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All 27 Florida seats to the United States House of Representatives | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Florida |
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Government |
The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida were held on Tuesday, November 6, 2018, to elect the 27 U.S. representatives from the state of Florida, one from each of the state's 27 congressional districts. The elections coincided with the elections of other offices, including a gubernatorial election, other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The party primaries were held on August 28, 2018. [1]
The state congressional delegation changed from a 16–11 Republican majority to a slim 14–13 Republican majority, one short from a Democratic flip. These were seen as the most seats Democrats had attained in Florida since 1982. As noted in the vote table below, Florida does not count votes in uncontested races, so the votes in the four uncontested seats held by Democratic members of the House are not counted in the totals or percentages on this page, and each under counts the votes for Democrats in Florida.
Party | Candi- dates | Votes | Seats | ||||
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No. | % | No. | +/– | % | |||
Republican | 22 | 3,675,417 | 52.35% | 14 | 2 | 51.85% | |
Democratic | 27 | 3,307,228 | 47.10% | 13 | 2 | 48.15% | |
Independent | 6 | 38,550 | 0.55% | 0 | 0.00% | ||
Write-in | 8 | 281 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | ||
Total | 63 | 7,021,476 | 100.00% | 27 | 100.00% |
Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida by district: [2]
District | Republican | Democratic | Others | Total | Result | ||||
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Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
District 1 | 216,189 | 67.06% | 106,199 | 32.94% | 0 | 0.00% | 322,388 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 2 | 199,335 | 67.44% | 96,233 | 32.56% | 0 | 0.00% | 295,568 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 3 | 176,616 | 57.62% | 129,880 | 42.38% | 0 | 0.00% | 306,496 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 4 | 248,420 | 65.16% | 123,351 | 32.35% | 9,478 | 2.49% | 381,249 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 5 | 89,799 | 33.22% | 180,527 | 66.78% | 0 | 0.00 | 270,326 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
District 6 | 187,891 | 56.31% | 145,758 | 43.69% | 0 | 0.00% | 333,649 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 7 | 134,285 | 42.31% | 183,113 | 57.69% | 0 | 0.00% | 317,398 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
District 8 | 218,112 | 60.50% | 142,415 | 39.50% | 0 | 0.00% | 360,527 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 9 | 124,565 | 41.98% | 172,172 | 58.02% | 0 | 0.00% | 296,737 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
District 10 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | Democratic hold |
District 11 | 239,395 | 65.14% | 128,053 | 34.84% | 58 | 0.02% | 367,506 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 12 | 194,564 | 58.09% | 132,844 | 39.66% | 7,510 | 2.24% | 334,918 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 13 | 134,254 | 42.36% | 182,717 | 57.64% | 0 | 0.00% | 316,971 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
District 14 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | Democratic hold |
District 15 | 151,380 | 53.02% | 134,132 | 46.98% | 20 | 0.01% | 285,532 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 16 | 197,483 | 54.56% | 164,463 | 45.44% | 0 | 0.00% | 361,946 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 17 | 193,326 | 62.26% | 117,194 | 37.74% | 0 | 0.00% | 310,520 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 18 | 185,905 | 54.30% | 156,454 | 45.70% | 0 | 0.00% | 342,359 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 19 | 211,465 | 62.27% | 128,106 | 37.72% | 36 | 0.01% | 339,607 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 20 | 0 | 0.00% | 202,659 | 99.92% | 165 | 0.08% | 202,824 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
District 21 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | Democratic hold |
District 22 | 113,049 | 37.98% | 184,634 | 62.02% | 0 | 0.00% | 297,683 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
District 23 | 99,446 | 35.98% | 161,611 | 58.48% | 15,309 | 5.54% | 276,366 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
District 24 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | Democratic hold |
District 25 | 128,672 | 60.45% | 84,173 | 39.55% | 0 | 0.00% | 212,845 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 26 | 115,678 | 49.13% | 119,797 | 50.87% | 0 | 0.00% | 235,475 | 100.00% | Democratic gain |
District 27 | 115,588 | 45.76% | 130,743 | 51.76% | 6,255 | 2.48% | 252,586 | 100.00% | Democratic gain |
Total | 3,675,417 | 52.35% | 3,307,228 | 47.10% | 38,831 | 0.55% | 7,021,476 | 100.00% |
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The 1st district stretches along the Emerald Coast and is located in the western Panhandle anchored by Pensacola, it also includes Fort Walton Beach, Navarre, and Wright. Incumbent Republican Matt Gaetz, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. He was elected with 69% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+22.
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Matt Gaetz (incumbent) | 65,203 | 64.8 | |
Republican | Cris Dosev | 30,433 | 30.2 | |
Republican | John Mills | 4,992 | 5.0 | |
Total votes | 100,628 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Jennifer M. Zimmerman | 22,422 | 60.5 | |
Democratic | Phil Ehr | 14,650 | 39.5 | |
Total votes | 37,072 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Matt Gaetz (incumbent) | 216,189 | 67.1 | |
Democratic | Jennifer M. Zimmerman | 106,199 | 32.9 | |
Total votes | 322,388 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
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The 2nd district is located in the Big Bend region and is anchored by Panama City, and includes the suburbs of Tallahassee. Incumbent Republican Neal Dunn, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. He was elected with 67% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+18.
