2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Mississippi

Last updated

2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Mississippi
Flag of Mississippi.svg
  2020 November 8, 2022 2024  

All 4 Mississippi seats to the United States House of Representatives
 Majority partyMinority party
 
Party Republican Democratic
Last election31
Seats won31
Seat changeSteady2.svgSteady2.svg
Popular vote453,584249,591
Percentage64.18%35.32%
SwingDecrease2.svg 1.53%Increase2.svg 1.03%

2022 U.S. House elections in Mississippi.svg
2022 United States House in Mississippi by county.svg

The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Mississippi were held on November 8, 2022, to elect the four U.S. representatives from the state of Mississippi, one from each of the state's four congressional districts. The elections coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

Contents

The elections were the first under Mississippi's new congressional map after redistricting completed by the state government. [1] All four races were considered uncompetitive in the general election [2] [3] and turnout from Mississippians was the lowest out of the entire United States, measuring in at 31.5%. [4] Republican Representatives Michael Guest and Steven Palazzo faced competitive primaries, where both went to runoffs; Palazzo was ultimately ousted by Mike Ezell in the runoff, mainly in part to an investigation into Palazzo's supposed misuse of campaign funds. [5] [6] Republican representative Trent Kelly was the sole representative of the Mississippi delegation to receive a Trump endorsement and faced no serious challenge. [6] The partisan composition of the delegation remained the same after the election. [2]

District 1

2022 Mississippi's 1st congressional district election
Flag of Mississippi.svg
  2020
2024  
  Trent Kelly, Official Portrait, 115th Congress (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Trent Kelly Dianne Black
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote122,15145,238
Percentage73.0%27.0%

1st Congressional District GenElection.svg
MS1 House 2022.svg
Kelly:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Black:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     50%
     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Trent Kelly
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Trent Kelly
Republican

1st Congressional District DemPrimary.svg
Democratic primary results by county
Black:     50-60%     60-70%     70-80%     80-90%
1st Congressional District RepPrimary.svg
Republican primary results by county
Kelly:     70-80%     80-90%     >90%

The 1st district takes in the northeastern area of the state, including Columbus, Oxford, Southaven, and Tupelo. The incumbent is Republican Trent Kelly, who was re-elected with 68.7% of the vote in 2020. [7]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Endorsements

Trent Kelly
Federal officials

Results

Republican primary results [11]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Trent Kelly (incumbent) 27,447 89.8
Republican Mark D. Strauss3,10910.2
Total votes30,556 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Dianne Black, hair salon owner [11]
Eliminated in primary
  • Hunter Kyle Avery, manufacturing worker [12] [13]

Results

Democratic primary results [11]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Dianne Black 8,268 79.0
Democratic Hunter Kyle Avery2,20321.0
Total votes10,471 100.0

Independents

Filed paperwork

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [15] Solid RJanuary 24, 2022
Inside Elections [16] Solid RMarch 21, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] Safe RJanuary 26, 2022
Politico [18] Solid RApril 5, 2022
RCP [19] Safe RJune 9, 2022
Fox News [20] Solid RJuly 11, 2022
DDHQ [21] Solid RJuly 20, 2022
538 [22] Solid RJune 30, 2022

Results

2022 Mississippi's 1st congressional district election [23]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Trent Kelly (incumbent) 122,151 73.0
Democratic Dianne Black45,23827.0
Total votes167,389 100.0
Republican hold

District 2

2022 Mississippi's 2nd congressional district election
Flag of Mississippi.svg
  2020
2024  
  Bennie Thompson official photo (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Bennie Thompson Brian Flowers
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote108,28571,884
Percentage60.1%39.9%

2nd Congressional District 2022 General.svg
MS2 House 2022.svg
Thompson:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Flowers:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     50%
     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Bennie Thompson
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Bennie Thompson
Democratic

The 2nd district encompasses the Mississippi Delta, taking in most of Jackson, the riverfront cities of Greenville, Natchez and Vicksburg, and the interior market cities of Clarksdale, Greenwood and Clinton. The district was expanded during the 2020 census redistricting. The incumbent is Democrat Bennie Thompson, who was re-elected with 66.0% of the vote in 2020. [7] Thompson cruised to re-election in 2022 as expected, though Brian Flowers did give him his toughest race since 2004 when Clinton LeSueur achieved 41% of the vote. [24]

