2022 Michigan gubernatorial election

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2022 Michigan gubernatorial election
Flag of Michigan.svg
←  2018 November 8, 2022 2026  →
Turnout55.2% Decrease2.svg0.2 [1]
  Gretchen Whitmer (2021) (cropped).jpg Tudor Dixon 2022 (cropped 2).jpg
Nominee Gretchen Whitmer Tudor Dixon
Party Democratic Republican
Running mate Garlin Gilchrist Shane Hernandez
Popular vote2,430,5051,960,635
Percentage54.47%43.94%
2022 Michigan gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
2022 Michigan Governor by US House.svg
2022 Michigan gubernatorial election results map by municipality.svg
Whitmer:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Dixon:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Governor before election

Gretchen Whitmer
Democratic

Elected Governor

Gretchen Whitmer
Democratic

The 2022 Michigan gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Michigan. Incumbent Democratic Governor Gretchen Whitmer ran for re-election to a second term and faced former political commentator Tudor Dixon in the general election. [2] Whitmer defeated Dixon by a margin of nearly 11 percentage points, a wider margin than polls indicated as well as a wider margin than Whitmer's first victory four years prior. Whitmer won independent voters by double-digit margins, which contributed to Dixon's defeat. [3]

Contents

This was the first gubernatorial election in Michigan history in which both major party candidates for governor were women, [4] and the first since 1990 in which the winner was from the same party as the incumbent president. [5]

Process for ballot appearance and fraud allegations

In order to appear on a primary ballot for the August 2 Democratic and Republican primaries, candidates must submit between 15,000 and 30,000 signatures in addition to their filing paperwork. [6] These signatures are submitted to the Board of State Canvassers, a bipartisan and independent board that verifies petition signatures. Within seven days of the filing deadline, citizens and organizations can challenge nomination signatures submitted by candidates. [6] Voters are only allowed to sign one nomination petition. [6]

After the filing deadline, the Board of State Canvassers received nearly 30 challenges to nomination petitions. Among them, the Michigan Democratic Party alleged that several Republican candidates engaged in signature fraud with their petitions. This was followed by a report by the Michigan Bureau of Elections which alleged that 36 paid signature circulators faked signatures and engaged in practices that added fraudulent signatures to other candidates petitions. [6]

An eight-hour meeting of the Board of State Canvassers reached a deadlock on whether to allow the candidates in question to stay on the ballot. [6] Due to the deadlock, the candidates in question were not allowed to appear on the primary ballot. The rushed pace of the proceedings and the decision were criticized by Common Cause of Michigan, whose policy director suggested that the candidates in question had to plead their cases to the Board of Canvassers days after finding out about the alleged fraud themselves. [6] [7]

Several candidates filed lawsuits appealing the decision. These suits were rejected in the Michigan Court of Appeals. [8] Three candidates appealed to the Michigan Supreme Court, but these appeals were denied. [6]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Endorsements

Results

Democratic primary results [16]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Gretchen Whitmer (incumbent) 938,382 100.0%
Total votes938,382 100.0%

Republican primary

Fourteen people declared their candidacy for the Republican gubernatorial nomination. [17] At the filing deadline, 10 candidates submitted enough signatures to appear on the ballot, a state record. [17] However, following challenges by the state Democratic party and other organizations, five candidates were deemed ineligible to appear on the ballot due to alleged fraudulent signatures. [18] Several of these candidates, including former Detroit police chief James Craig and Michael Markey, pledged to appeal the decision to the State Supreme Court. [6] Craig also mentioned that, should the appeal fail, he would still plan to run as a write-in candidate for both the primary and the general election. [6] On June 15, 2022, Craig announced he was launching a write-in campaign for the nomination. [19]

On June 9, 2022, candidate Ryan Kelley was arrested by the FBI following numerous tips that he had participated in the January 6 United States Capitol attack. [20] The criminal complaint alleges that Kelley engaged in disorderly conduct on restricted grounds and engaged in acts of violence against a person or property. [20] He agreed in June 2023 to plead guilty on a lesser charge in relation to his participation in the insurrection. [21] [22]

On August 19, 2022, Dixon announced former state representative Shane Hernandez as her running mate. However, shortly after, former gubernatorial candidates Ralph Rebandt and Garrett Soldano both announced that they were exploring the possibility of launching their own campaigns for lieutenant governor to contest Hernandez at the August 27 state GOP convention for not being conservative enough. [23] On August 22, 2022, Soldano announced that he would not seek the position of lieutenant governor at the convention. [24] Later that same day, Rebandt announced that he would seek the nomination at the convention. [25] Hernandez secured his party's nomination at the convention, despite heated opposition from supporters of Rebandt. [26]

On June 22, 2023, charges were filed against three individuals regarding the fraudulent signatures that disqualified five of the candidates in the Republican primary. [27] [28] [29]

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Disqualified, write-in campaign

Failed to qualify

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Mike Brown (disqualified)

State representatives

  • Beth Griffin, state representative from Michigan's 66th district (2017–present) [75]
  • Pauline Wendzel, state representative from Michigan's 79th district (2019–present) [76]

Local officials

Individuals

  • Ted Nugent, singer-songwriter and conservative political activist(switched endorsement to Rinke) [78]
James Craig (disqualified/write-in)

U.S. representatives

State officials

Mayors

Tudor Dixon

U.S. Executive Branch officials

State officials

U.S. representatives

State senators

Individuals

Organizations

Newspapers

Perry Johnson (disqualified)

U.S. representatives

Michael Jay Markey Jr. (disqualified)
State Senators
Kevin Rinke

Individuals

  • Ted Nugent, singer-songwriter and conservative political activist (previously endorsed Brown) [93]

Newspapers

Polling

Graphical summary

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation		Dates
administered		Dates
updated		Tudor
Dixon		Ryan
Kelley		Kevin
Rinke		Garrett
Soldano		Other
[a] 		Margin
Real Clear Politics [95] July 28 – August 1, 2022August 1, 202240.7%11.7%20.3%14.7%12.6%Dixon +20.4
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Mike
Brown		James
Craig		Tudor
Dixon		Perry
Johnson		Ryan
Kelley		Kevin
Rinke		Garrett
Soldano		OtherUndecided
The Trafalgar Group (R) [96] July 31 – August 1, 20221,074 (LV)± 2.9%––41%–10%19%18%2% [c] 11%
Mitchell Research (R) [97] July 31, 2022443 (LV)± 4.7%––37%–12%23%12%2% [c] 15%
Emerson College [98] July 28–30, 2022869 (LV)± 3.3%––41%–12%17%12%9% [d] 9%
The Trafalgar Group (R) [99] July 26–28, 20221,098 (LV)± 2.9%––28%–14%17%19%3% [e] 19%
co/efficient (R) [100] [A] July 24–26, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.1%––21%––22%–––
Mitchell Research (R) [101] July 24–25, 2022436 (LV)± 5.0%––28%–14%22%11%1% [f] 25%
Mitchell Research (R) [102] July 17–18, 2022501 (LV)± 4.4%––28%–15%20%10%1% [f] 26%
The Glengariff Group, Inc. [103] July 13–15, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%––19%–13%15%12%2% [c] 38%
Mitchell Research (R) [104] July 7–8, 2022683 (LV)± 3.8%––26%–15%13%13%1% [f] 33%
Mitchell Research (R) [105] June 21–22, 2022588 (LV)± 4.0%––15%–13%15%8%3% [e] 46%
EPIC-MRA [106] June 10–13, 2022398 (LV)± 4.9%––5%–17%12%13%8% [g] 45%
Target Insyght [107] May 26–27, 2022400 (LV)± 5.0%––9%–19%15%6%1% [f] 49%
May 23, 2022Board of Elections announces Brandenburg, Brown, Craig, Johnson, and Markey did not file enough valid signatures to appear on the ballot
The Glengariff Group, Inc. [108] April 29 – May 1, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%2%23%2%5%5%6%8%3% [h] 44%
The Trafalgar Group (R) [109] March 29–31, 20221,072 (LV)± 3.0%2%34%3%16%7%2%15%8%12%
March 3, 2022Chenge withdraws from the race
Mitchell Research (R) [110] February 17–19, 2022539 (LV)± 4.2%3%32%4%3%4%5%10%3%37%
Strategic National (R) [111] [B] September 18–19, 2021400 (LV)± 4.9%–38%1%–1%0%8%2% [i] 50%
–40%1%––0%10%–49%
Hypothetical polling

John James vs. James Craig

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		John
James		James
Craig		Undecided
Target Insyght [112] May 9–11, 2021304 (RV)± 3.5%36%21%42%

Results

Results by county .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{} Dixon 30-40% 40-50% 50-60% Rinke 30-40% 40-50% 2022 Michigan gubernatorial Republican primary election results map by county.svg
Results by county
  Dixon
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  Rinke
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
Republican primary results [16]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Tudor Dixon 436,350 39.69%
Republican Kevin Rinke236,30621.50%
Republican Garrett Soldano192,44217.51%
Republican Ryan Kelley165,58715.06%
Republican Ralph Rebandt45,0464.10%
Write-in 23,5422.14%
Total votes1,099,273 100.0%

Libertarian convention

Candidates

Nominated

Constitution convention

Candidates

Nominee

  • Donna Brandenburg, businesswoman (Nominated following disqualification from GOP ballot) [114]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [115] Lean DOctober 28, 2022
Inside Elections [116] Tilt DMarch 4, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball [117] Lean DNovember 7, 2022
Politico [118] Lean DMay 23, 2022
RCP [119] TossupOctober 21, 2022
Fox News [120] Lean DAugust 22, 2022
538 [121] Likely DNovember 8, 2022
Elections Daily [122] Lean DNovember 7, 2022

Endorsements

Gretchen Whitmer (D)

U.S. Executive Branch officials

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

State officials

State senators

State representatives

  • Kyra Harris Bolden, state representative from Michigan's 35th district [128]
  • Doug Hart, former state representative from Michigan's 73rd district (Republican) [133]
  • Mike Pumford, former state representative from Michigan's 100th district (Republican) [133]

Local officials

Individuals

Newspapers

Organizations

Tudor Dixon (R)

U.S. Executive Branch officials

State officials

U.S. representatives

State senators

Individuals

Newspapers

Organizations

Declined to endorse

State officials

Local officials

Organizations

  • Michigan Chamber of Commerce (withdrew endorsement of Dixon from the primary) [162]
  • Small Business Association of Michigan [162]

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation		Dates
administered		Dates
updated		Gretchen
Whitmer (D)		Tudor
Dixon (R)		Other
[j] 		Margin
Real Clear Politics [164] October 30 – November 7, 2022November 8, 202248.3%47.3%4.4%Whitmer +1.0
FiveThirtyEight [165] January 3 – November 8, 2022November 8, 202249.9%45.1%5.0%Whitmer +4.8
270toWin [166] November 3–7, 2022November 8, 202250.4%46.4%3.2%Whitmer +4.0
Average49.5%46.3%4.2%Whitmer +3.2

Graphical summary

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Gretchen
Whitmer (D)		Tudor
Dixon (R)		OtherUndecided
The Trafalgar Group (R) [167] November 5–7, 20221,097 (LV)± 2.9%48%49%1% [k] 2%
Cygnal (R) [168] November 1–4, 20221,603 (LV)± 2.5%50%47%2% [l] 1%
Mitchell Research [169] November 3, 2022658 (LV)± 3.8%50%48%1% [m] 2%
Cygnal (R) [170] October 31 – November 2, 20221,754 (LV)± 2.3%51%46%2% [n] 2%
EPIC-MRA [171] October 28 – November 1, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%54%43%1% [o] 2%
Emerson College [172] October 27–31, 20221,584 (LV)± 2.5%50%45%3% [p] 3%
51%46%3% [q] –
Cygnal (R) [173] October 27–31, 20221,584 (LV)± 2.5%51%45%2% [r] 3%
InsiderAdvantage (R) [174] [C] October 30, 2022550 (LV)± 4.2%45%45%5% [s] 5%
Wick Insights [175] October 26–30, 20221,137 (LV)± 3.2%49%47%2% [t] 2%
KAConsulting (R) [176] [D] October 27–29, 2022501 (LV)± 4.4%48%41%5% [u] 7%
Cygnal (R) [177] October 25–29, 20221,543 (LV)± 2.5%51%44%2% [v] 3%
The Glengariff Group, Inc. [178] October 26–28, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%52%43%3%2%
Cygnal (R) [179] October 23–27, 20221,822 (LV)± 2.3%51%44%3% [w] 2%
Cygnal (R) [180] October 21–25, 20221,378 (LV)± 2.6%51%45%3% [x] 2%
Cygnal (R) [181] October 19–23, 20221,459 (LV)± 2.6%50%44%3% [y] 3%
The Trafalgar Group (R) [182] October 18–21, 20221,022 (LV)± 2.9%48%48%2% [z] 2%
Cygnal (R) [183] October 17–21, 20221,904 (LV)± 2.3%50%44%3% [aa] 4%
Mitchell Research [184] October 19, 2022541 (LV)± 4.2%49%47%1% [ab] 3%
Cygnal (R) [185] October 15–19, 20221,793 (LV)± 2.3%49%44%3% [ac] 4%
CNN/SSRS [186] October 13–18, 2022901 (RV)± 4.2%55%41%4% [ad] 1%
651 (LV)± 4.9%52%46%2% [ae] –
Emerson College [187] October 12–14, 2022580 (LV)± 4.0%49%44%3% [af] 4%
Cygnal (R) [188] [E] October 12–14, 2022640 (LV)± 3.9%49%44%4% [ag] 4%
Wick Insights (R) [189] October 8–14, 20221,136 (LV)± 3.1%47%48%2% [ah] 3%
InsiderAdvantage (R) [190] [C] October 12, 2022550 (LV)± 4.2%44%44%6% [ai] 7%
EPIC-MRA [191] October 6–12, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%49%38%4% [aj] 9%
YouGov/CBS News [192] October 3–6, 20221,285 (RV)± 3.6%53%47%––
The Glengariff Group, Inc. [193] September 26–29, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%50%32%9% [ak] 9%
The Trafalgar Group (R) [194] September 24–28, 20221,075 (LV)± 2.9%51%45%4% [al] 1%
EPIC-MRA [195] [F] September 15–19, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%55%39%–6%
EPIC-MRA [196] [G] September 7–13, 2022800 (LV)± 3.5%51%40%7% [am] 2%
The Glengariff Group, Inc. [197] August 29 – September 1, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%48%35%4%13%
The Trafalgar Group (R) [198] August 22–25, 20221,080 (LV)± 2.9%49%45%3% [an] 2%
EPIC-MRA [199] August 18–23, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%50%39%–11%
Blueprint Polling (D) [200] August 15–16, 2022611 (LV)± 4.0%51%39%3%8%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) [201] August 8–14, 20221,365 (LV)± 4.4%51%46%–3%
The Glengariff Group, Inc. [202] July 5–8, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%51%40%–9%
Target Insyght [203] May 26–27, 2022600 (RV)± 4.0%58%21%–21%
The Glengariff Group, Inc. [204] January 3–7, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%50%31%–19%
Strategic National (R) [205] [B] September 18–19, 2021600 (LV)± 4.0%46%41%–13%
Hypothetical polling

Gretchen Whitmer vs. Ryan Kelley

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Gretchen
Whitmer (D)		Ryan
Kelley (R)		Undecided
The Glengariff Group, Inc. [202] July 5–8, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%50%41%9%
Target Insyght [203] May 26–27, 2022600 (RV)± 4.0%57%23%19%

Gretchen Whitmer vs. Ralph Rebandt

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Gretchen
Whitmer (D)		Ralph
Rebandt (R)		Undecided
The Glengariff Group, Inc. [202] July 5–8, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%52%37%10%
Target Insyght [203] May 26–27, 2022600 (RV)± 4.0%58%19%23%

Gretchen Whitmer vs. Kevin Rinke

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Gretchen
Whitmer (D)		Kevin
Rinke (R)		Undecided
The Glengariff Group, Inc. [202] July 5–8, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%52%40%8%
Target Insyght [203] May 26–27, 2022600 (RV)± 4.0%58%24%18%
The Glengariff Group, Inc. [204] January 3–7, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%50%33%17%

Gretchen Whitmer vs. Garrett Soldano

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Gretchen
Whitmer (D)		Garrett
Soldano (R)		Undecided
The Glengariff Group, Inc. [202] July 5–8, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%52%38%10%
Target Insyght [203] May 26–27, 2022600 (RV)± 4.0%58%22%20%
The Glengariff Group, Inc. [204] January 3–7, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%50%33%17%

Gretchen Whitmer vs. James Craig

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Gretchen
Whitmer (D)		James
Craig (R)		Undecided
Blueprint Polling (D) [206] February 1–4, 2022632 (LV)± 3.9%44%44%12%
EPIC-MRA [207] January 15–20, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%46%41%13%
The Glengariff Group, Inc. [204] January 3–7, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%49%39%12%
ARW Strategies (R) [208] [B] January 4–6, 2022800 (LV)± 3.5%46%46%8%
Strategic National (R) [205] [B] September 18–19, 2021600 (LV)± 4.0%47%46%7%
The Trafalgar Group (R) [209] September 13–15, 20211,097 (LV)± 3.0%44%50%5%
EPIC-MRA [210] August 9–15, 2021600 (LV)± 4.0%45%44%11%
Competitive Edge Research & Communication (R) [211] [H] May 26 – June 4, 2021809 (LV)± 4.0%38%45%17%
Target Insyght [112] May 9–11, 2021800 (RV)± 3.5%48%42%10%

Gretchen Whitmer vs. John James

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Gretchen
Whitmer (D)		John
James (R)		Undecided
Competitive Edge Research & Communication (R) [211] [H] May 26 – June 4, 2021809 (LV)± 4.0%50%45%5%
Target Insyght [112] May 9–11, 2021800 (RV)± 3.5%49%39%12%

Gretchen Whitmer vs. Candice Miller

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Gretchen
Whitmer (D)		Candice
Miller (R)		OtherUndecided
EPIC-MRA [212] February 19–25, 2021600 (LV)± 4.0%46%45%–9%
Denno Research [213] December 14–15, 2020600 (V)± 4.0%46%42%13% [ao] –

Gretchen Whitmer vs. generic Republican

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Gretchen
Whitmer (D)		Generic
Republican		Undecided
EPIC-MRA [214] May 11–17, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%45%46%9%
ARW Strategies (R) [215] [I] April 18–20, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%45%46%8%
Cygnal (R) [216] June 2–6, 2021600 (LV)± 4.0%41%52%7%

Gretchen Whitmer vs. generic opponent

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Gretchen
Whitmer (D)		Generic
Opponent		Undecided
The Glengariff Group, Inc. [217] February 3–6, 2021600 (LV)± 4.0%39%41% [ap] 20% [aq]

Debates

2022 Michigan gubernatorial general election debates
No.DateHostModeratorLink Democratic Republican
Key:

 P Participant  A Absent  N Non-invitee  I Invitee  W  Withdrawn

WhitmerDixon
1Oct. 13, 2022 WOOD-TV Rick Albin WOOD-TV [218] PP
2Oct. 25, 2022 WXYZ-TV [219] PP

The first debate was held on Thursday, October 13 in Grand Rapids hosted by local TV station WOOD-TV. The two clashed on various issues such as abortion, the economy and COVID-19. [220] Analysts determined this debate to be a draw. [221]

The second debate was held on Tuesday, October 25 on the campus of Oakland University in Rochester. The debate was co-sponsored by Oakland University's Center for Civic Engagement and E.W. Scripps owned TV stations WXYZ-TV in Detroit, WXMI-TV in Grand Rapids and WSYM-TV in Lansing. [222] News stories about the debate specifically noted a question Whitmer gave Dixon when they argued on school safety and library books: "Do you really think books are more dangerous than guns?" [223]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of October 23, 2022
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Gretchen Whitmer (D)$36,375,114$30,507,077$4,017,640
Tudor Dixon (R)$6,764,321$3,799,440$2,964,881
Source: Michigan Department of State [224]

Results

2022 Michigan gubernatorial election swing map by county.svg
2022 Michigan gubernatorial election trend map by county.svg
2022 Michigan gubernatorial election [225]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic
2,430,505 54.47% +1.16%
Republican
1,960,63543.94%+0.19%
Libertarian
  • Mary Buzuma
  • Brian Ellison
38,8000.87%−0.46%
Constitution
  • Donna Brandenburg
  • Mellissa Carone
16,2460.36%−0.33%
Green
  • Kevin Hogan
  • Destiny Clayton
10,7660.24%−0.44%
Natural Law
  • Daryl M. Simpson
  • Doug Dern
4,9730.11%−0.13%
Write-in 470.00%±0.0%
Total votes4,461,972 100.0%
Turnout 4,500,40055.19%
Registered electors 8,154,832
Democratic hold

By county

County [226] Gretchen Whitmer
Democratic		Tudor Dixon
Republican		Other VotesMarginTotal
votes
 %# %# %# %#
Alcona 34.71%2,07663.57%3,8021.72%103−28.86%−1,7265,981
Alger 45.86%1,98452.20%2,2581.94%84−6.34%−2744,326
Allegan 39.76%22,80258.58%33,5901.66%950−18.82%−10,78857,342
Alpena 41.34%5,77956.65%7,9202.01%281−15.31%−2,14113,980
Antrim 42.36%5,93755.85%7,8271.78%250−13.49%−1,89014,014
Arenac 37.78%2,70960.17%4,3142.05%147−22.39%−1,6057,170
Baraga 38.59%1,32959.70%2,0561.71%59−21.11%−7273,444
Barry 37.63%11,55260.42%18,5471.95%598−22.79%−6,99530,697
Bay 50.36%24,78347.65%23,4481.99%9782.71%1,33549,209
Benzie 50.95%5,44647.38%5,0641.67%1793.57%38210,689
Berrien 46.55%29,80351.79%33,1571.66%1064−5.24%−3,35464,024
Branch 35.19%5,67662.81%10,1322.00%322−27.62%−4,45616,130
Calhoun 48.31%24,91649.82%25,6941.87%966−1.51%−77851,576
Cass 36.11%7,35062.23%12,6661.66%337−26.12%−5,31620,353
Charlevoix 45.87%6,72852.27%7,6671.87%274−6.40%−93914,669
Cheboygan 40.18%5,35757.80%7,7072.02%270−17.62%−2,35013,334
Chippewa 43.36%6,30354.36%7,9022.28%332−11.00%−1,59914,537
Clare 38.32%5,05759.48%7,8502.20%291−21.16%−2,79313,198
Clinton 50.15%20,66448.31%19,9041.54%6361.84%76041,204
Crawford 40.65%2,65557.08%3,7282.27%148−16.43%−1,0736,531
Delta 39.73%6,89058.23%10,0972.04%354−18.50%−3,20717,341
Dickinson 35.96%4,31062.12%7,4461.92%230−26.16%−3,13611,986
Eaton 53.78%28,80644.49%23,8281.73%9249.29%4,97853,558
Emmet 48.37%9,28549.96%9,5901.67%320−1.59%−30519,195
Genesee 58.47%100,32539.79%68,2821.74%2,98718.68%32,043171,594
Gladwin 36.77%4,42261.18%7,3572.05%246−24.41%−2,93512,025
Gogebic 45.47%2,94052.78%3,4131.75%113−7.31%−4736,466
Grand Traverse 52.38%27,39645.90%24,0051.72%9016.48%3,39152,302
Gratiot 41.01%6,28556.51%8,6592.48%380−15.50%−2,37415,324
Hillsdale 29.89%5,57567.80%12,6442.31%431−37.91%−7,06918,650
Houghton 45.41%7,03052.51%8,1282.08%322−7.10%−1,09815,480
Huron 35.39%5,31062.61%9,3952.01%301−27.22%−4,08515,006
Ingham 69.23%82,40829.29%34,8691.48%1,76539.94%47,539119,042
Ionia 39.86%10,84558.02%15,7862.12%577−18.16%−4,94127,208
Iosco 41.69%5,26656.30%7,1112.01%254−14.61%−1,84512,631
Iron 39.79%2,23658.40%3,2821.81%102−18.61%−1,0465,620
Isabella 52.51%12,58145.61%10,9271.87%4496.90%1,65423,957
Jackson 44.84%29,01153.22%34,4391.94%1,255−8.38%−5,42864,705
Kalamazoo 62.10%72,51636.34%42,4361.56%1,82425.76%30,080116,776
Kalkaska 33.98%3,00963.43%5,6162.59%229−29.45%−2,6078,854
Kent 54.32%162,89944.08%132,1721.60%4,80110.24%30,727299,872
Keweenaw 47.91%66650.43%7011.65%23−2.52%−351,390
Lake 39.56%2,08158.08%3,0552.36%124−18.52%−9745,260
Lapeer 36.49%15,98361.50%26,9402.01%879−25.01%−10,95743,802
Leelanau 55.19%8,54043.63%6,7521.18%18211.56%1,78815,474
Lenawee 42.58%18,24855.52%23,7961.90%813−12.94%−5,54842,857
Livingston 42.75%46,52455.58%60,4941.67%1,821−12.83%−13,970108,839
Luce 33.22%78664.24%1,5202.54%60−31.02%−7342,366
Mackinac 42.79%2,56755.43%3,3251.78%107−12.64%−7585,999
Macomb 51.82%199,27746.62%179,2581.56%6,0095.20%20,019384,544
Manistee 47.65%6,02650.32%6,3642.02%256−2.67%−33812,646
Marquette 60.19%18,88038.15%11,9671.66%52222.04%6,91331,369
Mason 43.49%6,41954.32%8,0182.19%324−10.83%−1,59914,761
Mecosta 39.22%6,86758.61%10,2622.18%381−19.39%−3,39517,510
Menominee 34.59%3,34763.34%6,1292.07%200−28.75%−2,7829,676
Midland 47.30%19,49750.85%20,9641.85%763−3.55%−1,46741,224
Missaukee 26.79%1,99571.24%5,3061.97%147−44.45%−3,3117,448
Monroe 42.73%29,48255.53%38,3121.74%1,203−12.80%−8,83068,997
Montcalm 36.45%9,62261.24%16,1652.30%608−24.79%−6,54326,395
Montmorency 33.23%1,70164.49%3,3012.29%117−31.26%−1,6005,119
Muskegon 53.19%39,26944.86%33,1211.95%1,4438.33%6,14873,833
Newaygo 32.59%7,41765.37%14,8792.04%465−32.78%−7,46222,761
Oakland 60.92%383,89537.84%238,4481.25%7,86223.08%145,447630,205
Oceana 39.88%4,82058.02%7,0122.10%254−18.14%−2,19212,086
Ogemaw 35.71%3,53262.18%6,1512.11%209−26.47%−2,6199,892
Ontonagon 40.47%1,31957.13%1,8622.39%78−16.66%−5433,259
Osceola 30.58%3,17467.00%6,9542.43%251−36.42%−3,78010,379
Oscoda 33.77%1,35563.63%2,5532.59%104−29.86%−1,1984,012
Otsego 38.53%4,81859.35%7,4222.12%265−20.82%−2,60412,505
Ottawa 40.26%58,95258.29%85,3611.45%2,119−18.03%−26,409146,432
Presque Isle 40.85%2,98157.07%4,1652.08%152−16.22%−1,1847,298
Roscommon 40.80%5,28457.07%7,3912.13%276−16.27%−2,10712,951
Saginaw 53.00%43,21945.37%37,0021.63%1,3297.63%6,21781,550
Sanilac 31.73%5,96766.33%12,4731.94%364−34.60%−6,50618,804
Schoolcraft 39.27%1,52758.23%2,2642.49%97−18.96%−7373,888
Shiawassee 45.46%14,73052.37%16,9692.17%703−6.91%−2,23932,402
St. Clair 40.49%30,17057.35%42,7312.15%1,604−16.86%−12,56174,505
St. Joseph 38.35%8,40259.60%13,0592.05%449−21.25%−4,65721,910
Tuscola 35.06%8,41862.81%15,0782.13%511−27.75%−6,66024,007
Van Buren 48.08%15,34750.04%15,9741.88%601−1.96%−62731,922
Washtenaw 75.15%135,90423.67%42,8041.18%2,14051.48%93,100180,848
Wayne 70.86%457,60127.95%180,4871.18%7,65142.91%277,114645,739
Wexford 37.37%5,64560.45%9,1312.18%329−23.08%−3,48615,105

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Whitmer won 9 of 13 congressional districts, including two that elected Republicans. [227]

DistrictWhitmerDixonRepresentative
1st 44%54% Jack Bergman
2nd 40%58% John Moolenaar
3rd 56%43% Peter Meijer (117th Congress)
Hillary Scholten (118th Congress)
4th 50%49% Bill Huizenga
5th 41%57% Tim Walberg
6th 66%32% Debbie Dingell
7th 54%44% Elissa Slotkin
8th 55%43% Dan Kildee
9th 41%58% Lisa McClain
10th 55%43% John James
11th 64%35% Haley Stevens
12th 76%23% Rashida Tlaib
13th 77%22% Shri Thanedar

Analysis

Whitmer led Dixon in most of the polls. Most Republican donors chose not to fund campaign ads for Dixon, causing the TV airwaves to be dominated by ads for Whitmer, which included negative ads against Dixon. [162] [228] Whitmer also spent a lot more in digital advertising compared to Dixon. [229] Abortion rights, which were on the ballot in the same election, were the subject of negative ads against Dixon, who opposed abortion rights. [230] Although aggregate polling had Whitmer up by about 3%, and a last-minute poll by Trafalgar Group had Dixon ahead by 1%, the election was not close. Whitmer defeated Dixon at the same time Michigan voters approved a ballot measure that would guarantee abortion rights in the Michigan constitution. [231] Democrats swept the other statewide partisan races and won control of both the state House and state Senate. [232] This marked the first time Democrats took control of both houses of the Michigan legislature since 1984. [233] Exit polls found that Whitmer won nearly 70% of college-educated White women. [234]

Despite Dixon's loss, she managed to flip Gogebic County in the Upper Peninsula (which had voted for Whitmer in 2018), making this the first election since 1932 where a Democrat won the Michigan governor's mansion without carrying Gogebic County. [235] Conversely, Whitmer flipped the counties of Benzie and Grand Traverse; the last time the Democratic candidate won these counties were 2006 and 1986, respectively. [236]

Notes

  1. ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. 1 2 3 Rebandt with 2%
  4. ↑ "Someone else" with 7%, Rebandt with 3%
  5. 1 2 Rebandt with 3%
  6. 1 2 3 4 Rebandt with 1%
  7. ↑ Write-ins (volunteered response) with 7%, Rebandt with 1%
  8. ↑ Brandenburg with 2%, Rebandt with 1%, Markey with 0%
  9. ↑ Chenge with 2%
  10. ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  11. ↑ Buzuma (L) with 1%; "Other" with 1%
  12. ↑ "Third party candidate" with 2%
  13. ↑ "Another candidate" with 1%
  14. ↑ "Third party candidate" with 2%
  15. ↑ Buzuma (L) with 1%
  16. ↑ Buzuma (L) with 2%; Hogan (G) with 1%; Brandenburg (UTP) with <1%; Simpson (NL) with <1%
  17. ↑ Buzuma (L) with 2%; Hogan (G) with 1%; Brandenburg (UTP) with <1%
  18. ↑ "Third party candidate" with 2%
  19. ↑ Buzuma (L) with 2%; Hogan (G) with 2%; "Another candidate" with 1%
  20. ↑ "Someone else" with 2%
  21. ↑ "Other/Refused" with 5%
  22. ↑ "Third party candidate" with 2%
  23. ↑ "Third party candidate" with 3%
  24. ↑ "Third party candidate" with 3%
  25. ↑ "Third party candidate" with 3%
  26. ↑ Buzuma (L) with 2%; "Other" with <1%
  27. ↑ "Third party candidate" with 3%
  28. ↑ "Another candidate" with 1%
  29. ↑ "Third party candidate" with 3%
  30. ↑ "Neither" with 3%; "Other with 1%
  31. ↑ "Neither" with 2%
  32. ↑ Brandenburg (UTP) with 2%; Buzuma (L) with 1%; Hogan (G) with 0%
  33. ↑ "Third party candidate" with 4%
  34. ↑ "Someone else" with 2%
  35. ↑ Buzuma (L) with 3%; Hogan (G) with 2%; "Another candidate" with 1%
  36. ↑ Buzuma (L) with 3%; Hogan (G) with 1%; Brandenburg (UTP) with <1%; Simpson (NL) with <1%
  37. ↑ Buzuma with 4%; "Refused to answer" with 3%; Hogan, Brandenburg, and Simpson with 1%
  38. ↑ Buzuma with 3%; "Other" with 1%
  39. ↑ "Third party candidate" with 7%
  40. ↑ Buzuma with 2%; "Other" with 1%
  41. ↑ Includes Undecided
  42. ↑ "Elect someone new" as opposed to "re-elect Whitmer" with 41%
  43. ↑ "It depends" with 14%; Undecided with 6%

Partisan clients

  1. ↑ This poll was sponsored by Rinke's campaign.
  2. 1 2 3 4 Poll sponsored by Craig's campaign
  3. 1 2 This poll was sponsored by American Greatness, a conservative news outlet.
  4. ↑ Poll conducted for Citizens United, a conservative non-profit organization.
  5. ↑ This poll was sponsored by the Michigan Association of Broadcasters.
  6. ↑ Poll conducted for WJRT-TV and the Detroit Free Press.
  7. ↑ Poll conducted for MIRS, Governmental Consultant Services Inc., and the Life Insurance Association of Michigan.
  8. 1 2 This poll was sponsored by the Michigan Republican Party.
  9. ↑ Poll sponsored by DePerno's campaign for Attorney General

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  4. ↑ Decision 2022: Race for Michigan Governor WILX-TV
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  75. 1 2 3 "State Representative Beth Griffin Endorses Michael Brown for Governor". www.einnews.com. February 1, 2022. Retrieved July 17, 2022.
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  80. 1 2 3 "John Engler endorses Dixon; Rinke launches ad touting Donald Trump".
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  87. 1 2 "DeVos family endorses Tudor Dixon to be Michigan's next governor".
  88. 1 2 Egan, Paul (September 22, 2021). "Ted Nugent endorses Michigan State Police captain for governor". Detroit Free Press . Archived from the original on November 23, 2021. Retrieved January 7, 2022.
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  90. ↑ "Trump Endorsed by National Veterans Group for 2024 Presidential Run". www.yahoo.com. November 22, 2022. Retrieved March 11, 2023.
  91. ↑ "Endorsement: Our choice in the Republican primary for governor" . July 1, 2022. Archived from the original on July 3, 2022.
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  93. ↑ "Ted Nugent, rocker and member of far-right Oath Keepers, endorses Kevin Rinke". June 23, 2022.
  94. ↑ "Endorsement: Kevin Rinke is Republicans' safest bet in a pitiful GOP field". July 23, 2022.
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  134. ↑ "Magic Johnson Reveals His Endorsement for Governor". June 24, 2023.
  135. ↑ "Actress Kerry Washington: It can't be 'harder for me to vote than it was for my grandparents' ⋆ Michigan Advance". November 6, 2022.
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