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Turnout | 50.8% | ||||||||||||||||
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Sanders: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Jones: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Arkansas |
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The 2022 Arkansas gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Arkansas. Incumbent governor Asa Hutchinson was term-limited and could not seek a third term. Republican Sarah Huckabee Sanders, daughter of former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee, defeated Democrat Chris Jones to become the first woman ever elected to the office, and was sworn in on January 10, 2023.
Primary elections in Arkansas were held on May 24. Runoff elections for instances where no candidate receives over 50% of the vote were scheduled for June 21. Former White House press secretary Sarah Huckabee Sanders won the Republican nomination, while Chris Jones won the Democratic nomination. [1]
Leading up to the Republican primary, Sanders received many endorsements from key Republican figures, including Donald Trump, Mike Pence, incumbent Asa Hutchinson, Arkansas' entire U.S. Congressional delegation, and the majority of Republicans in both state legislative chambers. Her primary victory was not remotely close, as she won every county in the state with at least 70% of the vote. As Arkansas is a Republican stronghold, her primary victory virtually guaranteed she would win the general election, in which she defeated Jones by 28 points. Jones became the first Democrat to win Washington County since 2010, and Sanders became the first Republican to win majority-Black Crittenden County since her father in 1998, winning the county by one vote. This is the first time ever that the Republican Party won three straight gubernatorial elections in the state's history.
Sanders became the first female governor of Arkansas. With the election of Leslie Rutledge as lieutenant governor, Arkansas, along with Massachusetts, became the first two U.S. states to elect both a female governor and female lieutenant governor to serve at the same time.
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Leslie Rutledge | Sarah Huckabee Sanders | Francis Washburn | Undecided | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hendrix College | May 2, 2022 | 802 (LV) | ± 4.3% | – | 73% | 17% | 10% | |||||||||
Remington Research (R) | May 1–2, 2022 | 1,622 (LV) | ± 2.2% | – | 80% | 14% | 6% | |||||||||
Rutledge withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Remington Research (R) | October 25–26, 2021 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 16% | 73% | – | 11% | |||||||||
Hendrix College | May 26–31, 2021 | 535 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 35% | 43% | – | 22% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Sarah Huckabee Sanders | 289,249 | 83.14% | |
Republican | Francis "Doc" Washburn | 58,638 | 16.86% | |
Total votes | 347,887 | 100.0% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Anthony Bland | Chris Jones | Supha Xayprasith-Mays | Jay Martin | James Russell | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hendrix College | May 2, 2022 | 597 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 3% | 60% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 31% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Chris Jones | 66,540 | 70.43% | |
Democratic | Anthony Bland | 9,055 | 9.58% | |
Democratic | Jay Martin | 7,731 | 8.18% | |
Democratic | James "Rus" Russell | 6,421 | 6.80% | |
Democratic | Supha Xayprasith-Mays | 4,725 | 5.00% | |
Total votes | 94,472 | 100.0% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [40] | Solid R | March 4, 2022 |
Inside Elections [41] | Solid R | March 4, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [42] | Safe R | January 26, 2022 |
Politico [43] | Solid R | April 1, 2022 |
RCP [44] | Safe R | January 10, 2022 |
Fox News [45] | Solid R | May 12, 2022 |
538 [46] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
Elections Daily [47] | Safe R | November 7, 2022 |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) | Chris Jones (D) | Undecided [lower-alpha 2] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FiveThirtyEight | August 31 – October 31, 2022 | November 3, 2022 | 54.4% | 36.1% | 9.5% | Sanders +18.3 |
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) | Chris Jones (D) | Ricky Harrington (L) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of Arkansas | October 13–31, 2022 | 557 (LV) | – | 53% | 34% | 4% | 9% |
Hendrix College | October 17–18, 2022 | 835 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 51% | 41% | 3% | 5% |
Remington Research Group (R) | September 14–15, 2022 | 1,418 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 59% | 34% | 3% | 4% |
Hendrix College | September 12, 2022 | 835 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 51% | 40% | 2% | 7% |
Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 382 (RV) | ± 7.7% | 62% | 32% | – | 6% |
Remington Research Group (R) | February 26–27, 2022 | 827 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 58% | 28% | 3% | 10% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) | Generic Democrat | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hendrix College | February 7–8, 2022 | 961 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 34% | 8% | 15% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Generic Republican | Generic Democrat | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of Arkansas | October 12–24, 2021 | 800 (A) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 21% | 34% |
555 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 50% | 23% | 27% |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic | Libertarian |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn | |||||||
Sarah Huckabee Sanders | Chris Jones | Ricky Harrington Jr | |||||
1 | Oct, 2022 | Arkansas PBS | Link | P | P | P |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Sarah Huckabee Sanders | 571,105 | 62.96% | -2.37% | |
Democratic | Chris Jones | 319,242 | 35.20% | +3.43% | |
Libertarian | Ricky Dale Harrington Jr. | 16,690 | 1.84% | -1.06% | |
Total votes | 907,037 | 100.0% | N/A | ||
Turnout | 907,037 | 50.81% | |||
Registered electors | 1,799,136 | ||||
Republican hold | |||||
Huckabee Sanders won all 4 congressional districts. [50]
District | Huckabee Sanders | Jones | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 70% | 28% | Rick Crawford |
2nd | 56% | 43% | French Hill |
3rd | 60% | 38% | Steve Womack |
4th | 68% | 30% | Bruce Westerman |
William Asa Hutchinson II is an American attorney, businessman, and politician who served as the 46th governor of Arkansas from 2015 to 2023. A member of the Republican Party, he previously served as a U.S. attorney, U.S. representative, and in two roles in the George W. Bush administration. He was a candidate for the 2024 Republican presidential nomination.
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James "Rus" Russell has also announced for the Democratic nomination for governor as has Anthony Bland, who ran for Lt. Governor in 2018.
Ricky resides in Pine Bluff.