2020 United States House of Representatives election in North Dakota

Last updated

2020 United States House of Representatives election in North Dakota's at-large district
Flag of North Dakota.svg
  2018
November 3, 2020
2022  
Turnout61.16% Increase2.svg [1]
  Kelly Armstrong (cropped 2).jpg Zachary Raknerud.jpg
Nominee Kelly Armstrong Zach Raknerud
Party Republican Democratic–NPL
Popular vote245,22997,970
Percentage68.96%27.55%

ND-AL 2020 by county.svg
ND House 2020.svg
Armstrong:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Raknerud:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%

U.S. Representative before election

Kelly Armstrong
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Kelly Armstrong
Republican

The 2020 United States House of Representatives election in North Dakota was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the U.S. representative from North Dakota's at-large congressional district. The election coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections.

Contents

The incumbent was Republican Kelly Armstrong, who was elected with 60.2% of the vote in 2018. [2] He was re-elected in 2020 and won 5 counties he lost in 2018.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

Republican primary results [3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Kelly Armstrong (incumbent) 99,582 99.54%
Republican Write-in4610.46%
Total votes100,043 100.0%

Democratic-NPL primary

Candidates

Declared

Endorsements

Zach Raknerud

Labor unions

Organizations

Primary results

Democratic primary results by county:

Zachary Raknerud
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80-85%
65-70%
60-65%
55-60%
50-55%
35-40%
Roland Riemers
75-80%
60-65%
55-60%
50-55%
40-45% 2020 North Dakota U.S. House election results map by county, Democratic primary.svg
Democratic primary results by county:
Zachary Raknerud
  •   80–85%
      65–70%
      60–65%
      55–60%
      50–55%
      35–40%
Roland Riemers
  •   75–80%
      60–65%
      55–60%
      50–55%
      40–45%
Democratic primary results [3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic–NPL Zach Raknerud 21,394 62.03%
Democratic–NPL Roland Riemers 12,74736.96%
Democratic–NPL Write-in3461.00%
Total votes34,487 100.0%

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Steven Peterson [9]

Primary results

Libertarian primary results [3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Libertarian Steven Peterson 729 78.47%
Libertarian Write-in20022.36%
Total votes929 100.0%

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [10] Safe RNovember 2, 2020
Inside Elections [11] Safe ROctober 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [12] Safe RNovember 2, 2020
Politico [13] Safe RNovember 2, 2020
Daily Kos [14] Safe RNovember 2, 2020
RCP [15] Safe RNovember 2, 2020

Results

North Dakota's at-large congressional district, 2020 [16]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Kelly Armstrong (incumbent) 245,229 68.96% +8.76%
Democratic–NPL Zach Raknerud97,97027.55%−8.02%
Libertarian Steven Peterson12,0243.38%N/A
n/a Write-ins3750.11%N/A
Total votes355,598 100.00%
Republican hold

