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All 9 Arizona seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Democratic hold Republican hold
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Elections in Arizona |
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The 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona were held on November 5, 2024, to elect the nine U.S. representatives from the State of Arizona, one from each of the state's nine congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The primary elections took place on July 30, 2024.
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Schweikert: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% >90% Shah: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% No Votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The 1st district is based in northeastern Phoenix and Scottsdale. The incumbent is Republican David Schweikert, who was re-elected with 50.4% of the vote in 2022. [1]
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
David Schweikert (R) | $3,580,353 | $2,889,975 | $743,314 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [9] |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | David Schweikert (incumbent) | 62,811 | 62.7 | |
Republican | Kim George | 27,587 | 27.5 | |
Republican | Robert Blackie | 9,854 | 9.8 | |
Total votes | 100,252 | 100.0 |
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Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Andrei Cherny (D) | $2,592,326 [b] | $2,581,642 | $10,685 |
Marlene Galán-Woods (D) | $1,776,275 [c] | $1,773,390 | $2,885 |
Andrew Horne (D) | $1,508,528 [d] | $1,483,737 | $24,791 |
Kurt Kroemer (D) | $297,460 [e] | $297,460 | $0 |
Conor O'Callaghan (D) | $2,208,809 [f] | $2,077,400 | $0 |
Amish Shah (D) | $4,930,584 [g] | $3,432,166 | $1,498,419 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [9] |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [h] | Margin of error | Andrei Cherny | Marlene Galán-Woods | Andrew Horne | Kurt Kroemer | Conor O'Callaghan | Amish Shah | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Noble Predictive Insights [45] | June 25–27, 2024 | 420 (LV) | ± 4.78% | 16% | 14% | 8% | 1% | 11% | 16% | 36% |
RMG Research [46] [A] | June 10–19, 2024 | 406 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 12% | 12% | 11% | – | 17% | 15% | 33% [i] |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic |
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Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||||||
Andrei Cherny | Marlene Galán-Woods | Andrew Horne | Kurt Kroemer | Conor O'Callaghan | Amish Shah | |||||
1 | May 17, 2024 | The Arizona Republic | Steve Goldstien Richard Ruelas | YouTube | P | P | P | P | P | P |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Amish Shah | 17,214 | 23.5 | |
Democratic | Andrei Cherny | 15,596 | 21.3 | |
Democratic | Marlene Galán-Woods | 15,490 | 21.2 | |
Democratic | Conor O'Callaghan | 13,539 | 18.5 | |
Democratic | Andrew Horne | 8,991 | 12.3 | |
Democratic | Kurt Kroemer | 2,356 | 3.2 | |
Total votes | 73,186 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [47] | Tossup | July 28, 2023 |
Inside Elections [48] | Tilt R | October 31, 2024 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [49] | Lean R | November 4, 2024 |
Elections Daily [50] | Lean D (flip) | November 4, 2024 |
CNalysis [51] | Tossup | November 16, 2023 |
Decision Desk HQ [52] | Lean R | October 21, 2024 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [h] | Margin of error | David Schweikert (R) | Amish Shah (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GBAO (D) [53] [B] | August 8–13, 2024 | (LV) | – | 47% | 48% | 5% |
Impact Research (D) [54] [C] | August 1–4, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | David Schweikert (incumbent) | 225,538 | 51.9 | ||
Democratic | Amish Shah | 208,966 | 48.1 | ||
Total votes | 434,504 | 100 | |||
Republican hold |
County | David Schweikert Republican | Amish Shah Democratic | Margin | Total | |||
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# | % | # | % | # | % | ||
Maricopa | 225,538 | 51.91% | 208,966 | 48.09% | 16,562 | 3.81% | 434,504 |
Totals | 225,538 | 51.91% | 208,966 | 48.09% | 16,562 | 3.81 | 434,504 |
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Crane: 50–60% 60–70% Nez: 60–70% 80–90% ≥90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 2nd district encompasses much of northeastern Arizona. The incumbent is first-term Republican Eli Crane, who flipped the district and was elected with 53.9% of the vote in 2022. [1]
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Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
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Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Eli Crane (R) | $3,935,292 | $2,625,043 | $1,376,504 |
Jack Smith (R) | $1,350 | $0 | $1,350 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [61] |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Eli Crane (incumbent) | 89,480 | 80.5 | |
Republican | Jack Smith | 21,637 | 19.5 | |
Total votes | 111,117 | 100.0 |
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Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Jonathan Nez (D) | $380,266 | $154,214 | $226,052 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [73] |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jonathan Nez | 62,033 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 62,033 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [47] | Likely R | October 22, 2024 |
Inside Elections [48] | Likely R | September 12, 2024 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [49] | Likely R | October 24, 2024 |
Elections Daily [50] | Likely R | October 24, 2024 |
CNalysis [51] | Very Likely R | November 16, 2023 |
Decision Desk HQ [52] | Safe R | October 22, 2024 |
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [h] | Margin of error | Eli Crane (R) | Jonathan Nez (D) | Undecided |
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Noble Predictive Insights [76] [D] | October 10–12, 2024 | 414 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 42% | 42% | 15% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Eli Crane (incumbent) | 221,413 | 54.5 | ||
Democratic | Jonathan Nez | 184,963 | 45.5 | ||
Write-in | 28 | 0 | |||
Total votes | 406,404 | 100 | |||
Republican hold |
County | Eli Crane Republican | Jonathan Nez Democratic | Various candidates Other parties | Margin | Total | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
# | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
Apache | 9,792 | 30.79% | 22,012 | 60.20% | 1 | 0.01% | -12,320 | -38.41% | 31,807 |
Coconino | 24,602 | 35.93% | 43,868 | 64.06% | 10 | 0.01% | -19,266 | -28.13% | 68,480 |
Gila | 17,584 | 66.14% | 8,994 | 38.83% | 7 | 0.03% | 8,590 | 35.44% | 26,585 |
Graham | 101 | 8.86% | 1,039 | 91.14% | 0 | 0% | -938 | -82.28% | 1,140 |
Maricopa | 99 | 16.81% | 490 | 83.19% | 0 | 0.00% | -391 | -66.38% | 589 |
Mohave | 87 | 27.62% | 228 | 73.28% | 0 | 0.00% | -141 | -44.76% | 315 |
Navajo | 26,635 | 53.36% | 23,273 | 46.63% | 2 | 0.01% | 3,362 | 6.74% | 49,910 |
Pinal | 46,905 | 57.29% | 34,964 | 42.70% | 7 | 0.01% | 11,941 | 14.58% | 81,876 |
Yavapai | 95,608 | 65.607% | 50,095 | 34.375% | 26 | 0.018% | 45,513 | 31.232% | 145,729 |
Totals | 221,413 | 54.48% | 184,963 | 45.51% | 55 | 0.01% | 36,450 | 8.97% | 406,431 |
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Ansari: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Zink: 40–50% Tie No Votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The 3rd district is majority-Latino and is based in downtown and western Phoenix. [77] The incumbent is Democrat Ruben Gallego, who was re-elected with 77.0% of the vote in 2022. [1] He did not seeking re-election, instead successfully running for U.S. Senate.
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [h] | Margin of error | Yassamin Ansari | Raquel Terán | Duane Wooten | Other | Undecided |
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Lake Research Partners (D) [109] [E] | July 10–14, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 41% | 30% | 4% | – | 21% |
Target Smart [110] [F] | April 24–28, 2024 | 404 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 20% | 30% | 7% | 6% | 37% |
Lake Research Partners (D) [111] [E] | April 17–21, 2024 | 425 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 32% | 21% | 8% | – | 34% |
Lake Research Partners (D) [112] [E] | October 26 – November 5, 2023 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 24% | 23% | – | – | 42% |
Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Yassamin Ansari (D) | $1,408,820 | $506,411 | $902,409 |
Raquel Terán (D) | $856,888 | $408,902 | $447,986 |
Duane Wooten (D) | $36,054 [j] | $25,477 | $10,576 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [113] |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Yassamin Ansari | 19,087 | 44.6 | |
Democratic | Raquel Terán | 19,048 | 44.5 | |
Democratic | Duane Wooten | 4,687 | 10.9 | |
Total votes | 42,822 | 100.0 |
Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Jeff Zink (R) | $44,132 [k] | $47,898 | $15,336 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [113] |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Jeff Zink | 9,243 | 65.6 | |
Republican | Jesus Mendoza | 4,840 | 34.4 | |
Total votes | 14,083 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [47] | Solid D | July 28, 2023 |
Inside Elections [48] | Solid D | July 28, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [49] | Safe D | June 8, 2023 |
Elections Daily [50] | Safe D | June 8, 2023 |
CNalysis [51] | Solid D | November 16, 2023 |
Decision Desk HQ [52] | Safe D | October 21, 2024 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Yassamin Ansari | 143,336 | 70.9 | ||
Republican | Jeff Zink | 53,705 | 26.6 | ||
Green | Alan Aversa | 5,008 | 2.5 | ||
Total votes | 202,049 | 100 | |||
Democratic hold |
County | Yassamin Ansar Democratic | Jeff Zink Republican | Various candidates Other parties | Margin | Total | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
# | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
Maricopa | 143,336 | 70.94% | 53,705 | 26.58% | 5,008 | 2.48% | 89,631 | 44.36% | 202,065 |
Totals | 143,336 | 70.94% | 53,705 | 26.58% | 5,008 | 2.48% | 89,631 | 44.36% | 202,065 |
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Cooper: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Stanton: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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The incumbent is Democrat Greg Stanton, who was re-elected with 56.1% of the vote in 2022. [1]
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Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
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Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Greg Stanton (D) | $1,541,651 | $641,796 | $933,196 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [127] |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Greg Stanton (incumbent) | 49,178 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 49,178 | 100.0 |
Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
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Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Kelly Cooper (R) | $363,908 [l] | $336,052 | $86,600 |
Dave Giles (R) | $69,898 [m] | $65,620 | $4,278 |
Zuhdi Jasser (R) | $428,273 | $171,701 | $256,571 |
Jerone Davidson (R) | $32,121 | $31,096 | $1,024 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [127] |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Kelly Cooper | 18,902 | 32.0 | |
Republican | Zuhdi Jasser | 15,929 | 27.0 | |
Republican | Dave Giles | 13,575 | 23.0 | |
Republican | Jerone Davison | 10,664 | 18.1 | |
Total votes | 59,070 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [47] | Solid D | July 28, 2023 |
Inside Elections [48] | Solid D | July 28, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [49] | Safe D | June 8, 2023 |
Elections Daily [50] | Safe D | June 8, 2023 |
CNalysis [51] | Solid D | November 16, 2023 |
Decision Desk HQ [52] | Likely D | October 21, 2024 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Greg Stanton (incumbent) | 176,428 | 52.74 | ||
Republican | Kelly Cooper | 152,052 | 45.45 | ||
Green | Vincent Beck-Jones | 6,065 | 1.8 | ||
Total votes | 334,545 | 100 | |||
Democratic hold |
County | Greg Stanton Democratic | K. Cooper Republican | Various candidates Other parties | Margin | Total | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
# | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
Maricopa | 176,428 | 52.74% | 152,052 | 45.45% | 6,065 | 1.81% | 24,376 | 7.29% | 334,545 |
Totals | 176,428 | 52.74% | 152,052 | 45.45% | 6,065 | 1.81% | 24,376 | 7.29% | 334,545 |
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County results Biggs: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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The incumbent is Republican Andy Biggs, who was re-elected with 56.7% of the vote in 2022. [1]
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Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
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Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Andy Biggs (R) | $901,114 | $723,897 | $412,689 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [130] |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Andy Biggs (incumbent) | 91,820 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 91,820 | 100.0 |
Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
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Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Katrina Schaffner (D) | $5,426 | $1,627 | $7,578 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [130] |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Katrina Schaffner | 42,396 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 42,396 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [47] | Solid R | July 28, 2023 |
Inside Elections [48] | Solid R | July 28, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [49] | Safe R | June 8, 2023 |
Elections Daily [50] | Safe R | June 8, 2023 |
CNalysis [51] | Solid R | November 16, 2023 |
Decision Desk HQ [52] | Safe R | October 21, 2024 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Andy Biggs (incumbent) | 255,628 | 60.4 | ||
Democratic | Katrina Schaffner | 167,680 | 39.6 | ||
Total votes | 423,308 | 100 | |||
Republican hold |
County | Andy Biggs Republican | Katrina Schaffner Democratic | Margin | Total | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
# | % | # | % | # | % | ||
Maricopa | 202,984 | 59.06% | 140,694 | 40.94% | 62,290 | 18.12% | 343,678 |
Pinal | 52,644 | 61.11% | 26,986 | 38.89% | 25,658 | 32.2% | 79,630 |
Totals | 255,628 | 60.39% | 167,680 | 39.61% | 87,948 | 20.78% | 423,308 |
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County results Ciscomani: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Engel: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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The incumbent is first-term Republican Juan Ciscomani, who flipped the district and was elected with 50.8% of the vote in 2022. [1]
Individuals
Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
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Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Juan Ciscomani (R) | $3,358,989 | $961,074 | $2,452,350 |
Kathleen Winn (R) | $80,878 | $76,802 | $4,075 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [142] |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Juan Ciscomani (incumbent) | 59,021 | 59.2 | |
Republican | Kathleen Winn | 40,625 | 40.8 | |
Total votes | 99,646 | 100.0 |
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Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
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Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Kirsten Engel (D) | $2,509,530 | $638,525 | $1,872,318 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [142] |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Kirsten Engel | 78,178 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 78,178 | 100.0 |
Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
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Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Vance Cast (L) | $50,009 [n] | $36,707 | $13,301 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [142] |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [47] | Tossup | July 28, 2023 |
Inside Elections [48] | Tossup | October 31, 2024 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [49] | Lean R | November 4, 2024 |
Elections Daily [50] | Lean R | November 4, 2024 |
CNalysis [51] | Tossup | November 16, 2023 |
Decision Desk HQ [52] | Likely R | October 21, 2024 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [h] | Margin of error | Juan Ciscomani (R) | Kirsten Engel (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research (D) [157] [G] | July 9–12, 2024 | 855 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 43% | 44% | 13% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [158] [H] | May 28–30, 2024 | 300 (RV) | ± 5.7% | 50% | 39% | 11% |
Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [h] | Margin of error | Generic Republican | Generic Democrat | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research (D) [157] [G] | July 9–12, 2024 | 855 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 46% | 45% | 9% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Juan Ciscomani | 215,596 | 50.01 | ||
Democratic | Kirsten Engel | 204,774 | 47.50 | ||
Green | Athena Eastwood | 10,759 | 2.49 | ||
Write-in | 43 | 0 | |||
Total votes | 431,172 | 100 | |||
Republican hold |
County | Juan Ciscomani Republican | Kirsten Engel Democratic | Various candidates Other parties | Margin | Total | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
# | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
Cochise | 30,620 | 65.04% | 14,983 | 31.82% | 1,479 | 3.14% | 15,637 | 33.21% | 47,082 |
Graham | 10,534 | 76.66% | 2,871 | 28.09% | 336 | 2.45% | 7,663 | 55.77% | 13,741 |
Greenlee | 2,110 | 65.773% | 992 | 30.923% | 106 | 3.304% | 1,118 | 34.85% | 3,208 |
Pima | 150,660 | 45.94% | 169,358 | 51.63% | 7,959 | 2.43% | -18,698 | -5.70% | 327,977 |
Pinal | 21,672 | 55.40% | 16,570 | 42.35% | 879 | 2.25% | 5,102 | 13.04% | 39,121 |
Totals | 215,596 | 50.01% | 204,774 | 47.50% | 10,759 | 2.49% | 36,450 | 8.45% | 431,129 |
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Grijalva: 60-70% 60-70% Butierez: 60-70% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 7th district is majority-Hispanic and covers most of the Mexico–United States border in Arizona, including parts of Tucson and Yuma. The incumbent is Democrat Raúl Grijalva, who won with 64.5% of the vote in 2022. [1]
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Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Raúl Grijalva (D) | $330,251 | $223,597 | $312,859 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [163] |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Raúl Grijalva (incumbent) | 55,133 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 55,133 | 100.0 |
Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Daniel Butierez (R) | $6,757 | $11,233 | $0 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [163] |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Daniel Butierez | 24,425 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 24,425 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [47] | Solid D | July 28, 2023 |
Inside Elections [48] | Solid D | July 28, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [49] | Safe D | June 8, 2023 |
Elections Daily [50] | Safe D | June 8, 2023 |
CNalysis [51] | Solid D | November 16, 2023 |
Decision Desk HQ [52] | Safe D | October 21, 2024 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Raúl Grijalva | 171,954 | 63.45 | ||
Republican | Daniel Butierez | 99,057 | 36.55 | ||
Total votes | 271,011 | 100 | |||
Democratic hold |
County | Raúl Grijalva Democratic | Daniel Butierez Republican | Margin | Total | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
# | % | # | % | # | % | ||
Cochise | 6,543 | 62.314% | 3,957 | 37.686% | 2,586 | 24.629% | 10,500 |
Maricopa | 22,394 | 62.00% | 13,726 | 38.00% | 8,668 | 24.00% | 36,120 |
Pima | 113,269 | 65.63% | 59,306 | 34.37% | 53,863 | 31.21% | 172,575 |
Pinal | 847 | 34.28% | 1,624 | 65.72% | -777 | -31.44% | 2,471 |
Totals | 171,954 | 63.45% | 99,057 | 36.55% | 72,897 | 26.90% | 271,011 |
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Hamadeh: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Whitten: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Tie 40–50% No Votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The incumbent is Republican Debbie Lesko, who was re-elected unopposed in 2022 with 96% of the vote (facing only write-in opposition). Lesko announced in October 2023 that she would not seek re-election in 2024. [1]
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Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
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Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Pat Briody (R) | $15,618 [p] | $15,518 | $100 |
Trent Franks (R) | $277,352 [q] | $69,881 | $207,470 |
Abraham Hamadeh (R) | $596,623 | $347,736 | $248,887 |
Anthony Kern (R) | $170,076 [r] | $99,994 | $70,082 |
Blake Masters (R) | $6,377,314 [s] | $2,026,615 | $2,724,434 |
Ben Toma (R) | $576,571 | $178,456 | $398,115 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [184] |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [h] | Margin of error | Trent Franks | Abe Hamadeh | Anthony Kern | Blake Masters | Ben Toma | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Data Orbital (R) [185] [I] | July 17–18, 2024 | 400 (LV) | – | 13% | 20% | 5% | 23% | 17% | – | 20% |
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates [186] [I] | July 8–9, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 16% | 26% | 4% | 27% | 17% | 2% [t] | 9% |
The Strategy Group Company [187] [J] | June 10–12, 2024 | 620 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 12% | 30% | 3% | 19% | 10% | – | 26% |
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates [188] [I] | May 13–15, 2024 | 400 (LV) | – | 14% | 16% | 2% | 28% | 8% | 0% [u] | 32% |
SPRY Strategies [189] [K] | April 24–26, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 9% | 16% | 3% | 26% | 9% | – | 37% |
The Tyson Group [190] [L] | April 20–22, 2024 | 305 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 11% | 10% | 3% | 16% | 9% | 3% [v] | 48% |
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates [191] [I] | January 25–28, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 9% | 24% | 1% | 24% | 3% | 3% [w] | 35% |
National Public Affairs (R) [192] [J] | December 16–17, 2023 | 418 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 6% | 37% | 3% | 14% | 7% | – | 34% |
National Public Affairs (R) [193] | October 23–24, 2023 | 301 (LV) | ± 5.6% | – | 31% | – | 24% | 11% | – | 34% |
Data Orbital (R) [194] [I] | October 19–21, 2023 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.7% | – | 18% | 6% | 33% | 7% | 5% [x] | 32% |
Abe Hamadeh vs. Ben Toma
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [h] | Margin of error | Abe Hamadeh | Ben Toma | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
National Public Affairs (R) [193] | October 23–24, 2023 | 301 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 41% | 12% | 47% |
Abe Hamadeh vs. Blake Masters
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [h] | Margin of error | Abe Hamadeh | Blake Masters | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
National Public Affairs (R) [193] | October 23–24, 2023 | 301 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 36% | 27% | 38% |
Blake Masters vs. Ben Toma
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [h] | Margin of error | Blake Masters | Ben Toma | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
National Public Affairs (R) [193] | October 23–24, 2023 | 301 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 42% | 15% | 43% |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Republican | Republican | Republican | Republican | Republican |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||||||
Briody | Franks | Hamadeh | Kern | Masters | Toma | |||||
1 | April 30, 2024 | Arizona PBS | Rick DeBruhl | YouTube | I | P | P | P | P | P |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Abraham Hamadeh | 30,686 | 29.9 | |
Republican | Blake Masters | 26,422 | 25.7 | |
Republican | Ben Toma | 21,549 | 21.0 | |
Republican | Trent Franks | 16,714 | 16.3 | |
Republican | Anthony Kern | 4,922 | 4.8 | |
Republican | Pat Briody | 2,336 | 2.3 | |
Total votes | 102,629 | 100.0 |
Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Greg Whitten (D) | $159,740 [y] | $129,362 | $30,379 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [184] |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Greg Whitten | 47,406 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 47,406 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [47] | Solid R | July 28, 2023 |
Inside Elections [48] | Solid R | July 28, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [49] | Safe R | June 8, 2023 |
Elections Daily [50] | Safe R | June 8, 2023 |
CNalysis [51] | Solid R | November 16, 2023 |
Decision Desk HQ [52] | Safe R | October 21, 2024 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Abraham Hamadeh | 208,269 | 56.5 | ||
Democratic | Gregory Whitten | 160,344 | 43.5 | ||
Total votes | 368,613 | 100 | |||
Republican hold |
County | Abraham Hamadeh Republican | Gregory Whitten Democratic | Margin | Total | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
# | % | # | % | # | % | ||
Maricopa | 208,269 | 56.50% | 160,344 | 43.50% | 47,925 | 13.00% | 368,613 |
Totals | 208,269 | 56.50% | 160,344 | 43.50% | 47,925 | 13.00 | 368,613 |
| |||||||||||||||||
County results Gosar: 50–60% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
|
The incumbent is Republican Paul Gosar, who was re-elected unopposed in 2022. [1]
Though Gosar comfortably won, with over 65% of the vote it is the worst showing by a Republican in the 9th District as well as also Gosar's weakest performance since he was first elected to Congress in 2010, while Smith's performance was the for a best for a Democratic in this district with less than 35% of the vote.
State legislators
Local officials
Individuals
Organizations
Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Paul Gosar (R) | $289,507 | $290,944 | $118,322 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [200] |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Paul Gosar (incumbent) | 89,308 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 89,308 | 100.0 |
Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Quacy Smith (D) | $67,034 [z] | $60,889 | $8,232 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [200] |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Quacy Smith | 33,784 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 33,784 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [47] | Solid R | July 28, 2023 |
Inside Elections [48] | Solid R | July 28, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [49] | Safe R | June 8, 2023 |
Elections Daily [50] | Safe R | June 8, 2023 |
CNalysis [51] | Solid R | November 16, 2023 |
Decision Desk HQ [52] | Safe R | October 21, 2024 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Paul Gosar | 249,583 | 65.3 | ||
Democratic | Quacy Smith | 132,640 | 34.7 | ||
Total votes | 382,223 | 100 | |||
Republican hold |
County | Paul Gosar Republican | Quacy Smith Democratic | Margin | Total | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
# | % | # | % | # | % | ||
La Paz | 5,260 | 71.81% | 2,065 | 28.19% | 3,195 | 43.61% | 7,325 |
Maricopa | 137,529 | 58.617% | 97,093 | 40.383% | 40,436 | 12.234% | 234,622 |
Mohave | 82,372 | 78.174% | 22,998 | 21.826% | 59,374 | 56.348% | 105,370 |
Yuma | 24,422 | 69.97% | 10,484 | 30.03% | 13,938 | 39.93% | 34,906 |
Totals | 249,583 | 65.30% | 132,640 | 34.70% | 116,943 | 30.60% | 382,223 |
Partisan clients
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Democrat Jevin Hodge said Friday that he would not seek a rematch with Republican Rep. David Schweikert
Democrat Hiral Tipirneni announced Monday that she would not seek a rematch against Republican incumbent David Schweikert
Lamb told POLITICO that he had been asked about running against Crane but has no plans to leave the Senate race.
Arizona Republican congressional candidate Dr. Zuhdi Jasser weighs in on the 'Day of Jihad' protests nationwide and Hamas' ideology on 'FOX & Friends Weekend.'
Democrat Jack O'Donnell quietly bowed out of the 6th Congressional District primary race last week without comment.
'Going to DC is not in my immediate future,' State Sen. Shawnna Bolick, R-Phoenix, posted in a tweet thanking Lesko for her time in Congress. State Rep. Austin Smith, R-Wittmann, also declined to run.
Rep. Debbie Lesko confirmed Tuesday that she would run for the seat on the Maricopa County Board of Supervisors held by incumbent Clint Hickman
Rep. Debbie Lesko (R-Ariz.) is endorsing Arizona's state House Speaker Ben Toma to succeed her in Congress
In the no column is state Rep. Steve Montenegro, who took third in the special 2018 primary and tells Axios he's not going to try again
Norton, who is currently the state party treasurer, tweeted Thursday, 'I am gracious for the encouragement I have received by those asking me to run for CD-8 following @RepDLesko's retirement (who we thank for her service), but I must humbly decline.'
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