2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Mississippi

Last updated

2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Mississippi
Flag of Mississippi.svg
  2020 November 8, 2022 2024  

All 4 Mississippi seats to the United States House of Representatives
 Majority partyMinority party
 
Party Republican Democratic
Last election31
Seats won31
Seat changeSteady2.svgSteady2.svg
Popular vote453,584249,591
Percentage64.18%35.32%
SwingDecrease2.svg 1.53%Increase2.svg 1.03%

2022 U.S. House elections in Mississippi.svg
2022 United States House in Mississippi by county.svg

The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Mississippi were held on November 8, 2022, to elect the four U.S. representatives from the state of Mississippi, one from each of the state's four congressional districts. The elections coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

Contents

The elections were the first under Mississippi's new congressional map after redistricting completed by the state government. [1] All four races were considered uncompetitive in the general election [2] [3] and turnout from Mississippians was the lowest out of the entire United States, measuring in at 31.5%. [4] Republican Representatives Michael Guest and Steven Palazzo faced competitive primaries, where both went to runoffs; Palazzo was ultimately ousted by Mike Ezell in the runoff, mainly in part to an investigation into Palazzo's supposed misuse of campaign funds. [5] [6] Republican representative Trent Kelly was the sole representative of the Mississippi delegation to receive a Trump endorsement and faced no serious challenge. [6] The partisan composition of the delegation remained the same after the election. [2]

District 1

2022 Mississippi's 1st congressional district election
Flag of Mississippi.svg
  2020
2024  
  Trent Kelly, Official Portrait, 115th Congress (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Trent Kelly Dianne Black
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote122,15145,238
Percentage73.0%27.0%

2022 MS-01 election results.svg
MS1 House 2022.svg
Kelly:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Black:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     50%
     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Trent Kelly
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Trent Kelly
Republican

1st Congressional District DemPrimary.svg
Democratic primary results by county
Black:     50-60%     60-70%     70-80%     80-90%
1st Congressional District RepPrimary.svg
Republican primary results by county
Kelly:     70-80%     80-90%     >90%

The 1st district takes in the northeastern area of the state, including Columbus, Oxford, Southaven, and Tupelo. The incumbent was Republican Trent Kelly, who was re-elected with 68.7% of the vote in 2020. [7]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Endorsements

Trent Kelly

Federal officials

Results

Republican primary results [11]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Trent Kelly (incumbent) 27,447 89.8
Republican Mark D. Strauss3,10910.2
Total votes30,556 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Dianne Black, hair salon owner [11]
Eliminated in primary
  • Hunter Kyle Avery, manufacturing worker [12] [13]

Results

Democratic primary results [11]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Dianne Black 8,268 79.0
Democratic Hunter Kyle Avery2,20321.0
Total votes10,471 100.0

Independents

Filed paperwork

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [15] Solid RJanuary 24, 2022
Inside Elections [16] Solid RMarch 21, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] Safe RJanuary 26, 2022
Politico [18] Solid RApril 5, 2022
RCP [19] Safe RJune 9, 2022
Fox News [20] Solid RJuly 11, 2022
DDHQ [21] Solid RJuly 20, 2022
538 [22] Solid RJune 30, 2022

Results

2022 Mississippi's 1st congressional district election [23]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Trent Kelly (incumbent) 122,151 73.0
Democratic Dianne Black45,23827.0
Total votes167,389 100.0
Republican hold

District 2

2022 Mississippi's 2nd congressional district election
Flag of Mississippi.svg
  2020
2024  
  Bennie Thompson 118th Congress (cropped).jpeg 3x4.svg
Nominee Bennie Thompson Brian Flowers
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote108,28571,884
Percentage60.1%39.9%

2nd Congressional District 2022 General.svg
MS2 House 2022.svg
Thompson:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Flowers:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     50%
     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Bennie Thompson
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Bennie Thompson
Democratic

