2022 Michigan gubernatorial election

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2022 Michigan gubernatorial election
Flag of Michigan.svg
←  2018 November 8, 2022 2026  →
Turnout54.1% Decrease2.svg (estimated) [1]
  Gretchen Whitmer (2021) (cropped).jpg Tudor Dixon 2022 (cropped 2).jpg
Nominee Gretchen Whitmer Tudor Dixon
Party Democratic Republican
Running mate Garlin Gilchrist Shane Hernandez
Popular vote2,430,5051,960,635
Percentage54.5%43.9%
2022 Michigan gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
2022 Michigan Governor by US House.svg
Whitmer:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Dixon:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Governor before election

Gretchen Whitmer
Democratic

Elected Governor

Gretchen Whitmer
Democratic

The 2022 Michigan gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Michigan. Incumbent Democratic Governor Gretchen Whitmer ran for re-election to a second term and faced former political commentator Tudor Dixon in the general election. [2] Whitmer defeated Dixon by a margin of 10.6 percentage points, a wider margin than polls indicated as well as a wider margin than Whitmer's first victory four years prior. According to Ron Brownstein of CNN in 2023, Whitmer won independent voters by double-digit margins, which contributed to Dixon's defeat. [3]

Contents

This was the first gubernatorial election in Michigan history in which both major party candidates for governor were women, [4] and the first since 1990 in which the winner was from the same party as the incumbent president. [5]

Process for ballot appearance and fraud allegations

In order to appear on a primary ballot for the August 2 Democratic and Republican primaries, candidates must submit between 15,000 and 30,000 signatures in addition to their filing paperwork. [6] These signatures are submitted to the Board of State Canvassers, a bipartisan and independent board that verifies petition signatures. Within seven days of the filing deadline, citizens and organizations can challenge nomination signatures submitted by candidates. [6] Voters are only allowed to sign one nomination petition. [6]

After the filing deadline, the Board of State Canvassers received nearly 30 challenges to nomination petitions. Among them, the Michigan Democratic Party alleged that several Republican candidates engaged in signature fraud with their petitions. This was followed by a report by the Michigan Bureau of Elections which alleged that 36 paid signature circulators faked signatures and engaged in practices that added fraudulent signatures to other candidates petitions. [6]

An eight-hour meeting of the Board of State Canvassers reached a deadlock on whether to allow the candidates in question to stay on the ballot. [6] Due to the deadlock, the candidates in question were not allowed to appear on the primary ballot. The rushed pace of the proceedings and the decision were criticized by Common Cause of Michigan, whose policy director suggested that the candidates in question had to plead their cases to the Board of Canvassers days after finding out about the alleged fraud themselves. [6] [7]

Several candidates filed lawsuits appealing the decision. These suits were rejected in the Michigan Court of Appeals. [8] Three candidates appealed to the Michigan Supreme Court, but these appeals were denied. [6]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Endorsements

Gretchen Whitmer
Organizations

Results

Democratic primary results [16]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Gretchen Whitmer (incumbent) 938,382 100.0%
Total votes938,382 100.0%

Republican primary

Fourteen people declared their candidacy for the Republican gubernatorial nomination. [17] At the filing deadline, 10 candidates submitted enough signatures to appear on the ballot, a state record. [17] However, following challenges by the state Democratic party and other organizations, five candidates were deemed ineligible to appear on the ballot due to alleged fraudulent signatures. [18] Several of these candidates, including former Detroit police chief James Craig and Michael Markey, pledged to appeal the decision to the State Supreme Court. [6] Craig also mentioned that, should the appeal fail, he would still plan to run as a write-in candidate for both the primary and the general election. [6] On June 15, 2022, Craig announced he was launching a write-in campaign for the nomination. [19]

On June 9, 2022, candidate Ryan Kelley was arrested by the FBI following numerous tips that he had participated in the January 6 United States Capitol attack. [20] The criminal complaint alleges that Kelley engaged in disorderly conduct on restricted grounds and engaged in acts of violence against a person or property. [20] He agreed in June 2023 to plead guilty on a lesser charge in relation to his participation in the insurrection. [21] [22]

On August 19, 2022, Dixon announced former state representative Shane Hernandez as her running mate. However, shortly after, former gubernatorial candidates Ralph Rebandt and Garrett Soldano both announced that they were exploring the possibility of launching their own campaigns for lieutenant governor to contest Hernandez at the August 27 state GOP convention for not being conservative enough. [23] On August 22, 2022, Soldano announced that he would not seek the position of lieutenant governor at the convention. [24] Later that same day, Rebandt announced that he would seek the nomination at the convention. [25] Hernandez secured his party's nomination at the convention, despite heated opposition from supporters of Rebandt. [26]

On June 22, 2023, charges were filed against three individuals regarding the fraudulent signatures that disqualified five of the candidates in the Republican primary. [27] [28] [29]

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Disqualified, write-in campaign

Failed to qualify

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Mike Brown (disqualified)
State representatives
  • Beth Griffin, state representative from Michigan's 66th district (2017–present) [75]
  • Pauline Wendzel, state representative from Michigan's 79th district (2019–present) [76]
Local officials
Individuals
  • Ted Nugent, singer-songwriter and conservative political activist(switched endorsement to Rinke) [78]
James Craig (disqualified/write-in)
U.S. representatives
State officials
Mayors
Tudor Dixon
U.S. Executive Branch officials
State officials
U.S. representatives
State senators
Individuals
Organizations
Newspapers
Perry Johnson (disqualified)
U.S. representatives
Michael Jay Markey Jr. (disqualified)
State Senators
Kevin Rinke
Individuals
  • Ted Nugent, singer-songwriter and conservative political activist (previously endorsed Brown) [93]
Newspapers

