2022 Arkansas gubernatorial election

Last updated

2022 Arkansas gubernatorial election
Flag of Arkansas.svg
  2018 November 8, 2022 2026  
Turnout50.81% Decrease2.svg
  Sarah Sanders September 2024 (cropped).jpg Chris Jones, Arkansas gubernatorial candidate (cropped).jpg
Nominee Sarah Huckabee Sanders Chris Jones
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote571,105319,242
Percentage62.96%35.20%

2022 Arkansas gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
Arkansas Gubernatorial election by congressional district.svg
AR GOV 2022 SS.svg
Election map of a 2022 gubernatorial position in Arkansas.svg
Sanders:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Jones:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%

Governor before election

Asa Hutchinson
Republican

Elected Governor

Sarah Huckabee Sanders
Republican

The 2022 Arkansas gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the next governor of Arkansas. Incumbent Republican governor Asa Hutchinson was term-limited and could not seek a third term. Republican Sarah Huckabee Sanders, daughter of former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee, defeated Democrat Chris Jones to become the first woman ever elected to the office, and was sworn in on January 10, 2023.

Contents

Primary elections in Arkansas were held on May 24. Runoff elections for instances where no candidate receives over 50% of the vote were scheduled for June 21. Former White House press secretary Sarah Huckabee Sanders won the Republican nomination, while Chris Jones won the Democratic nomination. [1]

Leading up to the Republican primary, Sanders received many endorsements from key Republican figures, including Donald Trump, Mike Pence, incumbent Asa Hutchinson, Arkansas' entire U.S. Congressional delegation, and the majority of Republicans in both state legislative chambers. Her primary victory was not remotely close, as she won every county in the state with at least 70% of the vote.

As Arkansas is a Republican stronghold, her primary victory virtually guaranteed she would win the general election, in which she defeated Jones by 28 points. Jones became the first Democrat to win Washington County since 2010, and Sanders became the first Republican to win majority-Black Crittenden County since her father in 1998, winning the county by one vote. This was the only 2022 election where Washington County voted against the Democratic nominee. This is the first time ever that the Republican Party won three straight gubernatorial elections in the state's history.

Sanders became the first female governor of Arkansas. With the election of Leslie Rutledge as lieutenant governor, Arkansas, along with Massachusetts, became the first two U.S. states to elect both a female governor and female lieutenant governor to serve at the same time.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Francis "Doc" Washburn, radio personality [3]

Withdrew

Endorsements

Sarah Huckabee Sanders

U.S. Executive Branch officials

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

U.S. Governors

State officials

Individuals

Organizations

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [a]
Margin
of error
Leslie
Rutledge
Sarah
Huckabee Sanders
Francis
Washburn
Undecided
Hendrix College [18] May 2, 2022802 (LV)± 4.3%73%17%10%
Remington Research (R) [19] May 1–2, 20221,622 (LV)± 2.2%80%14%6%
November 9, 2021Rutledge withdraws from the race
Remington Research (R) [20] October 25–26, 2021800 (LV)± 3.5%16%73%11%
Hendrix College [21] May 26–31, 2021535 (LV)± 5.5%35%43%22%

Results

Results by county:
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Sanders
70-80%
80-90%
>90% 2022 Arkansas gubernatorial Republican primary election results map by county.svg
Results by county:
  Sanders
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   >90%
Republican primary results [22]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Sarah Huckabee Sanders 289,249 83.14%
Republican Francis "Doc" Washburn58,63816.86%
Total votes347,887 100.0%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Endorsements

Chris Jones

Newspaper and other media

Organizations

Supha Xayprasith-Mays

Governors

Statewide officials

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [a]
Margin
of error
Anthony
Bland
Chris
Jones
Supha
Xayprasith-Mays
Jay
Martin
James
Russell
Undecided
Hendrix College [18] May 2, 2022597 (LV)± 5.0%3%60%2%3%2%31%