The 2nd district encompasses the Mississippi Delta, taking in most of Jackson, the riverfront cities of Greenville, Natchez and Vicksburg, and the interior market cities of Clarksdale, Greenwood and Clinton. The district was expanded during the 2020 census redistricting. The incumbent was Democrat Bennie Thompson, who was re-elected with 66.0% of the vote in 2020. [7] Thompson cruised to re-election in 2022 as expected, though Brian Flowers did give him his toughest race since 2004, when Clinton LeSueur achieved 41% of the vote. [24]

Democratic primary results by county
Thompson:      60-70%      70-80%      80-90% 2nd Congressional District 2022 DemPrimary.svg
Democratic primary results by county
Thompson:     60-70%     70-80%     80-90%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Endorsements

Bennie Thompson

Results

Democratic primary results [11]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Bennie Thompson (incumbent) 49,907 96.3
Democratic Jerry Kerner1,9273.7
Total votes51,834 100.0
2nd Congressional District 2022 RepPrimary.svg
Republican primary results by county
Flowers:     30-40%     40-50%     50-60%     60-70%
Eller:     30-40%     50-60%
2nd Congressional District 2022 RepRunoff.svg
Republican primary runoff results by county
Flowers:     50-60%     60-70%     70-80%     80-90%
Eller:     50-60%     60-70%

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Brian Flowers, nuclear plant technician, U.S. Navy veteran, and nominee for this district in 2020 [28] [13]
Eliminated in runoff
Eliminated in primary
  • Michael Carson [11]
  • Stanford Johnson [11]

Endorsements

Ron Eller

Executive Branch officials

Organizations

Results

Republican primary results [11]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Brian Flowers 6,087 43.2
Republican Ronald Eller 4,564 32.4
Republican Michael Carson2,96621.0
Republican Stanford Johnson4873.5
Total votes14,104 100.0
Republican primary runoff results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Brian Flowers 6,224 58.5
Republican Ronald Eller4,41841.5
Total votes10,642 100.0

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [15] Solid DJanuary 24, 2022
Inside Elections [16] Solid DMarch 21, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] Safe DJanuary 26, 2022
Politico [18] Solid DApril 5, 2022
RCP [19] Safe DJune 9, 2022
Fox News [20] Solid DJuly 11, 2022
DDHQ [21] Solid DJuly 20, 2022
538 [22] Solid DJune 30, 2022

Results

2022 Mississippi's 2nd congressional district election [31]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Bennie Thompson (incumbent) 108,285 60.1
Republican Brian Flowers71,88439.9
Total votes180,169 100.0
Democratic hold

District 3

2022 Mississippi's 3rd congressional district election
Flag of Mississippi.svg
  2020
2024  
  Michael Guest, official portrait, 116th Congress (cropped 2).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Michael Guest Shuwaski Young
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote132,48154,803
Percentage70.7%29.3%

3rd Congressional District 2022 GeneralElection.svg
MS3 House 2022.svg
Guest:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Young:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Michael Guest
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Michael Guest
Republican

The 3rd district is located in eastern and southwestern Mississippi, taking in Meridian, Starkville, Pearl and most of the wealthier portions of Jackson, including the portion of the city located in Rankin County. The district was reduced to include only three of the cities, plus a wealthy area of Jackson due to 2020 census redistricting. The incumbent was Republican Michael Guest, who was elected with 64.7% of the vote in 2020. Guest managed to flip Kemper County, which gave Joe Biden 61.02% of the vote in the 2020 presidential election. [7]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in runoff
Eliminated in primary
  • Thomas Griffin, businessman [11]
Republican primary results by county
Cassidy:      40-50%      50-60%      60-70%
Guest:      40-50%      50-60%      60-70% 3rd Congressional District 2022 Primary.svg
Republican primary results by county
Cassidy:     40-50%     50-60%     60-70%
Guest:     40-50%     50-60%     60-70%

