2020 United States presidential election in Washington (state)

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2020 United States presidential election in Washington (state)
Flag of Washington.svg
  2016 November 3, 2020 2024  
Turnout84.11% (of registered voters) (Increase2.svg5.35 pp) [1]
  Joe Biden presidential portrait (cropped).jpg Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg
Nominee Joe Biden Donald Trump
Party Democratic Republican
Home state Delaware Florida
Running mate Kamala Harris Mike Pence
Electoral vote120
Popular vote2,369,6121,584,651
Percentage57.97%38.77%

Washington Presidential Election Results 2020.svg
WA-20-pres-districts.svg
WA President 2020.svg

President before election

Donald Trump
Republican

Elected President

Joe Biden
Democratic

The 2020 United States presidential election in Washington was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 U.S. states plus the District of Columbia participated. [2] Washington voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Washington has 12 electoral votes in the Electoral College. [3]

Contents

Prior to the election, most news organizations forecasted Washington as a state that Biden would win, or a safe blue state. Biden won the state by 19.2%, the largest margin for a presidential candidate of any party since 1964. He also flipped the swing county of Clallam. Biden also became the candidate with the highest vote total in the state's history, with 2,369,612 votes. [4] This was the first time since 1988 that Washington voted to the left of Illinois.

The Seattle metropolitan area, home to almost two-thirds of the state's population, is overwhelmingly Democratic. Despite this, even if the votes from King, Snohomish, and Pierce counties were removed, Biden would have carried the state by over 4,000 votes. [5] However, Trump won a considerable majority in outlying communities, garnering over 70% of the vote in rural counties such as Columbia. Eastern Washington is very rural and leans Republican, partly due to the strong tinge of social conservatism it shares with neighboring Idaho, a GOP stronghold. That said, Biden was able to improve on Clinton's margin in Whitman County—anchored by the college town of Pullman—increasing it from 4.1% in 2016 to 10.2% in 2020, the best performance for a Democrat in the county since 1936. In addition, he narrowed Trump's margin in Spokane County from 8.4% to 4.3%. Biden earned 75% of the vote in King County, home to Seattle. This was the largest margin by any candidate in a presidential race since the county's creation. [6]

Per exit polls by the Associated Press, Biden's strength in Washington came from winning 57% of white voters, 71% among Latinos and 77% among Asian-Americans. Biden won 77% of irreligious voters, who comprised 34% of the electorate. [7] Additionally, a majority of Native Americans in the state backed Biden by about 65%, with some tribes supporting Biden by over 80%. [8] Biden also became the first Democrat since Washington's admission into the union to win the presidency without winning Mason County, the first Democrat since John F. Kennedy in 1960 to prevail without winning Cowlitz County, and the first Democrat since Woodrow Wilson in 1916 to prevail without winning Grays Harbor County and Pacific County.

Primary elections

The primaries for the major parties were on March 10, 2020. On March 14, 2019, Governor Jay Inslee signed a bill moving the state's presidential primary up from May to the second Tuesday in March. [9]

Republican primary

Donald Trump, Bill Weld, Joe Walsh, and Rocky de la Fuente had declared their candidacy for the Republican Party, but only Trump met all of the state party's criteria by the official deadline of January 21, 2020, for being included on the ballot. [10] Thus Trump essentially ran unopposed in the Republican primary, and thus he received all of Washington's 43 delegates to the 2020 Republican National Convention. [11]

2020 Washington Republican presidential primary [12]
CandidateVotes%Delegates [13]
Donald Trump (incumbent)684,23998.4143
Write-ins11,0361.590
Total695,275100%43

Democratic primary

A number of Democratic Party candidates ran or expressed interest in running. [14] [15] [16] Additionally, Seattle-based billionaire Howard Schultz announced a potential bid as an independent in early 2019, but backed out in September of that year. [17] The party's candidates included on the ballot at the deadline were Michael Bennet, Joe Biden, Michael Bloomberg, Cory Booker, Pete Buttigieg, John Delaney, Tulsi Gabbard, Amy Klobuchar, Deval Patrick, Bernie Sanders, Tom Steyer, Elizabeth Warren and Andrew Yang. [10]

Popular vote share by county
Biden--30-40%
Biden--40-50%
Sanders--30-40%
Sanders--40-50% 2020 Washington Democratic presidential primary election results map by county (vote share).svg
Popular vote share by county
  Biden—30–40%
  Biden—40–50%
  Sanders—30–40%
  Sanders—40–50%
2020 Washington Democratic presidential primary [18]
CandidateVotes %Delegates [19]
Joe Biden 591,40337.9446
Bernie Sanders 570,03936.5743
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn) [a] 142,6529.15
Michael Bloomberg (withdrawn) [a] 122,5307.86
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn) [b] 63,3444.06
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn) [b] 33,3832.14
Tulsi Gabbard 13,1990.85
Andrew Yang (withdrawn)6,4030.41
Tom Steyer (withdrawn) [b] 3,4550.22
Michael Bennet (withdrawn)2,0440.13
Cory Booker (withdrawn)1,3140.08
John Delaney (withdrawn)5730.04
Deval Patrick (withdrawn)5080.03
Write-in votes1,4790.09
Uncommitted6,4500.41
Total1,558,776100%89

