2022 United States Senate election in North Carolina

Last updated

2022 United States Senate election in North Carolina
Flag of North Carolina.svg
  2016 November 8, 2022 2028  
  Ted Budd official portrait, 115th Congress (alt crop).jpg Cheri Beasley HBCU The Road To Justice Tour 2.png
Nominee Ted Budd Cheri Beasley
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote1,905,7861,784,049
Percentage50.5%47.3%

2022 United States Senate election in North Carolina results map by county.svg
2022 United States Senate election in North Carolina by congressional district.svg
2022 United States Senate election in North Carolina by NC Senate district.svg
2022 United States Senate election in North Carolina by State House district.svg
NC SEN 2022.svg
Budd:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Beasley:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     40–50%

U.S. senator before election

Richard Burr
Republican

Elected U.S. senator

Ted Budd
Republican

The 2022 United States Senate election in North Carolina was held on November 8, 2022 to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of North Carolina. Primary elections were scheduled for March 8, 2022, [1] but were delayed by the North Carolina Supreme Court and rescheduled for May 17.

Contents

Incumbent three-term Republican U.S. senator Richard Burr announced in 2016 that he would not seek reelection in 2022. [2] Former chief justice of the North Carolina Supreme Court Cheri Beasley [3] and U.S. Representative Ted Budd won the Democratic and Republican primaries, respectively. [4] [5] [6] [7] The race was considered competitive, with Budd narrowly leading in polls. [8] [9] Budd ultimately won with 50.5% of the vote to Beasley's 47.3% — a margin of 3.2%. [10]

Despite Budd's win in the election, it marked the Class III seats worst performance by a Republican since 1998, and the best performance by a Democrat since 2004. It was also the closest election since 1998.

Republican primary

Former Governor Pat McCrory from Charlotte finished second in the primary. Pat-McCrory June-2015(crop).jpg
Former Governor Pat McCrory from Charlotte finished second in the primary.
Former U.S. Representative Mark Walker from Greensboro finished third in the primary. Walker Official Photo 2017 (alt crop).jpg
Former U.S. Representative Mark Walker from Greensboro finished third in the primary.

With Burr's retirement, this primary was expected to be very competitive. [11] Former U.S. Representative Mark Walker was the first major candidate to announce his candidacy, on December 1, 2020. [12] Walker opted to retire from the House and not run for reelection in 2020 because his district was made much more favorable to the Democratic Party after redistricting. Former president Donald Trump's daughter-in-law Lara Trump was widely speculated as a possible candidate for this seat. [11] She received encouragement and support from U.S. Senator Lindsey Graham [13] and Kellyanne Conway, [11] a former Trump White House official. Early opinion polls suggested she would perform well against other prospective candidates in the primary. [14] On April 14, 2021, former governor Pat McCrory announced his candidacy. [15] U.S. Representative Ted Budd announced his candidacy on April 28, 2021. [4]

Opinion polls taken during April 2021 showed McCrory with a wide lead over Walker and Budd. McCrory was aided by a high degree of name recognition because of his several statewide campaigns. [16]

On June 5, 2021, the North Carolina Republican Party held a convention in Greenville. At the convention, former president Trump announced that he was endorsing Budd for the U.S. Senate seat. [17] Lara Trump announced that she would not be running, and joined her father-in-law in endorsing Budd. The former president also took a shot at McCrory, saying, "You can't pick people that have already lost two races, that do not stand for our values." McCrory lost both the 2008 and 2016 gubernatorial elections. [18] Budd was reportedly unaware of Trump's intentions until 15 minutes before he took the stage. [18] Both Walker and McCrory stated their intentions to stay in the race. [5]

Meanwhile, North Carolina redrew its congressional maps, making Walker's house seat more favorable to Republicans than it had been before 2020. After that, Trump met with Walker and promised to endorse him if he left the Senate race to instead run for his old House seat, newly numbered as the 7th district. [19] Walker filed to switch races, but later decided against it in favor of staying in the Senate race. [20]