Results

Republican primary results [11]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Michael Guest (incumbent) 23,675 47.5
Republican Michael Cassidy 23,407 46.9
Republican Thomas Griffin2,7855.6
Total votes49,867 100.0
Republican primary runoff results by county
Cassidy:      50-60%
Guest:      50-60%      60-70%      70-80%      80-90% 3rd Congressional District 2022 PrimaryRunoff.svg
Republican primary runoff results by county
Cassidy:     50-60%
Guest:      50-60%     60-70%     70-80%     80-90%
Republican primary runoff results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Michael Guest (incumbent) 47,007 67.4
Republican Michael Cassidy22,71332.6
Total votes69,720 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Shuwaski Young, political organizer [12]
Withdrawn
  • Rahim Talley, businessman, Iraq war veteran and progressive activist [32]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [15] Solid RJanuary 24, 2022
Inside Elections [16] Solid RMarch 21, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] Safe RJanuary 26, 2022
Politico [18] Solid RApril 5, 2022
RCP [19] Safe RJune 9, 2022
Fox News [20] Solid RJuly 11, 2022
DDHQ [21] Solid RJuly 20, 2022
538 [22] Solid RJune 30, 2022

Results

2022 Mississippi's 3rd congressional district election [33]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Michael Guest (incumbent) 132,481 70.7
Democratic Shuwaski Young54,80329.3
Total votes187,284 100.0
Republican hold

District 4

2022 Mississippi's 4th congressional district election
Flag of Mississippi.svg
  2020
2024  
  Rep. Mike Ezell official photo (cropped).jpg Johnny DuPree 2011 (cropped).jpg
Nominee Mike Ezell Johnny DuPree
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote127,81342,876
Percentage73.3%24.6%

4th Congressional District GeneralElection2022.svg
MS4 House 2022.svg
Ezell:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
DuPree:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Steven Palazzo
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Mike Ezell
Republican

The 4th district encompasses the Mississippi Gulf Coast, including Gulfport, Biloxi, Hattiesburg, Bay St. Louis, Laurel, and Pascagoula. The incumbent was Republican Steven Palazzo, who was re-elected unopposed in 2020. [7]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in runoff
Eliminated in primary

Endorsements

Mike Ezell

State legislators

Individuals

  • Carl Boyanton, Republican primary candidate and produce store owner [39]
  • Raymond Brooks, Republican primary candidate and police officer [39]
  • Kidron Peterson, Republican primary candidate [39]
  • Clay Wagner, Republican primary candidate and banker [39] [40]

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [a]
Margin
of error
Carl
Boyanton
Raymond
Brooks
Mike
Ezell
Steven
Palazzo
Clay
Wagner
Brice
Wiggins
Undecided
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [41] [A] December 11–14, 2021400 (LV)± 4.9%1%1%8%65%2%4%19%
Republican primary results by county
Ezell:      30-40%      40-50%
Palazzo:      20-30%      30-40%      40-50%
Wagner:      30-40% 4th Congressional District RepPrimaryJungle2022.svg
Republican primary results by county
Ezell:     30-40%     40-50%
Palazzo:     20-30%     30-40%     40-50%
Wagner:     30-40%

Results

Republican primary results [11]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Steven Palazzo (incumbent) 16,387 31.5
Republican Mike Ezell 13,020 25.0
Republican Clay Wagner11,69822.5
Republican Brice Wiggins 4,8599.3
Republican Carl Boyanton3,2246.2
Republican Raymond Brooks2,4054.6
Republican Kidron Peterson4490.9
Total votes52,042 100.0
Republican primary runoff results by county
Ezell:      50-60%      60-70%
Palazzo:      50-60% 4th Congressional District RepPrimary2022.svg
Republican primary runoff results by county
Ezell:     50-60%     60-70%
Palazzo:     50-60%
Republican primary runoff results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Mike Ezell 31,225 53.8
Republican Steven Palazzo (incumbent)26,84946.2
Total votes58,074 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • David Sellers, pastor [32]

Endorsements

Democratic primary results by county
Dupree:      >90%      80-90%      70-80% 4th Congressional District DemPrimary2022.svg
Democratic primary results by county
Dupree:     >90%     80-90%     70-80%

