2022 Alabama gubernatorial election

Last updated

2022 Alabama gubernatorial election
Flag of Alabama.svg
  2018 November 8, 2022 2026  
Turnout38.50% Decrease2.svg
  Alabama Air National Guard promotes first female brigadier general (8) (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Kay Ivey Yolanda Flowers
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote946,932412,961
Percentage66.91%29.18%

2022 Alabama gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
2022 Alabama Gubernatorial Election by congressional district.svg
2022 AL Gov.svg
Ivey:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Flowers:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%

Governor before election

Kay Ivey
Republican

Elected Governor

Kay Ivey
Republican

The 2022 Alabama gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022. Incumbent Governor Kay Ivey, a Republican, took office in 2017 upon the resignation of Robert J. Bentley (R) and won a full term in 2018. In 2022, she won her bid for a second full term in a landslide. [1]

Contents

Primary elections in Alabama were held on May 24. Runoff elections for instances where no candidate received 50% plus one vote were scheduled for June 21. A runoff was avoided in the Republican primary, with Ivey winning outright. The Democratic primary advanced to a runoff between Malika Sanders-Fortier and Yolanda Flowers, with Flowers winning the Democratic nomination.

This was the first gubernatorial election in Alabama history in which both major party nominees were women. Flowers was also the first Black female gubernatorial nominee in Alabama history. [2] Governor Ivey was sworn in for her second full term on January 16, 2023. [3]

Republican primary

Former U.S. Ambassador Lynda Blanchard finished second in the primary. Lynda C. Blanchard official photo.jpg
Former U.S. Ambassador Lynda Blanchard finished second in the primary.

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Endorsements

Lynda Blanchard

Individuals

  • James Henderson, head of Christian Pro-Life Council, radio show host and former pastor [24]
  • Mike Lindell, founder of MyPillow and conspiracy theorist [25]

Organizations

Lew Burdette

Individuals

  • Randy Howell, competitive fisherman and 2014 Bassmaster Classic winner [27]
  • Leland Whaley, conservative talk radio host of Leland Live [28]
  • Yaffee, conservative talk radio host of The Yaffee Program and Yellowhammer News contributor [29]
Kay Ivey

State executives

State senators

State representatives

Mayors

Law enforcement

  • 31 county sheriffs and police chiefs [40]

Organizations

PACs

Tim James

State senators

State representatives

Individuals

  • Bill Armistead, chairman of the Alabama Republican Party (2011–2015), former Alabama State Senator for District 14 (1995–2003) [56] (James' campaign chairman) [57]
  • Dale Jackson, conservative talk radio host of The Dale Jackson Show and Yellowhammer News contributor [58]
  • Luke Lawson, Governor of Alabama Alabama Boys State, and political activist (Democratic)
  • Betty Peters, former member of the Alabama State Board of Education (2003–2019) [59]

Political parties

Organizations

PACs

  • Coal Miners Political Action Committee [64]
Dean Odle

Individuals

Newspapers

  • The Highland Park Review [67]

Businesses

  • Pigfarm Gun Range [68]

Organizations

  • Alabama First Alliance [69]
  • South Alabama Republican Assembly [70]
  • Stand for Health Freedom [71]
Dave Thomas

Organizations

  • Alabama Cannabis Coalition [72]
  • Alabama Republicans Against Marijuana Prohibition [72]

Debates and forums

2022 Alabama Republican gubernatorial primary debates and forums
No.DateLocationHostModeratorLinkParticipants
 P Participant   A Absent   N Non-invitee   I Invitee W  Withdrawn
Blanchard BurdetteGeorge Ivey James JonesOdle Thomas Young
1 [73] Jan 19, 2022 Enterprise Coffee County Republican WomenJan White [74] [75] PAAAPAPAA
2 [76] Feb 01, 2022 Huntsville Republican Women of HuntsvilleTerri Terrell [77] PPAAPAPAA
3 [78] Feb 10, 2022 Fairhope Eastern Shore Republican WomenJeff PoorN/APPAAPPPPP
4 [79] Feb 10, 2022 Dothan Houston County Republican PartyBrandon Shoupe [80] PAAAPAPAA
5 [81] Feb 28, 2022 Greenville Butler County Republican PartyN/AN/APPAAPAPAA
6 [82] Mar 07, 2022 Athens Athens-Limestone Republican WomenTracy SmithN/APAAAPAPAA
7 [83] Mar 10, 2022 Hoover LOCAL AlabamaAllison Sinclair
Stephanie Smith
[84] PPAAPAPPA
8 [85] Apr 12, 2022 Cullman Cullman County Republican WomenCharlotte Covert [86] PPAAPPPPA
9 [87] Apr 26, 2022 Huntsville Focus on AmericaScott Beason
Rebecca Rogers
[88] PPAAPPPPA
10 [89] May 11, 2022 Prattville Autauga County Republican Party John Wahl [90] PPAAAPPAA
11 [91] May 14, 2022 Vestavia Hills Mid Alabama Republican ClubN/AN/APPAAAAPAP

Polling

Graphical summary

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Lynda
Blanchard
Lew
Burdette
Kay
Ivey
Tim
James
Dean
Odle
Dean
Young
Other
[a]
Margin
Real Clear Politics [92] May 15–21, 2022May 24, 202214.3%7.7%49.3%18.0%2.7%1.3%5.7%Ivey +31.3
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [b]
Margin
of error
Lynda
Blanchard
Lew
Burdette
Stacy
George
Kay
Ivey
Tim
James
Donald
Jones
Dean
Odle
Dave
Thomas
Dean
Young
Jim
Zeigler
OtherUndecided
The Trafalgar Group (R) [93] May 18–21, 20221,060 (LV)± 2.9%17%7%47%17%3%3%1%6%
McLaughlin & Associates (R) [94] [A] May 16–19, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%17%8%45%18%4%9%
Cygnal (R) [95] May 15–16, 2022634 (LV)± 3.9%13%8%48%16%2%0%2%11%
Emerson College [96] May 15–16, 2022706 (LV)± 3.6%11%7%0%46%17%0%3%0%0%15%
McLaughlin & Associates (R) [97] [A] May 9–12, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%15%8%52%15%3%7%
Cygnal (R) [98] May 6–7, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%15%6%40%18%4%1%4%14%
The Tarrance Group (R) [99] [B] April 18–20, 2022600 (LV)± 4.1%14%57%12%5%12%
Emerson College [100] March 25–27, 2022687 (LV)± 3.7%8%4%0%48%11%1%1%2%2%22%
Cygnal (R) [101] March 16–17, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%10%2%46%12%5%3%21%
Wisemen Consulting (R) [102] March 15–17, 2022905 (LV)± 3.4%12%2%1%58%16%<1%1%<1%<1%9%
McLaughlin & Associates (R) [103] [A] March 10–13, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%11%1%60%14%14%
1892 Polling (R) [104] [B] March 8–10, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%8%60%13%6%13%
The Tarrance Group (R) [105] [B] February 28 – March 2, 2022600 (RV)± 4.1%10%61%13%4%12%
Cherry Communications (R) [106] [C] February 2–6, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%10%55%11%2%22%
Cygnal (R) [107] August 17–18, 2021600 (LV)± 4.0%42%4%3%9%9%34%

Primary results

Results by county:
Ivey
30-40%
40-50%
50-60%
60-70%
70-80% 2022 Alabama gubernatorial Republican primary election results map by county.svg
Results by county:
  Ivey
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
Republican primary results [108]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Kay Ivey (incumbent) 357,069 54.45%
Republican Lynda Blanchard 126,20219.25%
Republican Tim James 106,18116.19%
Republican Lew Burdette42,9246.55%
Republican Dean Odle11,7671.79%
Republican Donald Trent Jones3,8210.58%
Republican Dave Thomas 2,8860.44%
Republican Stacy Lee George2,5460.39%
Republican Dean Young2,3560.36%
Total votes655,752 100.0%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

  • Yolanda Rochelle Flowers, activist, retired rehabilitation specialist and educator [109] [110] [111]

Eliminated in runoff

Eliminated in primary

  • Patricia Salter Jamieson, nurse and licensed minister [109]
  • Arthur Kennedy, Army veteran and educator [12] [113]
  • Chad "Chig" Martin, small business owner, musician and independent candidate for governor in 2018 [114] (switched from independent) [115] [116]
  • Doug "New Blue" Smith, developmental economist, retired corporate attorney and perennial candidate [11] [12] [117]

Failed to qualify

  • Christopher A. Countryman, equality activist, licensed minister, motivational speaker, former juvenile corrections officer and candidate for governor in 2018 [118]

Declined

Endorsements

Yolanda Flowers
Malika Sanders-Fortier

Organizations

  • Alabama New South Alliance [121]

First round

Debates and forums

2022 Alabama Democratic gubernatorial primary debates and forums
No.DateLocationHostModeratorLinkParticipants
 P Participant   A Absent   N Non-invitee   I Invitee W  Withdrawn
FlowersKennedyMartinSalter Sanders-
Fortier
Smith
1 [83] Mar 10, 2022 Hoover LOCAL AlabamaAllison Sinclair
Stephanie Smith
YouTube [84] PPPPPP
2 [122] Apr 07, 2022 Fort Payne DeKalb County Democratic PartyN/AN/APAPAAP
3 [123] Apr 22, 2022 Dothan Houston County Democratic PartyN/AN/APPPPPP

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [b]
Margin
of error
Yolanda
Flowers
Patricia
Jamieson
Arthur
Kennedy
Chad
Martin
Malika
Sanders-Fortier
Doug
Smith
Undecided
Emerson College [96] May 15–16, 2022294 (LV)± 5.7%29%2%5%7%5%3%49%
Emerson College [100] March 25–27, 2022359 (LV)± 5.1%11%3%7%4%8%8%59%

Results

Results by county:
Flowers
20-30%
30-40%
40-50%
50-60%
Sanders-Fortier
20-30%
30-40%
40-50%
50-60%
60-70%
Jamieson
60-70%
Martin
30-40% 2022 Alabama gubernatorial Democratic primary election results map by county.svg
Results by county:
  Flowers
  •   20-30%
  •   30-40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  Sanders-Fortier
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60-70%
  Jamieson
  •   60–70%
  Martin
  •   30–40%
Democratic primary results [108]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Yolanda Rochelle Flowers 56,991 33.88%
Democratic Malika Sanders-Fortier 54,699 32.52%
Democratic Patricia Jamieson Salter19,69111.71%
Democratic Arthur Kennedy15,6309.29%
Democratic Doug Smith11,8617.05%
Democratic Chad Martin9,3525.56%
Total votes168,224 100.0%

Runoff

Results

Runoff results by county:
Flowers
50-60%
60-70%
70-80%
80-90%
Tie
Flowers / Sanders-Fortier 50%
Sanders-Fortier
50-60%
60-70% 2022 Alabama gubernatorial Democratic primary runoff election results map by county.svg
Runoff results by county:
  Flowers
  •   50-60%
  •   60-70%
  •   70-80%
  •   80-90%
  Tie
  •   Flowers / Sanders-Fortier 50%
  Sanders-Fortier
  •   50-60%
  •   60-70%
Democratic primary runoff results [108]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Yolanda Rochelle Flowers 32,529 55.14%
Democratic Malika Sanders-Fortier 26,46944.86%
Total votes58,998 100.0%

Independent and third-party candidates

Libertarian nomination

No primary was held for the Libertarian Party, and candidates were instead nominated by the party. [124]

Nominee

Independent candidates

Declared

  • Jared Budlong, marketing project manager (write-in campaign) [125]
  • Dean Odle, pastor, author and former Republican primary candidate (write-in campaign) [126]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [127] Solid RMarch 4, 2022
Inside Elections [128] Solid RMarch 4, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball [129] Safe RJanuary 26, 2022
Politico [130] Solid RApril 1, 2022
RCP [131] Safe RJanuary 10, 2022
Fox News [132] Solid RMay 12, 2022
538 [133] Solid RJune 30, 2022
Elections Daily [134] Safe RNovember 7, 2022

Endorsements

Yolanda Flowers (D)

Labor unions

Organizations

Jimmy Blake (L)

Organizations

  • Alabama Cannabis Coalition [138]
  • LetBamaVote.org [139]
Dean Odle (write-in)

Organizations

  • Stand for Health Freedom [140]

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [b]
Margin
of error
Kay
Ivey (R)
Yolanda
Flowers (D)
Jimmy
Blake (L)
OtherUndecided
Cygnal (R) [141] October 27–29, 2022616 (LV)± 3.94%60%25%5%--

Results

2022 Alabama gubernatorial election swing map by county.svg
2022 Alabama gubernatorial election trend map by county.svg
2022 Alabama gubernatorial election [142]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Kay Ivey (incumbent) 946,932 66.91% +7.45%
Democratic Yolanda Rochelle Flowers412,96129.18%−11.21%
Libertarian James D. "Jimmy" Blake45,9583.25%N/A
Write-in 9,4320.67%+0.52%
Total votes1,415,283 100.0%
Turnout 1,419,71838.50%
Registered electors 3,687,753
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Ivey won six of seven congressional districts. [143]

DistrictIveyFlowersRepresentative
1st 68%27% Jerry Carl
2nd 70%27% Barry Moore
3rd 72%25% Mike Rogers
4th 84%12% Robert Aderholt
5th 69%27% Mo Brooks (117th Congress)
Dale Strong (118th Congress)
6th 68%27% Gary Palmer
7th 37%60% Terri Sewell

See also

Notes

  1. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. 1 2 3 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

Partisan clients

  1. 1 2 3 Poll sponsored by ForestPAC, a wing of the Alabama Forestry Association, which supports Ivey
  2. 1 2 3 Poll sponsored by Ivey's campaign
  3. Poll sponsored by FarmPAC, a wing of the Alabama Farmers Federation

References

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