The first primary debate was held on February 26 in Raleigh. It was sponsored by the John Locke Foundation, a conservative think tank based in North Carolina. McCrory, Walker and Eastman participated. Budd was invited, but did not attend, leaving an empty podium. [21] [22] The first televised debate was held by WRAL-TV on April 14 and featured McCrory and Walker, with Budd once again declining to attend. [23] A third debate was held on April 20 on Spectrum News 1. McCrory, Walker, and Eastman participated. [24] A fourth debate, sponsored by Nexstar Media Group, was held on April 26 and aired on television stations across North Carolina, including WJZY, WNCN, WGHP, and WNCT-TV. [25] McCrory and Walker participated. Budd declined and Eastman was not invited. [26]

Budd won the primary overwhelmingly with over 58% of the vote. McCrory finished second with almost 25%, and Walker third with 9%. Budd won a plurality in every county in the state except for Mecklenburg, which McCrory won by under 100 votes. After the results were released, McCrory declared his political career over. He did not endorse Budd for the general election. [27]

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Ted Budd
Executive Branch officials
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
State officials
Organizations
Marjorie Eastman
U.S. senators
Pat McCrory
U.S. senators
U.S. Governors
  • Jim Martin, 70th Governor of North Carolina (1985–1993) and former U.S. Representative for NC-09 (1973–1985) [67]
Mark Walker [68] [37]
Executive Branch officials
U.S. Governors
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives

Polling

Graphical summary

Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Ted
Budd
Marjorie
Eastman
Pat
McCrory
Mark
Walker
Other
[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
Real Clear Politics April 1 – May 5, 2022May 12, 202240.3%2.8%22.3%8.5%26.1%Budd +18.0
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Ted
Budd
Marjorie
Eastman
Pat
McCrory
Mark
Walker
OtherUndecided
Emerson College May 7–9, 2022467 (LV)± 4.5%43%2%16%12%12% [lower-alpha 3] 16%
co/efficient (R) May 4–5, 20221,089 (LV)± 3.0%48%3%20%13%5%11%
Atlantic Polling Strategies (R) April 25–28, 2022534 (LV)± 4.9%45%3%21%9%2%20%
Meredith College April 25–27, 2022588 (LV)± 4.0%33%3%26%7%6%34%
WPA Intelligence (R) [upper-alpha 1] April 24–26, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%43%4%23%9%1%20%
The Trafalgar Group (R) April 23–25, 20221,049 (LV)± 3.0%53%6%29%8%4%
Spry Strategies (R) April 6–10, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%40%2%27%8%3%20%
SurveyUSA April 6–10, 2022593 (LV)± 5.0%33%2%23%7%2% [lower-alpha 4] 33%
WPA Intelligence (R) [upper-alpha 1] April 3–5, 2022510 (LV)± 4.4%44%3%31%11%1%11%
Emerson College April 2–4, 2022508 (LV)± 4.3%38%1%22%9%8% [lower-alpha 5] 23%
Cygnal (R) April 1–3, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%32%1%21%7%1% [lower-alpha 6] 39%
34%3%24%10%30%
Vitale & Associates (R) [upper-alpha 2] March 22–23, 2022504 (LV)± 4.4%32%2%29%12%25%
Meeting Street Insights (R) [upper-alpha 3] February 26 – March 1, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%25%4%31%16%23%
Ingress Research Group (R) [upper-alpha 4] February 27, 2022864 (LV)± 3.3%18%4%29%11%35%
Remington Research Group (R) [upper-alpha 5] February 2022– (LV)24%3%35%17%21%
Cygnal (R) January 7–9, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%19%1%24%7%1% [lower-alpha 7] 49%
Strategic Partners Solutions (R) Archived January 13, 2022, at the Wayback Machine [upper-alpha 6] January 5, 2022800 (LV)± 3.5%21%1%30%8%<1% [lower-alpha 8] 41%
WPA Intelligence (R) [upper-alpha 1] November 1–3, 2021500 (LV)± 4.4%33%36%13%18%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) Archived October 25, 2021, at the Wayback Machine [upper-alpha 6] October 16–19, 2021500 (LV)± 4.4%25%40%8%
WPA Intelligence (R) [upper-alpha 1] June 22–24, 2021509 (LV)± 4.4%21%45%13%21%
Meeting Street Insights (R) [upper-alpha 3] June 9–10, 2021500 (LV)± 4.4%19%45%12%23%
Spry Strategies (R) April 21–24, 2021700 (LV)± 4.4%5%40%11%44%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [upper-alpha 6] April 6–8, 2021500 (LV)± 4.4%9%48%13%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Ted
Budd
Dan
Forest
George
Holding
Pat
McCrory
Tim
Moore
Mark
Robinson
Lara
Trump
Mark
Walker
OtherUndecided
Spry Strategies (R) April 6–10, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%50%30%20%
Cygnal (R) January 7–9, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%34%33%33%
WPA Intelligence (R) [upper-alpha 1] December 19–21, 2021504 (LV)± 4.4%47%43%10%
Cardinal Point Analytics (R) April 20, 2021500 (LV)± 6.2%2%36%36%10%15%
Cygnal (R) April 2021500 (LV)± 4.4%13%14%20%32%3%
Meredith College Archived March 22, 2021, at the Wayback Machine March 12–15, 2021217 (LV)± 6.3%6%17%27%7%4%39%
UNLV Lee Business School November 30 – December 2, 2020221 (RV)± 7.0%3%23%2%24%7%3%39%