Results

Democratic primary results [11]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Johnny DuPree 9,952 84.9
Democratic David Sellers1,76615.1
Total votes11,718 100.0

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Alden Patrick Johnson, firefighter [12] [13]

Independents

Candidates

Withdrawn or disqualified

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [15] Solid RJanuary 24, 2022
Inside Elections [16] Solid RMarch 21, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] Safe RJanuary 26, 2022
Politico [18] Solid RApril 5, 2022
RCP [19] Safe RJune 9, 2022
Fox News [20] Solid RJuly 11, 2022
DDHQ [21] Solid RJuly 20, 2022
538 [22] Solid RJune 30, 2022

Endorsements

Mike Ezell

Federal officials

Results

2022 Mississippi's 4th congressional district election [46]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Mike Ezell 127,813 73.3
Democratic Johnny DuPree 42,87624.6
Libertarian Alden Patrick Johnson3,5692.1
Total votes174,258 100.0
Republican hold

Notes

  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

Partisan clients

  1. Poll sponsored by Palazzo's campaign

References

  1. Rakich, Ryan Best, Aaron Bycoffe and Nathaniel (August 9, 2021). "What Redistricting Looks Like In Every State - Mississippi". FiveThirtyEight. Archived from the original on August 9, 2021. Retrieved January 10, 2023.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)
  2. 1 2 Pender, Bobby Harrison, Geoff (November 9, 2022). "Mississippi election results: Three Republicans, one Democrat again win U.S. House seats". Mississippi Today. Retrieved January 10, 2023.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)
  3. "2022 House Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
  4. "Mississippi has lowest voter turnout in U.S. for midterm elections: data". WJTV. November 15, 2022. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
  5. Ward, Myah. "GOP Rep. Steven Palazzo loses primary amid ethics cloud". POLITICO. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
  6. 1 2 Solender, Andrew (June 8, 2022). "Two more incumbent House Republicans forced into primary runoffs". Axios. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
  7. 1 2 3 4 Johnson, Cheryl L. (February 28, 2019). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 3, 2020". Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives.
  8. Vance, Taylor (January 3, 2022). "U.S. Rep. Trent Kelly qualifies for reelection to U.S. House seat". www.djournal.com. Retrieved January 6, 2022.
  9. 1 2 3 4 Bennett, Kelly; Mitchell, J.T.; Arbuckle, Alyssa (March 3, 2022). "Here are the candidates running for Mississippi's congressional seats". Supertalk Mississippi . Retrieved May 16, 2022.
  10. "Endorsement of Congressman Trent Kelly". June 5, 2022. Retrieved July 24, 2022.
  11. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 "2022 Candidate Qualifying List" (PDF). Mississippi Secretary of State. Retrieved March 1, 2022.
  12. 1 2 3 4 Corder, Frank (July 15, 2021). "Mississippi Congressional Campaign Reporting Points to 2022 Mid-Term Challenges". Y'all Politics . Archived from the original on December 18, 2022. Retrieved July 28, 2021.
  13. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "Politics1 - Online Guide to Mississippi Elections, Candidates & Politics".
  14. "James McCay FEC Statement of Candidacy" (PDF). Retrieved November 11, 2021.
  15. 1 2 3 4 "2022 House Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 24, 2022.
  16. 1 2 3 4 "House Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved March 21, 2022.
  17. 1 2 3 4 "2022 House Ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 26, 2022. Retrieved January 26, 2022.
  18. 1 2 3 4 "2022 Election Forecast". Politico. April 5, 2022.
  19. 1 2 3 4 "Battle for the House 2022". RCP. June 9, 2022.
  20. 1 2 3 4 "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. July 11, 2022. Retrieved July 11, 2022.
  21. 1 2 3 4 "2022 Election Forecast". DDHQ. July 20, 2022. Retrieved July 20, 2022.
