2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky

Last updated

2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky
Flag of Kentucky.svg
  2018 November 3, 2020 2022  

All 6 Kentucky seats to the United States House of Representatives
 Majority partyMinority party
 
Party Republican Democratic
Last election51
Seats won51
Seat changeSteady2.svgSteady2.svg
Popular vote1,363,964735,419
Percentage64.46%34.76%
SwingIncrease2.svg 4.87%Decrease2.svg 4.29%

2020 U.S. House elections in Kentucky.svg
2020 United States House of Representatives Elections in Kentucky by county.svg

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the six U.S. representatives from the state of Kentucky, one from each of the state's six congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

Contents

Overview

District Republican Democratic OthersTotalResult
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1 246,32974.99%82,14125.01%00.00%328,470100.0%Republican hold
District 2 255,73570.96%94,64326.26%10,0212.78%360,399100.0%Republican hold
District 3 136,42537.16%230,67262.84%00.00%367,097100.0%Democratic hold
District 4 256,61367.09%125,89632.91%00.00%382,509100.0%Republican hold
District 5 250,91484.21%47,05615.79%00.00%297,970100.0%Republican hold
District 6 216,94857.32%155,01140.96%6,4911.72%378,450100.0%Republican hold
Total1,363,96464.46%735,41934.76%16,5120.78%2,115,895100.0%
Popular vote
Republican
64.46%
Democratic
34.76%
Other
0.78%
House seats
Republican
83.33%
Democratic
16.67%

District 1

2020 Kentucky's 1st congressional district election
Flag of Kentucky.svg
  2018
2022  
  James Comer official congressional photo (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee James Comer James Rhodes
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote246,32982,141
Percentage75.0%25.0%

2020 Kentucky's 1st congressional district election results map by county.svg
County results
Comer:     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%

U.S. Representative before election

James Comer
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

James Comer
Republican

The 1st district takes in Western Kentucky, including Paducah, Hopkinsville, Murray, and Henderson. The incumbent is Republican James Comer, who was re-elected with 68.6% of the vote. [1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared
  • James Rhodes [2]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [3] Safe RJuly 2, 2020
Inside Elections [4] Safe RJune 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [5] Safe RJuly 2, 2020
Politico [6] Safe RApril 19, 2020
Daily Kos [7] Safe RJune 3, 2020
RCP [8] Safe RJune 9, 2020
Niskanen [9] Safe RJune 7, 2020

Results

Kentucky's 1st congressional district, 2020 [10]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican James Comer (incumbent) 246,329 75.0
Democratic James Rhodes82,14125.0
Total votes328,470 100.0
Republican hold

District 2

2020 Kentucky's 2nd congressional district election
Flag of Kentucky.svg
  2018
2022  
  Brett Guthrie, Official Photo (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Brett Guthrie Hank Linderman
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote255,73594,643
Percentage70.9%26.3%

2020 Kentucky's 2nd congressional district election results map by county.svg
County results
Guthrie:     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%

U.S. Representative before election

Brett Guthrie
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Brett Guthrie
Republican

The 2nd district encompasses west-central Kentucky, taking in Bowling Green, Owensboro, and Elizabethtown. The incumbent is Republican Brett Guthrie, who was re-elected with 66.7% of the vote in 2018. [1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

Republican primary results [12]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Brett Guthrie (incumbent) 65,313 88.6
Republican Kathleen Free8,38011.4
Total votes73,693 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Hank Linderman, nominee for Kentucky's 2nd congressional district in 2018 [11]

Third parties

Libertarian Party

Populist Party

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [3] Safe RJuly 2, 2020
Inside Elections [4] Safe RJune 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [5] Safe RJuly 2, 2020
Politico [6] Safe RApril 19, 2020
Daily Kos [7] Safe RJune 3, 2020
RCP [8] Safe RJune 9, 2020
Niskanen [9] Safe RJune 7, 2020

Results

Kentucky's 2nd congressional district, 2020 [10]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Brett Guthrie (incumbent) 255,735 70.9
Democratic Hank Linderman94,64326.3
Libertarian Robert Lee Perry7,5882.1
Populist Lewis Carter2,4310.7
Write-in 20.0
Total votes360,399 100.0
Republican hold

District 3

2020 Kentucky's 3rd congressional district election
Flag of Kentucky.svg
  2018
2022  
  John Yarmuth 113th Congress.jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee John Yarmuth Rhonda Palazzo
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote230,672137,425
Percentage62.7%37.3%