Debates

2022 North Carolina US Senate election Republican primary debates
No.DateHostModeratorLinkParticipants
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Non-invitee  I Invitee  W  Withdrawn
Ted BuddMarjorie EastmanPat McCroryMark Walker
1February 16, 2022 John Locke Foundation
Carolina Journal
Jonah Kaplan Video APPP
2April 14, 2022 WRAL-TV Lena Tillett Video ANPP
3April 20, 2022 Spectrum News 1 Tim Boyum Video APPP
4April 26, 2022 Nexstar Media Group Bob Buckley
Rod Carter
Video ANPP

Results

Results by county
Budd
40-50%
50-60%
60-70%
70-80%
McCrory
40-50% 2022 United States Senate Republican primary election in North Carolina results map by county.svg
Results by county
  Budd
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  McCrory
  •   40–50%
Republican primary results [73]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Ted Budd 448,128 58.61%
Republican Pat McCrory 188,13524.60%
Republican Mark Walker 70,4869.22%
Republican Marjorie Eastman 22,5352.95%
Republican David Flaherty7,2650.95%
Republican Kenneth Harper, Jr.7,1290.93%
Republican Jen Banwart3,0880.40%
Republican Charles Kenneth Moss2,9200.38%
Republican Leonard Bryant2,9060.38%
Republican Benjamin E. Griffiths2,8700.38%
Republican Debora Tshiovo2,7410.36%
Republican Lee A. Brian2,2320.29%
Republican Lichia Sibhatu2,1910.29%
Republican Drew Bulecza2,0220.26%
Total votes764,648 100.0%

Democratic primary

After losing the 2020 Democratic primary for U.S. Senate, Erica Smith teased a campaign for the other Senate seat in 2022. She officially launched her campaign in March 2021. Jeff Jackson, who has represented the 37th district in the North Carolina Senate since 2014, was widely speculated as a potential candidate for Senate in 2020, but he decided to run for reelection to the State Senate instead. [74] [75] In fall 2020, Jackson said he would discuss a potential 2022 campaign with his family over the holiday season. In January 2021, Jackson officially launched his campaign, and began a tour of the state, holding town hall events in all 100 counties. [76] Cheri Beasley narrowly lost her election to a full term as Chief Justice in 2020. [77] In February 2021, it was reported that she had hired a campaign consultant and was preparing to enter the U.S. Senate race. [78] Beasley officially launched her campaign on April 27. [79]