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Brandon Peters | Bob Rackleff | Undecided |
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Bold Blue Campaigns (D-Peters) [10] | August 21–23, 2018 | 407 | – | 47% | 36% | 17% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Bob Rackleff | 29,395 | 50.8 | |
Democratic | Brandon Peters | 28,483 | 49.2 | |
Total votes | 57,878 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Neal Dunn (incumbent) | 199,335 | 67.4 | |
Democratic | Bob Rackleff | 96,233 | 32.6 | |
Total votes | 295,568 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
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County results Yoho: 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Hinson: 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||||
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The 3rd district is located in North Central Florida and includes the cities of Gainesville, Palatka, and Ocala. Incumbent Republican Ted Yoho, who had represented the district since 2013, ran for re-election. He was elected to a third term with 57% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+9.
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Ted Yoho (incumbent) | 54,848 | 76.3 | |
Republican | Judson Sapp | 17,068 | 23.7 | |
Total votes | 71,916 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Yvonne Hayes Hinson | 31,655 | 59.5 | |
Democratic | Tom Wells | 17,663 | 33.2 | |
Democratic | Dushyant Gosai | 3,883 | 7.3 | |
Total votes | 53,201 | 100.0 |
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Ted Yoho (incumbent) | 176,616 | 57.6 | |
Democratic | Yvonne Hayes Hinson | 129,880 | 42.4 | |
Total votes | 306,496 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
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County results Rutherford: 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||||
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The 4th district is located in the First Coast region and is made up of the Jacksonville metropolitan area including Jacksonville Beach and St. Augustine. Incumbent Republican John Rutherford, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. He was elected with 70% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+17.
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | John Rutherford (incumbent) | 248,420 | 65.2 | |
Democratic | Ges Selmont | 123,351 | 32.4 | |
Independent | Joceline Berrios | 7,155 | 1.9 | |
Independent | Jason Bulger | 2,321 | 0.6 | |
Write-in | 2 | 0.0 | ||
Total votes | 381,249 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
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County results Lawson: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Fuller 50–60% 60–70% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||||
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The 5th district stretches along the northern border of Florida from the state capital, Tallahassee, to Jacksonville. Incumbent Democrat Al Lawson, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. He was elected with 64% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+12.
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Alvin Brown | Al Lawson | Undecided |
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University of North Florida [16] | August 17–19, 2018 | 402 | – | 29% | 48% | 23% |
St. Pete Polls [17] | August 11–12, 2018 | 445 | ± 4.6% | 27% | 50% | 23% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Al Lawson (incumbent) | 53,990 | 60.3 | |
Democratic | Alvin Brown | 35,584 | 39.7 | |
Total votes | 89,574 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Al Lawson (incumbent) | 180,527 | 66.8 | |
Republican | Virginia Fuller | 89,799 | 33.2 | |
Total votes | 270,326 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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County results Waltz: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||||
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The 6th district is located in the Surf Coast region and includes the cities of Daytona Beach, Deltona, and Palm Coast. Incumbent Republican Ron DeSantis, who had represented the district since 2013, was re-elected to a third term with 59% of the vote in 2016. He did not run for re-election in 2018, rather opting to run for Governor of Florida. [19] The district had a PVI of R+7.
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Fred Costello | Michael Waltz | John Ward | Undecided |
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St. Pete Polls [33] | August 10, 2018 | 528 | ± 4.3% | 16% | 40% | 21% | 23% |
St. Pete Polls [34] | July 18, 2018 | 477 | ± 4.5% | 21% | 20% | 21% | 38% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Michael Waltz | 32,916 | 42.4 | |
Republican | John Ward | 23,593 | 30.4 | |
Republican | Fred Costello | 21,074 | 27.2 | |
Total votes | 77,583 | 100.0 |
Florida's 6th district is one of the 20 Republican held seats included in the second round of seats targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018. [35]
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Stephen Sevigny | Nancy Soderberg | John Upchurch | Undecided |
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St. Pete Polls [45] | August 17, 2018 | 407 | ± 4.9% | 19% | 50% | 12% | 20% |
St. Pete Polls [46] | July 18, 2018 | 420 | ± 4.8% | 10% | 30% | 13% | 46% |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic |
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Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | |||||||
Stephen Sevigny | Nancy Soderberg | John Upchurch | |||||
1 | Aug. 2, 2018 | The Daytona Beach News-Journal | [47] | P | P | P |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Nancy Soderberg | 32,174 | 55.6 | |
Democratic | John Upchurch | 13,088 | 22.6 | |
Democratic | Stephen Sevigny | 12,633 | 21.8 | |
Total votes | 57,895 | 100.0 |
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Michael Waltz (R) | Nancy Soderberg (D) | Undecided |
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GQR Research (D) [53] | October 1–4, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 45% | 45% | 9% |
St. Pete Polls [54] | September 19, 2018 | 730 | ± 3.6% | 47% | 43% | 10% |
GQR Research (D) [55] | September 4–6, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 47% | 46% | – |
A debate was scheduled for September 25, but it was cancelled. [56] [57]
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
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Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
Michael Waltz | Nancy Soderberg | |||||
1 | Oct. 2, 2018 | WESH | Greg Fox | [58] | P | P |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [59] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections [60] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [61] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
RCP [62] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos [63] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
538 [64] | Lean R | November 7, 2018 |
CNN [65] | Likely R | October 31, 2018 |
Politico [66] | Lean R | November 4, 2018 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Michael Waltz | 187,891 | 56.3 | |
Democratic | Nancy Soderberg | 145,758 | 43.7 | |
Total votes | 333,649 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
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County results Murphy: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||||
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The 7th district is centered around downtown Orlando and the northern Orlando suburbs such as Sanford and Winter Park. Incumbent Democrat Stephanie Murphy, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. She was elected with 51% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of Even.
