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All 27 Florida seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Florida |
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The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida were held on November 3, 2020, to elect the 27 U.S. representatives from Florida, one from each of the state's 27 congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the U.S. Senate, and various state and local elections.
In what was considered an upset, the Republican Party retook the two seats that it lost to the Democrats in 2018, expanding its 14–13 majority to 16–11. [1] [2]
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Gaetz: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Ehr: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 1st district encompasses the western Panhandle, and includes all of Escambia, Okaloosa, Santa Rosa, and Walton counties, as well as part of Holmes County. The district includes the cities of Pensacola, Fort Walton Beach, and Navarre. Republican Matt Gaetz, who had represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 67% of the vote in 2018. [3]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Matt Gaetz (incumbent) | 87,457 | 80.9 | |
Republican | John Mills | 10,383 | 9.6 | |
Republican | Greg Merk | 10,227 | 9.5 | |
Total votes | 108,067 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [7] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight [8] | Safe R | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections [9] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [10] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Politico [11] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos [12] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
RCP [13] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen [14] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Matt Gaetz (incumbent) | 283,352 | 64.61% | ||
Democratic | Phil Ehr | 149,172 | 34.01% | ||
Independent | Albert Oram | 6,038 | 1.38% | ||
Total votes | 438,532 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
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Precinct results Dunn: 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% O'Connor: 60–70% 70–80% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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The 2nd district is located in northern Florida taking in portions of the Panhandle and the Big Bend, including all or parts of 19 counties. The district includes the cities of Panama City, Marianna, and Lake City. Republican Neal Dunn, who had represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 67% of the vote in 2018. [3]
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [7] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight [20] | Safe R | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections [9] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [10] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Politico [11] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos [12] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
RCP [13] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen [14] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Neal Dunn (incumbent) | 305,337 | 97.86% | ||
Independent | Kim O'Connor (write-in) | 6,662 | 2.14% | ||
Total votes | 311,999 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
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Precinct results Cammack: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Christensen: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 3rd district is located in North Central Florida, and includes Alachua, Clay, Putnam, Bradford, and Union counties, as well as most of Marion County. The district includes the cities of Gainesville, Palatka, and Ocala. Republican Ted Yoho, who had represented the district since 2013, was re-elected with 57% of the vote in 2018. [3] On December 10, 2019, Yoho announced he would not run for re-election, honoring his pledge that he would only serve four terms. [21]
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Kat Cammack | Ryan Chamberlin | Todd Chase | James St. George | Keith Perry | Gavin Rollins | Judson Sapp | Amy Pope Wells | Other | Undecided |
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Meer Research | August 6–8, 2020 | 317 (RV) | ± 5.75% | 25% | 3% | 6% | 13% | – | 11% | 15% | 3% | 4% [lower-alpha 2] | 20% |
WPA Intelligence [upper-alpha 1] | June 16–17, 2020 | 405 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 10% | 1% | 5% | 4% | – | 1% | 12% | 1% | 5% [lower-alpha 3] | 60% |
Americana Analytics/Judson Sapp [upper-alpha 2] | Released April 20, 2020 | 400 (V) | ± 5% | 3% | – | – | – | – | 4% | 16% | – | – [lower-alpha 4] | >70% |
Clearview Research | December 16–17, 2019 | 401 (LV) | – | – | – | – | – | 35% | – | 9% | 2% | 6% [lower-alpha 5] | 48% |
Hypothetical polling | ||||||||||||||||||
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Kat Cammack | 21,679 | 25.2 | |
Republican | Judson Sapp | 17,180 | 20.0 | |
Republican | Gavin Rollins | 13,118 | 15.3 | |
Republican | James St. George | 12,125 | 14.1 | |
Republican | Todd Chase | 8,165 | 9.5 | |
Republican | Ryan Chamberlin | 5,067 | 5.9 | |
Republican | Amy Pope Wells | 3,564 | 4.1 | |
Republican | Bill Engelbrecht | 2,001 | 2.3 | |
Republican | David Theus | 1,874 | 2.2 | |
Republican | Joe Millado | 1,168 | 1.4 | |
Total votes | 85,941 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Adam Christensen | 21,073 | 34.5 | |
Democratic | Tom Wells | 20,290 | 33.2 | |
Democratic | Philip Dodds | 19,730 | 32.3 | |
Total votes | 61,093 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [7] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight [55] | Safe R | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections [9] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [10] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Politico [11] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos [12] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
RCP [13] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen [14] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
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Republican | Kat Cammack | 223,075 | 57.14% | ||
Democratic | Adam Christensen | 167,326 | 42.86% | ||
Total votes | 390,401 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