KY-03 2012-2020 Election Results.svg
County result
Yarmuth:     60–70%

U.S. Representative before election

John Yarmuth
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

John Yarmuth
Democratic

The 3rd district encompasses nearly all of the Louisville metropolitan area. The incumbent is Democrat John Yarmuth, who was re-elected with 62.1% of the vote in 2018. [1]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Mike Craven, activist and candidate for Kentucky's 3rd congressional district in 2018 [14]
  • Waymen Eddings, businessman [14]
  • Rhonda Palazzo, realtor and candidate for Kentucky's 3rd congressional district in 2018 [14]

Primary results

Republican primary results [12]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Rhonda Palazzo 19,806 42.4
Republican Mike Craven19,67642.1
Republican Waymen Eddings7,27515.5
Total votes46,757 100.0

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [3] Safe DJuly 2, 2020
Inside Elections [4] Safe DJune 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [5] Safe DJuly 2, 2020
Politico [6] Safe DApril 19, 2020
Daily Kos [7] Safe DJune 3, 2020
RCP [8] Safe DJune 9, 2020
Niskanen [9] Safe DJune 7, 2020

Results

Kentucky's 3rd congressional district, 2020 [10]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic John Yarmuth (incumbent) 230,672 62.7
Republican Rhonda Palazzo137,42537.3
Total votes368,097 100.0
Democratic hold

District 4

2020 Kentucky's 4th congressional district election
Flag of Kentucky.svg
  2018
2022  
  Thomas Massie, official portrait, 112th Congress.jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Thomas Massie Alexandra Owensby
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote256,613125,896
Percentage67.1%32.9%

2020 Kentucky's 4th congressional district election results map by county.svg
County results
Massie:     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%

U.S. Representative before election

Thomas Massie
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Thomas Massie
Republican

The 4th district is located in the northeastern part of the state along the Ohio River, including the suburbs of Cincinnati and a small part of Louisville. The incumbent is Republican Thomas Massie, who was re-elected with 62.2% of the vote in 2018. [1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared
Declined

Endorsements

Thomas Massie (R)
US senators

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Thomas
Massie
Todd
McMurty
Kim
Moser
Undecided
WPA Intelligence [upper-alpha 1] June 10–11, 2020411 (LV)± 4.9%77%11%12%
WPA Intelligence [upper-alpha 1] April 27–28, 2020407 (LV)± 4.9%70%13%17%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [upper-alpha 2] February 4–6, 2020300 (V)± 5.66%71%3%
WPA Intelligence [upper-alpha 3] July 8–9, 2019400 (LV)± 4.9%64%10%26%
Hypothetical polling
with Generic Republican
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Thomas
Massie
Generic
Republican
Undecided
WPA Intelligence [upper-alpha 3] July 8–9, 2019400 (LV)± 4.9%50%8%43% [lower-alpha 2]

Primary results

Republican primary results [12]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Thomas Massie (incumbent) 68,591 81.0
Republican Todd McMurtry16,09219.0
Total votes84,683 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Shannon Fabert, business consultant [19]
  • Alexandra Owensby, nurse practitioner [19]

Primary results

Democratic primary results [12]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Alexandra Owensby 41,531 58.4
Democratic Shannon Fabert29,55741.6
Total votes71,088 100.0

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [3] Safe RJuly 2, 2020
Inside Elections [4] Safe RJune 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [5] Safe RJuly 2, 2020
Politico [6] Safe RApril 19, 2020
Daily Kos [7] Safe RJune 3, 2020
RCP [8] Safe RJune 9, 2020
Niskanen [9] Safe RJune 7, 2020

Results

Kentucky's 4th congressional district, 2020 [10]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Thomas Massie (incumbent) 256,613 67.1
Democratic Alexandra Owensby125,89632.9
Total votes382,509 100.0
Republican hold

District 5

2020 Kentucky's 5th congressional district election
Flag of Kentucky.svg
  2018
2022  
  Hal Rogers Official Photo 2010 (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Hal Rogers Matthew Best
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote250,91447,056
Percentage84.2%15.8%

2020 Kentucky's 5th congressional district election results map by county.svg
County results
Rogers:     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%

U.S. Representative before election

Hal Rogers
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Hal Rogers
Republican

The 5th district, one of the poorest and most rural in the country, is based in the coalfields of eastern Kentucky. The incumbent is Republican Hal Rogers, who was re-elected with 78.9% of the vote in 2018. [1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Hal Rogers, incumbent U.S. representative [20]
  • Geraldo Serrano, farmer and candidate for Kentucky's 5th congressional district in 2018 [20]

