2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska

Last updated

2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska
Flag of Nebraska.svg
  2020 November 8, 2022 2024  

All 3 Nebraska seats to the United States House of Representatives
 Majority partyMinority party
 
Party Republican Democratic
Last election30
Seats won30
Seat changeSteady2.svgSteady2.svg
Popular vote411,034231,511
Percentage62.71%35.32%
SwingIncrease2.svg 0.54%Increase2.svg 0.69%

2022 U.S. House elections in Nebraska.svg
2022 United States House of Representatives Elections in Nebraska by county.svg

The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska were held on November 8, 2022, to elect the three U.S. representatives from the state of Nebraska, one from each of the state's three congressional districts. The elections coincided with the Nebraska gubernatorial election, as well as other elections to the U.S. House of Representatives, elections to the U.S. Senate, and various state and local elections.

Contents

Nebraska's primary elections took place on May 10, 2022.

Overview

District Republican Democratic OthersTotalResult
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1 129,23657.91%93,92942.09%00.00%223,165100.0%Republican hold
District 2 112,66351.33%106,80748.67%00.00%219,470100.0%Republican hold
District 3 172,70078.30%34,83615.79%13,0165.90%220,552100.0%Republican hold
Total411,03462.71%231,51135.32%13,0161.96%663,187100.0%
Popular vote
Republican
62.71%
Democratic
35.32%
Other
1.96%
House seats
Republican
100.00%

District 1

2022 Nebraska's 1st congressional district election
Flag of Nebraska.svg
2024  
  Mike Flood 117th Congress (cropped).jpeg Patty Pansing Brooks (cropped).jpg
Nominee Mike Flood Patty Pansing Brooks
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote129,23693,929
Percentage57.9%42.1%

2022 Congressional Election in Nebraska's 1st District.svg
County results
Flood:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Pansing Brooks:     50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Mike Flood
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Mike Flood
Republican

The 1st district is located in eastern Nebraska surrounding Omaha and its suburbs, taking in Lincoln, Bellevue, Fremont, and Norfolk. The incumbent was Republican Mike Flood, who was elected with 52.7% of the vote in a 2022 special election after the previous incumbent, Jeff Fortenberry, resigned March 31, 2022, after having been indicted and convicted on charges of lying to the FBI about campaign donations. [1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
Declined

Endorsements

Mike Flood
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State officials
Organizations
Jeff Fortenberry (withdrawn)
State officials

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Thireena Yuki
Connely
Mike
Flood
Jeff
Fortenberry
Curtis
Huffman
John Glen
Weaver
Undecided
March 31, 2022Fortenberry resigns and withdraws from the race
Moore Information Group (R) [upper-alpha 1] February 23, 2022405 (LV)± 4.9%1%25%36%1%1%36%
30%40%30%
Moore Information Group (R) [upper-alpha 1] January 2022– (LV)33%35%33%

Results

Republican primary results [15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Mike Flood 61,265 73.9
Republican Jeff Fortenberry (incumbent, withdrawn)9,80711.8
Republican John Glen Weaver5,4706.6
Republican Thireena Yuki Connely3,3534.0
Republican Curtis Huffman3,0623.7
Total votes82,957 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Jazari Kual, community activist [17]

Endorsements

Patty Pansing Brooks
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State officials
State legislators
Local officials
Individuals
Labor unions
Organizations
Newspapers

Results

Democratic primary results [15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Patty Pansing Brooks 31,808 86.6
Democratic Jazari Kual4,94413.4
Total votes36,752 100.0

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [27] Solid RSeptember 1, 2022
Inside Elections [28] Solid RSeptember 1, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball [29] Safe RAugust 24, 2022
Politico [30] Likely RAugust 23, 2022
RCP [31] Safe RSeptember 1, 2022
Fox News [32] Solid RAugust 22, 2022
DDHQ [33] Solid RSeptember 5, 2022
FiveThirtyEight [34] Solid RSeptember 6, 2022
The Economist [35] Likely RSeptember 28, 2022

Results

2022 Nebraska's 1st congressional district election [36]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Mike Flood (incumbent) 129,236 57.9
Democratic Patty Pansing Brooks 93,92942.1
Total votes223,165 100.0
Republican hold

District 2

2022 Nebraska's 2nd congressional district election
Flag of Nebraska.svg
  2020
2024  
  Don Bacon 117th Congress (cropped).jpg
Nominee Don Bacon Tony Vargas
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote112,663106,807
Percentage51.3%48.7%

2022 Nebraska's 2nd congressional district election results by county.png
County results

Bacon:     60–70%     70–80%

Vargas:     50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Don Bacon
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Don Bacon
Republican

The 2nd district covers the Omaha metropolitan area, including all of Douglas County, home to the city of Omaha, and suburban parts of northern Sarpy County, including La Vista and Papillon. The incumbent was Republican Don Bacon, who was re-elected with 50.8% of the vote in 2020 on the same ballot that Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden won the district with 52.2%. [1]

During the campaign, a research firm contracted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee inappropriately obtained the military records of Don Bacon. [37]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
  • Jim Schultze, IT professional [39]

Endorsements

Results

Republican primary results [15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Don Bacon (incumbent) 53,824 77.2
Republican Steve Kuehl15,94522.8
Total votes69,769 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Declined
Endorsements
Alisha Shelton
Organizations

Results

Democratic primary results [15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Tony Vargas 31,930 68.6
Democratic Alisha Shelton14,58531.4
Total votes46,515 100.0

