2018 Arizona Secretary of State election

Last updated

2018 Arizona Secretary of State election
Flag of Arizona.svg
  2014 November 6, 2018 2022  
Turnout62.77% Increase2.svg [1]
  Katie Hobbs by Gage Skidmore 2.jpg Steve Gaynor (44831689025) (cropped).jpg
Nominee Katie Hobbs Steve Gaynor
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote1,176,3841,156,132
Percentage50.4%49.6%

Arizona Secretary of State Election, 2018.svg
2018 Arizona Secretary of State election by precinct.svg
Hobbs:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Gaynor:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     50%     No data

Secretary of State before election

Michele Reagan
Republican

Elected Secretary of State

Katie Hobbs
Democratic

The 2018 Arizona Secretary of State election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the Secretary of State of Arizona, concurrently with the election of Arizona's Class I U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Contents

Incumbent Michele Reagan was first elected in 2014 and ran for re-election. She was defeated in the Republican primary by Steve Gaynor. State senator Katie Hobbs defeated Gaynor in the general election by a small margin, becoming the first Democratic Secretary of State since Richard Mahoney was elected in 1990.

The race was rated "Likely Republican" by Governing.com, [2] but this did not come to fruition as Katie Hobbs pulled off an upset win which, alongside Democrats' victory in the concurrent Senate election, established Arizona's role as a key battleground state.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Results

Results by county:

.mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{}
Gaynor--50-60%
Gaynor--60-70%
Gaynor--70-80% 2018 Arizona Secretary of State Republican primary election results map by county.svg
Results by county:
  Gaynor—50–60%
  Gaynor—60–70%
  Gaynor—70–80%
Republican primary results [9]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Steve Gaynor 414,332 66.69%
Republican Michele Reagan (incumbent)206,98833.31%
Total votes621,320 100.0%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Not on the ballot

Withdrew

Results

Democratic primary results [9]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Katie Hobbs 465,668 100.0%
Total votes465,668 100.0%

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Governing [17] Likely RJune 4, 2018

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Steve
Gaynor (R)
Katie
Hobbs (D)
OtherUndecided
Data Orbital (R) October 1–3, 2018550 (LV)± 4.2%41%31%3%24%
OH Predictive Insights October 1–2, 2018600 (LV)± 4.0%50%36%14%
Gravis Marketing September 5–7, 2018882 (LV)± 3.3%45%40%15%
OH Predictive Insights September 5–6, 2018597 (LV)± 4.0%42%39%19%

Results

Arizona Secretary of State election, 2018 [1]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic Katie Hobbs 1,176,384 50.43% +2.65%
Republican Steve Gaynor 1,156,13249.56%-2.66%
Write-in 1690.01%N/A
Total votes2,332,685 100.0%
Democratic gain from Republican

By county

County [1] Katie Hobbs
Democratic
Steve Gaynor
Republican
OthersMarginTotal
# %# %# %# %
Apache 17,02968.337,88931.6540.029,14036.6824,922
Cochise 18,72141.6626,20458.31170.04-7,483-16.6544,942
Coconino 34,12063.2119,85136.7880.0114,26926.4353,979
Gila 7,52437.0112,80462.9820.01-5,280-25.9720,330
Graham 3,47632.997,06167.0100.00-3,585-34.0210,537
Greenlee 1,08443.001,43757.0000.00-353-14.002,531
La Paz 1,60832.063,40867.9400.00-1,800-35.885,016
Maricopa 713,04550.72692,69049.27850.0120,3551.451,405,735
Mohave 18,77526.5651,90073.4350.01-33,125-46.8770,675
Navajo 16,93047.0619,04052.9330.01-2,110-5.8735,970
Pima 226,03459.24155,50140.75230.0170,53318.49381,535
Pinal 49,75642.9066,21157.0970.01-16,455-14.19115,967
Santa Cruz 9,49771.813,72928.1900.005,76843.6213,226
Yavapai 38,25936.6666,08863.33130.01-27,829-26.67104,347
Yuma 20,52647.9122,31952.0920.00-1,793-4.1842,845

Related Research Articles

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Steve Montenegro</span> American politician (born 1981)

Steve Montenegro is a Salvadoran-American Republican politician from Litchfield Park, Arizona who is a member of the Arizona House of Representatives, elected in 2022. He is a former member of the Arizona Senate. He was previously a member of the Arizona House of Representatives, from 2009 to 2017, where he was Speaker Pro Tempore.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Michele Reagan</span> American politician

Michele Reagan is an American Republican politician who served as the 20th Arizona Secretary of State, from 2015 to 2019. She is currently a Justice of the Peace for the Maricopa County McDowell Mountain Precinct.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2014 Arizona gubernatorial election</span> Review of the election

The 2014 Arizona gubernatorial election was held on November 4, 2014, to elect the Governor of Arizona, concurrently with elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Katie Hobbs</span> Governor of Arizona since 2023

Kathleen Marie Hobbs is an American politician and social worker serving since 2023 as the 24th governor of Arizona. Hobbs is the first social worker to be elected governor of a U.S. state and is Arizona's fifth female governor. A member of the Democratic Party, she was secretary of state of Arizona from 2019 to 2023 and a member of the Arizona State Legislature from 2011 to 2019.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2018 United States Senate election in Arizona</span>

The 2018 United States Senate election in Arizona took place on November 6, 2018. Incumbent Republican Senator Jeff Flake did not seek reelection to a second term. The election was held concurrently with a gubernatorial election, other elections to the U.S. Senate, elections to the U.S. House of Representatives, and various other state and local elections.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States Senate election in Mississippi</span>

The 2020 United States Senate election in Mississippi was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Mississippi, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2018 Arizona elections</span>

A general election was held in the U.S. state of Arizona on November 6, 2018. All of Arizona's executive offices were up for election as well as a United States Senate seat and all of Arizona's nine seats in the United States House of Representatives. The Republican Party won the majority of statewide offices, albeit by much narrower margins than in previous elections, while the Democratic Party picked up three statewide offices.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona</span>

The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the nine U.S. representatives from the State of Arizona, one from each of the state's nine congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2018 Arizona gubernatorial election, as well as other elections to the U.S. House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. The 2018 general elections saw the Democratic party gain the 2nd congressional district, thus flipping the state from a 5–4 Republican advantage to a 5–4 Democratic advantage, the first time since the 2012 election in which Democrats held more House seats in Arizona than the Republicans.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 United States gubernatorial elections</span> Election of 39 state governors

United States gubernatorial elections were held on November 8, 2022, in 36 states and three territories. As most governors serve four-year terms, the last regular gubernatorial elections for all but two of the seats took place in 2018 U.S. gubernatorial elections. The gubernatorial elections took place concurrently with several other federal, state, and local elections, as part of the 2022 midterm elections.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States Senate special election in Arizona</span> Election of US Senator Mark Kelly

The 2020 United States Senate special election in Arizona was held on November 3, 2020, following the death in office of incumbent Republican U.S. Senator John McCain on August 25, 2018. Governor Doug Ducey was required by Arizona law to appoint a Republican to fill the vacant seat until a special election winner could be sworn in. On September 5, 2018, Ducey appointed former U.S. Senator Jon Kyl to fill McCain's seat. However, Kyl announced he would resign on December 31, 2018.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States Senate elections</span>

The 2024 United States Senate elections are scheduled to be held on November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections. 33 of the 100 seats in the U.S. Senate will be contested in regular elections, the winners of which will serve six-year terms in the U.S. Congress from January 3, 2025, to January 3, 2031, and two special elections will be held to complete unexpired terms. Senators are divided into three classes whose terms are staggered so that a different class is elected every two years. Class 1 senators, who were last elected in 2018, will be up for election again in 2024. Numerous other federal, state, and local elections, including the U.S. presidential election and elections to the House, will also be held on this date.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 Arizona gubernatorial election</span> Election for Governor of Arizona

The 2022 Arizona gubernatorial election occurred on November 8, 2022, to elect the next governor of Arizona concurrently with other federal and state elections. Incumbent Republican governor Doug Ducey was term-limited and ineligible to run for a third consecutive term. Democratic Arizona Secretary of State Katie Hobbs narrowly defeated Republican former television journalist Kari Lake for the governorship.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Justin Wilmeth</span> American politician

Justin Wilmeth is an American politician and former child actor who is one of the Arizona state representatives in Arizona's 2nd district. He was elected to the 15th district in 2020 after incumbent Republican Nancy Barto decided to run for Arizona Senate. He and Steve Kaiser won in a two–seat election in 2020, both defeating Democrat Kristin Dybvig–Pawelko by over 11,000 votes. He was reelected to the 2nd district in 2022, following redistricting.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 Arizona elections</span>

The 2022 Arizona elections were held in the state of Arizona on November 8, 2022, coinciding with the nationwide general election. All six executive offices were up for election, as well as a U.S. Senate seat, all of the state's U.S. House of Representatives seats, and the state legislature.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 United States attorney general elections</span>

The 2022 United States attorney general elections were held on November 8, 2022, to elect the attorneys general in thirty states, two territories, and one federal district. The previous elections for this group of states took place in 2018. The attorney general of Vermont serves two-year terms and was last elected in 2020.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 Arizona Secretary of State election</span>

The 2022 Arizona Secretary of State election was held on Tuesday November 8, to elect the next Secretary of State of Arizona Incumbent Secretary of State Katie Hobbs declined to run for a second term to instead run for governor. Primary elections were held on August 2, 2022. Democrat and former Maricopa County recorder Adrian Fontes defeated Republican representative Mark Finchem by 4.8%.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2014 Arizona Secretary of State election</span> Election in Arizona

The 2014 Arizona Secretary of State election took place on November 4, 2018, to elect the Secretary of State of Arizona, concurrently with other statewide elections, including for governor and U.S. House.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Steve Gaynor</span> American businessman and political candidate

Steven Jeffrey Gaynor is an American businessman and political candidate in Arizona. He ran for Secretary of State of Arizona in 2018, and won the Arizona Republican Party nomination, but narrowly lost the general election to Democrat Katie Hobbs. Gaynor declared his candidacy for the 2022 Arizona gubernatorial election as a Republican. In June 2021, he withdrew before the primary.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 Washington Secretary of State special election</span>

The 2022 Washington Secretary of State special election was held on November 8, 2022. Incumbent Kim Wyman, a Republican, resigned from the office on November 19, 2021, to become the senior election security lead for the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency in the Biden administration's Department of Homeland Security. Washington governor Jay Inslee, a Democrat, announced he would appoint state senator Steve Hobbs as her replacement, the first Democrat to hold the office in more than fifty years.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 United States secretary of state elections</span>

The 2022 United States secretary of state elections were held on November 8, 2022, to elect the secretaries of state in twenty-seven states. These elections took place concurrently with several other federal, state, and local elections.

References

  1. 1 2 3 "2018 General Election" (PDF). results.arizona.vote. November 6, 2018. Retrieved March 30, 2021.
  2. "Secretary of State Races Are More Competitive and Important Than Ever". June 2018.
  3. "Millionaire jumps into race to challenge Michele Reagan for Arizona secretary of state".
  4. "Could dark-horse candidate be Arizona Secretary of State Michele Reagan's biggest threat? - Rose Law Group Reporter". December 25, 2017.
  5. "Arizona Election Information". apps.arizona.vote.
  6. "Arizona Secretary of State Michele Reagan to see 2018 primary challenge". Archived from the original on March 31, 2017. Retrieved March 31, 2017.
  7. "Sen. Steve Montenegro jumps into race for Arizona secretary of state".
  8. "Crowded race to replace Rep. Trent Franks reshapes state's political landscape".
  9. 1 2 "2018 Primary Election - August 28, 2018 - Official Canvass of Results" (PDF). Arizona Secretary of State .
  10. "Democratic state Sen. Katie Hobbs will seek to unseat Arizona Secretary of State Michele Reagan".
  11. "Hobbs Announces She'll Run for Arizona Secretary of State | Arizona News | US News". Archived from the original on December 13, 2017. Retrieved March 11, 2017.
  12. "Leslie Pico for AZ Secretary of State 2018 - Take Action". electleslie.com. Archived from the original on August 16, 2018. Retrieved April 26, 2019.
  13. "Primary candidates drop off ballot following petition challenges". Glendale Star. Archived from the original on July 2, 2018. Retrieved June 29, 2018.
  14. "Mark Robert Gordon for Secretary of State". www.facebook.com.
  15. "Arizona native, lawyer Mark Robert Gordon to run for secretary of state". September 29, 2017.
  16. "Unity, For The Greater Good". June 19, 2018.
  17. Jacobson, Louis (June 4, 2018). "Secretary of State Races Are More Competitive and Important Than Ever". Governing. Retrieved September 22, 2019.