | - | 3% [kt] | 3% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [617] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 2,655 (LV) | – | 32% | 66% | - | - | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [617] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 2,286 (LV) | – | 29% | 69% | - | - | – | 2% |
Emerson College/WHDH [619] | Aug 25–27, 2020 | 763 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 31% | 69% | - | - | – | – |
MassINC/WBUR [620] | Aug 6–9, 2020 | 501 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 27% | 63% | - | - | 5% [ku] | 4% |
UMass/YouGov [621] | Jul 31 – Aug 7, 2020 | 500 (RV) | ± 5.9% | 28% | 61% | - | - | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [617] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 2,509 (LV) | – | 26% | 72% | - | - | – | 2% |
MassINC [622] | Jul 17–20, 2020 | 797 (RV) | – | 23% | 55% | - | - | 10% [kv] | 12% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [617] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 1,091 (LV) | – | 27% | 71% | - | - | – | 2% |
Emerson College/7 News [623] | May 4–5, 2020 | 740 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 33% [kw] | 67% | - | - | – | – |
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov [624] | Apr 27 – May 1, 2020 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 30% | 58% | - | - | 7% [kx] | 4% |
Emerson College [625] | Apr 4–7, 2019 | 761 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 31% | 69% | - | - | – | – |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win [626] | October 22 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 49.9% | 44.4% | 5.7% | Biden +5.5 |
Real Clear Politics [627] | October 29 – November 1, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 50.0% | 45.8% | 4.2% | Biden +4.2 |
FiveThirtyEight [628] | until November 1, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 51.2% | 43.2% | 5.6% | Biden +7.9 |
Average | 50.4% | 44.5% | 5.1% | Biden +5.9 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [dk] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios [629] | Oct 20 – Nov 2 | 4,549 (LV) | ± 2% | 46% [ky] | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Research Co. [630] | Oct 31 – Nov 1 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 43% | 50% | - | - | 2% [ah] | 5% |
Change Research/CNBC [631] | Oct 29 – Nov 1 | 383 (LV) | ± 5.01% | 44% | 51% | 3% | 1% | – | 1% |
Swayable [632] | Oct 27 – Nov 1 | 413 (LV) | ± 6.5% | 45% | 54% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
Ipsos/Reuters [633] | Oct 27 – Nov 1 | 654 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 43% [o] | 53% | 1% | 0% | 2% [kz] | – |
42% [la] | 52% | - | - | 3% [af] | 3% | ||||
45% [lb] | 53% | - | - | 2% [lc] | – | ||||
Trafalgar Group [634] | Oct 30–31 | 1,033 (LV) | ± 2.97% | 48% | 46% | 2% | - | 1% | 3% |
AtlasIntel [635] | Oct 30–31 | 686 (LV) | ± 4% | 46% | 48% | - | - | 6% | – |
Insider Advantage/Center for American Greatness [636] [H] | Oct 30–31 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 49% | 2% | - | – | 3% |
Morning Consult [637] | Oct 22–31 | 1,736 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 44.5% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Emerson College [638] | Oct 29–30 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 45% [ai] | 52% | - | - | 3% [cv] | – |
Public Policy Polling/Progress Michigan [639] [AW] | Oct 29–30 | 745 (V) | ± 3.6% | 44% | 54% | 1% | 0% | – | 1% |
Targoz Market Research/PollSmart [640] | Oct 25–30 | 993 (LV) | – | 39% | 53% | - | - | 8% [ld] | – |
CNN/SSRS [641] | Oct 23–30 | 907 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 41% | 53% | 2% | 1% | 1% [le] | 2% |
Mitchell Research (R)/MIRS [642] | Oct 29 | 817 (LV) | ± 3.43% | 45% | 52% | 1% | 1% | 0% [lf] | 0% |
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ [643] | Oct 27–29 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 44% [o] | 51% | - | - | 3% | 2% |
42% [dz] | 53% | - | - | 3% | 2% | ||||
45% [ea] | 50% | - | - | 3% | 2% | ||||
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [644] | Oct 26–29 | 1,212 (LV) | – | 41% | 54% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 4% |
EPIC-MRA [645] | Oct 25–28 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 41% | 48% | - | - | 5% [lg] | 6% [dy] |
Trafalgar Group [646] | Oct 25–28 | 1,058 (LV) | ± 2.93% | 49% | 47% | 2% | - | 1% [do] | 1% |
Kiaer Research [647] | Oct 21–28 | 669 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 41% | 54% | - | - | 2% [lh] | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [629] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 7,541 (LV) | – | 45% | 53% | - | - | – | – |
Mitchell Research (R)/MIRS [648] | Oct 25–27 | 759 (LV) | ± 3.56% | 42% | 52% | 3% | 0% | 0% [li] | 2% |
Swayable [649] | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 394 (LV) | ± 6.7% | 40% | 59% | 2% | 0% | – | – |
Siena College/NYT Upshot [650] | Oct 23–26 | 856 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 41% | 49% | 2% | 1% | 0% [lj] | 6% [dy] |
Ipsos/Reuters [651] | Oct 20–26 | 652 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 43% [o] | 53% | 1% | 0% | 2% [kz] | – |
43% [la] | 52% | - | - | 3% [af] | 3% | ||||
Wick Surveys [652] | Oct 24–25 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 48% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Glengariff Group/Detroit News [653] | Oct 23–25 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 42% | 49% | - | - | 2% [lk] | 4% |
ABC/Washington Post [654] | Oct 20–25 | 789 (LV) | ± 4% | 44% | 51% | 3% | 0% | 0% [ll] | 1% |
Gravis Marketing [655] | Oct 24 | 679 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 42% | 55% | - | - | – | 3% |
Public Policy Polling/American Bridge PAC [656] [AX] | Oct 21–22 | 804 (V) | – | 43% | 50% | - | - | – | 6% |
YouGov/University of Wisconsin-Madison [657] | Oct 13–21 | 681 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 42% | 52% | - | - | 5% [lm] | – |
Citizen Data [658] | Oct 17–20 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 41% | 50% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 7% |
Fox News [659] | Oct 17–20 | 1,032 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 52% | 3% | 0% | 2% [ln] | 3% |
Ipsos/Reuters [660] | Oct 14–20 | 686 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 44% [o] | 52% | 2% | 0% | 2% [kz] | – |
44% [la] | 51% | - | - | 3% [af] | 2% | ||||
Morning Consult [637] | Oct 11–20 | 1,717 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 44% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC [661] | Oct 16–19 | 718 (LV) [al] | – | 44% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
EPIC-MRA [662] | Oct 15–19 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 39% | 48% | - | - | 5% [lo] | 8% [dy] |
Mitchell Research (R)/MIRS [663] | Oct 18 | 900 (LV) | ± 3.27% | 41% | 51% | 3% | 1% | 1% [do] | 3% |
Trafalgar Group/Restoration PAC [664] [AY] | Oct 15–18 | 1,034 (LV) | ± 2.97% | 47% | 45% | 3% | 2% | 2% [ah] | 2% |
Data For Progress [665] | Oct 15–18 | 830 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 45% | 50% | 2% | 0% | – | 3% |
Zia Poll/Painter Communications/MIRS News [666] | Oct 11–18 | 2,851 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 49% | 45% | - | - | 2% | 3% |
HarrisX/The Hill [667] | Oct 12–15 | 1,289 (LV) | – | 43% | 54% | - | - | – | – |
Trafalgar Group [668] | Oct 11–14 | 1,025 (LV) | ± 2.97% | 47% | 46% | 3% | 2% | 2% [ah] | 2% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [65] | Oct 10–13 | 972 (LV) | – | 42% [al] | 51% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ [669] | Oct 8–13 | 800 (LV) | – | 42% [o] | 48% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 5% |
39% [dz] | 51% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 5% | ||||
44% [ea] | 46% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 5% | ||||
Ipsos/Reuters [670] | Oct 7–13 | 620 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 44% [o] | 51% | 2% | 1% | 2% [lp] | – |
43% [la] | 51% | - | - | 3% [af] | 2% | ||||
EPIC-MRA/Detroit Free Press [671] | Oct 8–12 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 39% | 48% | - | - | 4% [lq] | 9% [dy] |
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising [672] [AZ] | Oct 8–11 | 543 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 43% | 52% | - | - | 4% [lr] | 2% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot [673] | Oct 6–11 | 614 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 40% | 48% | 1% | 1% | 1% [ls] | 8% [dy] |
Morning Consult [674] | Oct 2–11 | 1,710 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 44% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [65] | Oct 9–10 | 827 (LV) | – | 41% [al] | 51% | 2% | 1% | – | – |
YouGov/CBS [675] | Oct 6–9 | 1,190 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 46% | 52% | - | - | 2% [lt] | 0% |
Baldwin Wallace University [676] | Sep 30 – Oct 8 | 1,134 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 43% | 50% | 1% | 1% | 0% [lu] | 4% |
Emerson College [677] | Oct 6–7 | 716 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 43% [ai] | 54% | - | - | 2% [ah] | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [678] | Oct 4–6 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 42% | 50% | 1% | 0% | 1% [aw] | 6% |
Opinion Insight/American Action Forum [679] [J] | Oct 3–6 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 44% [ai] | 52% | - | - | 2% | 3% |
Ipsos/Reuters [680] | Sep 29 – Oct 6 | 709 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 43% | 51% | - | - | 2% [r] | 3% |
Change Research/CNBC [681] | Oct 2–4 | 676 (LV) | – | 43% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Glengariff Group/Detroit News [682] | Sep 30 – Oct 3 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 39% | 48% | - | - | 5% [lv] | 7% |
Public Policy Polling/Progress Michigan [683] [AW] | Sep 30 – Oct 1 | 746 (V) | – | 44% | 50% | 2% | 1% | – | 3% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [629] | Sep 1–30 | 3,297 (LV) | – | 44% | 53% | - | - | – | 3% |
Trafalgar Group/Restoration PAC [684] [AY] | Sep 26–28 | 1,042 (LV) | ± 2.95% | 47% | 49% | 2% | 0% | 1% [do] | 2% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [685] | Sep 23–26 | 785 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 42% | 51% | 1% | 0% | 0% [lw] | 6% |
Marist College/NBC [686] | Sep 19–23 | 799 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 44% | 52% | - | - | 1% | 3% |
ALG Research/Committee to Protect Medicare [687] [BA] | Sep 17–23 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Trafalgar Group [688] | Sep 20–22 | 1,015 (LV) | ± 2.99% | 46.7% | 46.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% [lx] | 3.2% |
Baldwin Wallace University [689] | Sep 9–22 | 1,001 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 42% | 50% | 1% | 0% | 1% [ly] | 6% |
YouGov/UW-Madison Elections Research Center/Wisconsin State Journal [690] | Sep 10–21 | 641 (LV) | – | 45% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC [691] | Sep 18–20 | 568 (LV) | – | 43% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Hart Research Associates/Human Rights Campaign [692] [BB] | Sep 17–19 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Data for Progress (D) [693] | Sep 14–19 | 455 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 42% [o] | 48% | 1% | 0% | – | 9% |
44% [lz] | 50% | - | - | – | 6% | ||||
MRG [694] | Sep 14–19 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 41% | 46% | - | - | 8% [ma] | 5% |
Ipsos/Reuters [695] | Sep 11–16 | 637 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 49% | - | - | 2% [r] | 4% |
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising [696] [AZ] | Sep 11–15 | 517 (RV) | – | 42% | 53% | - | - | 3% [cv] | 1% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [697] | Sep 12–14 | 930 (LV) | ± 3.21% | 39% | 49% | 2% | 1% | 0% [lw] | 9% |
EPIC-MRA [698] | Sep 10–15 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 40% | 48% | - | - | 5% [lo] | 7% [dy] |
Benenson Strategy Group/GS Strategy Group/AARP [699] | Aug 28 – Sep 8 | 1,600 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 43% | 50% | - | - | 1% [mb] | 5% |
Morning Consult [700] | Aug 29 – Sep 7 | 1,455 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 42% [mc] | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC [701] | Sep 4–6 | 876 (LV) | – | 43% | 49% | - | - | 7% [md] | – |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports [702] | Sep 2–3 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3% | 44% [ai] | 53% | - | - | 3% [me] | – |
Glengariff Group [703] | Sep 1–3 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 42% | 47% | - | - | 4% [mf] | 7% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [704] | Aug 30 – Sep 3 | 967 (LV) | ± 3.15% | 40% | 51% | 1% | 0% | 1% [aw] | 7% |
Opinion Insight/American Action Forum [705] [J] | Aug 30 – Sep 2 | 802 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 44% [ai] | 51% | 2% | 1% | 0% [mg] | 3% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [629] | Aug 1–31 | 2,962 (LV) | – | 48% | 49% | - | - | – | 3% |
Morning Consult [100] | Aug 21–30 | 1,424 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 42% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Public Policy Polling/Progress Michigan [706] [AW] | Aug 28–29 | 897 (V) | – | 44% | 48% | 3% | 1% | – | 3% |
Change Research/CNBC [707] | Aug 21–23 | 809 (LV) | – | 44% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Trafalgar Group [708] | Aug 14–23 | 1,048 (LV) | ± 2.98% | 47% | 45% | 3% | - | 1% [mh] | 4% |
Redfield and Wilton Strategies [709] | Aug 16–19 | 812 (LV) | – | 38% | 50% | 1% | 1% | 1% [mi] | 9% |
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising [710] [AZ] | Aug 13–17 | 631 (RV) | – | 46% | 49% | - | - | 3% [cv] | 1% |
Morning Consult [100] | Aug 7–16 | 1,212 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 44% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC [711] [AY] | Aug 11–15 | 600 (LV) | – | 41% | 52% | - | - | – | 7% |
Change Research/CNBC [712] | Aug 7–9 | 413 (LV) | – | 43% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
YouGov/University of Wisconsin-Madison [713] | Jul 27 – Aug 6 | 761 (RV) | ± 5.1% | 43% | 47% | - | - | 5% [mj] | 6% |
GQR Research/Unite the Country PAC [714] [BC] | Jul 30 – Aug 4 | 1,245 (LV) | – | 43% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
David Binder Research [715] | Jul 30–31 | 200 (LV) | – | 41% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [629] | Jul 1–31 | 3,083 (LV) | – | 48% | 49% | - | - | – | 2% |
EPIC-MRA [716] | Jul 25–30 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 51% | 3% | - | - | 6% |
Public Policy Polling/Progress Michigan [717] [AW] | Jul 28–29 | 876 (V) | – | 43% | 49% | - | - | 6% [mk] | 3% |
Change Research/CNBC [718] | Jul 24–26 | 413 (LV) | – | 42% | 46% | - | - | – | – |
Morning Consult [719] | Jul 17–26 | 1,320 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 42% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
YouGov/CBS [720] | Jul 21–24 | 1,156 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 42% | 48% | - | - | 2% [ml] | 7% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [721] | Jul 19–24 | 811 (LV) | – | 37% | 49% | 1% | 1% | 2% [mm] | 10% |
CNN/SSRS [722] | Jul 18–24 | 927 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 40% | 52% | - | - | 5% [mn] | 2% |
Gravis Marketing [723] | Jul 22 | 754 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 42% | 51% | - | - | – | 7% |
Fox News [724] | Jul 18–20 | 756 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 40% | 49% | - | - | 4% [mo] | 7% |
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC [725] [AY] | Jul 13–16 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 53% | - | - | – | 7% |
Spry Strategies/American Principles Project [726] [BD] | Jul 11–16 | 600 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 50% | 45% | - | - | – | 5% |
Change Research/CNBC [727] | Jul 10–12 | 824 (LV) | – | 42% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Public Policy Polling/Public Policy Polling/Giffords (D) [728] [BE] | Jul 9–10 | 1,041 (V) | ± 3.2% | 44% | 51% | - | - | – | 5% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [629] | Jun 8–30 | 1,238 (LV) | – | 46% | 51% | - | - | – | 3% |
Change Research/CNBC [729] | Jun 26–28 | 699 (LV) [al] | – | 43% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Public Policy Polling/Public Policy Polling/Progress Michigan (D) [730] [AW] | Jun 26–27 | 1,237 (V) | – | 44% | 50% | - | - | 5% [mp] | 1% |
Hodas & Associates/Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R) [731] | Jun 17–20 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 56% | - | - | 2% [mq] | 7% |
Trafalgar Group [732] | Jun 16–18 | 1,101 (LV) | ± 2.95% | 45% | 46% | - | - | 5% [lo] | 4% |
NYT Upshot/Siena College [733] | Jun 8–17 | 610 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 36% | 47% | - | - | 8% [mr] | 9% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [734] | Jun 14–16 | 826 (LV) | ± 3.41% | 36% | 47% | 2% | 1% | 2% [ms] | 12% |
TargetPoint [735] | Jun 11–16 | 1,000 (A) | – | 33% | 49% | - | - | 4% [mt] | 14% |
Change Research/CNBC [736] | Jun 12–14 | 353 (LV) [al] | – | 45% | 47% | - | - | 3% [mu] | – |
TIPP/American Greatness PAC [737] [H] | Jun 9–12 | 859 (LV) | – | 38% | 51% | - | - | 4% [mv] | 7% |
Kiaer Research [738] | May 31 – Jun 7 | 543 (LV) | ± 6.4% | 35% | 50% | - | - | 6% [mw] | 8% |
EPIC-MRA [739] | May 31 – Jun 4 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 39% | 55% | - | - | – | – |
EPIC-MRA [740] | May 30 – Jun 3 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 41% | 53% | - | - | – | 6% [dy] |
Change Research/CNBC [741] | May 29–31 | 620 (LV) [al] | – | 46% | 48% | - | - | 3% | 3% |
Public Policy Polling/Progress Michigan [742] [AW] | May 29–30 | 1,582 (V) | ± 2.5% | 44% | 50% | - | - | 4% [mx] | 2% |
Morning Consult [719] | May 17–26 | 1,325 (LV) | – | 42% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Public Policy Polling/Protect Our Care [743] [BF] | May 18–19 | 1,234 (V) | ± 2.8% | 45% | 51% | - | - | – | 5% |
Change Research/Crooked Media [744] | May 11–17 | 3,070 (LV) | – | 46% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [745] | May 10–14 | 970 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 39% | 47% | - | - | 3% [my] | 11% |
Hodas & Associates/Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R) [746] | May 1–5 | 600 (LV) | ± 3% | 42% | 50% | - | - | – | 8% |
Public Policy Polling [747] [BG] | Apr 28–29 | 1,270 (V) | – | 42% | 50% | - | - | – | 8% |
Public Policy Polling [748] [BH] | Apr 20–21 | 1,277 (RV) | – | 44% | 51% | - | - | – | 5% |
Fox News [749] | Apr 18–21 | 801 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 41% | 49% | - | - | 3% | 6% |
Ipsos/Reuters [750] | Apr 15–20 | 612 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 38% | 46% | - | - | – | – |
Hodas & Associates/Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R) [751] | Apr 9–11 | 600 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Hart Research/CAP Action [752] [BI] | Apr 6–8 | 303 (RV) | – | 41% | 50% | - | - | 4% | 5% |
Public Policy Polling [753] | Mar 31 – Apr 1 | 1,019 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 48% | - | - | – | 7% |
SPRY Strategies [754] | Mar 30 – Apr 1 | 602 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 46% | - | - | – | 8% |
Baldwin Wallace University Great Lakes [755] | Mar 17–25 | 997 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 42% | 47% | - | - | – | 11% |
Change Research [756] | Mar 21–23 | 510 (LV) | – | 47% | 48% | - | - | 5% | |
Marketing Resource Group [757] | Mar 16–20 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 44% | - | - | 9% [mz] | 6% |
Hodas & Associates/Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R) [758] | Mar 12–16 | 600 (RV) | – | 44% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
AtlasIntel [759] | Mar 7–9 | 1,100 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 44% | - | - | 10% | – |
YouGov/Yahoo News [760] | Mar 6–8 | 566 (RV) | – | 41% | 45% | - | - | 6% [na] | 7% |
Monmouth University [761] | Mar 5–8 | 977 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 41% | 48% | - | - | 2% | 9% |
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus [762] | Mar 5–7 | 550 (RV) | ± 5.3% | 46% | 44% | - | - | – | – |
YouGov [763] | Feb 11–20 | 1,249 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
Quinnipiac University [764] | Feb 12–18 | 845 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 43% | 47% | - | - | 6% [nb] | 3% |
Expedition Strategies/Progressive Policies Institute [765] | Feb 6–18 | 500 (RV) | – | 43% | 43% | - | - | – | 14% |
EPIC-MRA/Detroit Free Press [766] | Jan 9–12 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 44% | 50% | - | - | – | 6% |
Glengariff Group Inc. [767] | Jan 3–7 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 43% | 50% | - | - | – | 5% |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden DFL | Donald J. Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win [768] | October 27 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 51.6% | 41.8% | 6.6% | Biden +9.8 |
Real Clear Politics [769] | October 12–27, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 48.0% | 43.7% | 8.3% | Biden +4.3 |
FiveThirtyEight [770] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 51.8% | 42.7% | 5.5% | Biden +9.2 |
Average | 50.5% | 42.7% | 6.8% | Biden +7.8 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [dk] | Margin of error | Donald J. Trump Republican | Joe Biden DFL | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios [771] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 3,031 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 41% [nc] | 56% | - | - | – | – |
Research Co. [772] | Oct 31 – Nov 1, 2020 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 45% | 54% | - | - | 1% [nd] | 4% |
Data for Progress [773] | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 1,259 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 43% | 51% | 4% | 2% | 1% [ne] | – |
