2022 Arkansas gubernatorial election

Last updated

2022 Arkansas gubernatorial election
Flag of Arkansas.svg
←  2018 November 8, 2022 2026  →
Turnout50.8% Decrease2.svg
  Sarah Huckabee Sanders (1).jpg Chris Jones, Arkansas gubernatorial candidate (cropped).jpg
Nominee Sarah Huckabee Sanders Chris Jones
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote571,105319,242
Percentage62.96%35.20%
2022 Arkansas gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
Arkansas Gubernatorial election by congressional district.svg
AR GOV 2022 SS.svg
Map (11).svg
Sanders:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Jones:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Governor before election

Asa Hutchinson
Republican

Elected Governor

Sarah Huckabee Sanders
Republican

The 2022 Arkansas gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Arkansas. Incumbent governor Asa Hutchinson was term-limited and could not seek a third term. Republican Sarah Huckabee Sanders, daughter of former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee, defeated Democrat Chris Jones to become the first woman ever elected to the office, and was sworn in on January 10, 2023.

Contents

Primary elections in Arkansas were held on May 24. Runoff elections for instances where no candidate receives over 50% of the vote were scheduled for June 21. Former White House press secretary Sarah Huckabee Sanders won the Republican nomination, while Chris Jones won the Democratic nomination. [1]

Leading up to the Republican primary, Sanders received many endorsements from key Republican figures, including Donald Trump, Mike Pence, incumbent Asa Hutchinson, Arkansas' entire U.S. Congressional delegation, and the majority of Republicans in both state legislative chambers. Her primary victory was not remotely close, as she won every county in the state with at least 70% of the vote. As Arkansas is a Republican stronghold, her primary victory virtually guaranteed she would win the general election, in which she defeated Jones by 28 points. Jones became the first Democrat to win Washington County since 2010, and Sanders became the first Republican to win majority-Black Crittenden County since her father in 1998, winning the county by one vote. This is the first time ever that the Republican Party won three straight gubernatorial elections in the state's history.

Sanders became the first female governor of Arkansas. With the election of Leslie Rutledge as lieutenant governor, Arkansas, along with Massachusetts, became the first two U.S. states to elect both a female governor and female lieutenant governor to serve at the same time.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Francis "Doc" Washburn, radio personality [3]

Withdrew

Endorsements

Sarah Huckabee Sanders
U.S. Executive Branch officials
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
U.S. Governors
State officials
Individuals
Organizations

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Leslie
Rutledge		Sarah
Huckabee Sanders		Francis
Washburn		Undecided
Hendrix College May 2, 2022802 (LV)± 4.3%–73%17%10%
Remington Research (R) May 1–2, 20221,622 (LV)± 2.2%–80%14%6%
November 9, 2021Rutledge withdraws from the race
Remington Research (R) October 25–26, 2021800 (LV)± 3.5%16%73%–11%
Hendrix College May 26–31, 2021535 (LV)± 5.5%35%43%–22%

Results

Results by county: .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{} Sanders 70-80% 80-90% 90-100% 2022 Arkansas gubernatorial Republican primary election results map by county.svg
Results by county:
  Sanders
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   90-100%
Republican primary results [18]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Sarah Huckabee Sanders 289,249 83.14%
Republican Francis "Doc" Washburn58,63816.86%
Total votes347,887 100.0%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

  • Chris Jones, nuclear engineer, MIT graduate, and former executive director of the Arkansas Regional Innovation Hub [19] [20]

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Endorsements

Chris Jones
Newspaper and other media
Organizations
Supha Xayprasith-Mays
Governors
Statewide officials

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Anthony
Bland		Chris
Jones		Supha
Xayprasith-Mays		Jay
Martin		James
Russell		Undecided
Hendrix College May 2, 2022597 (LV)± 5.0%3%60%2%3%2%31%

Results

Results by county: Jones 20-30% 30-40% 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% 2022 Arkansas gubernatorial Democratic primary election results map by county.svg
Results by county:
  Jones
  •   20-30%
  •   30-40%
  •   40-50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80-90%
Democratic primary results [18]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Chris Jones 66,540 70.43%
Democratic Anthony Bland9,0559.58%
Democratic Jay Martin 7,7318.18%
Democratic James "Rus" Russell6,4216.80%
Democratic Supha Xayprasith-Mays4,7255.00%
Total votes94,472 100.0%

Libertarian convention

The Libertarian nominee, prison chaplain Ricky Harrington from Pine Bluff Ricky Dale Harrington Jr. in Springdale (crop 2).jpg
The Libertarian nominee, prison chaplain Ricky Harrington from Pine Bluff

Candidates

Nominee

Independents

Candidates

Declared

  • William E. Gates, senior pastor at the church of Christian Jewish Freedom in Little Rock [37]

Write-ins

Candidates

Declared

  • Dan Nelson, activist [38]
  • Michael Woodard [38]
  • Elvis Presley, perennial candidate [39]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [40] Solid RMarch 4, 2022
Inside Elections [41] Solid RMarch 4, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball [42] Safe RJanuary 26, 2022
Politico [43] Solid RApril 1, 2022
RCP [44] Safe RJanuary 10, 2022
Fox News [45] Solid RMay 12, 2022
538 [46] Solid RJune 30, 2022
Elections Daily [47] Safe RNovember 7, 2022

Endorsements

Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R)
U.S. Executive Branch officials
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
U.S. Governors
State officials
Individuals
Organizations
Chris Jones (D)
Labor unions
Organizations

Polling

Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation		Dates
administered		Dates
updated		Sarah
Huckabee
Sanders (R)		Chris
Jones (D)		Undecided
[lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
FiveThirtyEight August 31 – October 31, 2022November 3, 202254.4%36.1%9.5%Sanders +18.3
Graphical summary
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Sarah
Huckabee
Sanders (R)		Chris
Jones (D)		Ricky
Harrington (L)		Undecided
University of Arkansas October 13–31, 2022557 (LV)–53%34%4%9%
Hendrix College October 17–18, 2022835 (LV)± 3.8%51%41%3%5%
Remington Research Group (R) September 14–15, 20221,418 (LV)± 3.4%59%34%3%4%
Hendrix College September 12, 2022835 (LV)± 3.8%51%40%2%7%
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022382 (RV)± 7.7%62%32%–6%
Remington Research Group (R) February 26–27, 2022827 (LV)± 3.4%58%28%3%10%
Hypothetical polling
Sarah Huckabee Sanders vs. generic Democrat
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Sarah
Huckabee
Sanders (R)		Generic
Democrat		OtherUndecided
Hendrix College February 7–8, 2022961 (LV)± 4.4%44%34%8%15%
Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Generic
Republican		Generic
Democrat		Undecided
University of Arkansas October 12–24, 2021800 (A)± 3.5%46%21%34%
555 (LV)± 4.2%50%23%27%

Debates

2022 Arkansas gubernatorial debates
No.DateHostModeratorLink Republican Democratic Libertarian
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Non-invitee  I Invitee  W  Withdrawn
Sarah Huckabee Sanders Chris JonesRicky Harrington Jr
1Oct, 2022 Arkansas PBS Link PPP


Results

2022 Arkansas gubernatorial election swing map by county.svg
2022 Arkansas gubernatorial election trend map by county.svg
2022 Arkansas gubernatorial election [49]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Sarah Huckabee Sanders 571,105 62.96% -2.37%
Democratic Chris Jones319,24235.20%+3.43%
Libertarian Ricky Dale Harrington Jr.16,6901.84%-1.06%
Total votes907,037 100.0% N/A
Turnout 907,03750.81%
Registered electors 1,799,136
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Huckabee Sanders won all 4 congressional districts. [50]

DistrictHuckabee SandersJonesRepresentative
1st 70%28% Rick Crawford
2nd 56%43% French Hill
3rd 60%38% Steve Womack
4th 68%30% Bruce Westerman

See also

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.

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References

  1. ↑ "Arkansas Primary Election Results". The New York Times. May 24, 2022. ISSN   0362-4331 . Retrieved October 3, 2022.
  2. ↑ "Sarah Sanders Running for Arkansas Governor". Associated Press . January 25, 2021. Archived from the original on February 1, 2021. Retrieved January 25, 2021.
  3. ↑ "Republican Doc Washburn Enters Arkansas Governors Race". Arkansas Money & Politics. February 15, 2022. Retrieved February 27, 2022.
  4. ↑ Brock, Roby (February 8, 2021). "Griffin to exit Governor's race, will seek AG post". Talk Business and Politics. Retrieved February 8, 2021.
  5. ↑ Brock, Roby (November 9, 2021). "AG Rutledge enters Lt. Governor's race". Talk Business & Politics. Retrieved November 9, 2021.
  6. 1 2 Jacob Jarvis (January 26, 2021). "Donald Trump Endorses 'Warrior' Sarah Sanders for Arkansas Governor". Newsweek.
  7. 1 2 Julia Manchester (March 15, 2021). "Pence endorses Sarah Huckabee Sanders for Arkansas governor". The Hill.
  8. 1 2 Brantley, Max (March 26, 2021). "Won't you come home, Sarah Sanders? She raises money with Mike Pompeo in Texas while Leslie Rutledge hangs out in Arkansas with Tracy Lawrence". Arkansas Times. Retrieved January 9, 2022.
  9. 1 2 3 4 Bratton, Regina (October 4, 2021). "CPAC Endorses Sarah Huckabee Sanders". American Conservative Union. Retrieved January 9, 2022.
  10. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 Stimson, Brie (November 13, 2021). "Sarah Sanders snaps up Arkansas endorsements from governor, congressional delegation". Fox News. Retrieved November 13, 2021.
  11. 1 2 Counts, Chris (January 25, 2021). "Sarah Huckabee Sanders officially announces her candidacy for Arkansas Governor". KARK. Retrieved January 9, 2022.
  12. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 Gladden, Drew (November 18, 2021). "101 Arkansas Legislators Endorse Sarah Huckabee Sanders for Governor". Arkansas Times. Retrieved January 9, 2021.
  13. 1 2 Brantley, Max (March 16, 2021). "Sarah Huckabee Sanders: Running for governor everywhere but Arkansas". Arkansas Times. Retrieved March 17, 2021.
  14. 1 2 Brawner, Steve (November 24, 2021). "Republicans fall in line behind Sarah | Steve Brawner". Times Record. Retrieved January 10, 2021.
  15. 1 2 Goldberg, Paul. "Breaking: Kid Rock backs Sarah Sanders for Arkansas Governor". News Thud. Archived from the original on January 30, 2021. Retrieved January 30, 2021.
  16. 1 2 Guardian Staff (January 25, 2021). "Sarah Sanders, former Trump press secretary, runs for Arkansas governor". The Guardian. Retrieved January 9, 2022.
  17. 1 2 "2022 Candidates". www.maggieslist.org. Retrieved January 2, 2021.
  18. 1 2 "2022 Preferential Primary and Nonpartisan Judicial General Election".
  19. ↑ Brantley, Max (April 6, 2021). "Meet a candidate for attorney general; with a brother in the wings on the other side". Arkansas Times. Retrieved April 10, 2021.
  20. ↑ "Chris Jones, a nuclear engineer and political newcomer, enters Arkansas governor's race". NBC News. June 15, 2021.
  21. 1 2 Jared, George (March 26, 2021). "Supha Xayprasith-Mays to seek Democratic nomination for governor in 2022". Talk Business and Politics. Retrieved March 29, 2021. James "Rus" Russell has also announced for the Democratic nomination for governor as has Anthony Bland, who ran for Lt. Governor in 2018.
