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Leading presidential candidate by state or district, based on opinion polls. This map only represents polling data, it is not a prediction for the election. | |||||||||||||||||||
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▼ 183 33 36 162 44 20 60
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2020 U.S. presidential election | |
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Attempts to overturn | |
Democratic Party | |
Republican Party | |
Third parties | |
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This is a list of statewide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the 2020 United States presidential election. The persons named in the polls were declared candidates or received media speculation about their possible candidacy.
If multiple versions of polls are provided, the version among likely voters is prioritized, then registered voters, then adults.
The following graph depicts the difference between Joe Biden and Donald Trump in each swing state in the poll aggregators from March 2020 to the election, with the election results for comparison.
Graphs are temporarily unavailable due to technical issues. |
Graphs are temporarily unavailable due to technical issues. |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 1] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | September 1 – October 13, 2020 | October 27, 2020 | 38.0% | 58.0% | 4.0% | Trump +20.0 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 37.8% | 57.4% | 4.8% | Trump +19.5 |
Average | 37.9% | 57.7% | 4.4% | Trump +19.8 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 1,808 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 62% [lower-alpha 3] | 36% | – | – | – |
Swayable Archived November 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 330 (LV) | ± 7.9% | 55% | 38% | 7% | – | – |
Data for Progress | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 1,045 (LV) | ± 3% | 58% | 38% | 3% | 1% | 0% [lower-alpha 4] |
Auburn University At Montgomery | Oct 23–28, 2020 | 853 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 58% | 39% | – | 3% | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 3,363 (LV) | – | 61% | 37% | – | – | – |
Swayable | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 266 (LV) | ± 7.8% | 56% | 37% | 7% | – | – |
Moore Information (R) [upper-alpha 1] | Oct 11–14, 2020 | 504 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 55% | 38% | – | – | – |
Auburn University at Montgomery Archived November 9, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Sep 30 – Oct 3, 2020 | 1,072 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 57% | 37% | – | 6% | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 1,354 (LV) | – | 59% | 39% | – | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 1,220 (LV) | – | 65% | 33% | – | – | 2% |
Tyson Group/Consumer Energy Alliance [upper-alpha 2] | Aug 17–19, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 48% | 44% | 0% | 0% [lower-alpha 5] | 7% |
Morning Consult | Jul 24 – Aug 2, 2020 | 609 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 58% | 36% | – | 2% [lower-alpha 6] | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 1,583 (LV) | – | 63% | 35% | – | – | 2% |
Auburn University at Montgomery Archived July 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Jul 2–9, 2020 | 567 (RV) | ± 5.1% | 55% | 41% | – | 4% | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 649 (LV) | – | 63% | 35% | – | – | 2% |
FM3 Research/Doug Jones [upper-alpha 3] | May 14–18, 2020 | 601 (LV) | ± 4% | 53% | 39% | – | – | – |
Mason-Dixon | Feb 4–6, 2020 | 625 (RV) | ± 4% | 58% | 38% | – | – | 4% |
WPA Intelligence | Jan 7–9, 2020 | 500 (LV) | – | 59% | 38% | – | – | 3% |
Graphs are temporarily unavailable due to technical issues. |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 7] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 6 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 43.8% | 49.4% | 6.8% | Trump +5.6 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 43.6% | 51.2% | 5.2% | Trump +7.7 |
Average | 43.7% | 50.3% | 6.0% | Trump +6.7 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 8] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 634 (LV) | ± 5% | 54% [lower-alpha 9] | 45% | – | – | – |
Gravis Marketing | Oct 26–28, 2020 | 770 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 52% | 43% | – | – | 5% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 1,147 (LV) | – | 54% | 44% | – | – | – |
Public Policy Polling/Protect Our Care [upper-alpha 4] | Oct 19–20, 2020 | 800 (V) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 45% | - | – | 5% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Oct 9–14, 2020 | 423 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 45% | 39% | 8% | 2% [lower-alpha 10] | 6% [lower-alpha 11] |
Patinkin Research Strategies | Sep 30 – Oct 4, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 49% | 46% | – | 3% [lower-alpha 12] | 2% |
Alaska Survey Research | Sep 26 – Oct 4, 2020 | 696 (LV) | – | 50% | 46% | - | - | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 563 (LV) | – | 53% | 45% | - | - | 2% |
Harstad Strategic Research/Independent Alaska [upper-alpha 5] | Sep 20–23, 2020 | 602 (LV) | ± 4% | 47% | 46% | - | - | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 472 (LV) | – | 57% | 42% | - | - | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 412 (LV) | – | 55% | 43% | - | - | 2% |
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 6] | Jul 23–24, 2020 | 885 (V) | – | 50% | 44% | - | - | 6% |
Public Policy Polling [lower-alpha 13] | Jul 7–8, 2020 | 1,081 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 45% | - | - | 6% |
Alaska Survey Research | Jun 23 – Jul 7, 2020 | 663 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 49% | 48% | - | - | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 161 (LV) | – | 52% | 46% | - | - | 2% |
Zogby Interactive/JZ Analytics | Jul 22 – Aug 9, 2019 | 321 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 45% | 40% | - | - | 15% |
Graphs are temporarily unavailable due to technical issues. |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 1] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 22 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 48.0% | 45.8% | 6.2% | Biden +2.2 |
Real Clear Politics | October 25 – November 1, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 47.9% | 47.0% | 5.1% | Biden +0.9 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 48.7% | 46.1% | 5.2% | Biden +2.6 |
Average | 48.2% | 46.3% | 5.5% | Biden +1.9 |
2020 polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 14] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ipsos/Reuters | Oct 27 – Nov 2 | 610 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 47% [lower-alpha 15] | 50% | 1% | 0% | 2% [lower-alpha 16] | – |
47% [lower-alpha 17] | 49% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 18] | 1% | ||||
48% [lower-alpha 19] | 50% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 20] | – | ||||
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2 | 4,278 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 46% [lower-alpha 21] | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC | Oct 29 – Nov 1 | 409 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 47% | 50% | 2% | - | – | 1% |
Marist College/NBC | Oct 29 – Nov 1 | 717 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 48% | 48% | - | - | 3% | 1% |
Swayable Archived November 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 27 – Nov 1 | 360 (LV) | ± 7.1% | 46% | 51% | 4% | - | – | – |
Data for Progress | Oct 27 – Nov 1 | 1,195 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 47% | 50% | 2% | 1% | 0% [lower-alpha 22] | – |
AtlasIntel | Oct 30–31 | 641 (LV) | ± 4% | 50.4% | 48.1% | - | - | 1.5% [lower-alpha 23] | – |
Emerson College | Oct 29–31 | 732 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 46% | 48% | - | - | 6% [lower-alpha 24] | – |
Morning Consult | Oct 22–31 | 1,059 (LV) | ± 3% | 46% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Data Orbital Archived November 21, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 28–30 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 45.3% | 45.9% | 3% | - | 6% [lower-alpha 25] | 5% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Oct 26–30 | 1,253 (LV) | ± 3% | 43% | 49% | 3% | - | 1% [lower-alpha 26] | 5% [lower-alpha 27] |
Grand Canyon Battleground Poll | Oct 25–30 | 910 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 48% | 45% | 3% | - | 4% | |
CNN/SSRS Archived November 22, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 23–30 | 892 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 50% | 3% | - | 1% [lower-alpha 28] | 1% |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports | Oct 27–29 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 45% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 29] | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Oct 26–29 | 889 (LV) | – | 46% | 50% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 2% |
Gravis Marketing | Oct 26–28 | 704 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 44% | 48% | - | - | – | 8% |
Trafalgar Group | Oct 25–28 | 1,002 (LV) | ± 3% | 49% | 46.5% | 2.1% | - | 1.7% [lower-alpha 30] | 0.7% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28 | 5,687 (LV) | – | 46% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Ipsos/Reuters | Oct 21–27 | 714 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 47% [lower-alpha 15] | 47% | 2% | 0% | 3% [lower-alpha 31] | – |
46% [lower-alpha 17] | 48% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 32] | 2% | ||||
Swayable | Oct 23–26 | 304 (LV) | ± 7.2% | 44% | 52% | 3% | - | – | – |
Justice Collaborative Project Archived November 30, 2020, at the Wayback Machine [upper-alpha 7] | Oct 22–25 | 874 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 43% | 49% | - | - | – | 5% |
OH Predictive Insights | Oct 22–25 | 716 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 49% | 3% | - | 1% [lower-alpha 33] | 1% |
Univision/University of Houston/Latino Decisions/North Star Opinion Research | Oct 17–25 | 725 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 45% | 50% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 34] | 3% |
Patinkin Research Strategies/Arizona Research Consortium (D) | Oct 21–24 | 729 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 45% | 52% | - | - | 2% | 1% |
Y2 Analytics/Salt Lake Tribune | Oct 15–24 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc./Center for American Greatness [upper-alpha 8] | Oct 19–22 | 504 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46% [lower-alpha 35] | 46% | 4% | - | 2% [lower-alpha 36] | 1% |
Ipsos/Reuters | Oct 14–21 | 658 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46% [lower-alpha 15] | 50% | 1% | - | 2% [lower-alpha 37] | – |
46% [lower-alpha 17] | 49% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 32] | 2% | ||||
Morning Consult | Oct 11–20 | 1,066 (LV) | ± 3% | 48% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports | Oct 18–19 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 48% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 29] | 3% |
Change Research/CNBC | Oct 16–19 | 232 (LV) [lower-alpha 38] | – | 45% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ Archived November 25, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 14–19 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 46% [lower-alpha 15] | 47% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 29] | 5% |
44% [lower-alpha 39] | 49% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 29] | 5% | ||||
47% [lower-alpha 40] | 45% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 29] | 5% | ||||
Data Orbital Archived October 31, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 16–18 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 42% | 47% | 3% | - | 5% [lower-alpha 41] | 2% |
YouGov/CBS | Oct 13–16 | 1,074 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 45% | 49% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 42] | 3% |
Ipsos/Reuters | Oct 7–14 | 667 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 47% [lower-alpha 15] | 49% | 1% | 0% | 2% [lower-alpha 43] | – |
46% [lower-alpha 17] | 50% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 18] | 3% | ||||
Monmouth University | Oct 11–13 | 502 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 50% | 2% | - | 1% [lower-alpha 44] | 4% |
502 (LV) | 44% [lower-alpha 45] | 51% | - | - | 2% | – | |||
47% [lower-alpha 46] | 49% | - | - | 1% | – | ||||
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Oct 10–13 | 750 (LV) | – | 45% [lower-alpha 38] | 48% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
Morning Consult | Oct 2–11 | 1,144 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 46% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Oct 9–10 | 720 (LV) | – | 46% [lower-alpha 38] | 48% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
Trafalgar Group | Oct 6–8 | 1,087 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 48% | 44% | 2% | - | 2% [lower-alpha 34] | 5% |
OH Predictive Insights | Oct 4–8 | 608 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% [lower-alpha 15] | 49% | 4% | - | 0% [lower-alpha 47] | 3% |
47% [lower-alpha 48] | 50% | - | - | 0% [lower-alpha 47] | 3% | ||||
Redfield and Wilton Strategies | Oct 4–7 | 727 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 43% | 49% | 1% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 49] | 6% |
Ipsos/Reuters | Sep 29 – Oct 7 | 633 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 46% | 48% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 18] | 4% |
Latino Decisions/Democrats for Education Reform [upper-alpha 9] | Sep 28 – Oct 6 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 45% | 48% | - | - | – | 5% |
Basswood Research/American Action Forum [upper-alpha 10] | Oct 3–5 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 48% | 2% | - | – | 3% |
Data Orbital Archived October 21, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 3–5 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 43% | 48% | 3% | - | 3% [lower-alpha 50] | 4% |
HighGround Inc. | Sep 28 – Oct 5 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 46% | - | - | 4% [lower-alpha 51] | 5% |
Change Research/CNBC | Oct 2–4 | 296 (LV) | – | 45% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Oct 1–3 | 655 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 41% | 49% | 3% | – | 1% [lower-alpha 26] | 6% [lower-alpha 27] |
Patinkin Research Strategies/Arizona Research Consortium (D) | Oct 1–3 | 604 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 46% | 50% | - | - | 3% | 1% |
Targoz Market Research/PollSmart | Sep 23 – Oct 2 | 1,045 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 45% | - | - | 10% | – |
Suffolk University | Sep 26–30 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 50% | 1% | - | 1% [lower-alpha 33] | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30 | 7,100 (LV) | – | 47% | 51% | - | - | – | 2% |
Strategies 360/Smart and Safe Arizona [upper-alpha 11] | Sep 24–29 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 45% | 49% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 52] | 4% |
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc/Center for American Greatness [upper-alpha 8] | Sep 25–28 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 47% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
Data for Progress (D) | Sep 23–28 | 808 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 45% [lower-alpha 15] | 49% | 1% | 0% | – | 4% |
46% [lower-alpha 48] | 50% | - | - | – | 4% | ||||
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Sep 23–26 | 871 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 44% | 47% | 1% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 49] | 6% |
Data For Progress [upper-alpha 12] | Sep 15–22 | 481 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 45% | - | - | – | 10% |
Change Research/CNBC | Sep 18–20 | 262 (LV) | – | 43% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
ABC/Washington Post | Sep 15–20 | 579 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 49% | 48% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 53] | 1% |
Hart Research Associates/Human Rights Campaign [ permanent dead link ] [upper-alpha 13] | Sep 17–19 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 42% | 53% | - | - | – | – |
Data Orbital | Sep 14–17 | 550 (LV) | – | 47% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Ipsos/Reuters | Sep 11–17 | 565 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 46% | 47% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 18] | 5% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Sep 12–16 | 855 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 42% | 47% | 1% | 0% | 1% [lower-alpha 49] | 8% |
Monmouth University | Sep 11–15 | 420 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 44% | 48% | 4% | - | 1% [lower-alpha 54] | 3% |
420 (LV) | 46% [lower-alpha 55] | 48% | - | - | 3% | 3% | |||
47% [lower-alpha 56] | 47% | - | - | 3% | 3% | ||||
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Sep 10–15 | 653 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 40% | 49% | 4% | - | 1% [lower-alpha 26] | 6% [lower-alpha 27] |
Patinkin Research Strategies/Arizona Research Consortium (D) | Sep 10–13 | 679 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 46% | 49% | - | - | 4% | 2% |
Kaiser Family Foundation/Cook Political Report | Aug 29 – Sep 13 | 1,298 (RV) | ± 3% | 40% | 45% | - | - | 4% [lower-alpha 57] | 11% |
Gravis Marketing | Sep 10–11 | 684 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 48% | 50% | - | - | – | 2% |
YouGov/CBS | Sep 9–11 | 1,106 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 44% | 47% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 42] | 6% |
OH Predictive Insights | Sep 8–10 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 42% | 52% | - | - | – | 5% |
Benenson Strategy Group/GS Strategy Group/AARP | Aug 28 – Sep 8 | 1,600 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 47% | 48% | - | - | 1% [lower-alpha 58] | 4% |
Morning Consult | Aug 29 – Sep 7 | 901 (LV) | ± (2–4%) | 46% [lower-alpha 59] | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC | Sep 4–6 | 470 (LV) | – | 45% | 49% | - | - | 6% [lower-alpha 60] | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Aug 30 – Sep 4 | 830 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 43% | 48% | 0% | 1% | 0% [lower-alpha 61] | 6% |
FOX News | Aug 29 – Sep 1 | 772 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 40% | 49% | 3% | - | 1% [lower-alpha 62] | 6% |
858 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 49% | 3% | - | 3% [lower-alpha 63] | 6% | ||
Basswood Research/American Action Forum [upper-alpha 10] | Aug 29–31, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% [lower-alpha 15] | 47% | 1% [lower-alpha 64] | 2% | – | 2% |
49% [lower-alpha 48] | 48% | - | - | – | 3% | ||||
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31 | 6,456 (LV) | – | 52% | 47% | - | - | – | 2% |
Morning Consult | Aug 21–30 | 943 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC | Aug 21–23 | 344 (LV) | – | 47% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Redfield and Wilton Strategies | Aug 16–18 | 856 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 38% | 47% | 1% | 1% | 3% [lower-alpha 65] | 10% |
Morning Consult | Aug 7–16 | 947 (LV) | ± (2–4%) | 47% | 45% | - | - | – | – |
Emerson College | Aug 8–10 | 661 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 47% [lower-alpha 35] | 53% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC | Aug 7–9 | 428 (LV) | – | 44% | 45% | - | - | – | – |
Trafalgar Group | Aug 5–8 | 1,013 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 46% | 45% | 3% | - | 1% [lower-alpha 66] | 4% |
OH Predictive Insights | Aug 3–4 | 603 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
OnMessage Inc./Heritage Action [upper-alpha 14] | Aug 2–4 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 51% | 48% | - | - | – | 2% |
Data for Progress | Jul 24 – Aug 2 | 1,215 (LV) | – | 43% [lower-alpha 15] | 45% | 2% | 1% | – | 10% |
44% [lower-alpha 48] | 47% | - | - | – | 8% | ||||
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31 | 4,995 (LV) | – | 51% | 47% | - | - | – | 2% |
Change Research/CNBC | Jul 24–26 | 365 (LV) | – | 45% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
Morning Consult | Jul 17–26 | 908 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 42% [lower-alpha 59] | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Morning Consult | Jul 16–25 | – (LV) [lower-alpha 67] | – | 43% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
CNN/SSRS | Jul 18–24 | 873 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 45% | 49% | - | - | 4% [lower-alpha 68] | 2% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Jul 19–23 | 858 (LV) | – | 38% | 46% | 2% | 1% | 3% [lower-alpha 65] | 11% |
NBC News/Marist College | Jul 14–22 | 826 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 45% | 50% | - | - | 1% | 3% |
Public Policy Polling/AFSCME [upper-alpha 6] | Jul 17–18 | 960 (RV) | – | 45% | 49% | - | - | – | 6% |
Spry Strategies/American Principles Project [upper-alpha 15] | Jul 11–16 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 45% | 49% | - | - | – | 6% |
Morning Consult | Jul 6–15 | – (LV) [lower-alpha 67] | – | 45% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC | Jul 10–12 | 345 (LV) | – | 45% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
YouGov/CBS | Jul 7–10 | 1,087 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 46% | 46% | - | - | 4% [lower-alpha 69] | 4% |
OH Predictive Insights | Jul 6–7 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 49% | - | - | 0% [lower-alpha 47] | 7% |
Morning Consult | Jun 26 – Jul 5 | – (LV) [lower-alpha 67] | – | 42% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30 | 2,365 (LV) | – | 52% | 46% | - | - | – | 2% |
Data Orbital | Jun 27–29 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 47% | - | - | 3.3% [lower-alpha 70] | 4.2% |
Morning Consult | Jun 16–25 | – (LV) [lower-alpha 67] | – | 43% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC | Jun 26–28 | 311 (LV) [lower-alpha 38] | – | 44% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Gravis Marketing/OANN | Jun 27 | 527 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 49% | 45% | - | - | – | 7% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Jun 14–17 | 865 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 39% | 43% | 2% | 1% | 2% [lower-alpha 71] | 13% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Jun 8–16 | 650 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 41% | 48% | - | - | 4% [lower-alpha 72] | 8% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | Jun 13–15 | 1,368 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 45% | 49% | - | - | 5% [lower-alpha 73] | 1% |
Morning Consult | Jun 6–15 | – (LV) [lower-alpha 67] | – | 44% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC | Jun 12–14 | 201 (LV) [lower-alpha 38] | – | 44% | 45% | - | - | 5% [lower-alpha 74] | – |
Morning Consult | May 27 – Jun 5 | – (LV) [lower-alpha 67] | – | 47% | 45% | - | - | – | – |
FOX News | May 30 – Jun 2 | 1,002 (RV) | ± 3% | 42% | 46% | - | - | 6% [lower-alpha 75] | 5% |
Change Research/CNBC | May 29–31 | 329 (LV) [lower-alpha 38] | – | 45% | 44% | - | - | 9% | 2% |
Morning Consult | May 17–26 | 784 (LV) | – | 47% [lower-alpha 59] | 45% | - | - | – | – |
Morning Consult | May 16–25 | – (LV) [lower-alpha 67] | – | 46% | 46% | - | - | – | – |
HighGround Inc. | May 18–22 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 47% | - | - | 4% [lower-alpha 76] | 4% [lower-alpha 27] |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | May 10–14 | 946 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 41% | 45% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 77] | 10% |
OH Predictive Insights | May 9–11 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 43% | 50% | - | - | 1% [lower-alpha 33] | 6% |
Morning Consult | May 6–15 | – (LV) [lower-alpha 67] | – | 47% | 45% | - | - | – | – |
GBAO Strategies/PLUS Paid Family Leave Archived May 16, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Apr 13–16 | 500 (LV) | – | 46% | 47% | - | - | 2% | 5% |
OH Predictive Insights | Apr 7–8 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College | Mar 10–15 | 2,523 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 46% | 47% | - | - | 1% | 5% |
Monmouth University | Mar 11–14 | 847 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 43% | 46% | - | - | 2% | 6% |
Univision | Mar 6–11 | 1,036 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 50% | - | - | – | 8% |
OH Predictive Insights | Mar 3–4 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 49% | - | - | – | 8% |
Public Policy Polling | Mar 2–3 | 666 (V) | – | 46% | 47% | - | - | – | 6% |
Climate Nexus | Feb 11–15 | 539 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 46% | 42% | - | - | – | 13% |
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Team McSally/Politico [upper-alpha 16] | Jan 22–24 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 50% | 45% | - | - | – | 6% |
Public Policy Polling | Jan 2–4 | 760 (V) | – | 46% | 46% | - | - | – | 8% |
2019 polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 14] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
OH Predictive Insights | Dec 3–4 | 628 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 46% | 44% | 0% [lower-alpha 47] | 10% |
Emerson College | Oct 25–28 | 901 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 50% | 50% | – | – |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Oct 13–23 | 652 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 49% | – | – |
Bendixen & Amandi International | Sep 9–12 | 520 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 43% | 42% | 12% | 3% |
OH Predictive Insights | Aug 13–14 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 45% | – | 12% |
Fabrizio Ward LLC | Jul 29–31 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 45% | – | 4% |
OH Predictive Insights Archived May 7, 2019, at the Wayback Machine | May 1–2 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 49% | – | 7% |
OH Predictive Insights Archived May 29, 2019, at the Wayback Machine | Feb 12–13 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 46% | – | 7% |
Graphs are temporarily unavailable due to technical issues. |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 1] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 17–28, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 35.0% | 60.3% | 4.7% | Trump +25.3 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 36.2% | 58.9% | 4.9% | Trump +22.8 |
Average | 35.6% | 59.6% | 4.8% | Trump +24.0 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 78] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 1,309 (LV) | ± 4% | 61% [lower-alpha 79] | 38% | - | - | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 2,239 (LV) | – | 60% | 38% | - | - | – | – |
University of Arkansas | Oct 9–21, 2020 | 591 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 65% | 32% | - | - | 3% | – |
Hendrix College/Talk Business & Politics | Oct 11–13, 2020 | 647 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 58% | 34% | 2% | 1% | 2% [lower-alpha 80] | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 771 (LV) | – | 62% | 38% | - | - | – | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 689 (LV) | – | 67% | 32% | - | - | – | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 747 (LV) | – | 66% | 32% | - | - | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 354 (LV) | – | 59% | 38% | - | - | – | 2% |
Hendrix College/Talk Business & Politics | Jun 9–10, 2020 | 869 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 47% | 45% | - | - | 5% [lower-alpha 81] | 3% |
Graphs are temporarily unavailable due to technical issues. |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 1] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 17–27, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 61.7% | 32.3% | 6.0% | Biden +29.4 |
Real Clear Politics | September 26 – October 21, 2020 | October 27, 2020 | 60.7% | 31.0% | 8.3% | Biden +29.7 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 61.6% | 32.4% | 6.0% | Biden +29.2 |
Average | 61.3% | 31.9% | 6.8% | Biden +29.4 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 82] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 12,370 (LV) | ± 1.5% | 36% [lower-alpha 83] | 62% | – | – | – | – |
David Binder Research | Oct 28 – Nov 1, 2020 | 800 (LV) | – | 31% | 62% | – | – | 3% | 4% |
USC Schwarzenegger Institute | Oct 27–31, 2020 | 1,155 (RV) | ± 3% | 28% | 65% | – | – | 4% [lower-alpha 84] | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Tableau | Sep 30 – Oct 28, 2020 | 22,450 (LV) | – | 37% [lower-alpha 83] | 61% | – | – | – | – |
Swayable | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 635 (LV) | ± 5.2% | 35% | 62% | 2% | 1% | – | – |
UC Berkeley/LA Times | Oct 16–21, 2020 | 5,352 (LV) | ± 2% | 29% | 65% | 1% | 0% | 0% [lower-alpha 85] [lower-alpha 86] | 3% |
Public Policy Institute of California | Oct 9–18, 2020 | 1,185 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 32% | 58% | 3% | 2% | 1% [lower-alpha 87] | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Tableau | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 20,346 (LV) | – | 35% | 63% | – | – | – | 2% |
SurveyUSA | Sep 26–28, 2020 | 588 (LV) | ± 5.4% | 34% | 59% | – | – | 3% [lower-alpha 88] | 6% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Sep 19–21, 2020 | 1,775 (LV) | – | 28% | 62% | 1% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 89] | 8% |
UC Berkeley/LA Times | Sep 9–15, 2020 | 5,942 (LV) | ± 2% | 28% | 67% | 1% | 0% | 0% [lower-alpha 85] [lower-alpha 86] | 3% |
Public Policy Institute of California | Sep 4–13, 2020 | 1,168 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 31% | 60% | 3% | 2% | 1% [lower-alpha 87] | 2% |
Spry Strategies/Women's Liberation Front Archived September 27, 2020, at the Wayback Machine [lower-alpha 90] | Aug 29 – Sep 1, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 39% | 56% | – | – | – | 5% |
SurveyMonkey/Tableau | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 17,537 (LV) | – | 35% | 63% | – | – | – | 2% |
David Binder Research | Aug 22–24, 2020 | 800 (LV) | – | 31% | 61% | – | – | 3% [lower-alpha 91] | 5% |
Redfield and Wilton Strategies | Aug 9, 2020 | 1,904 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 25% | 61% | 1% | 1% | 2% [lower-alpha 92] | 9% |
SurveyMonkey/Tableau | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 19,027 (LV) | – | 35% | 63% | – | – | – | 2% |
University of California Berkeley | Jul 21–27, 2020 | 6,756 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 28% | 67% | – | – | – | 5% |
SurveyMonkey/Tableau | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 8,412 (LV) | – | 36% | 62% | – | – | – | 2% |
Public Policy Institute of California | May 19–26, 2020 | 1,048 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 33% | 57% | – | – | 6% [lower-alpha 93] | 3% |
SurveyUSA | May 18–19, 2020 | 537 (LV) | ± 5.4% | 30% | 58% | – | – | 5% | 7% |
Emerson College | May 8–10, 2020 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 35% [lower-alpha 94] | 65% | – | – | – | – |
Public Policy Polling | Mar 28–29, 2020 | 962 (RV) | – | 29% | 67% | – | – | – | 3% |
AtlasIntel | Feb 24 – Mar 2, 2020 | 1,100 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 26% | 62% | – | – | 12% | – |
YouGov | Feb 26–28, 2020 | 1,507 (RV) | – | 31% | 59% | – | – | 4% | 4% |
CNN/SSRS | Feb 22–26, 2020 | 951 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 35% | 60% | – | – | 3% [lower-alpha 95] | 3% |
University of California Berkeley | Feb 20–25, 2020 | 5,526 (RV) | – | 31% | 58% | – | – | – | 11% |
SurveyUSA | Feb 13–16, 2020 | 1,196 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 37% | 57% | – | – | – | 6% |
YouGov/USC Price-Schwarzenegger Institute | Feb 1–15, 2020 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 30% | 60% | – | – | – | 4% |
SurveyUSA | Jan 14–16, 2020 | 1,967 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 35% | 59% | – | – | – | 6% |
CNN/SSRS | Dec 4–8, 2019 | 1,011 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 36% | 56% | – | – | 3% [lower-alpha 95] | 5% |
SurveyUSA | Nov 20–22, 2019 | 2,039 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 32% | 59% | – | – | – | 9% |
SurveyUSA | Oct 15–16, 2019 | 1,242 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 32% | 59% | – | – | – | 9% |
Emerson College | Sep 13–16, 2019 | 830 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 36% | 64% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyUSA | Sep 13–15, 2019 | 1,785 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 31% | 57% | – | – | – | 11% |
SurveyUSA | Aug 1–5, 2019 | 2,184 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 27% | 61% | – | – | – | 12% |
SurveyUSA | Mar 22–25, 2018 | 882 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 33% | 56% | – | – | – | 11% |
Graphs are temporarily unavailable due to technical issues. |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 1] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 15 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 52.0% | 40.6% | 7.4% | Biden +11.4 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 53.6% | 41.1% | 5.3% | Biden +12.5 |
Average | 52.8% | 40.8% | 6.4% | Biden +12.0 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 96] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 2,991 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 44% [lower-alpha 97] | 55% | – | – | – | – |
Keating Research/Onsight Public Affairs/Colorado Sun | Oct 29 – Nov 1, 2020 | 502 (LV) [lower-alpha 98] | ± 4.4% | 41% | 53% | – | – | – | – |
Data for Progress | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 709 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 42% | 54% | 3% | 1% | 0% [lower-alpha 99] | – |
Swayable Archived November 27, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2020 | 455 (LV) | ± 6% | 41% | 55% | 3% | 1% | – | – |
Morning Consult | Oct 22–31, 2020 | 727 (LV) | ± 4% | 41% | 54% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 5,925 (LV) | – | 40% | 59% | – | – | – | – |
Morning Consult | Oct 11–20, 2020 | 788 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 39% | 55% | – | – | – | – |
RBI Strategies | Oct 12–16, 2020 | 502 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 38% | 55% | 3% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 100] | 1% |
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ | Oct 9–15, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 43% | 51% | – | – | 1% [lower-alpha 101] | 3% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | Oct 11–14, 2020 | 1,013 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 42% | 53% | – | – | 3% [lower-alpha 100] | 1% |
Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs/Melanson | Oct 8–13, 2020 | 519 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 39% | 54% | – | – | 3% [lower-alpha 102] | 4% |
Morning Consult | Oct 2–11, 2020 | 837 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 40% | 54% | – | – | – | – |
YouGov/University of Colorado | Oct 5–9, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 4.64% | 38% | 47% | – | – | 3% | 11% |
SurveyUSA/9News/Colorado Politics | Oct 1–6, 2020 | 1,021 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 40% | 50% | – | – | 5% [lower-alpha 103] | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 2,717 (LV) | – | 41% | 57% | – | – | – | 2% |
Morning Consult | Aug 29 – Sep 7, 2020 | 657 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 43% [lower-alpha 104] | 49% | – | – | – | – |
Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates/AARP | Aug 30 – Sep 5, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 40% | 50% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 105] | 8% |
Global Strategy Group/Progress Colorado [upper-alpha 17] | Aug 28 – Sep 1, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 39% | 50% | 4% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 106] | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 2,385 (LV) | – | 41% | 57% | – | – | – | 2% |
Morning Consult | Aug 21–30, 2020 | 638 (LV) | ± 4% | 41% [lower-alpha 104] | 51% | – | – | – | – |
Morning Consult | Aug 16–25, 2020 | ~600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 51% | – | – | – | – |
Morning Consult | Aug 7–16, 2020 | 601 (LV) | ± 4% | 41% [lower-alpha 107] | 51% | – | – | – | – |
Morning Consult | Aug 6–15, 2020 | ~600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 51% | – | – | – | – |
Morning Consult | Jul 7 – Aug 5, 2020 | ~600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 52% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 2,337 (LV) | – | 40% | 58% | – | – | – | 2% |
Morning Consult | Jul 17–26, 2020 | 616 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 39% [lower-alpha 104] | 52% | – | – | – | – |
Morning Consult | Jul 13–22, 2020 | ~600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 51% | – | – | – | – |
Public Policy Polling/AFSCME [upper-alpha 6] | Jul 23–24, 2020 | 891 (V) | – | 41% | 54% | – | – | – | 5% |
Public Policy Polling/End Citizens United | Jun 29–30, 2020 | 840 (V) | ± 3.4% | 39% | 56% | – | – | – | 5% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 1,088 (LV) | – | 42% | 57% | – | – | – | 2% |
Morning Consult | May 17–26, 2020 | 572 (LV) | – | 42% | 50% | – | – | – | – |
Global Strategy Group (D) | May 7–11, 2020 | 700 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 40% | 53% | – | – | – | 7% |
Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs/Melanson/Colorado Politics | May 1–3, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 36% | 55% | – | – | 3% [lower-alpha 102] | 6% |
Montana State University Bozeman | Apr 10–19, 2020 | 379 (LV) | – | 35% | 53% | – | – | 3% | 8% |
Climate Nexus | Feb 11–15, 2020 | 485 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 43% | 46% | – | – | – | 11% |
Emerson College Archived August 20, 2019, at the Wayback Machine | Aug 16–19, 2019 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 55% | – | – | – | – |
Fabrizio Ward/AARP | Jul 29–31, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 51% | – | – | 1% [lower-alpha 108] | 5% |
Graphical summary
Graphs are temporarily unavailable due to technical issues. |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 1] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 58.6% | 32.4% | 9.0% | Biden +26.3 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 109] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 2,031 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 38% [lower-alpha 110] | 60% | - | - | – | – |
Swayable Archived November 27, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2020 | 367 (LV) | ± 6.2% | 33% | 64% | 2% | 1% | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 3,782 (LV) | – | 35% | 63% | - | - | – | – |
Sacred Heart University Archived November 1, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 8–21, 2020 | 1,000 (A) | ± 3.02% | 26% | 51% | - | - | 2% | 20% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 1,415 (LV) | – | 37% | 61% | - | - | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 1,009 (LV) | – | 35% | 64% | - | - | – | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 1,360 (LV) | – | 39% | 59% | - | - | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 574 (LV) | – | 32% | 65% | - | - | – | 3% |
SurveyUSA | May 19–24, 2020 | 808 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 33% | 52% | - | - | 7% [lower-alpha 111] | 8% |
Quinnipiac University | Apr 30 – May 4, 2020 | 945 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 33% | 56% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 112] | 7% |
Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant | Mar 24 – Apr 3, 2020 | 1,000 (A) | ± 3.0% | 34% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant | Feb 24 – Mar 12, 2020 | 1,000 (A) | ± 3.0% | 36% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant | Dec 16, 2019 – Jan 2, 2020 | 1,000 (A) | ± 3.0% | 32% | 52% | - | - | – | 16% |
Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant | Sep 17 – Oct 2, 2019 | 1,000 (A) | ± 3.2% | 33% | 52% | - | - | – | 15% |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 1] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 5 – November 1, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 57.5% | 35.5% | 7.0% | Biden +22.0 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 58.9% | 34.6% | 6.5% | Biden +24.3 |
Average | 58.2% | 35.1% | 6.8% | Biden +23.2 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 113] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 656 (LV) | ± 6% | 38% [lower-alpha 114] | 60% | - | - | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 1,323 (LV) | – | 37% | 62% | - | - | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 395 (LV) | – | 37% | 61% | - | - | 2% |
University of Delaware | Sep 21–27, 2020 | 847 (LV) | – | 33% | 54% | 2% | 1% | 10% [lower-alpha 115] |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 348 (LV) | – | 32% | 67% | - | - | 1% |
PPP | Aug 21–22, 2020 | 710 (V) | ± 3.7% | 37% | 58% | - | - | 5% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 453 (LV) | – | 31% | 67% | - | - | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 232 (LV) | – | 34% | 64% | - | - | 2% |
Gonzales Research | Jan 16–21, 2020 | 410 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 40% | 56% | - | - | 4% |
Graphs are temporarily unavailable due to technical issues. |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 1] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 90.8% | 5.8% | 3.4% | Biden +85.0 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 113] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 495 (LV) | ± 6% | 5% [lower-alpha 116] | 94% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 969 (LV) | – | 9% | 89% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 343 (LV) | – | 12% | 86% | – | – | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 252 (LV) | – | 16% | 83% | – | – | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 290 (LV) | – | 8% | 91% | – | – | – | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 151 (LV) | – | 11% | 87% | – | – | – | 3% |
Graphical summary
Graphs are temporarily unavailable due to technical issues. |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 1] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 24 – November 1, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 48.7% | 46.0% | 5.3% | Biden +2.7 |
Real Clear Politics | October 28 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 47.9% | 47.0% | 5.1% | Biden +0.9 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 49.1% | 46.6% | 4.3% | Biden +2.5 |
Average | 48.6% | 46.5% | 4.9% | Biden +2.1 |
State polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 113] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Insider Advantage/Fox 35 | Nov 1–2, 2020 [lower-alpha 38] | 400 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 47% | 2% | - | – | 3% |
Trafalgar Group | Oct 31 – Nov 2, 2020 | 1,054 (LV) | ± 2.94% | 49% | 47% | 2% | - | 1% [lower-alpha 117] | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 8,792 (LV) | ± 1.5% | 49% [lower-alpha 118] | 49% | - | - | – | – |
AYTM/Aspiration | Oct 30 – Nov 1, 2020 | 517 (LV) | – | 43% | 45% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC | Oct 29 – Nov 1, 2020 | 806 (LV) | ± 3.45% | 48% | 51% | 0% | 0% | – | 1% |
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc./Center for American Greatness [upper-alpha 8] | Oct 29 – Nov 1, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 47% | 46% | 2% | - | 2% [lower-alpha 119] | 3% |
Quinnipiac University | Oct 28 – Nov 1, 2020 | 1,657 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 42% | 47% | - | - | 1% [lower-alpha 117] | 9% |
Swayable Archived November 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 1,261 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 53% | 1% | 1% | – | – |
Data for Progress | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 1,202 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 48% | 51% | 1% | 1% | 0% [lower-alpha 120] | – |
Ipsos/Reuters | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 670 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 46% [lower-alpha 15] | 50% | 1% | 0% | 1% [lower-alpha 121] | – |
46% [lower-alpha 122] | 50% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 18] | 2% | ||||
47% [lower-alpha 123] | 51% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 124] | – | ||||
Frederick Polls/Compete Everywhere [upper-alpha 18] | Oct 30–31, 2020 | 768 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports | Oct 29–31, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 48% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 125] | – |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Oct 27–31, 2020 | 1,451 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 44% | 47% | 2% | 1% | 0% [lower-alpha 126] | 6% [lower-alpha 127] |
Morning Consult | Oct 22–31, 2020 | 4,451 (LV) | ± 2% | 45% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
St. Pete Polls | Oct 29–30, 2020 | 2,758 (LV) | ± 1.9% | 48% | 49% | 1% | - | – | 2% |
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ | Oct 28–30, 2020 | 1,200 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 47% [lower-alpha 15] | 51% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 124] | 0% |
45% [lower-alpha 128] | 52% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 124] | 0% | ||||
48% [lower-alpha 129] | 49% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 124] | 0% | ||||
Targoz Market Research/PollSmart | Oct 25–30, 2020 | 1,027 (LV) | – | 47% | 51% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 130] | – |
AtlasIntel | Oct 28–29, 2020 | 786 (LV) | ± 3% | 48.5% | 48.5% | - | - | – | 3% |
Public Policy Polling/Climate Power 2020 [upper-alpha 19] | Oct 28–29, 2020 | 941 (V) | – | 45% | 52% | - | - | – | 3% |
Harvard-Harris/The Hill | Oct 26–29, 2020 | 1,148 (LV) | ± >=3% | 47% | 50% | - | - | – | 3% |
ABC/Washington Post | Oct 24–29, 2020 | 824 (LV) | ± 4% | 50% | 48% | 1% | 0% | 0% [lower-alpha 131] | 0% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Oct 27–28, 2020 | 1,587 (LV) | – | 46% | 50% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Trafalgar Group | Oct 25–28, 2020 | 1,088 (LV) | ± 2.89% | 50% | 47% | 2% | - | 1% [lower-alpha 117] | 1% |
Monmouth University | Oct 24–28, 2020 | 509 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 45% | 50% | 1% | 0% | 1% [lower-alpha 132] | 2% |
509 (LV) | 45% [lower-alpha 133] | 51% | - | - | – | – | |||
46% [lower-alpha 134] | 50% | - | - | – | – | ||||
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 14,571 (LV) | – | 50% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Marist College/NBC | Oct 25–27, 2020 | 743 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 51% | - | - | 1% | 1% |
Quinnipiac University | Oct 23–27, 2020 | 1,324 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 42% | 45% | - | - | 1% [lower-alpha 117] | 11% |
Ipsos/Reuters | Oct 21–27, 2020 | 704 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 47% [lower-alpha 15] | 48% | 1% | 1% | 2% [lower-alpha 135] | – |
47% [lower-alpha 122] | 49% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 136] | 2% | ||||
Swayable | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 605 (LV) | ± 5.4% | 51% | 46% | 2% | 1% | – | – |
YouGov/Institute of Politics at Florida State University | Oct 16–26, 2020 | 1,200 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 46% | 48% | - | - | – | 6% |
Wick Surveys | Oct 24–25, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 50% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
Florida Atlantic University | Oct 24–25, 2020 | 937 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 48% | 50% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 34] | – |
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc./Center for American Greatness [upper-alpha 8] | Oct 23–25, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 49% | 44% | 2% | - | 3% [lower-alpha 137] | 3% |
Univision/University of Houston/Latino Decisions/North Star Opinion Research | Oct 17–25, 2020 | 743 (RV) | ± 3.56% | 46% | 49% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 34] | 3% |
Ryan Tyson (R) | Released Oct 24, 2020 | – (V) [lower-alpha 138] | – | 47% | 45% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 139] | 4% |
Gravis Marketing | Oct 24, 2020 | 665 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 48% | 47% | - | - | – | 5% |
YouGov/CBS | Oct 20–23, 2020 | 1,228 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 48% | 50% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 140] | 0% |
St. Pete Polls/Florida Politics | Oct 21–22, 2020 | 2,527 (LV) | ± 2% | 47% | 49% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 141] | 2% |
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ | Oct 20–22, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% [lower-alpha 15] | 50% | - | - | 1% [lower-alpha 142] | 1% |
46% [lower-alpha 128] | 52% | - | - | 1% [lower-alpha 142] | 1% | ||||
48% [lower-alpha 129] | 46% | - | - | 1% [lower-alpha 142] | 1% | ||||
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports | Oct 20–21, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 46% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 143] | 3% |
Ipsos/Reuters | Oct 14–21, 2020 | 662 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 46% [lower-alpha 15] | 51% | 1% | 0% | 2% [lower-alpha 135] | – |
46% [lower-alpha 122] | 50% | - | - | 1% [lower-alpha 144] | 3% | ||||
Citizen Data | Oct 17–20, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 50% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 4% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | Oct 17–20, 2020 | 863 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 51% | - | - | 1% [lower-alpha 117] | 1% |
CNN/SSRS | Oct 15–20, 2020 | 847 (LV) | ± 4% | 46% | 50% | 1% | 1% | 0% [lower-alpha 145] | 1% |
Morning Consult | Oct 11–20, 2020 | 4,685 (LV) | ± 1.4% | 45% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC | Oct 16–19, 2020 | 547 (LV) [lower-alpha 38] | – | 45% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
University of North Florida | Oct 12–16, 2020 | 863 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 47% | 48% | - | - | 1% [lower-alpha 117] | 3% |
HarrisX/The Hill | Oct 12–15, 2020 | 965 (LV) | – | 48% | 48% | - | - | – | 4% |
Ipsos/Reuters | Oct 7–14, 2020 | 653 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% [lower-alpha 15] | 50% | 0% | 0% | 2% [lower-alpha 146] | – |
47% [lower-alpha 122] | 49% | - | - | 1% [lower-alpha 144] | 3% | ||||
Trafalgar Group | Oct 11–13, 2020 | 1,051 (LV) | ± 2.94% | 48% | 46% | 2% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 117] | 2% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Oct 10–13, 2020 | 1,519 (LV) | – | 44% [lower-alpha 38] | 50% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
St. Pete Polls/Florida Politics | Oct 11–12, 2020 | 2,215 (LV) | ± 2.1% | 47% | 49% | - | - | 1% [lower-alpha 147] | 2% |
Emerson College | Oct 10–12, 2020 | 690 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 48% [lower-alpha 148] | 51% | - | - | 1% [lower-alpha 117] | – |
Mason-Dixon | Oct 8–12, 2020 | 625 (LV) | ± 4% | 45% | 48% | - | - | 1% [lower-alpha 149] | 6% |
Clearview Research | Oct 7–12, 2020 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.18% | 40% [lower-alpha 15] | 47% | - | - | 4% [lower-alpha 150] | 9% |
39% [lower-alpha 151] | 48% | - | - | 4% [lower-alpha 150] | 9% | ||||
41% [lower-alpha 152] | 46% | - | - | 4% [lower-alpha 150] | 9% | ||||
Morning Consult | Oct 2–11, 2020 | 4,785 (LV) | ± 1.4% | 46% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Oct 9–10, 2020 | 750 (LV) | – | 42% [lower-alpha 38] | 53% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
Florida Atlantic University | Oct 9–10, 2020 | 644 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 47% | 51% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 34] | – |
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ | Oct 4–8, 2020 | 800 (LV) | – | 46% [lower-alpha 15] | 48% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 4% |
44% [lower-alpha 128] | 50% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 4% | ||||
47% [lower-alpha 129] | 46% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 4% | ||||
Insider Advantage/Hannity Exclusive (R) | Oct 6–7, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 49% | 46% | 1% | - | – | 10% |
YouGov/CCES Archived November 1, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Sep 29 – Oct 7, 2020 | 3,755 (LV) | – | 47% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Ipsos/Reuters | Sep 29 – Oct 7, 2020 | 678 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 45% | 49% | - | - | 1% [lower-alpha 144] | 5% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Oct 4–6, 2020 | 998 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 49% | 1% | 0% | 1% [lower-alpha 49] | 6% |
Quinnipiac University | Oct 1–5, 2020 | 1,256 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 40% | 51% | - | - | 1% [lower-alpha 117] | 7% |
Change Research/CNBC | Oct 2–4, 2020 | 560 (LV) | – | 46% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Suffolk University/USA Today | Oct 1–4, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45% [lower-alpha 15] | 45% | 2% | 0% [lower-alpha 153] | 2% [lower-alpha 154] | 6% |
46% [lower-alpha 155] | 45% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 156] | 7% | ||||
University of North Florida | Oct 1–4, 2020 | 3,134 (LV) | ± 1.8% | 45% | 51% | - | - | 1% [lower-alpha 117] | 3% [lower-alpha 127] |
St. Leo University | Sep 27 – Oct 2, 2020 | 489 (LV) | – | 44% | 50% | - | - | – | 5% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Sep 30 – Oct 1, 2020 | 710 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 42% | 47% | 2% | 1% | 0% [lower-alpha 126] | 8% [lower-alpha 127] |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 12,962 (LV) | – | 47% | 51% | - | - | – | 2% |
Cherry Communications/Florida Chamber of Commerce | Sep 23–29, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 44% [lower-alpha 38] | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc./Center for American Greatness [upper-alpha 8] | Sep 23–26, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 43% | 46% | 3% | - | – | 8% [lower-alpha 127] |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Sep 23–25, 2020 | 1,073 (LV) | ± 2.99% | 43% | 48% | 1% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 49] | 7% |
St. Pete Polls | Sep 21–22, 2020 | 2,906 (LV) | ± 1.8% | 47% | 50% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 141] | 2% |
Data For Progress [upper-alpha 20] | Sep 15–22, 2020 | 620 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 43% | 46% | - | - | – | 11% |
Change Research/CNBC | Sep 18–20, 2020 | 702 (LV) | – | 46% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
ABC/Washington Post | Sep 15–20, 2020 | 613 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 51% | 47% | - | - | 1% [lower-alpha 157] | 1% |
Hart Research Associates/Human Rights Campaign [ permanent dead link ] [upper-alpha 21] | Sep 17–19, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
YouGov/CBS | Sep 15–18, 2020 | 1,205 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 48% | - | - | 1% [lower-alpha 158] | 5% |
Ipsos/Reuters | Sep 11–17, 2020 | 586 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 47% | 47% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 18] | 4% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Sep 12–14, 2020 | 1,158 (LV) | ± 2.88% | 44% | 47% | 1% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 49] | 6% |
Monmouth University | Sep 10–13, 2020 | 428 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 45% | 50% | 2% | 0% | 1% [lower-alpha 159] | 3% |
428 (LV) | 45% [lower-alpha 160] | 50% | - | - | 1% [lower-alpha 161] | 3% | |||
46% [lower-alpha 162] | 49% | - | - | 1% [lower-alpha 161] | 3% | ||||
Kaiser Family Foundation/Cook Political Report | Aug 29 – Sep 13, 2020 | 1,009 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 43% | - | - | 4% [lower-alpha 163] | 11% |
Florida Atlantic University | Sep 11–12, 2020 | 631 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 50% | 50% | - | - | 0% [lower-alpha 164] | – |
St. Pete Polls/Florida Politics/AARP | Sep 7–8, 2020 | 2,689 (LV) | ± 1.9% | 47% | 50% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 141] | 2% |
Benenson Strategy Group/GS Strategy Group/AARP | Aug 30 – Sep 8, 2020 | 1,600 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 46% | 48% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 165] | 4% |
Morning Consult | Aug 29 – Sep 7, 2020 | 3,914 (LV) | ± (2%-4%) | 43% [lower-alpha 59] | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC | Sep 4–6, 2020 | 1,144 (LV) | – | 46% | 49% | - | - | 4% [lower-alpha 166] | – |
Marist College/NBC | Aug 31 – Sep 5, 2020 | 760 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 48% | 48% | - | - | 1% | 2% |
Trafalgar Group | Sep 1–3, 2020 | 1,022 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 46% | 2% | - | 1% [lower-alpha 167] | 2% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Aug 30 – Sep 3, 2020 | 1,093 (LV) | ± 2.96% | 43% | 48% | 1% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 49] | 6% |
GQR Research (D) | Aug 26 – Sep 3, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Quinnipiac Archived September 3, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Aug 28 – Sep 1, 2020 | 1,235 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 45% | 48% | - | - | 1% [lower-alpha 117] | 5% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 12,286 (LV) | – | 50% | 48% | - | - | – | 2% |
Morning Consult | Aug 21–30, 2020 | 3,790 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 47% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Opinium/The Guardian | Aug 21–26, 2020 | 684 (LV) | – | 43% | 50% | - | - | 1% | 6% |
Change Research/CNBC | Aug 21–23, 2020 | 1,262 (LV) | – | 46% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
PPP | Aug 21–22, 2020 | 671 (V) | ± 3.8% | 44% | 48% | - | - | – | 7% |
Redfield and Wilton Strategies | Aug 16, 2020 | 1,280 (LV) | – | 41% | 49% | 1% | - | 1% [lower-alpha 49] | 7% |
Morning Consult | Aug 7–16, 2020 | 3,484 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 45% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Tyson Group/Consumer Energy Alliance [upper-alpha 22] | Aug 11–15, 2020 | 750 (LV) | ± 4% | 44% | 46% | 2% | - | 1% [lower-alpha 168] | 6% |
Change Research/CNBC | Aug 7–9, 2020 | 469 (LV) | – | 44% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
OnMessage Inc./Heritage Action [upper-alpha 23] | Aug 2–4, 2020 | 400 (LV) | – | 49% | 49% | - | - | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 13,945 (LV) | – | 48% | 49% | - | - | – | 2% |
Change Research/CNBC | Jul 24–26, 2020 | 685 (LV) | – | 45% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Morning Consult | Jul 17–26, 2020 | 3,760 (LV) | ± 1.6% | 46% [lower-alpha 59] | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Morning Consult | Jul 16–25, 2020 | – (LV) [lower-alpha 138] | – | 45% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
CNN/SSRS | Jul 18–24, 2020 | 880 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 46% | 51% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 169] | 2% |
Zogby Analytics | Jul 21–23, 2020 | 811 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 43% | 43% | 3% | 2% | – | 9% |
Mason-Dixon | Jul 20–23, 2020 | 625 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 50% | - | - | – | 4% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Jul 19–21, 2020 | 1,121 (LV) | – | 41% | 48% | 1% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 49] | 8% |
Quinnipiac University | Jul 16–20, 2020 | 924 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 38% | 51% | - | - | 6% [lower-alpha 170] | 5% |
Morning Consult | Jul 6–15, 2020 | – (LV) [lower-alpha 138] | – | 45% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Florida Politics/AARP Florida/St. Pete Polls | Jul 13–14, 2020 | 3,018 (RV) | ± 1.8% | 44% | 50% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 171] | 3% |
Gravis Marketing | Jul 13, 2020 | 513 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 43% | 53% | - | - | – | 4% |
Change Research/CNBC | Jul 10–12, 2020 | 1,128 (LV) | – | 43% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
YouGov/CBS | Jul 7–10, 2020 | 1,206 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 42% | 48% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 172] | 8% |
Morning Consult | Jun 26 – Jul 5, 2020 | – (LV) [lower-alpha 138] | – | 46% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Trafalgar Group | Jun 29 – Jul 2, 2020 | 1,072 (LV) | ± 2.91% | 46% | 46% | - | - | 5% [lower-alpha 173] | 3% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 5,663 (LV) | – | 51% | 47% | - | - | – | 2% |
Change Research/CNBC | Jun 26–28, 2020 | 951 (LV) [lower-alpha 38] | – | 45% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Morning Consult | Jun 16–25, 2020 | – (LV) [lower-alpha 138] | – | 45% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Fox News | Jun 20–23, 2020 | 1,010 (RV) | ± 3% | 40% | 49% | - | - | 6% [lower-alpha 174] | 6% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Jun 8–18, 2020 | 651 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 41% | 47% | - | - | 4% [lower-alpha 175] | 7% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Jun 14–15, 2020 | 1,079 (LV) | ± 2.98% | 41% | 45% | 1% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 49] | 11% |
Morning Consult | Jun 6–15, 2020 | – (LV) [lower-alpha 138] | – | 45% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC | Jun 12–14, 2020 | 713 (LV) [lower-alpha 38] | – | 43% | 50% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 176] | – |
Gravis Marketing/OANN | Released Jun 11, 2020 | – (V) [lower-alpha 138] | – | 50% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
TIPP/American Greatness PAC Archived June 16, 2020, at the Wayback Machine [upper-alpha 8] | Jun 9–11, 2020 | 875 (LV) | – | 40% | 51% | - | - | 4% [lower-alpha 177] | 5% |
Morning Consult | May 27 – Jun 5, 2020 | – (LV) [lower-alpha 138] | – | 48% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC | May 29–31, 2020 | 1,186 (LV) [lower-alpha 38] | – | 45% | 48% | - | - | 2% | 4% |
Cygnal (R) | May 18–30, 2020 | 881 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 43.8% | 47% | - | - | 3.3% [lower-alpha 178] | 5.9% |
St. Pete Polls | May 26–27, 2020 | 4,763 (RV) | ± 1.4% | 46.7% | 47.5% | - | - | 2.7% [lower-alpha 179] | 3.1% |
Morning Consult | May 17–26, 2020 | 3,593 (LV) | – | 48% [lower-alpha 59] | 47% | - | - | – | – |
Morning Consult | May 16–25, 2020 | – (LV) [lower-alpha 138] | – | 48% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
Point Blank Political | May 14–17, 2020 | 2,149 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 45% | 1% [lower-alpha 180] | <1% [lower-alpha 181] | 2% | 8% |
Point Blank Political | May 14–17, 2020 | 2,149 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Morning Consult | May 6–15, 2020 | – (LV) [lower-alpha 138] | – | 50% | 45% | - | - | – | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | May 10–14, 2020 | 1,014 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 43% | 45% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 182] | 10% |
Florida Atlantic University | May 8–12, 2020 | 928 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 47% | 53% | - | - | – | – |
Fox News | Apr 18–21, 2020 | 1,004 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 46% | - | - | 3% | 7% |
Quinnipiac University | Apr 16–20, 2020 | 1,385 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 42% | 46% | - | - | 3% | 7% |
St. Pete Polls | Apr 16–17, 2020 | 5,659 (RV) | ± 1.3% | 48% | 48% | - | - | – | 4% |
University of North Florida | Mar 31 – Apr 4, 2020 | 3,244 (RV) | ± 1.7% | 40% | 46% | - | - | – | 8% |
AtlasIntel | Mar 14–16, 2020 | 1,100 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 45% | - | - | 10% | – |
Univision | Mar 6–12, 2020 | 1,071 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 45% | - | - | – | 7% |
Florida Atlantic University | Mar 5–7, 2020 | 1,216 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 51% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
University of North Florida | Feb, 2020 | 696 (LV) | – | 45% | 45% | - | - | – | 10% [lower-alpha 127] |
Saint Leo University | Feb 17–22, 2020 | 900 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 40% | 51% | - | - | – | 8% |
University of North Florida | Feb 10–18, 2020 | 668 (RV) | – | 48% | 49% | - | - | – | 3% |
Florida Atlantic University | Jan 9–12, 2020 | 1,285 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 49% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Cherry Communications/Florida Chamber of Commerce [upper-alpha 24] | Jan 3–12, 2020 | 608 (LV) | ± 4% | 49% | 45% | - | - | – | – |
Mason-Dixon | Dec 11–16, 2019 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 47% | - | - | – | 8% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Oct 13–26, 2019 | 650 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 46% | - | - | – | – |
University of North Florida | Oct 14–20, 2019 | 643 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 43% | 48% | - | - | 6% [lower-alpha 183] | 3% |
Florida Atlantic University | Sep 12–15, 2019 | 934 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | - | – | – |
Quinnipiac University | Jun 12–17, 2019 | 1,279 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 41% | 50% | - | - | 1% | 6% |
St. Pete Polls | Jun 15–16, 2019 | 3,095 (LV) | ± 1.8% | 47% | 47% | - | - | – | 6% |
Florida Atlantic University | May 16–19, 2019 | 1,007 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
WPA Intelligence | Apr 27–30, 2019 | 200 (LV) | ± 6.9% | 48% | 44% | - | - | – | 7% |
Graphical summary
Graphs are temporarily unavailable due to technical issues. |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 1] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | Oct 29 – Nov 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 47.6% | 47.4% | 5.0% | Biden +0.2 |
Real Clear Politics | Oct 23 – Nov 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 47.2% | 48.2% | 4.6% | Trump +1.0 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 48.5% | 47.4% | 4.1% | Biden +1.2 |
Average | 47.8% | 47.7% | 4.6% | Biden +0.1 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 113] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trafalgar Group | Oct 31 – Nov 2, 2020 | 1,041 (LV) | ± 2.96% | 50% | 45% | 3% | 1% [lower-alpha 117] | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 3,962 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 48% [lower-alpha 184] | 50% | – | – | – |
Landmark Communications/WSBTV | Nov 1, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 50% | 46% | 3% | – | 1% |
Insider Advantage/Center for American Greatness Archived November 2, 2020, at the Wayback Machine [upper-alpha 8] | Nov 1, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 46% | 4% | – | 2% |
AYTM/Aspiration | Oct 30 – Nov 1, 2020 | 380 (LV) | – | 48% | 52% | – | – | – |
Swayable Archived November 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 438 (LV) | ± 6.2% | 44% | 54% | 2% | – | – |
Data for Progress | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 1,036 (LV) | ± 3% | 48% | 50% | 1% | 0% [lower-alpha 185] | – |
AtlasIntel | Oct 30–31, 2020 | 679 (LV) | ± 4% | 48% | 46% | – | 6% | – |
Emerson College | Oct 29–31, 2020 | 749 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% [lower-alpha 35] | 48% | – | 2% [lower-alpha 34] | – |
Morning Consult | Oct 22–31, 2020 | 1,743 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 46% | 49% | – | – | – |
Landmark Communications/WSBTV | Oct 28, 2020 | 750 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 48% | 47% | 3% | – | 3% |
Public Policy Polling | Oct 27–28, 2020 | 661 (V) | – | 46% | 48% | – | 4% [lower-alpha 186] | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 7,019 (LV) | – | 48% | 50% | – | – | – |
Monmouth University | Oct 23–27, 2020 | 504 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 50% | 2% | 1% [lower-alpha 187] | 2% |
504 (LV) | 46% [lower-alpha 188] | 50% | – | – | – | |||
48% [lower-alpha 189] | 50% | – | – | – | ||||
Swayable | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 373 (LV) | ± 6.9% | 48% | 51% | 1% | – | – |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 1,041 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 46% | 51% | – | 2% [lower-alpha 34] | 0% |
Wick Surveys | Oct 24–25, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 49% | 47% | – | – | – |
YouGov/CBS | Oct 20–23, 2020 | 1,090 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 49% | 49% | – | 2% [lower-alpha 190] | 0% |
University of Georgia/AJC | Oct 14–23, 2020 | 1,145 (LV) | ± 4% | 46% | 47% | 3% | – | 4% |
Landmark Communications/WSBTV | Oct 21, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 45% | – | – | 4% |
Citizen Data | Oct 17–20, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3% | 44% | 48% | 1% | 2% [lower-alpha 191] | 5% |
Morning Consult | Oct 11–20, 2020 | 1,672 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 48% | 48% | – | – | – |
Emerson College | Oct 17–19, 2020 | 506 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 48% [lower-alpha 35] | 47% | – | 5% [lower-alpha 192] | – |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Oct 13–19, 2020 | 759 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 45% | 45% | 2% | 2% [lower-alpha 193] | 7% [lower-alpha 27] |
Opinion Insight/American Action Forum [upper-alpha 10] | Oct 12–15, 2020 | 801 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 46% [lower-alpha 35] | 49% | – | 3% [lower-alpha 194] | 4% [lower-alpha 27] |
Garin-Hart-Yang/Jon Ossoff [upper-alpha 25] | Oct 11–14, 2020 | 600 (LV) | – | 44% | 51% | – | – | – |
Quinnipiac University | Oct 8–12, 2020 | 1,040 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 51% | – | 1% [lower-alpha 117] | 4% |
SurveyUSA | Oct 8–12, 2020 | 677 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 46% | 48% | – | 2% [lower-alpha 195] | 4% |
Data for Progress | Oct 8–11, 2020 | 782 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 46% | 2% | 1% [lower-alpha 196] | 5% |
Morning Consult | Oct 2–11, 2020 | 1,837 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 49% | 47% | – | – | – |
Public Policy Polling | Oct 8–9, 2020 | 528 (V) | ± 4.3% | 46% | 47% | – | 3% [lower-alpha 100] | 3% |
Landmark Communications | Oct 7, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48.6% | 46.8% | 0.7% | – | 3.9% |
YouGov/CCES Archived November 1, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Sep 29 – Oct 7, 2020 | 1,456 (LV) | – | 47% | 48% | – | – | – |
University of Georgia/AJC | Sep 27 – Oct 6, 2020 | 1,106 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 47% | 46% | 3% | – | 3% |
Landmark Communications/WSB | Sep 30, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4% | 45% | 47% | 3% | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Tableau | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 3,468 (LV) | – | 48% | 49% | – | – | 2% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | Sep 26–29, 2020 | 969 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 50% | – | 2% [lower-alpha 34] | 1% |
Hart Research Associates/Human Rights Campaign [upper-alpha 26] | Sep 24–27, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 47% | 50% | – | – | – |
Quinnipiac University | Sep 23–27, 2020 | 1,125 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 47% | 50% | – | 1% [lower-alpha 117] | 2% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Sep 23–26, 2020 | 789 (LV) | ± 3.49% | 44% | 45% | 2% | 1% [lower-alpha 197] | 8% |
YouGov/CBS | Sep 22–25, 2020 | 1,164 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 47% | 46% | – | 2% [lower-alpha 34] | 5% |
Monmouth University | Sep 17–21, 2020 | 402 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 47% | 46% | 2% | 0% [lower-alpha 198] | 4% |
402 (LV) | 48% [lower-alpha 188] | 46% | 2% | – | 4% | |||
50% [lower-alpha 189] | 45% | 1% | – | 3% | ||||
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Sep 16–21, 2020 | 523 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 45% | 2% | 0% [lower-alpha 199] | 8% [lower-alpha 27] |
University of Georgia/AJC | Sep 11–20, 2020 | 1,150 (LV) | ± 4% | 47% | 47% | 1% | – | 4% |
Data for Progress (D) | Sep 14–19, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 45% [lower-alpha 200] | 45% | 1% | 0% [lower-alpha 201] | 8% |
46% [lower-alpha 202] | 46% | – | – | 8% | ||||
GBAO Strategies/Warnock for Georgia [upper-alpha 27] | Sep 14–16, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 46% | 49% | – | – | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Sep 12–16, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 46% | 45% | 2% | 1% [lower-alpha 197] | 6% |
Morning Consult | Aug 29 – Sep 7, 2020 | 1,486 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 48% [lower-alpha 203] | 46% | – | – | – |
Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates/AARP | Aug 30 – Sep 5, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 47% | – | 1% [lower-alpha 204] | 6% |
Opinion Insight/American Action Forum [upper-alpha 10] | Aug 30 – Sep 2, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 46% [lower-alpha 35] | 47% | 2% | 1% [lower-alpha 205] | 4% |
Landmark Communications/WSB | Aug 29–31, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 41% | 2% | – | 9% |
SurveyMonkey/Tableau | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 2,772 (LV) | – | 49% | 49% | – | – | 2% |
Morning Consult | Aug 21–30, 2020 | 1,392 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 46% | 49% | – | – | – |
HarrisX/Matt Lieberman [upper-alpha 28] | Aug 20–30, 2020 | 1,616 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 46% | 52% | – | 2% [lower-alpha 206] | – |
PPP/Fair Fight Action [upper-alpha 29] | Aug 24–25, 2020 | 782 (V) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 47% | – | – | 6% |
Morning Consult | Aug 7–16, 2020 | 1,265 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 47% | 46% | – | – | – |
Landmark Communications | Aug 14–15, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 45% | 4% | – | 3% |
SurveyUSA | Aug 6–8, 2020 | 623 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 44% | 46% | – | 4% [lower-alpha 207] | 6% |
YouGov/CBS | Jul 28–31, 2020 | 1,109 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 45% | 46% | – | 3% [lower-alpha 208] | 5% |
HIT Strategies/DFER [upper-alpha 30] | Jul 23–31, 2020 | 400 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 40% | 44% | – | 6% [lower-alpha 209] | 10% [lower-alpha 27] |
SurveyMonkey/Tableau | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 3,745 (LV) | – | 53% | 45% | – | – | 2% |
Monmouth University | Jul 23–27, 2020 | 402 (RV) | ± 2% | 47% | 47% | 3% | – | 3% |
402 (LV) | 48% [lower-alpha 188] | 47% | 2% | – | 3% | |||
49% [lower-alpha 189] | 46% | 2% | – | 4% | ||||
Morning Consult | Jul 17–26, 2020 | 1,337 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 46% | 47% | – | – | – |
Public Policy Polling/AFSCME [upper-alpha 6] | Jul 23–24, 2020 | 722 (V) | – | 45% | 46% | – | – | 9% |
Trafalgar Group | Jul 15–18, 2020 | 1,023 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 43% | 2% | 2% [lower-alpha 210] | 2% |
Spry Strategies/American Principles Project [upper-alpha 31] | Jul 11–16, 2020 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 49% | 46% | – | – | 5% |
Garin-Hart-Yang/Jon Ossoff [upper-alpha 25] | Jul 9–15, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 43% | 47% | – | – | 10% |
Gravis Marketing/OANN | Jul 2, 2020 | 513 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 48% | 45% | - | – | 8% |
SurveyMonkey/Tableau | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 2,059 (LV) | – | 49% | 49% | – | – | 2% |
Public Policy Polling/End Citizens United [upper-alpha 32] | Jun 25–26, 2020 | 734 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 45% | 49% | - | – | 6% |
Fox News | Jun 20–23, 2020 | 1,013 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 47% | - | 4% [lower-alpha 211] | 5% |
Public Policy Polling | Jun 12–13, 2020 | 661 (V) | ± 3.4% | 46% | 48% | - | – | 6% |
TargetSmart | May 21–27, 2020 | 321 (RV) | ± 5.5% | 44% | 40% | - | 10% [lower-alpha 212] | 6% |
Morning Consult | May 17–26, 2020 | 1,396 (LV) | – | 49% | 47% | – | – | – |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | May 16–18, 2020 | 1,339 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 47% | 48% | - | 3% [lower-alpha 100] | 2% |
The Progress Campaign (D) | May 6–15, 2020 | 2,893 (LV) | ± 2% | 47% | 47% | - | – | 6% [lower-alpha 213] |
BK Strategies/Republican State Leadership Committee [upper-alpha 33] | May 11–13, 2020 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 48% | 46% | - | – | – |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) | May 4–7, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.38% | 46% | 47% | - | – | 7% [lower-alpha 214] |
Cygnal/David Ralston [upper-alpha 34] | Apr 25–27, 2020 | 591 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 44% | - | 7% | 5% |