Swayable [774] | Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2020 | 466 (LV) | ± 5.9% | 43% | 53% | 4% | 0% | – | – |
Morning Consult [775] | Oct 22–31, 2020 | 883 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Public Policy Polling [776] | Oct 29–30, 2020 | 770 (V) | – | 43% | 54% | - | - | 2% [ah] | 1% |
Targoz Market Research/PollSmart [777] | Oct 25–30, 2020 | 1,138 (LV) | – | 44% | 53% | - | - | 3% [nf] | – |
St. Cloud State University [778] | Oct 10–29, 2020 | 372 (A) | ± 6.7% | 39% | 54% | - | - | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [771] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 5,498 (LV) | – | 42% | 55% | - | - | – | – |
SurveyUSA/KSTP/ABC6 News [779] | Oct 23–27, 2020 | 649 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 42% | 47% | - | - | 5% [ng] | 6% |
Gravis Marketing [780] | Oct 24–26, 2020 | 657 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 39% | 53% | - | - | – | 8% |
Trafalgar Group [781] | Oct 24–25, 2020 | 1,065 (LV) | ± 2.92% | 45% | 48% | 2% | - | 4% [nh] | 1% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos [782] | Oct 17–20, 2020 | 840 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 43% | 53% | - | - | 3% [cv] | 1% |
SurveyUSA/KSTP [783] | Oct 16–20, 2020 | 625 (LV) | ± 5% | 42% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Morning Consult [775] | Oct 11–20, 2020 | 864 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 42% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/MinnPost [784] | Oct 12–15, 2020 [ni] | 1,021 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 49% | 2% | 0% | 2% [nj] | 2% |
David Binder Research/Focus on Rural America [785] | Oct 10–13, 2020 | 200 (LV) | – | 41% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Morning Consult [786] | Oct 2–11, 2020 | 898 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 44% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
SurveyUSA/ABC6 News [787] | Oct 1–6, 2020 | 929 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 40% | 47% | - | - | 3% [nk] | 10% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [771] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 2,808 (LV) | – | 43% | 55% | - | - | – | 2% |
Suffolk University [788] | Sep 20–24, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 40% | 47% | 2% | 0% | 4% [nl] | 6% |
Mason-Dixon/StarTribune /MPR News/KARE 11 [789] | Sep 21–23, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 42% | 48% | - | - | 2% | 8% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [790] | Sep 12–17, 2020 | 718 (LV) | ± 3.66% | 42% | 51% | 0% | 0% | 1% [nm] | 5% |
ABC/Washington Post [791] | Sep 8–13, 2020 | 615 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 41% | 57% | - | - | 1% [nn] | 1% |
Morning Consult [792] | Sep 4–13, 2020 | 643 (LV) | ± 4% | 44% [bg] | 48% | - | - | 2% [ah] | 6% |
YouGov/CBS [793] | Sep 9–11, 2020 | 1,087 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 41% | 50% | - | - | 2% [no] | 6% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot [794] | Sep 8–10, 2020 | 814 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 41% | 50% | 2% | 1% | 0% [np] | 5% [nq] |
SurveyUSA [795] | Sep 4–7, 2020 | 553 (LV) | ± 5.2% | 40% | 49% | - | - | 4% [nr] | 7% |
Morning Consult [796] | Aug 29 – Sep 7, 2020 | 649 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 44% [bg] | 49% | - | - | – | – |
PPP [797] | Sep 3–4, 2020 | 877 (V) | ± 3.3% | 44% | 52% | - | - | 3% [cv] | 1% |
Harper Polling/Jason Lewis [798] [BJ] | Aug 30 – Sep 1, 2020 | 501 (LV) | ± 4.38% | 45% | 48% | – | – | – | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [771] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 1,939 (LV) | – | 43% | 56% | - | - | – | 1% |
Morning Consult [100] | Aug 21–30, 2020 | 647 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 43% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Trafalgar Group [799] | Aug 15–18, 2020 | 1,141 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 47% | 4% | - | 1% [ns] | 2% |
Morning Consult [100] | Aug 7–16, 2020 | 615 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 42% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Emerson College [800] | Aug 8–10, 2020 | 733 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 49% [nt] | 51% | - | - | – | – |
David Binder Research [801] | Jul 30–31, 2020 | 200 (LV) | – | 36% | 54% | - | - | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [771] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 2,288 (LV) | – | 47% | 51% | - | - | – | 2% |
Morning Consult [802] | Jul 17–26, 2020 | 662 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 44% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
Trafalgar Group [803] | Jul 23–25, 2020 | 1,129 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 44% | 49% | 2% | - | 3% [nu] | 2% |
Public Policy Polling/Giffords [804] [BK] | Jul 22–23, 2020 | 1,218 (V) | ± 3.2% | 42% | 52% | - | - | – | 6% |
FOX News [805] | Jul 18–20, 2020 | 776 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 38% | 51% | - | - | 6% [nv] | 6% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [771] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 860 (LV) | – | 42% | 57% | - | - | – | 1% |
Gravis Marketing [806] | Jun 19, 2020 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% [nw] | 58% [nx] | - | - | – | – |
Morning Consult [792] | May 27– Jun 5, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 45% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Harper Polling/Jason Lewis [798] [BJ] | May 26–28, 2020 | 510 (LV) | – | 42% | 50% | – | – | – | 8% |
Morning Consult [802] | May 17–26, 2020 | 647 (LV) | – | 42% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Mason-Dixon/StarTribune /MPR News/KARE 11 [807] | May 18–20, 2020 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 49% | - | - | – | 7% |
Morning Consult [792] | May 7–16, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 38% | 55% | - | - | – | – |
Mason-Dixon/StarTribune [808] | Oct 14–16, 2019 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 38% | 50% | - | - | – | 12% |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win [809] | October 17–27, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 40.0% | 57.0% | 3.0% | Trump +17.0 |
FiveThirtyEight [810] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 39.6% | 55.5% | 4.9% | Trump +15.9 |
Average | 39.8% | 56.3% | 3.9% | Trump +16.5 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [dk] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios [811] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 1,461 (LV) | ± 4% | 61% [ny] | 37% | - | - | – | – |
Data For Progress [812] | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 562 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 55% | 41% | 2% | 1% | 1% [nz] | – |
Civiqs/Daily Kos [813] | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 507 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 55% | 41% | - | - | 3% [oa] | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [811] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 2,116 (LV) | – | 62% | 37% | - | - | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [811] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 782 (LV) | – | 55% | 44% | - | - | – | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [811] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 607 (LV) | – | 61% | 36% | - | - | – | 3% |
Tyson Group/Consumer Energy Alliance [814] [BL] | Aug 28–30, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 50% | 40% | No voters | - | No voters [ob] | 6% |
Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group/Mike Espy [815] [BM] | Jul 30 – Aug 9, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 53% [oc] | 43% | - | - | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [811] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 733 (LV) | – | 59% | 39% | - | - | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [811] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 425 (LV) | – | 63% | 35% | - | - | – | 2% |
Chism Strategies (D) [816] | Jun 2–4, 2020 | 568 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 50% | 41% | - | - | 6% [od] | 3% |
Chism Strategies/Millsaps College [817] | Apr 8–9, 2020 | 508 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 38% | - | - | 7% | 7% |
Mason-Dixon [818] | Feb 26–28, 2020 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 56% | 41% | - | - | – | 3% |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win [819] | October 13 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 43.7% | 51.3% | 5.0% | Trump +7.6 |
FiveThirtyEight [820] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 43.6% | 51.6% | 4.8% | Trump +8.0 |
Average | 43.7% | 51.5% | 4.9% | Trump +7.8 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [dk] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios [821] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 2,926 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 54% [oe] | 44% | - | - | – | – |
Swayable [822] | Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2020 | 487 (LV) | ± 6.6% | 55% | 43% | 2% | 0% | – | – |
Morning Consult [823] | Oct 22–31, 2020 | 1,109 (LV) | ± 3% | 52% | 43% | - | - | – | – |
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout [824] | Oct 28–29, 2020 | 1,010 (LV) | ± 3% | 50% | 45% | 2% | 1% | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [821] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 4,759 (LV) | – | 53% | 45% | - | - | – | – |
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout [825] | Oct 14–15, 2020 | 1,010 (LV) | ± 3% | 51% | 45% | 1% | 1% | - | 2% |
YouGov/SLU [826] | Sep 24 – Oct 7, 2020 | 931 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 52% | 43% | - | - | 3% | 2% |
Garin-Hart-Yang/Galloway for Missouri [827] [BN] | Sep 28 – Oct 2, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 50% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout [828] | Sep 30 – Oct 1, 2020 | 980 (LV) | ± 3% | 51% | 46% | - | - | – | 3% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [821] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 2,157 (LV) | – | 53% | 45% | - | - | – | 2% |
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout [829] | Sep 16–17, 2020 | 1,046 (LV) | ± 3% | 53% | 45% | - | - | – | 2% |
We Ask America [830] | Sep 1–3, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.38% | 49% | 44% | - | - | 5% [of] | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [821] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 1,863 (LV) | – | 54% | 44% | - | - | – | 2% |
Trafalgar Group (R) [831] | Aug 26–28, 2020 | 1,015 (LV) | ± 2.99% | 52% | 41% | 3% | - | 1% [og] | 3% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [821] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 2,261 (LV) | – | 54% | 44% | - | - | – | 2% |
YouGov/Saint Louis University [832] | Jun 23 – Jul 1, 2020 | 900 (LV) | ± 3.95% | 50% | 43% | - | - | 4% | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [821] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 868 (LV) | – | 51% | 47% | - | - | – | 1% |
Garin-Hart-Yang/Galloway for Governor/Missouri Scout [833] [BN] | Jun 16–22, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout [834] | Jun 10–11, 2020 | 1,152 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 51% | 43% | - | - | – | 6% |
We Ask America [835] | May 26–27, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.38% | 48% | 44% | - | - | 3% [oh] | 5% |
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout [836] | Feb 26–27, 2020 | 1,050 (LV) | – | 53% | 42% | - | - | – | 5% |
American Viewpoint/Uniting Missouri [837] [BO] | Jan 20–22, 2020 | 1,200 (LV) | – | 50% | 43% | - | - | – | 7% |
Remington Research Group [838] | Sep 18–19, 2019 | 1,046 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 53% | 42% | - | - | – | 5% |
Remington Research Group [839] | Apr 10–11, 2019 | 955 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 51% | 43% | - | - | – | 6% |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win [840] | October 22–28, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 44.8% | 50.2% | 5.0% | Trump +5.4 |
FiveThirtyEight [841] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 45.4% | 49.8% | 4.8% | Trump +4.4 |
Average | 45.1% | 50.0% | 4.9% | Trump +4.9 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [dk] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research [842] | Oct 29 – Nov 2, 2020 | 920 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 45% | 2% | 1% [oi] | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [843] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 1,021 (LV) | ± 4% | 52% [oj] | 46% | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [843] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 1,471 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 48% | – | – | – |
Public Policy Polling/Protect Our Care [844] [BP] | Oct 26–27, 2020 | 886 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 49% | 47% | – | – | 3% |
Montana State University Billings [845] | Oct 19–24, 2020 | 546 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 52% | 45% | 1% | – | 2% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot [846] | Oct 18–20, 2020 | 758 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 43% | 3% | 2% [ok] | 3% [ol] |
Strategies 360/NBCMT [847] | Oct 15–20, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 51% | 43% | 3% | – | 4% |
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ [848] | Oct 15–18, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 50% [om] | 46% | 2% | 4% [ev] | 0% |
48% [on] | 48% | 2% | 4% [ev] | 0% | ||||
52% [oo] | 44% | 2% | 4% [ev] | 0% | ||||
Public Policy Polling [849] | Oct 9–10, 2020 | 798 (V) | ± 3.5% | 52% | 46% | - | 2% [op] | 0% |
Emerson College [850] | Oct 4–7, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 56% | 44% | – | – | – |
Data For Progress (D) [851] | Sep 30 – Oct 5, 2020 | 737 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 49% | 43% | 3% | 0% [oq] | 5% |
Montana State University Bozeman [852] | Sep 14 – Oct 2, 2020 | 1,607 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 51% | 44% | – | 4% | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [843] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 480 (LV) | – | 57% | 41% | – | – | 2% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot [853] | Sep 14–16, 2020 | 625 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 49% | 42% | 2% | 2% [or] | 5% [ol] |
Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates/AARP [854] | Aug 30 – Sep 5, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 43% | – | 0% [os] | 6% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [843] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 562 (LV) | – | 52% | 46% | – | – | 1% |
Expedition Strategies/House Majority PAC [855] [BQ] | Aug 22–27, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 48% | 44% | – | – | 7% [ol] |
Emerson College [856] | Jul 31 – Aug 2, 2020 | 584 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 54% [ot] | 46% | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [843] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 527 (LV) | – | 53% | 44% | – | – | 3% |
Public Policy Polling/AFSCME [857] [F] | Jul 23–24, 2020 | 917 (V) | – | 50% | 45% | – | – | 5% |
Spry Strategies/American Principles Project [858] [BR] | Jul 11–16, 2020 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 52% | 42% | – | – | 6% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos [859] | Jul 11–13, 2020 | 873 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 49% | 45% | - | 5% [ou] | 1% |
Public Policy Polling/Election Twitter [860] | Jul 9–10, 2020 | 1,224 (V) | ± 2.8% | 51% | 42% | – | – | 7% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [843] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 166 (LV) | – | 57% | 41% | – | – | 2% |
University of Montana [861] | Jun 17–26, 2020 | 517 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 52% | 38% | – | – | 10% |
Montana State University Bozeman [852] | Apr 10–27, 2020 | 459 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 45% | 40% | – | 11% | 5% |
The Progress Campaign (D) | Apr 14–21, 2020 | 1,712 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 51% | 42% | – | – | 7% [ov] |
University of Montana [862] | Feb 12–22, 2020 | 498 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 56% | 34% | – | – | 10% |
University of Montana [863] | Sep 26 – Oct 3, 2019 | 303 (RV) | ± 5.6% | 54% | 47% | – | – | – |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FiveThirtyEight [864] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 42.5% | 52.1% | 5.4% | Trump +9.7 |
Statewide
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [dk] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios [865] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 1,742 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 56% [ow] | 43% | − | − | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [865] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 2,423 (LV) | – | 53% | 46% | − | − | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [865] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 799 (LV) | – | 57% | 41% | − | − | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [865] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 560 (LV) | – | 53% | 47% | − | − | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [865] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 910 (LV) | – | 54% | 44% | − | − | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [865] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 267 (LV) | – | 56% | 42% | − | − | 2% |
in Nebraska's 1st congressional district
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [dk] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Strategies 360/Kate Bolz [866] [BS] | Jul 16–22, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 48% | 46% | − | − | – |
in Nebraska's 2nd congressional district
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [dk] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of Nevada [867] | Oct 30 – Nov 2, 2020 | 191 (LV) | ± 7% | 44% | 50% | 5% | – | – |
Change Research [868] | Oct 29 – Nov 2, 2020 | 920 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 50% | 2% | 0% [ox] | 0% |
Emerson College [869] | Oct 29–30, 2020 | 806 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% [oy] | 50% | – | 2% [oz] | – |
FM3 Research/Congressional Progressive Caucus PAC [870] [BT] | Oct 1–4, 2020 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 42% | 53% | − | 5% [pa] | – |
Siena College/NYT [871] | Sep 25–27, 2020 | 420 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 41% | 48% | 4% | 1% [pb] | 6% [ol] |
Global Strategy Group/House Majority PAC [872] [BU] | Sep 14–16, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 44% | 50% | − | 1% [pc] | 3% [ol] |
Global Strategy Group/House Majority PAC [872] [BU] | Jul 27–29, 2020 | 400 (LV) | – | 45% | 51% | − | 2% [pd] | 3% [ol] |
GQR/Kara Eastman [873] [BV] | Jun 30 – Jul 5, 2020 | 502 (LV) | ± 4.37% | 44% | 51% | − | – | – |
DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department/Ally Mutnick [874] [BW] | May 7–10, 2020 | 448 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 41% | 52% | − | – | – |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win [875] | October 16–31, 2020 | November 1, 2020 | 49.4% | 44.4% | 6.2% | Biden +5.0 |
Real Clear Politics [876] | October 23 – November 2, 2020 | November 1, 2020 | 48.7% | 46.3% | 5.0% | Biden +2.4 |
FiveThirtyEight [877] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 49.7% | 44.4% | 5.9% | Biden +5.3 |
Average | 49.3% | 45.0% | 5.7% | Biden +4.3 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [dk] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trafalgar Group [878] | Oct 31 – Nov 2, 2020 | 1,024 (LV) | ± 2.98% | 49% | 48% | 1% | 1% [do] | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [879] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 2,366 (LV) | ± 3% | 49% [pe] | 49% | - | – | – |
Data for Progress [880] | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 1,442 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 44% | 51% | 3% | 2% [pf] | – |
Emerson College [881] | Oct 29–31, 2020 | 720 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 47% | 49% | - | 4% [pg] | – |
Trafalgar Group [882] | Oct 28–29, 2020 | 1,024 (LV) | ± 2.98% | 47% | 49% | 2% | 1% [do] | 1% |
Gravis Marketing [883] | Oct 27–28, 2020 | 688 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 44% | 50% | – | – | 6% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [879] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 3,333 (LV) | – | 49% | 50% | - | – | – |
Siena College/NYT Upshot [884] | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 809 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 43% | 49% | 3% | 2% [ph] | 4% [ol] |
BUSR/University of Nevada [885] | Oct 16–21, Oct 23, 2020 | 809 (LV) | ± 4% | 41% | 50% | – | – | – |
Civiqs/Daily Kos [886] | Oct 17–20, 2020 | 712 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 43% | 52% | - | 3% [pi] | 1% |
WPA Intelligence/Las Vegas Review-Journal/AARP [887] | Oct 7–11, 2020 | 512 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 44% | 3% | 5% [pj] | 6% |
YouGov/CBS [888] | Oct 6–9, 2020 | 1,036 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 46% | 52% | - | 2% [pk] | 0% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot [889] | Oct 2–6, 2020 | 660 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 42% | 48% | 3% | 1% [pl] | 6% [ol] |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [879] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 1,239 (LV) | – | 47% | 51% | - | - | 2% |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports/American Greatness PAC [890] [H] | Sep 23–25, 2020 | 750 (LV) | – | 48% | 49% | - | 2% [pm] | 1% |