General election

Debates and forums

2022 Nebraska 2nd congressional district debates and forums
No.DateHostModeratorLinkParticipants
 P Participant   A Absent   N Non-invitee   I Invitee W  Withdrawn
Bacon Vargas
1 [67] October 13, 2022 League of Women Voters and Omaha Press ClubN/AN/APP
2 [67] October 16, 2022 KETV N/A YouTube PP

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [27] TossupNovember 1, 2022
Inside Elections [28] TossupSeptember 1, 2022
Roll Call [68] TossupAugust 26, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball [29] Lean RNovember 2, 2022
Politico [30] TossupOctober 4, 2022
RCP [31] Lean RSeptember 1, 2022
Fox News [32] Lean RNovember 1, 2022
DDHQ [33] Likely RSeptember 5, 2022
FiveThirtyEight [69] Likely RSeptember 6, 2022
The Economist [70] TossupNovember 5, 2022

Polling

Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Don
Bacon (R)
Tony
Vargas (D)
Undecided
[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
FiveThirtyEight May 10 – August 7, 2022August 11, 202248.3%41.9%9.8%Bacon +6.4
Graphical summary
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Don
Bacon (R)
Tony
Vargas (D)
Undecided
Impact Research (D) [upper-alpha 2] August 3–7, 2022501 (LV)± 4.5%47%46%7%
GBAO (D) [upper-alpha 3] June 27–30, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%47%48%5%
RMG Research [upper-alpha 4] May 19–20, 2022500 (LV)± 4.5%52%37%9%
Change Research (D) [upper-alpha 2] May 6–10, 2022564 (LV)± 4.6%39%42%16%
Change Research (D) [upper-alpha 2] March 26–29, 2022550 (LV)± 4.5%39%40%16%
Hypothetical polling
Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Generic
Republican
Generic
Democrat
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 5] October 18, 202244%47%9%
Impact Research (D) [upper-alpha 2] August 3–7, 2022501 (LV)± 4.5%44%40%16%
Change Research (D) [upper-alpha 2] March 26–29, 2022550 (LV)± 4.5%40%39%21%

Results

2022 Nebraska's 2nd congressional district election [36]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Don Bacon (incumbent) 112,663 51.3
Democratic Tony Vargas 106,80748.7
Total votes219,470 100.0
Republican hold

By county

County Don Bacon
Republican
Tony Vargas
Democratic
Total
votes
 %# %#
Douglas 48.77%93,36351.23%98,055191,418
Sarpy 65.37%12,18934.63%6,45718,646
Saunders 75.60%7,11124.40%2,2959,406

District 3

2022 Nebraska's 3rd congressional district election
Flag of Nebraska.svg
  2020
2024  
  Adrian Smith portrait (118th Congress).jpg 3x4.svg Mark Elworth.jpg
Nominee Adrian Smith David Else Mark Elworth Jr.
Party Republican Democratic Legal Marijuana Now
Popular vote172,70034,83613,016
Percentage78.3%15.8%5.9%

2022 Congressional Election in Nebraska's 3rd District.svg
County results
Smith:     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%

U.S. Representative before election

Adrian Smith
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Adrian Smith
Republican

The 3rd district covers most of the rural central and western part of the state, and includes Grand Island, Kearney, Hastings, North Platte, Alliance, and Scottsbluff. The incumbent was Republican Adrian Smith, who was re-elected with 78.5% of the vote in 2020. [1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Endorsements

Adrian Smith
Federal officials
Organizations

Results

Republican primary results [15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Adrian Smith (incumbent) 89,453 76.0
Republican Mike Calhoun28,24324.0
Total votes117,696 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Daniel Wik, doctor [74]

Results

Primary results by county:
Else
50-60%
60-70%
70-80%
80-90%
Wik
50-60%
60-70%
70-80%
Tie
50-60% 2022 NE-03 Democratic primary.svg
Primary results by county:
  Else
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  Wik
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  Tie
  •   50–60%
Democratic primary results [15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic David Else 8,701 52.2
Democratic Daniel Wik7,96847.8
Total votes16,669 100.0

Candidates

Nominee

Results

Legal Marijuana Now primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Legal Marijuana Now Mark Elworth Jr. 89 100.0
Total votes89 100.0

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [27] Solid RSeptember 1, 2022
Inside Elections [28] Solid RSeptember 1, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball [29] Safe RAugust 24, 2022
Politico [30] Solid RAugust 23, 2022
RCP [31] Safe RSeptember 1, 2022
Fox News [75] Solid RAugust 22, 2022
DDHQ [33] Solid RSeptember 5, 2022
FiveThirtyEight [69] Solid RSeptember 6, 2022
The Economist [70] Safe RSeptember 28, 2022

Results

2022 Nebraska's 3rd congressional district election [76]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Adrian Smith (incumbent) 172,700 78.3
Democratic David Else34,83615.8
Legal Marijuana Now Mark Elworth Jr. 13,0165.9
Total votes220,552 100.0
Republican hold

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
Partisan clients
  1. 1 2 This poll was sponsored by Fortenberry's campaign
  2. 1 2 3 4 5 This poll was sponsored by 314 Action, which supports Vargas
  3. This poll was sponsored by Vargas's campaign
  4. Unclear: Poll says likely Primary voters, dates from after Primary
  5. This poll was sponsored by the House Majority PAC

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References

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  2. Walton, Don (January 16, 2022). "Flood challenges Fortenberry, says indictment puts House seat at risk". Lincoln Journal Star . Archived from the original on January 16, 2022. Retrieved January 16, 2022.
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  52. "I'm very proud to announce that I've earned the support of @NEAFLCIO. I grew up in a #union household and was myself a member of the @AFTunion when I taught middle school science , so this endorsement is especially meaningful. #TeamTony #TonyForNebraska #NebraskaValues". Twitter. Retrieved September 1, 2022.
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