2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida

Last updated

2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida
Flag of Florida.svg
  2018 November 3, 2020 2022  

All 27 Florida seats to the United States House of Representatives
 Majority partyMinority party
 
Party Republican Democratic
Last election1413
Seats won1611
Seat changeIncrease2.svg 2Decrease2.svg 2
Popular vote5,469,1644,942,287
Percentage52.26%47.23%
SwingDecrease2.svg 0.09%Increase2.svg 0.13%

Florida Congressional Election Results 2020.svg
2020 US House of Representatives Elections in Florida by county.svg

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida were held on November 3, 2020, to elect the 27 U.S. representatives from Florida, one from each of the state's 27 congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the U.S. Senate, and various state and local elections.

Contents

In what was considered an upset, the Republican Party retook the two seats that it lost to the Democrats in 2018, expanding its 14–13 majority to 16–11. [1] [2]

Statewide

Popular vote
Republican
52.26%
Democratic
47.23%
Other
0.51%
House seats
Republican
59.26%
Democratic
40.74%

District 1

2020 Florida's 1st congressional district election
Flag of Florida.svg
  2018 November 3, 2020 2022  
  Matt Gaetz, official portrait, 116th Congress (cropped).jpg Phil Ehr.jpg
Nominee Matt Gaetz Phil Ehr
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote283,352149,172
Percentage64.6%34.1%

2020 Florida's 1st Congressional District Election map by county.svg
FL1 House 2020.svg
Gaetz:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Ehr:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%

U.S. Representative before election

Matt Gaetz
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Matt Gaetz
Republican

The 1st district encompasses the western Panhandle, and includes all of Escambia, Okaloosa, Santa Rosa, and Walton counties, as well as part of Holmes County. The district includes the cities of Pensacola, Fort Walton Beach, and Navarre. Republican Matt Gaetz, who had represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 67% of the vote in 2018. [3]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Primary results

Republican primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Matt Gaetz (incumbent) 87,457 80.9
Republican John Mills10,3839.6
Republican Greg Merk10,2279.5
Total votes108,067 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Independent and third-party candidates

Independents

Declared
  • Albert Oram, lawyer

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [7] Safe RJuly 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight [8] Safe ROctober 15, 2020
Inside Elections [9] Safe RJune 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [10] Safe RJuly 2, 2020
Politico [11] Safe RApril 19, 2020
Daily Kos [12] Safe RJune 3, 2020
RCP [13] Safe RJune 9, 2020
Niskanen [14] Safe RJune 7, 2020

Results

Florida's 1st congressional district, 2020 [15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Matt Gaetz (incumbent) 283,352 64.61%
Democratic Phil Ehr149,17234.01%
Independent Albert Oram6,0381.38%
Total votes438,532 100.0
Republican hold

District 2

2020 Florida's 2nd congressional district election
Flag of Florida.svg
  2018 November 3, 2020 2022  
  Neal Dunn 115th Congress photo (cropped).jpg
Nominee Neal Dunn
Party Republican
Popular vote305,337
Percentage97.86%

2020 Florida's 2nd Congressional District Election Map by county.svg
FL2 House 2020.svg
Precinct results
Dunn:     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
O'Connor:     60–70%     70–80%
     No data

U.S. Representative before election

Neal Dunn
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Neal Dunn
Republican

The 2nd district is located in northern Florida taking in portions of the Panhandle and the Big Bend, including all or parts of 19 counties. The district includes the cities of Panama City, Marianna, and Lake City. Republican Neal Dunn, who had represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 67% of the vote in 2018. [3]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Democratic primary

Candidates

Withdrawn
  • Willie Anderson, priest [16]
  • Connor Oswald, teacher [17]
  • Kristy Thripp, activist [18]

Independent and third-party candidates

Independents

Declared

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [7] Safe RJuly 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight [20] Safe ROctober 15, 2020
Inside Elections [9] Safe RJune 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [10] Safe RJuly 2, 2020
Politico [11] Safe RApril 19, 2020
Daily Kos [12] Safe RJune 3, 2020
RCP [13] Safe RJune 9, 2020
Niskanen [14] Safe RJune 7, 2020

Results

Florida's 2nd congressional district, 2020 [15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Neal Dunn (incumbent) 305,337 97.86%
Independent Kim O'Connor (write-in)6,6622.14%
Total votes311,999 100.0
Republican hold

District 3

2020 Florida's 3rd congressional district election
Flag of Florida.svg
  2018 November 3, 2020 2022  
  Rep. Kat Cammack official photo, 117th Congress (cropped).jpg AdamChristensen.png
Nominee Kat Cammack Adam Christensen
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote223,075167,326
Percentage57.1%42.9%

2020 Florida's 3rd Congressional District Election map by county.svg
FL3 House 2020.svg
Precinct results
Cammack:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Christensen:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%

U.S. Representative before election

Ted Yoho
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Kat Cammack
Republican

The 3rd district is located in North Central Florida, and includes Alachua, Clay, Putnam, Bradford, and Union counties, as well as most of Marion County. The district includes the cities of Gainesville, Palatka, and Ocala. Republican Ted Yoho, who had represented the district since 2013, was re-elected with 57% of the vote in 2018. [3] On December 10, 2019, Yoho announced he would not run for re-election, honoring his pledge that he would only serve four terms. [21]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Ryan Chamberlin, author [23]
  • Todd Chase, former Gainesville city commissioner [24]
  • Bill Engelbrecht, healthcare executive [25]
  • Joe Millado, businessman and former congressional aide [26]
  • Gavin Rollins, Clay County commissioner [27]
  • Judson Sapp, former actor and businessman and candidate for this district in 2018 [28]
  • James St. George, physician [29]
  • David Theus, business consultant [25]
  • Amy Pope Wells, businesswoman [30]

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Kat Cammack
Federal officials
State officials
  • Denise Grimsley, former state senator (2012–2018) and state representative (2004–2012) [37]
Organizations
Todd Chase
State officials
  • Aaron Bean, state senator and former state representative (2000–2008) [42]
  • Keith Perry, state senator and former state representative (2010–2016) [42]
Gavin Rollins
State officials
Judson Sapp
Federal officials
State officials
Individuals
James St. George
Federal officials

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Kat
Cammack
Ryan
Chamberlin
Todd
Chase
James St.
George
Keith
Perry
Gavin
Rollins
Judson
Sapp
Amy Pope
Wells
OtherUndecided
Meer Research August 6–8, 2020317 (RV)± 5.75%25%3%6%13%11%15%3%4% [lower-alpha 2] 20%
WPA Intelligence [upper-alpha 1] June 16–17, 2020405 (RV)± 4.9%10%1%5%4%1%12%1%5% [lower-alpha 3] 60%
Americana Analytics/Judson Sapp [upper-alpha 2] Released April 20, 2020400 (V)± 5%3%4%16% [lower-alpha 4] >70%
Clearview Research December 16–17, 2019401 (LV)35%9%2%6% [lower-alpha 5] 48%
Hypothetical polling
with Ted Yoho
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Gavin
Rollins
Judson
Sapp
Amy
Pope Wells
Ted
Yoho
Undecided
Meer Research November 20, 2019533 (RV)± 4.24%8%2%3%71%16%

Primary results

Republican primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Kat Cammack 21,679 25.2
Republican Judson Sapp17,18020.0
Republican Gavin Rollins13,11815.3
Republican James St. George12,12514.1
Republican Todd Chase8,1659.5
Republican Ryan Chamberlin5,0675.9
Republican Amy Pope Wells3,5644.1
Republican Bill Engelbrecht2,0012.3
Republican David Theus1,8742.2
Republican Joe Millado1,1681.4
Total votes85,941 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Adam Christensen, businessman [52]
Eliminated in primary

Endorsements

Adam Christensen
Individuals

Primary results

Democratic primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Adam Christensen 21,073 34.5
Democratic Tom Wells20,29033.2
Democratic Philip Dodds19,73032.3
Total votes61,093 100.0

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [7] Safe RJuly 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight [55] Safe ROctober 15, 2020
Inside Elections [9] Safe RJune 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [10] Safe RJuly 2, 2020
Politico [11] Safe RApril 19, 2020
Daily Kos [12] Safe RJune 3, 2020
RCP [13] Safe RJune 9, 2020
Niskanen [14] Safe RJune 7, 2020

Results

Florida's 3rd congressional district, 2020 [15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Kat Cammack 223,075 57.14%
Democratic Adam Christensen167,32642.86%
Total votes390,401 100.0
Republican hold