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Stephanie Murphy (incumbent) | 49,060 | 86.2 | |
Democratic | Chardo Richardson | 7,846 | 13.2 | |
Total votes | 56,906 | 100.0 |
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Vennia Francois | Mike Miller | Scott Sturgill | Undecided |
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St. Pete Polls [88] | August 20, 2018 | 321 | ± 5.5% | 8% | 42% | 26% | 24% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Mike Miller | 30,629 | 53.9 | |
Republican | Scott Sturgill | 17,253 | 30.4 | |
Republican | Vennia Francois | 8,950 | 15.8 | |
Total votes | 56,832 | 100.0 |
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Stephanie Murphy (D) | Mike Miller (R) | Undecided |
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St. Pete Polls [92] | August 30, 2018 | 435 | ± 4.7% | 47% | 46% | 7% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [59] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections [60] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [61] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
RCP [62] | Lean D | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos [63] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
538 [64] | Likely D | November 7, 2018 |
CNN [65] | Safe D | October 31, 2018 |
Politico [66] | Likely D | November 2, 2018 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Stephanie Murphy (incumbent) | 183,113 | 57.7 | |
Republican | Mike Miller | 134,285 | 42.3 | |
Total votes | 317,398 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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County results Posey: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||||
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The 8th district includes the Space Coast region and the cities of Melbourne, Palm Bay, and Vero Beach. Incumbent Republican Bill Posey, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 15th district from 2009 to 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected to a fifth term with 63% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+11.
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Bill Posey (incumbent) | 218,112 | 60.5 | |
Democratic | Sanjay Patel | 142,415 | 39.5 | |
Total votes | 360,527 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
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County results Soto: 60–70% Liebnitzky: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||||
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The 9th district is located in inland Central Florida including Kissimmee, St. Cloud, and Winter Haven. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. He was elected with 57% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+5.
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Alan Grayson | Darren Soto | Undecided |
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SurveyUSA [96] | August 2–6, 2018 | 512 | ± 5.4% | 38% | 45% | 17% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Darren Soto (incumbent) | 36,586 | 66.4 | |
Democratic | Alan Grayson | 18,528 | 33.6 | |
Total votes | 55,114 | 100.0 |
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Darren Soto (D) | Wayne Liebnitzky (R) | Undecided |
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SurveyUSA [98] | October 2–7, 2018 | 535 | ± 6.4% | 48% | 40% | 11% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Darren Soto (incumbent) | 172,172 | 58.0 | |
Republican | Wayne Liebnitzky | 124,565 | 42.0 | |
Total votes | 296,737 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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The 10th district is centered around Orlando and the surrounding suburbs such as Lockhart, Oak Ridge, and Zellwood. Incumbent Democrat Val Demings, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. She was elected with 65% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+11.
Because no write-in candidates or candidates of other parties filed to run in this district, the Democratic primary was open to all voters.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Val Demings (incumbent) | 73,601 | 75.0 | |
Democratic | Wade Darius | 24,534 | 25.0 | |
Total votes | 98,135 | 100.0 |
No Republicans filed.
Incumbent Val Demings ran unopposed in the general election. As such, no election for the position was held, and Demings was declared the winner automatically by the Board of Elections for the State of Florida.
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Val Demings (incumbent) | Unopposed | N/a | |
Total votes | N/a | |||
Democratic hold |
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County results Webster: 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||||
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The 11th district is located in Central Florida and includes the southern suburbs of Ocala and Spring Hill, this district also includes the retirement community known as The Villages. Incumbent Republican Daniel Webster, who had represented the district since 2017 and previously represented the 8th district from 2011 to 2013 and the 10th district from 2013 to 2017, ran for re-election. He was re-elected to a fourth term with 65% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+15.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Daniel Webster (incumbent) | 239,395 | 65.2 | |
Democratic | Dana Cottrell | 128,053 | 34.8 | |
Independent | Luis Saldana (write-in) | 58 | 0.0 | |
Total votes | 367,506 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
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County results Bilirakis: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||||
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The 12th district is located in the Tampa Bay Area and includes Dade City, New Port Richey, and Palm Harbor. Incumbent Republican Gus Bilirakis, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 9th district from 2007 to 2013, was re-elected to a sixth term with 69% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+8.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Chris Hunter | 31,761 | 65.3 | |
Democratic | Stephen Perenich | 9,303 | 19.1 | |
Democratic | Robert Tager | 7,597 | 15.6 | |
Total votes | 48,661 | 100.0 |
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Gus Bilirakis (R) | Christopher Hunter (D) | Undecided |
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St. Pete Polls [99] | July 28, 2018 | 615 | ± 4.0% | 49% | 30% | 21% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Gus Bilirakis (incumbent) | 194,564 | 58.1 | |
Democratic | Chris Hunter | 132,844 | 39.7 | |
Independent | Angelika Purkis | 7,510 | 2.2 | |
Total votes | 334,918 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
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Precinct results Crist: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Buck: 50–60% 60–70% >90% Tie: 50% | |||||||||||||||||||
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The 13th district is located in the Tampa Bay Area and includes Clearwater, Largo and Saint Petersburg. Incumbent Democrat Charlie Crist, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. He was elected with 52% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+2.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | George Buck | 30,560 | 56.0 | |
Republican | Brad Sostack | 24,013 | 44.0 | |
Total votes | 54,573 | 100.0 |
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Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [59] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections [60] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [61] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
RCP [62] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos [63] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
538 [64] | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
CNN [65] | Safe D | October 31, 2018 |
Politico [66] | Likely D | November 2, 2018 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Charlie Crist (incumbent) | 182,717 | 57.6 | |
Republican | George Buck | 134,254 | 42.4 | |
Total votes | 316,971 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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The 14th district is centred around the city of Tampa and the immediate surrounding suburbs such as Lutz and Temple Terrace. Incumbent Democrat Kathy Castor, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 11th district from 2007 to 2013, ran for re-election. She was re-elected to a sixth term with 62% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+7.
Castor was the only candidate in 2018, and so was unopposed in the Democratic primary and general election.
No Republicans filed.
Incumbent Kathy Castor ran unopposed in the general election. As such, no election for the position was held, and Castor was declared the winner automatically by the Board of Elections for the State of Florida.
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Kathy Castor (incumbent) | Unopposed | N/a | |
Total votes | N/a | |||
Democratic hold |
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County results Spano: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||||
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The 15th district is located in inland Central Florida and is anchored by Lakeland. The district also includes the eastern suburbs of Tampa such as Brandon and Riverview. Incumbent Republican Dennis Ross, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 12th district from 2011 to 2013, was retiring. [100]
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Neil Combee | Sean Harper | Danny Kushmer | Ed Shoemaker | Ross Spano | Other | Undecided |
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St. Pete Polls [109] | August 24, 2018 | 404 | ± 4.9% | 32% | 6% | 5% | 8% | 30% | – | 20% |
St. Pete Polls [110] | August 11–12, 2018 | 360 | ± 5.2% | 36% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 30% | – | 22% |
Strategic Government Consulting [111] | August 7–8, 2018 | 508 | ± 4.3% | 31% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 17% | – | 40% |
SurveyUSA [112] | July 25–30, 2018 | 524 | ± 6.0% | 20% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 26% | – | 34% |
St. Pete Polls [113] | July 8, 2018 | 532 | ± 4.2% | 20% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 32% | 2% [114] | 37% |
St. Pete Polls [115] | May 25–27, 2018 | 494 | ± 4.4% | 23% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 29% | 2% [114] | 34% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Ross Spano | 26,868 | 44.1 | |
Republican | Neil Combee | 20,577 | 33.8 | |
Republican | Sean Harper | 6,013 | 9.9 | |
Republican | Danny Kushmer | 4,061 | 6.7 | |
Republican | Ed Shoemaker | 3,377 | 5.5 | |
Total votes | 60,896 | 100.0 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Kristen Carlson | Andrew Learned | Ray Peña | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA [112] | July 25–30, 2018 | 535 | ± 6.1% | 31% | 12% | 12% | – | 46% |
GQR Research (D-Carlson) [116] | June 14–17, 2018 | 401 | ± 4.9% | 25% | 14% | 10% | 6% | 45% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Kristen Carlson | 24,470 | 53.4 | |
Democratic | Andrew P. Learned | 14,488 | 31.6 | |
Democratic | Raymond "Ray" Peña | 6,895 | 15.0 | |
Total votes | 45,853 | 100.0 |
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Campaign finance reports as of Oct 17, 2018 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate (party) | Total receipts | Total disbursements | Cash on hand |
Kristen Carlson (D) | $1,306,227 | $1,065,973 | $240,254 |
Ross Spano (R) | $587,719 | $519,283 | $68,435 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [119] |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Ross Spano (R) | Kristen Carlson (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
St. Pete Polls [120] | November 5, 2018 | 1,194 | ± 2.8% | 46% | 44% | – | 9% |
NYT Upshot/Siena College [121] | October 16–19, 2018 | 499 | ± 4.7% | 43% | 43% | – | 14% |
Remington (R) [122] | October 17–18, 2018 | 1,369 | ± 2.64% | 47% | 41% | – | 12% |
GQR Research (D-Carlson) [123] | October 16–18, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 47% | 47% | – | 6% |
SurveyUSA [124] | October 9–14, 2018 | 591 | ± 4.6% | 45% | 45% | 3% [a] | 7% |
WPA Intelligence (R) [125] | October 3–4, 2018 | 418 | ± 4.9% | 46% | 39% | – | 15% |
Bold Blue Campaigns (D) [126] | September 22–27, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 49% | 46% | – | 5% |
GQR Research (D-Carlson) [127] | September 4–8, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 47% | 48% | – | – |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [59] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections [60] | Tilt R | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [61] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
RCP [62] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos [63] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
538 [64] | Tossup | November 7, 2018 |
CNN [65] | Tossup | October 31, 2018 |
Politico [66] | Lean R | November 2, 2018 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Ross Spano | 151,380 | 53.0 | |
Democratic | Kristen Carlson | 134,132 | 47.0 | |
Independent | Dave Johnson (write-in) | 15 | 0.0 | |
Independent | Jeffrey G. Rabinowitz (write-in) | 3 | 0.0 | |
Independent | Alek Bynzar (write-in) | 2 | 0.0 | |
Total votes | 285,532 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
| |||||||||||||||||||
County results Buchanan: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||||
|
The 16th district is located in the Suncoast region and includes Bradenton, Sarasota, and some Tampa suburbs such as FishHawk. Incumbent Republican Vern Buchanan, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 13th district from 2007 to 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected to a sixth term with 60% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+7.
Florida's 16th district is one of the 20 Republican held seats included in the second round of seats targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018. [35]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | David Shapiro | 34,787 | 54.7 | |
Democratic | Jan Schneider | 28,811 | 45.3 | |
Total votes | 63,598 | 100.0 |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
Vern Buchanan | David Shapiro | |||||
1 | Oct. 23, 2018 | WWSB-TV | Alan Cohn | [128] | P | P |
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Vern Buchanan (R) | David Shapiro (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [129] | October 4–7, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 52% | 42% | 5% |
University of North Florida [130] | September 30 – October 2, 2018 | 499 | – | 49% | 40% | 11% |
St. Pete Polls [131] | October 1, 2018 | 1,248 | ± 2.8% | 50% | 43% | 6% |
ALG Research (D-Shapiro) [132] | August 22–26, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 48% | 44% | – |
St. Pete Polls [17] | July 28, 2018 | 681 | ± 3.8% | 44% | 35% | 22% |
Public Policy Polling (D) [133] | April 16–17, 2018 | 655 | ± 3.8% | 49% | 37% | 14% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [59] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections [60] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [61] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
RCP [62] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos [63] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
538 [64] | Likely R | November 7, 2018 |
CNN [65] | Likely R | October 31, 2018 |
Politico [66] | Lean R | November 2, 2018 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Vern Buchanan (incumbent) | 197,483 | 54.6 | |
Democratic | David Shapiro | 164,463 | 45.4 | |
Total votes | 361,946 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
| |||||||||||||||||||
County results Steube: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||||
|
The 17th district comprises most of the Florida Heartland, including the cities of Sebring and Okeechobee, as well as parts of the Suncoast, such as North Port and Port Charlotte. Incumbent Republican Tom Rooney, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 16th district from 2009 to 2013, retired. He was re-elected to a fifth term with 62% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+13.
Rooney announced on February 19, 2018, that he will retire from Congress and not seek re-election in 2018. [134] [135]
Organizations
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Bill Akins | Julio Gonzalez | Greg Steube | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WPA Intelligence (R-CFG) [137] | August 8–9, 2018 | 300 | ± 5.7% | 5% | 16% | 39% | 40% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Greg Steube | 48,963 | 62.4 | |
Republican | Bill Akins | 15,133 | 19.3 | |
Republican | Julio Gonzalez | 14,402 | 18.3 | |
Total votes | 78,498 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | April Freeman | 33,376 | 77.0 | |
Democratic | Bill Pollard | 9,976 | 23.0 | |
Total votes | 43,352 | 100.0 |
The Democratic nominee April Freeman died on September 24, 2018, six weeks before the election. Allen Ellison was chosen to be the Democratic nominee. [140]
Organizations
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Greg Steube | 193,326 | 62.3 | |
Democratic | Allen Ellison | 117,194 | 37.7 | |
Total votes | 310,520 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
| |||||||||||||||||||
County results Mast: 50–60% 60–70% Baer: 50-60% | |||||||||||||||||||
|
The 18th district is located in the Treasure Coast region and includes Stuart, Port St. Lucie, and the northern Palm Beach suburbs such as Jupiter and Palm Beach Gardens. Incumbent Republican Brian Mast, who had represented the district since 2017, was elected with 54% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+5.
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Republican | Republican |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | |||||||
Dave Cummings | Mark Freeman | Brian Mast | |||||
1 | Aug. 3, 2018 | WPTV-TV | Michael Williams | YouTube (Part 1) [142] YouTube (Part 2) | P | P | P |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Brian Mast (incumbent) | 55,427 | 77.7 | |
Republican | Mark Freeman | 8,081 | 11.3 | |
Republican | Dave Cummings | 7,871 | 11.0 | |
Total votes | 71,379 | 100.0 |
Florida's 18th district was included on the initial list of Republican held seats being targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018. [143]
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No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Democratic |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
Lauren Baer | Pam Keith | |||||
1 | Aug. 3, 2018 | WPTV-TV | Michael Williams | YouTube (Part 1) [160] YouTube (Part 2) | P | P |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Lauren Baer | 34,922 | 60.3 | |
Democratic | Pam Keith | 23,007 | 39.7 | |
Total votes | 57,929 | 100.0 |
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No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
Brian Mast | Lauren Baer | |||||
1 | October 15, 2018 | WPTV-TV | Michael Williams | [164] | P | P |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Brian Mast (R) | Lauren Baer (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research (D) [165] | October 27–29, 2018 | 475 | – | 53% | 44% | – |
Global Strategy Group (D) [166] | September 26–30, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.9% | 48% | 45% | – |
Public Policy Polling (D) [167] | September 17–19, 2018 | 533 | – | 46% | 43% | 10% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Brian Mast (R) | Democratic challenger (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
IMGE Insights (R) [168] | July 9–12, 2018 | 400 | – | 50% | 40% | – | 10% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [59] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections [60] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [61] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
RCP [62] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos [63] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
538 [64] | Likely R | November 7, 2018 |
CNN [65] | Lean R | October 31, 2018 |
Politico [66] | Lean R | November 2, 2018 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Brian Mast (incumbent) | 185,905 | 54.3 | |
Democratic | Lauren Baer | 156,454 | 45.7 | |
Total votes | 342,359 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
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County results Rooney: 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||||
|
The 19th district is located in Southwestern Florida and includes Bonita Springs, Cape Coral, and Naples. Incumbent Republican Francis Rooney, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. He was elected with 66% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+13.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | David Holden | 24,390 | 67.9 | |
Democratic | Todd James Truax | 11,513 | 32.1 | |
Total votes | 35,903 | 100.0 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Francis Rooney (R) | David Holden (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research (D-Holden) [170] | September 10–12, 2018 | 468 | ± 4.0% | 51% | 42% | 7% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Francis Rooney (incumbent) | 211,465 | 62.3 | |
Democratic | David Holden | 128,106 | 37.7 | |
Independent | Pete Pollard (write-in) | 36 | 0.0 | |
Total votes | 339,607 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
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The 20th district stretches from inland South Florida with many protected areas of the Everglades and Belle Glade to the Miami metro area and includes parts of West Palm Beach & Fort Lauderdale, and Miramar. Incumbent Democrat Alcee Hastings, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 23rd district from 1993 to 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected to a thirteenth term with 80% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+31.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Alcee Hastings (incumbent) | 50,315 | 73.6 | |
Democratic | Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick | 18,031 | 26.4 | |
Total votes | 68,346 | 100.0 |
Labor unions
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Alcee Hastings (incumbent) | 202,659 | 99.9 | |
Independent | Jay Bonner (write-in) | 165 | 0.1 | |
Total votes | 202,824 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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The 21st district is located in the Miami metro area and includes the West Palm Beach suburbs, such as Greenacres and Wellington, as well as Boynton Beach and Delray Beach. Incumbent Democrat Lois Frankel, who had represented the district since 2017 and previously represented the 22nd district from 2013 to 2017, ran for re-election. She was re-elected to a third term with 63% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+9.
Incumbent Lois Frankel ran unopposed in the general election. As such, no election for the position was held, and Frankel was declared the winner automatically by the Board of Elections for the State of Florida.
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Lois Frankel (incumbent) | Unopposed | N/a | |
Total votes | N/a | |||
Democratic hold |
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County results Deutch: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||||
|
The 22nd district is located in the Miami metro area and includes Boca Raton and Parkland, the site of the Stoneman Douglas High School shooting. Also, this district includes significant portions of Fort Lauderdale and Pompano Beach. Incumbent Democrat Ted Deutch, who had represented the district since 2017 and previously represented the 19th district from 2010 to 2013 and the 21st district from 2013 to 2017, ran for re-election. He was re-elected to a fourth term with 59% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+6.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Ted Deutch (incumbent) | 52,628 | 86.5 | |
Democratic | Jeff Fandl | 8,207 | 13.5 | |
Total votes | 60,835 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Nicolas Kimaz | 13,939 | 41.0 | |
Republican | Javier Manjarres | 11,552 | 33.9 | |
Republican | Eddison Walters | 8,545 | 25.1 | |
Total votes | 34,036 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Ted Deutch (incumbent) | 184,634 | 62.0 | |
Republican | Nicolas Kimaz | 113,049 | 38.0 | |
Total votes | 297,683 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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Schultz: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||||||
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The 23rd district is located in the Miami metro area, including Plantation, Sunrise, and Weston. Incumbent Democrat Debbie Wasserman Schultz, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 20th district from 2005 to 2013, ran for re-election. She was re-elected to a seventh term with 57% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+11.
