2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas

Last updated

2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas
Flag of Arkansas.svg
  2016 November 6, 2018 (2018-11-06) 2020  

All 4 Arkansas seats to the United States House of Representatives
 Majority partyMinority party
 
Party Republican Democratic
Last election40
Seats won40
Seat changeSteady2.svgSteady2.svg
Popular vote556,339312,978
Percentage62.56%35.19%
SwingDecrease2.svg 8.60%Increase2.svg 24.77%

Arkansas Congressional Election Results 2018.svg

The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas were held on Tuesday, November 6, 2018, to elect the four U.S. representatives from the U.S. state of Arkansas; one from each of the state's four congressional districts. Primaries were held on May 22, 2018. The elections and primaries coincided with the elections and primaries of other federal and state offices. Polls were open from 7:30 AM to 7:30 PM CST. [1] This election marked the first time in eight years where the Democrats contested every seat.

Contents

Overview

Popular vote
Republican
62.56%
Democratic
35.19%
Libertarian
2.21%
Other
0.04%
House seats
Republican
100%
Democratic
0%

District

Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas by district: [2]

District Republican Democratic OthersTotalResult
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1 138,75768.95%57,90728.77%4,5812.28%201,245100.0%Republican Hold
District 2 132,12552.13%116,13545.82%5,1932.05%253,453100.0%Republican Hold
District 3 148,71764.78%74,95232.65%6,0392.57%229,568100.0%Republican Hold
District 4 136,74066.74%63,98431.23%4,1682.03%204,892100.0%Republican Hold
Total556,33962.56%312,97835.19%19,9812.25%889,298100.0%

District 1

2018 Arkansas's 1st congressional district election
Flag of Arkansas.svg
  2016
2020  
  Rick Crawford official photo (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Rick Crawford Chintan Desai
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote138,75757,907
Percentage68.9%28.8%

2018 AR-1 Election Results.svg
Results by county
Crawford:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Desai:     50–60%     60–70%

U.S. Representative before election

Rick Crawford
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Rick Crawford
Republican

Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford, who had represented the district since 2011, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 76% of the vote in 206. The district had a PVI of R+16.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Withdrawn
  • Robert Butler

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

General election

Polling

Poll sourceDates
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Rick
Crawford (R)
Chintan
Desai (D)
Elvis
Presley (L)
Undecided
Hendrix College [5] September 5–7, 2018422± 4.7%57%22%3%18%

Results

Arkansas' 1st congressional district, 2018 [6]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Rick Crawford (incumbent) 138,757 68.9
Democratic Chintan Desai57,90728.8
Libertarian Elvis Presley4,5812.3
Total votes201,245 100.0
Republican hold

District 2

2018 Arkansas's 2nd congressional district election
Flag of Arkansas.svg
  2016
2020  
  French Hill, official portrait, 114th Congress (cropped).jpg Clarke Tucker High Resolution (cropped).jpg
Nominee French Hill Clarke Tucker
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote132,125116,135
Percentage52.1%45.8%

2018 AR 2.svg
Results by county
Hill:     60–70%     70–80%
Tucker:     50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

French Hill
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

French Hill
Republican

Incumbent Republican French Hill, who had represented the district since 2015, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 58% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+7.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Democratic primary

The 2nd district was included on the initial list of Republican held seats being targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018. [8]

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Gwendolynn Millen Combs, teacher and businesswoman [10]
  • Jonathan Dunkley [11]
  • Paul Spencer, teacher and activist [12]
Declined

Primary results

Democratic primary results [14]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Clarke Tucker 23,325 57.8
Democratic Gwen Combs8,18820.3
Democratic Paul Spencer5,06312.6
Democratic Johnathan Dunkley3,7689.3
Total votes40,344 100.0

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Joe Swafford, residential appraiser

General election

Endorsements

Clarke Tucker (D)

