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All 13 Michigan seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Michigan |
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The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan were held on November 8, 2022, to elect representatives for the thirteen seats in Michigan (reduced from 14 in the redistricting cycle following the 2020 United States census). The deadline for candidates to file for the August 2 primary was April 19. [1] The congressional makeup prior to the election was seven Democrats and seven Republicans. However, after the 2020 census, Michigan lost one congressional seat. Democrats won a majority of seats in the state for the first time since 2008. [a] This can be partly attributed to the decrease in the number of districts, which resulted in two Republican incumbents – Bill Huizenga and Fred Upton – in the new 4th district. [2] Redistricting also played a part in shifting partisan lean of the districts which favored the Democrats overall, including in the 3rd district, which Democrats were able to flip with a margin of victory of 13 points. [3] That was made possible by a non-partisan citizens' commission drawing the new political boundaries instead of the Michigan legislature after a 2018 ballot proposal was approved. [4]
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Results by county Bergman: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Lorinser: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 1st district covers the Upper Peninsula and the northern part of the Lower Peninsula, including Traverse City. The incumbent was Republican Jack Bergman, who was re-elected with 61.6% of the vote in 2020. [5] The winner was Jack Bergman.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Jack Bergman (incumbent) | 111,911 | 100.0 | |
Write-in | 6 | 0.0 | ||
Total votes | 111,917 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Bob Lorinser | 67,251 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 67,251 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [9] | Solid R | December 28, 2021 |
Inside Elections [10] | Solid R | January 13, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [11] | Safe R | January 4, 2022 |
Politico [12] | Solid R | April 5, 2022 |
RCP [13] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News [14] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ [15] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
538 [16] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist [17] | Safe R | September 28, 2022 |
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Jack Bergman (incumbent) | 233,094 | 59.98 | |
Democratic | Bob Lorinser | 145,403 | 37.42 | |
Working Class | Liz Hakola | 5,510 | 1.42 | |
Libertarian | Andrew Gale | 4,592 | 1.18 | |
Total votes | 388,599 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
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Results by county Moolenaar: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 2nd district runs along the eastern shoreline of Lake Michigan from Manistee to northern Muskegon County, includes parts of the Grand Rapids suburbs in Kent county, and parts of Central Michigan, including Mount Pleasant and western Midland County. Due to redistricting, the incumbent was Republican John Moolenaar of the 4th congressional district, who was re-elected with 65.0% of the vote in 2020. [5] The winner was John Moolenaar.
Newspapers
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | John Moolenaar (incumbent) | 77,394 | 65.2 | |
Republican | Tom Norton | 41,273 | 34.8 | |
Write-in | 37 | 0.0 | ||
Total votes | 118,704 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Jerry Hilliard | 40,952 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 40,952 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [9] | Solid R | December 28, 2021 |
Inside Elections [10] | Solid R | January 13, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [11] | Safe R | January 4, 2022 |
Politico [12] | Solid R | April 5, 2022 |
RCP [13] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News [14] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ [15] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
538 [16] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist [17] | Safe R | September 28, 2022 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | John Moolenaar (incumbent) | 216,222 | 63.68 | |
Democratic | Jerry Hilliard | 116,452 | 34.30 | |
Libertarian | Nathan Hewer | 6,847 | 2.02 | |
Total votes | 339,521 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
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Results by county Scholten: 50–60% Gibbs: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
Results by precinct Scholten: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Gibbs: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The 3rd district is based in western Michigan, and includes Grand Rapids, Muskegon, and parts of Ottawa County. The incumbent was Republican Peter Meijer, who was elected with 53.0% of the vote in 2020, but lost in the primary to pro-Trump candidate John Gibbs on August 2, 2022; as he was one of ten House Republicans who voted to impeach Donald Trump after the January 6 attack on the U.S. Capitol. [5]
In the final days of the primary, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee bought $425,000 in TV ads that ostensibly attacked Gibbs (identifying him as "too conservative for West Michigan" and linking him to Trump) but were in fact designed to boost Gibbs' standing among pro-Trump Republican primary voters. The strategy—controversial within the Democratic Party—was based on the idea that Gibbs would be the weaker opponent in the general election, giving the Democrats an opportunity to win the 3rd district seat, [24] [25] [26] which following the 2020 redistricting cycle had shifted from a Republican-leaning district to a swing district. [26] Democrat Hillary Scholten flipped the district, winning by 12.93%. In flipping the district to the Democratic side, Scholten became the first Democratic member of Congress from the area since 1977. [27]
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | John Gibbs | Audra Lemons-Johnson | Gabriella Manolache | Peter Meijer | Undecided |
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Impact Research (D) [37] [A] | January 11–13, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 13% | 4% | 2% | 26% | 55% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | John Gibbs | 54,136 | 51.8 | |
Republican | Peter Meijer (incumbent) | 50,440 | 48.2 | |
Total votes | 104,576 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Hillary Scholten | 59,661 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 59,661 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [39] | Lean D (flip) | August 5, 2022 |
Inside Elections [10] | Lean D (flip) | October 21, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [11] | Lean D (flip) | September 7, 2022 |
Politico [12] | Lean D (flip) | August 12, 2022 |
RCP [13] | Tossup | August 3, 2022 |
Fox News [14] | Lean D (flip) | October 11, 2022 |
DDHQ [15] | Tossup | November 1, 2022 |
538 [16] | Tossup | October 20, 2022 |
The Economist [17] | Lean D (flip) | September 28, 2022 |
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | John Gibbs (R) | Hillary Scholten (D) | Undecided |
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Public Policy Polling (D) [61] [B] | May 25–26, 2022 | 676 (V) | ± 3.8% | 35% | 44% | 21% |
Peter Meijer vs. Hillary Scholten
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Peter Meijer (R) | Hillary Scholten (D) | Undecided |
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Public Policy Polling (D) [61] [B] | May 25–26, 2022 | 676 (V) | ± 3.8% | 37% | 39% | 24% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Hillary Scholten | 185,989 | 54.87 | |
Republican | John Gibbs | 142,229 | 41.96 | |
Libertarian | Jamie Lewis | 6,634 | 1.96 | |
Working Class | Louis Palus | 4,136 | 1.22 | |
Total votes | 338,988 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic gain from Republican |
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Results by county Huizenga: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% Alfonso: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 4th district is based in southwestern Michigan, and includes the cities of Kalamazoo and Holland. Due to redistricting, there were two incumbents in this district – Republican Bill Huizenga of the 2nd congressional district, who was re-elected with 59.2% of the vote in 2020, [5] and Republican Fred Upton of the 6th congressional district, who was re-elected with 55.8% of the vote in 2020. [5] Upton announced that he would be retiring at the end of his term. [62] The winner was Bill Huizenga.
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Bill Huizenga (incumbent) | 88,851 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 88,851 | 100.0 |
Organizations
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Joseph Alfonso (write-in) | 10,992 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 10,992 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [39] | Solid R | June 15, 2022 |
Inside Elections [10] | Solid R | June 15, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [11] | Safe R | June 15, 2022 |
Politico [12] | Likely R | June 14, 2022 |
RCP [13] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News [14] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ [15] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
538 [16] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist [17] | Safe R | September 28, 2022 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Bill Huizenga (incumbent) | 183,936 | 54.36 | |
Democratic | Joseph Alfonso | 143,690 | 42.47 | |
Libertarian | Lorence Wenke | 8,478 | 2.51 | |
U.S. Taxpayers | Curtis Michael Clark | 2,244 | 0.66 | |
Total votes | 338,348 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
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Results by county Walberg: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 5th district runs along Michigan's entire southern border with Indiana and Ohio and includes the cities of Three Rivers, Jackson, and Monroe. Due to redistricting, the incumbent was Republican Tim Walberg of the 7th congressional district, who was re-elected with 58.8% of the vote in 2020. [5] The winner was Tim Walberg.