Qualtrics/University of Nevada/BUSR [891] | Sep 10–25, 2020 | 641 (LV) | ± 4% | 41% | 46% | - | 7% [pn] | 6% |
Fox News [892] | Sep 20–23, 2020 | 810 (LV) | ± 3% | 41% | 52% | 3% | 2% [po] | 2% |
911 (RV) | ± 3% | 40% | 50% | 3% | 3% [pp] | 4% | ||
ALG Research/ALG Research/The Nevada Independent (D) [893] [BX] | Sep 15–21, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 43% | 47% | – | – | – |
Siena College/NYT Upshot [894] | Sep 8–10, 2020 | 462 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 42% | 46% | 3% | 1% [pq] | 7% [ol] |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [879] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 998 (LV) | – | 49% | 50% | - | – | 1% |
Qualtrics/University of Nevada/BUSR [891] | Aug 20–30, 2020 | 682 (LV) | ± 4% | 39% | 44% | – | 5% [pr] | 12% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [879] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 1,021 (LV) | – | 52% | 47% | - | - | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [879] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 609 (LV) | – | 49% | 50% | - | - | 1% |
ALG Research/ALG Research/The Nevada Independent (D) [895] [BY] | Apr 27–30, 2020 | 763 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 45% | 49% | – | – | – |
AtlasIntel [896] | Feb 19–21, 2020 | 1,100 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 44% | – | 15% | – |
FOX News [897] | Jan 5–8, 2020 | 1,505 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 39% | 47% | – | 9% [ps] | 4% |
FOX News [898] | Nov 10–13, 2019 | 1,506 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 40% | 47% | – | 9% [ps] | 4% |
Emerson College [899] | Oct 31 – Nov 2, 2019 | 1,089 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 51% | 49% | – | – | – |
Gravis Marketing [900] | Aug 14–16, 2019 | 926 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 43% | 49% | – | – | 8% |
Emerson College [901] | Mar 28–30, 2019 | 719 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 48% | 52% | – | – | – |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win [902] | October 14–29, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 53.4% | 42.4% | 4.2% | Biden +11.0 |
FiveThirtyEight [903] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 53.9% | 42.8% | 3.3% | Biden +11.1 |
Average | 53.7% | 42.6% | 3.8% | Biden +11.1 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [dk] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios [904] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 1,013 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 45% [pt] | 54% | - | – | – |
American Research Group [905] | Oct 26–28, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 39% | 58% | 1% | – | 2% |
University of New Hampshire [906] | Oct 24–28, 2020 | 864 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 45% | 53% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [904] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 1,791 (LV) | – | 44% | 55% | - | – | – |
Saint Anselm College [907] | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 1,018 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 52% | 2% | – | 2% |
YouGov/UMass Amherst [908] | Oct 16–26, 2020 | 757 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 43% | 53% | 2% | 1% [pu] | 2% |
University of New Hampshire [909] | Oct 9–12, 2020 | 899 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 43% | 55% | 0% | 0% [pv] | 2% |
Suffolk University/Boston Globe [910] | Oct 8–12, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 41% | 51% | 2% | 3% [pw] | 5% |
Saint Anselm College [911] | Oct 1–4, 2020 | 1,147 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 41% | 53% | - | 4% [ev] | 2% |
Emerson College [912] | Sep 30 – Oct 1, 2020 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 45% [ai] | 53% | - | 2% [px] | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [904] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 637 (LV) | – | 43% | 55% | - | – | 2% |
American Research Group [913] | Sep 25–28, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 44% | 53% | 1% | – | 2% |
University of New Hampshire [914] | Sep 24–28, 2020 | 972 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 53% | 1% | 0% [pv] | 3% |
Pulse Opinion Research/Center for American Greatness [915] [H] | Sep 23–25, 2020 | 850 (LV) | ± 4% | 42% [ai] | 56% | - | 1% [py] | 1% |
YouGov/UMass Lowell [916] | Sep 17–25, 2020 | 657 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 44% [pz] | 52% | 1% | 2% [qa] | 1% |
44% [qb] | 53% | - | 0% [pv] | 1% | ||||
Siena College/NYT Upshot [917] | Sep 8–11, 2020 | 445 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 42% | 45% | 4% | 2% [qc] | 7% [qd] |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [904] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 444 (LV) | – | 39% | 60% | - | – | 1% |
Saint Anselm College [918] | Aug 15–17, 2020 | 1,042 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 51% | - | 4% [ev] | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [904] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 574 (LV) | – | 39% | 60% | - | – | 2% |
University of New Hampshire [919] | Jul 16–28, 2020 | 1,893 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 40% | 53% | - | 4% [qe] | 3% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [904] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 191 (LV) | – | 39% | 61% | - | – | 1% |
University of New Hampshire [919] | Jun 18–22, 2020 | 936 (LV) | – | 39% | 52% | - | 6% [qf] | 3% |
Saint Anselm College [920] | Jun 13–16, 2020 | 1,072 (RV) | ± 3% | 42% | 49% | - | 5% | 3% |
University of New Hampshire [919] | May 14–18, 2020 | 790 (LV) | – | 46% | 44% | - | 5% [qg] | 5% |
Saint Anselm College [921] | Apr 23–27, 2020 | 820 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 42% | 50% | - | 2% | 7% |
University of New Hampshire [922] | Feb 19–25, 2020 | 569 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 46% | 44% | - | 8% [qh] | 2% |
AtlasIntel [923] | Feb 8–10, 2020 | 1,100 (RV) | ± 3% | 46% | 44% | - | 11% | – |
McLaughlin & Associates/NH Journal [924] | Feb 4–5, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 49% [qi] | 45% | - | – [qj] | – [qj] |
Marist College/NBC News [925] | Jan 20–23, 2020 | 2,223 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 43% | 51% | - | 2% | 5% |
Emerson College [926] | Nov 23–26, 2019 | 637 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 48% | 52% | - | – | – |
547 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 42% | 46% | - | – | 13% | ||
Saint Anselm College [927] | Nov 13–18, 2019 | 512 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 43% | 51% | - | – | 6% |
Emerson College [928] | Sep 6–9, 2019 | 1,041 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 55% | - | – | – |
Gravis Marketing [929] | Aug 2–6, 2019 | 505 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 40% | 53% | - | – | 7% |
Emerson College [930] | Feb 21–22, 2019 | 910 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 45% | 55% | - | – | – |
American Research Group [931] | Mar 21–27, 2018 | 1,365 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 53% | - | – | 8% |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win [932] | October 9 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 56.5% | 37.3% | 6.2% | Biden +19.2 |
Real Clear Politics [933] | September 4 – October 13, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 54.7% | 37.3% | 8.0% | Biden +17.4 |
FiveThirtyEight [934] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 58.4% | 37.9% | 3.7% | Biden +20.4 |
Average | 56.5% | 37.5% | 7.8% | Biden +19.0 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [dk] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios [935] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 3,870 (LV) | ± 2% | 38% [qk] | 59% | - | - | – | – |
Research Co. [936] | Oct 31 – Nov 1, 2020 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 40% | 59% | - | - | 1% [ql] | 5% |
Swayable [937] | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 324 (LV) | ± 7.2% | 40% | 59% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [935] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 6,472 (LV) | – | 37% | 60% | - | - | – | – |
Swayable [938] | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 386 (LV) | ± 6.5% | 38% | 62% | 0% | 0% | – | – |
Rutgers-Eagleton [939] | Oct 19–24, 2020 | 834 (LV) | ± 4% | 37% | 59% | - | - | 1% [qm] | 1% |
Stockton College [940] | Oct 7–13, 2020 | 721 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 36% | 56% | - | - | – | – |
DKC Analytics/Brach Eichler [941] | Oct 5–13, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 34% | 56% | - | - | 10% [qn] | – |
Fairleigh Dickinson University [942] | Sep 30 – Oct 5, 2020 | 582 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 38% | 53% | - | - | 5% [qo] | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [935] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 2,952 (LV) | – | 37% | 60% | - | - | – | 3% |
DKC Analytics/Brach Eichler [943] | Sep 8–16, 2020 | 501 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 38% | 52% | - | - | 10% [qn] | – |
Emerson College [944] | Sep 4–7, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 40% [qp] | 58% | - | - | 2% [qq] | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [935] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 2,309 (LV) | – | 40% | 57% | - | - | – | 3% |
DKC Analytics/Brach Eichler [945] | Aug 5–13, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.383% | 33% | 52% | - | - | 15% [qr] | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [935] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 2,426 (LV) | – | 37% | 61% | - | - | – | 2% |
Pollfish/DKC Analytics/Brach Eichler [946] | Jul 7–12, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.383% | 33% | 51% | - | - | 7% [qs] | 8% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [935] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 1,110 (LV) | – | 37% | 61% | - | - | – | 3% |
Quinnipiac [947] | Apr 30 – May 4, 2020 | 941 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 35% | 54% | - | - | 3% [qt] | 8% |
Rutgers-Eagleton [948] | Apr 22 – May 2, 2020 | 689 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 33% | 56% | - | - | 5% [qu] | 7% |
Monmouth University [949] | Apr 16–19, 2020 | 635 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 38% | 54% | - | - | 2% | 6% |
Fairleigh Dickinson University [950] | Feb 12–16, 2020 | 715 (RV) | – | 35% | 53% | - | - | – | – |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win [951] | October 6 – November 1, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 53.5% | 40.5% | 6.0% | Biden +13.0 |
FiveThirtyEight [952] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 53.8% | 42.3% | 3.9% | Biden +11.5 |
Average | 53.7% | 41.4% | 4.9% | Biden +12.3 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [dk] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios [953] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 1,481 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 42% [qv] | 56% | – | – | – | – |
Research & Polling Inc./Albuquerque Journal [954] | Oct 23–29, 2020 | 1,180 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 42% | 54% | – | – | 3% [qw] | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [953] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 2,719 (LV) | – | 46% | 52% | – | – | – | – |
GBAO Strategies/GBAO Strategies/Ben Ray Luján (D) [955] [BZ] | Oct 14–17, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 54% | – | – | – | – |
Public Policy Polling/NM Political Report [956] | Sep 30 – Oct 1, 2020 | 886 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 39% | 53% | 2% | – | 2% [qx] | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [953] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 1,015 (LV) | – | 44% | 54% | – | – | – | 1% |
Research & Polling Inc./Albuquerque Journal [957] | Aug 26 – Sep 2, 2020 | 1,123 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 39% | 54% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [953] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 1,087 (LV) | – | 43% | 56% | – | – | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [953] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 904 (LV) | – | 48% | 49% | – | – | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [953] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 506 (LV) | – | 50% | 49% | – | – | – | 1% |
Public Policy Polling/NM Political Report [958] | Jun 12–13, 2020 | 740 (V) | ± 3.6% | 39% | 53% | – | – | – | 8% |
Public Policy Polling/The Majority Institute [959] [CA] | Apr 20–21, 2020 | 1,091 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 40% | 52% | – | – | – | – |
Emerson College [960] | Jan 3–6, 2020 | 967 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 46% | 54% | – | – | – | – |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Real Clear Politics [961] | April 30 – September 29, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 59.7% | 31.0% | 9.3% | Biden +28.7 |
FiveThirtyEight [962] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 62.3% | 32.9% | 4.8% | Biden +29.4 |
Average | 61.0% | 32.0% | 7.1% | Biden +29.1 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [dk] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios [963] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 6,548 (LV) | ± 2% | 35% [qy] | 63% | – | – | – | – |
Research Co. [964] | Oct 31 – Nov 1, 2020 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 34% | 64% | - | - | 2% [qz] | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [963] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 10,220 (LV) | – | 34% | 63% | - | - | – | – |
Swayable [965] | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 495 (LV) | ± 5.8% | 33% | 65% | 1% | 1% | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [963] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 10,007 (LV) | – | 34% | 64% | - | - | – | 2% |
Siena College [966] [ permanent dead link ] | Sep 27–29, 2020 | 504 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 29% | 61% | 0% | 1% | 2% [ra] | 7% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [963] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 9,969 (LV) | – | 34% | 64% | - | - | – | 2% |
Public Policy Polling [967] | Aug 20–22, 2020 | 1,029 (V) | ± 3.1% | 32% | 63% | - | - | – | 5% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [963] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 10,280 (LV) | – | 34% | 63% | - | - | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [963] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 4,555 (LV) | – | 33% | 65% | - | - | – | 2% |
Siena College [968] | Jun 23–25, 2020 | 806 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 32% | 57% | - | - | – | 10% |
Siena College [969] | May 17–21, 2020 | 767 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 32% | 57% | - | - | – | 11% |
Quinnipiac University [970] | Apr 30 – May 4, 2020 | 915 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 32% | 55% | - | - | 5% [rb] | 8% |
Siena College [971] | Apr 19–23, 2020 | 803 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 29% | 65% | - | - | – | 6% |
Siena College [972] | Mar 22–26, 2020 | 566 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 33% | 58% | - | - | – | 10% |
Siena College [973] | Feb 16–20, 2020 | 658 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 36% | 55% | - | - | – | 5% |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win [974] | October 31 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 47.8% | 47.5% | 4.7% | Biden +0.3 |
Real Clear Politics [975] | October 26 – November 1, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 47.6% | 47.8% | 4.6% | Trump +0.2 |
FiveThirtyEight [976] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 48.9% | 47.1% | 4.0% | Biden +1.8 |
Average | 48.1% | 47.5% | 4.4% | Biden +0.6 |
June 1 – October 31, 2020
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [dk] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios [977] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 5,363 (LV) | ± 2% | 48% [rc] | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC [978] | Oct 29 – Nov 1, 2020 | 473 (LV) | ± 4.51% | 47% | 49% | 2% | 1% | – | 1% |
Swayable [979] | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 690 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 46% | 52% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
Ipsos/Reuters [980] | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 707 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 48% [o] | 49% | 1% | 1% | 2% [rd] | – |
48% [re] | 49% | - | - | 3% [af] | 1% | ||||
48% [rf] | 50% | - | - | 2% [dv] | – | ||||
Data for Progress [981] | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 908 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 48% | 50% | 1% | 1% | 0% [rg] | – |
Frederick Polls/Compete Everywhere [982] [CB] | Oct 30–31, 2020 | 676 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 49% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
AtlasIntel [983] | Oct 30–31, 2020 | 812 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 48% | - | - | 3% | – |
Insider Advantage/Center for American Greatness [984] [H] | Oct 30–31, 2020 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 48% | 44% | 2% | - | – | 7% |
Emerson College [985] | Oct 29–31, 2020 | 855 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 47% [ai] | 47% | - | - | 6% [rh] | – |
Morning Consult [986] | Oct 22–31, 2020 | 1,982 (LV) | ± 2% | 48% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
CNN/SSRS [987] | Oct 23–30, 2020 | 901 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 45% | 51% | 2% | 1% | 1% [ri] | 1% |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports [988] | Oct 28–29, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 47% | - | - | 2% [dv] | – |
Trafalgar Group [989] | Oct 27–29, 2020 | 1,082 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 49% | 47% | 3% | - | 1% [do] | 1% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [990] | Oct 26–29, 2020 | 1,489 (LV) | – | 47% | 49% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 2% |
Harvard-Harris/The Hill [991] | Oct 26–29, 2020 | 903 (LV) | – | 48% | 49% | - | - | – | 3% |
East Carolina University [992] | Oct 27–28, 2020 | 1,103 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 48% [ai] | 50% | - | - | 2% [rj] | 0% [rk] |
Cardinal Point Analytics (R)/NSJ [993] | Oct 27–28, 2020 | 750 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 48% | 46% | 1% | 1% | 2% [rl] | 2% |
Marist College/NBC [994] | Oct 25–28, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 46% | 52% | - | - | 2% | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [977] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 8,720 (LV) | – | 47% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Gravis Marketing [995] | Oct 26–27, 2020 | 614 (LV) | ± 4% | 46% | 49% | - | - | – | 4% |
Public Policy Polling/Protect Our Care [996] [CC] | Oct 26–27, 2020 | 937 (V) | ± 3.2% | 47% | 51% | - | - | – | 3% |
Meeting Street Insights/Carolina Partnership for Reform (R) [997] | Oct 24–27, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 45% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Siena College/NYT Upshot [998] | Oct 23–27, 2020 | 1,034 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 45% | 48% | 2% | 1% | 0% [dx] | 4% [ol] |
Ipsos/Reuters [999] | Oct 21–27, 2020 | 647 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% [o] | 49% | 1% | 1% | 1% [rm] | – |
48% [re] | 49% | - | - | 2% [r] | 1% | ||||
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ [1000] | Oct 24–26, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% [o] | 48% | - | - | 3% [rn] | 2% |
46% [dz] | 50% | - | - | 3% [rn] | 2% | ||||
49% [ea] | 47% | - | - | 3% [rn] | 2% | ||||
Swayable [1001] | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 396 (LV) | ± 6.8% | 48% | 50% | 2% | 0% | – | – |
SurveyUSA/WRAL-TV [1002] | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 627 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 48% | 48% | - | - | 2% [dv] | 2% |
YouGov/UMass Amherst [1003] | Oct 20–26, 2020 | 911 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 48% | 48% | 1% | 0% | 1% [ro] | 2% |
Wick Surveys [1004] | Oct 24–25, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 49% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
Harper Polling/Harper Polling/Civitas (R) [1005] | Oct 22–25, 2020 | 504 (LV) | ± 4.37% | 46% | 47% | 1% | 0% | 0% [rp] | 6% |
YouGov/CBS [1006] | Oct 20–23, 2020 | 1,022 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 47% | 51% | – | – | 2% [rq] | 0% |
Trafalgar Group [1007] | Oct 20–22, 2020 | 1,098 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 48.8% | 46% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% [rr] | 1.7% |
Citizen Data [1008] | Oct 17–20, 2020 | 1000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 50% | 1% | 0.2% | 1.3% | 3.6% |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports [1009] | Oct 20–21, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 47% | - | - | 2% [dv] | 3% |
Ipsos/Reuters [1010] | Oct 14–20, 2020 | 660 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 47% [o] | 49% | 1% | 1% | 1% [rm] | – |
46% [re] | 49% | - | - | 2% [r] | 2% | ||||
Morning Consult [986] | Oct 11–20, 2020 | 1,904 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 47% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Meredith College [1011] | Oct 16–19, 2020 | 732 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 48% | 1% | 1% | 0% [rs] | 4% |
Change Research/CNBC [1012] | Oct 16–19, 2020 | 521 (LV) [al] | – | 47% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Data for Progress (D) [1013] | Oct 15–18, 2020 | 929 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 44% | 48% | 1% | 1% | – | 5% |
East Carolina University [1014] | Oct 15–18, 2020 | 1,155 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 47% [ai] | 51% | - | - | 2% [rt] | 0% |
ABC/Washington Post [1015] | Oct 12–17, 2020 | 646 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 48% [o] | 49% | 1% | 0% [rk] | 0% [ru] | 1% |
48% [rv] | 50% | - | - | 0% [ru] | 1% | ||||
Emerson College [1016] | Oct 11–14, 2020 | 721 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 49% [ai] | 49% | - | - | 2% [ah] | – |
Civiqs/Daily Kos [1017] | Oct 11–14, 2020 | 1,211 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 46% | 51% | - | - | 2% [ah] | 1% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [65] | Oct 10–13, 2020 | 994 (LV) | – | 46% [al] | 49% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
Siena College/NYT Upshot [1018] | Oct 9–13, 2020 | 627 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 42% | 46% | 2% | 1% | 1% [rw] | 8% [ol] |
Ipsos/Reuters [1019] | Oct 7–13, 2020 | 660 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 48% [o] | 48% | 2% | 0% | 1% [rm] | – |
47% [re] | 48% | - | - | 3% [af] | 3% | ||||
Monmouth University [1020] | Oct 8–11, 2020 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 49% | 3% | 0% | 0% [rx] | 2% |
500 (LV) [ry] | 46% | 50% | - | - | 2% | 2% | |||
500 (LV) [rz] | 48% | 49% | - | - | 2% | 1% | |||
SurveyUSA/WRAL-TV [1021] | Oct 8–11, 2020 | 669 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 45% | 50% | - | - | 2% [dv] | 3% |
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc./American Greatness PAC [1022] [H] | Oct 7–11, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 46% | 48% | 2% | - | 1% [sa] | 4% |
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ [1023] | Oct 7–11, 2020 | 800 (LV) | – | 45% [o] | 47% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 4% |
43% [dz] | 49% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 4% | ||||
47% [ea] | 44% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 4% | ||||
Morning Consult [1024] | Oct 2–11, 2020 | 1,993 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 46% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
YouGov/CCES [1025] | Sep 29 – Oct 7, 2020 | 1,627 (LV) | – | 45% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [65] | Oct 9–10, 2020 | 750 (LV) | – | 42% [al] | 49% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [1026] | Oct 4–6, 2020 | 938 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 44% | 49% | 1% | 0% | 0% [lw] | 5% |
Ipsos/Reuters [1027] | Sep 29 – Oct 6, 2020 | 693 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 47% | 47% | - | - | 2% [r] | 3% |
Public Policy Polling [1028] | Oct 4–5, 2020 | 911 (V) | – | 46% | 50% | - | - | – | 3% |
Data For Progress (D) [1029] | Sep 30 – Oct 5, 2020 | 1,285 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 44% | 51% | 2% | 0% | – | 3% |
Change Research/CNBC [1030] | Oct 2–4, 2020 | 396 (LV) | – | 47% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
East Carolina University [1031] | Oct 2–4, 2020 | 1,232 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 46% | 50% | - | - | 2% [sb] | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [977] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 3,495 (LV) | – | 46% | 52% | - | - | – | 2% |
ALG Research/Piedmont Rising [1032] [CD] | Sep 22–28, 2020 | 822 (V) | – | 47% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Hart Research Associates/Human Rights Campaign [1033] [CE] | Sep 24–27, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 47% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [1034] | Sep 23–26, 2020 | 1,097 (LV) | ± 2.96% | 45% | 47% | 2% | 0% | 1% [aw] | 6% |
YouGov/CBS [1035] | Sep 22–25, 2020 | 1,213 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 46% | 48% | - | - | 2% [sc] | 4% |
YouGov/UMass Lowell [1036] | Sep 18–25, 2020 | 921 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 47% [o] | 47% | 2% | 1% | 0% [sd] | 2% |
49% [se] | 48% | - | - | 2% [sf] | 2% | ||||
Meredith College [1037] | Sep 18–22, 2020 | 705 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 45% | 46% | 2% | 0% | 1% [sg] | 6% |
Change Research/CNBC [1038] | Sep 18–20, 2020 | 579 (LV) | – | 46% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Harper Polling/Harper Polling/Civitas (R) [1039] | Sep 17–20, 2020 | 612 (LV) | ± 3.96% | 45% | 44% | 2% | 0% | 0% [rs] | 8% |
Emerson College [1040] | Sep 16–18, 2020 | 717 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 49% [ai] | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Siena College/NYT Upshot [1041] | Sep 11–16, 2020 | 653 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 44% | 45% | 2% | 1% | 0% [dx] | 8% [ol] |
Ipsos/Reuters [1042] | Sep 11–16, 2020 | 586 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 47% | 47% | - | - | 3% [af] | 3% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [1043] | Sep 12–15, 2020 | 1,092 (LV) | ± 2.97% | 45% | 47% | 1% | 1% | 0% [lw] | 5% |
Suffolk University/USA Today [1044] | Sep 11–14, 2020 | 500 (LV) | – | 42.8% | 46.2% | 4.8% | 0.2% | 1.8% [sh] | 4.2% |
SurveyUSA/WRAL TV [1045] | Sep 10–13, 2020 | 596 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 47% | 47% | - | - | 2% [dv] | 5% |
CNN/SSRS [1046] | Sep 9–13, 2020 | 787 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 46% | 49% | 2% | 1% | 0% [si] | 2% |
Kaiser Family Foundation/Cook Political Report [1047] | Aug 29 – Sep 13, 2020 | 1,172 (RV) | ± 3% | 43% | 45% | - | - | 4% [sj] | 9% |
Trafalgar [1048] | Sep 9–11, 2020 | 1,046 (LV) | ± 3% | 47.8% | 46.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 1.5% [sk] | 2.5% |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports [1049] | Sep 7–8, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3% | 49% [ai] | 48% | - | - | 3% [sl] | – |
Benenson Strategy Group/GS Group/AARP [1050] | Aug 28 – Sep 8, 2020 | 1,600 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 48% | 48% | - | - | 1% [sm] | 4% |
Morning Consult [1051] | Aug 29 – Sep 7, 2020 | 1,592 (LV) | ± (2%-4%) | 47% [sn] | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC [1052] | Sep 4–6, 2020 | 442 (LV) | – | 47% | 49% | - | - | 4% [so] | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [1053] | Aug 30 – Sep 3, 2020 | 951 (LV) | ± 3.18% | 44% | 43% | 1% | 1% | 1% [aw] | 9% |
Monmouth University [1054] | Aug 29 – Sep 1, 2020 | 401 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 47% | 3% | 0% | 1% [sp] | 3% |
401 (LV) [sq] | 46% | 48% | - | - | 3% | 3% | |||
401 (LV) [sr] | 46% | 48% | - | - | 3% | 3% | |||
Fox News [1055] | Aug 29 – Sep 1, 2020 | 722 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 50% | 1% | 0% | 0% [ss] | 2% |
804 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 45% | 49% | 2% | 1% | 2% [st] | 3% | ||
SurveyMonkey/Axios [977] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 2,914 (LV) | – | 51% | 48% | - | - | – | 2% |
East Carolina University [1056] | Aug 29–30, 2020 | 1,101 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 49% | 47% | - | - | 2% [dv] | 3% |
Morning Consult [100] | Aug 21–30, 2020 | 1,567 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 47% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC [1057] | Aug 21–23, 2020 | 560 (LV) | – | 47% | 48% | – | – | – | – |
Morning Consult [1058] | Aug 14–23, 2020 | 1,541 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 46% | 49% | – | – | 1% [do] | 3% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [1059] | Aug 16–17, 2020 | 967 (LV) | ± 3.09% | 46% | 44% | 2% | 0% | 1% [aw] | 7% |
Morning Consult [100] | Aug 7–16, 2020 | 1,493 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 46% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
East Carolina University [1060] | Aug 12–13, 2020 | 1,255 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 47% | 47% | – | – | 3% [su] | 4% |
Emerson College [1061] | Aug 8–10, 2020 | 673 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 51% [sv] | 49% | – | – | – | – |
Harper Polling/Civitas [1062] | Aug 6–10, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 45% | 2% | 1% | 1% [sg] | 7% |
Change Research/CNBC [1063] | Aug 7–9, 2020 | 493 (LV) | – | 48% | 47% | – | – | – | – |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports/American Greatness PAC [1064] [H] | Aug 6–8, 2020 | 750 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 48% [al] | 47% | – | – | – | – |
Data for Progress [1065] | Jul 24 – Aug 2, 2020 | 1,170 (LV) | – | 45% | 49% | – | – | – | 6% |
44% | 46% | 2% | 1% | – | 7% | ||||
Public Policy Polling/Giffords [1066] [CF] | Jul 30–31, 2020 | 934 (V) | – | 46% | 49% | – | – | – | 6% |
YouGov/CBS [1067] | Jul 28–31, 2020 | 1,129 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 44% | 48% | – | – | 2% [sw] | 5% |
HIT Strategies/DFER [1068] [CG] | Jul 23–31, 2020 | 400 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 37% | 47% | – | – | 4% [sx] | 10% [ol] |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [977] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 3,466 (LV) | – | 50% | 49% | - | - | – | 2% |
Change Research/CNBC [1069] | Jul 24–26, 2020 | 284 (LV) | – | 46% | 49% | – | – | – | – |
Morning Consult [1070] | Jul 17–26, 2020 | 1,504 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 47% | 47% | – | – | – | – |
Public Policy Polling/AFSCME [1071] [F] | Jul 23–24, 2020 | 884 (V) | – | 46% | 49% | – | – | – | 5% |
Cardinal Point Analytics [1072] | Jul 22–24, 2020 | 735 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 48% | 47% | 1% | – | – | 4% |
Zogby Analytics [1073] | Jul 21–23, 2020 | 809 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 40% | 44% | 4% | 1% | – | 11% |
Marist College/NBC News [1074] | Jul 14–22, 2020 | 882 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 51% | – | – | 2% | 4% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [1075] | Jul 19–21, 2020 | 919 (LV) | – | 42% | 43% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 11% |
Spry Strategies/American Principles Project [1076] [CH] | Jul 11–16, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 49% | 46% | – | – | – | 5% |
Cardinal Point Analytics [1077] | Jul 13–15, 2020 | 547 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 49% | 48% | 1% | – | – | 3% |
Change Research/CNBC [1078] | Jul 10–12, 2020 | 655 (LV) | – | 46% | 47% | – | – | – | – |
Public Policy Polling [1079] | Jul 7–8, 2020 | 818 (V) | ± 3.4% | 46% | 50% | – | – | – | 5% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [977] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 1,498 (LV) | – | 49% | 49% | - | - | – | 1% |
Change Research/CNBC [1080] | Jun 26–28, 2020 | 468 (LV) [al] | – | 44% | 51% | – | – | – | – |
East Carolina University [1081] | Jun 22–25, 2020 | 1,149 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 44% | 45% | – | – | 7% [sy] | 4% |
Public Policy Polling [1082] | Jun 22–23, 2020 | 1,157 (V) | – | 46% | 48% | – | – | – | 6% |
Fox News [1083] | Jun 20–23, 2020 | 1,012 (RV) | ± 3% | 45% | 47% | – | – | 5% [sz] | 3% |
NYT Upshot/Siena College [1084] | Jun 8–18, 2020 | 653 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 40% | 49% | – | – | 4% [ta] | 7% |
Gravis Marketing/OANN [1085] | Jun 17, 2020 | 631 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 46% | 43% | – | – | – | 10% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [1086] | Jun 14–17, 2020 | 902 (LV) | ± 3.26% | 40% | 46% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 11% |
Change Research/CNBC [1087] | Jun 12–14, 2020 | 378 (LV) [al] | – | 45% | 47% | 1% | 1% | – | – |
Public Policy Polling [1088] | Jun 2–3, 2020 | 913 (V) | ± 3.2% | 45% | 49% | – | – | – | 6% |
Polls with a sample size of <100 have their sample size entries marked in red to indicate a lack of reliability.
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic-NPL | Donald J. Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win [1089] | September 26 – October 17, 2020 | October 19, 2020 | 38.0% | 57.5% | 4.5% | Trump +19.5 |
FiveThirtyEight [1090] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 38.7% | 56.0% | 5.3% | Trump +17.3 |
Average | 38.4% | 56.8% | 4.8% | Trump +18.4 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [dk] | Margin of error | Donald J. Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic-NPL | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1091] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 402 (LV) | ± 7% | 59% [tb] | 39% | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1091] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 700 (LV) | – | 57% | 42% | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1091] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 249 (LV) | – | 63% | 34% | – | – | 3% |
DFM Research/North Dakota Voters First [1092] | Sep 26–29, 2020 | 460 (A) | ± 4.6% | 51% | 37% | – | 4% [tc] | 7% |
DFM Research/North Dakota Voters First [1093] | Sep 12–16, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 56% | 37% | – | 3% [td] | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1091] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 269 (LV) | – | 66% | 32% | – | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1091] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 261 (LV) | – | 63% | 36% | – | – | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1091] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 88 (LV) | – | 71% | 28% | – | – | 1% |
DFM Research [1094] | Mar 3–5, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 55% | 38% | – | 2% | 5% |
DFM Research [1095] | Jan 28 – Feb 1, 2020 | 600 (A) | ± 4.0% | 59% | 34% | – | 2% | 5% |
1892 Polling/Doug Burgum [1096] [CI] | Jul 15–17, 2019 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 60% | 34% | – | – | – |
DFM Research [1097] | May 14–18, 2019 | 400 (A) | ± 4.9% | 54% | 39% | – | 2% | 5% |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win [1098] | November 1–2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 46.7% | 47.6% | 5.7% | Trump +0.9 |
Real Clear Politics [1099] | October 28, 2020 – November 1, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 46.3% | 47.3% | 6.4% | Trump +1.0 |
FiveThirtyEight [1100] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 46.6% | 47.5% | 5.7% | Trump +0.8 |
Average | 46.6% | 47.5% | 5.9% | Trump +0.9 |
June 1, 2020 – October 31, 2020
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [dk] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1101] | Oct 20 – Nov 2 | 6,025 (LV) | ± 2% | 51% [te] | 47% | – | – | – | – |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports [1102] | Oct 31 – Nov 1 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 45% | – | – | 3% [ac] | – |
Research Co. [1103] | Oct 31 – Nov 1 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 47% | 47% | – | – | 2% [ah] | 4% |
Swayable [1104] | Oct 27 – Nov 1 | 516 (LV) | ± 5.8% | 52% | 47% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
Civiqs/Daily Kos [1105] | Oct 29 – Nov 1 | 1,136 (LV) | ± 3% | 49% | 48% | – | – | 1% [do] | 1% |
Quinnipiac University [1106] | Oct 28 – Nov 1 | 1,440 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 43% | 47% | – | – | 2% [ah] | 8% |
Survey Monkey/Tableau [1101] | Oct 20 – Nov 1 | 5,305 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 50% | 47% | – | – | – | |
Trafalgar Group [1107] | Oct 30–31 | 1,041 (LV) | ± 2.96% | 49% | 44% | – | – | – | – |
Emerson College [1108] | Oct 29–31 | 656 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 49% [ai] | 50% | – | – | 2% [ah] | – |
Morning Consult [1109] | Oct 22–31 | 2,179 (LV) | ± 2% | 49% | 47% | – | – | – | – |
AtlasIntel [1110] | Oct 29–30 | 660 (LV) | ± 4% | 50% | 47% | – | – | 3% | – |
Gravis Marketing [1111] | Oct 27–28 | 613 (LV) | ± 4% | 49% | 47% | – | – | – | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1101] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 8,089 (LV) | – | 51% | 47% | – | – | – | – |
Quinnipiac University [1112] | Oct 23–27 | 1,186 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 43% | 48% | – | – | 1% [do] | 8% |
Swayable [1113] | Oct 23–26 | 440 (LV) | ± 6.3% | 55% | 44% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
Wick Surveys [1114] | Oct 24–25 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 49% | 47% | – | – | – | – |
Citizen Data [1115] | Oct 17–20 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3% | 44% | 43% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 8% |
Fox News [1116] | Oct 17–20 | 1,018 (LV) | ± 3% | 48% | 45% | 3% | 1% | 1% [tf] | 3% |
Morning Consult [1109] | Oct 11–20 | 2,271 (LV) | ± 2.1% | 49% | 47% | – | – | – | – |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports [1117] | Oct 18–19 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 48% | – | – | 2% [dv] | 4% |
Quinnipiac University [1118] | Oct 8–12 | 1,160 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 47% | 48% | – | – | 2% [ah] | 4% |
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising [1119] [AZ] | Oct 8–11 | 586 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 50% | 47% | – | – | 2% [ah] | 1% |
Morning Consult [1109] | Oct 2–11 | 2,283 (LV) | ± 2.1% | 49% | 46% | – | – | – | – |
Baldwin Wallace University [1120] | Sep 30 – Oct 8 | 1,009 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 47% | 45% | 1% | 0% | 1% [tg] | 5% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot [1121] | Oct 2–6 | 661 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 44% | 45% | 2% | 1% | 0% [th] | 7% [ti] |
Trafalgar Group [1122] | Oct 1–3 | 1,035 (LV) | ± 2.97% | 48% | 44% | 3% | 1% | 1% [do] | 4% |
YouGov/CBS [1123] | Sep 30 – Oct 2 | 1,114 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 47% | – | – | 1% [tj] | 5% |
OnMessage Inc./American Action Forum [1124] [J] | Sep 28 – Oct 1 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 48% | 47% | 2% | 1% | 0% [tk] | 3% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1101] | Sep 1–30 | 4,012 (LV) | – | 51% | 47% | – | – | – | 2% |
Hart Research Associates/Human Rights Campaign [1125] [CJ] | Sep 24–27 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 49% | 47% | – | – | – | – |
Fox News [1126] | Sep 20–23 | 830 (LV) | ± 3% | 45% | 50% | 1% | 1% | 0% [tl] | 2% |
907 (RV) | ± 3% | 44% | 49% | 1% | 2% | 2% [tm] | 3% | ||
Quinnipiac University [1127] | Sep 17–21 | 1,078 (LV) | ± 3% | 47% | 48% | – | – | 2% | 4% |
Baldwin Wallace University [1128] | Sep 9–22 | 1,011 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 44% | 45% | 2% | 0% | 1% [tg] | 7% |
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising [1129] [AZ] | Sep 11–15 | 556 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 48% [tn] | 45% | – | – | 5% [to] | 1% |
Morning Consult [1130] | Aug 29 – Sep 7 | 1,963 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 50% [tp] | 45% | – | – | – | – |
OnMessage Inc./American Action Forum [1131] [J] | Aug 31 – Sep 3 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 51% | 45% | – | – | 2% [tm] | 3% |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports [1132] | Sep 1–2 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3% | 47% [ai] | 51% | – | – | 3% [ac] | – |
ALG Research/Progressive Policy Institute [1133] [CK] | Aug 26 – Sep 1 | 500 (LV) | – | 46% | 48% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1101] | Aug 1–31 | 3,220 (LV) | – | 51% | 48% | – | – | – | 2% |
Morning Consult [1134] | Aug 21–30 | 1,811 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 50% | 45% | – | – | – | – |
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising [1135] [AZ] | Aug 13–17 | 631 (RV) | – | 47% | 47% | – | – | 4% [tq] | 2% |
Morning Consult [1134] | Aug 7–16 | 1,744 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 49% | 45% | – | – | – | – |
TargetSmart/Progress Ohio [1136] [CL] | Jul 28 – Aug 3 | 1,249 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 46% | 47% | – | – | 8% [tr] | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1101] | Jul 1–31 | 3,694 (LV) | – | 52% | 46% | – | – | – | 2% |
Morning Consult [1137] | Jul 17–26 | 1,741 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 48% | 45% | – | – | – | – |
YouGov/CBS [1138] | Jul 21–24 | 1,211 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 46% | 45% | – | – | 2% [ts] | 7% |
Zogby Analytics [1139] | Jul 21–23 | 805 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 41% | 43% | 4% | 1% | – | 11% |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports/AGPAC [1140] [H] | Jul 15–16 | 750 (LV) | ± 4% | 46% | 50% | – | – | 2% [dv] | 2% |
University of Akron [1141] | Jun 24 – Jul 15 | 1,037 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 46% | – | – | 6% [tt] | 6% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1101] | Jun 8–30 | 1,610 (LV) | – | 50% | 49% | – | – | – | 1% |
Quinnipiac [1142] | Jun 18–22 | 1,139 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 45% | 46% | – | – | 4% [tu] | 5% |
Fox News [1143] | May 30 – Jun 2 | 803 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 43% | 45% | – | – | 6% [tv] | 6% |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win [1144] | October 17–21, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 38.5% | 58.5% | 3.0% | Trump +20.0 |
FiveThirtyEight [1145] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 36.2% | 59.2% | 4.6% | Trump +23.0 |
Average | 37.4% | 58.9% | 3.7% | Trump +21.5 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [dk] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1146] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 1,902 (LV) | ± 3% | 65% [tw] | 35% | – | ||
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1146] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 3,191 (LV) | – | 59% | 40% | – | – | – |
SoonerPoll/News 9/News on 6 [1147] | Oct 15–20, 2020 | 5,466 (LV) | ± 1.33% | 59% | 37% | 1% | 2% [tx] | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1146] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 1,174 (LV) | – | 63% | 35% | – | – | 2% |
Amber Integrated [1148] | Sep 17–20, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.38% | 55% | 33% | 1% | 5% [ty] | 6% |
SoonerPoll/News9 [1149] | Sep 2–8, 2020 | 486 (LV) | ± 4.45% | 60% | 35% | – | 1% [tx] | 4% |
SoonerPoll [1150] | Aug 13–31, 2020 | 379 (LV) | ± 5.03% | 60% | 35% | – | 2% [tz] | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1146] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 1,009 (LV) | – | 64% | 35% | – | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1146] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 1,410 (LV) | – | 64% | 34% | – | – | 4% |
DFM Research/Abby Broyles for US Senate [1151] [CM] | Jul 29–30, 2020 | 572 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 56% | 36% | – | 5% [ua] | 3% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1146] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 591 (LV) | – | 61% | 37% | – | – | 1% |
Amber Integrated [1152] | Jun 3–4, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 55% | 36% | – | 4% [ub] | 5% |
Amber Integrated [1153] | Mar 5–8, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 57% | 33% | – | 4% | 5% |
Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associates/OK Sooner [1154] | Feb 10–13, 2020 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 62% | 34% | – | – | 4% |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win [1155] | September 26 – October 17, 2020 | October 20, 2020 | 58.0% | 38.5% | 3.5% | Biden +19.5 |
FiveThirtyEight [1156] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 58.7% | 37.4% | 3.9% | Biden +21.3 |
Average | 58.4% | 38.0% | 3.7% | Biden +20.4 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [dk] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Pacific Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1157] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 3,543 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 39% [uc] | 59% | – | – | – | – |
Swayable [1158] | Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2020 | 324 (LV) | ± 7.3% | 37% | 60% | 1% | 1% | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1157] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 5,422 (LV) | – | 38% | 61% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1157] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 2,109 (LV) | – | 38% | 61% | – | – | – | 2% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos [1159] | Sep 26–29, 2020 | 944 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 39% | 56% | – | – | 3% [ud] | 2% |
DHM Research [1160] | Sep 3–8, 2020 | 502 (LV) | ± 4% | 39% | 51% | – | – | 6% [ue] | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1157] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 1,648 (LV) | – | 38% | 60% | – | – | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1157] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 1,890 (LV) | – | 38% | 61% | – | – | – | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1157] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 872 (LV) | – | 39% | 59% | – | – | – | 2% |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win [1161] | October 22 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 49.4% | 45.7% | 4.9% | Biden +3.7 |
Real Clear Politics [1162] | October 29 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 48.7% | 47.5% | 3.8% | Biden +1.2 |
FiveThirtyEight [1163] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 50.2% | 45.6% | 4.2% | Biden +4.6 |
Average | 49.4% | 46.3% | 4.3% | Biden +3.1 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [dk] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. [1164] | Nov 1–2 | 499 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 49% [ai] | 48% | 1% | - | 0% [uf] | 0% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1165] | Oct 20 – Nov 2 | 6,045 (LV) | ± 2% | 47% [ug] | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports [1166] | Oct 31 – Nov 1 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% [ai] | 50% | - | - | 1% [uh] | – |
Research Co. [1167] | Oct 31 – Nov 1 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 46% | 52% | - | - | 2% [ah] | 4% |
AYTM/Aspiration [1168] | Oct 30 – Nov 1 | 340 (LV) | – | 49% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC [1169] | Oct 29 – Nov 1 | 699 (LV) | ± 3.71% | 46% | 50% | 2% | - | – | 2% |
Marist College/NBC [1170] | Oct 29 – Nov 1 | 772 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 51% | - | - | 1% | 2% |
Monmouth University [1171] | Oct 28 – Nov 1 | 502(RV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 50% | 1% | - | 0% [ui] | 4% |
502 (LV) | 44% [uj] | 51% | - | - | – | – | |||
45% [uk] | 50% | - | - | – | – | ||||
Swayable [1172] | Oct 27 – Nov 1 | 1,107 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 48% | 50% | 2% | - | – | – |
Data for Progress [1173] | Oct 27 – Nov 1 | 1,417 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 45% | 52% | 2% | 0% | 0% [ul] | – |
Ipsos/Reuters [1174] | Oct 27 – Nov 1 | 673 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 45% [o] | 51% | 1% | 1% | 2% [um] | – |
44% [un] | 51% | - | - | 3% [af] | 2% | ||||
46% [uo] | 52% | - | - | 2% [dv] | – | ||||
Trafalgar [1175] | Oct 30–31 | 1,062 (LV) | ± 2.93% | 48% | 46% | 2% | - | 1% [do] | 4% |
Frederick Polls/Compete Everywhere [1176] [CN] | Oct 30–31 | 879 (LV) | ± 3% | 48% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Insider Advantage/Center for American Greatness [1177] [H] | Oct 30–31 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48.7% | 47.4% | 1.3% | - | – | 2.6% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot [1178] | Oct 26–31 | 1,862 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 43% | 49% | 2% | - | 0% [dx] | 5% [ol] |
Morning Consult [1179] | Oct 22–31 | 2,686 (LV) | ± 2% | 43% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Emerson College [1180] | Oct 29–30 | 823 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 47% [ai] | 52% | - | - | 2% [ah] | – |
AtlasIntel [1181] | Oct 29–30 | 672 (LV) | ± 4% | 50% | 49% | - | - | 2% | – |
Targoz Market Research/PollSmart [1182] | Oct 25–30 | 998 (LV) | – | 42% | 56% | - | - | 2% [up] | – |
Public Policy Polling/American Bridge PAC [1183] [CO] | Oct 28–29 | 1,012 (V) | – | 45% | 52% | - | - | – | 3% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [1184] | Oct 26–29 | 2,125 (LV) | – | 45% | 50% | 1% | - | 1% | 3% |
Harvard-Harris/The Hill [1185] | Oct 26–29 | 901 (LV) | – | 46% | 51% | - | - | – | 3% |
ABC/Washington Post [1186] | Oct 24–29 | 824 (LV) | ± 4% | 44% | 51% | 3% | - | 0% [uq] | 1% |
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call [1187] | Oct 23–28 | 419 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 44% | 49% | - | - | 4% [ur] | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1165] | Oct 1–28 | 10,599 (LV) | ± 1.5% | 46% | 52% | - | - | – | - |
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ [1188] | Oct 25–27 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 45% [o] | 51% | - | - | 2% | 2% |
44% [dz] | 52% | - | - | 2% | 2% | ||||
47% [ea] | 49% | - | - | 2% | 2% | ||||
Quinnipiac University [1189] | Oct 23–27 | 1,324 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 44% | 51% | - | - | 1% [do] | 4% |
Swayable [1190] | Oct 23–26 | 491 (LV) | ± 6% | 46% | 52% | 2% | - | – | – |
Civiqs/Daily Kos [1191] | Oct 23–26 | 1,145 (LV) | ± 3% | 45% | 52% | - | - | 2% [ah] | 1% |
Ipsos/Reuters [1192] | Oct 20–26 | 655 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 44% [o] | 51% | 3% | 0% | 1% [us] | – |
45% [un] | 50% | - | - | 3% [af] | 2% | ||||
Insider Advantage/Center for American Greatness [1193] [H] | Oct 25 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 48.5% | 45.5% | 3.3% | - | – | 2.8% |
Trafalgar Group [1194] | Oct 24–25 | 1,076 (LV) | ± 2.91% | 48% | 48% | 2% | - | 1% [do] | 1% |
Wick Surveys [1195] | Oct 24–25 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 49% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
Franklin & Marshall College [1196] | Oct 19–25 | 558 (LV) | ± 5% | 44% | 50% | 2% | - | 1% [ut] | 3% |
Univision/University of Houston/Latino Decisions/North Star Opinion Research [1197] | Oct 17–25 | 723 (RV) | ± 3.64% | 45% | 50% | - | - | 3% [cv] | 2% |
Gravis Marketing [1198] | Oct 23 | 602 (LV) | ± 4% | 44% | 51% | - | - | – | 5% |
Public Policy Polling/American Bridge PAC [1199] [CP] | Oct 21–22 | 980 (V) | – | 46% | 51% | - | - | – | 4% |
Civiqs/Dan Hopkins [1200] | Oct 17–21 | 1,577 (A) | 3% | 46% | 52% | - | - | – | 2% |
YouGov/University of Wisconsin-Madison [1201] | Oct 13–21 | 669 (LV) | ± 4.45% | 44% | 52% | - | - | 3% [uu] | – |
Citizen Data [1202] | Oct 17–20 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 39% | 44% | 9% | 0% | 1% | 7% |
CNN/SSRS [1203] | Oct 15–20 | 843 (LV) | ± 4% | 43% | 53% | 2% | - | 1% [uv] | 1% |
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call [1204] | Oct 13–20 | 416 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 44% | 51% | - | - | 2% [uw] | 4% |
Morning Consult [1179] | Oct 11–20 | 2,563 (LV) | ± 1.9% | 43% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Fox News [1205] | Oct 18–19 | 1,045 (LV) | ± 3% | 45% | 50% | 1% | - | 1% [ux] | 2% |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports [1206] | Oct 18–19 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 50% | - | - | 2% [dv] | 3% |
Quinnipiac University [1207] | Oct 16–19 | 1,241 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 43% | 51% | - | - | 1% [do] | 5% |
Change Research/CNBC [1208] | Oct 16–19 | 574 (LV) [al] | – | 47% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Suffolk University/USA Today [1209] | Oct 15–19 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 49% | 1% | - | 4% [uy] | 4% |
Ipsos/Reuters [1210] | Oct 13–19 | 653 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45% [o] | 49% | 2% | 0% | 3% [uz] | – |
45% [un] | 49% | - | - | 3% [af] | 4% | ||||
Trafalgar Group/Restoration PAC [1211] [AY] | Oct 13–15 | 1,041 (LV) | ± 2.96% | 46% | 48% | 3% | - | 2% [ah] | 2% |
HarrisX/The Hill [1212] | Oct 12–15 | 1,289 (LV) | – | 46% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Insider Advantage/Center for American Greatness [1213] [H] | Oct 12–13 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 43% | 46% | 2% | - | – | 9% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [65] | Oct 10–13 | 1,289 (LV) | – | 43% [al] | 51% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
Trafalgar Group [1214] | Oct 10–12 | 1,034 (LV) | ± 2.97% | 45% | 47% | 3% | - | 3% [cv] | 2% |
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ [1215] | Oct 7–12 | 800 (LV) | – | 43% [o] | 49% | 1% | – | 1% | 6% |
42% [dz] | 50% | 1% | – | 1% | 6% | ||||
45% [ea] | 47% | 1% | – | 1% | 6% | ||||
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising [1216] [AZ] | Oct 8–11 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 45% | 52% | - | - | 2% [ah] | 1% |
Ipsos/Reuters [1217] | Oct 6–11 | 622 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 45% [o] | 51% | 1% | 0% | 2% [va] | – |
44% [un] | 51% | - | - | 1% [vb] | 4% | ||||
Morning Consult [1218] | Oct 2–11 | 2,610 (LV) | ± 1.9% | 44% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [65] | Oct 9–10 | 1,145 (LV) | – | 44% [al] | 49% | 1% | - | – | – |
Whitman Insight Strategies [1219] | Oct 5–9 | 517 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 46% | 51% | - | - | 1% [do] | 3% |
Baldwin Wallace University [1220] | Sep 30 – Oct 8 | 1,140 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 50% | 1% | 0% | 0% [vc] | 4% |
YouGov/CCES [1221] | Sep 29 – Oct 7 | 2,703 (LV) | – | 44% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [1222] | Oct 4–6 | 927 (LV) | ± 3.22% | 42% | 49% | 1% | - | 1% [aw] | 7% |
Emerson College [1223] | Oct 4–5 | 688 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 47% [ai] | 51% | - | - | 2% [ah] | – |
Quinnipiac University [1224] | Oct 1–5 | 1,211 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 41% | 54% | - | - | 1% [do] | 3% |
Ipsos/Reuters [1225] | Sep 29 – Oct 5 | 605 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 45% | 50% | - | - | 2% [r] | 3% |
Change Research/CNBC [1226] | Oct 2–4 | 468 (LV) | – | 46% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Monmouth University [1227] | Sep 30 – Oct 4 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 54% | 1% | - | 0% [ui] | 2% |
500 (LV) | 43% [uj] | 54% | - | - | – | – | |||
45% [uk] | 53% | - | - | – | – | ||||
YouGov/CBS [1228] | Sep 30 – Oct 2 | 1,287 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 44% | 51% | - | - | 2% [vd] | 5% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot [1229] | Sep 30 – Oct 2 | 706 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 42% | 49% | 3% | - | 0% [dx] | 5% [ol] |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1165] | Sep 1–30 | 4,613 (LV) | – | 46% | 52% | - | - | – | 2% |
ABC News/Washington Post [1230] | Sep 21–26 | 567 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 45% | 54% | - | - | 0% [ve] | 1% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot [1231] | Sep 25–27 | 711 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 40% | 49% | 2% | - | 0% [dx] | 8% [ol] |
TIPP/The Federalist [1232] | Sep 24–26 | 774 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 45% | 50% | - | - | 1% [vf] | 4% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [1233] | Sep 23–25 | 1,015 (LV) | ± 3.08% | 44% | 50% | 0% | – | 1% [aw] | 5% |
Fox News [1234] | Sep 20–23 | 856 (LV) | ± 3% | 44% | 51% | 2% | – | 1% [ux] | 2% |
910 (RV) | ± 3% | 43% | 51% | 2% | – | 2% [vg] | 3% | ||
Baldwin Wallace University [1235] | Sep 9–22 | 1,012 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 45% | 47% | 2% | 0% | 1% [vh] | 5% |
Trafalgar Group/Restoration PAC [1236] [AY] | Sep 18–21 | 1,006 (LV) | ± 2.99% | 46% | 48% | 1% | 1% | 2% [ah] | 2% |
YouGov/UW-Madison Elections Research Center/Wisconsin State Journal [1237] | Sep 10–21 | 642 (LV) | – | 45% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC [1238] | Sep 18–20 | 579 (LV) | – | 45% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Franklin & Marshall College [1239] | Sep 14–20 | 480 (LV) | ± 7.8% | 42% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Hart Research Associates/Human Rights Campaign [1240] [CQ] | Sep 17–19 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 42% | 53% | - | - | – | – |
CPEC [1241] [CR] | Sep 15–17 | 830 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 45% | 50% | - | - | 1% [vi] | 4% |
Trafalgar Group (R) [1242] | Sep 15–17 | 1,006 (LV) | ± 2.99% | 45% | 47% | 2% | 1% | 2% [ah] | 2% |
Ipsos/Reuters [1243] | Sep 11–16 | 611 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 46% | 49% | - | - | 2% [r] | 4% |
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising [1244] [AZ] | Sep 11–15 | 704 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 52% | - | - | 1% [do] | 2% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [1245] | Sep 12–14 | 1,036 (LV) | ± 3.04% | 44% | 49% | 1% | 1% | 0% [vj] | 5% |
Climate Nexus [1246] | Sep 8–11 | 659 (RV) | ± 4% | 43% | 48% | - | - | 3% [vk] | 6% |
Benenson Strategy Group/GS Strategy Group/AARP [1247] | Aug 28 – Sep 8 | 1,600 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 46% | 49% | - | - | 1% [vl] | 4% |
Marist College/NBC News [1248] | Aug 31 – Sep 7 | 771 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 53% | - | - | 1% | 2% |
Morning Consult [1249] | Aug 29 – Sep 7 | 2,227 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 45% [vm] | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC [1250] | Sep 4–6 | 829 (LV) | – | 46% | 50% | - | - | 4% [vn] | – |
TargetSmart [1251] | Sep 3–6 | 835 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 44% | 51% | - | - | 3% | 3% |
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. [1252] | Aug 26 – Sep 4 | 498 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 42% | 44% | - | - | 6% [vo] | 7% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [1253] | Aug 30 – Sep 3 | 1,053 (LV) | ± 3.02% | 43% | 48% | 1% | 1% | 1% [aw] | 7% |
Quinnipiac [1254] | Aug 28 – Sep 1 | 1,235 (LV) | ± 3% | 44% | 52% | - | - | 1% [do] | 3% |
ALG Research/Progressive Policy Institute [1255] [CS] | Aug 26 – Sep 1 | 500 (LV) | – | 44% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Monmouth University [1256] | Aug 28–31 | 400 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 49% | 2% | 0% | 1% [vp] | 4% |
400 (LV) | 46% [vq] | 49% | - | - | 2% | 3% | |||
47% [vr] | 48% | - | - | 2% | 3% | ||||
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC [1257] [AY] | Aug 26–31 | 600 (LV) | – | 45% | 51% | - | - | – | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1165] | Aug 1–31 | 3,531 (LV) | – | 45% | 53% | - | - | – | 2% |
Morning Consult [100] | Aug 21–30 | 2,158 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 45% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports [1258] | Aug 25–27 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3% | 48% [vs] | 48% | - | - | 4% [vt] | – |
GQR Research/Unite the Country PAC [1259] [CT] | Aug 20–24 | 971 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 43% | 52% | - | - | – | 5% |
Franklin & Marshall College [1260] | Aug 17–24 | 681 (RV) | ± 5.2% | 42% [ai] | 50% | - | - | 3% [vu] | 7% |
Change Research/CNBC [1261] | Aug 21–23 | 984 (LV) | – | 46% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Global Strategy Group/Climate Power 2020 /League of Conservation Voters/Sierra Club [1262] [CU] | Aug 13–19 | 801 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 42% [o] | 50% | 2% | 1% | – | 5% |
43% [vv] | 53% | - | - | – | 4% | ||||
Redfield and Wilton Strategies [1263] | Aug 16–17 | 1,006 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 41% | 48% | 1% | 1% | 1% [aw] | 8% |
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising [1264] [AZ] | Aug 13–17 | 617 (RV) | – | 44% | 51% | - | - | 3% [cv] | 1% |
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call [1265] | Aug 11–17 | 416 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 45% | 49% | - | - | 3% [vw] | 3% |
Morning Consult [100] | Aug 7–16 | 1,777 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 44% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Emerson College [1266] | Aug 8–10 | 843 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 47% [vx] | 53% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC [1267] | Aug 7–9 | 456 (RV) | – | 44% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
YouGov/CBS [1268] | Aug 4–7 | 1,211 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 43% | 49% | - | - | 3% [vy] | 5% |
OnMessage Inc./Heritage Action [1269] [CV] | Aug 2–4 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 46% | 50% | - | - | – | 4% |
YouGov/University of Wisconsin-Madison [1270] | Jul 27 – Aug 6 | 742 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 41% | 50% | - | - | 2% [vz] | 5% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1165] | Jul 1–31 | 4,208 (LV) | – | 48% | 50% | - | - | – | 2% |
Change Research/CNBC [1271] | Jul 24–26 | 382 (LV) | – | 46% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Franklin & Marshall College [1272] | Jul 20–26 | 667 (RV) | ± 5.5% | 41% | 50% | - | - | 2% [dv] | 6% |
Morning Consult [1273] | Jul 17–26 | 2,092 (LV) | ± 2.1% | 42% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Gravis Marketing [1274] | Jul 22–24 | 1,006 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 48% | - | - | – | 8% |
Zogby Analytics [1275] | Jul 21–23 | 809 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 43% | 44% | 4% | 2% | - | 8% |
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC [1276] [AY] | Jul 17–22 | 600 (LV) | – | 45% | 51% | - | - | – | 5% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [1277] | Jul 19–21 | 1,016 (LV) | – | 41% | 48% | 1% | 0% | 2% [wa] | 8% |
Fox News [1278] | Jul 18–20 | 793 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 39% | 50% | - | - | 5% [wb] | 6% |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports/American Greatness PAC [1279] [H] | Jul 15–16 | 750 (LV) | ± 4% | 46% | 51% | - | - | 2% [dv] | 1% |
Spry Strategies/American Principles Project [1280] [CW] | Jul 11–16 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 48% | 47% | - | - | – | 5% |
Monmouth University [1281] | Jul 9–13 | 401 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 40% | 53% | - | - | 3% [wc] | 4% |
401 (LV) | 42% [vq] | 52% | - | - | 3% | 3% | |||
44% [vr] | 51% | - | - | 2% | 3% | ||||
Change Research/CNBC [1282] | Jul 10–12 | 743 (LV) | – | 42% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Trafalgar Group [1283] | Jun 29 – Jul 2 | 1,062 (LV) | ± 2.92% | 43% | 48% | - | - | 6% [wd] | 3% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1165] | Jun 8–30 | 2,184 (LV) | – | 48% | 50% | - | - | – | 2% |
Change Research/CNBC [1284] | Jun 26–28 | 760 (LV) [al] | – | 44% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Susquehanna Polling/Fox 43 [1285] | Jun 15–23 | 715 (LV) | – | 41% | 46% | - | - | 5% | 8% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [1286] | Jun 14–16 | 1,125 (LV) | ± 2.92% | 39% | 49% | 1% | 1% | 1% [we] | 9% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot [1287] | Jun 8–16 | 651 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 40% | 50% | - | - | 3% [wf] | 6% |
Change Research/CNBC [1288] | Jun 12–14 | 491 (LV) [al] | – | 46% | 49% | - | - | 3% [wg] | – |
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC [1289] [AY] | Jun 8–11 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 54% | - | - | – | 4% |
Civiqs/Dan Hopkins [1200] | Jun 6–11 | 1,221 (A) | 3.6% | 46% | 49% | - | - | – | 5% |
Civiqs/Dan Hopkins [1200] | May 30 – Jun 2 | 2,045 (A) | 2.4% | 46% | 49% | - | - | – | 5% |
Change Research/CNBC [1290] | May 29–31 | 579 (LV) [al] | – | 50% | 46% | - | - | 2% | 2% |
Morning Consult [1273] | May 17–26 | 2,120 (LV) | – | 44% [al] | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [1291] | May 10–14 | 963 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 39% | 48% | - | - | 2% [wh] | 11% |
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC [1292] [AY] | May 9–13 | 600 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 46% | - | - | – | 4% |
Harper Polling (R) [1293] | Apr 21–26 | 644 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 43% | 49% | - | - | – | 8% |
Public Policy Polling [1294] [CX] | Apr 20–21 | 1,251 (RV) | – | 44% | 51% | - | - | – | 5% |
Fox News [1295] | Apr 18–21 | 803 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 42% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Ipsos [1296] | Apr 15–20 | 578 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 40% | 46% | - | - | – | – |
Susquehanna Research/Fox 43 [1297] | Apr 14–20 | 693 (LV) | – | 42% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC [1298] [AY] | Apr 16–18 | 600 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 47% | - | - | – | 6% |
Civiqs/Dan Hopkins [1200] | Apr 4–8 | 1,912 (A) | 2.5% | 47% | 47% | - | - | – | 6% |
Baldwin Wallace University Great Lakes [755] | Mar 17–25 | 973 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 47% | 45% | - | - | – | 9% |
Change Research [1299] | Mar 21–23 | 510 (LV) | – | 50% | 47% | - | - | – | 4% |
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC [1300] [AY] | Mar 19–21 | 600 (RV) | – | 47% | 45% | - | - | – | – |
Civiqs/Dan Hopkins [1200] | Mar 14–18 | 1,589 (A) | 2.7% | 48% | 46% | - | - | – | 6% |
YouGov/Yahoo News [760] | Mar 6–8 | 725 (RV) | – | 40% | 46% | - | - | 5% [wi] | 8% |
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus [762] | Mar 5–7 | 533 (RV) | ± 5.3% | 45% | 44% | - | - | – | – |
Civiqs/Dan Hopkins [1200] | Feb 27 – Mar 3 | 2,462 (A) | 2.2% | 48% | 46% | - | - | – | 7% |
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call [1301] | Feb 12–20 | 424 (RV) | ± 5.5% | 47% | 47% | - | - | 2% | 4% |
YouGov [1302] | Feb 11–20 | 1,171 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 46% | - | - | – | – |
Quinnipiac University [1303] | Feb 12–18 | 849 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 42% | 50% | - | - | 6% [wj] | 3% |
Expedition Strategies/Progressive Policies Institute [765] | Feb 6–18 | 500 (RV) | – | 42% | 47% | - | - | – | 11% |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FiveThirtyEight [1304] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 62.9% | 32.4% | 4.7% | Biden +30.6 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [dk] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1305] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 566 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 36% [wk] | 62% | - | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1305] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 910 (LV) | – | 32% | 67% | - | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1305] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 351 (LV) | – | 37% | 62% | - | – | 0% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1305] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 208 (LV) | – | 41% | 57% | - | – | 3% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1305] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 253 (LV) | – | 39% | 60% | - | – | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1305] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 176 (LV) | – | 40% | 60% | - | – | 1% |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald J. Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win [1306] | October 15, 2020 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 43.3% | 50.3% | 6.4% | Trump +7.0 |
FiveThirtyEight [1307] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 44.5% | 51.6% | 3.9% | Trump +7.1 |
Average | 43.9% | 51.0% | 5.1% | Trump +7.1 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [dk] | Margin of error | Donald J. Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Optimus [1308] | Oct 31 – Nov 2, 2020 | 817 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 51% | 39% | – | – | 2% [wl] | 8% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1309] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 2,485 (LV) | ± 3% | 56% [wm] | 42% | – | – | – | – |
Data For Progress [1310] | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 1,121 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 53% | 44% | 2% | 0% | 0% [wn] | – |
Swayable [1311] | Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2020 | 426 (LV) | ± 7.4% | 50% | 49% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
Morning Consult [1312] | Oct 22–31, 2020 | 904 (LV) | ± 3% | 51% | 45% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1309] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 4,725 (LV) | – | 54% | 44% | – | – | – | – |
Data for Progress [1313] | Oct 22–27, 2020 | 1,196 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 50% | 44% | 1% | 0% | – | 4% |
Starboard Communications [1314] | Oct 26, 2020 | 800 (LV) | – | 51% | 44% | – | – | – | 5% |
East Carolina University [1315] | Oct 24–25, 2020 | 763 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 52% | 44% | – | – | 3% [wo] | 1% |
Morning Consult [1312] | Oct 11–20, 2020 | 926 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 51% | 45% | – | – | – | – |
New York Times/Siena College [1316] | Oct 9–14, 2020 | 605 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 49% | 41% | 2% | 1% | 1% [wp] | 6% [wq] |
Data for Progress [1317] | Oct 8–11, 2020 | 801 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 52% | 43% | 1% | 1% | – | 4% |
Morning Consult [1312] | Oct 2–11, 2020 | 903 (LV) | ± 3% | 54% | 42% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1309] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 1,833 (LV) | – | 53% | 45% | – | – | – | 2% |
GBAO Strategies/DSCC [1318] [CY] | Sep 24–28, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 44% | – | – | – | – |
Data for Progress (D) [1319] | Sep 23–28, 2020 | 824 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 47% [wr] | 43% | 1% | 1% | – | 8% |
50% [ws] | 45% | – | – | – | 5% | ||||
Quinnipiac University [1320] | Sep 23–27, 2020 | 1,123 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 48% | 47% | – | – | 1% [wt] | 4% |
YouGov/CBS [1321] | Sep 22–25, 2020 | 1,080 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 52% | 42% | – | – | 2% [wu] | 4% |
Morning Consult [1322] | Sep 11–20, 2020 | 764 (LV) | ± (3% – 4%) | 50% [wv] | 44% | – | – | – | – |
Quinnipiac University [1323] | Sep 10–14, 2020 | 969 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 51% | 45% | – | – | 0% [ww] | 4% |
Morning Consult [1324] | Sep 2–11, 2020 | ~764 (LV) | ± (3%–4%) | 51% | 44% | – | – | – | – |
Morning Consult [1324] | Aug 23 – Sep 1, 2020 | ~764 (LV) | ± (3%–4%) | 52% | 42% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1309] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 1,326 (LV) | – | 53% | 45% | – | – | – | 2% |
Morning Consult [1324] | Aug 13–22, 2020 | ~764 (LV) | ± (3%–4%) | 51% | 43% | – | – | – | – |
Morning Consult [1324] | Aug 3–12, 2020 | ~764 (LV) | ± (3%–4%) | 50% | 43% | – | – | – | – |
Quinnipiac University [1325] | Jul 30 – Aug 3, 2020 | 914 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 47% | 42% | – | – | 4% [wx] | 7% |
Morning Consult [1326] | Jul 24 – Aug 2, 2020 | 741 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% [wy] | 44% | – | – | 3% [wz] | 4% |
Morning Consult [1324] | Jul 23 – Aug 1, 2020 | ~764 (LV) | ± (3%–4%) | 48% | 45% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1309] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 1,700 (LV) | – | 53% | 44% | – | – | – | 2% |
Morning Consult [1324] | Jul 13–22, 2020 | ~764 (LV) | ± (3%–4%) | 50% | 43% | – | – | – | – |
ALG Research/Lindsey Must Go [1327] [CZ] | Jul 15–20, 2020 | 591 (LV) | – | 50% | 45% | – | – | 1% | 4% |
Gravis Marketing [1328] | Jul 17, 2020 | 604 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 46% | – | – | – | – |
brilliant corners Research & Strategies/Jaime Harrison [1329] [DA] | Jul 13–19, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 43% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1309] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 863 (LV) | – | 52% | 47% | – | – | – | 2% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos [1330] | May 23–26, 2020 | 591 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 52% | 42% | – | – | 5% [xa] | 1% |
AtlasIntel [1331] | Feb 25–28, 2020 | 1,100 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 42% | – | – | 11% | – |
East Carolina University [1332] | Jan 31 – Feb 2, 2020 | 1,756 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 52% | 40% | – | – | – | 8% |
Change Research [1333] | Jun 11–14, 2019 | 2,312 (RV) | ± 2.0% | 54% | 38% | 3% [xb] | 1% [xb] | – | – |
Emerson College [1334] | Feb 28 – Mar 2, 2019 | 755 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 52% | 48% | – | – | – | – |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win [1335] | October 17–25, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 42.0% | 52.5% | 5.5% | Trump +10.5 |
FiveThirtyEight [1336] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 39.0% | 54.5% | 6.5% | Trump +15.4 |
Average | 40.5% | 53.5% | 6.0% | Trump +13.0 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [dk] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1337] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 606 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 63% [xc] | 36% | – | – | – |
Nielson Brothers Polling [1338] | Oct 24–28, 2020 | 484 (LV) | ± 4.45% | 55% | 40% | 3% | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1337] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 1,098 (LV) | – | 57% | 41% | – | – | – |
Mason-Dixon [1339] | Oct 19–21, 2020 | 625 (LV) | ± 4% | 51% | 40% | – | 3% | 6% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1337] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 354 (LV) | – | 58% | 41% | – | – | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1337] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 277 (LV) | – | 59% | 38% | – | – | 3% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1337] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 396 (LV) | – | 62% | 35% | – | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1337] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 160 (LV) | – | 61% | 37% | – | – | 2% |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RealClearPolitics [1340] | Jan 28, 2020 – May 22, 2020 | September 15, 2020 | 39.0% | 53.0% | 8.0% | Trump +14.0 |
FiveThirtyEight [1341] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 41.4% | 55.1% | 3.5% | Trump +13.7 |
Average | 40.2% | 54.1% | 5.7% | Trump +13.9 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [dk] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1342] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 3,342 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 54% [xd] | 45% | – | – | – | – |
Swayable [1343] | Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2020 | 485 (LV) | ± 5.9% | 58% | 41% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1342] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 5,099 (LV) | – | 56% | 42% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1342] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 2,329 (LV) | – | 58% | 41% | – | – | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1342] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 1,796 (LV) | – | 59% | 40% | – | – | – | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1342] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 2,481 (LV) | – | 61% | 38% | – | – | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1342] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 1,092 (LV) | – | 61% | 37% | – | – | – | 2% |
SSRS/Vanderbilt University [1344] | May 5–22, 2020 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 51% | 42% | – | – | 5% [xe] | 2% |
East Tennessee State University [1345] | Apr 22 – May 1, 2020 | 536 (LV) | – | 53% | 36% | – | – | 6% | 5% |
Mason-Dixon [1346] | Jan 28–30, 2020 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 55% | 39% | – | – | – | 6% |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win [1347] | Oct 29, 2020 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 47.5% | 48.8% | 3.7% | Trump +1.3 |
Real Clear Politics [1348] | October 20–31, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 46.5% | 47.8% | 5.7% | Trump +1.3 |
FiveThirtyEight [1349] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 47.4% | 48.6% | 4.0% | Trump +1.1 |
Average | 47.1% | 48.4% | 4.5% | Trump +1.2 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [xf] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1350] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 9,226 (LV) | ± 1.5% | 51% [xg] | 47% | – | – | – | – |
Swayable [1351] | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 1,151 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 51% | 47% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
Data For Progress [1352] | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 926 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 48% | 49% | 1% | 1% | 0% [xh] | – |
AtlasIntel [1353] | Oct 30–31, 2020 | 686 (LV) | ± 4% | 50% | 47% | – | – | 3% | – |
Emerson College [1354] | Oct 29–31, 2020 | 763 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% [ai] | 48% | - | - | 2% [ah] | – |
Morning Consult [1355] | Oct 22–31, 2020 | 3,267 (LV) | ± 2% | 48% | 48% | – | – | – | – |
Public Policy Polling [1356] | Oct 28–29, 2020 | 775 (V) | – | 48% | 50% | – | – | – | 2% |
Gravis Marketing [1357] | Oct 27–28, 2020 | 670 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 50% | 45% | – | – | – | 5% |
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ [1358] | Oct 27–28, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 50% [xi] | 46% | – | – | 2% [ah] | 2% |
48% [xj] | 48% | – | – | 2% [ah] | 2% | ||||
52% [xk] | 44% | – | – | 2% [ah] | 2% | ||||
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1350] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 15,145 (LV) | – | 51% | 47% | – | – | – | – |
Swayable [1359] | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 552 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 49% | 48% | 3% | 1% | – | – |
YouGov/UMass Amherst [1360] | Oct 20–26, 2020 | 873 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 48% | 47% | 2% | 1% | 0% [xl] | 1% |
Data for Progress (D) [1361] | Oct 22–25, 2020 | 1,018 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 48% | 49% | 1% | 0% | – | 2% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot [1362] | Oct 20–25, 2020 | 802 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 47% | 43% | 3% | 0% | 2% [xm] | 5% [xn] |
Univision/University of Houston/Latino Decisions/North Star Opinion Research [1363] | Oct 17–25, 2020 | 758 (RV) | ± 3.56% | 49% | 46% | – | – | 3% [xo] | 2% |
Citizen Data [1364] | Oct 17–20, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3% | 45% | 49% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 4% |
YouGov/University of Houston [1365] | Oct 13–20, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 50% | 45% | 2% | 0% | – | 3% |
University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas Morning News [1366] | Oct 13–20, 2020 | 925 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 47% [ai] | 49% | 3% | 1% | – | 1% |
Morning Consult [1355] | Oct 11–20, 2020 | 3,347 (LV) | ± 1.7% | 47% | 48% | – | – | – | – |
Quinnipiac University [1367] | Oct 16–19, 2020 | 1,145 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 47% | 47% | – | – | 1% [do] | 5% |
Data for Progress (D) [1368] | Oct 15–18, 2020 | 933 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 46% [ai] | 47% | 2% | 1% | – | 5% |
Morning Consult [1369] | Oct 2–11, 2020 | 3,455 (LV) | ± 1.7% | 49% | 47% | – | – | – | 3% |
Public Policy Polling/Texas Democrats [1370] [DB] | Oct 7–8, 2020 | 721 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 48% | 48% | – | – | – | 1% |
YouGov/CCES [1371] | Sep 29 – Oct 7, 2020 | 2,947 (LV) | – | 49% | 47% | – | – | – | – |
Morning Consult [1372] | Sep 28 – Oct 7, 2020 | ~2,700 (LV) | ± 2% | 49% | 46% | – | – | – | – |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports/Crosswind PR [1373] | Oct 5–6, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3% | 51% | 44% | – | – | – | – |
Civiqs/Daily Kos [1374] | Oct 3–6, 2020 | 895 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 48% | 48% | – | – | 2% [ah] | 1% |
Data For Progress (D) [1375] | Sep 30 – Oct 5, 2020 | 1,949 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 45% | 47% | 2% | 1% | – | 5% |
YouGov/University of Texas/Texas Tribune [1376] | Sep 25 – Oct 4, 2020 | 908 (LV) | ± 3.25% | 50% | 45% | 2% | 2% | 1% [do] | – |
EMC Research/Blue Texas PAC [1377] [DC] | Sep 27 – Oct 2, 2020 | 848 (LV) | – | 49% | 49% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1350] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 13,395 (LV) | – | 52% | 46% | – | – | – | 2% |
Hart Research Associates/Human Rights Campaign [1378] [DD] | Sep 24–27, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 49% | 47% | – | – | – | – |
Morning Consult [1372] | Sep 18–27, 2020 | ~2,700 (LV) | ± 2% | 48% | 47% | – | – | – | – |
Public Policy Polling/Texas Democrats [1379] Archived October 8, 2020, at the Wayback Machine [DE] | Sep 25–26, 2020 | 612 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 48% | 48% | – | – | – | 4% |
YouGov/UMass Lowell [1380] | Sep 18–25, 2020 | 882 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 49% [xp] | 46% | 2% | 1% | 1% [xq] | 1% |
50% [xr] | 46% | – | – | 2% [xs] | 2% | ||||
Data For Progress [1381] [DF] | Sep 18–22, 2020 | 726 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 47% | 45% | – | – | – | 9% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot [1382] | Sep 16–22, 2020 | 653 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 46% | 43% | 1% | 1% | 0% [xt] | 9% [xn] |
Quinnipiac University [1383] | Sep 17–21, 2020 | 1,078 (LV) | ± 3% | 50% | 45% | – | – | No voters | 4% |
YouGov/CBS [1384] | Sep 15–18, 2020 | 1,129 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 46% | – | – | 2% [xu] | 4% |
Morning Consult [1372] | Sep 8–17, 2020 | ~2,700 (LV) | ± 2% | 47% | 47% | – | – | – | – |
Morning Consult [1385] | Aug 29 – Sep 7, 2020 | 2,829 (LV) | ± 2% | 46% [xv] | 46% | – | – | – | – |
Public Policy Polling/Giffords [1386] [DG] | Sep 1–2, 2020 | 743 (V) | – | 48% | 47% | – | – | – | 5% |
University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas Morning News [1387] | Aug 28 – Sep 2, 2020 | 901 (LV) | ± 3.26% | 49% [ai] | 47% | 1% | 1% | 1% | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1350] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 12,607 (LV) | – | 52% | 46% | – | – | – | 2% |
Morning Consult [100] | Aug 21–30, 2020 | 2,632 (LV) | ± 2% | 48% [xv] | 47% | – | – | – | – |
Tyson Group/Consumer Energy Alliance [1388] [DH] | Aug 20–25, 2020 | 906 (LV) | ± 3% | 44% | 48% | 0% | – | 0% [xw] | 5% |
Data for Progress/Texas Youth Power Alliance [1389] | Aug 20–25, 2020 | 2,295 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 45% | 48% | – | – | – | 8% |
Public Policy Polling/Texas Democrats [1390] [DI] | Aug 21–22, 2020 | 764 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 47% | 48% | – | – | – | 5% |
Morning Consult [1372] | Aug 13–22, 2020 | ~2,700 (LV) | ± 2% | 48% | 47% | – | – | – | – |
Morning Consult [100] | Aug 7–16, 2020 | 2,559 (LV) | ± 2% | 47% [xx] | 46% | – | – | – | – |
Global Strategy Group/Chrysta for Texas [1391] [DJ] | Aug 11–13, 2020 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 45% | 47% | – | – | – | – |
YouGov/Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation/Rice University's Baker Institute [1392] | Aug 4–13, 2020 | 846 (RV) | – | 48% | 41% | 1% | 1% | – | 10.2% |
– (LV) [DK] | 50% | 44% | 1% | 0% | – | 5% | |||
Trafalgar Group (R) [1393] | Aug 1–5, 2020 | 1,015 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 43% | 2% | – | 2% [xy] | 3% |
Morning Consult [1372] | Aug 3–12, 2020 | ~2,700 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 47% | 46% | – | – | – | – |
Morning Consult [1394] | Jul 24 – Aug 2, 2020 | 2,576 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 46% [xv] | 47% | – | – | 2% [ah] | 5% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1350] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 13,721 (LV) | – | 52% | 46% | – | – | – | 2% |
Morning Consult [1395] | Jul 17–26, 2020 | 2,685 (LV) | ± 1.9% | 45% [xx] | 47% | – | – | – | – |
Morning Consult [1395] | Jul 16–25, 2020 | ≈2,700 (LV) [xz] | ± 2.0% | 45% | 47% | – | – | – | – |
Spry Strategies/American Principles Project [1396] [DL] | Jul 16–20, 2020 | 750 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 45% | – | – | – | 6% |
Quinnipiac University [1397] | Jul 16–20, 2020 | 880 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 44% | 45% | – | – | 7% [ya] | 4% |
Morning Consult [1395] | Jul 6–15, 2020 | – (LV) [xz] | – | 46% | 46% | – | – | – | – |
YouGov/CBS [1398] | Jul 7–10, 2020 | 1,185 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 46% | 45% | – | – | 4% [yb] | 6% |
Gravis Marketing/OANN [1399] | Jul 7, 2020 | 591 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 46% | 44% | – | – | – | – |
Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler [1400] | Jun 29 – Jul 7, 2020 | 1,677 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 43% | 48% | – | – | 4% | 5% |
Morning Consult [1395] | Jun 26 – Jul 5, 2020 | – (LV) [xz] | – | 46% | 45% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1350] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 6,669 (LV) | – | 51% | 46% | – | – | – | 2% |
YouGov/University of Texas/Texas Politics Project [1401] | Jun 19–29, 2020 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.89% | 48% | 44% | – | – | – | 8% |
Public Policy Polling [1402] | Jun 24–25, 2020 | 729 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 46% | 48% | – | – | – | 5% |
Morning Consult [1395] | Jun 16–25, 2020 | – (LV) [xz] | – | 47% | 44% | – | – | – | – |
Fox News [1403] | Jun 20–23, 2020 | 1,001 (RV) | ± 3% | 44% | 45% | – | – | 5% [yc] | 5% |
Public Policy Polling/Progress Texas [1404] [DM] | Jun 18–19, 2020 | 907 (V) | ± 3% | 48% | 46% | – | – | – | 6% |
Morning Consult [1395] | Jun 6–15, 2020 | – (LV) [xz] | – | 48% | 45% | – | – | – | – |
Morning Consult [1395] | May 27 – Jun 5, 2020 | – (LV) [xz] | – | 48% | 43% | – | – | – | – |
Public Policy Polling/Texas Democrats [1405] [DN] | Jun 2–3, 2020 | 683 (V) | – | 48% | 48% | – | – | – | 4% |
Quinnipiac [1406] | May 28 – Jun 1, 2020 | 1,166 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 44% | 43% | – | – | 6% [yd] | 7% |
Morning Consult [1395] | May 17–26, 2020 | 2,551 (LV) | – | 50% [xv] | 43% | – | – | – | – |
Morning Consult [1395] | May 16–25, 2020 | – (LV) [xz] | – | 50% | 42% | – | – | – | – |
Morning Consult [1395] | May 6–15, 2020 | – (LV) [xz] | – | 49% | 43% | – | – | – | – |
Emerson College [1407] | May 8–10, 2020 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 52% [ye] | 48% | – | – | – | – |
Public Policy Polling [1408] | Apr 27–28, 2020 | 1,032 (V) | – | 46% | 47% | – | – | – | 7% |
Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler [1409] | Apr 18–27, 2020 | 1,183 (RV) | ± 2.85% | 43% | 43% | – | – | 5% | 9% |
University of Texas/Texas Tribune [1410] | Apr 10–19, 2020 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 49% | 44% | – | – | – | 7% |
AtlasIntel [1411] | Feb 24 – Mar 2, 2020 | 1,100 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 43% | – | – | 11% | – |
NBC News/Marist College [1412] | Feb 23–27, 2020 | 2,409 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 49% | 45% | – | – | 1% | 5% |
CNN/SSRS [1413] | Feb 22–26, 2020 | 1,003 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 47% | 48% | – | – | 3% [yf] | 2% |
Univision [1414] | Feb 21–26, 2020 | 1,004 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 43% | 46% | – | – | – | 11% |
Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler [1415] | Feb 17–26, 2020 | 1,221 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 45% | 44% | – | – | 11% | – |
YouGov/University of Texas/Texas Tribune [1416] | Jan 31 – Feb 9, 2020 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.83% | 47% | 44% | – | – | – | 10% |
University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas News [1417] | Jan 21–30, 2020 | 910 (LV) | ± 3.24% | 46% | 44% | – | – | 10% [yg] | – |
Data For Progress [1418] [DO] | Jan 16–21, 2020 | 1,486 (LV) | – | 54% | 40% | – | – | 3% [yh] | 3% |
Texas Lyceum [1419] | Jan 10–19, 2020 | 520 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 51% | 46% | – | – | – | 3% |
CNN/SSRS [1420] | Dec 4–9, 2019 | 1,003 (RV) | – | 48% | 47% | – | – | 2% [yi] | 3% |
Beacon Research (R) [1421] | Nov 9–21, 2019 | 1,601 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 44% | – | – | – | – |
University of Texas at Tyler [1422] | Nov 5–14, 2019 | 1,093 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 39% | – | – | – | 16% |
University of Texas/Texas Tribune [1423] | Oct 18–27, 2019 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 46% | 39% | – | – | 9% [yj] | 6% |
University of Texas at Tyler [1424] | Sep 13–15, 2019 | 1,199 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 38% | 40% | – | – | 13% | 9% |
Univision [1425] | Aug 31 – Sep 6, 2019 | 1,004 (RV) | – | 43% | 47% | – | – | – | 10% |
Climate Nexus [1426] | Aug 20–25, 2019 | 1,660 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 43% | 43% | – | – | – | 9% |
University of Texas at Tyler [1427] | Aug 1–4, 2019 | 1,261 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 37% | 41% | – | – | 14% | 8% |
Emerson [1428] | Aug 1–3, 2019 | 1,033 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 51% | – | – | – | – |
University of Texas at Tyler [1429] | Jul 24–27, 2019 | 1,414 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 37% | 37% | – | – | 12% | 14% |
Quinnipiac University [1430] | May 29 – Jun 4, 2019 | 1,159 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 44% | 48% | – | – | 1% | 4% |
WPA Intelligence [1431] | Apr 27–30, 2019 | 200 (LV) | ± 6.9% | 49% | 42% | – | – | – | 7% |
Emerson College [1432] | Apr 25–28, 2019 | 799 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 50% [ye] | 51% | – | – | – | – |
Quinnipiac University [1433] | Feb 20–25, 2019 | 1,222 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 47% | 46% | – | – | 1% | 5% |
Public Policy Polling (D) [1434] [DP] | Feb 13–14, 2019 | 743 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 49% | 46% | – | – | – | 5% |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win [1435] | October 23–31, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 41.0% | 50.5% | 8.5% | Trump +9.5 |
FiveThirtyEight [1436] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 42.1% | 51.9% | 6.0% | Trump +9.8 |
Average | 41.6% | 51.2% | 7.2% | Trump +9.6 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [yk] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1437] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 1,586 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 55% [yl] | 43% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1437] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 2,783 (LV) | – | 55% | 43% | – | – | – | – |
Y2 Analytics/Salt Lake Tribune [1438] | Oct 15–24, 2020 | 660 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 51% | 44% | – | – | 5% [ym] | – |
RMG Research/Deseret News/Hinckley Institute of Politics [1439] | Oct 12–17, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 50% | 38% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 7% |
Y2 Analytics/Salt Lake Tribune [1440] | Sep 26 – Oct 4, 2020 | 1,214 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 50% | 40% | – | – | 10% | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1437] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 1,192 (LV) | – | 56% | 42% | – | – | – | 2% |
RMG Research/Deseret News/Hinckley Institute of Politics [1441] | Sep 7–12, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 53% | 35% | 5% | 0% | 1% | 6% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1437] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 893 (LV) | – | 57% | 41% | – | – | – | 2% |
RMG Research/Scott Rasmussen/Deseret News [1442] | Jul 27 – Aug 1, 2020 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 50% | 31% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 11% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1437] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 1,037 (LV) | – | 58% | 40% | – | – | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1437] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 412 (LV) | – | 57% | 41% | – | – | – | 1% |
Y2 Analytics/UtahPolicy.com/KUTV 2 [1443] | May 9–15, 2020 | 1,099 (LV) | ± 3% | 44% | 41% | – | – | 9% [yn] | 5% |
Scott Rasmussen/Deseret News [1444] | Apr 15–21, 2020 | 964 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 51% | 32% | – | – | 8% | 9% |
Y2 Analytics [1445] | Mar 21–30, 2020 | 1,266 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 46% | 41% | – | – | 7% | 5% |
Scott Rasmussen/Deseret News [1446] | Feb 24 – Mar 1, 2020 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 50% | 33% | – | – | 8% [yo] | 8% |
Scott Rasmussen/Deseret News [1447] | Jan 15–22, 2020 | 1,017 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 49% | 31% | – | – | 13% [yp] | 7% |
Y2 Analytics [1448] | Jul 31 – Aug 6, 2019 | 149 (RV) | – | 36% | 35% | – | – | 14% [yq] | 5% |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FiveThirtyEight [1449] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 66.5% | 27.8% | 5.7% | Biden +38.7 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [yr] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1450] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 906 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 26% [ys] | 71% | - | - | – | – |
co/efficient/Scott Milne for Lt. Governor [1451] [DQ] | Oct 19–29, 2020 | 584 (LV) | ± 4.05% | 32% | 62% | - | - | – | 6% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1450] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 1,167 (LV) | – | 29% | 69% | - | - | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1450] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 427 (LV) | – | 34% | 64% | - | - | – | 2% |
Braun Research/VPR [1452] | Sep 3–15, 2020 | 582 (LV) | ± 4% | 32% | 56% | - | - | 8% [yt] | 3% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1450] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 236 (LV) | – | 29% | 70% | - | - | – | 0% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1450] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 368 (LV) | – | 27% | 71% | - | - | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1450] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 113 (LV) | – | 20% | 75% | - | - | – | 5% |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win [1453] | October 15–31, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 52.8% | 41.0% | 6.2% | Biden +11.8 |
FiveThirtyEight [1454] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 53.7% | 41.9% | 4.4% | Biden +11.8 |
Average | 53.1% | 41.5% | 5.3% | Biden +11.8 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [yu] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1455] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 4,550 (LV) | ± 2% | 41% [yv] | 57% | - | - | – | – |
Swayable [1456] | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 467 (LV) | ± 6.4% | 39% | 59% | 2% | 1% | – | – |
Data for Progress [1457] | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 690 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 43% | 54% | 1% | 0% | 1% [yw] | – |
Roanoke College [1458] | Oct 23–29, 2020 | 802 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 42% | 53% | 2% | - | 1% | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1455] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 7,663 (LV) | – | 43% | 55% | - | - | – | – |
Christopher Newport University [1459] | Oct 15–27, 2020 | 908 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 41% | 53% | - | - | 2% [yx] | 4% |
Swayable [1460] | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 351 (LV) | ± 5.2% | 44% | 55% | 1% | - | – | – |
Virginia Commonwealth University [1461] | Oct 13–22, 2020 | 709 (LV) | ± 4.93% | 39% | 51% | - | - | 2% [yy] | 8% [yz] |
Schar School/Washington Post [1462] | Oct 13–19, 2020 | 908 (LV) | ± 4% | 41% | 52% | 3% | - | 0% [za] | 4% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos [1463] | Oct 11–14, 2020 | 1,231 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 42% | 55% | - | - | 3% [zb] | 1% |
Reconnect Research/Roanoke College [1464] | Sep 30 – Oct 12, 2020 | 602 (LV) | – | 39% [zc] | 54% | 4% | - | - | 4% |
Survey Monkey/Tableau [1465] | Sep 15 – Oct 12, 2020 | 4,248 (LV) | – | 43% | 55% | - | - | – | 2% |
Cygnal/Gade for Virginia [1466] [DR] | Oct 9–11, 2020 | 607 (LV) | – | 42% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1455] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 2,882 (LV) | – | 42% | 56% | - | - | – | 2% |
Cygnal/Gade for Virginia [1467] [DR] | Sep 22–25, 2020 | 600 (LV) | – | 41% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Christopher Newport University [1468] | Sep 9–21, 2020 | 796 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 43% | 48% | - | - | 2% [zd] | 7% |
Virginia Commonwealth University [1469] | Aug 28 – Sep 7, 2020 | 693 (LV) | ± 6.22% | 39% | 52% | - | - | 1% [ze] | 8% [yz] |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1455] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 2,626 (LV) | – | 41% | 57% | - | - | – | 2% |
Roanoke College [1470] | Aug 9–22, 2020 | 566 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 39% | 53% | - | - | 3% [zf] | 5% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1455] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 3,178 (LV) | – | 43% | 55% | - | - | – | 2% |
Morning Consult [1471] | Jul 17–26, 2020 | 1,156 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 41% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Virginia Commonwealth University [1472] | Jul 11–19, 2020 | 725 (LV) | ± 6.2% | 39% | 50% | - | - | 1% | 10% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1455] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 1,619 (LV) | – | 42% | 57% | - | - | – | 1% |
Morning Consult [1471] | May 17–26, 2020 | 1,148 (LV) | – | 42% [zg] | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Roanoke College [1473] | May 3–16, 2020 | 563 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 39% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Virginia Commonwealth University [1474] | Mar 25 – Apr 8, 2020 | 812 (A) | ± 4.5% | 41% | 51% | - | - | – | 8% |
Hampton University [1475] | Feb 25–28, 2020 | 768 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 38% | 45% | - | - | – | – |
Roanoke College [1476] | Feb 9–18, 2020 | 520 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 40% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Mason-Dixon [1477] | Dec 12–16, 2019 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 49% | - | - | – | 6% |
Virginia Commonwealth University [1478] | Dec 2–13, 2019 | 728 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 46% | 49% | - | - | – | 5% [yz] |
Virginia Commonwealth University [1479] | Sep 23 – Oct 4, 2019 | 645 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 44% | 52% | - | - | – | 4% [yz] |
University of Mary Washington/Research America [1480] | Sep 3–15, 2019 | 1,009 (A) | ± 3.1% | 37% | 55% | - | - | 1% | 4% |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win [1481] | October 8–15, 2020 | October 27, 2020 | 57.5% | 35.5% | 7.0% | Biden +22.0 |
FiveThirtyEight [1482] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 59.4% | 36.4% | 4.2% | Biden +23.0 |
Average | 58.5% | 36.0% | 5.6% | Biden +22.5 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [zh] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1483] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 4,142 (LV) | ± 2% | 35% [zi] | 62% | – | – | – | – |
Swayable [1484] | Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2020 | 489 (LV) | ± 6% | 39% | 59% | 2% | 1% | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1483] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 7,424 (LV) | – | 36% | 62% | – | – | – | – |
PPP/NPI [1485] | Oct 14–15, 2020 | 610 (LV) | ± 4% | 37% | 60% | – | – | – | 2% |
SurveyUSA/KING-TV [1486] | Oct 8–10, 2020 | 591 (LV) | ± 5.2% | 34% | 55% | – | – | 5% [zj] | 5% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1483] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 7,953 (LV) | – | 35% | 64% | – | – | – | 2% |
Strategies 360 [1487] | Sep 8–14, 2020 | 501 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 36% | 58% | – | – | – | 7% [zk] |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1483] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 7,489 (LV) | – | 37% | 61% | – | – | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1483] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 7,691 (LV) | – | 37% | 62% | – | – | – | 2% |
SurveyUSA/KING-TV [1488] | Jul 22–27, 2020 | 534 (LV) | ± 5.2% | 28% | 62% | – | – | 6% [zl] | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1483] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 3,939 (LV) | – | 36% | 62% | – | – | – | 2% |
Public Policy Polling/NPI [1489] | May 19–20, 2020 | 1,070 (LV) | ± 3% | 37% | 59% | – | – | – | 5% |
SurveyUSA/KING-TV [1490] | May 16–19, 2020 | 530 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 31% | 57% | – | – | 5% [zm] | 7% |
EMC Research [1491] | Mar 31 – Apr 6, 2020 | 583 (A) | ± 4.1% | 39% | 52% | – | – | – | 9% |
SurveyUSA/KING-TV [1492] | Mar 4–6, 2020 | 992 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 34% | 57% | – | – | – | 9% |
Public Policy Polling/The Cascadia Advocate [1493] | Oct 22–23, 2019 | 900 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 37% | 59% | – | – | – | 3% |
Zogby Interactive/JZ Analytics [28] | Jul 22 – Aug 1, 2019 | 1,265 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 31% | 52% | – | – | – | 17% |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win [1494] | October 13–23, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 38.5% | 55.5% | 6.0% | Trump +17.0 |
FiveThirtyEight [1495] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 33.5% | 62.1% | 4.4% | Trump +28.6 |
Average | 36.0% | 58.8% | 5.2% | Trump +22.8 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [zn] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Mountain | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1496] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 816 (LV) | ± 5% | 67% [zo] | 32% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1496] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 1,359 (LV) | – | 66% | 32% | – | – | – | – |
Triton Polling and Research/WMOV [1497] | Oct 19–21, 2020 | 544 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 58% | 38% | – | – | – | 4% |
Research America Inc./West Virginia Metro News [1498] | Oct 6–9, 2020 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 53% | 39% | 4% | 1% | – | 3% |
Triton Polling & Research/WMOV [1499] | Sep 29–30, 2020 [zp] | 525 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 56% | 38% | – | – | – | 5% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1496] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 516 (LV) | – | 62% | 36% | – | – | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1496] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 496 (LV) | – | 65% | 32% | – | – | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1496] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 494 (LV) | – | 67% | 32% | – | – | – | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1496] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 264 (LV) | – | 72% | 27% | – | – | – | 1% |
WPA Intelligence/Club for Growth [1500] [DS] | Jan 7–9, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 66% | 31% | – | – | – | 3% |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win [1501] | November 1–2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 42.8% | 52.0% | 5.2% | Biden +9.2 |
Real Clear Politics [1502] | October 21 – November 1, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 44.3% | 51.0% | 4.7% | Biden +6.7 |
FiveThirtyEight [1503] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 43.7% | 52.1% | 4.2% | Biden +8.4 |
Average | 43.6% | 51.7% | 4.7% | Biden +8.1 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [zq] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1504] | Oct 20 – Nov 2 | 2,814 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 44% [zr] | 54% | - | - | – | – |
Research Co. [1505] | Oct 31 – Nov 1 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 45% | 54% | - | - | 1% [do] | 7% |
Change Research/CNBC [1506] | Oct 29 – Nov 1 | 553 (LV) | ± 4.17% | 45% | 53% | 2% | - | – | 0% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos [1507] | Oct 29 – Nov 1 | 789 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 47% | 51% | - | - | 1% [do] | 0% |
Swayable [1508] | Oct 27 – Nov 1 | 253 (LV) | ± 8.2% | 45% | 55% | 1% | - | – | – |
Ipsos/Reuters [1509] | Oct 27 – Nov 1 | 696 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 43% [o] | 53% | 2% | 0% | 2% [zs] | – |
43% [zt] | 53% | - | - | 2% [r] | 2% | ||||
45% [zu] | 53% | - | - | 2% [zv] | – | ||||
AtlasIntel [1510] | Oct 30–31 | 781 (LV) | ± 3% | 49% | 51% | - | - | – | 1% |
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc./Center for American Greatness [1511] [H] | Oct 29–31 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 46% | 49% | - | - | 2% [zw] | 1% |
Morning Consult [1512] | Oct 22–31 | 1,002 (LV) | ± 3% | 41% | 54% | - | - | – | – |
Emerson College [1513] | Oct 29–30 | 751 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 45% [ai] | 52% | - | - | 2% [ah] | – |
AtlasIntel [1514] | Oct 29–30 | 672 (LV) | ± 4% | 50% | 49% | - | - | 2% | – |
CNN/SSRS [1515] | Oct 29–30 | 873 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 44% | 52% | 3% | - | 0% [zx] | 2% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot [1516] | Oct 26–30 | 1,253 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 41% | 52% | 2% | - | 1% [zy] | 4% [xn] |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [1517] | Oct 26–29 | 800 (LV) | – | 41% | 53% | 2% | - | 1% | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1504] | Oct 1–28 | 4,569 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 43% | 55% | - | - | – | – |
Swayable [1518] | Oct 23–26 | 313 (LV) | ± 7.2% | 45% | 54% | 1% | - | – | – |
Ipsos/Reuters [1519] | Oct 20–26 | 664 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 44% [o] | 53% | 2% | 1% | 3% [rm] | – |
44% [zt] | 53% | - | - | 2% [r] | 2% | ||||
Trafalgar Group [1520] | Oct 24–25 | 1,082 (LV) | ± 2.89% | 47% | 47% | 3% | - | 1% [do] | 1% |
Marquette Law School [1521] | Oct 21–25 | 749 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 43% | 48% | 2% | - | 7% [zz] | 0% |
ABC/Washington Post [1522] | Oct 20–25 | 809 (LV) | ± 4% | 40% | 57% | 2% | - | 1% [aaa] | 1% |
Gravis Marketing [1523] | Oct 23 | 677 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 43% | 54% | - | - | – | 3% |
YouGov/University of Wisconsin-Madison [1524] | Oct 13–21 | 647 (LV) | ± 4.07% | 44% | 53% | - | - | 3% [aab] | – |
Fox News [1525] | Oct 17–20 | 1,037 (LV) | ± 3% | 44% | 49% | 2% | - | 1% [aac] | 4% |
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ [1526] | Oct 14–20 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 44% [o] | 50% | - | - | 3% [ac] | 4% |
42% [aad] | 52% | - | - | 3% [ac] | 4% | ||||
45% [aae] | 48% | - | - | 3% [ac] | 4% | ||||
Morning Consult [1512] | Oct 11–20 | 1,038 (LV) | ± 3% | 42% | 54% | - | - | – | – |
Susquehanna Polling and Research Inc./Center for American Greatness [1527] [H] | Oct 16–19 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 45% | 45% | 5% | - | 3% [aaf] | 3% |