District 4

2020 Florida's 4th congressional district election
Flag of Florida.svg
  2018
2022  
  John Rutherford 115th Congress photo.jpg Deegan Donna-3327b (cropped).jpg
Nominee John Rutherford Donna Deegan
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote308,497196,423
Percentage61.1%38.9%

FL4 House 2020.svg
Precinct results
Rutherford:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Deegan:     50–60%     60–70%     >90%
Tie:     50%
     No data

U.S. Representative before election

John Rutherford
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

John Rutherford
Republican

The 4th district is located in the First Coast region, and includes all of Nassau County, as well as parts of Duval and St. Johns counties. The district includes the cities of Jacksonville, St. Augustine, and Fernandina Beach. Republican John Rutherford, who had represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 65% of the vote in 2018. [3]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Primary results

Republican primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican John Rutherford (incumbent) 80,101 80.2
Republican Erick Aguilar19,79819.8
Total votes99,899 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Withdrawn

Endorsements

Donna Deegan
Unions
Organizations

Independent and third-party candidates

Independents

Declared

General election

Debate

2020 Florida's 4th congressional district debate
No.DateHostModeratorLink Republican Democratic
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited  W  Withdrawn
John Rutherford Donna Deegan
1Oct. 14, 2020 WJXT Kent Justice YouTube PP

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [7] Safe RJuly 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight [64] Safe ROctober 15, 2020
Inside Elections [9] Safe RJune 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [10] Safe RJuly 2, 2020
Politico [11] Safe RApril 19, 2020
Daily Kos [12] Safe RJune 3, 2020
RCP [13] Safe RJune 9, 2020
Niskanen [14] Safe RJune 7, 2020

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
John
Rutherford (R)
Donna
Deegan (D)
OtherUndecided
University of North Florida October 1–4, 2020863 (LV)± 3.3%57%38%5% [lower-alpha 6] 0%
St. Pete Polls/Florida Politics September 2, 20201,037 (LV)62%35%3%

Results

Florida's 4th congressional district, 2020 [15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican John Rutherford (incumbent) 308,497 61.10%
Democratic Donna Deegan 196,42338.90%
Independent Gary Koniz (write-in)200.00%
Total votes504,940 100.0
Republican hold

District 5

2020 Florida's 5th congressional district election
Flag of Florida.svg
  2018 November 3, 2020 2022  
  Al Lawson 116th Congress.jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Al Lawson Gary Adler
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote219,463117,510
Percentage65.13%34.87%

FL5 House 2020.svg
Precinct results
Lawson:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Adler:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
     No data

U.S. Representative before election

Al Lawson
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Al Lawson
Democratic

The 5th district stretches along the northern border of Florida, and includes all of Baker, Gadsden, Hamilton and Madison counties, as well as parts of Columbia, Duval, Jefferson, and Leon counties. The district includes the city of Quincy, as well as parts of Tallahassee and Jacksonville. The district is majority-minority. Democrat Al Lawson, who had represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 66% of the vote in 2018. [3]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Albert Chester, pharmacist [65]
  • LaShonda "LJ" Holloway, former congressional aide and candidate for this district in 2016 [66]

Endorsements

Primary results

Democratic primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Al Lawson (incumbent) 52,823 55.7
Democratic Albert Chester24,57925.9
Democratic LaShonda "LJ" Holloway17,37818.3
Total votes94,780 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Gary Adler, community activist [69]
Eliminated in primary
  • Roger Wagoner, businessman [66]

Primary results

Republican primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Gary Adler 17,433 52.1
Republican Roger Wagoner16,01247.9
Total votes33,445 100.0

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [7] Safe DJuly 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight [70] Safe DOctober 15, 2020
Inside Elections [9] Safe DJune 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [10] Safe DJuly 2, 2020
Politico [11] Safe DApril 19, 2020
Daily Kos [12] Safe DJune 3, 2020
RCP [13] Safe DJune 9, 2020
Niskanen [14] Safe DJune 7, 2020

Results

Florida's 5th congressional district, 2020 [15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Al Lawson (incumbent) 219,463 65.13%
Republican Gary Adler117,51034.87%
Total votes336,973 100.0
Democratic hold

District 6

2020 Florida's 6th congressional district election
Flag of Florida.svg
  2018 November 3, 2020 2022  
  Michael Waltz, official portrait, 116th Congress (cropped) (cropped).jpg Clint Curtis 2007.jpg
Nominee Michael Waltz Clint Curtis
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote265,393172,305
Percentage60.64%39.36%

FL6 House 2020.svg
Precinct results
Waltz:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Curtis:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
     No data

U.S. Representative before election

Michael Waltz
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Michael Waltz
Republican

The 6th district encompasses the Halifax area, including all of Flagler and Volusia counties, as well as parts of St. Johns and Lake counties. The district includes the cities of Daytona Beach, Palm Coast, and DeLand. Republican Michael Waltz, who had represented the district since 2019, was elected with 56% of the vote in 2018. [3]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Richard Thripp, professor [71]

Primary results

Democratic primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Clint Curtis 30,449 51.5
Democratic Richard Thripp28,66148.5
Total votes59,110 100.0

Independent and third-party candidates

Independents

Declared
  • Gerry Nolan (write-in), businessman [63]

Independent Democrats

Declared

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [7] Safe RJuly 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight [73] Safe ROctober 15, 2020
Inside Elections [9] Safe RJune 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [10] Safe RJuly 2, 2020
Politico [11] Likely RApril 19, 2020
Daily Kos [12] Safe RJune 3, 2020
RCP [13] Safe RJune 9, 2020
Niskanen [14] Safe RJune 7, 2020

Results

Florida's 6th congressional district, 2020 [15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Michael Waltz (incumbent) 265,393 60.64%
Democratic Clint Curtis172,30539.36%
Independent Gerry Nolan (write-in)1120.01%
Democratic Alan Grayson (write-in)460.01%
Total votes437,856 100.0
Republican hold

District 7

2020 Florida's 7th congressional district election
Flag of Florida.svg
  2018
2022  
  Stephanie Murphy, official portrait, 115th Congress (congress).jpg LeoValentinCrop.png
Nominee Stephanie Murphy Leo Valentín
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote224,946175,750
Percentage55.3%43.2%

FL7 House 2020.svg
Precinct results
Murphy:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Valentín:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
     No data

U.S. Representative before election

Stephanie Murphy
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Stephanie Murphy
Democratic

The 7th district is located in Central Florida, and includes all of Seminole County and part of Orange County. The district includes the cities of Orlando, Sanford, and Winter Park. Democrat Stephanie Murphy, who had represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 57% of the vote in 2018. [3]

This district was included on the list of Democratic-held seats the National Republican Congressional Committee targeted in 2020. [74]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Endorsements

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Leo Valentín, radiologist [77]
Eliminated in primary
  • Richard Goble, businessman [78]
  • Yukong Zhao, real estate investor [78]
Withdrawn
  • Jan Edwards, businesswoman [79]

Primary results

Republican primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Leo Valentín 19,841 38.6
Republican Richard Goble19,18737.4
Republican Yukong Zhao12,33024.0
Total votes51,358 100.0

Independents and third-party candidates

Independents
Declared
  • William Garlington, businessman and former actor [63]

General election

Debate

2020 Florida's 7th congressional district debate
No.DateHostModeratorLink Democratic Republican Independent
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited  W  Withdrawn
Stephanie Murphy Leo ValentinWilliam Garlington
1Oct. 13, 2020 WESH Greg Fox YouTube PPP

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [7] Safe DJuly 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight [80] Safe DOctober 15, 2020
Inside Elections [9] Safe DJune 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [10] Safe DJuly 2, 2020
Politico [11] Likely DApril 19, 2020
Daily Kos [12] Safe DJune 3, 2020
RCP [13] Likely DJune 9, 2020
Niskanen [14] Safe DJune 7, 2020

Polling

Hypothetical polling
with Richard Goble, Joel Greenberg (R), Stephanie Murphy and Leo Valentin
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Richard
Goble (R)
Joel
Greenberg (R)
Stephanie
Murphy (D)
Leo
Valentín (R)
Undecided
Gravis Marketing/Orlando Politics Jan 2–3, 2020813 (RV)± 3.4%4% [lower-alpha 7] 20%43%4%29%
with Joel Greenberg and Stephanie Murphy
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Joel
Greenberg (R)
Stephanie
Murphy (D)
Undecided
Gravis Marketing/Orlando Politics Jan 2–3, 2020813 (RV)± 3.4%42% [lower-alpha 8] 43%15%

