2020 North Carolina lieutenant gubernatorial election

Last updated

2020 North Carolina lieutenant gubernatorial election
Flag of North Carolina.svg
  2016 November 3, 2020 2024  
  3I3A3929 (cropped).jpg Yvonne Holley NC (cropped).jpg
Nominee Mark Robinson Yvonne Lewis Holley
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote2,800,6562,623,458
Percentage51.6%48.4%

NC Lieutenent gubernatorial election, 2020.svg
NC 2020 LG CD.svg
NC Lieutenant Governor 2020.svg
Robinson:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Holley:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     50%

Lieutenant Governor before election

Dan Forest
Republican

Elected Lieutenant Governor

Mark Robinson
Republican

The 2020 North Carolina lieutenant gubernatorial election took place on November 3, 2020, to elect the Lieutenant Governor of North Carolina, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Primary elections were held on March 3, 2020.

Contents

In North Carolina, the Governor and Lieutenant Governor are elected separately.

Incumbent Republican Lieutenant Governor Dan Forest was re-elected to a second term in 2016, despite Republican Governor Pat McCrory losing reelection by a narrow margin. [1] Forest was ineligible to run for a third term due to term limits established by the Constitution of North Carolina. He instead unsuccessfully ran for Governor. [2]

The Republican Party nominated businessman Mark Robinson (who was running for public office for the first time), and the Democratic Party nominated state representative Yvonne Lewis Holley. No matter who won, North Carolina would elect its first African-American lieutenant governor. Robinson won the general election, while Democratic incumbent Gov. Roy Cooper won re-election.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Buddy
Bengel
Deborah
Cochran
Renee
Ellmers
Greg
Gebhardt
Mark
Johnson
John
Ritter
Mark
Robinson
Scott
Stone
Andy
Wells
Undecided
Harper Polling/Civitas Institute December 2–4, 2019500 (LV)± 4.38%5%8%7%3%3%1%4%1%1%67%

Results

Primary results by county:
Robinson
.mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{}
Robinson--61-70%
Robinson--51-60%
Robinson--41-50%
Robinson--31-40%
Robinson--21-30%
Wells
Wells--41-50%
Ritter
Ritter--31-40%
Ellmers
Ellmers--21-30%
Cochran
Cochran--41-50%
Stone
Stone--11-20% 2020 North Carolina lieutenant gubernatorial Republican primary county map.svg
Primary results by county:
Robinson
  •   Robinson—61-70%
  •   Robinson—51-60%
  •   Robinson—41-50%
  •   Robinson—31-40%
  •   Robinson—21-30%
Wells
  •   Wells—41-50%
Ritter
  •   Ritter—31-40%
Ellmers
  •   Ellmers—21-30%
Cochran
  •   Cochran—41-50%
Stone
  •   Stone—11-20%
Republican primary results [18]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Mark Robinson 240,843 32.52%
Republican Andy Wells 107,82414.56%
Republican Mark Johnson 89,20012.04%
Republican John L. Ritter85,02311.48%
Republican Renee Ellmers 50,5266.82%
Republican Greg Gebhardt50,4746.81%
Republican Deborah Cochran48,2346.51%
Republican Scott Stone 48,1936.51%
Republican Buddy Bengel20,3952.75%
Total votes740,712 100.00%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrawn

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Chaz
Beasley
Yvonne
Holley
Ron
Newton
Allen
Thomas
Bill
Toole
Terry
Van Duyn
Undecided
Public Policy Polling February 4–5, 2020604-6%7%1%4%2%5%75%
Public Policy Polling January 10–13, 2020509-3%7%2%6%2%4%77%