Primary results

Republican primary results [12]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Hal Rogers (incumbent) 76,575 91.1
Republican Gerardo Serrano7,4368.9
Total votes84,011 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared
Declined

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [3] Safe RJuly 2, 2020
Inside Elections [4] Safe RJune 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [5] Safe RJuly 2, 2020
Politico [6] Safe RApril 19, 2020
Daily Kos [7] Safe RJune 3, 2020
RCP [8] Safe RJune 9, 2020
Niskanen [9] Safe RJune 7, 2020

Results

Kentucky's 5th congressional district, 2020 [10]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Hal Rogers (incumbent) 250,914 84.2
Democratic Matthew Best47,05615.8
Total votes297,970 100.0
Republican hold

District 6

2020 Kentucky's 6th congressional district election
Flag of Kentucky.svg
  2018
2022  
  Andy Barr official congressional photo (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Andy Barr Josh Hicks
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote216,948155,011
Percentage57.3%41.0%

2020 Kentucky's 6th congressional district election results map by county.svg
County results
Barr:     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Hicks:     50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Andy Barr
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Andy Barr
Republican

The 6th district is located in central Kentucky, taking in Lexington, Richmond, and Frankfort. The incumbent is Republican Andy Barr, who was re-elected with 51.0% of the vote in 2018. [1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

Republican primary results [12]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Andy Barr (incumbent) 62,706 90.7
Republican Chuck Eddy3,6365.3
Republican Geoff Young 2,7654.0
Total votes69,107 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Josh Hicks, attorney and U.S. Marine veteran [24]
  • Daniel Kemph, business analyst and candidate for Kentucky's 6th congressional district in 2018 [23]

Primary results

Democratic primary results [12]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Josh Hicks 81,305 72.4
Democratic Daniel Kemph31,06427.6
Total votes112,369 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Josh Hicks (D)

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [3] Likely RJuly 2, 2020
Inside Elections [4] Safe RJune 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [5] Likely RJuly 2, 2020
Politico [6] Likely RApril 19, 2020
Daily Kos [7] Likely RJune 3, 2020
RCP [8] Lean ROctober 24, 2020
Niskanen [9] Lean RJune 7, 2020

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Andy
Barr (R)
Josh
Hicks (D)
Frank
Harris (L)
Undecided
Bluegrass Voters Coalition (D) [upper-alpha 4] July 13, 2020700 (LV)± 5.0%48%50%2%11%

Results

Kentucky's 6th congressional district, 2020 [10]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Andy Barr (incumbent) 216,948 57.3
Democratic Josh Hicks155,01141.0
Libertarian Frank Harris6,4911.7
Total votes378,450 100.0
Republican hold

See also

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. "Would consider another candidate besides Massie" with 36%; "don't know" with 7%
Partisan clients
  1. 1 2 By the time of this poll's sampling period, the Club for Growth had endorsed Massie's re-election bid
  2. Poll sponsored by Massie
  3. 1 2 The Club for Growth is an organization that exclusively endorses Republican candidates
  4. This pollster supports candidates it considers politically progressive

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Anne Meagher Northup is an American Republican politician and educator from the Commonwealth of Kentucky. From 1997 to 2007, she represented the Louisville-centered 3rd congressional district of Kentucky in the United States House of Representatives, where she served on the powerful House Appropriations Committee. She lost reelection to Democrat John Yarmuth in the 2006 election. She then ran for Governor of Kentucky, losing by 15 points to embattled governor Ernie Fletcher in the Republican primary election for the 2007 Kentucky gubernatorial election. Prior to her election to the United States House of Representatives, Northup had served in the Kentucky House of Representatives. Northup ran again for her old congressional seat in the 2008 election, losing again to Yarmuth.

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  19. 1 2 Fair, Julia (January 7, 2020). "This is our best shot at changing things.' NKY Democrat nurse practitioner files to run against Republican Rep. Thomas Massie in 2020". Cincinnati Enquirer. Retrieved January 26, 2020.
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  25. Charles Booker [@Booker4KY] (October 21, 2020). "From the hood to the holler, there is a movement growing in KY. Regular folks are rising up to fight back. @joshhicksky is standing for the people of KY's 6th District, and I am proud to stand with him. Let's send a warrior to Washington: t.co/Tu53QsIu4N t.co/weHGxxkofB" (Tweet). Retrieved January 28, 2021 via Twitter.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link)
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Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates
Official campaign websites for 5th district candidates
Official campaign websites for 6th district candidates