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Horne: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Hoffman: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Arizona |
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The 2022 Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the Superintendent of Public Instruction of Arizona. Incumbent Democratic Superintendent Kathy Hoffman was defeated in her run for a second term by former Republican Attorney General Tom Horne. [1] Significantly, Horne's win marked the first time in the state's history that a Republican won a statewide race without winning Maricopa County, home to 62% of the state's population and a former Republican stronghold; the only other statewide 2022 Republican candidate to win that year, Kimberly Yee, won her race by a wide margin partly by carrying Maricopa County.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Kathy Hoffman (incumbent) | 564,099 | 100.0% | |
Total votes | 564,099 | 100.0% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Tom Horne | Shiry Sapir | Michelle Udall | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports | July 27–28, 2022 | 710 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 18% | 16% | 6% | 22% |
OH Predictive Insights | July 27, 2022 | 502 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 21% | 21% | 14% | – | 44% |
OH Predictive Insights | June 30 – July 2, 2022 | 515 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 18% | 7% | 9% | – | 66% |
OH Predictive Insights | April 4–5, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 16% | 2% | 8% | 7% [lower-alpha 2] | 67% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Tom Horne | 321,208 | 41.92% | |
Republican | Shiry Sapir | 256,286 | 33.45% | |
Republican | Michelle Udall | 188,401 | 24.59% | |
Write-in | 258 | 0.03% | ||
Total votes | 766,153 | 100.0% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Libertarian | Sheila Reid-Shaver (write-in) | 557 | 100.0% | |
Total votes | 557 | 100.0% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Kathy Hoffman (D) | Tom Horne (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Data Orbital (R) | November 4–6, 2022 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 44% | 49% | 2% [lower-alpha 3] | 6% |
HighGround Inc. | November 1–2, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 41% | 46% | 1% [lower-alpha 4] | 12% |
Data Orbital (R) | October 17–19, 2022 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 43% | 45% | 2% [lower-alpha 5] | 10% |
HighGround Inc. | October 12–13, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 40% | 43% | 2% [lower-alpha 6] | 14% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Tom Horne | 1,255,977 | 50.17% | +1.73% | |
Democratic | Kathy Hoffman (incumbent) | 1,247,010 | 49.82% | -1.74% | |
Republican | Patrick Finerd (write-in) | 213 | 0.01% | N/A | |
Total votes | 2,503,200 | 100.0% |
On December 5, 2022, following election certification, Secretary of State Katie Hobbs petitioned the Maricopa County Superior Court to initiate a recount for the Superintendent of Public Instruction election. [10] [11] On the same day, Maricopa County Superior Court Judge Timothy J. Thomason ordered for the recount to begin. [12] Although Hoffman had already conceded the election, the recount proceeded as the margin between the two candidates was 0.35%, which falls in the threshold to trigger an automatic recount. [9]
On December 29, Thomason announced the results of the recount, confirming Horne as the winner with an increased margin of 9,188 votes. [13]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Tom Horne | 1,256,406 | 50.13% | +1.69% | |
Democratic | Kathy Hoffman (incumbent) | 1,247,218 | 49.76% | -1.80% | |
Write-in | 2,900 | 0.12% | +0.12% | ||
Total votes | 2,506,524 | 100.0% | |||
Republican gain from Democratic |
Despite losing the state, Hoffman won 5 out of 9 congressional districts, including two that elected Republicans. [15]
District | Hoffman | Horne | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 51% | 49% | David Schweikert |
2nd | 45% | 55% | Tom O'Halleran (117th Congress) |
Eli Crane (118th Congress) | |||
3rd | 76% | 24% | Ruben Gallego |
4th | 56% | 44% | Greg Stanton |
5th | 43% | 57% | Andy Biggs |
6th | 51% | 49% | Ann Kirkpatrick (117th Congress) |
Juan Ciscomani (118th Congress) | |||
7th | 66% | 34% | Raúl Grijalva |
8th | 44% | 56% | Debbie Lesko |
9th | 36% | 64% | Paul Gosar |
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