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![]() Precinct results Rutherford: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Deegan: 50–60% 60–70% >90% Tie: 50% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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The 4th district is located in the First Coast region, and includes all of Nassau County, as well as parts of Duval and St. Johns counties. The district includes the cities of Jacksonville, St. Augustine, and Fernandina Beach. Republican John Rutherford, who had represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 65% of the vote in 2018. [3]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | John Rutherford (incumbent) | 80,101 | 80.2 | |
Republican | Erick Aguilar | 19,798 | 19.8 | |
Total votes | 99,899 | 100.0 |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
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Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
John Rutherford | Donna Deegan | |||||
1 | Oct. 14, 2020 | WJXT | Kent Justice | YouTube | P | P |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [7] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight [64] | Safe R | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections [9] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [10] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Politico [11] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos [12] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
RCP [13] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen [14] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | John Rutherford (R) | Donna Deegan (D) | Other | Undecided |
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University of North Florida Archived October 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | October 1–4, 2020 | 863 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 57% | 38% | 5% [lower-alpha 6] | 0% |
St. Pete Polls/Florida Politics | September 2, 2020 | 1,037 (LV) | – | 62% | 35% | – | 3% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
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Republican | John Rutherford (incumbent) | 308,497 | 61.10% | ||
Democratic | Donna Deegan | 196,423 | 38.90% | ||
Independent | Gary Koniz (write-in) | 20 | 0.00% | ||
Total votes | 504,940 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
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![]() Precinct results Lawson: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Adler: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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The 5th district stretches along the northern border of Florida, and includes all of Baker, Gadsden, Hamilton and Madison counties, as well as parts of Columbia, Duval, Jefferson, and Leon counties. The district includes the city of Quincy, as well as parts of Tallahassee and Jacksonville. The district is majority-minority. Democrat Al Lawson, who had represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 66% of the vote in 2018. [3]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Al Lawson (incumbent) | 52,823 | 55.7 | |
Democratic | Albert Chester | 24,579 | 25.9 | |
Democratic | LaShonda "LJ" Holloway | 17,378 | 18.3 | |
Total votes | 94,780 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Gary Adler | 17,433 | 52.1 | |
Republican | Roger Wagoner | 16,012 | 47.9 | |
Total votes | 33,445 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [7] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight [70] | Safe D | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections [9] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [10] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
Politico [11] | Safe D | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos [12] | Safe D | June 3, 2020 |
RCP [13] | Safe D | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen [14] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
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Democratic | Al Lawson (incumbent) | 219,463 | 65.13% | ||
Republican | Gary Adler | 117,510 | 34.87% | ||
Total votes | 336,973 | 100.0 | |||
Democratic hold |
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![]() Precinct results Waltz: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Curtis: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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The 6th district encompasses the Halifax area, including all of Flagler and Volusia counties, as well as parts of St. Johns and Lake counties. The district includes the cities of Daytona Beach, Palm Coast, and DeLand. Republican Michael Waltz, who had represented the district since 2019, was elected with 56% of the vote in 2018. [3]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Clint Curtis | 30,449 | 51.5 | |
Democratic | Richard Thripp | 28,661 | 48.5 | |
Total votes | 59,110 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [7] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight [73] | Safe R | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections [9] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [10] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Politico [11] | Likely R | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos [12] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
RCP [13] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen [14] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
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Republican | Michael Waltz (incumbent) | 265,393 | 60.64% | ||
Democratic | Clint Curtis | 172,305 | 39.36% | ||
Independent | Gerry Nolan (write-in) | 112 | 0.01% | ||
Democratic | Alan Grayson (write-in) | 46 | 0.01% | ||
Total votes | 437,856 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
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![]() Precinct results Murphy: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Valentín: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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The 7th district is located in Central Florida, and includes all of Seminole County and part of Orange County. The district includes the cities of Orlando, Sanford, and Winter Park. Democrat Stephanie Murphy, who had represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 57% of the vote in 2018. [3]
This district was included on the list of Democratic-held seats the National Republican Congressional Committee targeted in 2020. [74]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Leo Valentín | 19,841 | 38.6 | |
Republican | Richard Goble | 19,187 | 37.4 | |
Republican | Yukong Zhao | 12,330 | 24.0 | |
