2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona

Last updated

2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona
Flag of Arizona.svg
  2022 November 5, 2024 2026  

All 9 Arizona seats to the United States House of Representatives
 Majority partyMinority party
 
Party Republican Democratic
Last election63
Seats won63
Seat changeSteady2.svgSteady2.svg
Popular vote1,680,8911,551,082
Percentage52.00%48.00%
SwingDecrease2.svg 4.14%Increase2.svg 5.44%

2024-arizona-house-by-district.svg
2024-arizona-house-by-district-gains.svg
2024-arizona-house-by-county.svg
     Democratic hold
     Republican hold

The 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona were held on November 5, 2024, to elect the nine U.S. representatives from the State of Arizona, one from each of the state's nine congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The primary elections took place on July 30, 2024.

Contents

District 1

2024 Arizona's 1st congressional district election
Flag of Arizona.svg
  2022
2026  
  David Schweikert, official portrait, 116th Congress (cropped).jpg Amish Shah by Gage Skidmore 2.jpg
Nominee David Schweikert Amish Shah
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote225,538208,966
Percentage51.9%48.1%

2024 AZ-01 election.svg
Schweikert:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     >90%
Shah:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
     No Votes

U.S. Representative before election

David Schweikert
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

David Schweikert
Republican

The 1st district is based in northeastern Phoenix and Scottsdale. The incumbent is Republican David Schweikert, who was re-elected with 50.4% of the vote in 2022. [1]

Republican primary

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Robert Backie, medical company sales director [3]
  • Kim George, global security operations investigator [3]

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
David Schweikert (R)$3,580,353$2,889,975$743,314
Source: Federal Election Commission [9]

Results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican David Schweikert (incumbent) 62,811 62.7
Republican Kim George27,58727.5
Republican Robert Blackie9,8549.8
Total votes100,252 100.0

Democratic primary

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Endorsements

Andrei Cherny

U.S. executive officials

U.S representatives

Local officials

Organizations

Andrew Horne

Organizations

Kurt Kroemer

Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Andrei Cherny (D)$2,592,326 [b] $2,581,642$10,685
Marlene Galán-Woods (D)$1,776,275 [c] $1,773,390$2,885
Andrew Horne (D)$1,508,528 [d] $1,483,737$24,791
Kurt Kroemer (D)$297,460 [e] $297,460$0
Conor O'Callaghan (D)$2,208,809 [f] $2,077,400$0
Amish Shah (D)$4,930,584 [g] $3,432,166$1,498,419
Source: Federal Election Commission [9]

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [h]
Margin
of error
Andrei
Cherny
Marlene
Galán-Woods
Andrew
Horne
Kurt
Kroemer
Conor
O'Callaghan
Amish
Shah
Undecided
Noble Predictive Insights [45] June 25–27, 2024420 (LV)± 4.78%16%14%8%1%11%16%36%
RMG Research [46] [A] June 10–19, 2024406 (LV)± 4.9%12%12%11%17%15%33% [i]

Debate

2024 Arizona's 1st congressional district democratic primary debate
No.DateHostModeratorLink Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited  W  Withdrawn
Andrei Cherny Marlene Galán-WoodsAndrew HorneKurt KroemerConor O'Callaghan Amish Shah
1May 17, 2024 The Arizona Republic Steve Goldstien
Richard Ruelas
YouTube PPPPPP

Results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Amish Shah 17,214 23.5
Democratic Andrei Cherny 15,59621.3
Democratic Marlene Galán-Woods15,49021.2
Democratic Conor O'Callaghan13,53918.5
Democratic Andrew Horne8,99112.3
Democratic Kurt Kroemer2,3563.2
Total votes73,186 100.0

Libertarian primary

Declared

  • Michelle Martin [3]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [47] TossupJuly 28, 2023
Inside Elections [48] Tilt ROctober 31, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball [49] Lean RNovember 4, 2024
Elections Daily [50] Lean D (flip)November 4, 2024
CNalysis [51] TossupNovember 16, 2023
Decision Desk HQ [52] Lean ROctober 21, 2024

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [h]
Margin
of error
David
Schweikert (R)
Amish
Shah (D)
Undecided
GBAO (D) [53] [B] August 8–13, 2024(LV)47%48%5%
Impact Research (D) [54] [C] August 1–4, 2024500 (LV)± 4.4%48%48%4%

Results

2024 Arizona's 1st congressional district election [55]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican David Schweikert (incumbent)225,53851.9
Democratic Amish Shah208,96648.1
Total votes434,504 100
Republican hold

Results by County

CountyDavid Schweikert
Republican
Amish Shah
Democratic
MarginTotal
#%#%#%
Maricopa 225,53851.91%208,96648.09%16,5623.81%434,504
Totals225,53851.91%208,96648.09%16,5623.81434,504

District 2

2024 Arizona's 2nd congressional district election
Flag of Arizona.svg
  2022
2026  
  Rep. Eli Crane official photo, 118th Congress (cropped).jpg Jonathan Nez (cropped).jpg
Nominee Eli Crane Jonathan Nez
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote221,413184,963
Percentage54.5%45.5%

2024-arizona-house-2nd-district-by-county.svg
Crane:     50–60%     60–70%
Nez:     60–70%     80–90%     ≥90%

U.S. Representative before election

Eli Crane
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Eli Crane
Republican

The 2nd district encompasses much of northeastern Arizona. The incumbent is first-term Republican Eli Crane, who flipped the district and was elected with 53.9% of the vote in 2022. [1]

Republican primary

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Eli Crane (R)$3,935,292$2,625,043$1,376,504
Jack Smith (R)$1,350$0$1,350
Source: Federal Election Commission [61]

Results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Eli Crane (incumbent) 89,480 80.5
Republican Jack Smith21,63719.5
Total votes111,117 100.0

Democratic primary

Nominee

Endorsements

Jonathan Nez

Organizations

Labor unions

Tribes

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Jonathan Nez (D)$380,266$154,214$226,052
Source: Federal Election Commission [73]

Results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Jonathan Nez 62,033 100.0
Total votes62,033 100.0

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [47] Likely ROctober 22, 2024
Inside Elections [48] Likely RSeptember 12, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball [49] Likely ROctober 24, 2024
Elections Daily [50] Likely ROctober 24, 2024
CNalysis [51] Very Likely RNovember 16, 2023
Decision Desk HQ [52] Safe ROctober 22, 2024

Post-primary endorsements

Jonathan Nez (D)

Executive branch officials

Organizations

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [h]
Margin
of error
Eli
Crane (R)
Jonathan
Nez (D)
Undecided
Noble Predictive Insights [76] [D] October 10–12, 2024414 (LV)± 4.8%42%42%15%

Results

2024 Arizona's 2nd congressional district election
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Eli Crane (incumbent)221,41354.5
Democratic Jonathan Nez 184,96345.5
Write-in 280
Total votes406,404 100
Republican hold

Results by County

CountyEli Crane
Republican
Jonathan Nez
Democratic
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal
#%#%#%#%
Apache 9,79230.79%22,01260.20%10.01%-12,320-38.41%31,807
Coconino 24,60235.93%43,86864.06%100.01%-19,266-28.13%68,480
Gila 17,58466.14%8,99438.83%70.03%8,59035.44%26,585
Graham 1018.86%1,03991.14%00%-938-82.28%1,140
Maricopa 9916.81%49083.19%00.00%-391-66.38%589
Mohave 8727.62%22873.28%00.00%-141-44.76%315
Navajo 26,63553.36%23,27346.63%20.01%3,3626.74%49,910
Pinal 46,90557.29%34,96442.70%70.01%11,94114.58%81,876
Yavapai 95,60865.607%50,09534.375%260.018%45,51331.232%145,729
Totals221,41354.48%184,96345.51%550.01%36,4508.97%406,431

District 3

2024 Arizona's 3rd congressional district election
Flag of Arizona.svg
  2022
2026  
  Yassamin Ansari in 2024 (cropped).jpg Jeff Zink by Gage Skidmore (cropped).jpg
Nominee Yassamin Ansari Jeff Zink
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote143,33653,705
Percentage70.9%26.6%

2024 AZ-03 election results by precinct.svg
Ansari:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Zink:     40–50%
     Tie     No Votes

U.S. Representative before election

Ruben Gallego
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Yassamin Ansari
Democratic

The 3rd district is majority-Latino and is based in downtown and western Phoenix. [77] The incumbent is Democrat Ruben Gallego, who was re-elected with 77.0% of the vote in 2022. [1] He did not seeking re-election, instead successfully running for U.S. Senate.

Democratic primary

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [h]
Margin
of error
Yassamin
Ansari
Raquel
Terán
Duane
Wooten
OtherUndecided
Lake Research Partners (D) [109] [E] July 10–14, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%41%30%4%21%
Target Smart [110] [F] April 24–28, 2024404 (LV)± 4.9%20%30%7%6%37%
Lake Research Partners (D) [111] [E] April 17–21, 2024425 (LV)± 4.8%32%21%8%34%
Lake Research Partners (D) [112] [E] October 26 – November 5, 2023400 (LV)± 4.9%24%23%42%

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Yassamin Ansari (D)$1,408,820$506,411$902,409
Raquel Terán (D)$856,888$408,902$447,986
Duane Wooten (D)$36,054 [j] $25,477$10,576
Source: Federal Election Commission [113]

Results

Democratic primary results [114]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Yassamin Ansari 19,087 44.6
Democratic Raquel Terán 19,04844.5
Democratic Duane Wooten4,68710.9
Total votes42,822 100.0

Republican primary

Nominee

  • Jeff Zink, strength conditioning specialist and nominee for this district in 2022 [13]

Eliminated in primary

  • Jesus Mendoza [3]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Jeff Zink (R)$44,132 [k] $47,898$15,336
Source: Federal Election Commission [113]

Results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Jeff Zink 9,243 65.6
Republican Jesus Mendoza4,84034.4
Total votes14,083 100.0

Green primary

Declared

  • Alan Aversa, teacher [3]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [47] Solid DJuly 28, 2023
Inside Elections [48] Solid DJuly 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball [49] Safe DJune 8, 2023
Elections Daily [50] Safe DJune 8, 2023
CNalysis [51] Solid DNovember 16, 2023
Decision Desk HQ [52] Safe DOctober 21, 2024

Results

2024 Arizona's 3rd congressional district election
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Yassamin Ansari 143,33670.9
Republican Jeff Zink53,70526.6
Green Alan Aversa5,0082.5
Total votes202,049 100
Democratic hold

Results by County

CountyYassamin Ansar
Democratic
Jeff Zink
Republican
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal
#%#%#%#%
Maricopa 143,33670.94%53,70526.58%5,0082.48%89,63144.36%202,065
Totals143,33670.94%53,70526.58%5,0082.48%89,63144.36%202,065

District 4

2024 Arizona's 4th congressional district election
Flag of Arizona.svg
  2022
2026  
  Greg Stanton official portrait (118th Congress) (cropped).jpg Kelly Cooper by Gage Skidmore.jpg
Nominee Greg Stanton Kelly Cooper
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote176,428152,052
Percentage52.7%45.5%

2024 AZ-04 election results.svg
Cooper:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Stanton:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%

U.S. Representative before election

Greg Stanton
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Greg Stanton
Democratic

The incumbent is Democrat Greg Stanton, who was re-elected with 56.1% of the vote in 2022. [1]

Democratic primary

Nominee

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Greg Stanton (D)$1,541,651$641,796$933,196
Source: Federal Election Commission [127]

Results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Greg Stanton (incumbent) 49,178 100.0
Total votes49,178 100.0

Republican primary

Nominee

  • Kelly Cooper, restaurant owner and nominee for this district in 2022 [128]

Eliminated in primary

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Kelly Cooper (R)$363,908 [l] $336,052$86,600
Dave Giles (R)$69,898 [m] $65,620$4,278
Zuhdi Jasser (R)$428,273$171,701$256,571
Jerone Davidson (R)$32,121$31,096$1,024
Source: Federal Election Commission [127]

Results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Kelly Cooper 18,902 32.0
Republican Zuhdi Jasser 15,92927.0
Republican Dave Giles13,57523.0
Republican Jerone Davison 10,66418.1
Total votes59,070 100.0

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [47] Solid DJuly 28, 2023
Inside Elections [48] Solid DJuly 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball [49] Safe DJune 8, 2023
Elections Daily [50] Safe DJune 8, 2023
CNalysis [51] Solid DNovember 16, 2023
Decision Desk HQ [52] Likely DOctober 21, 2024

Results

2024 Arizona's 4th congressional district election
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Greg Stanton (incumbent)176,42852.74
Republican Kelly Cooper152,05245.45
Green Vincent Beck-Jones6,0651.8
Total votes334,545 100
Democratic hold

Results by County

CountyGreg Stanton
Democratic
K. Cooper
Republican
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal
#%#%#%#%
Maricopa 176,42852.74%152,05245.45%6,0651.81%24,3767.29%334,545
Totals176,42852.74%152,05245.45%6,0651.81%24,3767.29%334,545

District 5

2024 Arizona's 5th congressional district election
Flag of Arizona.svg
  2022
2026  
  Andy Biggs portrait (118th Congress) (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Andy Biggs Katrina Schaffner
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote255,628167,680
Percentage60.4%39.6%

2024 AZ-05 election results.svg
County results
Biggs:     50–60%     60–70%

U.S. Representative before election

Andy Biggs
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Andy Biggs
Republican

The incumbent is Republican Andy Biggs, who was re-elected with 56.7% of the vote in 2022. [1]

Republican primary

Nominee

Endorsements

Andy Biggs

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Andy Biggs (R)$901,114$723,897$412,689
Source: Federal Election Commission [130]

Results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Andy Biggs (incumbent) 91,820 100.0
Total votes91,820 100.0

Democratic primary

Nominee

  • Katrina Schaffner, cosmetology business owner [131]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Katrina Schaffner (D)$5,426$1,627$7,578
Source: Federal Election Commission [130]

Results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Katrina Schaffner 42,396 100.0
Total votes42,396 100.0

Independents and third-party candidates

Filed paperwork

  • Clint Smith, attorney and candidate for this seat in 2022 (Independent) [132]

Withdrawn

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [47] Solid RJuly 28, 2023
Inside Elections [48] Solid RJuly 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball [49] Safe RJune 8, 2023
Elections Daily [50] Safe RJune 8, 2023
CNalysis [51] Solid RNovember 16, 2023
Decision Desk HQ [52] Safe ROctober 21, 2024

Results

2024 Arizona's 5th congressional district election
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Andy Biggs (incumbent)255,62860.4
Democratic Katrina Schaffner167,68039.6
Total votes423,308 100
Republican hold

Results by County

CountyAndy Biggs
Republican
Katrina Schaffner
Democratic
MarginTotal
#%#%#%
Maricopa 202,98459.06%140,69440.94%62,29018.12%343,678
Pinal 52,64461.11%26,98638.89%25,65832.2%79,630
Totals255,62860.39%167,68039.61%87,94820.78%423,308

District 6

2024 Arizona's 6th congressional district election
Flag of Arizona.svg
  2022
2026  
  Rep. Juan Ciscomani official photo, 118th Congress (cropped).jpg Kirsten Engel by Gage Skidmore (cropped).jpg
Nominee Juan Ciscomani Kirsten Engel
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote215,596204,774
Percentage50.0%47.5%

2024 AZ-06 election results.svg
County results
Ciscomani:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Engel:     50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Juan Ciscomani
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Juan Ciscomani
Republican

The incumbent is first-term Republican Juan Ciscomani, who flipped the district and was elected with 50.8% of the vote in 2022. [1]

Republican primary

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Endorsements

Kathleen Winn

Individuals

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Juan Ciscomani (R)$3,358,989$961,074$2,452,350
Kathleen Winn (R)$80,878$76,802$4,075
Source: Federal Election Commission [142]

Results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Juan Ciscomani (incumbent) 59,021 59.2
Republican Kathleen Winn40,62540.8
Total votes99,646 100.0

Democratic primary

Nominee

Withdrawn

  • Jack O'Donnell, development executive and former Trump Plaza vice president [144]

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Kirsten Engel (D)$2,509,530$638,525$1,872,318
Source: Federal Election Commission [142]

Results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Kirsten Engel 78,178 100.0
Total votes78,178 100.0

Libertarian primary

Declared

  • Vance Cast, educator [3]
  • Mark Siarto [3]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Vance Cast (L)$50,009 [n] $36,707$13,301
Source: Federal Election Commission [142]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [47] TossupJuly 28, 2023
Inside Elections [48] TossupOctober 31, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball [49] Lean RNovember 4, 2024
Elections Daily [50] Lean RNovember 4, 2024
CNalysis [51] TossupNovember 16, 2023
Decision Desk HQ [52] Likely ROctober 21, 2024

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [h]
Margin
of error
Juan
Ciscomani (R)
Kirsten
Engel (D)
Undecided
Change Research (D) [157] [G] July 9–12, 2024855 (LV)± 3.8%43%44%13%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [158] [H] May 28–30, 2024300 (RV)± 5.7%50%39%11%
Hypothetical polling

Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [h]
Margin
of error
Generic
Republican
Generic
Democrat
Undecided
Change Research (D) [157] [G] July 9–12, 2024855 (LV)± 3.8%46%45%9%

Results

2024 Arizona's 6th congressional district election
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Juan Ciscomani 215,59650.01
Democratic Kirsten Engel 204,77447.50
Green Athena Eastwood10,7592.49
Write-in 430
Total votes431,172 100
Republican hold

Results by County

CountyJuan Ciscomani
Republican
Kirsten Engel
Democratic
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal
#%#%#%#%
Cochise 30,62065.04%14,98331.82%1,4793.14%15,63733.21%47,082
Graham 10,53476.66%2,87128.09%3362.45%7,66355.77%13,741
Greenlee 2,11065.773%99230.923%1063.304%1,11834.85%3,208
Pima 150,66045.94%169,35851.63%7,9592.43%-18,698-5.70%327,977
Pinal 21,67255.40%16,57042.35%8792.25%5,10213.04%39,121
Totals215,59650.01%204,77447.50%10,7592.49%36,4508.45%431,129

District 7

2024 Arizona's 7th congressional district election
Flag of Arizona.svg
  2022
2026  
  Raul Grijalva, official portrait, 117th Congress (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Raúl Grijalva Daniel Butierez
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote171,95499,057
Percentage63.5%36.5%

2024-arizona-house-7th-district-by-county.svg
Grijalva:     60-70%     60-70%
Butierez:     60-70%

U.S. Representative before election

Raúl Grijalva
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Raúl Grijalva
Democratic

The 7th district is majority-Hispanic and covers most of the Mexico–United States border in Arizona, including parts of Tucson and Yuma. The incumbent is Democrat Raúl Grijalva, who won with 64.5% of the vote in 2022. [1]

Democratic primary

Nominee

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Raúl Grijalva (D)$330,251$223,597$312,859
Source: Federal Election Commission [163]

Results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Raúl Grijalva (incumbent) 55,133 100.0
Total votes55,133 100.0

Republican primary

Nominee

  • Daniel Butierez, painting contractor [3]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Daniel Butierez (R)$6,757$11,233$0
Source: Federal Election Commission [163]

Results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Daniel Butierez 24,425 100.0
Total votes24,425 100.0

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [47] Solid DJuly 28, 2023
Inside Elections [48] Solid DJuly 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball [49] Safe DJune 8, 2023
Elections Daily [50] Safe DJune 8, 2023
CNalysis [51] Solid DNovember 16, 2023
Decision Desk HQ [52] Safe DOctober 21, 2024

Results

2024 Arizona's 7th congressional district election
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Raúl Grijalva 171,95463.45
Republican Daniel Butierez99,05736.55
Total votes271,011 100
Democratic hold

Results by County

CountyRaúl Grijalva
Democratic
Daniel Butierez
Republican
MarginTotal
#%#%#%
Cochise 6,54362.314%3,95737.686%2,58624.629%10,500
Maricopa 22,39462.00%13,72638.00%8,66824.00%36,120
Pima 113,26965.63%59,30634.37%53,86331.21%172,575
Pinal 84734.28%1,62465.72%-777-31.44%2,471
Totals171,95463.45%99,05736.55%72,89726.90%271,011

District 8

2024 Arizona's 8th congressional district election
Flag of Arizona.svg
  2022
2026  
  Abraham Hamadeh 119th congress (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Abraham Hamadeh Greg Whitten
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote208,269160,344
Percentage56.5%43.5%

2024 AZ-08 election results.svg
Hamadeh:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Whitten:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
     Tie 40–50%     No Votes

U.S. Representative before election

Debbie Lesko
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Abraham Hamadeh
Republican

The incumbent is Republican Debbie Lesko, who was re-elected unopposed in 2022 with 96% of the vote (facing only write-in opposition). Lesko announced in October 2023 that she would not seek re-election in 2024. [1]

Republican primary

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Endorsements

Abraham Hamadeh

U.S. Executive branch officials

Statewide officials

State legislators

Local officials

Individuals

Organizations

Blake Masters

U.S. Executive branch officials

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

Ben Toma

U.S. representatives

Organizations

Debbie Lesko (not running)

Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Pat Briody (R)$15,618 [p] $15,518$100
Trent Franks (R)$277,352 [q] $69,881$207,470
Abraham Hamadeh (R)$596,623$347,736$248,887
Anthony Kern (R)$170,076 [r] $99,994$70,082
Blake Masters (R)$6,377,314 [s] $2,026,615$2,724,434
Ben Toma (R)$576,571$178,456$398,115
Source: Federal Election Commission [184]

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [h]
Margin
of error
Trent
Franks
Abe
Hamadeh
Anthony
Kern
Blake
Masters
Ben
Toma
OtherUndecided
Data Orbital (R) [185] [I] July 17–18, 2024400 (LV)13%20%5%23%17%20%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates [186] [I] July 8–9, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%16%26%4%27%17%2% [t] 9%
The Strategy Group Company [187] [J] June 10–12, 2024620 (LV)± 4.2%12%30%3%19%10%26%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates [188] [I] May 13–15, 2024400 (LV)14%16%2%28%8%0% [u] 32%
SPRY Strategies [189] [K] April 24–26, 2024500 (LV)± 4.3%9%16%3%26%9%37%
The Tyson Group [190] [L] April 20–22, 2024305 (LV)± 4.0%11%10%3%16%9%3% [v] 48%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates [191] [I] January 25–28, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%9%24%1%24%3%3% [w] 35%
National Public Affairs (R) [192] [J] December 16–17, 2023418 (LV)± 4.8%6%37%3%14%7%34%
National Public Affairs (R) [193] October 23–24, 2023301 (LV)± 5.6%31%24%11%34%
Data Orbital (R) [194] [I] October 19–21, 2023450 (LV)± 4.7%18%6%33%7%5% [x] 32%
Hypothetical polling

Abe Hamadeh vs. Ben Toma

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [h]
Margin
of error
Abe
Hamadeh
Ben
Toma
Undecided
National Public Affairs (R) [193] October 23–24, 2023301 (LV)± 5.6%41%12%47%

Abe Hamadeh vs. Blake Masters

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [h]
Margin
of error
Abe
Hamadeh
Blake
Masters
Undecided
National Public Affairs (R) [193] October 23–24, 2023301 (LV)± 5.6%36%27%38%

Blake Masters vs. Ben Toma

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [h]
Margin
of error
Blake
Masters
Ben
Toma
Undecided
National Public Affairs (R) [193] October 23–24, 2023301 (LV)± 5.6%42%15%43%

Debate

2024 Arizona's 8th congressional district republican primary debate
No.DateHostModeratorLink Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican
Key:

 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited  W  Withdrawn

BriodyFranksHamadehKernMastersToma
1April 30, 2024 Arizona PBS Rick DeBruhl YouTube IPPPPP

Results

Results by precinct
Hamadeh
20-30%
30-40%
40-50%
Masters
20-30%
30-40%
40-50%
50-60%
Toma
20-30%
30-40%
Franks
2-candidate tie
20-30%
30-40%
No data 2024 Arizona Congressional District 8 GOP Primary by Precinct.svg
Results by precinct
  Hamadeh
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Masters
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  Toma
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  Franks
  •   
  2–candidate tie
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  No data
Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Abraham Hamadeh 30,686 29.9
Republican Blake Masters 26,42225.7
Republican Ben Toma 21,54921.0
Republican Trent Franks 16,71416.3
Republican Anthony Kern 4,9224.8
Republican Pat Briody2,3362.3
Total votes102,629 100.0

Democratic primary

Nominee

Endorsements

Greg Whitten

Labor unions

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Greg Whitten (D)$159,740 [y] $129,362$30,379
Source: Federal Election Commission [184]

Results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Greg Whitten 47,406 100.0
Total votes47,406 100.0

Libertarian primary

Declared

Independents

Declared

  • Jeremy Spreitzer, firefighter and Democratic write-in candidate for this district in 2022 [197]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [47] Solid RJuly 28, 2023
Inside Elections [48] Solid RJuly 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball [49] Safe RJune 8, 2023
Elections Daily [50] Safe RJune 8, 2023
CNalysis [51] Solid RNovember 16, 2023
Decision Desk HQ [52] Safe ROctober 21, 2024

Results

2024 Arizona's 8th congressional district election
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Abraham Hamadeh 208,26956.5
Democratic Gregory Whitten160,34443.5
Total votes368,613 100
Republican hold

Results by County

CountyAbraham Hamadeh
Republican
Gregory Whitten
Democratic
MarginTotal
#%#%#%
Maricopa 208,26956.50%160,34443.50%47,92513.00%368,613
Totals208,26956.50%160,34443.50%47,92513.00368,613

District 9

2024 Arizona's 9th congressional district election
Flag of Arizona.svg
  2022
2026  
  Paul Gosar 118th Congress portrait.jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Paul Gosar Quacy Smith
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote249,583132,640
Percentage65.3%34.7%

2024 AZ-09 election results.svg
County results
Gosar:     50–60%     70–80%

U.S. Representative before election

Paul Gosar
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Paul Gosar
Republican

The incumbent is Republican Paul Gosar, who was re-elected unopposed in 2022. [1]

Though Gosar comfortably won, with over 65% of the vote it is the worst showing by a Republican in the 9th District as well as also Gosar's weakest performance since he was first elected to Congress in 2010, while Smith's performance was the for a best for a Democratic in this district with less than 35% of the vote.

Republican primary

Nominee

Endorsements

Paul Gosar

State legislators

Local officials

Individuals

Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Paul Gosar (R)$289,507$290,944$118,322
Source: Federal Election Commission [200]

Results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Paul Gosar (incumbent) 89,308 100.0
Total votes89,308 100.0

Democratic primary

Nominee

  • Quacy Smith, lawyer [201]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Quacy Smith (D)$67,034 [z] $60,889$8,232
Source: Federal Election Commission [200]

Results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Quacy Smith 33,784 100.0
Total votes33,784 100.0

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [47] Solid RJuly 28, 2023
Inside Elections [48] Solid RJuly 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball [49] Safe RJune 8, 2023
Elections Daily [50] Safe RJune 8, 2023
CNalysis [51] Solid RNovember 16, 2023
Decision Desk HQ [52] Safe ROctober 21, 2024

Results

2024 Arizona's 9th congressional district election
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Paul Gosar 249,58365.3
Democratic Quacy Smith132,64034.7
Total votes382,223 100
Republican hold

Results by County

CountyPaul Gosar
Republican
Quacy Smith
Democratic
MarginTotal
#%#%#%
La Paz 5,26071.81%2,06528.19%3,19543.61%7,325
Maricopa 137,52958.617%97,09340.383%40,43612.234%234,622
Mohave 82,37278.174%22,99821.826%59,37456.348%105,370
Yuma 24,42269.97%10,48430.03%13,93839.93%34,906
Totals249,58365.30%132,64034.70%116,94330.60%382,223

Notes

  1. This district was numbered as the 6th district prior to the 2020 redistricting cycle.
  2. $150,036 of this total was self-funded by Cherny
  3. $113,178 of this total was self-funded by Galán-Woods
  4. $1,329,537 of this total was self-funded by Horne
  5. $145,627 of this total was self-funded by Kroemer
  6. $1,118,112 of this total was self-funded by O'Callaghan
  7. $194,325 of this total was self-funded by Shah
  8. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  9. "Someone else" with 7%
  10. $5,000 of this total was self-funded by Wooten
  11. $30,000 of this total was self-funded by Zink
  12. $50,214 of this total was self-funded by Cooper
  13. $1,255 of this total was self-funded by Giles
  14. $50,000 of this total was self-funded by Cast
  15. 1 2 Trump originally gave Hamadeh his sole endorsement in December 2023. [177] He later issued a dual endorsement of Hamadeh and Masters on July 28, 2024, just two days before the primary election. [178]
  16. $15,618 of this total was self-funded by Briody
  17. $250,000 of this total was self-funded by Franks
  18. $50,000 of this total was self-funded by Kern
  19. $6,000,000 of this total was self-funded by Masters
  20. Pat Briody with 2%
  21. Briody with 0%
  22. Briody with 3%
  23. Isiah Gallegos with 3%
  24. "Refused" with 5%
  25. $23,000 of this total was self-funded by Whitten
  26. $40,000 of this total was self-funded by Smith

Partisan clients

  1. Poll sponsored by U.S. Term Limits
  2. Poll sponsored by House Majority PAC, a Democratic group
  3. Poll sponsored by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee
  4. Polling was sponsored by Inside Elections
  5. 1 2 3 Poll sponsored by Ansari's campaign
  6. Poll sponsored by Progress Arizona, which supports Terán
  7. 1 2 Poll sponsored by Economic Security Project Action, a Democratic group
  8. Poll sponsored by Ciscomani's campaign
  9. 1 2 3 4 5 Poll sponsored by Masters's campaign
  10. 1 2 Poll sponsored by Hamadeh's campaign
  11. Poll sponsored by American Principles Project, which supports Masters
  12. Poll sponsored by Breaking Battlegrounds

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