In November 2021, Smith filed papers to run for North Carolina's 1st congressional district in 2022 after Representative G. K. Butterfield announced he would not seek reelection. [80] On November 23, Smith officially launched her House campaign and ended her Senate campaign. [81] She endorsed Beasley on November 30. [82]

On December 16, 2021, Jackson withdrew from the race and endorsed Beasley, [83] making Beasley the presumptive nominee. [84]

Beasley easily won the nomination with over 81% of the vote. [85]

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Greg Antoine, physician [30]
  • Chrelle Booker, Tryon city councillor (2019–present) [87]
  • James L. Carr Jr. [30]
  • Robert Colon [30]
  • Alyssia Rose-Katherine Hammond [30]
  • Constance Johnson, perennial candidate [88]
  • Tobias LaGrone, business owner, pastor, and counselor [34]
  • B. K. Maginnis [30]
  • Rett Newton, former mayor of Beaufort (2017–2021) [89]
  • Marcus Williams, attorney and perennial candidate [30]

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Tobias LaGrone
Cheri Beasley
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
State officials
Local officials
Organizations
Newspapers and publications

Polling

Graphical summary

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Cheri
Beasley
Jeff
Jackson
Rett
Newton
Erica
Smith
Richard
Watkins
OtherUndecided
Meredith College April 25–27, 2022392 (LV)± 4.9%49%16% [lower-alpha 9] 35%
SurveyUSA April 6–10, 2022523 (LV)± 5.3%37%2%13% [lower-alpha 10] 49%
December 16, 2021Jackson withdraws from the race.
November 23, 2021Smith withdraws from the race.
November 17, 2021Watkins withdraws from the race.
Global Strategy Group (D) [upper-alpha 7] November 1–7, 2021800 (LV)± 3.5%39%25%36%
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 8] August 31 – September 1, 2021700 (LV)± 3.7%33%24%43%
Cardinal Point Analytics (R) April 20, 2021500 (LV)± 6.2%32%26%8%16%3%14%
Meredith College March 12–15, 2021312 (LV)± 5.3%13%13%11%4%3%57%

Results

Results by county
Beasley
40-50%
50-60%
60-70%
70-80%
80-90%
90-100% 2022 United States Senate Democratic primary election in North Carolina results map by county.svg
Results by county
  Beasley
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   90–100%
Democratic primary results [73]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Cheri Beasley 501,766 81.09%
Democratic James L. Carr Jr.21,9033.54%
Democratic Alyssia Rose-Katherine Hammond21,0053.39%
Democratic Marcus W. Williams17,4462.82%
Democratic Constance Johnson12,5002.02%
Democratic Rett Newton10,0431.62%
Democratic Chrelle Booker9,9371.61%
Democratic B. K. Maginnis7,0441.14%
Democratic Robert Colon6,9041.12%
Democratic Greg Antoine5,1790.84%
Democratic Tobias LaGrone5,0480.82%
Total votes618,775 100.0%

Independents and third-party candidates

Libertarian Party

Declared

Green Party

Declared

  • Matthew Hoh, activist and veteran [129]

Independents

Write-in candidates

  • Michelle Lewis, activist [130]

Failed to make general election ballot

General election

Debates

2022 North Carolina Senate general election debates [lower-roman 1]
No.DateOrganizerLocationKey:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Non-invitee  I Invitee  W  Withdrawn
Source
Cheri BeasleyTed Budd
1October 7, 2022 Spectrum News 1 North Carolina Raleigh PP [132]
  1. Minor candidates that aren't invited to any of the debates are omitted.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [133] Lean RFebruary 25, 2022
Inside Elections [134] Tilt ROctober 7, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball [135] Lean RAugust 2, 2022
Politico [136] Lean RApril 1, 2022
RCP [137] Lean ROctober 26, 2022
Fox News [138] Lean RMay 12, 2022
DDHQ [139] Lean ROctober 6, 2022
538 [140] Likely RAugust 3, 2022
The Economist [141] Lean RSeptember 7, 2022