Democratic primary results by county
Thompson:      60-70%      70-80%      80-90% 2nd Congressional District 2022 DemPrimary.svg
Democratic primary results by county
Thompson:     60-70%     70-80%     80-90%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Endorsements

Bennie Thompson

Results

Democratic primary results [11]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Bennie Thompson (incumbent) 49,907 96.3
Democratic Jerry Kerner1,9273.7
Total votes51,834 100.0
2nd Congressional District 2022 RepPrimary.svg
Republican primary results by county
Flowers:     30-40%     40-50%     50-60%     60-70%
Eller:     30-40%     50-60%
2nd Congressional District 2022 RepRunoff.svg
Republican primary runoff results by county
Flowers:     50-60%     60-70%     70-80%     80-90%
Eller:     50-60%     60-70%

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Brian Flowers, nuclear plant technician, U.S. Navy veteran, and nominee for this district in 2020 [28] [13]
Eliminated in runoff
Eliminated in primary
  • Michael Carson [11]
  • Stanford Johnson [11]

Endorsements

Ron Eller
Executive Branch officials
Organizations

Results

Republican primary results [11]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Brian Flowers 6,087 43.2
Republican Ronald Eller 4,564 32.4
Republican Michael Carson2,96621.0
Republican Stanford Johnson4873.5
Total votes14,104 100.0
Republican primary runoff results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Brian Flowers 6,224 58.5
Republican Ronald Eller4,41841.5
Total votes10,642 100.0

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [15] Solid DJanuary 24, 2022
Inside Elections [16] Solid DMarch 21, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] Safe DJanuary 26, 2022
Politico [18] Solid DApril 5, 2022
RCP [19] Safe DJune 9, 2022
Fox News [20] Solid DJuly 11, 2022
DDHQ [21] Solid DJuly 20, 2022
538 [22] Solid DJune 30, 2022

Results

2022 Mississippi's 2nd congressional district election [31]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Bennie Thompson (incumbent) 108,285 60.1
Republican Brian Flowers71,88439.9
Total votes180,169 100.0
Democratic hold

District 3

2022 Mississippi's 3rd congressional district election
Flag of Mississippi.svg
  2020
2024  
  Michael Guest, official portrait, 116th Congress (cropped 2).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Michael Guest Shuwaski Young
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote132,48154,803
Percentage70.7%29.3%

3rd Congressional District 2022 GeneralElection.svg
MS3 House 2022.svg
Guest:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Young:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Michael Guest
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Michael Guest
Republican

The 3rd district is located in eastern and southwestern Mississippi, taking in Meridian, Starkville, Pearl and most of the wealthier portions of Jackson, including the portion of the city located in Rankin County. The district was reduced to include only 3 of the cities, plus a wealthy area of Jackson due to 2020 census redistricting. The incumbent is Republican Michael Guest, who was elected with 64.7% of the vote in 2020. Guest managed to flip Kemper County, which gave Joe Biden 61.02% of the vote in the 2020 presidential election. [7]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in runoff
Eliminated in primary
  • Thomas Griffin, businessman [11]
Republican primary results by county
Cassidy:      40-50%      50-60%      60-70%
Guest:      40-50%      50-60%      60-70% 3rd Congressional District 2022 Primary.svg
Republican primary results by county
Cassidy:     40-50%     50-60%     60-70%
Guest:     40-50%     50-60%     60-70%

Results

Republican primary results [11]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Michael Guest (incumbent) 23,675 47.5
Republican Michael Cassidy 23,407 46.9
Republican Thomas Griffin2,7855.6
Total votes49,867 100.0
Republican primary runoff results by county
Cassidy:      50-60%
Guest:      50-60%      60-70%      70-80%      80-90% 3rd Congressional District 2022 PrimaryRunoff.svg
Republican primary runoff results by county
Cassidy:     50-60%
Guest:      50-60%     60-70%     70-80%     80-90%
Republican primary runoff results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Michael Guest (incumbent) 47,007 67.4
Republican Michael Cassidy22,71332.6
Total votes69,720 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Shuwaski Young, political organizer [12]
Withdrawn
  • Rahim Talley, businessman, Iraq war veteran and progressive activist [32]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [15] Solid RJanuary 24, 2022
Inside Elections [16] Solid RMarch 21, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] Safe RJanuary 26, 2022
Politico [18] Solid RApril 5, 2022
RCP [19] Safe RJune 9, 2022
Fox News [20] Solid RJuly 11, 2022
DDHQ [21] Solid RJuly 20, 2022
538 [22] Solid RJune 30, 2022

