2022 Texas Senate election

Last updated

2022 Texas Senate election
Flag of Texas.svg
←  2020 November 8, 2022 2024  →
All of the 31 seats in the Texas Senate
16 seats needed for a majority
 Majority partyMinority party
  Larry Taylor (Texas politician).png Texas State Senator Carol Alvarado.png
Leader Larry Taylor Carol Alvarado
Party Republican Democratic
Leader's seat 11th – Friendswood 6th – Houston
Last election18 seats, 53.28%13 seats, 44.59%
Seats before1813
Seats won1912
Seat changeIncrease2.svg 1Decrease2.svg 1
Popular vote2,948,6432,287,700
Percentage54.06%41.94%
SwingIncrease2.svg 0.78%Decrease2.svg 2.65%
2022 Texas State Senate election.svg
2022 Texas State Senate election voteshares.svg
     Democratic hold
     Republican hold     Republican gain
Republican:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     ≥90%
Democratic:     50–60%     60–70%     80–90%     ≥90%

The 2022 Texas Senate elections were held on November 8, 2022.

Contents

Under the provisions of the Constitution of Texas, all 31 senate districts across the state of Texas were up for re-election, as the election was the first after the decennial United States Census. Numerous other federal, state, and local elections were also held on this date. The winners of this election served in the 88th Texas Legislature, with seats apportioned among the 2020 United States census. Republicans had held a majority in the Texas Senate since January 14, 1997, as a result of the 1996 elections.

Retirements

As of April 2022, six state senators, including four Republicans and two Democrats, decided to retire, one of whom sought another office.

Republicans

Democrats

Predictions

Redistricting greatly reduced the number of competitive seats in the state, making it almost certain that the chamber would remain in Republican hands.

Statewide

SourceRankingAs of
Sabato's Crystal Ball [7] Safe RMay 19, 2022
CNalysis Safe RNov. 7, 2022

Competitive districts

District Incumbent2020 Pres. [8] CNalysis [9] Result
19th Roland Gutierrez 55.81% DLikely D55.39% D
27th Eddie Lucio Jr. (retiring)51.75% DLean R (flip)50.19% D

Results summary

Summary of the November 8, 2022 Texas Senate election results
Texas Senate 2022.svg
PartyCandidatesVotesSeats
No. %BeforeWonAfter+/–
Republican 272,948,64354.06181919Increase2.svg 1
Democratic 222,287,70041.94131212Decrease2.svg 1
Libertarian 6217,9104.00000Steady2.svg
Total5,454,253100.00313131Steady2.svg
Source:
Popular vote
Republican
 
