2022 United States Senate election in North Carolina

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2022 United States Senate election in North Carolina
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  Ted Budd official portrait, 115th Congress (alt crop).jpg Cheri Beasley image.jpg
Nominee Ted Budd Cheri Beasley
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote1,905,7861,784,049
Percentage50.50%47.27%
2022 United States Senate election in North Carolina results map by county.svg
2022 United States Senate election in North Carolina by congressional district.svg
2022 United States Senate election in North Carolina by NC Senate district.svg
2022 United States Senate election in North Carolina by State House district.svg
NC SEN 2022.svg
Budd:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Beasley:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     40–50%
U.S. senator before election

Richard Burr
Republican

Elected U.S. senator

Ted Budd
Republican

The 2022 United States Senate election in North Carolina was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of North Carolina. Primary elections were scheduled for March 8, 2022, [1] but were delayed by the North Carolina Supreme Court and rescheduled for May 17.

Contents

Incumbent three-term Republican U.S. senator Richard Burr announced in 2016 that he would not seek reelection in 2022. [2] Former chief justice of the North Carolina Supreme Court Cheri Beasley [3] and U.S. Representative Ted Budd won the Democratic and Republican primaries, respectively. [4] [5] [6] [7] The race was considered competitive, with Budd narrowly leading in polls. [8] [9] Budd ultimately won with 50.5% of the vote to Beasley's 47.3%—a margin of 3.2%. [10]

Despite Budd's win in the election, it marked the Class III seat's worst performance by a Republican since 1998.

Republican primary

Former Governor Pat McCrory from Charlotte finished second in the primary. Pat-McCrory June-2015(crop).jpg
Former Governor Pat McCrory from Charlotte finished second in the primary.
Former U.S. Representative Mark Walker from Greensboro finished third in the primary. Walker Official Photo 2017 (alt crop).jpg
Former U.S. Representative Mark Walker from Greensboro finished third in the primary.

With Burr's retirement, this primary was expected to be very competitive. [11] Former U.S. Representative Mark Walker was the first major candidate to announce his candidacy, on December 1, 2020. [12] Walker opted to retire from the House and not run for reelection in 2020 because his district was made much more favorable to the Democratic Party after redistricting. Former president Donald Trump's daughter-in-law Lara Trump was widely speculated as a possible candidate for this seat. [11] She received encouragement and support from U.S. Senator Lindsey Graham [13] and Kellyanne Conway, [11] a former Trump White House official. Early opinion polls suggested she would perform well against other prospective candidates in the primary. [14] On April 14, 2021, former governor Pat McCrory announced his candidacy. [15] U.S. Representative Ted Budd announced his candidacy on April 28, 2021. [4]

Opinion polls taken during April 2021 showed McCrory with a wide lead over Walker and Budd. McCrory was aided by a high degree of name recognition because of his several statewide campaigns. [16]

On June 5, 2021, the North Carolina Republican Party held a convention in Greenville. At the convention, former president Trump announced that he was endorsing Budd for the U.S. Senate seat. [17] Lara Trump announced that she would not be running, and joined her father-in-law in endorsing Budd. The former president also took a shot at McCrory, saying, "You can't pick people that have already lost two races, that do not stand for our values." McCrory lost both the 2008 and 2016 gubernatorial elections. [18] Budd was reportedly unaware of Trump's intentions until 15 minutes before he took the stage. [18] Both Walker and McCrory stated their intentions to stay in the race. [5]

Meanwhile, North Carolina redrew its congressional maps, making Walker's house seat more favorable to Republicans than it had been before 2020. After that, Trump met with Walker and promised to endorse him if he left the Senate race to instead run for his old House seat, newly numbered as the 7th district. [19] Walker filed to switch races, but later decided against it in favor of staying in the Senate race. [20]

The first primary debate was held on February 26 in Raleigh. It was sponsored by the John Locke Foundation, a conservative think tank based in North Carolina. McCrory, Walker and Eastman participated. Budd was invited, but did not attend, leaving an empty podium. [21] [22] The first televised debate was held by WRAL-TV on April 14 and featured McCrory and Walker, with Budd once again declining to attend. [23] A third debate was held on April 20 on Spectrum News 1. McCrory, Walker, and Eastman participated. [24] A fourth debate, sponsored by Nexstar Media Group, was held on April 26 and aired on television stations across North Carolina, including WJZY, WNCN, WGHP, and WNCT-TV. [25] McCrory and Walker participated. Budd declined and Eastman was not invited. [26]

Budd won the primary overwhelmingly with over 58% of the vote. McCrory finished second with almost 25%, and Walker third with 9%. Budd won a plurality in every county in the state except for Mecklenburg, which McCrory won by under 100 votes. After the results were released, McCrory declared his political career over. He did not endorse Budd for the general election. [27]

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Ted Budd

Executive branch officials

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

State officials

Organizations

Marjorie Eastman

U.S. senators

Pat McCrory

U.S. senators

U.S. governors

  • Jim Martin, 70th Governor of North Carolina (1985–1993) and former U.S. Representative for NC-09 (1973–1985) [67]
Mark Walker [68] [37]