Results

Primary results by county:
Lewis Holley
Lewis Holley--41-50%
Lewis Holley--31-40%
Lewis Holley--21-30%
Van Duyn
Van Duyn--61-70%
Van Duyn--41-50%
Van Duyn--31-40%
Van Duyn--21-30%
Beasley
Beasley--51-60%
Beasley--41-50%
Beasley--31-40%
Beasley--21-30%
Thomas
Thomas--71-80%
Thomas--61-70%
Thomas--51-60%
Thomas--41-50%
Thomas--31-40%
Toole
Toole--31-40%
Newton
Newton--51-60% 2020 North Carolina lieutenant gubernatorial Democratic primary county map.svg
Primary results by county:
Lewis Holley
  •   Lewis Holley—41-50%
  •   Lewis Holley—31-40%
  •   Lewis Holley—21-30%
Van Duyn
  •   Van Duyn—61-70%
  •   Van Duyn—41-50%
  •   Van Duyn—31-40%
  •   Van Duyn—21-30%
Beasley
  •   Beasley—51-60%
  •   Beasley—41-50%
  •   Beasley—31-40%
  •   Beasley—21-30%
Thomas
  •   Thomas—71-80%
  •   Thomas—61-70%
  •   Thomas—51-60%
  •   Thomas—41-50%
  •   Thomas—31-40%
Toole
  •   Toole—31-40%
Newton
  •   Newton—51-60%
Democratic primary results [18]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Yvonne Lewis Holley 309,274 26.58%
Democratic Terry Van Duyn 237,88520.44%
Democratic Chaz Beasley 219,50318.86%
Democratic Allen Thomas219,22918.84%
Democratic Bill Toole111,8439.61%
Democratic Ron Newton65,9705.67%
Total votes1,163,704 100.00%

Because no candidate in the Democratic primary won more than 30 percent of the vote, second-place finisher Terry Van Duyn was entitled to call for a runoff, or "second primary," if she chose to do so. [25] However, Van Duyn chose not to call for a runoff, and Yvonne Holley was awarded the Democratic nomination. [26]

General election

Campaign

Robinson controversy

The Republican nominee attracted controversy in September as a result of his social media posts alleging negative Jewish influence in Hollywood, among other complaints. [27] He claimed that the movie Black Panther was "created by an agnostic Jew and put to film by satanic marxist [sic]. How can this trash, that was only created to pull the shekels out of your Schvartze pockets, invoke any pride?" [28] He also mischaracterized former first lady Michelle Obama as male and her husband Barack Obama as an atheist. Robinson stood by his comments in a September interview with Raleigh news station WRAL, stating, "I don’t back up from them a bit. May hurt some people’s feelings, some things that people may not like, but those are my personal opinions." [29]

Endorsements

Yvonne Lewis Holley (D)

Polling

Graphical summary
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mark
Robinson (R)
Yvonne
Lewis Holley (D)
OtherUndecided
East Carolina University October 27–28, 20201,103 (LV)± 3.4%47%43%2% [lower-alpha 2] 8%
Cardinal Point Analytics (R) October 27–28, 2020750 (LV)± 3.6%45%44%12%
Meeting Street Insights (R) Archived 2020-10-31 at the Wayback Machine October 24–27, 2020600 (LV)± 4%46%47%
SurveyUSA October 23–26, 2020627 (LV)± 4.9%47%44%9%
Harper Polling/Civitas (R) October 22–25, 2020504 (LV)± 4.4%43%46%10%
East Carolina University October 15–18, 20201,155 (LV)± 3.4%47%42%1% [lower-alpha 3] 9%
East Carolina University October 2–4, 20201,232 (LV)± 3.2%45%45%2% [lower-alpha 4] 9%
Harper Polling/Civitas (R) September 17–20, 2020612 (LV)± 3.96%43%40%16%
SurveyUSA September 10–13, 2020596 (LV)± 5.6%41%41%18%
East Carolina University August 29–30, 20201,101 (LV)± 3.4%43%40%3% [lower-alpha 5] 14%
Cardinal Point Analytics (R) July 22–24, 2020735 (LV)±  3.6%46%38%16%
Cardinal Point Analytics (R) July 13–15, 2020547 (LV)± 4.2%43%39%18%

Results

State Senate Districts results NC LTG SS.svg
State Senate Districts results
State House Districts results 2020.NC.LGOV.svg
State House Districts results
North Carolina lieutenant gubernatorial election, 2020 [32]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Mark Robinson 2,800,656 51.63% -0.18%
Democratic Yvonne Lewis Holley 2,623,45848.37%+3.05%
Total votes5,424,114 100.0%
Republican hold

Notes

  1. 1 2 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. Did/would not vote with 2%
  3. Would/did not vote with 1%
  4. Would not vote with 2%
  5. "Some other candidate" with 3%; would not vote with 1%

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References

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  2. "Dan Forest will hold campaign kick off rally in August". North State Journal. July 10, 2019. Retrieved July 10, 2019.
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  6. "Cochran announces bid for lieutenant governor". The Mount Airy News. May 20, 2018.
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  25. Asheville Citizen-Times
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Official campaign websites