Organizations

Debates

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
French
Hill (R)
Clarke
Tucker (D)
Joe
Swafford (L)
Undecided
Hendrix College [16] October 17–18, 2018590± 4.0%51%40%2%7%
Hendrix College [5] September 5–7, 2018428± 4.7%50%40%2%8%
Public Policy Polling (D) [17] April 16–17, 2018610± 4.0%47%42%11%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [18] Likely RNovember 5, 2018
Inside Elections [19] Likely RNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [20] Lean RNovember 5, 2018
RCP [21] Likely RNovember 5, 2018
Daily Kos [22] Likely RNovember 5, 2018
538 [23] Likely RNovember 7, 2018
CNN [24] Lean ROctober 31, 2018
Politico [25] Lean RNovember 2, 2018

Results

Arkansas' 2nd congressional district, 2018 [6]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican French Hill (incumbent) 132,125 52.1
Democratic Clarke Tucker 116,13545.8
Libertarian Joe Swafford5,1932.1
Total votes253,453 100.0
Republican hold

District 3

2018 Arkansas's 3rd congressional district election
Flag of Arkansas.svg
  2016
2020  
  Steve Womack, Official Portrait, 112th Congress - Hi Res (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Steve Womack Joshua Mahony
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote148,71774,952
Percentage64.7%32.6%

2018 AR 3 by county.svg
Results by county
Womack:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%

U.S. Representative before election

Steve Womack
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Steve Womack
Republican

Incumbent Republican Steve Womack, who had represented the district since 2011, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 77% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+19.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Robb Ryerse, pastor and a "progressive Republican" [27]

Primary results

Republican primary results [14]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Steve Womack (incumbent) 47,757 84.2
Republican Robb Ryerse8,98815.8
Total votes56,745 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Joshua Mahony, president of the Arkansas Single Parent Scholarship Fund and former chairman of the Fayetteville Airport Commission (D-Fayetteville) [28]

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Michael Kalagias, retired teacher and volunteer firefighter (L-Rogers)

General election

Campaign

This was the first time since he was first elected in 2010 that Womack had faced a Democrat in the general election, having only had opposition from minor parties since.

Polling

Poll sourceDates
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Steve
Womack (R)
Josh
Mahony (D)
Michael
Kalagias (L)
Undecided
Hendrix College [5] September 5–7, 2018428± 4.7%53%31%5%11%

Results

Arkansas' 3rd congressional district, 2018 [6]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Steve Womack (incumbent) 148,717 64.7
Democratic Joshua Mahony74,95232.6
Libertarian Michael Kalagias5,8992.6
Write-in 1400.1
Total votes229,708 100.0
Republican hold

District 4

2018 Arkansas's 4th congressional district election
Flag of Arkansas.svg
  2016
2020  
  Bruce Westerman, 115th official photo (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Bruce Westerman Hayden Shamel
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote136,74063,984
Percentage66.7%31.2%

2018 AR 4 by county.svg
Results by county
Westerman:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Shamel:     50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Bruce Westerman
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Bruce Westerman
Republican

Incumbent Republican Bruce Westerman, who had represented the district since 2015, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 75% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+17.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Randy Caldwell, preacher [30]

Primary results

Republican primary results [14]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Bruce Westerman (incumbent) 40,201 79.8
Republican Randy Caldwell10,15120.2
Total votes50,352 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Tom Canada, manufacturing lead

General election

Debate

2018 Arkansas's 4th congressional district debate
No.DateHostModeratorLink Republican Democratic Libertarian
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited  W  Withdrawn
Bruce Westerman Hayden ShamelTom Canada
1Oct. 8, 2018 AETN Steve Barnes [32] PPA

Polling

Poll sourceDates
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Bruce
Westerman (R)
Hayden
Shamel (D)
Tom
Canada (L)
Undecided
Hendrix College [5] September 5–7, 2018423± 4.7%54%24%5%17%

Results

Arkansas' 4th congressional district, 2018 [6]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Bruce Westerman (incumbent) 136,740 66.8
Democratic Hayden Shamel63,98431.2
Libertarian Tom Canada3,9521.9
Write-in 2160.1
Total votes204,892 100.0
Republican hold

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References

  1. "2016 Arkansas Code: Title 7, Chapter 5, Subchapter 3; § 7-5-304 - Opening and closing polls -- Time". Justia; US law. Archived from the original on March 9, 2018. Retrieved March 9, 2018.
  2. Johnson, Cheryl L. (February 28, 2019). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 6, 2018". Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives . Retrieved April 27, 2019.
  3. "FEC Form 2 Statement of Candidacy" (PDF). Retrieved July 1, 2019.
  4. "Chintan Desai Announces Race for AR 1st District Congress Seat". ARKANSASMATTERS. November 17, 2017. Retrieved May 12, 2018.
  5. 1 2 3 4 Hendrix College
  6. 1 2 3 4 "2018 Arkansas general election results". Arkansas Secretary of State. Retrieved June 9, 2019.
  7. "FEC Form 2 Statement of Candidacy" (PDF). Retrieved July 1, 2019.
  8. Cheney, Kyle (January 30, 2017). "Amid Democratic doldrums, DCCC identifies 2018 targets". Politico . Retrieved March 23, 2017.
  9. Brantley, Max. "Rep. Clarke Tucker announces race for French Hill's 2nd District congressional seat". Arkansas Times. Retrieved May 12, 2018.
  10. "FEC Form 2 Statement of Candidacy" (PDF). Retrieved July 1, 2019.
  11. Brantley, Max. "A 4th Democratic candidate for 2nd District Congress". Arkansas Times. Retrieved April 15, 2018.
  12. THV11 Digital Team (July 13, 2017). "Paul Spencer officially announces campaign to challenge Rep. French Hill" . Retrieved July 13, 2017.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link)
  13. Max Brantley (April 28, 2017). "Political speculation: A Democrat to run for 2nd District Congress". arktimes.com. Arkansas Times. Archived from the original on August 10, 2019. Retrieved August 3, 2023.
  14. 1 2 3 "2018 Arkansas primary election results" . Retrieved June 9, 2019.
  15. "Red to Blue". dccc.org/. DCCC. Archived from the original on October 31, 2018. Retrieved July 20, 2023.
  16. Hendrix College
  17. Public Policy Polling (D)
  18. "2018 House Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 30, 2018.
  19. "2018 House Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved November 5, 2018.
  20. "2018 House". Sabato's Crystal Ball . Retrieved November 5, 2018.
  21. "Battle for the House 2018". RCP. Retrieved November 5, 2018.
  22. "Daily Kos Elections 2018 race ratings". Daily Kos . Retrieved November 5, 2018.[ permanent dead link ]
  23. Silver, Nate (August 16, 2018). "2018 House Forecast". FiveThirtyEight . Retrieved November 6, 2018.
  24. "CNN's 2018 Race Ratings". cnn.com. Turner Broadcasting System. Archived from the original on October 31, 2018. Retrieved July 30, 2023.
  25. "Who wins 2018? Predictions for Every House & Senate Election". POLITICO. Retrieved September 7, 2018.
  26. "FEC Form 2 Statement of Candidacy" (PDF). Retrieved July 1, 2019.
  27. Jilani, Zaid (May 19, 2017). "MEET THE PASTOR RUNNING AS A PROGRESSIVE REPUBLICAN TO GET BIG MONEY OUT OF POLITICS". The Intercept. Retrieved September 2, 2017.
  28. DeMillo, Andrew (May 8, 2017). "Arkansas Scholarship Fund Head Says He'll Run for Congress". U.S. News & World Report . Retrieved May 8, 2017.
  29. "FEC Form 2 Statement of Candidacy" (PDF). Retrieved July 1, 2019.
  30. "Forms lacking for 2 Arkansas congressional candidates, FEC says". NWADG.com. Retrieved April 15, 2018.
  31. "FEC Form 2 Statement of Candidacy" (PDF). Retrieved July 1, 2019.
  32. YouTube

Official campaign websites for first district candidates

Official campaign websites for second district candidates

Official campaign websites for third district candidates

Official campaign websites for fourth district candidates