Endorsements

Ted Budd (R)
U.S. Presidents
Executive Branch officials
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
State officials
State legislators
Local officials
Newspaper
Organizations
Cheri Beasley (D)
U.S. Presidents
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
State officials
Local officials
Individuals
Organizations
Newspapers
Michelle Lewis (write-in)
Declined to endorse
State officials

Fundraising

In the first quarter of 2022, Beasley raised $3.6 million. [183] In the second quarter of 2022, Beasley reported raising $7.42 million, narrowly beating a second quarter record set by Cal Cunningham in 2020. [184]

Polling

Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Ted
Budd (R)
Cheri
Beasley (D)
Undecided
[lower-alpha 11]
Margin
Real Clear Politics October 20 – November 6, 2022November 7, 202251.0%45.0%4.0%Budd +6.0
FiveThirtyEight November 10, 2021 – November 6, 2022November 7, 202249.5%45.2%5.3%Budd +4.3
270toWin November 2 – November 7, 2022November 7, 202250.5%45.5%4.0%Budd +5.0
Average50.3%45.2%4.4%Budd +5.1
Graphical summary
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Ted
Budd (R)
Cheri
Beasley (D)
OtherUndecided
The Trafalgar Group (R) November 4–6, 20221,098 (LV)± 2.9%51%45%2%1%
Data for Progress (D) November 2–6, 20221,322 (LV)± 2.0%51%45%3% [lower-alpha 12]
East Carolina University November 1–3, 20221,183 (LV)± 3.3%52%47%1% [lower-alpha 13]
ActiVote August 5 – November 3, 2022250 (LV)± 6.0%48%47%5% [lower-alpha 14]
Remington Research Group (R) November 1–2, 20221,140 (LV)± 2.9%50%43%2% [lower-alpha 15] 5%
Civiqs October 29 – November 2, 2022674 (LV)± 4.9%49%49%2% [lower-alpha 16] 1%
Meredith College October 27–30, 2022724 (RV)± 3.4%44%43%7% [lower-alpha 17] 7%
Emerson College October 27–29, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%50%45%3% [lower-alpha 18] 2%
51%46%4% [lower-alpha 19]
Cygnal (R) [upper-alpha 9] October 20–22, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%47%43%2% [lower-alpha 20] 7%
Marist College October 17–20, 20221,130 (RV)± 3.8%44%44%2% [lower-alpha 21] 10%
899 (LV)± 4.2%49%45%1% [lower-alpha 22] 5%
The Trafalgar Group (R) October 16–19, 20221,081 (LV)± 2.9%48%44%3% [lower-alpha 23] 5%
East Carolina University October 10–13, 2022902 (LV)± 3.8%50%44%2% [lower-alpha 24] 5%
Wick Insights October 8–13, 20221,009 (LV)± 3.1%49%44%2% [lower-alpha 25] 5%
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 10] October 7–8, 2022606 (LV)± 4.0%46%45%9%
SurveyUSA September 28 – October 2, 2022677 (LV)± 4.4%43%42%2% [lower-alpha 26] 13%
Cygnal (R) [upper-alpha 9] September 24–26, 2022650 (LV)± 3.79%44%44%2% [lower-alpha 27] 10%
Meredith College September 20–23, 2022731 (LV)± 3.3%41%41%4% [lower-alpha 28] 14%
Civiqs September 17–20, 2022586 (LV)± 5.5%48%49%1% [lower-alpha 29] 2%