Total votes | 51,358 | 100.0 |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican | Independent |
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Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | |||||||
Stephanie Murphy | Leo Valentin | William Garlington | |||||
1 | Oct. 13, 2020 | WESH | Greg Fox | YouTube | P | P | P |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [7] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight [80] | Safe D | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections [9] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [10] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
Politico [11] | Likely D | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos [12] | Safe D | June 3, 2020 |
RCP [13] | Likely D | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen [14] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
Hypothetical polling | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
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Democratic | Stephanie Murphy (incumbent) | 224,946 | 55.34% | ||
Republican | Leo Valentín | 175,750 | 43.24% | ||
Independent | William Garlington | 5,753 | 1.42% | ||
Total votes | 406,449 | 100.0 | |||
Democratic hold |
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![]() Precinct results Posey: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Kennedy: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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The 8th district encompasses the Space Coast, and includes all of Indian River and Brevard counties, as well as part of Orange County. The district includes the cities of Melbourne, Palm Bay, and Titusville. Republican Bill Posey, who had represented the district since 2009, was re-elected with 60% of the vote in 2018. [3]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Bill Posey (incumbent) | 54,861 | 62.5 | |
Republican | Scott Caine | 32,952 | 37.5 | |
Total votes | 87,813 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [7] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight [83] | Safe R | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections [9] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [10] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Politico [11] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos [12] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
RCP [13] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen [14] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
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Republican | Bill Posey (incumbent) | 282,093 | 61.36% | ||
Democratic | Jim Kennedy | 177,695 | 38.64% | ||
Total votes | 459,788 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
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![]() Precinct results Soto: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Olson: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 50% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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The 9th district is located in Central Florida, and encompasses all of Osceola County, as well as parts of Orange and Polk counties. The district includes the cities of Kissimmee and St. Cloud, as well as eastern Orlando. Democrat Darren Soto, who had represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 58% of the vote in 2018. [3]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Bill Olson | 20,751 | 48.6 | |
Republican | Christopher Wright | 9,677 | 22.7 | |
Republican | Jose Castillo | 8,595 | 20.1 | |
Republican | Sergio E. Ortiz | 3,680 | 8.6 | |
Total votes | 42,703 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [7] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight [91] | Safe D | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections [9] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [10] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
Politico [11] | Likely D | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos [12] | Safe D | June 3, 2020 |
RCP [13] | Safe D | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen [14] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
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Democratic | Darren Soto (incumbent) | 240,724 | 56.02% | ||
Republican | Bill Olson | 188,889 | 43.96% | ||
Independent | Clay Hill (write-in) | 25 | 0.01% | ||
Total votes | 429,638 | 100.0 | |||
Democratic hold |
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![]() Precinct results Demings: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Francois: 50–60% 60–70% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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The 10th district is located in Central Florida, and includes part of Orange County. The district includes western Orlando and its surrounding suburbs, including Apopka, Ocoee, and Winter Garden. Democrat Val Demings, who had represented the district since 2017, was re-elected unopposed in 2018. [3]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Vennia Francois | 21,485 | 65.1 | |
Republican | Willie Montague | 11,498 | 34.9 | |
Total votes | 32,983 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [7] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight [94] | Safe D | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections [9] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [10] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
Politico [11] | Safe D | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos [12] | Safe D | June 3, 2020 |
RCP [13] | Safe D | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen [14] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
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Democratic | Val Demings (incumbent) | 239,434 | 63.61% | ||
Republican | Vennia Francois | 136,889 | 36.36% | ||
Independent | Sufiyah Yasmine (write-in) | 74 | 0.01% | ||
Total votes | 376,397 | 100.0 | |||
Democratic hold |
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![]() Precinct results Webster: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Cottrell: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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The 11th district is located in North Central Florida, and includes all of Sumter, Citrus, and Hernando counties, as well as parts of Marion and Lake counties. The district includes the cities of Spring Hill, Inverness, and Leesburg, as well as the large retirement community of The Villages. Republican Daniel Webster, who had represented the district since 2011, was re-elected with 65% of the vote in 2018. [3]
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [7] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight [98] | Safe R | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections [9] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [10] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Politico [11] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos [12] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
RCP [13] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen [14] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Daniel Webster (incumbent) | 316,979 | 66.72% | ||
Democratic | Dana Cottrell | 158,094 | 33.27% | ||
Total votes | 475,073 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
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![]() Precinct results Bilirakis: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Walker: 50–60% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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The 12th district encompasses the northern Tampa Bay area, including all of Pasco County, as well as parts of Hillsborough and Pinellas counties. The district includes the cities of Palm Harbor, New Port Richey, and Zephyrhills. Republican Gus Bilirakis, who had represented the district since 2007, was re-elected with 58% of the vote in 2018. [3]
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [7] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight [102] | Safe R | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections [9] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [10] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Politico [11] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos [12] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
RCP [13] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen [14] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Gus Bilirakis (incumbent) | 284,941 | 62.88% | ||
Democratic | Kimberly Walker | 168,194 | 37.11% | ||
Total votes | 453,135 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
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![]() Precinct results Crist: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Luna: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 50% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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The 13th district is located in the western Tampa Bay area and encompasses the northern Florida Suncoast, and includes part of Pinellas County. The district includes the cities of St. Petersburg, Clearwater, and Largo. Democrat Charlie Crist, who had represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 57.6% of the vote in 2018. [3]
This district was included on the list of Democratic-held seats the National Republican Congressional Committee targeted in 2020. [74]
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | George Buck | Sheila Griffin | Anna Paulina Luna | Amanda Makki | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
St. Pete Polls | August 15, 2020 | 626 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 26% | 6% | 29% | 20% | 1% [lower-alpha 9] | – |
St. Pete Polls | July 9, 2020 | 558 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 21% | 4% | 13% | 29% | 1% [lower-alpha 10] | 32% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Anna Paulina Luna | 22,941 | 36.1 | |
Republican | Amanda Makki | 17,967 | 28.3 | |
Republican | George Buck | 16,371 | 25.8 | |
Republican | Sheila Griffin | 4,329 | 6.8 | |
Republican | Sharon Newby (withdrawn) | 1,866 | 2.9 | |
Total votes | 63,474 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [7] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight [132] | Safe D | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections [9] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [10] | Safe D | October 1, 2020 |
Politico [11] | Lean D | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos [12] | Safe D | November 2, 2020 |
RCP [13] | Likely D | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen [14] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Charlie Crist (D) | Anna Paulina Luna (R) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
St. Pete Polls | October 28, 2020 | 1,280 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 55% | 39% | 7% |
St. Pete Polls | August 29–30, 2020 | 2,160 (LV) | ± 2.1% | 55% | 39% | 7% |
Hypothetical polling | ||||||||||||||
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Charlie Crist (incumbent) | 215,405 | 53.03% | ||
Republican | Anna Paulina Luna | 190,713 | 46.95% | ||
Republican | Jacob Curnow (write-in) | 7 | 0.01% | ||
Total votes | 406,125 | 100.0 | |||
Democratic hold |
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![]() Precinct results Castor: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Quinn: 50–60% 60–70% Tie: 50% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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The 14th district is located in the northern Tampa Bay area, and includes part of Hillsborough County. The district includes the cities of Tampa, Carrollwood, and Northdale. Democrat Kathy Castor, who had represented the district since 2007, was re-elected unopposed in 2018. [3]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Christine Quinn | 24,077 | 64.5 | |
Republican | Paul Elliott | 13,257 | 35.5 | |
Total votes | 37,334 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [7] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight [136] | Safe D | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections [9] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [10] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
Politico [11] | Safe D | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos [12] | Safe D | June 3, 2020 |
RCP [13] | Safe D | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen [14] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Kathy Castor (incumbent) | 224,240 | 60.25% | ||
Republican | Christine Quinn | 147,896 | 39.74% | ||
Total votes | 372,136 | 100.0 | |||
Democratic hold |
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![]() Precinct results Franklin: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Cohn: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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The 15th district is located in the northeastern Tampa Bay area and extends along the I-4 corridor into Central Florida, and includes parts of Hillsborough, Polk, and Lake counties. The district includes the cities of Lakeland, Brandon, and Bartow. Republican Ross Spano, who had represented the district since 2019, was elected with 53% of the vote in 2018. Spano lost renomination in the Republican primary. [3]
This district was included on the list of Republican-held seats the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeted in 2020. [137]
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of Error | Scott Franklin | Ross Spano | Other |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
St. Pete Polls | August 12, 2020 | 594 (LV) | ± 4% | 41% | 42% | 18% [lower-alpha 11] |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Scott Franklin | 30,736 | 51.2 | |
Republican | Ross Spano (incumbent) | 29,265 | 48.8 | |
Total votes | 60,001 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Alan Cohn | 21,079 | 41.0 | |
Democratic | Adam Hattersley | 16,978 | 33.0 | |
Democratic | Jesse Philippe | 13,384 | 26.0 | |
Total votes | 51,441 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [7] | Lean R | July 16, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight [170] | Likely R | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections [9] | Lean R | August 7, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [10] | Lean R | July 2, 2020 |
Politico [11] | Lean R | July 6, 2020 |
Daily Kos [12] | Likely R | April 30, 2020 |
RCP [13] | Tossup | October 15, 2020 |
Niskanen [14] | Lean R | June 7, 2020 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of Error | Scott Franklin (R) | Alan Cohn (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research (D) [upper-alpha 3] | October 22–24, 2020 | 530 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 46% | 44% | – |
St. Pete Polls | October 15, 2020 | 943 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 49% | 41% | 11% |
DCCC Targeting & Analytics Department (D) [upper-alpha 4] | September 30 – October 4, 2020 | 390 (LV) | ± 5% | 42% | 39% | 19% |
GQR Research (D) [upper-alpha 5] | September 4–6, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 49% | 42% | – |
Hypothetical polling | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Scott Franklin | 216,374 | 55.38% | ||
Democratic | Alan Cohn | 174,297 | 44.61% | ||
Total votes | 390,671 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
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![]() Precinct results Buchanan: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Good: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% >90% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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The 16th district encompasses the southern Tampa Bay area and southern Florida Suncoast, and includes all of Manatee County, as well as parts of Hillsborough and Sarasota counties. The district includes the cities of Sarasota, Bradenton, and Sun City Center. Republican Vern Buchanan, who had represented the district since 2007, was reelected with 54% of the vote in 2018. [3]
This district was included on the list of Republican-held seats the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeted in 2020. [137]
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [7] | Likely R | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight [177] | Likely R | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections [9] | Likely R | August 7, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [10] | Likely R | July 2, 2020 |
Politico [11] | Likely R | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos [12] | Likely R | June 3, 2020 |
RCP [13] | Lean R | October 15, 2020 |
Niskanen [14] | Likely R | June 7, 2020 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Vern Buchanan (R) | Margaret Good (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Data Targeting (R) [upper-alpha 6] | October 19–21, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 53% | 38% | – | – |
Data Targeting (R) [upper-alpha 6] | October 6–8, 2020 | 403 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 52% | 37% | 1% [lower-alpha 12] | 9% |
Change Research (D) [upper-alpha 7] | October 5–8, 2020 | 527 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 48% | 45% | – | 7% |
Data Targeting (R) [upper-alpha 6] | September 29 – October 1, 2020 | 400 (LV) | – | 53% | 37% | – | – |
Global Strategy Group (D) | September 24–27, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 43% | – | – |
Data Targeting (R) [upper-alpha 6] | August 27–29, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 51% | 35% | – | – |
Global Strategy Group (D) | July 7–12, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 41% | – | – |
Data Targeting (R) [upper-alpha 6] | January 14–16, 2020 | 400 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 53% | 33% | – | 14% |
Hypothetical polling | ||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Vern Buchanan (incumbent) | 269,001 | 55.50% | ||
Democratic | Margaret Good | 215,683 | 44.49% | ||
Total votes | 484,684 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
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![]() Precinct results Steube: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Ellison: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% >90% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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The 17th district encompasses part of Southwest Florida and most of the Florida Heartland, and includes all or part of 10 counties. The district includes the cities of North Port, Port Charlotte, and Sebring. Republican Greg Steube, who had represented the district since 2019, was elected with 62% of the vote in 2018. [3]
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [7] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight [180] | Safe R | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections [9] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [10] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Politico [11] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos [12] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
RCP [13] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen [14] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Greg Steube (incumbent) | 266,514 | 64.62% | ||
Democratic | Allen Ellison | 140,487 | 34.06% | ||
Independent | Theodore Murray | 5,396 | 1.30% | ||
Total votes | 412,397 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