Results

Florida's 7th congressional district, 2020 [15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Stephanie Murphy (incumbent) 224,946 55.34%
Republican Leo Valentín175,75043.24%
Independent William Garlington5,7531.42%
Total votes406,449 100.0
Democratic hold

District 8

2020 Florida's 8th congressional district election
Flag of Florida.svg
  2018 November 3, 2020 2022  
  Bill Posey, official portrait, 115th Congress (congress).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Bill Posey Jim Kennedy
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote282,093177,695
Percentage61.36%38.64%

FL8 House 2020.svg
Precinct results
Posey:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Kennedy:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
     No data

U.S. Representative before election

Bill Posey
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Bill Posey
Republican

The 8th district encompasses the Space Coast, and includes all of Indian River and Brevard counties, as well as part of Orange County. The district includes the cities of Melbourne, Palm Bay, and Titusville. Republican Bill Posey, who had represented the district since 2009, was re-elected with 60% of the vote in 2018. [3]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Disqualified

Primary results

Republican primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Bill Posey (incumbent) 54,861 62.5
Republican Scott Caine32,95237.5
Total votes87,813 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Jim Kennedy, electrical engineer [81]
Withdrawn
  • Tiffany Patti, activist [82]
Disqualified
  • Hicham Ammi, customer service manager [82]
  • Jason Williams, engineer [82]

Endorsements

Jim Kennedy
Organizations

Independent and third-party candidates

Independents

Withdrawn
  • Russell Cyphers, former federal investigator for the departments of Treasury and Labor [82]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [7] Safe RJuly 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight [83] Safe ROctober 15, 2020
Inside Elections [9] Safe RJune 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [10] Safe RJuly 2, 2020
Politico [11] Safe RApril 19, 2020
Daily Kos [12] Safe RJune 3, 2020
RCP [13] Safe RJune 9, 2020
Niskanen [14] Safe RJune 7, 2020

Results

Florida's 8th congressional district, 2020 [15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Bill Posey (incumbent) 282,093 61.36%
Democratic Jim Kennedy177,69538.64%
Total votes459,788 100.0
Republican hold

District 9

2020 Florida's 9th congressional district election
Flag of Florida.svg
  2018 November 3, 2020 2022  
  Darren Soto, official portrait, 115th Congress (congress).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Darren Soto Bill Olson
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote240,724188,889
Percentage56.02%43.96%

FL9 House 2020.svg
Precinct results
Soto:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Olson:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     50%
     No data

U.S. Representative before election

Darren Soto
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Darren Soto
Democratic

The 9th district is located in Central Florida, and encompasses all of Osceola County, as well as parts of Orange and Polk counties. The district includes the cities of Kissimmee and St. Cloud, as well as eastern Orlando. Democrat Darren Soto, who had represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 58% of the vote in 2018. [3]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Withdrawn
  • Hendrith Vanlon Smith Jr., financial advisor [85] [86]

Endorsements

Darren Soto

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Jose Castillo, hospitality manager [88]
  • Sergio E. Ortiz, mortgage banker [89]
  • Christopher Wright, attorney [88]

Primary results

Republican primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Bill Olson 20,751 48.6
Republican Christopher Wright9,67722.7
Republican Jose Castillo8,59520.1
Republican Sergio E. Ortiz3,6808.6
Total votes42,703 100.0

Independent and third-party candidates

Independents

Declared
Withdrawn
  • John Rallison, teacher and pastor [90]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [7] Safe DJuly 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight [91] Safe DOctober 15, 2020
Inside Elections [9] Safe DJune 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [10] Safe DJuly 2, 2020
Politico [11] Likely DApril 19, 2020
Daily Kos [12] Safe DJune 3, 2020
RCP [13] Safe DJune 9, 2020
Niskanen [14] Safe DJune 7, 2020

Results

Florida's 9th congressional district, 2020 [15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Darren Soto (incumbent) 240,724 56.02%
Republican Bill Olson188,88943.96%
Independent Clay Hill (write-in)250.01%
Total votes429,638 100.0
Democratic hold

District 10

2020 Florida's 10th congressional district election
Flag of Florida.svg
  2018 November 3, 2020 2022  
  Val Demings, Official Portrait, 115th Congress (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Val Demings Vennia Francois
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote239,434136,889
Percentage63.61%36.36%

FL10 House 2020.svg
Precinct results
Demings:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Francois:     50–60%     60–70%
     No data

U.S. Representative before election

Val Demings
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Val Demings
Democratic

The 10th district is located in Central Florida, and includes part of Orange County. The district includes western Orlando and its surrounding suburbs, including Apopka, Ocoee, and Winter Garden. Democrat Val Demings, who had represented the district since 2017, was re-elected unopposed in 2018. [3]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Primary results

Republican primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Vennia Francois 21,485 65.1
Republican Willie Montague11,49834.9
Total votes32,983 100.0

Independent and third-party candidates

Independents

Candidates
  • Sufiyah Yasmine (write-in), artist [63]
Withdrawn
  • Kristofer Lawson, writer [63]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [7] Safe DJuly 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight [94] Safe DOctober 15, 2020
Inside Elections [9] Safe DJune 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [10] Safe DJuly 2, 2020
Politico [11] Safe DApril 19, 2020
Daily Kos [12] Safe DJune 3, 2020
RCP [13] Safe DJune 9, 2020
Niskanen [14] Safe DJune 7, 2020

Results

Florida’s 10th congressional district, 2020 [15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Val Demings (incumbent) 239,434 63.61%
Republican Vennia Francois136,88936.36%
Independent Sufiyah Yasmine (write-in)740.01%
Total votes376,397 100.0
Democratic hold

District 11

2020 Florida's 11th congressional district election
Flag of Florida.svg
  2018 November 3, 2020 2022  
  Daniel Webster 113th Congress.jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Daniel Webster Dana Cottrell
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote316,979158,094
Percentage66.72%33.27%

FL11 House 2020.svg
Precinct results
Webster:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Cottrell:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
     No data

U.S. Representative before election

Daniel Webster
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Daniel Webster
Republican

The 11th district is located in North Central Florida, and includes all of Sumter, Citrus, and Hernando counties, as well as parts of Marion and Lake counties. The district includes the cities of Spring Hill, Inverness, and Leesburg, as well as the large retirement community of The Villages. Republican Daniel Webster, who had represented the district since 2011, was re-elected with 65% of the vote in 2018. [3]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Dana Cottrell, teacher and nominee for Florida's 11th congressional district in 2018 [95]
Withdrawn

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [7] Safe RJuly 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight [98] Safe ROctober 15, 2020
Inside Elections [9] Safe RJune 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [10] Safe RJuly 2, 2020
Politico [11] Safe RApril 19, 2020
Daily Kos [12] Safe RJune 3, 2020
RCP [13] Safe RJune 9, 2020
Niskanen [14] Safe RJune 7, 2020

Results

Florida's 11th congressional district, 2020 [15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Daniel Webster (incumbent) 316,979 66.72%
Democratic Dana Cottrell158,09433.27%
Total votes475,073 100.0
Republican hold

District 12

2020 Florida's 12th congressional district election
Flag of Florida.svg
  2018 November 3, 2020 2022  
  Gusbilirakis.jpeg 3x4.svg
Nominee Gus Bilirakis Kimberly Walker
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote284,941168,194
Percentage62.88%37.11%

FL12 House 2020.svg
Precinct results
Bilirakis:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Walker:     50–60%
     No data

U.S. Representative before election

Gus Bilirakis
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Gus Bilirakis
Republican

The 12th district encompasses the northern Tampa Bay area, including all of Pasco County, as well as parts of Hillsborough and Pinellas counties. The district includes the cities of Palm Harbor, New Port Richey, and Zephyrhills. Republican Gus Bilirakis, who had represented the district since 2007, was re-elected with 58% of the vote in 2018. [3]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Endorsements

Kimberly Walker
Organizations

Independent and third-party candidates

Independents

Withdrawn

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [7] Safe RJuly 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight [102] Safe ROctober 15, 2020
Inside Elections [9] Safe RJune 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [10] Safe RJuly 2, 2020
Politico [11] Safe RApril 19, 2020
Daily Kos [12] Safe RJune 3, 2020
RCP [13] Safe RJune 9, 2020
Niskanen [14] Safe RJune 7, 2020