Global Strategy Group (D) [upper-alpha 7] September 12–20, 2022800 (LV)± 3.5%46%46%
Emerson College September 15–16, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%46%43%3% [lower-alpha 30] 9%
East Carolina University September 7–10, 20221,020 (LV)± 3.6%49%46%1% [lower-alpha 31] 4%
The Trafalgar Group (R) September 1–4, 20221,079 (LV)± 2.9%47%44%4% [lower-alpha 32] 6%
Public Policy Polling (D) August 29–30, 2022601 (V)± 4.0%41%42%6% [lower-alpha 33] 12%
Cygnal (R) August 13–15, 2022615 (LV)± 3.9%42%42%3% [lower-alpha 34] 13%
Blueprint Polling (D) August 4–6, 2022656 (LV)± 3.8%42%46%12%
PEM Management Corporation (R) [upper-alpha 11] July 22–24, 2022300 (LV)± 5.7%40%43%2%15%
The Trafalgar Group (R) June 29 – July 1, 20221,068 (LV)± 2.9%48%45%4% [lower-alpha 35] 3%
Cygnal (R) June 17–19, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%45%40%4% [lower-alpha 36] 11%
SurveyUSA June 8–12, 2022650 (LV)± 5.1%40%44%2% [lower-alpha 37] 14%
Cygnal (R) May 21–22, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%44%42%3% [lower-alpha 38] 12%
East Carolina University May 19–20, 2022635 (RV)± 4.5%49%42%2%7%
Meeting Street Insights (R) Archived May 18, 2022, at the Wayback Machine [upper-alpha 12] May 12–16, 2022500 (RV)± 4.4%46%45%10%
Emerson College May 7–9, 20221,000 (RV)± 3.0%48%41%10%
Global Strategy Group (D) [upper-alpha 7] April 28 – May 4, 2022800 (LV)± 3.5%45%45%10%
Emerson College April 2–4, 20221,047 (RV)± 3.0%50%43%8%
Cygnal (R) March 30–31, 2022513 (LV)± 4.3%45%43%12%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies November 10, 2021777 (RV)± 3.5%37%36%3%18%
757 (LV)± 3.6%40%39%3%16%
Hypothetical polling
Marjorie Eastman vs. Cheri Beasley
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Marjorie
Eastman (R)
Cheri
Beasley (D)
Undecided
Emerson College April 2–4, 20221,047 (RV)± 3.0%44%44%12%
Pat McCrory vs. Cheri Beasley
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Pat
McCrory (R)
Cheri
Beasley (D)
OtherUndecided
Emerson College May 7–9, 20221,000 (RV)± 3.0%39%44%17%
Global Strategy Group (D) [upper-alpha 7] April 28 – May 4, 2022800 (LV)± 3.5%45%44%11%
Emerson College April 2–4, 20221,047 (RV)± 3.0%41%43%17%
Cygnal (R) March 30–31, 2022513 (LV)± 4.3%41%41%18%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies November 10, 2021777 (RV)± 3.5%39%37%3%15%
757 (LV)± 3.6%42%40%3%13%
Mark Walker vs. Cheri Beasley
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Mark
Walker (R)
Cheri
Beasley (D)
Undecided
Emerson College April 2–4, 20221,047 (RV)± 3.0%47%42%11%
Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Generic
Republican
Generic
Democrat
OtherUndecided
Cygnal (R) March 30–31, 2022513 (LV)± 4.3%50%44%7%
Spry Strategies (R) August 17, 2021303 (LV)± 5.6%46%34%5%15%
Cygnal (R) May 6–8, 2021600 (LV)± 4.0%47%46%6%
Cygnal (R) March 2021600 (LV)± 4.0%47%46%7%