Executive branch officials

U.S. governors

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

Polling

Graphical summary

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation		Dates
administered		Dates
updated		Ted
Budd		Marjorie
Eastman		Pat
McCrory		Mark
Walker		Other
[a] 		Margin
Real Clear Politics [73] April 1 – May 5, 2022May 12, 202240.3%2.8%22.3%8.5%26.1%Budd +18.0
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Ted
Budd		Marjorie
Eastman		Pat
McCrory		Mark
Walker		OtherUndecided
Emerson College [74] May 7–9, 2022467 (LV)± 4.5%43%2%16%12%12% [c] 16%
co/efficient (R) [75] May 4–5, 20221,089 (LV)± 3.0%48%3%20%13%5%11%
Atlantic Polling Strategies (R) [76] April 25–28, 2022534 (LV)± 4.9%45%3%21%9%2%20%
Meredith College [77] April 25–27, 2022588 (LV)± 4.0%33%3%26%7%6%34%
WPA Intelligence (R) [78] [A] April 24–26, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%43%4%23%9%1%20%
The Trafalgar Group (R) [79] April 23–25, 20221,049 (LV)± 3.0%53%6%29%8%–4%
Spry Strategies (R) [80] April 6–10, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%40%2%27%8%3%20%
SurveyUSA [81] April 6–10, 2022593 (LV)± 5.0%33%2%23%7%2% [d] 33%
WPA Intelligence (R) [82] [A] April 3–5, 2022510 (LV)± 4.4%44%3%31%11%1%11%
Emerson College [83] April 2–4, 2022508 (LV)± 4.3%38%1%22%9%8% [e] 23%
Cygnal (R) [84] April 1–3, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%32%1%21%7%1% [f] 39%
34%3%24%10%–30%
Vitale & Associates (R) [85] [B] March 22–23, 2022504 (LV)± 4.4%32%2%29%12%–25%
Meeting Street Insights (R) [86] [C] February 26 – March 1, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%25%4%31%16%–23%
Ingress Research Group (R) [87] [D] February 27, 2022864 (LV)± 3.3%18%4%29%11%–35%
Remington Research Group (R) [88] [E] February 2022– (LV)–24%3%35%17%–21%
Cygnal (R) [89] January 7–9, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%19%1%24%7%1% [g] 49%
Strategic Partners Solutions (R) [90] [F] January 5, 2022800 (LV)± 3.5%21%1%30%8%<1% [h] 41%
WPA Intelligence (R) [91] [A] November 1–3, 2021500 (LV)± 4.4%33%–36%13%–18%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [92] [F] October 16–19, 2021500 (LV)± 4.4%25%–40%8%––
WPA Intelligence (R) [93] [A] June 22–24, 2021509 (LV)± 4.4%21%–45%13%–21%
Meeting Street Insights (R) [94] [C] June 9–10, 2021500 (LV)± 4.4%19%–45%12%–23%
Spry Strategies (R) [95] April 21–24, 2021700 (LV)± 4.4%5%–40%11%–44%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [96] [F] April 6–8, 2021500 (LV)± 4.4%9%–48%13%––
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Ted
Budd		Dan
Forest		George
Holding		Pat
McCrory		Tim
Moore		Mark
Robinson		Lara
Trump		Mark
Walker		OtherUndecided
Spry Strategies (R) [80] April 6–10, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%50%––30%–––––20%
Cygnal (R) [89] January 7–9, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%34%––33%–––––33%
WPA Intelligence (R) [97] [A] December 19–21, 2021504 (LV)± 4.4%47%––43%–––––10%
Cardinal Point Analytics (R) [98] April 20, 2021500 (LV)± 6.2%2%––36%––36%10%–15%
Cygnal (R) [99] April 2021500 (LV)± 4.4%–13%–14%–20%32%3%––
Meredith College [100] March 12–15, 2021217 (LV)± 6.3%6%––17%––27%7%4%39%
UNLV Lee Business School [101] November 30 – December 2, 2020221 (RV)± 7.0%––3%23%2%–24%7%3%39%

Debates

2022 North Carolina US Senate election Republican primary debates
No.DateHostModeratorLinkParticipants
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Non-invitee  I Invitee  W  Withdrawn
Ted BuddMarjorie EastmanPat McCroryMark Walker
1February 16, 2022 John Locke Foundation
Carolina Journal		Jonah Kaplan Video APPP
2April 14, 2022 WRAL-TV Lena Tillett Video ANPP
3April 20, 2022 Spectrum News 1 Tim Boyum Video APPP
4April 26, 2022 Nexstar Media Group Bob Buckley
Rod Carter		 Video ANPP

Results

Results by county Budd 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% McCrory 40-50% 2022 United States Senate Republican primary election in North Carolina results map by county.svg
Results by county
  Budd
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  McCrory
  •   40–50%
Republican primary results [102]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Ted Budd 448,128 58.61%
Republican Pat McCrory 188,13524.60%
Republican Mark Walker 70,4869.22%
Republican Marjorie Eastman 22,5352.95%
Republican David Flaherty7,2650.95%
Republican Kenneth Harper Jr.7,1290.93%
Republican Jen Banwart3,0880.40%
Republican Charles Kenneth Moss2,9200.38%
Republican Leonard Bryant2,9060.38%
Republican Benjamin E. Griffiths2,8700.38%
Republican Debora Tshiovo2,7410.36%
Republican Lee A. Brian2,2320.29%
Republican Lichia Sibhatu2,1910.29%
Republican Drew Bulecza2,0220.26%
Total votes764,648 100.0%