Federal officials
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Tim Walberg (incumbent) | 67,582 | 67.2 | |
Republican | Sherry O'Donnell | 32,886 | 32.7 | |
Write-in | 97 | 0.1 | ||
Total votes | 100,565 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Bart Goldberg | 39,971 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 39,971 | 100.0 |
Newspapers
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [9] | Solid R | December 28, 2021 |
Inside Elections [10] | Solid R | January 13, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [11] | Safe R | January 4, 2022 |
Politico [12] | Solid R | April 5, 2022 |
RCP [13] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News [14] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ [15] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
538 [16] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist [17] | Safe R | September 28, 2022 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Tim Walberg (incumbent) | 198,020 | 62.42 | |
Democratic | Bart Goldberg | 110,946 | 34.97 | |
Libertarian | Norman Peterson | 5,129 | 1.62 | |
U.S. Taxpayers | Ezra Scott | 3,162 | 1.00 | |
Write-in | 1 | 0.00 | ||
Total votes | 317,258 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
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Results by county Dingell: 50–60% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 6th district is based in southeastern Michigan, taking in Washtenaw County, parts of Wayne and Oakland counties, including the cities of Ann Arbor, Canton, Novi, and Ypsilanti. Due to redistricting, the incumbent was Democrat Debbie Dingell of the 12th congressional district, who was re-elected with 66.4% of the vote in 2020. [5] The winner was Debbie Dingell.
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Debbie Dingell (incumbent) | 102,859 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 102,859 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Whittney Williams | 30,564 | 53.7 | |
Republican | Hima Kolanagireddy | 26,371 | 46.3 | |
Total votes | 56,935 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [9] | Solid D | December 28, 2021 |
Inside Elections [10] | Solid D | January 13, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [11] | Safe D | January 4, 2022 |
Politico [12] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP [13] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News [14] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ [15] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538 [16] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist [17] | Safe D | September 28, 2022 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Debbie Dingell (incumbent) | 241,759 | 65.89 | |
Republican | Whittney Williams | 125,167 | 34.11 | |
Write-in | 1 | 0.0 | ||
Total votes | 366,927 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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Results Slotkin: 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% Barrett: 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 7th district is based around the Lansing–East Lansing metropolitan area, but also includes Livingston County and a small part of Oakland County. Due to redistricting, the incumbent was Democrat Elissa Slotkin of the 8th congressional district, who was re-elected with 50.9% of the vote in 2020. [5]
In 2018, total campaign spending for the seat won by Slotkin drew the highest amount for a U.S. House seat in Michigan's history. [89] In October 2022, the Slotkin–Barrett race was the most expensive House race nationwide. [90] The winner was Elissa Slotkin. [91]
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Elissa Slotkin (incumbent) | 77,826 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 77,826 | 100.0 |
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Tom Barrett | 75,491 | 96.1 | |
Republican | Jake Hagg (write-in) | 3,108 | 3.9 | |
Total votes | 78,599 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [39] | Tossup | June 15, 2022 |
Inside Elections [10] | Tilt D | June 15, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [11] | Lean R (flip) | November 7, 2022 |
Politico [12] | Tossup | June 14, 2022 |
RCP [13] | Tossup | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News [14] | Tossup | July 11, 2022 |
Decision Desk HQ [15] | Tossup | November 4, 2022 |
538 [16] | Lean D | October 20, 2022 |
The Economist [17] | Lean D | November 8, 2022 |
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Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Elissa Slotkin (D) | Tom Barrett (R) | Undecided [c] | Margin |
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FiveThirtyEight [112] | April 10 – November 2, 2022 | November 3, 2022 | 47.7% | 44.3% | 8.0% | Slotkin +3.4 |
Graphical summary
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Elissa Slotkin (D) | Tom Barrett (R) | Other | Undecided |
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Mitchell Research [113] | November 2, 2022 | 402 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 48% | 48% | – | 4% |
The Glengariff Group, Inc. [114] | October 18–20, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 47% | 41% | 4% [d] | 8% |
Target Insyght [115] | September 12–14, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 56% | 38% | – | 6% |