Polling

Graphical summary
Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation		Dates
administered		Dates
updated		Tudor
Dixon		Ryan
Kelley		Kevin
Rinke		Garrett
Soldano		Other
[lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
Real Clear Politics July 28 – August 1, 2022August 1, 202240.7%11.7%20.3%14.7%12.6%Dixon +20.4
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Mike
Brown		James
Craig		Tudor
Dixon		Perry
Johnson		Ryan
Kelley		Kevin
Rinke		Garrett
Soldano		OtherUndecided
The Trafalgar Group (R) July 31 – August 1, 20221,074 (LV)± 2.9%––41%–10%19%18%2% [lower-alpha 3] 11%
Mitchell Research (R) July 31, 2022443 (LV)± 4.7%––37%–12%23%12%2% [lower-alpha 3] 15%
Emerson College July 28–30, 2022869 (LV)± 3.3%––41%–12%17%12%9% [lower-alpha 4] 9%
The Trafalgar Group (R) July 26–28, 20221,098 (LV)± 2.9%––28%–14%17%19%3% [lower-alpha 5] 19%
co/efficient (R) [upper-alpha 1] July 24–26, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.1%––21%––22%–––
Mitchell Research (R) July 24–25, 2022436 (LV)± 5.0%––28%–14%22%11%1% [lower-alpha 6] 25%
Mitchell Research (R) July 17–18, 2022501 (LV)± 4.4%––28%–15%20%10%1% [lower-alpha 6] 26%
The Glengariff Group, Inc. July 13–15, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%––19%–13%15%12%2% [lower-alpha 3] 38%
Mitchell Research (R) July 7–8, 2022683 (LV)± 3.8%––26%–15%13%13%1% [lower-alpha 6] 33%
Mitchell Research (R) June 21–22, 2022588 (LV)± 4.0%––15%–13%15%8%3% [lower-alpha 5] 46%
EPIC-MRA June 10–13, 2022398 (LV)± 4.9%––5%–17%12%13%8% [lower-alpha 7] 45%
Target Insyght May 26–27, 2022400 (LV)± 5.0%––9%–19%15%6%1% [lower-alpha 6] 49%
May 23, 2022Board of Elections announces Brandenburg, Brown, Craig, Johnson, and Markey did not file enough valid signatures to appear on the ballot
The Glengariff Group, Inc. April 29 – May 1, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%2%23%2%5%5%6%8%3% [lower-alpha 8] 44%
The Trafalgar Group (R) March 29–31, 20221,072 (LV)± 3.0%2%34%3%16%7%2%15%8%12%
March 3, 2022Chenge withdraws from the race
Mitchell Research (R) February 17–19, 2022539 (LV)± 4.2%3%32%4%3%4%5%10%3%37%
Strategic National (R) [upper-alpha 2] September 18–19, 2021400 (LV)± 4.9%–38%1%–1%0%8%2% [lower-alpha 9] 50%
–40%1%––0%10%–49%
Hypothetical polling
John James vs. James Craig
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		John
James		James
Craig		Undecided
Target Insyght May 9–11, 2021304 (RV)± 3.5%36%21%42%

Results

Results by county .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{} Dixon 30-40% 40-50% 50-60% Rinke 30-40% 40-50% 2022 Michigan gubernatorial Republican primary election results map by county.svg
Results by county
  Dixon
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  Rinke
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
Republican primary results [16]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Tudor Dixon 436,350 39.69%
Republican Kevin Rinke236,30621.50%
Republican Garrett Soldano192,44217.51%
Republican Ryan Kelley165,58715.06%
Republican Ralph Rebandt45,0464.10%
Write-in 23,5422.14%
Total votes1,099,273 100.0%

Libertarian convention

Candidates

Nominated

Constitution convention

Candidates

Nominee

  • Donna Brandenburg, businesswoman (Nominated following disqualification from GOP ballot) [96]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [97] Lean DOctober 28, 2022
Inside Elections [98] Tilt DMarch 4, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball [99] Lean DNovember 7, 2022
Politico [100] Lean DMay 23, 2022
RCP [101] TossupOctober 21, 2022
Fox News [102] Lean DAugust 22, 2022
538 [103] Likely DNovember 8, 2022
Elections Daily [104] Lean DNovember 7, 2022

Endorsements

Gretchen Whitmer (D)
U.S. Executive Branch officials
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
State officials
State senators
State representatives
  • Kyra Harris Bolden, state representative from Michigan's 35th district [110]
  • Doug Hart, former State Representative from Michigan's 73rd district (Republican) [115]
  • Mike Pumford, former State Representative from Michigan's 100th district (Republican) [115]
Local officials
Individuals
Newspapers
Organizations
Tudor Dixon (R)
U.S. Executive Branch officials
State officials
U.S. representatives
State senators
Individuals
Newspapers
Organizations
Declined to endorse
State officials
Local officials
Organizations
  • Michigan Chamber of Commerce (withdrew endorsement of Dixon from the primary) [145]
  • Small Business Association of Michigan [145]

Polling

Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation		Dates
administered		Dates
updated		Gretchen
Whitmer (D)		Tudor
Dixon (R)		Other
[lower-alpha 10] 		Margin
Real Clear Politics October 30 – November 7, 2022November 8, 202248.3%47.3%4.4%Whitmer +1.0
FiveThirtyEight January 3 – November 8, 2022November 8, 202249.9%45.1%5.0%Whitmer +4.8
270toWin November 3–7, 2022November 8, 202250.4%46.4%3.2%Whitmer +4.0
Average49.5%46.3%4.2%Whitmer +3.2
Graphical summary
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Gretchen
Whitmer (D)		Tudor
Dixon (R)		OtherUndecided
The Trafalgar Group (R) November 5–7, 20221,097 (LV)± 2.9%48%49%1% [lower-alpha 11] 2%
Cygnal (R) November 1–4, 20221,603 (LV)± 2.5%50%47%2% [lower-alpha 12] 1%
Mitchell Research November 3, 2022658 (LV)± 3.8%50%48%1% [lower-alpha 13] 2%
Cygnal (R) October 31 – November 2, 20221,754 (LV)± 2.3%51%46%2% [lower-alpha 14] 2%
EPIC-MRA October 28 – November 1, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%54%43%1% [lower-alpha 15] 2%
Emerson College October 27–31, 20221,584 (LV)± 2.5%50%45%3% [lower-alpha 16] 3%
51%46%3% [lower-alpha 17] –
Cygnal (R) October 27–31, 20221,584 (LV)± 2.5%51%45%2% [lower-alpha 18] 3%
InsiderAdvantage (R) [upper-alpha 3] October 30, 2022550 (LV)± 4.2%45%45%5% [lower-alpha 19] 5%
Wick Insights October 26–30, 20221,137 (LV)± 3.2%49%47%2% [lower-alpha 20] 2%
KAConsulting (R) [upper-alpha 4] October 27–29, 2022501 (LV)± 4.4%48%41%5% [lower-alpha 21] 7%
Cygnal (R) October 25–29, 20221,543 (LV)± 2.5%51%44%2% [lower-alpha 22] 3%
The Glengariff Group, Inc. October 26–28, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%52%43%3%2%
Cygnal (R) October 23–27, 20221,822 (LV)± 2.3%51%44%3% [lower-alpha 23] 2%
Cygnal (R) October 21–25, 20221,378 (LV)± 2.6%51%45%3% [lower-alpha 24] 2%
Cygnal (R) October 19–23, 20221,459 (LV)± 2.6%50%44%3% [lower-alpha 25] 3%
The Trafalgar Group (R) October 18–21, 20221,022 (LV)± 2.9%48%48%2% [lower-alpha 26] 2%
Cygnal (R) October 17–21, 20221,904 (LV)± 2.3%50%44%3% [lower-alpha 27] 4%
Mitchell Research October 19, 2022541 (LV)± 4.2%49%47%1% [lower-alpha 28] 3%
Cygnal (R) October 15–19, 20221,793 (LV)± 2.3%49%44%3% [lower-alpha 29] 4%
CNN/SSRS October 13–18, 2022901 (RV)± 4.2%55%41%4% [lower-alpha 30] 1%
651 (LV)± 4.9%52%46%2% [lower-alpha 31] –
Emerson College October 12–14, 2022580 (LV)± 4.0%49%44%3% [lower-alpha 32] 4%
Cygnal (R) [upper-alpha 5] October 12–14, 2022640 (LV)± 3.9%49%44%4% [lower-alpha 33] 4%
Wick Insights (R) October 8–14, 20221,136 (LV)± 3.1%47%48%2% [lower-alpha 34] 3%
InsiderAdvantage (R) [upper-alpha 3] October 12, 2022550 (LV)± 4.2%44%44%6% [lower-alpha 35] 7%
EPIC-MRA October 6–12, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%49%38%4% [lower-alpha 36] 9%
YouGov/CBS News October 3–6, 20221,285 (RV)± 3.6%53%47%––
The Glengariff Group, Inc. September 26–29, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%50%32%9% [lower-alpha 37] 9%
The Trafalgar Group (R) September 24–28, 20221,075 (LV)± 2.9%51%45%4% [lower-alpha 38] 1%
EPIC-MRA [upper-alpha 6] September 15–19, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%55%39%–6%
EPIC-MRA [upper-alpha 7] September 7–13, 2022800 (LV)± 3.5%51%40%7% [lower-alpha 39] 2%
The Glengariff Group, Inc. August 29 – September 1, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%48%35%4%13%
The Trafalgar Group (R) August 22–25, 20221,080 (LV)± 2.9%49%45%3% [lower-alpha 40] 2%
EPIC-MRA August 18–23, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%50%39%–11%
Blueprint Polling (D) August 15–16, 2022611 (LV)± 4.0%51%39%3%8%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) August 8–14, 20221,365 (LV)± 4.4%51%46%–3%
The Glengariff Group, Inc. July 5–8, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%51%40%–9%
Target Insyght May 26–27, 2022600 (RV)± 4.0%58%21%–21%
The Glengariff Group, Inc. January 3–7, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%50%31%–19%
Strategic National (R) [upper-alpha 2] September 18–19, 2021600 (LV)± 4.0%46%41%–13%
Hypothetical polling
Gretchen Whitmer vs. Ryan Kelley
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Gretchen
Whitmer (D)		Ryan
Kelley (R)		Undecided
The Glengariff Group, Inc. July 5–8, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%50%41%9%
Target Insyght May 26–27, 2022600 (RV)± 4.0%57%23%19%
Gretchen Whitmer vs. Ralph Rebandt
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Gretchen
Whitmer (D)		Ralph
Rebandt (R)		Undecided
The Glengariff Group, Inc. July 5–8, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%52%37%10%
Target Insyght May 26–27, 2022600 (RV)± 4.0%58%19%23%
Gretchen Whitmer vs. Kevin Rinke
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Gretchen
Whitmer (D)		Kevin
Rinke (R)		Undecided
The Glengariff Group, Inc. July 5–8, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%52%40%8%
Target Insyght May 26–27, 2022600 (RV)± 4.0%58%24%18%
The Glengariff Group, Inc. January 3–7, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%50%33%17%
Gretchen Whitmer vs. Garrett Soldano
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Gretchen
Whitmer (D)		Garrett
Soldano (R)		Undecided
The Glengariff Group, Inc. July 5–8, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%52%38%10%
Target Insyght May 26–27, 2022600 (RV)± 4.0%58%22%20%
The Glengariff Group, Inc. January 3–7, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%50%33%17%
Gretchen Whitmer vs. James Craig
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Gretchen
Whitmer (D)		James
Craig (R)		Undecided
Blueprint Polling (D) February 1–4, 2022632 (LV)± 3.9%44%44%12%
EPIC-MRA January 15–20, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%46%41%13%
The Glengariff Group, Inc. January 3–7, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%49%39%12%
ARW Strategies (R) [upper-alpha 2] January 4–6, 2022800 (LV)± 3.5%46%46%8%
Strategic National (R) [upper-alpha 2] September 18–19, 2021600 (LV)± 4.0%47%46%7%
The Trafalgar Group (R) September 13–15, 20211,097 (LV)± 3.0%44%50%5%
EPIC-MRA August 9–15, 2021600 (LV)± 4.0%45%44%11%
Competitive Edge Research & Communication (R) [upper-alpha 8] May 26 – June 4, 2021809 (LV)± 4.0%38%45%17%
Target Insyght May 9–11, 2021800 (RV)± 3.5%48%42%10%
Gretchen Whitmer vs. John James
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Gretchen
Whitmer (D)		John
James (R)		Undecided
Competitive Edge Research & Communication (R) [upper-alpha 8] May 26 – June 4, 2021809 (LV)± 4.0%50%45%5%
Target Insyght May 9–11, 2021800 (RV)± 3.5%49%39%12%
Gretchen Whitmer vs. Candice Miller
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Gretchen
Whitmer (D)		Candice
Miller (R)		OtherUndecided
EPIC-MRA February 19–25, 2021600 (LV)± 4.0%46%45%–9%
Denno Research December 14–15, 2020600 (V)± 4.0%46%42%13% [lower-alpha 41] –
Gretchen Whitmer vs. generic Republican
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Gretchen
Whitmer (D)		Generic
Republican		Undecided
EPIC-MRA May 11–17, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%45%46%9%
ARW Strategies (R) [upper-alpha 9] April 18–20, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%45%46%8%
Cygnal (R) June 2–6, 2021600 (LV)± 4.0%41%52%7%
Gretchen Whitmer vs. generic opponent
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Gretchen
Whitmer (D)		Generic
Opponent		Undecided
The Glengariff Group, Inc. February 3–6, 2021600 (LV)± 4.0%39%41% [lower-alpha 42] 20% [lower-alpha 43]

Debates

2022 Michigan gubernatorial general election debates
No.DateHostModeratorLink Democratic Republican
Key:

 P Participant  A Absent  N Non-invitee  I Invitee  W  Withdrawn

Gretchen Whitmer Tudor Dixon
1Oct. 13, 2022 WOOD-TV Rick Albin WOOD-TV PP
2Oct. 25, 2022 Oakland University's Center for Civic Engagement,
WXYZ-TV, WXMI, WSYM-TV 		Chuck Stokes, Doug Reardon, Elle Meyers [147] WXYZ-TV PP

The first debate was held on Thursday, October 13 in Grand Rapids hosted by local TV station WOOD-TV. The two clashed on various issues such as abortion, the economy and COVID-19. [148] Analysts determined this debate to be a draw. [149]

The second debate was held on Tuesday, October 25 on the campus of Oakland University in Rochester. The debate was co-sponsored by Oakland University's Center for Civic Engagement and E.W. Scripps owned TV stations WXYZ-TV in Detroit, WXMI-TV in Grand Rapids and WSYM-TV in Lansing. [150] News stories about the debate specifically noted a question Whitmer gave Dixon when they argued on school safety and library books: "Do you really think books are more dangerous than guns?" [151]

Results

2022 Michigan gubernatorial election swing map by county.svg
2022 Michigan gubernatorial election trend map by county.svg
2022 Michigan gubernatorial election [152]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic
2,430,505 54.47% +1.16%
Republican
1,960,63543.94%+0.19%
Libertarian
  • Mary Buzuma
  • Brian Ellison
38,8000.87%−0.46%
Constitution
  • Donna Brandenburg
  • Mellissa Carone
16,2460.36%−0.33%
Green
  • Kevin Hogan
  • Destiny Clayton
10,7660.24%−0.44%
Natural Law
  • Daryl M. Simpson
  • Doug Dern
4,9730.11%−0.13%
Write-in 470.00%±0.0%
Total votes4,461,972 100.0%
Turnout 4,500,40055.19%
Registered electors 8,154,832
Democratic hold

By county

By county
County [153] Gretchen Whitmer
Democratic		Tudor Dixon
Republican		Other VotesMarginTotal
votes
 %# %# %# %#
Alcona 34.71%2,07663.57%3,8021.72%103−28.86%−1,7265,981
Alger 45.86%1,98452.20%2,2581.94%84−6.34%−2744,326
Allegan 39.76%22,80258.58%33,5901.66%950−18.82%−10,78857,342
Alpena 41.34%5,77956.65%7,9202.01%281−15.31%−2,14113,980
Antrim 42.36%5,93755.85%7,8271.78%250−13.49%−1,89014,014
Arenac 37.78%2,70960.17%4,3142.05%147−22.39%−1,6057,170
Baraga 38.59%1,32959.70%2,0561.71%59−21.11%−7273,444
Barry 37.63%11,55260.42%18,5471.95%598−22.79%−6,99530,697
Bay 50.36%24,78347.65%23,4481.99%9782.71%1,33549,209
Benzie 50.95%5,44647.38%5,0641.67%1793.57%38210,689
Berrien 46.55%29,80351.79%33,1571.66%1064−5.24%−3,35464,024
Branch 35.19%5,67662.81%10,1322.00%322−27.62%−4,45616,130
Calhoun 48.31%24,91649.82%25,6941.87%966−1.51%−77851,576
Cass 36.11%7,35062.23%12,6661.66%337−26.12%−5,31620,353
Charlevoix 45.87%6,72852.27%7,6671.87%274−6.40%−93914,669
Cheboygan 40.18%5,35757.80%7,7072.02%270−17.62%−2,35013,334
Chippewa 43.36%6,30354.36%7,9022.28%332−11.00%−1,59914,537
Clare 38.32%5,05759.48%7,8502.20%291−21.16%−2,79313,198
Clinton 50.15%20,66448.31%19,9041.54%6361.84%76041,204
Crawford 40.65%2,65557.08%3,7282.27%148−16.43%−1,0736,531
Delta 39.73%6,89058.23%10,0972.04%354−18.50%−3,20717,341
Dickinson 35.96%4,31062.12%7,4461.92%230−26.16%−3,13611,986
Eaton 53.78%28,80644.49%23,8281.73%9249.29%4,97853,558
Emmet 48.37%9,28549.96%9,5901.67%320−1.59%−30519,195
Genesee 58.47%100,32539.79%68,2821.74%2,98718.68%32,043171,594
Gladwin 36.77%4,42261.18%7,3572.05%246−24.41%−2,93512,025
