2022 United States Senate election in Idaho

See also: 2022 United States Senate elections

2022 United States Senate election in Idaho

←  2016 November 8, 2022 2028  →

Nominee Mike Crapo David Roth Scott Cleveland Party Republican Democratic Independent Popular vote 358,539 169,808 49,917 Percentage 60.68% 28.74% 8.45%

County results Congressional district results Crapo:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90% Roth:     50–60%     60–70%

U.S. senator before election Mike Crapo Republican Elected U.S. Senator Mike Crapo Republican

The 2022 United States Senate election in Idaho was held on November 8, 2022 to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Idaho.

Incumbent Republican Senator Mike Crapo was first elected in 1998 and ran for reelection to a fifth term in office. ^{[1] [2]} Primary elections were held on May 17, 2022. Crapo easily won renomination, while former Idaho House of Representatives candidate David Roth won the Democratic primary with 57.8% of the vote. Crapo ultimately won the election, but this was the lowest share of the vote he has ever received for this seat, partially because of an Independent candidate, Scott Cleveland, taking away some of his votes. ^[3]

The election also sought both the worst performance by a Republican, and the best performance by a Democrat in the Class 3 seat since 1992. It also showed the best performance a Third Party or Independent candidate had performed since Glen H. Taylor's Write-in campaign in 1956.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Mike Crapo, incumbent U.S. Senator ^{[1] [2]}

Eliminated in primary

• Brenda Bourn ^[4]
• Natalie Fleming, independent candidate for Idaho's 1st congressional district in 2018 and U.S. Senate in 2020 ^{[5] [6]}
• Scott Trotter, business owner ^{[7] [8]}
• Ramont Turnbull, development manager ^[9]

Failed to file

• Mike Little, Iraq War veteran ^{[10] [8]}

Withdrawn

• Jeremy Gilbert, law firm operations director and U.S. Army veteran ^{[11] [12]}

Endorsements

Mike Crapo

Former U.S. Executive Branch Officials

• Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021) ^[13]

Organizations

• Citizens for Responsible Energy Solutions ^[14]
• National Rifle Association - Political Victory Fund ^{[15] [16]}
• Pro-Israel America ^[17]

Results

Results by county

  Crapo

•   50–60%
•   60–70%
•   70–80%
•   80–90%

Republican primary results ^[18]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Mike Crapo (incumbent)	177,906	67.13%
	Republican	Scott Trotter	27,699	10.45%
	Republican	Brenda Bourn	21,612	8.16%
	Republican	Ramont Turnbull	20,883	7.88%
	Republican	Natalie Fleming	16,902	6.38%
Total votes			265,002	100.0%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• David Roth, nominee for state representative from the 33rd district in 2020 ^[19]

Eliminated in primary

• Ben Pursley, real estate developer ^[19]

Results

Results by county

  Roth

•   50–60%
•   60–70%
•   70–80%
•   100%

  Pursley

•   50-60%

Democratic primary results ^[18]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	David Roth	19,160	57.80%
	Democratic	Ben Pursley	13,987	42.20%
Total votes			33,147	100.0%

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Idaho Sierra Law, environmental activist and perennial candidate ^{[lower-alpha 1]}

Results

Libertarian primary results ^[18]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Libertarian	Idaho Sierra Law	673	100.0%
Total votes			673	100.0%

Constitution primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Ray Writz, nominee for U.S. Senate in 2016 and 2020

Results

Constitution primary results ^[18]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Constitution	Ray Writz	520	100.0%
Total votes			520	100.0%

Independents

Candidates

Declared

• Scott Cleveland, entrepreneur ^{[20] [8]}

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report [21]	Solid R	March 4, 2022
Inside Elections [22]	Solid R	April 1, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball [23]	Safe R	March 1, 2022
Politico [24]	Solid R	April 1, 2022
RCP [25]	Safe R	February 24, 2022
Fox News [26]	Solid R	May 12, 2022
DDHQ [27]	Solid R	July 20, 2022
538 [28]	Solid R	June 30, 2022
The Economist [29]	Safe R	September 7, 2022

Endorsements

Mike Crapo (R)

Former U.S. Executive Branch Officials

• Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021) ^[13]

Organizations

• Citizens for Responsible Energy Solutions ^[14]
• National Rifle Association - Political Victory Fund ^{[15] [16]}
• Pro-Israel America ^[17]
• Campaign for Working Families ^[30]
• National Right to Life Committee ^[30]
• ClearPath Action Fund ^[30]
• American Israel Public Affairs Committee ^[30]
• Associated General Contractors of America ^[30]
• Humane Society Legislative Fund ^[30]

David Roth (D)

Organizations

• Vote Common Good ^[31]
• Stonewall Democrats ^[32]

Newspapers

• Idaho Statesman ^[33]

Debates

2022 United States Senate general election in Idaho debates

No.	Date	Host	Moderator	Link	Republican	Democratic	Independent
Key:  P Participant  A Absent  N Non-invitee  I Invitee  W  Withdrawn
					Mike Crapo	David Roth	Scott Clevland
1	Oct. 5, 2022	Idaho Public Television	Melissa Davlin	YouTube	P	P	P

Results

2022 United States Senate election in Idaho ^[34]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Republican	Mike Crapo (incumbent)	358,539	60.68%	-5.45%
	Democratic	David Roth	169,808	28.74%	+1.01%
	Independent	Scott Cleveland	49,917	8.45%	N/A
	Constitution	Ray Writz	8,500	1.44%	-4.70%
	Libertarian	Idaho Sierra Law	4,126	0.70%	N/A
Total votes			590,890	100.0%	N/A
	Republican hold

By county

By county

County Mike Crapo Republican David Roth Democratic Scott Cleveland Independent Ray Writz Constitution Idaho Sierra Law Libertarian Margin Total votes # % # % # % # % # % # % Ada 87,579 47.46 76,656 41.54 17,551 9.51 1,561 0.85 1,174 0.64 10,923 5.92 184,521 Adams 1,425 70.86 367 18.25 150 7.46 56 2.78 13 0.65 1,058 52.61 2,011 Bannock 14,480 56.91 9,054 35.59 1,299 5.11 377 1.48 233 0.92 5,426 21.33 25,443 Bear Lake 1,871 83.38 196 8.73 87 3.88 70 3.12 20 0.89 1,675 74.64 2,244 Benewah 2,662 76.85 503 14.52 151 4.36 110 3.18 38 1.10 2,159 62.33 3,464 Bingham 9,491 77.10 1,750 14.22 771 6.26 223 1.81 75 0.61 7,741 62.88 12,310 Blaine 3,121 32.21 6,006 61.99 336 3.47 99 1.02 127 1.31 -2,885 -29.78 9,689 Boise 2,172 63.19 673 19.58 478 13.91 83 2.41 31 0.90 1,499 43.61 3,437 Bonner 13,348 64.29 5,467 26.33 1,502 7.23 300 1.45 144 0.69 7,881 37.96 20,761 Bonneville 24,579 69.36 7,866 22.20 2,248 6.34 520 1.47 226 0.64 16,713 47.16 35,439 Boundary 3,939 75.75 732 14.08 403 7.75 93 1.79 33 0.63 3,207 61.67 5,200 Butte 783 78.85 114 11.48 59 5.94 28 2.82 9 0.91 669 67.37 993 Camas 367 71.12 95 18.41 29 5.62 21 4.07 4 0.78 272 52.71 516 Canyon 36,558 62.78 12,961 22.26 7,299 12.53 976 1.68 435 0.75 23,597 40.52 58,229 Caribou 1,735 81.99 205 9.69 109 5.15 54 2.55 13 0.61 1,530 72.31 2,116 Cassia 4,619 79.69 584 10.08 398 6.87 154 2.66 41 0.71 4,035 69.62 5,796 Clark 161 78.16 19 9.22 15 7.28 9 4.37 2 0.97 142 68.93 206 Clearwater 2,389 76.57 526 16.86 119 3.81 72 2.31 14 0.45 1,863 59.71 3,120 Custer 1,447 72.03 359 17.87 113 5.62 79 3.93 11 0.55 1,088 54.16 2,009 Elmore 4,380 66.31 1,334 20.20 688 10.42 141 2.13 62 0.94 3,046 46.12 6,605 Franklin 3,588 83.34 302 7.02 257 5.97 135 3.14 23 0.53 3,286 76.33 4,305 Fremont 3,399 80.17 480 11.32 247 5.83 87 2.05 27 0.64 2,919 68.84 4,240 Gem 5,118 67.60 1,076 14.21 1,173 15.49 133 1.76 71 0.94 3,945 52.11 7,571 Gooding 2,941 72.67 609 15.05 374 9.24 91 2.25 32 0.79 2,332 57.62 4,047 Idaho 5,741 76.91 962 12.89 535 7.17 177 2.37 50 0.67 4,779 64.02 7,465 Jefferson 7,396 81.33 836 9.19 585 6.43 223 2.45 54 0.59 6,560 72.14 9,094 Jerome 3,506 72.07 803 16.51 421 8.65 102 2.10 33 0.68 2,703 55.56 4,865 Kootenai 42,115 67.67 13,404 21.54 5,515 8.86 836 1.34 369 0.59 28,711 46.13 62,239 Latah 7,484 49.95 6,881 45.92 361 2.41 133 0.89 125 0.83 603 4.02 14,984 Lemhi 2,690 73.62 674 18.45 175 4.79 82 2.24 33 0.90 2,016 55.17 3,654 Lewis 1,097 80.72 176 12.95 58 4.27 26 1.91 2 0.15 921 67.77 1,359 Lincoln 978 74.43 221 16.82 76 5.78 27 2.05 12 0.91 757 57.61 1,314 Madison 6,533 78.94 972 11.74 519 6.27 195 2.36 57 0.69 5,561 67.19 8,276 Minidoka 3,623 76.89 592 12.56 366 7.77 99 2.10 32 0.68 3,031 64.33 4,712 Nez Perce 8,986 66.83 3,628 26.98 639 4.75 100 0.74 93 0.69 5,358 39.85 13,446 Oneida 1,330 83.07 117 7.31 99 6.18 44 2.75 11 0.69 1,213 75.77 1,601 Owyhee 2,376 72.55 411 12.55 382 11.66 67 2.05 39 1.19 1,965 60.00 3,275 Payette 5,509 72.61 1,079 14.22 835 11.01 125 1.65 39 0.51 4,430 58.39 7,587 Power 1,428 72.41 420 21.30 71 3.60 35 1.77 18 0.91 1,008 51.12 1,972 Shoshone 2,858 69.55 1,005 24.46 172 4.19 43 1.05 31 0.75 1,853 45.10 4,109 Teton 2,100 44.81 2,375 50.68 143 3.05 36 0.77 32 0.68 -275 -5.87 4,686 Twin Falls 14,914 65.23 4,780 20.91 2,425 10.61 564 2.47 180 0.79 10,134 44.32 22,863 Valley 2,829 54.20 1,974 37.82 330 6.32 50 0.96 37 0.71 855 16.38 5,220 Washington 2,894 74.26 564 14.47 354 9.08 64 1.64 21 0.54 2,330 59.79 3,897 Totals 358,539 60.68 169,808 28.74 49,917 8.45 8,500 1.44 4,126 0.70 188,731 31.94 590,890 Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic Teton (largest municipality: Victor)

By congressional district

Crapo won both congressional districts. ^[35]

District	Crapo	Roth	Representative
1st	64%	24%	Russ Fulcher
2nd	57%	34%	Mike Simpson

See also

• 2022 United States Senate elections
• 2022 Idaho elections

Notes

1. Nominee for state representative from the 29th district in 2012 and 2018; nominee for state senator from the 29th district in 2016; nominee for Idaho's 2nd congressional district in 2020

References

1. Alex Rogers, Manu Raju and Ted Barrett (January 27, 2021). "Retirements shake up 2022 map as Republican senators eye exits". CNN. Retrieved February 15, 2021.
2. Brizee, Alex (January 5, 2022). "Idaho's Mike Crapo will run for a fifth U.S. Senate term in 2022 midterm elections". Idaho Statesman. Retrieved April 10, 2023.
3. "Idaho Republican U.S. Sen. Crapo wins fifth term". Washington Post. ISSN   0190-8286 . Retrieved November 9, 2022.
4. "BOURN, BRENDA - Candidate overview". www.fec.gov. Retrieved February 19, 2022.
5. "Natalie Fleming for US Senate". Facebook. Retrieved August 22, 2021.
6. "Natalie M Fleming for United States Senate - Idaho". Natalie M Fleming for U.S. Senate. Retrieved August 22, 2021.
7. Trotter for United States Senate (October 11, 2021). "FEC FORM 1 | STATEMENT OF ORGANIZATION" (PDF). FEC. Retrieved November 29, 2021.
8. "These Senate seats are up for election in 2022". The Hill. January 21, 2022.
9. "Candidate Filing Report" (PDF). Idaho Secretary of State. Retrieved March 3, 2022.
10. "FEC FORM 2 STATEMENT OF CANDIDACY FILING FEC-1541914". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved November 6, 2021.
11. "GILBERT, JEREMY JOSEPH - Candidate overview". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved May 18, 2021.
12. "Statement from Jeremy Gilbert". Facebook.com. Jeremy Gilbert for U.S. Senate. November 16, 2021. Retrieved November 19, 2021. It's with a heavy heart that today I announce I will be suspending my campaign for the 2022 U.S. Senate seat in Idaho.
13. McFall, Caitlin (March 5, 2021). "Trump issues GOP endorsements in latest sign he is reentering political arena". Fox News. Retrieved March 6, 2021.
14. "Citizens for Responsible Energy Solutions Announces Second Round of Congressional Endorsements for the 2022 Election Cycle". cresenergy.com. Citizens for Responsible Energy Solutions. May 4, 2022. Archived from the original on August 21, 2022. Retrieved June 7, 2022.
15. "NRA-PVF - Grades - Idaho". nrapvf.org. NRA-PVF. Archived from the original on November 8, 2022.
16. "NRA-PVF Endorses Sen. Mike Crapo in Idaho Primary". April 21, 2022. Archived from the original on May 14, 2022.
17. "Endorsed Candidates". proisraelamerica.org. Archived from the original on December 20, 2021. Retrieved January 21, 2022.
18. "OFFICIAL ELECTION RESULTS-2022 Primary Election" . Retrieved May 30, 2022.
19. "Candidate Filing Report" (PDF). Retrieved April 10, 2023.
20. "CLEVELAND, SCOTT OH - Candidate overview | FEC". FEC. Retrieved November 28, 2021.
21. "2022 Senate Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 14, 2021.
22. "Senate ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved January 18, 2021.
23. "2022 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved January 28, 2021.
24. "Idaho Senate Race 2022". Politico. April 1, 2022.
25. "Battle for the Senate 2022". RCP. January 10, 2022.
26. "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. May 12, 2022. Retrieved May 12, 2022.
27. "2022 Election Forecast". DDHQ. July 20, 2022. Retrieved July 20, 2022.
28. "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.
29. "Economist's 2022 Senate forecast". The Economist. September 7, 2022. Retrieved September 7, 2022.
30. "Mike Crapo's Ratings and Endorsements". justfacts.votesmart.org. Retrieved November 7, 2022.
31. "2022 Candidates for Common Good". Vote Common Good. Retrieved November 1, 2022.
32. "2022 Stonewall Voter Guide". Stonewall Democratic Club. Retrieved December 5, 2022.
33. "Idaho Statesman". idahostatesman.com. Retrieved April 10, 2023. (subscription required)
34. "2022 General Election - OFFICIAL ELECTION RESULTS". State of Idaho - Elections Department.
35. Results. docs.google.com (Report).

External links

Official campaign websites

• Scott Cleveland (I) for Senate
• Mike Crapo (R) for Senate
• David Roth (D) for Senate