  22. 1 2 3 4 "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Archived from the original on June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.
  23. "Certification of Votes For United States House of Representatives, District One" (PDF). Secretary of State of Mississippi. Retrieved December 13, 2022.
  24. "U.S. House Of Representatives / Mississippi 02". CNN. Retrieved December 3, 2022.
  25. "Gerald Kerner FEC Statement of Candidacy" (PDF). Retrieved November 11, 2021.
  26. Corder, Frank (December 27, 2021). "MS02: Thompson draws Democratic opponent critical of own party". yallpolitics.com. Y'all Politics . Retrieved December 28, 2021.
  27. "Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorsed Candidates". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org. Retrieved December 22, 2021.
  28. "Brian Flowers FEC Statement of Candidacy" (PDF). Retrieved November 11, 2021.
  29. Corder, Frank (April 4, 2022). "Trump's former advisor Lt. Gen. Flynn endorses Mississippi Republican 2nd Congressional District candidate Eller". Y'all Politics . Retrieved April 6, 2022.
  30. "Accomplished Veterans Endorsed by SEAL PAC". SEAL PAC. Retrieved March 6, 2022.
  31. "Certification of Votes For United States House of Representatives, District Two" (PDF). Secretary of State of Mississippi. Retrieved December 13, 2022.
  32. 1 2 Corder, Frank (September 15, 2021). "Mississippi Democrats field candidates in all 4 Congressional Districts ahead of 2022 midterms". Y'all Politics . Retrieved September 18, 2021.
  33. "Certification of Votes For United States House of Representatives, District Three" (PDF). Secretary of State of Mississippi. Retrieved December 13, 2022.
  34. "'I've got a serving heart': Mike Ezell announces bid for Congress". gulflive. April 6, 2021. Retrieved April 7, 2021.
  35. 1 2 "Candidate who triggered ethics investigation says Palazzo should resign from Congress". March 5, 2021. Retrieved April 7, 2021.
  36. Coder, Frank (June 17, 2021). "Palazzo draws third Republican mid-term opponent". www.yallpolitics.com. Y'all Politics. Retrieved August 22, 2021.
  37. Corder, Frank (September 10, 2021). "MS04: Wagner files to run for Congress, increasing the field to 4 Republicans challenging Palazzo". Y'all Politics . Retrieved September 12, 2021.
  38. "After 10 years in state senate, Brice Wiggins ready to take on Palazzo, others for congressional seat". October 26, 2021.
  39. 1 2 3 4 5 Pender, Geoff (June 9, 2022). "Every Republican challenger of Rep. Steven Palazzo endorses his runoff opponent Mike Ezell". Mississippi Today. Nonprofit Mississippi News. Retrieved June 26, 2022.
  40. Wagner, Clay. ""I want to thank every single one of the over 11,000 of you who supported my campaign. I ask that all of you join me in supporting Sheriff Mike Ezell to be our next Congressman. Your support means the world to me and I pray that we all help move south MS forward." - Clay Wagner". Twitter. Retrieved June 25, 2022.
  41. Public Opinion Strategies (R)
  42. Burns, Haskel (September 29, 2021). "Former Mayor Dupree qualifies to run for Palazzo's 4th Congressional District seat". www.hubcityspokes.com. Retrieved November 11, 2021.
  43. 1 2 3 Corder, Frank (May 16, 2022). "MS04: Democrat candidate Sellers picks up college chapter, union endorsements ahead of Primary". yallpolitics.com. Y'all Politics . Retrieved June 16, 2022.
  44. "Graham Hudson Pledges to Support Term Limits on Congress". www.termlimits.com. U.S. Term Limits. March 9, 2021. Retrieved August 5, 2021.
  45. Corder, Frank (November 3, 2022). "Trump endorses Ezell ahead of MS04 Congressional Midterm Election". magnoliatribune.com. Retrieved February 10, 2023.
  46. "Certification of Votes For United States House of Representatives, District Four" (PDF). Secretary of State of Mississippi. Retrieved December 13, 2022.

Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates

Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates

Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates

Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates