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All 4 Arkansas seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Arkansas |
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The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas were held on Tuesday, November 6, 2018, to elect the four U.S. representatives from the U.S. state of Arkansas; one from each of the state's four congressional districts. Primaries were held on May 22, 2018. The elections and primaries coincided with the elections and primaries of other federal and state offices. Polls were open from 7:30 AM to 7:30 PM CST. [1] This election marked the first time in eight years where the Democrats contested every seat.
Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas by district: [2]
District | Republican | Democratic | Others | Total | Result | ||||
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Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
District 1 | 138,757 | 68.95% | 57,907 | 28.77% | 4,581 | 2.28% | 201,245 | 100.0% | Republican Hold |
District 2 | 132,125 | 52.13% | 116,135 | 45.82% | 5,193 | 2.05% | 253,453 | 100.0% | Republican Hold |
District 3 | 148,717 | 64.78% | 74,952 | 32.65% | 6,039 | 2.57% | 229,568 | 100.0% | Republican Hold |
District 4 | 136,740 | 66.74% | 63,984 | 31.23% | 4,168 | 2.03% | 204,892 | 100.0% | Republican Hold |
Total | 556,339 | 62.56% | 312,978 | 35.19% | 19,981 | 2.25% | 889,298 | 100.0% |
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Results by county Crawford: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Desai: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford, who had represented the district since 2011, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 76% of the vote in 206. The district had a PVI of R+16.
Poll source | Dates administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Rick Crawford (R) | Chintan Desai (D) | Elvis Presley (L) | Undecided |
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Hendrix College [5] | September 5–7, 2018 | 422 | ± 4.7% | 57% | 22% | 3% | 18% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Rick Crawford (incumbent) | 138,757 | 68.9 | |
Democratic | Chintan Desai | 57,907 | 28.8 | |
Libertarian | Elvis Presley | 4,581 | 2.3 | |
Total votes | 201,245 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
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Results by county Hill: 60–70% 70–80% Tucker: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Republican French Hill, who had represented the district since 2015, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 58% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+7.
The 2nd district was included on the initial list of Republican held seats being targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018. [8]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Clarke Tucker | 23,325 | 57.8 | |
Democratic | Gwen Combs | 8,188 | 20.3 | |
Democratic | Paul Spencer | 5,063 | 12.6 | |
Democratic | Johnathan Dunkley | 3,768 | 9.3 | |
Total votes | 40,344 | 100.0 |
Organizations
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | French Hill (R) | Clarke Tucker (D) | Joe Swafford (L) | Undecided |
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Hendrix College [16] | October 17–18, 2018 | 590 | ± 4.0% | 51% | 40% | 2% | 7% |
Hendrix College [5] | September 5–7, 2018 | 428 | ± 4.7% | 50% | 40% | 2% | 8% |
Public Policy Polling (D) [17] | April 16–17, 2018 | 610 | ± 4.0% | 47% | 42% | — | 11% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [18] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections [19] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [20] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
RCP [21] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos [22] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
538 [23] | Likely R | November 7, 2018 |
CNN [24] | Lean R | October 31, 2018 |
Politico [25] | Lean R | November 2, 2018 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | French Hill (incumbent) | 132,125 | 52.1 | |
Democratic | Clarke Tucker | 116,135 | 45.8 | |
Libertarian | Joe Swafford | 5,193 | 2.1 | |
Total votes | 253,453 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
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Results by county Womack: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Republican Steve Womack, who had represented the district since 2011, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 77% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+19.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Steve Womack (incumbent) | 47,757 | 84.2 | |
Republican | Robb Ryerse | 8,988 | 15.8 | |
Total votes | 56,745 | 100.0 |
This was the first time since he was first elected in 2010 that Womack had faced a Democrat in the general election, having only had opposition from minor parties since.
Poll source | Dates administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Steve Womack (R) | Josh Mahony (D) | Michael Kalagias (L) | Undecided |
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Hendrix College [5] | September 5–7, 2018 | 428 | ± 4.7% | 53% | 31% | 5% | 11% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Steve Womack (incumbent) | 148,717 | 64.7 | |
Democratic | Joshua Mahony | 74,952 | 32.6 | |
Libertarian | Michael Kalagias | 5,899 | 2.6 | |
Write-in | 140 | 0.1 | ||
Total votes | 229,708 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
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Results by county Westerman: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Shamel: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Republican Bruce Westerman, who had represented the district since 2015, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 75% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+17.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Bruce Westerman (incumbent) | 40,201 | 79.8 | |
Republican | Randy Caldwell | 10,151 | 20.2 | |
Total votes | 50,352 | 100.0 |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic | Libertarian |
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Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | |||||||
Bruce Westerman | Hayden Shamel | Tom Canada | |||||
1 | Oct. 8, 2018 | AETN | Steve Barnes | [32] | P | P | A |
Poll source | Dates administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Bruce Westerman (R) | Hayden Shamel (D) | Tom Canada (L) | Undecided |
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Hendrix College [5] | September 5–7, 2018 | 423 | ± 4.7% | 54% | 24% | 5% | 17% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Bruce Westerman (incumbent) | 136,740 | 66.8 | |
Democratic | Hayden Shamel | 63,984 | 31.2 | |
Libertarian | Tom Canada | 3,952 | 1.9 | |
Write-in | 216 | 0.1 | ||
Total votes | 204,892 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
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: CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link)Official campaign websites for first district candidates
Official campaign websites for second district candidates
Official campaign websites for third district candidates
Official campaign websites for fourth district candidates