2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania

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2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania
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  John Fetterman official portrait (3x4).jpg Dr. Mehmet Oz, August 2016 (cropped).jpg
Nominee John Fetterman Mehmet Oz
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote2,751,0122,487,260
Percentage51.25%46.33%
2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania results map by county.svg
2022 US Senate Election in Pennsylvania by Congressional District.svg
2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania results map by precinct.svg
Fetterman:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Oz:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     40–50%     50%     No data
U.S. senator before election

Pat Toomey
Republican

Elected U.S. senator

John Fetterman
Democratic

The 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania. [1] Democratic lieutenant governor John Fetterman won his first term in office, defeating Republican surgeon Mehmet Oz. Fetterman succeeded Republican incumbent senator Pat Toomey, who did not seek re-election after two terms. This was the only U.S. Senate seat to flip parties in 2022.

Contents

In the May 17 primary, Fetterman won the Democratic nomination with 59% of the vote. [2] Oz finished with a 0.1% margin ahead of businessman David McCormick in the Republican primary, triggering an automatic recount. McCormick conceded the nomination on June 3, [3] making Oz the first Muslim candidate to be nominated by either major party for U.S. Senate. [4]

The general election was among the most competitive of the 2022 midterms and characterized as highly contentious. Fetterman framed Oz as an elitist carpetbagger with a radical anti-abortion stance in the wake of Dobbs v. Jackson Women's Health Organization overturning Roe v. Wade , while Oz framed Fetterman as a socialist insufficiently committed to fighting crime. Fetterman's health was also a major issue due to him suffering a stroke days before his primary victory. [5] Although Fetterman led most pre-election polls, concerns towards his health and a scrutinized debate performance helped Oz take a narrow lead before the election. [6] [7] [8]

Despite Oz's lead in final polls, Fetterman won by a 5% margin, helping provide Senate Democrats a net gain of one seat and their first outright majority since 2015. With Fetterman's victory, elected Democrats held both U.S. Senate seats from Pennsylvania for the first time since 1947. [a]

Republican primary

Former U.S. Treasury Under Secretary and future US Senator David McCormick narrowly lost the primary, placing second. McCormick Portrait (HR) (cropped).jpg
Former U.S. Treasury Under Secretary and future US Senator David McCormick narrowly lost the primary, placing second.
Author Kathy Barnette finished third in the primary. Kathy Barnette headshot (cropped).jpg
Author Kathy Barnette finished third in the primary.
Former U.S. Ambassador to Denmark Carla Sands finished fourth in the primary. Carla Sands official photo (alt crop).jpg
Former U.S. Ambassador to Denmark Carla Sands finished fourth in the primary.
Former Pennsylvania Boxing Commissioner George Bochetto finished seventh in the primary. George Bochetto on the Sam Lesante Show (cropped).jpg
Former Pennsylvania Boxing Commissioner George Bochetto finished seventh in the primary.

Campaign

Early campaign

In October 2020, incumbent Republican senator Pat Toomey decided not to run for re-election, stating that he wished to return to the private sector. [9]

By October 2021, businessman Jeff Bartos, who had posted strong fund-raising totals, and veteran Sean Parnell, who had the endorsement of former president Donald Trump, emerged as the race's front-runners. [10] However, Parnell's campaign faced a large scandal in November 2021, after his ex-wife, Laurie Snell, testified in court during a custody hearing for the couple's children that Parnell had strangled and spat on her, abused their children, and told her to "go get an abortion". [11] Parnell denied the allegations under oath. [12] Even before these allegations were made, doubts had arisen among Republicans regarding Parnell's fundraising ability, and it became widely assumed that he would suspend his campaign if he did not win custody of his children. [12] [ failed verification ] On November 22, 2021, Snell was given custody of the couple's children and Parnell suspended his campaign. [13]

Entry of Oz and McCormick

On November 30, with Parnell out of the race, Mehmet Oz, a celebrity doctor and television personality, announced his candidacy. [14] Oz's campaign entered an immediate controversy over whether Oz himself was a resident of Pennsylvania, as he had lived in Cliffside Park, New Jersey, for most of his life and had only registered to vote in Pennsylvania in October 2020. [14] [15] The January 2022 entrance of David McCormick, a businessman, into the race prompted attacks for McCormick's past detraction of Trump and criticism of "America First" economic policies from Oz allies. [16] Super PACs allied to McCormick hit back with a spate of well-funded television advertisements, accusing Oz of being a "Hollywood liberal." [17]

Republican straw polls in January 2022 indicated strong support for Bartos and political commentator Kathy Barnette among party activists as the campaign started to escalate. Bartos won the Republican State Committee Central Caucus's straw poll, placing first with 49 votes, while Barnette finished in second place with 30 votes. McCormick and Sands trailed at third and fourth place; and Oz and former Boxing Commissioner George Bochetto performed poorly, each receiving only one vote. [18] [19] Despite this, political commentators largely considered Oz and McCormick to be the frontrunners, with the other candidates trailing them. [20]

The McCormick campaign targeted Oz's ties to Turkey and called on him to renounce his Turkish citizenship, accusing Oz of harboring dual loyalties. [21] Oz later stated that if he were elected to the Senate, he would renounce his Turkish citizenship. [22] Former president Trump endorsed Oz on April 10, citing the popularity of his television show and perceived appeal to female voters. [23] Oz frequently highlighted this endorsement, it becoming one of his major talking points during the campaign. [20]

Late campaign

Oz had been ahead of the other candidates in the polls since the start of his campaign, with McCormick soon rising quickly in the polls to challenge Oz, with both men polling the low 20s. Barnette had also begun to rise in the polls at this point after a string of attention-getting debate performances and an ad spend in support of her by the Club for Growth. Her late surge prompted a change in tactics from the two frontrunners, who had largely ignored her as irrelevant until then. [24] Pro-Oz Super PAC American Leadership Action launched an ad campaign accusing Barnette of supporting Black Lives Matter, while McCormick stated that Barnette was unelectable, citing her heavy loss in a U.S. House race the previous election cycle. [24] Oz himself also accused Barnette of Islamophobia, pointing to a 2015 tweet in which she stated, "Pedophilia is a Cornerstone of Islam." [25]

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Disqualified

  • John Debellis, small business owner [37]
  • John Eichenberg, truck driver [38]
  • Robert Jeffries, perennial candidate [39]
  • Ron Johnson, former Fredonia borough councilor [40] [41] (ran as the Constitution nominee)
  • Richard Mulholland, HVAC technician [42]
  • Max Richardson [43]
  • Martin Rosenfeld, Elk County deputy sheriff and treasurer of the Elk County Republican Party [44]
  • David Xu, U.S. Army veteran, college professor and IT business owner [45]

Withdrew

Declined

Debates and forums

2022 Pennsylvania Senate election Republican primary debates
No.DateHostModeratorLinkParticipants
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Non-invitee  I Invitee  W  Withdrawn
Kathy BarnetteGeorge BochettoJeff BartosSean GaleDavid McCormickMehmet OzCarla SandsEverett Stern
1Feb. 22, 2022BroadandLiberty.com
Pennsylvania Chamber of Business & Industry		 Becky Corbin Video PPPNAAAP
2Apr. 25, 2022 Nexstar/WHTM-TV Dennis Owens
Lisa Sylvester 		Video PNPNPPPW
3May 4, 2022 Newsmax TV Greta Van Susteren
Rick Dayton		PNPNPPPW

Endorsements

Kathy Barnette

Executive branch officials

U.S. senators

U.S. Representatives

State legislators

Organizations

Newspapers and other media

Individuals

Jeff Bartos

U.S. Representatives

Statewide officials

State senators

State representatives

Organizations

Individuals

George Bochetto

Judges

Labor unions

Robert Jeffries

Individuals

David McCormick

Executive branch officials

U.S. senators

U.S. Governors

U.S. Representatives

Local officials

Labor unions

Individuals

Mehmet Oz

U.S. Presidents

  • Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States (2017–2021) (previously endorsed Parnell) [91]

Executive branch officials

U.S. Representatives

Statewide officials

Individuals

Carla Sands

Executive branch officials

U.S. Senators

U.S. Representatives

State legislators

Sean Parnell (withdrawn)

U.S. Presidents

  • Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States (2017–2021)(switched endorsement to Oz after Parnell withdrew) [95]

U.S. Senators

U.S. Representatives

Individuals

Craig Snyder (withdrawn)

Executive branch officials

U.S. Representatives

Declined to endorse

Organizations

Newspapers and other media

Polling

Graphical summary

Source of poll
aggregation		Dates
administered		Dates
updated		Kathy
Barnette		Jeff
Bartos		David
McCormick		Mehmet
Oz		Carla
Sands		Other [b] Margin
Real Clear Politics [103] May 3–16, 2022May 17, 202224.2%5.4%19.6%26.8%6.0%18.0%Oz +2.6
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Kathy
Barnette		Jeff
Bartos		David
McCormick		Mehmet
Oz		Sean
Parnell		Carla
Sands		OtherUndecided
The Trafalgar Group (R) [104] May 14–16, 20221,195 (LV)± 2.9%27%7%22%29%–7%4% [d] 6%
Emerson College [105] May 14–15, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%24%5%21%28%–6%1% [e] 15%
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) [106] May 12–15, 2022400 (LV)± 4.9%27%2%11%28%–3%3% [f] 26%
Osage Research (R) [107] [A] May 12–13, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.1%24%6%25%24%–7%1% [g] 13%
InsiderAdvantage (R) [108] May 7–9, 2022750 (LV)± 3.6%21%5%19%23%–5%3% [h] 26%
The Trafalgar Group (R) [109] May 6–8, 20221,080 (LV)± 3.0%23%7%22%25%–7%2% [h] 15%
Fox News [110] May 3–7, 20221,001 (LV)± 3.0%19%7%20%22%–8%4% [i] 18%
Franklin & Marshall College [111] April 20 – May 1, 2022325 (RV)± 6.9%12%2%16%18%–5%6% [j] 39%
The Trafalgar Group (R) [112] April 11–13, 20221,074 (LV)± 3.0%18%8%20%23%–11%3% [k] 17%
Franklin & Marshall College [113] March 30 – April 10, 2022317 (RV)± 6.6%7%6%15%16%–5%8% [l] 43%
Eagle Consulting Group (R) [114] April 7–9, 2022502 (LV)± 4.4%9%6%18%11%–9%2% [m] 45%
Emerson College [115] April 3–4, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%10%9%18%17%–8%6% [n] 33%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [116] [A] March 29 – April 3, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%13%8%22%16%–11%1% [g] –
Emerson College [117] March 26–28, 2022372 (LV)± 5.0%6%5%14%14%–6%3% [o] 51%
Basswood Research (R) [118] [B] March 19–21, 2022800 (LV)± 3.5%11%5%22%25%–13%1% [g] 23%
Fox News [119] March 2–6, 2022960 (LV)± 3.0%9%9%24%15%–6%3% [p] 31%
Franklin & Marshall College [120] February 21–27, 2022178 (LV)± 10.1%6%4%13%10%–11%3%53%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [116] [A] ~February 23, 2022– (LV)–9%5%24%18%–11%1% [g] –
McLaughlin & Associates (R) [121] [C] February 16–18, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%––24%18%––31%27%
Osage Research (R) [122] [A] February 13–16, 2022825 (LV)± 4.0%7%6%24%21%–11%3%28%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [116] [A] ~February 9, 2022– (LV)–9%5%17%23%–17%1% [g] –
The Trafalgar Group (R) [123] February 1–4, 20221,070 (LV)± 3.0%9%7%16%27%–15%6% [q] 22%
Osage Research (R) [122] [A] January 31 – February 2, 2022– (LV)–––19%29%––––
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [116] [A] ~January 6, 2022– (LV)–9%8%13%31%–12%––
The Trafalgar Group (R) [124] December 13–16, 20211,062 (LV)± 3.0%8%3%–19%–7%12% [r] 51%
Echelon Insights (R) [125] December 1–3, 2021200 (LV)± 6.9%7%4%–11%–5%10% [s] 63%
November 22, 2021Parnell withdraws from the race
Civiqs (D) [126] October 31 – November 5, 2021799 (LV)± 3.5%7%6%––31%8%2% [t] 54%
Franklin & Marshall College [127] October 18–24, 2021184 (RV)± 8.8%3%2%––11%2%3% [u] 78%
OnMessage Inc. (R) [128] [D] October 11–14, 2021500 (LV)± 4.4%–7%––27%4%5%57%
Franklin & Marshall College [129] August 9–15, 2021154 (RV)± 10.9%6%4%––14%1%10% [v] 66%

Results

Following the first night of results, it became clear that Oz and McCormick were the top two vote-getters in the election; however, the margin between them was too close to declare a victor. [130] A mandatory recount then began. [131] [130] Former president Trump encouraged Oz to declare victory on election night, stating that Oz would only be defeated as a result of election fraud; these claims were noted by Politico as echoing Trump's baseless claims of election fraud in the 2020 presidential election. [132] With McCormick having done better with mail-in ballots, Oz opposed counting ballots which were received by election offices before election day but were missing dates on the envelopes. [133] A state court later required counties to count undated ballots as valid. [134]

On June 3, McCormick conceded to Oz, saying he could not make up the deficit in the recount. [135]

Results by county: Oz 20-30% 30-40% 40-50% McCormick 20-30% 30-40% 40-50% Barnette 30-40% 2022 United States Senate Republican primary election in Pennsylvania results map by county.svg
Results by county:
  Oz
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  McCormick
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Barnette
  •   30–40%
Republican primary results [131]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Mehmet Oz 420,168 31.21%
Republican David McCormick 419,21831.14%
Republican Kathy Barnette 331,90324.66%
Republican Carla Sands 73,3605.45%
Republican Jeff Bartos66,6844.95%
Republican Sean Gale20,2661.51%
Republican George Bochetto14,4921.08%
Total votes1,346,091 100.0%

Democratic primary

U.S. Representative Conor Lamb finished second in the primary. Conor Lamb, Official Portrait, 115th Congress (cropped).jpg
U.S. Representative Conor Lamb finished second in the primary.
State representative Malcolm Kenyatta finished third in the primary. Malcolm Kenyatta alt crop.jpg
State representative Malcolm Kenyatta finished third in the primary.
Jenkintown borough councilor Alexandra Khalil finished fourth in the primary. Alexandra Khalil on The D-Train with Darren DeVoue (cropped).jpg
Jenkintown borough councilor Alexandra Khalil finished fourth in the primary.

Campaign

The first two major Democratic candidates were Lieutenant Governor of Pennsylvania John Fetterman and state representative Malcolm Kenyatta. [136] Both Fetterman and Kenyatta were considered to be staunchly progressive Democrats, but the two men were felt to appeal to different demographics. [136] By July 2021, Fetterman was considered the frontrunner as a result of his high name recognition and strong fundraising. [137] U.S. Representative Conor Lamb, a political moderate, entered the race on August 6, 2021. [138] [139]

As the campaign progressed, Lamb and Fetterman became the two most prominent candidates, with Kenyatta and Montgomery County Commissioner Val Arkoosh also receiving media attention. Fetterman had maintained his frontrunner status as of December, and the other three contenders were viewed as mainly competing with each other in order to claim the anti-Fetterman mantle. [140] On February 4, 2022, Arkoosh withdrew from the race, her campaign having previously suffered from poor poll results and low support from party activists, leaving Kenyatta as the only major candidate from the Philadelphia region. [141] Both Kenyatta and Lamb were considered to have a good chance at picking up voters who had previously supported Arkoosh, Lamb for ideological reasons and Kenyatta for geographical ones. [141]

In addition to Fetterman, Kenyatta, and Lamb, two minor candidates also made the Democratic primary ballot, namely Kevin Baumlin, a hospital physician, and Alexandra Khalil, a municipal official. Baumlin withdrew from the race on March 31, leaving only Khalil in addition to the three major candidates. [142]

Lamb received the assistance of the “Penn Progress” Super PAC, [143] [144] which spent the entirety of its funds in support of Lamb's campaign. [145] Lamb worked closely with the Super PAC, and participated in donor calls it arranged. [146] [147] The Penn Progress Super PAC bankrolled TV ads which sought to portray Fetterman as a "self-described democratic socialist." Within a day of airing, PolitiFact and Factcheck.org called the attack ad false, [148] The Philadelphia Inquirer commented that Fetterman had never actually described himself that way, [149] the ABC affiliate in Philadelphia stopped broadcasting the ad, [150] and Senator Elizabeth Warren called on Lamb to disavow it. [151]

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Disqualified

  • Kael Dougherty, data operations associate [158]
  • Larry Johnson, attorney [159]
  • Alan Shank, retail worker [160]
  • Walter Sluzynsky, postal worker [161]
  • Lew Tapera, retail worker [162]

Withdrew

Declined

Debates

2022 Pennsylvania Senate election Democratic primary debates
No.DateHostModeratorLinkParticipants
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Non-invitee  I Invitee  W  Withdrawn
John FettermanMalcolm KenyattaConor Lamb
1Apr. 3, 2022 Muhlenberg College Becky Corbin
Jenny DeHuff
Ari Mittleman		 Video A [w] PP
2Apr. 21, 2022 Nexstar/WHTM-TV Dennis Owens
Lisa Sylvester 		Video PPP

Endorsements

Val Arkoosh (withdrawn)

State senators

State representatives

Organizations

John Fetterman

Local officials

Labor unions

Organizations

Newspapers and other media

Individuals

Malcolm Kenyatta

U.S. Representatives

State representatives

Local officials

Labor unions

Organizations

Political parties

Individuals

Conor Lamb

U.S. Representatives

State senators

State representatives

Local officials

Labor unions

Organizations

Newspapers and other media

Individuals

Declined to endorse

Statewide officials

Organizations

Polling

Graphical summary

Source of poll
aggregation		Dates
administered		Dates
updated		John
Fetterman		Malcolm
Kenyatta		Conor
Lamb		Other
[b] 		Margin
Real Clear Politics [225] March 26 – May 1, 2022May 5, 202243.0%6.0%12.0%39.0%Fetterman +31.0
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Val
Arkoosh		John
Fetterman		Malcolm
Kenyatta		Conor
Lamb		Sharif
Street		OtherUndecided
Franklin & Marshall College [111] April 20 – May 1, 2022357 (RV)± 6.6%–53%4%14%–6% [y] 22%
Franklin & Marshall College [113] March 30 – April 10, 2022356 (RV)± 6.2%–41%4%17%–9% [z] 26%
GBAO (D) [226] [E] April 5–7, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%–44%17%19%–4% [aa] 15%
Emerson College [117] March 26–28, 2022471 (LV)± 4.5%–33%8%10%–12% [ab] 37%
Franklin & Marshall College [120] February 21–27, 2022185 (LV)± 9.9%–28%2%15%–7%50%
Impact Research (D) [227] [F] Early February 2022800 (LV)± 3.5%3%47%7%17%5%8%13%
February 4, 2022Arkoosh withdraws from the race
Data for Progress (D) [228] [E] January 26–31, 2022730 (LV)± 4.0%4%46%12%16%––22%
January 19, 2022Street withdraws from the race
GQR Research (D) [229] [G] December 14–16, 2021600 (LV)± 4.0%6%44%20%15%–2%12%
GBAO (D) [230] [E] November 16–23, 2021800 (LV)± 3.5%5%42%15%16%––21%
Civiqs (D) [126] October 31 – November 5, 2021929 (LV)± 3.2%2%52%5%12%2%6%21%
Franklin & Marshall College [127] October 18–24, 2021208 (RV)± 8.2%4%34%5%12%5%3%37%
Franklin & Marshall College [129] August 9–15, 2021175 (RV)± 10.2%6%33%5%12%0%3%42%
Data for Progress (D) [231] [E] May 7–14, 2021302 (LV)± 6.0%5%40%9%21%2%8% [ac] 14%

Results

Fetterman won the Democratic primary by a landslide, winning all 67 counties in Pennsylvania, with Lamb in second place. Lamb's loss was attributed by Vanity Fair to numerous reasons, such as his not being known to voters in the Delaware Valley region of eastern Pennsylvania, where the majority of Democratic voters were located, while in contrast Fetterman's position as lieutenant governor gave him statewide name recognition. In addition, the far more contested Republican primary had consumed media attention that Lamb might have otherwise used to gain more name recognition. [232] Fetterman was also widely considered to have run an effective populist campaign, with The Atlantic noting that his campaign focused on the issues of "workers, wages and weed". [233]

Results by county Fetterman 30-40% 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% 2022 United States Senate Democratic primary election in Pennsylvania results map by county.svg
Results by county
  Fetterman
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
Democratic primary results [131]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic John Fetterman 753,557 58.65%
Democratic Conor Lamb 337,49826.27%
Democratic Malcolm Kenyatta 139,39310.85%
Democratic Alexandria Khalil54,4604.24%
Total votes1,284,908 100.0%

Libertarian convention

Libertarian nominee Erik Gerhardt ErikGerhardt (cropped).png
Libertarian nominee Erik Gerhardt

The Libertarian Party nominee qualified for the general election ballot on August 1. [234] [235]

Candidates

Nominee

  • Erik Gerhardt, carpenter, small business owner, and candidate for president in 2020 [236] [237]

Withdrew

Green convention

The Green Party nominee qualified for the general election ballot on August 1. [234] [235]

Candidates

Nominee

Independents and other parties

Candidates

Qualified for ballot

Declared write-in

Withdrew

General election

Campaign

Fetterman's campaign framed Oz as a wealthy outsider who lived outside of Pennsylvania before 2020, including by airing ads that note his past residency in New Jersey. Fetterman also flew banners and published social media posts described by The Hill and The Washington Post as "trolling" his opponent. In one post, Fetterman started a petition to get Oz inducted to the New Jersey Hall of Fame. [251] In response to the carpetbagging criticisms, Oz said during the primary debate that Pennsylvanians "care much more about what I stand for than where I'm from". [252]

Oz's campaign criticized Fetterman for being inactive since he suffered a stroke in May and made an issue of Fetterman's health. [253] [254] [255] In September, Oz published his medical records, which prompted Fetterman to state he was medically cleared to serve in the Senate. [256] [257] [258] Oz's campaign also framed Fetterman as a socialist, highlighting his endorsement of Bernie Sanders in 2016. Fetterman countered that he has differences in policy proposals with Sanders in issues such as fracking. [259] [260]

Fetterman's refusal to debate Oz until late October was criticized by Oz's campaign. [261] [262] Fetterman attributed the delay in debating to lingering issues from his stroke and his team criticized debate concessions from Oz's team for allegedly mocking Fetterman's stroke recovery. [263] [264] A single debate was held on October 25. [263]

Crudités video

On August 15, 2022, an April 2022 campaign video of Oz shopping in a Redner's Warehouse supermarket went viral. [265] In the video, Oz says he is shopping for produce to make crudités and attributes the high prices to Democratic president Joe Biden.

The video was widely ridiculed on social media and was the subject of several news articles. Most observers focused on Oz's usage of the French term "crudités", his choice of items, and several factual errors; Fetterman himself replied saying that Pennsylvanians refer to crudités as "veggie trays". [266] [267] Oz's choice of a raw head of broccoli, asparagus, and multiple pounds of carrots, with guacamole and salsa, was criticized as wrong by some. [268] Others expressed confusion at Oz's statement that the $20 cost of the vegetables and dips "doesn't even include the tequila", as tequila is not a traditional accompaniment to crudités and liquor is not sold in grocery stores in Pennsylvania. [266] Many observers noted Oz quoted the wrong price tag for the salsa and falsely suggested the broccoli was $2 per head when it was $2 per pound. [269]

The number of internet searches for crudités dramatically increased in the aftermath of the video's circulation. Oz appearing to confuse the Redner's and Wegmans supermarket chains led to the name "Wegner's" trending on Twitter and a parody Twitter account called "Wegner's Groceries" gaining popularity. [266] The Fetterman campaign sought to capitalize on the video by introducing merchandise referencing it. [270] When asked if the video made him unrelatable to voters, Oz emphasized he helped others throughout his career and would continue to help if elected. [271]

Debate

In the October 25 debate, a special arrangement of transcription monitors was put in place to assist Fetterman with his auditory processing issue. According to the Associated Press, Fetterman "struggled at times to explain his positions and often spoke haltingly", with Fetterman facing issues completing sentences and frequently pausing after questions were asked. Oz was described as being "more at home on the debate stage" and presented himself as a moderate Republican, and did not reference Fetterman's health condition. Independent health experts said that Fetterman was recovering "remarkably well". [272] Fetterman particularly struggled answering a question regarding his previous opposition to fracking by stating he always supported fracking, while Oz answered a question on abortion by saying that the federal government should have no role in states' abortion decisions, instead leaving abortion decisions to "women, doctors, [and] local political leaders". [273] [274] [275] [276]

According to Politico and The Guardian , Fetterman "struggled" during the debate, and some Democrats questioned why he chose to debate at all. [277] [278] After the debate, the Fetterman campaign claimed that the closed captioning system provided by Nexstar Media Group gave incorrect and slow captions. Nexstar denied the claims, arguing the captioning "worked as expected" and that the Fetterman team had had the opportunity for two rehearsals with the equipment and opted to only do one. [279]

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [280] TossupOctober 4, 2022
Inside Elections [281] TossupAugust 25, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball [282] Lean RNovember 7, 2022
Politico [283] TossupJune 8, 2022
RCP [284] TossupAugust 14, 2022
Fox News [285] TossupOctober 25, 2022
DDHQ [286] TossupOctober 15, 2022
538 [287] TossupNovember 7, 2022
The Economist [288] TossupNovember 1, 2022

Debates

2022 United States Senate general election in Pennsylvania debates
No.DateHostModeratorLink Republican Democratic
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Non-invitee  I Invitee  W  Withdrawn
Mehmet OzJohn Fetterman
1Oct. 25, 2022 Nexstar/WHTM-TV Dennis Owens
Lisa Sylvester		 YouTube PP

Endorsements

Mehmet Oz (R)

U.S. Presidents

Executive branch officials

U.S. Senators

U.S. Representatives

Statewide officials

State senators

State representatives

Local officials

Party officials

Labor unions

Organizations

Newspapers and other media

Individuals

John Fetterman (D)

U.S. Presidents

Executive Branch officials

Statewide officials

U.S. Senators

U.S. Representatives

State senators

State representatives

Local officials

Labor unions

Organizations

Newspapers

Individuals

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation		Dates
administered		Dates
updated		Mehmet
Oz (R)		John
Fetterman (D)		Other
[b] 		Margin
Real Clear Politics [407] October 24 – November 3, 2022November 7, 202247.2%46.8%6.0%Oz +0.4%
FiveThirtyEight [408] December 3, 2021 – November 7, 2022November 7, 202247.4%46.9%5.7%Oz +0.5%
270towin [409] November 3–4, 2022November 4, 202246.8%46.5%6.7%Oz +0.3%
Average47.1%46.7%6.2%Oz +0.4%

Graphical summary

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Mehmet
Oz (R)		John
Fetterman (D)		OtherUndecided
Research Co. [410] November 4–6, 2022450 (LV)± 4.6%46%47%2% [ad] 5%
Targoz Market Research [411] November 2–6, 2022631 (LV)± 3.8%51%46%3% [ae] –
InsiderAdvantage (R) [412] November 3, 2022750 (LV)± 3.6%48%46%4% [af] 3%
The Trafalgar Group (R) [413] November 1–3, 20221,097 (LV)± 2.9%48%46%3%4%
Remington Research Group (R) [414] November 1–2, 20221,180 (LV)± 2.8%47%44%4% [ag] 5%
Marist College [415] October 31 – November 2, 20221,152 (RV)± 3.8%44%50%1% [ah] 5%
1,021 (LV)± 4.0%45%51%1% [ah] 4%
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) [416] October 28 – November 1, 2022700 (LV)± 3.7%48%47%2% [ai] 4%
Emerson College [417] October 28–31, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%48%46%3% [aj] 4%
48%47%4% [ak] –
Suffolk University [418] October 27–30, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%45%47%1% [al] 7%
Fox News [419] October 26–30, 20221,005 (RV)± 3.0%42%45%6% [am] 6%
Big Data Poll (R) [420] October 27–28, 20221,005 (LV)± 3.0%48%46%3%2%
co/efficient (R) [421] October 26–28, 20221,716 (LV)± 3.4%48%45%4% [an] 2%
Muhlenberg College [422] October 24–28, 2022460 (LV)± 6.0%47%47%3% [ao] 2%
Wick Insights (R) [423] October 26–27, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.2%48%46%4% [an] 3%
InsiderAdvantage (R) [424] October 26, 2022750 (LV)± 3.6%48%45%4% [ap] 4%
Siena Research/NYT [425] October 24–26, 2022620 (LV)± 4.4%44%49%<1% [aq] 6%
YouGov/CBS News [426] October 21–24, 20221,084 (LV)± 4.1%49%51%1% [ar] –
Franklin & Marshall College [427] October 14–23, 2022620 (RV)± 5.3%40%45%4% [as] 11%
384 (LV)± 6.8%45%49%––
Rasmussen Reports (R) [428] October 19–20, 2022972 (LV)± 3.0%43%45%6% [at] 6%
Echelon Insights [429] October 18–20, 2022500 (LV)± 4.8%43%46%4% [au] 7%
InsiderAdvantage (R) [430] October 19, 2022550 (LV)± 4.2%46%46%3% [av] 5%
CNN/SSRS [431] October 13–17, 2022901 (RV)± 4.1%41%52%6% [aw] –
703 (LV)± 4.6%45%51%3% [ax] –
Wick Insights (R) [432] October 8–14, 20221,013 (LV)± 3.1%49%45%3% [ay] 3%
Patriot Polling (R) [433] October 10–12, 2022857 (RV)–48%46%–7%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) [434] October 4–12, 20221,400 (LV)± 4.4%46%48%2% [az] 4%
The Trafalgar Group (R) [435] [H] October 8–11, 20221,078 (LV)± 2.9%45%47%4% [ba] 4%
Center Street PAC (D) [436] [I] September 29–30, 2022971 (RV)± 3.5%34%50%–16%
568 (LV)36%55%–9%
Suffolk University [437] September 27–30, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%40%46%3% [bb] 11%
Emerson College [438] September 23–26, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%43%45%5% [bc] 8%
Fox News [439] September 22–26, 20221,008 (RV)± 3.0%41%45%7% [bd] 7%
827 (LV)± 3.0%44%48%3% [be] 5%
Franklin & Marshall College [440] September 19–25, 2022517 (RV)± 5.6%42%45%–13%
InsiderAdvantage (R) [441] September 23–24, 2022550 (LV)± 4.2%42%45%6% [bf] 8%
Marist College [442] September 19–22, 20221,242 (RV)± 3.5%41%51%<1% [bg] 7%
1,043 (LV)± 3.8%44%51%–4%
The Phillips Academy Poll [443] September 16–19, 2022759 (RV)± 3.6%45%47%–9%
Muhlenberg College [444] September 13–16, 2022420 (LV)± 6.0%44%49%5% [bh] 2%
The Trafalgar Group (R) [445] September 13–15, 20221,078 (LV)± 2.9%46%48%4% [bi] 2%
YouGov/CBS News [446] September 6–12, 20221,194 (RV)± 3.8%47%52%–1%
Echelon Insights [447] August 31 – September 7, 2022828 (RV)± 4.1%36%57%–7%
RABA Research [448] August 31 – September 3, 2022679 (LV)± 3.8%40%49%3% [ay] 8%
Kurt Jetta (D) [449] [I] August 31 – September 1, 20221,012 (RV)± 3.5%33%51%–15%
616 (LV)36%55%–9%
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) [450] August 22–29, 2022718 (LV)± 3.7%44%49%2%5%
Emerson College [451] August 22–23, 20221,034 (LV)± 3.0%44%48%3%5%
Franklin & Marshall College [452] August 15–21, 2022522 (RV)± 5.3%36%45%9% [bj] 10%
The Trafalgar Group (R) [453] August 15–18, 20221,096 (LV)± 2.9%44%48%4% [bk] 5%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [454] August 7–10, 2022600 (RV)± 4.0%36%52%–11%
Kurt Jetta (D) [455] [I] July 29 – August 1, 20221,206 (A)± 2.8%30%47%–23%
997 (RV)± 3.1%32%48%–20%
516 (LV)± 4.3%38%52%–10%
Fox News [456] July 22–26, 2022908 (RV)± 3.0%36%47%5% [bl] 11%
PEM Management Corporation (R) [457] [J] July 22–24, 2022300 (LV)± 5.7%38%44%4%15%
Blueprint Polling (D) [458] July 19–21, 2022712 (LV)± 3.7%40%49%–12%
Beacon Research (D) [459] [K] July 5–20, 20221,012 (RV)± 3.1%34%47%1%13%
609 (LV)± 4.0%39%50%2%9%
Global Strategy Group (D) [460] [L] July 14–19, 20221,200 (LV)± 2.9%40%51%–9%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) [461] June 12–19, 20221,382 (LV)± 4.4%44%50%–6%
Cygnal (R) [462] June 16–17, 2022535 (LV)± 4.2%44%48%–8%
Suffolk University [463] June 10–13, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%37%46%3% [bm] 13%
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) [450] ~May 10, 2022– (LV)–33%51%–16%
Data for Progress (D) [464] [E] December 3–5, 2021581 (LV)± 4.0%42%44%–13%
Hypothetical polling

Jeff Bartos vs. John Fetterman

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Jeff
Bartos (R)		John
Fetterman (D)		Undecided
Garin-Hart-Yang (D) [465] [M] May 10–19, 2021450 (LV)± 4.7%36%45%19%
Data for Progress (D) [466] [E] May 7–14, 2021310 (LV)± 5.6%38%48%14%

Jeff Bartos vs. Conor Lamb

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Jeff
Bartos (R)		Conor
Lamb (D)		Undecided
Data for Progress (D) [466] [E] May 7–14, 2021341 (LV)± 5.3%42%43%15%

Sean Parnell vs. John Fetterman

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Sean
Parnell (R)		John
Fetterman (D)		Undecided
Garin-Hart-Yang (D) [465] [M] May 10–19, 2021450 (LV)± 4.7%42%42%16%
Data for Progress (D) [466] [E] May 7–14, 2021310 (LV)± 5.6%40%48%12%

Sean Parnell vs. Conor Lamb

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Sean
Parnell (R)		Conor
Lamb (D)		Undecided
Data for Progress (D) [466] [E] May 7–14, 2021341 (LV)± 5.3%44%42%14%

Results

Fetterman won the election by 4.9 percentage points, and was declared the winner in the early hours of November 9. The early victory came as a shock to many pundits, as the race was expected to take several days to project a winner; [467] the race was one of the first signs of the coming Democratic overperformance relative to the final polls in the midterms writ large.[ citation needed ] Oz underperformed former Republican president Donald Trump's performance in the 2020 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania by 3.7 percentage points, while overperforming Republican nominee Doug Mastriano in the concurrent gubernatorial race by 10 percentage points. As a result of this election, Democrats would be elected to both U.S. Senate seats from Pennsylvania for the first time since 1947, and from this seat since 1962. [bn] According to Ron Brownstein of CNN in 2023, Fetterman won independent voters by double-digit margins, which contributed to Oz's defeat. [468]

2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania [469]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic John Fetterman 2,751,012 51.25% +3.91%
Republican Mehmet Oz 2,487,26046.33%−2.44%
Libertarian Erik Gerhardt72,8871.36%−2.53%
Green Richard L. Weiss30,4340.57%N/A
Keystone Dan Wassmer26,4280.49%N/A
Total votes5,368,021 100.0% N/A
Democratic gain from Republican

By county

By county
County [470] John Fetterman
Democratic 		Mehmet Oz
Republican 		Erik Gerhardt
Libertarian 		Richard Weiss
Green 		Dan Wassmer
Keystone 		MarginTotal
votes
#%#%#%#%#%#%
Adams 16,09634.6829,03962.567041.522890.622910.63-12,943-27.8846,419
Allegheny 363,87363.42200,63234.975,1900.902,3430.411,6710.29163,24128.45573,709
Armstrong 8,06528.3819,57568.894651.641310.461770.62-11,510-40.5128,413
Beaver 32,69244.5138,77252.791,1431.564100.564260.58-6,080-8.2873,443
Bedford 3,79617.0717,95480.722611.171010.451290.58-14,158-63.6622,241
Berks 71,34946.0878,01950.393,3152.141,1490.749920.64-6,670-4.31154,824
Blair 14,76329.4034,21468.136271.252950.593210.64-19,451-38.7350,220
Bradford 6,63228.2416,03368.284501.921620.692040.87-9,401-40.0423,481
Bucks 164,53652.35141,34044.974,6331.472,1450.681,6570.5323,1967.38314,311
Butler 33,92136.3457,16861.251,3461.444140.444860.52-23,247-24.9193,335
Cambria 18,84933.4535,84763.628681.543650.654190.74-16,998-30.1756,348
Cameron 54729.001,24766.12462.44191.01271.43-700-37.121,886
Carbon 9,68236.9115,65959.695592.131600.611720.66-5,977-22.7826,232
Centre 32,59752.5227,90244.968341.343720.603560.574,6957.5662,061
Chester 147,55957.20104,02040.323,5861.391,5790.611,2190.4743,53916.88257,963
Clarion 4,32728.1510,62069.092381.55910.59950.62-6,293-40.9415,371
Clearfield 8,53327.1821,94869.904891.561930.612360.75-13,415-42.7231,399
Clinton 4,75033.898,79162.722191.56960.681611.15-4,041-28.8314,017
Columbia 9,02336.4614,83059.935182.091760.711980.80-5,807-23.4724,745
Crawford 11,08133.5520,99263.555751.741870.571980.60-9,911-30.0033,033
Cumberland 53,27845.9659,66351.471,7831.545890.516140.53-6,385-5.51115,927
Dauphin 61,59953.8250,14143.811,5031.315930.526100.5311,45810.01114,446
Delaware 157,59962.8787,32234.843,4541.381,4830.598090.3270,27728.04250,667
Elk 4,06629.869,12867.022251.65850.621150.84-5,062-37.1713,619
Erie 56,40453.3546,50743.981,5541.477020.665670.549,8979.36105,734
Fayette 17,73137.8728,23460.304380.941960.422250.48-10,503-22.4346,824
Forest 69431.811,43465.72271.24170.78100.46-740-33.912,182
Franklin 18,71828.7044,81968.728451.304200.644180.64-26,101-40.0265,220
Fulton 95315.265,17182.79741.18180.29300.48-4,218-67.536,246
Greene 4,39433.578,34863.771601.221050.80840.64-3,954-30.2013,091
Huntingdon 4,66525.5413,03571.372861.571350.741430.78-8,370-45.8318,264
Indiana 11,21834.2520,76963.413981.221790.551910.58-9,551-29.1632,755
Jefferson 4,13523.2513,13973.872931.65980.551210.68-9,004-50.6217,786
Juniata 2,11121.707,26574.681761.81550.571211.24-5,154-52.989,728
Lackawanna 50,48956.7736,53441.081,0201.154410.504590.5213,95515.6988,943
Lancaster 94,63242.14124,79855.583,2721.461,1470.516990.31-30,166-13.43224,548
Lawrence 13,75838.0021,53159.475111.411890.522170.60-7,773-21.4736,206
Lebanon 19,69534.8635,02362.001,1071.963180.563480.62-15,328-27.1356,491
Lehigh 73,09653.6359,21943.452,2691.669580.707590.5613,87710.18136,301
Luzerne 51,50444.2861,97853.281,6621.436630.575160.44-10,474-9.00116,323
Lycoming 13,57329.3631,17167.428821.913050.663020.65-17,598-38.0646,233
McKean 4,13528.2210,07668.772141.46950.651310.89-5,941-40.5514,651
Mercer 17,08037.6627,04959.646731.482790.622710.60-9,969-21.9845,352
Mifflin 3,96523.6212,26373.062781.661140.681650.98-8,298-49.4416,785
Monroe 30,25151.5126,74645.549891.684500.772940.503,5055.9758,730
Montgomery 260,20763.01143,07734.655,4161.312,5020.611,7520.42117,13028.36412,954
Montour 3,21341.024,32855.251541.97570.73811.03-1,115-14.237,833
Northampton 66,56551.2159,86046.051,9491.509190.716940.536,7055.16129,987
Northumberland 10,81232.8720,99263.825831.772410.732670.81-10,180-30.9532,895
Perry 5,64627.9113,95668.983921.941110.551260.62-8,310-41.0820,231
Philadelphia 412,84182.7178,40815.713,7180.742,5320.511,6520.33334,43367.00499,151
Pike 9,82138.9814,79258.712931.161480.591420.56-4,971-19.7325,196
Potter 1,41519.915,48677.181201.69400.56470.66-4,071-57.277,108
Schuylkill 17,95432.4035,29363.691,2142.194570.824950.89-17,339-31.2955,413
Snyder 4,22027.5210,65769.492391.56890.581310.85-6,437-41.9715,336
Somerset 7,66023.5523,96473.675231.611900.581910.59-16,304-50.1232,528
Sullivan 86928.812,02367.08652.16311.03280.93-1,154-38.263,016
Susquehanna 5,24530.3011,52066.552691.551280.741490.86-6,275-36.2517,311
Tioga 4,10324.6711,98872.082811.691360.821240.75-7,885-47.4116,632
Union 6,24938.839,40158.412101.301270.791070.66-3,152-19.5816,094
Venango 6,77732.5013,40664.293851.851260.601600.77-6,629-31.7920,854
Warren 5,42033.6810,17563.232431.511180.731360.85-4,755-29.5516,092
Washington 39,68442.2952,33755.771,0831.153220.344100.44-12,653-13.4893,836
Wayne 7,66933.7714,42563.513441.511400.621340.59-6,756-29.7522,712
Westmoreland 66,24039.4398,23858.472,0571.226780.407960.47-31,998-19.04168,009
Wyoming 4,05934.467,33862.302151.83750.64920.78-3,279-27.8411,779
York 71,92938.56109,63158.772,9751.599560.511,0600.57-37,702-20.21186,551
Totals2,751,01251.252,487,26046.3372,8871.3630,4340.5726,4280.49263,7524.915,368,021

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Fetterman won 10 of 17 congressional districts, including one that elected a Republican. [471]

DistrictOzFettermanRepresentative
1st 45%52% Brian Fitzpatrick
2nd 26%72% Brendan Boyle
3rd 8%90% Dwight Evans
4th 38%60% Madeleine Dean
5th 32%65% Mary Gay Scanlon
6th 41%56% Chrissy Houlahan
7th 46%51% Susan Wild
8th 48%49% Matt Cartwright
9th 63%33% Dan Meuser
10th 49%48% Scott Perry
11th 58%40% Lloyd Smucker
12th 35%63% Mike Doyle (117th Congress)
Summer Lee (118th Congress)
13th 68%29% John Joyce
14th 60%38% Guy Reschenthaler
15th 64%33% Glenn Thompson
16th 55%42% Mike Kelly
17th 42%56% Conor Lamb (117th Congress)
Chris Deluzio (118th Congress)

Voter demographics

Voter demographic data for 2022 was collected by CNN. The voter survey is based on exit polls completed by 2,660 voters in person as well as by phone. [472]

2022 United States Senate election voter demographics in Pennsylvania (CNN) [472]
Demographic subgroupFettermanOz % of
total vote
Ideology
Liberals 92625
Moderates 643441
Conservatives 99134
Party
Democrats 94537
Republicans 109040
Independents 583824
Gender
Men445450
Women574150
Marital status
Married475364
Unmarried603736
Gender by marital status
Married men425736
Married women524828
Unmarried men524314
Unmarried women653421
Race/ethnicity
White 455382
Black 9188
Latino 68308
White voters by gender
White men395941
White women514840
Age
18–24 years old72257
25–29 years old68315
30–39 years old603713
40–49 years old504911
50–64 years old455429
65 and older465334
2020 presidential vote
Biden 93648
Trump 89245
First time midterm election voter
Yes623412
No495088
Education
Never attended college 366324
Some college education564121
Associate degree 484914
Bachelor's degree 524723
Advanced degree663218
Education by race
White college graduates564335
White no college degree386047
Non-white college graduates74256
Non-white no college degree792012
Education by gender/race
White women with college degrees623717
White women without college degrees445524
White men with college degrees504918
White men without college degrees326623
Non-white772218
Issue regarded as most important
Crime 514911
Abortion 782137
Inflation 277228
Feelings about Roe v. Wade being overturned
Enthusiastic/satisfied108938
Dissatisfied/angry791959
Abortion should be
Legal762262
Illegal108834

See also

Notes

  1. ↑ Democrats held both of Pennsylvania's Senate seats from 2009 to 2011 when Arlen Specter, who was elected as a Republican, switched to the Democratic Party.
  2. 1 2 3 Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  3. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  4. ↑ Bochetto and Gale with 2%
  5. ↑ Bochetto with 1%, Gale with 0%
  6. ↑ Bochetto, Gale, and "Other" with 1%
  7. 1 2 3 4 5 Bochetto with 1%
  8. 1 2 Bochetto and Gale with 1%
  9. ↑ Gale with 2%, Bochetto and "Other" (volunteered response) with 1%
  10. ↑ "Someone else" with 5%, Gale with 1%, Bochetto with 0%
  11. ↑ Bochetto with 3%, Gale with 1%
  12. ↑ "Someone else" with 6%, Bochetto with 2%, Gale with 0%
  13. ↑ Bochetto and Gale with ≤1%
  14. ↑ Bochetto with 4%, Gale with 3%
  15. ↑ Bochetto with 2%, Gale with 1%
  16. ↑ Bochetto, Stern, and "Other" (volunteered response) with 1%
  17. ↑ Bochetto, Gale, and Stern with 2%
  18. ↑ "Another Candidate" with 11%, Gale with 1%
  19. ↑ Gale with 4%; Jeffries with 2%; Xu with 1%; Stern with 0%
  20. ↑ Gale with 2%
  21. ↑ "Someone else" with 3%, Gale with 0%
  22. ↑ "Someone else" with 7%, Gale with 3%
  23. ↑ Fetterman was invited to the debate, but declined to attend
  24. ↑ Conor Lamb received the most delegate votes of 169, but failed to reach the self-imposed threshold of a two-thirds majority vote, meaning that no candidate received the endorsement of the Pennsylvania Democratic Party.
  25. ↑ "Someone else" with 4%; Baumlin and Khalil with 1%
  26. ↑ "Someone else" with 9%; Baumlin and Khalil with 0%
  27. ↑ Khalil with 4%
  28. ↑ Baumlin with 9%; Khalil with 3%
  29. ↑ Houlahan with 8%
  30. ↑ "Some other candidate" with 2%
  31. ↑ Gerhardt (L) with 2%; "All others" with 1%
  32. ↑ Gerhardt (L) with 2%; "Someone else" with 2%
  33. ↑ Gerhardt (L) with 2%; Weiss (G) with 1%; "Someone else" with 1%
  34. 1 2 "Another party's candidate" with 1%
  35. ↑ "Other" with 1%; "Refuse" with 1%
  36. ↑ Gerhardt (L) with 2%, Weiss (G) with 1%; Wassmer (K) with <1%; "Someone else" with <1%
  37. ↑ Gerhardt (L) with 2%, Weiss (G) with 1%; Wassmer (K) with <1%; "Someone else" with 2%
  38. ↑ Gerhardt (L) with 1%; Wassmer (K) with <1%; Weiss (G) with <1%
  39. ↑ Stern (I, WI) with 4%; "Other" with 1%; "Wouldn't vote" with 1%
  40. 1 2 "Someone else" with 4%
  41. ↑ "Neither/Other" with 3%
  42. ↑ Gerhardt (L) with 3%, "Someone else" with 1%
  43. ↑ Gerhardt (L) with <1%; Weiss (G) with <1%
  44. ↑ "Someone else" with 1%
  45. ↑ "Some other candidate" with 2%; "Not going to vote" with 1%; Gerhardt (L) with 1%
  46. ↑ "Some other candidate" with 6%
  47. ↑ Gerhardt (L) with 2%; Weiss (G) and Wassmer (K) with 1%
  48. ↑ Gerhardt (L) with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
  49. ↑ "Neither" with 5%; "Other" with 1%
  50. ↑ "Neither" with 2%; "Other" with 1%
  51. 1 2 "Someone else" with 3%
  52. ↑ "Other" with 2%
  53. ↑ Gerhardt (L) with 3%; "Other" with 1%
  54. ↑ Gerhardt (L) with 2%; Wassmer (K) with 1%; Weiss (G) with <1%
  55. ↑ "Someone else" with 5%
  56. ↑ Stern (I, W/I) with 3%, "other" with 1%, and 3% "wouldn't vote,"
  57. ↑ Stern (I, W/I) with 2%, "other" with 1%
  58. ↑ Gerhardt (L) with 2%; "Someone else" with 4%
  59. ↑ "Another party's candidate" with <1%
  60. ↑ "Neither/Other" with 5%
  61. ↑ Gerhardt (L) and "Other" with 4%
  62. ↑ "Some other candidate" with 4%; Gerhardt (L) with 3%; Wassmer (K) and Weiss (G) with 1%
  63. ↑ Gerhardt (L) and "Other" with 2%
  64. ↑ Stern (I, WI) with 3%; "other" (volunteered response) with 2%
  65. ↑ Gerhardt (L), Magee (I, W/I), Stern (I, WI), and Weiss (G) with 1%; Johnson (C) and "someone else" with <1%
  66. ↑ Democrats briefly held both of Pennsylvania's Senate seats from 2009 to 2011 when Arlen Specter, who was elected as a Republican to this seat, switched to the Democratic Party.

Partisan clients

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Poll sponsored by Honor Pennsylvania PAC, which supports McCormick.
  2. ↑ Poll sponsored by Oz's campaign.
  3. ↑ Poll sponsored by McCormick's campaign.
  4. ↑ Poll sponsored by Parnell's campaign.
  5. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Poll sponsored by Fetterman's campaign.
  6. ↑ Poll sponsored by pro-Lamb super PAC Penn Progress.
  7. ↑ Poll sponsored by Kenyatta's campaign.
  8. ↑ This poll was sponsored by The Daily Wire
  9. 1 2 3 This poll was sponsored by Center Street PAC, which opposes Oz
  10. ↑ This poll was conducted for John Bolton Super PAC
  11. ↑ This poll was sponsored by the Environmental Voter Project
  12. ↑ This poll was sponsored by EDF Action and NRDC Action Fund
  13. 1 2 Poll sponsored by Collective PAC.

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  106. ↑ Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)
  107. ↑ Osage Research (R)
  108. ↑ InsiderAdvantage (R)
  109. ↑ The Trafalgar Group (R)
  110. ↑ Fox News
  111. 1 2 Franklin & Marshall College
  112. ↑ The Trafalgar Group (R)
  113. 1 2 Franklin & Marshall College
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  115. ↑ Emerson College
  116. 1 2 3 4 Public Opinion Strategies (R)
  117. 1 2 Emerson College
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  120. 1 2 Franklin & Marshall College
  121. ↑ McLaughlin & Associates (R)
  122. 1 2 Osage Research (R)
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  124. ↑ The Trafalgar Group (R)
  125. ↑ Echelon Insights (R)
  126. 1 2 Civiqs (D)
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  300. ↑ Bassett, Laura (November 7, 2022). "Susan Collins Pops into Pennsylvania to Campaign with Dr. Oz". Yahoo! News. Yahoo. Retrieved November 6, 2022.
  301. ↑ "Dr. Oz: Independents, conservative Dems are turning against John Fetterman". Fox News . September 11, 2022. Retrieved October 10, 2022.
  302. ↑ Stein, Linda (September 11, 2022). "Oz Revives Fainting Woman at DelVal Campaign Rally". Delaware Valley Journal. Retrieved September 29, 2022.
  303. ↑ Marshall, Roger (November 6, 2022). "Sen. Roger Marshall: Dr. Oz would represent Pennsylvanians well in the U.S. Senate". Broad & Liberty. Retrieved November 7, 2022.
  304. ↑ "Pennsylvania Senate matchup set, but Democrat remains sidelined". Roll Call . June 7, 2022. Retrieved June 11, 2022.
  305. 1 2 "Chairman Rick Scott Statement on Dr. Oz's Primary Victory". National Republican Senatorial Committee (Press release). June 4, 2022. Retrieved June 4, 2022.
  306. ↑ "Toomey Will Support Dr. Oz". The Dispatch. July 27, 2022. Retrieved July 27, 2022.
  307. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 "Dr. Oz Endorsed by PA GOP Congress Members". Delaware Valley Journal. June 14, 2022.
  308. ↑ "Sean Hannity brings show to York, uses it to boost Oz campaign". PA PennLive . October 20, 2022.
  309. 1 2 "Former President Trump Holds Pennsylvania Rally for Dr. Oz". C-SPAN . May 9, 2022.
  310. ↑ "Where is the Trump rally today? Oz to speak at Trump rally in Pennsylvania". ABC 27 . May 6, 2022.
  311. ↑ "Chris Christie ribs Dr. Oz about New Jersey". Salon . September 23, 2022.
  312. ↑ "Florida of the north? Mastriano's vision for Pa. shared alongside DeSantis in Pittsburgh". Erie Times-News . August 19, 2022.
  313. ↑ "Ex NY Gov George Pataki: Fetterman is Way to the Left of Biden; Vote Dr. Oz". YouTube. September 12, 2022.
  314. 1 2 O'Boyle, Billy (August 18, 2022). "Oz, in Avenue Diner visit, predicts GOP to retake Congress in November". Times Leader. Retrieved October 3, 2022.
  315. ↑ Haskins, Elaine (August 22, 2022). "Area residents turn out to meet U.S. Senate GOP candidate Dr. Mehmet Oz". The Progress Newes. Retrieved September 28, 2022.
  316. ↑ "Oz visits Harrisburg, picks up key endorsement". ABC 27 . March 2, 2022.
  317. 1 2 Fox, Joey (April 13, 2022). "Jersey man returns to Bergen County for U.S. Senate fundraiser". New Jersey Globe. Retrieved September 23, 2022.
  318. 1 2 3 McCune, Jack (November 6, 2022). "Oz makes final Altoona campaign stop at Red Rally breakfast". ABC27. Retrieved November 6, 2022.
  319. 1 2 Waring, Tom (July 16, 2022). "Dr. Oz makes campaign stop at Cannstatter's". North East Times. Retrieved September 22, 2022.
  320. ↑ "Republican US Senate candidate Dr. Mehmet Oz campaigns in Gettysburg". WGAL . March 2, 2022.
  321. ↑ "Philly Democrat Endorses Oz, Calls for Dems to Put Public Safety over Party Affiliation". October 7, 2022.
  322. ↑ Smith, M. J. (November 1, 2022). "Pennsylvania Democrat mayor endorses Dr. Oz, says Fetterman is a 'radical' pipe dream for Dems". BizPac Review. Retrieved November 6, 2022.
  323. ↑ Hicks, Tommy (July 27, 2022). "Tommy Hicks: Pennsylvania needs to elect Dr. Oz to be their U.S. Senator". Broad + Liberty. Retrieved September 23, 2022.
  324. ↑ Shute, Sean (September 2, 2022). "ICYMI: RNC Chair McDaniel: Oz, Not Fetterman Right for PA". The Republican National Committee. Retrieved September 23, 2022.
  325. ↑ Harrison, Courtney (October 4, 2022). "Senate candidate Dr. Oz speaks in Scranton". WNEP. Retrieved October 20, 2022.
  326. ↑ Garris, Tom (October 18, 2022). "Allegheny County FOP lodge announces support for Oz". WTAE. Retrieved October 20, 2022.
  327. ↑ Manchester, Julia (September 28, 2022). "Pennsylvania State Troopers Association endorses Democrat Shapiro, Republican Oz". The Hill . Nexstar Inc. Retrieved September 28, 2022.
  328. ↑ Collins Walsh, Sean (September 26, 2022). "Philly's police union has endorsed Republican Mehmet Oz in the U.S. Senate race". The Philadelphia Inquirer. Retrieved September 29, 2022.
  329. ↑ "AFP Action Endorses Dr. Oz for U.S. Senate". June 16, 2022. Retrieved June 28, 2022.
  330. ↑ "Why You and Other Pennsylvanians should vote for Dr. Oz". The Conservative Caucus. Archived from the original on September 23, 2022. Retrieved September 23, 2022.
  331. ↑ "Pennsylvania". HUCK PAC.
  332. ↑ "Log Cabin Announces Final Round of 2022 Endorsements". Log Cabin Republicans. November 4, 2022. Retrieved November 7, 2022.
  333. ↑ "Pennsylvania Small Business Community Endorses Dr. Mehmet Oz". July 14, 2022. Retrieved July 17, 2022.
  334. ↑ "NRA-PVF - Grades - Pennsylvania". nrapvf.org. NRA-PVF. Archived from the original on November 8, 2022.
  335. ↑ "Defend Freedom. Defeat John Fetterman". NRA-PVF. Archived from the original on May 3, 2022.
  336. ↑ Republican Jewish Coalition [@RJC] (June 10, 2022). "@RJC PAC is proud to support @DrOz for US Senate in the great state of Pennsylvania! #PASen" (Tweet). Retrieved June 11, 2022– via Twitter.
  337. 1 2 "Fetterman and Oz tout support as abortion debate ramps up". City & State PA. July 2022.
  338. ↑ Shalal, Andrea (September 28, 2022). "U.S. Chamber of Commerce endorses Republican Mehmet Oz in Senate race". Reuters. Retrieved September 28, 2022.
  339. ↑ "Better bet: Despite turbulent Senate race, Oz better prepared to lead". Pittsburgh Post-Gazette . October 30, 2022. Retrieved November 2, 2022.
  340. ↑ "Kathy Barnette slams GOP 'elites,' calls Mehmet Oz 'lesser of two evils,' will vote for him". October 14, 2022.
  341. ↑ McGoldrick, Gillian (June 10, 2022). "Mehmet Oz joined by Pa. GOP chairman Tabas, former candidate Bartos in general election kick-off event". Pittsburgh Post-Gazette .
  342. ↑ Suebsaeng, Asawin; Ramirez, Nikki McCann (September 21, 2022). "Celebrity Rabbi Turns on Dr. Oz, Calls Campaign 'A Waste' in Leaked Emails". Rolling Stone. Retrieved September 21, 2022.
  343. ↑ Donnelly, Shannon (April 17, 2022). "Palm Beach society: She looked for her King of Hearts but we found her Bill". Palm Beach Daily News. Retrieved September 28, 2022.
  344. ↑ Everson, Zach (April 5, 2022). "Checks & Imbalances: The Billionaire Issue". Forbes. Retrieved September 28, 2022.
  345. ↑ Marks, Gene (October 12, 2022). "Mehmet Oz is clueless about the economy. Pennsylvanians should vote for him anyway". The Hill. Retrieved October 12, 2022.
  346. ↑ Landen, Xander (November 4, 2022). "Chuck Norris jumps into U.S. midterms, backing key Senate candidate". Newsweek. Retrieved November 5, 2022.
  347. 1 2 "Lt. Gov. John Fetterman wins Pennsylvania primary, will be Democrat nominee in US Senate race". WGAL . May 17, 2022. Retrieved May 18, 2022.
  348. ↑ "BREAKING: Barack Obama Endorses John Fetterman for US Senate". October 21, 2022.
  349. ↑ Parnes, Amie; Gangitano, Alex (October 27, 2022). "Biden, Harris to make rare campaign appearance as duo to help Fetterman". The Hill. Retrieved November 2, 2022.
  350. 1 2 "At Bristol Rally, Fetterman Asks Voters to Send Him to Washington D.C." October 10, 2022.
  351. ↑ "Unlikely duo: John Fetterman, Josh Shapiro aim for united front". Pittsburgh Tribune-Review . June 20, 2022.
  352. ↑ "Senators Bob Casey, Sherrod Brown join John Fetterman in Beaver County pro-union gathering".
  353. ↑ "Rally with John Fetterman, Senator Chris Coons, and Congresswoman Mary Gay Scanlon in Delco! · All in PA 2022".
  354. ↑ Wright, David; Merica, Dan (October 22, 2022). "Oz loans his Pennsylvania Senate campaign another $1 million". CNN. Retrieved October 25, 2022.
  355. 1 2 3 4 "John Fetterman will likely be Pa.'s Democratic Senate nominee. So why do so few elected Democrats back him?". The Philadelphia Inquirer . May 12, 2022. Retrieved May 18, 2022.(subscription required)
  356. ↑ "DSCC Statement On John Fetterman's Primary Victory In PA's Senate Race". WGAL . May 17, 2022. Retrieved May 18, 2022.
  357. ↑ "Mastriano critics become Mastriano boosters while avoiding the name Mastriano". The Philadelphia Inquirer . August 19, 2022. Retrieved August 22, 2022.
  358. ↑ "Supreme Court 'set a torch' to last of its legitimacy with Roe reversal, Elizabeth Warren argues". ABC News . June 26, 2022. Retrieved June 26, 2022.
  359. ↑ Kapur, Sahil; Burns, Dasha (May 16, 2022). "Pennsylvania Senate race rocked by late twists, from John Fetterman's stroke to Kathy Barnette's meteoric rise". NBC News . Retrieved June 4, 2022.
  360. ↑ Meyer, Katie (June 8, 2022). "Trust fund kid, carpetbagger, radical: Campaigns draw battle lines in Pa. Senate race". WHYY . Retrieved June 8, 2022.
  361. ↑ "Scranton Rally with John Fetterman, Sen. Bob Casey, Rep. Matt Cartwright, and Other Special Guests! · John Fetterman for Senate". Archived from the original on September 15, 2022. Retrieved September 15, 2022.
  362. 1 2 3 4 Kapur, Sahil (June 2, 2022). "Fetterman's health, return to campaign trail a mystery as some Democrats grow 'very nervous' about Pa. Senate race". NBC News . Retrieved June 2, 2022.
  363. ↑ "Philadelphia Rally with John Fetterman, Rep. Dwight Evans, and other special guests! · John Fetterman for Senate". Archived from the original on September 24, 2022. Retrieved September 24, 2022.
  364. 1 2 Prater, Nia (June 3, 2022). "Fetterman on Stroke: 'I Almost Died'". New York . Retrieved June 3, 2022.
  365. ↑ "Centrist Conor Lamb loses by 30 points despite Joe Manchin's endorsement and millions from Wall St". Salon.com . May 18, 2022. Retrieved May 18, 2022.
  366. ↑ "Ocasio-Cortez backs Fetterman, Barnes and Ryan for Senate". June 29, 2022.
  367. ↑ "Kenyatta to campaign for Fetterman in Pennsylvania". The Hill . May 18, 2022.
  368. ↑ "John Fetterman shares stage with State Rep. Patty Kim in Harrisburg". York Dispatch . November 6, 2022. Retrieved November 7, 2022. Patty Kim, left, while endorsing Pennsylvania Lt. Governor and Democratic candidate for U.S. Senate John Fetterman
  369. 1 2 Koscinsky, Kiley. "Fetterman hits back at Oz's attacks on his health at rally in Pittsburgh".
  370. ↑ "'Women are the reason we can win,' John Fetterman says at packed abortion-rights rally in Montco". September 11, 2022.
  371. ↑ "After rallying with Trump, Oz is pivoting toward the suburbs that have abandoned the GOP". September 10, 2022.
  372. ↑ Yocum, Haylee (November 3, 2022). "Shapiro, Fetterman Hold Campaign Rally at Penn State". StateCollege.com. Retrieved November 7, 2022. Nanes shared with the crowd why he is supporting Shapiro, Davis and Fetterman.
  373. ↑ "Redmond: We're Building a Pennsylvania That Works for All of Us". AFL–CIO . April 2, 2022. Retrieved June 10, 2022.
  374. ↑ "Fetterman lands major endorsement from National Education Association". pennlive.com. June 22, 2022. Retrieved June 24, 2022.
  375. ↑ "Pennsylvania - COMPAC Endorsements". UMWA. Retrieved November 1, 2022.
  376. ↑ "BREAKING: U.S. Senate candidate John Fetterman stakes out strong stands on Armenian American and Hellenic American policy priorities". Facebook. October 4, 2022. Retrieved October 11, 2022.
  377. ↑ "Meet The Candidates". Archived from the original on December 23, 2022. Retrieved September 20, 2022.
  378. ↑ @DemMaj4Israel (May 18, 2022). "DMFI PAC is thrilled to endorse Lt. Gov. @JohnFetterman for U.S. Senate, a proud pro-Israel progressive" (Tweet). Retrieved May 18, 2022– via Twitter.
  379. ↑ @dscc (May 17, 2022). "BREAKING NEWS:@JohnFetterman is Pennsylvania's Democratic nominee for Senate! John rolls up his sleeves and gets things done, and will always put Pennsylvania families first" (Tweet). Retrieved May 18, 2022– via Twitter.
  380. 1 2 @StopBigMoney (May 26, 2022). "🚨 ENDORSEMENT ALERT 🚨 Sheetz > Wawa; and @StopBigMoney/@LetAmericaVote endorsed @JohnFetterman > whichever MAGA Republican ends up winning the Republican nomination to Senate" (Tweet). Retrieved May 26, 2022– via Twitter.
  381. ↑ "Giffords Endorses Lt. Governor John Fetterman for U.S. Senate". Giffords . June 9, 2022. Retrieved June 2, 2022.
  382. ↑ "Human Rights Campaign Endorses John Fetterman for Senate". July 28, 2022.
  383. ↑ "Humane Society Legislative Fund Launches New Ad Supporting Dog Rescuer John Fetterman for U.S. Senate". HSLF. Retrieved December 8, 2022.
  384. ↑ "Unprecedented Spending by AIPAC, Billionaire SuperPACs Fail in Efforts to Decide Elections in Pennsylvania and Oregon". J Street . May 18, 2022.
  385. ↑ "2022 Endorsements". Jewish Dems . June 19, 2022. Retrieved June 19, 2022.
  386. ↑ Connon, Courtnee (June 6, 2022). "John Fetterman Earns LCV Action Fund Endorsement for U.S. Senate in Pennsylvania". League of Conservation Voters . Retrieved June 6, 2022.
  387. ↑ "NARAL Pro-Choice America Endorses John Fetterman for U.S. Senate in Pennsylvania". prochoiceamerica.org. July 1, 2022. Retrieved July 1, 2022.
  388. ↑ "The Revolution Report: 5-21-22". Our Revolution . May 21, 2022. Retrieved June 22, 2022.
  389. ↑ Rod, Marc (July 22, 2022). "Fetterman meets with Jewish voters on first day back on the campaign trail". Jewish Insider. Retrieved July 23, 2022.
  390. ↑ "PA Dems Statement on Ongoing GOP Senate Recount". May 27, 2022. Retrieved June 10, 2022.
  391. ↑ Routh, Julian (June 8, 2022). "Planned Parenthood political arm backs John Fetterman in Pa.'s U.S. Senate race as Roe v. Wade ruling looms". Pittsburgh Post-Gazette . Retrieved June 8, 2022.
  392. ↑ "2022 House & Senate Endorsements". Archived from the original on July 2, 2022. Retrieved July 2, 2022.
  393. ↑ "Congressional Endorsements". Sierra Club Independent Action.
  394. ↑ "Fetterman is prepared and able to serve". The Citizens' Voice. October 31, 2022. Retrieved November 4, 2022.
  395. ↑ "PA Media Group endorses candidates for top offices in the Nov. 8 elections". The Patriot-News. October 29, 2022. Retrieved November 7, 2022.
  396. ↑ Mueller, Julia (October 16, 2022). "Philadelphia Inquirer endorses Fetterman". The Hill. Retrieved October 16, 2022.
  397. ↑ Randolph, Irv (November 1, 2022). "John Fetterman is the best choice for Senate". The Philadelphia Tribune. Retrieved November 2, 2022.
  398. ↑ "Vote responsibly: Shapiro for governor, Fetterman for Senate".
  399. ↑ Mueller, Julia (November 7, 2022). "Ex-DC officer injured during Jan. 6 riot endorses Fetterman". The Hill. Retrieved November 7, 2022.
  400. ↑ Delano, Jon (December 21, 2022). "Franco Harris cared about politics because he cared about people". CBS Pittsburgh. Retrieved December 27, 2022.
  401. ↑ CBS News (December 21, 2022). "Franco Harris, Legendary Steelers Running Back, Dead at 72". Entertainment Tonight. Retrieved December 27, 2022. Fetterman ... frequently had Franco Harris supporting his campaign
  402. ↑ "John Fetterman 'rolls up his sleeves' in hometown Pa. Rally". Pittsburgh Post-Gazette. October 8, 2022. Retrieved October 17, 2022.
  403. 1 2 "Kurt Vile & Dave Matthews Endorse Pennsylvania US Senate Candidate John Fetterman".
  404. ↑ "Join John Fetterman and Paul Rudd!".
  405. ↑ "Kerry Washington hits the streets in the battle for U.S. Senate in Pennsylvania". MSNBC. November 6, 2022. 05:45. Retrieved November 7, 2022.
  406. ↑ Calvario, Liz (November 3, 2022). "Oprah Winfrey announces her support for Dr. Oz opponent, John Fetterman". Today. Retrieved November 3, 2022.
  407. ↑ Real Clear Politics
  408. ↑ FiveThirtyEight
  409. ↑ 270towin
  410. ↑ Research Co.
  411. ↑ Targoz Market Research
  412. ↑ InsiderAdvantage (R)
  413. ↑ The Trafalgar Group (R)
  414. ↑ Remington Research Group (R)
  415. ↑ Marist College
  416. ↑ Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)
  417. ↑ Emerson College
  418. ↑ Suffolk University
  419. ↑ Fox News
  420. ↑ Big Data Poll (R)
  421. ↑ co/efficient (R)
  422. ↑ Muhlenberg College
  423. ↑ Wick Insights (R)
  424. ↑ InsiderAdvantage (R)
  425. ↑ Siena Research/NYT
  426. ↑ YouGov/CBS News
  427. ↑ Franklin & Marshall College
  428. ↑ Rasmussen Reports (R)
  429. ↑ Echelon Insights
  430. ↑ InsiderAdvantage (R)
  431. ↑ CNN/SSRS
  432. ↑ Wick Insights (R)
  433. ↑ Patriot Polling (R)
  434. ↑ Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
  435. ↑ The Trafalgar Group (R)
  436. ↑ Center Street PAC (D)
  437. ↑ Suffolk University
  438. ↑ Emerson College
  439. ↑ Fox News
  440. ↑ Franklin & Marshall College
  441. ↑ InsiderAdvantage (R)
  442. ↑ Marist College
  443. ↑ The Phillips Academy Poll
  444. ↑ Muhlenberg College
  445. ↑ The Trafalgar Group (R)
  446. ↑ YouGov/CBS News
  447. ↑ Echelon Insights
  448. ↑ RABA Research
  449. ↑ Kurt Jetta (D)
  450. 1 2 Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)
  451. ↑ Emerson College
  452. ↑ Franklin & Marshall College
  453. ↑ The Trafalgar Group (R)
  454. ↑ Public Opinion Strategies (R)
  455. ↑ Kurt Jetta (D)
  456. ↑ Fox News
  457. ↑ PEM Management Corporation (R)
  458. ↑ Blueprint Polling (D)
  459. ↑ Beacon Research (D)
  460. ↑ Global Strategy Group (D)
  461. ↑ Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
  462. ↑ Cygnal (R)
  463. ↑ Suffolk University
  464. ↑ Data for Progress (D)
  465. 1 2 Garin-Hart-Yang (D)
  466. 1 2 3 4 Data for Progress (D)
  467. ↑ Griswold, Eliza (November 9, 2022). "The Unlikely Victory of John Fetterman". The New Yorker.
  468. ↑ Brownstein, Ronald (October 10, 2023). "McCarthy's fall and Trump's rise reflect the same bet among Republicans". CNN. Retrieved October 10, 2023.
  469. ↑ "2022 General Election Official Returns - United States Senator". Pennsylvania Department of State.
  470. ↑ "2022 General Election Official Returns - United States Senator - County Breakdown". Pennsylvania Department of State.
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