Results

Florida's 12th congressional district, 2020 [15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Gus Bilirakis (incumbent) 284,941 62.88%
Democratic Kimberly Walker168,19437.11%
Total votes453,135 100.0
Republican hold

District 13

2020 Florida's 13th congressional district election
Flag of Florida.svg
  2018 November 3, 2020 2022  
  Charlie Crist 115th Congress photo (cropped 2).jpg Anna Paulina Luna by Gage Skidmore.jpg
Nominee Charlie Crist Anna Paulina Luna
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote215,405190,713
Percentage53.03%46.95%

FL13 House 2020.svg
Precinct results
Crist:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Luna:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     50%
     No data

U.S. Representative before election

Charlie Crist
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Charlie Crist
Democratic

The 13th district is located in the western Tampa Bay area and encompasses the northern Florida Suncoast, and includes part of Pinellas County. The district includes the cities of St. Petersburg, Clearwater, and Largo. Democrat Charlie Crist, who had represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 57% of the vote in 2018. [3]

This district was included on the list of Democratic-held seats the National Republican Congressional Committee targeted in 2020. [74]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Endorsements

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn

Endorsements

Anna Paulina Luna
Federal officials
Local officials
Organizations
Amanda Makki
Federal officials
State officials
Organizations
Individuals

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
George
Buck
Sheila
Griffin
Anna Paulina
Luna
Amanda
Makki
OtherUndecided
St. Pete Polls August 15, 2020626 (LV)± 3.9%26%6%29%20%1% [lower-alpha 9]
St. Pete Polls July 9, 2020558 (LV)± 4.1%21%4%13%29%1% [lower-alpha 10] 32%

Primary results

Republican primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Anna Paulina Luna 22,941 36.1
Republican Amanda Makki17,96728.3
Republican George Buck16,37125.8
Republican Sheila Griffin4,3296.8
Republican Sharon Newby (withdrawn)1,8662.9
Total votes63,474 100.0

Independent and third-party candidates

Independent Republicans

Declared

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [7] Safe DJuly 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight [132] Safe DOctober 15, 2020
Inside Elections [9] Safe DJune 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [10] Safe DOctober 1, 2020
Politico [11] Lean DApril 19, 2020
Daily Kos [12] Safe DNovember 2, 2020
RCP [13] Likely DJune 9, 2020
Niskanen [14] Safe DJune 7, 2020

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Charlie
Crist (D)
Anna Paulina
Luna (R)
Undecided
St. Pete Polls October 28, 20201,280 (LV)± 2.7%55%39%7%
St. Pete Polls August 29–30, 20202,160 (LV)± 2.1%55%39%7%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Charlie
Crist (D)
Rick
Baker (R)
Undecided
St. Pete Polls/FloridaPolitics Sep 25, 20191,254 (RV)± 2.8%42%35%23%

Results

Florida's 13th congressional district, 2020
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Charlie Crist (incumbent) 215,405 53.03%
Republican Anna Paulina Luna 190,71346.95%
Republican Jacob Curnow (write-in)70.01%
Total votes406,125 100.0
Democratic hold

District 14

2020 Florida's 14th congressional district election
Flag of Florida.svg
  2018 November 3, 2020 2022  
  Kathy Castor 113th Congress.jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Kathy Castor Christine Quinn
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote224,240147,896
Percentage60.25%39.74%

FL14 House 2020.svg
Precinct results
Castor:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Quinn:     50–60%     60–70%
Tie:     50%
     No data

U.S. Representative before election

Kathy Castor
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Kathy Castor
Democratic

The 14th district is located in the northern Tampa Bay area, and includes part of Hillsborough County. The district includes the cities of Tampa, Carrollwood, and Northdale. Democrat Kathy Castor, who had represented the district since 2007, was re-elected unopposed in 2018. [3]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Withdrawn

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Christine Quinn, businesswoman and nominee for Florida's 14th congressional district in 2016 [134]
Eliminated in primary

Primary results

Republican primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Christine Quinn 24,077 64.5
Republican Paul Elliott13,25735.5
Total votes37,334 100.0

Independent and third-party candidates

Independents

Withdrawn

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [7] Safe DJuly 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight [136] Safe DOctober 15, 2020
Inside Elections [9] Safe DJune 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [10] Safe DJuly 2, 2020
Politico [11] Safe DApril 19, 2020
Daily Kos [12] Safe DJune 3, 2020
RCP [13] Safe DJune 9, 2020
Niskanen [14] Safe DJune 7, 2020

Results

Florida’s 14th congressional district, 2020 [15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Kathy Castor (incumbent) 224,240 60.25%
Republican Christine Quinn147,89639.74%
Total votes372,136 100.0
Democratic hold

District 15

2020 Florida's 15th congressional district election
Flag of Florida.svg
  2018 November 3, 2020 2022  
  Scott Franklin, 117th Congress portrait (cropped).jpg Alan Cohn 2007 001.jpg
Nominee Scott Franklin Alan Cohn
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote216,374174,297
Percentage55.38%44.61%

FL15 House 2020.svg
Precinct results
Franklin:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Cohn:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
     No data

U.S. Representative before election

Ross Spano
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Scott Franklin
Republican

The 15th district is located in the northeastern Tampa Bay area and extends along the I-4 corridor into Central Florida, and includes parts of Hillsborough, Polk, and Lake counties. The district includes the cities of Lakeland, Brandon, and Bartow. Republican Ross Spano, who had represented the district since 2019, was elected with 53% of the vote in 2018. Spano lost renomination in the Republican primary. [3]

This district was included on the list of Republican-held seats the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeted in 2020. [137]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Declined
  • Neil Combee, former state representative and candidate for Florida's 15th congressional district in 2018 [140]
  • Sean Harper, contractor and candidate for Florida's 15th congressional district in 2018 [140]
  • Danny Kushmer, non-profit executive and candidate for Florida's 15th congressional district in 2018 [140] (running for Florida House of Representatives, District 59)
  • Ed Shoemaker, conservative activist and candidate for Florida's 15th congressional district in 2018 [140] (running for Polk County School Board)

Endorsements

Scott Franklin
Federal officials
Local officials
Ross Spano
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
State legislators
Local officials
Organizations

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of Error
Scott
Franklin
Ross
Spano
Other
St. Pete Polls August 12, 2020594 (LV)± 4%41%42%18% [lower-alpha 11]

Primary results

Republican primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Scott Franklin 30,736 51.2
Republican Ross Spano (incumbent)29,26548.8
Total votes60,001 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
Declined
  • Kristen Carlson, attorney and nominee for Florida's 15th congressional district in 2018 [154] (endorsed Adam Hattersley) [155]

Endorsements

Alan Cohn
U.S. presidents
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
State executives
Municipal officials
Individuals
Labor unions
Organizations
Adam Hattersley
U.S. representatives
State officials
State legislators
Municipal officials
Individuals
Labor unions
Organizations
Declined to endorse
Labor unions

Primary results

Democratic primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Alan Cohn 21,079 41.0
Democratic Adam Hattersley 16,97833.0
Democratic Jesse Philippe13,38426.0
Total votes51,441 100.0

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [7] Lean RJuly 16, 2020
FiveThirtyEight [170] Likely ROctober 15, 2020
Inside Elections [9] Lean RAugust 7, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [10] Lean RJuly 2, 2020
Politico [11] Lean RJuly 6, 2020
Daily Kos [12] Likely RApril 30, 2020
RCP [13] TossupOctober 15, 2020
Niskanen [14] Lean RJune 7, 2020

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of Error
Scott
Franklin (R)
Alan
Cohn (D)
Undecided
Change Research (D) [upper-alpha 3] October 22–24, 2020530 (LV)± 4.3%46%44%
St. Pete Polls October 15, 2020943 (LV)± 3.2%49%41%11%
DCCC Targeting & Analytics Department (D) [upper-alpha 4] September 30 – October 4, 2020390 (LV)± 5%42%39%19%
GQR Research (D) [upper-alpha 5] September 4–6, 2020400 (LV)± 4.9%49%42%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of Error
Generic
Republican
Generic
Democrat
DCCC Targeting & Analytics Department (D) [upper-alpha 4] September 30 – October 4, 2020390 (LV)± 5%49%44%

Results

Florida's 15th congressional district, 2020 [15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Scott Franklin 216,374 55.38%
Democratic Alan Cohn 174,29744.61%
Total votes390,671 100.0
Republican hold

District 16

2020 Florida's 16th congressional district election
Flag of Florida.svg
  2018 November 3, 2020 2022  
  Vern Buchanan.jpg Margaret Good.jpg
Nominee Vern Buchanan Margaret Good
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote269,001215,683
Percentage55.50%44.49%

FL16 House 2020.svg
Precinct results
Buchanan:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Good:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     >90%
     No data

U.S. Representative before election

Vern Buchanan
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Vern Buchanan
Republican

The 16th district encompasses the southern Tampa Bay area and southern Florida Suncoast, and includes all of Manatee County, as well as parts of Hillsborough and Sarasota counties. The district includes the cities of Sarasota, Bradenton, and Sun City Center. Republican Vern Buchanan, who had represented the district since 2007, was reelected with 54% of the vote in 2018. [3]

This district was included on the list of Republican-held seats the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeted in 2020. [137]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Endorsements

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [7] Likely RJuly 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight [177] Likely ROctober 15, 2020
Inside Elections [9] Likely RAugust 7, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [10] Likely RJuly 2, 2020
Politico [11] Likely RApril 19, 2020
Daily Kos [12] Likely RJune 3, 2020
RCP [13] Lean ROctober 15, 2020
Niskanen [14] Likely RJune 7, 2020

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Vern
Buchanan (R)
Margaret
Good (D)
OtherUndecided
Data Targeting (R) [upper-alpha 6] October 19–21, 2020400 (LV)± 4.9%53%38%
Data Targeting (R) [upper-alpha 6] October 6–8, 2020403 (LV)± 4.9%52%37%1% [lower-alpha 12] 9%
Change Research (D) [upper-alpha 7] October 5–8, 2020527 (LV)± 4.3%48%45%7%
Data Targeting (R) [upper-alpha 6] September 29 – October 1, 2020400 (LV)53%37%
Global Strategy Group (D) September 24–27, 2020500 (LV)± 4.4%49%43%
Data Targeting (R) [upper-alpha 6] August 27–29, 2020400 (LV)± 4.9%51%35%
Global Strategy Group (D) July 7–12, 2020500 (LV)± 4.4%47%41%
Data Targeting (R) [upper-alpha 6] January 14–16, 2020400 (RV)± 4.9%53%33%14%
Hypothetical polling
with Generic Republican and Generic Democrat
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Generic
Republican
Generic
Democrat
Global Strategy Group (D) September 24–27, 2020500 (LV)± 4.4%50%42%
Data Targeting (R) August 27–29, 2020400 (LV)± 4.9%48%39%

Results

Florida's 16th congressional district, 2020 [15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Vern Buchanan (incumbent) 269,001 55.50%
Democratic Margaret Good 215,68344.49%
Total votes484,684 100.0
Republican hold

District 17

2020 Florida's 17th congressional district election
Flag of Florida.svg
  2018 November 3, 2020 2022  
  Greg Steube, official portrait, 116th congress (cropped).jpg Allen Ellison at No Dem Left Behind Town Hall (cropped).jpg
Nominee Greg Steube Allen Ellison
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote266,514140,487
Percentage64.62%34.06%

FL17 House 2020.svg
Precinct results
Steube:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Ellison:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     >90%
     No data

U.S. Representative before election

Greg Steube
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Greg Steube
Republican

The 17th district encompasses part of Southwest Florida and most of the Florida Heartland, and includes all or part of 10 counties. The district includes the cities of North Port, Port Charlotte, and Sebring. Republican Greg Steube, who had represented the district since 2019, was elected with 62% of the vote in 2018. [3]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Allen Ellison, nominee for Florida's 17th congressional district in 2018 [178]

Independent and third-party candidates

Independents

Declared
  • Theodore Murray, former high school football coach [63] [179]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [7] Safe RJuly 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight [180] Safe ROctober 15, 2020
Inside Elections [9] Safe RJune 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [10] Safe RJuly 2, 2020
Politico [11] Safe RApril 19, 2020
Daily Kos [12] Safe RJune 3, 2020
RCP [13] Safe RJune 9, 2020
Niskanen [14] Safe RJune 7, 2020

Results

Florida's 17th congressional district, 2020 [15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Greg Steube (incumbent) 266,514 64.62%
Democratic Allen Ellison140,48734.06%
Independent Theodore Murray5,3961.30%
Total votes412,397 100.0
Republican hold

District 18

2020 Florida's 18th congressional district election
Flag of Florida.svg
  2018 November 3, 2020 2022  
  Brian Mast official 115th Congress photo (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Brian Mast Pam Keith
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote253,286186,674
Percentage56.32%41.50%

FL18 House 2020.svg
Precinct results
Mast:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Keith:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     50%
     No data

U.S. Representative before election

Brian Mast
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Brian Mast
Republican

The 18th district encompasses the Treasure Coast region, and includes all of St. Lucie and Martin counties, as well as part of Palm Beach County. The district includes the cities of Port St. Lucie, Fort Pierce, and Jupiter. Republican Brian Mast, who had represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 54% of the vote in 2018. [3]

This district was included on the list of Republican-held seats the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeted in 2020. [137]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Nick Vessio, retired police sergeant [182]

Primary results

Republican primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Brian Mast (incumbent) 62,121 86.0
Republican Nick Vessio10,08114.0
Total votes72,202 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Pam Keith, attorney and candidate for Florida's 18th congressional district in 2018 and U.S. Senate in 2016 [183]
Eliminated in primary

Endorsements

Pam Keith
U.S. senators
Individuals
Organizations
Oz Vazquez
  • Patrick Murphy, former U.S. representative from this district (2013–2017) and Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in 2016 [189]
State officials
Organizations

Primary results

Democratic primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Pam Keith 52,921 79.8
Democratic Oz Vazquez13,38520.2
Total votes66,306 100.0

Independent and third-party candidates

Independents

Declared
  • K. W. Miller, international energy and infrastructure executive [192]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [7] Likely RJuly 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight [193] Likely ROctober 19, 2020
Inside Elections [9] Likely ROctober 16, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [10] Likely ROctober 20, 2020
Politico [11] Lean RNovember 2, 2020
Daily Kos [12] Likely ROctober 19, 2020
RCP [13] Safe RJune 9, 2020
Niskanen [14] TossupJuly 26, 2020

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Brian
Mast (R)
Pam
Keith (D)
K. W.
Miller (I)
Undecided
Clearview Research (D) [upper-alpha 8] October 7–9, 2020301 (LV)43%45%4%
St. Pete Polls September 18, 20201,149 (LV)± 2.9%50%42%2%5%

Results

Florida's 18th congressional district, 2020 [15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Brian Mast (incumbent) 253,286 56.32%
Democratic Pam Keith186,67441.50%
Independent K. W. Miller9,7602.17%
Total votes449,720 100.0
Republican hold

District 19

2020 Florida's 19th congressional district election
Flag of Florida.svg
  2018 November 3, 2020 2022  
  Rep. Byron Donalds official photo, 117th Congress (cropped).jpg Cindy Banyai at No Dem Left Behind Town Hall (cropped).jpg
Nominee Byron Donalds Cindy Banyai
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote272,440172,146
Percentage61.27%38.72%

FL19 House 2020.svg
Precinct results
Donalds:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Banyai:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%

U.S. Representative before election

Francis Rooney
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Byron Donalds
Republican

The 19th district includes most of Southwest Florida, and includes parts of Lee and Collier counties. The district includes the cities of Cape Coral, Fort Myers, Estero, Bonita Springs and Naples. Republican Francis Rooney, who had represented the district since 2017, was reelected with 62% of the vote in 2018. [3] On October 19, 2019, Rooney announced he would not seek re-election. [194]

Republican primary

Republican primary by precinct
Map legend
Donalds-->40%
Donalds--35-40%
Donalds--30-35%
Donalds--25-30%
Donalds--20-25%
Eagle-->40%
Eagle--35--40%
Eagle--30--35%
Eagle--25--30%
Eagle--20--25%
Askar--35--40%
Askar--25--30%
Askar--20--25%
Figlesthaler--25--30%
Figlesthaler--20--25%
Henderson--35--40%
Henderson--25--30%
Henderson--20--25%
Tie 2020 Florida's 19th Congressional District Republican Primary by precinct.svg
Republican primary by precinct
Map legend
  •   Donalds—>40%
  •   Donalds—35–40%
  •   Donalds—30–35%
  •   Donalds—25–30%
  •   Donalds—20–25%
  •   Eagle—>40%
  •   Eagle—35—40%
  •   Eagle—30—35%
  •   Eagle—25—30%
  •   Eagle—20—25%
  •   Askar—35—40%
  •   Askar—25—30%
  •   Askar—20—25%
  •   Figlesthaler—25—30%
  •   Figlesthaler—20—25%
  •   Henderson—35—40%
  •   Henderson—25—30%
  •   Henderson—20—25%
  •   Tie

