2022 Arizona Attorney General election

Last updated

2022 Arizona Attorney General election
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←  2018 November 8, 2022 2026  →
  Kris Mayes (52365525231) (cropped).jpg Abraham Hamadeh (52365753993) (cropped).jpg
Nominee Kris Mayes Abraham Hamadeh
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote1,254,8091,254,529
Percentage49.94%49.93%
2022 Arizona Attorney General election results map by county.svg
2022 AG race in Arizona by Congressional District.svg
Mayes:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Hamadeh:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Attorney General before election

Mark Brnovich
Republican

Elected Attorney General

Kris Mayes
Democratic

The 2022 Arizona Attorney General election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the next attorney general of Arizona concurrently with other federal and state elections. Incumbent Republican attorney general Mark Brnovich was term-limited and could not seek a third term in office. [1] With a margin of 0.01%, Democrat Kris Mayes defeated Republican Abe Hamadeh in one of the closest elections in Arizona history, and the closest attorney general race of the 2022 election cycle. The race is also believed to be the only election directly affected by the deaths of anti-vaccine advocates from COVID-19. [2]

Contents

On November 21, the final tally of votes initially left Mayes leading Hamadeh by just 510 votes out of more than 2.5 million cast. This triggered an automatic recount under Arizona law; the recount was completed on December 29 with the Democrat winning by an even slimmer 280 vote margin and just 0.01%, making it the closest statewide election in any state in 2022. The results were certified by the Secretary of State and the election process completed on December 29. [3] [4] Hamadeh filed a lawsuit to block certification of the election, but state courts rejected it as election challenges could only be filed after certification. [5] Mayes became the first Democrat to win this office since Terry Goddard in 2006.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Endorsements

Rodney Glassman
U.S. Representatives
Andrew Gould
Statewide officials
Abraham Hamadeh
U.S. Executive Branch officials
Organizations
  • Veterans for Trump [18]
Tiffany Shedd
Organizations

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [a] 		Margin
of error		Lacy
Cooper		Rodney
Glassman		Andy
Gould		Dawn
Grove		Abe
Hamadeh		Tiffany
Shedd		OtherUndecided
Rasmussen Reports July 27–28, 2022710 (LV)± 4.0%4%21%12%6%26%4%6%20%
OH Predictive Insights July 27, 2022502 (LV)± 4.4%2%16%7%5%31%4%–35%
KAConsulting LLC (R) July 11–12, 2022400 (RV)± 4.9%2%6%5%10%17%3%–57%
OH Predictive Insights June 30 – July 2, 2022515 (LV)± 4.3%3%6%6%5%7%4%–68%
Cygnal (R) [A] June 9–10, 2022– (LV)–1%4%6%4%10%5%–72%
OH Predictive Insights April 4–5, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%4%5%5%3%3%4%–76%

Results

Republican primary results by county .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{} Hamadeh 20-30% 30-40% Glassman 20-30% 30-40% Gould 30-40% 2022 Arizona Attorney General Republican primary election results map by county.svg
Republican primary results by county
  Hamadeh
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  Glassman
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  Gould
  •   30-40%
Republican primary results [20]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Abraham Hamadeh 265,636 33.56%
Republican Rodney Glassman186,86323.60%
Republican Andrew Gould 132,25316.71%
Republican Dawn Grove94,67011.96%
Republican Lacy Cooper67,7428.56%
Republican Tiffany Shedd44,4535.61%
Total votes791,617 100.0%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Results

Democratic primary results [20]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Kris Mayes 556,351 100.0%
Total votes556,351 100.0%

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

Results

Libertarian primary results [20]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Libertarian Michael Kielsky (write-in)571100.0%
Total votes571 100.0%

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Sabato's Crystal Ball [28] TossupNovember 3, 2022
Elections Daily [29] Leans RNovember 1, 2022
A yard sign supporting Mayes in Tucson Kris Mayes For Arizona Attorney General Yard Sign, in Tucson, AZ, In The 2022 Midterm Elections.jpg
A yard sign supporting Mayes in Tucson

Endorsements

Abraham Hamadeh (R)
U.S. Executive Branch officials

Polling

Graphical summary
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [a] 		Margin
of error		Abraham
Hamadeh (R)		Kristin
Mayes (D)		OtherUndecided
Data Orbital (R) November 4–6, 2022550 (LV)± 4.3%48%45%1% [b] 5%
KAConsulting (R) [B] November 2–3, 2022501 (LV)± 4.4%46%39%–10%
Big Data Poll (R) October 31 – November 3, 20221,051 (LV)± 5.0%49%46%–6%
HighGround Inc. November 1–2, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%44%42%1% [c] 13%
OH Predictive Insights October 24–26, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%42%45%–12%
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) [C] October 14–18, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%42%45%4% [d] 10%
The Trafalgar Group (R) [A] October 10–16, 20221,084 (LV)± 2.9%47%43%–10%
HighGround Inc. October 12–13, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%43%38%2% [e] 17%
Big Data Poll (R) October 2–5, 2022974 (LV)± 3.1%47%42%–12%
Global Strategy Group (D) [D] September 13–20, 2022800 (LV)± 3.5%45%45%–10%
The Trafalgar Group (R) September 14–17, 20221,080 (LV)± 2.9%50%41%–9%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [a] 		Margin
of error		Generic
Republican		January
Contreras (D)		Undecided
Data for Progress (D) [E] September 15–22, 2020481 (LV)± 4.4%40%39%22%

Certified results

2022 Arizona Attorney General election [34]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic Kris Mayes 1,254,61350.00%+1.74%
Republican Abraham Hamadeh 1,254,10249.98%−1.74%
Libertarian Samantha Severson (write-in)4180.02%N/A
Total votes2,509,133 100.0%

Recount

On December 5, 2022, following election certification, Secretary of State Katie Hobbs petitioned the Maricopa County Superior Court to initiate a recount for the Attorney General election. [35] [36] On the same day, Maricopa County Superior Court Judge Timothy J. Thomason ordered for the recount to begin. [37] Under Arizona state law, an automatic recount is triggered if the margin is ≤0.5%. [38] In the Attorney General race, Democrat Kris Mayes led Republican Abraham Hamadeh by 511 votes, a margin of 0.02%, which fell within the automatic recount threshold. [34]

As of December 28, all counties had completed their recount tabulations, and audited and sent their final results to the Arizona Secretary of State's office. The office was to compile and provide the results to the Maricopa County Superior Court, which may be released upon the court's certification. This hearing was scheduled for the 21st; however, the office motioned the court on that day to reschedule it to the 29th at 10 a.m. (only four days prior to the inauguration of the winner) due to the delays in Pinal County. [39] [40] [41]

On December 29, Judge Timothy Thomason announced the results of the recount, confirming Kris Mayes as the winner with a reduced margin of 280 votes. [42]

Recount results

2022 Arizona Attorney General election [43]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic Kris Mayes 1,254,809 49.94% +1.68%
Republican Abraham Hamadeh 1,254,52949.93%−1.80%
Write-in 3,0520.12%+0.11%
Total votes2,512,390 100.0%
Democratic gain from Republican
By county
[34] [43] Kris Mayes
Democratic 		Abraham Hamadeh
Republican
CountyCertified votesRecount votesChangeCertified votesRecount votesChange
Apache 17,87117,930+598,4818,494+13
Cochise 18,48118,480-127,66427,664Steady2.svg
Coconino 34,04334,043Steady2.svg19,70019,700Steady2.svg
Gila 7,7277,727Steady2.svg14,53814,538Steady2.svg
Graham 3,0843,085+17,6407,640Steady2.svg
Greenlee 938938Steady2.svg1,4621,462Steady2.svg
La Paz 1,6481,653+53,7753,788+13
Maricopa 766,869766,874+5740,960740,965+5
Mohave 19,58319,585+260,59260,593+1
Navajo 18,11918,129+1021,74821,747-1
Pima 236,264236,264Steady2.svg157,350157,348-2
Pinal 58,95359,068+11582,72483,116+392
Santa Cruz 8,7238,721-24,2824,283+1
Yavapai 42,81042,813+377,48177,487+6
Yuma 19,50019,499-125,70525,704-1
By congressional district

Mayes won 5 out of 9 congressional districts, including two that elected Republicans. [44]

DistrictMayesHamadehRepresentative
1st 51.4%48.6% David Schweikert
2nd 45.8%54.2% Tom O'Halleran (117th Congress)
Eli Crane (118th Congress)
3rd 75.8%24.2% Ruben Gallego
4th 56.0%44.0% Greg Stanton
5th 42.4%57.6% Andy Biggs
6th 51.5%48.5% Ann Kirkpatrick (117th Congress)
Juan Ciscomani (118th Congress)
7th 66.4%33.6% Raúl Grijalva
8th 44.1%55.9% Debbie Lesko
9th 35.9%64.1% Paul Gosar

Lawsuit over result

Hamadeh filed a lawsuit regarding the result of the election. On December 20, judge Lee Jantzen of Mohave County Superior Court denied Kris Mayes' and Secretary of State Katie Hobbs' motion to dismiss and stated that Hamadeh "is not alleging political motives or fraud or personal agendas being pushed", but "is simply alleging misconduct by mistake, or omission by election officials, led to erroneous count of votes and which if true could have led to an uncertain result." Jantzen added that honest mistakes by officials could not be used to overturn an election. Kris Mayes' attorney repeatedly stated that the evidence brought forward by Hamadeh was not large enough to ever be accepted by the strict standards of election law. [45] [46] Jantzen dismissed one count of the lawsuit, alleging that unverified early ballots were illegal votes. [45]

This allowed for Hamadeh's lawsuit to proceed to an evidentiary hearing, which was held on December 23, lasting for three hours, with the result being that Judge Jantzen, ruling from the bench, denied Hamadeh's election challenge. [47] [48] [49] Jantzen told Hamadeh's lawyer "you just haven't proven your case", with an absence of "even slight information" that "the election was done illegally or incorrectly." Jantzen declined to accept Hamadeh's lawyer's request to shift the vote margin as not being in the court's purview. [50] Hamadeh's lawyer acknowledged to the court that his findings were insufficient. Mayes' attorney stated he would request the court to sanction him over the frivolous nature of the lawsuit, stating that in 37 years of practice he had "never been involved in such a gigantic waste of time as this case". [51]

Hamadeh filed another lawsuit regarding the election result on January 4, 2023, after Mayes had already been sworn in as attorney general; the new lawsuit cited that the "recount results identified significant, material discrepancies" which were not known to the court during the previous lawsuit. [52] Judge Jantzen rejected this lawsuit in July 2023, writing that election laws "preclude issuing a new trial with extended discovery", and finding that there was no new evidence that could not have been previously produced at the original trial. [53] Hamadeh requested that the Arizona Supreme Court intervene in the lawsuit, but the Arizona Supreme Court responded that Hamadeh should follow the normal process to appeal to the Court of Appeals first, while further sanctioning Hamadeh and his legal team for having "misrepresented to this court that they had sought [a final judgment] when they had not done so". [54] The Arizona Supreme Court sanction involved Hamadeh being ordered to pay over $55,000 for Mayes and Arizona Secretary of State Adrian Fontes' legal fees. [55]

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ↑ "Refused" with 1%
  3. ↑ "Some other candidate" with 1%
  4. ↑ Severson (L/WI) with 4%; "Refused" with <1%
  5. ↑ "Some other candidate" with 2%
Partisan clients
  1. 1 2 This poll was sponsored by Hamadeh's campaign
  2. ↑ Poll conducted for Citizens United, a conservative non-profit organization.
  3. ↑ Poll conducted for The Federalist, a conservative online magazine.
  4. ↑ This poll was sponsored by End Citizens United and Let America Vote, who support Mayes
  5. ↑ Poll sponsored by the Defend Students Action Fund

See also

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References

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  2. ↑ Jain, Lakshya; Gupta, Kavi (February 5, 2023). "Did Refusing The COVID-19 Vaccine Cost The GOP Any Elections?". Archived from the original on April 25, 2024. Retrieved April 10, 2024.
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  4. ↑ "'We feel confident': Upbeat Kris Mayes leads by 510 votes as AG race heads to recount". AZCentral. Retrieved November 22, 2022.
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  42. ↑ "CV2022-015915: Order Regarding Recount Results". Maricopa County Superior Court. December 29, 2022. Retrieved December 29, 2022.
  43. 1 2 "General Election Statewide Recount Results" (PDF). Arizona Secretary of State. Retrieved December 29, 2022.
  44. ↑ Results. docs.google.com (Report).
  45. 1 2 Kavaler, Tara (December 20, 2022). "Abe Hamadeh's challenge of Arizona attorney general election to go to trial". Arizona Republic . Retrieved December 21, 2022.
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  47. ↑ Gans, Jared (December 23, 2022). "Arizona judge dismisses GOP AG candidate's election challenge". The Hill . Retrieved December 26, 2022.
  48. ↑ Kavaler, Tara (December 23, 2022). "Judge denies Abe Hamadeh's election challenge in Arizona attorney general race". Arizona Republic . Retrieved December 24, 2022.
  49. ↑ "CV-2022-01468: Evidentiary Hearing Order" (PDF). Mohave County Superior Court. December 23, 2022. Retrieved December 29, 2022.
  50. ↑ "Judge to Hamadeh: 'You just haven't proven your case'". tucson.com . December 23, 2022. Retrieved December 26, 2022.
  51. ↑ Stanley-Becker, Isaac (December 23, 2022). "Judge rules against GOP candidate for Ariz. attorney general who sued to reverse results". Washington Post. Nash Holdings. Retrieved December 26, 2022.
  52. ↑ "Abe Hamadeh files new lawsuit in Mohave County over election results". abc15.com . January 4, 2023. Retrieved August 3, 2023.
  53. ↑ Riley, Kiera (July 17, 2023). "Judge who denied Hamadeh's motion for new trial explains decision". Arizona Capitol Times . Retrieved August 3, 2023.
  54. ↑ Fischer, Howard (August 23, 2023). "Court refuses to take up Hamadeh's bid to overturn AG's race results". Arizona Capitol Times . Retrieved August 24, 2023.
  55. ↑ Barchenger, Stacey (October 17, 2023). "Abe Hamadeh must pay attorneys fees to Kris Mayes and Adrian Fontes, Arizona top court says". Arizona Republic . Archived from the original on October 18, 2023. Retrieved October 24, 2023.
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