Change Research/CNBC [1528] | Oct 16–19 | 447 (LV) [al] | – | 44% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Latino Decisions/DFER [1529] [DT] | Oct 14–19 | 400 (LV) | ± 5% | 45% | 50% | - | - | – | 4% |
Ipsos/Reuters [1530] | Oct 13–19 | 663 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 45% [o] | 51% | 2% | 0% | 3% [aag] | – |
43% [zt] | 51% | - | - | 3% [af] | 3% | ||||
Trafalgar Group [1531] | Oct 14–16 | 1,051 (LV) | ± 2.94% | 46% | 48% | 2% | - | 1% | 3% |
YouGov/CBS [1532] | Oct 13–16 | 1,112 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 45% | 50% | - | - | 3% [ap] | 2% |
Trafalgar Group/Restoration PAC [1533] [AY] | Oct 11–13 | 1,043 (LV) | ± 2.95% | 45% | 47% | 3% | – | 2% [ah] | 3% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [1534] | Oct 10–13 | 691 (LV) | – | 40% [al] | 53% | 2% | 0% | – | – |
David Binder Research/Focus on Rural America [1535] | Oct 10–13 | 200 (LV) | – | 43% | 53% | - | - | – | – |
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising [1536] [AZ] | Oct 8–11 | 560 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 53% | - | - | 2% [ah] | 1% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot [1537] | Oct 8–11 | 789 (LV) | ± 4% | 41% | 51% | 3% | - | 0% [aah] | 5% [xn] |
Ipsos/Reuters [1538] | Oct 6–11 | 577 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 45% [o] | 51% | 2% | 0% | 1% [rm] | – |
44% [zt] | 51% | - | - | 3% [af] | 2% | ||||
Morning Consult [1539] | Oct 2–11 | 1,067 (LV) | ± 3% | 44% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [1534] | Oct 9–10 | 613 (LV) | – | 45% [al] | 49% | 2% | - | – | – |
Baldwin Wallace University [1540] | Sep 30 – Oct 8 | 883 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 43% | 49% | 2% | 0% | 1% [tg] | 6% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [1541] | Oct 4–7 | 688 (LV) | ± 3.74% | 41% | 51% | 1% | - | 1% [aw] | 6% |
Ipsos/Reuters [1542] | Sep 29 – Oct 5 | 601 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 44% | 50% | - | - | 2% [r] | 4% |
Change Research/CNBC [1543] | Oct 2–4 | 442 (LV) | – | 44% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Marquette Law School [1544] [1545] | Sep 30 – Oct 4 | 805 (RV) | – | 41% | 46% | 5% | - | 7% [aai] | 2% |
700 (LV) | 42% | 47% | 4% | - | 2% [aaj] | 1% | |||
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1504] | Sep 1–30 | 3,806 (LV) | – | 44% | 53% | - | - | – | 2% |
Trafalgar Group/Restoration PAC [1546] [AY] | Sep 25–28 | 1,084 (LV) | ± 2.89% | 44% | 47% | 3% | - | 2% [aak] | 3% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [1547] | Sep 23–27 | 663 (LV) | ± 3.81% | 43% | 48% | 2% | - | 0% [lw] | 7% |
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc./Center for American Greatness [1548] [H] | Sep 23–26 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 46% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Trafalgar Group (R) [1549] | Sep 22–24 | 1,189 (LV) | ± 2.76% | 45% | 48% | 3% | - | 2% [aak] | 3% |
Marist College/NBC [1550] | Sep 20–24 | 727 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 44% | 54% | - | - | 1% | 1% |
Baldwin Wallace University [1551] | Sep 9–22 | 863 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 41% | 50% | 2% | 0% | 1% [tg] | 6% |
YouGov/UW-Madison Elections Research Center/Wisconsin State Journal [1552] | Sep 10–21 | 664 (LV) | – | 46% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC [1553] | Sep 18–20 | 571 (LV) | – | 42% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Hart Research Associates/Human Rights Campaign [1554] [DU] | Sep 17–19 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 44% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [1555] | Sep 12–16 | 636 (LV) | ± 3.89% | 41% | 47% | 1% | 1% | 1% [aw] | 10% |
Ipsos/Reuters [1556] | Sep 11–16 | 609 (LV) | – | 43% | 48% | - | - | 2% [r] | 6% |
Morning Consult [1557] | Sep 7–16 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 42% [aal] | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising [1558] [AZ] | Sep 11–15 | 549 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 44% [al] | 51% | - | - | 2% [ah] | 2% |
Morning Consult [1557] | Sep 6–15 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 42% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
CNN/SSRS [1559] | Sep 9–13 | 816 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 42% | 52% | 3% | - | 1% [aam] | 1% |
ABC/Washington Post [1560] | Sep 8–13 | 605 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 46% | 52% | - | - | 1% [aan] | 1% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot [1561] | Sep 8–10 | 760 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 43% | 48% | 2% | 0% | 2% [aao] | 6% [xn] |
Emerson College [1562] | Sep 6–8 | 823 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 45% [ai] | 52% | - | - | 4% [aap] | – |
Benenson Strategy Group/GS Group/AARP [1563] | Aug 28 – Sep 8 | 1,200 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 45% | 50% | - | - | 1% [aaq] | 4% |
Change Research/CNBC [1564] | Sep 4–6 | 501 (LV) | – | 44% | 50% | - | - | 6% [aar] | – |
Morning Consult [1557] | Aug 27 – Sep 5 | 763 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
YouGov/CBS [1565] | Sep 2–4 | 978 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 44% | 50% | - | - | 2% [aas] | 4% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [1566] | Aug 30 – Sep 4 | 670 (LV) | ± 3.78% | 41% | 50% | 2% | 0% | 0% [lw] | 6% |
Marquette Law School [1567] | Aug 30 – Sep 3 | 688 (LV) | – | 44% | 48% | 4% | - | 2% [aat] | 2% |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports [1568] | Sep 1–2 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3% | 43% | 51% | - | - | 3% [aau] | 2% |
Fox News [1569] | Aug 29 – Sep 1 | 801 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 42% | 50% | 2% | – | 1% [aav] | 5% |
853 (RV) | ± 3% | 41% | 49% | 2% | – | 2% [aaw] | 5% | ||
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1504] | Aug 1–31 | 1,913 (LV) | – | 49% | 48% | - | - | – | 2% |
Opinium/The Guardian [1570] [1571] | Aug 21–28 | 700 (LV) | – | 40% | 53% | - | - | 1% | 5% |
Morning Consult [1557] | Aug 17–26 | 797 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 42% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC [1572] | Aug 21–23 | 925 (LV) | – | 44% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Trafalgar Group [1573] | Aug 14–23 | 1,011 (LV) | ± 2.99% | 46% | 45% | 4% | - | 2% [aax] | 3% |
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC [1574] [AY] | Aug 17–20 | 600 (LV) | – | 44% | 52% | - | - | – | 4% |
Redfield and Wilton Strategies [1575] | Aug 13–17 | 672 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 40% | 49% | 1% | 1% | 2% [aay] | 7% |
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising [1576] [AZ] | Aug 13–17 | 753 (RV) | – | 45% | 51% | - | - | 2% [ah] | 2% |
Morning Consult [1577] | Aug 7–16 | 788 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 43% [aaz] | 49% | - | - | 2% [ah] | 5% |
Morning Consult [1557] | Aug 4–13 | 797 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 43% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC [1578] | Aug 6–9 | 384 (LV) | – | 43% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
Marquette Law School [1579] | Aug 4–9 | 694 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 46% | 50% | - | - | 3% [aba] | 1% |
YouGov/CBS [1580] | Aug 4–7 | 994 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 42% | 48% | - | - | 3% [ap] | 7% |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports/American Greatness PAC [1581] [H] | Aug 5–6 | 750 (LV) | – | 43% | 55% | - | - | 1% | 1% |
YouGov/University of Wisconsin-Madison [1582] | Jul 27 – Aug 6 | 734 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 43% | 49% | - | - | 4% [abb] | 4% |
OnMessage Inc./Heritage Action [1583] [DV] | Aug 2–4 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 47% | 47% | - | - | – | 6% |
Morning Consult [1557] | Jul 25 – Aug 3 | 797 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 41% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
David Binder Research [1584] | Jul 30–31 | 200 (LV) | – | 42% | 53% | - | - | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1504] | Jul 1–31 | 2,173 (LV) | – | 48% | 50% | - | - | – | 2% |
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC [1585] [AY] | Jul 22–27 | 600 (LV) | – | 38% | 52% | - | - | – | 10% |
Change Research/CNBC [1586] [1587] | Jul 24–26 | 392 (LV) | – | 43% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [1588] | Jul 19–24 | 742 (LV) | – | 35% | 45% | 2% | 0% | 3% [abc] | 15% |
Morning Consult [1557] | Jul 15–24 | 797 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Gravis Marketing [1589] | Jul 22 | 796 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 42% | 50% | - | - | – | 7% |
Global Strategy Group (D) [1590] | Jul 11–17 | 600 (V) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 51% | - | - | 2% [abd] | 4% [xn] |
Spry Strategies/American Principles Project [1591] [DW] | Jul 11–16 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 45% | 46% | - | - | – | 8% |
Morning Consult [1557] | Jul 5–14 | 797 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 41% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC [1592] | Jul 10–12 | 601 (LV) | – | 42% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Morning Consult [1557] | Jun 25 – Jul 4 | 797 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1504] | Jun 8–30 | 813 (LV) | – | 47% | 51% | - | - | – | 2% |
Change Research/CNBC [1593] | Jun 26–28 | 502 (LV) [al] | – | 43% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Trafalgar Group [1594] | Jun 25–26 | 1,021 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 45% | - | - | 8% [abe] | 2% |
Ogden & Fry [1595] | Jun 20–24 | 825 (LV) | ± 3.48% | 44% | 45% | - | - | – | 10% |
Morning Consult [1557] | Jun 15–24 | 797 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [1596] | Jun 14–19 | 846 (LV) | ± 3.37% | 36% | 45% | 1% | 1% | 2% [abf] | 15% |
Marquette Law School [1597] | Jun 14–18 | 686 (LV) | – | 44% | 52% | - | - | 3% [aba] | 1% |
Hodas & Associates/Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R) [1598] | Jun 12–16 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 39% | 55% | - | - | – | 6% |
NYT Upshot/Siena College [1599] | Jun 8–15 | 655 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 38% | 49% | - | - | 5% [abg] | 8% |
Morning Consult [1557] | Jun 5–14 | 797 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC [1600] | Jun 12–14 | 231 (LV) [al] | – | 44% | 48% | - | - | 5% [abh] | – |
Morning Consult [1557] | May 26 – Jun 4 | 797 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Fox News [1601] | May 30 – Jun 2 | 801 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 40% | 49% | - | - | 6% [abi] | 5% |
Change Research/CNBC [1602] | May 29–31 | 382 (LV) [al] | – | 45% | 45% | - | - | 5% | 6% |
Morning Consult [1557] | May 16–25 | 797 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Morning Consult [1557] | May 6–15 | 797 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 42% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [1603] | May 10–14 | 875 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 38% | 48% | - | - | 3% [abj] | 10% |
Hodas & Associates/Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R) [1604] | May 6–8 | 600 (LV) | ± 3% | 42% | 51% | - | - | – | 8% |
Marquette Law School [1597] | May 3–7 | 650 (LV) | – | 45% | 49% | - | - | 4% [abk] | 2% |
Morning Consult [1557] | Apr 26 – May 5 | 797 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 43% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Public Policy Polling [1605] [DX] | Apr 20–21 | 1,415 (RV) | – | 45% | 50% | - | - | – | 4% |
Ipsos [1606] | Apr 15–20 | 645 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 40% | 43% | - | - | – | – |
Hodas & Associates/Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R) [1607] | Apr 13–15 | 600 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 50% | - | - | – | 4% |
Hart Research/CAP Action [1608] [DY] | Apr 6–8 | 303 (RV) | – | 47% | 48% | - | - | 2% | 3% |
Marquette Law School [1609] | Mar 24–29 | 813 (RV) | – | 45% | 48% | - | - | 4% [abk] | 3% |
Baldwin Wallace University Great Lakes [1610] | Mar 17–25 | 822 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 45% | 45% | - | - | – | 10% |
Change Research [1611] | Mar 21–23 | 510 (LV) | – | 49% | 45% | - | – | 6% | |
Hodas & Associates/Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R) [1612] | Mar 17–19 | 600 (RV) | – | 49% | 45% | - | - | – | – |
Public Policy Polling [1613] | Mar 10–11 | 1,727 (RV) | – | 45% | 48% | - | - | – | 6% |
YouGov/Yahoo News [1614] | Mar 6–8 | 459 (RV) | – | 42% | 44% | - | - | 6% [abl] | 7% |
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus [1615] | Mar 5–7 | 502 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 45% | 43% | - | - | – | – |
Marquette Law School [1616] | Feb 19–23 | 1,000 (RV) | – | 46% | 46% | - | - | 5% [abm] | 3% |
YouGov [1617] | Feb 11–20 | 936 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 45% | - | - | – | – |
Quinnipiac University [1618] | Feb 12–18 | 823 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 49% | 42% | - | - | 4% [abn] | 4% |
Expedition Strategies/Progressive Policies Institute [1619] | Feb 6–18 | 500 (RV) | – | 44% | 42% | - | - | – | 13% |
Tarrance Group/Wisconsin Manufacturers and Commerce [1620] | Jan 14–16 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 46% | 47% | - | - | – | 6% |
Marquette Law School [1621] [1622] [1623] | Jan 8–12 | 701 (LV) | – | 47% | 48% | - | - | 4% [abk] | 2% |
Fox News [1624] | Jan 5–8 | 1,504 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 41% | 46% | - | - | 8% [abo] | 4% |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
FiveThirtyEight [1625] | November 3, 2020 | 30.8% | 62.3% | 6.9% | Trump +31.5 |
Polls with a sample size of <100 have their sample size entries marked in red to indicate a lack of reliability.
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [abp] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1626] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 367 (LV) | ± 7% | 66% [abq] | 33% | – | – | – |
University of Wyoming [1627] | Oct 8–28, 2020 | 614 (LV) | ± 4% | 59% | 31% | 5% | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1626] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 739 (LV) | – | 68% | 31% | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1626] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 236 (LV) | – | 65% | 34% | – | – | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1626] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 211 (LV) | – | 74% | 25% | – | – | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1626] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 246 (LV) | – | 70% | 28% | – | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios [1626] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 98 (LV) | – | 78% | 22% | – | – | 0% |
General footnotes
Partisan clients
The 2020 United States Senate election in Michigan was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent Michigan. It was held concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
The 2020 United States presidential election in Florida was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election, in which all 50 states and the District of Columbia participated. Florida voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent president Donald Trump, and his running mate, Vice President Mike Pence, against Democratic Party nominee, former vice president Joe Biden, and his running mate, United States senator Kamala Harris, of California. Florida had 29 electoral votes in the Electoral College.
The 2020 United States presidential election in Georgia was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Georgia voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump of Florida, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence of Indiana against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden of Delaware, and his running mate Senator Kamala Harris of California. Georgia has 16 electoral votes in the Electoral College.
The 2020 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Pennsylvania voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Pennsylvania had 20 electoral votes in the Electoral College.
The 2020 United States presidential election in South Carolina was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. South Carolina voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican nominee, incumbent President Donald J. Trump, and running mate Vice President Michael R. Pence against Democratic nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. South Carolina has nine electoral votes in the Electoral College.
The 2020 United States presidential election in Wisconsin was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Wisconsin voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Wisconsin has 10 electoral votes in the Electoral College.
The 2020 United States presidential election in Michigan was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Michigan voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump of Florida, and his running mate, Vice President Mike Pence of Indiana against the Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden of Delaware, and his running mate, Senator Kamala Harris of California. Michigan had 16 electoral votes in the Electoral College.
The 2020 United States presidential election in Minnesota was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Minnesota voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald J. Trump, and running mate Vice President Michael R. Pence against the DFL nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Minnesota has ten electoral votes in the Electoral College.
The 2020 United States presidential election in North Carolina was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. North Carolina voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state was narrowly won by the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump of Florida, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence of Indiana, against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden of Delaware, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. North Carolina had 15 electoral votes in the Electoral College.
This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the general election for the 2020 United States presidential election. If multiple versions of polls are provided, the version among likely voters (LV) is prioritized, then registered voters (RV), then adults (A). Polling in the 2020 election was considerably less accurate than in the 2016 election, and possibly more inaccurate than in any election since 1996.
This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the general election for the 2020 United States presidential election. The persons named in the polls were declared candidates or received media speculation about their possible candidacy. If multiple versions of polls are provided, the version among likely voters (LV) is prioritized, then registered voters (RV), then adults (A).
The 2024 United States presidential election in Arizona took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Arizona voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Arizona has 11 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat. Arizona was considered a crucial swing state in 2024. On November 7, 2024, Donald Trump was declared the apparent winner by many major forecasters such as Decision Desk HQ. Arizona has been officially called for Trump by The Associated Press on November 9.
The 2024 United States presidential election in Florida was held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Florida voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Florida has 30 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained a seat.
The 2024 United States presidential election in Georgia took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Georgia voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Georgia has 16 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which it neither gained nor lost a seat. Georgia was considered to be a crucial swing state in 2024.
The 2024 United States presidential election in Michigan took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, and as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Michigan voters chose electors for Donald Trump and JD Vance to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Michigan has 15 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state lost a seat. Michigan was considered to be a crucial swing state in 2024.
The 2024 United States presidential election in Nevada took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states, plus the District of Columbia, participated. Nevada voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Nevada has six electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census, in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.
The 2024 United States presidential election in North Carolina took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. North Carolina voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of North Carolina has 16 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained a seat.
The 2024 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Pennsylvania voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Pennsylvania has 19 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state lost a seat.
This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the general election for the 2024 United States presidential election. The people named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy.
This article is a collection of statewide opinion polls conducted for the 2024 United States presidential election. The people named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy.
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