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
Declined

Endorsements

Darren Aquino
Byron Donalds
Federal officials
Organizations
Dane Eagle
Federal officials
State officials
Heather Fitzenhagen (withdrew)
Organizations
Dan Severson
Individuals

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Casey
Askar
Byron
Donalds
Dane
Eagle
William
Figlesthaler
Randy
Henderson
OtherUndecided
St. Pete Polls August 16, 2020439 (LV)± 4.7%22%23%16%16%11%8% [lower-alpha 13] 4%
St. Pete Polls August 3, 2020525 (LV)± 4.3%16%22%20%21%8%6% [lower-alpha 13] 14%
Data Targeting/Dane Eagle [upper-alpha 9] July 23, 2020282 (LV)± 5.7%15%21%23%19%6%3% [lower-alpha 14] 8%
St. Pete Polls July 6, 2020503 (LV)± 4.3%30%26%7%16%5%4% [lower-alpha 15] 12%

Primary results

Republican primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Byron Donalds 23,492 22.6
Republican Dane Eagle 22,71521.9
Republican Casey Askar20,77420.0
Republican William Figlesthaler19,07518.3
Republican Randy Henderson 7,8587.6
Republican Christy McLaughlin4,2454.1
Republican Dan Severson 3,1973.1
Republican Darren Aquino1,4661.4
Republican Daniel Kowal1,1351.1
Total votes103,957 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • David Holden, financial advisor and nominee for Florida's 19th congressional district in 2018 [222]

Endorsements

Cindy Banyai

Primary results

Democratic primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Cindy Banyai 28,765 57.6
Democratic David Holden21,21242.4
Total votes49,977 100.0

Independent and third-party candidates

Independents

Declared
  • Patrick Post (write-in), president of Sustainable Planet USA [223]
Withdrawn
  • Antonio Dumornay, housing activist [224]

General election

Debate

2020 Florida's 19th congressional district debate
No.DateHostModeratorLink Republican Democratic
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited  W  Withdrawn
Byron Donalds Cindy Banyai
1Sep. 30, 2020 WGCU (TV) YouTube PP

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [7] Safe RJuly 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight [225] Safe ROctober 15, 2020
Inside Elections [9] Safe RJune 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [10] Safe RJuly 2, 2020
Politico [11] Safe RApril 19, 2020
Daily Kos [12] Safe RJune 3, 2020
RCP [13] Safe RJune 9, 2020
Niskanen [14] Safe RJune 7, 2020

Results

Florida's 19th congressional district, 2020 [15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Byron Donalds 272,440 61.27%
Democratic Cindy Banyai172,14638.72%
Independent Patrick Post (write-in)30.01%
Total votes444,589 100.0
Republican hold

District 20

2020 Florida's 20th congressional district election
Flag of Florida.svg
  2018 November 3, 2020 2022 (special)  
  Alcee Hastings 109th Pictorial.jpg No image.svg
Nominee Alcee Hastings Greg Musselwhite
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote253,66168,748
Percentage78.67%21.32%

2022 Florida's 20th congressional district special election results map by county.svg
County results
Hastings:     70–80%     80–90%

FL20 House 2020.svg
Precinct results
Hastings:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Musselwhite:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     50%
     No data

U.S. Representative before election

Alcee Hastings
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Alcee Hastings
Democratic

The 20th district is located in South Florida, and includes parts of Broward and Palm Beach counties. The district includes the cities of Fort Lauderdale, Pompano Beach, and Belle Glade. Democrat Alcee Hastings, who had represented the district since 1993, was re-elected unopposed in 2018. [3]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn

Primary results

Democratic primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Alcee Hastings (incumbent) 62,759 69.3
Democratic Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick27,83130.7
Total votes90,590 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Vic DeGrammont, realtor [231]
  • Greg Musselwhite, welding inspector [232]

Primary results

Republican primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Greg Musselwhite 5,394 52.0
Republican Vic DeGrammont4,97548.0
Total votes10,369 100.0

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [7] Safe DJuly 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight [233] Safe DOctober 15, 2020
Inside Elections [9] Safe DJune 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [10] Safe DJuly 2, 2020
Politico [11] Safe DApril 19, 2020
Daily Kos [12] Safe DJune 3, 2020
RCP [13] Safe DJune 9, 2020
Niskanen [14] Safe DJune 7, 2020

Results

Florida's 20th congressional district, 2020 [15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Alcee Hastings (incumbent) 253,661 78.67%
Republican Greg Musselwhite68,74821.32%
Total votes322,409 100.0
Democratic hold

District 21

2020 Florida's 21st congressional district election
Flag of Florida.svg
  2018 November 3, 2020 2022  
  Lois Frankel 113th Congress.jpg Laura Loomer on InfoWars.jpg
Nominee Lois Frankel Laura Loomer
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote237,925157,612
Percentage59.02%39.10%

FL21 House 2020.svg
Precinct results
Frankel:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Loomer:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     50%
     No data

U.S. Representative before election

Lois Frankel
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Lois Frankel
Democratic

The 21st district is located in South Florida, and includes part of Palm Beach County. The district includes the cities of West Palm Beach, Boynton Beach, and Wellington. Democrat Lois Frankel, who had represented the district since 2013, was re-elected unopposed in 2018. [3]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
  • Adam Aarons, film producer and actor [235]

Endorsements

Lois Frankel

Primary results

Democratic primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Lois Frankel (incumbent) 75,504 86.0
Democratic Guido Weiss12,30814.0
Total votes87,812 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Disqualified

Endorsements

Laura Loomer
U.S. presidents
U.S. representatives
  • Matt Gaetz, U.S. representative (FL-01) (2017–present) [246]
  • Paul Gosar, U.S. representative from (AZ-04) (2013–present), (AZ-01) (2011–2013) [247]
Local officials
Individuals

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Laura
Loomer
Other
The Washington Sentinel [upper-alpha 10] Released June 20, 2020 [lower-alpha 16] 51%>=4% [lower-alpha 17]

Primary results

Republican primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Laura Loomer 14,526 42.5
Republican Christian Acosta8,72425.5
Republican Michael Vilardi4,19412.3
Republican Aaron Scanlan3,2219.4
Republican Elizabeth Felton2,4217.1
Republican Reba Sherrill1,0703.1
Total votes34,156 100.0

Independent and third-party candidates

Independents

Declared

Independent Republicans

Declared

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [7] Safe DJuly 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight [253] Safe DOctober 15, 2020
Inside Elections [9] Safe DJune 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [10] Safe DJuly 2, 2020
Politico [11] Safe DApril 19, 2020
Daily Kos [12] Safe DJune 3, 2020
RCP [13] Safe DJune 9, 2020
Niskanen [14] Safe DJune 7, 2020

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Lois
Frankel (D)
Laura
Loomer (R)
Charleston
Malkemus (I)
Undecided
St. Pete Polls/Florida Politics October 2, 20201,015 (LV)± 3.1%61%33%2%5%

Results

Florida’s 21st congressional district, 2020 [15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Lois Frankel (incumbent) 237,925 59.02%
Republican Laura Loomer 157,61239.10%
Independent Charleston Malkemus7,5441.87%
Independent Sylvia Caravetta (write-in)80.01%
Republican Piotr Blass (write-in)40.01%
Total votes403,093 100.0
Democratic hold

District 22

2020 Florida's 22nd congressional district election
Flag of Florida.svg
  2018 November 3, 2020 2022  
  Ted Deutsch, official portrait, 115th Congress (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Ted Deutch James Pruden
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote235,764166,553
Percentage58.60%41.39%

FL22 House 2020.svg
Precinct results
Deutch:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Pruden:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Tie:     50%
     No data

U.S. Representative before election

Ted Deutch
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Ted Deutch
Democratic

