2024 United States presidential election in Mississippi

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election

2024 United States presidential election in Mississippi

←  2020 November 5, 2024 2028 →

Nominee Donald Trump (presumptive) Joe Biden (presumptive) Party Republican Democratic Home state Florida Delaware Running mate TBA Kamala Harris (presumptive)

Incumbent President Joe Biden Democratic

The 2024 United States presidential election in Mississippi is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Mississippi voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Mississippi has six electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat. ^[1] Though Mississippi has voted to the left of its bordering states in recent presidential elections, owing mainly to its large African-American minority, the state — located in the Deep South and therefore the Bible Belt — has not been won by a Democrat at this level since fellow Southerner Jimmy Carter narrowly did in 1976 nor has it been competitive since Bill Clinton of neighboring Arkansas fell five points short of carrying the state in 1996. Thus, Mississippi is predicted to go safely for the Republican candidate in 2024.

Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden is running for reelection to a second term. ^[2]

Primary elections

Republican primary

Main article: 2024 Mississippi Republican presidential primary

The Mississippi Republican primary was held on March 12, 2024, alongside primaries in Hawaii, Idaho, Missouri, and Washington. 40 delegates to the Republican National Convention will be allocated to presidential candidates. ^[3]

Mississippi Republican primary, March 12, 2024

Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Actual delegate count
			Bound	Unbound	Total
Donald Trump	215,442	92.1%	40
Nikki Haley (withdrawn)	12,508	5.3%
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)	3,853	1.6%
Write-in votes	1,185	0.5%
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)	1,047	0.4%
Total:	234,035	100.00%	40		40
Source: [4]

Democratic primary

Main article: 2024 Mississippi Democratic presidential primary

The 2024 Mississippi Democratic presidential primary was held on March 12, 2024, alongside the Democrats Abroad, Georgia, Mississippi, and Washington primaries, and Northern Mariana Islands caucuses. 40 delegates to the Democratic National Convention will be allocated to presidential candidates. ^[5]

In Mississippi, candidates have to pay a filing fee of $2,500 and gather at least 500 signatures to make the primary ballot. ^[6] Incumbent President Joe Biden was the only candidate that met the requirements, and is therefore the presumptive winner of the primary. ^{[7] [ better source needed ]}

Winner

• Joe Biden

Results

Mississippi Democratic primary, March 12, 2024

Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Actual delegate count
			Bound	Unbound	Total
Joe Biden (incumbent)	87,922	98.7%	35
Write-in votes	1,187	1.3%
Total:	89,109	100.00%	35		35
Source: [8]

Libertarian caucuses

Main article: 2024 Libertarian Party presidential primaries

The Mississippi Libertarian caucuses were held on February 27, 2024. Author and former New York University professor, Michael Rectenwald from Pennsylvania won the non-binding preferential vote with 41.2% of the vote.

2024 Mississippi Libertarian presidential caucuses

←  2020 February 24, 2024 2028 →

←  IA MN  →

Candidate Michael Rectenwald Lars Mapstead Jacob Hornberger Home state Pennsylvania California Virginia Popular vote 7 5 2 Percentage 41.2% 29.4% 11.8%   Candidate Chase Oliver None of the above Home state Georgia N/A Popular vote 2 1 Percentage 11.8% 5.9%

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
Cook Political Report [9]	Solid R	December 19, 2023
Inside Elections [10]	Solid R	April 26, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball [11]	Solid R	June 29, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill [12]	Solid R	December 14, 2023
CNalysis [13]	Solid R	December 30, 2023
CNN [14]	Solid R	January 14, 2024

Polling

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [lower-alpha 1]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
Echelon Insights	August 31 – September 7, 2022	409 (LV)	± 7.8%	54%	36%	10%

Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [lower-alpha 1]	Margin of error	Ron DeSantis Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
Echelon Insights	August 31 – September 7, 2022	409 (LV)	± 7.8%	49%	37%	14%

See also

• United States presidential elections in Mississippi
• 2024 United States presidential election
• 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries
• 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
• 2024 United States elections

Notes

1. Key:
   A – all adults
   RV – registered voters
   LV – likely voters
   V – unclear

References

1. Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved August 20, 2021.
2. Kinery, Emma (April 25, 2023). "Biden launches 2024 reelection campaign, promising to fulfill economic policy vision". CNBC.
3. "Mississippi Republican Presidential Nominating Process". thegreenpapers.com. March 5, 2023. Retrieved February 6, 2023.
4. "Mississippi Presidential Primary". The AP. Retrieved March 11, 2024.
5. "Mississippi Democratic Delegation 2024". www.thegreenpapers.com. Retrieved October 11, 2023.
6. "Ballot access for presidential candidates". Ballotpedia. Retrieved January 20, 2024.
7. "2024 Candidate Qualifying List 1.15.2024" (PDF). Mississippi Secretary of State. January 15, 2024. Retrieved January 17, 2024.
8. "Mississippi Presidential Primary Election Results 2024". NBC News. Retrieved March 12, 2024.
9. "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
10. "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
11. "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
12. "2024 presidential predictions". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. December 14, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
13. "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
14. "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN . Retrieved January 14, 2024.