Battleground Connect/Doug Collins for Senate [upper-alpha 35] | Mar 31 – Apr 1, 2020 | 1,035 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 46% | - | – | 6% |
The Progress Campaign (D) | Mar 12–21, 2020 | 3,042 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 49% | 47% | - | 4% | – |
University of Georgia | Feb 24 – Mar 2, 2020 | 1,117 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 51% | 43% | - | 4% | 2% |
Mason-Dixon | Dec 19–23, 2019 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 44% | - | – | 5% |
SurveyUSA | Nov 15–18, 2019 | 1,303 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 43% | 47% | - | – | 10% |
Climate Nexus | Nov 4–10, 2019 | 688 (LV) | – | 47% | 48% | - | – | 5% |
University of Georgia | Oct 30 – Nov 8, 2019 | 1,028 (RV) | ± 3% | 43% | 51% | - | 3% | 4% [lower-alpha 215] |
Zogby Analytics | Oct 28–30, 2019 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 44% | 46% | - | – | 11% |
Graphs are temporarily unavailable due to technical issues. |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 1] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 1–16, 2020 | November 2, 2020 | 63.5% | 30.5% | 5.9% | Biden +33.0 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 64.3% | 30.0% | 5.7% | Biden +34.3 |
Average | 63.8% | 30.6% | 5.6% | Biden +33.2 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 113] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 688 (LV) | ± 5% | 31% [lower-alpha 216] | 67% | - | - | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 1,263 (LV) | – | 34% | 63% | - | - | – | – |
Mason-Dixon | Oct 12–14, 2020 | 625 (LV) | ± 4% | 29% | 58% | - | - | 5% | 8% |
MRG Research/Civil Beat/HNN | Oct 2–7, 2020 | 988 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 28% | 61% | - | - | 4% [lower-alpha 217] | 7% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 474 (LV) | – | 33% | 66% | - | - | – | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 362 (LV) | – | 37% | 61% | - | - | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 356 (LV) | – | 37% | 62% | - | - | – | 2% |
MRG Research | Jul 27–30, 2020 | 975 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 29% | 56% | - | - | 6% [lower-alpha 218] | 10% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 207 (LV) | – | 30% | 67% | - | - | – | 3% |
Graphs are temporarily unavailable due to technical issues. |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 1] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 38.5% | 56.6% | 4.9% | Trump +18.1 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 113] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 909 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 58% [lower-alpha 219] | 40% | - | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 1,799 (LV) | – | 58% | 40% | - | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 761 (LV) | – | 64% | 35% | - | – | 1% |
Spry Strategies/Women's Liberation Front Archived September 27, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Aug 29 – Sep 1, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 60% | 34% | - | – | 6% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 737 (LV) | – | 58% | 40% | - | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 671 (LV) | – | 63% | 35% | - | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 266 (LV) | – | 58% | 41% | - | – | 1% |
Graphs are temporarily unavailable due to technical issues. |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 1] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 17 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 56.3% | 37.7% | 6.0% | Biden +18.6 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 55.0% | 39.0% | 6.0% | Biden +16.0 |
Average | 55.7% | 38.4% | 5.9% | Biden +17.3 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 113] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 5,643 (LV) | ± 2% | 40% [lower-alpha 220] | 58% | - | - | – | – |
Research Co. | Oct 31 – Nov 1, 2020 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 38% | 55% | - | - | 1% [lower-alpha 221] | 6% |
Victory Research | Oct 28 – Nov 1, 2020 | 1,208 (LV) | ± 2.82% | 38% | 54% | - | - | 4% | 4% |
Swayable Archived November 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 485 (LV) | ± 6% | 44% | 55% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 8,056 (LV) | – | 41% | 57% | - | - | – | – |
Swayable | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 424 (LV) | ± 6.2% | 43% | 54% | 2% | 1% | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 8,392 (LV) | – | 36% | 61% | - | - | – | 3% |
Victory Research | Sep 23–26, 2020 | 1,208 (LV) | ± 2.82% | 40% | 53% | - | - | 4% | 3% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 6,773 (LV) | – | 38% | 60% | - | - | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 7,565 (LV) | – | 38% | 59% | - | - | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 3,000 (LV) | – | 39% | 59% | - | - | – | 2% |
Graphs are temporarily unavailable due to technical issues. |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 1] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 14 - November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 42.0% | 51.0% | 7.0% | Trump +9.0 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 42.0% | 52.9% | 5.1% | Trump +10.8 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 113] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 2,729 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 54% [lower-alpha 222] | 44% | – | – | – |
Swayable Archived November 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 264 (LV) | ± 7.8% | 55% | 43% | 2% | – | – |
Morning Consult | Oct 22–31, 2020 | 1,147 (LV) | ± 3% | 53% | 42% | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 4,734 (LV) | – | 55% | 43% | – | – | – |
Swayable | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 301 (LV) | ± 7.4% | 53% | 42% | 5% | – | – |
Ragnar Research (R) | Oct 18–21, 2020 | 529 (LV) | ± 4% | 48% | 40% | 5% | – | 7% |
SurveyUSA/Election Twitter | Oct 10–13, 2020 | 527 (LV) | ± 5.2% | 49% | 42% | – | 3% | 6% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 2,367 (LV) | – | 53% | 45% | – | – | – |
Change Research/IndyPolitics | Sep 3–7, 2020 | 1,033 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 53% | 39% | 5% | – | 3% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 1,672 (LV) | – | 55% | 43% | – | – | – |
Morning Consult | Jul 24 – Aug 2, 2020 [lower-alpha 223] | 900 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 55% | 38% | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 2,175 (LV) | – | 56% | 43% | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 929 (LV) | – | 57% | 40% | – | – | – |
Victoria Research/Tallian for Attorney General [upper-alpha 36] | May 21–23, 2020 | 894 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 49% | 39% | – | – | – |
Indy Politics/Change Research | Apr 10–13, 2020 | 1,021 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 52% | 39% | – | 5% | 3% |
Graphical summary
Graphs are temporarily unavailable due to technical issues. |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 1] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 31 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 46.2% | 47.8% | 6.0% | Trump +1.6 |
Real Clear Politics | October 23 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 45.6% | 47.6% | 6.8% | Trump +2.0 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 46.3% | 47.6% | 6.1% | Trump +1.3 |
Average | 46.0% | 47.7% | 6.3% | Trump +1.5 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 113] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | Nov 1–2, 2020 | 871 (V) | – | 48% | 49% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 34] | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 1,489 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 51% [lower-alpha 224] | 48% | – | – | – | – |
Change Research | Oct 29 – Nov 1, 2020 | 1,084 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 47% | 47% | 3% | 0% | 2% [lower-alpha 225] | 1% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | Oct 29 – Nov 1, 2020 | 853 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 48% | 49% | – | – | 3% [lower-alpha 226] | 0% |
Data for Progress | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 951 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 49% | 47% | 3% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 227] | – |
Emerson College | Oct 29–31, 2020 | 604 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 49% [lower-alpha 35] | 47% | – | – | 4% | 0% |
InsiderAdvantage/Center for American Greatness Archived November 1, 2020, at the Wayback Machine [upper-alpha 8] | October 30, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 48% | 46% | 1% | – | – | 6% |
Selzer & Co./Des Moines Register | Oct 26–29, 2020 | 814 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 48% | 41% | – | – | 8% [lower-alpha 228] | 2% [lower-alpha 229] |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 3,005 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 50% | 49% | – | – | – | 2% |
Quinnipiac University | Oct 23–27, 2020 | 1,225 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 47% | 46% | – | – | 1% [lower-alpha 230] | 6% |
RABA Research/WHO13 News | Oct 21–24, 2020 | 693 (LV) | ± 4% | 46% | 50% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 34] | 1% |
Emerson College | Oct 19–21, 2020 | 435 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 48% [lower-alpha 35] | 48% | – | – | 4% [lower-alpha 150] | 0% |
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ | Oct 15–21, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% [lower-alpha 15] | 47% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 34] | 4% |
45% [lower-alpha 231] | 49% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 34] | 4% | ||||
49% [lower-alpha 232] | 48% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 34] | 4% | ||||
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Oct 18–20, 2020 | 753 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 43% | 46% | 2% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 26] | 7% [lower-alpha 233] |
Insider Advantage/Center for American Greatness Archived October 21, 2020, at the Wayback Machine [upper-alpha 8] | Oct 18–19, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 45% | 2% | – | – | 8% |
Monmouth University | Oct 15–19, 2020 | 501 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 47% | 1% | 0% [lower-alpha 234] | 2% [lower-alpha 235] | 2% |
501 (LV) [lower-alpha 188] | 47% | 50% | – | – | – | – | |||
501 (LV) [lower-alpha 189] | 46% | 51% | – | – | – | – | |||
David Binder Research/Focus on Rural America | Oct 10–13, 2020 | 200 (LV) | – | 50% | 44% | – | – | – | – |
Data for Progress (D) | Oct 8–11, 2020 | 822 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 48% | 47% | 2% | 0% | – | 3% |
YouGov/CBS | Oct 6–9, 2020 | 1,035 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 49% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 236] | 0% |
Opinion Insight/American Action Forum [upper-alpha 10] | Oct 5–8, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 46% [lower-alpha 35] | 47% | – | – | 3% [lower-alpha 237] | 4% [lower-alpha 233] |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | Oct 3–6, 2020 | 756 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 47% | 48% | – | – | 4% [lower-alpha 150] | 1% |
Quinnipiac University | Oct 1–5, 2020 | 1,205 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 45% | 50% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 34] | 3% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 1,276 (LV) | – | 52% | 46% | – | – | – | 2% |
Data for Progress (D) | Sep 23–28, 2020 | 743 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 47% [lower-alpha 15] | 44% | 1% | 1% | – | 6% |
50% [lower-alpha 238] | 45% | – | – | – | 5% | ||||
Hart Research Associates/Human Rights Campaign [upper-alpha 37] | Sep 24–27, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 49% | 47% | – | – | – | – |
RABA Research/WHO13 News | Sep 23–26, 2020 | 780 (LV) | ± 4% | 46% | 48% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 239] | 4% |
Monmouth University | Sep 18–22, 2020 | 402 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 50% | 44% | 2% | 0% | 1% [lower-alpha 240] | 2% |
402 (LV) | 49% [lower-alpha 188] | 46% | 2% | – | 2% [lower-alpha 241] | 2% | |||
49% [lower-alpha 189] | 46% | 2% | – | 2% [lower-alpha 241] | 2% | ||||
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Sep 16–22, 2020 | 501 (LV) | ± 4.99% | 42% | 45% | 2% | 0% | 1% [lower-alpha 26] | 10% [lower-alpha 233] |
Selzer & Co./Des Moines Register | Sep 14–17, 2020 | 658 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 47% | 47% | – | – | 4% [lower-alpha 150] | 3% |
Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates/AARP | Aug 30 – Sep 5, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 45% | – | – | 1% [lower-alpha 242] | 6% |
Opinion Insight/American Action Forum [upper-alpha 10] | Aug 30 – Sep 2, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 51% [lower-alpha 35] | 43% | 3% | 1% | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 983 (LV) | – | 53% | 46% | – | – | – | 2% |
Monmouth University | Jul 30 – Aug 3, 2020 | 401 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 48% | 45% | 3% | – | <1% [lower-alpha 243] | 3% |
401 (LV) | 48% [lower-alpha 188] | 46% | 2% | <1% [lower-alpha 244] | 3% | ||||
47% [lower-alpha 189] | 47% | 2% | 0% [lower-alpha 245] | 3% | |||||
Data for Progress | Jul 24 – Aug 2, 2020 | 1,101 (LV) | – | 44% [lower-alpha 15] | 42% | 3% | 1% | – | 10% |
46% [lower-alpha 238] | 45% | – | – | – | 9% | ||||
David Binder Research/Focus on Rural America | Jul 30–31, 2020 | 200 (LV) | – | 43% | 49% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 1,095 (LV) | – | 54% | 45% | – | – | – | 1% |
RMG Research | Jul 27–30, 2020 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 41% | 40% | – | – | 7% | 13% |
Public Policy Polling/AFSCME [upper-alpha 6] | Jul 23–24, 2020 | 1,118 (V) | – | 48% | 47% | – | – | – | 6% |
Spry Strategies/American Principles Project [upper-alpha 38] | Jul 11–16, 2020 | 701 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 48% | – | – | – | 7% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 455 (LV) | – | 50% | 48% | – | – | – | 2% |
Selzer/Des Moines Register | Jun 7–10, 2020 | 674 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 44% | 43% | – | – | 10% [lower-alpha 246] | 3% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | Jun 6–8, 2020 | 865 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 46% | 46% | – | – | 7% [lower-alpha 247] | 1% |
Public Policy Polling/Emily's List [upper-alpha 39] | Jun 3–4, 2020 | 963 (V) | – | 48% | 47% | – | – | – | 5% |
Public Policy Polling | Apr 30 – May 1, 2020 | 1,222 (V) | ± 2.8% | 48% | 46% | – | – | – | 6% |
GBAO Strategies/PLUS Paid Family Leave | Apr 13–16, 2020 | 500 (LV) | – | 48% | 45% | – | – | 1% | 6% |
Selzer/Des Moines Register | Mar 2–5, 2020 | 667 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 51% | 41% | – | – | – | – |
The New York Times/Siena College | Jan 20–23, 2020 | 1,689 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 46% | 44% | – | – | 5% [lower-alpha 248] | 6% |
Public Policy Polling | Dec 29–31, 2019 | 964 (V) | – | 49% | 46% | – | – | – | 5% |
Emerson College | Dec 7–10, 2019 | 1,043 (RV) | ± 3% | 49% | 45% | – | – | – | 6% |
NYT Upshot/Siena College | Oct 25–30, 2019 | 1,435 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 44% | – | – | 3% | 5% |
Emerson College | Oct 13–16, 2019 | 888 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 51% | 49% | – | – | – | – |
WPA Intelligence (R) | Apr 27–30, 2019 | 200 (LV) | ± 6.9% | 49% | 44% | – | – | – | 5% |
Emerson College Archived May 20, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Mar 21–24, 2019 | 707 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 47% | 53% | – | – | – | – |
Emerson College | Jan 30 – Feb 2, 2019 | 831 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 49% | 51% | – | – | – | – |
Graphs are temporarily unavailable due to technical issues. |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 1] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 17–22 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 43.0% | 51.7% | 5.3% | Trump +8.7 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 41.0% | 53.9% | 5.1% | Trump +12.9 |
Average | 42.0% | 52.8% | 5.2% | Trump +10.8 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 113] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 2,321 (LV) | ± 3% | 55% [lower-alpha 249] | 44% | – | – | – |
Data For Progress | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 1,121 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 55% | 41% | 3% | 2% [lower-alpha 250] | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 3,442 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 51% | 47% | – | – | – |
PPP/Protect Our Care [upper-alpha 40] | Oct 19–20, 2020 | 897 (V) | ± 3.3% | 54% | 42% | – | – | 4% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Oct 18–20, 2020 | 755 (LV) | ± 4% | 48% | 41% | 4% | 2% [lower-alpha 251] | 6% [lower-alpha 252] |
co/efficient/Keep Kansas Great PAC [upper-alpha 41] | Oct 18–20, 2020 | 2,453 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 56% | 39% | 2% | – | 3% |
Fort Hays State University | Sep 21 – Oct 1, 2020 | 306 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 52% | 38% | – | 11% [lower-alpha 253] | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 1,135 (LV) | – | 52% | 47% | – | – | 1% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | Sep 26–29, 2020 | 677 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 52% | 42% | – | 4% [lower-alpha 254] | 1% |
Data For Progress (D) | Sep 14–19, 2020 | 883 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 48% [lower-alpha 255] | 42% | 3% | 1% [lower-alpha 256] | 7% |
49% [lower-alpha 257] | 45% | – | – | 6% | ||||
co/efficient/Keep Kansas Great PAC [upper-alpha 41] | Sep 15–16, 2020 | 794 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 53% | 41% | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 922 (LV) | – | 54% | 45% | – | – | 1% |
SurveyUSA | Aug 5–9, 2020 | 1,202 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 48% | 41% | – | 5% [lower-alpha 258] | 6% |
Public Policy Polling [upper-alpha 42] | Aug 5–6, 2020 | 864 (V) | ± 3.3% | 50% | 43% | – | – | 7% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 1,295 (LV) | – | 51% | 47% | – | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 466 (LV) | – | 53% | 45% | – | – | 2% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | May 30 – Jun 1, 2020 | 699 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 52% | 40% | – | 6% [lower-alpha 259] | 2% |
The Progress Campaign (D) Archived May 14, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Apr 15–22, 2020 | 1,632 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 51% | 41% | – | – | 8% |
Public Policy Polling | Mar 10–11, 2020 | 1,567 (V) | – | 52% | 40% | – | – | 8% |
DFM Research Archived February 10, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Jan 30 – Feb 6, 2020 | 600 (A) | ±4% | 51% | 43% | – | 3% [lower-alpha 100] | 3% |
Graphs are temporarily unavailable due to technical issues. |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 1] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 17–20, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 40.0% | 57.0% | 3.0% | Trump +17.0 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 39.9% | 55.6% | 4.5% | Trump +15.7 |
Average | 40.0% | 56.3% | 3.7% | Trump +16.4 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 113] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 2,009 (LV) | ± 3% | 59% [lower-alpha 260] | 40% | - | – | – |
Swayable Archived November 27, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2020 | 383 (LV) | ± 7.4% | 55% | 42% | 4% | – | – |
Bluegrass Community & Technical College Archived October 30, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 12–28, 2020 | 250 (RV) | – | 52% | 39% | – | – | 9% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 3,621 (LV) | – | 56% | 42% | – | – | – |
Mason-Dixon | Oct 12–15, 2020 | 625 (LV) | ± 4% | 56% | 39% | - | 1% | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 1,479 (LV) | – | 59% | 39% | - | – | 1% |
Data for Progress (D) | Sep 14–19, 2020 | 807 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 55% [lower-alpha 261] | 35% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 262] | 8% |
56% [lower-alpha 263] | 38% | - | – | 6% | ||||
Quinnipiac University | Sep 10–14, 2020 | 1,164 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 58% | 38% | - | 1% [lower-alpha 264] | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 1,231 (LV) | – | 60% | 38% | - | – | 2% |
Quinnipiac University Archived August 7, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Jul 30 – Aug 3, 2020 | 909 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 50% | 41% | - | 4% [lower-alpha 265] | 5% |
Morning Consult | Jul 24 – Aug 2, 2020 | 793 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 59% | 35% | - | 2% [lower-alpha 266] | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 1,709 (LV) | – | 62% | 37% | - | – | 1% |
Bluegrass Data/Ditch Mitch Fund Archived August 9, 2020, at the Wayback Machine [upper-alpha 43] | Jul 25–29, 2020 | 3,020 (RV) | ± 2.0% | 52% | 45% | - | – | – |
Spry Strategies/American Principles Project [upper-alpha 44] | Jul 11–16, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 60% | 34% | - | – | 6% |
Garin-Hart-Yang/Amy McGrath [upper-alpha 45] | Jul 7–12, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 53% | 41% | - | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 596 (LV) | – | 60% | 38% | - | – | 2% |
Garin-Hart-Yang/Amy McGrath [upper-alpha 45] | Jun 2020 | – (V) [lower-alpha 67] | – | 54% | 39% | - | – | – |
Civiqs/Data for Progress | Jun 13–15, 2020 | 898 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 57% | 37% | - | 5% [lower-alpha 267] | 1% |
Garin-Hart-Yang/Amy McGrath [upper-alpha 45] | May 2020 | – (V) [lower-alpha 67] | – | 57% | 36% | - | – | – |
RMG Research/U.S. Term Limits [upper-alpha 46] | May 21–24, 2020 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 53% | 36% | - | 6% [lower-alpha 268] | 5% |
Public Policy Polling | May 14–15, 2020 | 1,104 (V) | – | 55% | 39% | - | 5% [lower-alpha 267] | 2% |
Bluegrass Data/Ditch Mitch Fund Archived August 9, 2020, at the Wayback Machine [upper-alpha 47] | Apr 7–12, 2020 [lower-alpha 269] | 4,000 (RV) | – | 55% | 34% | - | – | – |
Fabrizio Ward/AARP | Jul 29–31, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 53% | 41% | - | – | 4% |
Gravis Marketing | Jun 11–12, 2019 | 741 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 57% | 37% | - | – | 6% |
Graphs are temporarily unavailable due to technical issues. |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 1] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 14–27 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 36.0% | 56.5% | 7.5% | Trump +20.5 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 37.1% | 57.6% | 5.3% | Trump +20.6 |
Average | 36.6% | 57.1% | 6.4% | Trump +20.5 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 113] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 1,556 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 62% [lower-alpha 270] | 36% | – | – | – | – |
Swayable Archived November 27, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2020 | 378 (LV) | ± 6.7% | 57% | 39% | 4% | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 2,633 (LV) | – | 60% | 38% | – | – | – | – |
University of New Orleans | Oct 22, 2020 | 755 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 59% | 36% | – | – | 4% | 1% |
Trafalgar Group | Oct 4–6, 2020 | 1,048 (LV) | ± 2.95% | 54% | 36% | 3% | – | 1% [lower-alpha 271] | 6% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 2,475 (LV) | – | 60% | 38% | – | – | – | 2% |
Tyson Group/Consumer Energy Alliance [upper-alpha 48] | Sep 2–5, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 48% | 42% | 2% | – | No voters [lower-alpha 272] | 7% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 2,587 (LV) | – | 59% | 38% | – | – | – | 2% |
Trafalgar Group | Aug 13–17, 2020 | 1,002 (LV) | ± 2.99% | 54% | 38% | 3% | – | 1% [lower-alpha 271] | 4% |
ALG Research/Perkins for LA [upper-alpha 49] | Aug 6–12, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 43% | – | – | – | 7% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 2,998 (LV) | – | 60% | 39% | – | – | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 1,134 (LV) | – | 60% | 37% | – | – | – | 3% |
Graphs are temporarily unavailable due to technical issues. |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 1] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 6 – November 1, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 51.8% | 40.2% | 8.0% | Biden +11.6 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 53.3% | 40.3% | 6.4% | Biden +13.0 |
Average | 53.1% | 40.3% | 7.2% | Biden +12.3 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 113] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research | Oct 29 – Nov 2, 2020 | 1,024 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 40% | 52% | 4% | 2% | 1% [lower-alpha 273] | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 1,274 (LV) | ± 4% | 42% [lower-alpha 274] | 56% | – | – | – | – |
Emerson College | Oct 29–31, 2020 | 611 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 43% [lower-alpha 275] | 54% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 276] | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 1,995 (LV) | – | 43% | 56% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyUSA/FairVote | Oct 23–27, 2020 | 1,007 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 40% [lower-alpha 15] | 53% | 2% | 2% | 1% [lower-alpha 277] | 2% |
42% [lower-alpha 278] | 55% | – | – | 1% [lower-alpha 279] | 2% | ||||
Colby College | Oct 21–25, 2020 | 879 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 38% | 51% | – | – | 4% [lower-alpha 280] | 8% |
Pan Atlantic Research | Oct 2–6, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 40% | 50% | – | – | 6% [lower-alpha 281] | 4% |
Critical Insights/Digital Research/Bangor Daily News | Sep 25 – Oct 4, 2020 | 466 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 40% [lower-alpha 15] | 51% | 3% | 1% | 2% [lower-alpha 282] | 3% |
40% [lower-alpha 283] | 52% | – | – | 5% [lower-alpha 284] | 3% | ||||
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 729 (LV) | – | 38% | 60% | – | – | – | 2% |
Data for Progress (D) | Sep 23–28, 2020 | 718 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 39% [lower-alpha 15] | 53% | 2% | 1% | – | 5% |
41% [lower-alpha 285] | 55% | – | – | – | 4% | ||||
Colby College | Sep 17–23, 2020 | 847 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 39% | 50% | – | – | 4% [lower-alpha 286] | 6% |
Suffolk University/Boston Globe | Sep 17–20, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 39% [lower-alpha 15] | 51% | 1% | 0% | 1% [lower-alpha 287] | 7% |
39% [lower-alpha 278] | 51% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 288] | 8% | ||||
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Sep 11–16, 2020 | 663 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 38% [lower-alpha 289] | 55% | 0% | 0% | 1% [lower-alpha 290] | 6% [lower-alpha 291] |
Quinnipiac University | Sep 10–14, 2020 | 1,183 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 38% | 59% | – | – | 0% [lower-alpha 292] | 3% |
Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates/AARP | Aug 30 – Sep 5, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 40% | 54% | – | – | 1% [lower-alpha 293] | 5% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 502 (LV) | – | 37% | 61% | – | – | – | 1% |
Critical Insights/Digital Research/Bangor Daily News | Jul 28 – Aug 9, 2020 | 453 (LV) | – | 38% | 45% | – | – | 11% [lower-alpha 294] | 6% |
Quinnipiac University Archived August 7, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Jul 30 – Aug 3, 2020 | 805 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 37% | 52% | – | – | 6% [lower-alpha 295] | 4% |
RMG Research | Jul 27 – Aug 2, 2020 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 39% | 50% | – | – | 7% [lower-alpha 296] | 4% |
Data for Progress | Jul 24 – Aug 2, 2020 | 866 (LV) | – | 42% [lower-alpha 15] | 49% | 1% | 1% | – | 7% |
43% [lower-alpha 297] | 53% | – | – | – | 4% | ||||
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 733 (LV) | – | 41% | 57% | – | – | – | 1% |
Public Policy Polling/AFSCME [upper-alpha 6] | Jul 23–24, 2020 | 962 (V) | – | 42% | 53% | – | – | – | 5% |
Colby College/SocialSphere | Jul 18–24, 2020 | 888 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 38% | 50% | – | – | 5% [lower-alpha 298] | 7% |
Public Policy Polling | Jul 2–3, 2020 | 1,022 (V) | ± 3.1% | 42% | 53% | – | – | – | 5% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 202 (LV) | – | 46% | 51% | – | – | – | 3% |
Public Policy Polling | Mar 2–3, 2020 | 872 (V) | ± 3.3% | 42% | 52% | – | – | – | 6% |
Public Policy Polling | Oct 11–13, 2019 | 939 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 42% | 54% | – | – | – | 4% |
Fabrizio Ward/AARP | Jul 29–31, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 50% | – | – | – | 5% |
Gravis Marketing | Jun 24, 2019 | 767 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 54% | – | – | – | – |
Graphs are temporarily unavailable due to technical issues. |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 1] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 7–26 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 60.0% | 31.7% | 8.3% | Biden +28.3 |
Real Clear Politics | September 4 – October 24, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 60.3% | 31.0% | 8.7% | Biden +29.3 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 63.1% | 31.6% | 5.3% | Biden +31.4 |
Average | 61.1% | 31.4% | 7.4% | Biden +29.7 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 113] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 3,216 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 31% [lower-alpha 299] | 66% | – | – | – | – |
Swayable Archived November 27, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2020 | 503 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 31% | 67% | 2% | 0% | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 5,820 (LV) | – | 32% | 66% | – | – | – | – |
Gonzalez Maryland Poll | Oct 19–24, 2020 | 820 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 33% | 58% | – | – | 3% [lower-alpha 100] | 6% |
Goucher College | Sep 30 – Oct 4, 2020 | 776 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 30% | 61% | 2% | 2% | 3% [lower-alpha 300] | 2% |
Change Research/Our Voice Maryland | Sep 29 – Oct 1, 2020 | 650 (V) | ± 4.55% | 32% | 61% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 2,364 (LV) | – | 31% | 67% | – | – | – | 2% |
OpinionWorks | Sep 4–11, 2020 | 753 (LV) | – | 30% | 62% | – | – | 3% [lower-alpha 100] | 5% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 1,813 (LV) | – | 31% | 66% | – | – | – | 3% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 1,911 (LV) | – | 32% | 66% | – | – | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 1,175 (LV) | – | 34% | 64% | – | – | – | 2% |
Gonzalez Maryland Poll | May 19–23, 2020 | 810 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 31% | 59% | – | – | – | 6% |
Goucher College | Feb 13–19, 2020 | 718 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 35% | 60% | – | – | 1% [lower-alpha 301] | 4% [lower-alpha 302] |
Graphs are temporarily unavailable due to technical issues. |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 1] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 17 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 65.0% | 28.7% | 6.3% | Biden +36.3 |
RealClearPolitics | July 31 – August 27, 2020 | September 15, 2020 | 64.0% | 28.3% | 7.7% | Biden +35.7 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 64.6% | 28.9% | 6.5% | Biden +35.8 |
Average | 64.5% | 28.6% | 6.8% | Biden +35.9 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 113] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MassInc | Oct 23–30, 2020 | 929 (LV) | – | 28% | 62% | - | - | 8% [lower-alpha 303] | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 5,848 (LV) | – | 28% | 70% | - | - | – | – |
YouGov/UMass Amherst | Oct 14–21, 2020 | 713 (LV) | – | 29% | 64% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 304] | 3% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 2,655 (LV) | – | 32% | 66% | - | - | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 2,286 (LV) | – | 29% | 69% | - | - | – | 2% |
Emerson College/WHDH | Aug 25–27, 2020 | 763 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 31% | 69% | - | - | – | – |
MassINC/WBUR | Aug 6–9, 2020 | 501 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 27% | 63% | - | - | 5% [lower-alpha 305] | 4% |
UMass/YouGov | Jul 31 – Aug 7, 2020 | 500 (RV) | ± 5.9% | 28% | 61% | - | - | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 2,509 (LV) | – | 26% | 72% | - | - | – | 2% |
MassINC | Jul 17–20, 2020 | 797 (RV) | – | 23% | 55% | - | - | 10% [lower-alpha 306] | 12% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 1,091 (LV) | – | 27% | 71% | - | - | – | 2% |
Emerson College/7 News | May 4–5, 2020 | 740 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 33% [lower-alpha 307] | 67% | - | - | – | – |
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov | Apr 27 – May 1, 2020 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 30% | 58% | - | - | 7% [lower-alpha 308] | 4% |
Emerson College Archived April 20, 2019, at the Wayback Machine | Apr 4–7, 2019 | 761 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 31% | 69% | - | - | – | – |
Graphs are temporarily unavailable due to technical issues. |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 1] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 22 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 49.9% | 44.4% | 5.7% | Biden +5.5 |
Real Clear Politics | October 29 – November 1, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 50.0% | 45.8% | 4.2% | Biden +4.2 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 1, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 51.2% | 43.2% | 5.6% | Biden +7.9 |
Average | 50.4% | 44.5% | 5.1% | Biden +5.9 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 113] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2 | 4,549 (LV) | ± 2% | 46% [lower-alpha 309] | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Research Co. | Oct 31 – Nov 1 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 43% | 50% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 34] | 5% |
Change Research/CNBC | Oct 29 – Nov 1 | 383 (LV) | ± 5.01% | 44% | 51% | 3% | 1% | – | 1% |
Swayable Archived November 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 27 – Nov 1 | 413 (LV) | ± 6.5% | 45% | 54% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
Ipsos/Reuters | Oct 27 – Nov 1 | 654 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 43% [lower-alpha 15] | 53% | 1% | 0% | 2% [lower-alpha 310] | – |
42% [lower-alpha 311] | 52% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 32] | 3% | ||||
45% [lower-alpha 312] | 53% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 313] | – | ||||
Trafalgar Group | Oct 30–31 | 1,033 (LV) | ± 2.97% | 48% | 46% | 2% | - | 1% | 3% |
AtlasIntel | Oct 30–31 | 686 (LV) | ± 4% | 46% | 48% | - | - | 6% | – |
Insider Advantage/Center for American Greatness [upper-alpha 8] | Oct 30–31 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 49% | 2% | - | – | 3% |
Morning Consult | Oct 22–31 | 1,736 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 44.5% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Emerson College | Oct 29–30 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 45% [lower-alpha 35] | 52% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 100] | – |
Public Policy Polling/Progress Michigan [upper-alpha 50] | Oct 29–30 | 745 (V) | ± 3.6% | 44% | 54% | 1% | 0% | – | 1% |
Targoz Market Research/PollSmart | Oct 25–30 | 993 (LV) | – | 39% | 53% | - | - | 8% [lower-alpha 314] | – |
CNN/SSRS Archived October 31, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 23–30 | 907 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 41% | 53% | 2% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 315] | 2% |
Mitchell Research (R)/MIRS | Oct 29 | 817 (LV) | ± 3.43% | 45% | 52% | 1% | 1% | 0% [lower-alpha 316] | 0% |
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ | Oct 27–29 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 44% [lower-alpha 15] | 51% | - | - | 3% | 2% |
42% [lower-alpha 128] | 53% | - | - | 3% | 2% | ||||
45% [lower-alpha 129] | 50% | - | - | 3% | 2% | ||||
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Oct 26–29 | 1,212 (LV) | – | 41% | 54% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 4% |
EPIC-MRA | Oct 25–28 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 41% | 48% | - | - | 5% [lower-alpha 317] | 6% [lower-alpha 127] |
Trafalgar Group | Oct 25–28 | 1,058 (LV) | ± 2.93% | 49% | 47% | 2% | - | 1% [lower-alpha 117] | 1% |
Kiaer Research | Oct 21–28 | 669 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 41% | 54% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 318] | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 7,541 (LV) | – | 45% | 53% | - | - | – | – |
Mitchell Research (R)/MIRS Archived October 29, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 25–27 | 759 (LV) | ± 3.56% | 42% | 52% | 3% | 0% | 0% [lower-alpha 319] | 2% |
Swayable | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 394 (LV) | ± 6.7% | 40% | 59% | 2% | 0% | – | – |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Oct 23–26 | 856 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 41% | 49% | 2% | 1% | 0% [lower-alpha 320] | 6% [lower-alpha 127] |
Ipsos/Reuters | Oct 20–26 | 652 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 43% [lower-alpha 15] | 53% | 1% | 0% | 2% [lower-alpha 310] | – |
43% [lower-alpha 311] | 52% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 32] | 3% | ||||
Wick Surveys | Oct 24–25 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 48% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Glengariff Group/Detroit News | Oct 23–25 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 42% | 49% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 321] | 4% |
ABC/Washington Post | Oct 20–25 | 789 (LV) | ± 4% | 44% | 51% | 3% | 0% | 0% [lower-alpha 322] | 1% |
Gravis Marketing | Oct 24 | 679 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 42% | 55% | - | - | – | 3% |
Public Policy Polling/American Bridge PAC [upper-alpha 51] | Oct 21–22 | 804 (V) | – | 43% | 50% | - | - | – | 6% |
YouGov/University of Wisconsin-Madison | Oct 13–21 | 681 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 42% | 52% | - | - | 5% [lower-alpha 323] | – |
Citizen Data | Oct 17–20 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 41% | 50% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 7% |
Fox News | Oct 17–20 | 1,032 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 52% | 3% | 0% | 2% [lower-alpha 324] | 3% |
Ipsos/Reuters | Oct 14–20 | 686 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 44% [lower-alpha 15] | 52% | 2% | 0% | 2% [lower-alpha 310] | – |
44% [lower-alpha 311] | 51% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 32] | 2% | ||||
Morning Consult | Oct 11–20 | 1,717 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 44% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC | Oct 16–19 | 718 (LV) [lower-alpha 38] | – | 44% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
EPIC-MRA | Oct 15–19 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 39% | 48% | - | - | 5% [lower-alpha 325] | 8% [lower-alpha 127] |
Mitchell Research (R)/MIRS | Oct 18 | 900 (LV) | ± 3.27% | 41% | 51% | 3% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 117] | 3% |
Trafalgar Group/Restoration PAC [upper-alpha 52] | Oct 15–18 | 1,034 (LV) | ± 2.97% | 47% | 45% | 3% | 2% | 2% [lower-alpha 34] | 2% |
Data For Progress | Oct 15–18 | 830 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 45% | 50% | 2% | 0% | – | 3% |
Zia Poll/Painter Communications/MIRS News | Oct 11–18 | 2,851 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 49% | 45% | - | - | 2% | 3% |
HarrisX/The Hill | Oct 12–15 | 1,289 (LV) | – | 43% | 54% | - | - | – | – |
Trafalgar Group | Oct 11–14 | 1,025 (LV) | ± 2.97% | 47% | 46% | 3% | 2% | 2% [lower-alpha 34] | 2% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Oct 10–13 | 972 (LV) | – | 42% [lower-alpha 38] | 51% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ | Oct 8–13 | 800 (LV) | – | 42% [lower-alpha 15] | 48% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 5% |
39% [lower-alpha 128] | 51% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 5% | ||||
44% [lower-alpha 129] | 46% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 5% | ||||
Ipsos/Reuters | Oct 7–13 | 620 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 44% [lower-alpha 15] | 51% | 2% | 1% | 2% [lower-alpha 326] | – |
43% [lower-alpha 311] | 51% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 32] | 2% | ||||
EPIC-MRA/Detroit Free Press | Oct 8–12 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 39% | 48% | - | - | 4% [lower-alpha 327] | 9% [lower-alpha 127] |
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising [upper-alpha 53] | Oct 8–11 | 543 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 43% | 52% | - | - | 4% [lower-alpha 328] | 2% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Oct 6–11 | 614 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 40% | 48% | 1% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 329] | 8% [lower-alpha 127] |
Morning Consult | Oct 2–11 | 1,710 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 44% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Oct 9–10 | 827 (LV) | – | 41% [lower-alpha 38] | 51% | 2% | 1% | – | – |
YouGov/CBS | Oct 6–9 | 1,190 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 46% | 52% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 330] | 0% |
Baldwin Wallace University | Sep 30 – Oct 8 | 1,134 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 43% | 50% | 1% | 1% | 0% [lower-alpha 331] | 4% |
Emerson College | Oct 6–7 | 716 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 43% [lower-alpha 35] | 54% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 34] | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Oct 4–6 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 42% | 50% | 1% | 0% | 1% [lower-alpha 49] | 6% |
Opinion Insight/American Action Forum [upper-alpha 10] | Oct 3–6 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 44% [lower-alpha 35] | 52% | - | - | 2% | 3% |
Ipsos/Reuters | Sep 29 – Oct 6 | 709 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 43% | 51% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 18] | 3% |
Change Research/CNBC | Oct 2–4 | 676 (LV) | – | 43% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Glengariff Group/Detroit News | Sep 30 – Oct 3 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 39% | 48% | - | - | 5% [lower-alpha 332] | 7% |
Public Policy Polling/Progress Michigan [upper-alpha 50] | Sep 30 – Oct 1 | 746 (V) | – | 44% | 50% | 2% | 1% | – | 3% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30 | 3,297 (LV) | – | 44% | 53% | - | - | – | 3% |
Trafalgar Group/Restoration PAC [upper-alpha 52] | Sep 26–28 | 1,042 (LV) | ± 2.95% | 47% | 49% | 2% | 0% | 1% [lower-alpha 117] | 2% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Sep 23–26 | 785 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 42% | 51% | 1% | 0% | 0% [lower-alpha 333] | 6% |
Marist College/NBC | Sep 19–23 | 799 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 44% | 52% | - | - | 1% | 3% |
ALG Research/Committee to Protect Medicare [upper-alpha 54] | Sep 17–23 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Trafalgar Group | Sep 20–22 | 1,015 (LV) | ± 2.99% | 46.7% | 46.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% [lower-alpha 334] | 3.2% |
Baldwin Wallace University | Sep 9–22 | 1,001 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 42% | 50% | 1% | 0% | 1% [lower-alpha 335] | 6% |
YouGov/UW-Madison Elections Research Center/Wisconsin State Journal | Sep 10–21 | 641 (LV) | – | 45% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC | Sep 18–20 | 568 (LV) | – | 43% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Hart Research Associates/Human Rights Campaign [ permanent dead link ] [upper-alpha 55] | Sep 17–19 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Data for Progress (D) | Sep 14–19 | 455 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 42% [lower-alpha 15] | 48% | 1% | 0% | – | 9% |
44% [lower-alpha 336] | 50% | - | - | – | 6% | ||||
MRG | Sep 14–19 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 41% | 46% | - | - | 8% [lower-alpha 337] | 5% |
Ipsos/Reuters | Sep 11–16 | 637 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 49% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 18] | 4% |
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising [upper-alpha 53] | Sep 11–15 | 517 (RV) | – | 42% | 53% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 100] | 1% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Sep 12–14 | 930 (LV) | ± 3.21% | 39% | 49% | 2% | 1% | 0% [lower-alpha 333] | 9% |
EPIC-MRA | Sep 10–15 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 40% | 48% | - | - | 5% [lower-alpha 325] | 7% [lower-alpha 127] |
Benenson Strategy Group/GS Strategy Group/AARP | Aug 28 – Sep 8 | 1,600 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 43% | 50% | - | - | 1% [lower-alpha 338] | 5% |
Morning Consult | Aug 29 – Sep 7 | 1,455 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 42% [lower-alpha 339] | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC | Sep 4–6 | 876 (LV) | – | 43% | 49% | - | - | 7% [lower-alpha 340] | – |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports | Sep 2–3 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3% | 44% [lower-alpha 35] | 53% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 341] | – |
Glengariff Group | Sep 1–3 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 42% | 47% | - | - | 4% [lower-alpha 342] | 7% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Aug 30 – Sep 3 | 967 (LV) | ± 3.15% | 40% | 51% | 1% | 0% | 1% [lower-alpha 49] | 7% |
Opinion Insight/American Action Forum [upper-alpha 10] | Aug 30 – Sep 2 | 802 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 44% [lower-alpha 35] | 51% | 2% | 1% | 0% [lower-alpha 343] | 3% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31 | 2,962 (LV) | – | 48% | 49% | - | - | – | 3% |
Morning Consult | Aug 21–30 | 1,424 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 42% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Public Policy Polling/Progress Michigan [upper-alpha 50] | Aug 28–29 | 897 (V) | – | 44% | 48% | 3% | 1% | – | 3% |
Change Research/CNBC | Aug 21–23 | 809 (LV) | – | 44% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Trafalgar Group | Aug 14–23 | 1,048 (LV) | ± 2.98% | 47% | 45% | 3% | - | 1% [lower-alpha 344] | 4% |
Redfield and Wilton Strategies | Aug 16–19 | 812 (LV) | – | 38% | 50% | 1% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 345] | 9% |
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising [upper-alpha 53] | Aug 13–17 | 631 (RV) | – | 46% | 49% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 100] | 1% |
Morning Consult | Aug 7–16 | 1,212 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 44% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC [upper-alpha 52] | Aug 11–15 | 600 (LV) | – | 41% | 52% | - | - | – | 7% |
Change Research/CNBC | Aug 7–9 | 413 (LV) | – | 43% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
YouGov/University of Wisconsin-Madison | Jul 27 – Aug 6 | 761 (RV) | ± 5.1% | 43% | 47% | - | - | 5% [lower-alpha 346] | 6% |
GQR Research/Unite the Country PAC [upper-alpha 56] | Jul 30 – Aug 4 | 1,245 (LV) | – | 43% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
David Binder Research | Jul 30–31 | 200 (LV) | – | 41% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31 | 3,083 (LV) | – | 48% | 49% | - | - | – | 2% |
EPIC-MRA | Jul 25–30 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 51% | 3% | - | - | 6% |
Public Policy Polling/Progress Michigan [upper-alpha 50] | Jul 28–29 | 876 (V) | – | 43% | 49% | - | - | 6% [lower-alpha 347] | 3% |
Change Research/CNBC | Jul 24–26 | 413 (LV) | – | 42% | 46% | - | - | – | – |
Morning Consult | Jul 17–26 | 1,320 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 42% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
YouGov/CBS | Jul 21–24 | 1,156 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 42% | 48% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 348] | 7% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Jul 19–24 | 811 (LV) | – | 37% | 49% | 1% | 1% | 2% [lower-alpha 349] | 10% |
CNN/SSRS | Jul 18–24 | 927 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 40% | 52% | - | - | 5% [lower-alpha 350] | 2% |
Gravis Marketing | Jul 22 | 754 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 42% | 51% | - | - | – | 7% |
Fox News | Jul 18–20 | 756 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 40% | 49% | - | - | 4% [lower-alpha 351] | 7% |
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC [upper-alpha 52] | Jul 13–16 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 53% | - | - | – | 7% |
Spry Strategies/American Principles Project [upper-alpha 57] | Jul 11–16 | 600 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 50% | 45% | - | - | – | 5% |
Change Research/CNBC | Jul 10–12 | 824 (LV) | – | 42% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Public Policy Polling/Giffords (D) [upper-alpha 58] | Jul 9–10 | 1,041 (V) | ± 3.2% | 44% | 51% | - | - | – | 5% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30 | 1,238 (LV) | – | 46% | 51% | - | - | – | 3% |
Change Research/CNBC | Jun 26–28 | 699 (LV) [lower-alpha 38] | – | 43% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Public Policy Polling/Progress Michigan (D) [upper-alpha 50] | Jun 26–27 | 1,237 (V) | – | 44% | 50% | - | - | 5% [lower-alpha 352] | 1% |
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R) | Jun 17–20 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 56% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 353] | 7% |
Trafalgar Group | Jun 16–18 | 1,101 (LV) | ± 2.95% | 45% | 46% | - | - | 5% [lower-alpha 325] | 4% |
NYT Upshot/Siena College | Jun 8–17 | 610 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 36% | 47% | - | - | 8% [lower-alpha 354] | 9% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Jun 14–16 | 826 (LV) | ± 3.41% | 36% | 47% | 2% | 1% | 2% [lower-alpha 355] | 12% |
TargetPoint | Jun 11–16 | 1,000 (A) | – | 33% | 49% | - | - | 4% [lower-alpha 356] | 14% |
Change Research/CNBC | Jun 12–14 | 353 (LV) [lower-alpha 38] | – | 45% | 47% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 357] | – |
TIPP/American Greatness PAC Archived June 16, 2020, at the Wayback Machine [upper-alpha 8] | Jun 9–12 | 859 (LV) | – | 38% | 51% | - | - | 4% [lower-alpha 358] | 7% |
Kiaer Research | May 31 – Jun 7 | 543 (LV) | ± 6.4% | 35% | 50% | - | - | 6% [lower-alpha 359] | 8% |
EPIC-MRA | May 31 – Jun 4 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 39% | 55% | - | - | – | – |
EPIC-MRA | May 30 – Jun 3 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 41% | 53% | - | - | – | 6% [lower-alpha 127] |
Change Research/CNBC | May 29–31 | 620 (LV) [lower-alpha 38] | – | 46% | 48% | - | - | 3% | 3% |
Public Policy Polling/Progress Michigan [upper-alpha 50] | May 29–30 | 1,582 (V) | ± 2.5% | 44% | 50% | - | - | 4% [lower-alpha 360] | 2% |
Morning Consult | May 17–26 | 1,325 (LV) | – | 42% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Public Policy Polling/Protect Our Care [upper-alpha 59] | May 18–19 | 1,234 (V) | ± 2.8% | 45% | 51% | - | - | – | 5% |
Change Research/Crooked Media | May 11–17 | 3,070 (LV) | – | 46% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | May 10–14 | 970 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 39% | 47% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 361] | 11% |
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R) | May 1–5 | 600 (LV) | ± 3% | 42% | 50% | - | - | – | 8% |
Public Policy Polling [upper-alpha 60] | Apr 28–29 | 1,270 (V) | – | 42% | 50% | - | - | – | 8% |
Public Policy Polling [upper-alpha 61] | Apr 20–21 | 1,277 (RV) | – | 44% | 51% | - | - | – | 5% |
Fox News | Apr 18–21 | 801 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 41% | 49% | - | - | 3% | 6% |
Ipsos/Reuters | Apr 15–20 | 612 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 38% | 46% | - | - | – | – |
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R) | Apr 9–11 | 600 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Hart Research/CAP Action [upper-alpha 62] | Apr 6–8 | 303 (RV) | – | 41% | 50% | - | - | 4% | 5% |
Public Policy Polling | Mar 31 – Apr 1 | 1,019 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 48% | - | - | – | 7% |
SPRY Strategies | Mar 30 – Apr 1 | 602 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 46% | - | - | – | 8% |
Baldwin Wallace University Great Lakes | Mar 17–25 | 997 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 42% | 47% | - | - | – | 11% |
Change Research | Mar 21–23 | 510 (LV) | – | 47% | 48% | - | - | 5% | |
Marketing Resource Group Archived March 25, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Mar 16–20 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 44% | - | - | 9% [lower-alpha 362] | 6% |
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R) | Mar 12–16 | 600 (RV) | – | 44% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
AtlasIntel | Mar 7–9 | 1,100 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 44% | - | - | 10% | – |
YouGov/Yahoo News | Mar 6–8 | 566 (RV) | – | 41% | 45% | - | - | 6% [lower-alpha 363] | 7% |
Monmouth University | Mar 5–8 | 977 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 41% | 48% | - | - | 2% | 9% |
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Archived December 9, 2019, at the Wayback Machine | Mar 5–7 | 550 (RV) | ± 5.3% | 46% | 44% | - | - | – | – |
YouGov | Feb 11–20 | 1,249 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
Quinnipiac University Archived May 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Feb 12–18 | 845 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 43% | 47% | - | - | 6% [lower-alpha 364] | 3% |
Expedition Strategies/Progressive Policies Institute | Feb 6–18 | 500 (RV) | – | 43% | 43% | - | - | – | 14% |
EPIC-MRA/Detroit Free Press | Jan 9–12 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 44% | 50% | - | - | – | 6% |
Glengariff Group Inc. | Jan 3–7 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 43% | 50% | - | - | – | 5% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 113] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Archived December 9, 2019, at the Wayback Machine | Dec 3–5, 2019 | 551 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 46% | 41% | 8% [lower-alpha 365] | 5% [lower-alpha 127] |
Emerson College | Oct 31 – Nov 3, 2019 | 1,051 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 56% | – | – |
NYT Upshot/Siena College | Oct 13–25, 2019 | 501 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 44% | 45% | – | – |
Target Insyght | Sep 24–26, 2019 | 800 (LV) | – | 35% | 54% | – | – |
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Archived September 12, 2019, at the Wayback Machine | Sep 7–9, 2019 | 529 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 42% | 17% | – |
EPIC-MRA | Aug 17–21, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 51% | – | 8% |
Climate Nexus | Jul 14–17, 2019 | 820 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 49% | 5% [lower-alpha 366] | 10% |
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus | Jun 11–13, 2019 | 587 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 43% | 46% | 11% | – |
EPIC-MRA | Jun 8–12, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 52% | – | 7% |
Glengariff Group | May 28–30, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 53% | – | 4% |
WPA Intelligence | Apr 27–30, 2019 | 200 (LV) | ± 6.9% | 42% | 45% | – | 12% |
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Archived April 3, 2019, at the Wayback Machine | Mar 19–21, 2019 | 530 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 46% | 45% | 4% | – |
Emerson College Archived March 10, 2019, at the Wayback Machine | Mar 7–10, 2019 | 743 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 54% | – | – |
Glengariff Group Archived April 22, 2019, at the Wayback Machine | Jan 24–26, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 53% | – | 5% |
EPIC-MRA | Apr 28–30, 2018 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 39% | 52% | – | 9% |
Zogby Analytics | Sep 2017 | 800 (V) | – | 35% | 52% | – | 13% |
Graphs are temporarily unavailable due to technical issues. |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 1] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 27 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 51.6% | 41.8% | 6.6% | Biden +9.8 |
Real Clear Politics | October 12–27, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 48.0% | 43.7% | 8.3% | Biden +4.3 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 51.8% | 42.7% | 5.5% | Biden +9.2 |
Average | 50.5% | 42.7% | 6.8% | Biden +7.8 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 113] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 3,031 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 41% [lower-alpha 367] | 56% | - | - | – | – |
Research Co. | Oct 31 – Nov 1, 2020 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 45% | 54% | - | - | 1% [lower-alpha 368] | 4% |
Data for Progress | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 1,259 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 43% | 51% | 4% | 2% | 1% [lower-alpha 369] | – |
Swayable Archived November 27, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2020 | 466 (LV) | ± 5.9% | 43% | 53% | 4% | 0% | – | – |
Morning Consult | Oct 22–31, 2020 | 883 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Public Policy Polling | Oct 29–30, 2020 | 770 (V) | – | 43% | 54% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 34] | 1% |
Targoz Market Research/PollSmart | Oct 25–30, 2020 | 1,138 (LV) | – | 44% | 53% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 370] | – |
St. Cloud State University | Oct 10–29, 2020 | 372 (A) | ± 6.7% | 39% | 54% | - | - | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 5,498 (LV) | – | 42% | 55% | - | - | – | – |
SurveyUSA/KSTP/ABC6 News | Oct 23–27, 2020 | 649 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 42% | 47% | - | - | 5% [lower-alpha 371] | 6% |
Gravis Marketing | Oct 24–26, 2020 | 657 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 39% | 53% | - | - | – | 8% |
Trafalgar Group | Oct 24–25, 2020 | 1,065 (LV) | ± 2.92% | 45% | 48% | 2% | - | 4% [lower-alpha 372] | 1% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | Oct 17–20, 2020 | 840 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 43% | 53% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 100] | 1% |
SurveyUSA/KSTP | Oct 16–20, 2020 | 625 (LV) | ± 5% | 42% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Morning Consult | Oct 11–20, 2020 | 864 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 42% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/MinnPost | Oct 12–15, 2020 [lower-alpha 373] | 1,021 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 49% | 2% | 0% | 2% [lower-alpha 374] | 2% |
David Binder Research/Focus on Rural America | Oct 10–13, 2020 | 200 (LV) | – | 41% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Morning Consult | Oct 2–11, 2020 | 898 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 44% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
SurveyUSA/ABC6 News | Oct 1–6, 2020 | 929 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 40% | 47% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 375] | 10% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 2,808 (LV) | – | 43% | 55% | - | - | – | 2% |
Suffolk University | Sep 20–24, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 40% | 47% | 2% | 0% | 4% [lower-alpha 376] | 6% |
Mason-Dixon/StarTribune /MPR News/KARE 11 | Sep 21–23, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 42% | 48% | - | - | 2% | 8% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Sep 12–17, 2020 | 718 (LV) | ± 3.66% | 42% | 51% | 0% | 0% | 1% [lower-alpha 377] | 5% |
ABC/Washington Post | Sep 8–13, 2020 | 615 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 41% | 57% | - | - | 1% [lower-alpha 378] | 1% |
Morning Consult | Sep 4–13, 2020 | 643 (LV) | ± 4% | 44% [lower-alpha 59] | 48% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 34] | 6% |
YouGov/CBS | Sep 9–11, 2020 | 1,087 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 41% | 50% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 379] | 6% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Sep 8–10, 2020 | 814 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 41% | 50% | 2% | 1% | 0% [lower-alpha 380] | 5% [lower-alpha 381] |
SurveyUSA | Sep 4–7, 2020 | 553 (LV) | ± 5.2% | 40% | 49% | - | - | 4% [lower-alpha 382] | 7% |
Morning Consult | Aug 29 – Sep 7, 2020 | 649 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 44% [lower-alpha 59] | 49% | - | - | – | – |
PPP | Sep 3–4, 2020 | 877 (V) | ± 3.3% | 44% | 52% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 100] | 1% |
Harper Polling/Jason Lewis [upper-alpha 63] | Aug 30 – Sep 1, 2020 | 501 (LV) | ± 4.38% | 45% | 48% | – | – | – | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 1,939 (LV) | – | 43% | 56% | - | - | – | 1% |
Morning Consult | Aug 21–30, 2020 | 647 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 43% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Trafalgar Group | Aug 15–18, 2020 | 1,141 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 47% | 4% | - | 1% [lower-alpha 383] | 2% |
Morning Consult | Aug 7–16, 2020 | 615 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 42% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Emerson College | Aug 8–10, 2020 | 733 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 49% [lower-alpha 384] | 51% | - | - | – | – |
David Binder Research | Jul 30–31, 2020 | 200 (LV) | – | 36% | 54% | - | - | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 2,288 (LV) | – | 47% | 51% | - | - | – | 2% |
Morning Consult | Jul 17–26, 2020 | 662 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 44% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
Trafalgar Group | Jul 23–25, 2020 | 1,129 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 44% | 49% | 2% | - | 3% [lower-alpha 385] | 2% |
Public Policy Polling/Giffords Archived July 31, 2020, at the Wayback Machine [upper-alpha 64] | Jul 22–23, 2020 | 1,218 (V) | ± 3.2% | 42% | 52% | - | - | – | 6% |
FOX News | Jul 18–20, 2020 | 776 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 38% | 51% | - | - | 6% [lower-alpha 386] | 6% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 860 (LV) | – | 42% | 57% | - | - | – | 1% |
Gravis Marketing | Jun 19, 2020 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% [lower-alpha 387] | 58% [lower-alpha 388] | - | - | – | – |
Morning Consult | May 27– Jun 5, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 45% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Harper Polling/Jason Lewis [upper-alpha 63] | May 26–28, 2020 | 510 (LV) | – | 42% | 50% | – | – | – | 8% |
Morning Consult | May 17–26, 2020 | 647 (LV) | – | 42% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Mason-Dixon/StarTribune /MPR News/KARE 11 | May 18–20, 2020 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 49% | - | - | – | 7% |
Morning Consult | May 7–16, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 38% | 55% | - | - | – | – |
Mason-Dixon/StarTribune | Oct 14–16, 2019 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 38% | 50% | - | - | – | 12% |
Graphical summary
Graphs are temporarily unavailable due to technical issues. |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 1] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 17–27, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 40.0% | 57.0% | 3.0% | Trump +17.0 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 39.6% | 55.5% | 4.9% | Trump +15.9 |
Average | 39.8% | 56.3% | 3.9% | Trump +16.5 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 113] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 1,461 (LV) | ± 4% | 61% [lower-alpha 389] | 37% | - | - | – | – |
Data For Progress | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 562 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 55% | 41% | 2% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 390] | – |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 507 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 55% | 41% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 391] | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 2,116 (LV) | – | 62% | 37% | - | - | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 782 (LV) | – | 55% | 44% | - | - | – | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 607 (LV) | – | 61% | 36% | - | - | – | 3% |
Tyson Group/Consumer Energy Alliance [upper-alpha 65] | Aug 28–30, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 50% | 40% | No voters | - | No voters [lower-alpha 392] | 6% |
Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group/Mike Espy [upper-alpha 66] | Jul 30 – Aug 9, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 53% [lower-alpha 393] | 43% | - | - | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 733 (LV) | – | 59% | 39% | - | - | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 425 (LV) | – | 63% | 35% | - | - | – | 2% |
Chism Strategies (D) | Jun 2–4, 2020 | 568 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 50% | 41% | - | - | 6% [lower-alpha 394] | 3% |
Chism Strategies/Millsaps College | Apr 8–9, 2020 | 508 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 38% | - | - | 7% | 7% |
Mason-Dixon | Feb 26–28, 2020 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 56% | 41% | - | - | – | 3% |
Graphs are temporarily unavailable due to technical issues. |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 1] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 13 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 43.7% | 51.3% | 5.0% | Trump +7.6 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 43.6% | 51.6% | 4.8% | Trump +8.0 |
Average | 43.7% | 51.5% | 4.9% | Trump +7.8 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 113] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 2,926 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 54% [lower-alpha 395] | 44% | - | - | – | – |
Swayable Archived November 27, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2020 | 487 (LV) | ± 6.6% | 55% | 43% | 2% | 0% | – | – |
Morning Consult | Oct 22–31, 2020 | 1,109 (LV) | ± 3% | 52% | 43% | - | - | – | – |
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout | Oct 28–29, 2020 | 1,010 (LV) | ± 3% | 50% | 45% | 2% | 1% | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 4,759 (LV) | – | 53% | 45% | - | - | – | – |
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout | Oct 14–15, 2020 | 1,010 (LV) | ± 3% | 51% | 45% | 1% | 1% | - | 2% |
YouGov/SLU | Sep 24 – Oct 7, 2020 | 931 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 52% | 43% | - | - | 3% | 2% |
Garin-Hart-Yang/Galloway for Missouri [upper-alpha 67] | Sep 28 – Oct 2, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 50% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout | Sep 30 – Oct 1, 2020 | 980 (LV) | ± 3% | 51% | 46% | - | - | – | 3% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 2,157 (LV) | – | 53% | 45% | - | - | – | 2% |
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout | Sep 16–17, 2020 | 1,046 (LV) | ± 3% | 53% | 45% | - | - | – | 2% |
We Ask America | Sep 1–3, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.38% | 49% | 44% | - | - | 5% [lower-alpha 396] | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 1,863 (LV) | – | 54% | 44% | - | - | – | 2% |
Trafalgar Group (R) | Aug 26–28, 2020 | 1,015 (LV) | ± 2.99% | 52% | 41% | 3% | - | 1% [lower-alpha 397] | 3% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 2,261 (LV) | – | 54% | 44% | - | - | – | 2% |
YouGov/Saint Louis University | Jun 23 – Jul 1, 2020 | 900 (LV) | ± 3.95% | 50% | 43% | - | - | 4% | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 868 (LV) | – | 51% | 47% | - | - | – | 1% |
Garin-Hart-Yang/Galloway for Governor/Missouri Scout [upper-alpha 67] | Jun 16–22, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout | Jun 10–11, 2020 | 1,152 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 51% | 43% | - | - | – | 6% |
We Ask America | May 26–27, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.38% | 48% | 44% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 398] | 5% |
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout | Feb 26–27, 2020 | 1,050 (LV) | – | 53% | 42% | - | - | – | 5% |
American Viewpoint/Uniting Missouri [upper-alpha 68] | Jan 20–22, 2020 | 1,200 (LV) | – | 50% | 43% | - | - | – | 7% |
Remington Research Group | Sep 18–19, 2019 | 1,046 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 53% | 42% | - | - | – | 5% |
Remington Research Group | Apr 10–11, 2019 | 955 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 51% | 43% | - | - | – | 6% |
Graphs are temporarily unavailable due to technical issues. |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 1] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 22–28, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 44.8% | 50.2% | 5.0% | Trump +5.4 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 45.4% | 49.8% | 4.8% | Trump +4.4 |
Average | 45.1% | 50.0% | 4.9% | Trump +4.9 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 113] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research | Oct 29 – Nov 2, 2020 | 920 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 45% | 2% | 1% [lower-alpha 399] | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 1,021 (LV) | ± 4% | 52% [lower-alpha 400] | 46% | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 1,471 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 48% | – | – | – |
Public Policy Polling/Protect Our Care [upper-alpha 69] | Oct 26–27, 2020 | 886 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 49% | 47% | – | – | 3% |
Montana State University Billings | Oct 19–24, 2020 | 546 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 52% | 45% | 1% | – | 2% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Oct 18–20, 2020 | 758 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 43% | 3% | 2% [lower-alpha 401] | 3% [lower-alpha 402] |
Strategies 360/NBCMT | Oct 15–20, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 51% | 43% | 3% | – | 4% |
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ | Oct 15–18, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 50% [lower-alpha 403] | 46% | 2% | 4% [lower-alpha 150] | 0% |
48% [lower-alpha 404] | 48% | 2% | 4% [lower-alpha 150] | 0% | ||||
52% [lower-alpha 405] | 44% | 2% | 4% [lower-alpha 150] | 0% | ||||
Public Policy Polling | Oct 9–10, 2020 | 798 (V) | ± 3.5% | 52% | 46% | - | 2% [lower-alpha 406] | 0% |
Emerson College | Oct 4–7, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 56% | 44% | – | – | – |
Data For Progress (D) | Sep 30 – Oct 5, 2020 | 737 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 49% | 43% | 3% | 0% [lower-alpha 407] | 5% |
Montana State University Bozeman | Sep 14 – Oct 2, 2020 | 1,607 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 51% | 44% | – | 4% | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 480 (LV) | – | 57% | 41% | – | – | 2% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Sep 14–16, 2020 | 625 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 49% | 42% | 2% | 2% [lower-alpha 408] | 5% [lower-alpha 402] |
Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates/AARP | Aug 30 – Sep 5, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 43% | – | 0% [lower-alpha 409] | 6% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 562 (LV) | – | 52% | 46% | – | – | 1% |
Expedition Strategies/House Majority PAC [upper-alpha 70] | Aug 22–27, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 48% | 44% | – | – | 7% [lower-alpha 402] |
Emerson College | Jul 31 – Aug 2, 2020 | 584 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 54% [lower-alpha 410] | 46% | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 527 (LV) | – | 53% | 44% | – | – | 3% |
Public Policy Polling/AFSCME [upper-alpha 6] | Jul 23–24, 2020 | 917 (V) | – | 50% | 45% | – | – | 5% |
Spry Strategies/American Principles Project [upper-alpha 71] | Jul 11–16, 2020 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 52% | 42% | – | – | 6% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | Jul 11–13, 2020 | 873 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 49% | 45% | - | 5% [lower-alpha 411] | 1% |
Public Policy Polling/Election Twitter | Jul 9–10, 2020 | 1,224 (V) | ± 2.8% | 51% | 42% | – | – | 7% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 166 (LV) | – | 57% | 41% | – | – | 2% |
University of Montana | Jun 17–26, 2020 | 517 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 52% | 38% | – | – | 10% |
Montana State University Bozeman | Apr 10–27, 2020 | 459 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 45% | 40% | – | 11% | 5% |
The Progress Campaign (D) | Apr 14–21, 2020 | 1,712 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 51% | 42% | – | – | 7% [lower-alpha 412] |
University of Montana | Feb 12–22, 2020 | 498 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 56% | 34% | – | – | 10% |
University of Montana | Sep 26 – Oct 3, 2019 | 303 (RV) | ± 5.6% | 54% | 47% | – | – | – |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 1] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 42.5% | 52.1% | 5.4% | Trump +9.7 |
Graphs are temporarily unavailable due to technical issues. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 113] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 1,742 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 56% [lower-alpha 413] | 43% | - | - | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 2,423 (LV) | – | 53% | 46% | - | - | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 799 (LV) | – | 57% | 41% | - | - | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 560 (LV) | – | 53% | 47% | - | - | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 910 (LV) | – | 54% | 44% | - | - | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 267 (LV) | – | 56% | 42% | - | - | 2% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 113] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Strategies 360/Kate Bolz [upper-alpha 72] | Jul 16–22, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 48% | 46% | - | - | – |
Graphs are temporarily unavailable due to technical issues. |
Graphs are temporarily unavailable due to technical issues. |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 1] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 16–31, 2020 | November 1, 2020 | 49.4% | 44.4% | 6.2% | Biden +5.0 |
Real Clear Politics | October 23 – November 2, 2020 | November 1, 2020 | 48.7% | 46.3% | 5.0% | Biden +2.4 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 49.7% | 44.4% | 5.9% | Biden +5.3 |
Average | 49.3% | 45.0% | 5.7% | Biden +4.3 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 113] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trafalgar Group | Oct 31 – Nov 2, 2020 | 1,024 (LV) | ± 2.98% | 49% | 48% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 117] | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 2,366 (LV) | ± 3% | 49% [lower-alpha 421] | 49% | - | – | – |
Data for Progress | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 1,442 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 44% | 51% | 3% | 2% [lower-alpha 422] | – |
Emerson College | Oct 29–31, 2020 | 720 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 47% | 49% | - | 4% [lower-alpha 423] | – |
Trafalgar Group | Oct 28–29, 2020 | 1,024 (LV) | ± 2.98% | 47% | 49% | 2% | 1% [lower-alpha 117] | 1% |
Gravis Marketing | Oct 27–28, 2020 | 688 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 44% | 50% | – | – | 6% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 3,333 (LV) | – | 49% | 50% | - | – | – |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 809 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 43% | 49% | 3% | 2% [lower-alpha 424] | 4% [lower-alpha 402] |
BUSR/University of Nevada | Oct 16–21, Oct 23, 2020 | 809 (LV) | ± 4% | 41% | 50% | – | – | – |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | Oct 17–20, 2020 | 712 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 43% | 52% | - | 3% [lower-alpha 425] | 1% |
WPA Intelligence/Las Vegas Review-Journal/AARP | Oct 7–11, 2020 | 512 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 44% | 3% | 5% [lower-alpha 426] | 6% |