54.06%
Democratic
 
41.94%
Libertarian
 
4.00%
Senate seats won
Republican
 
61.29%
Democratic
 
38.71%

Close races

DistrictWinnerMargin
District 27Democratic0.38%

By district

DistrictIncumbentCandidates [lower-alpha 1]
MemberPartyFirst
elected		Status
1 Bryan Hughes Republican 2016 Incumbent running
2 Bob Hall Republican 2014 Incumbent running
  • ▌Green check.svgY Bob Hall (Republican) 61.9% [11]
  • ▌ Prince Giadolor (Democratic) 38.1% [12]
3 Robert Nichols Republican 2006 Incumbent running
  • ▌Green check.svgY Robert Nichols (Republican) 77.4% [13]
  • ▌ Steve Russell (Democratic) 21.2%
  • ▌ Desarae Lindsey (Libertarian) 1.4% [14]
4 Brandon Creighton Republican 2014 (special) Incumbent running
5 Charles Schwertner Republican 2012 Incumbent running
6 Carol Alvarado Democratic 2018 (special) Incumbent running
7 Paul Bettencourt Republican 2014 Incumbent running
8 Angela Paxton Republican 2018 Incumbent running
  • ▌Green check.svgY Angela Paxton (Republican) 57.7%
  • ▌ Jonathan Cocks (Democratic) 39.5%
  • ▌ Edward Kless (Libertarian) 2.9%
9 Kelly Hancock Republican 2012 Incumbent running
  • ▌Green check.svgY Kelly Hancock (Republican) 60.0%
  • ▌ Gwenn Burud (Democratic) 40.0%
10 Beverly Powell Democratic 2018 Incumbent retiring [5]
Republican gain.
11 Larry Taylor Republican 2012 Incumbent retiring [1]
12 Jane Nelson Republican1992Incumbent retiring [2]
  • ▌Green check.svgY Tan Parker (Republican) 61.4% [18]
  • ▌ Francine Ly (Democratic) 38.6%
13 Borris Miles Democratic 2016 Incumbent running
14 Sarah Eckhardt Democratic 2020 (special) Incumbent running
  • ▌Green check.svgY Sarah Eckhardt (Democratic) 82.2%
  • ▌ Steven E. Haskett (Libertarian) 17.8%
15 John Whitmire Democratic1982Incumbent running
16 Nathan Johnson Democratic 2018 Incumbent running
  • ▌Green check.svgY Nathan Johnson (Democratic) 61.9%
  • ▌ Brandon Copeland (Republican) 38.1%
17 Joan Huffman Republican 2008 (special) Incumbent running
  • ▌Green check.svgY Joan Huffman (Republican) 65.3%
  • ▌ Titus Benton (Democratic) 34.7%
18 Lois Kolkhorst Republican 2014 Incumbent running
19 Roland Gutierrez Democratic 2020 Incumbent running
20 Juan Hinojosa Democratic2002Incumbent running
21 Judith Zaffirini Democratic1986Incumbent running
  • ▌Green check.svgY Judith Zaffirini (Democratic) 61.6% [22]
  • ▌ Julie Dahlberg (Republican) 35.9%
  • ▌ Arthur DiBianca (Libertarian) 2.5%
22 Brian Birdwell Republican 2010 (special) Incumbent running
23 Royce West Democratic1992Incumbent running
24 Dawn Buckingham Republican 2016 Incumbent retiring to run for Texas Land Commissioner [3]
  • ▌Green check.svgY Pete Flores (Republican) 64.3% [24]
  • ▌ Kathy Jones-Hospod (Democratic) 35.7%
25 Donna Campbell Republican 2012 Incumbent running
  • ▌Green check.svgY Donna Campbell (Republican) 62.8%
  • ▌ Robert Walsh (Democratic) 37.2%
26 Jose Menendez Democratic2015 (special)Incumbent running
  • ▌Green check.svgY Jose Menendez (Democratic) 66.5%
  • ▌ Ashton Murray (Republican) 33.5%
27 Eddie Lucio Jr. Democratic1990Incumbent retiring [25]
  • ▌Green check.svgYMorgan Lamantia (Democratic) 50.2% [26]
  • ▌ Adam Hinojosa (Republican) 49.8%
28 Charles Perry Republican 2014 (special) Incumbent running
29 Cesar Blanco Democratic 2020 Incumbent running
30 Drew Springer Republican 2020 (special) Incumbent running
31 Kel Seliger Republican 2004 Incumbent retiring [4]

District 27

2022 Texas's 27th senate district election
Flag of Texas.svg
←  2020
2024  →
  Morgan LaMantia Open Congress Austin 2023.jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Morgan LaMantia Adam Hinojosa
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote88,03787,378
Percentage50.19%49.81%
2022 Texas Senate District 27 Results.svg
County results
LaMantia:     50–60%     60–70%
Hinojosa:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Texas Senator before election

Eddie Lucio Jr.
Democratic Party

Elected Texas Senator

Morgan LaMantia
Democratic Party

Incumbent Democrat Eddie Lucio Jr., often considered the most conservative Democrat in the Texas Senate, announced he would not run for re-election in November 2021. [31] [32] Lucio was the only Democrat to vote in favor of Texas' abortion laws and school voucher legislation, but all three Democrats running to replace him were pro-choice. He endorsed Morgan LaMantia despite her views on abortion, considering her to be the most moderate of the three, and she won the primary in a runoff. [33] She faced Republican Adam Hinojosa in the general election, who campaigned as part of a Republican effort to capitalize on Donald Trump's strong performance in the Rio Grande Valley in the 2020 election to flip multiple legislative and congressional seats in the region. [34]

Polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Morgan
LaMantia (D)		Adam
Hinojosa (R)		Undecided
Ragnar Research Partners (R) [upper-alpha 1] August 23–25, 2022400 (LV)± 4.9%38%43%19%
Hypothetical polling
Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Generic
Democrat		Generic
Republican		Undecided
Ragnar Research Partners (R) [upper-alpha 1] August 23–25, 2022400 (LV)± 4.9%46%41%12%

LaMantia won the election by an extremely narrow margin, a result which was not confirmed until after a December recount. [35] [36]

Texas's 27th Senate District, 2022
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Morgan LaMantia 88,037 50.19%
Republican Adam Hinojosa87,37849.81%
Total votes175,415 100.00%
Democratic hold

See also

Notes

  1. ↑ Declared candidates may seek election from other district, subject to redistricting. Some districts may have no incumbents, while some other may have multiple incumbents due to redistricting.
  2. 1 2 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

Notes

    Partisan clients
    1. 1 2 This poll was sponsored by Hinojosa's campaign

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    References

    1. 1 2 3 Svitek, Patrick (November 30, 2021). "Longtime state Sen. Larry Taylor, best known for his work on education issues, says he won't run for reelection". The Texas Tribune . Retrieved November 30, 2021.
    2. 1 2 Garrett, Robert (July 5, 2021). "Veteran Denton County GOP lawmaker Jane Nelson will not seek 11th term in Texas Senate". The Dallas Morning News. Retrieved July 6, 2021.
    3. 1 2 Lindell, Chuck (June 7, 2021). "State Sen. Dawn Buckingham to run for Texas land commissioner". Austin American-Statesman. Retrieved June 9, 2021.
    4. 1 2 Barragán, James (October 20, 2021). "Texas state Sen. Kel Seliger, a Republican willing to buck his party leadership, will not seek reelection". The Texas Tribune . Archived from the original on October 20, 2021. Retrieved October 22, 2021.
    5. 1 2 Barragán, James (April 6, 2022). ""Unwinnable race": State Sen. Beverly Powell of Burleson ends reelection bid, citing redrawn political map". The Texas Tribune . Archived from the original on April 9, 2022. Retrieved April 9, 2022.
    6. ↑ Bova, Gus (November 16, 2021). "The Texas Senate's Most Conservative Democrat Is Retiring". Texas Observer. Retrieved November 18, 2021.
    7. ↑ Jacobson, Louis (May 19, 2022). "The Battle for State Legislatures" . Retrieved May 19, 2022.
    8. ↑ "2022-2023 Election Data". cnalysis. February 29, 2024. Retrieved May 29, 2024.
    9. ↑ "22 TX Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com. Retrieved August 12, 2024.
    10. ↑ Gary Bass (November 12, 2021). "State Sen. Bryan Hughes announces plans to seek re-election". KLTV. Retrieved November 29, 2021.
    11. ↑ "Hall announces campaign for re-election". Herald Banner. September 20, 2021. Retrieved December 8, 2021.
    12. ↑ "Giadolor announces run for state senate". Herald Banner. September 20, 2021.
    13. ↑ "Nichols announces campaign for re-election". Palestine Herald-Press. June 25, 2021. Retrieved December 1, 2021.
    14. ↑ "Candidate Desarae Lindsey Files for Texas Senate Dist. 3". Liberty Vindicator. December 10, 2021. Retrieved April 18, 2022.
    15. ↑ Ontiveros, Brooke (June 10, 2021). "'Unfinished business remains': Brandon Creighton aims at re-election for Texas Senate District 4". Community Impact.