Newspapers
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Joe Kaufman | 11,304 | 44.7 | |
Republican | Carlos Reyes | 8,508 | 33.7 | |
Republican | Carla Spalding | 5,453 | 21.6 | |
Total votes | 25,265 | 100.0 |
Tim Canova, who lost in the 2016 primary to Wasserman Schultz by a 57% to 43% margin, ran as an independent in the 2018 general election. [172] [173] Don Endriss also ran as an independent candidate.
Labor unions
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Debbie Wasserman Schultz (incumbent) | 161,611 | 58.5 | |
Republican | Joe Kaufman | 99,446 | 36.0 | |
Independent | Tim Canova | 13,697 | 5.0 | |
Independent | Don Endriss | 1,612 | 0.6 | |
Total votes | 276,366 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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The 24th district includes parts of Miami and its northern suburbs such as North Miami Beach and Miami Gardens. Democrat Frederica Wilson, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 17th district from 2011 to 2013, was re-elected to a fourth term unopposed in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+34.
Because no write-in candidates or candidates of other parties filed to run in this district, the Democratic primary was open to all voters.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Frederica Wilson (incumbent) | 65,894 | 83.7 | |
Democratic | Ricardo de la Fuente | 12,833 | 16.3 | |
Total votes | 78,727 | 100.0 |
Both candidates were removed from the ballot which was cited for the recount in the Florida gubernatorial and United States Senate elections. [175] [176]
Incumbent Frederica Wilson won unopposed in the general election
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Frederica Wilson (incumbent) | Unopposed | N/a | |
Total votes | N/a | |||
Democratic hold |
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County results Diaz-Balart: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||||
|
The 25th district includes the western Miami suburbs, such as Hialeah and Miami Lakes, and goes across the northern border of the Everglades to eastern Naples suburbs of Golden Gate and Immokalee. The district also extends upward into the Florida Heartland including Clewiston and LaBelle. Incumbent Republican Mario Díaz-Balart, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 21st district from 2011 to 2013 as well as a different version of the 25th from 2003 to 2011, ran for re-election. He was re-elected to an eighth term with 62% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+4.
Florida's 25th district has been included on the initial list of Republican-held seats being targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018. [143]
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Mario Díaz-Balart (R) | Mary Barzee-Flores (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D) [185] | September 17–19, 2018 | 541 | – | 41% | 36% | 22% |
Public Policy Polling (D) [186] | May 21–23, 2018 | 670 | – | 46% | 39% | 15% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [59] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections [60] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [61] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
RCP [62] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos [63] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
538 [64] | Lean R | November 7, 2018 |
CNN [65] | Likely R | October 31, 2018 |
Politico [66] | Likely R | November 2, 2018 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Mario Díaz-Balart (incumbent) | 128,672 | 60.4 | |
Democratic | Mary Barzee Flores | 84,173 | 39.6 | |
Total votes | 212,845 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
| |||||||||||||||||
Mucarsel-Powell: 50–60% Curbelo: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
|
The 26th district is centered on the Miami suburb of Homestead, includes most of the Everglades National Park, and extends downward into the Florida Keys, including Key West and Marathon. Incumbent Republican Carlos Curbelo, who had represented the district since 2015, ran for re-election. He was re-elected to a second term with 53% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+6.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Carlos Curbelo (incumbent) | 29,506 | 84.0 | |
Republican | Souraya Faas | 5,629 | 16.0 | |
Total votes | 35,135 | 100.0 |
Florida's 26th district was included on the initial list of Republican-held seats being targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018. [143]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Debbie Mucarsel-Powell | 20,997 | 63.5 | |
Democratic | Demetries Grimes | 12,095 | 36.5 | |
Total votes | 33,092 | 100.0 |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
Carlos Curbelo | Debbie Mucarsel-Powell | |||||
1 | Oct. 21, 2018 | WPLG-TV | [190] | P | P |
Organizations
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Organizations
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Carlos Curbelo (R) | Debbie Mucarsel- Powell (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NYT Upshot/Siena College [191] | October 19–24, 2018 | 499 | ± 4.9% | 44% | 45% | 11% |
Mason-Dixon [192] | October 3–9, 2018 | 625 | ± 4.0% | 46% | 45% | 9% |
GBA Strategies (D) [193] | September 27 – October 1, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 48% | 50% | – |
GQR Research (D-Mucarsel-Powell) [194] | September 23–27, 2018 | 511 | ± 4.9% | 48% | 49% | – |
Public Policy Polling (D) [195] | September 17–19, 2018 | 511 | – | 44% | 45% | 11% |
NYT Upshot/Siena College [196] | September 13–17, 2018 | 509 | ± 5.0% | 47% | 44% | 9% |
GBA Strategies (D) [197] | July 16–22, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 48% | 41% | – |
DCCC (D) [198] | March 17–22, 2018 | 418 | ± 4.9% | 45% | 40% | – |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Carlos Curbelo (R) | Democratic opponent (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D) [199] | November 8–9, 2017 | 522 | ± 4.3% | 39% | 53% | 8% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [59] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections [60] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [61] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
RCP [62] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos [63] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
538 [64] | Tossup | November 7, 2018 |
CNN [65] | Tossup | October 31, 2018 |
Politico [66] | Tossup | November 2, 2018 |
Mucarsel-Powell defeated Curbelo, becoming the first Ecuadorian American and first South American-born immigrant to serve as a member of the U.S. Congress.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Debbie Mucarsel-Powell | 119,797 | 50.9 | |
Republican | Carlos Curbelo (incumbent) | 115,678 | 49.1 | |
Total votes | 235,475 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic gain from Republican |
| |||||||||||||||||
Donna Shalala: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
|
The 27th district is located in the Miami metro area, including Coral Gables, Kendall, Miami Beach, and portions of Miami. Incumbent Republican Ileana Ros-Lehtinen, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 18th district from 1989 to 2013, retired from office in 2018. [200] She was re-elected with 54.9% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+5.