Results

2022 Mississippi's 3rd congressional district election [33]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Michael Guest (incumbent) 132,481 70.7
Democratic Shuwaski Young54,80329.3
Total votes187,284 100.0
Republican hold

District 4

2022 Mississippi's 4th congressional district election
Flag of Mississippi.svg
  2020
2024  
  Rep. Mike Ezell official photo (cropped).jpg Johnny DuPree 2011 (cropped).jpg
Nominee Mike Ezell Johnny DuPree
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote127,81342,876
Percentage73.3%24.6%

4th Congressional District GeneralElection2022.svg
MS4 House 2022.svg
Ezell:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
DuPree:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Steven Palazzo
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Mike Ezell
Republican

The 4th district encompasses the Mississippi Gulf Coast, including Gulfport, Biloxi, Hattiesburg, Bay St. Louis, Laurel, and Pascagoula. The incumbent is Republican Steven Palazzo, who was re-elected unopposed in 2020. [7]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in runoff
Eliminated in primary

Endorsements

Mike Ezell
State legislators
Individuals
  • Clay Wagner, Republican primary candidate and banker [39] [40]
  • Carl Boyanton, Republican primary candidate and produce store owner [39]
  • Raymond Brooks, Republican primary candidate and police officer [39]
  • Kidron Peterson, Republican primary candidate [39]

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Carl
Boyanton
Raymond
Brooks
Mike
Ezell
Steven
Palazzo
Clay
Wagner
Brice
Wiggins
Undecided
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [upper-alpha 1] December 11–14, 2021400 (LV)± 4.9%1%1%8%65%2%4%19%
Republican primary results by county
Ezell:      30-40%      40-50%
Palazzo:      20-30%      30-40%      40-50%
Wagner:      30-40% 4th Congressional District RepPrimaryJungle2022.svg
Republican primary results by county
Ezell:     30-40%     40-50%
Palazzo:     20-30%     30-40%     40-50%
Wagner:     30-40%

Results

Republican primary results [11]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Steven Palazzo (incumbent) 16,387 31.5
Republican Mike Ezell 13,020 25.0
Republican Clay Wagner11,69822.5
Republican Brice Wiggins 4,8599.3
Republican Carl Boyanton3,2246.2
Republican Raymond Brooks2,4054.6
Republican Kidron Peterson4490.9
Total votes52,042 100.0
Republican primary runoff results by county
Ezell:      50-60%      60-70%
Palazzo:      50-60% 4th Congressional District RepPrimary2022.svg
Republican primary runoff results by county
Ezell:     50-60%     60-70%
Palazzo:     50-60%
Republican primary runoff results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Mike Ezell 31,225 53.8
Republican Steven Palazzo (incumbent)26,84946.2
Total votes58,074 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • David Sellers, pastor [32]

Endorsements

Democratic primary results by county
Dupree:      >90%      80-90%      70-80% 4th Congressional District DemPrimary2022.svg
Democratic primary results by county
Dupree:     >90%     80-90%     70-80%

Results

Democratic primary results [11]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Johnny DuPree 9,952 84.9
Democratic David Sellers1,76615.1
Total votes11,718 100.0

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Alden Patrick Johnson, firefighter [12] [13]

Independents

Candidates

Withdrawn or disqualified

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [15] Solid RJanuary 24, 2022
Inside Elections [16] Solid RMarch 21, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] Safe RJanuary 26, 2022
Politico [18] Solid RApril 5, 2022
RCP [19] Safe RJune 9, 2022
Fox News [20] Solid RJuly 11, 2022
DDHQ [21] Solid RJuly 20, 2022
538 [22] Solid RJune 30, 2022