Democratic primary

After losing the 2020 Democratic primary for U.S. Senate, Erica Smith teased a campaign for the other Senate seat in 2022. She officially launched her campaign in March 2021. Jeff Jackson, who has represented the 37th district in the North Carolina Senate since 2014, was widely speculated as a potential candidate for Senate in 2020, but he decided to run for reelection to the State Senate instead. [103] [104] In fall 2020, Jackson said he would discuss a potential 2022 campaign with his family over the holiday season. In January 2021, Jackson officially launched his campaign, and began a tour of the state, holding town hall events in all 100 counties. [105] Cheri Beasley narrowly lost her election to a full term as Chief Justice in 2020. [106] In February 2021, it was reported that she had hired a campaign consultant and was preparing to enter the U.S. Senate race. [107] Beasley officially launched her campaign on April 27. [108]

In November 2021, Smith filed papers to run for North Carolina's 1st congressional district in 2022 after Representative G. K. Butterfield announced he would not seek reelection. [109] On November 23, Smith officially launched her House campaign and ended her Senate campaign. [110] She endorsed Beasley on November 30. [111]

On December 16, 2021, Jackson withdrew from the race and endorsed Beasley, [112] making Beasley the presumptive nominee. [113]

Beasley easily won the nomination with over 81% of the vote. [114]

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Greg Antoine, physician [30]
  • Chrelle Booker, Tryon city councillor (2019–present) [116]
  • James L. Carr Jr. [30]
  • Robert Colon [30]
  • Alyssia Rose-Katherine Hammond [30]
  • Constance Johnson, perennial candidate [117]
  • Tobias LaGrone, business owner, pastor, and counselor [34]
  • B. K. Maginnis [30]
  • Rett Newton, former mayor of Beaufort (2017–2021) [118]
  • Marcus Williams, attorney and perennial candidate [30]

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Tobias LaGrone
Organizations
Cheri Beasley

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

State officials

Local officials

Organizations

Newspapers and publications

Polling

Graphical summary

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Cheri
Beasley		Jeff
Jackson		Rett
Newton		Erica
Smith		Richard
Watkins		OtherUndecided
Meredith College [77] April 25–27, 2022392 (LV)± 4.9%49%––––16% [i] 35%
SurveyUSA [81] April 6–10, 2022523 (LV)± 5.3%37%–2%––13% [j] 49%
December 16, 2021Jackson withdraws from the race.
November 23, 2021Smith withdraws from the race.
November 17, 2021Watkins withdraws from the race.
Global Strategy Group (D) [157] [G] November 1–7, 2021800 (LV)± 3.5%39%25%––––36%
Public Policy Polling (D) [158] [H] August 31 – September 1, 2021700 (LV)± 3.7%33%24%––––43%
Cardinal Point Analytics (R) [98] April 20, 2021500 (LV)± 6.2%32%26%8%16%3%–14%
Meredith College [159] March 12–15, 2021312 (LV)± 5.3%13%13%–11%4%3%57%

Results

Results by county Beasley 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% 90-100% 2022 United States Senate Democratic primary election in North Carolina results map by county.svg
Results by county
  Beasley
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   90–100%
Democratic primary results [102]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Cheri Beasley 501,766 81.09%
Democratic James L. Carr Jr.21,9033.54%
Democratic Alyssia Rose-Katherine Hammond21,0053.39%
Democratic Marcus W. Williams17,4462.82%
Democratic Constance Johnson12,5002.02%
Democratic Rett Newton10,0431.62%
Democratic Chrelle Booker9,9371.61%
Democratic B. K. Maginnis7,0441.14%
Democratic Robert Colon6,9041.12%
Democratic Greg Antoine5,1790.84%
Democratic Tobias LaGrone5,0480.82%
Total votes618,775 100.0%

Independents and third-party candidates

Libertarian Party

Declared

Green Party

Declared

  • Matthew Hoh, activist and veteran [161]

Independents

Write-in candidates

  • Michelle Lewis, activist [162]

Failed to make general election ballot

General election

Debates

2022 North Carolina Senate general election debates [i]
No.DateOrganizerLocationKey:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Non-invitee  I Invitee  W  Withdrawn		Source
Cheri BeasleyTed Budd
1October 7, 2022 Spectrum News 1 North Carolina Raleigh PP [164]
  1. ↑ Minor candidates that aren't invited to any of the debates are omitted.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [165] Lean RFebruary 25, 2022
Inside Elections [166] Tilt ROctober 7, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball [167] Lean RAugust 2, 2022
Politico [168] Lean RApril 1, 2022
RCP [169] Lean ROctober 26, 2022
Fox News [170] Lean RMay 12, 2022
DDHQ [171] Lean ROctober 6, 2022
538 [172] Likely RAugust 3, 2022
The Economist [173] Lean RSeptember 7, 2022

Endorsements

Ted Budd (R)

U.S. presidents

Executive branch officials

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

State officials

State legislators

Local officials

Newspaper

Organizations

Cheri Beasley (D)

U.S. presidents

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

State officials

Local officials

Individuals

Organizations

Newspapers

Michelle Lewis (write-in)
Political parties
Declined to endorse

State officials

Fundraising

In the first quarter of 2022, Beasley raised $3.6 million. [215] In the second quarter of 2022, Beasley reported raising $7.42 million, narrowly beating a second quarter record set by Cal Cunningham in 2020. [216]