By county

CountyKelly Armstrong
Republican
Zach Raknerud
Democratic–NPL
All othersMarginTotal
votes
#%#%#%#%
Adams 1,01080.4%21317.0%332.6%79763.4%1,256
Barnes 3,73768.3%1,56228.6%1723.2%2,17539.7%5,471
Benson 1,13858.8%73838.2%583.0%40020.6%1,934
Billings 55487.4%6410.1%162.5%49077.3%634
Bottineau 2,64677.3%69220.2%842.5%1,95457.1%3,422
Bowman 1,41385.9%19511.9%372.3%1,21874.0%1,645
Burke 97786.2%14012.3%171.5%83773.9%1,134
Burleigh 36,12272.4%12,11124.3%1,6433.3%24,01148.1%49,876
Cass 46,87755.5%34,05540.3%3,6034.3%12,82215.2%84,535
Cavalier 1,54877.7%40020.1%442.3%1,14857.6%1,992
Dickey 1,79674.7%53222.1%773.3%1,26452.6%2,405
Divide 91376.6%24220.3%373.1%67156.3%1,192
Dunn 1,94883.6%31913.7%622.7%1,62969.9%2,329
Eddy 87470.1%33627.0%362.9%53843.1%1,246
Emmons 1,73687.7%20710.5%371.9%1,52977.2%1,980
Foster 1,39179.6%31818.2%382.2%1,07361.4%1,747
Golden Valley 87186.5%11411.3%222.2%75775.2%1,007
Grand Forks 18,42761.0%10,74635.6%1,0383.5%7,68125.4%30,211
Grant 1,16384.3%18913.7%272.0%97470.6%1,379
Griggs 94176.7%26021.2%262.1%68155.5%1,227
Hettinger 1,12686.5%14911.5%262.0%97775.0%1,301
Kidder 1,21783.6%21214.6%271.9%1,00569.0%1,456
LaMoure 1,69577.2%43719.9%632.8%1,25857.3%2,195
Logan 91486.6%11310.7%282.7%80175.9%1,055
McHenry 2,35879.1%55418.6%692.4%1,80460.5%2,981
McIntosh 1,19182.4%22015.2%342.4%97167.2%1,445
McKenzie 4,39582.7%71913.5%2013.8%3,67669.2%5,315
McLean 4,22077.1%1,11920.4%1372.5%3,10166.7%5,476
Mercer 3,87183.5%66814.4%982.1%3,20369.1%4,637
Morton 12,38275.8%3,37520.6%5873.6%9,00755.2%16,344
Mountrail 2,81968.8%1,15428.2%1253.1%1,66540.6%4,098
Nelson 1,19568.6%49528.4%533.1%1,66540.2%4,098
Oliver 90685.9%12111.5%282.7%78574.4%1,055
Pembina 2,51876.7%68520.9%812.4%1,83355.8%3,284
Pierce 1,63378.0%41119.6%492.3%1,22257.6%2,093
Ramsey 3,78671.1%1,36225.6%1753.3%2,42445.5%5,323
Ransom 1,49261.8%81833.9%1054.3%67427.9%2,415
Renville 1,07381.8%19414.8%443.4%87967.0%1,311
Richland 5,27668.7%2,12427.7%2763.6%3,15241.0%7,676
Rolette 1,34436.0%2,29261.3%1022.8%-948-25.3%3,738
Sargent 1,29563.9%67433.2%592.9%62130.7%2,028
Sheridan 68485.1%10312.8%172.1%58172.3%804
Sioux 29425.1%72862.1%15012.8%-434-37.1%1,172
Slope 37789.5%378.8%71.7%34080.7%421
Stark 12,40883.5%1,98113.3%4633.1%10,42770.2%14,852
Steele 70465.6%34432.1%252.3%36033.5%1,073
Stutsman 7,00573.0%2,25223.5%3423.6%4,75349.5%9,599
Towner 86675.0%27123.5%181.6%59551.5%1,155
Traill 2,70966.1%1,27531.1%1152.8%1,43435.0%4,099
Walsh 3,48574.3%1,08223.1%1222.6%2,40351.2%4,689
Ward 20,46573.4%6,32022.7%1,1003.9%14,14550.7%27,885
Wells 1,91081.2%38616.4%552.3%1,52464.8%2,351
Williams 11,53482.9%1,86213.4%5113.6%9,67269.5%13,907
Totals245,22969.0%97,97027.6%12,3993.5%147,25941.4%355,598

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

References

  1. "Voter Turnout Details". North Dakota Secretary of State. November 3, 2020. Retrieved November 13, 2022.
  2. Wasserman, David; Flinn, Ally (November 7, 2018). "2018 House Popular Vote Tracker". Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 15, 2019.
  3. 1 2 3 "Statewide Results". North Dakota Secretary of State . Retrieved June 9, 2020.
  4. Dura, Jack (January 27, 2020). "Candidates Emerge in North Dakota's 2020 U.S. House Race". The Bismarck Tribune. Retrieved March 23, 2020.
  5. Notermann, Jacob (June 1, 2020). "Dem primary heating up". KFYR.
  6. "Labor Endorsed Candidates for November 2020". North Dakota AFL–CIO. Retrieved June 5, 2020.
  7. "2020 Endorsed House Candidates". DUH! Demand Universal Healthcare. Archived from the original on May 2, 2020. Retrieved May 30, 2020.
  8. "North Dakota Democrats Endorse 2020 State, Congressional Candidates". The Bismarck Tribune. March 22, 2020. Retrieved March 22, 2020.
  9. "Candidate for Congress Steven Peterson ~ Easing the Need for Foster Care". Prairie Public News. August 12, 2020. Retrieved September 3, 2020.
  10. "2020 House Race Ratings for November 2, 2020". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved April 5, 2021.
  11. "2020 House Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved April 5, 2021.
  12. "2020 House race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved April 5, 2021.
  13. "2020 Election Forecast". Politico . April 5, 2021.
  14. "2020 House Race Ratings". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved April 5, 2021.
  15. "Battle for House 2020". RCP . Retrieved April 5, 2021.
  16. "OFFICIAL (WITHOUT RECOUNTS) 2020 GENERAL ELECTION RESULTS: Representative in Congress". North Dakota Election Officials. Retrieved November 17, 2020.

Official campaign websites