Endorsements

Mike Ezell
Federal officials

Results

2022 Mississippi's 4th congressional district election [45]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Mike Ezell 127,813 73.3
Democratic Johnny DuPree 42,87624.6
Libertarian Alden Patrick Johnson3,5692.1
Total votes174,258 100.0
Republican hold

Notes

  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
Partisan clients
  1. Poll sponsored by Palazzo's campaign

Related Research Articles

Mississippi's 4th congressional district covers the southeastern region of the state. It includes all of Mississippi's Gulf Coast, stretching ninety miles between the Alabama border to the east and the Louisiana border to the west, and extends north into the Pine Belt region. It includes three of Mississippi's four most heavily populated cities: Gulfport, Biloxi, and Hattiesburg. Other major cities within the district include Bay St. Louis, Laurel, and Pascagoula. The district is currently represented by Republican Mike Ezell. With a Cook Partisan Voting Index rating of R+22, it is the most Republican district in Mississippi.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Steven Palazzo</span> American politician (born 1970)

Steven McCarty Palazzo is an American politician who served as the U.S. representative for Mississippi's 4th congressional district from 2011 to 2023. The district included Mississippi's Gulf Coast, Biloxi, Gulfport, Pascagoula, Laurel and Hattiesburg. Palazzo is a member of the Republican Party.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Mississippi</span>

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Mississippi</span>

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Mississippi</span>

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky</span> House elections in Kentucky

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Mississippi</span>

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky</span>

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Massachusetts</span>

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">Mike Ezell</span> American politician (born 1959)

Walter Michael Ezell is a former American law enforcement officer and politician serving as the U.S. representative for Mississippi's 4th congressional district since 2023. He is a member of the Republican Party.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Mississippi</span>

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References

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  34. "'I've got a serving heart': Mike Ezell announces bid for Congress". gulflive. April 6, 2021. Retrieved April 7, 2021.
  35. 1 2 "Candidate who triggered ethics investigation says Palazzo should resign from Congress". March 5, 2021. Retrieved April 7, 2021.
  36. Coder, Frank (June 17, 2021). "Palazzo draws third Republican mid-term opponent". www.yallpolitics.com. Y'all Politics. Retrieved August 22, 2021.
  37. Corder, Frank (September 10, 2021). "MS04: Wagner files to run for Congress, increasing the field to 4 Republicans challenging Palazzo". Y'all Politics . Retrieved September 12, 2021.
  38. "After 10 years in state senate, Brice Wiggins ready to take on Palazzo, others for congressional seat". October 26, 2021.
  39. 1 2 3 4 5 Pender, Geoff (June 9, 2022). "Every Republican challenger of Rep. Steven Palazzo endorses his runoff opponent Mike Ezell". Mississippi Today. Nonprofit Mississippi News. Retrieved June 26, 2022.
  40. Wagner, Clay. ""I want to thank every single one of the over 11,000 of you who supported my campaign. I ask that all of you join me in supporting Sheriff Mike Ezell to be our next Congressman. Your support means the world to me and I pray that we all help move south MS forward." - Clay Wagner". Twitter. Retrieved June 25, 2022.
  41. Burns, Haskel (September 29, 2021). "Former Mayor Dupree qualifies to run for Palazzo's 4th Congressional District seat". www.hubcityspokes.com. Retrieved November 11, 2021.
  42. 1 2 3 Corder, Frank (May 16, 2022). "MS04: Democrat candidate Sellers picks up college chapter, union endorsements ahead of Primary". yallpolitics.com. Y'all Politics . Retrieved June 16, 2022.
  43. "Graham Hudson Pledges to Support Term Limits on Congress". www.termlimits.com. U.S. Term Limits. March 9, 2021. Retrieved August 5, 2021.
  44. Corder, Frank (November 3, 2022). "Trump endorses Ezell ahead of MS04 Congressional Midterm Election". magnoliatribune.com. Retrieved February 10, 2023.
  45. "Certification of Votes For United States House of Representatives, District Four" (PDF). Secretary of State of Mississippi. Retrieved December 13, 2022.
Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates