2018 Arizona Secretary of State election

Last updated

2018 Arizona Secretary of State election
Flag of Arizona.svg
  2014 November 6, 2018 2022  
Turnout62.77% Increase2.svg [1]
  Katie Hobbs by Gage Skidmore 2.jpg Steve Gaynor (44831689025) (cropped).jpg
Nominee Katie Hobbs Steve Gaynor
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote1,176,3841,156,132
Percentage50.43%49.56%

Arizona Secretary of State Election, 2018.svg
2018 Arizona Secretary of State election by precinct.svg
Hobbs:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Gaynor:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     50%     No data

Secretary of State before election

Michele Reagan
Republican

Elected Secretary of State

Katie Hobbs
Democratic

The 2018 Arizona Secretary of State election took place in the U.S. state of Arizona on November 6, 2018, to elect the Secretary of State of Arizona, concurrently with the election of Arizona's Class I U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Contents

Incumbent Michele Reagan was first elected in 2014 and ran for re-election. She was defeated in the Republican primary by Steve Gaynor. State senator Katie Hobbs defeated Gaynor in the general election by a small margin, becoming the first Democratic Secretary of State since Richard Mahoney was elected in 1990.

The race was rated "Likely Republican" by Governing.com, [2] but this did not come to fruition as Katie Hobbs pulled off an upset win which, alongside Democrats' victory in the concurrent Senate election, established Arizona's role as a key battleground state.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Results

Results by county:

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Gaynor--50-60%
Gaynor--60-70%
Gaynor--70-80% 2018 Arizona Secretary of State Republican primary election results map by county.svg
Results by county:
  Gaynor—50–60%
  Gaynor—60–70%
  Gaynor—70–80%
Republican primary results [9]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Steve Gaynor 414,332 66.69%
Republican Michele Reagan (incumbent)206,98833.31%
Total votes621,320 100.0%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Not on the ballot

Withdrew

Results

Democratic primary results [9]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Katie Hobbs 465,668 100.0%
Total votes465,668 100.0%

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Governing [17] Likely RJune 4, 2018

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Steve
Gaynor (R)
Katie
Hobbs (D)
OtherUndecided
Data Orbital (R) [18] October 1–3, 2018550 (LV)± 4.2%41%31%3%24%
OH Predictive Insights [19] October 1–2, 2018600 (LV)± 4.0%50%36%14%
Gravis Marketing [20] September 5–7, 2018882 (LV)± 3.3%45%40%15%
OH Predictive Insights [21] September 5–6, 2018597 (LV)± 4.0%42%39%19%

Results

Arizona Secretary of State election, 2018 [1]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic Katie Hobbs 1,176,384 50.43% +2.65%
Republican Steve Gaynor 1,156,13249.56%−2.66%
Write-in 1690.01%N/A
Total votes2,332,685 100.0%
Democratic gain from Republican

By county

County [1] Katie Hobbs
Democratic
Steve Gaynor
Republican
OthersMarginTotal
# %# %# %# %
Apache 17,02968.337,88931.6540.029,14036.6824,922
Cochise 18,72141.6626,20458.31170.04-7,483-16.6544,942
Coconino 34,12063.2119,85136.7880.0114,26926.4353,979
Gila 7,52437.0112,80462.9820.01-5,280-25.9720,330
Graham 3,47632.997,06167.0100.00-3,585-34.0210,537
Greenlee 1,08443.001,43757.0000.00-353-14.002,531
La Paz 1,60832.063,40867.9400.00-1,800-35.885,016
Maricopa 713,04550.72692,69049.27850.0120,3551.451,405,735
Mohave 18,77526.5651,90073.4350.01-33,125-46.8770,675
Navajo 16,93047.0619,04052.9330.01-2,110-5.8735,970
Pima 226,03459.24155,50140.75230.0170,53318.49381,535
Pinal 49,75642.9066,21157.0970.01-16,455-14.19115,967
Santa Cruz 9,49771.813,72928.1900.005,76843.6213,226
Yavapai 38,25936.6666,08863.33130.01-27,829-26.67104,347
Yuma 20,52647.9122,31952.0920.00-1,793-4.1842,845

References

  1. 1 2 3 "2018 General Election" (PDF). results.arizona.vote. November 6, 2018. Retrieved March 30, 2021.
  2. "Secretary of State Races Are More Competitive and Important Than Ever". June 2018.
  3. "Millionaire jumps into race to challenge Michele Reagan for Arizona secretary of state".
  4. "Could dark-horse candidate be Arizona Secretary of State Michele Reagan's biggest threat? - Rose Law Group Reporter". December 25, 2017.
  5. "Arizona Election Information". apps.arizona.vote.
  6. "Arizona Secretary of State Michele Reagan to see 2018 primary challenge". Archived from the original on March 31, 2017. Retrieved March 31, 2017.
  7. "Sen. Steve Montenegro jumps into race for Arizona secretary of state".
  8. "Crowded race to replace Rep. Trent Franks reshapes state's political landscape".
  9. 1 2 "2018 Primary Election - August 28, 2018 - Official Canvass of Results" (PDF). Arizona Secretary of State .
  10. "Democratic state Sen. Katie Hobbs will seek to unseat Arizona Secretary of State Michele Reagan".
  11. "Hobbs Announces She'll Run for Arizona Secretary of State | Arizona News | US News". Archived from the original on December 13, 2017. Retrieved March 11, 2017.
  12. "Leslie Pico for AZ Secretary of State 2018 - Take Action". electleslie.com. Archived from the original on August 16, 2018. Retrieved April 26, 2019.
  13. "Primary candidates drop off ballot following petition challenges". Glendale Star. Archived from the original on July 2, 2018. Retrieved June 29, 2018.
  14. "Mark Robert Gordon for Secretary of State". www.facebook.com.
  15. "Arizona native, lawyer Mark Robert Gordon to run for secretary of state". September 29, 2017.
  16. "Unity, For The Greater Good". June 19, 2018.
  17. Jacobson, Louis (June 4, 2018). "Secretary of State Races Are More Competitive and Important Than Ever". Governing. Retrieved September 22, 2019.
  18. Data Orbital (R)
  19. OH Predictive Insights
  20. Gravis Marketing
  21. OH Predictive Insights