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![]() Precinct results Mast: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Keith: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 50% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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The 18th district encompasses the Treasure Coast region, and includes all of St. Lucie and Martin counties, as well as part of Palm Beach County. The district includes the cities of Port St. Lucie, Fort Pierce, and Jupiter. Republican Brian Mast, who had represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 54% of the vote in 2018. [3]
This district was included on the list of Republican-held seats the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeted in 2020. [137]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Brian Mast (incumbent) | 62,121 | 86.0 | |
Republican | Nick Vessio | 10,081 | 14.0 | |
Total votes | 72,202 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Pam Keith | 52,921 | 79.8 | |
Democratic | Oz Vazquez | 13,385 | 20.2 | |
Total votes | 66,306 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [7] | Likely R | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight [193] | Likely R | October 19, 2020 |
Inside Elections [9] | Likely R | October 16, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [10] | Likely R | October 20, 2020 |
Politico [11] | Lean R | November 2, 2020 |
Daily Kos [12] | Likely R | October 19, 2020 |
RCP [13] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen [14] | Tossup | July 26, 2020 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Brian Mast (R) | Pam Keith (D) | K. W. Miller (I) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Clearview Research (D) [upper-alpha 8] | October 7–9, 2020 | 301 (LV) | – | 43% | 45% | 4% | – |
St. Pete Polls | September 18, 2020 | 1,149 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 50% | 42% | 2% | 5% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Brian Mast (incumbent) | 253,286 | 56.32% | ||
Democratic | Pam Keith | 186,674 | 41.50% | ||
Independent | K. W. Miller | 9,760 | 2.17% | ||
Total votes | 449,720 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
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![]() Precinct results Donalds: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Banyai: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 19th district includes most of Southwest Florida, and includes parts of Lee and Collier counties. The district includes the cities of Cape Coral, Fort Myers, Estero, Bonita Springs and Naples. Republican Francis Rooney, who had represented the district since 2017, was reelected with 62% of the vote in 2018. [3] On October 19, 2019, Rooney announced he would not seek re-election. [194]
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Casey Askar | Byron Donalds | Dane Eagle | William Figlesthaler | Randy Henderson | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
St. Pete Polls | August 16, 2020 | 439 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 22% | 23% | 16% | 16% | 11% | 8% [lower-alpha 13] | 4% |
St. Pete Polls | August 3, 2020 | 525 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 16% | 22% | 20% | 21% | 8% | 6% [lower-alpha 13] | 14% |
Data Targeting/Dane Eagle [upper-alpha 9] | July 23, 2020 | 282 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 15% | 21% | 23% | 19% | 6% | 3% [lower-alpha 14] | 8% |
St. Pete Polls | July 6, 2020 | 503 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 30% | 26% | 7% | 16% | 5% | 4% [lower-alpha 15] | 12% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Byron Donalds | 23,492 | 22.6 | |
Republican | Dane Eagle | 22,715 | 21.9 | |
Republican | Casey Askar | 20,774 | 20.0 | |
Republican | William Figlesthaler | 19,075 | 18.3 | |
Republican | Randy Henderson | 7,858 | 7.6 | |
Republican | Christy McLaughlin | 4,245 | 4.1 | |
Republican | Dan Severson | 3,197 | 3.1 | |
Republican | Darren Aquino | 1,466 | 1.4 | |
Republican | Daniel Kowal | 1,135 | 1.1 | |
Total votes | 103,957 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Cindy Banyai | 28,765 | 57.6 | |
Democratic | David Holden | 21,212 | 42.4 | |
Total votes | 49,977 | 100.0 |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
Byron Donalds | Cindy Banyai | |||||
1 | Sep. 30, 2020 | WGCU (TV) | YouTube | P | P |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [7] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight [225] | Safe R | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections [9] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [10] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Politico [11] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos [12] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
RCP [13] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen [14] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Byron Donalds | 272,440 | 61.27% | ||
Democratic | Cindy Banyai | 172,146 | 38.72% | ||
Independent | Patrick Post (write-in) | 3 | 0.01% | ||
Total votes | 444,589 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
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![]() County results Hastings: 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
![]() Precinct results Hastings: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Musselwhite: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 50% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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The 20th district is located in South Florida, and includes parts of Broward and Palm Beach counties. The district includes the cities of Fort Lauderdale, Pompano Beach, and Belle Glade. Democrat Alcee Hastings, who had represented the district since 1993, was re-elected unopposed in 2018. [3]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Alcee Hastings (incumbent) | 62,759 | 69.3 | |
Democratic | Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick | 27,831 | 30.7 | |
Total votes | 90,590 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Greg Musselwhite | 5,394 | 52.0 | |
Republican | Vic DeGrammont | 4,975 | 48.0 | |
Total votes | 10,369 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [7] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight [233] | Safe D | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections [9] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [10] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
Politico [11] | Safe D | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos [12] | Safe D | June 3, 2020 |
RCP [13] | Safe D | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen [14] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Alcee Hastings (incumbent) | 253,661 | 78.67% | ||