Green primary

As a minor party, Washington State's Green Party affiliate is excluded from the publicly funded Presidential Primary in Washington State. The Green Party of Washington facilitated its primary by a mail-in ballot to its members after its Spring Convention on May 23 [20] (deadline was June 13).

All candidates recognized by the Green Party of the United States by April 23 were on the ballot, plus a write-in option:

General election

Final predictions

SourceRanking
The Cook Political Report [21] Solid D
Inside Elections [22] Solid D
Sabato's Crystal Ball [23] Safe D
Politico [24] Solid D
RCP [25] Likely D
Niskanen [26] Safe D
CNN [27] Solid D
The Economist [28] Safe D
CBS News [29] Likely D
270towin [30] Safe D
ABC News [31] Solid D
NPR [32] Likely D
NBC News [33] Solid D
538 [34] Solid D

Polling

Graphical summary

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Donald
Trump

Republican
Other/
Undecided
[c]
Margin
270 to Win [35] October 8–15, 2020October 27, 202057.5%35.5%7.0%
FiveThirtyEight [36] until November 2, 2020November 3, 202059.4%36.4%4.2%
Average58.5%36.0%5.6%Biden +22.5

Polls

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [d]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump

Republican
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Jo
Jorgensen

Libertarian
Howie
Hawkins

Green
Other Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios [37] Oct 20 – Nov 2, 20204,142 (LV)± 2%35% [e] 62%
Swayable [38] Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2020489 (LV)± 6%39%59%2%1%
SurveyMonkey/Axios [37] Oct 1–28, 20207,424 (LV)36%62%
PPP/NPI [39] Oct 14–15, 2020610 (LV)± 4%37%60%2%
SurveyUSA/KING-TV [40] Oct 8–10, 2020591 (LV)± 5.2%34%55%5% [f] 5%
SurveyMonkey/Axios [37] Sep 1–30, 20207,953 (LV)35%64%2%
Strategies 360 [41] Sep 8–14, 2020501 (RV)± 4.4%36%58%7% [g]
SurveyMonkey/Axios [37] Aug 1–31, 20207,489 (LV)37%61%2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios [37] Jul 1–31, 20207,691 (LV)37%62%2%
SurveyUSA/KING-TV [42] Jul 22–27, 2020534 (LV)± 5.2%28%62%6% [h]
SurveyMonkey/Axios [37] Jun 8–30, 20203,939 (LV)36%62%2%
Public Policy Polling/NPI [43] May 19–20, 20201,070 (LV)± 3%37%59%5%
SurveyUSA/KING-TV [44] May 16–19, 2020530 (LV)± 5.5%31%57%5% [i] 7%
EMC Research [45] Mar 31 – Apr 6, 2020583 (A)± 4.1%39%52%9%
SurveyUSA/KING-TV [46] Mar 4–6, 2020992 (RV)± 3.8%34%57%9%
Public Policy Polling/The Cascadia Advocate [47] Oct 22–23, 2019900 (LV)± 3.3%37%59%3%
Zogby Interactive/JZ Analytics [48] Jul 22 – Aug 1, 20191,265 (LV)± 2.8%31%52%17%
Hypothetical polling

Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [d]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Pete
Buttigieg (D)
Undecided
Zogby Interactive/JZ Analytics [48] Jul 22 – Aug 1, 20191,265 (LV)± 2.8%32%44%24%

with Donald Trump and Kamala Harris

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [d]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Kamala
Harris (D)
Undecided
Zogby Interactive/JZ Analytics [48] Jul 22 – Aug 1, 20191,265 (LV)± 2.8%33%47%20%

Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [d]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Bernie
Sanders (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA/KING-TV [46] Mar 4–6, 2020992 (RV)± 3.8%35%56%9%
Public Policy Polling/The Cascadia Advocate [47] Oct 22–23, 2019900 (LV)± 3.3%37%58%6%
Zogby Interactive/JZ Analytics [48] Jul 22 – Aug 1, 20191,265 (LV)± 2.8%32%54%14%

Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [d]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Elizabeth
Warren (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA/KING-TV [46] Mar 4–6, 2020992 (RV)± 3.8%38%52%10%
Public Policy Polling/The Cascadia Advocate [47] Oct 22–23, 2019900 (LV)± 3.3%37%60%3%
Zogby Interactive/JZ Analytics [48] Jul 22 – Aug 1, 20191,265 (LV)± 2.8%33%48%20%

with Donald Trump and generic Democrat

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [d]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Generic
Democrat
Undecided
Public Policy Polling [49] May 21–22, 2019886 (LV)± 3.3%34%59%7%

Electoral slates

These slates of electors were nominated by each party in order to vote in the Electoral College should their candidate win the state: [50]

Joe Biden and
Kamala Harris
Democratic Party
Donald Trump and
Mike Pence
Republican Party
Jo Jorgensen and
Spike Cohen
Libertarian Party
Howie Hawkins and
Angela Walker
Green Party
Gloria La Riva and
Sunil Freeman
Party for Socialism and Liberation
Alyson Kennedy and
Malcolm Jarrett
Socialist Workers Party
Martin Chaney
Jack Arends
Jackie Lane
Patsy Whitefoot
Nancy Monacelli
Julie Johnson
Sophia Danenberg
Jen Carter
Bryan Kesterson
Julian Wheeler
Santiago Ramos
Payton Swinford
Eric Rohrbach
Timothy Hazelo
Ronald Averill
Richard Bilskis
Dan Wallace
Elizabeth Kreiselmaier
Craig Keller
Tamara Flaherty
Timothy Tow
Colleen Wise
Arthur Coday
Sandi Peterson
Nathan Deily
Miguel Duque
Nicholas Coelho
Larry Nicholas
Data Logan
Whitney Davis
Ciaran Dougherty
Steve Hansen
Larry Hovde
Will Leonard
Randy McGlenn
Anna Johnson
Jody Thorsen Grage
Cynthia J. Sellers
Margaret J. Elisabeth
Stonewall Bird
Scott Charles Thompson
Bruce Radtke
Charles Law
Richard A. Redick
Frank Lockwood
Noah Martin
Colin Bartlett
Daniel Bumbarger
Jane N. Cutter
Andrew T. Freeman
Emily Forschmiedt
Sean Connolly
Jacob Nasrallah
Gregory Plancich
Ryan Oliveira
Nicolas Boone
Mitchell Malloy
Mario Carbonell
Eric Buerk
Charles A Susat
Michele Ann Smith
Patricia Ann Scott
Sara Jane Gates
Keith Bryan Smith
Mary Juanita Martin
Edwin B. Fruit
Scott A. Breen
Barbara Anne Kline
Rashaad Ali
Robert Bruneau
Dean Denno
Leah Beth Finger

Results

2020 United States presidential election in Washington [51]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic Joe Biden
Kamala Harris
2,369,612 57.97% +5.43%
Republican Donald Trump
Mike Pence
1,584,65138.77%+1.94%
Libertarian Jo Jorgensen
Spike Cohen
80,5001.97%−2.88%
Green Howie Hawkins
Angela Walker
18,2890.45%−1.31%
Socialism and Liberation Gloria La Riva
Sunil Freeman
4,8400.12%+0.01%
Socialist Workers Alyson Kennedy
Malcolm Jarrett
2,4870.06%−0.07%
Write-in 27,2520.67%−2.58%
Total votes4,087,631 100.00% N/A

By winning nearly 58% of the vote, Joe Biden's performance was the best showing for a presidential candidate of any party in Washington since Lyndon B. Johnson's landslide victory in 1964.