Gogebic 45.47%2,94052.78%3,4131.75%113−7.31%−4736,466
Grand Traverse 52.38%27,39645.90%24,0051.72%9016.48%3,39152,302
Gratiot 41.01%6,28556.51%8,6592.48%380−15.50%−2,37415,324
Hillsdale 29.89%5,57567.80%12,6442.31%431−37.91%−7,06918,650
Houghton 45.41%7,03052.51%8,1282.08%322−7.10%−1,09815,480
Huron 35.39%5,31062.61%9,3952.01%301−27.22%−4,08515,006
Ingham 69.23%82,40829.29%34,8691.48%1,76539.94%47,539119,042
Ionia 39.86%10,84558.02%15,7862.12%577−18.16%−4,94127,208
Iosco 41.69%5,26656.30%7,1112.01%254−14.61%−1,84512,631
Iron 39.79%2,23658.40%3,2821.81%102−18.61%−1,0465,620
Isabella 52.51%12,58145.61%10,9271.87%4496.90%1,65423,957
Jackson 44.84%29,01153.22%34,4391.94%1,255−8.38%−5,42864,705
Kalamazoo 62.10%72,51636.34%42,4361.56%1,82425.76%30,080116,776
Kalkaska 33.98%3,00963.43%5,6162.59%229−29.45%−2,6078,854
Kent 54.32%162,89944.08%132,1721.60%4,80110.24%30,727299,872
Keweenaw 47.91%66650.43%7011.65%23−2.52%−351,390
Lake 39.56%2,08158.08%3,0552.36%124−18.52%−9745,260
Lapeer 36.49%15,98361.50%26,9402.01%879−25.01%−10,95743,802
Leelanau 55.19%8,54043.63%6,7521.18%18211.56%1,78815,474
Lenawee 42.58%18,24855.52%23,7961.90%813−12.94%−5,54842,857
Livingston 42.75%46,52455.58%60,4941.67%1,821−12.83%−13,970108,839
Luce 33.22%78664.24%1,5202.54%60−31.02%−7342,366
Mackinac 42.79%2,56755.43%3,3251.78%107−12.64%−7585,999
Macomb 51.82%199,27746.62%179,2581.56%6,0095.20%20,019384,544
Manistee 47.65%6,02650.32%6,3642.02%256−2.67%−33812,646
Marquette 60.19%18,88038.15%11,9671.66%52222.04%6,91331,369
Mason 43.49%6,41954.32%8,0182.19%324−10.83%−1,59914,761
Mecosta 39.22%6,86758.61%10,2622.18%381−19.39%−3,39517,510
Menominee 34.59%3,34763.34%6,1292.07%200−28.75%−2,7829,676
Midland 47.30%19,49750.85%20,9641.85%763−3.55%−1,46741,224
Missaukee 26.79%1,99571.24%5,3061.97%147−44.45%−3,3117,448
Monroe 42.73%29,48255.53%38,3121.74%1,203−12.80%−8,83068,997
Montcalm 36.45%9,62261.24%16,1652.30%608−24.79%−6,54326,395
Montmorency 33.23%1,70164.49%3,3012.29%117−31.26%−1,6005,119
Muskegon 53.19%39,26944.86%33,1211.95%1,4438.33%6,14873,833
Newaygo 32.59%7,41765.37%14,8792.04%465−32.78%−7,46222,761
Oakland 60.92%383,89537.84%238,4481.25%7,86223.08%145,447630,205
Oceana 39.88%4,82058.02%7,0122.10%254−18.14%−2,19212,086
Ogemaw 35.71%3,53262.18%6,1512.11%209−26.47%−2,6199,892
Ontonagon 40.47%1,31957.13%1,8622.39%78−16.66%−5433,259
Osceola 30.58%3,17467.00%6,9542.43%251−36.42%−3,78010,379
Oscoda 33.77%1,35563.63%2,5532.59%104−29.86%−1,1984,012
Otsego 38.53%4,81859.35%7,4222.12%265−20.82%−2,60412,505
Ottawa 40.26%58,95258.29%85,3611.45%2,119−18.03%−26,409146,432
Presque Isle 40.85%2,98157.07%4,1652.08%152−16.22%−1,1847,298
Roscommon 40.80%5,28457.07%7,3912.13%276−16.27%−2,10712,951
Saginaw 53.00%43,21945.37%37,0021.63%1,3297.63%6,21781,550
Sanilac 31.73%5,96766.33%12,4731.94%364−34.60%−6,50618,804
Schoolcraft 39.27%1,52758.23%2,2642.49%97−18.96%−7373,888
Shiawassee 45.46%14,73052.37%16,9692.17%703−6.91%−2,23932,402
St. Clair 40.49%30,17057.35%42,7312.15%1,604−16.86%−12,56174,505
St. Joseph 38.35%8,40259.60%13,0592.05%449−21.25%−4,65721,910
Tuscola 35.06%8,41862.81%15,0782.13%511−27.75%−6,66024,007
Van Buren 48.08%15,34750.04%15,9741.88%601−1.96%−62731,922
Washtenaw 75.15%135,90423.67%42,8041.18%2,14051.48%93,100180,848
Wayne 70.86%457,60127.95%180,4871.18%7,65142.91%277,114645,739
Wexford 37.37%5,64560.45%9,1312.18%329−23.08%−3,48615,105
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Analysis

Whitmer led Dixon in most of the polls. Most Republican donors chose not to fund campaign ads for Dixon, causing the TV airwaves to be dominated by ads for Whitmer, which included negative ads against Dixon. [145] [154] Whitmer also spent a lot more in digital advertising compared to Dixon. [155] Abortion rights, which were on the ballot in the same election, were the subject of negative ads against Dixon, who opposed abortion rights. [156] Although aggregate polling had Whitmer up by about 3%, and a last minute poll by Trafalgar Group had Dixon ahead by 1%, the election was not close. Whitmer defeated Dixon at the same time Michigan voters approved a ballot measure that would guarantee abortion rights in the Michigan constitution. [157] Democrats swept the other statewide partisan races and won control of both the state House and state Senate. [158] This marked the first time Democrats took control of both houses of the Michigan legislature since 1984. [159]

Despite Dixon's loss, she managed to flip Gogebic County in the Upper Peninsula (which had voted for Whitmer in 2018), making this the first election since 1932 where a Democrat won the Michigan Governor's Mansion without carrying Gogebic County. [160] Conversely, Whitmer flipped the counties of Benzie and Grand Traverse; the last time the Democratic candidate won these counties were 2006 and 1986, respectively. [161]

Notes

  1. ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. 1 2 3 Rebandt with 2%
  4. ↑ "Someone else" with 7%, Rebandt with 3%
  5. 1 2 Rebandt with 3%
  6. 1 2 3 4 Rebandt with 1%
  7. ↑ Write-ins (volunteered response) with 7%, Rebandt with 1%
  8. ↑ Brandenburg with 2%, Rebandt with 1%, Markey with 0%
  9. ↑ Chenge with 2%
  10. ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  11. ↑ Buzuma (L) with 1%; "Other" with 1%
  12. ↑ "Third party candidate" with 2%
  13. ↑ "Another candidate" with 1%
  14. ↑ "Third party candidate" with 2%
  15. ↑ Buzuma (L) with 1%
  16. ↑ Buzuma (L) with 2%; Hogan (G) with 1%; Brandenburg (UTP) with <1%; Simpson (NL) with <1%
  17. ↑ Buzuma (L) with 2%; Hogan (G) with 1%; Brandenburg (UTP) with <1%
  18. ↑ "Third party candidate" with 2%
  19. ↑ Buzuma (L) with 2%; Hogan (G) with 2%; "Another candidate" with 1%
  20. ↑ "Someone else" with 2%
  21. ↑ "Other/Refused" with 5%
  22. ↑ "Third party candidate" with 2%
  23. ↑ "Third party candidate" with 3%
  24. ↑ "Third party candidate" with 3%
  25. ↑ "Third party candidate" with 3%
  26. ↑ Buzuma (L) with 2%; "Other" with <1%
  27. ↑ "Third party candidate" with 3%
  28. ↑ "Another candidate" with 1%
  29. ↑ "Third party candidate" with 3%
  30. ↑ "Neither" with 3%; "Other with 1%
  31. ↑ "Neither" with 2%
  32. ↑ Brandenburg (UTP) with 2%; Buzuma (L) with 1%; Hogan (G) with 0%
  33. ↑ "Third party candidate" with 4%
  34. ↑ "Someone else" with 2%
  35. ↑ Buzuma (L) with 3%; Hogan (G) with 2%; "Another candidate" with 1%
  36. ↑ Buzuma (L) with 3%; Hogan (G) with 1%; Brandenburg (UTP) with <1%; Simpson (NL) with <1%
  37. ↑ Buzuma with 4%; "Refused to answer" with 3%; Hogan, Brandenburg, and Simpson with 1%
  38. ↑ Buzuma with 3%; "Other" with 1%
  39. ↑ "Third party candidate" with 7%
  40. ↑ Buzuma with 2%; "Other" with 1%
  41. ↑ Includes Undecided
  42. ↑ "Elect someone new" as opposed to "re-elect Whitmer" with 41%
  43. ↑ "It depends" with 14%; Undecided with 6%
Partisan clients
  1. ↑ This poll was sponsored by Rinke's campaign.
  2. 1 2 3 4 Poll sponsored by Craig's campaign
  3. 1 2 This poll was sponsored by American Greatness, a conservative news outlet.
  4. ↑ Poll conducted for Citizens United, a conservative non-profit organization.
  5. ↑ This poll was sponsored by the Michigan Association of Broadcasters.
  6. ↑ Poll conducted for WJRT-TV and the Detroit Free Press.
  7. ↑ Poll conducted for MIRS, Governmental Consultant Services Inc., and the Life Insurance Association of Michigan.
  8. 1 2 This poll was sponsored by the Michigan Republican Party.
  9. ↑ Poll sponsored by DePerno's campaign for Attorney General

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  71. ↑ Barrett, Malachi (December 29, 2021). "Michigan's new U.S. House maps set up battlegrounds, contests between incumbents". www.mlive.com. Retrieved December 29, 2021.
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  73. ↑ "Macomb County's Candice Miller says she won't run for Michigan governor in 2022". Detroit Free Press . Retrieved January 4, 2021.
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  75. 1 2 3 "State Representative Beth Griffin Endorses Michael Brown for Governor". www.einnews.com. February 1, 2022. Retrieved July 17, 2022.
  76. ↑ "Wendzel Endorses Brown". WSJM-FM. April 27, 2022. Retrieved July 17, 2022.
  77. 1 2 "Hillsdale Co. Sheriff Endorses Michael Brown for Governor". www.einnews.com. February 21, 2022. Retrieved July 17, 2022.
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  80. 1 2 3 "John Engler endorses Dixon; Rinke launches ad touting Donald Trump".
  81. ↑ Moran, Carly (April 7, 2022). "Mayor Adam Stockford endorses Chief James Craig for governor" . Retrieved July 17, 2022.
  82. 1 2 Mueller, Julia (July 31, 2022). "Trump-backed GOP Michigan governor candidate says she disagrees with DeVos on Jan. 6". The Hill. Retrieved August 3, 2022.
  83. 1 2 "Trump endorses conservative commentator Tudor Dixon in Michigan GOP gubernatorial primary". July 30, 2022.
  84. ↑ Jones, Kipp (October 20, 2022). "Allegedly Pro-Choice Tulsi Gabbard Will Campaign for Tudor Dixon – Who Opposes Abortion for Rape Victims". Mediaite . Retrieved October 31, 2022– via MSN.
  85. 1 2 "Tudor Dixon Racks Up Another Endorsement". July 22, 2022.
  86. 1 2 Mauger, Craig (February 9, 2022). "Michigan governor's race: U.S. Rep. Lisa McClain endorses Tudor Dixon". Detroit News . Retrieved February 10, 2022.
  87. 1 2 "DeVos family endorses Tudor Dixon to be Michigan's next governor".
  88. 1 2 Egan, Paul (September 22, 2021). "Ted Nugent endorses Michigan State Police captain for governor". Detroit Free Press . Archived from the original on November 23, 2021. Retrieved January 7, 2022.
  89. ↑ "Veterans For Trump aka Veterans For America First endorse Michigan candidates Tudor Dixon and John Gibbs who pledged to support our Veterans on Vet Voice interview with political director Stan Fitzgerald. – Veterans for America First". October 14, 2022. Retrieved March 11, 2023.
  90. ↑ "Trump Endorsed by National Veterans Group for 2024 Presidential Run". www.yahoo.com. Retrieved March 11, 2023.
  91. ↑ "Endorsement: Our choice in the Republican primary for governor" . July 1, 2022. Archived from the original on July 3, 2022.
  92. ↑ DesOrmeau, Taylor (April 22, 2022). "Meet the Republican Candidate for Governor who isn't pro-trump".
  93. ↑ "Ted Nugent, rocker and member of far-right Oath Keepers, endorses Kevin Rinke". June 23, 2022.
  94. ↑ "Endorsement: Kevin Rinke is Republicans' safest bet in a pitiful GOP field". July 23, 2022.
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  99. ↑ "Crystal Ball 2022 Gubernatorial race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball . Retrieved March 11, 2021.
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  107. ↑ "VP Kamala Harris to visit Michigan for Whitmer fundraiser, student event".
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  109. ↑ "Cory Booker makes a healthy pit stop at Breadless during Detroit visit".
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  115. 1 2 3 4 5 "'Republicans for Whitmer' return to support Democratic governor in re-election bid". September 12, 2022. Retrieved September 29, 2022.
  116. ↑ "Magic Johnson Reveals His Endorsement for Governor". June 24, 2023.
  117. ↑ "Actress Kerry Washington: It can't be 'harder for me to vote than it was for my grandparents' ⋆ Michigan Advance". November 6, 2022.
  118. ↑ "Here are all Detroit Free Press endorsements for 2022 general election". Detroit Free Press. October 19, 2022. Archived from the original on October 19, 2022. Retrieved October 20, 2022.
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  122. ↑ "Detroit Chamber endorses Whitmer, Benson but skips AG race".
  123. 1 2 "End Citizens United // Let America Vote Endorses Governors Tony Evers and Gretchen Whitmer for Re-Election". June 23, 2022.
  124. ↑ "Human Rights Campaign Endorses Governor Gretchen Whitmer and Lt. Governor Garlin Gilchrist of Michigan for Reelection". June 8, 2022.
  125. ↑ "Michigan LCV endorses climate and clean water champion Gretchen Whitmer for governor". July 27, 2022.
  126. ↑ "Michigan AFL-CIO Endorses Gretchen Whitmer for Governor, Garlin Gilchrist for Lt. Governor, Dana Nessel for Attorney General, and Jocelyn Benson for Sec. of State". March 17, 2022.
  127. ↑ "Whitmer gains major police endorsement despite Dixon's tough-on-crime rhetoric".
  128. ↑ "NARAL Pro-Choice America Endorses Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer for Reelection". June 22, 2022.
  129. ↑ Saccone, Mike (July 12, 2022). "National Wildlife Federation Action Fund Endorses Whitmer, Nessel, Benson for Re-Election". National Wildlife Federation .
  130. ↑ "Leading Environmental Organizations Endorse Gretchen Whitmer for Governor". March 2022.
  131. 1 2 "Donald Trump Jr., Kellyanne Conway to campaign for Tudor Dixon in Michigan on Friday".
  132. ↑ "Mike Pence sidesteps question on election security, knocks Whitmer for vetoes".
  133. ↑ "'Expect more TV ads' on Tudor Dixon's behalf, key GOP group leader says".
  134. ↑ Newsroom, Mid-Michigan NOW (September 14, 2022). "Tudor Dixon gets endorsement from 22 county sheriffs". NBC 25 FOX 66. Retrieved September 18, 2022.
  135. ↑ Minock, Nick (August 16, 2022). "Youngkin headed to Michigan to campaign for GOP governor candidate Tudor Dixon". WJLA. Retrieved August 16, 2022.
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  137. ↑ "Many Michigan Republicans Don't Seem Very into Their Nominee for Governor". October 2, 2022.
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  139. ↑ "Brian Kilmeade and Tulsi Gabbard Stump for Tudor Dixon on the Air".
  140. ↑ "Kari Lake lends MAGA star power to two GOP governor hopefuls". Politico . October 28, 2022.
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  142. ↑ "Michigan Farm Bureau endorses Tudor Dixon for governor". September 19, 2022.
  143. ↑ "Small Business Owners Back Tudor Dixon for Michigan Governor". National Federation of Independent Business. September 20, 2022. Retrieved October 30, 2022.
  144. ↑ "Endorsement Generator".
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  146. ↑ Robinson, Samuel (August 23, 2022). "Craig says he won't support Dixon". Axios . Retrieved November 6, 2023.
  147. ↑ "Submit your questions for the WXYZ gubernatorial debate". October 18, 2022.
  148. ↑ "Michigan governor debate: Fact checking Whitmer-Dixon showdown | Bridge Michigan".
  149. ↑ "Many jabs but little blood drawn: Takeaways from the first gubernatorial debate". Mlive. October 14, 2022.
  150. ↑ "How to watch the Tudor Dixon, Gretchen Whitmer second debate on Oct. 25 | Bridge Michigan".
  151. ↑ "The gloves come off in second Whitmer-Dixon debate". Mlive. October 26, 2022.
  152. ↑ "2022 Michigan Official General Election Results - 11/08/2022".
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  156. ↑ "In Michigan, a Swing State, Gubernatorial Race Looks Like Lost Cause for GOP". September 23, 2022.
  157. ↑ "Whitmer, Nessel, Benson winning re-election in Oakland County and statewide". November 9, 2022.
  158. ↑ "Michigan Senate goes dem for first time in 4 decades with the aid of redistricting, abortion". November 9, 2022.
  159. ↑ "Michigan sees Democratic domination after party sweeps state, legislative and federal contests". November 11, 2022.
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