Cygnal (R) [116] [C] | June 14–16, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 44% | 46% | – | 10% |
Slingshot Strategies (D) [117] | April 10–15, 2022 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 34% | 4% | 19% |
Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Generic Democrat | Generic Republican | Other | Undecided |
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Cygnal (R) [116] [C] | June 14–16, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 39% | 50% | – | 10% |
Slingshot Strategies (D) [117] | April 10–15, 2022 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 39% | 39% | 4% | 16% |
Cygnal (R) [118] [D] | November 17–18, 2021 | 414 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 41% | 51% | – | 8% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Elissa Slotkin (incumbent) | 192,809 | 51.73 | |
Republican | Tom Barrett | 172,624 | 46.32 | |
Libertarian | Leah Dailey | 7,275 | 1.95 | |
Total votes | 372,708 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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Results by county Kildee: 40–50% 50–60% Junge: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
Results by precinct Kildee: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Junge: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Tie: 40–50% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 8th district centers around the Saginaw Bay and includes the cities of Flint, Saginaw, Bay City, and Midland. Due to redistricting, the incumbent was Democrat Dan Kildee of the 5th congressional district, who was re-elected with 54.5% of the vote in 2020. [5] The winner was Dan Kildee. [119]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Dan Kildee (incumbent) | 70,791 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 70,791 | 100.0 |
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Paul Junge | 42,363 | 53.7 | |
Republican | Matthew Seely | 18,658 | 23.6 | |
Republican | Candice Miller | 17,879 | 22.7 | |
Total votes | 78,900 | 100.0 |
Newspapers
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [39] | Lean D | October 5, 2022 |
Inside Elections [10] | Lean D | October 21, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [11] | Lean D | November 7, 2022 |
Politico [12] | Lean D | October 3, 2022 |
RCP [13] | Tossup | November 6, 2022 |
Fox News [14] | Tossup | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ [15] | Tossup | July 20, 2022 |
538 [16] | Likely D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist [17] | Lean D | October 4, 2022 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Dan Kildee (D) | Paul Junge (R) | Other | Undecided |
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Cygnal (R) [132] [E] | September 27–30, 2022 | 335 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 44% | 45% | 6% | 5% |
RMG Research [133] | July 28 – August 4, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 43% | 40% | 7% | 9% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Dan Kildee (incumbent) | 178,322 | 53.10 | |
Republican | Paul Junge | 143,850 | 42.83 | |
Working Class | Kathy Goodwin | 9,077 | 2.70 | |
Libertarian | David Canny | 4,580 | 1.36 | |
Total votes | 335,829 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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Results by county McClain: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 9th district is based in The Thumb region, including Port Huron as well as the northern Detroit exurbs in Oakland and Macomb counties. Due to redistricting, the incumbent was Republican Lisa McClain formerly of the 10th congressional district, who was elected with 66.3% of the vote in 2020. [5] The winner was Lisa McClain. [134]
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Lisa McClain (incumbent) | 97,017 | 78.7 | |
Republican | Michelle Donovan | 26,215 | 21.3 | |
Total votes | 123,232 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Brian Jaye | 48,802 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 48,802 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [9] | Solid R | December 28, 2021 |
Inside Elections [10] | Solid R | January 13, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [11] | Safe R | January 4, 2022 |
Politico [12] | Solid R | April 5, 2022 |
RCP [13] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News [14] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ [15] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
538 [16] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist [17] | Safe R | September 28, 2022 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Lisa McClain (incumbent) | 238,300 | 63.90 | |
Democratic | Brian Jaye | 123,702 | 33.17 | |
Working Class | Jim Walkowicz | 6,571 | 1.76 | |
Libertarian | Jacob Kelts | 4,349 | 1.17 | |
Total votes | 372,922 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
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James: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Marlinga: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 10th district is based primarily in southeastern Michigan's Macomb County, taking in Warren and Sterling Heights, as well as a small portion of eastern Oakland County. Due to redistricting after the 2020 census, this was an open district with no incumbent. The winner was John James.