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation		Dates
administered		Dates
updated		Ted
Budd (R)		Cheri
Beasley (D)		Undecided
[k] 		Margin
Real Clear Politics [217] October 20 – November 6, 2022November 7, 202251.0%45.0%4.0%Budd +6.0
FiveThirtyEight [218] November 10, 2021 – November 6, 2022November 7, 202249.5%45.2%5.3%Budd +4.3
270toWin [219] November 2–7, 2022November 7, 202250.5%45.5%4.0%Budd +5.0
Average50.3%45.2%4.4%Budd +5.1

Graphical summary

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Ted
Budd (R)		Cheri
Beasley (D)		OtherUndecided
The Trafalgar Group (R) [220] November 4–6, 20221,098 (LV)± 2.9%51%45%2%1%
Data for Progress (D) [221] November 2–6, 20221,322 (LV)± 2.0%51%45%3% [l] –
East Carolina University [222] November 1–3, 20221,183 (LV)± 3.3%52%47%1% [m] –
ActiVote [223] August 5 – November 3, 2022250 (LV)± 6.0%48%47%5% [n] –
Remington Research Group (R) [224] November 1–2, 20221,140 (LV)± 2.9%50%43%2% [o] 5%
Civiqs [225] October 29 – November 2, 2022674 (LV)± 4.9%49%49%2% [p] 1%
Meredith College [226] October 27–30, 2022724 (RV)± 3.4%44%43%7% [q] 7%
Emerson College [227] October 27–29, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%50%45%3% [r] 2%
51%46%4% [s] –
Cygnal (R) [228] [I] October 20–22, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%47%43%2% [t] 7%
Marist College [229] October 17–20, 20221,130 (RV)± 3.8%44%44%2% [u] 10%
899 (LV)± 4.2%49%45%1% [v] 5%
The Trafalgar Group (R) [230] October 16–19, 20221,081 (LV)± 2.9%48%44%3% [w] 5%
East Carolina University [231] October 10–13, 2022902 (LV)± 3.8%50%44%2% [x] 5%
Wick Insights [232] October 8–13, 20221,009 (LV)± 3.1%49%44%2% [y] 5%
Public Policy Polling (D) [233] [J] October 7–8, 2022606 (LV)± 4.0%46%45%–9%
SurveyUSA [234] September 28 – October 2, 2022677 (LV)± 4.4%43%42%2% [z] 13%
Cygnal (R) [235] [I] September 24–26, 2022650 (LV)± 3.79%44%44%2% [aa] 10%
Meredith College [236] September 20–23, 2022731 (LV)± 3.3%41%41%4% [ab] 14%
Civiqs [237] September 17–20, 2022586 (LV)± 5.5%48%49%1% [ac] 2%
Global Strategy Group (D) [238] [G] September 12–20, 2022800 (LV)± 3.5%46%46%––
Emerson College [239] September 15–16, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%46%43%3% [ad] 9%
East Carolina University [240] September 7–10, 20221,020 (LV)± 3.6%49%46%1% [ae] 4%
The Trafalgar Group (R) [241] September 1–4, 20221,079 (LV)± 2.9%47%44%4% [af] 6%
Public Policy Polling (D) [242] August 29–30, 2022601 (V)± 4.0%41%42%6% [ag] 12%
Cygnal (R) [243] August 13–15, 2022615 (LV)± 3.9%42%42%3% [ah] 13%
Blueprint Polling (D) [244] August 4–6, 2022656 (LV)± 3.8%42%46%–12%
PEM Management Corporation (R) [245] [K] July 22–24, 2022300 (LV)± 5.7%40%43%2%15%
The Trafalgar Group (R) [246] June 29 – July 1, 20221,068 (LV)± 2.9%48%45%4% [ai] 3%
Cygnal (R) [247] June 17–19, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%45%40%4% [aj] 11%
SurveyUSA [248] June 8–12, 2022650 (LV)± 5.1%40%44%2% [ak] 14%
Cygnal (R) [249] May 21–22, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%44%42%3% [al] 12%
East Carolina University [250] May 19–20, 2022635 (RV)± 4.5%49%42%2%7%
Meeting Street Insights (R) [251] [L] May 12–16, 2022500 (RV)± 4.4%46%45%–10%
Emerson College [74] May 7–9, 20221,000 (RV)± 3.0%48%41%–10%
Global Strategy Group (D) [252] [G] April 28 – May 4, 2022800 (LV)± 3.5%45%45%–10%
Emerson College [83] April 2–4, 20221,047 (RV)± 3.0%50%43%–8%
Cygnal (R) [253] March 30–31, 2022513 (LV)± 4.3%45%43%–12%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [254] November 10, 2021777 (RV)± 3.5%37%36%3%18%
757 (LV)± 3.6%40%39%3%16%
Hypothetical polling

Marjorie Eastman vs. Cheri Beasley

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Marjorie
Eastman (R)		Cheri
Beasley (D)		Undecided
Emerson College [83] April 2–4, 20221,047 (RV)± 3.0%44%44%12%