The 22nd district is located in South Florida, and includes parts of Broward and Palm Beach counties. The district includes the cities of Boca Raton, Deerfield Beach, and Coral Springs. Democrat Ted Deutch, who had represented the district since 2010, was re-elected with 62% of the vote in 2018. [3]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • James Pruden, attorney [254]
Eliminated in primary
  • Fran Flynn, businesswoman [255]
  • Jessi Melton, president of Paragon Wireless Group [254]
  • Darlene Swaffar, insurance agent [256]

Endorsements

James Pruden
Newspapers

Primary results

Republican primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican James Pruden 11,840 35.6
Republican Jessica Melton9,96930.0
Republican Fran Flynn8,66726.1
Republican Darlene Swaffar2,7638.3
Total votes33,239 100.0

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [7] Safe DJuly 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight [258] Safe DOctober 15, 2020
Inside Elections [9] Safe DJune 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [10] Safe DJuly 2, 2020
Politico [11] Safe DApril 19, 2020
Daily Kos [12] Safe DJune 3, 2020
RCP [13] Safe DJune 9, 2020
Niskanen [14] Safe DJune 7, 2020

Results

Florida's 22nd congressional district, 2020 [15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Ted Deutch (incumbent) 235,764 58.60%
Republican James Pruden166,55341.39%
Total votes402,317 100.0
Democratic hold

District 23

2020 Florida's 23rd congressional district election
Flag of Florida.svg
  2018 November 3, 2020 2022  
  Debbie Wasserman Schultz 116th Congress.jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Debbie Wasserman Schultz Carla Spalding
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote221,239158,874
Percentage58.19%41.78%

FL23 House 2020.svg
Precinct results
Schultz:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Spalding:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
     No data

U.S. Representative before election

Debbie Wasserman Schultz
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Debbie Wasserman Schultz
Democratic

The 23rd district is located in South Florida, and includes parts of Broward and Miami-Dade counties. The district includes the cities of Pembroke Pines, Davie, and Aventura. Democrat Debbie Wasserman Schultz, who had represented the district since 2005, was re-elected with 58% of the vote in 2018. [3]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Jen Perelman, attorney [260]

Endorsements

Jen Perelman
Individuals
Organizations
Debbie Wasserman Schultz

Primary results

Democratic primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Debbie Wasserman Schultz (incumbent)55,729 72.0
Democratic Jen Perelman21,63128.0
Total votes77,360 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Michael Kroske, businessman [268]
Withdrew

Primary results

Republican primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Carla Spalding 12,751 51.3
Republican Michael Kroske12,11648.7
Total votes24,867 100.0

Independent and third-party candidates

Independent Republicans

Declared
  • D. B. Fugate (write-in), entrepreneur and U.S. Air Force veteran [63]
  • Jeff Olson (write-in), real estate agent [63]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [7] Safe DJuly 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight [270] Safe DOctober 15, 2020
Inside Elections [9] Safe DJune 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [10] Safe DJuly 2, 2020
Politico [11] Safe DApril 19, 2020
Daily Kos [12] Safe DJune 3, 2020
Niskanen [14] Safe DJune 7, 2020
RCP [13] Safe DJune 9, 2020

Results

Florida's 23rd congressional district, 2020 [15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Debbie Wasserman Schultz (incumbent)221,239 58.19%
Republican Carla Spalding158,87441.78%
Republican Jeff Olson (write-in)460.01%
Republican D. B. Fugate (write-in)370.01%
Total votes381,196 100.0
Democratic hold

District 24

2020 Florida's 24th congressional district election
Flag of Florida.svg
  2018 November 3, 2020 2022  
  Frederica Wilson 113th Congress.jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Frederica Wilson Lavern Spicer
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote218,82559,084
Percentage75.55%20.39%

FL24 House 2020.svg
Precinct results
Wilson:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Spicer:     40–50%     50–60%     >90%
Tie:     40–50%     50%
     No data

U.S. Representative before election

Frederica Wilson
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Frederica Wilson
Democratic

The 24th district is located in South Florida, and includes parts of Broward and Miami-Dade counties. The district includes the cities of Miami, Miami Gardens, and Hollywood. Democrat Frederica Wilson, who had represented the district since 2011, was re-elected unopposed in 2018. [3]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Endorsements

Primary results

Democratic primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Frederica Wilson (incumbent) 68,505 84.7
Democratic Sakinah Lehtola6,2677.7
Democratic Ricardo de La Fuente6,1347.6
Total votes80,906 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Lavern Spicer, nonprofit executive [274]

Independent and third-party candidates

Libertarians

Withdrawn

Independent Republicans

Declared
  • Howard Knepper (write-in), businessman and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2010, 2016, and 2018 [63] [276]

Independents

Declared
  • Christine Alexandria Olivo, activist [277]
  • Hector Rivera (write-in), real estate broker [63]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [7] Safe DJuly 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight [278] Safe DOctober 15, 2020
Inside Elections [9] Safe DJune 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [10] Safe DJuly 2, 2020
Politico [11] Safe DApril 19, 2020
Daily Kos [12] Safe DJune 3, 2020
RCP [13] Safe DJune 9, 2020
Niskanen [14] Safe DJune 7, 2020

Results

Florida's 24th congressional district, 2020 [15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Frederica Wilson (incumbent) 218,825 75.55%
Republican Lavern Spicer59,08420.39%
Independent Christine Olivo11,7034.04%
Republican Howard Knepper (write-in)170.01%
Independent Hector Rivera (write-in)90.01%
Total votes289,638 100.0
Democratic hold

District 25

2020 Florida's 25th congressional district election
Flag of Florida.svg
  2018 November 3, 2020 2022  
  Mario Diaz-Balart official photo (cropped).jpg
Nominee Mario Díaz-Balart
(Uncontested)
Party Republican

FL25 House 2020.svg
Precinct results
Díaz-Balart:     >90%

U.S. Representative before election

Mario Díaz-Balart
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Mario Díaz-Balart
Republican

The 25th district is located in South Florida and stretches into parts of Southwest Florida and the Florida Heartland, and includes all of Hendry County, as well as parts of Miami-Dade and Collier counties. The district includes the cities of Hialeah, Doral, and Clewiston. Republican Mario Díaz-Balart, who had represented the district since 2003, was re-elected with 60% of the vote in 2018. [3]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Democratic primary

Candidates

Disqualified

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [7] Safe RJuly 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight [281] Safe ROctober 15, 2020
Inside Elections [9] Safe RJune 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [10] Safe RJuly 2, 2020
Politico [11] Safe RSeptember 9, 2020
Daily Kos [12] Safe RJune 3, 2020
RCP [13] Safe ROctober 15, 2020
Niskanen [14] Safe RJune 7, 2020

Results

Florida's 25th congressional district, 2020 [15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Mario Díaz-Balart (incumbent) Uncontested
Total votes
Republican hold

District 26

2020 Florida's 26th congressional district election
Flag of Florida.svg
  2018 November 3, 2020 2022  
  Rep. Carlos Gimenez official photo, 117th Congress (cropped).jpg Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, official portrait, 116h Congress (cropped).jpg
Nominee Carlos Giménez Debbie Mucarsel-Powell
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote177,223165,407
Percentage51.72%48.27%

FL26 House 2020.svg
Precinct results
Giménez:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     >90%
Mucarsel-Powell:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Tie:     50%
     No data

U.S. Representative before election

Debbie Mucarsel-Powell
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Carlos Giménez
Republican

The 26th district is located in South Florida and the Florida Keys, and includes all of Monroe County and part of Miami-Dade County. The district includes the cities of Homestead, Kendale Lakes, and Key West. Democrat Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, who had represented the district since 2019, flipped the district and was elected with 50% of the vote in 2018. [3]

This district was included on the list of Democratic-held seats the National Republican Congressional Committee targeted in 2020. [74]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrew
  • José Peixoto, engineer and candidate for Florida's 26th congressional district in 2012 and 2016 [285]
  • Irina Vilariño, restaurateur [286] [287]
Declined

Endorsements

Carlos A. Giménez
Federal officials

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Omar
Blanco
Carlos
Giménez
OtherUndecided
Unspecified national Republican organisation October 13–15, 2019~ 136 (LV) [lower-alpha 18] 6%51%2% [lower-alpha 19] 39%

Primary results

Republican primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Carlos A. Giménez 29,480 59.9
Republican Omar Blanco19,72140.1
Total votes49,201 100.0

Endorsements

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [7] Lean DOctober 21, 2020
FiveThirtyEight [298] Likely DOctober 19, 2020
Inside Elections [299] Tilt DOctober 16, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [10] Lean DNovember 2, 2020
Politico [11] Lean DNovember 2, 2020
Daily Kos [12] TossupJune 3, 2020
RCP [13] TossupOctober 15, 2020
Niskanen [14] Safe DJune 7, 2020

