2022 Minnesota gubernatorial election

Last updated

2022 Minnesota gubernatorial election
Flag of Minnesota (1983-2024).svg
  2018 November 8, 2022 2026  
Turnout61.0% (Decrease2.svg2.6 pp)
  Tim Walz by Gage Skidmore.jpg Minnesota State Senator Scott Jensen.jpg
Nominee Tim Walz Scott Jensen
Party Democratic (DFL) Republican
Running mate Peggy Flanagan Matt Birk
Popular vote1,312,3491,119,941
Percentage52.27%44.61%

2022 Minnesota gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
2022 Minnesota Governor election results map by Congressional District.svg
2022 Minnesota Gubernatorial Election Results By State Senate Districts.svg
2022 Minnesota gubernatorial election by state legislative district.svg
MNGov22Pct.svg
Walz:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Jensen:     30–40%     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     50–60%

Governor before election

Tim Walz
Democratic (DFL)

Elected Governor

Tim Walz
Democratic (DFL)

The 2022 Minnesota gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Minnesota. Incumbent Democratic (DFL) Governor Tim Walz defeated the Republican nominee, former state senator Scott Jensen, [1] winning a second term. [2]

Contents

Jensen's advantage in rural Greater Minnesota could not overcome Walz's large lead in the Twin Cities metropolitan area. Walz won the election by a comfortable 7.7% margin, narrowly larger than Biden's 7.1% margin in 2020 but smaller than his own previous record of 11.4%. With his win, Walz gave the Minnesota Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party its fourth consecutive gubernatorial victory, the most in the party's history. [3] Furthermore, the DFL held the State House and flipped the State Senate, gaining a trifecta for the first time since 2012. [4]

Democratic–Farmer–Labor primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Results

Results by county:
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Walz
80-90%
90-100% 2022 Minnesota gubernatorial Democratic-Farmer-Labor primary election results map by county.svg
Results by county:
  Walz
  •   80–90%
  •   90–100%
Democratic–Farmer–Labor primary results [9]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic (DFL) Tim Walz (incumbent) 416,973 96.54%
Democratic (DFL) Ole Savior14,9503.46%
Total votes431,923 100.0%

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrawn

Declined

Caucuses and conventions

Caucus

The caucuses took place on February 1, 2022. A caucus is a local meeting where all who intend to vote for the Republican Party are able to select their precinct leadership, participate in a straw poll for governor, write and pass resolutions, and elect delegates to their local Basic Political Organizational Unit (BPOU). Those who were not elected BPOU delegates could become alternates and fill in for delegates who cannot attend the BPOU convention. [38]

BPOU conventions

A BPOU has boundaries based on the county or state senate district a voter resides in. The majority of these took place in March 2022. Elected delegates of each BPOU attended a convention relating to their district to vote on the resolutions passed at the caucus, complete party business, listen to candidates, and elect delegates to the state convention and their corresponding U.S. House District convention.

State convention

The Republican State Convention was held on May 13–14, 2022, in Rochester. 2,200 delegates were elected statewide to decide the Minnesota Republican Party's endorsement in all statewide offices. The endorsed candidate receives the party's backing, including money and resources, ahead of the August 9 primary. [39] Only one Republican, incumbent governor Arne Carlson in 1994, has won the primary without the party's endorsement. (Two Democrats, Mark Dayton and Tim Walz, won the Democratic primary against endorsed candidates.) [40]

At the convention, Scott Jensen won the endorsement with 65% of the vote on the ninth ballot, defeating Kendall Qualls. Mike Murphy, Paul Gazelka, and Neil Shah were eliminated on earlier ballots. All the candidates who contested the endorsement pledged to forego the primary if not endorsed. [40]

Qualls soon honored his pledge by announcing his plans to "return to private life." [41] Rich Stanek, the only major candidate who did not compete for the endorsement, did not file for the primary, leaving Jensen without major opposition. [24] He faced two minor candidates in the August primary.

Endorsements

Scott Jensen

State legislators

Newspapers

  • Dassel-Cokato Enterprise Dispatch [43]
  • Delano Herald-Journal [43]
  • Winsted Herald-Journal [43]

Organizations

  • Stand for Health Freedom [44]

Results

Results by county:
Jensen
70-80%
80-90%
90-100% 2022 Minnesota gubernatorial Republican primary election results map by county.svg
Results by county:
  Jensen
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   90–100%
Republican primary results [9]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Scott Jensen 288,499 89.31%
Republican Joyce Lynne Lacey21,3086.60%
Republican Bob "Again" Carney Jr.13,2134.09%
Total votes323,020 100.0%

Independents and others

Grassroots–Legalize Cannabis primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Darrell Paulsen, business consultant, nominee for lieutenant governor in 1998 [7]
    • Edwin Engelmann, nominee for lieutenant governor in 2010

Results

Results by county:
Patterson
50-60%
60-70%
70-80%
80-90%
90-100%
Paulsen
50-60%
60-70%
70-80%
80-90%
90-100%
No votes 2022 Minnesota gubernatorial Grassroots-Legalize Cannabis primary election results map by county.svg
Results by county:
  Patterson
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   90–100%
  Paulsen
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   90–100%
  No votes
Grassroots–Legalize Cannabis primary results [9]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Grassroots—LC Steve Patterson 1,003 59.14%
Grassroots—LC Darrell Paulsen69340.86%
Total votes1,696 100.00%

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Results

Results by county:
McCaskel
50-60%
60-70%
70-80%
80-90%
90-100%
Wright
50-60%
60-70%
70-80%
80-90%
90-100%
No votes 2022 Minnesota gubernatorial Legal Marijuana Now primary election results map by county.svg
Results by county:
  McCaskel
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   90–100%
  Wright
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   90–100%
  No votes
Legal Marijuana Now primary results [9]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Legal Marijuana Now James McCaskel 1,461 51.86%
Legal Marijuana Now Chris Wright 1,35648.14%
Total votes2,817 100.0%

Other parties

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Cory Hepola (withdrew)

Organizations

General election

Campaign

The election's central issues were the economy, rising crime, Walz's response to the COVID-19 pandemic, education, and abortion access following the Supreme Court decision overturning Roe v. Wade .

Walz campaigned on his first-term accomplishments, such as middle-class tax cuts, while making abortion rights a prominent focus of the campaign and attacking Jensen on abortion and his COVID-19 skepticism. Jensen attacked Walz over his COVID-19 policies, crime in the Twin Cities, inflation and gas prices, and education performance. [55]

Jensen was criticized for promoting the hoax that schools provided litter boxes to students who identify as furries. [56] [57]

Debates

2022 Minnesota gubernatorial election debates
No.DateHostModeratorLink Republican DFL
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Non-invitee  I Invitee  W  Withdrawn
Scott JensenTim Walz
1August 3, 2022Minnesota FarmfestBlois Olson [58] PP
2October 18, 2022 KTTC/Gray Television Caitlin Alexander, Justin Betti,

Stacy Steinhagen, Dan Wolfe

[59] PP
3October 23, 2022 KSTP/Hubbard Broadcasting Lindsey Brown, Tom Hauser,

Laura Lee, Peter Callaghan

[60] PA
4October 28, 2022 Minnesota Public Radio [61] Mike Mulcahy [62] PP
5November 4, 2022 Twin Cities PBS - Almanac Eric Eskola, Cathy Wurzer [63] PA

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [64] Likely DMarch 4, 2022
Inside Elections [65] Lean DNovember 3, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball [66] Likely DOctober 12, 2022
Politico [67] Lean DApril 1, 2022
RCP [68] TossupJune 10, 2022
Fox News [69] Lean DMay 12, 2022
538 [70] Likely DOctober 17, 2022
Elections Daily [71] Likely DNovember 7, 2022

Endorsements

Scott Jensen (R)

Executive branch officials

U.S. senators

Statewide officials

State legislators

Newspapers

Organizations

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Tim
Walz (DFL)
Scott
Jensen (R)
Other
[a]
Margin
Real Clear Politics [96] Oct. 10–30, 2022Nov. 1, 202248.0%43.7%8.3%Walz +4.3
FiveThirtyEight [97] Sep. 24 – Oct. 30, 2022Nov. 4, 202249.7%40.9%9.4%Walz +8.8
Average48.9%42.3%8.8%Walz +6.6

Graphical summary

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [b]
Margin
of error
Tim
Walz (DFL)
Scott
Jensen (R)
Hugh
McTavish (I-A)
OtherUndecided
SurveyUSA [98] [A] Oct. 26–30, 2022836 (LV)± 3.9%51%43%2%4%
St. Cloud State University [99] Oct. 10–30, 2022235 (A)± 8%56%40%4%
Trafalgar Group (R) [100] Oct. 17–19, 20221,091 (LV)± 2.9%45.8%46.3%1.4%2.5% [c] 3.9%
Embold Research [101] [B] Oct. 10–14, 20221,585 (LV)± 2.6%47.0%42.4%1.3%3.3% [d] 6.0%
SurveyUSA [102] Sep. 30 – Oct. 3, 2022604 (LV)± 4.4%50%40%4%7%
Cygnal (R) [103] [C] Sep. 24–26, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%47.6%44.2%0.4%3.0% [e] 4.8%
Trafalgar Group (R) [104] Sep. 14, 20221,079 (LV)± 2.9%47.7%45.0%0.8%1.7% [f] 4.9%
Mason-Dixon [105] Sep. 12–14, 2022800 (LV)± 3.5%48.0%41.0%0.8%10.3%
SurveyUSA [106] Aug. 30 – Sep. 4, 2022562 (LV)± 4.9%51%33%4%12%
Gravis Marketing (I-A) [107] [D] Aug. 17–19, 2022510 (LV)± 4.3%53%36%6%5%
Cygnal (R) [108] [C] Jul. 18–19, 2022500 (LV)± 4.3%49.8%45.6%4.7%
Change Research [109] [B] Jun. 3–8, 20221,551 (LV)± 2.6%41.8%39.8%2.7%6.6% [g] 9.0%
SurveyUSA [110] May 5–10, 2022513 (LV)± 4.9%44%39%4%13%
SurveyUSA [111] Jan. 25–30, 2022501 (LV)± 5.7%43%40%4%13%
SurveyUSA [112] Dec. 2–6, 2021506 (LV)± 5.1%48%36%5%11%
Hypothetical polling

Tim Walz vs. Michelle Benson

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [b]
Margin
of error
Tim
Walz (DFL)
Michelle
Benson (R)
OtherUndecided
SurveyUSA [111] January 25–30, 2022501 (LV)± 5.7%45%37%8%10%
SurveyUSA [112] December 2–6, 2021506 (LV)± 5.1%47%35%4%14%

Tim Walz vs. Paul Gazelka

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [b]
Margin
of error
Tim
Walz (DFL)
Paul
Gazelka (R)
OtherUndecided
SurveyUSA [110] May 5–10, 2022513 (LV)± 4.9%43%36%7%15%
SurveyUSA [111] January 25–30, 2022501 (LV)± 5.7%42%37%6%15%
SurveyUSA [112] December 2–6, 2021506 (LV)± 5.1%47%34%5%14%

Tim Walz vs. Mike Marti

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [b]
Margin
of error
Tim
Walz (DFL)
Mike
Marti (R)
OtherUndecided
SurveyUSA [112] December 2–6, 2021506 (LV)± 5.1%47%34%3%15%

Tim Walz vs. Mike Murphy

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [b]
Margin
of error
Tim
Walz (DFL)
Mike
Murphy (R)
OtherUndecided
SurveyUSA [110] May 5–10, 2022513 (LV)± 4.9%45%35%4%15%
SurveyUSA [111] January 25–30, 2022501 (LV)± 5.7%44%35%7%14%
SurveyUSA [112] December 2–6, 2021506 (LV)± 5.1%47%36%5%12%

Tim Walz vs. Kendall Qualls

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [b]
Margin
of error
Tim
Walz (DFL)
Kendall
Qualls (R)
OtherUndecided
SurveyUSA [110] May 5–10, 2022513 (LV)± 4.9%46%34%4%15%
SurveyUSA [111] January 25–30, 2022501 (LV)± 5.7%43%35%6%16%

Tim Walz vs. Neil Shah

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [b]
Margin
of error
Tim
Walz (DFL)
Neil
Shah (R)
OtherUndecided
SurveyUSA [110] May 5–10, 2022513 (LV)± 4.9%44%34%6%16%
SurveyUSA [111] January 25–30, 2022501 (LV)± 5.7%45%34%7%14%
SurveyUSA [112] December 2–6, 2021506 (LV)± 5.1%48%31%5%16%

Tim Walz vs. Rich Stanek

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [b]
Margin
of error
Tim
Walz (DFL)
Rich
Stanek (R)
OtherUndecided
SurveyUSA [110] May 5–10, 2022513 (LV)± 4.9%47%37%5%11%

Tim Walz vs. generic Republican

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [b]
Margin
of error
Tim
Walz (DFL)
Generic
Republican
Undecided
Change Research [113] August 28–31, 20211,945 (RV)± 2.5%46%44%10%

Results

2022 Minnesota gubernatorial election swing map by county.svg
2022 Minnesota gubernatorial election trend map by county.svg
2022 Minnesota gubernatorial election [114] [115]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic (DFL)
1,312,349 52.27% −1.57%
Republican 1,119,94144.61%+2.18%
Legal Marijuana Now
  • James McCaskel
  • David Sandbeck
29,3461.17%N/A
Grassroots—LC
  • Steve Patterson
  • Matt Huff
22,5990.90%−1.75%
Independence
  • Hugh McTavish
  • Mike Winter
18,1560.72%N/A
Socialist Workers
  • Gabrielle Prosser
  • Kevin Dwire
7,2410.29%N/A
Write-in 1,0290.04%±0.0%
Total votes2,510,661 100.0%
Turnout 2,525,87361.01%
Registered electors 4,140,218
Democratic (DFL) hold

By county

By county
CountyTim Walz
DFL
Scott Jensen
GOP
James McCaskel
LMN
Steve Patterson
GLC
Hugh McTavish
I-A
Gabrielle M. Prosser
SWP
Write-inMarginTotal votes
%#%#%#%#%#%#%#%#
Aitkin 35.93%3,03060.59%5,1101.42%1201.06%890.78%660.23%190.00%0−24.66%−2,0808,434
Anoka 47.65%74,51548.97%76,5871.27%1,9851.02%'1,6000.76%1,1880.23%3610.05%77−1.33%−2,072156,390
Becker 32.12%4,73864.31%9,4861.48%2190.95%1400.95%1400.14%210.02%3−32.20%−4,74814,750
Beltrami 44.90%8,12451.12%9,2481.66%3011.16%2090.76%1380.32%580.04%7−6.22%−1,12418,092
Benton 31.99%5,24464.02%10,4951.49%2451.19%1950.94%1540.29%480.04%6−32.04%−5,25116,393
Big Stone 35.40%86361.20%1,4921.56%380.94%230.70%170.21%50.00%0−25.80%−6292,438
Blue Earth 51.98%13,78344.89%11,9041.00%2650.85%2250.88%2340.34%890.03%97.09%1,87926,518
Brown 33.59%3,91563.83%7,4390.85%990.75%870.70%820.16%190.06%7−30.25%−3,52411,655
Carlton 49.74%7,91345.73%7,2741.82%2891.23%1961.09%1740.24%380.08%124.02%63915,908
Carver 45.89%24,88851.77%28,0780.72%3910.70%3810.70%3770.14%740.05%25−5.88%−3,19054,239
Cass 33.32%5,07163.25%9,6261.45%2201.10%1680.71%1080.14%220.01%2−29.93%−4,55515,219
Chippewa 33.98%1,67663.16%3,1150.81%400.97%480.85%420.14%70.04%2−29.19%−1,4394,932
Chisago 35.95%9,32160.35%15,6471.28%3321.43%3710.78%2020.19%480.02%4−24.40%−6,32625,929
Clay 50.07%11,13945.84%10,1991.81%4020.99%2200.83%1850.40%890.03%74.23%94022,248
Clearwater 24.60%87971.37%2,5501.43%511.34%480.84%300.20%70.11%4−46.82%−1,6713,573
Cook 67.36%2,17129.72%9580.84%270.87%280.87%280.22%70.06%237.66%1,2133,223
Cottonwood 29.51%1,36366.83%3,0871.34%621.02%471.06%490.24%110.00%0−37.32%−1,7244,619
Crow Wing 34.86%11,38861.80%20,1881.41%4590.99%3240.75%2460.13%410.03%10−26.95%−8,80032,666
Dakota 55.81%112,00341.47%83,2201.03%2,0610.71%1,4310.68%1,3650.22%4510.04%8214.35%28,783200,695
Dodge 34.88%3,28762.14%5,8550.88%830.99%930.89%840.18%170.02%2−27.26%−2,5689,423
Douglas 32.25%6,35864.91%12,7971.02%2010.83%1640.82%1610.12%230.03%6−32.67%−6,43919,716
Faribault 33.17%2,00063.78%3,8461.11%670.86%520.88%530.13%80.03%2−30.62%−1,8466,030
Fillmore 40.09%3,80957.17%5,4320.91%860.94%890.72%680.17%160.01%1−17.08%−1,6239,502
Freeborn 41.04%5,35055.71%7,2621.31%1711.05%1370.75%980.12%150.01%1−14.67%−1,91213,035
Goodhue 43.01%9,94053.69%12,4071.15%2661.03%2390.89%2050.18%420.02%5−10.68%−2,46723,109
Grant 35.66%1,05459.91%1,7711.52%451.29%381.25%370.17%50.10%3−24.28%−7172,956
Hennepin 70.34%405,01326.81%154,3931.03%5,9390.72%4,1500.58%3,3260.42%2,4120.05%29643.55%250,620575,825
Houston 41.21%3,60455.73%4,8741.46%1280.79%690.70%610.10%90.00%0−14.52%−1,2708,745
Hubbard 34.47%3,67261.87%6,5901.46%1551.05%1120.99%1050.11%120.03%3−27.40%−2,91810,652
Isanti 30.63%5,77865.04%12,2711.70%3201.47%2770.93%1750.20%370.02%4−34.42%−6,49318,866
Itasca 42.17%9,01753.73%11,4881.65%3521.24%2650.94%2000.20%430.04%8−11.56%−2,47121,381
Jackson 29.59%1,35066.97%3,0551.12%511.05%480.99%450.20%90.04%2−37.39%−1,7054,562
Kanabec 31.80%2,27763.99%4,5821.68%1201.58%1130.81%580.13%90.01%1−32.19%−2,3057,161
Kandiyohi 35.20%6,42161.85%11,2811.12%2040.81%1480.77%1410.17%310.04%7−26.65%−4,86018,240
Kittson 35.77%68960.23%1,1601.92%371.30%250.67%130.10%20.00%0−24.45%−4711,926
Koochiching 39.36%2,05856.47%2,9531.91%1001.07%560.99%520.11%60.04%2−17.12%−8955,229
Lac qui Parle 34.98%1,10261.43%1,9350.83%261.37%431.21%380.19%60.00%0−26.44%−8333,150
Lake 52.46%2,97044.18%2,5011.27%721.20%680.62%350.26%150.00%08.28%4695,661
Lake of the Woods 25.88%47370.95%1,2971.31%240.77%141.04%190.05%10.00%0−45.08%−8241,828
Le Sueur 34.72%4,59161.89%8,1841.28%1691.06%1400.81%1070.14%190.05%7−27.18%−3,59313,224
Lincoln 29.09%71067.72%1,6531.31%321.19%290.49%120.12%30.04%1−38.65%−9432,441
Lyon 33.29%3,26463.91%6,2670.98%960.67%660.88%860.15%150.06%6−30.64%−3,0039,806
Mahnomen 39.48%65154.46%8982.18%361.27%212.06%340.42%70.06%1−14.99%−2471,649
Marshall 23.45%95473.01%2,9701.23%501.01%411.06%430.20%80.02%1−49.57%−2,0164,068
Martin 29.49%2,47167.37%5,6441.21%1010.97%810.75%630.12%100.05%4−37.89%−3,1738,378
McLeod 31.42%5,17165.42%10,7681.15%1900.88%1450.87%1430.22%370.02%3−34.01%−5,59716,460
Meeker 29.71%3,21467.01%7,2491.16%1251.00%1080.88%950.18%200.03%3−37.31%−4,03510,817
Mille Lacs 30.59%3,39065.05%7,2091.59%1761.45%1611.02%1130.23%250.04%4−34.47%−3,81911,082
Morrison 22.32%3,45174.58%11,5291.18%1830.86%1330.85%1320.19%290.01%1−52.26%−8,07815,459
Mower 46.58%6,57349.91%7,0431.36%1921.20%1700.67%940.28%400.00%0−3.33%−47014,112
Murray 26.83%1,05169.67%2,7291.23%480.64%251.25%490.28%110.05%2−42.86%−1,6783,917
Nicollet 51.78%7,92945.46%6,9621.01%1540.65%990.80%1220.25%380.03%56.32%96715,314
Nobles 30.48%1,85465.97%4,0131.43%870.72%441.12%680.25%150.02%1−35.50%−2,1596,083
Norman 37.01%92957.69%1,4482.07%521.31%331.24%310.20%50.24%6−20.73%−5192,510
Olmsted 55.00%37,47142.66%29,0680.85%5760.65%4450.60%4120.20%1360.02%1312.34%8,40368,134
Otter Tail 31.37%8,95065.26%18,6181.25%3580.97%2780.89%2540.16%470.05%13−33.90%−9,66828,531
Pennington 31.75%1,73463.42%3,4641.94%1061.08%591.50%820.27%150.02%1−31.68%−1,7305,462
Pine 34.61%4,29061.32%7,6011.70%2111.44%1780.73%900.16%200.02%3−26.72%−3,31112,396
Pipestone 22.89%87274.01%2,8191.00%380.97%370.95%360.18%70.00%0−51.12%−1,9473,809
Polk 31.08%3,40065.64%7,1801.35%1480.90%980.73%800.21%230.05%5−34.57%−3,78010,939
Pope 34.70%1,97062.50%3,5490.88%500.76%430.83%470.16%90.09%5−27.83%−1,5795,678
Ramsey 71.42%155,85025.10%54,7711.20%2,6261.03%2,2470.61%1,3380.51%1,1180.06%12746.35%101,079218,204
Red Lake 30.13%48365.32%1,0471.87%300.87%141.50%240.19%30.06%1−35.21%−5641,603
Redwood 26.37%1,69871.13%4,5811.10%710.67%430.54%350.16%100.02%1−44.77%−2,8836,440
Renville 29.89%1,88366.55%4,1921.43%901.11%700.81%510.14%90.03%2−36.67%−2,3096,299
Rice 50.21%14,25246.44%13,1821.24%3530.94%2670.69%1950.45%1270.01%33.77%1,07028,382
Rock 27.51%1,13969.49%2,8770.99%410.97%400.82%340.17%70.02%1−41.99%−1,7384,140
Roseau 23.61%1,53573.57%4,7831.08%700.78%51J0.82%530.14%90.00%0−49.96%−3,2486,501
Scott 45.40%30,87051.90%35,2891.05%7160.71%4840.66%4460.18%1240.05%31−6.50%−4,41967,991
Sherburne 32.90%13,69763.70%26,5171.29%5371.06%4430.83%3450.18%740.02%8−30.80%−12,82041,629
Sibley 28.80%1,90768.24%4,5191.10%730.82%540.77%510.21%140.03%2−39.46%−2,6126,622
St. Louis 57.66%53,55138.08%35,3721.74%1,6161.25%1,1590.83%'7690.36%3340.04%3919.58%18,17992,879
Stearns 36.88%24,16259.79%39,1711.17%7671.02%6650.83%5420.23%1510.04%27−22.92%−15,00965,512
Steele 39.28%6,49857.33%9,4851.26%2081.06%1760.80%1330.21%'340.03%5−18.06%−2,98716,544
Stevens 36.93%1,49060.40%2,4370.89%360.69%280.69%280.30%120.05%2−23.48%−9474,035
Swift 35.42%1,38961.42%2,4091.15%450.84%330.71%280.20%80.13%5−26.04%−1,0203,922
Todd 24.39%2,64971.63%7,7801.48%1611.10%1201.08%1170.28%300.02%2−47.25%−5,13110,861
Traverse 33.51%51962.49%9681.55%241.10%171.10%170.13%20.06%1−29.01%−4491,549
Wabasha 37.46%4,02059.32%6,3661.11%1190.89%960.96%1030.24%260.01%1−21.86%−2,34610,732
Wadena 25.25%1,51171.20%4,2601.39%831.12%670.87%520.17%100.00%0−45.95%−2,7495,983
Waseca 33.91%2,84362.16%5,2121.41%1181.12%941.11%930.25%210.02%2−28.26%−2,3698,385
Washington 54.15%70,81443.18%56,4720.93%1,2120.78%1,0190.68%8890.19%2540.04%5410.97%14,342130,768
Watonwan 37.35%1,44560.09%2,3251.06%410.90%350.44%170.10%40.03%1−22.75%−8803,869
Wilkin 27.13%70468.71%1,7831.58%410.89%231.08%280.39%100.12%3−41.63%−1,0792,595
Winona 48.35%9,88948.47%9,9131.22%2500.86%1760.78%1590.30%620.00%1−0.12%−2420,451
Wright 34.90%23,11661.88%40,9931.10%7291.01%6710.87%5790.17%1140.03%21−27.00%−17,87766,244
Yellow Medicine 29.77%1,29966.90%2,9191.33%580.99%430.87%380.05%20.05%2−37.15%−1,6204,363
Totals52.25%1,312,34944.59%1,119,9411.17%29,3460.90%22,5990.72%18,1560.29%7,2410.04%1,0297.66%192,4082,511,690

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Walz and Jensen each won 4 of 8 congressional districts, all of which voted for the same party in the simultaneous House Elections. [116]

DistrictWalzJensenRepresentative
1st 45%52% Brad Finstad
2nd 53%45% Angie Craig
3rd 59%38% Dean Phillips
4th 68%29% Betty McCollum
5th 81%16% Ilhan Omar
6th 40%57% Tom Emmer
7th 31%65% Michelle Fischbach
8th 44%52% Pete Stauber

See also

Notes

  1. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. McCaskel with 1.2%, Patterson with 0.9%, and Prosser with 0.4%
  4. McCaskel (LMN) with 1.4%, Prosser (SW) with 1.0%, and Patterson (GLC) with 0.9%
  5. McCaskel (LMN) with 1.2%, Prosser (SW) with 1.2%, and Patterson (GLC) with 0.6%
  6. McCaskel with 1.4%, Patterson with 0.2%, and Prosser with 0.1%
  7. "The candidate from either one of the legalize marijuana parties (Legal Marijuana Now or Grassroots Legalize Cannabis)"

Partisan clients

  1. This poll was sponsored by KSTP-TV
  2. 1 2 This poll was sponsored by MinnPost
  3. 1 2 This poll was sponsored by Jensen's campaign
  4. This poll was sponsored by McTavish's campaign

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