By county

CountyJoe Biden
Democratic
Donald Trump
Republican
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal
#%#%#%#%
Adams 1,81430.95%3,90766.65%1412.40%-2,093-35.70%5,862
Asotin 4,25035.56%7,31961.24%3823.20%-3,069-25.68%11,951
Benton 38,70637.57%60,36558.59%3,9623.84%-21,659-21.02%103,033
Chelan 19,34944.68%22,74652.52%1,2112.80%-3,397-7.84%43,306
Clallam 24,72150.18%23,06246.81%1,4813.01%1,6593.37%49,264
Clark 140,32450.95%126,30345.86%8,7763.19%14,0215.09%275,403
Columbia 66826.77%1,75470.30%732.93%-1,086-43.53%2,495
Cowlitz 23,93839.71%34,42457.11%1,9183.18%-10,486-17.40%60,280
Douglas 7,81136.66%12,95560.80%5422.54%-5,144-24.14%21,308
Ferry 1,48634.03%2,77163.45%1102.52%-1,285-29.42%4,367
Franklin 13,34041.17%18,03955.67%1,0253.16%-4,699-14.50%32,404
Garfield 36624.58%1,06971.79%543.63%-703-47.21%1,489
Grant 11,81931.37%24,76465.72%1,0972.91%-12,945-34.35%37,680
Grays Harbor 17,35445.14%19,87751.71%1,2103.15%-2,523-6.57%38,441
Island 29,21354.17%22,74642.18%1,9663.65%6,46711.99%53,925
Jefferson 17,20469.39%6,93127.96%6572.65%10,27341.43%24,792
King 907,31074.95%269,16722.24%34,0302.81%638,14352.71%1,210,507
Kitsap 90,27756.90%61,56338.80%6,8324.30%28,71418.10%158,672
Kittitas 11,42143.32%14,10553.50%8383.18%-2,684-10.18%26,364
Klickitat 5,95943.95%7,23753.37%3642.68%-1,278-9.42%13,560
Lewis 14,52032.05%29,39164.87%1,3983.08%-14,871-32.82%45,309
Lincoln 1,71324.36%5,15073.23%1702.41%-3,437-48.87%7,033
Mason 17,26946.29%18,71050.16%1,3243.55%-1,441-3.87%37,303
Okanogan 8,90041.82%11,84055.63%5422.55%-2,940-13.81%21,282
Pacific 6,79448.31%6,95349.44%3172.25%-159-1.13%14,064
Pend Oreille 2,59330.32%5,72866.97%2322.71%-3,135-36.65%8,553
Pierce 249,50653.76%197,73042.61%16,8453.63%51,77611.15%464,081
San Juan 9,72573.69%3,05723.16%4153.15%6,66850.53%13,197
Skagit 38,25252.10%32,76244.62%2,4093.28%5,4907.48%73,423
Skamania 3,19243.65%3,88553.13%2353.22%-693-9.48%7,312
Snohomish 256,72858.51%166,42837.93%15,6403.56%90,30020.58%438,796
Spokane 135,76545.96%148,57650.29%11,0893.75%-12,811-4.33%295,430
Stevens 7,83927.57%19,80869.67%7832.76%-11,969-42.10%28,430
Thurston 96,60857.46%65,27738.82%6,2493.72%31,33118.64%168,134
Wahkiakum 1,16539.08%1,74158.40%752.52%-576-19.32%2,981
Walla Walla 13,69043.79%16,40052.46%1,1713.75%-2,710-8.67%31,261
Whatcom 83,66060.35%50,48936.42%4,4713.23%33,17123.93%138,620
Whitman 11,18452.94%9,06742.92%8754.14%2,11710.02%21,126
Yakima 43,17944.89%50,55552.56%2,4592.55%-7,376-7.67%96,193
Totals2,369,61257.97%1,584,65138.77%133,3683.26%784,96119.20%4,087,631
Washington County Swing 2020.svg
Washington County Trend 2020.svg
Washington County Flips 2020.svg
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Biden won 7 of 10 congressional districts. [52]

DistrictTrumpBidenRepresentative
1st 38%59% Suzan DelBene
2nd 35%62% Rick Larsen
3rd 51%47% Jaime Herrera Beutler
4th 58%39% Dan Newhouse
5th 53%44% Cathy McMorris Rodgers
6th 39%57% Derek Kilmer
7th 12%86% Pramila Jayapal
8th 45%51% Kim Schrier
9th 24%73% Adam Smith
10th 41%56% Denny Heck
Marilyn Strickland

See also

Notes

  1. 1 2 Candidate withdrew after Super Tuesday when all-mail voting had already begun.
  2. 1 2 3 Candidate withdrew before Super Tuesday when all-mail voting had already begun.
  3. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  4. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  5. Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  6. "Another candidate" with 5%
  7. Includes "Refused"
  8. "Another candidate" with 6%
  9. "A candidate from another party" with 5%

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States presidential election in Nebraska</span>

The 2020 United States presidential election in Nebraska was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Nebraska voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Nebraska has five electoral votes in the Electoral College, two from the state at large, and one each from the three congressional districts.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States presidential election in Mississippi</span>

The 2020 United States presidential election in Mississippi was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Mississippi voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Mississippi has six electoral votes in the Electoral College.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States presidential election in New Hampshire</span>

The 2020 United States presidential election in New Hampshire was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states and the District of Columbia participated. New Hampshire voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominees, incumbent President Donald Trump and Vice President Mike Pence, against the Democratic Party's nominees, former Vice President Joe Biden and his running mate, Senator Kamala Harris. New Hampshire has four electoral votes in the Electoral College.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States presidential election in New Jersey</span>

The 2020 United States presidential election in New Jersey was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. New Jersey voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. New Jersey has 14 electoral votes in the Electoral College.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States presidential election in North Carolina</span>

The 2020 United States presidential election in North Carolina was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. North Carolina voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state was narrowly won by the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump of Florida, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence of Indiana, against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden of Delaware, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. North Carolina had 15 electoral votes in the Electoral College.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in Washington (state)</span>

The 2024 United States presidential election in Washington is currently taking place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Washington voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Washington has 12 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.

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