2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Hawaii

Last updated

2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Hawaii
Flag of Hawaii.svg
←  2020 November 8, 2022 2024  →
Both Hawaii seats in the United States House of Representatives
Turnout46.4% Decrease2.svg 16.9 pp
 Majority partyMinority party
 
Party Democratic Republican
Last election20
Seats won20
Seat changeSteady2.svgSteady2.svg
Popular vote271,953124,091
Percentage67.79%30.93%
SwingIncrease2.svg 0.41%Increase2.svg 1.45%
2022 U.S. House elections in Hawaii.svg
Democratic
  60–70%
  70–80%

The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Hawaii were held on November 8, 2022, to elect the two U.S. representatives from the state of Hawaii, one from each of the state's two congressional districts. The elections coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

Contents

There was a small swing towards both the Democratic and Republican party candidates as a result of a decreased field of third-party candidates. The only third-party candidate successfully nominated was Michelle Tippens of the Libertarian Party (United States). [1] The Aloha ʻĀina Party focused instead on their campaign for Dan Decker for the 2022 United States' Senate Election. John Giuffre's American Shopping Party was not on the ballot following the State of Hawaii Office of Elections' proclamation to disqualify the party for not receiving the prerequisite support in the 2020 elections. While Giuffre nominated as an independent candidate, he did not receive sufficient support to appear on the ballot.

Overview

District

Results of the 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Hawaii by district: [1]

District Democratic Republican OthersTotalResult
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1 143,54670.9%51,21725.3%7,6153.8%202,378100.00%Democratic hold
District 2 128,40759.2%72,87433.6%15,7047.2%216,985100.00%Democratic hold
Total271,95364.8%124,09129.6%23,3195.6%419,363100.00%
Popular vote
Democratic
 
64.8%
Republican
 
29.6%
Other
 
5.6%
House seats
Democratic
 
100.00%

District 1

2022 Hawaii's 1st congressional district election
Flag of Hawaii.svg
←  2020
2024  →
  Ed Case, official portrait, 116th Congress (cropped).jpg No image.svg
Nominee Ed Case Conrad Kress
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote143,54651,217
Percentage73.7%26.3%
HI1 House 2022.svg
Precinct results
Case:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
     No votes
U.S. Representative before election

Ed Case
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Ed Case
Democratic

The 1st district is located entirely on the island of Oahu, centering on Honolulu and the towns of Aiea, Mililani, Pearl City, Waipahu and Waimalu. The incumbent was Democrat Ed Case, who was re-elected with 72.0% of the vote in 2020. [2]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Endorsements

Sergio Alcubilla

State legislators

Individuals

Ed Case

Editorial boards

Organization

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Ed
Case		Sergio
Alcubilla		Undecided
MRG Research [8] June 28–30, 2022390 (LV)± 5.0%65%8%27%

Results

Democratic primary results [9]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Ed Case (incumbent) 100,667 83.2
Democratic Sergio Alcubilla20,36416.8
Total votes121,031 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Patrick Largey, activist [11]
  • Arturo Reyes, perennial candidate [11]

Results

Republican primary results [9]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Conrad Kress 13,449 50.4
Republican Arturo Reyes7,46528.0
Republican Patrick Largey5,78521.7
Total votes26,699 100.0

Nonpartisan primary

Candidates

Eliminated in primary
  • Steven Abkin, construction manager and engineer (also running as Democrat)
  • Calvin Griffin, perennial candidate

Failed to qualify

  • Joseph Gilmore (write-in) [12]

Results

Nonpartisan primary results [9]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Nonpartisan Calvin Griffin27053.6
Nonpartisan Steven Abkin23446.4
Total votes504 100.0

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [13] Solid DFebruary 7, 2022
Inside Elections [14] Solid DMarch 18, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball [15] Safe DFebruary 2, 2022
Politico [16] Solid DApril 5, 2022
RCP [17] Safe DJune 9, 2022
Fox News [18] Solid DJuly 11, 2022
DDHQ [19] Solid DJuly 20, 2022
538 [20] Solid DJune 30, 2022

Results

2022 Hawaii's 1st congressional district election [1]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Ed Case (incumbent) 143,546 73.7
Republican Conrad Kress51,21726.3
Total votes194,763 100.0
Democratic hold

District 2

2022 Hawaii's 2nd congressional district election
Flag of Hawaii.svg
←  2020
2024  →
  Rep. Jill Tokuda official photo, 118th Congress (cropped).jpg No image.svg
Nominee Jill Tokuda Joe Akana
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote128,40772,874
Percentage62.2%35.3%
Hawaii's 2nd Congressional District Results 2022.png
HI2 House 2022.svg
Tokuda:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Akana:     40–50%     50–60%     70–80%     >90%
Tie:     50%
     No votes
U.S. Representative before election

Kai Kahele
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Jill Tokuda
Democratic

The 2nd district takes in rural and suburban Oahu, including Waimanalo Beach, Kailua, Kaneohe, Kahuku, Makaha, Nanakuli, as well as encompassing all the other islands of Hawaii, taking in Maui and Hilo. The incumbent was Democrat Kai Kahele, who was elected with 63.0% of the vote in 2020. [2] He announced that he would run for Hawaii governor.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Declined

Endorsements

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Patrick
Branco		Jill
Tokuda		Undecided
MRG Research [8] June 28–30, 2022391 (LV)± 5.0%6%31%63%
OmniTrak (D) [44] [upper-alpha 1] May 9–25, 2022500 (LV)± 4.0%7%36%57%

Results

Democratic primary results [9]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Jill Tokuda 62,275 57.6
Democratic Patrick Branco 27,05725.0
Democratic Kyle Yoshida6,6246.1
Democratic Brendan Schultz6,1155.7
Democratic Nicole Gi3,9373.6
Democratic Steven Sparks2,1372.0
Total votes108,145 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Joe Akana, business development professional and nominee for this district in 2020 [25] [26]
Eliminated in primary

Results

Republican primary results [9]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Joe Akana 28,200 83.9
Republican Joe Webster5,40316.1
Total votes33,603 100.0

Libertarian Party

Nominee

Results

Libertarian primary results [9]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Libertarian Michelle Rose Tippens 343 100.0
Total votes343 100.0

Independents

Declared

  • John "Raghu" Giuffre [11]

Declined

  • Charles Djou, former Republican U.S. representative for Hawaii's 1st congressional district (2010–2011) and candidate for Mayor of Honolulu in 2016 [45]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [13] Solid DFebruary 7, 2022
Inside Elections [14] Solid DMarch 18, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball [15] Safe DFebruary 2, 2022
Politico [16] Solid DApril 5, 2022
RCP [17] Safe DJune 9, 2022
Fox News [18] Solid DJuly 11, 2022
DDHQ [19] Solid DJuly 20, 2022
538 [20] Solid DJune 30, 2022

Results

2022 Hawaii's 2nd congressional district election [1]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Jill Tokuda 128,407 62.2
Republican Joe Akana72,87435.3
Libertarian Michelle Tippens5,1302.5
Total votes206,411 100.0
Democratic hold

Notes

  1. 1 2 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

Partisan clients

  1. ↑ This poll was sponsored by Tokuda's campaign.

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References

  1. 1 2 3 4 "GENERAL ELECTION 2022 - Statewide - November 8, 2022" (PDF). Hawaii Office of Elections. November 9, 2022. Retrieved November 13, 2022.
  2. 1 2 Johnson, Cheryl L. (February 28, 2019). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 3, 2020". Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives.
  3. 1 2 Blair, Chad (October 11, 2021). "Chad Blair: Ed Case Draws A Challenger From The Left". Honolulu Civil Beat. Retrieved November 1, 2021.
  4. ↑ Blair, Chad (October 11, 2021). "Ed Case Draws A Challenger From The Left". Honolulu Civil Beat . Retrieved April 28, 2022.
  5. ↑ "Marianne Williamson's Candidate Summit". Candidate Summit. Retrieved December 12, 2021.
  6. 1 2 "Editorial: Brian Schatz, Jill Tokuda, Ed Case for Congress". Honolulu Star-Advertiser . October 24, 2022. Retrieved March 29, 2023.
  7. ↑ "Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorsed Candidates". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org. Retrieved December 22, 2021.
  8. 1 2 MRG Research
  9. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "Primary Election 2022 – State of Hawaii – Statewide August 13, 2022 Summary Report" (PDF). State of Hawaii Office of Elections. August 14, 2022. Retrieved August 16, 2022.
  10. ↑ Grube, Nick (April 19, 2022). "Hardly Anyone Is Raising Money To Run Against Kahele, Case Or Schatz". Honolulu Civil Beat. Retrieved May 14, 2022.
  11. 1 2 3 "State of Hawaii : Office of Elections Online Voter Registration". olvr.hawaii.gov. Retrieved July 8, 2022.
  12. ↑ "Joseph Gilmore FEC Statement of Candidacy" (PDF). Retrieved October 25, 2021.
  13. 1 2 "2022 House Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 7, 2022.
  14. 1 2 "House Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved March 18, 2022.
  15. 1 2 "2022 House Ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. February 2, 2022. Retrieved February 2, 2022.
  16. 1 2 "2022 Election Forecast". Politico. April 5, 2022.
  17. 1 2 "Battle for the House 2022". RCP. June 9, 2022.
  18. 1 2 "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. July 11, 2022. Retrieved July 11, 2022.
  19. 1 2 "2022 Election Forecast". DDHQ. July 20, 2022. Retrieved July 20, 2022.
  20. 1 2 "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.
  21. ↑ Staff, H. N. N. "Former State Sen. Jill Tokuda announces run for Kahele's seat in Congress". www.hawaiinewsnow.com. Retrieved December 20, 2022.
  22. 1 2 "Chad Blair: A Line Forms To Replace Kai Kahele In Congress". Honolulu Civil Beat. April 7, 2022. Retrieved April 7, 2022.
  23. ↑ Nakaso, Dan (May 5, 2022). "State Rep. Patrick Branco announces run for Kai Kahele's Congressional seat" . Retrieved May 7, 2022.
  24. ↑ "Nicole Gi, 2nd Congressional District: Democrat in Name Only". June 17, 2022.
  25. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "Nearly 400 Candidates File for Hawaii's Primary Election". June 8, 2022.
  26. 1 2 3 4 "Politics1 - Online Guide to Hawaii Elections, Candidates & Politics".
  27. ↑ Annie Grayer and Alex Rogers (April 28, 2022). "Democratic Rep. Kai Kahele will retire from Congress, source says". CNN. Retrieved April 29, 2022.
  28. ↑ Blair, Chad (April 27, 2022). "Chad Blair: A Jill Tokuda Candidacy Could Upend A Race For Congress". www.civilbeat.org. Honolulu Civil Beat . Retrieved April 28, 2022.
  29. 1 2 3 4 5 Grube, Nick (July 6, 2022). "Hawaii's Congressional District 2 Race: Veteran Tokuda Vs. Newcomer Branco". Honolulu Civil Beat . Retrieved July 6, 2022.
  30. ↑ "LGBTQ Victory Fund Endorses 23 LGBTQ Candidates, Including Patrick Branco in Hawaii and Erick Russell in Connecticut". LGBTQ Victory Fund. June 22, 2022. Retrieved August 11, 2022.
  31. ↑ Marans, Daniel (August 12, 2022). "How A Surge Of Super PAC Money Upended A Hawaii Congressional Primary". HuffPost . Retrieved March 29, 2023.
  32. 1 2 3 4 "Election, campaign line-up: McKelvey endorsed by HSTA; Bissen and Tokuda endorsed by HGEA; Schwartz announces candidacy". Maui Now. June 10, 2022. Retrieved March 29, 2023.
  33. 1 2 3 4 5 Grube, Nick (October 16, 2022). "Jill Tokuda Looks Like A Shoo-In For Congress. What Would She Do?". Honolulu Civil Beat . Retrieved March 29, 2023.
  34. 1 2 3 Yang, Mary (November 9, 2022). "Hawai'i voters put Democrat Jill Tokuda on glide path to Congress". The Yappie via Asian American Journalists Association . Retrieved March 29, 2023.
  35. 1 2 3 4 "Congressional Progressive Caucus PAC Endorses Jill Tokuda in HI-02". Congressional Progressive Caucus . June 22, 2022. Retrieved July 6, 2022.
  36. ↑ "THE FACTS: Hawaii State AFL-CIO 2022 Endorsements". Vote Smart . Retrieved March 29, 2023.
  37. ↑ "HSTA recommends Jill Tokuda for Hawaii's Second Congressional District". Hawaii State Teachers Association. July 18, 2022. Retrieved March 29, 2023.
  38. ↑ "United Public Workers 2022 General Election". United Public Workers Hawaii. Retrieved March 29, 2023.
  39. ↑ "AAAFund Endorses Former State Senator Jill Tokuda for Congress". Asian American Action Fund . August 12, 2022. Retrieved March 29, 2023.
  40. ↑ Bowman, Bridget; Kamisar, Ben (June 6, 2022). "Midterm Roundup: Last minute spending in California". NBC News . Retrieved July 6, 2022.
  41. ↑ "Jill Tokuda Earns LCV Action Fund Endorsement to Continue Fighting for Environmental Justice In Congress". League of Conservation Voters . September 14, 2022.
  42. ↑ "NARAL Pro-Choice Endorses Nine Candidates for Election to the U.S. House". NARAL Pro-Choice America . September 28, 2022. Retrieved March 29, 2023.
  43. ↑ "Hawai'i Candidate Endorsements and Federal Endorsements by Planned Parenthood Action Fund". Planned Parenthood Action Fund. Retrieved March 29, 2023.
  44. ↑ OmniTrak (D)
  45. ↑ "Chad Blair: A Line Forms to Replace Kai Kahele in Congress". April 6, 2022.

Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates

Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates

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