Republican | Greg Musselwhite | 68,748 | 21.32% | ||
Total votes | 322,409 | 100.0 | |||
Democratic hold |
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![]() Precinct results Frankel: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Loomer: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 50% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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The 21st district is located in South Florida, and includes part of Palm Beach County. The district includes the cities of West Palm Beach, Boynton Beach, and Wellington. Democrat Lois Frankel, who had represented the district since 2013, was re-elected unopposed in 2018. [3]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Lois Frankel (incumbent) | 75,504 | 86.0 | |
Democratic | Guido Weiss | 12,308 | 14.0 | |
Total votes | 87,812 | 100.0 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Laura Loomer | Other |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Washington Sentinel [upper-alpha 10] | Released June 20, 2020 | – [lower-alpha 16] | – | 51% | >=4% [lower-alpha 17] |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Laura Loomer | 14,526 | 42.5 | |
Republican | Christian Acosta | 8,724 | 25.5 | |
Republican | Michael Vilardi | 4,194 | 12.3 | |
Republican | Aaron Scanlan | 3,221 | 9.4 | |
Republican | Elizabeth Felton | 2,421 | 7.1 | |
Republican | Reba Sherrill | 1,070 | 3.1 | |
Total votes | 34,156 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [7] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight [253] | Safe D | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections [9] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [10] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
Politico [11] | Safe D | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos [12] | Safe D | June 3, 2020 |
RCP [13] | Safe D | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen [14] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Lois Frankel (D) | Laura Loomer (R) | Charleston Malkemus (I) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
St. Pete Polls/Florida Politics | October 2, 2020 | 1,015 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 61% | 33% | 2% | 5% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Lois Frankel (incumbent) | 237,925 | 59.02% | ||
Republican | Laura Loomer | 157,612 | 39.10% | ||
Independent | Charleston Malkemus | 7,544 | 1.87% | ||
Independent | Sylvia Caravetta (write-in) | 8 | 0.01% | ||
Republican | Piotr Blass (write-in) | 4 | 0.01% | ||
Total votes | 403,093 | 100.0 | |||
Democratic hold |
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![]() Precinct results Deutch: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Pruden: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Tie: 50% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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The 22nd district is located in South Florida, and includes parts of Broward and Palm Beach counties. The district includes the cities of Boca Raton, Deerfield Beach, and Coral Springs. Democrat Ted Deutch, who had represented the district since 2010, was re-elected with 62% of the vote in 2018. [3]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | James Pruden | 11,840 | 35.6 | |
Republican | Jessica Melton | 9,969 | 30.0 | |
Republican | Fran Flynn | 8,667 | 26.1 | |
Republican | Darlene Swaffar | 2,763 | 8.3 | |
Total votes | 33,239 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [7] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight [258] | Safe D | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections [9] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [10] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
Politico [11] | Safe D | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos [12] | Safe D | June 3, 2020 |
RCP [13] | Safe D | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen [14] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Ted Deutch (incumbent) | 235,764 | 58.60% | ||
Republican | James Pruden | 166,553 | 41.39% | ||
Total votes | 402,317 | 100.0 | |||
Democratic hold |
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![]() Precinct results Schultz: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Spalding: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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The 23rd district is located in South Florida, and includes parts of Broward and Miami-Dade counties. The district includes the cities of Pembroke Pines, Davie, and Aventura. Democrat Debbie Wasserman Schultz, who had represented the district since 2005, was re-elected with 58% of the vote in 2018. [3]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Debbie Wasserman Schultz (incumbent) | 55,729 | 72.0 | |
Democratic | Jen Perelman | 21,631 | 28.0 | |
Total votes | 77,360 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Carla Spalding | 12,751 | 51.3 | |
Republican | Michael Kroske | 12,116 | 48.7 | |
Total votes | 24,867 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [7] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight [270] | Safe D | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections [9] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [10] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
Politico [11] | Safe D | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos [12] | Safe D | June 3, 2020 |
Niskanen [14] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
RCP [13] | Safe D | June 9, 2020 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Debbie Wasserman Schultz (incumbent) | 221,239 | 58.19% | ||
Republican | Carla Spalding | 158,874 | 41.78% | ||
Republican | Jeff Olson (write-in) | 46 | 0.01% | ||
Republican | D. B. Fugate (write-in) | 37 | 0.01% | ||
Total votes | 381,196 | 100.0 | |||
Democratic hold |
![]() | |||||||||||||||||
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![]() Precinct results Wilson: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Spicer: 40–50% 50–60% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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The 24th district is located in South Florida, and includes parts of Broward and Miami-Dade counties. The district includes the cities of Miami, Miami Gardens, and Hollywood. Democrat Frederica Wilson, who had represented the district since 2011, was re-elected unopposed in 2018. [3]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Frederica Wilson (incumbent) | 68,505 | 84.7 | |
Democratic | Sakinah Lehtola | 6,267 | 7.7 | |
Democratic | Ricardo de La Fuente | 6,134 | 7.6 | |