YouGov/CBS | Oct 6–9, 2020 | 1,036 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 46% | 52% | - | 2% [lower-alpha 427] | 0% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Oct 2–6, 2020 | 660 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 42% | 48% | 3% | 1% [lower-alpha 428] | 6% [lower-alpha 402] |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 1,239 (LV) | – | 47% | 51% | - | - | 2% |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports/American Greatness PAC [upper-alpha 8] | Sep 23–25, 2020 | 750 (LV) | – | 48% | 49% | - | 2% [lower-alpha 429] | 1% |
Qualtrics/University of Nevada/BUSR | Sep 10–25, 2020 | 641 (LV) | ± 4% | 41% | 46% | - | 7% [lower-alpha 430] | 6% |
Fox News | Sep 20–23, 2020 | 810 (LV) | ± 3% | 41% | 52% | 3% | 2% [lower-alpha 431] | 2% |
911 (RV) | ± 3% | 40% | 50% | 3% | 3% [lower-alpha 432] | 4% | ||
ALG Research/The Nevada Independent (D) [upper-alpha 77] | Sep 15–21, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 43% | 47% | – | – | – |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Sep 8–10, 2020 | 462 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 42% | 46% | 3% | 1% [lower-alpha 433] | 7% [lower-alpha 402] |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 998 (LV) | – | 49% | 50% | - | – | 1% |
Qualtrics/University of Nevada/BUSR | Aug 20–30, 2020 | 682 (LV) | ± 4% | 39% | 44% | – | 5% [lower-alpha 434] | 12% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 1,021 (LV) | – | 52% | 47% | - | - | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 609 (LV) | – | 49% | 50% | - | - | 1% |
ALG Research/The Nevada Independent (D) [upper-alpha 78] | Apr 27–30, 2020 | 763 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 45% | 49% | – | – | – |
AtlasIntel | Feb 19–21, 2020 | 1,100 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 44% | – | 15% | – |
FOX News | Jan 5–8, 2020 | 1,505 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 39% | 47% | – | 9% [lower-alpha 435] | 4% |
FOX News | Nov 10–13, 2019 | 1,506 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 40% | 47% | – | 9% [lower-alpha 435] | 4% |
Emerson College | Oct 31 – Nov 2, 2019 | 1,089 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 51% | 49% | – | – | – |
Gravis Marketing | Aug 14–16, 2019 | 926 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 43% | 49% | – | – | 8% |
Emerson College Archived April 20, 2019, at the Wayback Machine | Mar 28–30, 2019 | 719 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 48% | 52% | – | – | – |
Graphs are temporarily unavailable due to technical issues. |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 1] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 14–29, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 53.4% | 42.4% | 4.2% | Biden +11.0 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 53.9% | 42.8% | 3.3% | Biden +11.1 |
Average | 53.7% | 42.6% | 3.8% | Biden +11.1 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 113] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 1,013 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 45% [lower-alpha 436] | 54% | - | – | – |
American Research Group | Oct 26–28, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 39% | 58% | 1% | – | 2% |
University of New Hampshire | Oct 24–28, 2020 | 864 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 45% | 53% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 1,791 (LV) | – | 44% | 55% | - | – | – |
Saint Anselm College | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 1,018 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 52% | 2% | – | 2% |
YouGov/UMass Amherst | Oct 16–26, 2020 | 757 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 43% | 53% | 2% | 1% [lower-alpha 437] | 2% |
University of New Hampshire | Oct 9–12, 2020 | 899 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 43% | 55% | 0% | 0% [lower-alpha 438] | 2% |
Suffolk University/Boston Globe | Oct 8–12, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 41% | 51% | 2% | 3% [lower-alpha 439] | 5% |
Saint Anselm College | Oct 1–4, 2020 | 1,147 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 41% | 53% | - | 4% [lower-alpha 150] | 2% |
Emerson College | Sep 30 – Oct 1, 2020 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 45% [lower-alpha 35] | 53% | - | 2% [lower-alpha 440] | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 637 (LV) | – | 43% | 55% | - | – | 2% |
American Research Group | Sep 25–28, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 44% | 53% | 1% | – | 2% |
University of New Hampshire | Sep 24–28, 2020 | 972 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 53% | 1% | 0% [lower-alpha 438] | 3% |
Pulse Opinion Research/Center for American Greatness [upper-alpha 8] | Sep 23–25, 2020 | 850 (LV) | ± 4% | 42% [lower-alpha 35] | 56% | - | 1% [lower-alpha 441] | 1% |
YouGov/UMass Lowell | Sep 17–25, 2020 | 657 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 44% [lower-alpha 442] | 52% | 1% | 2% [lower-alpha 443] | 1% |
44% [lower-alpha 444] | 53% | - | 0% [lower-alpha 438] | 1% | ||||
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Sep 8–11, 2020 | 445 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 42% | 45% | 4% | 2% [lower-alpha 445] | 7% [lower-alpha 446] |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 444 (LV) | – | 39% | 60% | - | – | 1% |
Saint Anselm College | Aug 15–17, 2020 | 1,042 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 51% | - | 4% [lower-alpha 150] | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 574 (LV) | – | 39% | 60% | - | – | 2% |
University of New Hampshire | Jul 16–28, 2020 | 1,893 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 40% | 53% | - | 4% [lower-alpha 447] | 3% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 191 (LV) | – | 39% | 61% | - | – | 1% |
University of New Hampshire | Jun 18–22, 2020 | 936 (LV) | – | 39% | 52% | - | 6% [lower-alpha 448] | 3% |
Saint Anselm College | Jun 13–16, 2020 | 1,072 (RV) | ± 3% | 42% | 49% | - | 5% | 3% |
University of New Hampshire | May 14–18, 2020 | 790 (LV) | – | 46% | 44% | - | 5% [lower-alpha 449] | 5% |
Saint Anselm College | Apr 23–27, 2020 | 820 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 42% | 50% | - | 2% | 7% |
University of New Hampshire | Feb 19–25, 2020 | 569 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 46% | 44% | - | 8% [lower-alpha 450] | 2% |
AtlasIntel | Feb 8–10, 2020 | 1,100 (RV) | ± 3% | 46% | 44% | - | 11% | – |
McLaughlin & Associates/NH Journal | Feb 4–5, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 49% [lower-alpha 451] | 45% | - | – [lower-alpha 452] | – [lower-alpha 452] |
Marist College/NBC News | Jan 20–23, 2020 | 2,223 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 43% | 51% | - | 2% | 5% |
Emerson College | Nov 23–26, 2019 | 637 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 48% | 52% | - | – | – |
547 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 42% | 46% | - | – | 13% | ||
Saint Anselm College | Nov 13–18, 2019 | 512 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 43% | 51% | - | – | 6% |
Emerson College | Sep 6–9, 2019 | 1,041 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 55% | - | – | – |
Gravis Marketing | Aug 2–6, 2019 | 505 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 40% | 53% | - | – | 7% |
Emerson College Archived February 23, 2019, at the Wayback Machine | Feb 21–22, 2019 | 910 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 45% | 55% | - | – | – |
American Research Group | Mar 21–27, 2018 | 1,365 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 53% | - | – | 8% |
Graphs are temporarily unavailable due to technical issues. |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 1] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 9 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 56.5% | 37.3% | 6.2% | Biden +19.2 |
Real Clear Politics | September 4 – October 13, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 54.7% | 37.3% | 8.0% | Biden +17.4 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 58.4% | 37.9% | 3.7% | Biden +20.4 |
Average | 56.5% | 37.5% | 7.8% | Biden +19.0 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 113] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 3,870 (LV) | ± 2% | 38% [lower-alpha 453] | 59% | - | - | – | – |
Research Co. | Oct 31 – Nov 1, 2020 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 40% | 59% | - | - | 1% [lower-alpha 454] | 5% |
Swayable Archived November 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 324 (LV) | ± 7.2% | 40% | 59% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 6,472 (LV) | – | 37% | 60% | - | - | – | – |
Swayable | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 386 (LV) | ± 6.5% | 38% | 62% | 0% | 0% | – | – |
Rutgers-Eagleton | Oct 19–24, 2020 | 834 (LV) | ± 4% | 37% | 59% | - | - | 1% [lower-alpha 455] | 1% |
Stockton College | Oct 7–13, 2020 | 721 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 36% | 56% | - | - | – | – |
DKC Analytics/Brach Eichler | Oct 5–13, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 34% | 56% | - | - | 10% [lower-alpha 456] | – |
Fairleigh Dickinson University | Sep 30 – Oct 5, 2020 | 582 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 38% | 53% | - | - | 5% [lower-alpha 457] | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 2,952 (LV) | – | 37% | 60% | - | - | – | 3% |
DKC Analytics/Brach Eichler | Sep 8–16, 2020 | 501 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 38% | 52% | - | - | 10% [lower-alpha 456] | – |
Emerson College | Sep 4–7, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 40% [lower-alpha 458] | 58% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 459] | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 2,309 (LV) | – | 40% | 57% | - | - | – | 3% |
DKC Analytics/Brach Eichler | Aug 5–13, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.383% | 33% | 52% | - | - | 15% [lower-alpha 460] | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 2,426 (LV) | – | 37% | 61% | - | - | – | 2% |
Pollfish/DKC Analytics/Brach Eichler | Jul 7–12, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.383% | 33% | 51% | - | - | 7% [lower-alpha 461] | 8% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 1,110 (LV) | – | 37% | 61% | - | - | – | 3% |
Quinnipiac | Apr 30 – May 4, 2020 | 941 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 35% | 54% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 462] | 8% |
Rutgers-Eagleton | Apr 22 – May 2, 2020 | 689 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 33% | 56% | - | - | 5% [lower-alpha 463] | 7% |
Monmouth University | Apr 16–19, 2020 | 635 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 38% | 54% | - | - | 2% | 6% |
Fairleigh Dickinson University | Feb 12–16, 2020 | 715 (RV) | – | 35% | 53% | - | - | – | – |
Graphs are temporarily unavailable due to technical issues. |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 1] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 6 – November 1, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 53.5% | 40.5% | 6.0% | Biden +13.0 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 53.8% | 42.3% | 3.9% | Biden +11.5 |
Average | 53.7% | 41.4% | 4.9% | Biden +12.3 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 113] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 1,481 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 42% [lower-alpha 464] | 56% | – | – | – | – |
Research & Polling Inc./Albuquerque Journal | Oct 23–29, 2020 | 1,180 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 42% | 54% | – | – | 3% [lower-alpha 465] | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 2,719 (LV) | – | 46% | 52% | – | – | – | – |
GBAO Strategies/Ben Ray Luján (D) [upper-alpha 79] | Oct 14–17, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 54% | – | – | – | – |
Public Policy Polling/NM Political Report | Sep 30 – Oct 1, 2020 | 886 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 39% | 53% | 2% | – | 2% [lower-alpha 466] | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 1,015 (LV) | – | 44% | 54% | – | – | – | 1% |
Research & Polling Inc./Albuquerque Journal | Aug 26 – Sep 2, 2020 | 1,123 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 39% | 54% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 1,087 (LV) | – | 43% | 56% | – | – | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 904 (LV) | – | 48% | 49% | – | – | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 506 (LV) | – | 50% | 49% | – | – | – | 1% |
Public Policy Polling/NM Political Report | Jun 12–13, 2020 | 740 (V) | ± 3.6% | 39% | 53% | – | – | – | 8% |
Public Policy Polling/The Majority Institute [upper-alpha 80] | Apr 20–21, 2020 | 1,091 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 40% | 52% | – | – | – | – |
Emerson College | Jan 3–6, 2020 | 967 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 46% | 54% | – | – | – | – |
Graphs are temporarily unavailable due to technical issues. |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 1] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Real Clear Politics | April 30 – September 29, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 59.7% | 31.0% | 9.3% | Biden +28.7 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 62.3% | 32.9% | 4.8% | Biden +29.4 |
Average | 61.0% | 32.0% | 7.1% | Biden +29.1 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 113] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 6,548 (LV) | ± 2% | 35% [lower-alpha 467] | 63% | – | – | – | – |
Research Co. | Oct 31 – Nov 1, 2020 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 34% | 64% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 468] | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 10,220 (LV) | – | 34% | 63% | - | - | – | – |
Swayable | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 495 (LV) | ± 5.8% | 33% | 65% | 1% | 1% | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 10,007 (LV) | – | 34% | 64% | - | - | – | 2% |
Siena College | Sep 27–29, 2020 | 504 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 29% | 61% | 0% | 1% | 2% [lower-alpha 469] | 7% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 9,969 (LV) | – | 34% | 64% | - | - | – | 2% |
Public Policy Polling | Aug 20–22, 2020 | 1,029 (V) | ± 3.1% | 32% | 63% | - | - | – | 5% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 10,280 (LV) | – | 34% | 63% | - | - | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 4,555 (LV) | – | 33% | 65% | - | - | – | 2% |
Siena College | Jun 23–25, 2020 | 806 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 32% | 57% | - | - | – | 10% |
Siena College | May 17–21, 2020 | 767 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 32% | 57% | - | - | – | 11% |
Quinnipiac University | Apr 30 – May 4, 2020 | 915 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 32% | 55% | - | - | 5% [lower-alpha 470] | 8% |
Siena College | Apr 19–23, 2020 | 803 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 29% | 65% | - | - | – | 6% |
Siena College | Mar 22–26, 2020 | 566 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 33% | 58% | - | - | – | 10% |
Siena College | Feb 16–20, 2020 | 658 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 36% | 55% | - | - | – | 5% |
Graphical summary
Graphs are temporarily unavailable due to technical issues. |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 1] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 31 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 47.8% | 47.5% | 4.7% | Biden +0.3 |
Real Clear Politics | October 26 – November 1, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 47.6% | 47.8% | 4.6% | Trump +0.2 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 48.9% | 47.1% | 4.0% | Biden +1.8 |
Average | 48.1% | 47.5% | 4.4% | Biden +0.6 |
June 1 – October 31, 2020
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 113] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 5,363 (LV) | ± 2% | 48% [lower-alpha 471] | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC | Oct 29 – Nov 1, 2020 | 473 (LV) | ± 4.51% | 47% | 49% | 2% | 1% | – | 1% |
Swayable Archived November 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 690 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 46% | 52% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
Ipsos/Reuters | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 707 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 48% [lower-alpha 15] | 49% | 1% | 1% | 2% [lower-alpha 472] | – |
48% [lower-alpha 473] | 49% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 32] | 1% | ||||
48% [lower-alpha 474] | 50% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 124] | – | ||||
Data for Progress | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 908 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 48% | 50% | 1% | 1% | 0% [lower-alpha 475] | – |
Frederick Polls/Compete Everywhere [upper-alpha 81] | Oct 30–31, 2020 | 676 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 49% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
AtlasIntel | Oct 30–31, 2020 | 812 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 48% | - | - | 3% | – |
Insider Advantage/Center for American Greatness [upper-alpha 8] | Oct 30–31, 2020 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 48% | 44% | 2% | - | – | 7% |
Emerson College | Oct 29–31, 2020 | 855 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 47% [lower-alpha 35] | 47% | - | - | 6% [lower-alpha 476] | – |
Morning Consult | Oct 22–31, 2020 | 1,982 (LV) | ± 2% | 48% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
CNN/SSRS | Oct 23–30, 2020 | 901 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 45% | 51% | 2% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 477] | 1% |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports | Oct 28–29, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 47% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 124] | – |
Trafalgar Group | Oct 27–29, 2020 | 1,082 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 49% | 47% | 3% | - | 1% [lower-alpha 117] | 1% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Oct 26–29, 2020 | 1,489 (LV) | – | 47% | 49% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 2% |
Harvard-Harris/The Hill | Oct 26–29, 2020 | 903 (LV) | – | 48% | 49% | - | - | – | 3% |
East Carolina University | Oct 27–28, 2020 | 1,103 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 48% [lower-alpha 35] | 50% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 478] | 0% [lower-alpha 479] |
Cardinal Point Analytics (R)/NSJ | Oct 27–28, 2020 | 750 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 48% | 46% | 1% | 1% | 2% [lower-alpha 480] | 2% |
Marist College/NBC | Oct 25–28, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 46% | 52% | - | - | 2% | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 8,720 (LV) | – | 47% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Gravis Marketing | Oct 26–27, 2020 | 614 (LV) | ± 4% | 46% | 49% | - | - | – | 4% |
Public Policy Polling/Protect Our Care [upper-alpha 82] | Oct 26–27, 2020 | 937 (V) | ± 3.2% | 47% | 51% | - | - | – | 3% |
Meeting Street Insights/Carolina Partnership for Reform (R) Archived October 31, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 24–27, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 45% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Oct 23–27, 2020 | 1,034 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 45% | 48% | 2% | 1% | 0% [lower-alpha 126] | 4% [lower-alpha 402] |
Ipsos/Reuters | Oct 21–27, 2020 | 647 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% [lower-alpha 15] | 49% | 1% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 481] | – |
48% [lower-alpha 473] | 49% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 18] | 1% | ||||
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ | Oct 24–26, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% [lower-alpha 15] | 48% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 482] | 2% |
46% [lower-alpha 128] | 50% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 482] | 2% | ||||
49% [lower-alpha 129] | 47% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 482] | 2% | ||||
Swayable | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 396 (LV) | ± 6.8% | 48% | 50% | 2% | 0% | – | – |
SurveyUSA/WRAL-TV | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 627 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 48% | 48% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 124] | 2% |
YouGov/UMass Amherst | Oct 20–26, 2020 | 911 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 48% | 48% | 1% | 0% | 1% [lower-alpha 483] | 2% |
Wick Surveys | Oct 24–25, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 49% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
Harper Polling/Civitas (R) | Oct 22–25, 2020 | 504 (LV) | ± 4.37% | 46% | 47% | 1% | 0% | 0% [lower-alpha 484] | 6% |
YouGov/CBS | Oct 20–23, 2020 | 1,022 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 47% | 51% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 485] | 0% |
Trafalgar Group | Oct 20–22, 2020 | 1,098 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 48.8% | 46% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% [lower-alpha 486] | 1.7% |
Citizen Data | Oct 17–20, 2020 | 1000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 50% | 1% | 0.2% | 1.3% | 3.6% |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports | Oct 20–21, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 47% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 124] | 3% |
Ipsos/Reuters | Oct 14–20, 2020 | 660 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 47% [lower-alpha 15] | 49% | 1% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 481] | – |
46% [lower-alpha 473] | 49% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 18] | 2% | ||||
Morning Consult | Oct 11–20, 2020 | 1,904 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 47% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Meredith College | Oct 16–19, 2020 | 732 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 48% | 1% | 1% | 0% [lower-alpha 487] | 4% |
Change Research/CNBC | Oct 16–19, 2020 | 521 (LV) [lower-alpha 38] | – | 47% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Data for Progress (D) | Oct 15–18, 2020 | 929 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 44% | 48% | 1% | 1% | – | 5% |
East Carolina University | Oct 15–18, 2020 | 1,155 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 47% [lower-alpha 35] | 51% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 488] | 0% |
ABC/Washington Post | Oct 12–17, 2020 | 646 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 48% [lower-alpha 15] | 49% | 1% | 0% [lower-alpha 479] | 0% [lower-alpha 489] | 1% |
48% [lower-alpha 490] | 50% | - | - | 0% [lower-alpha 489] | 1% | ||||
Emerson College | Oct 11–14, 2020 | 721 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 49% [lower-alpha 35] | 49% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 34] | – |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | Oct 11–14, 2020 | 1,211 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 46% | 51% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 34] | 1% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Oct 10–13, 2020 | 994 (LV) | – | 46% [lower-alpha 38] | 49% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Oct 9–13, 2020 | 627 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 42% | 46% | 2% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 491] | 8% [lower-alpha 402] |
Ipsos/Reuters | Oct 7–13, 2020 | 660 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 48% [lower-alpha 15] | 48% | 2% | 0% | 1% [lower-alpha 481] | – |
47% [lower-alpha 473] | 48% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 32] | 3% | ||||
Monmouth University | Oct 8–11, 2020 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 49% | 3% | 0% | 0% [lower-alpha 492] | 2% |
500 (LV) [lower-alpha 493] | 46% | 50% | - | - | 2% | 2% | |||
500 (LV) [lower-alpha 494] | 48% | 49% | - | - | 2% | 1% | |||
SurveyUSA/WRAL-TV | Oct 8–11, 2020 | 669 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 45% | 50% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 124] | 3% |
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc./American Greatness PAC [upper-alpha 8] | Oct 7–11, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 46% | 48% | 2% | - | 1% [lower-alpha 495] | 4% |
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ | Oct 7–11, 2020 | 800 (LV) | – | 45% [lower-alpha 15] | 47% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 4% |
43% [lower-alpha 128] | 49% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 4% | ||||
47% [lower-alpha 129] | 44% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 4% | ||||
Morning Consult | Oct 2–11, 2020 | 1,993 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 46% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
YouGov/CCES Archived November 1, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Sep 29 – Oct 7, 2020 | 1,627 (LV) | – | 45% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Oct 9–10, 2020 | 750 (LV) | – | 42% [lower-alpha 38] | 49% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Oct 4–6, 2020 | 938 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 44% | 49% | 1% | 0% | 0% [lower-alpha 333] | 5% |
Ipsos/Reuters | Sep 29 – Oct 6, 2020 | 693 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 47% | 47% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 18] | 3% |
Public Policy Polling | Oct 4–5, 2020 | 911 (V) | – | 46% | 50% | - | - | – | 3% |
Data For Progress (D) | Sep 30 – Oct 5, 2020 | 1,285 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 44% | 51% | 2% | 0% | – | 3% |
Change Research/CNBC | Oct 2–4, 2020 | 396 (LV) | – | 47% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
East Carolina University | Oct 2–4, 2020 | 1,232 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 46% | 50% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 496] | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 3,495 (LV) | – | 46% | 52% | - | - | – | 2% |
ALG Research/Piedmont Rising [upper-alpha 83] | Sep 22–28, 2020 | 822 (V) | – | 47% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Hart Research Associates/Human Rights Campaign [upper-alpha 84] | Sep 24–27, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 47% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Sep 23–26, 2020 | 1,097 (LV) | ± 2.96% | 45% | 47% | 2% | 0% | 1% [lower-alpha 49] | 6% |
YouGov/CBS | Sep 22–25, 2020 | 1,213 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 46% | 48% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 497] | 4% |
YouGov/UMass Lowell | Sep 18–25, 2020 | 921 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 47% [lower-alpha 15] | 47% | 2% | 1% | 0% [lower-alpha 498] | 2% |
49% [lower-alpha 499] | 48% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 500] | 2% | ||||
Meredith College | Sep 18–22, 2020 | 705 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 45% | 46% | 2% | 0% | 1% [lower-alpha 501] | 6% |
Change Research/CNBC | Sep 18–20, 2020 | 579 (LV) | – | 46% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Harper Polling/Civitas (R) | Sep 17–20, 2020 | 612 (LV) | ± 3.96% | 45% | 44% | 2% | 0% | 0% [lower-alpha 487] | 8% |
Emerson College | Sep 16–18, 2020 | 717 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 49% [lower-alpha 35] | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Sep 11–16, 2020 | 653 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 44% | 45% | 2% | 1% | 0% [lower-alpha 126] | 8% [lower-alpha 402] |
Ipsos/Reuters | Sep 11–16, 2020 | 586 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 47% | 47% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 32] | 3% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Sep 12–15, 2020 | 1,092 (LV) | ± 2.97% | 45% | 47% | 1% | 1% | 0% [lower-alpha 333] | 5% |
Suffolk University/USA Today | Sep 11–14, 2020 | 500 (LV) | – | 42.8% | 46.2% | 4.8% | 0.2% | 1.8% [lower-alpha 502] | 4.2% |
SurveyUSA/WRAL TV | Sep 10–13, 2020 | 596 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 47% | 47% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 124] | 5% |
CNN/SSRS | Sep 9–13, 2020 | 787 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 46% | 49% | 2% | 1% | 0% [lower-alpha 503] | 2% |
Kaiser Family Foundation/Cook Political Report | Aug 29 – Sep 13, 2020 | 1,172 (RV) | ± 3% | 43% | 45% | - | - | 4% [lower-alpha 504] | 9% |
Trafalgar | Sep 9–11, 2020 | 1,046 (LV) | ± 3% | 47.8% | 46.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 1.5% [lower-alpha 505] | 2.5% |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports | Sep 7–8, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3% | 49% [lower-alpha 35] | 48% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 506] | – |
Benenson Strategy Group/GS Group/AARP | Aug 28 – Sep 8, 2020 | 1,600 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 48% | 48% | - | - | 1% [lower-alpha 507] | 4% |
Morning Consult | Aug 29 – Sep 7, 2020 | 1,592 (LV) | ± (2%-4%) | 47% [lower-alpha 508] | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC | Sep 4–6, 2020 | 442 (LV) | – | 47% | 49% | - | - | 4% [lower-alpha 509] | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Aug 30 – Sep 3, 2020 | 951 (LV) | ± 3.18% | 44% | 43% | 1% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 49] | 9% |
Monmouth University | Aug 29 – Sep 1, 2020 | 401 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 47% | 3% | 0% | 1% [lower-alpha 510] | 3% |
401 (LV) [lower-alpha 511] | 46% | 48% | - | - | 3% | 3% | |||
401 (LV) [lower-alpha 512] | 46% | 48% | - | - | 3% | 3% | |||
Fox News | Aug 29 – Sep 1, 2020 | 722 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 50% | 1% | 0% | 0% [lower-alpha 513] | 2% |
804 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 45% | 49% | 2% | 1% | 2% [lower-alpha 514] | 3% | ||
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 2,914 (LV) | – | 51% | 48% | - | - | – | 2% |
East Carolina University | Aug 29–30, 2020 | 1,101 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 49% | 47% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 124] | 3% |
Morning Consult | Aug 21–30, 2020 | 1,567 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 47% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC | Aug 21–23, 2020 | 560 (LV) | – | 47% | 48% | – | – | – | – |
Morning Consult | Aug 14–23, 2020 | 1,541 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 46% | 49% | – | – | 1% [lower-alpha 117] | 3% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Aug 16–17, 2020 | 967 (LV) | ± 3.09% | 46% | 44% | 2% | 0% | 1% [lower-alpha 49] | 7% |
Morning Consult | Aug 7–16, 2020 | 1,493 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 46% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
East Carolina University | Aug 12–13, 2020 | 1,255 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 47% | 47% | – | – | 3% [lower-alpha 515] | 4% |
Emerson College | Aug 8–10, 2020 | 673 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 51% [lower-alpha 516] | 49% | – | – | – | – |
Harper Polling/Civitas | Aug 6–10, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 45% | 2% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 501] | 7% |
Change Research/CNBC | Aug 7–9, 2020 | 493 (LV) | – | 48% | 47% | – | – | – | – |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports/American Greatness PAC [upper-alpha 8] | Aug 6–8, 2020 | 750 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 48% [lower-alpha 38] | 47% | – | – | – | – |
Data for Progress | Jul 24 – Aug 2, 2020 | 1,170 (LV) | – | 45% | 49% | – | – | – | 6% |
44% | 46% | 2% | 1% | – | 7% | ||||
Public Policy Polling/Giffords [upper-alpha 85] | Jul 30–31, 2020 | 934 (V) | – | 46% | 49% | – | – | – | 6% |
YouGov/CBS | Jul 28–31, 2020 | 1,129 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 44% | 48% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 517] | 5% |
HIT Strategies/DFER [upper-alpha 86] | Jul 23–31, 2020 | 400 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 37% | 47% | – | – | 4% [lower-alpha 518] | 10% [lower-alpha 402] |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 3,466 (LV) | – | 50% | 49% | - | - | – | 2% |
Change Research/CNBC | Jul 24–26, 2020 | 284 (LV) | – | 46% | 49% | – | – | – | – |
Morning Consult | Jul 17–26, 2020 | 1,504 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 47% | 47% | – | – | – | – |
Public Policy Polling/AFSCME [upper-alpha 6] | Jul 23–24, 2020 | 884 (V) | – | 46% | 49% | – | – | – | 5% |
Cardinal Point Analytics Archived July 30, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Jul 22–24, 2020 | 735 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 48% | 47% | 1% | – | – | 4% |
Zogby Analytics | Jul 21–23, 2020 | 809 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 40% | 44% | 4% | 1% | – | 11% |
Marist College/NBC News | Jul 14–22, 2020 | 882 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 51% | – | – | 2% | 4% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Jul 19–21, 2020 | 919 (LV) | – | 42% | 43% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 11% |
Spry Strategies/American Principles Project [upper-alpha 87] | Jul 11–16, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 49% | 46% | – | – | – | 5% |
Cardinal Point Analytics | Jul 13–15, 2020 | 547 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 49% | 48% | 1% | – | – | 3% |
Change Research/CNBC | Jul 10–12, 2020 | 655 (LV) | – | 46% | 47% | – | – | – | – |
Public Policy Polling | Jul 7–8, 2020 | 818 (V) | ± 3.4% | 46% | 50% | – | – | – | 5% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 1,498 (LV) | – | 49% | 49% | - | - | – | 1% |
Change Research/CNBC | Jun 26–28, 2020 | 468 (LV) [lower-alpha 38] | – | 44% | 51% | – | – | – | – |
East Carolina University | Jun 22–25, 2020 | 1,149 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 44% | 45% | – | – | 7% [lower-alpha 519] | 4% |
Public Policy Polling | Jun 22–23, 2020 | 1,157 (V) | – | 46% | 48% | – | – | – | 6% |
Fox News | Jun 20–23, 2020 | 1,012 (RV) | ± 3% | 45% | 47% | – | – | 5% [lower-alpha 520] | 3% |
NYT Upshot/Siena College | Jun 8–18, 2020 | 653 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 40% | 49% | – | – | 4% [lower-alpha 521] | 7% |
Gravis Marketing/OANN | Jun 17, 2020 | 631 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 46% | 43% | – | – | – | 10% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Jun 14–17, 2020 | 902 (LV) | ± 3.26% | 40% | 46% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 11% |
Change Research/CNBC | Jun 12–14, 2020 | 378 (LV) [lower-alpha 38] | – | 45% | 47% | 1% | 1% | – | – |
Public Policy Polling | Jun 2–3, 2020 | 913 (V) | ± 3.2% | 45% | 49% | – | – | – | 6% |
January 1, 2020 – May 31, 2020
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 113] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research/CNBC | May 29–31, 2020 | 806 (LV) | – | 45% | 46% | 4% | 4% |
Harper Polling/Civitas | May 26–28, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.38% | 47% | 44% | – | 9% |
Morning Consult | May 17–26, 2020 | 1,403 (LV) | – | 49% | 46% | – | – |
Neighbourhood Research & Media | May 12–21, 2020 | 391 (LV) | – | 42% | 42% | – | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | May 10–14, 2020 | 859 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 43% | 45% | 3% [lower-alpha 522] | 8% |
Meeting Street Insights (R) Archived June 5, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | May 9–13, 2020 | 500 (RV) | – | 47% | 47% | – | 6% |
East Carolina University | May 7–9, 2020 | 1,111 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 46% | 43% | 7% [lower-alpha 523] | 4% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | May 2–4, 2020 | 1,362 (RV) | ± 3% | 46% | 49% | 4% [lower-alpha 524] | 2% |
Meredith College | Apr 27–28, 2020 | 604 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 47% | 5% [lower-alpha 525] | 7% |
SurveyUSA | Apr 23–26, 2020 | 580 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 45% | 50% | – | 5% |
Public Policy Polling [upper-alpha 88] | Apr 20–21, 2020 | 1,275 (RV) | – | 46% | 49% | – | 5% |
Garin-Hart-Yang/Put NC First (D) | Apr 13–18, 2020 | 800 (LV) | – | 45% | 48% | – | – |
GBAO Strategies/PLUS Paid Family Leave | Apr 13–16, 2020 | 500 (LV) | – | 46% | 48% | 1% | 4% |
Public Policy Polling | Apr 14–15, 2020 | 1,318 (V) | – | 47% | 48% | – | 5% |
Harper Polling | Apr 5–7, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 42% | – | 9% |
East Carolina University | Feb 27–28, 2020 | 1,288 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 46% | 48% | – | – |
NBC News/Marist College | Feb 23–27, 2020 | 2,120 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 45% | 49% | 1% | 5% |
SurveyUSA | Feb 13–16, 2020 | 2,366 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 45% | 49% | – | 6% |
Climate Nexus | Feb 11–15, 2020 | 675 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 44% | 46% | – | 11% |
January 1, 2018 – December 31, 2019
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 113] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fox News | Nov 10–13, 2019 | 1,504 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 43% | 45% | 5% | 5% |
NYT Upshot/Siena College | Oct 13–26, 2019 | 651 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 46% | – | – |
East Carolina University Archived October 14, 2019, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 2–9, 2019 | 1,076 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 50% | 4% | – [lower-alpha 526] |
Meredith College | Sep 29 – Oct 7, 2019 | 996 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 38% | 35% | 20% [lower-alpha 527] | 7% |
Public Policy Polling | Oct 4–6, 2019 | 963 (V) | ± 3.2% | 46% | 51% | – | 4% |
SurveyUSA | Aug 1–5, 2019 | 2,113 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 41% | 49% | – | 10% |
Harper Polling | Aug 1–4, 2019 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 44% | – | 11% |
Fabrizio Ward/AARP | Jul 29–31, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 49% | – | 5% |
Public Policy Polling | Jun 17–18, 2019 | 610 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 49% | – | 5% |
Emerson College Archived June 4, 2019, at the Wayback Machine | May 31 – Jun 3, 2019 | 932 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 56% | – | – |
Spry Strategies (R) [upper-alpha 89] | May 25 – Jun 1, 2019 | 730 (LV) | – | 52% | 41% | – | 7% |
Harper Polling | Feb 11–13, 2019 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 43% | 39% | 7% | 11% |
Public Policy Polling | Jan 4–7, 2019 | 750 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 44% | 49% | – | 7% |
Meredith College | Jan 21–25, 2018 | 621 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 46% | 8% | 1% |
Graphs are temporarily unavailable due to technical issues. |
Polls with a sample size of <100 have their sample size entries marked in red to indicate a lack of reliability.