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Huwaida Arraf | Carl Marlinga | Rhonda Powell | Angela Rogensues | Michael Taylor | Henry Yanez | Undecided |
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Target Insyght (D) [150] [F] | May 24–27, 2022 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 8% | 40% | 13% | 16% | – | 7% | 15% |
Target Insyght [151] | January 25–27, 2022 | ~225 (LV) | ± 6.5% | 3% | 33% | – | 2% | 16% | – | 47% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Carl Marlinga | 32,653 | 47.8 | |
Democratic | Rhonda Powell | 11,396 | 16.7 | |
Democratic | Angela Rogensues | 9,503 | 13.9 | |
Democratic | Huwaida Arraf | 8,846 | 13.0 | |
Democratic | Henry Yanez | 5,891 | 8.6 | |
Total votes | 68,289 | 100.0 |
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Eric Esshaki | John James | Undecided |
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Target Insyght [151] | January 25–27, 2022 | ~230 (LV) | ± 6.5% | 7% | 68% | 24% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | John James | 63,417 | 86.3 | |
Republican | Tony Marcinkewciz | 10,079 | 13.7 | |
Total votes | 73,496 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [39] | Likely R (flip) | August 10, 2022 |
Inside Elections [10] | Lean R (flip) | August 3, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [11] | Lean R (flip) | June 15, 2022 |
Politico [12] | Likely R (flip) | October 18, 2022 |
RCP [13] | Likely R (flip) | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News [14] | Likely R (flip) | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ [15] | Likely R (flip) | July 20, 2022 |
538 [16] | Likely R (flip) | October 6, 2022 |
The Economist [17] | Lean R (flip) | November 1, 2022 |
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Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Carl Marlinga (D) | John James (R) | Undecided [e] | Margin |
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FiveThirtyEight [162] | January 26 – October 18, 2022 | October 30, 2022 | 39.2% | 44.7% | 16.1% | James +5.5 |
Graphical summary
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Carl Marlinga (D) | John James (R) | Other | Undecided |
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Target Insyght (D) [163] [F] | October 16–18, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 44% | 42% | – | 14% |
The Glengariff Group, Inc. [164] | October 4–6, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 36% | 44% | 5% [f] | 13% |
Mitchell Research (R) [165] | August 16–21, 2022 | 429 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 38% | 47% | – | 15% |
Target Insyght (D) [166] [F] | August 16–18, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 47% | 45% | – | 8% |
Target Insyght (D) [167] [F] | May 24–27, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 44% | 40% | – | 16% |
The Tarrance Group (R) [168] [G] | April 24–26, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 41% | 47% | – | 12% |
Target Insyght (D) [169] [F] | March 2022 | – (LV) | – | 48% | 45% | – | 7% |
Target Insyght [151] | January 25–27, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 46% | 43% | – | 11% |
Carl Marlinga vs. Eric Esshaki
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Carl Marlinga (D) | Eric Esshaki (R) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Target Insyght [151] | January 25–27, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 52% | 31% | 17% |
Andy Levin vs. John James
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Andy Levin (D) | John James (R) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cygnal (R) [170] [D] | November 17–18, 2021 | 413 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 42% | 50% | – |
Haley Stevens vs. John James
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Haley Stevens (D) | John James (R) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cygnal (R) [170] [D] | November 17–18, 2021 | 413 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 41% | 50% | – |
Michael Taylor vs. Eric Esshaki
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Michael Taylor (D) | Eric Esshaki (R) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Target Insyght [151] | January 25–27, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 39% | 34% | 27% |
Michael Taylor vs. John James
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Michael Taylor (D) | John James (R) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Target Insyght [151] | January 25–27, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 46% | 42% | 13% |
Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Generic Democrat | Generic Republican | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cygnal (R) [170] [D] | November 17–18, 2021 | 413 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 42% | 49% | – |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | John James | 159,202 | 48.80 | ||
Democratic | Carl Marlinga | 157,602 | 48.31 | ||
Working Class | Andrea Kirby | 5,905 | 1.81 | ||
Libertarian | Mike Saliba | 3,524 | 1.08 | ||
Write-in | 4 | 0.0 | |||
Total votes | 326,237 | 100.0 | |||
Republican win (new seat) |
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Results by county Stevens: 60-70% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 11th district is based solely in Oakland County and includes the cities of Royal Oak and Pontiac. Due to redistricting, there were two incumbents in this district – Democrat Haley Stevens, who was re-elected with 50.2% of the vote in 2020, [5] and Democrat Andy Levin of the 9th congressional district, who was re-elected with 57.7% of the vote in 2020. [5] The winner was Haley Stevens.