    16. ↑ Hannah Zedaker (June 7, 2021). "Paul Bettencourt to seek re-election for Texas Senate District 7". Community Impact Newspaper. Retrieved November 29, 2021.
    17. ↑ Patrick Svitek (September 27, 2021). "GOP state Rep. Phil King announces he'll run for new Republican-friendly Senate seat held by Democrat Beverly Powell". The Texas Tribune. Retrieved November 29, 2021.
    18. ↑ Morris, Allie (July 7, 2021). "GOP Rep. Tan Parker to seek Senate seat being vacated by North Texas lawmaker Jane Nelson". The Dallas Morning News.
    19. ↑ McGuinness, Dylan; Scherer, Jasper (November 19, 2021). "State Sen. John Whitmire announces he will run for mayor of Houston in 2023". Houston Chronicle . Archived from the original on November 20, 2021. Retrieved November 20, 2021.
    20. ↑ Cat DeLaura (December 9, 2021). "Democrat Josh Tutt announces his intention to run against Kolkhorst". The Victoria Advocate. Retrieved December 11, 2021.
    21. ↑ "Hinojosa announces reelection bid for state senate". MyRGV.com. June 9, 2021.
    22. ↑ "Zaffirini files for reelection to Texas senate". MyRGV.com. November 19, 2021. Retrieved November 29, 2021.
    23. ↑ Roland Richter (June 18, 2021). "State Senator Bryan Birdwell announces running for re-election". KWKT-TV. Retrieved November 29, 2021.
    24. ↑ Jackie Wang (September 21, 2021). "Former state Sen. Pete Flores says he's running for proposed Senate District 24". San Antonio Report.
    25. ↑ Svitek, Patrick (November 4, 2021). "Eddie Lucio Jr. to retire after three decades in Texas Senate". www.texastribune.com. The Texas Tribune . Retrieved November 17, 2021.
    26. ↑ "LaMantia Enters Democratic Primary For Eddie Lucio's State Senate Seat". KURV. November 18, 2021.
    27. ↑ "Texas Senator Charles Perry announces re-election". KCBD. September 29, 2021. Retrieved December 11, 2021.
    28. ↑ Anthony Jackson (October 29, 2021). "Texas state Sen. César Blanco of El Paso announces reelection campaign". El Paso Times. Retrieved November 29, 2021.
    29. ↑ "SEN. DREW SPRINGER ANNOUNCES RE-ELECTION CAMPAIGN FOR THE TEXAS SENATE". Olney Enterprise. October 14, 2021. Retrieved December 1, 2021.
    30. ↑ Stewart Doreen (August 13, 2021). "Midland's Kevin Sparks to run for state senate". Midland Reporter-Telegram.
    31. ↑ Svitek, Patrick (November 4, 2021). "Democrat Eddie Lucio Jr., known for voting with Republicans on key issues, to retire after three decades in Texas Senate". The Texas Tribune. Retrieved February 13, 2024.
    32. ↑ Davila, Gaige (November 5, 2021). "Progressives hope Texas State Senator Eddie Lucio Jr.'s retirement signals new era". TPR. Retrieved February 13, 2024.
    33. ↑ Svitek, Patrick (May 25, 2022). "Moderate Democrats win two key South Texas runoffs, while another is too close to call". The Texas Tribune. Retrieved February 13, 2024.
    34. ↑ Svitek, Patrick (October 23, 2022). "Donald Trump energizes South Texas voters ahead of early voting as Republicans predict red "tsunami"". The Texas Tribune. Retrieved February 13, 2024.
    35. ↑ Clark, Steve (November 9, 2022). "LaMantia edges out Hinojosa: District 27 state Senate race was a squeaker". MyRGV.com. Retrieved February 13, 2024.
    36. ↑ Yañez, Alejandra (December 14, 2022). "LaMantia remains winner after recount for Senate District 27". KVEO-TV. Retrieved February 13, 2024.
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