  22. ↑ Brock, Roby (February 7, 2021). "Political newcomer James Russell to seek Democratic nomination for Governor in 2022". KATV . Talk Business & Politics. Archived from the original on June 27, 2021. Retrieved August 31, 2021.
  23. ↑ "Supha Xayprasith-Mays announces run for Arkansas governor in 2022". KFSM. March 26, 2021. Retrieved March 29, 2021.
  24. ↑ "A pro-life Democrat enters the governor's race". Magnolia Reporter. February 17, 2022. Retrieved February 18, 2022.
  25. ↑ "Arkansas mother, foster care advocate announces run for lieutenant governor". KARK. September 8, 2021. Retrieved September 9, 2021.
  26. ↑ @GregLeding (January 25, 2021). "This is some excellent company, Kim, and I appreciate it—but it won't be me" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  27. ↑ @ClarkeTucker (January 25, 2021). "Thank you Kim! It's not going to be me. But I do appreciate the support" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  28. ↑ "Arkansas Democrat-Gazette Endorses Chris Jones in Democratic Primary". SWARK Today. May 16, 2022. Retrieved May 19, 2022.
  29. 1 2 "314 Action Fund Endorses Nuclear Engineer Chris Jones in AR-GOV Race". 314 Action . November 11, 2021.
  30. ↑ "Collective PAC Endorses Chris Jones for Governor". AR Money & Politics. June 29, 2021.
  31. 1 2 "Democracy for America Endorses Dr. Chris Jones for Governor of Arkansas". SWARK Today. May 13, 2022. Retrieved May 19, 2022.
  32. 1 2 Wickline, Michael (March 27, 2021). "In governor's race, business exec says inclusion a priority". Northwest Arkansas Democratic-Gazette. Retrieved April 1, 2021.
  33. ↑ "Richard Leon Mays (1943–)". Encyclopedia of Arkansas. Retrieved April 1, 2021.
  34. ↑ Hale, Tyler (April 23, 2021). "Harrington Declares Intent to Seek Arkansas Governor's Office in 2022". Arkansas Money and Politics. Retrieved April 24, 2021.
  35. ↑ "Home". Ricky Harrington for Governor. Retrieved March 31, 2022. Ricky resides in Pine Bluff.
  36. ↑ Brawner, Steve (February 21, 2022). "Libertarians nominate more than 50, including Harrington for governor". Talk Business and Politics. Retrieved February 28, 2022.
  37. ↑ "William E. Gates joins crowded Arkansas governor's race". Southwest Times Record. July 20, 2021. Retrieved August 6, 2021.
  38. 1 2 "Candidate Information". Arkansas Secretary of State. Retrieved February 22, 2022.
  39. ↑ "Elvis Presley listed among Arkansas gubernatorial candidates". Washington Examiner. February 26, 2022.
  40. ↑ "2022 Governor Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 4, 2021.
  41. ↑ "Gubernatorial Ratings". Inside Elections . Retrieved February 19, 2021.
  42. ↑ "2022 Gubernatorial race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
  43. ↑ "Arkansas Governor Race 2022". Politico. April 1, 2022.
  44. ↑ "2022 Governor Races". RCP. January 10, 2022. Retrieved January 10, 2022.
  45. ↑ "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. May 12, 2022. Retrieved May 12, 2022.
  46. ↑ "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.
  47. ↑ Szymanski, Joe (November 7, 2022). "Elections Daily Unveils Final 2022 Midterm Ratings". Elections Daily. Retrieved November 28, 2022.
  48. ↑ "Arkansas Endorsed Candidates 2022 | CWA District 6". cwad6.org. Retrieved December 2, 2022.
  49. ↑ "2022 General Election and Nonpartisan Judicial Runoff Election" . Retrieved May 7, 2023.
  50. ↑ @DrewSav (July 14, 2023). "hmm" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
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