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Andy Levin | Haley Stevens | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Target Insyght [204] | July 18–20, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 31% | 58% | 11% |
Lake Research Partners (D) [205] [H] | February 15–20, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 36% | 36% | 28% |
Target Insyght [206] | February 1–3, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 41% | 41% | 18% |
Impact Research (D) [207] [I] | January 24–27, 2022 | 519 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 35% | 42% | 23% |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Democratic |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
Andy Levin | Haley Stevens | |||||
1 | May 24, 2022 | Oakland University Oakland University Center for Civic Engagement | Emily Lawler Chad Livengood | [208] | P | P |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Haley Stevens (incumbent) | 70,508 | 59.9 | |
Democratic | Andy Levin (incumbent) | 47,117 | 40.1 | |
Total votes | 117,625 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Mark Ambrose | 42,270 | 70.5 | |
Republican | Matthew DenOtter | 17,702 | 29.5 | |
Total votes | 59,972 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [39] | Solid D | June 15, 2022 |
Inside Elections [10] | Solid D | June 15, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [11] | Safe D | June 15, 2022 |
Politico [12] | Solid D | November 7, 2022 |
RCP [13] | Likely D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News [14] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ [15] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538 [16] | Solid D | August 17, 2022 |
The Economist [17] | Safe D | September 28, 2022 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Haley Stevens (incumbent) | 224,537 | 61.32 | |
Republican | Mark Ambrose | 141,642 | 38.68 | |
Total votes | 366,179 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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Results by county Tlaib: 60–70% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 12th district is based in northern Wayne County and includes the cities of Dearborn and Southfield. Due to redistricting, the incumbent was Democrat Brenda Lawrence of the 14th congressional district, who was re-elected with 79.3% of the vote in 2020. [5] On January 4, 2022, Lawrence announced that she would not seek re-election. [210] Subsequently, Democrat Rashida Tlaib of the 13th congressional district, announced she would be running in the district. [211] Tlaib was re-elected in 2020 with 78.1% of the vote. [5] The winner was Rashida Tlaib.
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Phil Cavanagh | Kelly Garrett | Shanelle Jackson | Maureen Miller Bronsan | Rashida Tlaib | William Wild | Janice Winfrey | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Target Insyght (D) [227] [J] | January 18–20, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 3% | 6% | 0% | 2% | 62% | 13% | 4% | 10% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Rashida Tlaib (incumbent) | 61,635 | 63.8 | |
Democratic | Janice Winfrey | 21,636 | 22.4 | |
Democratic | Kelly Garrett | 8,334 | 8.6 | |
Democratic | Shanelle Jackson | 4,927 | 5.1 | |
Total votes | 96,532 | 100.0 |
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Steven Elliott | 14,431 | 52.9 | |
Republican | James Hooper | 9,651 | 35.4 | |
Republican | Hassan Nehme | 3,196 | 11.7 | |
Total votes | 27,278 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [9] | Solid D | December 28, 2021 |
Inside Elections [10] | Solid D | January 13, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [11] | Safe D | January 4, 2022 |
Politico [12] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP [13] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News [14] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ [15] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538 [16] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist [17] | Safe D | September 28, 2022 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Rashida Tlaib (incumbent) | 196,643 | 70.84 | |
Republican | Steven Elliott | 72,888 | 26.26 | |
Working Class | Gary Walkowicz | 8,046 | 2.90 | |
Total votes | 277,577 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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Precinct results Thanedar: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Bivings: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 13th district is based solely in Wayne County and includes most of Detroit and the cities of Taylor and Romulus. Due to redistricting, this was an open district with no incumbent. The winner was Shri Thanedar.
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Hansen Clarke | John Conyers III | Shawna Diggs | Sherry Gay-Dagnogo | Ralph Godbee | Michael Griffie | Adam Hollier | Angela McIntosh | Sharon McPhail | Sam Riddle | Portia Roberson | Lorrie Rutledge | Shri Thanedar | Adrian Tonon | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Target Insyght [249] | July 19–22, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | – | 7% | – | 5% | – | 5% | 16% | – | 7% | 4% | 17% | 0% | 22% | – | 16% |
Target Insyght [250] | May 3–5, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | 15% | – | 9% | – | 2% | 6% | 0% | 20% | 2% | 9% | 0% | 12% | 0% | 25% |
Public Policy Polling (D) [251] [K] | March 21–22, 2022 | 463 (LV) | ± 4.6% | – | 19% | – | 6% | 5% | 0% | 6% | – | 9% | – | 4% | – | 7% | 0% | 43% |
Target Insyght (D) [252] [J] | February 22–24, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | – | – | 7% | 11% | 0% | 6% | – | 24% | 1% | 7% | – | 12% | – | 31% |
Target Insyght (D) [253] [J] | January 18–20, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 23% | – | 0% | 11% | 1% | 4% | 5% | – | 25% | – | 7% | – | 7% | – | 16% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Shri Thanedar | 22,314 | 28.3 | |
Democratic | Adam Hollier | 18,517 | 23.5 | |
Democratic | Portia Roberson | 13,318 | 16.9 | |
Democratic | John Conyers III | 6,778 | 8.6 | |
Democratic | Sherry Gay-Dagnogo | 6,440 | 8.2 | |
Democratic | Sharon McPhail | 5,043 | 6.4 | |
Democratic | Michael Griffie | 3,636 | 4.6 | |
Democratic | Sam Riddle | 1,841 | 2.3 | |
Democratic | Lorrie Rutledge | 916 | 1.2 | |
Write-in | 6 | 0.0 | ||
Total votes | 78,809 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Martell Bivings | 19,618 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 19,618 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [9] | Solid D | December 28, 2021 |
Inside Elections [10] | Solid D | January 13, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [11] | Safe D | January 4, 2022 |
Politico [12] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP [13] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News [14] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ [15] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538 [16] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist [17] | Safe D | September 28, 2022 |
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Shri Thanedar | 166,650 | 71.08 | ||
Republican | Martell Bivings | 56,187 | 23.97 | ||
Working Class | Simone Coleman | 8,833 | 3.77 | ||
U.S. Taxpayers | Chris Dardzinski | 2,769 | 1.18 | ||
Write-in | 5 | 0.0 | |||
Total votes | 234,444 | 100.0 | |||
Democratic win (new seat) |
Partisan clients
Brenda Lawrence is an American retired politician who served as the U.S. representative from Michigan's 14th congressional district from 2015 to 2023. A member of the Democratic Party, Lawrence served as mayor of Southfield, Michigan, from 2001 to 2015, and was the party's nominee for Oakland County executive in 2008 and for lieutenant governor in 2010. Her congressional district covered most of eastern Detroit, including downtown, and stretched west to take in portions of Oakland County, including Farmington Hills, Pontiac, and Lawrence's home in Southfield.
Rashida Harbi Tlaib is an American lawyer and politician serving as a U.S. representative from Michigan since 2019, representing the state's 12th congressional district since 2023. A member of the Democratic Party, she is the first Palestinian American woman to serve in Congress and one of the first two Muslim women elected to Congress.
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The 2018 United States Senate election in Michigan took place on November 6, 2018, in order to elect the Class 1 U.S. Senator from the State of Michigan, concurrently with a gubernatorial election, as well as other elections to the U.S. House of Representatives. This was one of ten Democratic-held Senate seats up for election in a state that Donald Trump won in the 2016 presidential election.
The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the 14 U.S. representatives from the state of Michigan, one from each of the state's 14 congressional districts. The elections coincided with the elections of other offices, including a gubernatorial election, other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The filing deadline for candidates filing for the August 7 primary was April 24, 2018. Unless otherwise indicated, the Cook Political Report rated the congressional races as safe for the party of the incumbent.
The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections were held on November 8, 2022, as part of the 2022 United States elections during incumbent president Joe Biden's term. Representatives were elected from all 435 U.S. congressional districts across each of the 50 states to serve in the 118th United States Congress, as well as 5 non-voting members of the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Columbia and four of the five inhabited insular areas. Numerous other federal, state, and local elections, including the 2022 U.S. Senate elections and the 2022 U.S. gubernatorial elections, were also held simultaneously. This was the first election after the 2020 redistricting cycle.
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Brenda B. Jones is an American politician who served as a member of the Detroit City Council from 2006 to 2022, and as the president of the City Council from 2014 to 2022. A member of the Democratic Party, Jones also briefly served as the U.S. representative for Michigan's 13th congressional district from November 29, 2018, to January 3, 2019. She won the 2018 special election to succeed John Conyers following his resignation in December 2017, and was succeeded by Rashida Tlaib. She ran for the seat again in 2020, losing the Democratic primary to Tlaib by a wide margin.
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