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 1] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | September 26 – October 17, 2020 | October 19, 2020 | 38.0% | 57.5% | 4.5% | Trump +19.5 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 38.7% | 56.0% | 5.3% | Trump +17.3 |
Average | 38.4% | 56.8% | 4.8% | Trump +18.4 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 113] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 402 (LV) | ± 7% | 59% [lower-alpha 528] | 39% | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 700 (LV) | – | 57% | 42% | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 249 (LV) | – | 63% | 34% | – | – | 3% |
DFM Research/North Dakota Voters First | Sep 26–29, 2020 | 460 (A) | ± 4.6% | 51% | 37% | – | 4% [lower-alpha 529] | 7% |
DFM Research/North Dakota Voters First | Sep 12–16, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 56% | 37% | – | 3% [lower-alpha 530] | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 269 (LV) | – | 66% | 32% | – | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 261 (LV) | – | 63% | 36% | – | – | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 88 (LV) | – | 71% | 28% | – | – | 1% |
DFM Research | Mar 3–5, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 55% | 38% | – | 2% | 5% |
DFM Research | Jan 28 – Feb 1, 2020 | 600 (A) | ± 4.0% | 59% | 34% | – | 2% | 5% |
1892 Polling/Doug Burgum [upper-alpha 90] | Jul 15–17, 2019 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 60% | 34% | – | – | – |
DFM Research | May 14–18, 2019 | 400 (A) | ± 4.9% | 54% | 39% | – | 2% | 5% |
Graphical summary
Graphs are temporarily unavailable due to technical issues. |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 1] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | November 1–2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 46.7% | 47.6% | 5.7% | Trump +0.9 |
Real Clear Politics | October 28, 2020 – November 1, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 46.3% | 47.3% | 6.4% | Trump +1.0 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 46.6% | 47.5% | 5.7% | Trump +0.8 |
Average | 46.6% | 47.5% | 5.9% | Trump +0.9 |
June 1, 2020 – October 31, 2020
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 113] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2 | 6,025 (LV) | ± 2% | 51% [lower-alpha 531] | 47% | – | – | – | – |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports | Oct 31 – Nov 1 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 45% | – | – | 3% [lower-alpha 29] | – |
Research Co. | Oct 31 – Nov 1 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 47% | 47% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 34] | 4% |
Swayable Archived November 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 27 – Nov 1 | 516 (LV) | ± 5.8% | 52% | 47% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | Oct 29 – Nov 1 | 1,136 (LV) | ± 3% | 49% | 48% | – | – | 1% [lower-alpha 117] | 1% |
Quinnipiac University | Oct 28 – Nov 1 | 1,440 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 43% | 47% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 34] | 8% |
Survey Monkey/Tableau | Oct 20 – Nov 1 | 5,305 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 50% | 47% | – | – | – | |
Trafalgar Group | Oct 30–31 | 1,041 (LV) | ± 2.96% | 49% | 44% | – | – | – | – |
Emerson College | Oct 29–31 | 656 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 49% [lower-alpha 35] | 50% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 34] | – |
Morning Consult | Oct 22–31 | 2,179 (LV) | ± 2% | 49% | 47% | – | – | – | – |
AtlasIntel | Oct 29–30 | 660 (LV) | ± 4% | 50% | 47% | – | – | 3% | – |
Gravis Marketing | Oct 27–28 | 613 (LV) | ± 4% | 49% | 47% | – | – | – | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 8,089 (LV) | – | 51% | 47% | – | – | – | – |
Quinnipiac University | Oct 23–27 | 1,186 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 43% | 48% | – | – | 1% [lower-alpha 117] | 8% |
Swayable | Oct 23–26 | 440 (LV) | ± 6.3% | 55% | 44% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
Wick Surveys | Oct 24–25 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 49% | 47% | – | – | – | – |
Citizen Data | Oct 17–20 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3% | 44% | 43% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 8% |
Fox News | Oct 17–20 | 1,018 (LV) | ± 3% | 48% | 45% | 3% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 532] | 3% |
Morning Consult | Oct 11–20 | 2,271 (LV) | ± 2.1% | 49% | 47% | – | – | – | – |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports | Oct 18–19 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 48% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 124] | 4% |
Quinnipiac University | Oct 8–12 | 1,160 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 47% | 48% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 34] | 4% |
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising [upper-alpha 53] | Oct 8–11 | 586 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 50% | 47% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 34] | 1% |
Morning Consult | Oct 2–11 | 2,283 (LV) | ± 2.1% | 49% | 46% | – | – | – | – |
Baldwin Wallace University | Sep 30 – Oct 8 | 1,009 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 47% | 45% | 1% | 0% | 1% [lower-alpha 533] | 5% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Oct 2–6 | 661 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 44% | 45% | 2% | 1% | 0% [lower-alpha 534] | 7% [lower-alpha 535] |
Trafalgar Group | Oct 1–3 | 1,035 (LV) | ± 2.97% | 48% | 44% | 3% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 117] | 4% |
YouGov/CBS | Sep 30 – Oct 2 | 1,114 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 47% | – | – | 1% [lower-alpha 536] | 5% |
OnMessage Inc./American Action Forum [upper-alpha 10] | Sep 28 – Oct 1 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 48% | 47% | 2% | 1% | 0% [lower-alpha 537] | 3% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30 | 4,012 (LV) | – | 51% | 47% | – | – | – | 2% |
Hart Research Associates/Human Rights Campaign [upper-alpha 91] | Sep 24–27 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 49% | 47% | – | – | – | – |
Fox News | Sep 20–23 | 830 (LV) | ± 3% | 45% | 50% | 1% | 1% | 0% [lower-alpha 538] | 2% |
907 (RV) | ± 3% | 44% | 49% | 1% | 2% | 2% [lower-alpha 539] | 3% | ||
Quinnipiac University | Sep 17–21 | 1,078 (LV) | ± 3% | 47% | 48% | – | – | 2% | 4% |
Baldwin Wallace University | Sep 9–22 | 1,011 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 44% | 45% | 2% | 0% | 1% [lower-alpha 533] | 7% |
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising [upper-alpha 53] | Sep 11–15 | 556 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 48% [lower-alpha 540] | 45% | – | – | 5% [lower-alpha 541] | 1% |
Morning Consult | Aug 29 – Sep 7 | 1,963 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 50% [lower-alpha 542] | 45% | – | – | – | – |
OnMessage Inc./American Action Forum [upper-alpha 10] | Aug 31 – Sep 3 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 51% | 45% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 539] | 3% |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports | Sep 1–2 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3% | 47% [lower-alpha 35] | 51% | – | – | 3% [lower-alpha 29] | – |
ALG Research/Progressive Policy Institute [upper-alpha 92] | Aug 26 – Sep 1 | 500 (LV) | – | 46% | 48% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31 | 3,220 (LV) | – | 51% | 48% | – | – | – | 2% |
Morning Consult | Aug 21–30 | 1,811 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 50% | 45% | – | – | – | – |
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising [upper-alpha 53] | Aug 13–17 | 631 (RV) | – | 47% | 47% | – | – | 4% [lower-alpha 543] | 2% |
Morning Consult | Aug 7–16 | 1,744 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 49% | 45% | – | – | – | – |
TargetSmart/Progress Ohio [upper-alpha 93] | Jul 28 – Aug 3 | 1,249 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 46% | 47% | – | – | 8% [lower-alpha 544] | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31 | 3,694 (LV) | – | 52% | 46% | – | – | – | 2% |
Morning Consult | Jul 17–26 | 1,741 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 48% | 45% | – | – | – | – |
YouGov/CBS | Jul 21–24 | 1,211 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 46% | 45% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 545] | 7% |
Zogby Analytics | Jul 21–23 | 805 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 41% | 43% | 4% | 1% | – | 11% |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports/AGPAC Archived July 22, 2020, at the Wayback Machine [upper-alpha 8] | Jul 15–16 | 750 (LV) | ± 4% | 46% | 50% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 124] | 2% |
University of Akron | Jun 24 – Jul 15 | 1,037 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 46% | – | – | 6% [lower-alpha 546] | 6% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30 | 1,610 (LV) | – | 50% | 49% | – | – | – | 1% |
Quinnipiac | Jun 18–22 | 1,139 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 45% | 46% | – | – | 4% [lower-alpha 547] | 5% |
Fox News | May 30 – Jun 2 | 803 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 43% | 45% | – | – | 6% [lower-alpha 548] | 6% |
January 1, 2020 – May 31, 2020
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 113] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other | Undecided | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Morning Consult | May 17–26 | 1,720 (LV) | – | 50% | 42% | – | – | |
Emerson College | May 8–10 | 725 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 51% [lower-alpha 549] | 49% | – | – | |
Baldwin Wallace University/Oakland University/Ohio Northern University | Apr 20–25 | 797 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 44% | 45% | – | 11% | |
Baldwin Wallace University Great Lakes | Mar 17–25 | 1,025 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 47% | 43% | – | 10% | |
Change Research | Mar 21–23 | 510 (LV) | – | 52% | 44% | – | 5% | |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College | Mar 10–13 | 1,710 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 45% | 49% | 1% | 5% |
January 1, 2018 – December 31, 2019
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 113] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | Oct 10–11, 2019 | 776 (V) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 48% | – | 6% |
Climate Nexus [lower-alpha 550] | Oct 1–7, 2019 | 1112 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 47% | 53% | – | – |
42% | 48% | – | 10% | ||||
Emerson College | Sep 29 – October 2, 2019 | 837 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 47% | 53% | – | – |
Quinnipiac University Archived July 30, 2019, at the Wayback Machine | Jul 17–22, 2019 | 1,431 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 42% | 50% | – | – |
Public Policy Polling | Nov 27–28, 2018 | 648 (V) | ± 3.9% | 44% | 48% | – | 8% |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 1] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 17–21, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 38.5% | 58.5% | 3.0% | Trump +20.0 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 36.2% | 59.2% | 4.6% | Trump +23.0 |
Average | 37.4% | 58.9% | 3.7% | Trump +21.5 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 113] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 1,902 (LV) | ± 3% | 65% [lower-alpha 551] | 35% | – | ||
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 3,191 (LV) | – | 59% | 40% | – | – | – |
SoonerPoll/News 9/News on 6 | Oct 15–20, 2020 | 5,466 (LV) | ± 1.33% | 59% | 37% | 1% | 2% [lower-alpha 552] | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 1,174 (LV) | – | 63% | 35% | – | – | 2% |
Amber Integrated | Sep 17–20, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.38% | 55% | 33% | 1% | 5% [lower-alpha 553] | 6% |
SoonerPoll/News9 | Sep 2–8, 2020 | 486 (LV) | ± 4.45% | 60% | 35% | – | 1% [lower-alpha 552] | 4% |
SoonerPoll | Aug 13–31, 2020 | 379 (LV) | ± 5.03% | 60% | 35% | – | 2% [lower-alpha 554] | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 1,009 (LV) | – | 64% | 35% | – | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 1,410 (LV) | – | 64% | 34% | – | – | 4% |
DFM Research/Abby Broyles for US Senate [upper-alpha 94] | Jul 29–30, 2020 | 572 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 56% | 36% | – | 5% [lower-alpha 555] | 3% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 591 (LV) | – | 61% | 37% | – | – | 1% |
Amber Integrated | Jun 3–4, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 55% | 36% | – | 4% [lower-alpha 556] | 5% |
Amber Integrated | Mar 5–8, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 57% | 33% | – | 4% | 5% |
Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associates/OK Sooner | Feb 10–13, 2020 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 62% | 34% | – | – | 4% |
Graphs are temporarily unavailable due to technical issues. |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 1] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | September 26 – October 17, 2020 | October 20, 2020 | 58.0% | 38.5% | 3.5% | Biden +19.5 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 58.7% | 37.4% | 3.9% | Biden +21.3 |
Average | 58.4% | 38.0% | 3.7% | Biden +20.4 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 113] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Pacific Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 3,543 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 39% [lower-alpha 557] | 59% | – | – | – | – |
Swayable Archived November 27, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2020 | 324 (LV) | ± 7.3% | 37% | 60% | 1% | 1% | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 5,422 (LV) | – | 38% | 61% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 2,109 (LV) | – | 38% | 61% | – | – | – | 2% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | Sep 26–29, 2020 | 944 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 39% | 56% | – | – | 3% [lower-alpha 558] | 2% |
DHM Research | Sep 3–8, 2020 | 502 (LV) | ± 4% | 39% | 51% | – | – | 6% [lower-alpha 559] | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 1,648 (LV) | – | 38% | 60% | – | – | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 1,890 (LV) | – | 38% | 61% | – | – | – | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 872 (LV) | – | 39% | 59% | – | – | – | 2% |
Graphs are temporarily unavailable due to technical issues. |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 1] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 22 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 49.4% | 45.7% | 4.9% | Biden +3.7 |
Real Clear Politics | October 29 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 48.7% | 47.5% | 3.8% | Biden +1.2 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 50.2% | 45.6% | 4.2% | Biden +4.6 |
Average | 49.4% | 46.3% | 4.3% | Biden +3.1 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 113] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. | Nov 1–2 | 499 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 49% [lower-alpha 35] | 48% | 1% | - | 0% [lower-alpha 560] | 0% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2 | 6,045 (LV) | ± 2% | 47% [lower-alpha 561] | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports | Oct 31 – Nov 1 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% [lower-alpha 35] | 50% | - | - | 1% [lower-alpha 562] | – |
Research Co. | Oct 31 – Nov 1 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 46% | 52% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 34] | 4% |
AYTM/Aspiration | Oct 30 – Nov 1 | 340 (LV) | – | 49% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC | Oct 29 – Nov 1 | 699 (LV) | ± 3.71% | 46% | 50% | 2% | - | – | 2% |
Marist College/NBC | Oct 29 – Nov 1 | 772 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 51% | - | - | 1% | 2% |
Monmouth University | Oct 28 – Nov 1 | 502(RV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 50% | 1% | - | 0% [lower-alpha 563] | 4% |
502 (LV) | 44% [lower-alpha 564] | 51% | - | - | – | – | |||
45% [lower-alpha 565] | 50% | - | - | – | – | ||||
Swayable Archived November 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 27 – Nov 1 | 1,107 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 48% | 50% | 2% | - | – | – |
Data for Progress | Oct 27 – Nov 1 | 1,417 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 45% | 52% | 2% | 0% | 0% [lower-alpha 566] | – |
Ipsos/Reuters | Oct 27 – Nov 1 | 673 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 45% [lower-alpha 15] | 51% | 1% | 1% | 2% [lower-alpha 567] | – |
44% [lower-alpha 568] | 51% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 32] | 2% | ||||
46% [lower-alpha 569] | 52% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 124] | – | ||||
Trafalgar | Oct 30–31 | 1,062 (LV) | ± 2.93% | 48% | 46% | 2% | - | 1% [lower-alpha 117] | 4% |
Frederick Polls/Compete Everywhere [upper-alpha 95] | Oct 30–31 | 879 (LV) | ± 3% | 48% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Insider Advantage/Center for American Greatness [ permanent dead link ] [upper-alpha 8] | Oct 30–31 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48.7% | 47.4% | 1.3% | - | – | 2.6% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Oct 26–31 | 1,862 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 43% | 49% | 2% | - | 0% [lower-alpha 126] | 5% [lower-alpha 402] |
Morning Consult | Oct 22–31 | 2,686 (LV) | ± 2% | 43% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Emerson College | Oct 29–30 | 823 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 47% [lower-alpha 35] | 52% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 34] | – |
AtlasIntel | Oct 29–30 | 672 (LV) | ± 4% | 50% | 49% | - | - | 2% | – |
Targoz Market Research/PollSmart | Oct 25–30 | 998 (LV) | – | 42% | 56% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 570] | – |
Public Policy Polling/American Bridge PAC [upper-alpha 96] | Oct 28–29 | 1,012 (V) | – | 45% | 52% | - | - | – | 3% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Oct 26–29 | 2,125 (LV) | – | 45% | 50% | 1% | - | 1% | 3% |
Harvard-Harris/The Hill | Oct 26–29 | 901 (LV) | – | 46% | 51% | - | - | – | 3% |
ABC/Washington Post | Oct 24–29 | 824 (LV) | ± 4% | 44% | 51% | 3% | - | 0% [lower-alpha 571] | 1% |
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call | Oct 23–28 | 419 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 44% | 49% | - | - | 4% [lower-alpha 572] | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28 | 10,599 (LV) | ± 1.5% | 46% | 52% | - | - | – | - |
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ Archived October 29, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 25–27 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 45% [lower-alpha 15] | 51% | - | - | 2% | 2% |
44% [lower-alpha 128] | 52% | - | - | 2% | 2% | ||||
47% [lower-alpha 129] | 49% | - | - | 2% | 2% | ||||
Quinnipiac University | Oct 23–27 | 1,324 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 44% | 51% | - | - | 1% [lower-alpha 117] | 4% |
Swayable | Oct 23–26 | 491 (LV) | ± 6% | 46% | 52% | 2% | - | – | – |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | Oct 23–26 | 1,145 (LV) | ± 3% | 45% | 52% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 34] | 1% |
Ipsos/Reuters | Oct 20–26 | 655 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 44% [lower-alpha 15] | 51% | 3% | 0% | 1% [lower-alpha 573] | – |
45% [lower-alpha 568] | 50% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 32] | 2% | ||||
Insider Advantage/Center for American Greatness [upper-alpha 8] | Oct 25 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 48.5% | 45.5% | 3.3% | - | – | 2.8% |
Trafalgar Group | Oct 24–25 | 1,076 (LV) | ± 2.91% | 48% | 48% | 2% | - | 1% [lower-alpha 117] | 1% |
Wick Surveys | Oct 24–25 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 49% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
Franklin & Marshall College | Oct 19–25 | 558 (LV) | ± 5% | 44% | 50% | 2% | - | 1% [lower-alpha 574] | 3% |
Univision/University of Houston/Latino Decisions/North Star Opinion Research | Oct 17–25 | 723 (RV) | ± 3.64% | 45% | 50% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 100] | 2% |
Gravis Marketing | Oct 23 | 602 (LV) | ± 4% | 44% | 51% | - | - | – | 5% |
Public Policy Polling/American Bridge PAC [upper-alpha 97] | Oct 21–22 | 980 (V) | – | 46% | 51% | - | - | – | 4% |
Civiqs/Dan Hopkins | Oct 17–21 | 1,577 (A) | 3% | 46% | 52% | - | - | – | 2% |
YouGov/University of Wisconsin-Madison | Oct 13–21 | 669 (LV) | ± 4.45% | 44% | 52% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 575] | – |
Citizen Data | Oct 17–20 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 39% | 44% | 9% | 0% | 1% | 7% |
CNN/SSRS [ permanent dead link ] | Oct 15–20 | 843 (LV) | ± 4% | 43% | 53% | 2% | - | 1% [lower-alpha 576] | 1% |
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call Archived November 3, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 13–20 | 416 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 44% | 51% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 577] | 4% |
Morning Consult | Oct 11–20 | 2,563 (LV) | ± 1.9% | 43% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Fox News | Oct 18–19 | 1,045 (LV) | ± 3% | 45% | 50% | 1% | - | 1% [lower-alpha 578] | 2% |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports | Oct 18–19 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 50% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 124] | 3% |
Quinnipiac University | Oct 16–19 | 1,241 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 43% | 51% | - | - | 1% [lower-alpha 117] | 5% |
Change Research/CNBC | Oct 16–19 | 574 (LV) [lower-alpha 38] | – | 47% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Suffolk University/USA Today | Oct 15–19 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 49% | 1% | - | 4% [lower-alpha 579] | 4% |
Ipsos/Reuters | Oct 13–19 | 653 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45% [lower-alpha 15] | 49% | 2% | 0% | 3% [lower-alpha 580] | – |
45% [lower-alpha 568] | 49% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 32] | 4% | ||||
Trafalgar Group/Restoration PAC [upper-alpha 52] | Oct 13–15 | 1,041 (LV) | ± 2.96% | 46% | 48% | 3% | - | 2% [lower-alpha 34] | 2% |
HarrisX/The Hill | Oct 12–15 | 1,289 (LV) | – | 46% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Insider Advantage/Center for American Greatness Archived October 17, 2020, at the Wayback Machine [upper-alpha 8] | Oct 12–13 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 43% | 46% | 2% | - | – | 9% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Oct 10–13 | 1,289 (LV) | – | 43% [lower-alpha 38] | 51% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
Trafalgar Group | Oct 10–12 | 1,034 (LV) | ± 2.97% | 45% | 47% | 3% | - | 3% [lower-alpha 100] | 2% |
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ Archived October 14, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 7–12 | 800 (LV) | – | 43% [lower-alpha 15] | 49% | 1% | – | 1% | 6% |
42% [lower-alpha 128] | 50% | 1% | – | 1% | 6% | ||||
45% [lower-alpha 129] | 47% | 1% | – | 1% | 6% | ||||
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising [upper-alpha 53] | Oct 8–11 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 45% | 52% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 34] | 1% |
Ipsos/Reuters | Oct 6–11 | 622 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 45% [lower-alpha 15] | 51% | 1% | 0% | 2% [lower-alpha 581] | – |
44% [lower-alpha 568] | 51% | - | - | 1% [lower-alpha 582] | 4% | ||||
Morning Consult | Oct 2–11 | 2,610 (LV) | ± 1.9% | 44% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Oct 9–10 | 1,145 (LV) | – | 44% [lower-alpha 38] | 49% | 1% | - | – | – |
Whitman Insight Strategies | Oct 5–9 | 517 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 46% | 51% | - | - | 1% [lower-alpha 117] | 3% |
Baldwin Wallace University | Sep 30 – Oct 8 | 1,140 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 50% | 1% | 0% | 0% [lower-alpha 583] | 4% |
YouGov/CCES Archived November 1, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Sep 29 – Oct 7 | 2,703 (LV) | – | 44% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Oct 4–6 | 927 (LV) | ± 3.22% | 42% | 49% | 1% | - | 1% [lower-alpha 49] | 7% |
Emerson College | Oct 4–5 | 688 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 47% [lower-alpha 35] | 51% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 34] | – |
Quinnipiac University | Oct 1–5 | 1,211 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 41% | 54% | - | - | 1% [lower-alpha 117] | 3% |
Ipsos/Reuters | Sep 29 – Oct 5 | 605 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 45% | 50% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 18] | 3% |
Change Research/CNBC | Oct 2–4 | 468 (LV) | – | 46% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Monmouth University | Sep 30 – Oct 4 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 54% | 1% | - | 0% [lower-alpha 563] | 2% |
500 (LV) | 43% [lower-alpha 564] | 54% | - | - | – | – | |||
45% [lower-alpha 565] | 53% | - | - | – | – | ||||
YouGov/CBS | Sep 30 – Oct 2 | 1,287 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 44% | 51% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 584] | 5% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Sep 30 – Oct 2 | 706 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 42% | 49% | 3% | - | 0% [lower-alpha 126] | 5% [lower-alpha 402] |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30 | 4,613 (LV) | – | 46% | 52% | - | - | – | 2% |
ABC News/Washington Post | Sep 21–26 | 567 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 45% | 54% | - | - | 0% [lower-alpha 585] | 1% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Sep 25–27 | 711 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 40% | 49% | 2% | - | 0% [lower-alpha 126] | 8% [lower-alpha 402] |
TIPP/The Federalist | Sep 24–26 | 774 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 45% | 50% | - | - | 1% [lower-alpha 586] | 4% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Sep 23–25 | 1,015 (LV) | ± 3.08% | 44% | 50% | 0% | – | 1% [lower-alpha 49] | 5% |
Fox News | Sep 20–23 | 856 (LV) | ± 3% | 44% | 51% | 2% | – | 1% [lower-alpha 578] | 2% |
910 (RV) | ± 3% | 43% | 51% | 2% | – | 2% [lower-alpha 587] | 3% | ||
Baldwin Wallace University | Sep 9–22 | 1,012 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 45% | 47% | 2% | 0% | 1% [lower-alpha 588] | 5% |
Trafalgar Group/Restoration PAC [upper-alpha 52] | Sep 18–21 | 1,006 (LV) | ± 2.99% | 46% | 48% | 1% | 1% | 2% [lower-alpha 34] | 2% |
YouGov/UW-Madison Elections Research Center/Wisconsin State Journal | Sep 10–21 | 642 (LV) | – | 45% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC | Sep 18–20 | 579 (LV) | – | 45% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Franklin & Marshall College | Sep 14–20 | 480 (LV) | ± 7.8% | 42% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Hart Research Associates/Human Rights Campaign [ permanent dead link ] [upper-alpha 98] | Sep 17–19 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 42% | 53% | - | - | – | – |
CPEC [upper-alpha 99] | Sep 15–17 | 830 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 45% | 50% | - | - | 1% [lower-alpha 589] | 4% |
Trafalgar Group (R) | Sep 15–17 | 1,006 (LV) | ± 2.99% | 45% | 47% | 2% | 1% | 2% [lower-alpha 34] | 2% |
Ipsos/Reuters | Sep 11–16 | 611 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 46% | 49% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 18] | 4% |
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising [upper-alpha 53] | Sep 11–15 | 704 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 52% | - | - | 1% [lower-alpha 117] | 2% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Sep 12–14 | 1,036 (LV) | ± 3.04% | 44% | 49% | 1% | 1% | 0% [lower-alpha 590] | 5% |
Climate Nexus | Sep 8–11 | 659 (RV) | ± 4% | 43% | 48% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 591] | 6% |
Benenson Strategy Group/GS Strategy Group/AARP | Aug 28 – Sep 8 | 1,600 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 46% | 49% | - | - | 1% [lower-alpha 592] | 4% |
Marist College/NBC News | Aug 31 – Sep 7 | 771 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 53% | - | - | 1% | 2% |
Morning Consult | Aug 29 – Sep 7 | 2,227 (LV) | ± (2%-4%) | 45% [lower-alpha 593] | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC | Sep 4–6 | 829 (LV) | – | 46% | 50% | - | - | 4% [lower-alpha 594] | – |
TargetSmart Archived October 4, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Sep 3–6 | 835 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 44% | 51% | - | - | 3% | 3% |
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. | Aug 26 – Sep 4 | 498 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 42% | 44% | - | - | 6% [lower-alpha 595] | 7% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Aug 30 – Sep 3 | 1,053 (LV) | ± 3.02% | 43% | 48% | 1% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 49] | 7% |
Quinnipiac Archived September 3, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Aug 28 – Sep 1 | 1,235 (LV) | ± 3% | 44% | 52% | - | - | 1% [lower-alpha 117] | 3% |
ALG Research/Progressive Policy Institute [upper-alpha 100] | Aug 26 – Sep 1 | 500 (LV) | – | 44% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Monmouth University | Aug 28–31 | 400 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 49% | 2% | 0% | 1% [lower-alpha 596] | 4% |
400 (LV) | 46% [lower-alpha 597] | 49% | - | - | 2% | 3% | |||
47% [lower-alpha 598] | 48% | - | - | 2% | 3% | ||||
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC [upper-alpha 52] | Aug 26–31 | 600 (LV) | – | 45% | 51% | - | - | – | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31 | 3,531 (LV) | – | 45% | 53% | - | - | – | 2% |
Morning Consult | Aug 21–30 | 2,158 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 45% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports | Aug 25–27 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3% | 48% [lower-alpha 599] | 48% | - | - | 4% [lower-alpha 600] | – |
GQR Research/Unite the Country PAC [upper-alpha 101] | Aug 20–24 | 971 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 43% | 52% | - | - | – | 5% |
Franklin & Marshall College | Aug 17–24 | 681 (RV) | ± 5.2% | 42% [lower-alpha 35] | 50% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 601] | 7% |
Change Research/CNBC | Aug 21–23 | 984 (LV) | – | 46% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Global Strategy Group/Climate Power 2020 /League of Conservation Voters/Sierra Club [upper-alpha 102] | Aug 13–19 | 801 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 42% [lower-alpha 15] | 50% | 2% | 1% | – | 5% |
43% [lower-alpha 602] | 53% | - | - | – | 4% | ||||
Redfield and Wilton Strategies | Aug 16–17 | 1,006 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 41% | 48% | 1% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 49] | 8% |
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising [upper-alpha 53] | Aug 13–17 | 617 (RV) | – | 44% | 51% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 100] | 1% |
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call | Aug 11–17 | 416 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 45% | 49% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 603] | 3% |
Morning Consult | Aug 7–16 | 1,777 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 44% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Emerson College | Aug 8–10 | 843 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 47% [lower-alpha 604] | 53% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC | Aug 7–9 | 456 (RV) | – | 44% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
YouGov/CBS | Aug 4–7 | 1,211 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 43% | 49% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 605] | 5% |
OnMessage Inc./Heritage Action [upper-alpha 103] | Aug 2–4 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 46% | 50% | - | - | – | 4% |
YouGov/University of Wisconsin-Madison | Jul 27 – Aug 6 | 742 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 41% | 50% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 606] | 5% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31 | 4,208 (LV) | – | 48% | 50% | - | - | – | 2% |
Change Research/CNBC | Jul 24–26 | 382 (LV) | – | 46% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Franklin & Marshall College | Jul 20–26 | 667 (RV) | ± 5.5% | 41% | 50% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 124] | 6% |
Morning Consult | Jul 17–26 | 2,092 (LV) | ± 2.1% | 42% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Gravis Marketing | Jul 22–24 | 1,006 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 48% | - | - | – | 8% |
Zogby Analytics | Jul 21–23 | 809 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 43% | 44% | 4% | 2% | - | 8% |
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC [upper-alpha 52] | Jul 17–22 | 600 (LV) | – | 45% | 51% | - | - | – | 5% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Jul 19–21 | 1,016 (LV) | – | 41% | 48% | 1% | 0% | 2% [lower-alpha 607] | 8% |
Fox News | Jul 18–20 | 793 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 39% | 50% | - | - | 5% [lower-alpha 608] | 6% |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports/American Greatness PAC Archived July 31, 2020, at the Wayback Machine [upper-alpha 8] | Jul 15–16 | 750 (LV) | ± 4% | 46% | 51% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 124] | 1% |
Spry Strategies/American Principles Project [upper-alpha 104] | Jul 11–16 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 48% | 47% | - | - | – | 5% |
Monmouth University | Jul 9–13 | 401 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 40% | 53% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 609] | 4% |
401 (LV) | 42% [lower-alpha 597] | 52% | - | - | 3% | 3% | |||
44% [lower-alpha 598] | 51% | - | - | 2% | 3% | ||||
Change Research/CNBC | Jul 10–12 | 743 (LV) | – | 42% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Trafalgar Group | Jun 29 – Jul 2 | 1,062 (LV) | ± 2.92% | 43% | 48% | - | - | 6% [lower-alpha 610] | 3% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30 | 2,184 (LV) | – | 48% | 50% | - | - | – | 2% |
Change Research/CNBC | Jun 26–28 | 760 (LV) [lower-alpha 38] | – | 44% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Susquehanna Polling/Fox 43 | Jun 15–23 | 715 (LV) | – | 41% | 46% | - | - | 5% | 8% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Jun 14–16 | 1,125 (LV) | ± 2.92% | 39% | 49% | 1% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 611] | 9% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Jun 8–16 | 651 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 40% | 50% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 612] | 6% |
Change Research/CNBC | Jun 12–14 | 491 (LV) [lower-alpha 38] | – | 46% | 49% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 613] | – |
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC [upper-alpha 52] | Jun 8–11 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 54% | - | - | – | 4% |
Civiqs/Dan Hopkins | Jun 6–11 | 1,221 (A) | 3.6% | 46% | 49% | - | - | – | 5% |
Civiqs/Dan Hopkins | May 30 – Jun 2 | 2,045 (A) | 2.4% | 46% | 49% | - | - | – | 5% |