Results

Results by county:
Jones
20-30%
30-40%
40-50%
50-60%
60-70%
70-80%
80-90% 2022 Arkansas gubernatorial Democratic primary election results map by county.svg
Results by county:
  Jones
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
Democratic primary results [22]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Chris Jones 66,540 70.43%
Democratic Anthony Bland9,0559.58%
Democratic Jay Martin 7,7318.18%
Democratic James "Rus" Russell6,4216.80%
Democratic Supha Xayprasith-Mays4,7255.00%
Total votes94,472 100.0%

Libertarian convention

The Libertarian nominee, prison chaplain Ricky Harrington from Pine Bluff Ricky Dale Harrington Jr. in Springdale (crop 2).jpg
The Libertarian nominee, prison chaplain Ricky Harrington from Pine Bluff

Candidates

Nominee

Independents

Candidates

Declared

  • William E. Gates, senior pastor at the church of Christian Jewish Freedom in Little Rock [40]

Write-ins

Candidates

Declared

  • Dan Nelson, activist [41]
  • Elvis Presley, perennial candidate [42]
  • Michael Woodard [41]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [43] Solid RMarch 4, 2022
Inside Elections [44] Solid RMarch 4, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball [45] Safe RJanuary 26, 2022
Politico [46] Solid RApril 1, 2022
RCP [47] Safe RJanuary 10, 2022
Fox News [48] Solid RMay 12, 2022
538 [49] Solid RJune 30, 2022
Elections Daily [50] Safe RNovember 7, 2022

Endorsements

Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R)

U.S. Executive Branch officials

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

U.S. Governors

State officials

Individuals

Organizations

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Sarah
Huckabee
Sanders (R)
Chris
Jones (D)
Undecided
[b]
Margin
FiveThirtyEight [52] August 31 – October 31, 2022November 3, 202254.4%36.1%9.5%Sanders +18.3

Graphical summary

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [a]
Margin
of error
Sarah
Huckabee
Sanders (R)
Chris
Jones (D)
Ricky
Harrington (L)
Undecided
University of Arkansas [53] October 13–31, 2022557 (LV)53%34%4%9%
Hendrix College [54] October 17–18, 2022835 (LV)± 3.8%51%41%3%5%
Remington Research Group (R) [55] September 14–15, 20221,418 (LV)± 3.4%59%34%3%4%
Hendrix College [56] September 12, 2022835 (LV)± 3.8%51%40%2%7%
Echelon Insights [57] August 31 – September 7, 2022382 (RV)± 7.7%62%32%6%
Remington Research Group (R) [58] February 26–27, 2022827 (LV)± 3.4%58%28%3%10%
Hypothetical polling

Sarah Huckabee Sanders vs. generic Democrat

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [a]
Margin
of error
Sarah
Huckabee
Sanders (R)
Generic
Democrat
OtherUndecided
Hendrix College [59] February 7–8, 2022961 (LV)± 4.4%44%34%8%15%

Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [a]
Margin
of error
Generic
Republican
Generic
Democrat
Undecided
University of Arkansas [60] October 12–24, 2021800 (A)± 3.5%46%21%34%
555 (LV)± 4.2%50%23%27%

Debates

2022 Arkansas gubernatorial debates
No.DateHostModeratorLink Republican Democratic Libertarian
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Non-invitee  I Invitee  W  Withdrawn
Sarah Huckabee Sanders Chris JonesRicky Harrington Jr
1Oct, 2022 Arkansas PBS [61] PPP

Results

2022 Arkansas gubernatorial election swing map by county.svg
2022 Arkansas gubernatorial election trend map by county.svg
2022 Arkansas gubernatorial election [62]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Sarah Huckabee Sanders 571,105 62.96% −2.37%
Democratic Chris Jones319,24235.20%+3.43%
Libertarian Ricky Dale Harrington Jr.16,6901.84%−1.06%
Total votes907,037 100.0% N/A
Turnout 907,03750.81%
Registered electors 1,799,136
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Huckabee Sanders won all 4 congressional districts. [63]

DistrictHuckabee SandersJonesRepresentative
1st 70.1%27.9% Rick Crawford
2nd 55.5%42.8% French Hill
3rd 59.6%38.3% Steve Womack
4th 67.9%30.5% Bruce Westerman

See also

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.

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References

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Official campaign websites