Total votes | 80,906 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [7] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight [278] | Safe D | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections [9] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [10] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
Politico [11] | Safe D | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos [12] | Safe D | June 3, 2020 |
RCP [13] | Safe D | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen [14] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Frederica Wilson (incumbent) | 218,825 | 75.55% | ||
Republican | Lavern Spicer | 59,084 | 20.39% | ||
Independent | Christine Olivo | 11,703 | 4.04% | ||
Republican | Howard Knepper (write-in) | 17 | 0.01% | ||
Independent | Hector Rivera (write-in) | 9 | 0.01% | ||
Total votes | 289,638 | 100.0 | |||
Democratic hold |
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![]() Precinct results Díaz-Balart: >90% | |||||||||||
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The 25th district is located in South Florida and stretches into parts of Southwest Florida and the Florida Heartland, and includes all of Hendry County, as well as parts of Miami-Dade and Collier counties. The district includes the cities of Hialeah, Doral, and Clewiston. Republican Mario Díaz-Balart, who had represented the district since 2003, was re-elected with 60% of the vote in 2018. [3]
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [7] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight [281] | Safe R | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections [9] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [10] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Politico [11] | Safe R | September 9, 2020 |
Daily Kos [12] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
RCP [13] | Safe R | October 15, 2020 |
Niskanen [14] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Mario Díaz-Balart (incumbent) | — | Uncontested | |
Total votes | — | — | ||
Republican hold |
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![]() Precinct results Giménez: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% >90% Mucarsel-Powell: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Tie: 50% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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The 26th district is located in South Florida and the Florida Keys, and includes all of Monroe County and part of Miami-Dade County. The district includes the cities of Homestead, Kendale Lakes, and Key West. Democrat Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, who had represented the district since 2019, flipped the district and was elected with 50% of the vote in 2018. [3]
This district was included on the list of Democratic-held seats the National Republican Congressional Committee targeted in 2020. [74]
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Omar Blanco | Carlos Giménez | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Unspecified national Republican organisation | October 13–15, 2019 | ~ 136 (LV) [lower-alpha 18] | – | 6% | 51% | 2% [lower-alpha 19] | 39% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Carlos A. Giménez | 29,480 | 59.9 | |
Republican | Omar Blanco | 19,721 | 40.1 | |
Total votes | 49,201 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [7] | Lean D | October 21, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight [298] | Likely D | October 19, 2020 |
Inside Elections [299] | Tilt D | October 16, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [10] | Lean D | November 2, 2020 |
Politico [11] | Lean D | November 2, 2020 |
Daily Kos [12] | Tossup | June 3, 2020 |
RCP [13] | Tossup | October 15, 2020 |
Niskanen [14] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Debbie Murcasel-Powell (D) | Carlos Giménez (R) | Other/ Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Meeting Street Insights (R) [upper-alpha 11] | July 14–18, 2020 | 400 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 42% | 47% | 11% |
Unspecified national Republican organisation | October 13–15, 2019 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 42% | 45% | – |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Carlos A. Giménez | 177,223 | 51.72% | ||
Democratic | Debbie Mucarsel-Powell (incumbent) | 165,407 | 48.27% | ||
Total votes | 342,630 | 100.0 | |||
Republican gain from Democratic |
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![]() Precinct results Salazar: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Shalala: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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The 27th district is located in South Florida, and includes part of Miami-Dade County. The district includes the cities of Coral Gables, Kendall, and Miami Beach, as well as the neighborhood of Little Havana in Miami. Democrat Donna Shalala, who had represented the district since 2019, flipped the district and was elected with 52% of the vote in 2018. [3]
This district was included on the list of Democratic-held seats the National Republican Congressional Committee targeted in 2020. [74]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Maria Elvira Salazar | 39,687 | 79.1 | |
Republican | Raymond Molina | 5,497 | 10.9 | |
Republican | Juan Fiol | 5,018 | 10.0 | |
Total votes | 50,202 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [7] | Likely D | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight [312] | Likely D | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections [9] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [10] | Likely D | July 2, 2020 |
Politico [11] | Likely D | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos [12] | Lean D | June 3, 2020 |
RCP [13] | Likely D | October 15, 2020 |
Niskanen [14] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Donna Shalala (D) | Maria Salazar (R) | Other/ Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bendixen & Amandi Research (D) [upper-alpha 12] | October 9–13, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 50% | 43% | 7% |
1892 Polling (R) [upper-alpha 13] | September 2–6, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 43% | 46% | – |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Maria Elvira Salazar | 176,141 | 51.35% | ||
Democratic | Donna Shalala (incumbent) | 166,758 | 48.62% | ||
Republican | Frank Polo (write-in) | 76 | 0.01% | ||
Total votes | 342,975 | 100.0 | |||
Republican gain from Democratic |
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