Change Research/CNBC | May 29–31 | 579 (LV) [lower-alpha 38] | – | 50% | 46% | - | - | 2% | 2% |
Morning Consult | May 17–26 | 2,120 (LV) | – | 44% [lower-alpha 38] | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | May 10–14 | 963 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 39% | 48% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 614] | 11% |
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC [upper-alpha 52] | May 9–13 | 600 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 46% | - | - | – | 4% |
Harper Polling (R) Archived May 1, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Apr 21–26 | 644 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 43% | 49% | - | - | – | 8% |
Public Policy Polling [upper-alpha 105] | Apr 20–21 | 1,251 (RV) | – | 44% | 51% | - | - | – | 5% |
Fox News | Apr 18–21 | 803 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 42% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Ipsos | Apr 15–20 | 578 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 40% | 46% | - | - | – | – |
Suquehanna Research/Fox 43 | Apr 14–20 | 693 (LV) | – | 42% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC [upper-alpha 52] | Apr 16–18 | 600 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 47% | - | - | – | 6% |
Civiqs/Dan Hopkins | Apr 4–8 | 1,912 (A) | 2.5% | 47% | 47% | - | - | – | 6% |
Baldwin Wallace University Great Lakes | Mar 17–25 | 973 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 47% | 45% | - | - | – | 9% |
Change Research | Mar 21–23 | 510 (LV) | – | 50% | 47% | - | - | – | 4% |
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC [upper-alpha 52] | Mar 19–21 | 600 (RV) | – | 47% | 45% | - | - | – | – |
Civiqs/Dan Hopkins | Mar 14–18 | 1,589 (A) | 2.7% | 48% | 46% | - | - | – | 6% |
YouGov/Yahoo News | Mar 6–8 | 725 (RV) | – | 40% | 46% | - | - | 5% [lower-alpha 615] | 8% |
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Archived December 9, 2019, at the Wayback Machine | Mar 5–7 | 533 (RV) | ± 5.3% | 45% | 44% | - | - | – | – |
Civiqs/Dan Hopkins | Feb 27 – Mar 3 | 2,462 (A) | 2.2% | 48% | 46% | - | - | – | 7% |
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call | Feb 12–20 | 424 (RV) | ± 5.5% | 47% | 47% | - | - | 2% | 4% |
YouGov | Feb 11–20 | 1,171 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 46% | - | - | – | – |
Quinnipiac University Archived May 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Feb 12–18 | 849 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 42% | 50% | - | - | 6% [lower-alpha 616] | 3% |
Expedition Strategies/Progressive Policies Institute | Feb 6–18 | 500 (RV) | – | 42% | 47% | - | - | – | 11% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 113] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Archived December 9, 2019, at the Wayback Machine | Dec 3–5, 2019 | 598 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 45% | 41% | 8% [lower-alpha 617] | 6% [lower-alpha 402] |
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call Archived November 14, 2019, at the Wayback Machine | Nov 4–9, 2019 | 410 (RV) | ± 6.0% | 43% | 52% | 4% | 2% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Oct 13–25, 2019 | 661 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 46% | – | – |
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Archived September 12, 2019, at the Wayback Machine | Sep 7–9, 2019 | 527 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 41% | 45% | 14% | – |
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus | Jun 11–13, 2019 | 565 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 42% | 43% | 15% | – |
Quinnipiac University | May 9–14, 2019 | 978 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 42% | 53% | 1% | 3% |
WPA Intelligence | Apr 27–30, 2019 | 200 (LV) | ± 6.9% | 45% | 46% | – | 8% |
Emerson College Archived April 20, 2019, at the Wayback Machine | Mar 26–28, 2019 | 808 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 45% | 55% | – | – |
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Archived April 3, 2019, at the Wayback Machine | Mar 19–21, 2019 | 632 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 50% | 4% | – |
Graphs are temporarily unavailable due to technical issues. |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 1] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 62.9% | 32.4% | 4.7% | Biden +30.6 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 113] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 566 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 36% [lower-alpha 618] | 62% | - | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 910 (LV) | – | 32% | 67% | - | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 351 (LV) | – | 37% | 62% | - | – | 0% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 208 (LV) | – | 41% | 57% | - | – | 3% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 253 (LV) | – | 39% | 60% | - | – | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 176 (LV) | – | 40% | 60% | - | – | 1% |
Graphical summary
Graphs are temporarily unavailable due to technical issues. |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 1] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 15, 2020 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 43.3% | 50.3% | 6.4% | Trump +7.0 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 44.5% | 51.6% | 3.9% | Trump +7.1 |
Average | 43.9% | 51.0% | 5.1% | Trump +7.1 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 113] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Optimus | Oct 31 – Nov 2, 2020 | 817 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 51% | 39% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 619] | 8% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 2,485 (LV) | ± 3% | 56% [lower-alpha 620] | 42% | – | – | – | – |
Data For Progress | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 1,121 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 53% | 44% | 2% | 0% | 0% [lower-alpha 621] | – |
Swayable Archived November 27, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2020 | 426 (LV) | ± 7.4% | 50% | 49% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
Morning Consult | Oct 22–31, 2020 | 904 (LV) | ± 3% | 51% | 45% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 4,725 (LV) | – | 54% | 44% | – | – | – | – |
Data for Progress | Oct 22–27, 2020 | 1,196 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 50% | 44% | 1% | 0% | – | 4% |
Starboard Communications | Oct 26, 2020 | 800 (LV) | – | 51% | 44% | – | – | – | 5% |
East Carolina University | Oct 24–25, 2020 | 763 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 52% | 44% | – | – | 3% [lower-alpha 622] | 1% |
Morning Consult | Oct 11–20, 2020 | 926 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 51% | 45% | – | – | – | – |
New York Times/Siena College Archived October 15, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 9–14, 2020 | 605 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 49% | 41% | 2% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 623] | 6% [lower-alpha 624] |
Data for Progress | Oct 8–11, 2020 | 801 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 52% | 43% | 1% | 1% | – | 4% |
Morning Consult | Oct 2–11, 2020 | 903 (LV) | ± 3% | 54% | 42% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 1,833 (LV) | – | 53% | 45% | – | – | – | 2% |
GBAO Strategies/DSCC [upper-alpha 106] | Sep 24–28, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 44% | – | – | – | – |
Data for Progress (D) | Sep 23–28, 2020 | 824 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 47% [lower-alpha 625] | 43% | 1% | 1% | – | 8% |
50% [lower-alpha 626] | 45% | – | – | – | 5% | ||||
Quinnipiac University | Sep 23–27, 2020 | 1,123 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 48% | 47% | – | – | 1% [lower-alpha 627] | 4% |
YouGov/CBS | Sep 22–25, 2020 | 1,080 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 52% | 42% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 628] | 4% |
Morning Consult | Sep 11–20, 2020 | 764 (LV) | ± (3% – 4%) | 50% [lower-alpha 629] | 44% | – | – | – | – |
Quinnipiac University | Sep 10–14, 2020 | 969 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 51% | 45% | – | – | 0% [lower-alpha 630] | 4% |
Morning Consult | Sep 2–11, 2020 | ~764 (LV) | ± (3%–4%) | 51% | 44% | – | – | – | – |
Morning Consult | Aug 23 – Sep 1, 2020 | ~764 (LV) | ± (3%–4%) | 52% | 42% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 1,326 (LV) | – | 53% | 45% | – | – | – | 2% |
Morning Consult | Aug 13–22, 2020 | ~764 (LV) | ± (3%–4%) | 51% | 43% | – | – | – | – |
Morning Consult | Aug 3–12, 2020 | ~764 (LV) | ± (3%–4%) | 50% | 43% | – | – | – | – |
Quinnipiac University Archived August 7, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Jul 30 – Aug 3, 2020 | 914 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 47% | 42% | – | – | 4% [lower-alpha 631] | 7% |
Morning Consult | Jul 24 – Aug 2, 2020 | 741 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% [lower-alpha 632] | 44% | – | – | 3% [lower-alpha 633] | 4% |
Morning Consult | Jul 23 – Aug 1, 2020 | ~764 (LV) | ± (3%–4%) | 48% | 45% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 1,700 (LV) | – | 53% | 44% | – | – | – | 2% |
Morning Consult | Jul 13–22, 2020 | ~764 (LV) | ± (3%–4%) | 50% | 43% | – | – | – | – |
ALG Research/Lindsey Must Go Archived July 28, 2020, at the Wayback Machine [upper-alpha 107] | Jul 15–20, 2020 | 591 (LV) | – | 50% | 45% | – | – | 1% | 4% |
Gravis Marketing | Jul 17, 2020 | 604 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 46% | – | – | – | – |
brilliant corners Research & Strategies/Jaime Harrison [upper-alpha 108] | Jul 13–19, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 43% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 863 (LV) | – | 52% | 47% | – | – | – | 2% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | May 23–26, 2020 | 591 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 52% | 42% | – | – | 5% [lower-alpha 634] | 1% |
AtlasIntel | Feb 25–28, 2020 | 1,100 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 42% | – | – | 11% | – |
East Carolina University | Jan 31 – Feb 2, 2020 | 1,756 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 52% | 40% | – | – | – | 8% |
Change Research | Jun 11–14, 2019 | 2,312 (RV) | ± 2.0% | 54% | 38% | 3% [lower-alpha 635] | 1% [lower-alpha 635] | – | – |
Emerson College Archived April 27, 2019, at the Wayback Machine | Feb 28 – Mar 2, 2019 | 755 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 52% | 48% | – | – | – | – |
Graphs are temporarily unavailable due to technical issues. |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 1] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 17–25 , 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 42.0% | 52.5% | 5.5% | Trump +10.5 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 39.0% | 54.5% | 6.5% | Trump +15.4 |
Average | 40.5% | 53.5% | 6.0% | Trump +13.0 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 113] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 606 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 63% [lower-alpha 636] | 36% | – | – | – |
Nielson Brothers Polling | Oct 24–28, 2020 | 484 (LV) | ± 4.45% | 55% | 40% | 3% | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 1,098 (LV) | – | 57% | 41% | – | – | – |
Mason-Dixon | Oct 19–21, 2020 | 625 (LV) | ± 4% | 51% | 40% | – | 3% | 6% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 354 (LV) | – | 58% | 41% | – | – | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 277 (LV) | – | 59% | 38% | – | – | 3% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 396 (LV) | – | 62% | 35% | – | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 160 (LV) | – | 61% | 37% | – | – | 2% |
Graphical summary
Graphs are temporarily unavailable due to technical issues. |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 1] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RealClearPolitics | Jan 28, 2020 – May 22, 2020 | September 15, 2020 | 39.0% | 53.0% | 8.0% | Trump +14.0 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 41.4% | 55.1% | 3.5% | Trump +13.7 |
Average | 40.2% | 54.1% | 5.7% | Trump +13.9 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 113] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 3,342 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 54% [lower-alpha 637] | 45% | - | - | – | – |
Swayable Archived November 27, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2020 | 485 (LV) | ± 5.9% | 58% | 41% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 5,099 (LV) | – | 56% | 42% | - | - | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 2,329 (LV) | – | 58% | 41% | - | - | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 1,796 (LV) | – | 59% | 40% | - | - | – | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 2,481 (LV) | – | 61% | 38% | - | - | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 1,092 (LV) | – | 61% | 37% | - | - | – | 2% |
SSRS/Vanderbilt University | May 5–22, 2020 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 51% | 42% | - | - | 5% [lower-alpha 638] | 2% |
East Tennessee State University Archived May 19, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Apr 22 – May 1, 2020 | 536 (LV) | – | 53% | 36% | - | - | 6% | 5% |
Mason-Dixon | Jan 28–30, 2020 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 55% | 39% | - | - | – | 6% |
Graphs are temporarily unavailable due to technical issues. |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 1] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | Oct 29, 2020 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 47.5% | 48.8% | 3.7% | Trump +1.3 |
Real Clear Politics | October 20–31, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 46.5% | 47.8% | 5.7% | Trump +1.3 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 47.4% | 48.6% | 4.0% | Trump +1.1 |
Average | 47.1% | 48.4% | 4.5% | Trump +1.2 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 639] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 9,226 (LV) | ± 1.5% | 51% [lower-alpha 640] | 47% | – | – | – | – |
Swayable Archived November 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 1,151 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 51% | 47% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
Data For Progress | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 926 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 48% | 49% | 1% | 1% | 0% [lower-alpha 641] | – |
AtlasIntel | Oct 30–31, 2020 | 686 (LV) | ± 4% | 50% | 47% | – | – | 3% | – |
Emerson College | Oct 29–31, 2020 | 763 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% [lower-alpha 35] | 48% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 34] | – |
Morning Consult | Oct 22–31, 2020 | 3,267 (LV) | ± 2% | 48% | 48% | – | – | – | – |
Public Policy Polling | Oct 28–29, 2020 | 775 (V) | – | 48% | 50% | – | – | – | 2% |
Gravis Marketing | Oct 27–28, 2020 | 670 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 50% | 45% | – | – | – | 5% |
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ Archived October 30, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 27–28, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 50% [lower-alpha 642] | 46% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 34] | 2% |
48% [lower-alpha 643] | 48% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 34] | 2% | ||||
52% [lower-alpha 644] | 44% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 34] | 2% | ||||
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 15,145 (LV) | – | 51% | 47% | – | – | – | – |
Swayable | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 552 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 49% | 48% | 3% | 1% | – | – |
YouGov/UMass Amherst | Oct 20–26, 2020 | 873 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 48% | 47% | 2% | 1% | 0% [lower-alpha 645] | 1% |
Data for Progress (D) | Oct 22–25, 2020 | 1,018 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 48% | 49% | 1% | 0% | – | 2% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Oct 20–25, 2020 | 802 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 47% | 43% | 3% | 0% | 2% [lower-alpha 646] | 5% [lower-alpha 647] |
Univision/University of Houston/Latino Decisions/North Star Opinion Research | Oct 17–25, 2020 | 758 (RV) | ± 3.56% | 49% | 46% | – | – | 3% [lower-alpha 648] | 2% |
Citizen Data | Oct 17–20, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3% | 45% | 49% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 4% |
YouGov/University of Houston | Oct 13–20, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 50% | 45% | 2% | 0% | – | 3% |
University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas Morning News | Oct 13–20, 2020 | 925 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 47% [lower-alpha 35] | 49% | 3% | 1% | – | 1% |
Morning Consult | Oct 11–20, 2020 | 3,347 (LV) | ± 1.7% | 47% | 48% | – | – | – | – |
Quinnipiac University | Oct 16–19, 2020 | 1,145 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 47% | 47% | – | – | 1% [lower-alpha 117] | 5% |
Data for Progress (D) | Oct 15–18, 2020 | 933 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 46% [lower-alpha 35] | 47% | 2% | 1% | – | 5% |
Morning Consult | Oct 2–11, 2020 | 3,455 (LV) | ± 1.7% | 49% | 47% | – | – | – | 3% |
Public Policy Polling/Texas Democrats [upper-alpha 109] | Oct 7–8, 2020 | 721 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 48% | 48% | – | – | – | 1% |
YouGov/CCES Archived November 1, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Sep 29 – Oct 7, 2020 | 2,947 (LV) | – | 49% | 47% | – | – | – | – |
Morning Consult | Sep 28 – Oct 7, 2020 | ~2,700 (LV) | ± 2% | 49% | 46% | – | – | – | – |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports/Crosswind PR | Oct 5–6, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3% | 51% | 44% | – | – | – | – |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | Oct 3–6, 2020 | 895 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 48% | 48% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 34] | 1% |
Data For Progress (D) | Sep 30 – Oct 5, 2020 | 1,949 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 45% | 47% | 2% | 1% | – | 5% |
YouGov/University of Texas/Texas Tribune | Sep 25 – Oct 4, 2020 | 908 (LV) | ± 3.25% | 50% | 45% | 2% | 2% | 1% [lower-alpha 117] | – |
EMC Research/Blue Texas PAC [upper-alpha 110] | Sep 27 – Oct 2, 2020 | 848 (LV) | – | 49% | 49% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 13,395 (LV) | – | 52% | 46% | – | – | – | 2% |
Hart Research Associates/Human Rights Campaign [upper-alpha 111] | Sep 24–27, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 49% | 47% | – | – | – | – |
Morning Consult | Sep 18–27, 2020 | ~2,700 (LV) | ± 2% | 48% | 47% | – | – | – | – |
Public Policy Polling/Texas Democrats [upper-alpha 112] | Sep 25–26, 2020 | 612 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 48% | 48% | – | – | – | 4% |
YouGov/UMass Lowell | Sep 18–25, 2020 | 882 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 49% [lower-alpha 649] | 46% | 2% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 650] | 1% |
50% [lower-alpha 651] | 46% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 652] | 2% | ||||
Data For Progress [upper-alpha 113] | Sep 18–22, 2020 | 726 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 47% | 45% | – | – | – | 9% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Sep 16–22, 2020 | 653 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 46% | 43% | 1% | 1% | 0% [lower-alpha 653] | 9% [lower-alpha 647] |
Quinnipiac University | Sep 17–21, 2020 | 1,078 (LV) | ± 3% | 50% | 45% | – | – | No voters | 4% |
YouGov/CBS | Sep 15–18, 2020 | 1,129 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 46% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 654] | 4% |
Morning Consult | Sep 8–17, 2020 | ~2,700 (LV) | ± 2% | 47% | 47% | – | – | – | – |
Morning Consult | Aug 29 – Sep 7, 2020 | 2,829 (LV) | ± 2% | 46% [lower-alpha 655] | 46% | – | – | – | – |
Public Policy Polling/Giffords [upper-alpha 114] | Sep 1–2, 2020 | 743 (V) | – | 48% | 47% | – | – | – | 5% |
University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas Morning News | Aug 28 – Sep 2, 2020 | 901 (LV) | ± 3.26% | 49% [lower-alpha 35] | 47% | 1% | 1% | 1% | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 12,607 (LV) | – | 52% | 46% | – | – | – | 2% |
Morning Consult | Aug 21–30, 2020 | 2,632 (LV) | ± 2% | 48% [lower-alpha 655] | 47% | – | – | – | – |
Tyson Group/Consumer Energy Alliance [upper-alpha 115] | Aug 20–25, 2020 | 906 (LV) | ± 3% | 44% | 48% | 0% | – | 0% [lower-alpha 656] | 5% |
Data for Progress/Texas Youth Power Alliance | Aug 20–25, 2020 | 2,295 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 45% | 48% | – | – | – | 8% |
Public Policy Polling/Texas Democrats [upper-alpha 116] | Aug 21–22, 2020 | 764 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 47% | 48% | – | – | – | 5% |
Morning Consult | Aug 13–22, 2020 | ~2,700 (LV) | ± 2% | 48% | 47% | – | – | – | – |
Morning Consult | Aug 7–16, 2020 | 2,559 (LV) | ± 2% | 47% [lower-alpha 657] | 46% | – | – | – | – |
Global Strategy Group/Chrysta for Texas [upper-alpha 117] | Aug 11–13, 2020 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 45% | 47% | – | – | – | – |
YouGov/Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation/Rice University's Baker Institute | Aug 4–13, 2020 | 846 (RV) | – | 48% | 41% | 1% | 1% | – | 10.2% |
– (LV) [upper-alpha 118] | 50% | 44% | 1% | 0% | – | 5% | |||
Trafalgar Group (R) | Aug 1–5, 2020 | 1,015 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 43% | 2% | – | 2% [lower-alpha 658] | 3% |
Morning Consult | Aug 3–12, 2020 | ~2,700 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 47% | 46% | – | – | – | – |
Morning Consult | Jul 24 – Aug 2, 2020 | 2,576 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 46% [lower-alpha 655] | 47% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 34] | 5% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 13,721 (LV) | – | 52% | 46% | – | – | – | 2% |
Morning Consult | Jul 17–26, 2020 | 2,685 (LV) | ± 1.9% | 45% [lower-alpha 657] | 47% | – | – | – | – |
Morning Consult | Jul 16–25, 2020 | ~2,700 (LV) [lower-alpha 659] | ± 2.0% | 45% | 47% | – | – | – | – |
Spry Strategies/American Principles Project [upper-alpha 119] | Jul 16–20, 2020 | 750 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 45% | – | – | – | 6% |
Quinnipiac University | Jul 16–20, 2020 | 880 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 44% | 45% | – | – | 7% [lower-alpha 660] | 4% |
Morning Consult | Jul 6–15, 2020 | – (LV) [lower-alpha 659] | – | 46% | 46% | – | – | – | – |
YouGov/CBS | Jul 7–10, 2020 | 1,185 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 46% | 45% | – | – | 4% [lower-alpha 661] | 6% |
Gravis Marketing/OANN | Jul 7, 2020 | 591 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 46% | 44% | – | – | – | – |
Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler | Jun 29 – Jul 7, 2020 | 1,677 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 43% | 48% | – | – | 4% | 5% |
Morning Consult | Jun 26 – Jul 5, 2020 | – (LV) [lower-alpha 659] | – | 46% | 45% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 6,669 (LV) | – | 51% | 46% | – | – | – | 2% |
YouGov/University of Texas/Texas Politics Project | Jun 19–29, 2020 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.89% | 48% | 44% | – | – | – | 8% |
Public Policy Polling | Jun 24–25, 2020 | 729 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 46% | 48% | – | – | – | 5% |
Morning Consult | Jun 16–25, 2020 | – (LV) [lower-alpha 659] | – | 47% | 44% | – | – | – | – |
Fox News | Jun 20–23, 2020 | 1,001 (RV) | ± 3% | 44% | 45% | – | – | 5% [lower-alpha 662] | 5% |
Public Policy Polling/Progress Texas [upper-alpha 120] | Jun 18–19, 2020 | 907 (V) | ± 3% | 48% | 46% | – | – | – | 6% |
Morning Consult | Jun 6–15, 2020 | – (LV) [lower-alpha 659] | – | 48% | 45% | – | – | – | – |
Morning Consult | May 27 – Jun 5, 2020 | – (LV) [lower-alpha 659] | – | 48% | 43% | – | – | – | – |
Public Policy Polling/Texas Democrats [upper-alpha 121] | Jun 2–3, 2020 | 683 (V) | – | 48% | 48% | – | – | – | 4% |
Quinnipiac | May 28 – Jun 1, 2020 | 1,166 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 44% | 43% | – | – | 6% [lower-alpha 663] | 7% |
Morning Consult | May 17–26, 2020 | 2,551 (LV) | – | 50% [lower-alpha 655] | 43% | – | – | – | – |
Morning Consult | May 16–25, 2020 | – (LV) [lower-alpha 659] | – | 50% | 42% | – | – | – | – |
Morning Consult | May 6–15, 2020 | – (LV) [lower-alpha 659] | – | 49% | 43% | – | – | – | – |
Emerson College | May 8–10, 2020 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 52% [lower-alpha 664] | 48% | – | – | – | – |
Public Policy Polling | Apr 27–28, 2020 | 1,032 (V) | – | 46% | 47% | – | – | – | 7% |
Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler | Apr 18–27, 2020 | 1,183 (RV) | ± 2.85% | 43% | 43% | – | – | 5% | 9% |
University of Texas/Texas Tribune | Apr 10–19, 2020 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 49% | 44% | – | – | – | 7% |
AtlasIntel | Feb 24 – Mar 2, 2020 | 1,100 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 43% | – | – | 11% | – |
NBC News/Marist College | Feb 23–27, 2020 | 2,409 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 49% | 45% | – | – | 1% | 5% |
CNN/SSRS | Feb 22–26, 2020 | 1,003 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 47% | 48% | – | – | 3% [lower-alpha 665] | 2% |
Univision | Feb 21–26, 2020 | 1,004 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 43% | 46% | – | – | – | 11% |
Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler | Feb 17–26, 2020 | 1,221 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 45% | 44% | – | – | 11% | – |
YouGov/University of Texas/Texas Tribune | Jan 31 – Feb 9, 2020 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.83% | 47% | 44% | – | – | – | 10% |
University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas News Archived February 2, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Jan 21–30, 2020 | 910 (LV) | ± 3.24% | 46% | 44% | – | – | 10% [lower-alpha 666] | – |
Data For Progress [upper-alpha 122] | Jan 16–21, 2020 | 1,486 (LV) | – | 54% | 40% | – | – | 3% [lower-alpha 667] | 3% |
Texas Lyceum | Jan 10–19, 2020 | 520 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 51% | 46% | – | – | – | 3% |
CNN/SSRS | Dec 4–9, 2019 | 1,003 (RV) | – | 48% | 47% | – | – | 2% [lower-alpha 668] | 3% |
Beacon Research (R) | Nov 9–21, 2019 | 1,601 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 44% | – | – | – | – |
University of Texas at Tyler | Nov 5–14, 2019 | 1,093 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 39% | – | – | – | 16% |
University of Texas/ Texas Tribune | Oct 18–27, 2019 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 46% | 39% | – | – | 9% [lower-alpha 669] | 6% |
University of Texas at Tyler | Sep 13–15, 2019 | 1,199 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 38% | 40% | – | – | 13% | 9% |
Univision | Aug 31 – Sep 6, 2019 | 1,004 (RV) | – | 43% | 47% | – | – | – | 10% |
Climate Nexus | Aug 20–25, 2019 | 1,660 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 43% | 43% | – | – | – | 9% |
University of Texas at Tyler | Aug 1–4, 2019 | 1,261 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 37% | 41% | – | – | 14% | 8% |
Emerson | Aug 1–3, 2019 | 1,033 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 51% | – | – | – | – |
University of Texas at Tyler | Jul 24–27, 2019 | 1,414 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 37% | 37% | – | – | 12% | 14% |
Quinnipiac University | May 29 – Jun 4, 2019 | 1,159 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 44% | 48% | – | – | 1% | 4% |
WPA Intelligence | Apr 27–30, 2019 | 200 (LV) | ± 6.9% | 49% | 42% | – | – | – | 7% |
Emerson College Archived July 3, 2019, at the Wayback Machine | Apr 25–28, 2019 | 799 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 50% [lower-alpha 664] | 51% | – | – | – | – |
Quinnipiac University | Feb 20–25, 2019 | 1,222 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 47% | 46% | – | – | 1% | 5% |
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 123] | Feb 13–14, 2019 | 743 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 49% | 46% | – | – | – | 5% |
Graphs are temporarily unavailable due to technical issues. |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 1] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 23–31, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 41.0% | 50.5% | 8.5% | Trump +9.5 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 42.1% | 51.9% | 6.0% | Trump +9.8 |
Average | 41.6% | 51.2% | 7.2% | Trump +9.6 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 670] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 1,586 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 55% [lower-alpha 671] | 43% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 2,783 (LV) | – | 55% | 43% | – | – | – | – |
Y2 Analytics/Salt Lake Tribune | Oct 15–24, 2020 | 660 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 51% | 44% | – | – | 5% [lower-alpha 672] | – |
RMG Research/Deseret News/Hinckley Institute of Politics | Oct 12–17, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 50% | 38% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 7% |
Y2 Analytics/Salt Lake Tribune | Sep 26 – Oct 4, 2020 | 1,214 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 50% | 40% | – | – | 10% | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 1,192 (LV) | – | 56% | 42% | – | – | – | 2% |
RMG Research/Deseret News/Hinckley Institute of Politics | Sep 7–12, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 53% | 35% | 5% | 0% | 1% | 6% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 893 (LV) | – | 57% | 41% | – | – | – | 2% |
RMG Research/Scott Rasmussen/Deseret News | Jul 27 – Aug 1, 2020 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 50% | 31% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 11% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 1,037 (LV) | – | 58% | 40% | – | – | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 412 (LV) | – | 57% | 41% | – | – | – | 1% |
Y2 Analytics/UtahPolicy.com/KUTV 2 | May 9–15, 2020 | 1,099 (LV) | ± 3% | 44% | 41% | – | – | 9% [lower-alpha 673] | 5% |
Scott Rasmussen/Deseret News | Apr 15–21, 2020 | 964 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 51% | 32% | – | – | 8% | 9% |
Y2 Analytics | Mar 21–30, 2020 | 1,266 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 46% | 41% | – | – | 7% | 5% |
Scott Rasmussen/Deseret News | Feb 24 – Mar 1, 2020 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 50% | 33% | – | – | 8% [lower-alpha 674] | 8% |
Scott Rasmussen/Deseret News | Jan 15–22, 2020 | 1,017 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 49% | 31% | – | – | 13% [lower-alpha 675] | 7% |
Y2 Analytics | Jul 31 – Aug 6, 2019 | 149 (RV) | – | 36% | 35% | – | – | 14% [lower-alpha 676] | 5% |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 1] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 66.5% | 27.8% | 5.7% | Biden +38.7 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 677] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 906 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 26% [lower-alpha 678] | 71% | - | - | – | – |
co/efficient/Scott Milne for Lt. Governor [upper-alpha 124] | Oct 19–29, 2020 | 584 (LV) | ± 4.05% | 32% | 62% | - | - | – | 6% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 1,167 (LV) | – | 29% | 69% | - | - | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 427 (LV) | – | 34% | 64% | - | - | – | 2% |
Braun Research/VPR | Sep 3–15, 2020 | 582 (LV) | ± 4% | 32% | 56% | - | - | 8% [lower-alpha 679] | 3% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 236 (LV) | – | 29% | 70% | - | - | – | 0% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 368 (LV) | – | 27% | 71% | - | - | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 113 (LV) | – | 20% | 75% | - | - | – | 5% |
Graphs are temporarily unavailable due to technical issues. |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 1] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 15–31, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 52.8% | 41.0% | 6.2% | Biden +11.8 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 53.7% | 41.9% | 4.4% | Biden +11.8 |
Average | 53.1% | 40.5% | 5.3% | Biden +11.8 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 680] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 4,550 (LV) | ± 2% | 41% [lower-alpha 681] | 57% | - | - | – | – |
Swayable Archived November 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 467 (LV) | ± 6.4% | 39% | 59% | 2% | 1% | – | – |
Data for Progress | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 690 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 43% | 54% | 1% | 0% | 1% [lower-alpha 682] | – |
Roanoke College | Oct 23–29, 2020 | 802 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 42% | 53% | 2% | - | 1% | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 7,663 (LV) | – | 43% | 55% | - | - | – | – |
Christopher Newport University | Oct 15–27, 2020 | 908 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 41% | 53% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 683] | 4% |
Swayable | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 351 (LV) | ± 5.2% | 44% | 55% | 1% | - | – | – |
Virginia Commonwealth University | Oct 13–22, 2020 | 709 (LV) | ± 4.93% | 39% | 51% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 684] | 8% [lower-alpha 685] |
Schar School/Washington Post | Oct 13–19, 2020 | 908 (LV) | ± 4% | 41% | 52% | 3% | - | 0% [lower-alpha 686] | 4% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | Oct 11–14, 2020 | 1,231 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 42% | 55% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 687] | 1% |
Reconnect Research/Roanoke College | Sep 30 – Oct 12, 2020 | 602 (LV) | – | 39% [lower-alpha 688] | 54% | 4% | - | - | 4% |
Survey Monkey/Tableau | Sep 15 – Oct 12, 2020 | 4,248 (LV) | – | 43% | 55% | - | - | – | 2% |
Cygnal/Gade for Virginia [upper-alpha 125] | Oct 9–11, 2020 | 607 (LV) | – | 42% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 2,882 (LV) | – | 42% | 56% | - | - | – | 2% |
Cygnal/Gade for Virginia [upper-alpha 125] | Sep 22–25, 2020 | 600 (LV) | – | 41% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Christopher Newport University | Sep 9–21, 2020 | 796 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 43% | 48% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 689] | 7% |
Virginia Commonwealth University Archived September 15, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Aug 28 – Sep 7, 2020 | 693 (LV) | ± 6.22% | 39% | 52% | - | - | 1% [lower-alpha 690] | 8% [lower-alpha 685] |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 2,626 (LV) | – | 41% | 57% | - | - | – | 2% |
Roanoke College | Aug 9–22, 2020 | 566 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 39% | 53% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 691] | 5% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 3,178 (LV) | – | 43% | 55% | - | - | – | 2% |
Morning Consult | Jul 17–26, 2020 | 1,156 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 41% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Virginia Commonwealth University | Jul 11–19, 2020 | 725 (LV) | ± 6.2% | 39% | 50% | - | - | 1% | 10% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 1,619 (LV) | – | 42% | 57% | - | - | – | 1% |