Newspapers
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Bruno Barreiro | Maria Elvira Salazar | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
McLaughlin & Associates (R-Salazar) [214] | August 14–16, 2018 | 300 | ± 5.7% | 16% | 40% | 17% [215] | 27% |
Magellan Strategies (R-Barreiro) [216] | June 11–12, 2018 | 401 | ± 4.9% | 10% | 24% | 0% [217] | 67% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Maria Elvira Salazar | 15,812 | 40.5 | |
Republican | Bruno Barreiro | 10,026 | 25.7 | |
Republican | Maria Peiro | 3,120 | 8.0 | |
Republican | Stephen Marks | 2,733 | 7.0 | |
Republican | Angie Chirino | 2,677 | 6.9 | |
Republican | Bettina Rodriguez-Aguilera | 1,684 | 4.3 | |
Republican | Mike Ohevzion | 1,467 | 3.8 | |
Republican | Elizabeth Adadi | 775 | 2.0 | |
Republican | Gina Sosa | 760 | 1.9 | |
Total votes | 39,054 | 100.0 |
Florida's 27th district has been included on the initial list of Republican-held seats being targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018. [143]
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Individuals
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Matt Haggman | Michael Hepburn | David Richardson | Kristen Rosen-Gonzalez | Donna Shalala | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bendixen & Amandi Research (D-Shalala) [234] | August 10–16, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 10% | 2% | 18% | 9% | 36% | 25% |
Frederick Polls (D-Richardson) [235] | August 6–7, 2018 | 300 | ± 5.6% | 9% | 4% | 20% | 7% | 32% | 28% |
RABA Research (D-Haggman) [236] | August 2–5, 2018 | 433 | ± 4.7% | 16% | 4% | 15% | 11% | 26% | 27% |
Bendixen & Amandi Research (D-Shalala) [237] | June 2–8, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 5% | 2% | 16% | 8% | 43% | 26% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Donna Shalala | 14,153 | 31.9 | |
Democratic | David Richardson | 12,191 | 27.5 | |
Democratic | Kristen Rosen-Gonzalez | 7,783 | 17.5 | |
Democratic | Matt Haggman | 7,510 | 16.9 | |
Democratic | Michael Hepburn | 2,723 | 6.1 | |
Total votes | 44,360 | 100.0 |
Organizations
Labor unions
Organizations
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Maria Elvira Salazar (R) | Donna Shalala (D) | Mayra Joli (I) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ALG Research (D) [239] | October 25–28, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 44% | 49% | – | – |
NYT Upshot/Siena College [240] | October 15–19, 2018 | 542 | ± 5.0% | 37% | 44% | 4% | 15% |
ALG Research (D-Shalala) [241] | October 11–14, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 39% | 44% | – | 10% |
McLaughlin & Associates (R-Salazar) [242] | October 11–14, 2018 | 400 | – | 50% | 41% | – | – |
Mason-Dixon [243] | October 1–6, 2018 | 625 | ± 4.0% | 44% | 42% | 1% | 13% |
McLaughlin & Associates (R-Salazar) [244] | September 10–13, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 51% | 42% | – | 7% |
Bendixen & Amandi Research (D-Shalala) [245] | August 29 – September 2, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 42% | 46% | 8% | 4% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Generic Republican | Generic Democrat | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D) [246] | February 12–14, 2018 | 620 | ± 3.9% | 39% | 54% | – | 7% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [59] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections [60] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [61] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
RCP [62] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos [63] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
538 [64] | Likely D (flip) | November 7, 2018 |
CNN [65] | Tossup | October 31, 2018 |
Politico [66] | Tossup | November 2, 2018 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Donna Shalala | 130,743 | 51.8 | |
Republican | Maria Elvira Salazar | 115,588 | 45.8 | |
Independent | Mayra Joli | 6,255 | 2.5 | |
Total votes | 252,586 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic gain from Republican |
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: CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link)Barzee Flores' decision to run in Florida's 25th Congressional District was made at the urging of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, the abortion rights group EMILY's List and Florida Democrats
Official campaign websites
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