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Debbie
Murcasel-Powell (D)
Carlos
Giménez (R)
Other/
Undecided
Meeting Street Insights (R) [upper-alpha 11] July 14–18, 2020400 (RV)±  4.9%42%47%11%
Unspecified national Republican organisation October 13–15, 2019400 (LV)±  4.9%42%45%

Results

Florida's 26th congressional district, 2020 [15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Carlos A. Giménez 177,223 51.72%
Democratic Debbie Mucarsel-Powell (incumbent)165,40748.27%
Total votes342,630 100.0
Republican gain from Democratic

District 27

2020 Florida's 27th congressional district election
Flag of Florida.svg
  2018 November 3, 2020 2022  
  Maria Elvira Salazar (cropped).jpg Donna Shalala, official portrait, 116th Congress (cropped).jpg
Nominee Maria Elvira Salazar Donna Shalala
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote176,141166,758
Percentage51.36%48.62%

FL27 House 2020.svg
Precinct results
Salazar:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Shalala:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
     No data

U.S. Representative before election

Donna Shalala
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Maria Elvira Salazar
Republican

The 27th district is located in South Florida, and includes part of Miami-Dade County. The district includes the cities of Coral Gables, Kendall, and Miami Beach, as well as the neighborhood of Little Havana in Miami. Democrat Donna Shalala, who had represented the district since 2019, flipped the district and was elected with 51% of the vote in 2018. [3]

This district was included on the list of Democratic-held seats the National Republican Congressional Committee targeted in 2020. [74]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Withdrawn

Endorsements

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Endorsements

Maria Elvira Salazar
Federal officials
U.S. representatives
Organizations

Primary results

Republican primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Maria Elvira Salazar 39,687 79.1
Republican Raymond Molina5,49710.9
Republican Juan Fiol5,01810.0
Total votes50,202 100.0

Independent and third-party candidates

Independent Republicans

Declared
  • Frank Polo (write-in), businessman

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [7] Likely DJuly 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight [312] Likely DOctober 15, 2020
Inside Elections [9] Safe DJune 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [10] Likely DJuly 2, 2020
Politico [11] Likely DApril 19, 2020
Daily Kos [12] Lean DJune 3, 2020
RCP [13] Likely DOctober 15, 2020
Niskanen [14] Safe DJune 7, 2020

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Donna
Shalala (D)
Maria
Salazar (R)
Other/
Undecided
Bendixen & Amandi Research (D) [upper-alpha 12] October 9–13, 2020500 (LV)±  4.4%50%43%7%
1892 Polling (R) [upper-alpha 13] September 2–6, 2020400 (LV)±  4.9%43%46%

Results

Florida's 27th congressional district, 2020 [15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Maria Elvira Salazar 176,141 51.35%
Democratic Donna Shalala (incumbent)166,75848.62%
Republican Frank Polo (write-in)760.01%
Total votes342,975 100.0
Republican gain from Democratic

See also

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. Bill Engelbrecht with 2%, David Theus with 1%, and Joseph Millado with 1%
  3. "someone else" with 5%
  4. No other candidate exceeds 1%
  5. Kent Guinn with 4%; Joseph Milado with 2%; Matthew Raines with no voters
  6. "Someone else" with 3%; would not vote with 2%
  7. Standard VI response
  8. Response after pollster provided respondents with talking points about Greenberg
  9. Sharon Newby with 1%
  10. Newby with 1%
  11. "Undecided/won't say" with 18%
  12. "Refused" with 1%
  13. 1 2 Aquino with 3%; Severson with 2%; Kowal and McLaughlin with 1%
  14. Aquino, McLaughlin and Severson with 1%; Kowal with 0%
  15. Aquino and McLaughlin with 2%; Kowal and Severson with 0%
  16. Not yet released
  17. "Nearest competitor to Laura Loomer" with 4%
  18. 34% of a sample of 400 likely voters
  19. Irina Vilariño with 2%
Partisan clients
  1. Poll sponsored by Cammack's cmampaign
  2. Poll sponsored by Sapp's campaign
  3. Poll sponsored by the Florida Democratic Party, which endorsed Cohn prior to the sampling period.
  4. 1 2 Poll conducted by the DCCC.
  5. Poll sponsored by Cohn's campaign.
  6. 1 2 3 4 5 Poll conducted for Buchanan's campaign.
  7. Poll conducted for Good's campaign.
  8. Poll sponsored by Keith's campaign
  9. Poll conducted by Eagle's campaign
  10. Poll conducted by Loomer's campaign
  11. Poll conducted for the Congressional Leadership Fund.
  12. Poll sponsored by Shalala's campaign
  13. Poll sponsored by Salazar's campaign

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The 2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida were held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016 to elect the 27 U.S. representatives from the state of Florida, one from each of the state's 27 congressional districts. The elections coincided with the elections of other federal and state offices, including President of the United States.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida</span>

The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida were held on Tuesday, November 6, 2018, to elect the 27 U.S. representatives from the state of Florida, one from each of the state's 27 congressional districts. The elections coincided with the elections of other offices, including a gubernatorial election, other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The party primaries were held on August 28, 2018.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Nevada</span>

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Nevada was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the four U.S. representatives from the state of Nevada, one from each of the state's four congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the Nevada Senate and various state and local elections.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Maryland</span> House elections in Maryland

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Maryland was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the eight U.S. representatives from the state of Maryland, one from each of the state's eight congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. On March 17, 2020, Governor Larry Hogan announced that the primary election would be postponed from April 28 to June 2 due to coronavirus concerns. On March 26, the Maryland Board of Elections met to consider whether in-person voting should be used for June's primary, and recommended that voting in June be mail-in only.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Ohio</span> Elections in Ohio

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Ohio were held on November 3, 2020, to elect the 16 U.S. representatives from the state of Ohio, one from each of the state's 16 congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. Primaries were held on April 28, 2020.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Washington</span> House elections in Washington

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Washington were held on November 3, 2020, to elect the 10 U.S. representatives from the state of Washington, one from each of the state's 10 congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Wisconsin</span> House elections in Wisconsin

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Wisconsin was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the eight U.S. representatives from the state of Wisconsin, one from each of the state's eight congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. Primaries were held on August 11, 2020.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States House of Representatives elections in California</span> House elections for the 117th U.S. Congress

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in California were held on November 3, 2020, to elect the 53 U.S. representatives from the state of California, one from each of the state's 53 congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska</span>

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the three U.S. representatives from the state of Nebraska, one from each of the state's three congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Alabama</span>

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Alabama were held on November 3, 2020, to elect the seven U.S. representatives from the state of Alabama, one from each of the state's seven congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas</span> Elections

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas were held on November 3, 2020, to elect the four U.S. representatives from the state of Arkansas, one from each of the state's four congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Colorado</span> House elections in Colorado

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Colorado was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the seven U.S. representatives from the state of Colorado, one from each of the state's seven congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Kansas</span>

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Kansas were held on November 3, 2020, to elect the four U.S. representatives from the state of Kansas, one from each of the state's four congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania</span>

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania were held on November 3, 2020, to elect the 18 U.S. representatives from the state of Pennsylvania, one from each of the state's 18 congressional districts. The state's primary election occurred on June 2, 2020. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona</span>

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona were held on November 3, 2020, to elect the nine U.S. representatives from the state of Arizona, one from each of the state's nine congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. This election was the first time since 1990 in which no third-party candidates appeared on the ballot in the House of Representatives elections.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri</span> House elections in Missouri

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the eight U.S. representatives from the state of Missouri, one from each of the state's eight congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 United States presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma</span>

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma were held on November 3, 2020, to elect the five U.S. representatives from the state of Oklahoma, one from each of the state's five congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida</span>

The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida were held on November 8, 2022, to elect the 28 U.S. representatives from Florida, one from each of the state's 28 congressional districts. The primary was held on August 23, 2022. The elections coincided with the 2022 United States Senate election in Florida, other elections to the House of Representatives, other elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 Florida's 20th congressional district special election</span>

The 2022 Florida's 20th congressional district special election was a special election to the United States House of Representatives. The seat had been vacant since incumbent Democratic representative Alcee Hastings died on April 6, 2021, of pancreatic cancer.

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