Morning Consult | May 17–26, 2020 | 1,148 (LV) | – | 42% [lower-alpha 692] | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Roanoke College | May 3–16, 2020 | 563 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 39% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Virginia Commonwealth University | Mar 25 – Apr 8, 2020 | 812 (A) | ± 4.5% | 41% | 51% | - | - | – | 8% |
Hampton University | Feb 25–28, 2020 | 768 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 38% | 45% | - | - | – | – |
Roanoke College | Feb 9–18, 2020 | 520 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 40% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Mason-Dixon | Dec 12–16, 2019 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 49% | - | - | – | 6% |
Virginia Commonwealth University | Dec 2–13, 2019 | 728 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 46% | 49% | - | - | – | 5% [lower-alpha 685] |
Virginia Commonwealth University | Sep 23 – Oct 4, 2019 | 645 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 44% | 52% | - | - | – | 4% [lower-alpha 685] |
University of Mary Washington/Research America | Sep 3–15, 2019 | 1,009 (A) | ± 3.1% | 37% | 55% | - | - | 1% | 4% |
Graphs are temporarily unavailable due to technical issues. |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 1] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 8–15, 2020 | October 27, 2020 | 57.5% | 35.5% | 7.0% | Biden +22.0 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 59.4% | 36.4% | 4.2% | Biden +23.0 |
Average | 58.5% | 36.0% | 5.6% | Biden +22.5 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 693] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 4,142 (LV) | ± 2% | 35% [lower-alpha 694] | 62% | – | – | – | – |
Swayable Archived November 27, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2020 | 489 (LV) | ± 6% | 39% | 59% | 2% | 1% | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 7,424 (LV) | – | 36% | 62% | – | – | – | – |
PPP/NPI | Oct 14–15, 2020 | 610 (LV) | ± 4% | 37% | 60% | – | – | – | 2% |
SurveyUSA/KING-TV | Oct 8–10, 2020 | 591 (LV) | ± 5.2% | 34% | 55% | – | – | 5% [lower-alpha 695] | 5% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 7,953 (LV) | – | 35% | 64% | – | – | – | 2% |
Strategies 360 | Sep 8–14, 2020 | 501 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 36% | 58% | – | – | – | 7% [lower-alpha 696] |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 7,489 (LV) | – | 37% | 61% | – | – | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 7,691 (LV) | – | 37% | 62% | – | – | – | 2% |
SurveyUSA/KING-TV | Jul 22–27, 2020 | 534 (LV) | ± 5.2% | 28% | 62% | – | – | 6% [lower-alpha 697] | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 3,939 (LV) | – | 36% | 62% | – | – | – | 2% |
Public Policy Polling/NPI | May 19–20, 2020 | 1,070 (LV) | ± 3% | 37% | 59% | – | – | – | 5% |
SurveyUSA/KING-TV | May 16–19, 2020 | 530 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 31% | 57% | – | – | 5% [lower-alpha 698] | 7% |
EMC Research | Mar 31 – Apr 6, 2020 | 583 (A) | ± 4.1% | 39% | 52% | – | – | – | 9% |
SurveyUSA/KING-TV | Mar 4–6, 2020 | 992 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 34% | 57% | – | – | – | 9% |
Public Policy Polling/The Cascadia Advocate | Oct 22–23, 2019 | 900 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 37% | 59% | – | – | – | 3% |
Zogby Interactive/JZ Analytics | Jul 22 – Aug 1, 2019 | 1,265 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 31% | 52% | – | – | – | 17% |
Graphs are temporarily unavailable due to technical issues. |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 1] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 13–23, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 38.5% | 55.5% | 6.0% | Trump +17.0 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 33.5% | 62.1% | 4.4% | Trump +28.6 |
Average | 36.0% | 58.8% | 5.2% | Trump +22.8 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 699] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Mountain | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 816 (LV) | ± 5% | 67% [lower-alpha 700] | 32% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 1,359 (LV) | – | 66% | 32% | – | – | – | – |
Triton Polling and Research/WMOV | Oct 19–21, 2020 | 544 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 58% | 38% | – | – | – | 4% |
Research America Inc./West Virginia Metro News | Oct 6–9, 2020 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 53% | 39% | 4% | 1% | – | 3% |
Triton Polling & Research/WMOV | Sep 29–30, 2020 [lower-alpha 701] | 525 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 56% | 38% | – | – | – | 5% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 516 (LV) | – | 62% | 36% | – | – | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 496 (LV) | – | 65% | 32% | – | – | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 494 (LV) | – | 67% | 32% | – | – | – | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 264 (LV) | – | 72% | 27% | – | – | – | 1% |
WPA Intelligence/Club for Growth [upper-alpha 126] | Jan 7–9, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 66% | 31% | – | – | – | 3% |
Graphs are temporarily unavailable due to technical issues. |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 1] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | November 1–2 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 42.8% | 52.0% | 5.2% | Biden +9.2 |
Real Clear Politics | October 21 – November 1, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 44.3% | 51.0% | 4.7% | Biden +6.7 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 43.7% | 52.1% | 4.2% | Biden +8.4 |
Average | 43.6% | 51.7% | 4.7% | Biden +8.1 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 702] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2 | 2,814 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 44% [lower-alpha 703] | 54% | - | - | – | – |
Research Co. | Oct 31 – Nov 1 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 45% | 54% | - | - | 1% [lower-alpha 117] | 7% |
Change Research/CNBC | Oct 29 – Nov 1 | 553 (LV) | ± 4.17% | 45% | 53% | 2% | - | – | 0% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | Oct 29 – Nov 1 | 789 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 47% | 51% | - | - | 1% [lower-alpha 117] | 0% |
Swayable Archived November 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 27 – Nov 1 | 253 (LV) | ± 8.2% | 45% | 55% | 1% | - | – | – |
Ipsos/Reuters | Oct 27 – Nov 1 | 696 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 43% [lower-alpha 15] | 53% | 2% | 0% | 2% [lower-alpha 704] | – |
43% [lower-alpha 705] | 53% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 18] | 2% | ||||
45% [lower-alpha 706] | 53% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 707] | – | ||||
AtlasIntel | Oct 30–31 | 781 (LV) | ± 3% | 49% | 51% | - | - | – | 1% |
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc./Center for American Greatness Archived October 31, 2020, at the Wayback Machine [upper-alpha 8] | Oct 29–31 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 46% | 49% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 708] | 1% |
Morning Consult | Oct 22–31 | 1,002 (LV) | ± 3% | 41% | 54% | - | - | – | – |
Emerson College | Oct 29–30 | 751 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 45% [lower-alpha 35] | 52% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 34] | – |
AtlasIntel | Oct 29–30 | 672 (LV) | ± 4% | 50% | 49% | - | - | 2% | – |
CNN/SSRS Archived October 31, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 29–30 | 873 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 44% | 52% | 3% | - | 0% [lower-alpha 709] | 2% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Oct 26–30 | 1,253 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 41% | 52% | 2% | - | 1% [lower-alpha 710] | 4% [lower-alpha 647] |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Oct 26–29 | 800 (LV) | – | 41% | 53% | 2% | - | 1% | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28 | 4,569 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 43% | 55% | - | - | – | – |
Swayable | Oct 23–26 | 313 (LV) | ± 7.2% | 45% | 54% | 1% | - | – | – |
Ipsos/Reuters | Oct 20–26 | 664 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 44% [lower-alpha 15] | 53% | 2% | 1% | 3% [lower-alpha 481] | – |
44% [lower-alpha 705] | 53% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 18] | 2% | ||||
Trafalgar Group | Oct 24–25 | 1,082 (LV) | ± 2.89% | 47% | 47% | 3% | - | 1% [lower-alpha 117] | 1% |
Marquette Law School | Oct 21–25 | 749 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 43% | 48% | 2% | - | 7% [lower-alpha 711] | 0% |
ABC/Washington Post | Oct 20–25 | 809 (LV) | ± 4% | 40% | 57% | 2% | - | 1% [lower-alpha 712] | 1% |
Gravis Marketing | Oct 23 | 677 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 43% | 54% | - | - | – | 3% |
YouGov/University of Wisconsin-Madison | Oct 13–21 | 647 (LV) | ± 4.07% | 44% | 53% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 713] | – |
Fox News | Oct 17–20 | 1,037 (LV) | ± 3% | 44% | 49% | 2% | - | 1% [lower-alpha 714] | 4% |
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ Archived October 23, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 14–20 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 44% [lower-alpha 15] | 50% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 29] | 4% |
42% [lower-alpha 715] | 52% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 29] | 4% | ||||
45% [lower-alpha 716] | 48% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 29] | 4% | ||||
Morning Consult | Oct 11–20 | 1,038 (LV) | ± 3% | 42% | 54% | - | - | – | – |
Susquehanna Polling and Research Inc./Center for American Greatness Archived October 23, 2020, at the Wayback Machine [upper-alpha 8] | Oct 16–19 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 45% | 45% | 5% | - | 3% [lower-alpha 717] | 3% |
Change Research/CNBC | Oct 16–19 | 447 (LV) [lower-alpha 38] | – | 44% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Latino Decisions/DFER [upper-alpha 127] | Oct 14–19 | 400 (LV) | ± 5% | 45% | 50% | - | - | – | 4% |
Ipsos/Reuters | Oct 13–19 | 663 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 45% [lower-alpha 15] | 51% | 2% | 0% | 3% [lower-alpha 718] | – |
43% [lower-alpha 705] | 51% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 32] | 3% | ||||
Trafalgar Group | Oct 14–16 | 1,051 (LV) | ± 2.94% | 46% | 48% | 2% | - | 1% | 3% |
YouGov/CBS | Oct 13–16 | 1,112 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 45% | 50% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 42] | 2% |
Trafalgar Group/Restoration PAC [upper-alpha 52] | Oct 11–13 | 1,043 (LV) | ± 2.95% | 45% | 47% | 3% | – | 2% [lower-alpha 34] | 3% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Oct 10–13 | 691 (LV) | – | 40% [lower-alpha 38] | 53% | 2% | 0% | – | – |
David Binder Research/Focus on Rural America | Oct 10–13 | 200 (LV) | – | 43% | 53% | - | - | – | – |
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising [upper-alpha 53] | Oct 8–11 | 560 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 53% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 34] | 1% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Oct 8–11 | 789 (LV) | ± 4% | 41% | 51% | 3% | - | 0% [lower-alpha 719] | 5% [lower-alpha 647] |
Ipsos/Reuters | Oct 6–11 | 577 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 45% [lower-alpha 15] | 51% | 2% | 0% | 1% [lower-alpha 481] | – |
44% [lower-alpha 705] | 51% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 32] | 2% | ||||
Morning Consult | Oct 2–11 | 1,067 (LV) | ± 3% | 44% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Oct 9–10 | 613 (LV) | – | 45% [lower-alpha 38] | 49% | 2% | - | – | – |
Baldwin Wallace University | Sep 30 – Oct 8 | 883 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 43% | 49% | 2% | 0% | 1% [lower-alpha 533] | 6% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Oct 4–7 | 688 (LV) | ± 3.74% | 41% | 51% | 1% | - | 1% [lower-alpha 49] | 6% |
Ipsos/Reuters | Sep 29 – Oct 5 | 601 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 44% | 50% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 18] | 4% |
Change Research/CNBC | Oct 2–4 | 442 (LV) | – | 44% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Marquette Law School | Sep 30 – Oct 4 | 805 (RV) | – | 41% | 46% | 5% | - | 7% [lower-alpha 720] | 2% |
700 (LV) | 42% | 47% | 4% | - | 2% [lower-alpha 721] | 1% | |||
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30 | 3,806 (LV) | – | 44% | 53% | - | - | – | 2% |
Trafalgar Group/Restoration PAC [upper-alpha 52] | Sep 25–28 | 1,084 (LV) | ± 2.89% | 44% | 47% | 3% | - | 2% [lower-alpha 722] | 3% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Sep 23–27 | 663 (LV) | ± 3.81% | 43% | 48% | 2% | - | 0% [lower-alpha 333] | 7% |
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc./Center for American Greatness [upper-alpha 8] | Sep 23–26 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 46% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Trafalgar Group (R) | Sep 22–24 | 1,189 (LV) | ± 2.76% | 45% | 48% | 3% | - | 2% [lower-alpha 722] | 3% |
Marist College/NBC | Sep 20–24 | 727 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 44% | 54% | - | - | 1% | 1% |
Baldwin Wallace University | Sep 9–22 | 863 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 41% | 50% | 2% | 0% | 1% [lower-alpha 533] | 6% |
YouGov/UW-Madison Elections Research Center/Wisconsin State Journal | Sep 10–21 | 664 (LV) | – | 46% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC | Sep 18–20 | 571 (LV) | – | 42% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Hart Research Associates/Human Rights Campaign [ permanent dead link ] [upper-alpha 128] | Sep 17–19 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 44% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Sep 12–16 | 636 (LV) | ± 3.89% | 41% | 47% | 1% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 49] | 10% |
Ipsos/Reuters | Sep 11–16 | 609 (LV) | – | 43% | 48% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 18] | 6% |
Morning Consult | Sep 7–16 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 42% [lower-alpha 723] | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising [upper-alpha 53] | Sep 11–15 | 549 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 44% [lower-alpha 38] | 51% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 34] | 2% |
Morning Consult | Sep 6–15 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 42% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
CNN/SSRS | Sep 9–13 | 816 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 42% | 52% | 3% | - | 1% [lower-alpha 724] | 1% |
ABC/Washington Post | Sep 8–13 | 605 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 46% | 52% | - | - | 1% [lower-alpha 725] | 1% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Sep 8–10 | 760 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 43% | 48% | 2% | 0% | 2% [lower-alpha 726] | 6% [lower-alpha 647] |
Emerson College | Sep 6–8 | 823 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 45% [lower-alpha 35] | 52% | - | - | 4% [lower-alpha 727] | – |
Benenson Strategy Group/GS Group/AARP | Aug 28 – Sep 8 | 1,200 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 45% | 50% | - | - | 1% [lower-alpha 728] | 4% |
Change Research/CNBC | Sep 4–6 | 501 (LV) | – | 44% | 50% | - | - | 6% [lower-alpha 729] | – |
Morning Consult | Aug 27 – Sep 5 | 763 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
YouGov/CBS | Sep 2–4 | 978 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 44% | 50% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 730] | 4% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Aug 30 – Sep 4 | 670 (LV) | ± 3.78% | 41% | 50% | 2% | 0% | 0% [lower-alpha 333] | 6% |
Marquette Law School | Aug 30 – Sep 3 | 688 (LV) | – | 44% | 48% | 4% | - | 2% [lower-alpha 731] | 2% |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports | Sep 1–2 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3% | 43% | 51% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 732] | 2% |
Fox News | Aug 29 – Sep 1 | 801 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 42% | 50% | 2% | – | 1% [lower-alpha 733] | 5% |
853 (RV) | ± 3% | 41% | 49% | 2% | – | 2% [lower-alpha 734] | 5% | ||
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31 | 1,913 (LV) | – | 49% | 48% | - | - | – | 2% |
Opinium/The Guardian | Aug 21–28 | 700 (LV) | – | 40% | 53% | - | - | 1% | 5% |
Morning Consult | Aug 17–26 | 797 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 42% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC | Aug 21–23 | 925 (LV) | – | 44% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Trafalgar Group | Aug 14–23 | 1,011 (LV) | ± 2.99% | 46% | 45% | 4% | - | 2% [lower-alpha 735] | 3% |
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC [upper-alpha 52] | Aug 17–20 | 600 (LV) | – | 44% | 52% | - | - | – | 4% |
Redfield and Wilton Strategies | Aug 13–17 | 672 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 40% | 49% | 1% | 1% | 2% [lower-alpha 736] | 7% |
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising [upper-alpha 53] | Aug 13–17 | 753 (RV) | – | 45% | 51% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 34] | 2% |
Morning Consult | Aug 7–16 | 788 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 43% [lower-alpha 737] | 49% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 34] | 5% |
Morning Consult | Aug 4–13 | 797 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 43% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC | Aug 6–9 | 384 (LV) | – | 43% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
Marquette Law School | Aug 4–9 | 694 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 46% | 50% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 738] | 1% |
YouGov/CBS | Aug 4–7 | 994 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 42% | 48% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 42] | 7% |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports/American Greatness PAC [ permanent dead link ] [upper-alpha 8] | Aug 5–6 | 750 (LV) | – | 43% | 55% | - | - | 1% | 1% |
YouGov/University of Wisconsin-Madison | Jul 27 – Aug 6 | 734 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 43% | 49% | - | - | 4% [lower-alpha 739] | 4% |
OnMessage Inc./Heritage Action [upper-alpha 129] | Aug 2–4 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 47% | 47% | - | - | – | 6% |
Morning Consult | Jul 25 – Aug 3 | 797 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 41% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
David Binder Research | Jul 30–31 | 200 (LV) | – | 42% | 53% | - | - | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31 | 2,173 (LV) | – | 48% | 50% | - | - | – | 2% |
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC [upper-alpha 52] | Jul 22–27 | 600 (LV) | – | 38% | 52% | - | - | – | 10% |
Change Research/CNBC | Jul 24–26 | 392 (LV) | – | 43% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Jul 19–24 | 742 (LV) | – | 35% | 45% | 2% | 0% | 3% [lower-alpha 740] | 15% |
Morning Consult | Jul 15–24 | 797 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Gravis Marketing | Jul 22 | 796 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 42% | 50% | - | - | – | 7% |
Global Strategy Group (D) Archived August 7, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Jul 11–17 | 600 (V) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 51% | - | - | 2% [lower-alpha 741] | 4% [lower-alpha 647] |
Spry Strategies/American Principles Project [upper-alpha 130] | Jul 11–16 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 45% | 46% | - | - | – | 8% |
Morning Consult | Jul 5–14 | 797 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 41% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC | Jul 10–12 | 601 (LV) | – | 42% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Morning Consult | Jun 25 – Jul 4 | 797 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30 | 813 (LV) | – | 47% | 51% | - | - | – | 2% |
Change Research/CNBC | Jun 26–28 | 502 (LV) [lower-alpha 38] | – | 43% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Trafalgar Group | Jun 25–26 | 1,021 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 45% | - | - | 8% [lower-alpha 742] | 2% |
Ogden & Fry | Jun 20–24 | 825 (LV) | ± 3.48% | 44% | 45% | - | - | – | 10% |
Morning Consult | Jun 15–24 | 797 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Jun 14–19 | 846 (LV) | ± 3.37% | 36% | 45% | 1% | 1% | 2% [lower-alpha 743] | 15% |
Marquette Law School | Jun 14–18 | 686 (LV) | – | 44% | 52% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 738] | 1% |
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R) | Jun 12–16 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 39% | 55% | - | - | – | 6% |
NYT Upshot/Siena College | Jun 8–15 | 655 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 38% | 49% | - | - | 5% [lower-alpha 744] | 8% |
Morning Consult | Jun 5–14 | 797 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC | Jun 12–14 | 231 (LV) [lower-alpha 38] | – | 44% | 48% | - | - | 5% [lower-alpha 745] | – |
Morning Consult | May 26 – Jun 4 | 797 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Fox News | May 30 – Jun 2 | 801 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 40% | 49% | - | - | 6% [lower-alpha 746] | 5% |
Change Research/CNBC | May 29–31 | 382 (LV) [lower-alpha 38] | – | 45% | 45% | - | - | 5% | 6% |
Morning Consult | May 16–25 | 797 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Morning Consult | May 6–15 | 797 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 42% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | May 10–14 | 875 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 38% | 48% | - | - | 3% [lower-alpha 747] | 10% |
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R) | May 6–8 | 600 (LV) | ± 3% | 42% | 51% | - | - | – | 8% |
Marquette Law School | May 3–7 | 650 (LV) | – | 45% | 49% | - | - | 4% [lower-alpha 748] | 2% |
Morning Consult | Apr 26 – May 5 | 797 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 43% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Public Policy Polling [upper-alpha 131] | Apr 20–21 | 1,415 (RV) | – | 45% | 50% | - | - | – | 4% |
Ipsos | Apr 15–20 | 645 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 40% | 43% | - | - | – | – |
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R) | Apr 13–15 | 600 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 50% | - | - | – | 4% |
Hart Research/CAP Action Archived April 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine [upper-alpha 132] | Apr 6–8 | 303 (RV) | – | 47% | 48% | - | - | 2% | 3% |
Marquette Law School | Mar 24–29 | 813 (RV) | – | 45% | 48% | - | - | 4% [lower-alpha 748] | 3% |
Baldwin Wallace University Great Lakes | Mar 17–25 | 822 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 45% | 45% | - | - | – | 10% |
Change Research | Mar 21–23 | 510 (LV) | – | 49% | 45% | - | – | 6% | |
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R) | Mar 17–19 | 600 (RV) | – | 49% | 45% | - | - | – | – |
Public Policy Polling | Mar 10–11 | 1,727 (RV) | – | 45% | 48% | - | - | – | 6% |
YouGov/Yahoo News | Mar 6–8 | 459 (RV) | – | 42% | 44% | - | - | 6% [lower-alpha 749] | 7% |
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Archived March 20, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Mar 5–7 | 502 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 45% | 43% | - | - | – | – |
Marquette Law School | Feb 19–23 | 1,000 (RV) | – | 46% | 46% | - | - | 5% [lower-alpha 750] | 3% |
YouGov | Feb 11–20 | 936 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 45% | - | - | – | – |
Quinnipiac University Archived May 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Feb 12–18 | 823 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 49% | 42% | - | - | 4% [lower-alpha 751] | 4% |
Expedition Strategies/Progressive Policies Institute | Feb 6–18 | 500 (RV) | – | 44% | 42% | - | - | – | 13% |
Tarrance Group/Wisconsin Manufacturers and Commerce Archived February 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Jan 14–16 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 46% | 47% | - | - | – | 6% |
Marquette Law School | Jan 8–12 | 701 (LV) | – | 47% | 48% | - | - | 4% [lower-alpha 748] | 2% |
Fox News | Jan 5–8 | 1,504 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 41% | 46% | - | - | 8% [lower-alpha 752] | 4% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 702] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Marquette Law School | Dec 3–8 | 652 (LV) | – | 47% | 49% | 2% [lower-alpha 753] | 1% |
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus | Dec 3–5 | 610 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 48% | 39% | 8% [lower-alpha 754] | 5% [lower-alpha 647] |
Marquette Law School | Nov 13–17 | 685 (LV) | – | 48% | 45% | 5% [lower-alpha 755] | 2% |
NYT Upshot/Siena College | Oct 13–26 | 651 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 46% | – | – |
Marquette Law School | Oct 13–17 | 657 (LV) | – | 44% | 51% | 3% [lower-alpha 756] | 1% |
Fox News | Sep 29 – Oct 2 | 1,512 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 39% | 48% | 5% | 6% |
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Archived September 12, 2019, at the Wayback Machine | Sep 7–9 | 534 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 44% | 14% | – |
Marquette Law School | Aug 25–29 | 672 (LV) | – | 44% | 51% | 3% [lower-alpha 738] | 2% |
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus | Jun 11–13 | 535 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 40% | 46% | 14% | – |
WPA Intelligence | Apr 27–30 | 200 (LV) | ± 6.9% | 46% | 42% | – | 9% |
Zogby Analytics | Apr 15–18 | 802 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 40% | 50% | – | 11% |
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Archived April 3, 2019, at the Wayback Machine | Mar 19–21 | 616 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 40% | 53% | 5% | – |
Emerson College Archived April 20, 2019, at the Wayback Machine | Mar 15–17 | 775 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 54% | – | – |
Graphs are temporarily unavailable due to technical issues. |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 1] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
FiveThirtyEight | November 3, 2020 | 30.8% | 62.3% | 6.9% | Trump +31.5 |
Polls with a sample size of <100 have their sample size entries marked in red to indicate a lack of reliability.
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 757] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 367 (LV) | ± 7% | 66% [lower-alpha 758] | 33% | – | – | – |
University of Wyoming | Oct 8–28, 2020 | 614 (LV) | ± 4% | 59% | 31% | 5% | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 739 (LV) | – | 68% | 31% | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 236 (LV) | – | 65% | 34% | – | – | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 211 (LV) | – | 74% | 25% | – | – | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 246 (LV) | – | 70% | 28% | – | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 98 (LV) | – | 78% | 22% | – | – | 0% |
The 2020 United States presidential election in Colorado was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Colorado voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump from Florida, and his running mate Vice President Mike Pence from Indiana, against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden from Delaware, and his running mate, Senator Kamala Harris from California. Colorado had nine electoral votes in the Electoral College.
The 2020 United States presidential election in Florida was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election, in which all 50 states and the District of Columbia participated. Florida voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent president Donald Trump, and his running mate, Vice President Mike Pence, against Democratic Party nominee, former vice president Joe Biden, and his running mate, United States senator Kamala Harris, of California. Florida had 29 electoral votes in the Electoral College.
The 2020 United States presidential election in Georgia was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Georgia voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump of Florida, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence of Indiana against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden of Delaware, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Georgia has 16 electoral votes in the Electoral College.
The 2020 United States presidential election in Iowa was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Iowa voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump of Florida, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence of Indiana against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden of Delaware, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Iowa has six electoral votes in the Electoral College.
The 2020 United States presidential election in Kansas was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Kansas voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump of Florida, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence of Indiana against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden of Delaware, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Kansas has six electoral votes in the Electoral College.
The 2020 United States presidential election in Kentucky was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Kentucky voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Kentucky has eight electoral votes in the Electoral College.
The 2020 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Pennsylvania voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Pennsylvania has 20 electoral votes in the Electoral College.
The 2020 United States presidential election in South Carolina was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. South Carolina voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. South Carolina has nine electoral votes in the Electoral College.
The 2020 United States presidential election in Texas was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Texan voters chose 38 electors to represent them in the Electoral College. In a popular vote the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence won all the electors against the Democratic Party's nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris.
The 2020 United States presidential election in Ohio was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Ohio voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee—incumbent President Donald Trump and his running mate, Vice President Mike Pence—against the Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden and his running mate, California Senator Kamala Harris. Ohio had 18 electoral votes in the Electoral College.
The 2020 United States presidential election in Maine was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Maine voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Maine has four electoral votes in the Electoral College. Unlike all other states except Nebraska, Maine awards two electoral votes based on the statewide vote, and one vote for each congressional district.
The 2020 United States presidential election in Wisconsin was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Wisconsin voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Wisconsin has 10 electoral votes in the Electoral College.
The 2020 United States presidential election in Vermont was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Vermont voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Vermont has three electoral votes in the Electoral College. This is the first time Vermont was the strongest state for either party since 1956, when it was Republican Dwight Eisenhower's best state, showcasing the state's leftward swing. Vermont also saw the largest increase in turnout from 2016, increasing 14.3%. Biden greatly improved on Hillary Clinton's 55.7% vote share and 25.9% margin from 2016, when third-party candidates received over 14% of the vote. Biden's performance was also the fourth-strongest Democratic performance in state history. Trump carried only one county, the sparsely-populated Essex County bordering New Hampshire, which had voted for the winner from 1980 to 2016. Consequently, Biden was the first Democrat to win without the county since Jimmy Carter in 1976.
The 2020 United States presidential election in Nebraska was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Nebraska voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Nebraska has five electoral votes in the Electoral College, two from the state at large, and one each from the three congressional districts.
The 2020 United States presidential election in Michigan was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Michigan voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump of Florida, and his running mate, Vice President Mike Pence of Indiana against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden of Delaware, and his running mate, Senator Kamala Harris of California. Michigan had 16 electoral votes in the Electoral College.
The 2020 United States presidential election in Minnesota was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Minnesota voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Minnesota has ten electoral votes in the Electoral College.
The 2020 United States presidential election in Montana was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Montana voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump and running mate Vice President Mike Pence, against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Montana has three electoral votes in the Electoral College.
The 2020 United States presidential election in New Hampshire was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states and the District of Columbia participated. New Hampshire voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominees, incumbent President Donald Trump and Vice President Mike Pence, against the Democratic Party's nominees, former Vice President Joe Biden and his running mate, Senator Kamala Harris. New Hampshire has four electoral votes in the Electoral College.
The 2020 United States presidential election in North Carolina was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. North Carolina voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state was narrowly won by the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump of Florida, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence of Indiana against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden of Delaware, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. North Carolina had 15 electoral votes in the Electoral College.
This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the general election for the 2020 United States presidential election. If multiple versions of polls are provided, the version among likely voters (LV) is prioritized, then registered voters (RV), then adults (A). Polling in the 2020 election was considerably less accurate than in the 2016 election, and possibly more inaccurate than in any election since 1996.