Results

2022 United States Senate election in North Carolina [185]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Ted Budd 1,905,786 50.50% -0.56%
Democratic Cheri Beasley 1,784,04947.27%+1.90%
Libertarian Shannon W. Bray51,6401.37%-2.20%
Green Matthew Hoh29,9340.79%N/A
Write-in 2,5150.07%N/A
Total votes3,773,924 100.0%
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Budd and Beasley each won 7 of 14 congressional districts. [186]

DistrictBuddBeasleyRepresentative
1st 48.8%49.3% G. K. Butterfield (117th Congress)
Don Davis (118th Congress)
2nd 34%63% Deborah Ross
3rd 64%34% Greg Murphy
4th 31%67% David Price (117th Congress)
Valerie Foushee (118th Congress)
5th 60%37% Virginia Foxx
6th 45%53% Kathy Manning
7th 56%42% David Rouzer
8th 68%30% Dan Bishop
9th 54%44% Richard Hudson
10th 70%28% Patrick McHenry
11th 53%45% Madison Cawthorn (117th Congress)
Chuck Edwards (118th Congress)
12th 36%62% Alma Adams
13th 48%50% Wiley Nickel
14th 41%57% Jeff Jackson

See also

Notes

  1. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. Harper with 3%; Flaherty and Bulecza with 2%; Banwart, Bryant, Griffiths, Sibhatu, and Tshiovo with 1%; Brian and Moss with 0%
  4. Brian and Moss with 1%; Banwart, Bryant, Bulecza, Flaherty, Griffiths, Harper, Sibhatu, and Tshiovo with 0%
  5. Griffiths with 2%; Brian, Bulecza, Flaherty, Harper, Moss, and Sibhatu with 1%; Banwart with 0%
  6. Banwart, Brian, Bryant, Bulecza, Flaherty, Griffiths, Harper, Moss, Sibhatu, and Tshiovo with 0%
  7. Bishop with 1%, Banwart with 0%
  8. Cooke with <1%; Banwart and Harper with 0%
  9. Williams with 9%, "Someone else" with 6%
  10. Williams with 4%; Booker, Carr, and Hammond with 2%; Antoine, Johnson, and LaGrone with 1%; Colon and Maginnis with 0%
  11. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  12. Bray (L) with 2%; Hoh (G) with 1%
  13. Bray (L) with 1%; Hoh (G) with <1%; "Write-in candidate" with <1%
  14. Hoh (G) with 4%; Bray (L) with 1%
  15. Bray (L) with 1%; Hoh (G) with 1%
  16. "Someone else" with 2%
  17. Bray (L) with 4%; Hoh (G) with 1%; "Someone else" with 2%
  18. Bray (L) with 1%; Hoh (G) with 1%; "Someone else" with 1%
  19. Bray (L) with 2%; Hoh (G) with 1%; "Someone else" with 1%
  20. Bray (L) with 2%; Hoh (G) with <1%
  21. "Another party's candidate" with 2%
  22. "Another party's candidate" with 1%
  23. Bray (L) with 2%; Hoh (G) with 1%
  24. Bray (L) with 1%; Hoh (G) with 1%; "Write-in candidate" with <1%
  25. "Someone else" with 2%
  26. Bray (L) with 2%; Hoh (G) with <1%
  27. Bray (L) with 1%; Hoh (G) with 1%
  28. Bray (L) with 2%; Hoh (G) with 2%
  29. "Someone else" with 1%
  30. Bray (L) with 1%; Hoh (G) with 1%, "Someone else" with 1%
  31. Hoh (G) with 1%; Bray (L) with <1%
  32. Bray (L) with 2%; Hoh (G) with 1%; "Other" with 1%
  33. Bray (L) with 5%; Hoh (G) with 1%
  34. Bray (L) with 2%; Hoh (G) with 1%
  35. Bray (L) with 2%; "Other" with 2%
  36. Bray (L) with 3%; Hoh (G) with 1%
  37. Bray (L) with 2%
  38. Bray (L) with 2%; Hoh (G) with 1%
Partisan clients
  1. 1 2 3 4 5 Poll conducted for Club for Growth Action, which has endorsed Budd's campaign.
  2. Poll conducted for the North Carolina Values Coalition
  3. 1 2 Poll conducted for Budd's campaign
  4. Poll conducted for Awake Carolina, which supports Walker
  5. Poll conducted for Walker's campaign
  6. 1 2 3 Poll conducted for McCrory's campaign committee
  7. 1 2 3 4 Poll conducted for Beasley's campaign
  8. Poll conducted for EMILY's List which endorsed Beasley prior to the poll's sampling period
  9. 1 2 Poll conducted for the John Locke Foundation, a conservative think tank.
  10. This poll was sponsored by Carolina Forward, which supports Beasley
  11. This poll was conducted for John Bolton Super PAC
  12. This poll was sponsored by the Carolina Partnership for Reform

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