Pat McCrory vs. Cheri Beasley

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Pat
McCrory (R)		Cheri
Beasley (D)		OtherUndecided
Emerson College [74] May 7–9, 20221,000 (RV)± 3.0%39%44%–17%
Global Strategy Group (D) [252] [G] April 28 – May 4, 2022800 (LV)± 3.5%45%44%–11%
Emerson College [83] April 2–4, 20221,047 (RV)± 3.0%41%43%–17%
Cygnal (R) [253] March 30–31, 2022513 (LV)± 4.3%41%41%–18%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [254] November 10, 2021777 (RV)± 3.5%39%37%3%15%
757 (LV)± 3.6%42%40%3%13%

Mark Walker vs. Cheri Beasley

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Mark
Walker (R)		Cheri
Beasley (D)		Undecided
Emerson College [83] April 2–4, 20221,047 (RV)± 3.0%47%42%11%

Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Generic
Republican		Generic
Democrat		OtherUndecided
Cygnal (R) [253] March 30–31, 2022513 (LV)± 4.3%50%44%–7%
Spry Strategies (R) [255] August 17, 2021303 (LV)± 5.6%46%34%5%15%
Cygnal (R) [256] May 6–8, 2021600 (LV)± 4.0%47%46%–6%
Cygnal (R) [256] March 2021600 (LV)± 4.0%47%46%–7%

Results

2022 United States Senate election in North Carolina [257]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Ted Budd 1,905,786 50.50% −0.56%
Democratic Cheri Beasley 1,784,04947.27%+1.90%
Libertarian Shannon W. Bray51,6401.37%−2.20%
Green Matthew Hoh29,9340.79%N/A
Write-in 2,5150.07%N/A
Total votes3,773,924 100.0%
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Budd and Beasley each won 7 of 14 congressional districts. [258]

DistrictBuddBeasleyRepresentative
1st 48.8%49.3% G. K. Butterfield (117th Congress)
Don Davis (118th Congress)
2nd 34%63% Deborah Ross
3rd 64%34% Greg Murphy
4th 31%67% David Price (117th Congress)
Valerie Foushee (118th Congress)
5th 60%37% Virginia Foxx
6th 45%53% Kathy Manning
7th 56%42% David Rouzer
8th 68%30% Dan Bishop
9th 54%44% Richard Hudson
10th 70%28% Patrick McHenry
11th 53%45% Madison Cawthorn (117th Congress)
Chuck Edwards (118th Congress)
12th 36%62% Alma Adams
13th 48%50% Wiley Nickel
14th 41%57% Jeff Jackson

See also

Notes

  1. ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ↑ Harper with 3%; Flaherty and Bulecza with 2%; Banwart, Bryant, Griffiths, Sibhatu, and Tshiovo with 1%; Brian and Moss with 0%
  4. ↑ Brian and Moss with 1%; Banwart, Bryant, Bulecza, Flaherty, Griffiths, Harper, Sibhatu, and Tshiovo with 0%
  5. ↑ Griffiths with 2%; Brian, Bulecza, Flaherty, Harper, Moss, and Sibhatu with 1%; Banwart with 0%
  6. ↑ Banwart, Brian, Bryant, Bulecza, Flaherty, Griffiths, Harper, Moss, Sibhatu, and Tshiovo with 0%
  7. ↑ Bishop with 1%, Banwart with 0%
  8. ↑ Cooke with <1%; Banwart and Harper with 0%
  9. ↑ Williams with 9%, "Someone else" with 6%
  10. ↑ Williams with 4%; Booker, Carr, and Hammond with 2%; Antoine, Johnson, and LaGrone with 1%; Colon and Maginnis with 0%
  11. ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  12. ↑ Bray (L) with 2%; Hoh (G) with 1%
  13. ↑ Bray (L) with 1%; Hoh (G) with <1%; "Write-in candidate" with <1%
  14. ↑ Hoh (G) with 4%; Bray (L) with 1%
  15. ↑ Bray (L) with 1%; Hoh (G) with 1%
  16. ↑ "Someone else" with 2%
  17. ↑ Bray (L) with 4%; Hoh (G) with 1%; "Someone else" with 2%
  18. ↑ Bray (L) with 1%; Hoh (G) with 1%; "Someone else" with 1%
  19. ↑ Bray (L) with 2%; Hoh (G) with 1%; "Someone else" with 1%
  20. ↑ Bray (L) with 2%; Hoh (G) with <1%
  21. ↑ "Another party's candidate" with 2%
  22. ↑ "Another party's candidate" with 1%
  23. ↑ Bray (L) with 2%; Hoh (G) with 1%
  24. ↑ Bray (L) with 1%; Hoh (G) with 1%; "Write-in candidate" with <1%
  25. ↑ "Someone else" with 2%
  26. ↑ Bray (L) with 2%; Hoh (G) with <1%
  27. ↑ Bray (L) with 1%; Hoh (G) with 1%
  28. ↑ Bray (L) with 2%; Hoh (G) with 2%
  29. ↑ "Someone else" with 1%
  30. ↑ Bray (L) with 1%; Hoh (G) with 1%, "Someone else" with 1%
  31. ↑ Hoh (G) with 1%; Bray (L) with <1%
  32. ↑ Bray (L) with 2%; Hoh (G) with 1%; "Other" with 1%
  33. ↑ Bray (L) with 5%; Hoh (G) with 1%
  34. ↑ Bray (L) with 2%; Hoh (G) with 1%
  35. ↑ Bray (L) with 2%; "Other" with 2%
  36. ↑ Bray (L) with 3%; Hoh (G) with 1%
  37. ↑ Bray (L) with 2%
  38. ↑ Bray (L) with 2%; Hoh (G) with 1%

Partisan clients

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 Poll conducted for Club for Growth Action, which has endorsed Budd's campaign.
  2. ↑ Poll conducted for the North Carolina Values Coalition
  3. 1 2 Poll conducted for Budd's campaign
  4. ↑ Poll conducted for Awake Carolina, which supports Walker
  5. ↑ Poll conducted for Walker's campaign
  6. 1 2 3 Poll conducted for McCrory's campaign committee
  7. 1 2 3 4 Poll conducted for Beasley's campaign
  8. ↑ Poll conducted for EMILY's List which endorsed Beasley prior to the poll's sampling period
  9. 1 2 Poll conducted for the John Locke Foundation, a conservative think tank.
  10. ↑ This poll was sponsored by Carolina Forward, which supports Beasley
  11. ↑ This poll was conducted for John Bolton Super PAC
  12. ↑ This poll was sponsored by the Carolina Partnership for Reform

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  116. ↑ "Tryon's Booker announces bid for U.S. Senate". Tryon Daily Bulletin . September 19, 2021. Retrieved February 25, 2022.
  117. ↑ "Johnson Campaign Site" . Retrieved January 23, 2022.
  118. ↑ Starkey, Jackie. "Beaufort Mayor Rett Newton to announce 2022 run for US Senate". Carteret County News-Times . Archived from the original on March 26, 2021. Retrieved March 26, 2021.
  119. ↑ Murphy, Brian. "'Expecting science to lead': An expert on viruses is NC's latest Senate candidate". The News & Observer . Archived from the original on March 11, 2021. Retrieved March 23, 2021.
  120. ↑ Battaglia, Danielle (November 17, 2021). "Orange County state lawmaker announces run for Congress". The News & Observer . Retrieved November 17, 2021.
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  122. ↑ Jones & Blount [@JonesandBlount] (November 30, 2021). "Rumors on Jones Street are flying that after initially turning down an #NCSEN run, Cohen could indeed be preparing to enter the race after all. #NCPOL https://t.co/m5aUioCjjJ" (Tweet). Archived from the original on December 2, 2021. Retrieved May 15, 2022– via Twitter.
  123. ↑ Campbell, Colin [@RaleighReporter] (November 30, 2021). ".@SecMandyCohen says she's not running for any elected office, quashing speculation about a Senate run, and also quashing my hopes of seeing @AndySpecht doing @PolitiFactNC in a chicken suit #ncpol" (Tweet). Archived from the original on December 2, 2021. Retrieved May 15, 2022– via Twitter.
  124. ↑ Murphy, Brian (March 11, 2021). "Cooper says he'd win if he ran for Senate. Why won't he? NC Lt. Gov. Mark Robinson" . The Charlotte Observer . Archived from the original on May 29, 2021. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
  125. ↑ Morrill, Jim. "Sen. Jeff Jackson is latest Democrat to signal possible run for U.S. Senate in 2022". The News & Observer . Archived from the original on December 16, 2020. Retrieved December 8, 2020.
  126. ↑ Everitt, Terence [@TerenceEveritt] (December 9, 2020). "I'm officially announcing that I've decided to NOT run for U.S. Senate in 2022. Jenn and I were going to talk about it over the holiday but then she reminded me that we live together and see each other literally all of the time – so there was really no point in dragging it out" (Tweet). Archived from the original on December 9, 2020. Retrieved September 8, 2021– via Twitter.
  127. ↑ Arkin, James. "Former astronaut mulling Senate run in North Carolina". Politico . Archived from the original on March 6, 2021. Retrieved March 7, 2021.
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  129. ↑ Perrotti, Kyle (August 31, 2020). "Former NC 11 rep talks politics". The Mountaineer . Archived from the original on September 2, 2020. Retrieved January 17, 2021.
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  135. 1 2 Kruse, Michael. "One of These People Is the Future of the Democratic South". Politico Magazine . Retrieved October 30, 2021.
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  139. 1 2 "Senate Candidates". Council for a Livable World.
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  142. 1 2 Robillard, Kevin (May 6, 2021). "EMILY's List Bets On Cheri Beasley As North Carolina's First Black Senator". Huffington Post . Archived from the original on May 6, 2021. Retrieved May 6, 2021.
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  145. 1 2 "Giffords PAC Endorses Cheri Beasley for US Senate" (Press release). Giffords. February 25, 2022.
  146. 1 2 Luneau, Delphine (March 7, 2022). "Human Rights Campaign Endorses Cheri Beasley of North Carolina In Campaign For U.S. Senate" (Press release). Human Rights Campaign.
  147. 1 2 "Jewish Dems Announce New Endorsements Across 13 States" (Press release). Jewish Democratic Council of America. March 29, 2022.
  148. 1 2 "LCV Action Fund Announces First Round of Non-Incumbent Sentate Endorsements" (Press release). League of Conservation Voters. February 2, 2022. Retrieved February 2, 2022.
  149. 1 2 "NARAL Pro-Choice America Endorses Cheri Beasley for Election to the U.S. Senate". NARAL Pro-Choice America. February 17, 2022.
  150. 1 2 "Our Recommended Candidates". educationvotes.nea.org. National Education Association.
  151. 1 2 "NRDC Action Fund Endorses Beasley for U.S. Senate". nrdcactionfund.org. March 8, 2022.
  152. 1 2 "Planned Parenthood Action Fund 2022 Endorsements". Planned Parenthood Action Fund.
  153. 1 2 "2022 House & Senate Endorsements". Population Connection Action Fund. Archived from the original on July 2, 2022. Retrieved April 21, 2022.
  154. 1 2 "Sierra Club Voter Guide: Endorsements". Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide. March 19, 2021.
  155. ↑ "2022 Primary Endorsements: US House and Senate". INDY Week. April 27, 2022. Retrieved April 30, 2022.
  156. ↑ "2022 Endorsements: Federal & State". Indy Week. October 19, 2022. Retrieved October 20, 2022.
  157. ↑ Global Strategy Group (D)
  158. ↑ Public Policy Polling (D)
  159. ↑ Meredith College
  160. ↑ "1-on-1 with Pat McCrory: His senate run, his stance on HB2 now". WCNC. April 15, 2021. Archived from the original on April 20, 2021. Retrieved April 20, 2021.
  161. ↑ "Matthew Hoh for Senate". Matthew Hoh for Senate.
  162. ↑ Jurkowitz, Mark. "'Partisan politics are tearing us up' – Manteo's Michelle Lewis to launch unaffiliated U.S. Senate bid". The Outer Banks Voice.
  163. ↑ "Ex-Republican Rhinehardt seeks NC Senate bid as independent". The Telegraph . Associated Press. March 9, 2021. Archived from the original on March 11, 2021. Retrieved May 2, 2021.
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  165. ↑ "2022 Senate Race ratings". The Cook Political Report . Archived from the original on January 5, 2021. Retrieved July 22, 2021.
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  167. ↑ "2022 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Archived from the original on February 1, 2021. Retrieved January 28, 2021.
  168. ↑ "North Carolina Senate Race 2022". Politico . April 1, 2022.
  169. ↑ "Battle for the Senate 2022". RealClearPolitics. January 10, 2022.
  170. ↑ "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. May 12, 2022. Retrieved May 12, 2022.
  171. ↑ "2022 Election Forecast". DDHQ. July 20, 2022. Retrieved July 20, 2022.
  172. ↑ "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.
  173. ↑ "Economist's 2022 Senate forecast". The Economist. September 7, 2022. Retrieved September 7, 2022.
  174. ↑ Curto, Christian (September 30, 2022). "Ambassador John Bolton Endorses Ted Budd for U.S. Senate". John Bolton PAC | BoltonPAC.com. Retrieved September 7, 2023.
  175. ↑ Mercer, Matt (July 15, 2022). "Nikki Haley endorses Ted Budd in US Senate race". North State Journal . Retrieved September 27, 2022.
  176. 1 2 Fain, Travis (August 12, 2022). "In NC Senate race, GOP's Budd steps up public appearances to tout law enforcement support". WRAL . Retrieved August 12, 2022.
  177. ↑ Battagalia, Danielle (November 1, 2022). "Former VP Mike Pence to visit North Carolina for Budd campaign". The News & Observer . Retrieved November 2, 2022.
  178. ↑ Deatherage, Stan (August 10, 2022). "Secretary Pompeo Endorses Ted Budd For Senate" (Press release). Mike Pompeo . Retrieved September 27, 2022– via Beaufort County Now.
  179. ↑ Brand, Hayley (October 11, 2022). "Ted Budd Speaks at Rally Ahead of Midterm Election". WCCB.
  180. ↑ @votetimscott (July 17, 2022). "I'm endorsing Ted Budd because he fights hard to protect North Carolina families every single day. I firmly believe @TedBuddNC will work to make North Carolina and our country a better place to live."" (Tweet). Retrieved July 20, 2022– via Twitter.
  181. ↑ Deatherage, Stan (July 3, 2021). "Congressman Brian Mast Endorses Ted Budd for US Senate" (Press release). Brian Mast . Retrieved September 27, 2022– via Beaufort County Now.
  182. ↑ Deatherage, Stan (October 11, 2022). "NC Farmers Fact-Check Beasley Pre-Debate!" (Press release). Steve Troxler . Retrieved November 1, 2022– via Beaufort County Now.
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  185. ↑ Hammer, Josh (October 24, 2022). "Rhino Times Midterm Election Endorsements". Rhino Times . Retrieved November 2, 2022.
  186. ↑ "APP Congratulates Ted Budd on Victory in N.C. GOP Senate Primary". American Principles Project. May 18, 2022. Retrieved September 27, 2022.
  187. ↑ "Endorsed Candidates". Campaign for Working Families. Retrieved September 27, 2022.
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  189. ↑ "FRC Action PAC Endorses Ted Budd for U.S. Senate in North Carolina". August 9, 2022. Retrieved August 13, 2022.
  190. ↑ "Home". HSLDA Action PAC.
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  192. ↑ "North Carolina's Small Business Community Endorses Ted Budd". nfib.com. August 23, 2022. Retrieved August 25, 2022.
  193. ↑ "North Carolina". National Republican Senatorial Committee.
  194. ↑ "National Right to Life Endorses Ted Budd in North Carolina Senate Race" (Press release). National Right to Life Committee. May 24, 2022. Retrieved September 27, 2022.
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  196. ↑ "Vote Freedom First. Vote Ted Budd for U.S. Senate!". NRA-PVF. Archived from the original on September 27, 2022.
  197. ↑ "RJC endorsed candidates". rjcpac.com. Archived from the original on June 11, 2020. Retrieved September 9, 2022.
  198. ↑ "Election Alert: Tea Party Express Endorses Ted Budd for Senate in North Carolina" (Press release). Tea Party Express . Retrieved September 27, 2022.
  199. ↑ "U.S. Chamber of Commerce endorses Budd as Planned Parenthood drops millions in N.C. for Democrats". The Carolina Journal. John Locke Foundation. October 12, 2022. Retrieved November 2, 2022.
  200. ↑ Schoenbaum, Hannah (October 25, 2022). "Obama endorses North Carolina candidate in crucial Senate race for Democrats". The Virginian-Pilot . Associated Press. Archived from the original on October 31, 2022.
  201. ↑ Levine, Marianne (October 4, 2022). "Dems agonize over N.C. spending debacle as Senate race tightens". Politico . Archived from the original on October 29, 2022.
  202. ↑ "Cheri Beasley's For the People: Get Out the Vote Tour -- Chapel Hill with Senator Jon Ossoff". Mobilize. September 8, 2022.
  203. 1 2 "Clyburn, Stabenow to campaign for Beasley in North Carolina Senate race". The Hill . October 18, 2022.
  204. ↑ "U.S. Senate hopeful Beasley rallies supporters in Greenville". October 28, 2022.
  205. ↑ Shapero, Julia (November 3, 2022). "Oprah Winfrey backs Fetterman". The Hill .
  206. ↑ "Equality NC PAC2022 Endorsements". Equality NC PAC.
  207. ↑ Saccone, Mike (July 28, 2022). "National Wildlife Federation Action Fund Endorses Cheri Beasley for U.S. Senate" (Press release). National Wildlife Federation.
  208. ↑ "NWPC 2022 Endorsed Candidates". National Women's Political Caucus.
  209. ↑ "NC Labor 2022 - Endorsements" . Retrieved July 2, 2022.
  210. ↑ "Endorsement: The Editorial Board's choice in North Carolina's U.S. Senate race" . The Charlotte Observer (editorial). October 28, 2022. Archived from the original on November 14, 2022.
  211. ↑ "Editorial: Our endorsements for the 2022 midterm elections".
  212. ↑ "2022 Endorsements: Federal & State". INDY Week. October 19, 2022. Retrieved October 21, 2022.
  213. ↑ Hackmer, Michael (November 1, 2022). "Reform Party Endorses Michelle Lewis for US Senate in North Carolina" (Press release). Reform Party National Committee. Retrieved November 1, 2022.
  214. ↑ "Pat McCrory refuses endorse Ted Budd after losing GOP primary in North Carolina" (video). NBC News.
  215. ↑ "Beasley makes largest quarterly fundraising in Senate bid". Associated Press. April 7, 2022. Retrieved July 14, 2022.
  216. ↑ Wright, Will (July 13, 2022). "Beasley campaign beats second-quarter fundraising record in North Carolina Senate bid". The News & Observer . Retrieved July 14, 2022.
  217. ↑ Real Clear Politics
  218. ↑ FiveThirtyEight
  219. ↑ 270toWin
  220. ↑ The Trafalgar Group (R)
  221. ↑ Data for Progress (D)
  222. ↑ East Carolina University
  223. ↑ ActiVote
  224. ↑ Remington Research Group (R)
  225. ↑ Civiqs
  226. ↑ Meredith College
  227. ↑ Emerson College
  228. ↑ Cygnal (R)
  229. ↑ Marist College
  230. ↑ The Trafalgar Group (R)
  231. ↑ East Carolina University
  232. ↑ Wick Insights
  233. ↑ Public Policy Polling (D)
  234. ↑ SurveyUSA
  235. ↑ Cygnal (R)
  236. ↑ Meredith College
  237. ↑ Civiqs
  238. ↑ Global Strategy Group (D)
  239. ↑ Emerson College
  240. ↑ East Carolina University
  241. ↑ The Trafalgar Group (R)
  242. ↑ Public Policy Polling (D)
  243. ↑ Cygnal (R)
  244. ↑ Blueprint Polling (D)
  245. ↑ PEM Management Corporation (R)
  246. ↑ The Trafalgar Group (R)
  247. ↑ Cygnal (R)
  248. ↑ SurveyUSA
  249. ↑ Cygnal (R)
  250. ↑ East Carolina University
  251. ↑ Meeting Street Insights (R) Archived May 18, 2022, at the Wayback Machine
  252. 1 2 Global Strategy Group (D)
  253. 1 2 3 Cygnal (R)
  254. 1 2 Redfield & Wilton Strategies
  255. ↑ Spry Strategies (R)
  256. 1 2 Cygnal (R)
  257. ↑ "11/08/2022 OFFICIAL LOCAL ELECTION RESULTS - STATEWIDE". North Carolina State Board of Elections.
  258. ↑ Results. docs.google.com (Report).

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